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Today we look through the divergences that continue to characterize the action across US equities, with some of the most speculative areas - especially Tesla - on fire on Friday even as the median stock had a rather weak day. As volatility continues to crush lower, this could mean we are headed for a volatility breakout, but in what direction? Also, a look at geopolitical developments, including in rare earths, some must reads and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Link to Ruben's article on European companies with strong AI exposure. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Markets hit another all time high last week, but on very muted moves as investors continue climb a wall of worry. Markets continue to test the 20-DMA and rally back above...another pullback to that level would not be surprising. Markets are somewhat over bought on a relative strength basis, and not sitting on a very tight MACD momentum signal. Retail buying is approaching some of the highest levels we've seen, while professional investors' allocations are still somewhat underweight equities (computer traded algorithms are excepted). AS we head into the end of the quarter, we could see institutional buying also providing additional support. This is NOT the look of a "market melt-up;" it's just a gradual grind higher with investors willing to pay a little more without a sharp, speculative spike. What to watch? Volatility remains complacent, and complacent markets invariably lead to non-complacent markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In this episode, hosts Mark Longo from The Options Insider, Mark Sebastian from Option Pit, and Russell Rhoads from the University of Indiana dive deep into the latest developments in the volatility market. The trio discusses bond volatility, VIX options, and the curious behavior of the VIX ahead of a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting. They also look at VIX-related ETPs and make their weekly predictions for the VIX. Timestamps [0:00] Introduction [3:20] The volatility review: market performance and VIX analysis. [7:15] Discussion on bond volatility and the surprising calm before the Fed meeting. [12:30] VIX term structure and futures analysis. [16:45] Russell's Weekly Rundown: analysis of specific VIX options trades. [25:00] VIX options paper and trade activity. [29:00] Inverse volatility and VIX ETPs. [32:15] Discussion on a potential Fed surprise and its market impact. [36:00] The Crystal Ball: VIX predictions for the upcoming week. [40:15] Final thoughts and how to follow the hosts.
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory services for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.orgLooking for B2B advertising on our podcast for the coffee industry: support@mapitforward.org or DM us here https://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Welcome to the 5th episode of a five-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro by Map It Forward Podcast, hosted by Map It Forward founder, Lee Safar.Returning to the podcast for the second time in 2025 are audience favourites, Felipe Croce from FAF Coffees in Brazil and Angel Barrera from Belco (in France), based in Colombia.This series is a follow-up to the last time Felipe and Angel appeared on the podcast, at the beginning of 2025. At that time, the discussion was focused on the forces driving the coffee crisis and the expectations of the year ahead in coffee.Now, as we head towards the final quarter of 2025, we revisit the topics we discussed in our last series, examining the realities of the state of the coffee supply chain and the status of the coffee crisis. The 5 episodes in this series are:1. 2025 Coffee Market So Far - https://youtu.be/9ogTc89Mw_o2. Volatility in Global Coffee 2025 - https://youtu.be/sprQmYDJLww3. Challenges at Coffee Origin in 2025 - https://youtu.be/IXzJ-Lwvhmc4. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/HlNePLOInHI5. 18 Month Global Coffee Outlook - https://youtu.be/ouy150HDwGIIn this final episode of this Map It Forward podcast series, Lee, Felipe, and Angel discuss the current state and future of the global coffee industry in 2025. They delve into various issues affecting the market, from sky-high prices to supply chain complexities. The conversation highlights the need for businesses to be better informed, focus on the value proposition, and adapt in an uncertain market. They also touch upon the importance of sustainable practices and conscious consumerism. The episode offers valuable insights and practical advice for anyone involved in the coffee industry.Connect with Angel and Belco here:https://www.belco.fr/https://www.linkedin.com/in/angel-barrera-8a0b2236/https://www.instagram.com/koliafobiano/https://www.instagram.com/belco.coffee/Connect with Felipe and FAF here:https://www.instagram.com/felipecroce/https://www.instagram.com/fafcoffees/https://fafbrazil.com/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
ory dives deep into energy risk management with industry veteran Steve Sinos. Steve, with over 20 years of experience, explains how energy derivatives—from Futures and Options to CFDs—are crucial risk management tools designed to shift, not destroy, market risk. The episode frames this through the practical scenario of advising a regional airline on hedging its largest cost: fuel price exposure. Steve details the non-mechanical, iterative process of understanding controllable versus unknowable factors, emphasizing that effective risk management forces explicit trade-offs to achieve strategic goals. The discussion covers the diverse hedging approaches of airlines and E&P companies, focusing on product selection, instrument choice, and the critical challenge of basis risk. He shares insights on managing for quantifiable success over predicting "black swan" events, and the shift towards optimizing the "efficiency of a risk dollar" for specific cash flow targets. Listeners will also learn about interpreting complex market data like Commitment of Traders (COT) reports to avoid speculative biases and navigating unique market structures, such as the current "smiley curve" in crude futures. This episode underscores the risk manager's role as a "therapist," helping strategic leaders make informed decisions by understanding the sacrifices required to meet their objectives
In this episode, hosts Mark Longo from The Options Insider, Mark Sebastian from Option Pit, and Russell Rhoads from the University of Indiana dive deep into the latest developments in the volatility market. The trio discusses bond volatility, VIX options, and the curious behavior of the VIX ahead of a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting. They also look at VIX-related ETPs and make their weekly predictions for the VIX. Timestamps [0:00] Introduction [3:20] The volatility review: market performance and VIX analysis. [7:15] Discussion on bond volatility and the surprising calm before the Fed meeting. [12:30] VIX term structure and futures analysis. [16:45] Russell's Weekly Rundown: analysis of specific VIX options trades. [25:00] VIX options paper and trade activity. [29:00] Inverse volatility and VIX ETPs. [32:15] Discussion on a potential Fed surprise and its market impact. [36:00] The Crystal Ball: VIX predictions for the upcoming week. [40:15] Final thoughts and how to follow the hosts.
After a year of pressure to cut rates, the Fed seems poised to lower rates by 0.25%-0.50% next week. Peter and Charlie discuss the logic behind this imminent rate cut as well as the likelihood of a recession and the biggest risk for investors. Plus, is rising unemployment from a cycle low a signal or just noise?
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory services for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.orgLooking for B2B advertising on our podcast for the coffee industry: support@mapitforward.org or DM us here https://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Welcome to the 4th episode of a five-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro by Map It Forward Podcast, hosted by Map It Forward founder, Lee Safar.Returning to the podcast for the second time in 2025 are audience favourites, Felipe Croce from FAF Coffees in Brazil and Angel Barrera from Belco (in France), based in Colombia.This series is a follow-up to the last time Felipe and Angel appeared on the podcast, at the beginning of 2025. At that time, the discussion was focused on the forces driving the coffee crisis and the expectations of the year ahead in coffee.Now, as we head towards the final quarter of 2025, we revisit the topics we discussed in our last series, examining the realities of the state of the coffee supply chain and the status of the coffee crisis. The 5 episodes in this series are:1. 2025 Coffee Market So Far - https://youtu.be/9ogTc89Mw_o2. Volatility in Global Coffee 2025 - https://youtu.be/sprQmYDJLww3. Challenges at Coffee Origin in 2025 - https://youtu.be/IXzJ-Lwvhmc4. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/HlNePLOInHI5. 18 Month Global Coffee Outlook - https://youtu.be/ouy150HDwGIIn this episode of this Map It Forward podcast, Lee, Felipe, and Angel delve into the ongoing consolidation within the industry and its impact on small and medium-sized businesses.The conversation explores how market concentration affects producers, roasters, and traders, and highlights the opportunities for innovation and niche markets. They also examine the role of mega-conglomerates like Keurig, Dr. Pepper, JDE Peet's, and Nestle. The discussion emphasizes the importance of traceability, adaptability, and creative business models to compete against the giants. Join us for an insightful and balanced conversation about the future of the volatile coffee market.Connect with Angel and Belco here:https://www.belco.fr/https://www.linkedin.com/in/angel-barrera-8a0b2236/https://www.instagram.com/koliafobiano/https://www.instagram.com/belco.coffee/Connect with Felipe and FAF here:https://www.instagram.com/felipecroce/https://www.instagram.com/fafcoffees/https://fafbrazil.com/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
September is historically a slow month for travel news in South East Asia. With the October Golden Week imminent, followed by the peak November-February tourism season, it's usually a period to reflect and prepare. Not this year. Political upheaval and economic instability in ASEAN's two largest economies, Indonesia and Thailand, are front-page news. Events in both nations have the potential to influence the end-of-year travel season, not least in Thailand where an enforced national election is likely. Meantime, Gary and Hannah assess Malaysia's latest positioning statement for its biggest ever 12-month national tourism campaign in 2026. Phnom Penh inaugurates Cambodia's much hyped new Techo Airport. And Vietnam's buoyant tourism economy enjoys a further boost during National Day. Plus, why are consumer trade shows an even bigger deal than normal in 2025 in Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam and the Philippines? All this and more in our weekly travel and tourism news roundup.
During this episode, Santosh is joined by supply chain expert and Professor of Engineering Systems at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Yossi Sheffi. Santosh and Yossi discuss the evolving landscape of global supply chains amid trade wars, policy uncertainty, and rapid technological change. Key topics include the challenges of unpredictability for supply chain leaders, the importance of resilience as a hedge against uncertainty, and the growing influence of AI and digital transformation on the workforce. Yossi also addresses the limitations of current sustainability efforts, advocating for nuclear power as a scalable solution, and emphasizes the need for cultural and policy shifts to ensure long-term resilience. Listeners will gain practical insights on navigating volatility, fostering adaptability, and preparing for the future of supply chains.Highlights from their conversation include:Yossi's Journey into Supply Chain (1:15)Trade Wars and Tariff Unpredictability (2:39)The Real Problem: Uncertainty and Volatility (3:31)Managing Supply Chains Amid Uncertainty (6:13)Retail Margins and Political Implications (8:08)Resilience as a Hedge, Not a Bet (9:50)Resilience vs. Insurance (11:31)Global Examples of Resilient Cultures (13:55)Trade-Offs in Reshoring and Environmental Policy (16:17)Sustainability: Real Impact vs. Virtue Signaling (20:14)Nuclear Power as a Solution (21:47)Global Energy Demand and Equity (23:51)AI and the Future of Work (25:10)Job Market Evolution and Adaptation (26:19)Education and Skills for the Future (29:49)Limits of AI and Robotics (30:39)Rapid Fire Segment to Close (32:26)Final Thoughts and Takeaways Conclusion and Farewell (34:03)Dynamo is a VC firm led by supply chain and mobility specialists that focus on seed-stage, enterprise startups.Find out more at: https://www.dynamo.vc/.
Dan Nathan, Carter Worth & Steph Guild break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, September 10th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callMRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet, SoFi & MoneyLionSign up for our emailsFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Key Takeaways: The options yield curve is a powerful tool: It offers a way to earn high returns in today's markets, providing a modern alternative to old interest-rate-based strategies. Sell options on liquid assets: Selling options on assets like Bitcoin or the S&P 500 can be like running a renewable energy plant—using market ups and downs to create steady income. Read market emotions and patterns: Knowing how emotions, seasonal trends, and the volatility risk premium work can help you time your investments better. Profit from volatility gaps: The difference between implied and realized volatility can be an opportunity for gains, especially in emotional markets. Blend defense and offense in strategy: Taleb's approach focuses on protecting against losses, while Washington's uses emotional energy for gains—together they make a strong market strategy. Chapters: Timestamp Summary 0:00 Understanding the Options Yield Curve in Modern Finance 3:19 Economic Depression and the Impact of Low Interest Rates 5:19 Emotional Energy and Market Volatility as Waves 9:23 Understanding Volatility Risk Premium in Bitcoin Options Trading 17:02 Emotional Strength and Market Strategies for Financial Success Powered by Stone Hill Wealth Management Social Media Handles Follow Phillip Washington, Jr. on Instagram (@askphillip) Subscribe to Wealth Building Made Simple newsletter https://www.wealthbuildingmadesimple.us/ Ready to turn your investing dreams into reality? Our "Wealth Building Made Simple" premium newsletter is your secret weapon. We break down investing in a way that's easy to understand, even if you're just starting out. Learn the tricks the wealthy use, discover exciting opportunities, and start building the future YOU want. Sign up now, and let's make those dreams happen! WBMS Premium Subscription Phillip Washington, Jr. is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory services for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.orgLooking for B2B advertising on our podcast for the coffee industry: support@mapitforward.org or DM us here https://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Welcome to the 3rd episode of a five-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro by Map It Forward Podcast, hosted by Map It Forward founder, Lee Safar.Returning to the podcast for the second time in 2025 are audience favourites, Felipe Croce from FAF Coffees in Brazil and Angel Barrera from Belco (in France), based in Colombia.This series is a follow-up to the last time Felipe and Angel appeared on the podcast, at the beginning of 2025. At that time, the discussion was focused on the forces driving the coffee crisis and the expectations of the year ahead in coffee.Now, as we head towards the final quarter of 2025, we revisit the topics we discussed in our last series, examining the realities of the state of the coffee supply chain and the status of the coffee crisis. The 5 episodes in this series are:1. 2025 Coffee Market So Far - https://youtu.be/9ogTc89Mw_o2. Volatility in Global Coffee 2025 - https://youtu.be/sprQmYDJLww3. Challenges at Coffee Origin in 2025 - https://youtu.be/IXzJ-Lwvhmc4. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/HlNePLOInHI5. 18 Month Global Coffee Outlook - https://youtu.be/ouy150HDwGIIn this episode of this Map It Forward podcast, Lee, Felipe, and Angel discuss the challenges facing coffee production in 2025, market volatility, and the shifts in consumer expectations. Key topics include the impact of climate change on coffee farms, the shift towards Robusta production, the future of specialty coffee, and the importance of sustainable supply chains.The episode provides insights into why purely specialty coffee businesses struggle and what needs to change for them to thrive in a volatile market. Join the conversation on how the coffee industry needs to evolve to meet these new challenges and opportunities.Connect with Angel and Belco here:https://www.belco.fr/https://www.linkedin.com/in/angel-barrera-8a0b2236/https://www.instagram.com/koliafobiano/https://www.instagram.com/belco.coffee/Connect with Felipe and FAF here:https://www.instagram.com/felipecroce/https://www.instagram.com/fafcoffees/https://fafbrazil.com/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
Send us a textDollar and US equities rally; crypto market is indecisive. Volatility remains elevated despite improved risk sentiment. US PPI data could show tariff impact ahead of CPI report. Gold and oil are supported by broader geopolitical tensions.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
There was a dramatic escalation in an already white-hot Middle East on Tuesday. For the first time, Israel attacked Qatar, a key American regional ally and the mediator of ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas. The target was a meeting of senior Hamas officials in the capital, Doha. Nick Schifrin discussed more with Mona Yacoubian and David Schenker. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory services for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.orgLooking for B2B advertising on our podcast for the coffee industry: support@mapitforward.org or DM us here https://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Welcome to the 2nd episode of a five-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro by Map It Forward Podcast, hosted by Map It Forward founder, Lee Safar.Returning to the podcast for the second time in 2025 are audience favourites, Felipe Croce from FAF Coffees in Brazil and Angel Barrera from Belco (in France), based in Colombia.This series is a follow-up to the last time Felipe and Angel appeared on the podcast, at the beginning of 2025. At that time, the discussion was focused on the forces driving the coffee crisis and the expectations of the year ahead in coffee.Now, as we head towards the final quarter of 2025, we revisit the topics we discussed in our last series, examining the realities of the state of the coffee supply chain and the status of the coffee crisis. The 5 episodes in this series are:1. 2025 Coffee Market So Far - https://youtu.be/9ogTc89Mw_o2. Volatility in Global Coffee 2025 - https://youtu.be/sprQmYDJLww3. Challenges at Coffee Origin in 2025 - https://youtu.be/IXzJ-Lwvhmc4. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/HlNePLOInHI5. 18 Month Global Coffee Outlook - https://youtu.be/ouy150HDwGIIn this episode of this Map It Forward podcast, Lee, Felipe, and Angel focus on the incredible market volatility experienced in 2025, driven by factors such as fluctuating market prices, currency exchange rates, and geopolitical tariffs.They explore how volatility affects decision-making, client interactions, and stability within the industry. Additionally, the conversation touches upon the influence of tariffs and logistical challenges in maintaining stable coffee supplies to global markets. For more detailed insights, join us in this in-depth discussion.Connect with Angel and Belco here:https://www.belco.fr/https://www.linkedin.com/in/angel-barrera-8a0b2236/https://www.instagram.com/koliafobiano/https://www.instagram.com/belco.coffee/Connect with Felipe and FAF here:https://www.instagram.com/felipecroce/https://www.instagram.com/fafcoffees/https://fafbrazil.com/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
In this episode of The Defiant Podcast, we sit down with Joseph Onorati, CEO of DeFi Development Corp, the second-largest Solana treasury company. Joseph shares the journey of transforming DeFi Development Corp into a Solana-focused treasury powerhouse, their innovative yield strategies, and why Solana's volatility and native yield make it a compelling treasury asset. We also dive into the broader case for crypto treasury companies, the risks and rewards of staking strategies, and the future of Solana in the blockchain ecosystem. Plus, Joseph shares his bold prediction: Solana flipping Ethereum by market cap. Tune in for a deep dive into the intersection of DeFi, treasury management, and the Solana ecosystem.Chapters00:00:00 Why Solana as a Treasury Asset?00:00:41 Volatility, Convertible Debt, and Cost of Capital00:01:20 Introducing Joseph and DeFi Development Corp00:02:10 The Evolution of DeFi Development Corp00:03:56 Staking, Validators, and Yield Strategies00:05:40 Breaking Down Solana Yield Strategies00:10:10 Risks in Staking and Looping Strategies00:12:03 The Case for Crypto Treasury Companies00:15:03 Solana Per Share Growth and Fundraising Flywheels00:20:02 Challenges with NAV Premium Compression00:27:16 Solana's Market Share in Treasury Companies00:30:00 ETFs and Their Impact on Crypto Treasuries00:36:01 The Future of Public Market Crypto Instruments00:46:14 Risks and Controversies in Crypto Treasuries00:54:16 Locked Solana and OTC Markets01:06:15 DeFi Development Corp's Treasury Accelerator Program01:08:09 Bull Case for Solana and Price Predictions
The SPX showed shakiness but bounced off lows and muscled session gains that pushed the index back above 6,500. Kevin Green takes a closer look at the price action and what it means for sessions ahead. He adds that volatility remains "cheap" with inflation risk potential in Wednesday's PPI. On stocks, Kevin analyzes options in AMD Inc. (AMD) and the bull flag pattern that can break out in the coming days.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
There was a dramatic escalation in an already white-hot Middle East on Tuesday. For the first time, Israel attacked Qatar, a key American regional ally and the mediator of ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas. The target was a meeting of senior Hamas officials in the capital, Doha. Nick Schifrin discussed more with Mona Yacoubian and David Schenker. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
Markets sold off on Friday; nothing really surprising to investors. Markets continue to grind along the trend line, with a little weakness showing in Nvidia and other tech stocks. This is why it's important to keep portfolios balanced between growth a defense. The S&P isn't breaking out, rather moving side ways, tracking right along with the 20-DMA. The biggest concern we have presently is the continuing, large negative divergence in relative strength and momentum. This behavior tends to show up prior to market corrections. Volatility remains extremely suppressed. Gold's consolidation has resulted in abnormal over-bought conditions. This would be a great place to take profits and await the next pullback. An inverse of that has been Oil prices, very over-sold. Despite the weakness in Oil, Energy prices have been performing well. Bond Yields have fallen sharply over the past three sessions; the trend in Yields has been decidedly lower over the past few months. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIeIdX4aXas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #Gold #Oil #Yields #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory services for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.orgLooking for B2B advertising on our podcast for the coffee industry: support@mapitforward.org or DM us here https://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Welcome to the first episode of a five-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro by Map It Forward Podcast, hosted by Map It Forward founder, Lee Safar.Returning to the podcast for the second time in 2025 are audience favourites, Felipe Croce from FAF Coffees in Brazil and Angel Barrera from Belco (in France), based in Colombia.This series is a follow-up to the last time Felipe and Angel appeared on the podcast, at the beginning of 2025. At that time, the discussion was focused on the forces driving the coffee crisis and the expectations of the year ahead in coffee.Now, as we head towards the final quarter of 2025, we revisit the topics we discussed in our last series, examining the realities of the state of the coffee supply chain and the status of the coffee crisis. The 5 episodes in this series are:1. 2025 Coffee Market So Far - https://youtu.be/9ogTc89Mw_o 2. Volatility in Global Coffee 2025 - https://youtu.be/sprQmYDJLww 3. Challenges at Coffee Origin in 2025 - https://youtu.be/IXzJ-Lwvhmc 4. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/HlNePLOInHI 5. 18 Month Global Coffee Outlook - https://youtu.be/ouy150HDwGI In this episode of this Map It Forward podcast, host Lee Safar teams up with coffee industry experts Felipe Croce and Angel Barrera to discuss the unforeseen and unprecedented events that have unfolded in the global coffee market during 2025. They delve into how East Africa and Colombia diverged from market expectations, the effects of government-set prices in Ethiopia, and the rapid consumption of East African coffee inventories. They also touch on the growing need for multilingual support in the coffee industry podcast and announce exciting changes coming to Map It Forward in 2026, including the introduction of advertisements. This episode sets the stage for understanding the new chaotic normal in coffee production and trade, and prepares listeners for a deeper exploration of the driving forces behind this volatility in subsequent episodes.Connect with Angel and Belco here:https://www.belco.fr/https://www.linkedin.com/in/angel-barrera-8a0b2236/https://www.instagram.com/koliafobiano/https://www.instagram.com/belco.coffee/Connect with Felipe and FAF here:https://www.instagram.com/felipecroce/https://www.instagram.com/fafcoffees/ https://fafbrazil.com/ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
Michael Kramer from Reading The Markets and Mott Capital Management on trade war takeaways and the big sharp sell-off (1:10). Difference between implied and realized volatility (5:35). Vol up, spot up scenario (8:15). Fed mandates and inflation (13:00). Reverse repo facility symbol of excess cash; preparing for liquidity drain (19:30). Protecting your portfolio in a time of heightened risk (32:25). Is QE coming? (38:40) This is an excerpt from a recent webinar, Portfolio Protection For Volatility Risk.Show Notes:This Week Could Bring The Fed's Worst Nightmare: StagflationPortfolio Protection For Volatility RiskEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions
This month, Senior Portfolio Manager James Mick covers key energy developments:Market Performance: Energy equities stay resilient despite crude and gas weaknessMidstream Activity: Strategic M&A gains steam in the PermianNatural Gas Buildout: Project momentum grows with new pipelines and power demandCapex Outlook: Sector investment ramps to support AI-driven energy useAI Infrastructure: Nvidia forecasts $3–4T in AI-related capex through 2030Listen in for a timely market update and energy sector insights.Download Transcript
Uzair talks to Pranay Kotasthane about the growing tensions in U.S.–India economic relations and the difficult road ahead for deeper trade integration. We discuss what went wrong in the bilateral relationship after the high-profile Trump Modi summit, the domestic political constraints that make agricultural and dairy sector reforms difficult in India, and why India's reliance on fiscal incentives like PLI may not be the silver bullet for manufacturing growth. We also explore whether India's decision to stay out of RCEP was a strategic misstep, and what it would take for the country to meaningfully integrate into global supply chains. Finally, we reflect on the broader trajectory of the U.S.–India partnership and what both sides need to do to steady the course. Pranay Kotasthane is deputy director of the Takshashila Institution, where he chairs the High Tech Geopolitics Programme. He co writes Anticipating the Unintended, a newsletter on public policy, and co hosts Puliyabaazi, a popular Hindi Urdu podcast on politics, policy, and technology. You can read Pranay's newsletter here - https://publicpolicy.substack.com/p/315-beyond-the-hype Reading Recommendations 1. Deborah A. Stone — Policy Paradox: The Art of Political Decision Making 2. Rutger Bregman — Humankind: A Hopeful Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 2:45 State of US-India relations 14:30 India's Evolving foreign policy 24:10 Supporting Indian businesses 31:40 Agriculture reforms and protectionism 39:00 RCEP and its impact 48:40 Reading recommendations
Connect with Onramp // Jackson Mikalic on X // Chris Kuiper on X // Fidelity Digital AssetsScarce Assets: a biweekly podcast presented by Onramp which delves into the emergent role of bitcoin in finance professionals' strategies and outlooks. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Scarce Assets provides invaluable insights for wealth managers aiming to outperform their peers in the decades ahead. Finance professionals everywhere know about stocks and bonds, but the macroeconomic outlook requires that serious investors pay close attention to another category: Scarce Assets.00:00 - Intro to Chris Kuiper & Onramp Institutional05:27 - ETF era takeaways: record flows & advisor demand11:17 - Ancient bitcoin supply selling into strength14:12 - RIAs wake up: education & compliance hurdles17:19 - Positioning bitcoin: non-sovereign monetary asset23:27 - Bonds are impaired: rethinking the 60/4029:28 - Institutional inertia: committees & career risk37:25 - Structures over spot: custody & risk shifting48:37 - Macro drivers: liquidity, stagflation, & expectations55:57 - Volatility that pays: upside skew, gold baton01:02:05 - Bitcoin's bucket: risk-off vs risk-on; crypto baskets01:07:14 - Outro & disclaimerPlease subscribe to Onramp Media channels and sign up for weekly Research & Analysis to get access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.
This episode of Volatility Views discusses the recent market volatility, particularly in response to the non-farm payrolls report. Mark Longo and Russell Rhoads (Indiana University Kelley School of Business) analyze the impact of the economic data on VIX cash and futures, highlighting the surprising downturn after an initial market rally. They examine the VIX futures curve, noting the significant spread between the September and October contracts. The episode also delves into a discussion about the explosive growth of options trading volume and whether the options market has become so large that it is now "wagging the dog" of the underlying stock market. They also review VIX option volume for the week, pointing out a high number of contracts traded, including some unusual trades and large spreads. The show concludes with their weekly VIX predictions for the following week. Show Notes: 1:00 Welcome 3:50 Volatility Review: Non-farm Payrolls Report 6:30 Discussion on Market Reaction and Fed Rate Cuts 9:50 VIX Futures and Volatility Surface Analysis 12:40 Conversation about Options Volume Growth and the "Tail Wagging the Dog" 16:40 Discussion on Jane Street in India and Single Stock Futures 18:50 VIX Options Volume Review (Top 10) 21:05 Russell Rhoads' Weekly Rundown (Unusual Trades) 27:50 Host's Breakdown of Daily VIX Volume 30:00 VIX ETPs and Inverse Volatility Products 33:30 The Crystal Ball: Weekly VIX Predictions 36:30 Closing Remarks
This episode of Volatility Views discusses the recent market volatility, particularly in response to the non-farm payrolls report. Mark Longo and Russell Rhoads (Indiana University Kelley School of Business) analyze the impact of the economic data on VIX cash and futures, highlighting the surprising downturn after an initial market rally. They examine the VIX futures curve, noting the significant spread between the September and October contracts. The episode also delves into a discussion about the explosive growth of options trading volume and whether the options market has become so large that it is now "wagging the dog" of the underlying stock market. They also review VIX option volume for the week, pointing out a high number of contracts traded, including some unusual trades and large spreads. The show concludes with their weekly VIX predictions for the following week. Show Notes: 1:00 Welcome 3:50 Volatility Review: Non-farm Payrolls Report 6:30 Discussion on Market Reaction and Fed Rate Cuts 9:50 VIX Futures and Volatility Surface Analysis 12:40 Conversation about Options Volume Growth and the "Tail Wagging the Dog" 16:40 Discussion on Jane Street in India and Single Stock Futures 18:50 VIX Options Volume Review (Top 10) 21:05 Russell Rhoads' Weekly Rundown (Unusual Trades) 27:50 Host's Breakdown of Daily VIX Volume 30:00 VIX ETPs and Inverse Volatility Products 33:30 The Crystal Ball: Weekly VIX Predictions 36:30 Closing Remarks
4:00 Norvell's future and rest-of-season expectations11:00 How good are Clemson, Miami, and UF?13:45 James Williams and Defensive Line vs Bama16:00 Norvell's development and new coordinators20:00 Did Norvell want to give up calling the offense?22:00 Gus embracing being an OC vs HC25:20 Undefeated chances?27:00 How good are the 'Noles? How good is the coaching staff?31:20 How much do we want to see Tommy run?32:30 Desir Twins34:30 Tony White's HC aspirations37:00 Backup QBs vs ETSAM39:45 Promising Freshman, Javan Boggs and Tommy's vision42:00 Tony White's emphasis on physicality, what happens if he leaves?45:30 Team still wants more, what parts will shine after struggling vs Bama?49:00 No messing around vs ETAM, what backups will play?52:30 AP Poll reactions, where can FSU be ranked by the Miami game?54:45 Ice cream sandwiches and rap music56:00 Does Norvell have a bigger impact on the sideline now that he's not calling plays?58:00 Impact of Jermaine and Jared Verse59:45 Should we still be excited about win over Bama if Bama struggles the rest of the way?1:01:00 Randy Pittman injury and importance vs Bama1:02:45 Biggest takeaway from win over Bama? Volatility in CFB1:05:30 Doak debutMusic: Nine Inch Nails - As Alive As You Need Me To Bevitaminenergy.com | PROMO: warchantbogo | buy one, get one free!Underdog Fantasy app, sign up with promo "warchant" for 50 dollars in bonus funds Must be 18+ (19+ in Alabama & Nebraska; 19+ in Colorado for some games; 21+ in Arizona,Massachusetts & Virginia) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org. In New York, call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
4:00 Norvell's future and rest-of-season expectations11:00 How good are Clemson, Miami, and UF?13:45 James Williams and Defensive Line vs Bama16:00 Norvell's development and new coordinators20:00 Did Norvell want to give up calling the offense?22:00 Gus embracing being an OC vs HC25:20 Undefeated chances?27:00 How good are the 'Noles? How good is the coaching staff?31:20 How much do we want to see Tommy run?32:30 Desir Twins34:30 Tony White's HC aspirations37:00 Backup QBs vs ETSAM39:45 Promising Freshman, Javan Boggs and Tommy's vision42:00 Tony White's emphasis on physicality, what happens if he leaves?45:30 Team still wants more, what parts will shine after struggling vs Bama?49:00 No messing around vs ETAM, what backups will play?52:30 AP Poll reactions, where can FSU be ranked by the Miami game?54:45 Ice cream sandwiches and rap music56:00 Does Norvell have a bigger impact on the sideline now that he's not calling plays?58:00 Impact of Jermaine and Jared Verse59:45 Should we still be excited about win over Bama if Bama struggles the rest of the way?1:01:00 Randy Pittman injury and importance vs Bama1:02:45 Biggest takeaway from win over Bama? Volatility in CFB1:05:30 Doak debutMusic: Nine Inch Nails - As Alive As You Need Me To Bevitaminenergy.com | PROMO: warchantbogo | buy one, get one free!Underdog Fantasy app, sign up with promo "warchant" for 50 dollars in bonus funds Must be 18+ (19+ in Alabama & Nebraska; 19+ in Colorado for some games; 21+ in Arizona,Massachusetts & Virginia) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org. In New York, call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
Dan Rysk is the co-founder of Rysk, a DeFi protocol building options strategies as a new financial primitive. He has been focused on options and structured products in DeFi since 2020, beginning with Opyn, one of the first options protocols. Before that, he worked in investment banking at BofAML and founded and exited a web2 startup in online education. In this conversation, we discuss:- The inception story of Rysk - Trading Options on Hyperliquid - What is ‘options trading' in tradfi? - Options provide volatility exposure, whereas perps do not - DeFi Options Vaults (DOVs) - Volatility yield = the missing yield layer in DeFi - Why Hyperliquid is the right place for Rysk and options to work at scale - What's next: roadmap, integrations, and how Rysk expands from here RyskWebsite: app.rysk.financeX: @ryskfinanceDiscord: discord.gg/ZH34Fc3D5SDan RyskX: @DanDeFiEdTelegram: @DanDeFiEd---------------------------------------------------------------------------------This episode is brought to you by PrimeXBT.PrimeXBT offers a robust trading system for both beginners and professional traders that demand highly reliable market data and performance. Traders of all experience levels can easily design and customize layouts and widgets to best fit their trading style. PrimeXBT is always offering innovative products and professional trading conditions to all customers. PrimeXBT is running an exclusive promotion for listeners of the podcast. After making your first deposit, 50% of that first deposit will be credited to your account as a bonus that can be used as additional collateral to open positions. Code: CRYPTONEWS50 This promotion is available for a month after activation. Click the link below: PrimeXBT x CRYPTONEWS50
Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored the central bank's new focus on managing downside growth risks. Michael Zezas, our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy, talks about how that shift could impact markets heading into 2026. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Today: What a subtle shift in the Fed's reaction function could mean for markets into year-end.It's Wednesday, September 3rd at 11am in New York.Last week, our U.S. economics team flagged a subtle but important shift in U.S. monetary policy. Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored that the Fed looks more focused on managing downside growth risks and, consequently, a bit more tolerant on inflation.As you heard Michael Gapen and Matthew Hornbach discuss last week – our colleagues expect this brings forward another Fed cut into September, kicking off a quarterly pace of 25 basis-point moves. But while this is a meaningful change in the timing of Fed rate cuts, this path would only result in slightly lower policy rates than those implied by the futures market, a proxy for the consensus of investors.So what does it mean for our views across asset classes? In short, our central case is for mostly positive returns across fixed income and equities into year-end. But the Fed's increased tolerance for inflation is a new wrinkle that means investors are likely to experience more volatility along the way.Consider U.S. government bonds. A slower economy and falling policy rates argue for lower Treasury yields. But if investors grow more convinced that the Fed will tolerate firmer inflation, the curve could steepen further, with the risk of longer maturity yields falling less, or potentially even rising.Or consider corporate bonds. Our economic growth view is “slower but still expanding,” which generally bodes well for corporate balance sheets and, thus, the pricing of credit risk. That combined with lower front-end rates suggests a solid total return outlook for corporate credit, keeping us constructive on the asset class. But of course, if long end yields are moving higher, it would certainly cut against overall returns potential.Finally, consider the stock market. The base case is still constructive into year-end as U.S. earnings hold firm, and recent tax cuts should further help corporate cash flows. However, if long bonds sell off, this could put the rally at risk – at least temporarily, as my colleague Mike Wilson has highlighted; given that higher long-end yields are a challenge to the valuation of growth stocks.The risk? A repeat of the early-April dynamic where a long-end sell-off pressures valuations.Could we count on a shift in monetary policy to curb these risks? Or another public policy shift such as easing tariffs or Treasury adjusting its bond issuance plans? Possibly. But investors should understand this would be a reaction to market conditions, not a proactive or preventative shift. So bottom line, we still see many core markets set up to perform well, but the sailing should be less smooth than it has been in recent months.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and tell your friends about the podcast. We want everyone to listen.
September is already volatile and we haven't even had a Fed meeting yet! Now might be the right time to look into the “value” promise of AI… and add some under-valued sectors as cheap insurance.
Mish Schneider says the markets lately have been weighed by their weakest links, which she says are transportation and semiconductors. She expects volatility to continue and urges investors to "tread lightly" but doesn't see bears taking hold of the narrative. Mish believes gold has reemerged as a "true commodity" in its recent breakout following months of consolidation. On stocks, she sees the "vanity trade" gaining bullish traction and points to Eli Lilly (LLY) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) as beneficiaries.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
n this episode of Mining Stock Daily, join Trevor Hall and Tony Greer from TG Macro for a deep dive into the current market landscape. They explore gold's "raging" ascent to new all-time highs, driven by the ongoing destruction of fiat currency and significant geopolitical events, while also cautioning about potential false breakouts. The discussion then shifts to struggling equity markets, analyzing the historical volatility of September and the evolving market leadership beyond technology and semiconductors. Tony Greer pinpoints Nvidia as a key market risk but also identifies potential buying opportunities in the S&P 500 amidst expected pullbacks. This insightful market update balances technical indicators with fundamental drivers, offering a clear perspective on the "obvious complexion change" in global financial markets.
If you love what we do, become a premium YouTube Subscriber or join our Patreon: • https://www.patreon.com/mapitforward• https://www.youtube.com/mapitforwardCheck out our on-demand workshops here: • https://mapitforward.coffee/workshopsConsider joining one of our Mastermind Groups here:• https://mapitforward.coffee/groupcoachingJoin our mailing list:• https://mapitforward.coffee/mailinglistInterested in our business advisory series for your small, medium, or large business? Email us here: support@mapitforward.org••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••This is the 2nd episode of a 5-part podcast series on The Daily Coffee Pro Podcast by Map It Forward with Lee Safar.This is a solo series, i.e., Lee Safar with no guests, to discuss the changes that have been happening at Map It Forward in 2025 and what exciting changes will continue to evolve over the coming 12 months.Another focus of this series will be a status update of how we're viewing the coffee crisis and how we're advising our clients as the evolution continues.None of the information in this series should be taken as advice for your business. The 5 episodes of this series are:1. Let's Talk About What's Going on in Coffee - https://youtu.be/S4zMs9MC8_42. Coffee Price Volatility - https://youtu.be/6ftNp7-jMxE3. Coffee Industry Consolidation - https://youtu.be/dD8uLQcDgfY4. Coffee Supply Chains Are Reorganizing - https://youtu.be/gqU1hIegSxc5. What Can We Expect Next in Coffee? - https://youtu.be/k7xm8F-PGUIIn this episode of 'The Daily Coffee Pro' by Map It Forward, Lee delves into the evolving coffee crisis, particularly focusing on the fluctuations in coffee prices. Lee explains the roles of the futures market, speculators, and certified stocks in affecting coffee prices, and highlights the impact of tariffs and adverse weather conditions in Brazil. This is the second episode in a five-part series that explores the multifaceted nature of the coffee crisis and its implications for the industry. Stay tuned for the next episode on consolidation in the coffee sector.Connect with Lee Safar and Map It Forward here:support@mapitforward.orghttps://www.instagram.com/mapitforward.coffee/https://www.linkedin.com/in/leesafar/https://mapitforward.coffee••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Connect with Map It Forward here: Website | Instagram | Mailing list
Seasonal ugliness shows up once again to start September. Kevin Green talks about the significant move to the downside seen across indices on Tuesday's session as volatility spikes on tariff uncertainty. He shows key technicals behind the trading action and how it affects the week ahead. However, Kevin's also watching a potential "technical bounce" happening in consumer staples by charting the sector's SPDR Funds (XLP).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
New Alpha Pick at noon today and here are some ideas for surviving what might be a bad September. Don't miss the Trendspider sale - up to 52 training sessions per year - learn with weekly 1-1 zoom sessions. Here are the links to all the sales: SAVE BIG - HUGE LABOR DAY SALE ON TRENDSPIDER - GET THE ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION TO GET MY 4 HOUR ALGORITHM OR TRY IT for $7
The cheese and whey markets have been volatile due to their dependence on trade, and Mike Brown, vice president for dairy market intelligence at T.C. Jacoby & Company, says this is especially important for Wisconsin dairy farmers, since about 90 percent of the state’s milk goes into cheese. While the whey market behaves a little differently, he expects to see renewed investment in whey as Wisconsin continues producing award-winning cheeses. Brown notes that although the regulated minimum for Class III milk prices dropped with the Federal Milk Marketing Order update that took effect June 1, lower milk checks are also tied to other factors, including revenue declines for cheese processors.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Government Affairs Update Podcast - Where we unpack what's going on in our industry from a retailer's perspective. Tim and Jason Tolleson from HPBA sit down to recap the month. They reflect on the Fly-In with the HBPA alongside leaders and members of the industry to meet with government representatives in Washington D.C. They also cover how the National Fuel Choice bill is looking heading into Fall, tariff volatility, and upcoming changes to NSPS regarding wood-burning standards. --- This episode is a production of The Hearth, Patio & Barbecue Association and The Fire Time Network. You can learn more about the HPBA—and get involved—by visiting https://www.hpba.org Get free access to The Fire Time Magazine every month by going to https://www.itsfiretime.com/subscribe
On this episode of Crazy Wisdom, Stewart Alsop sits down with Brad Costanzo, founder and CEO of Accelerated Intelligence, for a wide-ranging conversation that stretches from personal development and the idea that “my mess is my message” to the risks of AI psychosis, the importance of cognitive armor, and Brad's sovereign mind framework. They talk about education through the lens of the Trivium, the natural pull of elites and hierarchies, and how Bitcoin and stablecoins tie into the future of money, inflation, and technological deflation. Brad also shares his perspective on the synergy between AI and Bitcoin, the dangers of too-big-to-fail banks, and why decentralized banking may be the missing piece. To learn more about Brad's work, visit acceleratedintelligence.ai or reach out directly at brad@acceleratedintelligence.ai.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversationTimestamps00:00 Brad Costanzo joins Stewart Alsop, opening with “my mess is my message” and Accelerated Intelligence as a way to frame AI as accelerated, not artificial.05:00 They explore AI as a tool for personal development, therapy versus coaching, and AI's potential for self-insight and pattern recognition.10:00 The conversation shifts to AI psychosis, hype cycles, gullibility, and the need for cognitive armor, leading into Brad's sovereign mind framework of define, collaborate, and refine.15:00 They discuss education through the Trivium—grammar, logic, rhetoric—contrasted with the Prussian mass education model designed for factory workers.20:00 The theme turns to elites, natural hierarchies, and the Robbers Cave experiment showing how quickly humans split into tribes.25:00 Bitcoin enters as a silent, nonviolent revolution against centralized money, with Hayek's quote on sound money and the Trojan horse of Wall Street adoption.30:00 Stablecoins, treasuries, and the Treasury vs Fed dynamic highlight how monetary demand is being engineered through crypto markets.35:00 Inflation, disinflation, and deflation surface, tied to real estate costs, millennials vs boomers, Austrian economics, and Jeff Booth's “Price of Tomorrow.”40:00 They connect Bitcoin and AI as deflationary forces, population decline, productivity gains, and the idea of a personal Bitcoin denominator.45:00 The talk expands into Bitcoin mining, AI data centers, difficulty adjustments, and Richard Werner's insights on quantitative easing, commercial banks, and speculative vs productive loans.50:00 Wrapping themes center on decentralized banking, the dangers of too-big-to-fail, assets as protection, Bitcoin's volatility, and why it remains the strongest play for long-term purchasing power.Key InsightsOne of the strongest insights Brad shares is the shift from artificial intelligence to accelerated intelligence. Instead of framing AI as something fake or external, he sees it as a leverage tool to amplify human intelligence—whether emotional, social, spiritual, or business-related. This reframing positions AI less as a threat to authenticity and more as a partner in unlocking dormant creativity.Personal development surfaces through the mantra “my mess is my message.” Brad emphasizes that the struggles, mistakes, and rock-bottom moments in life can become the foundation for helping others. AI plays into this by offering low-cost access to self-insight, giving people the equivalent of a reflective mirror that can help them see patterns in their own thinking without immediately needing therapy.The episode highlights the emerging problem of AI psychosis. People overly immersed in AI conversations, chatbots, or hype cycles can lose perspective. Brad and Stewart argue that cognitive armor—what Brad calls the “sovereign mind” framework of define, collaborate, and refine—is essential to avoid outsourcing one's thinking entirely to machines.Education is another theme, with Brad pointing to the classical Trivium—grammar, logic, and rhetoric—as the foundation of real learning. Instead of mass education modeled on the Prussian system for producing factory workers, he argues for rhetoric, debate, and critical thinking as the ultimate tests of knowledge, even in an AI-driven world.When the discussion turns to elites, Brad acknowledges that hierarchies are natural and unavoidable, citing experiments like Robbers Cave. The real danger lies not in elitism itself, but in concentrated control—particularly financial elites who maintain power through the monetary system.Bitcoin is framed as a “silent, nonviolent revolution.” Brad describes it as a Trojan horse—appearing as a speculative asset while quietly undermining government monopoly on money. Stablecoins, treasuries, and the Treasury vs Fed conflict further reveal how crypto is becoming a new driver of monetary demand.Finally, the synergy between AI and Bitcoin offers a hopeful counterbalance to deflation fears and demographic decline. AI boosts productivity while Bitcoin enforces financial discipline. Together, they could stabilize a future where fewer people are needed for the same output, costs of living decrease, and savings in hard money protect purchasing power—even against the inertia of too-big-to-fail banks.
– How do we tackle our real problems? – How to trade returns against volatility? – How would you fix housing affordability? – We need to fix mining taxes!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Recorded on August 27, 2025 and May 29, 2025 https://youtu.be/bSqCLAwxZdQ Episode 139 of the PetroNerds podcast is another PetroNerds special. Trisha Curtis, CEO of PetroNerds, sits down with Bud Brigham, Executive Chairman of Atlas Energy Solutions and Matt Gallagher, CEO of Greenlake Energy in Austin, Texas. She was invited to give a talk and do a fireside chat with these incredible hosts in the first Austin Energy Forum. The questions from the heavy-hitting Austin energy crowd were fantastic and on point. Trisha's fast and dense presentation titled "Volatility is Dominating 2025" covers oil prices, Trump, the economy, geopolitics and conflict, and power generation and prices. She discusses supply and demand and the fact that oil prices are oversold, lower oil prices in a weaker economy, OPEC and Saudi output increases, "peak shale," Chinese and US competition, chips, tariffs and risk. She gets into geopolitics and volatility, discussing Russia and Ukraine, Iran, and China. This talk and presentation, and questions from Bud and Mat,t and the audience do not disappoint folks. Trisha introduces this podcast with a fresh market update covering the biggest things happening in oil prices and the economy, including an update on Russia and Ukraine, the 50 percent tariffs of India, Nvidia and China, and a lot more. Listen on Itunes
This week, we break down the seasonal market pivot around Labor Day, how systematic strategies dominate price action, and why inflation and economic re-acceleration could make a September rate cut a policy mistake. We also dive into the shift from capital to labor, growing government intervention in markets, parallels between AI CapEx and past gold cycles, the potential rotation from large-caps into small caps, and the state of treasury companies. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Treasury Company Dashboard: https://blockworks.com/analytics/treasury-companies Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/10EvjpyXzXIjKJsjlwp5C3zKhQTn2pS5t/view?usp=sharing — This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:32) Labor Day Reset? (05:39) Market Structure & Volatility (12:58) VanEck Ad (13:43) Market Structure & Volatility (14:21) Fed Takeover Update (15:21) The Inflation Trade (22:08) Wages & Shift from Capital to Labor (28:41) VanEck Ad (29:22) Liquidity Danger Zone? (41:34) The Capex Cycle (48:28) What's Next for Treasury Companies? (51:32) Tyler's New Job (53:01) Russell & Market Breadth (55:15) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
In this episode of Volatility Views, hosts Mark Longo, Russell Rhoads, and Mark Sebastian discuss the unusual market behavior of a Friday sell-off after a week of bullish momentum. They analyze the reasons behind the market's sudden shift to the red, including a surprising reaction to recent Fed commentary and pre-holiday weekend risk management. The show delves into the VIX and VIX futures curve, highlighting unusual calendar spreads and a large-volume trade in out-of-the-money October calls. The hosts also review volatility ETPs like SVIX, UVIX, and UVXY, noting the "air pocket" between futures and cash that benefits inverse volatility products. The show concludes with their "Crystal Ball" predictions for the following week's VIX level. Timestamps 2:02: The Volatility Review 2:15: Market sell-off and VIX pop 3:50: Mark Sebastian's market commentary 7:46: Russell Rhoads market commentary 11:59: VIX futures curve analysis 13:58: Russell Rhoads analysis of the back end of the curve 16:30: VIX options trading 18:50: Russell's Weekly Rundown of specific trades 22:56: Discussion of the "I Can't Drive 55" trades (wild out-of-the-money calls) 24:28: Most active VIX options for the week 30:57: Mark Sebastian's key takeaways from VIX options activity 32:00: Inverse Volatility ETFs (SVIX and VYLD) 34:55: UVIX and UVXY analysis 37:25: The Crystal Ball segment (VIX predictions) 40:50: Russell and Mark's final thoughts
In this episode of Volatility Views, hosts Mark Longo, Russell Rhoads, and Mark Sebastian discuss the unusual market behavior of a Friday sell-off after a week of bullish momentum. They analyze the reasons behind the market's sudden shift to the red, including a surprising reaction to recent Fed commentary and pre-holiday weekend risk management. The show delves into the VIX and VIX futures curve, highlighting unusual calendar spreads and a large-volume trade in out-of-the-money October calls. The hosts also review volatility ETPs like SVIX, UVIX, and UVXY, noting the "air pocket" between futures and cash that benefits inverse volatility products. The show concludes with their "Crystal Ball" predictions for the following week's VIX level. Timestamps 2:02: The Volatility Review 2:15: Market sell-off and VIX pop 3:50: Mark Sebastian's market commentary 7:46: Russell Rhoads market commentary 11:59: VIX futures curve analysis 13:58: Russell Rhoads analysis of the back end of the curve 16:30: VIX options trading 18:50: Russell's Weekly Rundown of specific trades 22:56: Discussion of the "I Can't Drive 55" trades (wild out-of-the-money calls) 24:28: Most active VIX options for the week 30:57: Mark Sebastian's key takeaways from VIX options activity 32:00: Inverse Volatility ETFs (SVIX and VYLD) 34:55: UVIX and UVXY analysis 37:25: The Crystal Ball segment (VIX predictions) 40:50: Russell and Mark's final thoughts
Markets rallied Tuesday, still in a tight trading range. Negative divergence continues, and market breadth remains low, with a lot of stocks NOT participating in this action. There is no market concern; this level of complacency is what sets up for an eventual correction. And while a 5% might be expected (and normal), it will be painful following this elongated period of gains. Low volatility begets high volatility; all markets need is a catalyst. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/4fTiayV ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #LowVolativity #HighVolativity #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with William Rhind, Founder and CEO of GraniteShares, to dig into the firm's YieldBOOST ETF lineup, a strategy designed to generate high weekly distributions by selling options on volatile assets like Tesla, Bitcoin, and Coinbase.We break down how these funds work, the real risks behind the high yields, and why demand for weekly-paying income ETFs is surging in today's market.In this episode:- How Yield Boost ETFs generate double, and triple-digit yields- Why buying downside protection makes this different from traditional covered calls- What NAV erosion is —and how these ETFs mitigate it- Weekly distributions explained: frequency, payouts, and investor demand- What's next in the Yield Boost lineup, and how you can follow the latest launchesLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with top financial minds shaping markets in real time.Subscribe for more interviews, insights, and raw takes that cut deeper than the headlines.#LeadLagLive #GraniteShares #WillRhind #ETFs #OptionsTrading #WeeklyIncome #YieldBoost #IncomeInvesting #Bitcoin #Tesla #CoinbaseEnergy Rocks: the trending Focus Candy now on sale! or Power up now with Energy Rocks Adult Focus Candy. energyrocks.store/LEAD25OFF. Support the show
Gary Vaughan from Daily Stock Picks on the Fed meeting and buying the dip (1:20). Bonds might now be a once in a lifetime buy (3:45). Bitcoin, ethereum and owning crypto for the long-term (6:45). Nvidia earnings (13:45). Tesla's political train wreck, robotics future (17:30). Stock picking along with Steve Cress (22:30).Show Notes:Stock Pickers Better Know When They're Going To SellSteven Cress' Top 2025 StocksDid You Survive The Great Crash Of 2025?Steven Cress' Top 10 Stocks For H2 2025Episode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions
In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Markets rally as Powell signals rate cuts are coming...days later Bitcoin flash crashes Are Bitcoin whales to blame for recent selloff or market manipulation on Wall Street? Trump may have the chance to reshape Fed board – is Fed becoming too politicized? U.S. government takes 10% equity stake in Intel Unpacking the economic reordering taking place globally SoFi launches Bitcoin product for global payments ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- References mentioned in the episode: Wall Street Gets the Rally Signal From Powell SEC Chair Attends Wyoming Blockchain Symposium Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Symposium Speech Crypto Industry Takes Over Jackson Hole Crypto Industry Hosts Rival Gathering in Jackson Hole Christopher Waller's Comments from Crypto Symposium Fed's Lisa Cook Says She Will Not Be Bullied by Trump Trump Says He Will Fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook FT: Investors Warn of “Era of Fiscal Dominance” Powell Indicates that the Fed May Restart Rate Cuts Stock and Bond Market Rally After Powell's Speech David Marcus's Tweet on Sofi and Lightspark Partnership Pulte's Tweet Asking For Dr. Lisa Cook's Resignation Pulte's Tweet Announcing Evidence of Cook's Fraud Donald Trump's Post on Federal Board of Directors Fed's Cook Says She Won't Be Bullied Into Resigning US Takes Nearly 10% Intel Stake, Clinching Deal President Trump, Intel Agree to 10% U.S. Stake SoFi Announces Partnership with Lightspark CFTC Launches Next Phase of “Crypto Sprint” Dan Tapiero's Tweet on Morgan Stanely Survey The Pentagon Invests In Rare Earth Miner ---- Natalie's upcoming events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing