Podcasts about Volatility

Sharon Karaffa is the President of Multifamily Debt and Structured Finance at Newmark. With over two decades of experience, she's built her career advising on agency lending, capital markets strategy, and multifamily finance. From starting in corporate finance at Fannie Mae to shaping lending strategies during volatile market cycles, Sharon brings a rare lens on long-term trends and real-time insights. She has led teams through critical transitions, including Fannie Mae's restatement period and the public launch of Newmark's multifamily platform, giving her a comprehensive view from both the borrower and lender perspective.     Make sure to download our free guide, 7 Questions Every Passive Investor Should Ask, here.     Key Takeaways How Sharon transitioned into multifamily lending during a corporate finance shake-up at Fannie Mae Why mentorship and sponsorship play a crucial role in long-term success The ongoing conservatorship of Fannie and Freddie—and what it means for agency lending How current interest rate volatility is reshaping investor and lender behavior The role of AI in the future of multifamily debt underwriting     Topics Covered Falling Into Multifamily by Taking a Chance Sharon shares how she unexpectedly landed in multifamily finance after being offered three career tracks at Fannie Mae—and choosing the one she knew the least about. Navigating the Conservatorship Era A look at how Fannie and Freddie's placement under conservatorship in 2008 changed the structure of agency lending, from Treasury sweeps to regulatory capital planning. How Volatility Affects Lending Decisions Sharon explains how rate volatility has impacted investor confidence and what lenders consider when advising clients during market uncertainty. Bridge Loans vs. Agency Debt Sharon breaks down where potential distress may appear in the market and why deals underwritten with aggressive bridge debt may be more vulnerable. Lender Advice: Don't Wait for the 'Perfect Rate' Insight on why now may still be the right time to execute a deal—and how waiting on the sidelines may mean missing key opportunities. Tech and AI in Multifamily Lending Sharon shares how Newmark is experimenting with a proprietary GPT tool for internal underwriting and predictive analytics—and where AI still needs work.    

Streaming live Mondays at 6pm ET on The Jack Mallers Show YouTube channel.

In this episode of Volatility Views on the Options Insider Radio Network, Mark Longo and Dr. Russell Rhoads dive into the shifting landscape of volatility as the final full trading week of 2025 comes to a close. While much of the market is heading into holiday "hibernation," geopolitical tensions are lighting up the commodity space. The team breaks down why Energy CVOL is pinning the needle to the upside while Treasury and FX volatility are being "taken to the woodshed." Key Topics Covered: The Venezuela "Brouhaha": How intensified pressure and crude embargoes are reviving Energy CVOL (WTI) and driving it to weekly highs. Commodity Volatility Split: A deep dive into the aggregate CVOL levels for Metals, Ags, and the broader Commodities complex vs. the dying volatility in Fixed Income. The VIX Term Structure: Analyzing the current curve and what the "post-Fed" environment means for the remainder of 2025. Vol Products in Focus: Performance updates and trade analysis for SVXY, UVXY, and VIX futures. Looking Ahead to 2026: Anticipated market movers and volatility catalysts for the new year. Listener Mailbag: Russell and Mark answer your questions regarding volatility products and specific trading strategies.  

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Greg Babij, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Sundial, to explore why traditional buy-and-hold strategies may struggle in a market defined by faster cycles, rising volatility, and structural change.From the rise of zero-day options to the importance of tactical exposure, tail hedging, and trend following, Babij explains how portfolios can be designed to survive growth, recession, inflation, and deflation without relying on predictions.In this episode:– Why buy and hold may no longer deliver the same results– How zero-day options are changing market behavior– The difference between prediction and probability-based investing– Why tactical and non-correlated strategies matter more now– How to construct portfolios that adapt across market regimesLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a small ETF is gaining flows because of a small allocation to SpaceX. We'll also talk sector performance YTD in 2025, Bitcoin vs gold searches, and yup, a little Japan talk looking at their 10 year yields surging across 2% for the first time in a while and whether this is an issue.    Gold vs Bitcoin Bitcoin if its flat over the next 5-10 years as it matures SpaceX seeking investors pile into XOVR ETF (ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF) What could go wrong for investors seeking private investments Sector performance YTD and some surprises Should Apple be a consumer staple? Japan 10-year yields surge past 2% so what could go wrong? Tesla TSLA implied volatility seems high, but it really isn't on a relative basis CPI prints a lower-than-expected reading  Still no inflation from tariffs      Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com     

Kevin Green notes that technology and semiconductor stocks are driving the market higher, with Nvidia (NVDA) attempting to ship H200 chips to China and Micron Technology (MU) continuing its ascent post-earnings. He covers the metals market, highlighting silver's (SLV) significant outperformance and the broader bull run in industrial and precious metals like platinum and palladium, driven by geopolitical risks and central bank gold buying. Finally, Kevin offers key S&P 500 (SPX) levels for the week. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

One of the best episodes of the year to close out. Why? Because I provide a Seeking Alpha Scanner and a look at the top performing ETF's and what they are bullish on. THESE SALES END SOON: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TRENDSPIDER HOLIDAY SALE - Get 52 trainings for the next year at 68% off. Become a Trendspider master! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠SEEKING ALPHA BUNDLE - Save over $100 and get Premium and Alpha Picks together ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ALPHA PICKS - Want to Beat the S&P? Save $50 ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Seeking Alpha Premium - FREE 7 DAY TRIAL ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠SEEKING ALPHA PRO - TRY IT FOR A MONTH ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠EPISODE SUMMARY

Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet dominance of reflexive flows over fundamentals. Cem challenges common readings of volatility, explains where real fear hides in options markets, and outlines why tail exposure becomes critical late in cycles. The discussion broadens into portfolio construction, questioning the legacy of 60/40 investing and the illusion of diversification built during falling-rate decades. Grounded in history, market structure, and political cycles, this conversation offers a disciplined framework for navigating regimes where leverage, policy, and inequality quietly redefine risk.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Introduction to the Systematic Investor Series00:49 - Geopolitical tensions beneath the surface of markets02:07 - Extreme bullish sentiment and record low cash levels04:12 - Margin use, positioning, and why this setup is fragile06:07 - Why the VIX fails as a true fear indicator11:48 - Buffett's concentration and risk management through quality16:27 - Leverage, Sharpe ratios, and misunderstood diversification21:02 - Trend following performance and late year positioning23:48 - Positioning, reflexivity, and market microstructure28:25 - Volatility traps and convexity before stress events31:06...

This week's Money Wise episode takes listeners through a choppy but telling stretch in the markets, underscoring why perspective matters, especially in a bull market. The week delivered mixed results across the major indexes, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down roughly 0.7%, the S&P 500 essentially flat, and the NASDAQ managing a modest gain of about 0.5%. Despite the uneven week, the bigger picture remains constructive, with year-to-date performance still firmly positive across all three indexes. The episode also dives into the importance of thoughtful portfolio construction. While AI-related companies have been strong performers, the discussion highlights why disciplined profit-taking and diversification across sectors can help manage volatility and create more balanced portfolios. Rather than chasing headlines or hot sectors, the message is clear: bull markets climb walls of worry, and investors who stay patient, diversified, and grounded in fundamentals are often better positioned over time. Volatility in AI Stocks A major focus of the conversation centers on renewed volatility in AI-related stocks and the growing “wall of worry” surrounding the AI infrastructure buildout. The Money Wise guys push back on constant comparisons to the dot-com era, emphasizing that large-scale technological transformations take years, not months, to fully develop. AI, they argue, remains in the early-to-middle innings, and periodic pullbacks, headlines, and rotations are a normal part of long-term growth themes. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar highlights the Bank of Japan's 25-basis-point rate hike, pushing yields to 26-year highs, while European markets react to hawkish central bank signals and a €90 billion EU loan to support Ukraine. In crypto, Bitcoin swung between $84,500 and $90K following softer U.S. inflation data. The U.S. Senate confirmed crypto-friendly nominees, and SoFi launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin, signaling continued innovation in digital finance.

In this episode of FreightWaves Daily, we analyze why the freight market has shifted into panic mode with rejection rates doubling and spot rates climbing significantly. We break down the perfect storm of weather, holiday demand, and regulatory crackdowns that are rapidly removing carrier capacity from the road. We then turn to the escalating constitutional showdown in California, where the state plans to reissue 17,000 non-domiciled CDLs despite federal warnings. The FMCSA has threatened to withhold highway funding or even decertify the state's entire commercial licensing program if officials proceed with the plan. In rail news, Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern have filed a historic application to create America's first transcontinental railroad, uniting western and eastern networks. This massive merger aims to convert interline lanes to single-line service, potentially shifting millions of truckloads off the highway and onto the tracks. The U.S. Postal Service is making a desperate pivot by opening its last-mile network to retailers and logistics companies in a bid to stave off insolvency. This strategy allows shippers to bid on volume and pricing for same-day or next-day delivery using the USPS infrastructure. Facing a 1,500% surge in organized crime, industry leaders are pressuring lawmakers to pass legislation that federalizes the fight against cargo theft. The proposed bill would lower the threshold for federal intervention and create a coordination center to track transnational criminal rings. Finally, we cover Maersk's recent test transit through the Red Sea and RPM Freight's strategic acquisition to enter the luxury vehicle transport market. Volatility is baked into the 2026 landscape, so tune in to understand how these shifts impact your supply chain planning. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of Volatility Views on the Options Insider Radio Network, Mark Longo and Dr. Russell Rhoads dive into the shifting landscape of volatility as the final full trading week of 2025 comes to a close. While much of the market is heading into holiday "hibernation," geopolitical tensions are lighting up the commodity space. The team breaks down why Energy CVOL is pinning the needle to the upside while Treasury and FX volatility are being "taken to the woodshed." Key Topics Covered: The Venezuela "Brouhaha": How intensified pressure and crude embargoes are reviving Energy CVOL (WTI) and driving it to weekly highs. Commodity Volatility Split: A deep dive into the aggregate CVOL levels for Metals, Ags, and the broader Commodities complex vs. the dying volatility in Fixed Income. The VIX Term Structure: Analyzing the current curve and what the "post-Fed" environment means for the remainder of 2025. Vol Products in Focus: Performance updates and trade analysis for SVXY, UVXY, and VIX futures. Looking Ahead to 2026: Anticipated market movers and volatility catalysts for the new year. Listener Mailbag: Russell and Mark answer your questions regarding volatility products and specific trading strategies.  

In this episode of FreightWaves Daily, we analyze why the freight market has shifted into panic mode with rejection rates doubling and spot rates climbing significantly. We break down the perfect storm of weather, holiday demand, and regulatory crackdowns that are rapidly removing carrier capacity from the road. We then turn to the escalating constitutional showdown in California, where the state plans to reissue 17,000 non-domiciled CDLs despite federal warnings. The FMCSA has threatened to withhold highway funding or even decertify the state's entire commercial licensing program if officials proceed with the plan. In rail news, Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern have filed a historic application to create America's first transcontinental railroad, uniting western and eastern networks. This massive merger aims to convert interline lanes to single-line service, potentially shifting millions of truckloads off the highway and onto the tracks. The U.S. Postal Service is making a desperate pivot by opening its last-mile network to retailers and logistics companies in a bid to stave off insolvency. This strategy allows shippers to bid on volume and pricing for same-day or next-day delivery using the USPS infrastructure. Facing a 1,500% surge in organized crime, industry leaders are pressuring lawmakers to pass legislation that federalizes the fight against cargo theft. The proposed bill would lower the threshold for federal intervention and create a coordination center to track transnational criminal rings. Finally, we cover Maersk's recent test transit through the Red Sea and RPM Freight's strategic acquisition to enter the luxury vehicle transport market. Volatility is baked into the 2026 landscape, so tune in to understand how these shifts impact your supply chain planning. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar breaks down a powerful rally in U.S. markets after inflation came in far cooler than expected, reigniting hopes for future Fed cuts. Micron surged on strong earnings and guidance, silver hit record highs, and oil slid again. The Bank of England delivered a closely contested rate cut, the ECB stood pat while upgrading growth forecasts, and crypto markets swung wildly amid major industry announcements.

After hearing many stories from clients this year about how Creative Planning helped them navigate the loss of their parent or spouse, Charlie and Peter share seven actions that can help create financial peace of mind for you and your loved ones.

Last week, we held our annual outlook forum at the beautiful Trinity House in London, sponsored by Lloyd's Register. Having gathered a baseline of crowdsourced knowledge from Lloyd's List readers, we invited a star studded line-up of shipping's sharpest minds to join us for a discussion of the opportunities and threats that will be shaping shipping next year and beyond. In a year dominated by tariffs, port fees, continuing security concerns in the Red and Black Seas and the faltering of shipping's decarbonisation drive, our panel reveal what keeps them awake at night and discuss shipping's incredible resilience in the face of increasingly challenging conditions. Joining Richard on this episode are: Cargill Ocean Transportation president, Jan Dieleman Hanwha Ocean Europe chief executive, Claire Wright Lloyd's Register chief executive, Nick Brown Zodiac Maritime Limited head of regulatory affairs, Katy Ware Sky news economics editor, Ed Conway

This episode of Talking Real Money takes aim at the latest “easy money” illusion—house flipping—explaining why rising costs, higher interest rates, softer housing demand, and plain old competition have drained much of its appeal. Tom and Don connect flipping's decline to a familiar pattern of speculative behavior, much like day trading or past real estate manias, and reinforce why there are no reliable shortcuts to wealth. Listener calls drive a wide-ranging discussion on global diversification versus U.S.-only investing, the dangers of concentration risk in the S&P 500, how recency bias distorts performance comparisons, and why owning more markets matters more than making predictions. The episode wraps with practical retirement guidance for older investors, including simplifying portfolios with low-cost target-date funds, and closes with trademark humor and perspective. 0:05 Show open, intro banter, singing callbacks, and weekend rhythm 0:28 House flipping compared to day trading and FOMO investing 1:28 Why flipping activity is down sharply: costs, rates, and competition 3:41 The myth of “passive income” in real estate 4:50 Softer housing markets and demographic headwinds 6:02 No magic systems—long-term investing still wins 8:27 Lisa (Colorado): investing nonprofit funds at Vanguard 10:30 VOO vs VTI vs VT and the case for global diversification 12:29 Volatility, standard deviation, and diversification basics 14:44 Sharpe ratios, recency bias, and misleading performance metrics 16:54 Charles (Seattle): Boeing plans, VOO, and AVGE at Schwab 18:32 S&P 500 concentration risk and the “Magnificent Seven” 21:33 Jason (Sammamish): VTI vs VT debate and long-term market data 28:41 Debbie (Camano Island): portfolio risk concerns at age 73 31:20 Risk tolerance vs risk capacity in retirement 33:16 Vanguard target-date funds as a simple retirement solution 36:01 Lighter close with creative fundraising and holiday humor Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As the year comes to a close, young investors have a unique opportunity to make small moves that can compound into meaningful long-term results. In this episode, we walk through a practical, end-of-year checklist designed for early-career investors who want to stay organized, tax-aware, and financially disciplined. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover how to confirm you're capturing all available employer benefits, including 401(k) or 403(b) matches and vesting schedules. We also discuss how to think about Roth IRAs, HSAs, and other tax-advantaged accounts early in your career—when time is often your greatest asset. On the investment side, we review simple allocation checks, diversification risks, and why staying invested through volatility matters. We also highlight tax-smart considerations like capital gains awareness, loss harvesting, and stock-compensation planning for ESPPs and RSUs. Finally, we address the foundational elements of financial stability: emergency savings, cash management, credit health, and high-interest debt. This checklist is not about speculation—it's about building durable financial habits that support long-term wealth creation. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wealth by Brackets 3:39 - Will the Santa Rally be Delayed? 9:02 - Open Enrollment & Benefits Tips 16:12 - 401k/IRA Contributions & Employer Matches 24:26 - Investment Choices in 401k's 26:56 - Tracking Down old 401k's 29:38 - Understanding Vesting Schedules 32:29 - Catching Up in 401k 33:58 - Wills, Estate Plans, & Beneficiary Designations 36:26 - Checking for Leakage 39:55 - Annual Credit Report Review 41:18 - Comniog Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Wyudzh3naw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Data, Volatility & Santa Rally Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Facing Your Financial Ghosts," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypp_HKgciow&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #SantaClausRally #Volatility #RiskManagement #StockMarketAnalysis #YoungInvestors #PersonalFinance #YearEndPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialWellness

In this episode, we examine what actually happens when crypto markets break — how leverage builds beneath the surface, liquidity disappears, and liquidation cascades turn volatility into systemic failure. Doug Colkitt, a quantitative trader and DeFi builder whose experience spans both traditional finance and crypto market structure. Doug began his career on Wall Street at Citigroup before moving into high-frequency trading at Citadel during the 2008 financial crisis. He later built and traded his own systems across futures, volatility products, and international equities, including running a major market-making operation in Turkish stocks. Today, Doug focuses on crypto and DeFi infrastructure, working with perpetual futures, liquidation mechanics, and exchange design. We discuss why traders still get wiped out when they think they're hedged, how liquidation cascades accelerate, and what recent market failures reveal about leverage and market structure under stress. Links +Resources: Ambient Finance on X (Twitter): @AmbientFinance Website: https://ambient.finance Sponsor of Chat With Traders Podcast: ●       Trade The Pool:  ⁠⁠http://www.tradethepool.com⁠⁠    Time Stamps: Please note: Exact times will vary depending on current ads. 00:00:00  Intro and Background 00:03:43  Starting Individual Trading and High Frequency Systems 00:04:09  Focus on Index Futures and Competitive Markets 00:06:15  Michael Lewis's 'Flash Boys' and HFT Accuracy 00:07:00  Impact of HFT on Smaller Traders 00:09:13  Market Makers and Price Competition 00:09:37  HFT Evolution and Market Dynamics 00:11:24  Trading VIX Futures and Market Inefficiencies 00:13:08  Transitioning to Medium Frequency Trading 00:13:34  Trading Turkish Equities and Market Makings 00:15:35  Exploring Cryptocurrency Trading 00:18:32  Diving into Decentralized Finance (DeFi) 00:20:06  Arbitrage Opportunities in Crypto Markets 00:22:00  Flash Loans and Risk-Free Trading 00:22:48  Adjustments to Trading Bots Over Time 00:25:11  Criteria for Trusting Decentralized Exchanges 00:28:46  Liquidity Providing and Yield Opportunities 00:29:16  Volatility and Risks in Liquidity Provisioning 00:31:47  Understanding Perpetual Contracts in Crypto 00:36:04  October 10, 2025 Crypto Massacre Overview 00:37:36  Leverage and Market Dynamics 00:41:23  Impact of Liquidations on Market Sentiment 00:41:43  Market Maker Behavior During Crises 00:43:45  Liquidity Issues in Centralized Exchanges 00:44:53 Hyper Liquid Vault and Liquidation Dynamics 00:45:55 Market Making Strategies and Risk Management 00:49:15 Insurance Fund Models in DeFi 00:51:43 Ambient Finance Project Overview 00:53:08 Separation of Exchange and Clearinghouse 00:54:14 Innovations in Perpetual Trading 00:55:46 Takeaways from the October 10th Massacre 00:57:03 Future Plans for Insurance Fund Integration 00:58:28 Real World Assets and Crypto Integration Trading Disclaimer:  Trading in the financial markets involves a risk of loss. Podcast episodes and other content produced by Chat With Traders are for informational or educational purposes only and do not constitute trading or investment recommendations or advice. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mark Connors is a veteran credit analyst and macro thinker who's spent nearly four decades on Wall Street, from the bond desks of Solomon Brothers to the hedge fund trenches. What makes Mark unique is his ability to pull the lens back—connecting regime changes in global finance to bitcoin's rise as the asset with true integrity.In this episode, Mark joins The Bitcoin Frontier to share how his career shaped his understanding of risk, why bitcoin is the next monetary regime shift, and how Wall Street is still missing the plot. We dig into why bitcoin's volatility is actually a superpower, how financial plumbing is breaking beneath the surface, and why institutions will eventually be forced to adopt bitcoin as pristine collateral.SUPPORT THE PODCAST: → Subscribe → Leave a review → Share the show with your friends and family → Send us an email: podcast@unchained.com → Learn more about Unchained: https://unchained.com/?utm_source=you... → Book a free call with a bitcoin expert: https://unchained.com/consultation?ut...TIMESTAMPS:0:00 – Intro & Mark's 40-year Wall Street journey through credit and crisis3:15 – Lessons from Solomon Brothers to Bitcoin Park: where integrity lives6:05 – How bitcoin fits into the third monetary regime since Bretton Woods8:00 – The “hacks” that brought bitcoin into Wall Street's line of sight10:00 – Bitcoin as collateral and the coming collateral crisis12:20 – Understanding volatility: why bitcoin's risk is asymmetric17:00 – The myth of volatility and the truth about upside variance21:00 – “Good vol” vs “bad vol”: how bitcoin surprises to the upside25:00 – Why rebalancing into bitcoin beats traditional 60/40 portfolios29:00 – Can Wall Street co-opt bitcoin through paper markets?31:00 – The importance of holding your own keys and verifying collateral35:00 – Convincing older investors and rebuilding credibility post-FTX37:00 – Regime changes, Bretton Woods, and how history rhymes43:00 – How the dollar was “saved” by energy and the petrodollar system46:00 – Hidden cracks in the financial system and repo stress explained49:00 – How new liquidity facilities show a fragile, patched-up system52:00 – Will Wall Street adopt bitcoin for safety or profit?55:00 – The slow cultural shift toward integrity in finance57:00 – The ultimate incentive: clients demanding bitcoin exposure1:00:00 – Risks to bitcoin: mining centralization, paper supply, and innovation1:02:00 – Where to follow Mark and how he's educating advisorsWHERE TO FOLLOW US: → Unchained X: https://x.com/unchained → Unchained LinkedIn:   / unchainedcom  → Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter → Mark Connors's Twitter: https://x.com/riskdimensions  → Timot Lamarre's Twitter: https://x.com/TimotLamarre 

Volatility has a way of stripping a business back to its fundamentals. When markets shift, costs rise, and uncertainty becomes the norm, we often stop thinking about what worked before and start asking what will hold up next. In this episode, ProCFO Partners CEO Nelson Tepfer joins us to look back at a year of constant change and shares what he's seen endure inside companies that stayed viable through that change rather than reacting to every disruption.Nelson walks through the patterns that separate resilient businesses from those constantly playing defense. We talk about where leaders tend to overcorrect, which inputs to trust when circumstances change quickly, and why steady decision-making often outperforms bold moves made under pressure. Our conversation focuses less on predicting what's coming and more on building operating discipline that works across cycles.We also explore the financial behaviors that hold up over time. Cash awareness, realistic planning, fewer but better metrics, and leadership teams that stay aligned when conditions tighten. Nelson explains how strong CFO leadership helps organizations stay grounded, even when external factors are anything but stable.For business owners and executives, this episode is a practical look at what endures when everything changes, and how to move from volatility to viability with intention rather than reaction.Create The Next is delivered to you from ProCFO Partners. Every week, we explore strategies and ideas for financial management and growth to help today's businesses put their financial picture in context. ProCFO Partners are expert financial officers networked across industries, verticals, specializations and situations. Fulfilling the role of a part-time CFO with all-time commitment, ProCFO Partners utilizes the innovative and exclusive FGC Financial Flywheel as a framework that creates momentum to drive your financial functions for sustainable success. Visit procfopartners.com to explore how we can implement a systematic and scalable financial system to help you achieve your goal.

Replace "this won't happen" with "what if" and give your strategy a fighting chance. Volatility isn't just a number — it's the signal that tells you whether your strategy will survive shocks or be blindsided by them. This podcast starts our VUCA series and shows why time horizon, human bias, and narrative scenarios matter more than averages. Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity to follow.  

Daniel Lam discusses the combination of recent weakness in high-profile technology stocks post earnings and the firm US 10-year treasury yield, and why investors should use correction as opportunities to add.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we're joined by Jim Tassoni, CEO of Armor Wealth Strategies, for a momentum-focused look at equities, metals, energy, and cryptocurrencies. Jim outlines where trends are strengthening, where momentum is fading, and the key technical levels guiding his trades as markets head into year-end. Key discussion points include: Equity Index Momentum & Year-End Positioning - Small caps continue to lead while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ struggle to regain upside momentum. Jim explains how year-end hedging and profit protection may be driving choppy price action and why January could be decisive. Silver's Breakout & Gold's Steady Trend - Silver's explosive move into the $60+ range remains a strong momentum trade, though short-term exhaustion is showing. Gold continues to grind higher with longer-term momentum intact. Dollar, Bonds, Oil, and Bitcoin Trends - The U.S. dollar has turned lower, bonds suggest a potential yield-curve steepening, oil remains under pressure, and Bitcoin continues to trade with bearish momentum after a sharp pullback. Click here to visit the Armor Wealth Strategies website to keep up to date with Jim and what he's trading - https://armorwealthstrategies.com/   --------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

[AD]

Russell Rhoads examines today's choppy trading and the elevated VIX. He discusses the potential impact of late-year economic data, emphasizing the need for caution due to possible inaccuracies. Russell also delves into the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts, highlighting the critical role of early 2026 economic performance.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In this episode of Volatility Views, Mark Longo (The Options Insider), Russell Rhoads (Kelley School of Business at Indiana University), and Andrew Giovinazzi (The Option Pit) dive deep into the week's market volatility. They begin with an in-depth analysis of the notable Fed cut announcement and its immediate market implications. Key Volatility Trading Insights: VIX Products & Options: Detailed breakdown of VIX options behavior, volatility spikes, and significant trades. Fed Reaction: Analyzing insights from Fed officials and the overall market reaction to the rate decision. ETPs Explored: Intricacies of volatility ETPs, including $SVIX and $UVXY performance and strategy. Strategies & Predictions: In-depth trading strategies and predictions for the upcoming week in the volatility market.

In this episode of Volatility Views, Mark Longo (The Options Insider), Russell Rhoads (Kelley School of Business at Indiana University), and Andrew Giovinazzi (The Option Pit) dive deep into the week's market volatility. They begin with an in-depth analysis of the notable Fed cut announcement and its immediate market implications. Key Volatility Trading Insights: VIX Products & Options: Detailed breakdown of VIX options behavior, volatility spikes, and significant trades. Fed Reaction: Analyzing insights from Fed officials and the overall market reaction to the rate decision. ETPs Explored: Intricacies of volatility ETPs, including $SVIX and $UVXY performance and strategy. Strategies & Predictions: In-depth trading strategies and predictions for the upcoming week in the volatility market.

The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point Wednesday, but the real story is the division behind the decision. For the first time since 2021, three Fed governors dissented--an uncommon break in policy unity that raises new questions about inflation progress, economic risk, and the path of monetary policy into 2026. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why the Fed cut now, what the dissent signals, and how a split vote may affect market volatility, yields, and expectations for future rate moves. We also look at how past dissent has aligned with turning points in policy cycles and what this could mean for portfolios as financial conditions continue to ease. Use the chapter markers below to jump to any topic. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Fed Giveth, Oracle Taketh Away 6:53 - Volatility on the Rise 11:25 - Adding Ultra for Mrs. Roberts 14:16 - Surprises from the Fed? 18:15 - Fed Statement Analysis (chart) 20:12 - Betting on Kevin Hassett 22:08 - QE or Not QE? 26:30 - Valuations are a Function of Sentiment 29:48 - When Will Markets Crash? 32:32 - The Break Between Value & Growth 35:32 - ETF Issueance & High Risk Offerings 38:52 - What Happens When Gold and Stocks Rise 41:12 - What is Your Goal for Your Portfolio? 42:52 - Coming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bT1azosP1yk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility After the Fed," is here: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/ -------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Live-chat Q&A Show" here: https://bit.ly/3KQlkIK -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy

Markets bounced sharply after the Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter-point, pushing major indexes back toward all-time highs. As of Wednesday's close, buy signals remain in place, but relative strength is stretched, and a mild pullback is taking shape this morning—led by weakness in the NASDAQ following Oracle's selloff. With all major indexes still within 2% of record levels, investors should remember that when the Fed cuts near market highs, volatility typically rises over the next one to three months. Historically, this pattern produces short-term corrections but tends to resolve with higher prices over the next 10–12 months. Markets remain in a broader consolidation range, and a normal retracement toward the 50-DMA between now and Christmas would set the stage for a stronger year-end rally. Based on current trends, 2025 looks likely to close with gains near 17%—and we are preparing updated valuation and price-target ranges for 2026 in an upcoming article. In today's pre-market brief, we break down: • Why NASDAQ weakness is no surprise • How Fed policy and "QE/Not-QE" shape volatility expectations • What to expect from a consolidation into year-end • Key levels to watch into the seasonal rally window Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ

The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point Wednesday, but the real story is the division behind the decision. For the first time since 2021, three Fed governors dissented--an uncommon break in policy unity that raises new questions about inflation progress, economic risk, and the path of monetary policy into 2026. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why the Fed cut now, what the dissent signals, and how a split vote may affect market volatility, yields, and expectations for future rate moves. We also look at how past dissent has aligned with turning points in policy cycles and what this could mean for portfolios as financial conditions continue to ease. Use the chapter markers below to jump to any topic. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Fed Giveth, Oracle Taketh Away 6:53 - Volatility on the Rise 11:25 - Adding Ultra for Mrs. Roberts 14:16 - Surprises from the Fed? 18:15 - Fed Statement Analysis (chart) 20:12 - Betting on Kevin Hassett 22:08 - QE or Not QE? 26:30 - Valuations are a Function of Sentiment 29:48 - When Will Markets Crash? 32:32 - The Break Between Value & Growth 35:32 - ETF Issueance & High Risk Offerings 38:52 - What Happens When Gold and Stocks Rise 41:12 - What is Your Goal for Your Portfolio? 42:52 - Coming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bT1azosP1yk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility After the Fed," is here: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/ -------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Live-chat Q&A Show" here: https://bit.ly/3KQlkIK -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy

We're reposting an episode from October with Teagasc Dairy Specialist, Patrick Gowing, who joined James Dunne on the Dairy Edge to discuss how to best manage surplus cash, build financial resilience, review production costs, and ensure farmers are best prepared for 2026. As 2025 draws to a close, it will be remembered as one of the best farming years in recent memory due to strong milk prices, increased stock values and good weather for most parts. This means that dairy farm incomes are in a good place for the 2025 calendar year.   Although it has to be acknowledged milk prices have seen significant reductions in the last number of months, the effects of this will be felt more so in spring 2026 as higher constituents at this time of year are having a positive impact on the farm gate prices received.   For more episodes from the Dairy Edge podcast go to the show page at:https://www.teagasc.ie/animals/dairy/the-dairy-edge-podcast/ The Dairy Edge is a co-production with LastCastMedia.com

Ready to take a deep dive and learn how to generate personal tax-free cash flow from your corporation? Enroll in our FREE masterclass here and book a call hereWhat happens when an investment made with leverage—whether through OPM, a HELOC, or a whole life policy—suddenly goes bad?Canadian business owners and families often worry about using leverage to build wealth, especially when markets turn or a deal underperforms. It's easy to feel uneasy when the value of an investment dips, your home equity stalls, or you're unsure how a leveraged move might affect your long-term financial security. This episode unpacks the emotional and financial realities behind these decisions, showing how to think clearly about risk, liquidity, and diversification—without letting fear shut down your wealth-building strategy.In this episode, you'll discover:Why the type of asset you leverage matters—and how different reservoirs (cash, home equity, whole life policies) behave when markets fall.How to structure your wealth reservoir so a single failed investment can't collapse your system.The mindset and mechanics behind maintaining liquidity, staying diversified, and making confident investment decisions even in volatile times.Press play to learn how to build a resilient wealth reservoir that keeps your financial system secure—no matter what your next investment does.Discover which phase of wealth creation you are in. Take our quick assessment and you'll receive a custom wealth-building pathway that matches your phase and learn our CRA compliant tax optimized strategies. Take that assessment here.Canadian Wealth Secrets Show Notes Page:Consider reaching out to Kyle…taking a salary with a goal of stuffing RRSPs;…investing inside your corporation without a passive income tax minimization strategy;…letting a large sum of liquid assets sit in low interest earning savings accounts;…investing corporate dollars into GICs, dividend stocks/funds, or other investments attracting corporate passive income taxes at greater than 50%; or,…wondering whether your current corporate wealth management strategy is optimal for your specific situation.Building long-term wealth in Canada starts with a clear Canadian wealth plan anchored in a strong wealth reservoir and smart investment strategies that balance growth with solid risk management. By integrating tools like a whole life policy, RRSP optimization, and tax-efficient investing, Canadian business owners can create an opportunity fund thReady to connect? Text us your comment including your phone number for a response!Canadian Wealth Secrets is an informative podcast that digs into the intricacies of building a robust portfolio, maximizing dividend returns, the nuances of real estate investment, and the complexities of business finance, while offering expert advice on wealth management, navigating capital gains tax, and understanding the role of financial institutions in personal finance.

You know how every summer Australians wander down to the beach, breathe in the salty air, have a few too many wines, and suddenly convince themselves that owning a holiday home is a brilliant investment strategy?   Well… it isn't. In fact, it's one of the biggest financial traps I see Aussies fall into.   And today, I'm joined by Brett Warren, National Director of Property at Metropole, to unpack all the reasons why holiday homes almost always underperform, why the numbers never stack up, and what smarter investors are doing instead.   Our discussion highlights the risks associated with holiday properties, the necessity of prioritising long-term financial goals, and the current market trends that could impact property investment decisions in the coming years.   Takeaways  ·         Holiday homes often come with hidden costs and risks. ·         Successful investors prioritize essential investments over lifestyle choices. ·         Understanding market trends is crucial for long-term investment success. ·         Emotional decisions can lead to poor investment choices. ·         It's important to evaluate the true costs of owning a holiday home. ·         Investing in high-demand areas can yield better returns. ·         The property market is cyclical, and timing is essential. ·         Strategic planning can help achieve financial goals more effectively. ·         Investors should focus on data-driven decisions rather than emotions. ·         Wealth building requires a long-term vision and strategy.   Chapters  00:10  Why holiday moods lead to bad investment decisions. 05:05  Why holiday towns underperform long-term despite recent spikes. 10:05  Airbnb myths, hidden costs and tax pitfalls investors ignore. 15:05  Volatility, low land value and why holiday homes drag wealth. 20:00  Strategic investing vs lifestyle buying as 2026 market shifts. 24:55  Wealth principles: build assets first, enjoy holidays later.   Links and Resources:   Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/ ·        Win a hard copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time. Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report ·        Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report – What's ahead for property for 2026 and beyond.   Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au    Get the team at Metropole to create a Strategic Wealth plan for your needs. Click here and have a chat with us   Brett Warren - National Director of Property at Metropole   Michael Yardney   Join Brett Warren and Michael Yardney, plus a team of experts, at Wealth Retreat 2026 on the Gold Coast in May. Find out more about it here and register your interest www.wealthretreat.com.au It's Australia's premier event for successful investors and business people.   Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.

Many of the challenges growers faced this year will carry into 2026.  Their resiliency is being tested and wise agronomic decisions are even more vital.Hundreds gathered at the Agricultural Retailers Association Conference and Trade Show in Salt Lake City for updates. “Some of the challenges we have faced, while many of them are similar to the past, there are a few that are unique and new,”  remarked Mike Twining of Willard Agri-Service, which partners with Redox. “A lot of those challenges deal with uncertainty, with changes ranging from local to global that are new and different.”Twining said newer technology including biostimulants can help growers, and it's important for agronomists to provide sound solutions. Grower Grant Norwood of Tennessee is among those increasing his use of biostimulants. He participated in a panel discussion carried out by Farm Journal and EVOIA. Vice President of Fertilizer at StoneX Josh Linville updated growers on the fertilizer outlook, which overall includes higher prices and more volatility. He was optimistic for improvement in the future. “High prices always cure high prices,” he said. “When you get there, supplies start to increase. New potash production is coming down the line. Hopefully new nitrogen production announcements are coming.”ARA President and CEO Daren Coppock said the ag economy downturn has been a little longer than usual, but the cyclical nature of the industry indicates improvement is down the road.

We will examine the volatile 2026 forecast for the U.S. dollar, which Morgan Stanley predicts will decline to a 2021 low by mid-year before staging a significant rebound.Today's Stocks & Topics: Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD), Market Wrap, Defiance AI & Power Infrastructure ETF (AIPO), “US Dollar Volatility: The Choppy Path to Stabilization in 2026”, Stryker Corporation (SYK), Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG), Impinj, Inc. (PI), U.S. Consumer Sentiment, Fidelity ZERO Large Cap Index (FNILX), U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS), A-I and Shopping.Our Sponsors:* Check out Incogni: https://incogni.com/investtalk* Check out Invest529: https://www.invest529.com* Check out NordProtect: https://nordprotect.com/investalk* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/INVEST* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

This week we talk about in-game skins, investment portfolios, and Counter-Strike 2.We also discuss ebooks, Steam, and digital licenses.Recommended Book: Apple in China by Patrick McGeeTranscriptAlmost always, if you buy an ebook or game or movie or music album online, you're not buying that ebook, or that game, or whatever else—you're buying a license that allows you access it, often on a specified device or in a specified way, and almost always in a non-transferrable, non-permanent manner.This distinction doesn't matter much to most of us most of the time. If I buy an ebook, chances are I just want to read that ebook on the device I used to buy it, or the kindle attached to my Amazon or other digital book service account. So I buy the book, read it on my ebook reader or phone, and that's that; same general experience I would have with a paperback or hardback book.This difference becomes more evident when you think about what happens to the book after you read it, though. If I own a hard-copy, physical book, I can resell it. I can donate it. I can put it in a Little Free Library somewhere in my neighborhood, or give it to a friend who I think will enjoy it. I can pick it up off my shelf later and read the exact same book I read years before. Via whichever mechanism I choose, I'm either holding onto that exact book for later, or I'm transferring ownership of that book, that artifact that contains words and/or images that can now be used, read, whatever by that second owner. And they can go on to do the same: handing it off to a friend, selling it on ebay, or putting it on a shelf for later reference.Often the convenience and immediacy of electronic books makes this distinction a non-issue for those who enjoy them. I can buy an ebook from Amazon or Bookshop.org and that thing is on my device within seconds, giving me access to the story or information that's the main, valuable component of a book for most of us, without any delay, without having to drive to a bookstore or wait for it to arrive in the mail. That's a pretty compelling offer.This distinction becomes more pressing, however, if I decide I want to go back and read an ebook I bought years ago, later, only to find that the license has changed and maybe that book is no longer accessible via the marketplace where I purchased it. If that happens, I no longer have access to the book, and there's no recourse for this absence—I agreed to this possibility when I “bought” the book, based on the user agreement I clicked ‘OK' or ‘I agree' on when I signed up for Amazon or whichever service I paid for that book-access.It also becomes more pressing if, as has happened many times over the past few decades, the publisher or some other entity with control over these book assets decides to change them.A few years ago, for instance, British versions of Roald Dalh's ‘Matilda' were edited to remove references to Joseph Conrad, who has in recent times been criticized for his antisemitism and racist themes in his writing. Some of RL Stine's Goosebumps books were edited to remove references to crushes schoolgirls had on their headmaster, and descriptions of an overweight character that were, in retrospect, determined to be offensive. And various racial and ethnic slurs were edited out of some of Agatha Christie's works around the same time.Almost always, these changes aren't announced by the publishers who own the rights to these books, and they're typically only discovered by eagle-eyed readers who note that, for instance, the publishers decided to change the time period in which something occurred, which apparently happened in one of Stine's works, without obvious purpose. This also frequently happens without the author being notified, as was the case with Stine and the edits made to his books. The publishers themselves, when asked directly about these changes, often remain silent on the matter.What I'd like to talk about today is another angle of this distinction between physically owned media and digital, licensed versions of the same, and the at times large sums of money that can be gained or lost based on the decisions of the companies that control these licensed assets.—Counter-Strike 2 is a first-person shooter game that's free-to-play, was released in 2023, and was developed by a company called Valve.Valve has developed all sorts of games over the years, including the Counter-Strike, Half-Life, DOTA, and Portal games, but they're probably best known for their Steam software distribution platform.Steam allows customers to buy all sorts of software, but mostly games through an interface that also provides chat services and community forums. But the primary utility of this platform is that it's a marketplace for buying and selling games, and it has match-making features for online multiplayer games, serves as a sort of library for gamers, so all their games are launchable from one place, and it serves as a digital rights management hub, which basically means it helps game companies ensure users aren't playing with pirated software—if you want to use steam to store and launch your games, they have to be legit, purchased games, not pirated ones.As of early 2025, it was estimated that Steam claimed somewhere between 75-80% of the PC gaming market, compared to competitors like the Epic Game Store, which was founded by the folks behind the wildly successful game, Fortnite, which can only claim something like 5%.And Counter-Strike is one of Valve's, and Steam's crown jewels. It's a free-to-play game that was originally developed as a mod, a free add-on to another game Valve owns called Half-Life, but Valve bought up the rights to that mod and developed it into its own thing, releasing the initial entry in the series in 2000, several main-series games after that in subsequent years, and then Counter-Strike 2 came out in 2023, to much acclaim and fanfare.Counter-Strike 2 often has around a million players online, playing the game at any given moment, and its tournaments can attract closer to 1.5 million. As of early 2024, it was estimated that Counter-Strike 2 pulled in around a billion dollars a year for Valve, primarily via what are called Case Keys, which allow players to open in-game boxes, each key selling for $2.50. Valve also takes a 15% cut of all player-to-player sales of items conducted on the Steam Community Market, which is a secure ebay- or Amazon-like component of their platform where players can sell digital items from the game, which are primarily aesthetic add-ons, like skins for weapons, stickers, and clothing—things that allow players to look different in the game, as opposed to things that allow them to perform better, which would give players who spent the most money an unfair advantage and thus make the game less competitive and fun.Because this is a free game, though, and by many estimates a really balance and well-made one, a lot of people play it, and a lot of people want to customize the look of their in-game avatar. So being able to open in-game boxes that contain loot, and being able to buy and sell said loot on the Steam Community Market, has led to a rich secondary economy that makes that component of the game more interesting for players, while also earning Valve a whole lot of money on the backend for those keys and that cut of sales between players.In late-October of 2025, Valve announced a change in the rules for Counter-Strike 2, now allowing players to trade-up more item types, including previously un-trade-up-able items like gloves and knives, into higher-grade versions of the same. So common items could be bundled together and traded in for less common items, and those less common items could be bundled together and traded up for rare ones.This seems like a small move from the outside, but it roiled the CS2 in-game economy, by some estimates causing upwards of $2 billion to basically disappear overnight, because rare gloves and knives were at times valued at as much as $1.5 million; again, these are just aesthetic skins that change the look of a player's avatar or weapons, but there's enough demand for these things that some people are willing to pay that much for ultra-rare and unique glove and knife skins.Because of that demand, some players had taken to spending real money on these ultra-rare items, treating their in-game portfolios of skins as something like an investment portfolio. If you can buy an ultra-rare glove skin for $40,000 and maybe sell it later for twice that, that might seem like a really good investment, despite how strange it may seem to those not involved in this corner of the gaming world to spend $40,000 on what's basically just some code in a machine that tells the game that the gloves on your avatar will look a certain way.This change, then, made those rarer gloves and knives, which were previously unattainable except by lottery-like chance, a lot more common, because people could trade up for them, increasing their chances of getting the ultra-rare stuff. The market was quickly flooded with more of these things, and about half the value of rare CS2 skins disappeared, initially knocking about $6 billion of total value from the market before stabilizing to around $1.5-2 billion.Volatility in this market continues, and people who invested a lot of money, sometimes their life savings, and sometimes millions of dollars into CS2 in-game skins, have been looking into potential legal recourse, though without much luck; Valve's user agreements make very clear that players don't own any of this stuff, and as a result, Valve can manipulate the market however they like, whenever they like.Just like with ebooks and movies we “buy” from Amazon and other services, then, these in-game assets are licensed to us, not sold. We may, at times, have a means of putting our license to some of these things on a secondary market, but that secondary market exists completely at the whim of the entity that actually owns the digital assets—in this case, Valve.Recent court cases have resulted in clearer language from some license-selling companies, including Valve—though in most cases the buttons we click still say something like “Buy Now” rather than “Acquire License,” and the specifics of what we're purchasing are hidden within a wall of legal text.So for the moment, at least, this sort of confusion will probably continue, with periodic wake-up calls for folks on the receiving end of updates or edits that impact them financially, or impact their ability to access what they thought they were buying, but which is later removed from their account, or changed without their knowledge or permission.Show Noteshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steam_(service)https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valve_Corporationhttps://theconversation.com/2b-counter-strike-2-crash-exposes-a-legal-black-hole-your-digital-investments-arent-really-yours-268749https://blix.gg/news/cs-2/how-to-make-money-with-cs2-skins-in-2025/http://tomshardware.com/video-games/ludicrous-usd6-billion-counter-strike-2-skins-market-crashes-loses-usd3-billion-overnight-game-update-destroys-inventories-collapses-markethttps://www.kvue.com/article/news/nation-world/counter-strike-2-online-market-crash/507-ae9be038-2833-49d4-a5b4-d8f24fd0b33chttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Counter-Strikehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epic_Games_Storehttps://www.sahmcapital.com/news/content/counter-strike-skins-market-hits-1-billion-valves-virtual-goldmine-revealed-2024-01-22https://mezha.ua/en/news/counter-strike-2-100-mln-dohodu-za-keysi-u-berezni-301011/https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2024/10/california-becomes-first-state-to-pass-law-targeting-advertising-of-digital-media-licenseshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_economyhttps://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/04/arts/dahl-christie-stine-kindle-edited.htmlhttps://bookriot.com/do-you-really-own-your-ebookshttps://jipel.law.nyu.edu/can-you-own-an-ebook-a-summary-of-the-anti-ownership-ebook-economy-report/ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit letsknowthings.substack.com/subscribe

Markets are a bit nervous here ahead of the FOMC meeting tomorrow and the delayed key US data, with the key question afoot of whether the US treasury yields are set for a break higher, which could drive higher volatility across all other asset classes. Elsewhere, rising yields driving fresh woes for the JPY, with USD traders holding their breath trying to sort through the reaction function to different scenarios for US data. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Quint and Logan have a conversation about the recent ups and downs of the market. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Push more magic into the marketplace. Even in economic depressions, fortunes are made. Upgrade your dedication to mastery of your craft. Cause people to live better and you'll do better. Even when your competitors are falling.My latest book “The Wealth Money Can't Buy” is full of fresh ideas and original tools that I'm absolutely certain will cause quantum leaps in your positivity, productivity, wellness, and happiness. You can order it now by clicking here.FOLLOW ROBIN SHARMA:InstagramFacebookXYouTube

19 Minutes PodcastThis week's market outlook looks at where traders have yield expectations priced in ahead of the upcoming report, why soybean demand signals from China still are not fully showing up in the data, and how corn export strength is shaping early pricing opportunities. We cover the current cash trends, the widening basis swings across the eastern Corn Belt, and how local ethanol demand is creating pockets of stronger bids. The update also digs into South American weather and production, how global supply shifts impact both corn and soybean price potential, and why producers should watch early 2026 opportunities while making 2025 decisions. We finish with a discussion on cost of production, the impact of sticky overhead costs, and why now is the time to finalize marketing plans heading into the new year.

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/48ZY57l Bitcoin Analysis: The Bahnsen Group's Perspective on Cryptocurrency Investing David Bahnsen hosts the latest episode of Dividend Cafe, where he takes a deep dive into Bitcoin and cryptocurrency investments. Bahnsen discusses the historical volatility of Bitcoin, citing various significant drops over the past decade and its speculative nature. He argues that Bitcoin's extreme fluctuations make it unsuitable as a medium of exchange or a stable store of value. Bahnsen compares Bitcoin to productive assets, explaining why The Bahnsen Group focuses on investments rooted in inherent productivity and usefulness. He emphasizes that while Bitcoin may serve as a trading and speculative vehicle for some, it does not align with The Bahnsen Group's investment philosophy aimed at long-term wealth creation. 00:00 Introduction to Today's Topic: Bitcoin 01:18 Historical Context and Stability Issues 02:54 Bitcoin's Volatility and Market Behavior 04:27 Comparing Bitcoin to Traditional Investments 07:18 The Sociological Phenomenon of Bitcoin 17:50 Blockchain Technology vs. Bitcoin 19:16 Government Regulation and Bitcoin's Future 22:21 The Bahnsen Group's Investment Philosophy 26:54 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Eric Criscuolo, Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week marked by consolidation ahead of next week's Fed decision. After a strong post-Thanksgiving rally, the S&P 500 held above key moving averages, trading in a tight range near record highs as volatility compressed. Small caps outperformed late in the week, driven by thematic baskets tied to AI and robotics, even as rising global yields pressured equities. Crypto saw sharp swings, with Bitcoin reversing early losses to test resistance near its 20-day average. Markets close steady with attention turning to the Fed's rate cut outlook, economic projections, and major earnings on deck.

In this episode of 'Volatility Views,' the market's premier volatility podcast, we tackle the biggest questions for volatility traders: Are anticipated interest rate cuts about to crush the entire VIX term structure? This episode is hosted by Mark Longo (The Options Insider) and joined by Mark Sebastian (The Option Pit) and Dr. Russell Rhoads (Indiana University Kelley School of Business). We break down recent VIX options flow, examine crucial shifts in the volatility curve, and offer a forward-looking forecast for the Cboe VIX Index in the coming week.

Volatility could rise at 10 a.m. ET with the release of PCE data, but earnings news is slim. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are on three-day win streaks before next week's Fed decision.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-1225) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

What a time to experience some seasonal volatility. As we worry about the froth in our gravy back shots, investors have seemingly been worrying about the froth in megacap valuations thanks to a few signals from earnings and OpenAI's CEO. Find us on Twitter, Instagram, & Facebook @DRUNKENOMICALMerch: drunkenomics.myspreadshop.comPatreon: patreon.com/drunkenomicsStay Drunkenomical y'all!

Markets rallied on Wednesday before selling off into the close, but technically this is all normal behavior. After a mild 5% pullback in early November, stocks are simply consolidating gains from the April lows. Now, markets are pushing back toward resistance at the previous highs—an area that may produce some short-term volatility. If markets can break above November's highs, it opens the door for a traditional Santa Claus Rally into year-end. Even a pullback to the 50-DMA heading into Christmas would be a healthy setup. With markets on a buy signal from relatively low levels, the odds still lean toward a strong finish to 2025. Volatility may return over the next couple of weeks, and headlines will inevitably warn that "Santa isn't coming this year." But historically, two back-to-back negative Decembers are extremely rare. The technical backdrop continues to support a year-end push higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnOnz8np7ps&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #YearEndRally #TechnicalAnalysis

From why you shouldn't fear all-time market highs to the reason we diversify, Charlie and Peter discuss seven important lessons from 2025. Plus, a good reminder that time is worth more than money.

In this Episode of the Secure Your Retirement Podcast, Radon and Murs discuss the November market update and how recent events have shaped the stock market volatility investors have experienced. From a tense government shutdown to missing economic data, rising interest rates, and uncertainty around inflation and investing, November brought no shortage of challenges. Radon and Murs break down what happened—and why staying grounded in long-term strategy is crucial when navigating volatile markets. This episode sets the stage for understanding not just what moved the markets, but how to approach managing market risk with confidence.Listen in to learn about the ripple effects November's disruptions had on the economy, the rapid swings in AI stocks, and what the Federal Reserve is considering as we move toward year-end. You'll also hear how a well-structured retirement portfolio—especially one built on bucket strategy investing—can help you plan for retirement, stay calm, and retire comfortably even when volatility spikes. With long term retirement planning always top of mind, Radon and Murs share insights that promote clarity, stability, and a path to secure your retirement.In this episode, find out:How the November market review was influenced by the extended government shutdown and delayed economic data.Why interest rates, inflation numbers, and Federal Reserve uncertainty added to stock market volatility.What drove turbulence in the technology sector—especially surrounding AI stocks and concerns over an AI bubble.How volatile markets can impact your retirement portfolio and why understanding retirement investing strategies is essential.The importance of a structured Bucket Strategy for managing market risk and creating predictable income in retirement.Tweetable Quotes:Radon Stancil: “One thing that ends up being good can lead us right back to something that causes worry—that's why having a strategy matters, regardless of what the markets are doing.”Murs Tariq: “Volatility is triggered by moments inside and outside the stock market, which is why a well-designed retirement plan must be built to withstand the unexpected.”Resources:If you are in or nearing retirement and you want to gain clarity on what questions you should be asking, learn what the biggest retirement myths are, and identify what you can do to achieve peace of mind for your retirement, get started today by requesting our complimentary video course, Four Steps to Secure Your Retirement!To access the course, simply visit POMWealth.net/podcast.