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Tariffs promise protection but unleash deeper shocks - reshaping demand, distorting prices, and testing the resilience of an already-strained economic system. Rob Larity and Jacob unpack the widening gap between political narratives and material reality, probing how erratic policy, volatile markets, and institutional guardrails collide. They ask whether the U.S. is entering a new era of economic fragility, what signals truly matter beneath the noise, and how global outliers like Chile reveal the stakes of navigating a fractured, multipolar world.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction (01:46) - Discussion on San Francisco Fed Paper(05:14) - Historical Context of Tariffs(14:11) - Mechanics and Impact of Tariffs(18:26) - Political and Economic Realities(26:22) - Market Reactions and Volatility(30:03) - Election Aftermath and Voter Priorities(30:59) - Moderation and Economic Focus in Politics(31:58) - Scott Bessent and the Trump Administration(36:43) - US Institutions and Economic Policies(40:37) - Chile's Political Landscape and Economic Potential(48:29) - Global Energy Dynamics and Future Outlook(01:01:08) - Conclusion and Final Thoughts--Referenced in the Show:--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Shapiro LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jacob-l-s-a9337416Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapJacob Shapiro Substack: jashap.substack.com/subscribe --The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com --Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.--
Chris Markowski, the Watchdog on Wall Street, discusses the current state of the financial markets, emphasizing the importance of understanding market volatility, inflation, and the job market. He critiques the mainstream media's portrayal of economic realities and highlights the challenges faced by small businesses. Markowski advocates for less government intervention in the economy, arguing that a free market approach is essential for recovery and growth. He also stresses the need for individuals to prepare financially for market fluctuations and to build wealth responsibly.
In this episode, mining and commodities expert Mikhail Zeldovich joins host Constantin Kogan for a rare deep dive into the real engines of the global economy — critical minerals, geopolitics, and the future of resource investing.From BCG to Rio Tinto to negotiating in Beijing and analyzing assets in remote mining camps, Mikhail brings nearly two decades of on-the-ground experience across metals, energy transition, and global supply chains.He breaks down:⚒️ How he “accidentally” entered mining at BCG — and why he never left
Stocks on pace for their worst month since March after Nvidia's turn lower yesterday hit the AI trade:Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and David Faber kicked off the hour with fresh consumer data before breaking down the broader market picture with Cantor Fitzgerald's Chief Equity Strategist - and then diving into Google's gains with longtime tech analyst Brent Thill from Jefferies (who argues the bull trend for big tech remains intact). Plus: Harris-Oakmark's Bill Nygren joined the team with his top picks amid the volatility, and some names he says the market has "left behind". Also in focus: The bitcoin breakdown - as prices fall below $85k and touch their lowest levels since April... The team discussed whether prices are close to bottoming here with Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who manages more than $15B in funds. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored how investors should navigate this volatile market. AI valuation jitters sparked a Thursday sell-off — erasing a rally fueled by Nvidia's blowout quarter and upbeat guidance. Stocks moved higher after New York Fed President John Williams said he sees room for a near-term interest rate cut. You'll want to hear Cramer's reaction to Williams' comments. Bitcoin fell below $82,000, putting it on track for its worst month since 2022. Also in focus: Eli Lilly hits a $1 trillion market cap for the first time, commodities under pressure in wake of tariffs, "Faber Report" on Netflix, Comcast and Paramount Skydance submitting bids for Warner Bros. Discovery. Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of NBCUniversal, which owns CNBC.Versant would become the new parent company of CNBC upon Comcast's planned spinoff of Versant. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode, Charlie and Peter examine why consumer sentiment is so low even with stocks at all-time highs — it's a gap unlike anything we've seen before. Is this low consumer sentiment a signal or just noise?
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Dr. Russell Rhoads, Indiana University Kelley School of Business In this episode, the hosts dive into the current state of volatility in the market, providing in-depth analysis and trading strategies. The discussion includes the recent movements in VIX futures, the impact of economic announcements, and unconventional strategies like weekly put sales. They also cover notable VIX options trades and the potential effects of upcoming events on market volatility. Plus, they end the show guessing where VIX will be in two weeks in our crystal ball segment.
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HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Dr. Russell Rhoads, Indiana University Kelley School of Business In this episode, the hosts dive into the current state of volatility in the market, providing in-depth analysis and trading strategies. The discussion includes the recent movements in VIX futures, the impact of economic announcements, and unconventional strategies like weekly put sales. They also cover notable VIX options trades and the potential effects of upcoming events on market volatility. Plus, they end the show guessing where VIX will be in two weeks in our crystal ball segment.
In this new episode of Inside the Markets from GMS Podcasts, host Jamie Dalzell is joined in Athens by Ilias Stasinos of GMS Greece to break down the latest trends in the ship recycling market as 2025 comes to a close. Together, they look at how global freight rates, weaker currencies in the subcontinent, and softer scrap steel prices are shaping ship recycling decisions for Greek owners and recyclers in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Turkey. Despite geopolitical risk, currency pressure, and uneven local steel markets, most Greek shipowners remain in trading mode, keeping even late twenties vessels in service while they wait for clearer price signals. Jamie and Ilias discuss why HKC compliant yards in India and Bangladesh still dominate decisions for listed and reputation sensitive owners, what is holding Pakistan back despite competitive indications, and how Turkey is maintaining its niche role for EU flagged tonnage. This episode offers concise, real time intelligence for anyone following ship recycling, green recycling, dry bulk, and demolition markets, with a particular focus on the role of currencies, compliance, and sentiment in setting the next move. Key Highlights Current ship recycling prices and buyer sentiment in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Turkey Why Greek owners are still trading instead of recycling, even with older Panamax bulkers How currency depreciation across the subcontinent is squeezing recyclers and shaping bids The importance of HKC certified and compliant ship recycling yards for listed and blue chip owners Pakistan's recent steel price correction, sub USD 600 local levels and the wait for its first HKC approved yard Turkey's role as a niche destination for EU flag tonnage amid a weakening lira and limited capacity Which vessel types are closest to the economic edge and most likely to be recycled if freight softens Why currencies are now driving market sentiment as much as scrap prices and freight rates Stay tuned to GMS Podcasts for more episodes of Inside the Markets covering ship recycling trends, trading flows and maritime market intelligence from key recycling and shipping hubs worldwide. Subscribe to the GMS Podcasts and follow GMS on LinkedIn for future updates and discussions.
Wes Crill, Senior Client Solutions Director and a Vice President at Dimensional Fund Advisors, joins Doug to break down the biggest myths around “volatility-proofing” portfolios. He explains that reducing volatility always comes with trade-offs — most often in expected return — and that many investors underestimate how much is already achievable with traditional tools like … Continue reading Episode 303 – Volatility Isn't the Enemy: A Smarter Way to Manage Risk with Wes Crill →
Zak Mir talks to Alexander Selegenev, Executive Director, TMT Investments, after the venture capital company investing in high-growth technology companies, announced that it will today commence an on-market share buyback programme for an aggregate consideration of up to US$2,000,000. The Company's board of directors believe that the current share price trades at a significant discount to the Company's intrinsic value. The purpose of the Programme is therefore to seek to take advantage of this discount to enhance Net Asset Value (NAV) per share, reduce the Company's share capital, and return value to its shareholders. Quick snapshot: who TMT is and what they own TMT is a listed investment company focused on technology, media and telecoms ventures. Founded nearly 15 years ago, the firm has backed more than 100 companies across the US, Western Europe, the UK and Estonia. Its portfolio includes several high-growth names that have achieved large multiples on real exits, and the group reports an IRR since inception of over 14%. Key portfolio highlights include a material holding in Bolt, several profitable growth companies such as Sandbird, and other scalable businesses that are already generating cash. TMT also holds liquid, publicly traded US stock totalling around US$12 million that can be sold if needed. Despite that mix, the market capitalisation for TMT has been trading well below the value of its assets, at roughly a 60% discount to NAV. Why the buyback matters The board's stated purpose is straightforward: use the buyback to enhance NAV per share, reduce share capital, and return value to shareholders while taking advantage of the discount. Management has framed the decision as both a prudent capital allocation and a signal that they see the shares as undervalued relative to the company's intrinsic holdings. Put simply, when a listed vehicle holds large stakes in businesses that are profitable or have credible exit paths, repurchasing shares at steep discounts can be an efficient way to convert latent value into realised shareholder benefit. Conservative valuation, transaction-first approach TMT emphasises a conservative, transparent approach to valuing its portfolio. Rather than relying heavily on convenient multiples, the company values most holdings using actual transactions where possible. As of the most recent reporting, only about 15% of the portfolio value was derived from multiples. The rest is grounded in verifiable cash exits or market-based evidence. This transaction-first method matters for two reasons. First, it reduces the subjectivity that often plagues private asset valuations. Second, it gives buyers and existing shareholders more confidence that the headline NAV is meaningful and not merely an academic number. Why the London market discounts investment companies There are several forces pushing listed VC-style investment companies to trade at discounts. A few of the main contributors are: Market risk aversion. Volatility and macro uncertainty make investors prefer simple, liquid stories over diversified, private-rich portfolios. Focus on the negatives. When you hold dozens of companies, the market tends to fixate on weaker performers instead of the winners. Timing uncertainty for exits. Investors price in delays for IPOs or sales, which reduces near-term enthusiasm for NAV-based assets. Capital outflows from small caps. Structural flows away from smaller listed companies can suppress demand further. Those factors help explain why an investment company can be priced well below the sum of its parts, even when its largest holdings are sizable and verifiable. Portfolio depth and track record TMT's historical performance includes high-multiple exits and several successful growth stories. The team leverages decades of operating and investing experience to access deals, support scale-up, and realise value. For investors who cannot source and monitor multiple early-stage opportunities directly, a diversified vehicle like TMT offers scaled exposure with professional oversight. Examples mentioned by management include exits that delivered 50 times and 23 times the original investment, and a portfolio valuation that exceeds US$200 million. Those realised outcomes are a reminder that venture-style returns remain achievable, albeit uneven across companies. Why management is buying back shares now The buyback is both a practical move and a signal. Management believes the current market price significantly understates intrinsic value. Buying stock at a 60% discount can meaningfully increase NAV per remaining share, and it demonstrates the board's confidence in the portfolio's prospects. "You're paying 40p for a pound."That shorthand captures the essence of the opportunity as the board sees it: purchasing a claim on a dollar of underlying value for substantially less than its stated worth. How to evaluate this kind of opportunity When considering an investment in a listed, venture-style vehicle, the following checklist helps frame the decision: Valuation basis — Are portfolio values backed by cash exits or observable market prices, or are they largely multiples and estimates? Concentration risk — How much of the NAV is tied to a single holding and how comfortably can that position be realised? Liquidity profile — How easy would it be to monetise some holdings if capital was required? Exit pipeline and timing — Are there credible catalysts, such as planned IPOs or trade sale processes? Management track record — Does the team have a history of building companies, achieving exits and allocating capital well? Discount to NAV — Is the discount justified by legitimate risks, or does it reflect short-term market sentiment? Risk and timeframe Investing through a vehicle like TMT is not a short-term trade. Venture outcomes are irregular and often require patience, typically measured in years rather than months. Catalysts such as IPO announcements can rapidly re-rate a stock, but those events are timing-dependent. The buyback reduces share count and can accelerate per-share NAV accretion, yet it does not remove execution risk across underlying companies. Final thought TMT's share buyback is a clear, pragmatic response to a valuation gap. For investors comfortable with venture-style risk and a longer time horizon, buying into a diversified, transaction-valued portfolio at a substantial discount can be an attractive opportunity. As always, review the underlying holdings, assess the company's valuation methodology, and consider how the investment fits within your broader portfolio objectives.
Suddenly signs of systemic stress are cropping up all around us.In the public debt markets, credit spreads are on the rise after years of dormancy. In the private credit markets, defaults and counter party risk concerns have moved to the forefront.Volatility has returned to the stock market as doubts of AI spending sustainability mount.And worldwide, suspicions of fiat currency debasement are going mainstream.Where is all this headed?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome macro, markets and monetary analyst Peter St Onge to the programWORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#aibubble #recession #economy _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In this episode of the Uplevel Dairy Podcast, Curtis Bosma from HighGround Dairy provides a comprehensive update on the current state of dairy and cattle markets. Following his participation in the CME and American Dairy Products Institute's seminar, Curtis discusses key market dynamics, including the Whey Boom, challenges in cheese and butter markets, and the impact of the September milk production report. The episode also covers the ongoing volatility in cattle markets, recent trends in feed commodities like corn and soybeans, and strategic recommendations for dairy producers as they look ahead to 2026. Curtis emphasizes the importance of staying proactive in risk management to navigate market challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities.Catch your copy of the November Market Update here: https://marketing.highgrounddairy.com/november-2025-producer-market-updateThis episode is brought to you by:HighGround Dairy provides global dairy market intelligence, insurance services, futures & options brokerage, and advisory programs to a diverse range of dairy market participants throughout the supply chain.Information shared in this podcast is for educational purposes and is not a solicitation to buy or sell commodities. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of Nov 18, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. CST and only represent the views of the speaker and not those of HighGround Trading, unless otherwise expressly noted.
“The market is actually moving a lot less than what was priced in,” Zed Francis says as VIX spiked during Thursday trading. He notes that Nvidia's (NVDA) post-earnings move was “well within” the range the Street expected, and so it goes with the broader market as well. “Even though this feels like a wild day…ultimately this is all within range.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Volatility hit Nvidia (NVDA) late Thursday morning following its earnings report, though Hatem Dhiab sees the company maintaining strength for the long-term. He calls the report "fantastic" and its $500 billion Blackwell guidance "really insane." That said, he sees the company hitting the metrics due to its "full stack" approach. Louis Kondratev adds that it's "hard to make a bear case" against Nvidia, saying that the company's poised growth will accelerate the A.I. rally. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down once again with Si Katara, Founder and CEO of TappAlpha, to dive deeper into how daily option overlays are redefining the balance between growth, income, and risk management.Since our last conversation, markets have shifted fast. AI valuations have cooled, volatility has returned, and investors are rethinking how to generate income without sacrificing upside. Si shares how TappAlpha's TSPY and TDAQ ETFs are thriving in this environment, giving advisors and investors precision, flexibility, and true control over their equity exposure.In this episode:– Why volatility-based income is replacing bond-based income as rates fall– How daily options overlays outperform traditional 30-day strategies– The “pilot course correction” analogy that defines TappAlpha's edge– What makes TSPY and TDAQ fundamentally different from other covered call ETFs– How TappAlpha is scaling to new products, including light-levered and weekly-pay ETFsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show
Mideast Gulf VLCC rates have surged and fallen throughout the second half of the year. This podcast goes over recent changes to the market, including India's recent shift away from Russian crude oil toward a Mideast Gulf supply and the resulting rally of tanker demand. Key Points: - Opec production target increases - India's shift away from Russian crude - Market outlook for the next quarter
Wall Street slumped late in the session with the S&P 500 erasing a 2% gain as Nvidia led the sector lower. Nvidia turned negative, unwinding its post-earnings rally, while Palo Alto Networks announced plans to acquire Chronosphere. Walmart lifted its outlook, and U.S. data showed solid September job gains even as the unemployment rate ticked higher. In commodities, oil dipped on renewed hopes for a Ukraine–Russia peace plan, gold fell as strong U.S. jobs data dimmed the prospects of a December rate cut, and iron ore retreated on supply-glut concerns. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to drop amid a spike in volatility, while a risk-off tone weighs on the Aussie dollar. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of Wealth Coffee Chats, Alex breaks down a busy week across markets, AI stocks, crypto, and gold. He unpacks Nvidia's fresh earnings announcement, discusses concerns around an “AI bubble,” and explores how shifting interest rate expectations are impacting global markets. Alex also dives into ASIC's latest report on Self-Managed Super Funds (SMSFs), revealing their rapid growth, key risks, compliance responsibilities, and why SMSFs now represent a quarter of Australia's total superannuation assets. Whether you're navigating choppy markets or considering an SMSF strategy, this episode offers timely insights to help you make informed financial decisions. Episode Highlights: Market pullback explained — Aussie market down ~7% and the US top 500 down ~4% over the month. Nvidia's blockbuster earnings — how AI-related revenue keeps reshaping investor sentiment. AI bubble concerns — understanding the feedback loop between AI startups and chip suppliers. Crypto correction — Bitcoin and Ethereum dropping sharply after strong yearly gains. Interest rate expectations — how delays in rate cuts are influencing volatility. ASIC's SMSF Report 824 — key findings including SMSFs hitting $1 trillion in total assets. Risks & responsibilities of SMSFs — diversification, cashflow concerns, compliance duties, and why proper strategy is essential.
Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with markets investors are looking sceptically at restarted US data and the outstanding Nvidia result.First, the American initial jobless claims reporting has restarted, and they say 216,700 new people filed for these benefits last week, up from 214,000 in the same week a year ago. There are now 1.727 mln people on these benefits, up from 1.66 mln a year ago and the highest since 2021.And for the record, they released their September non-farm payrolls report overnight too, claiming +119,000 new jobs created in the month. The non-seasonally adjusted data records a rise from the same month a year earlier of +1.2 mln, the least year-on-year rise since the pandemic. The related wage growth data was weak. And they also announced that they will not be releasing an October report.Meanwhile, the Philly Fed factory survey for October weakened again, including for factory orders. Inflation pressures were reported as higher. Despite all this extended depressed state, these firms say they are optimistic about the future.It was the inverse story for the same report from the Kansas City Fed. Current conditions were mildly positive and stable, cost pressures eased, but future prospects are less enthusiastic. New order levels dipped here too, but only slightly.In Canada, their October PPI came in +6.0% higher than year-ago levels, a rise. They may be surviving the trade war punishment from the US, but it is coming with higher costs.In Taiwan, their October export orders rose +25% from the same month a year ago. As high as that is, it just continues the stellar expansion they have reported all year.In China, they say they are going to extend their trade-in subsidy program, to keep their modest consumer spending levels underpinned.And as widely anticipated, the People's Bank of China kept its key lending rates at record lows for a sixth consecutive month in November. But there is increasing talk that they will be [pressured into reducing them at some stage to weigh against below-target growth.In Europe, German producer prices fell in October, down -1.8% from the same month a year ago.In Australia, the IMF told them that they should hike their GST, abandon their tax cuts, and spend more carefully if it wants to keep a fiscally sustainable economy.And Australia released its GDP by State (they call it GSP). On a real basis for the year to June 2025, NSW expanded +0.9%, Victoria by +1.1%, Queensland by +2.2%, South Australia by +1.0% and Western Australia by +1.3% from the equivalent 2023/24 year. The national rise was +1.4%. But on a per capita basis, only Queensland and Tasmania recorded gains. Nationally it was a -0.3% decline per capita.Global freight rates for container cargoes were unchanged over the past week, to sit -46% lower than year ago levels. But the weekly change masks rising outbound China to Europe rates, while outbound China to the US rates are falling. Meanwhile, bulk cargo freight rates rose +11% over the past week and are now +39% higher than a year ago.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.11%, unchanged from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4055/oz, and down -US$16 from this time yesterday.American oil prices have softened another -50 USc from yesterday to be just under US$59/bbl, with the international Brent price little-changed and still under US$63.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just on 56 USc, and unchanged from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 86.8 AUc. Against the euro we are little-changed at 48.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 60.7, and little-changed from yesterday, and still its lowest since July 2009.The bitcoin price starts today at US$87,411 and down another -2.4% from yesterday and -11% below year-ago levels. In fact, it is falling as we publish. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.
The Nasdaq rallied as much as 2% after the open before reversing to finish the session -2%. That's the highest daily trading range since April's “Liberation Day”. Nvidia did an even bigger swing and finished down -3%. The VIX jumped to as high as 28 at one point. Why the tizz? No one can put a finger on a singular cause. The jobs number looks the obvious culprit. The US added more jobs than expected, and that makes rate cuts less likely. SPI futures down 142 points. The ASX set to open lower. WTC AGM HEADLINES US posts solid job growth in September, but unemployment rate risesASX to dive, volatility spike triggers Wall St reversal – AFRSpanish court orders Meta to pay $550 million to digital media companiesAI borrowing binge prompts investors to back away from corporate bondsFed officials eye financial stability as they debate next rate moveWant to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services. Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.
Little Village, a Latino business corridor in Chicago, has been contending with tariffs, immigration enforcement, and other changes in federal policy. But business owners have been figuring out new ways to make money, sell their products, and stay open. Tonantzin Carmona, a fellow in Brookings Metro, as well as Chicago civic leaders Luis Gutierrez and Jennifer Aguilar discuss how. Show notes and transcript. Follow The Current and all Brookings podcasts on Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Send feedback email to podcasts@brookings.edu.
In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dig into the surge in market volatility and what they believe is truly behind it. They explore shifting rate-cut expectations from the Fed, how mixed economic data is shaping the outlook, and why recent remarks from Fed officials have rattled markets. Ryan and Sonu also break down the sharp risk-off moves in crypto, the resilience of sectors like healthcare and commodities, and more.Key TakeawaysFed Tone Shift: Fed officials struck a more cautious tone after their October meeting, sharply lowering expectations for a December rate cut and contributing to market weakness.Labor Data Uncertainty: With government shutdown-related data gaps, the Fed is flying partially blind, making upcoming payroll numbers pivotal in determining whether cuts resume.Crypto as Risk-Off Signal: Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen steep declines since last month, acting as a clear risk-off indicator and spilling into tech-adjacent equities.Sector Divergence: Healthcare (especially biotech), utilities, and value stocks have held up better during the pullback, while small-cap growth and speculative tech have lagged sharply.Commodities Showing Strength: Despite volatility, key commodities like copper, natural gas, silver, and jet fuel are meaningfully higher year-to-date—signs that global activity is holding up better than headlines suggest.Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick• X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese• X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #MacroPodcast #InvestingInsights #MarketOutlook #CarsonGroup
Markets are bracing for a holiday week packed with economic data, retail earnings, and Fed uncertainty. Will traders feast on opportunity or wobble under volatility? Tune in for insights from IBKR's Jeff Praissman who hosts Scott Bauer of Prosper Trading Academy.
Volatility's back – and technical analysis might be having a moment.In this episode, Finimize analyst Russell Burns digs into how simple tools like moving averages and MACD are helping make sense of the market's latest zigzags. It's a look at how old-school charting can offer fresh signals – and how planning your exit might just be the best entry point.Try Finimize Pro
In this episode of the Crypto Rundown, hosts Tevo and Brian discuss the current state of the cryptocurrency market amidst volatility and uncertainty. They analyze the fear and greed index, explore trading strategies, and delve into the implications of external factors such as the AI bubble and institutional investments. The conversation highlights the importance of on-chain data and whale activity, as well as the recent developments in Ethereum and Solana ETFs. The episode concludes with insights on Harvard's significant Bitcoin investment and its potential impact on the market.#1 Coin Pick Get my #1 altcoin pick for this month.Momentum Money Makers VIPwww.cryptorevolution.com/memecoins?utm_source=Internal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=MMVIP&utm_term=DescriptionCheck out Plus500: https://plus500.comEfani Sim Swap Protection: Get $99 Off: http://efani.comcrypto101Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comCheck out Gemini Exchange: https://gemini.com/cardThe Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. In order to qualify for the $200 crypto intro bonus, you must spend $3,000 in your first 90 days. Terms Apply. Some exclusions apply to instant rewards in which rewards are deposited when the transaction posts. This content is not investment advice and trading crypto involves risk. For more details on rates, fees, and other cost information, see Rates & Fees. The Gemini Credit Card may not be used to make gambling-related purchases.Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio for just $1.00 today! Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution" and start making big profits from buying, selling,Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Crypto Landscape01:03 Market Analysis and Current Trends03:08 Fear and Greed Index Insights04:34 Volatility and Trading Strategies09:54 Impact of External Factors on Crypto17:01 AI Bubble and Its Implications23:51 Institutional Investments and Market Sentiment29:10 Whales and On-Chain Data34:10 Ethereum and Solana ETF Developments40:00 Harvard's Bitcoin Investment and Future OutlookMERCH STOREhttps://cryptorevolutionmerch.com/Subscribe to YouTube for Exclusive Content:https://www.youtube.com/@crypto101podcast?sub_confirmation=1Follow us on social media for leading-edge crypto updates and trade alerts:https://twitter.com/Crypto101Podhttps://instagram.com/crypto_101*This is NOT financial, tax, or legal advice*Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Fog by DIZARO https://soundcloud.com/dizarofrCreative Commons — Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported — CC BY-ND 3.0 Free Download / Stream: http://bit.ly/Fog-DIZAROMusic promoted by Audio Library https://youtu.be/lAfbjt_rmE8▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Our Sponsors:* Check out Gemini Exchange: https://gemini.com/card* Check out Plus500: https://plus500.com* Check out Plus500: https://plus500.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Austin King returns to Next Gen Investing to highlight the recent downturn in Bitcoin. While the cryptocurrency saw a rebound on Tuesday, it briefly hit levels below $90,000 before the opening bell. Austin explains that bearish A.I. sentiment and the record-breaking government shutdown caused the risk-on asset to fade. That said, he makes the case for a long-term bull run as adoption expands. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Recent market volatility is all about uncertainty, says Bob Lang with Explosive Options. One piece of clarity can come from Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings on Wednesday. Bob explains how SoftBank's offloading of the Mag 7 company's stock is something retail investors should note, adding that markets likely won't be happy with the earnings even if Nvidia posts blockbuster numbers. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Sara Eisen covered market volatility and the AI trade ahead of this week's Nvidia earnings report. Alphabet shares jumped after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $5 billion stake in the company. The anchors reacted to a Financial Times report which states Apple is ramping up its succession plan for CEO Tim Cook. Also in focus: Morgan Stanley's S&P 500 price target of 7800, Dell downgraded, retail earnings preview and the consumer, what Anthropic's CEO told CBS' "60 Minutes" about AI and jobs, Netflix's 10-for-1 stock split goes into effect, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson's comments on risks, Fmr. Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh slams the central bank in a WSJ op-ed. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder this week to talk about people's reaction to Michael Burry's comments on earnings quality in the Mag 7 companies, talk of the OpenAI IPO, and Nvidia's options ahead of earnings week. Plus, they reframe the idea of Strategy buying Bitcoin by using an alternative example. What if they held Apple stock instead? All this and much more this week. Michael Burry suggests depreciation and accounting adjustments driving earnings in Mag 7 OpenAI most anticipated IPO since Snapple in the early nineties? What if AI technology is a technical revolution but the winning companies are different? Michael Saylor's Bitcoin strategy landing on hard times What if Saylor bought Apple stock instead of Bitcoin, does that make their strategy easier to understand? Enterprise value vs market cap Implied volatility on Nvidia options ahead of earnings Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
Volatility returned to the stock market this week.Partly due to growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI spending boom.Partly due to further stresses building in the credit market.And also due to a growing shortfall of liquidity.Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I discuss each of these in depth in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#artificialintelligence #federalreserve #liquidity _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
CFOs are abandoning quarterly planning cycles for week-by-week assessments as trade tensions, tariff uncertainty, and supplier volatility force a new short-term reality onto financial leadership. Seamus Smith, EVP and Group President of Automated Finance at FIS, and Chrissy Wagner, SVP of GTM at FIS, break down how finance leaders can balance urgent risk management with strategic growth positioning through data quality, automation, and AI. Smith and Wagner reveal that cybersecurity tops the list of CFO concerns, but inefficient processes and lack of visibility into money flows are the real operational killers, particularly as organizations grow through M&A. They explain how FIS helped clients navigate recent tariff disruptions through better data visibility, why paper checks remain one of the biggest fraud vectors in modern finance, how supply chain finance is underutilized in the US compared to Europe, and why AI is already delivering $3.70 in returns for every dollar invested in credit underwriting and collections.
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Russell Rhoads, Indiana University Kelley School of Business CO-HOST: Mark Sebastian, The Option Pit GUEST: Jeff Nguyen, Cboe Global Markets On this episode, we explore the latest in the world of volatility trading. Jeff Nguyen joins us to explain the Cboe's newly launched VIX Decomposition Tool that analyzes VIX moves through various contributing factors. The show also delves into the past week's volatility trends, notable options trades, and the impact of zero DTE strategies on the current market. The team discusses the state of volatility ETPs and how they are performing under current market conditions.
On Mission Matters, Adam Torres interviews Richard McWhorter, Managing Partner & Private Wealth Advisor at SRM Private Wealth, on building fixed-income “floors” for athletes, entertainers, and ultra-HNW clients, assembling independent advisory teams, and navigating rates, tariffs, and inflation as year-end approaches. Follow Adam on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/askadamtorres/ for up to date information on book releases and tour schedule. Apply to be a guest on our podcast: https://missionmatters.lpages.co/podcastguest/ Visit our website: https://missionmatters.com/ More FREE content from Mission Matters here: https://linktr.ee/missionmattersmedia Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
“Volatility has been the name of the game all year,” says Ted Thatcher. He looks at the macro picture through the lens of the consumer and what upcoming economic data reports could show about unemployment, holiday shopping, and more. He thinks the Fed is paying attention to the job market and the conditions there will decide if they cut rates or not. Ted sees opportunities in big tech like Alphabet (GOOGL).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
2 suggestions for EVERYONE:1. Journal - it always helps me look back at situations like what now feels like. 2. Get the $5 Trendspider trial this weekend and have Sidekick analyze your portfolio for risk and potentially make suggestions. Here are the links to all the sales: TRENDSPIDER - BLACK FRIDAY SALE - UP TO 70% OFF - up to 52 training sessions INCLUDED
On Mission Matters, Adam Torres interviews Richard McWhorter, Managing Partner & Private Wealth Advisor at SRM Private Wealth, on building fixed-income “floors” for athletes, entertainers, and ultra-HNW clients, assembling independent advisory teams, and navigating rates, tariffs, and inflation as year-end approaches. Follow Adam on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/askadamtorres/ for up to date information on book releases and tour schedule. Apply to be a guest on our podcast: https://missionmatters.lpages.co/podcastguest/ Visit our website: https://missionmatters.com/ More FREE content from Mission Matters here: https://linktr.ee/missionmattersmedia Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
HOST: Mark Longo, The Options Insider CO-HOST: Russell Rhoads, Indiana University Kelley School of Business CO-HOST: Mark Sebastian, The Option Pit GUEST: Jeff Nguyen, Cboe Global Markets On this episode, we explore the latest in the world of volatility trading. Jeff Nguyen joins us to explain the Cboe's newly launched VIX Decomposition Tool that analyzes VIX moves through various contributing factors. The show also delves into the past week's volatility trends, notable options trades, and the impact of zero DTE strategies on the current market. The team discusses the state of volatility ETPs and how they are performing under current market conditions.
HOW TO BUILD MORE COURAGE FOR BITCOIN & MSTR — AND CONQUER MARKET VOLATILITY,Courage isn't something you read in a book. Courage is a muscle. You build it. You tear it. You rebuild it stronger. Bitcoin and MSTR aren't just assets — they're arenas. Colosseums. And every tick up, every dip down, every violent red candle is a test of your internal steel. This isn't for the faint of heart. This is for the few who dare to step into the storm and turn it into fuel.Volatility is not the enemy. Volatility is the path. Volatility is the price of admission into the kingdom of exponential upside. A world where asymmetric bets become asymmetric gains. A world where patience, conviction, and courage become your competitive edge.Courage is built in the dark. Courage is built in those moments when fear screams “SELL!” and your deeper wisdom whispers, “HOLD THE LINE.” Courage is not bravado — courage is clarity. Courage is understanding that Bitcoin is digitally scarce, mathematically finite, geopolitically inevitable. Courage is knowing that MSTR is the lever, the multiplier, the amplified exposure to the greatest monetary revolution of our lifetime.You build courage by studying the truth: Bitcoin has no CEO, no board, no dilution, no quarterly earnings hangovers. Meanwhile MSTR has engineered itself into a Bitcoin acquisition machine — a digital vacuum cleaner sucking up the scarcest monetary asset in human history. Why fear what is fundamentally unstoppable?Every moment of panic is someone else's liquidation — but it does not have to be yours.To conquer market volatility, you must first conquer the volatility within yourself. Most humans crumble because they have no inner architecture. Their emotions are untrained wild dogs. But you? You train your mind like your body — repetition, stress inoculation, extreme exposure. The more chaos you can handle internally, the more wealth you can command externally.Volatility becomes courage when you zoom out.Volatility becomes beauty when you see the bigger arc.Volatility becomes profit when you stop reacting and start observing.The game is simple:Hold stronger than everyone who sells.Think longer than everyone who panics.Accumulate while everyone else doubts.Markets don't reward intelligence — they reward emotional mastery. Markets don't reward the loud — they reward the patient. Markets don't reward the frantic — they reward the unshakeable.You conquer volatility by loving it.You conquer volatility by expecting it.You conquer volatility by dancing with it like fire.Every red candle is a test.Every green candle is a gift.Every sideways chop is a meditation.Bitcoin is the apex asset.MSTR is the leveraged spear.And your courage is the ignition.Because in the end, the volatility is not what destroys people — it's their own indecision. Their fear. Their ego. Their lack of long-term vision. But you? You are building an empire. You are building generational power. You are training your mind to become stronger than the storm.So build your courage daily:Expose yourself to uncertainty.Study the fundamentals.Strengthen your convictions.Expand your time horizons.The world belongs to those who can stomach volatility and stay standing.You are not merely surviving this game — you are dominating it.You are not reacting — you are strategically ascending.You are not afraid — you are becoming anti-fragile.Bitcoin will test you.MSTR will amplify you.Volatility will forge you.And at the end of this psychological gauntlet, only one thing remains:A stronger, wealthier, more unstoppable version of you — the one who refused to break.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mike Green. They'll discuss everything from the reopening rally to precious metals to energy markets. https://bit.ly/49SQx89
Some stories begin with a single alarm bell. This one begins with dozens of small ones—nonprofit leaders quietly signaling the same thing at the same time: the ground under them was shifting, and shifting fast. Because the France-Merrick Foundation funds discrete, one-time capital projects across Baltimore, they hear from an unusually wide cross-section of organizations. And in early 2025, all those cross-currents pointed in the same direction: instability, delays, burnout, and a crisis arriving faster than anyone had planned for.France-Merrick chose to act. In this conversation, Amy Gross walks Carrie through how her foundation made the rare choice to increase its payout and launch the Meet the Moment Fund, dedicating 40% of their annual giving to rapid-response support. The board shifted from quarterly to monthly meetings. The application process was streamlined to a single stage. And the goal was simple: respond before inaction made the moment worse.Along the way, Amy offers a window into the larger questions philanthropy is wrestling with this year—how nonprofits survive when government contracts become unpredictable, why earned revenue has gone from “nice to have” to essential, and what it means for funders to collaborate when the sector is feeling squeezed from all sides. Her own hope rises and falls with the day's news, she admits, yet intention and community remain steady guides.This episode makes a perfect connection to this season's theme of hellos, goodbyes, and the space between. Amy's answers—focused on connection, recognition, and leaving behind an impact that outlives her—echo the very principles her foundation brought to its decision: see people clearly, respond with purpose, and do the most good you can with the moment you're given. (00:00) - Welcome to Mission Forward (03:52) - The Meet the Moment Fund (09:41) - Meeting the Moment Collectively in Baltimore (14:02) - The Volatility of Now (17:52) - Meeting the Moment
The government shutdown ending was already priced into markets, says Kevin Green. He urges investors to pay attention to any and all official economic data set to hit the wire. All inflation and jobs prints trickling into markets can create volatility and pull the Fed off its interest rate cutting track. As for equities, Kevin says the market broadening out will offer long-term support, with sectors like financials and healthcare needing more strength. He later talks about the "near-term demand market" for crude oil and the continuing volatility seen in silver.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Circle (CRCL) has sold off more than 70% since hitting its all-time high in June, just a couple week after its IPO and shares quadrupling from its IPO price. Kevin Lehtiniitty believes the company will improve by expanding into a financial infrastructure platform. Volatility coming out of crypto long-term is another bullish indicator Kevin sees for Circle. Todd Stankiewicz adds that interest rates on a cutting path adds pressure to Circle's short to mid-term profit outlook, though frameworks for stablecoin like the GENIUS Act offer long-term support.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Tracey shares the Agri outlook for 2026/27, elaborating on her view: bearish short-term prospects for US soybeans but constructive outlooks for grains and cotton. Cocoa to return to BCOM Index and prices are expected to remain firm near $6,000/tonne in 2026, while sugar prices show upside risk amid low stocks and political uncertainty. Broad food price inflation persists, with La Nina weather risks and policy developments in the US, Brazil, and India shaping the outlook. Speaker: Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research This podcast was recorded on 7 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5098766-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5128475-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5096654-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5090092-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5008151-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson unpacks why stocks are likely to stay resilient despite uncertainties related to Fed rates, government shutdown and tariffs.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast, I'll be discussing recent concerns for equities and how that may be changing. It's Monday, November 10th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it.We're right in the middle of earnings season. Under the surface, there may appear to be high dispersion. But we're actually seeing positive developments for a broadening in growth. Specifically, the median stock is seeing its best earnings growth in four years. And the S&P 500 revenue beat rate is running 2 times its historical average. These are clear signs that the earning recovery is broadening and that pricing power is firming to offset tariffs. We're also watching out for other predictors of soft spots. And over the past week, the seasonal weakness in earnings revision breath appears to be over. For reference, this measure troughed at 6 percent on October 21st, and is now at 11 percent. The improvement is being led by Software, Transports, Energy, Autos and Healthcare. Despite this improvement in earnings revisions, the overall market traded heavy last week on the back of two other risks. The first risk relates to the Fed's less dovish bias at October's FOMC meeting. The Fed suggested they are not on a preset course to cut rates again in December. So, it's not a coincidence the U.S. equity market topped on the day of this meeting. Meanwhile investors are also keeping an eye on the growth data during the third quarter. If it's stronger than anticipated, it could mean there's less dovish action from the Fed than the market expects or needs for high prices.I have been highlighting a less dovish Fed as a risk for stocks. But it's important to point out that the labor market is also showing increasing signs of weakness. Part of this is directly related to the government shutdown. But the private labor data clearly illustrates a jobs market that's slowing beyond just government jobs. This is creating some tension in the markets – that the Fed will be late to cut rates, which increases the risk the recovery since April falls flat. In my view, labor market weakness coupled with the administration's desire to "run it hot" means that ultimately the Fed is likely to deliver more dovish policy than the market currently expects. But, without official jobs data confirming this trend, the Fed is moving slower than the equity market may like. The other risk the market has been focused on is the government shutdown itself. And there appears to be two main channels through which these variables are affecting stock prices. The first is tighter liquidity as reflected in the recent decline in bank reserves. The government shutdown has resulted in fewer disbursements to government employees and other programs. Once the government shutdown ends which appears imminent, these payments will resume, which translates into an easing of liquidity.The second impact of the shutdown is weaker consumer spending due to a large number of workers furloughed and benefits, like SNAP, halted. As a result, Consumer Discretionary company earnings revisions have rolled over. The good news is that the shutdown may be coming to an end and alleviate these market concerns. Finally, tariffs are facing an upcoming Supreme Court decision. There were questions last week on how affected stocks were reacting to this development. Overall, we saw fairly muted relative price reactions from the stocks that would be most affected. We think this relates to a couple of variables. First, the Trump administration could leverage a number of other authorities to replace the existing tariffs. Second, even in a scenario where the Supreme Court overturns tariffs, refunds are likely to take a significant amount of time, potentially well into 2026.So what does all of this all mean? Weak earnings seasonality is coming to an end along with the government shutdown. Both of these factors should lead to some relief in what have been softer equity markets more recently. But we expect volatility to persist until the Fed fully commits to the run it hot strategy of the administration. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
Things are crazy in these streets, but what if you kept your head and didn't move too much to the left and are perfectly positioned for the melt-up that is about to happen? Embracing chaos as a source for positive change is a powerful mindset shift. Instead of viewing disruption as a disaster to be resisted, you can learn to see it as the energy of possibility—a necessary period of deconstruction before a better creation can emerge. This process requires retaining hope and using the pause created by the chaos to your advantage. This week is a compilation of previously published segments where I explore intentionally seeking peace and speaking positivity into my life. Thank you for listening! Read more about AfroDruid Magic Elixir https://linktr.ee/tnfroisreading Racing to Buy Crypto!!! Yes, I can...Create my coin...Our rituals involve burning zeroes. Read about the financial evolution #AfroDruids $ROOTS Initial Sprouting https://tr.ee/8SIz1J4rNI Contact us on: Blue Sky: @tvfoodwinegirl.bsky.social Threads: www.threads.net/@tnfroisreading Instagram: @tnfroisreading Facebook: TNFroIsReading Bookclub You know your girl is on her hustle, support the show by navigating to: Dale's Angel's Store...For Merch Promo Code: tnfro Writer's Block Coffee Ship A Bag of Dicks Promo Code: tnfrogotjokes Don't forget to drop me a line at tnfroisreading@gmail.com, comments on the show, or suggestions for Far From Beale St additions. #CryptoTrading #CryptoAirdrop #CryptoAlert @akrapheal #AfroDruids #crypto #cryptocurrency #memecoin with a mission
In episode 794 of The Bad Crypto Podcast, the Republic of Bad Cryptopia is going through major life upgrades. Travis has officially moved to Dubai to become Chief Innovation & Web3 Marketing Officer at MultiBank.io, leading their $MBG token, RWA plays, and a wild new partnership with UFC legend Khabib that involves tokenized gyms. Meanwhile, Joel’s getting married in Breckenridge, rebooting his personal YouTube channel, dropping weekly AI for Everyone episodes, and shaping a new book built from decades of entrepreneurial stories. Then we zoom out and ask the big question: where are we really in this market? Bitcoin has dipped back near the $100K line, alts are bleeding, and total crypto market cap has shed nearly a trillion dollars from the peak. Joel argues the classic 4-year cycle is breaking as nation-states, institutions, and a pro-crypto president pile in… while Travis reminds us that crypto has a nasty habit of wrecking your best assumptions (and your dream Mustang) right when you think you’ve figured it out. Volatility, bull-market “top” indicators, and long-term conviction all collide in one brutally honest convo. This episode is a reset: two blockheads, two dudes talking crypto, life, AI, politics, poop, and everything in between — the way the show started, before “no banter” media people tried to tame it. If you’ve ever felt lost in the noise of headlines and just wanted to hang with a couple of over-50 degen uncles trying to figure it out in real time… this one’s for you.