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Today's Post - Analyzing the Fed's Balance Sheet: Quantitative Easing and Tightening Explored In this week's Dividend Cafe, host David Boson, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, dives deep into the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, covering the concepts of quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT). With historical context dating back to the 2008 financial crisis, Boson discusses the evolution of the Fed's monetary policy tools, the implications of rate cuts, and the future outlook for financial markets. Key topics include the effects of QE on financial stability, comparisons to Japan's monetary policies, and how today's economic environment shapes future Fed actions. Boson also speculates on the potential impacts of the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and what it means for market expectations. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:37 Current Market Expectations and Fed Rate Cuts 03:15 Understanding the Fed's Balance Sheet 03:57 History of Quantitative Easing (QE) 06:52 The Impact of QE on Financial Markets 14:21 Quantitative Tightening (QT) and Its Challenges 20:10 The Future of Fed Policies and Market Implications 27:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
CoinDesk's Jenn Sanasie sits down with Ben Emons, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of FedWatch Advisors, to discuss why the crypto market is feeling "frothy and nervous," what a hawkish or dovish surprise from the Fed would look like, and the critical resistance zones for bitcoin.
Home country bias - not benefiting you this year. CPI inflation - not as bad on the top line - under the surface more to look at. Global Momentum fund review - and new Exchange ETF opportunities for tax benefits. Our guest, Meb Faber co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Mr. Faber is a co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management. Faber is the manager of Cambria's ETFs and separate accounts. Mr. Faber is the host of The Meb Faber Show podcast and has authored numerous white papers and leather-bound books. He is a frequent speaker and writer on investment strategies and has been featured in Barron's, The New York Times, and The New Yorker. Mr. Faber graduated from the University of Virginia with a double major in Engineering Science and Biology. Meb spends most of his free time skiing, learning to surf, and traveling. And because he gets this question daily, Mebane is Southern (US), and rhymes with “web-in”. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (GLD), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM)
In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., sits down with Kai Wu, Founder & CIO of Sparkline Capital, for a deep dive into investing beyond the balance sheet.Kai shares how Sparkline Capital applies machine learning, AI, and alternative data to measure intangible assets such as human capital and intellectual property and integrate them into a systematic value investing framework.We explore:• Buffett's three career phases from tangible to intangible moats• Why patents, brand equity, and PhD talent are undervalued• Using unstructured data to find advantages• The “lazy analyst” problem in the AI era• Tech giants moving from asset light to heavy AI infrastructure• Lessons from past tech revolutions for investors• Inside a modern quant shopWhether you are a fundamental investor, quant, or simply curious about how AI is reshaping investment strategy, this conversation delivers both the philosophy and the playbook.Chapters00:00 The Evolution of Value Investing02:31 Warren Buffett's Investment Philosophy05:43 Intangible Assets and Modern Investing08:17 The Role of AI in Investment Strategies10:58 Building Sparkline Capital13:45 The Future of Financial Analysis16:56 The Strategy Behind Sparkline's ETFs25:52 Valuing Intangible Assets in Business27:44 The War for AI Talent29:58 Human Capital and Its Impact on Valuation32:38 The Long-Term Value of Intangible Investments35:16 Transitioning from Intangible to Tangible Assets36:41 AI Infrastructure and Historical Context38:34 Risks of Infrastructure Investment in AI40:22 Identifying Early Adopters in the AI Space43:00 Building a Successful Investment Firm49:19 Utilizing AI Tools in Finance—Hosted by:Sean Emory, Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co.https://www.avory.xyzGuest:Kai Wu, Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Sparkline Capitalhttps://www.sparklinecapital.comFollow Avory & Co or Sean Emory
My guest today is Peter Lacaillade. Peter is the Chief Investment Officer for Private Investments at SCS Financial and has built one of the most respected private equity allocation platforms in wealth management, overseeing $50 billion for ultra-high-net-worth families and earning the same access as top-tier endowments. He shares how SCS's pooled vehicle structure enables them to compete with institutional giants for the best funds, avoiding the adverse selection that plagues most wealth platforms. Peter shares his investment philosophy across lower middle market buyouts, emerging independent sponsors, and early bets on category-defining managers like Thrive Capital and Shore Capital. We discuss what separates exceptional private equity managers, the evolution of the industry toward AI-powered strategies, and private markets going mainstream. Please enjoy this conversation with Peter Lacaillade. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Ramp. Ramp's mission is to help companies manage their spend in a way that reduces expenses and frees up time for teams to work on more valuable projects. Go to Ramp.com/invest to sign up for free and get a $250 welcome bonus. – This episode is brought to you by Ridgeline. Ridgeline has built a complete, real-time, modern operating system for investment managers. It handles trading, portfolio management, compliance, customer reporting, and much more through an all-in-one real-time cloud platform. Head to ridgelineapps.com to learn more about the platform. – This episode is brought to you by AlphaSense. AlphaSense has completely transformed the research process with cutting-edge AI technology and a vast collection of top-tier, reliable business content. Invest Like the Best listeners can get a free trial now at Alpha-Sense.com/Invest and experience firsthand how AlphaSense and Tegus help you make smarter decisions faster. ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:04:31) Advantages of Private Equity Over Public Markets (00:08:59) Talent Acquisition and Growth at SCS (00:10:28) SCS's Wealth Management Strategy (00:19:51) Challenges and Risks in Private Equity (00:26:06) The Future of Wealth Management (00:12:42) Trends in Private Equity (00:20:14) Challenges and Risks in Private Equity1 (00:22:58) Building Successful Private Equity Partnerships (00:26:06) The State of the Wealth Management Industry (00:35:07) Lower Middle Market Buyouts and Independent Sponsors (00:49:38) Introduction to Long Lake and Its Innovative Approach (00:50:21) AI-Powered Tools for Homeowners Associations (00:52:46) Permanent Capital Vehicles vs. Drawdown Funds (00:54:26) The Rise of Holding Companies (00:57:03) Emerging Trends in Venture Capital 01:05:44) The Role of Endowments and Liquidity Solutions (01:10:40) Jake and Frank's Partnership (01:13:57) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done For Peter
How does a leading investment fund fully integrate stewardship and sustainability into its strategy?In this episode of The Responsibility of Investing, Cambria Allen-Ratzlaff, Chief Responsible Investment Ecosystems Officer at the PRI, is joined by Jonathan Grabel, Chief Investment Officer for the Los Angeles County Employees Retirement Association (LACERA). They discuss how LACERA incorporates responsible investment principles across all asset classes, driven by a strong fiduciary duty to its beneficiaries.Jonathan shares insights into LACERA's governance structure, investment beliefs, and the operational integration of stewardship and the TIDE (Towards Inclusion, Diversity & Equity) programme. The conversation explores the role of data, proxy voting, and climate scenario analysis in managing risk and generating durable, risk-adjusted returns. Listeners will gain a clear understanding of how sustainability is embedded at every level of LACERA's investment process to protect and grow assets for current and future retirees.Visit the PRI website: https://www.unpri.org/
Sir Isaac Newton was a legendary physicist and mathematician. But even the man known for developing the theory of gravity failed to time the market. It is said that after cashing in his shares of Britain's South Sea Company, Newton bought back into the stock right before it crashed. Avoiding the most common mistakes that harm portfolio returns is essential to success in today's markets, where volatility is testing even the most seasoned investors. While there's no single recipe for success, accomplished long-term investors tend to remain disciplined, shut out the noise from a constant whirlwind of headlines, and avoid emotionally charged decisions. This episode of The Outthinking Investor brings lessons from Wall Street and the evolution of financial markets to help investors look beyond uncertainty and identify long-term opportunities. The discussion covers economic resilience and its portfolio implications; growth in ETFs; how alternatives can be well-suited for long-term capital; tax-loss harvesting through direct indexing; steering portfolios through unexpected crises; and more. Our guests are: Barry Ritholtz, Chief Investment Officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management and author of “How Not to Invest: The Ideas, Numbers, and Behaviors that Destroy Wealth—And How to Avoid Them” Scott Bok, former chairman and CEO of investment banking firm Greenhill & Company and author of “Surviving Wall Street: A Tale of Triumph, Tragedy, and Timing” Jim Devaney, PGIM's Head of US Distribution for the retail market Do you have any comments, suggestions, or topics you would like us to cover? Email us at thought.leadership@pgim.com, or fill out our survey at PGIM.com/podcast/outthinking-investor. To hear more from PGIM, tune into Speaking of Alternatives, available on Spotify, Apple, Amazon Music, and other podcast platforms. Explore our entire collection of podcasts at PGIM.com.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4lnsaSr The Futility of Economic Forecasting and the Current State of the Economy In this week's Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, discusses the limitations and challenges of economic forecasting, especially for investors. He underscores the difficulty of making accurate economic predictions and linking them to investment outcomes. Bahnsen critiques economic forecasting through various perspectives, including a quote from economist John Kenneth Galbraith, and highlights the complexities of interpreting present economic conditions, such as jobs data, trade levels, and corporate profits. The discussion touches on current challenges such as the impact of trade tariffs and the mixed signals from various economic indicators. Bahnsen aims to provide a clearer understanding of the present economic landscape without making bold predictions about the future. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:38 The Futility of Economic Forecasting 03:13 Current Economic Conditions 07:49 The Jobs Market Analysis 14:30 Trade and Tariff Impacts 21:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer with the Bahnsen Group (excellent Dividend Cafe Newsletter, BTW) has a smart take on markets and the economy right now. Open phones and more follow the talk.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is emerging as a top candidate to serve as the central bank's chair among President Trump's advisers as they look for a replacement for Jerome Powell. Earlier Thursday, Trump said he had chosen Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Stephen Miran to serve as a Fed governor. Trump said that Miran, who will need to be confirmed by the Senate, would only serve the remainder of Adriana Kugler's term, which expires in January. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index declined on the news, with Waller and Miran both having voiced support for lowering interest rates. We got reaction from Ivy Ng, Chief Investment Officer for the Asia-Pacific at DWS. She speaks with Bloomberg's Haidi Stroud-Watts and Paul Allen on The Asia Trade. Plus - trade tensions between the US and India are rising, while President Trump has signaled new sanctions on Russia could land as early as Friday. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also added that China levies "could be on the table" over the buying of Russian oil. Meantime, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi spoke with Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva on Thursday about strengthening trade ties amid rising US tariffs. For more on the growing impact of Washington's reciprocal tariffs, we hear from Inu Manak, Trade Policy Fellow at the Council on Foreign RelationsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On this episode of the Walker Webcast, we featured the timely and insightful remarks of Kate Moore, Chief Investment Officer at Citi Wealth, live from the Walker & Dunlop Summer Conference. Kate unpacked what's driving investor paralysis, how consumer behavior is shifting, what higher-for-longer rates mean for portfolios, and why corporate confidence is faltering behind closed doors. She also gives her take on the labor market, tax reform, and how the Fed's future could reshape the macroeconomic landscape. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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What's driving the interest in emerging markets and international investing? Kevin Carter, Founder & Chief Investment Officer of EMQQ Global, joins Chief Market Strategist Matt Orton, CFA, to explore how the falling dollar and other factors have been drivers of the emerging markets rally and the interesting opportunity this presents for investors to diversify.
In this episode, we dive into the archive to take you back to 2022 when Anthony spoke to Will Hobbs, who at the time of recording was the acting Chief Investment Officer of Barclays Wealth Management.Will talks about his untraditional route into markets, from training in Italy as a chef to landing his first role in finance, working through the dot-com and financial crisis, and then deconstructing his current role as Chief Investment Officer.There are lots of tips on networking, leveraging personal experiences, and a detailed explanation of how his team oversees the investment philosophy at Barclays UK in Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) and Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) decisions.We also touch on how he found his real passion later on in his career which ultimately acted as the springboard to later success and discuss how he deals with the pressure of being responsible for key decisions within the division he operates in.A must listen to episode for those looking to work in asset or wealth management but also for the wider community if you are looking for an open and genuine insight into working in the world of finance.(00:00) Introduction(02:10) From chef to CIO(04:00) Travel, Turkey, and taking risks(09:50) Early jobs and finding purpose(13:57) Networking advice: just ask(16:19) What a CIO really does(20:12) Handling pressure and big calls(25:01) Mental health in finance(30:16) Bitcoin, blockchain, and investing(34:53) How to start learning markets(38:03) Final tips for beginners
This week on Swimming with Allocators, Earnest and Alexa welcome Brian O'Neil, a veteran CIO with over four decades of investment experience, who provides a candid overview of the current venture capital landscape. Brian discusses the challenges facing venture capital, including excessive funding, prolonged private company lifecycles, and the shift from growth-at-all-costs to profitability. He also emphasizes the importance of diversification, understanding investment portfolios, and the need for patience when approaching venture investments. Key insights include the difficulty of finding top-quartile venture funds, the potential of AI and personalized medicine, and the critical role of relationship-building for emerging managers. Brian advises allocators to be selective, learn across asset classes, and recognize that venture capital requires a long-term perspective with an acceptance that many investments may not succeed. Don't miss this great conversation. Highlights from this week's conversation include:Early Days of Venture and LBOs (1:23)Performance of LBOs and Venture Capital (2:27)Allocator Approaches to Private vs. Public Markets (4:35)Continuation Funds and LBO Fund Lifecycles (6:42)Comparing Current Venture Downturns to History (8:22)Growth Equity and Venture Stage Reclassification (11:41)AI Hype and Venture Market Cycles (13:17)Time Horizons and Commitment Budgets (15:43)Advice for Allocators on Manager Selection (18:55)Co-Investment Trends in Private Equity (21:01)Lessons from CIO Experience (25:01)Advice for New Allocators (26:29)Advice for Emerging Managers (31:05)Exciting Trends in Venture: AI and Personalized Medicine (33:20)Final Thoughts and Takeaways (35:52)Brian O'Neil is the former Chief Investment Officer of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and has served in investment leadership roles for over 40 years, including at Equitable Life and AXA Investment Managers. He currently serves on the board of the Brooklyn Public Library and is an Investment Committee member at The Wallace Foundation. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a division of First Citizens Bank, is the bank of the world's most innovative companies and investors. SVB provides commercial and private banking to individuals and companies in the technology, life science and healthcare, private equity, venture capital and premium wine industries. SVB operates in centers of innovation throughout the United States, serving the unique needs of its dynamic clients with deep sector expertise, insights and connections. SVB's parent company, First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCNCA), is a top 20 U.S. financial institution with more than $200 billion in assets. First Citizens Bank, Member FDIC. Learn more at svb.com.Swimming with Allocators is a podcast that dives into the intriguing world of Venture Capital from an LP (Limited Partner) perspective. Hosts Alexa Binns and Earnest Sweat are seasoned professionals who have donned various hats in the VC ecosystem. Each episode, we explore where the future opportunities lie in the VC landscape with insights from top LPs on their investment strategies and industry experts shedding light on emerging trends and technologies. The information provided on this podcast does not, and is not intended to, constitute legal advice; instead, all information, content, and materials available on this podcast are for general informational purposes only.
Cia Buckley Marakovits joins Brandon Sedloff on The Distribution to walk through her journey to President and Chief Investment Officer of Dune Real Estate Partners. She reflects on formative experiences at Bankers Trust, JER, and ultimately Dune, weaving together lessons in capital markets, risk management, investor relations, and leadership. Cia discusses what it means to lead in the “private of private” asset classes, how she defines high-yield investing, and the opportunities created by capital inefficiencies. She also shares candid perspectives on loneliness in leadership, the importance of trusted peers, and the evolving role of women in real estate. They discuss: Why her career in real estate began with a phone call and a box of belongings Lessons from working alongside Dick Gunthel, Joe Robert, and Dan Neidich How high-yield investing differs from “opportunistic” or “value add” real estate Why today's market cycle is defined by an elongated de-leveraging period The power of relationships and diversity in driving investment performance A valuable episode for investors and operators interested in capital markets strategy, leadership, and navigating private real estate. Links: Dune Real Estate Partners - https://dunerealestate.com/ Cia on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/cia-buckley-marakovits-96722111/ Brandon on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/bsedloff/ Juniper Square - https://www.junipersquare.com/ Topics: (00:00:00) - Intro (00:01:58) - Cia's background and career (00:21:39) - Transitioning to Dune (00:28:20) - The correlation of loneliness and success (00:32:42) - The state of Dune today (00:37:33) - High-yield real estate (00:40:50) - When opportunistic deals make sense (00:45:05) - Private Real Estate in a world that pushes transparency (00:48:57) - The 2025 cycle (00:51:48) - The role of women in Real Estate
The largest asset class in the world is single family houses in the U.S., worth a total of $35 trillion. Not only is it the largest asset class, it's the least risky if you invest with low leverage. One way to participate in the appreciation of this asset class without the potential downside is with Home Equity Agreements. Home Equity Agreements are contracts between investors and homeowners where investors get a percentage of the upside of the home in exchange for a lump sum of capital. Jesse Stein, Chief Investment Officer of Homeshares, has launched a fund of Home Equity Agreements where investors can generate a conservative, high risk-adjusted return.
Harry Mamaysky, Professor at Columbia Business School and Chief Investment Officer at QuantStreet Capital, spoke with Rudolf Falat, founder of the Voice of FinTech podcast, about AI potential for investment management and asset allocation.Here is what they covered:Harry – what's your background? How did you get to what you do today? Why re-join academia?Why are we now going through the AI revolution? Where are we in terms of adoption? Is general AI on the horizon? Will everyone be affected by AI?Why is letting AI trade by itself unlikely to work? How can AI be useful in investing?How correct are AI models? What would AI (Gemini) answer for asset allocation questions?What's the confidence level of such an answer?Are the answers factually correct? When mistakes are made, how grave are they?Do LLMs know about real-time news?How about systematic investing? Can you provide an example of QuantStreet's asset allocation architecture?What are the things that AI doesn't know about?What are your recommendations for resources from which to learn more about AI in Finance? What's the best way to reach out? QuantStreet Capital (website), newsletter, e-mail: hello@quantstreetcapital.com or Harry Mamaysky on LinkedIn
Voor het eerst schuift Han Dieperink aan in de Cryptocast. Dieperink is Chief Investment Officer bij vermogensbeheerder Auréus en zit al decennia in het vak. Auréus heeft zo'n 4 miljard euro onder beheer en is daarmee een serieuze partij in Nederland. Met Bitcoin doen ze op dit moment nog niets. Als man van de beurs is Han zo nu en dan ook bezig met Bitcoin. Hij schrijft er op zijn blog graag over. De introductie van spot-ETF’s in de Verenigde Staten heeft volgens hem gezorgd voor een grotere institutionele interesse. Producten van BlackRock en Fidelity hebben miljarden aan kapitaal aangetrokken en bieden een gemakkelijke manier om blootstelling aan Bitcoin te krijgen. en als hij vraag en aanbod naast elkaar legt, sluit hij verdere stijging niet uit. Trumps plannen om van de VS de crypto-hoofdstad van de wereld te maken en zijn eigen betrokkenheid bij Bitcoin en crypto kunnen voor verdere legitimering van de sector zorgen. Co-host is Paul Buitink, managing director van Holland Gold. Gasten Han Dieperink Paul Buitink Links Eén van de (vele) blogs van Han Host Daniël Mol Redactie Daniël MolSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Sébastien Page, T. Rowe Price's Head of Global Multi-Asset and Chief Investment Officer, joins WSJ's Take On the Week to dig in on whether the market is in a speculative bubble. Page gets into tariffs, AI, and why he thinks the AI stocks have strong financial and economic positions. And he shares what he thinks investors could learn from sports psychology. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Join us for a one on one conversation with Alex Wiggins, CFA Vice President & Chief Investment Officer with Rush University Medical Center, an academic medical center located in Chicago, Illinois, consistently recognized for its outstanding patient care, education, research, and community partnerships. As CIO, Alex leads an investment office responsible for management of the institution's investment portfolios that include operating and insurance reserves, endowment fund, and retirement plan assets totaling $4.4 billion.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4fr9T5i Analyzing Trump Tariffs and Their Economic Impact David Bahnsen, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, delves into the Trump tariffs in this episode of Dividend Cafe. He explores the complexity and ambiguity surrounding the tariffs, their impact on the economy, and the real-time media and political narratives that shape public opinion. Emphasizing objective economic analysis, Bahnsen discusses the uncertainties in market reactions, potential declines in corporate profits, and the long-term economic outcomes of these trade policies. He stresses the importance of evaluating total trade volume, foreign investment, and the overall growth impact to provide a comprehensive understanding of the real consequences of tariffs. Bahnsen's approach underscores the necessity of looking beyond immediate political rhetoric to grasp the broader economic picture. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:03 Overview of Trump Tariffs 01:37 Market Reactions and Policy Changes 02:57 Framework of New Trade Deals 05:18 Economic Analysis and Predictions 10:09 Impact on Corporate Profits and Growth 18:17 Foreign Investment and Trade Volume 26:10 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
The first 6 months of the year have been a wild ride; wars, central bankers fired-then-not, tariffs on-again-off-again, and worries about jobs, earnings and more. To help make sense of this, and to get some advice on what to do we're joined by James Gauthier, Chief Investment Officer at Justwealth Financial.
Lisa Shalett, our Wealth Management CIO, and Andrew Sheets, our Head of Corporate Credit Research, conclude their discussion of American Exceptionalism, factoring in fixed income, in the second of a two-part episode.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Lisa Shalett: And I'm Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Andrew Sheets: Today – a today a concluding look at the theme of American exceptionalism and how it factors into fixed income. It's Thursday, July 31st at 4pm in London. Lisa Shalett: And it's 11am here in New York. So, Andrew, it's my turn to ask you some questions. And yesterday we talked a lot about equity markets, globalization, some of the broader macro shifts. But I wanted to zoom in on the credit markets today and one of our themes in the American Exceptionalism paper was the constraints of debts and deficits and how they play in. With U.S. debts level soaring and interest costs rising, how concerned should investors be? Andrew Sheets: So, you alluded to this a bit on our discussion yesterday that we are in a very interesting divide where you have inequality between very well-off companies and weaker companies that aren't doing as well. You have a lot of division within households between those who are, doing better and struggling more with the rate environment. But you know, I think we also see that the large deficits that the U.S. Federal government are running are in some ways largely mirrored by very, very good private sector financial positions. In aggregate U.S. households have record levels of assets relative to debt at the end of 2024; in aggregate the financial position of the U.S. equity market has never been better. And so, this is a dynamic where lending to the private sector, whether that is to parts of the residential mortgage market or to the corporate credit market, does have some advantages; where not just are you dealing with arguably a better trend of financial position, but you're just getting less issuance. I think there are a number of factors that could cause the market to cause the difference of yield between the government debt and that private sector debt – that so-called spread – to be narrower than it otherwise would be.Lisa Shalett: Well, that's a pretty interesting and provocative idea because, one of the hypotheses that we laid out in our paper is that perhaps one of the consequences of this extraordinary period of monetary stimulus of financial repression and ultra low rates, of massive regulation of the systemically important banking system, has been the explosion of shadow banks, and the private credit markets. Our thesis is they're a misallocation of capital. Has there been excess risk taking – in that area? And how should we think about that asset class, number one? And, number two, are they increasingly, a source of liquidity and issuance, or are they a drain on the system? Andrew Sheets: This is, kind of, where your discussion of normalization is is so interesting because in aggregate household balance sheets are in very good shape; in aggregate corporate balance sheets are in very good shape. But I do think there's a distinct tail of the market. Lets call it 5 percent of the high yield market, where you really are looking at a corporate capital structure that was designed for for a much lower level of rates. It was designed for maybe a immediately post COVID environment where rates were on the floor and expected to stay there for a long period of time. And so, if we are moving to an environment where Fed funds is at 3 or 4. Or as you mentioned – hey, maybe you could justify a rate even a little bit higher and not be wildly off. Well then, you just have the wrong capital structure. You have the wrong level of leverage; and it's actually hard to do much about that other than to restructure that debt, or look to change it in a larger way. So, I think we'll see a dynamic similar to the equity market – where there is less dispersion between the haves and have nots. Lisa Shalett: As we kind of think about where there could be pockets of opportunity in credit and in private credit, both public and private credit, and where there could be risks. Can you just help me with that and explore that a little bit more? Andrew Sheets: I think where credit looks most interesting is in some ways where it looks most boring. I think where the case for credit is strongest is – the investment grade market in the U.S. pays 5.25 percent. A 6 percent long run return might be competitive with certain investors' long-term equity market forecasts, or at least not a million miles off. I think though the other area where this is going to be interesting is – do we see significantly more capital intensity out of the tech sector? And a real divide between fixed income and equities is that tech has so far really been an equity story.Lisa Shalett: Correct. Andrew Sheets: But this data center build out is just enormous. I mean, through 2028, our analysts at Morgan Stanley think it's close to $3 trillion with a 't'. And so there's a lot of interest in how can credit markets, how can private credit markets fund some of this build out; and there are opportunities and risks around that. And you know, something that I think credit's going to play an interesting part of. Lisa Shalett: And in that vision do you see the blurring of lines or a more competitive market between public and private? Andrew Sheets: I do think there's always a little bit of a funny nature about credit where it's not always clear why a particular corporate loan would need to be traded every day, would need to be marked every day. I think it is a little bit different from the equity market in that way. And I think you're also seeing a level of sophistication from investors who now have the ability to traffic across these markets and move capital between these markets, depending on where they think they're being better compensated or where there's better opportunities. So, I think we're kind of absolutely seeing the blur of these lines. And again, I think private credit has until recently been somewhat synonymous with high-yield lending, riskier lending, lower rated lending. Lisa Shalett: Correct. Yeah. Andrew Sheets: And, yet, the lending that we're seeing to some of this tech infrastructure is, you could argue, maybe more similar to Investment Grade lending – both in terms of risk, but also it pays a lot less. And so again, this is kind of an interesting transition where you're seeing a broader scope and absolutely, I think, more blurring of the line between these markets. Lisa Shalett: So, let's just switch gears a little bit and pull out from credit to the broader diversified cross-asset portfolio. And some of those cross-asset correlations are starting to break down; and we go through these periods where stocks and bonds are more often than not positively correlated in moving together. How are you beginning to think about duration risk in this environment? And have you made any adjustments to how you think about portfolio construction in light of these potentially shifting changes in correlations across assets?Andrew Sheets: I think there are kind of maybe two large takeaways I would take from this. First is I do think the big asset where we've seen the biggest change is in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar, I think, for a lot of the period we've been discussing on these two episodes, was kind of the best of both worlds. And recently that's just really broken down. And so, I think, when we think about the reallocation to the rest of the world, the focus on diversification, I think this is absolutely something that is top of mind among non-U.S. investors that we're talking to, which is almost the U.S. equity piece is kind of a separate conversation.The other piece though, is some of this debate around yields and equities – and do equities fear higher rates or lower rates? Which one of those is the biggest problem? And there's a question of magnitude that's a little interesting here. Rates going higher might be a little bit more of a problem for the S&P 500 than rates going lower. That rates going higher might be more consistent with the scenario of temporary higher inflation. Maybe rates go lower [be]cause the market gets more excited about Federal Reserve cuts.But I think in terms of scenarios where – like where is the equity market really going to have a problem? Well, it's really going to have a problem if there's a recession. So, even though I think bonds have been less effective diversifiers, I really do think they're still going to serve a very healthy, helpful purpose around some of those potentially kind of bigger dynamics. Lisa Shalett: Yeah that very much jives with the way we've been thinking about it, particularly within the context of managing private wealth, where very often we're confronted with the, the question: What about 60-40? Is 60-40 dead? Is 60-40 back? Like, you talk about not wanting to hedge, I don't want to hedge either. But the answer to the question we agree is somewhat nuanced. Right?We do agree that this perfect world of negative correlations between stocks and bonds that we enjoyed for a good portion of the last 15 years probably is over. But that doesn't mean that bonds, and most specifically that 5 - 10 year part of the curve, doesn't have a really important role to play in portfolios. And the reason I say that is that one of the other elements of this conversation that we haven't really touched on is valuation and expected returns.I know that when I speak of the valuation-oriented topics and the CAPE ratio when expected 10-year returns, everyone's eyes glaze over and roll to the back of their head and they say, ‘Oh, here she goes again.' But look, I am in the camp that says an awful lot of growth has already been discounted and already been priced. And that it is much more likely that U.S. equities will return something closer to long run averages. So that's not awful. The lower volatility of a fixed income asset that's returning 6s and 7s has a definite role to play in portfolios for wealth clients who are by and large long term oriented investors who are not necessarily attempting to exploit 90-day volatility every quarter. Andrew Sheets: Without putting too fine of a point on it, I think when that question of is 60-40 over is phrased, I kind of think the subtext is often that it's the bond side, the 40 side that has a problem. And not to be the Fixed Income Defender on this podcast, but you could probably more easily argue that if we're talking about, well, which valuation is more stretched, the equity side or the bond side? I think it's the equity side that has a more stretched valuation.Lisa Shalett: Without a doubt, without a doubt. Andrew Sheets: Well, Lisa, thanks again for taking the time to talk. Lisa Shalett: Absolutely great to speak with you, Andrew, as always. Andrew Sheets: And thanks again for listening to this two-part conversation on American exceptionalism, the changes coming to that and how investors should position. And to our listeners, a reminder to take a moment to please review us wherever you listen. It helps more people find the show. And if you found this conversation insightful, tell a friend or colleague about Thoughts on the Market today.*****Lisa Shalett is a member of Morgan Stanley's Wealth Management Division and is not a member of Morgan Stanley's Research Department. Unless otherwise indicated, her views are her own and may differ from the views of the Morgan Stanley Research Department and from the views of others within Morgan Stanley.
Do you work to live…or live to work? For many, the answer is simple: “I work to make a living.”But what if there's more to work than just earning a paycheck? Could it be that work holds deeper meaning—something essential to who we are and how we're made? David Bahnsen joins us today to offer a perspective on work you might not have considered.David Bahnsen is the Founder, Managing Partner, and Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, a national private wealth management firm managing over $7 billion in client assets. He is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, and Fox Business. He is also the author of Full Time: Work and the Meaning of Life. Rethinking Work and IdentityWe live in a world that often tells us our identity has nothing to do with our work. Unfortunately, that idea has not only crept into culture but also into the church. But let's be honest: that's simply not true. Our identity is tied to our work—not in the sense that a job title defines us, but because we are made in the image of a working God.We all instinctively know this. We don't look at someone who is contributing meaningfully to society and compare them equally to someone who spends every day in idleness. That's not about transactional worth—it's about reflecting the nature of our Creator. God created us to be productive, useful, and active. That's not a controversial claim. It's Genesis 1. Work isn't all of who we are, but it is a vital part of who we were created to be.Too often, we treat faith like an add-on. We make decisions about money, career, education, even family, and then sprinkle a few Bible verses on top. But the goal isn't to balance faith and work—it's to integrate them. That begins by grounding our understanding of work in a creational theology: God made work good.What we need in the church is not more dichotomy between sacred and secular, but an integrated vision that sees every good job—yes, even spreadsheets, sales, and software—as part of God's design. This mindset shift must begin in our pulpits. Our congregations need to hear that their Monday through Friday labor is not second-tier spiritual activity. It is sacred.The Relationship Between Work and RestInstead of chasing a “work-life balance,” Scripture offers a “work-rest paradigm.” God modeled six days of work followed by one day of rest—not the other way around. The purpose of rest isn't to escape work; it's to be restored for more of it. Rest has meaning because work has meaning.That's why we push back on the cultural narrative that says rest, leisure, and early retirement are life's ultimate goals. While rest is essential, its purpose is to equip us to return to the good, God-glorifying work He's called us to do.Culture often treats retirement as the finish line—an end to productivity, as if people cease to offer value once they reach a certain age. But that view is deeply flawed.We must challenge the financial industry's narrative that the goal is to accumulate enough so that we never have to work again. That mindset undermines the dignity and purpose of work. Yes, physical limitations may alter what work looks like in later years, but wisdom, experience, and the capacity to contribute remain. Companies and churches alike lose something precious when they usher older workers out instead of tapping into their gifts.Job, Career, or Calling?So, how should we think about our work? Is it just a job? A stepping stone? Or something more?Every Christian, no matter their vocation, should view their work as a calling. That doesn't mean God gives us a divine word about every job transition, but it does mean that the act of producing goods and services, solving problems, and serving others is inherently meaningful. That's our calling: to work with excellence, for the good of others, and the glory of God.To young adults wondering what to do with their lives: Don't believe the lie that you need to find your dream job tomorrow. Instead, embrace the next opportunity in front of you with excellence, humility, and a long-term view.Work is not just a means to a paycheck. It's how we serve our neighbors, develop skills, build character, and participate in God's ongoing work in the world. Some jobs may be stepping stones—but every job matters. The key is to remember the why behind your work: it's about loving God and loving others.Here's the truth: work isn't something we do just to meet our needs. It's something we do because God made us to work. He worked in creation, and He continues to work in redemption. When we work, we join Him in that sacred task—creating, restoring, cultivating, and contributing to human flourishing.Our work builds families, economies, culture—and yes, even the Kingdom of God.On Today's Program, Rob Answers Listener Questions:I recently retired and now work part-time delivering food for a restaurant using my personal vehicle. Am I allowed to deduct mileage, gas, or other vehicle expenses when I file my income taxes?My son is having a hard time covering his business expenses and has turned to several payday loans just to stay afloat. I'm looking for advice on how he can get sound financial guidance—or if there's a way he can consolidate that debt and get back on track.Resources Mentioned:Faithful Steward: FaithFi's New Quarterly Magazine (Become a FaithFi Partner)Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life by David L. BahnsenChristian Credit CounselorsWisdom Over Wealth: 12 Lessons from Ecclesiastes on MoneyLook At The Sparrows: A 21-Day Devotional on Financial Fear and AnxietyRich Toward God: A Study on the Parable of the Rich FoolFind a Certified Kingdom Advisor (CKA) or Certified Christian Financial Counselor (CertCFC)FaithFi App Remember, you can call in to ask your questions most days at (800) 525-7000. Faith & Finance is also available on the Moody Radio Network and American Family Radio. Visit our website at FaithFi.com where you can join the FaithFi Community and give as we expand our outreach.
On the latest episode of the Debtwire Municipals Muni Lowdown podcast, Managing Editor Paul Greaves and Reporter Kunal Kamal speak with John Miller, Head and Chief Investment Officer of the Municipal Credit Team at First Eagle Investments.John has had a front-row seat to the municipal market for over three decades. The discussion starts with John by sharing a couple of key principles that have guided him through previous periods of uncertainty in the market.The discussion segues into the performance of the First Eagle High Yield Municipal Fund since its inception in the January 2024 and YTD 2025.The conversation shifts to one of First Eagle's top holdings, Brightline. It has had a complex credit journey, including the deferred interest payment announcement, rating downgrades, but improving performance. Given that backdrop, John provides his current investment thesis for Brightline, as well as highlighting risks and opportunities looking ahead.The podcast concludes with John discussing investment considerations in the high yield/unrated municipal market.#highyieldmunis #municipalmarket #Brightline #muniland
The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Adam Ruddle, Chief Investment Officer of LV Group (Liverpool Victoria), to the podcast to delve into the group's investment strategy and where it sees opportunities for its portfolios.This comprehensive discussion explores the current landscape for LV, covering everything from asset allocation strategies to geographic positioning in today's market environment.The conversation begins with an overview of what investors can expect from LV portfolios in the current climate. The discussion then delves into the balancing act between fixed income and equities, particularly relevant as stock markets hover near all-time highs.A significant portion addresses recent market turbulence. Specifically, the conversation covers tactical responses to Trump tariff-related volatility and the practical steps taken to navigate this uncertainty. The geographic focus shifts to the UK market, examining current exposure levels, assets under management allocation, and future development prospects in this key region.Global positioning takes centre stage as the discussion reveals current over- and underweight positions across different geographies.We discuss specific investment vehicles. Individual picks such as gold and Nvidia are analysed, providing concrete examples of how broader strategy translates into actual portfolio construction and security selection.Adam finishes with a forward-looking perspective on the year ahead. Key opportunities are identified and assessed, offering listeners actionable insights into where the most promising prospects may emerge in the coming months.Find out more about LV here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In the first of a two-part episode, Lisa Shalett, our Wealth Management CIO, and Andrew Sheets, our Head of Corporate Credit Research, discuss whether the era of “American Exceptionalism” is ending and how investors should prepare for a global market rebalancing. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Lisa Shalett: And I'm Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Andrew Sheets: Today, the first of two episodes tackling a fascinating and complex question. Is American market dominance ending? And what would that mean for investors?It's Wednesday, July 30th at 4pm in London. Lisa Shalett: And it's 11am here in New York. Andrew Sheets: Lisa, it's so great to talk to you again, and especially what we're going to talk about over these two episodes. , a theme that's been coming up regularly on this podcast is this idea of American exceptionalism. This multi-year, almost multi-decade outperformance of the U.S. economy, of the U.S. currency, of the U.S. stock market. And so, it's great to have you on the show, given that you've recently published on this topic in a special report, very topically titled American Exceptionalism: Navigating the Great Rebalancing.So, what are the key pillars behind this idea and why do you think it's so important? Lisa Shalett: Yeah. So, I think that that when you think about the thesis of American exceptionalism and the duration of time that the thesis has endured. I think a lot of investors have come to the conclusion that many of the underpinnings of America's performance are just absolutely inherent and foundational, right? They'll point to America as a, economy of innovation. A market with regulation and capital markets breadth and depth and liquidity a market guided by, , laws and regulation, and a market where, heretofore, we've had relatively decent population growth. All things that tend to lead to growth. But our analysis of the past 15 years, while acknowledging all of those foundational pillars say, ‘Wait a minute, let's separate the wheat from the chaff.' Because this past 15 years has been, extraordinary and different. And it's been extraordinary and different on at least three dimensions. One, the degree to which we've had monetary accommodation and an extraordinary responsiveness of the Fed to any crisis. Secondly, extraordinary fiscal policy and fiscal stimulus. And third, the peak of globalization a trend that in our humble opinion, American companies were among the biggest beneficiaries of exploiting, despite all of the political rhetoric that considers the costs of that globalization. Andrew Sheets: So, Lisa, let me go back then to the title of your report, which is the Great Rebalancing or navigating the Great Rebalancing. So, what is that rebalancing? What do you think kind of might be in store going forward? Lisa Shalett: The profound out performance, as you noted, Andrew, of both the U.S. dollar and American stock markets have left the world, , at an extraordinarily overweight position to the dollar and to American assets.And that's against a backdrop where we're a fraction of the population. We're 25 percent of global GDP, and even with all of our great companies, we're still only 33 percent of the profit pool. So, we were at a place where not only was everyone overweight, but the relative valuation premia of American equity assets versus equities outside or rest of world was literally a 50 percent premium. And that really had us asking the question, is that really sustainable? Those kind of valuation premiums – at a point when all of these pillars, fiscal stimulus, monetary stimulus, globalization, are at these profound inflection points. Andrew Sheets: You mentioned monetary and fiscal policy a bit as being key to supercharging U.S. markets. Where do you think these factors are going to move in the future, and how do you think that affects this rebalancing idea? Lisa Shalett: Look, I mean, I think we went through a period of time where on a relative basis, relative growth, relative rate spreads, right? The, the dispersion between what you could earn in U.S. assets and what you could earn in other places, and the hedging ratio in those currency markets made owning U.S. assets, just incredibly attractive on a relative basis. As the U.S. now kind of hits this point of inflection when the rest of the world is starting to say, okay, in an America first and an America only policy world, what am I going to do? And I think the responses are that for many other countries, they are going to invest aggressively in defense, in infrastructure, in technology, to respond to de-globalization, if you will. And I think for many of those economies, it's going to help equalize not only growth rates between the U.S. and the rest of the world, but it's going to help equalize rate differentials. Particularly on the longer end of the curves, where everyone is going to spending money. Andrew Sheets: That's actually a great segue into this idea of globalization, which again was a major tailwind for U.S. corporations and a pillar of this American outperformance over a number of years.It does seem like that landscape has really changed over the last couple of decades, and yet going forward, it looks like it's going to change again. So, with rising deglobalization with higher tariffs, what do you think that's going to mean to U.S. corporate margins and global supply chains? Lisa Shalett: Maybe I am a product of my training and economics, but I have always been a believer in comparative advantage and what globalization allowed. True free trade and globalization of supply chains allowed was for countries to exploit what they were best at – whether it was the lowest cost labor, the lowest cost of natural resources, the lowest cost inputs. And America was aggressive at pursuing those things, at outsourcing what they could to grow profit margins. And that had lots of implications. And we weren't holding manufacturing assets or logistical assets or transportation assets necessarily on our balance sheets. And that dimension of this asset light and optimized supply chains is something in a world of tariffs, in a world of deglobalization, in a world of create manufacturing jobs onshore, where that gets reversed a bit. And there's going to be a financial cost to that. Andrew Sheets: It's probably fair to say that the way that a lot of people experience American exceptionalism is in their retirement account. In your view, is this outperformance sustainable or do you think, as you mentioned, changing fiscal dynamics, changing trade dynamics, that we're also going to see a leadership rotation here? Lisa Shalett: Our thesis has been, this isn't the end of American exceptionalism, point blank, black and white. What we've said, however, is that we think that the order of magnitude of that outperformance is what's going to close, , when you start burdening, , your growth rate with headwinds, right? And so, again, not to say that that American assets can't continue to, to be major contributors in portfolios and may even, , outperform by a bit. But I don't think that they're going to be outperforming by the magnitude, kind of the 450 - 550 basis points per year compound for 15 years that we've seen. Andrew Sheets: The American exceptionalism that we've seen really since 2009, it's also been accompanied by really unprecedented market imbalances. But another dimension of these imbalances is social and economic inequality, which is creating structural, and policy, and political challenges. Do these imbalances matter for markets? And do you think these imbalances affect economic stability and overall market performance? Lisa Shalett: People need to understand what has happened over this period. When we applied this degree of monetary and fiscal, stimulus, what we essentially did was massively deleverage the private sector of America, right? And as a result, when you do that, you enable and create the backdrop for the portions of your economy who are less interest rate sensitive to continue to, kind of, invest free money. And so what we have seen is that this gap between the haves and the have nots, those who are most interest rate sensitive and those who are least interest rate sensitive – that chasm is really blown out.But also I would suggest an economic policy conundrum. We can all have points of view about the central bank, and we can all have points of view about the current chair. But the reality is if you look at these dispersions in the United States, you have to ask yourself the question, is there one central bank policy that's right for the U.S. economy? I could make the argument that the U.S. GDP, right, is growing at 5.5 percent nominal right now. And the policy rate's 4.3 percent. Is that tight?Andrew Sheets: Hmm. Lisa Shalett: I don't know, right? The economists will tell me it's really tight, Lisa – [be]cause neutral is 3. But I don't know. I don't see the constraints. If I drill down and do I say, can I see constraints among small businesses? Yeah. I think they're suffering. Do I see constraints in some of the portfolio companies of private equity? Are they suffering? Yeah. Do they need lower rates? Yeah. Do the lower two-thirds of American consumers need lower rates to access the housing market. Yeah. But is it hurting the aggregate U.S. economy? Mm, I don't know; hard to convince me. Andrew Sheets: Well, Lisa, that seems like a great place to actually end it for now and Thanks as always, for taking the time to talk. Lisa Shalett: My pleasure, Andrew. Andrew Sheets: And that brings us to the end of part one of this two-part look at American exceptionalism and the impact on equity and fixed income markets. Tomorrow we'll dig into the fixed income side of that debate.Thank you as always, for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen, and also tell a friend or colleague about us today.*****Lisa Shalett is a member of Morgan Stanley's Wealth Management Division and is not a member of Morgan Stanley's Research Department. Unless otherwise indicated, her views are her own and may differ from the views of the Morgan Stanley Research Department and from the views of others within Morgan Stanley.
August Biniaz reveals how he turned a local construction hustle into a $200M+ U.S. real estate empire. Learn how CPI Capital cracked the syndication code for Canadian investors and why build-to-rent is their next big bet. Hit play to discover how global wealth gets built one smart deal at a time. Key Takeaways To Listen For The legal and tax moves behind CPI's syndication model CPI's system for scaling capital without in-person meetings Why skipping brokers gave CPI a competitive edge How August built credibility through education and thought leadership What institutional capital is looking for in a syndicator Resources/Links Mentioned In This Episode [WEBINAR] 2025 Market Pulse Check Sapiens by Yuval Noah Harari | Kindle, Hardcover, and Paperback Traction by Gabriel Weinberg and Justin Mares | Kindle, Hardcover, and Paperback Who Not How by Dan Sullivan & Benjamin Hardy | Kindle, Hardcover and Paperback Real Estate Weekly by CPI Capital: Real insights. Real news. Real returns. Get expert strategies and market updates that help you invest smarter. Subscribe now: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/real-estate-weekly-6871644418051600384/ About August BiniazAugust is the Chief Investment Officer and Co-Founder of CPI Capital, where he leads investment strategy, acquisitions, and asset management. He drives the firm's mission to preserve and grow investor capital through disciplined real estate investing. August also spearheads business development, cultivating relationships with institutional investors and expanding CPI's capital base. With over 15 years in real estate, August began as a successful agent in British Columbia, later launching White Rhino Developments to build custom and spec homes. His entrepreneurial drive and deep market insight led him to co-found CPI Capital, through which he has closed over $225 million in multifamily assets. Connect with August Website: CPI Capital Podcast: Real Estate Investing Demystified | Apple Podcasts and Spotify YouTube: Real Estate Investing Demystified LinkedIn: August Biniaz Connect With UsIf you're looking to invest your hard-earned money into cash-flowing, value-add assets, reach out to us at https://bobocapitalventures.com/. Follow Keith's social media pages LinkedIn: Keith Borie Investor Club: Secret Passive Cashflow Investors Club Facebook: Keith Borie X: @BoboLlc80554
In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., sits down with Loujaina Abdelwahed, PhD — a senior economist at Revelio Labs — to break down what's really happening in the labor market.We dig into the shifting workforce, the nuanced role AI is playing in reshaping jobs, and the generational divide in employee sentiment and retention.From federal workforce changes to AI adoption curves — this is the kind of analysis that tells us where the labor market is actually headed.We cover:• Slowing hiring and historically low attrition• Why AI is altering — not eliminating — roles• Declining demand for AI-exposed roles• Generational shifts: why younger workers are leaving• The changing public workforce and retention challenges• Why employee sentiment is deteriorating — and what it means• How AI adoption is correlated with productivity and satisfaction• Which jobs are growing while others stagnate—Hosted by:Sean Emory — Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co.https://www.avory.xyzGuest:Loujaina Abdelwahed, PhD — Senior Economist at Revelio LabsFollow Avory & Co or Sean Emory
The last time I interviewed today's guest was right after the stock market plunged 20% to its post-Liberation Day lows in April.Wall Street was stunned, as just a few months before, the market seemed unstoppable.Well, here we are three months later...and stocks have rocketed back to new highs.The fears that panicked investors so much back in April seem completely forgotten.What is going on and what's most likely to happen from here?To discuss, we're fortunate to be joined today by David Hay, the up-until-recently Chief Investment Officer & Principal at Evergreen Gavekal. He now publishes daily investing commentary on his excellent Haymaker Substack.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bearmarket #deficit #debt 0:00 - Market Recovery3:01 - The Trump Turnaround10:26 - Debts, Deficits, and Fed Balance Sheet15:37 - Bond Market Breakouts23:16 - Emerging Market Bonds31:03 - Tariffs and Economic Impacts46:56 - Student Loans and Delinquencies52:42 - AI and Productivity58:01 - Crypto and Bitcoin Treasuries:1:10:22 - Investment Recommendations1:21:13 - New Harbor Update_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
I am here today with the incredibly kind, generous, and brilliant Wendy Li. Wendy is the co-founder and Chief Investment Officer at Ivy Invest, where she's democratizing access to the same sophisticated investment strategies typically reserved for billion-dollar endowments and foundations. Today, we take a deep dive into Wendy's remarkable journey from growing up in a tight-budget immigrant family in Pennsylvania to becoming a top institutional investor managing multi-billion dollar portfolios. You'll hear about her early relationship with money shaped by her parents' financial struggles and eventual success, her unexpected discovery of finance as a career path at Columbia, and her unique experience working in the investment offices of prestigious institutions like the Met Museum. Wendy shares candid insights about being a natural saver from her early twenties, the power of compounding through market volatility, and her bird's-eye view of the vast landscape of investment opportunities most individual investors never see. She opens up about the scary but ultimately rewarding decision to leave the security of institutional investing to build Ivy Invest, and how her mission is to bridge the gap between what billion-dollar institutions can access and what individual investors have available to them. Listen as Wendy discusses her "endowment in a box" approach, the importance of building financial cushions that provide life optionality, and her vision for helping the next generation of investors build wealth in ways they didn't previously think possible. It's a conversation filled with practical wisdom on investing, risk-taking, and creating meaningful impact through financial innovation. Key Topics: Growing up in an immigrant family with financial struggles that transformed when her father completed his PhD and entered the semiconductor industry Discovering finance as a career path at Columbia through Wall Street recruiting, despite initially planning to become a lawyer Starting her career at the Met Museum's investment office under female leadership and learning the institutional investing landscape Developing a natural saving mindset in her twenties, living frugally in NYC to maximize investments and build wealth through market volatility Understanding the vast world of alternative investments as an institutional investor - from private equity to real estate to specialized credit strategies Making the difficult decision to leave institutional investing security to co-found Ivy Invest with her family's support Building "endowment in a box" - democratizing access to sophisticated asset classes with just a $1,000 minimum investment Balancing legacy building through both family relationships and creating pathways for others to build wealth Connect with Wendy online: Website: https://www.ivyinvest.co/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wendy-li-cfa/ Find more from Syama Bunten: Instagram: @syama.co, @gettingrichpod Website: https://syamabunten.com/ Download Syama's Guide to Getting Rich: www.syamabunten.com Big Delta Capital: www.bigdeltacapital.com
In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., sits down with Anthony Power, co-founder of Power Mining Analysis and a leading voice in the mining world, to break down how the economics of Bitcoin mining are evolving and why many are shifting toward high-performance compute (HPC) infrastructure.This isn't just about mining anymore, it's about building the digital infrastructure stack of the future.Chapters00:00 Introduction to Bitcoin Mining and Power Mining Analysis04:56 Current State of Bitcoin Mining10:14 Challenges and Adaptations in Mining14:43 The Shift to High-Performance Computing (HPC)19:14 Future of Bitcoin Mining and HPC24:26 Funding and Infrastructure for HPC29:05 Emerging Players in Mining Technology37:39 Conclusion and Future OutlookWhether you're long, short, or just curious about the future of mining infrastructure — this one goes deep.—Hosted by:Sean Emory — Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co.https://www.avory.xyzGuest:Anthony Power — Co-founder of Power Mining AnalysisContributing Writer at Compass MiningFollow Avory & Co or Sean Emory
We sat down with Victoria Greene, CFA®, CRPC®, Chief Investment Officer and Founding Partner at G Squared Private Wealth, for a midyear outlook on the markets and current rate environment. Victoria discusses how to support clients remaining invested amid tariffs, volatility, and uncertainty, and gives insight into the evolving landscape of alternative investments.
Paul MacDonald, Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager at Harvest Portfolios Group, shares his outlook on Healthcare Stocks.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4m0KxNO Market Update & European Union Trade Deal - Dividend Cafe In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, discusses a range of market updates and economic observations from his office in New York City. He highlights the flat performance of major indices amidst the European Union trade deal news, the surprising low volatility, and the record number of S&P 500 companies above their 200-day moving average. Bahnsen also touches on upcoming earnings reports from major tech firms, bond market movements, and significant sector performances. Additionally, he offers his perspectives on durable goods orders, initial jobless claims, and existing home sales figures. The episode includes insights on the latest trade deals and how they may impact markets long-term, along with a personal anecdote about walking through a movie set in the intense summer heat. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:57 Unexpected Encounter on the Way to Fox Business 02:08 Market Performance and Key Indicators 04:06 European Union Trade Deal Insights 07:20 Economic Data and Predictions 08:57 Housing Market Trends 09:45 Potential Policy Changes and The Fed's Meeting 10:50 Midstream Companies and Dividend Growth 11:37 Conclusion and Upcoming Content Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
A power shift is underway. And it is not just political or technological. In this episode of The Millionaire Next Door, host Robert Curtiss sits down with Michael Underhill, Chief Investment Officer at Capital Innovations, to explore the seismic transformation in infrastructure and energy investing. With humor, historical context, and deep industry insight, Michael compares … Read More Read More
Art of the Deal - David Bahnsen, Founder & Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, manages over $8 billion in assets, and is our first expert guest in this episode. How are the Trump trade deals going, and are tariffs good or bad? Should you own gold and silver, or, are there other assets that offer a better ROI. Find out, as Dr. Wendy Patrick and Attorney Larry Dershem interview one of the top financial advisors in America. https://thebahnsengroup.com/ Also, ... There's a Killer on the Road – Los Angeles based Private Investigator extraordinaire Nils Grevillius is our guest for the second half of the program. We analyze the psychopathic mind of Bryan Kohberger, who this week was sentenced to four consecutive life sentences without the possibility of parole, plus a 10-year sentence for burglary. You won't believe what our expert guest thinks is the real reason behind the ruthless and brutal murders of four college students in Idaho in November 2022. https://grevilliuspi.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
With 2025 marked by heightened uncertainty, shifting fiscal policies, and volatile market swings, investors are eager to understand which trends have held up—and which have not. As we cross the year's midpoint, Neuberger Berman's senior investment leaders reconvene to assess the predictions made in our annual “Solving for 2025” outlook. On this episode of Disruptive Forces, host Anu Rajakumar is joined by Shannon Saccocia, Chief Investment Officer, Wealth, and Jeff Blazek, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Multi-Asset, to explore how forecasts have evolved—and what these insights mean for positioning portfolios in the second half of the year. This communication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or reliability. This communication is not directed at any investor or category of investors and should not be regarded as investment advice or a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Neuberger Berman is not providing this material in a fiduciary capacity and has a financial interest in the sale of its products and services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor's individual objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her advisors. All information is current as of the date of this material and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Neuberger Berman products and services may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all client types. This material is not intended as a formal research report and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. The firm, its employees and advisory accounts may hold positions of any companies discussed. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events or market behavior may differ significantly from any views expressed. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This material is being issued on a limited basis through various global subsidiaries and affiliates of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. Please visit www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications for the specific entities and jurisdictional limitations and restrictions. The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. © 2025 Neuberger Berman Group LLC. All rights reserved.
Join Alex Tapscott and Andrew Young as they decode the world of Web3 with special guest Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise Asset Management. Listen in as they discuss how the crypto market has matured to the point where companies are turning to public markets to raise capital and reach new investors, the paradigm shift in TradFi's understanding of blockchains and tokenization this year, the primary drivers behind Ethereum's recent rally and where it could reach by year-end, frameworks for valuing cryptoassets, the rise of digital asset treasury companies and their net impact on the market, how Bitwise sets itself apart, whether boom-bust cycles are a thing of the past, the ongoing alt season playing out in the stock market with crypto-related public equities, overlooked opportunities across the altcoin ecosystem, the potential for a Bitwise IPO, and more.
In this episode, hosts David Millili and Steve Carran sit down with Dean Stambules, Chief Investment Officer at Sage Hospitality Group, live from the ILC CONfab in Chicago.Dean shares his unique path into the hospitality world—from his family's deep roots in the industry to his early career in appraisal work that led to a passion for hotel investment. He offers a behind-the-scenes look at Sage Hospitality's growing independent hotel platform, including exciting properties like the Stanley Hotel in Estes Park and Circa 39 in Miami Beach.You'll also get an insider's preview of Dean's recent talk on deal-making, where he breaks down the complexities of hotel acquisitions, partnerships, and value creation—highlighting the transformative renovation of One Ocean Resort in Florida.If you're passionate about hospitality development, deal strategy, or just love hearing about iconic properties, this one's for you.Tune in now to hear:How Dean found his calling in hospitalityWhat's new with Sage and their growing portfolioA real-world case study of turning potential into profitThe value of independent hotel experiencesHow Sage marries design, operations, and investment to drive resultsWatch the FULL EPISODE on YouTube: https://youtu.be/60QBnHZtMtYJoin the conversation on today's episode on The Modern Hotelier LinkedIn pageThe Modern Hotelier is produced, edited, and published by Make More MediaLinks:Dean on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dean-stambules-30a11046/Sage Hospitality Group: https://sagehospitalitygroup.com/For full show notes head to: https://themodernhotelier.com/episode/190Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-...Connect with Steve and David:Steve: https://www.linkedin.com/in/%F0%9F%8E...David: https://www.linkedin.com/in/david-mil.
On this week's episode of Financial Planning: Explained, host Michael Menninger, CFP welcomes back Brad Sorensen, CFA. Brad is a portfolio manager and outsourced Chief Investment Officer at Cornerstone Portfolio Research. This episode discusses the economic forecast of the current markets. In this episode, Brad and Mike talk about the labor market, Price-to-Earning (P/E) ratios, and expectations for the markets moving forward. This is a great episode for anyone following the markets and investing for the future. For more information on Menninger & Associates Financial Planning visit https://maaplanning.com.
On this episode of Private Markets 360°, Chris Botsford, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer at ADM Capital, shares his insights on the private credit market in Asia. He explores his extensive experience in investing in underfinanced SMEs, the importance of ESG principles, and the critical role of local relationships in navigating diverse jurisdictions. Credits: Host/Author: Chris Sparenberg, Jocelyn Lewis Guests: Chris Botsford, ADM Capital Producer: Georgina Lee www.spglobal.com www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence
In Episode 428 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Joseph Wang, Chief Investment Officer at Monetary Macro and the founder of Fed Guy, an educational media platform that provides financial market analysis to investors and policymakers informed by a deep understanding of monetary mechanics and public policy. Joseph and Demetri spend the first hour of their conversation discussing Joseph's monetary and public policy frameworks, how these frameworks help us make sense of the White House's trade policy, and the downstream consequences for financial markets and the broader economy that stem from these observations. The second hour is devoted to a conversation about the long-term consequences of capital flight for the U.S. government's finances, the strength of its economy, the performance of U.S. asset markets, the value of the dollar, and how all of these variables could influence future policy decisions and the tenor of politics in the country over the next 10 years. Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Joining our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 07/15/2025
In this season 5 episode of First Look ETF, Stephanie Stanton @etfguide examines the latest ETF marketplace trends with NYSE and guests. The guest lineup for this episode includes:1. Maital Legum, NYSE2. Ethan Powell, CFA, Principal & Chief Investment Officer at Brookmont Capital Management3. Sam Rahman, Portfolio Manager at Hedgeye Asset Management (X feed: @HedgeyeAM)4. Joseph R. Shaposhnik, Founder, Rainwater Equity*********First Look ETF is sponsored by the New York Stock ExchangeLearn more at https://www.ETFCentral.comWatch us on YouTube (Link http://www.youtube.com/etfguide)Follow us on Twitter @ETFguide (Link https://twitter.com/etfguide)Visit us at ETFguide.com (https://www.etfguide.com)
With stocks back near all-time highs, capital is gushing into the US financial markets and investors are feeling exuberant again.Is all this bullish optimism justified?Today's guest, Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Officer of high net worth advisory firm Oxbow Advisors, takes a more cautious approach.In their recent market letter to their high net worth clients, Chance, along with Oxbow founder Ted Oakley, delivered the warning that "It's A Different Time Now" -- a time when the chickens may come home to roost after a period of distortion that has artificially and unsustainably goosed financial asset prices.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#treasurybonds #commodities #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., sits down with Travis Brooks — operator, researcher, and the voice behind Let's Talk Joby to break down the business model behind Joby Aviation and the broader eVTOL landscape.This is more than just flying cars it's an entire tech and infrastructure stack.From aircraft manufacturing to consumer apps, software platforms, and vertiport networks — where will the real value accrue?We cover:• Why manufacturing might get commoditized• The risk/reward of owning the consumer relationship• Platform potential if Joby owns the software layer• Vertiports as the underrated competitive advantage• How Blade and Archer are approaching the market• What history tells us about margins and defensibilityWhether you're long, short, or just curious about air mobility, this one dives deep.—Hosted by: Sean Emory — Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co. https://www.avory.xyzGuest: Travis Brooks — Operator & creator of Let's Talk JobyFollow Avory & Co or Sean Emory
AEW's Chief Investment Officer and Head of Private Equity and Private Debt in North America, Mike Byrne and CBRE's Vice Chairman and Co-Head of US Large Loans in Debt & Structured Finance, Tom Traynor provide insights on how real estate investors today can mitigate risk and uncover opportunities by strategically deploying capital across diverse asset classes and regions.insights on deploying global capital:· Today's market demands flexible investment strategies that can adapt quickly to geopolitical shifts, interest rate changes and capital market volatility.· High-quality office assets in prime locations are piquing investor interest, offering potential upside while demand for class B/C assets remains muted.· Debt capital availability is improving, with both traditional capital sources and alternative lenders actively competing to finance deals.· Investors are increasingly targeting high-growth submarkets, prioritizing local demand drivers over broad asset class preferences.· Technology and AI are influencing investment decisions, with growing potential to enhance underwriting and portfolio strategy.
In today's episode of Zen and the Art of Real Estate Investing, Jonathan sits down with Brad Johnson, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Vintage Capital. With over $3.3 billion in commercial real estate transactions under his belt, Brad brings a deep well of experience in structuring long-term, risk-adjusted investments, especially in the mobile home park space. Brad's journey into real estate began in his twenties, when he and his friends started buying single-family rentals with profits from a startup. Over time, he transitioned from remote investing to institutional asset management, eventually discovering the opportunity-rich world of mobile home parks. What began as curiosity evolved into a nationwide operation of 2,300 pads. Brad and Jonathan explore what makes mobile home parks uniquely positioned for stable, long-term returns. They discuss the operational demands of the asset class, why infrastructure and capital reserves are essential, and how seller relationships shape acquisitions in this niche market. Brad emphasizes that these often-misunderstood communities fill a critical need in the affordable housing landscape. You'll also hear how Brad built trust with mom-and-pop sellers, scaled a portfolio through reputation and consistent deal flow, and developed the ability to underwrite quickly and confidently. His firm's approach to long-term holds, tax efficiency, and conservative underwriting stands in contrast to the high-leverage, short-term mindset that has tripped up many investors in recent years. Whether you're an experienced investor or exploring alternatives to traditional real estate assets, Brad's perspective highlights the importance of patience, structure, and choosing the right operating partners. In this episode, you will hear: Brad's early path from startup founder to long-term investor Lessons from managing over 2,000 mobile home park pads How infrastructure and reserves impact mobile home park performance Ways reputation and follow-through win deals in tight-knit markets Why tax advantages make long-term holds more attractive The pitfalls of chasing high IRRs with short-term strategies What separates strong operators from struggling syndicators Follow and Review: We'd love for you to follow us if you haven't yet. Click that purple '+' in the top right corner of your Apple Podcasts app. We'd love it even more if you could drop a review or 5-star rating over on Apple Podcasts. Simply select “Ratings and Reviews” and “Write a Review” then a quick line with your favorite part of the episode. It only takes a second and it helps spread the word about the podcast. Supporting Resources: Vintage Capital website - www.vintage-funds.com Connect with Brad Johnson on LinkedIn - www.linkedin.com/in/bradleyjohnson Website - www.streamlined.properties YouTube - www.youtube.com/c/JonathanGreeneRE/videos Instagram - www.instagram.com/trustgreene Instagram - www.instagram.com/streamlinedproperties TikTok - www.tiktok.com/@trustgreene Zillow - www.zillow.com/profile/StreamlinedReal Bigger Pockets - www.biggerpockets.com/users/TrustGreene Facebook - www.facebook.com/streamlinedproperties Email - info@streamlined.properties Episode Credits If you like this podcast and are thinking of creating your own, consider talking to my producer, Emerald City Productions. They helped me grow and produce the podcast you are listening to right now. Find out more at https://emeraldcitypro.com Let them know we sent you.
On this episode of Multifamily Mastery, John Casmon interviews Paul Kaseburg, Chief Investment Officer at MG Properties. Paul shares insights into managing a 32,000-unit portfolio across the Western U.S., emphasizing the importance of vertical integration, legislative compliance, and proactive risk management. He details how MG navigates current challenges such as oversupply in multifamily housing, using a value-driven acquisition strategy that balances core-plus and value-add opportunities. Paul also discusses the firm's centralized operational strategies, measured use of AI tools, and the enduring power of company culture and long-term investment planning. Paul Kaseburg Current role: Chief Investment Officer at MG Properties Say hi to them at: mgproperties.com Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/cre. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! Post your job for free at https://www.linkedin.com/BRE. Terms and conditions apply. Join the Best Ever Community The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria. Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at www.bestevercommunity.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices