Hot Takedown

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Hot Takedown is the weekly sports podcast from FiveThirtyEight. On it, the crew uses numbers to dissect the week in sports, taking down some silly hot takes in the process.

FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Neil Paine, Geoff Foster, Sara Ziegler


    • Dec 28, 2021 LATEST EPISODE
    • every other week NEW EPISODES
    • 45m AVG DURATION
    • 352 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Hot Takedown

    Introducing 'Probability' from Man in the Arena

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 28, 2021 29:42


    Whether you love him or hate him or are somehow completely indifferent, you've probably spent at least some of the last 20 years thinking about Tom Brady. Brady has altered friendships, families and communities. He's changed the trajectory of careers and reputations, enabled fairy tale dreams to be both realized and dashed. 'Man In the Arena' is a new 10-part series from ESPN and Religion of Sports that looks at those two decades of Brady through the eyes of the fans and the haters, those in the arena and those outside. Host Gotham Chopra grapples with these big themes, while grounding the podcast in his personal relationship with Tom and his journey from a Brady fan to Tom's friend.   Using Brady's improbable comeback against the Falcons, and all his other come-from-behind victories, this episode looks at the role probability plays in our lives.   GUESTS: Neil Paine from 538, Doug Kezerian from Daily Wager, Alessandro Bonatti, game theorist from MIT, plus two coaches from the "greatest high school football game ever played." Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/3FgQalz), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3c6q4oB), or search "Man In the Arena" wherever you're listening now.

    Football Is Weird, Part Infinity

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2021 63:19


    In our last Hot Takedown, the team looks at NFL chaos from this week and college basketball chaos to come. Plus: a Rabbit Hole with a curse.

    Analytics, But From The Gut

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2021 54:30


    Hot Takedown discusses the World Series and a new college football playoff format. Plus: a Rabbit Hole that has all of the sports.

    It's Anybody's World Series

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2021 52:29


    Hot Takedown discusses the World Series and the Chiefs' woes. Plus: a RATPOR Rabbit Hole.

    Why Our Model (Still) Hates The Lakers

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2021 54:02


    Hot Takedown discusses our NBA predictions and the MLB playoffs. Plus: a Rabbit Hole all about first (and second) wins.

    Championships, Random-ships

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 12, 2021 51:10


    Hot Takedown discusses this last week in the NFL, MLB, WNBA and College Football and previews the NHL. Plus: A Rabbit Hole for losers.

    The Dodgers Need A Reseed

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2021 48:46


    Hot Takedown discusses the MLB playoffs and Cincinnati's CFB playoff chances. Plus: a special guest joins us for a family-themed Rabbit Hole.

    Brady vs. Belichick: Round Whatever

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2021 48:47


    Hot Takedown discusses Tom Brady vs. Bill Belichick and the chaos in college football.  Plus: a Rabbit Hole on what's wrong with match play.

    Math Nerds (And The Ravens) Win

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2021 47:41


    Hot Takedown discusses the Ravens' win over the Chiefs and the WNBA playoffs. Plus: a Rabbit Hole that's quite the catch(er).

    Actually, Week 1 Does Matter

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2021 53:07


    Hot Takedown discusses Week 1 in the NFL and the latest no-hitter in MLB. Plus: a Rabbit Hole that messes with Texas.

    How We See The NFL Season

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 7, 2021 51:52


    Hot Takedown talks through our NFL predictions. Plus a WNBA at 25 Rabbit Hole.  

    Nebraska's Frost Is Melting

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2021 53:26


    Hot Takedown surveys the college football landscape and the results at the Paralympics. Plus: an immaculate (inning) Rabbit Hole.

    Turns Out 500 Is A Lot Of Home Runs

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2021 49:19


    Hot Takedown discusses Miguel Cabrera's 500th home run, the Little League World Series and the fall of Topps in our all-baseball extravaganza. 

    Our Expectations Aren't Being Met By The Mets

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2021 54:39


    Hot Takedown discusses the NL East and the NFL preseason. Plus an interview with author Greg Larson.

    A Messi Situation

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2021 52:54


    Hot Takedown looks back at the Tokyo Games and looks ahead to Lionel Messi at PSG. Plus: a Rabbit Hole on the comeback of the eephus pitch.

    Simone Biles Beams Back

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2021 52:07


    Hot Takedown looks at the MLB trade deadline and Olympic Gymnastics. Plus a record-setting track Rabbit Hole.

    Big Trouble For The Big 12

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2021 50:03


    Hot Takedown discusses the latest college football conference realignment and mental focus in the Olympics. Plus: a team name Rabbit Hole in honor of the Cleveland Guardians.

    So The Olympics Are Still Happening?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2021 55:08


    Hot Takedown discusses the Tokyo Olympics and the NBA Finals. Plus: an expansion draft Rabbit Hole.

    All NBA Finals Takes Are Possible

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2021 53:13


    Hot Takedown looks back at Game 3 of the NBA Finals and the MLB All-Star break. Plus: A rant about English soccer, as a treat.

    The Suns vs. The Bucks vs. Injuries

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2021 56:14


    Hot Takedown previews the NBA Finals and the controversies ahead of the Tokyo Olympics.

    MLB Tries To Get A Grip

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2021 52:09


    Hot Takedown discusses MLB's crackdown on sticky stuff and the NBA conference finals. 

    SCOTUS 9, NCAA 0

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2021 52:34


    Hot Takedown discusses the implications of the Supreme Court ruling in NCAA v. Alston and the NBA Conference Finals. 

    The Enemy Of My Enemy Roots For The Islanders

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2021 51:24


    Hot Takedown looks at the Stanley Cup playoffs and the Brooks-Bryson rivalry ahead of the U.S. Open. 

    A Fair Trade For Julio Jones

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2021 50:19


    Hot Takedown looks at Julio Jones's move from Atlanta to Tennessee and checks in on the NBA Playoffs. 

    Everyone Lost In The French Open Fracas

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2021 52:14


    Hot Takedown discusses Naomi Osaka’s exit from the French Open and the NBA playoffs. 

    Can You Have Too Many No-Hitters?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2021 52:07


    Hot Takedown looks at no-hitter trend in MLB and the success of older athletes like Phil Mickelson. 

    Playoffs And Play-Ins

    Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2021 51:57


    Hot Takedown looks at the start of the NHL and NBA playoffs. Plus: a Rabbit Hole that puts age before beauty in MLB.

    It's Hard To Leave MLB Gracefully

    Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2021 52:53


    Hot Takedown reflects on Albert Pujols exit and previews our WNBA predictions. 

    Draft Grades Are Meaningless But Also A+ Fun

    Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2021 54:34


    Hot Takedown reviews NFL draft grades and discusses the NBA play-in tournament. Plus a Rabbit Hole about the past (and future) of tanking.

    This NFL Draft Class Still Has Some QB Questions

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2021 51:23


    Hot Takedown discusses the top quarterbacks, after Trevor Lawrence, in the NFL draft as well as the hype around the Knicks. 

    A Super League Super Fight

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 20, 2021 54:33


    Hot Takedown looks at how a Super League would change European soccer and the state of the NBA MVP race. 

    Can We Keep Our Early Baseball Takes Cool?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2021 53:15


    Hot Takedown looks at the start of the baseball season and previews the WNBA draft. 

    An End To The Madness

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2021 53:48


    Hot Takedown surveys the NCAA Tournament results and previews The Masters. Plus special guest Harry Enten brings an MLB Rabbit Hole.

    All Hype Is Good Hype

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2021 53:41


    Hot Takedown looks at the NCAA tournament’s Elite Eight and previews the baseball season. 

    The NCAA Is Bad At Capitalism

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2021 53:41


    Hot Takedown looks at the NCAA's mistakes in this year's women's tournament and big upsets in the first two rounds of the men's tournament.

    Let’s Pick Our Brackets

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 16, 2021 53:55


    Hot Takedown looks at both NCAA tournament brackets and picks our Men and Women's Final Four.

    A Year Of Pandemic Sports

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 9, 2021 52:04


    Hot Takedown looks back at how sports adapted to the COVID-19 pandemic. Plus: a 16/16 Rabbit Hole.

    Why's Everyone Writing Off The Jazz?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 2, 2021 51:08


    Hot Takedown discusses where Tiger Woods’ legacy goes from here and the surprising (regular season) success of the Utah Jazz. 

    Osaka's Rise Doesn't Mean Serena Is Done

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 23, 2021 52:29


    Hot Takedown talks through the results of the Australian Open and previews March Madness. Yes, it is almost March.

    Grading The NHL's Start On And Off The Ice

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 16, 2021 52:20


    Hot Takedown looks at the start of the NHL season and the current state of sports video games. Plus: an MLB free agency Rabbit Hole. 

    How The Bucs Sunk The Chiefs

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2021 53:08


    Hot Takedown breaks down Super Bowl LV: how the Buccaneers dismantled the Chiefs’ offense and what this win means for Tom Brady’s legacy. 

    Baby GOAT vs. Grizzled GOAT

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2021 51:22


    Hot Takedown previews Super Bowl LV and discusses the tensions between MLB owners and players. 

    The Analytics On Being Aggressive

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 26, 2021 52:23


    Hot Takedown discusses the NFL conference championship games and the Baseball Hall of Fame. 

    One Super Bowl Win Isn't Enough Anymore?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2021 50:31


    Hot Takedown discusses Drew Brees' legacy and James Harden's first days with the Brooklyn Nets.

    Alabama Was The Unstoppable Force AND The Immovable Object

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2021 52:17


    Hot Takedown reflects on Alabama's title win and how sports will keep intersecting with politics after Trump.

    Ohio State Made The Committee Look Good, And Bad

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2021 51:12


    Hot Takedown discusses the College Football Playoff finals and the NFL super wild card round. Plus: a Steph Curry-flavored Rabbit Hole.

    Let's Stuff 2020 Down A Rabbit Hole

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 29, 2020 54:13


    Hot Takedown closes out the year with three different Rabbit Holes: QB picks, 2020 chalk, and games played on odd weekdays.

    New Year, New RAPTOR

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 22, 2020 56:44


    Hot Takedown breaks down our NBA predictions this year and everything wrong with the college football playoff. Plus: A Negro Leagues Rabbit Hole. 

    Along Came A (Cleveland) Spider

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2020 54:17


    Hot Takedown discusses the Cleveland Baseball team’s name change and the College Football Playoff. Plus: A Rabbit Hole 11 seasons in the making. 

    The Jets' Tank Is Empty

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2020 53:03


    Hot Takedown looks at tanking in the NFL and the Wall-Westbrook trade in the NBA. Plus: a chaotic good Rabbit Hole. 

    Hard To Play Football Without A Quarterback

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2020 57:21


    Hot Takedown looks at the NFL’s uneven attempts to manage the pandemic and a historic first for college football. 

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