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Donald Trump's first 100 days since returning to office have been prolific – the most executive orders issued in the early days of a presidency – and seemingly in a constant state of political turbulence. What do the polls indicate about Trump's performance to date? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows, and Stanford University political scientists, discuss how various policy choices – tariffs, immigration enforcement, legal imbroglios – have affected Trump's approval, plus where a struggling Democrat Party stands as both parties ponder a midterm election still 550 days ahead. Recorded on April 30, 2025.
Is the current presidential election lining up along the same lines as the past two Trump referenda with a small number of swing states and an even smaller subset of issues (in 2024: jobs, inflation, immigration, and wars) deciding who will become America's 47th president? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and managers of a tracking poll on the US electorate, discuss what's different in a contest featuring known (Donald Trump) and lesser known (Kamala Harris) entities, what matters most to independent voters, the odds of one or both chambers of Congress flipping, plus whether Pennsylvania is the “new Florida” as ground zero for deciding presidential outcomes.
Polling by YouGov made headlines around the world when it suggested 20% of young adults in the US thought the holocaust was a myth.But polling experts at the Pew Research Centre thought the result might not be accurate, due to problems with the kind of opt-in polling it was based on. They tried to replicate the finding, and did not get the same answer.We speak to Andrew Mercer from the Pew Research Centre and YouGov chief scientist Douglas Rivers.Presenter /series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound Mix: Graham Puddifoot Editor: Richard Vadon
On the eve of Iowa's presidential caucuses and the start of the 2024 primary season, what's the inevitability of a Biden-Trump rematch? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss various political dynamics heading into Iowa and beyond including whether there's room for three viable Republican candidates in […]
On the eve of Iowa's presidential caucuses and the start of the 2024 primary season, what's the inevitability of a Biden-Trump rematch? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss various political dynamics heading into Iowa and beyond including whether there's room for three viable Republican candidates in January's and February's contests, the number of persuadable voters in a polarized “two-incumbent” general election, the role of third-party candidates as mischief-makers, plus alternate ways for selecting presidential nominees – i.e., is it time for national, regional or more “open” primaries?
December 1, 2023 Hoover Institution | Stanford University In this keynote luncheon, David Kennedy, a distinguished visiting fellow at Hoover and a history professor at Stanford, offers a historical perspective on the American primary process. He outlines the effects of rule changes that followed the 1968 election, mandating the transfer of delegates to candidates based on the voters' will rather than the discretion of party leaders in nominating contests. Kennedy is followed by Davies Family Senior Fellow, Emeritus, David Brady, who presents data demonstrating how primary voters from both major political parties invariably elect congressional candidates on their respective party's extremes, fostering a political environment with no incentive for compromise. The session concludes with remarks by senior fellow, Stanford political scientist, and pollster Douglas Rivers, who provides an analysis of the 2024 presidential election, describing polling data that demonstrates distinct advantages for Republicans. For more information, visit https://www.hoover.org/events/state-american-institutions-center-revitalizing-american-institutions ABOUT THE SPEAKERS David Brady, Davies Family Senior Fellow, Emeritus, Hoover Institution; and Professor of Political Science, Emeritus, Stanford University David Kennedy, Distinguished Visiting Fellow, Hoover Institution; and Donald J. McLachlan Professor of History, Emeritus, Stanford University Douglas Rivers, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution; and Professor of Political Science, Stanford University Moderator: D. Sunshine Hillygus, Professor of Political Science, Duke University ABOUT THE CENTER FOR REVITALIZING AMERICAN INSTITUTIONS (RAI): In an objective, non-partisan spirit, the Center for Revitalizing American Institutions (RAI) draws on the Hoover Institution's scholarship, government experience, and convening power to study the reasons behind the crisis in trust facing American institutions, analyze how they are operating in practice, and consider policy recommendations to rebuild trust and increase their effectiveness. Learn more: https://www.hoover.org/research-teams/center-revitalizing-american-institutions
Does a repeat of the last presidential election take America into uncharted waters (an octogenarian incumbent vs. a predecessor on trial), or is it proof of Yogi Berra's “déjà vu all over again” – as in 2016? Will a small sliver of independent voters decide the fates of a controversy-plagued Donald Trump and a Democratic […]
Does a repeat of the last presidential election take America into uncharted waters (an octogenarian incumbent vs. a predecessor on trial), or is it proof of Yogi Berra's “déjà vu all over again” – as in 2016? Will a small sliver of independent voters decide the fates of a controversy-plagued Donald Trump and a Democratic opponent with his own set of problems? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss President Biden's and former President Trump's poll numbers, the economy's role in the election, plus how “independent” are non-aligned voters?
Why didn't the anticipated “red wave” appear and what do last week's results suggest about political polarization and the path moving forward for America's two political parties? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists who regularly survey America's electorate, offer a data dive into what led to GOP underachievement in this year's midterm vote.
A potentially good night for Republicans, whom to blame on the Democratic side should the party lose control of half, if not all, of Congress, plus what are voters signaling? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, preview what may be in store for America come Election Day, […]
A potentially good night for Republicans, whom to blame on the Democratic side should the party lose control of half, if not all, of Congress, plus what are voters signaling? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, preview what may be in store for America come Election Day, including the nuances of “wave” forecasts, voters' concerns, and effective messaging.
The Supreme Court's recent rulings on abortion, guns, and other contentious social issues further complicates an already opaque political landscape. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss what if any opinion shifts their polling data suggests and what other political variables (inflation, an unpopular president) might affect […]
The Supreme Court's recent rulings on abortion, guns, and other contentious social issues further complicates an already opaque political landscape. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss what if any opinion shifts their polling data suggests and what other political variables (inflation, an unpopular president) might affect November's outcome.
Matt Luke has checked a lot of boxes in his career from being the Head Coach at his alma mater, Ole Miss, to winning the 2021 FBS National Championship as the Offensive Line Coach of the Georgia Bulldogs. Coach Luke spoke at the 2022 COOL Clinic and illustrated how he groups his play schemes for install, learning, and communication. Shownotes: -Career and stepping away after a national championship -movement from huddle to uptempo -importance of language -inside zone -gap schemes -pin and pull -protection One advantage to having clear and concise ;language that has definitive meaning for your players is that it allows you to effectively and efficiently make adjustments as well as communicate with staff as the game is going. A tremendous tool for making adjustments on Friday nights is your instant replay system, but the effectiveness is very dependent on having great technology and that's where our partner of the Coach and Coordinator Podcast SportScope excels. When you go feature by feature and compare SportScope to the competition, it's a no-brainer. From the speed in which you can access video from the previous play to what it will cost you program, SportScope wins in all regards, SportScope gives you easy and predictive play tagging, picture in picture angle switching, smart features like sorting clips and play lockers for use of important clips at halftime, as well as giving you live in game opponent stats and tendencies Technology can certainly provide advantages on game day, but only if you can trust it and maximize its effectiveness. For an episode on how to exactly do that, listen to Douglas Rivers, 6x state champion at nationally ranked Dutch Fork HS and see how SportScope helps them win. Links are in the show notes and go to sportscope.com for more info. Episode with Douglas Rivers: https://soundcloud.com/user-804678956/finding-solutions-to-benefit-the-teamprocess-for-adjustments-doug-rivers-te-coach-dutch-fork Replays of 2022 COOL Clinic: https://cool2022.coachesclinic.com/ COOL Clinic Channel on CoachTube https://coachtube.com/coolclinic Related: Jon Gruden at the 2022 COOL Clinic: https://soundcloud.com/user-804678956/what-i-look-for-when-hiring-an-ol-coach-jon-gruden-at-the-cool-clinic COOL Clinic Speaker Playlist https://soundcloud.com/user-804678956/sets/the-c-o-o-l-clinic-speakers
Douglas Rivers is the Tight Ends Coach and Technology Coordinator at Dutch Fork High School. He's been a part of the program for 20 years and has seen and been involved with the change that National Coach of the Year Coach Tom Knotts has brought to the program. It's resulted in 6 state championships in 9 appearances including runner-up in 2021 which ended a 62 game winning streak. The program is now nationally recognized and was ranked as high as #9 in the country in 2021. Coach Rivers share how they stay on top of the changes in the game and the technology that can benefits the team and helps them win games. Shownotes: A shift in the culture to promote winning The weight room Track as the speed development program Process for evaluating tools Change in rules that allowed technology Criteria for evaluating technology Setting up a sideline system Best practices Artificial Intelligence Removing room for error Process for sideline adjustments between series Procedures and set-up of players for efficient communication Treating the sideline like a classroom Answering questions with individuals separately Half time adjustments Half time on the road A schedule for half time What stood out to help them pick their sideline replay system https://www.sportscope.com
One month into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, does polling show a “rally ‘round the flag'” effect in America and President Biden enjoying a higher job-approval? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss American public sentiment towards the war in Ukraine, the added dynamics of inflation, a possible […]
One month into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, does polling show a “rally ‘round the flag'” effect in America and President Biden enjoying a higher job-approval? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss American public sentiment towards the war in Ukraine, the added dynamics of inflation, a possible COVID relapse, and partisan primary outcomes as the midterm elections approach.
What issues resonate with today's Republicans? How has the party morphed since the rise of Ronald Reagan? What is Donald Trump's influence upon next year's GOP primaries and beyond? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, and co-authors (along with Hoover senior fellow Morris Fiorina) of a survey […]
What issues resonate with today's Republicans? How has the party morphed since the rise of Ronald Reagan? What is Donald Trump's influence upon next year's GOP primaries and beyond? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, and co-authors (along with Hoover senior fellow Morris Fiorina) of a survey of self-identifying Republicans, discuss their findings and reflect on what transpired politically in 2021.
Does an off-year gubernatorial race in the Old Dominion constitute a preview of next year's midterm election? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss whether Virginia is a bellwether, President Biden's declining poll numbers, and why some progressive columnists are forecasting a Democratic congressional wipeout next year.
Does an off-year gubernatorial race in the Old Dominion constitute a preview of next year's midterm election? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss whether Virginia is a bellwether, President Biden's declining poll numbers, and why some progressive columnists are forecasting a Democratic congressional wipeout next year.
Five months into his presidency, Joe Biden's poll numbers show slippage among independents. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, assess Biden's popularity, where Republicans and Democrats depart on COVID vaccines and immigration, plus whether a 2022 midterm election still 500 days away could or won't resemble 2010's referendum on the Obama presidency.
Five months into his presidency, Joe Biden's poll numbers show slippage among independents. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, assess Biden's popularity, where Republicans and Democrats depart on COVID vaccines and immigration, plus whether a 2022 midterm election still 500 days away could or won't resemble 2010's […]
President Biden polls consistently, but not spectacularly, as Republican's struggle to counter the Democratic message of “go big.” David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, assess the “less is more” communications approach of the new White House and whether Democrats run the risk of a backlash in the 2022 midterm elections if they over-reach on hot-button issues such as immigration, gun control, voting rights and packing the Supreme Court.
Last November, President Donald Trump gave back five states he carried in 2016, as a normally urban-centric Democratic Party made inroads into America’s suburbs. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss America’s post-Trump political landscape and whether a genuine realignment occurred in 2020, or if the 45th President’s impact won’t be all that lasting.
As the presidential election enters its last days, what do the polls suggest about the health of the two candidacies? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover senior fellows and Stanford political scientists, discuss differences in voter demographics over the past four years and likely Election Night outcomes for control of the White House and U.S. Senate.
Did the parties’ virtually convention change the dynamics of the presidential race? Apparently not. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, discuss the lack of a lasting “Trump bump,” and whether civil unrest is affecting Joe Biden’s lead, plus the concept of a “hidden” Trump voter that pollsters can’t ascertain.
Joe Biden enjoys a healthy lead over President Trump after months of running a low-profile campaign. With the election a little over 100 days away, can Biden keep doing the same as Muhammed Ali – stay back on the ropes while his rival swings in vain? David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, assess the health of the two presidential candidates. Did you like the show? You can rate, review, subscribe, and download the podcast on the following platforms:Podbean | Apple Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Overcast |Google Play | Google Podcasts | Spotify | RSS
Joe Biden has taken the lead, though polls differ on how commanding it is nationally and in “swing” states. President Trump struggles to regain his footing as the coronavirus and policing practices dominate the election-year narrative. David Brady and Douglas Rivers, Hoover Institution senior fellows and Stanford University political scientists, weigh the strengths and weaknesses of the November candidates. Did you like the show? You can rate, review, subscribe, and download the podcast on the following platforms:Podbean | Apple Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Overcast |Google Play | Google Podcasts | Spotify | RSS
Recorded April 16, 2020, 11AM PST Hoover Institution fellows David Brady and Douglas Rivers provide a briefing on COVID-19 and Politics. The Hoover Institution presents an online virtual briefing series on pressing policy issues, including health care, the economy, democratic governance, and national security. Briefings will include thoughtful and informed analysis from our top scholars. ABOUT THE FELLOWS Douglas Rivers is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and a professor of political science at Stanford University. He is also the Chief Scientist at YouGov PLC, a global polling firm. David Brady is a senior fellow emeritus at the Hoover Institution and the Bowen H. and Janice Arthur McCoy Professor of Political Science in the Stanford Graduate School of Business. He has published seven books and more than a hundred papers on elections, politics and public policy. To receive notifications about upcoming briefings, please sign up by clicking here: http://eepurl.com/gXjSSb.
On this episode of "Where Did You Get This Number?", Anthony takes listeners inside the the CBS News Battleground Tracker polls. Why does it measure delegates, especially this early in the race? What do its results mean? Anthony is joined by CBS News Elections and Surveys Unit colleague Kabir Khanna and CBS News consultant Douglas Rivers.
In 2018, the House went Democratic and the Senate remained Republican – both, as expected. Now, the presidential cycle begins. Hoover senior fellows and Stanford political scientists David Brady and Douglas Rivers, conductors of a recount poll on political trends, discuss what 2018 told us about American politics, the health of the Trump presidency, and what to look for in the new year. Did you like the show? You can rate, review, subscribe, and download the podcast on the following platforms:Podbean | Apple Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Overcast |Google Play | Google Podcasts | Spotify | RSS
The “surf forecast” for the first Tuesday in November – a big “blue wave” or not? Hoover senior fellows and Stanford political scientists David Brady and Douglas Rivers, conductors of a recount poll on political trends, discuss what their survey data suggests about Congress’ fate less than two months from now. Did you like the show? Please rate, review, and subscribe!
With the election less than one hundred days away, which narrative to believe—an approaching Democratic blue wave or a district-by-district slog? Hoover senior fellows and Stanford political scientists David Brady and Douglas Rivers, conductors of a tracking poll on political trends, discuss what survey data indicates about the parties’ chances this fall. Did you like the show? Please rate, review, and subscribe!
Douglas Rivers, chief scientist at YouGov and professor of political science at Stanford University, talks to the American Academy in Berlin about polling, the media, and the angry voter in the 2016 US Presidential election. Host: R. Jay Magill