HURRICANE CENTER

In this episode of HurricaneCenter, the panel opens with the first named storm of the 2026 Atlantic season already affecting the Texas coast. Bill Reed walks through the early impacts from Tropical Storm Arthur, including tropical-storm-force winds near the coast, heavy localized rainfall, elevated tides and coastal water issues from Galveston to Bolivar and southwest Louisiana. Dr. Hal Needham joins live from the Galveston Seawall, where rough Gulf conditions and strong winds are already being felt, but he stresses that the main impact from Arthur is rainfall flooding rather than a major storm surge event.The featured guest is Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University, who breaks down the latest CSU outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. Unlike recent years that leaned well above normal, the updated forecast calls for a somewhat below-normal season: 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. With Arthur now named, that leaves 10 additional named storms in the forecast.Phil explains why the forecast has shifted lower: El Niño. He walks through how warmer water in the central and eastern tropical Pacific can change global wind patterns, increase sinking motion over the Atlantic and, most importantly, strengthen vertical wind shear across the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic. That shear can tilt and disrupt tropical systems, making it especially difficult for long-lived major hurricanes to develop.The conversation also covers why weak, short-lived storms like Arthur can still form during El Niño years. Phil explains that El Niño tends to suppress stronger storms more than weak tropical storms, especially in the deep tropics. That means the season can still produce impacts, especially from close-to-land or higher-latitude systems, even when the overall basin activity is expected to be lower.Phil also discusses CSU's forecasting process, including historical analog years, statistical models, climate model guidance, ACE, western Atlantic landfall probabilities and new AI-driven forecasting tools. He notes that the strongest El Niño impacts are typically felt later in the season, especially in September and October, when background shear increases and Caribbean development often becomes much less favorable.The episode closes with a look back at Arthur's real-time impacts along the Texas coast, a preview of Hal Needham's upcoming Extreme Explorations documentary work, and a tease for next week's guest, Mike Lowry.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Into the Storm: Tracking Hurricanes with Mark SudduthWhen a hurricane makes landfall, the forecast tells us what may happen. But storm documentation shows us what actually happens — where wind, water and infrastructure meet in real time.In this episode of HURRICANE CENTER, the hosts talk with Mark Sudduth of HurricaneTrack, one of the most recognized hurricane documentarians in the country. Through HurricaneTrack and the Hurricane Intercept Research Team, Sudduth has spent decades documenting tropical storms and hurricanes along the U.S. coast using field observations, remote cameras, specialized equipment and live storm coverage.The conversation explores what it takes to prepare for a hurricane field deployment, how remote camera technology has changed storm coverage and why documenting landfall impacts matters for forecasters, emergency managers, media organizations and the public.Hurricane coverage is not only about dramatic video. It is about helping people understand storm surge, destructive wind, flooding, power loss and the real-world consequences that happen where a hurricane comes ashore. By placing technology in the path of the storm, HurricaneTrack has helped bring audiences closer to hurricane impacts while reducing the need for people to be in dangerous locations during landfall.In This Episode, You Will Learn How Mark Sudduth built HurricaneTrack into a hurricane documentation platform.  Why remote cameras have changed the way hurricanes are covered.  What goes into preparing for a landfall field deployment.  How storm documentation can help the public understand hurricane impacts.  Why real-time video and field observations matter beyond traditional forecasts.  How technology can bring viewers closer to landfall without putting more people in danger.  What HurricaneTrack has learned from years of documenting storms along the coast. About the GuestMark Sudduth is the founder of HurricaneTrack and the Hurricane Intercept Research Team, which was founded in 1998 to collect data and report on hurricanes and tropical storms as they make landfall along the U.S. coast. HurricaneTrack uses specialized meteorological equipment, remotely operated video cameras and field documentation to capture hurricane impacts. Sudduth also joined FOX Weather as an exclusive storm tracker in 2022 and has nearly 30 years of experience documenting hurricanes and other high-impact weather events. Key Listener TakeawaySeeing hurricane impacts clearly can change how people understand risk. Forecasts tell us what could happen, but field documentation and remote cameras show the reality of landfall — storm surge, wind damage, flooding, infrastructure stress and the conditions people should avoid. HurricaneTrack helps connect the science of forecasting with the real-world consequences of the storm.Resources HurricaneTrack  Hurricane Intercept Research Team  National Hurricane Center  National Tropical Weather Conference  HURRICANE CENTER podcast archive About HURRICANE CENTERHURRICANE CENTER takes listeners inside the science, decisions and real-world impacts of tropical storms and hurricanes. Featuring conversations with forecasters, researchers, emergency managers, storm documentarians and resilience experts, the podcast helps communities better understand hurricane risk and prepare before, during and after landfall.A production of the National Tropical Weather Conference.Follow and ShareSubscribe to HURRICANE CENTER wherever you listen to podcasts, and share this episode with someone who lives or works in hurricane country.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.com Learn more about the National Tropical Weather Conference: HurricaneCenterLive.comSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

How the National Hurricane Center Forecasts Hurricanes — Jamie RhomeWhen a hurricane threatens, people want answers: Where will it go? How strong will it become? How much time is left to prepare? Behind every official forecast is a complex process involving satellite observations, aircraft data, computer guidance, emerging artificial intelligence tools and expert analysis.In this episode of HURRICANE CENTER, the hosts speak with Jamie Rhome, Deputy Director of NOAA's National Hurricane Center, about how hurricane forecasting and risk communication continue to evolve. The discussion explores improved observations and modeling, artificial intelligence guidance, rapid intensification, storm-surge forecasting and the importance of helping people understand the full range of hazards before a storm arrives.Rhome also addresses one of the biggest communication challenges in hurricane preparedness: the public often focuses on a single category number or the center line of the forecast cone, while the greatest local risk may come from storm surge, flooding, destructive winds, extended power loss or waiting too long to act.In This Episode, You Will Learn How the National Hurricane Center evaluates new forecasting tools and artificial intelligence guidance.  Why better observations and modeling are important for forecasting hurricane structure and rapid intensification.  How storm-surge forecasting is improving for coastal communities.  What the forecast cone communicates — and what it does not.  Why a storm category alone does not define local danger.  How waiting for a more favorable forecast can reduce the time available to prepare.  Why official, trusted information matters when a tropical threat develops. About the GuestJamie Rhome is Deputy Director of NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami. He helps guide the center's long-term strategy, annual planning and operational execution. His NHC career has included work as a surface analyst, marine forecaster, hurricane specialist and storm-surge specialist.  Key Listener TakeawayA hurricane forecast is not just about the projected path of the storm's center. It is about understanding the hazards that may affect your location — including storm surge, flooding, wind, power outages and the shrinking window to make safe decisions. When a storm threatens, focus on official forecasts and local impacts rather than waiting for a forecast that feels less threatening.About HURRICANE CENTERHURRICANE CENTER takes listeners inside the science, decisions and real-world impacts of tropical storms and hurricanes. Featuring conversations with forecasters, researchers, emergency managers and resilience experts, the podcast helps communities better understand hurricane risk and prepare before, during and after landfall.A production of the National Tropical Weather Conference.Follow and ShareSubscribe to HURRICANE CENTER wherever you listen to podcasts, and share this episode with someone who lives or works in hurricane country.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.com Learn more about the conference: HurricaneCenterLive.comSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Sunny Wescott about the hidden dangers of extreme weather.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Warren Faidley presents at NTWC25Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Tim Marshall's presentation at NTWC25. Registration for NTWC26 is open at hurricanecenterlive.comSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We wrap up the hurricane season with just the crew. Our guest cancelled.  Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Eric Mannix, Andy Oliver, and Ed DiFilippo about weather instruments, data gathering and more!Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with George about his experiences with resilience and producing his documentary.  He has a special gift for the first 10 listeners!  Here's the link: https://pro.speakerhub.com/speaker-feedback/?qr=3a30639f-a157-4c66-8890-66143a59a84e  Write a review and get a link to view Last House Standing for FREE.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Rios-Berrios about the latest hurricane research and her experience with hurricanes in Puerto RicoSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Mark Sudduth talks with us about the advancements in technology to observe hurricanes and the hurricane season.  Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Has the seasonal forecast been a bust or not?  Dr. Phil Klotzbach talks with us about it.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Kyle Raabe of Generac Power Systems about the options to keep your home powered during extreme weather events.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with the researchers who developed a new way to rate hurricanes.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Alex Cary about the FORTIFIED program for new and existing homes.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Jason Arigoni about how Home Depot prepares and responds to extreme weather events.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Klockow about her research, extreme weather messaging and more.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Suzana Camargo about her latest hurricane research and more.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Max Mayfield, former director NHC about his experience with Katrina.  Mark Sudduth joins us to talk about his pioneering "live" video from hurricanes.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dan Krueger about the Flood Vision project.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Tom Andersson, research engineer at Google Deep Mind about weather and AI.6Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Justen Noakes, Executive Director of Before-During and After about storm preparedness and response.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Jason Dunion about Saharan DustSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Joe Cione talks with us about hurricane research and forecastingSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Jill Trepanier talks with us about the impacts of stalling hurricanesSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Ryan Truchelut, WeatherTiger about hurricane trends and more.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Renato Molina about hurricanes and the impacts they have on communities.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Michael Lowry, Chris Franklin and Rob Perillo join us to talk about hurricane season, hurricanes and social media.  Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Jamie Rhome about the hurricane season and much more in our season opener.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Kerrie Englert, a terminated Flight Director at NOAA Hurricane Hunters.Flight directors are critical to the NOAA Hurricane Hunters' operations because they serve as the primary coordinators and decision-makers during missions into hurricanes and other severe weather systems.  Flight directors are the backbone of these missions, turning what could be chaotic flights into structured, successful operations that save lives by improving our understanding of hurricanes. Their role is a blend of leadership, scientific know-how, and split-second decision-making under pressure.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We wrap up the season talking with Shel Winkley and Daniel Gilford from Climate Central.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Chiu, Texas A&M talks with us about environmental contamination after hurricanes.  Dr. Hal Needham talks with us about his experiences during the 2024 Hurricane SeasonSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Sippel talks with us about the Hurricane Research Division and more.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Ryan Truchulet and Mark Sudduth talk about Hurricane Helene and more.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Matthieu Le Henaff talks with us about hurricanes and the ocean connection.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Mark Sudduth talks with us about his experience with Francine and the loss.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Phil Klotzbach dives into the details about why the season has been quiet and what we can expect for the rest of the season.Support the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Leslie talks with us about #HurricaneStrong and new findings about garage doors.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Rebecca Morss talks with us about extreme weather messaging.  Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Ed, talks with us about Debby's impact to South Carolina and more.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Mark Gobuty, Associate Developer for Pearl Homes talks with us about their sustainable homes and communities.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dan Harkins and Kerry Emanuel join us this morning to talk about the latest hurricane technology and more.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Jeff talks with us about Beryl, Harvey and much more.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Michael talks with us about hurricanes, forecasting and more.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Brian talks with us about rapid intensification in hurricanesSupport the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

We talk with Dr. Wadler about the latest technology to gather data in hurricanes.  Dr Lillo talks with us about the latest developments of AI and Hurricane forecasting.This show begins in progress.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Roxanne talks about her experience with Hurricane Otis as it made landfall on the Mexican coast.Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Josh talks with us about his new "hurricane house" in Bay St. Louis and more.  Please share this. Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Jamie Rhome, Deputy Director NHC talks AI, models, hurricane messaging and more,Support the Show.Suggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.

Dr. Brian McNoldy and Mark Sudduth join us to wrap up the 2023 Hurricane SeasonSupport the showSuggest a topic or ask a question: alex@wxguide.comVisit our conference site: www.hurricanecenterlive.comThanks for listening and please share with your friends and co-workers.