Podcasts about Forecasting

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Best podcasts about Forecasting

Show all podcasts related to forecasting

Latest podcast episodes about Forecasting

Felger & Massarotti
Greg Bedard of The Boston Sports Journal // Three Up, Three Down // Forecasting The Patriots Schedule - 11/15 (Hour 1)

Felger & Massarotti

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2022 40:57


(0:00) Bedard joins the program.(10:32) Patriots Schedule Day Part 2.(22:34) Three up, three down with Greg Bedard. (32:17) Can the Patriots compete with the Bills or Dolphins?CONNECT WITH FELGER & MAZZ https://www.instagram.com/felgerandmassarottihttps://twitter.com/FelgerAndMazzhttps://www.facebook.com/felgerandmassarottihttps://www.instagram.com/985thesportshubhttps://twitter.com/985thesportshubhttps://www.facebook.com/985TheSportsHub

You Start Today with Dr. Lee Warren | Weekly Prescriptions to Become Healthier, Feel Better, and Be Happier.

It's Self-Brain Surgery Saturday! Today, we learn about the anterior cingulate cortex of our brains, and how we can literally choose to help it make us feel better, become healthier, and be happier, OR we can choose to limit its power. The choice is ours, and this self-brain surgery talk will help you make a good one!Scripture: Isaiah 43:18-19Music by Tommy Walker(Music shared on The Dr. Lee Warren Podcast is authorized under BMI license #61063253 and ASCAP license #400010513 )Self-Brain Surgery with Dr. Lee Warren is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Thank you for reading Self-Brain Surgery with Dr. Lee Warren. This post is public so feel free to share it. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit drleewarren.substack.com/subscribe

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Mark's References, Moderating Inflation, and the Midterms

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2022 79:42


Mark and Cris break down the October CPI Report and the latest on inflation. Colleagues, Dan White and Emily Mandel of Moody's Analytics, join the podcast to give a rundown of the midterm election results and the economic implications.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

skucast
Episode 247: Forecasting the Future with Dan Pantano, David Nicholson, and Jonathan Isaacson

skucast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2022 40:53


At skucamp, the leaders of three of the industry's largest suppliers joined Catherine Graham, commonsku's Co-founder and CEO on stage to answer audience questions and discuss the state of the industry now and their perspective on the future. The panel featured David Nicholson - Vice Chairman at PCNA, Dan Pantano, President & CEO at AlphaBroder Prime, and Jonathan Isaacson, Chairman, and CEO at Gemline.

IRI Growth Insights
Forecasting with Confidence

IRI Growth Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2022 43:32


Gone are the days of forecasting for the year ahead. Spurred by the chaos of the pandemic and ongoing market uncertainty, CPG manufacturers and retailers must continually monitor the marketplace, weighing decisions against consumer behavior, macroeconomic factors and business strategies. Nagi Jonnalagadda, senior vice president, Global Products & Solutions at IRI, recommends companies change their approach to forecasts from point-in-time planning to scenarios with varying levels of confidence.      Highlights     Consumers are proving to be more resilient to dramatic price increases than expected. But they're now starting to change their shopping behaviors to manage inflation.  Forecasts should be considered scenarios with confidence intervals, with broad upsides and downsides and an agile approach as scenarios evolve.    Forecasting is now a blend of art and science with new tools and unlimited data inputs. The art is shutting out the noise to identify and monitor the right demand signals, focusing on what matters most to your business.   

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Tracking the money flows in forecasting by NunoSempere

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2022 20:32


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Tracking the money flows in forecasting, published by NunoSempere on November 9, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. This list of forecasting organizations includes: A brief description of each organization A monetary estimate of value. This can serve as a rough but hard-to-fake proxy of value. Sometimes this is a flow (e.g., budget per year), and sometimes this is an estimate of total value (e.g., valuation). A more subjective, rough, and verbal estimate of how much value the organization produces. This started as a breadth first evaluation of the forecasting system, and to some extent it still is, i.e., it might be useful to get a rough sense of the ecosystem as a whole. After some discussion on whether very rough evaluations are worth it (a), people who prefer their evaluations to have a high threshold of quality and polish might want to either ignore this post or just pay attention to the monetary estimates. Summary table Note that the monetary value column has different types of estimates. NameMonetary valuePurposeFlutter Entertainment~$20B (~£18B) market capGamblingKalshi~$30M in VC fundingPrediction marketMetaculus~$6M in grantsForecasting sitePolymarket~$4M in VC fundingPrediction marketCultivate Labs$5M to $80M (estimated valuation)Forecasting platform as a serviceGood Judgment$3M to $50M (estimated valuation)Forecasting consultingManifold Markets~$2M in early stage fundingPlay money prediction marketInsight Prediction—Prediction marketTetlock's research group$1M to $20M (estimated grant flow)Research groupPredictIt$0.5M to $5M (estimated value)Prediction marketEpoch$2M in grantsResearch group on AI progressSwift Centre$2M in grantsForecasts as a public goodQuantified Uncertainty Research Institute$780k in grantsSoftware and forecasting researchSamotsvety Forecasting$200k to $5M (estimated valuation)Forecasts as a public good, forecasting consultingCzech Priorities—Institutional decision-making using forecastingHedgehog Markets$3.5M in VC fundingPrediction market (crypto)INFERUncertain. Estimated $2M/year in grantsForecasting platformNathan Young$180k in grantsForecasting question creationSage$700k in grantsForecasting researchGlobal Guessing$330k in grantsForecasting journalismSocial Science Prediction PlatformAt least $838k in grantsForecasting in an academic contextAugur$60M crypto market capPrediction marketConfido$190k in grantsForecasting toolingHypermind—Play money prediction marketReplication Markets$150k in forecaster rewardsForecasting experimentPredictionBook—Prediction databaseGnosis$230M crypto market capSmart contracts, including for prediction markets NameMonetary valuePurposeFlutter Entertainment~$20B (~£18B) market capGamblingKalshi~$30M in VC fundingPrediction marketMetaculus~$6M in grantsForecasting sitePolymarket~$4M in VC fundingPrediction marketCultivate Labs$5M to $80M (estimated valuation)Forecasting platform as a serviceGood Judgment$3M to $50M (estimated valuation)Forecasting consultingManifold Markets~$2M in early stage fundingPlay money prediction marketInsight Prediction—Prediction marketTetlock's research group$1M to $20M (estimated grant flow)Research groupPredictIt$0.5M to $5M (estimated value)Prediction marketEpoch$2M in grantsResearch group on AI progressSwift Centre$2M in grantsForecasts as a public goodQuantified Uncertainty Research Institute$780k in grantsSoftware and forecasting researchSamotsvety Forecasting$200k to $5M (estimated valuation)Forecasts as a public good, forecasting consultingCzech Priorities—Institutional decision-making using forecastingHedgehog Markets$3.5M in VC fundingPrediction market (crypto)INFERUncertain. Estimated $2M/year in grantsForecasting platformNathan Young$180k in grantsForecasting question creationSage$700k in grantsForecasting researchGlobal Guessing$330k in grantsForecasting journal...

State of Demand Gen
RV E14 - LEAKED: Revenue Forecasting and Planning | Refine Labs Invite-Only Event

State of Demand Gen

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2022 50:25


In this exclusive, invite-only event, Chris discusses Revenue Forecasting and Planning principles to use for goal setting and planning He goes in depth on: The 10 step process to complete this modeling Key mistakes he sees organizations make and how to avoid them How to use this expert guidance to set achievable revenue targets The slides that accompany this event are only available to customers and Vault waitlist members. If you'd like to get on the waitlist for the Vault, visit www.refinelabs.com/waitlist Thanks to our friends at Hatch for producing this episode. Get unlimited podcast editing at usehatch.fm.

Can I get that software in blue?
Episode 19 | Dr. Emile Servan-Schreiber, MD @ Hypermind | Crowd-Forecasting/Collective Intelligence

Can I get that software in blue?

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2022 84:15


Episode #19 of "Can I get that software in blue?", a podcast by and for people engaged in technology sales. If you are in the technology presales, solution architecture, sales, support or professional services career paths then this show is for you! Your hosts Steve Mayzak and Chad Tindel are joined by Dr. Emile Servan-Schreiber, Managing Director at Hypermind where he has pioneered many business applications of prediction markets and collective intelligence. He holds degrees in Computer Science, Applied Mathematics and a Ph.D. in Cognitive Psychology from Carnegie Mellon. Emile goes very deep into his research in the science of Collective Intelligence and how people can become smarter by borrowing the brains of others in their networks and describes the platforms his company Hypermind has built to help companies and governments use prediction markets to solve problems facing their organization. Contact us on Twitter or LinkedIn to suggest companies or tech news articles worthy of the podcast! Our website: https://softwareinblue.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/softwareinblue LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/softwareinblue Make sure to subscribe or follow us to get notified about our upcoming episodes: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8qfPUKO_rPmtvuB4nV87rg Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-get-that-software-in-blue/id1561899125 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/25r9ckggqIv6rGU8ca0WP2 Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/can-i-get-that-software-in-blue Links mentioned in the episode: Emile's Company, Hypermind: https://www.hypermind.com Hypermind Prediction Contests: https://predict.hypermind.com/ Google CEO uses crowd intelligence: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/31/google-ceo-to-employees-productivity-and-focus-must-improve.html

Surf and Sales
S3E53 - There's one word every founder and salesperson needs to know, with Eldad Postan-Koren

Surf and Sales

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2022 39:52


The ultimate founder unicorn.  Someone with a sales background and the ability to actually code the product. Eldad from Winn.ai shares amazing insights on combining these two roles together including:  How a global pandemic can drive the creation Why does it take 1-2 hrs/ day to update the CRM What you need to get right when moving from beta to scaling the business What tech founders need to understand about moving from founder-led sales Finding the right partner in your first sales hire as a founder Forecasting the first time.

Sales POP! Podcasts
Forecasting: Why Force Says Forecasting is Broken? - Udi Ledergor

Sales POP! Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2022 21:28


Udi Ledergor is today's Expert Insight Interview guest. He is a five-time Marketing leader at B2B start-ups. He is currently the CMO at Gong, the Revenue Intelligence category leader, helping go-to-market teams close more deals and accelerate growth by capturing, understanding, and acting on their most important asset – customer interactions. Today. In this expert insight interview, John and Udi discuss “forecasting: why force says forecasting is broken?”

New York NOW
Election Day is Tuesday, Forecasting Top Races, Senate Deputy Leader Mike Gianaris

New York NOW

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 26:43


On This Week's Edition of New York NOW (11/04/22): Election Day is Tuesday, and voters will make their choice in the races for governor, state attorney general, state comptroller, U.S. Senate, and more. We'll have a preview. Yancey Roy from Newsday and Anna Gronewold from Politico NY join us with analysis. Senate Deputy Majority Leader Mike Gianaris, a Democrat who also leads the party's campaign arm in the Senate, joins us with his perspective ahead of Tuesday. Learn More: nynow.org

Russell Investments
Bank of England announces largest rate hike in over 30 years

Russell Investments

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 5:12


In the latest podcast update:·         Could the Fed slow its pace of rate increases as soon as December? ·         Key takeaways from the BoE's November policy meeting·         Is the UK already in a recession?IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE:These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.The MSCI AC (All Country) World Index: Captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 2,791 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global investable equity opportunity set.The FTSE 100 is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.With a fixed number of 600 components, the STOXX® Europe 600 Index represents large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. It is derived from the STOXX® Europe Total Market Index (TMI) and is a subset of the STOXX® Global 1800 Index.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2022. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12138Date of first use November, 2022

The Nonlinear Library
EA - How bad could a war get? by Stephen Clare

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 18:48


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How bad could a war get?, published by Stephen Clare on November 4, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Acknowledgements: Thanks to Joe Benton for research advice and Ben Harack and Max Daniel for feedback on earlier drafts. Author contributions: Stephen and Rani both did research for this post; Stephen wrote it and Rani gave comments and edits. Previously in this series: "Modelling great power conflict as an existential risk factor" and "How likely is World War III?" Introduction & Context In “How Likely is World War III?”, Stephen suggested the chance of an extinction-level war occurring sometime this century is just under 1%. This was a simple, rough estimate, made in the following steps: Assume that wars, i.e. conflicts that cause at least 1000 battle deaths, continue to break out at their historical average rate of one about every two years. Assume that the distribution of battle deaths in wars follows a power law. Use parameters for the power law distribution estimated by Bear Braumoeller in Only the Dead to calculate the chance that any given war escalates to 8 billion battle deaths Work out the likelihood of such a war given the expected number of wars between now and 2100. Not everybody was convinced. Arden Koehler of 80,000 Hours, for example, slammed it as “[overstating] the risk because it doesn't consider that wars would be unlikely to continue once 90% or more of the population has been killed.” While our friendship may never recover, I (Stephen) have to admit that some skepticism is justified. An extinction-level war would be 30-to-100 times larger than World War II, the most severe war humanity has experienced so far. Is it reasonable to just assume number go up? Would the same escalatory dynamics that shape smaller wars apply at this scale? Forecasting the likelihood of enormous wars is difficult. Stephen's extrapolatory approach creates estimates that are sensitive to the data included and the kind of distribution fit, particularly in the tails. But such efforts are important despite their defects. Estimates of the likelihood of major conflict are an important consideration for cause prioritization. And out-of-sample conflicts may account for most of the x-risk accounted for by global conflict. So in this post we interrogate two of the assumptions made in “How Likely is World War III?”: Does the distribution of battle deaths follow a power law? What do we know about the extreme tails of this distribution? Our findings are: That battle deaths per war are plausibly distributed according to a power law, but few analyses have compared the power law fit to the fit of other distributions. Plus, it's hard to say what the tails of the distribution look like beyond the wars we've experienced so far. To become more confident in the power law fit, and learn more about the tails, we have to consider theory: what drives war, and how might these factors change as wars get bigger? Perhaps some factors limit the size of war, such as increasing logistical complexity. One candidate for such a factor is technology. But while it seems plausible that in the past, humanity's war-making capacity was not sufficient to threaten extinction, this is no longer the case. This suggests that wars could get very, very bad: we shouldn't rule out the possibility that war could cause human extinction. Battle deaths and power laws Fitting power laws One way to gauge the probability of out-of-sample events is to find a probability distribution, a mathematical function which gives estimates for how likely different events are, which describes the available data. If we can find a well-fitting distribution, then we can use it to predict the likelihood of events larger than anything we've observed, but within the range of the function describing the distribution. Several researchers have...

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Debating Jobs, Debating Forecasts

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 76:02


Mark and the team dissect October's employment report, the Fed's most recent rate hike, and what it all means for the prospects for a recession in the coming year. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

PHNX Arizona Cardinals Podcast
Will a loss to the Seahawks be the final blow to the Arizona Cardinals Kliff Kingsbury Era?

PHNX Arizona Cardinals Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 44:15


Will a loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday be the final blow to the Arizona Cardinals' Kliff Kingsbury Era? Forecasting the polarizing Cards head coach's future and what a win or a loss means going forward. Join Bo Brack and Johnny Venerable on the latest PHNX Cardinals podcast! BUY CARDINALS TICKETS HERE: https://gametime.hnyj8s.net/c/3442941... SUBSCRIBE to our YouTube: https://bit.ly/phnx_youtube ALL THINGS PHNX: http://linktr.ee/phnxsports Gametime: BUY TICKETS HERE: https://gametime.hnyj8s.net/c/3442941... SUBSCRIBE to our YouTube: https://bit.ly/phnx_youtube ALL THINGS PHNX: http://linktr.ee/phnxsports PHNX: Hurry! Get your tickets for our first PHNX Suns' Takeover THIS Friday, November 4th at The Ainsworth across from Footprint Center. Enjoy a ticket to the game against the Trailblazers plus two free beers, an AYCE buffet, giveaways and more! There are less than 20 tickets available so act fast: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/phnx-sun... DraftKings: Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app now (https://bit.ly/3Jl1dMX), use promo code PHNX and make your first deposit of FIVE DOLLARS and get TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in FREE BETS INSTANTLY! For every leg you add you can boost your winnings up to ONE HUNDRED percent! If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Min. $5 deposit required. Eligibility restrictions apply. See http://draftkings.com/sportsbook for details. OGeez!: Enter the “Flavoring Life” sweepstakes. One winner will receive 3 bags of OGeez, an OGeez! Hat, a PHNX shirt of your choice, and a PHNX annual membership. Sign up at gophnx.com or visit https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FA.... Must be 21 years or older to purchase. Four Peaks: We are teaming up with Four Peaks to host all US and Mexico World Cup matches at their 8th Street Pub. Enjoy beer specials, giveaways, guest appearances, and more while watching on their 22' jumbo screen. Click here to register for free: https://www.eventbrite.com/cc/phnx-20... Enter to win the “Toast of the Month” sweepstakes to win a $50 Four Peaks gift card, a PHNX shirt of your choice, and a PHNX annual membership. Go to goPHNX.Com or visit https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FA... Must be 21 or older. Enjoy responsibly. Bad Birdie: use code “PHNXSPORTS” to take 15% off your next Bad Birdie order! https://glnk.io/7qnq/phnx-sports Mor Furniture: Sit in the same seats we do! Check out https://morfurniture.com Underdog Fantasy: Sign up for Underdog Fantasy today! Go to the link https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-phnx and use promo code “PHNX” to receive a deposit match up to $100 Liquid Death: Get free shipping on all water and merch at https://LiquidDeath.com/PHNX When you shop through links in the description, we may earn affiliate commissions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Podcast Vs. Everyone
Podcast Vs. Everyone 178: Forecasting the Cougs' stretch run

Podcast Vs. Everyone

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2022 90:06


Three straight losses by WSU have shaken our faith a little bit in what the football team is going to be able to achieve this season. In theory, there are still plenty of winnable games on the schedule. Can the Cougs pull it together? Plus, what went wrong with soccer this year? And it's impressive what volleyball has done. Then we finish with a few reader questions. Music by Randy England. You can find more of his work on Instagram. Subscribe to us on ... iTunes  Google Play  Spotify  Stitcher  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Modern War Institute
What Kind of Leader Will Al-Qaeda Choose Next?

Modern War Institute

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2022 44:29


The recent death of Ayman al-Zawahiri marks a rare inflection point for a terrorist organization that has had just two leaders in the more than three decades of its existence. Forecasting its future trajectory—and developing counterterrorism policy—will depend on what type of leader emerges as Zawahiri's successor. Dr. Tricia Bacon and Dr. Elizabeth Grimm are the authors of a new book, Terror in Transition: Leadership and Succession in Terrorist Organizations. They join this episode to describe the five categories of leader they have identified by rigorously analyzing leadership succession in terrorist organizations. They also explain what each of those types of leader would mean for al-Qaeda going forward and why it is so crucial for counterterrorism policymakers and practitioners to understand these leadership types as they conceptualize the threat posed by the terrorist organization and seek ways to counter that threat.

CougCenter: for Washington State Cougars fans
Podcast Vs. Everyone 178: Forecasting the Cougs' stretch run

CougCenter: for Washington State Cougars fans

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2022 90:06


Three straight losses by WSU have shaken our faith a little bit in what the football team is going to be able to achieve this season. In theory, there are still plenty of winnable games on the schedule. Can the Cougs pull it together? Plus, what went wrong with soccer this year? And it's impressive what volleyball has done. Then we finish with a few reader questions. Music by Randy England. You can find more of his work on Instagram. Subscribe to us on ... iTunes  Google Play  Spotify  Stitcher  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Green Connections Radio -  Women Who Innovate With Purpose, & Career Issues, Including in Energy, Sustainability, Responsibil

“Do you understand what customers are looking for?…Do you know where you want to go? Can you tell a story? Are you the right person to lead this team and bring others on board?...The financial model is often the number side of your story. It is storytelling through numbers.” Ginger Rothrock on Electric Ladies Podcast Between the pandemic shifting our ideas of “work,” an increased focus on values, and the resulting “Great Realignment” of careers, more women are becoming entrepreneurs. Unfortunately, the road to raising capital for those businesses is fraught for women, since women founders only get about 2.3% of venture funding. But here's hope! In this episode of Electric Ladies podcast, venture investor, scientist and former entrepreneur Ginger Rothrock of HG Ventures shares secrets on how to be successful in your fundraising while female in conversation with host Joan Michelson. So, grab a pen and paper or tablet or laptop to take notes and click “play.” You'll hear: What you need to put in your pitch deck – and why What you need to understand about your business – and it may not be obvious. How to identify the assumptions you're making that may be holding you back. How to do credible yet ambitious financial modeling and forecasting. Plus, insightful career advice. And much more! “What would you do if you were fearless? What choices would you make? What actions would you take?... We outperform men, we get better grades. We learn that hard work, leads to results…(often we make) professional choices because of a perceived need or what am I supposed to do…(But) what if I could do anything I wanted?” Ginger Rothrock on Electric Ladies podcast Read Joan's Forbes articles here. You'll also want to listen to (some of these are under the name Green Connections Radio): Shelly Porges, Co-Founder and Managing Partner, Beyond the Billion and Billion Dollar Fund for Women Julie Lenzer, Chief Innovation Officer, University of Maryland and serial entrepreneur Jenny Kassan, fundraising consultant and entrepreneur Michele Wucker, thought leaders and author of “You Are What You Risk: The New Art & Science to Navigating an Uncertain World.” Subscribe to our newsletter to receive our podcasts, blog, events and special coaching offers.. Thanks for subscribing on Apple Podcasts or iHeartRadio and leaving us a review! Follow us on Twitter @joanmichelson   and @electricgalspod

Ignite Broker Connect
Forecasting the Future Market & Using Data To Help Homebuyers

Ignite Broker Connect

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2022 61:05


Mitchell Report Unleashed Podcast
Episode 396: James Atkinson & ViCES

Mitchell Report Unleashed Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2022 26:20


First, thank you for all your support since October 31st, 2016. With a vision to create this open platform for you all today. Today on the episode we are joined by James Atkinson. James stops by the show to talk about his brand ViCES which stands for, Bad habits, guilty pleasures, and the fits to match. We talk about why he started a clothing brand, entrepreneurship, and ways to create and curate a strong worth ethic by sharpening the mind. Today marks the 6th year anniversary of the Mitchell Report Unleashed Podcast and do appreciate everyone who has stood up and believed in the brand and cultivated the action to present a 1% better mentality. PROMO CODE: WELCOME151. James Atkinson's introduction? 2. James talks about why is choose the entrepreneurship route.3. Where did the name Vices originate from? 4. Where did the concept idea for the artwork start with VICES?5. Forecasting the next year for VICES as a brand! 6. James talks about the mindset of his entrepreneurship and his personal journey. 7. How does James give back to himself?→ CONNECT WITH JAMES ATKINSON←INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/lifeisvices/WEBSITE: https://www.vforvices.com

WIRED Science: Space, Health, Biotech, and More
A New Tool for Eruption Forecasting: Carbon-Catching Drones

WIRED Science: Space, Health, Biotech, and More

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2022 7:08


In the future, remote-controlled quadcopters might mean that researchers won't have to crawl inside volcanoes to collect carbon dioxide anymore.

Russell Investments
Bank of Canada surprises markets with smaller-than-expected rate hike

Russell Investments

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2022 5:02


In the latest podcast update:•The outlook on China stimulus•Bank of Canada slows pace of rate hikes•Q3 earnings season updateIMPORTANT DISCLOSURE:These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.The MSCI AC (All Country) World Index: Captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 2,791 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global investable equity opportunity set.The FTSE 100 is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.With a fixed number of 600 components, the STOXX® Europe 600 Index represents large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. It is derived from the STOXX® Europe Total Market Index (TMI) and is a subset of the STOXX® Global 1800 Index.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2022. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12132Date of first use October, 2022

Totally Deep Backcountry Skiing Podcast
Episode 104: Forecasting for pow with OpenSnow's Joel Gratz

Totally Deep Backcountry Skiing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2022 60:24


In Episode 104 of Totally Deep Podcast, Doug Stenclik and Randy Young of www.cripplecreekbc.com bring you the lowdown on the world of uphill and backcountry skiing and boarding. Gear, technique, fashion, jargon, guests, and assorted spray from folks who know how to earn it in the backcountry. The world's best backcountry skiing podcast. Episode 104 features an interview with OpenSnow's Joel Gratz. Often touted as a meteorological wunderkind, Gratz, like the rest of us, like sliding on snow. OpenSnow's website and app allow those seeking powder snow and forecasts to know where, when, and how deep. Gratz discusses how the site and models assisting with the forecasts have changed over the years.   On Episode 104 of the Totally Deep Podcast: 1) The impending storm. 2) The on-piste off-piste dilemma.  3) Forecasting accurately for a specific locaton.  4) The La Niña triple dip.  5) No public heat maps for backcountry spots.  6) Exloring new locations based on forecasts.  Have a listen and get ready for the impending vert and lovely descents. Thanks for listening and joining us for the 2022-2023 season.  And remember: be safe out there.  More info about TDP at Totally Deep Podcast Blog on Cripplecreekbc.com or wildsnow.com. Comments: info@cripplecreekbc.com. Or leave a voicemail: 970-510-0450 Backcountry Skiing, Uphill Skiing, Rando (skimo?) Racing, Splitboarding, it's all uphill from here.  

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Welcoming Marisa and What's Next for Multifamily

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2022 84:52


Mark Obrinsky, Chief Economist for the National Multifamily Housing Council, joins the podcast and gives a detailed housing outlook. Topics include rent growth, housing shortage, and the impact of inflation on the housing market. Mark and Cris also welcome Marisa DiNatale as the new co-host of Inside Economics.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight 

Harvard Data Science Review Podcast
It's Election Time Again—Do We Predict Better This Time?

Harvard Data Science Review Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2022 32:54 Very Popular


With the 2022 U.S. midterms right around the corner, this month's podcast is all about elections. Who is going to win and why? In today's episode, we talk to four experts about their predictions for the upcoming midterm elections in November and how these elections might impact the presidential race in 2024.  Our guests are: Caroline Carlson, Senior Data Science Analyst at Dynata and Analyst for Decision Desk HQ Ryan Enos, Professor of Government and Director of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and co-author of Predicting the 2020 Presidential Election for HDSR Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor of History at American University and author of The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2020 for HDSR.  Scott Tranter, Founder and  CEO of Øptimus Analytics and Decision Desk HQ and co-author of Forecasting the 2020 U.S. Elections with Decision Desk HQ: Methodology for Modern American Electoral Dynamics for HDSR.  

Flyover Conservatives
The Breakdown and Cycles of Time and What to Look for Next with Bo Polny | ReAwaken America Tour PA

Flyover Conservatives

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2022 21:41


Bo Polny Website: https://bopolny.com/►  For Bo Polny's Slides - text the word BO to 40509(Message and data rates may apply. Terms/privacy: 40509-info.com)To Schedule A Time To Talk To Dr. Dr. Kirk Elliott Go To ▶ https://flyovergold.com  Or Call 720-605-3900 Check out our other economic updates here ▶ https://banned.video/playlist/61e636d86959067dbbf9f8f0  ▶Watch More from Bo Polny with Flyover: Final Bounce before Collapse with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v1mwljv-foc-show-final-bounce-before-collapse-with-bo-polny.html Surviving the CRASH of the Economy with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v138ns7-full-interview-surviving-the-crash-of-the-economy-with-bo-polny-flyover-con.html It's All About to Crash with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v18cq14-full-interview-surviving-the-crash-of-the-economy-with-bo-polny-economic-up.html Dollar is Crashing. Bible Predicted It. Silver May Be The Answer. with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v1cbbf7-foc-show-dollar-is-crashing.-bible-predicted-it.-silver-may-be-the-answer.-.html Timing Is Everything, Bo Polny Breaks Down Prophecy, Gold, Silver, and Crypto!: https://rumble.com/v1ey4xl-full-interview-timing-is-everything-bo-polny-breaks-down-prophecy-gold-silv.html FOC Show: Phd Dr. Kirk Elliott and Bo Polny Break Down How to Survive the Coming Collapse: https://rumble.com/v1iaxr1-foc-show-phd-dr.-kirk-elliott-and-bo-polny-break-down-how-to-survive-the-co.html -------------------------------------------SPONSORS FOR TODAY'S VIDEO►  ReAwaken America- text the word EVENTS to 40509(Message and data rates may apply. Terms/privacy: 40509-info.com)►  Kirk Elliott PHD - http://FlyoverGold.com ►  My Pillow - https://MyPillow.com/Flyover►Z-Stack - https://flyoverhealth.com Support the show► ReAwaken America- text the word FLYOVER to 918-851-0102 (Message and data rates may apply. Terms/privacy: 40509-info.com) ► Kirk Elliott PHD - http://FlyoverGold.com ► My Pillow - https://MyPillow.com/Flyover ► ALL LINKS: https://sociatap.com/FlyoverConservatives

The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
Here's what Australia's aging population crisis means for us, with Simon Kuestenmacher

The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2022 32:30


What's ahead for Australia for the balance of this decade? That's what I discuss today with leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher. Forecasting is important because it can help us to make better investment and financial decisions. If we have a sense of where the world and our economy are going, we can prepare better. In theory, that's what forecasting should do. In practice, it's much harder as the world keeps throwing surprises at us. But if you've heard my chats with Simon before, you'll know how he shares great insights, so if you are interested in property investment, or just the future of our country and how it will relate to you, your job, and your prosperity I'm sure you'll get benefit from my chat so welcome to this week's show. Links and Resources: Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group If you're keen to buy your next home or investment property, why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalised   Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Get a bundle of eBooks and reports here: www.PodcastBonus.com.au Shownotes plus more here: Here's what Australia's aging population crisis means for us, with Simon Kuestenmacher

The Partner Channel Podcast
Demystified: Budgeting and Forecasting for Your Partner Program

The Partner Channel Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2022 18:56


This week, host Tori Barlow is joined by Blake Williams, founder and CEO of Ampfactor. This episode is all about pitching your partner program like a pro and the best practices for getting your budget approved. Together they talk through all their best tips and tricks for forecasting and figuring out your financials!  

MoneyWise on Oneplace.com
Secrets For Financial Security

MoneyWise on Oneplace.com

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2022 25:35


Is it possible to find financial security in uncertain times? Today on MoneyWise, we'll let you in on a few secrets for financial security. Full disclosure up front: These aren't really secrets. But they might as well be since so many people don't do them! TIPS FOR FINANCIAL SECURITY 1. Live on less than you earn. If you don't, there's no way to save and you'll almost always run up debt. But if you can get on a budget that allows you to live even a little below your means, you'll stay out of debt and have something to put in the bank for emergencies. Fail to do this and you're looking at a long, hard road full of financial potholes. The MoneyWise app makes setting up a budget a breeze. 2. Ignore investing experts on TV. This is especially true if they tell you to buy everything in sight when the market's up, or that the sky is falling and you need to sell now. The real secret to successful investing is to own quality index and mutual funds, along with some bonds, and to hold them for a very long time, regardless of what the market's doing. Unless you're a very savvy investor or have money that you can afford to lose, shy away from individual stocks. Forecasting the profitability of single companies is too complicated for the average investor. 3. Buy term life insurance to protect your loved ones. Avoid whole life and permanent policies that mix insurance with investments. Anything but term insurance is too expensive and won't give you the returns you can get by investing separately. 4. Get rid of credit card debt. Use the snowball method to pay down the smallest balance first, and then move on to the next. But you can only do this if you're following the first secret, live on less than you earn. That way you'll have extra each month to retire your credit card debt. Paying interest on consumer debt is like burning money. 5. Buy cars for the right reason. Cars are expensive and having sky high monthly payments on a car loan is a sure way to bust your budget. Buy cars for reliability and fuel efficiency, not to show off to the neighbors. 6. Be neighborly. There's more to relationships with those living around you than just being social. For example, a neighbor can be a source of tools you won't need to buy as long as it's a two-way street and you always return anything you borrow in good condition. Neighbors can also be a wealth of information about your area, like the best places to shop and what deals are out there. Just be sure to give as much as you receive. 7. Don't touch your retirement savings. Throughout your working years there will be many times when it seems like a good idea to tap into your 401k or IRA. But it's a quick, short term solution that'll cause long term pain. Instead, work diligently to build an emergency fund of 3 to 6 months living expenses. 8. Turn off the TV. How will that help? You won't be bombarded by advertising. Financial teacher Ron Blue likes to say that advertising convinces you to buy things you don't need and can't afford to impress people you don't like. The less advertising you see, the less likely you'll be to buy something on impulse that will almost certainly end up in a closet or out in the garage when the novelty wears off. 9. Pick inexpensive hobbies. Speaking of novelty wearing off, have you ever invested in a hobby that you later realized wasn't all that fun or interesting? Like taking up golf or scuba diving? These can cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars just to get started. Instead, look for hobbies that have little or no ongoing costs. An example might be teaching yourself how to play a musical instrument or taking a class on building a website or cooking. You can do many of these things online now at relatively low cost. 10. Don't gamble. That includes not playing the lottery. You have better odds of being hit by lightning twice than winning what is really just a state-sponsored numbers racket. It's also bad stewardship. Gambling doesn't glorify God in how you use His money. On today's program, Rob also answers listener questions: ● What is the best way to pay down a mortgage more quickly? ● What is an in-service distribution? ● When does it make sense to change up your investing strategy or allocations? ● How do you take distribution from a 401k? ● What are the financial considerations of investing in a family farm? RESOURCES MENTIONED: ● Find a Certified Kingdom Advisor Remember, you can call in to ask your questions most days at (800) 525-7000 or email them to Questions@MoneyWise.org. Also, visit our website at MoneyWise.org where you can connect with a MoneyWise Coach, join the MoneyWise Community, and even download the free MoneyWise app. To support this ministry financially, visit: https://www.oneplace.com/donate/1085/29

MoneyWise on Oneplace.com
Secrets For Financial Security

MoneyWise on Oneplace.com

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2022 25:35


Is it possible to find financial security in uncertain times? Today on MoneyWise, we'll let you in on a few secrets for financial security. Full disclosure up front: These aren't really secrets. But they might as well be since so many people don't do them! TIPS FOR FINANCIAL SECURITY 1. Live on less than you earn. If you don't, there's no way to save and you'll almost always run up debt. But if you can get on a budget that allows you to live even a little below your means, you'll stay out of debt and have something to put in the bank for emergencies. Fail to do this and you're looking at a long, hard road full of financial potholes. The MoneyWise app makes setting up a budget a breeze. 2. Ignore investing experts on TV. This is especially true if they tell you to buy everything in sight when the market's up, or that the sky is falling and you need to sell now. The real secret to successful investing is to own quality index and mutual funds, along with some bonds, and to hold them for a very long time, regardless of what the market's doing. Unless you're a very savvy investor or have money that you can afford to lose, shy away from individual stocks. Forecasting the profitability of single companies is too complicated for the average investor. 3. Buy term life insurance to protect your loved ones. Avoid whole life and permanent policies that mix insurance with investments. Anything but term insurance is too expensive and won't give you the returns you can get by investing separately. 4. Get rid of credit card debt. Use the snowball method to pay down the smallest balance first, and then move on to the next. But you can only do this if you're following the first secret, live on less than you earn. That way you'll have extra each month to retire your credit card debt. Paying interest on consumer debt is like burning money. 5. Buy cars for the right reason. Cars are expensive and having sky high monthly payments on a car loan is a sure way to bust your budget. Buy cars for reliability and fuel efficiency, not to show off to the neighbors. 6. Be neighborly. There's more to relationships with those living around you than just being social. For example, a neighbor can be a source of tools you won't need to buy as long as it's a two-way street and you always return anything you borrow in good condition. Neighbors can also be a wealth of information about your area, like the best places to shop and what deals are out there. Just be sure to give as much as you receive. 7. Don't touch your retirement savings. Throughout your working years there will be many times when it seems like a good idea to tap into your 401k or IRA. But it's a quick, short term solution that'll cause long term pain. Instead, work diligently to build an emergency fund of 3 to 6 months living expenses. 8. Turn off the TV. How will that help? You won't be bombarded by advertising. Financial teacher Ron Blue likes to say that advertising convinces you to buy things you don't need and can't afford to impress people you don't like. The less advertising you see, the less likely you'll be to buy something on impulse that will almost certainly end up in a closet or out in the garage when the novelty wears off. 9. Pick inexpensive hobbies. Speaking of novelty wearing off, have you ever invested in a hobby that you later realized wasn't all that fun or interesting? Like taking up golf or scuba diving? These can cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars just to get started. Instead, look for hobbies that have little or no ongoing costs. An example might be teaching yourself how to play a musical instrument or taking a class on building a website or cooking. You can do many of these things online now at relatively low cost. 10. Don't gamble. That includes not playing the lottery. You have better odds of being hit by lightning twice than winning what is really just a state-sponsored numbers racket. It's also bad stewardship. Gambling doesn't glorify God in how you use His money. On today's program, Rob also answers listener questions: ● What is the best way to pay down a mortgage more quickly? ● What is an in-service distribution? ● When does it make sense to change up your investing strategy or allocations? ● How do you take distribution from a 401k? ● What are the financial considerations of investing in a family farm? RESOURCES MENTIONED: ● Find a Certified Kingdom Advisor Remember, you can call in to ask your questions most days at (800) 525-7000 or email them to Questions@MoneyWise.org. Also, visit our website at MoneyWise.org where you can connect with a MoneyWise Coach, join the MoneyWise Community, and even download the free MoneyWise app. To support this ministry financially, visit: https://www.oneplace.com/donate/1085/29

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Consumer Sentiment and Sentimental Farewell

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 71:52 Very Popular


On Ryan's final episode of Inside Economics, John Leer, Chief Economist of Morning Consult, joins the podcast to discuss the state of the economy, consumer sentiment, inflation expectations, and the potential early signs of a wage-price spiral. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight.

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
Forecasting the things that matter (with Peter Wildeford)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 92:12 Very Popular


How can we change the way we think about expertise (or the trustworthiness of any information source) using forecasting? How do prediction markets work? How can we use prediction markets in our everyday lives? Are prediction markets more trustworthy than large or respectable news outlets? How long does it take to sharpen one's prediction skills? In (e.g.) presidential elections, we know that the winner will be one person from a very small list of people; but how can we reasonably make predictions in cases where the outcomes aren't obviously multiple-choice (e.g., predicting when artificial general intelligence will be created)? How can we move from the world we have now to a world in which people think more quantitatively and make much better predictions? What scoring rules should we use to keep track of our predictions and update accordingly?Peter Wildeford is the co-CEO of Rethink Priorities, where he aims to scalably employ a large number of well-qualified researchers to work on the world's most important problems. Prior to running Rethink Priorities, he was a data scientist in industry for five years at DataRobot, Avant, Clearcover, and other companies. He is also recognized as a Top 50 Forecaster on Metaculus (international forecasting competition) and has a Triple Master Rank on Kaggle (international data science competition) with top 1% performance in five different competitions. Follow him on Twitter at @peterwildeford.Further reading:ClearerThinking.org's "Calibrate Your Judgment" practice programMetaculus (forecasting platform)Manifold MarketsPolymarket"Calibration Scoring Rules for Practical Prediction Training", a paper by Spencer Greenberg

Advisor Talk with Frank LaRosa
Tactical Teachings with Jeff Concepcion, Founder & CEO – Stratos Wealth Partners

Advisor Talk with Frank LaRosa

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2022 32:38


Key discussion points covered by Frank and Jeff include:*A look under the hood at Stratos Wealth Partners operational philosophy and the key differentiators that have made the firm's Hybrid RIA model so successful.*The levels of infrastructure and support advisors require to go independent with confidence and the technology and processes that prove key to increasing operational capacity.*An analysis of the leadership paradigm of independence and the entrepreneurial strategies that establish independent advisors and their practices for success.*Setting the foundation for scalable growth, client retention, and ROI by creating business operations strategies focused on practice management efficiency.*Building high performance teams and the leadership keys that attract and retain the best industry talent.*Forecasting the months ahead in financial services and the impact market volatility will have on independent advisors and their mindset.The mind-blowing level of entrepreneurial and leadership insight of this episode will have ever advisor who listens eager to next level their personal and professional performance. At the conversation's heart, Frank and Jeff challenge the listener to take a hard look at what they are trying to build when it comes to their practice. If the answer is a practice that has value and a unique story to tell, Frank and Jeff are here with the roadmap to make that vision possible.

Flyover Conservatives
FOC Show: Final Bounce before Collapse with Bo Polny

Flyover Conservatives

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2022 77:58


Bo Polny Website: https://bopolny.com/►  For Bo Polny's Slides - text the word BO to 40509(Message and data rates may apply. Terms/privacy: 40509-info.com)To Schedule A Time To Talk To Dr. Dr. Kirk Elliott Go To ▶ https://flyovergold.com  Or Call 720-605-3900 Check out our other economic updates here ▶ https://banned.video/playlist/61e636d86959067dbbf9f8f0  ▶Watch More from Bo Polny with Flyover: Surviving the CRASH of the Economy with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v138ns7-full-interview-surviving-the-crash-of-the-economy-with-bo-polny-flyover-con.html It's All About to Crash with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v18cq14-full-interview-surviving-the-crash-of-the-economy-with-bo-polny-economic-up.html Dollar is Crashing. Bible Predicted It. Silver May Be The Answer. with Bo Polny: https://rumble.com/v1cbbf7-foc-show-dollar-is-crashing.-bible-predicted-it.-silver-may-be-the-answer.-.html Timing Is Everything, Bo Polny Breaks Down Prophecy, Gold, Silver, and Crypto!: https://rumble.com/v1ey4xl-full-interview-timing-is-everything-bo-polny-breaks-down-prophecy-gold-silv.html FOC Show: Phd Dr. Kirk Elliott and Bo Polny Break Down How to Survive the Coming Collapse: https://rumble.com/v1iaxr1-foc-show-phd-dr.-kirk-elliott-and-bo-polny-break-down-how-to-survive-the-co.html -------------------------------------------SPONSORS FOR TODAY'S VIDEO►  ReAwaken America- text the word EVENTS to 40509(Message and data rates may apply. Terms/privacy: 40509-info.com)►  Kirk Elliott PHD - http://FlyoverGold.com ►  My Pillow - https://MyPillow.com/Flyover►Z-Stack - https://flyoverhealth.com Own Your Own Business As An Option To Avoid The Jab- http://FlyoverCarpet.com https://TipTopK9.com/Want to help spread the Wake Up • Speak Up • Show Up -https://shop.flyoverconservatives.com/Support the show

The Nonlinear Library
EA - ‘Dissolving' AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting by Froolow

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2022 64:44


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: ‘Dissolving' AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting, published by Froolow on October 18, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. 1 - Summary This is an entry into the Future Fund AI Worldview contest. The headline figure from this essay is that I calculate the best estimate of the risk of catastrophe due to out-of-control AGI is approximately 1.6%. However, the whole point of the essay is that “means are misleading” when dealing with conditional probabilities which have uncertainty spanning multiple orders of magnitude (like AI Risk). My preferred presentation of the results is as per the diagram below, showing it is more probable than not that we live in a world where the risk of Catastrophe due to out-of-control AGI is

Weather or Not?
The James Webb Space Telescope & the difficulties of forecasting the Keys

Weather or Not?

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2022 24:15


We are now seeing the Universe as never before, and it's colors are telling us a new story. All thanks to the James Webb Space Telescope. Plus, the Florida Keys have plenty of sunshine and mild weather. It's also home to many boaters, snorkelers, and divers alike. But forecasting the weather here is no day at the beach: That's on this episode of Weather or Not?

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Klein on Threats to the Global Financial System

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2022 69:09


Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back Aaron Klein, Miriam K. Carliner Chair and Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, to discuss stress points in the global financial system, the conditions for a financial crisis, and whether central banks are going to break something. Follow  @aarondklein on twitterFollow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight. 

Russell Investments
What's behind the market volatility in the UK?

Russell Investments

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 7:08


In the latest podcast update:·         Two factors that led to the UK's controversial spending plan·         How are the Bank of England's actions influencing markets?·         Why investor sentiment merits close watchingIMPORTANT DISCLOSURE:These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.The MSCI AC (All Country) World Index: Captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 2,791 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global investable equity opportunity set.The FTSE 100 is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.With a fixed number of 600 components, the STOXX® Europe 600 Index represents large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. It is derived from the STOXX® Europe Total Market Index (TMI) and is a subset of the STOXX® Global 1800 Index.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2022. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12124Date of first use October, 2022

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Hot CPI and Hail Mary Outlook

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 65:38


Colleague Marisa DiNatale, Director Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark and Cris to breakdown the September Consumer Price Index Report. They also discuss the impact of inflation on energy prices, food prices, the housing market, and wage growth.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight. 

Into Africa
Forecasting African Futures

Into Africa

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 32:19 Very Popular


Mvemba is joined by Jakkie Cilliers, Head of African Futures & Innovation at the Institute for Security Studies, a South African think-tank. Jakkie and Mvemba discuss Africa's potential growth in different global scenarios, the African Continental Free Trade Area, and challenges to intra-continental trade.

Berg Podcast
Ep. 54 - Budgeting and Forecasting

Berg Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 27:19


In this episode the guys talk about the process they go through when creating a budget for next year.

My Climate Journey
Startup Series: Sweep

My Climate Journey

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 68:27


Today's guest is Rachel Delacour, co-founder and CEO of Sweep. Carbon accounting helps organizations measure their emissions so they can understand their overall footprint, share findings, and plan future reductions. Sweep's business intelligence tools specialize in using data to map a company's carbon emissions and helping them realize feasible goals while managing future growth. In doing so, Sweep is shifting the way companies view carbon from a limitation to a creative force for innovation.Rachel has a background in business intelligence, having sold her previous startup to Zendesk. She felt that she could best contribute to the climate problem by leveraging the skills and expertise she and her team already had around data management, modeling, and forecasting. Sweep recently announced a sizable Series B in funding led by Temasek, and they've raised over a hundred million dollars in aggregate in a little less than two years. In this conversation, Cody and Rachel discuss her journey, how Sweep views the market need, how companies source scope 3 emissions data, the potential role of regulation and carbon reporting, and whether or not recommending offsets or contributions creates any incentives. Rachel's story is great for people looking to make the transition, but not quite sure where to start. In this episode, we cover: [2:27] Rachel's financial background and climate journey[8:51] How she took existing skills and applied them to carbon[18:14] Sweep's approach to building a diverse team of experts from the carbon, tech, and political backgrounds[24:19] Rachel's views of carbon accounting vs. carbon management[29:15] An overview of scope 3 emissions[33:09] How companies are accessing accurate emissions data[38:32] The role of carbon management platforms in accelerating regulations[41:17] Sweep's success with companies so far[44:27] Future targets vs short-term reality in emissions reductions[48:59] Rachel's interactions with sustainability teams and financial directors[56:29] Where global climate justice fits into Sweep's solution[1:01:19] How Sweep balances customer reductions and credits[1:05:02] What's next for Rachel and SweepGet connected: Cody's TwitterRachel's TwitterSweepMCJ PodcastMCJ Collective*You can also reach us via email at info@mcjcollective.com, where we encourage you to share your feedback on episodes and suggestions for future topics or guests.Episode recorded on September 7, 2022.

M3 Minutes
Budget & Forecasting with M3's Casey Harrison

M3 Minutes

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2022 14:41


Hear from Insight product owner, Casey Harrison, about how your team can collaborate and drive your financial performance with a good plan in place.

The Poetry of Science
Episode 169: Forecasting Day length

The Poetry of Science

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2022 6:36


This episode explores new research, which has improved the ability to predict fluctuations in the rotation of the Earth and with it the length of the day. --- Read this episode's science poem here.             Read the scientific study that inspired it here.   Read ‘Days' by Philip Larkin here. --- Music by Rufus Beckett. --- Follow Sam on social media and send in any questions or comments for the podcast: Email: sam.illingworth@gmail.com   Twitter: @samillingworth 

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Monthly Jobs and Mark's Journey

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 80:03 Very Popular


Colleague Dante DeAntonio, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics joins the podcast to analyze the September U.S. Employment Report and OPEC's announcement to cut oil production. Everyone gives their latest odds of a recession and how soon that could happen. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight.

Russell Investments
Are the chances of a U.S. recession rising?

Russell Investments

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 6:13


In the latest podcast update:·         Markets seesaw on conflicting economic signals·         Is a recession possible in the U.S. in the next 12 months?·         Q3 earnings season outlookIMPORTANT DISCLOSURE:These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.The S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.The MSCI AC (All Country) World Index: Captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 2,791 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the global investable equity opportunity set.The FTSE 100 is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.With a fixed number of 600 components, the STOXX® Europe 600 Index represents large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. It is derived from the STOXX® Europe Total Market Index (TMI) and is a subset of the STOXX® Global 1800 Index.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2022. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12122 Date of first use October, 2022

PreSales Podcast by PreSales Collective
124. How a Buyer Enablement Approach to Deal Review Improves Forecasting w/Garin Hess

PreSales Podcast by PreSales Collective

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2022 31:09


On the PreSales Podcast, James Kaikis and Garin Hess connect on "How a Buyer Enablement Approach to Deal Review Improves Forecasting." Garin, Author of Selling Is Hard. Buying Is Harder: How Buyer Enablement Drives Digital Sales and Shortens the Sales Cycle and CEO/Founder of Consensus, discuses how sales teams need to make buying easier by equipping champions to sell within their organization. Garin also provides stories and very tactical advice to deal review that will better forecasting within an organization. 

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Bonus Episode: State of the States

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 53:04


Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome colleague Dan White of Moody's Analytics and Bill Glasgall, Senior Director, Public Finance at the Volcker Alliance, to discuss state and local government finances and whether it will be a tailwind or drag on the broader economy.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight.William Glasgall is senior director, public finance at the Volcker Alliance, a New York-based nonprofit organization where he has supervised the publication of numerous working papers and studies, including four Truth and Integrity in State Budgeting reports. He is also the creator of the Special Briefing webcast series and podcast, co-produced with the University of Pennsylvania Institute for Urban Research, where he is a fellow.Be sure to check out Volcker Alliance's new podcast “Special Briefing” hosted by William Glasgall available here: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts,

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
Poor Policy, Plunging Home Prices, and a Plummeting Pound

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 51:36


Mark, Ryan, and Cris breakdown this week's key economic data and developments in financial markets. They also go through the economic impact of Hurricane Ian and the policy errors that are unfolding in the U.K. and ironically where Mark records the podcast from.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight.