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Today's episode revisits the topic Andrew discussed briefly in Episode 252:  Article V conventions convened for the purpose of proposing amendments to the Constitution.  Joining Andrew is Prof. Lawrence Lessig, perhaps the most vocal liberal proponent of such conventions.  Andrew, you may recall, was skeptical and concerned about the risks that such conventions could pose. Join Thomas, Andrew, and Prof. Lessig for a special 70-minute very deep dive and see if either one changes their minds! After that, it's time for TTTBE #121 regarding executive orders.  As always, remember to follow our Twitter feed (@Openargs) and like our Facebook Page so that you too can play along with #TTTBE! AppearancesAndrew was just a guest on Episode 464 of the Cognitive Dissonance podcast as their legal expert.  If you'd like to have either of us as a guest on your show, drop us an email at openarguments@gmail.com. Show Notes & Links Here are the 14 states with Democratic legislatures and governors. This is the CNN/ORC poll Andrew referenced showing consistent high support for a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution.  And this is the Koch Brothers-funded ALEC initiative to convene Article V conventions. Click here to read Owings v. Speed, 18 U.S. 420 (1820), the first case Andrew discussed. Andrew also discussed Dyer v. Blair, 390 F.Supp. 1291 (N.D. Ill. 1975), and both lawyers talked about Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S. 433 (1939) as the primary case for the political question doctrine. Support us on Patreon at:  patreon.com/law Follow us on Twitter:  @Openargs Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/openargs/ Don't forget the OA Facebook Community! For show-related questions, check out the Opening Arguments Wiki, which now has its own Twitter feed!  @oawiki And email us at openarguments@gmail.com  

Last year, the BBC asked a question that many of us are still asking: “Why Are Americans So Angry?” According to a CNN/ORC poll from a year ago, “69 percent of Americans are either ‘very angry' or ‘somewhat angry' about ‘the way things are going' in the US.” In a recent article for the Atlantic Monthly, Peter Beinart writes that the absence of faith in some people's lives has arguably impacted their disposition toward those with whom they disagree. As people of faith, we have a name for this kind of excessive anger—sin—and we also have a script for how to respond to it. Christianity Today

Last year, the BBC asked a question that many of us are still asking: “Why Are Americans So Angry?” According to a CNN/ORC poll from a year ago, “69 percent of Americans are either ‘very angry’ or ‘somewhat angry’ about ‘the way things are going’ in the US.” In a recent article for the Atlantic Monthly, Peter Beinart writes that the absence of faith in some people’s lives has arguably impacted their disposition toward those with whom they disagree. As people of faith, we have a name for this kind of excessive anger—sin—and we also have a script for how to respond to it. Christianity Today

In this episode we discuss President Trump’s address to Congress last week, check in on the public polling data after one month of the Trump administration, and take a look at the Obamacare replacement bill released by House GOP leadership last night. Segment 1: Presidential Address to Congress President Trump’s address to Congress on Tuesday night was widely praised as his first “presidential” moment, a moment that voters watching at home seem to have responded to. A CNN/ORC poll of voters who watched the speech showed 57% of respondents with a very positive reaction to the speech, a number that exceeded the reaction to all of President Obama’s State of the Union speeches except for his very first in February 2009. While 58% of respondents thought that President Trump would move the country in the right direction before the speech, after the speech that number shot up to 69%. That’s a data point that the Trump White House has to love seeing. And not surprisingly, that same percentage, 69%, say that Donald Trump made them feel more optimistic about the direction of the country after his speech. A CBS/YouGov poll found similarly positive reviews for President Trump. Even a near majority of Democrats, 46%, found the speech to be “presidential”, and nearly ¾ of Independent voters thought it was “unifying”. One thing to keep in mind, as this CBS article on their poll results points out, members of the president’s own party are more likely than others to watch an address to Congress or State of the Union, which presumably affects these overall numbers somewhat. After a few more days to process the speech, a Huffington Post/YouGov online panel weighed in, and they too generally approved of the speech, with 57% approving of the speech, though 52% also said it was similar to most of what he’s said and done since becoming president. So whether the public really viewed this speech as a change in tone is open to question. Monmouth University also released a poll conducted a few days after the speech and over the weekend, which found about 1-in-5 respondents saying they feel more confident about Trump’s presidency after the speech. A large number of those who came away feeling more confident were Republicans (47%) or Independents (44%).  Segment 2: Public Polling on President Trump and Congress / The Obamacare Replacement Bill Even before his address to Congress, there was some good news for President Trump in the public polling. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey from February 18th-22nd among registered voters showed Trump with significantly higher favorability ratings than both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party generally. The survey also found that a majority, 51%, of respondents thinks the media has been too critical of President Trump. A Morning Consult/POLITICO survey found President Trump’s job approval at 50%, the highest that it has reached in their tracking surveys since he became president. The same survey also found that 43% believe that the country is headed in the right direction, which might not look good on it’s face, but it is a serious improvement from the 71% who believed the country was on the wrong track on the day after Election Day. The Morning Consult/POLITICO survey also asked respondents whom they trust more to handle a variety of issues: Democrats in Congress or Republicans in Congress? Republicans are trusted more on the economy, jobs, and immigration, while Democrats are trusted more on health care (and Medicare and Medicaid), the environment, energy, and social security. That shows the extent to which President Trump has work to do to gain the public’s trust on certain issues, especially as the Republican Congress begins their efforts in earnest to repeal and replace Obamacare. The country is still very much divided on whether to trust them in those efforts. This line of questioning on who voters trust more becomes even more relevant as the GOP leadership’s newly released Obamacare replacement bill has finally seen the light of day, drawing instant criticism from the House Freedom Caucus and from Senators Rand Paul and Mike Lee, among others, as “Obamacare lite”. Our own Senator Cory Gardner is in the middle of the fray, as he joined 3 other GOP Senators in voicing concerns over the Medicaid expansion – concerns which were addressed in the bill that was eventually unveiled, but which only added to the criticism from more conservative members of the House and Senate. Clearly this is an issue where the Republican Party is fractured, and these divisions will likely need to be resolved for a repeal and replace bill to eventually pass.

It's not every day an undocumented person gets to sit in the chamber of power and listen to the president. But that's what happened to Angie Kim. Emil Guillermo talks with Kim, a community organizing fellow at the Minkwon Center for Community Action in Flushing, Queens, NY. Brought to the U.S. at age name by her parents from South Korea, Kim qualified for President Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood arrivals program (DACA), in 2012. It gave her the right to get a work permit and stay in the U.S. Now 32, her future is in jeopardy, as President Trump has yet to say what will happen with DACA recipients. In recent days, some DACA recipients have been apprehended by ICE  under new broad guidelines. Kim, invited to the speech by Congresswoman Grace Meng, didn't get a shout out like the widow or Ryan Owens. Kim shares her thoughts on the politics of the night and how she uses her activism to deal with the fear she faces as the only undocumented person in her family Emil Guillermo write for the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund blog. He is an award-winning journalist who was once an NPR host, newspaper columnist, and TV reporter.  See his work at www.aaldef.org/blog Or at www.amok.com www.twitter.com/emilamok   Emil Amok on the Speech. amok.com March 1, 2017 It wasn’t exactly a State of the Union, more like a Trump state of mind. But that means the best thing you could say about Trump45’s address before Congress is this: At least the TelePrompTer didn’t break. If it did, who knows what we would have seen on speech night. “Campaign Trump”? Or “Twitter Trump”? That’s the Trump who has been the real enemy of the people. But this speech was slightly more tempered. Milder. And he didn’t veer off wildly. The president showed us all— he could read! Sad. And just for doing that, 78 percent of viewers in a CNN/ORC poll gave Trump positive marks. Now that’s something Trump understands. Ratings. Governing, however, has been a mystery. But now Trump will learn from experience that if you give a political speech that’s long on promises on things like jobs, education, infrastructure, and Obamacare, without a stitch of detail on how to keep those promises, let alone pay for them, ratings can go up. And maybe he’ll start acting normal? That’s something both to welcome and to fear. Welcome because he’s not 100 percent in your face. Fear, because he’s figured out how the game works. And that of course, makes Trump more dangerous than ever. There were two things specifically I was looking for in the speech,  that  left  me pretty disappointed. Though Trump began the speech talking about Black History Month and civil rights, he really could have condemned the threats to the Jewish Community Centers and the vandalism of Jewish cemeteries much stronger than he did. And he could have dwelled on the shootings of Indian Americans in Olathe, near Kansas City. One man, Srinivas Kuchibhotla died. Another Indian American was wounded. A Caucasian man, Ian Grillot,24, was wounded trying to disarm the shooter, another Caucasian male, Adam Purinton, 51, who  started it all by hurling racial slurs at the Indians. These are the kind of things Trump45 has brought out in America since the start of his presidency. We should have seen a passionate denunciation of these acts. Instead,  rump simply read the prompter then bathed in the shower of self-congratulatory applause. It was as if just by being gracious makes him a hero. But what did Trump do since he’s taken over? With his anti-immigrant, build-a-wall, nationalistic rhetoric, he has given a segment of America a signal that hate is OK in America. The O-KKK. Trump’s victory unleashed all that on America. But the president acknowledged it with just a single line:  “While we may be a nation divided on policies, we are a country that stands united in condemning hate and evil in all its forms.” It didn’t seem sincere. Not after the first 40 days. It seemed hollow. He didn’t even mention the Asian Americans by nationality or name. It was just a shooting in Kansas City. Not good enough. Of course, later in his speech, Trump milked another sentimental moment to honor Navy Senior Chief William “Ryan” Owens, who died in Yemen during a raid last January. The military is always a safe bet. So honor a Gold Star family, and deplete the domestic budget in favor billions for the military. But for the Jews, or for the murdered Indian immigrant? Trump gave them short-shrift. It’s the reason Trump’s big pre-speech “leak” that he would be calling for a bi-partisan immigration reform seemed just like an insincere  tease. After the travel ban fiasco, and the new ICE policies that have resulted in round ups of undocumented immigrants around the country, a real push for a compromise on immigration would have been a great headline. But there was “no there, there.” Not when Trump’s speech contained more talk of a border wall, references to “illegal immigrants,” and borders as “lawless chaos.” And then, as he is likes to do, Trump mixes border security with national security and all that entails, and creates for us all one big fear: “Radical Islamic Terrorism.” And he used that exact counter-productive term, once again, despite advice to refrain. By the time he got around to his pitch for a bi-partisan immigration  “compromise,” Trump had no credibility with minority communities and those close to the immigrants who are living in fear. Immigration has always been humanitarian based for political or economic reasons for the immigrant. The benefit to the U.S. has always been the extra. Trump’s idea is for a merit-based immigration. He wants to cherry-pick the best, because the best will make money for Trump, the U.S., and that’s all he really cares about. Once again, he could have made a better case had he mentioned the Indian man who died in Olathe, that suburb of Kansas City. His name was Srinivas Kuchibhotla. He was a tech worker at Garmin, the gps company. He was one of the immigrants Trump likes. But not enough to mention in a major speech. There were other glaring things Trump said. Like calling education the “civil rights issue of our time.” Really? So is that why Betsy DeVos–the voucher queen hell bent on destroying public education–the new secretary of education? And what about that travel ban? After the  speech, Trump cancelled again the announcement for the new executive order that was to supercede the one held up by the court in Washington state. Reports had it that Iraq would come off. Would other countries be added? I worry for the  Philippines. This is the week the militant group Abu Sayyaf, home based in the Philippines, revealed a video showing the beheading of a 70-year-old German hostage. Trump didn’t mention it at all. But it was in the subtext when Trump said, “We cannot allow a beachhead of terrorism to form inside America—we cannot allow our Nation to become a sanctuary for extremists.” Stated or unstated, you knew that the beheading in the Philippines,  reported in the New York Times on speech day, could potentially be more fuel for Trump’s xenophobic fire. And this was a toned down speech. So if you hear people praise Trump about this speech and the polls giving him good marks for his performance,  don’t be fooled. All he did was stick to the TelePrompTer. And act presidential. Remember, he’s all showbiz. It’s still the same old Trump.  

The “Nasty Woman” vs. the “Bad Hombre.” Kristen & Marge are on west coast time. Now who's the puppet!?   Poll of the week It turns out you are entitled to your own facts. On that we agree, it seems. Pew Research Center on candidates and facts     The debates! They're over! We made it through the final debate. So, uh, anything change? Pew Research center on fact checking CNN/ORC post-debate poll   Are you being rigged? Yikes! Will people trust the polling results? Morning Consult on rigging concerns   To Russia, with Love Changing views toward Russia among the GOP? What would Reagan say? Morning Consult/Politico poll on Russia   Tale of the tapes. Again Huffington Post on sexual assault Gallup poll on sexual assault NBC/SurveyMonkey poll on Trump's respect for women Washington Post/ABC News poll on Trump's treatment of women PRRI on imorality and professionalism   If kids could vote USA Today on Children's presidential pick Sesame Street poll on Kindness and kids   Key findings: We're almost there everyone! Surely we can at least agree on how many days are left till the election? (fact check: yes!) Is it okay to call someone nasty, or a bad hombre? Or to shout wrong at someone who isn't wrong? What if you disagree with them on tax policy? (fact check: no!) Is it okay to fantasize about being in a pre-school election, or to daydream about what shows you're going to binge watch after the election? (fact check: yes!) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Well it's pretty crazy out there. Hold onto your crosstabs everyone. And don't forget you can see Margie in LA on 10/20 at the Ace Hotel with the fine folks at KCRW's Left Right & Center. Check it out here.   Poll of the Week There's a reason we're going to focus on the tapes & the debate--it's one of the biggest news stories this year. Politico/Morning Consult National Poll   October Surprises The post-debate polling is bleak for Trump, but  not quite as volatile as the news. Maybe. Brietbart on post debate poll CNN/ORC poll on the second debate NBC SurveyMonkey poll on the the second debate NBC/WSJ poll on Trump's tape Politico/Morning Consult on Trump's tape Huffington Post/HuffPost Pollster on trump's respect for women SurveyMonkey on Trump's tapes The Atlantic on Trump and female voters Reuters/Ipsos Poll on Clinton's marriage FiveThirtyEight poll on gender gap YouGov/Economist Poll on gender gap NBC/WSJ poll on GOP's action on Trump Politico/Morning Consult on GOP's action on Trump Morning Consult on Trump's loyal supporters   McMuffin-mentum Mmm. McMuffins. Kristen's Muffin-map is driving Twitter crazy. Deseret news/Y2 Analytics poll on McMullin   Are you going crazy? You're not the only one feeling stressed out about this election. But are you the only one who believes a conspiracy theory? Washington Post on unproven rumors Washington Post on perceived partisan biases Politico on Trump's mental health toll NYT Upshot: Your therapist may lean blue   Candy binge In times like these, we turn to candy. Influenster: each state's Halloween favorite   Key Findings Let's not get the message muddled here. The tapes are not about cursing, but about assault. That could explain some of the differences in results we're seeing. And while the impact on the race is clear--the impact on the GOP's fortunes...too soon to say. News is moving faster than public opinion, and public opinion moving faster than pollsters. Is the election giving you stress? Are you binge eating candy and McMuffins? Talk to the pollsters. Tell us how that makes you feel. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Hey guys! We'll be on Spotify very soon. Check out our new website www.thepollsters.com & send us very nice emails about how we can make the resource page better!   Poll of the week! Or maybe, “relevant pitch” of the week? How might you find independents on radio? Nielsen sent us some answers. Nielsen data on CNBC   Snap judgment So we had a debate. Who are you going to trust to find out who won: the polls? Or the other polls? Real Clear Politics on Luntz focus group WP informal focus group CNN/ORC post-debate poll PPP post-debate poll Morning Consult post-debate poll NBC/Survey Monkey post-debate poll Echelon poll YouGov post-debate poll Newer PPP post-debate poll NYT on post-debate polling Donald Trump on post-debate polling Brendan Nyhan on fact checking   Transition team Is this election bringing out the worst in people? Is it bringing out anyone to vote?l Monmouth poll on bringing out the worst Gallup on compromise Gallup on high hopes Gallup on interest in voting Pew on views toward the media Mediaite on media vs putin   Grilled cheese, spicy mochas, & the Simpsons Does Carl mainsplain to Mrs. Krabapple? Washington Post on grilled cheese The Simpsons, graphed on reddit   Key Findings: Did you have “poll denialism” on your debate bingo card! We will next time for sure. And everyone get your transition team ready. Not for the next president, but for the rest of america. Never mind m or manterrupting during the debate, what has been happening with the  Simpsons? We had no idea. Maybe Homestar Runner is better?   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

POLITICO’s Kristin Roberts, Ken Vogel, Eli Stokols, Scott Bland and Charlie Mahtesian analyze the latest CNN/ORC poll showing Donald Trump leading by 2 points and debate which battleground states are still within reach for Trump. Also on the docket; how Republicans' August freak-out paid off in donations and what to expect from Sheldon Adelson.

Yesterday on his final day in China, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke about Canadians who are detained overseas, including Neil Bantleman. He says that he knows how important it is to have a government that is concerned for the welfare of citizens abroad. Is the government doing enough?   Guest: Guy Bantleman. Brother of Neil Bantleman (Canadian Teacher imprisoned in Indonesia).    Guest: Kellie Leitch, candidate for the leadership of the Conservative Party, says that her proposal to vet newcomers for anti-Canadian values has to do with promoting tolerance and respect, not being divisive.   Guest: Peter Graefe. Professor of Political Science, McMaster University.  The polls are showing that the divide between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is getting smaller. It's a near even race with Trump edging Clinton by two points according to a CNN/ORC poll.   Guest: Barry Kay, political science professor at Wilfrid Laurier University.

The polls are showing that the divide between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is getting smaller. It's a near even race with Trump edging Clinton by two points according to a CNN/ORC poll.   Guest: Barry Kay, political science professor at Wilfrid Laurier University.

John Kasich at CNN town hall: I'm 'pro-Pope'. John Kasich refused to be drawn into the war of words between Donald Trump and Pope Francis on Thursday. At CNN's South Carolina Republican town hall, Kasich simply said he was "pro-Pope." The Ohio governor was responding to a question about comments in which Francis said Trump is "not Christian" if he wants to deport undocumented immigrants and build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. "This man has brought more sense of hope and more about the do's in life than the don'ts," Kasich said. "This guy has been so humble." Trump will appear at the town hall later in the evening. At a rally earlier in the day at Kiawah Island, South Carolina, he said the Pope's statement was "disgraceful." Kasich opened the CNN event by reflecting on a campaign trail moment that's quickly gone viral. At a forum in Clemson earlier in the day, a tearful young man confessed to Kasich that after suffering personal losses, he had gone through a very dark period in life. Now, he had found hope in the message that Kasich was taking to voters, he said, prompting the governor to hug the man. "There are a lot of people out there who are lonely," Kasich told moderator Anderson Cooper. "Could you believe that young man?" He expressed frustration with the frenetic pace of presidential politics and noted how important it is to "slow down" and listen to people in need. "We've got to slow down," Kasich told Cooper. "You've got to celebrate other people's wins, and sometimes you've got to sit with them and cry." Kasich is coming off a strong second-place showing in New Hampshire last week, but with his moderate message, there is little expectation that he will have a strong performance here during Saturday's GOP primary. When one woman in the audience asked whether he would consider appointing any of his fellow White House hopefuls to his Cabinet, Kasich light-heartedly reminded her that it was much too early in the race. "Well, look. I'm not going to be measuring like, the drapes. I've got a long way to go. We're really, really early," Kasich said. He did, however, call one former candidate a "terrific guy" who he would consider appointing to his administration: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. "I like him very much," Kasich said, before saying about the rest of the field: "They all deserve an awful lot of respect. I don't want to fight with them." Jeb Bush will also attend the town hall this evening. The former Florida governor is campaigning hard for a strong showing in this state, bringing both his brother and mother, former first lady Barbara Bush, out on the campaign trail this week. The town hall comes as Trump continues to hold a sizable lead in South Carolina. A new CNN/ORC poll released this week had the real-estate mogul on top at 38-percent, followed by Cruz at 22-percent, Marco Rubio at 14-percent and Jeb Bush at 10-percent. Ben Carson and Kasich were at the bottom of the pack, at 6-percent and 4-percent, respectively. Cruz, Rubio and Carson participated in CNN's first South Carolina town hall Wednesday in Greenville. At that event, Rubio once again accused Cruz of spreading inaccurate information about his record. Cruz shrugged off being called a liar by both Rubio and Trump, saying: "Both Donald Trump and Marco Rubio are following this pattern -- that whenever anyone points to their actual record ... they start screaming liar, liar, liar."

Clinton, Sanders highlight big differences Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders drew sharp contrasts with each other at a CNN Democratic town hall in Des Moines, Iowa, on Monday -- exactly one week before voters there attend the first in the nation caucuses. Clinton said she was "really touched" by President Barack Obama's praise for her in a recent interview as she tried to portray herself as the most effective potential guardian of his legacy. She pushed back against questions that asked why some younger voters are less enthusiastic about her candidacy than that of Sanders. And pressed on whether she was late in addressing income inequality, she said she has spent decades combating inequality of all kinds. Clinton asked why young people think she's 'dishonest' "Don't get discouraged," Clinton said. "It's hard. If it were easy, hey, there wouldn't be any contest. But it's not easy. There are very different visions, different values, different forces at work, and you have to have somebody who is a proven fighter -- somebody who has taken them on and won, and kept going, and will do that as president." Passionate final argument Sanders, meanwhile, hit Clinton hard over Iraq, trade, the Keystone Pipeline and Wall Street regulation as he drove home a passionate final argument to Iowa voters. He sought to portray himself as the true personification of change in the Democratic race for the White House. He argued that though Clinton has wide experience, she was wrong on key issues. "We need a political revolution," he said. "We are touching a nerve with the American people who understand that establishment politics is just not good enough." Bernie Sanders' political career 13 photos: Bernie Sanders' political career Sanders dismissed Clinton's political record, seeking to prove he was closer to the Democratic Party base and just as prepared to be president as Clinton. "I voted against the war in Iraq ... Hillary Clinton voted for the war in Iraq," Sanders said. "I led the effort against Wall Street deregulation. See where Hillary Clinton was on this issue." "On day one, I said the Keystone Pipeline was a dumb idea. Why did it take Hillary Clinton a long time before she came into opposition to the Keystone Pipeline? I didn't have to think hard about opposing the Trans Pacific Partnership. It took Hillary Clinton a long time to come on board that." He also warned unapologetically that taxes would rise if he is elected President, especially to pay for his Medicare-for-all health care plan. Bernie Sanders will raise taxes to pay for health care Sanders argued, however, that the taxes are worth it, given what American families will save in premiums. And, living up to his image as a self-declared Democratic socialist, he warned corporations and the richest Americans that they would pay more. "Yes, you are going to start paying for your fair share of taxes," Sanders said. "I demand that Wall Street start paying its fair share of taxes." Sense of humor For a candidate who has been caricatured as overly serious, Sanders' sense of humor came through at the town hall. He laughed with ease during exchanges with moderator Chris Cuomo and boasted of his athletic prowess as an elementary school basketball player. Clinton, meanwhile, hugged Obama close, and said she was deeply affected by an interview that Obama conducted with Politico in which he appeared, without making a formal endorsement, to argue Clinton was uniquely qualified for the presidency. "I was really touched and gratified when I saw that," Clinton said, relating how her relationship with her former 2008 Democratic primary rival developed into a close friendship when she served as his first-term secretary of state. The Democratic presidential candidates appeared one after the other for a half hour each at the town hall meeting at Drake University. The forum will showcase the contrast emerging between Clinton, the national front-runner and Obama's first secretary of state, and Sanders, who is mounting a stronger than expected challenge. Long shot candidate Martin O'Malley also appeared on stage and argued that he represented a generational change in politics that neither Sanders nor Clinton could match. Latest polling Latest polling shows Clinton and Sanders locked in a tight contest in Iowa. In the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, Sanders edges Clinton 46-percent to 44-percent in Iowa, with O'Malley at 4-percent. Hillary Clinton's career in the spotlight 50 photos: Hillary Clinton's career in the spotlight And in a new CNN/ORC national poll published on Monday, Clinton led Sanders 52-percent to 38-percent with former Maryland Gov. O'Malley way back on 2-percent. Though the survey showed a significant cushion for Clinton, her advantage was smaller than at any time since September. The poll showed women, non-whites, self-identified Democrats, and those over age 50 breaking sharply for Clinton. Men, white voters, independents who lean Democratic and younger voters are more likely to support Sanders. The Iowa contest is particularly important to Clinton, who lost the state in 2008, setting in motion Obama's path to the White House. A victory for Sanders could reshape the entire Democratic race while a Clinton win could quell jitters in her camp and help put her on the path to the nomination. Clinton, however, insisted she wasn't worried. "I'm proud of the campaign we've run and what we've put out there before the American people," she said. "It's a tough campaign and it should be because it's the toughest job in the world."

Don't forget to write us a review on iTunes or Stitcher (or both!). We also have some fun interviews and events in the works. Make sure to keep up with us on Twitter and Facebook (and Kristen and Margie's Twitter accounts) so you have all the latest.   Congrats to the all-lady team at Huffington Post/pollster Go team!   2016, GOP Side: Carson now beats Trump nationally. But which candidate has the steepest slope? And how does Iowa compare to New Hampshire and South Carolina? Most importantly, what does America's pollster think? Get your pre-debate handicapping here. CBS/YouGov 3-state poll (GOP) Monmouth Iowa poll (GOP) CBS/NYT national poll Huffington Post/pollster (National) Gallup on GOP favorables Trump on the polls (pt1) Trump on the polls (pt2) Trump on his pollster   2016, Dem Side: Clinton has had a strong few weeks. Although the national numbers look different than individual state numbers. And sample methodology makes a huge impact in the results. CBS/YouGov 3-state polls Monmouth Iowa (Dems) Huffington Post/Pollster (National) Huffington Post/Pollster (Iowa) Huffington Post/Pollster (New Hampshire) NBC/WSJ (national)   Campaign finance may have its moment? In two early primary states a (slim) plurality of Dems say they want to see the next President reform campaign finance. Even GOP worried their party too close to donors. CBS/YouGov 3-state poll   Now Hear This Several polls weigh in on how people view the Benghazi hearings--before the 11-hour marathon. Not surprisingly, high “don't knows” for this one. CNN/ORC on Benghazi NBC/WSJ on Benghazi   Speak To Me What do Republicans want out of an incoming Speaker? Compromise--or standing up for principles? Well, not surprisingly, question wording makes a big difference here. NBC/WSJ on Speaker NH/Bloomberg/NHIOP poll Gallup on Speaker Gallup on Tea Party   Candy! What's scarier: candy corn? Or Reeses' cups for the allergy-prone? We tackle the tough Halloween issues. Huffington Post/YouGov on Candy   Key Findings: America's pollster is worried he's slipping to #2. Can he pull out a win in the debate?And how often will he say “poll” onstage. Clinton is staying above the fray, and higher in the polls as a result. Campaign finance may have its moment. And Paul Ryan may have his. Meanwhile--there's yet another divisive issue sweeping the country: candy corn.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jesse and Brittany discuss the latest episode of Liar City (subscribe now!), our wonderful listeners, a kid who hacked into the CIA chief's email, Dollemocracy '16 featuring Joe Biden's refusal to run, Jim Webb dropping out of the race, Jimmy Kimmel disses Donald Trump, George W. Bush doesn't like Ted Cruz, Obama comments on Liberals... The post I Doubt It #165 – “Liar City on Michael Jackson, Listener Feedback, Kid Hacks CIA Chief's Email, Dollemocracy '16 Joe Biden Won't Run, Jim Webb Quits, Jimmy Kimmel Disses Donald Trump, GWB Doesn't Like Ted Cruz, Obama on Liberals, and CNN/ORC Poll, and The Upcoming Oscars!” appeared first on I Doubt It Podcast.

Jesse and Brittany bum you out by talking about the weather, Kim Davis' latest antics, Ahmed Mohamed stirs up various reactions from all ends of the spectrum, Dollemocracy '16 featuring a new CNN/ORC poll showing Donald Trump still in the lead, Donald Trump's lack of response to an audience member's question, Ben Carson on Meet... The post I Doubt It #158 – “HEATSTROKE, Kim Davis & Ahmed Mohamed Follow-up, Dollemocracy '16 feat. New Poll, Donald Trump Silence, Ben Carson on Meet the Press, Bernie Sanders with Blitz, and Lullaby Ben, Execution Numbers, and the Emmy's.” appeared first on I Doubt It Podcast.

In one of our featured 10 At 10 segments, we asked you to tell us why so many people incorrectly believe President Obama is a Muslim - 29-percent according to a recent CNN/ORC poll (and 43-percent of Republicans). The answers are insightful.

End Time Current Events: 12-24-12–Part 1 Table of Contents: New Faked Rigged CNN Poll: 52% of Americans favor major restrictions on guns or making all guns illegal, according to a CNN/ORC poll.  “To Conquer a Nation, first Disarm its Citizens.” Adolf Hitler 1933 Why there are no shootings in Israeli schools Gallup Poll: 64 Percent…