Podcasts about politico morning consult

A new POLITICO-Morning Consult poll out this week shows that Democrats are struggling to sell voters on their massive energy and climate legislative achievements. POLITICO's Zack Colman breaks down the latest polling and how it's a mixed bag for Democrats heading into the final days of the election. Plus, Dan Brouillette, president and CEO of the Edison Electric Institute, announced he is stepping down amid speculation he would join a second Trump administration. Zack Colman covers climate change for POLITICO.  Josh Siegel is an energy reporter for POLITICO.  Nirmal Mulaikal is a POLITICO audio host-producer.  Annie Rees is the managing producer for audio at POLITICO. Gloria Gonzalez is the deputy energy editor for POLITICO.  Matt Daily is the energy editor for POLITICO. For more news on energy and the environment, subscribe to Power Switch, our free evening newsletter: https://www.politico.com/power-switch And for even deeper coverage and analysis, read our Morning Energy newsletter by subscribing to POLITICO Pro: https://subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter-archive/morning-energy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss President Biden's trip to Europe for the annual G-7 Summit and the implications of this weekend's European Union elections. Also, the arrest by the FBI of eight foreign nationals in the US who are allegedly tied to Isis-K, the Afghan branch of the international terrorist organization. They also talk about new polling on voters' attitudes toward Vice President Kamala Harris from Politico/Morning Consult, the results of yesterday's primaries, and the life of journalist Howard Fineman who passed away at the age of 75. Next, Tom Bevan talks with RCP national correspondent Susan Crabtree about Army veteran Sam Brown's victory in the Republican senate primary in Nevada. He will face incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen in November in what is expected to be one of the nation's most closely watched 2024 Senate races. And finally, Carl Cannon talks to RCP contributor Eric Spitz about the Olympics and Israeli athletes, the state of higher education, and Hunter Biden's conviction on federal gun charges.

Deep blue California is shaping up to have one of the most consequential and hard-fought Senate races of the 2024 cycle — and that's before the general election takes shape. A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll finds that Rep. Adam Schiff, a Democrat of Burbank, is in the driver's seat, with a wide lead heading into election year. But in the race for second place, two prominent Democrats — Reps. Katie Porter and Barbara Lee — are in a statistical dead heat with Republican Steve Garvey of L.A. Dodgers fame. Why does that matter? California political reporter Melanie Mason joins Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to talk it through.

Today is the day! Today the midterm 2022 red wave washes across this glorious nation of ours, like the waters cleansing the Tower of Isengard. Today we see if the Democrat strategy of fear and division wins out over the solutions and policies of the GOP. And, let's not forget, most of the Republican candidates on so many ballots were supported by the DNC early in the primaries because they were supposed to be the more easily beaten candidates. First, though, I have to start with a ridiculous comment from White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre about the memo she released trying to walk-back President Joe Biden's commitment to close all coal mining in America. While we discussed her memo on yesterday's show, she was asked to explain the reason for the memo yesterday afternoon in a briefing. Her answer is both patently ridiculous and intellectually vapid. But, that's what we've grown to expect from our eminently qualified Press Secretary. Next, we listen to Democrat Strategist and CNN Political Analyst Hilary Rosen who suggests the terrible beating they are going to get is because they forgot to listen to the voters. It's amazing to consider, but she is correct. The leadership, from Joe Biden on down, has chosen to turn deaf ears to the issues the voters have been saying are foremost on their minds. While Democrat leaders convinced themselves abortion, LGBTQ+ and the Green New Deal are winning messages, the electorate, on both sides of the aisle, has been more concerned with inflation, energy prices and violent crime. When it comes down to it, most voters vote their pocketbooks and their own self-interests. This isn't new. Yet, the Democrat Party made a decision to ignore history. The Washington Post's Catherine Rampell also penned a piece with a very similar message. You know it's bad when the WaPo is writing negative pieces about the Democrat Party. She says, "For nearly two years, Democrat leadership has often pushed aside politically inconvenient developments rather than facing them head-on. They have often told themselves stories they want to believe instead of stories that are true." In Gainesville, GA, a woman told Fox News she always voted for the Democrats, but after voting for Joe Biden and seeing what he's done, she "had her eyes opened." She saw how he handled the retreat from Afghanistan and the policies that hurt the economy. For the first time, she voted a straight Republican ticket. This is reflected now on every major poll in the Real Clear Politics average except for Politico/Morning Consult and NBC. Every other poll shows a red wave, save for those two who are clinging to the delusion mentioned in Catherine Rampell's piece. They have no accomplishments to tout. They are not running on what they have done. The message is, "Democracy is on the ballot,' and "It will take days and days and days to count the votes." That's it. That's the Democrat message as we vote in the 2022 midterms. When the dust clears, it will be interesting to see if they learn their lesson, as Hilary Rosen hopes, or if they will continue to delude themselves that a majority of Americans want an Authoritarian regime, bordering on Marxist/Socialist principles. I have a 21 year, single malt scotch waiting for me if their hopes are dashed in spectacular fashion tonight. Take a moment to rate and review the show and then share the episode on social media. You can find me on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, GETTR and TRUTH Social by searching for The Alan Sanders Show. You can also support the show by visiting my Patreon page!

Speaking from the White House, President Joe Biden reflected on the shooting and called for new gun restrictions without identifying any specific proposals. “While they clearly will not prevent every tragedy, we know certain ones will have significant impact and have no negative impact on the Second Amendment,” Biden said. “The Second Amendment is not absolute.” More from CBS So what, realistically, will Washington do? And we have a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll conducted entirely after the shooting in Uvalde, offering a snapshot of the mood of American voters at this moment in time, and where they stand on a variety of gun reform proposals (Toplines … Crosstabs). Here's a rundown of what we found... Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook. Jenny Ament is the Executive Producer of POLITICO Audio.

This morning we have a pair of significant Ukraine-related exclusives. The first is a letter signed by more than two dozen of the nation's top foreign policy minds calling for a partial no-fly zone over Ukraine. The push runs squarely against conventional wisdom in Washington, but their missive will no doubt stir the conversation.  Second, a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows that Biden is enjoying at least a slight “Ukraine bump.” The uptick — first documented by an NPR/PBS/Marist survey released Friday — appears to be real, though how long it lasts is anyone's guess. Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook. Jenny Ament is the Senior Producer of POLITICO Audio.

1. 烏克蘭最新（俄國開打＋美中歐各國反應）北約秘書長延斯·斯托爾滕貝格24日在新聞發布會上宣布，峰會將於25日在網上舉行。討論如何對付入侵烏克蘭的俄羅斯。 繼俄羅斯軍事入侵烏克蘭後，北約24日召開了大使級特別會議。它已同意啟動北約的防禦計劃，並向靠近俄羅斯的東歐成員國增加士兵和武器。 目前，約有 100 架戰機處於高度戒備狀態，以監視成員國的領空，還有 120 艘艦船在海上作業。 另一方面，斯托爾滕貝格表示，烏克蘭沒有北約軍隊，烏克蘭不是北約成員國，“沒有向烏克蘭派遣北約士兵的計劃”。 “俄羅斯正在利用其力量改寫歷史，”斯托爾滕貝格說，並呼籲俄羅斯方面立即停止襲擊。 “我將盡一切努力保護北約成員國免受攻擊，”他強調說。 2. 歐美供應鏈以及能源政策重新部署英國首相約翰遜昨天在一份聲明中表示，他將“同意實施大規模經濟制裁以傷害俄羅斯經濟”。 “我們必須集體制止俄羅斯對石油和天然氣的依賴，普京總統利用石油和天然氣來控制西方國家。”日本、美國和歐洲七大國家（G7）協調的經濟制裁顯示出限制俄羅斯能源交易的可能性。 在俄羅斯軍事入侵之後，歐盟（EU）和英國宣布計劃在此後不久考慮實施額外制裁。英國政府正在考慮禁止向俄羅斯出口半導體等高科技產品，並暫停俄羅斯公司的英鎊交易。 “這種魯莽的攻擊不僅是在烏克蘭，而且在東歐和世界各地都是對民主和自由的攻擊，”約翰遜指責軍事入侵。 “普京先生可怕的野蠻行徑必然以失敗告終，”他說。經濟制裁被定位為製止烏克蘭局勢進一步惡化的一張王牌。 美國和歐洲多次警告國際社會，俄羅斯的軍事入侵迫在眉睫。還公佈了俄羅斯假定的入侵路線等機密信息。 “我們最可怕的恐懼（假設）現在已經成真，所有警告都被證明是準確的，”約翰遜說。 “普京先生在我們的大陸上發動了一場戰爭。他在沒有可靠藉口的情況下襲擊了一個友好國家，”他說。 3. 美國民調 53% 不希望美國介入俄烏戰爭 俄羅斯軍隊入侵烏克蘭。拜登政府正在為未來的反應引起關注，但呼籲美國積極參與的輿論並未必然增加。對俄羅斯的大規模製裁可能導致汽油價格上漲，這可能會引發國內輿論的不滿。烏克蘭局勢正在成為該國對拜登政府的一個風險因素，拜登政府在中期選舉前的支持率低迷。 “許多美國人反對美國的主要作用。”美聯社23日發表文章，報導其民意調查結果顯示，只有26%的受訪者表示美國應該在烏克蘭局勢中發揮主要作用。另一方面，52%的人回答應該扮演一個小角色，20%的人回答他們不應該扮演一個角色。 在哥倫比亞廣播公司新聞和研究公司Yugab 2月初進行的一項民意調查中，53%的受訪者表示，美國不應參與俄羅斯與烏克蘭就烏克蘭局勢進行的談判，而“應支持烏克蘭”。那是 43%。按政黨劃分，最常見的答案是“不應該參與”，佔 61%，其次是共和黨支持者，佔 55%，民主黨支持者佔 37%。烏克蘭問題反映了美國國內的孤立主義傾向，即國內問題優先於外部問題。“如果你在自由受到威脅時不站出來，你以後會付出更大的代價，”拜登在昨天的一次演講中說。另一方面，一些共和黨人表示，“美國出兵和擴大北約是錯誤的，這是一個戰略優先事項，”霍利參議員說，而不是烏克蘭，後者對美國來說是次要的。也是我們應該關注中國的觀點。 厭倦了伊拉克和阿富汗兩場戰爭的美國輿論對軍事干預更加謹慎。 根據研究公司Morning Consult 19日至20日進行的一項民意調查顯示，51%的人同意對俄羅斯實施制裁，但19%的人同意向烏克蘭東部派遣美軍。在《經濟學人》和研究公司 Yugab 19 日至 22 日進行的一項民意調查中，只有 16% 的人表示他們對“派遣烏克蘭軍隊到烏克蘭與俄羅斯作戰”有一個“好主意”。 21%的民主黨支持者、16%的共和黨支持者和12%的無黨派人士支持美軍出動，對於不分黨派的軍事干預出現了謹慎的輿論。在同一項調查中，當被問及他們對烏克蘭發生的事情有多關心時，38% 的人表示“非常擔心”，而 39% 的人表示“有些擔心”。“我一點也不關心”是 23% . 烏克蘭局勢刺激原油價格飆升，指數“美國WTI原油”期貨價格22日漲至每桶96美元。拜登政府計劃在俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭後收緊制裁，但面臨原油價格進一步上漲並影響美國的困境。政治網站Politico和研究公司Morning Consult於19日至21日進行的一項民意調查顯示，如果俄羅斯和烏克蘭之間的衝突導致油價進一步上漲，“拜登總統有責任”。73%的共和黨支持者和44%的共和黨支持者民主黨的支持者。 共和黨政客和支持者批評了拜登政府的反應，例如“在我們的政府下不會發生這種情況”（前總統特朗普）。根據蓋洛普 2 月 21 日公佈的民調，拜登總統 2 月份的支持率為 41%，自去年秋天跌至 40% 的低位區間以來幾乎持平。關於政府對俄羅斯的回應，36%的受訪者表示會支持，這甚至低於整體的支持率。 4. 日外交官出示護照仍遭拘留 中國明確違規 22日，駐華大使樽海英夫到訪中國外務省，就日本駐華使館被中國當局暫時扣押一事，對吳江外相助理部長提出嚴厲抗議，並強烈道歉並防止再次發生。我問。大使館當天宣布。 據使館介紹，21日下午，使館工作人員被暫時拘留在北京。日本大使館當天調整了抗議提議，稱這違反了《維也納外交關係公約》，但由於中方的方便，據說是22日晚上。 一名使館官員表示，“我在進行正常的外交活動時，以違反《維也納公約》的方式被暫時拘留，可能對今後的外交活動產生嚴重影響。”關於工作人員的活動，“我就不解釋了”。 另一方面，中國駐日本大使館23日發表聲明稱，這些工作人員從事“不適合其身份的活動”，並解釋稱中方依法進行調查和提問。 . “日方的提議不被接受，”他說。 5. 中國江蘇延長退休年限，少子高齡化危機3月份，中國的退休年齡將開始提高。作為第一步，江蘇省將在沿海地區啟動。假設本人本人申請，最短延期期限為一年。目的是增加職工人數，減輕社保負擔，但有不少市民反對，“只會推遲開始領取養老金”。當局希望通過強調他們的意圖來消除擔憂。 中國的退休年齡由國務院（政府）法律規定，原則上男性為60歲，女性高管為55歲，女性員工為50歲。在國務院規定發生變化之前，江蘇省將建立自己的退休延長制度。 江蘇省毗鄰上海市，是自古以來製造業發達的地區。截至2020年底，人口8477萬，佔中國總人口的6%。 根據江蘇省政府的通知，領取的基本養老金數額由省政府市區平均月工資、個人待遇、社會保險費繳納期限等因素確定。如果推遲退休年齡，隨著服務年限的延長，繳費期限也會變長，退休後每月可領取的養老金很有可能會增加。 提高年齡並不統一。延遲退休的前提是本人提出申請並徵得雇主同意。延長工作期限為一年以上，由個人自行判斷。 這是因為很多人反對提高退休年齡。中老年人仍然擔心，僅僅延長保險費繳納期限，領取的養老金總額就會減少。現代中國的育兒方式，祖父母代雙收入夫婦照顧孫輩，也讓延長退休的討論變得困難。 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本

In today's episode:New polling from Politico/Morning Consult and Rasmussen show 35% of the country wanting to 'overturn' the 2020 presidential election and well over half of the country knows that cheating affected the outcomeThe sheriff of Racine, Wisconsin presents evidence of a scheme to intentionally evade election law in order to steal the votes of nursing home residents'Let's Go Brandon' songs top the charts as chants break out all over the countryThe mainstream media tries to help wish the Biden communism package over the finish lineJoe Biden intends to pay illegal immigrant families who were separated at the border $450,000The fake president tells us about how he drove an electric school bus and will make electric cars that can travel across the country on a single tank of gas, figuratively speaking.Listen and support the podcast: anchor.fm/imyourmoderatorMerch site: www.cancelcouture.com or shop.spreadshirt.com/cancel-coutureWriting at: imyourmoderator.substack.comFollow the podcast info stream: t.me/imyourmoderatorSupport the show (https://www.ko-fi.com/imyourmoderator) See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information. Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/be-reasonable-with-your-moderator-chris-paul.

We have some news in our latest POLITICO-Morning Consult poll that we can share with you this morning.  The results get to the heart of two big questions about 2022: 1. Can Democrats overcome the culture war attacks dragging them down? 2. Can Republicans overcome the Trumpian issues dragging them down? Subscribe to POLITICO Playbook. Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook. Jenny Ament is the Senior Producer of POLITICO Audio.

A new POLITICO Morning Consult Global Sustainability Poll reveals that adults across the United States and the world have damning opinions about the performance of their political leaders when it comes to climate change. They also say China needs to step up to address climate change despite its status as a developing country. POLITICO's Ryan Heath breaks down the poll's findings.    Nirmal Mulaikal is a POLITICO audio host-producer.  Ryan Heath is Senior EU Correspondent and Associate Editor at POLITICO.  Carlos Prieto is an audio producer for POLITICO.  Raghu Manavalan is a senior editor for POLITICO audio. Jenny Ament is the interim executive producer of POLITICO's audio department.

A FIVE-ALARM FIRE for AMERICAN DEMOCRACY The warning signs of serious decline for many democracies worldwide are “flashing red.” In the U.S., we may be on the verge of the “greatest political and constitutional crisis since the Civil War” and quite possibly the “suspension of American democracy as we have known it,” in the words of Robert Kagan. The problems facing American democracy are numerous, including (but not limited to) misinformation and disinformation, election subversion efforts by leading political figures, loopholes in the Electoral Count Act, partisan media outlets, political polarization, negative partisanship and tribalism, erosion of support for democracy and growing support for authoritarianism, weakening of social cohesion, government gridlock and dysfunction, an attempted coup, the “Big Lie,” an insurrection, partisan election audits, increasing authoritarianism among state legislatures, threats to elected officials and election workers, and talk of secession. I want to focus my discussion on two of these related threats: misinformation/disinformation and efforts to subvert our electoral system. The U.S. is in what many have called a “post-truth” age. For millions of Americans, feelings are becoming more important than facts and people are increasingly comfortable bending reality to their beliefs—instead of adjusting beliefs to match the evidence. The very notions of facts and expertise are being rejected by large numbers of Americans. At first glance this may seem incongruent with the fact that Americans have easier access to factual information, and more of it, than ever before. Imagine traveling back in time and asking a person that you met there to take you to their best library. Now imagine, once arriving in the building, pulling your smartphone from your pocket and explaining, “This tiny device gives me access to exponentially more information than this entire library.” You would leave him or her speechless. With all of this high-quality information at our fingertips, why do so many of us fall for misinformation and disinformation? A good portion of the blame can go to the internet, the decline of traditional news outlets and rise of partisan ones (including cable news, talk radio, and partisan websites), and the rise of social media. Despite easy access to more high-quality information than ever before, we also have easy (and often easier) access to more low-quality information than ever before. Millions of Americans do not know the difference between credible journalism and biased partisanship, lock themselves in ideological silos which continuously feed them messages and information that supposedly confirm their beliefs, and become addicted to low-quality information. There are valuable tools that can help, but many Americans are either unaware of or unwilling to use them. Imagine sitting at a table in a restaurant. Along comes your server with a plate of healthy food and places it on your table. At this point, 100 percent of the food in front of you is healthy. But before you can take a bite, another server places three more plates on the table containing unhealthy food. Now only 25 percent of the food on the table is good for you. If you desire to eat healthy during this meal, have these additional plates made your goal less attainable? Only if (a) you are unable to identify which plate contains the healthy food and/or (b) you are unable to resist the temptation to eat off of the other plates. This is a good metaphor for the current news media landscape. Our human brains are hard-wired to look for information that makes us feel good, avoid information which does not, and interpret information in a manner that makes it consistent with what we already believe and maintains our highest sense of self. This is true for everyone regardless of their political orientation. Most of us try to avoid information that might destabilize our view of the world and/or threaten our core beliefs, identities, and deeply held opinions. As social psychologist Jonathan Haidt explains, “When the facts conflict with. . . sacred values, almost everyone finds a way to stick with their values and reject the evidence.” When we only have a few sources of mostly high-quality information available to us, our cognitive biases are kept somewhat under control. But when there are seemingly endless sources of information available to us, and we have difficulty differentiating what is credible from what is not, our cognitive biases are unleashed to do their worst. Think back to the movie Jurassic Park. In that film, the dinosaurs do not pose much of a threat to park patrons when the security systems are working. But once Dennis Nedry deactivates them? Well, hold on to your butts—at that point, the dinosaurs eat people. Partisan news outlets, the internet, and social media have deactivated the security systems that kept our cognitive biases somewhat at bay. Now misinformation and disinformation help diseases once thought to be a thing of the past to rear their ugly heads again. They destabilize democracies. This is not some minor problem. Lee McIntyre explains that, “The cognitive bias has always been there. The internet was the accelerant which democratized all of the disinformation and misinformation and diminished the experts. Democratization has led to the abandonment of standards for testing beliefs. It leads people to think they are just as good at reasoning about something as anybody else. But they're not. At the doctor's office, I don't ask for the data and reason through it myself and decide on the course of treatment. It takes expertise and experience to make that judgement. Just like I can't fly my own plane. There is a scene in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade where he is in the room with all of these goblets and chalices and doesn't know which one is the Holy Grail.  That's where we are right now. We have the truth right in front of us, but we don't know which one it is.” Tom Nichols writes that, “These are dangerous times. Never have so many people had so much access to so much knowledge and yet have been so resistant to learn anything. In the United States and other developed nations, otherwise intelligent people denigrate intellectual achievement and reject the advice of experts. Not only do increasing numbers of laypeople lack basic knowledge, they reject fundamental rules of evidence and refuse to learn how to make a logical argument. In doing so, they risk throwing away centuries of accumulated knowledge and undermining the practices and habits that allow us to develop new knowledge. This is more than a natural skepticism toward experts. I fear we are witnessing the death of the ideal of expertise itself, a Google-fueled, Wikipedia-based, blog-sodden collapse of any division between professionals and laypeople, students and teachers, knowers and wonderers—in other words, between those of any achievement in an area and those with none at all.” Or as Yevgeny Simkin writes: “Let's take a short walk down memory lane. It's 1995. A man stands on a busy street corner yelling vaguely incoherent things at the passersby. He's holding a placard that says ‘THE END IS NIGH. REPENT.' You come upon this guy while out getting the paper. . . No reasonable person would think of convincing this man that his point of view is incorrect. This isn't an opportunity for an engaging debate. . . Now fast forward to 2020. In terms of who this guy is and who you are absolutely nothing has changed. And yet here you are—arguing with him on Twitter or Facebook. And you, yourself, are being brought to the brink of insanity. . . [Social media is] responsible for the tearing apart of our social fabric. . . An insidious malware slowly corrupting our society in ways that are extremely difficult to quantify, but the effects of which are evident all around us. Anti-vaxxers, anti-maskers, QAnon, cancel-culture, Alex Jones, flat-Earthers, racists, anti-racists, anti-anti-racists, and of course the Twitter stylings of our Dear Leader.” A prime example of the threat that misinformation and disinformation pose to American democracy is the ongoing campaign—what has become known as the “Big Lie”—to delegitimize and overturn the free and fair election of President Biden. As Will Saletan writes in the Bulwark, “Americans like to think our country is immune to authoritarianism. We have a culture of freedom, a tradition of elected government, and a Bill of Rights. We're not like those European countries that fell into fascism. We'd never willingly abandon democracy, liberty, or the rule of law. But that's not how authoritarianism would come to America. In fact, it's not how authoritarianism has come to America. The movement to dismantle our democracy is thriving and growing, even after the failure of the Jan. 6th coup attempt, because it isn't spreading through overt rejection of our system of government. It's spreading through lies.” Saletan notes that: In the last four Economist/YouGov polls, most White Americans without a college degree said President Biden did not legitimately win the presidency. Three-quarters of Republicans in a January/February 2022 Economist/YouGov poll said they believe that Biden did not legitimately win the election. An October 2021 Quinnipiac survey found that 94 percent of Democrats said former President Trump is undermining democracy, while 85 percent of Republicans said he is protecting it. In a December 2021 survey from the University of Massachusetts Amherst, 61 percent of Republicans said Biden is illegitimate because fraudulent ballots supporting him were counted by election officials. Forty-six percent said ballots supporting Trump were destroyed by election officials. Forty-one percent said voting machines were re-programmed by election officials to count extra ballots for Biden. In a Politico/Morning Consult poll from January 2022, more than 60 percent of Republicans said that in terms of violating the Constitution, the election was at least as bad as the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Two-thirds of these people (or 43 percent of all Republicans) said the election was worse. An overwhelming amount of evidence demonstrates that these ideas are false, and yet their support is widespread. Saletan closes by saying, “We're in a battle to save democracy, but the battleground isn't values. It's facts. We're up against a party that spreads, condones, excuses, tolerates, and exploits lies—lies about our political process, and lies about an attempt to overthrow our government—in order to make Americans think that the party of authoritarianism is the party of democracy. And we're in serious danger of losing.” Misinformation and disinformation have been powerful weapons that leading political figures in America have used recently to further their authoritarian efforts to subvert democracy. Recent examples of election subversion include former President Trump admitting to wanting former Vice President Pence to overturn the election at the electoral vote counting stage. Kimberly Wehle, a law professor at the University of Baltimore, argues that we desperately need to fix the Electoral Count Act (ECA) for this very reason. Even though the ECA was not intended to give the Vice President the power to single-handedly overturn an election for no good reason, it is vague enough that somebody might be able to abuse it to that end. Wehle explains that, “There are massive holes in the Electoral Count Act. It is stunning that there is nothing requiring states to count the popular vote. Arizona is proposing legislation to ignore the popular vote and allow the state legislature to pick the electors. That is not democracy. If this is not addressed, state legislatures and/or Congress can steal the next election. The future of our republic is at stake.” Other alarming examples of recent election subversion efforts in the U.S. include (but are not limited to): Trump prodding and threatening Georgia's secretary of state to “find” enough votes to flip his state from Biden to Trump (NBC News). Eighty-four GOP officials across seven states (including local GOP leaders, current office holders, and current candidates for public office) sending fraudulent documents to the National Archives in the hopes that these fake “alternative slates of electors” would be taken seriously and play a role in overturning the election (the New York Times, the Bulwark). Trump bringing leaders of the Michigan legislature to the White House to try to convince them to incorrectly certify that their state went for Trump when in fact it went for Biden (Politico). Partisan state election audits (Brennan Center). Trump wanting to seize voting machines and records (Politico, the Bulwark). Trump calling governors and local election officials to try to pressure them to fabricate voter fraud (USA Today). The January 6, 2021 insurrection (New York Times). Trump floating pardons for those who stormed the capital on January 6 (Politico). Trump wanting to install Jeffrey Clark at the DOJ to carry out his election subversion schemes (the Bulwark). American democracy is under serious threat. As Michael Gerson laments, recent developments in the U.S. are “revealing the frightening fragility of the American experiment.” And as Jonathan Last warns, “America faces an authoritarian peril.” This is a five-alarm fire for American democracy, and we are all going to have to do our part to put it out—and there is little time to wait.   by Lawrence M. Eppard   Joining us on this episode of the Utterly Moderate Podcast to discuss all of this is Jim Swift, senior editor at the Bulwark. Swift worked at The Weekly Standard from 2012 to 2018, where his last post was as deputy online editor. His writing has also appeared in the Washington Post, the Richmond Times-Dispatch, the Cleveland Plain Dealer, and elsewhere. Before TWS, he worked for five years for members of the House and Senate as a tax staffer, working for Rep. Geoff Davis (R-KY) on Ways and Means Committee matters and Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ) on Finance Committee matters. In 2004, he worked as a field staffer for President Bush's re-election campaign. For a good example of the consequences of misinformation and disinformation, check out Jim Swift's piece in the Bulwark about what happened recently in Maitland, Florida. Also take a look at this can't miss piece from Anne Applebaum in the Atlantic about what Vladimir Putin's objective is in threatening Ukraine. Further reading: “Fact Check: How We Know the 2020 Election Results were Legitimate, not 'Rigged' as Donald Trump Claims” (USA Today) “Listen to the Full Audio of Trump's Phone Call with the Georgia Secretary of State” (NBC News) “John Eastman's First 'January 6 Scenario' Memo” (Washington Post) “Read the Never-Issued Trump Order that Would Have Seized Voting Machines” (Politico) “Fake GOP Electors Subpoenaed By January 6 Committee” (Forbes) “Our Constitutional Crisis is Already Here” (Washington Post) “How Stable Are Democracies? ‘Warning Signs Are Flashing Red'” (New York Times) “The Trump Coup is Still Happening” (the Bulwark) “Anatomy of a Death Threat” (Reuters) “Arizona GOP Lawmaker Introduces Bill to Give Legislature Power to Toss Out Election Results” (NBC News) “Lies Are the Building Blocks of Trumpian Authoritarianism” (the Bulwark) “How Seriously Should We Take Talk of U.S. State Secession?” (Brookings) “Social Media is the Problem” (the Bulwark) Check out the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index Check out the Connors Forum Guide to Trustworthy News Outlets Episode Music/Audio Clips: “Please Listen Carefully” by Jahzzar (creative commons) “Draw the Sky” by Paul Keane (licensed through TakeTones) “Reading by Lamplight” by Maarten Schellekens (creative commons) Bruce Springsteen Super Bowl Jeep Commercial (publicly available on YouTube) “Happy Trails (To You)” by the Riders in the Sky (used with artist's permission)   See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Natalia, Niki, and Neil discuss President Biden's first year in office. Support Past Present on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/pastpresentpodcast Here are some links and references mentioned during this week's show:  Public opinion of President Biden's first year in office is polarized. Neil and Niki referred to Jamelle Bouie's New York Times opinion piece comparing Biden and Reagan's first years as president. Neil also discussed the POLITICO/Morning Consult report card on Biden's first year. Natalia drew on this POLITICO essay about the substantial time remaining for the Biden administration to prove itself.   In our regular closing feature, What's Making History: Natalia discussed Rainesford Stauffer's new Teen Vogue advice column “Work in Progress” and Elizabeth Spiers' New York Times guest essay, “In Defense of Jeremy Strong (And All The Strivers With No Chill).” Neil reflected on the death of fashion editor André Leon Talley. Niki recommended Rebecca Traister's book Big Girls Don't Cry: The Election That Changed Everything for American Women.

We have fresh numbers, via the latest POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, on how the public views the major voting rights and electoral reform proposals being considered in Congress. Crosstabs … Toplines Let's start with the most interesting takeaway: the first data we've seen about reforming the Electoral Count Act, the 19th-century law that Donald Trump tried to use to subvert the Electoral College on Jan. 6. 2021. Fifty-five percent of voters support ECA reform. Subscribe to POLITICO Playbook. Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook. Jenny Ament is the Senior Producer of POLITICO Audio.

Millions of American are expected to travel for Thanksgiving and if you are heading out, you should expect delays. One of the biggest mysteries is how many TSA agents will be in compliance with vaccine mandates for federal workers set for Nov. 22nd. The government doesn't think there will be any delays, but long wait times are inevitable as TSA employees are leaving for other reasons too. Suzanne Rowan Kelleher, staff writer at Forbes, joins us for how holiday travel could be a mess. Next, President Biden has been on the wrong side of the polls recently amid missteps and verbal flubs. According to a Politico/Morning Consult poll, just 44% of voters approve of his job performance and worse yet, 48% say he is not mentally fit. Beyond that, voters didn't find him to be a clear communicator or a strong leader. Marc Caputo, national political reporter at Politico, joins us for more bad poll numbers for Biden. Finally, everyone has done it at some point, but it might be wise to stop sucking in your stomach all the time, it could be bad for your health. We're not talking about the occasional time when taking a picture or trying to fit into an outfit, but prolonged stomach gripping can affect your pelvic floor muscles, make it harder to take deep breaths, or cause soreness and stiffness in you lower back. Allyson Chiu, wellness reporter at The Washington Post, joins us for more. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

If you want to know more about the state of the House GOP conference, today should provide a pretty telling snapshot. Ten months after rioters stormed the Capitol hunting for lawmakers, most House Republicans are expected to vote against rebuking one of their colleagues, Paul Gosar, who posted an anime video of himself stabbing Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. And, voters have increasing doubts about the health and mental fitness of President Joe Biden, the oldest man ever sworn into the White House, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.” Subscribe to POLITICO Playbook. Raghu Manavalan is the host of POLITICO's Playbook. Jenny Ament is the senior producer for POLITICO Audio.  Irene Noguchi is the executive producer of POLITICO Audio.

Ngày 03/11/2021 là tròn đúng một năm Joe Biden đắc cử tổng thống. Nhưng món quà mừng một năm cầm quyền là kết quả thất bại của đảng Dân Chủ trong cuộc bầu cử thống đốc bang Virginia, nơi cách nay một năm, cử tri dồn phiếu cho Joe Biden để đánh bại Donald Trump trong cuộc bầu cử tổng thống. Một cú tát như trời giáng. Một lời cảnh báo cho phe Dân Chủ trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội giữa kỳ năm 2022. Chiếc bóng của Trump vẫn còn đó ? Christophe Le Boucher, nhà báo và đồng tác giả tập sách « Ảo ảnh bị mất của nước Mỹ phe Dân Chủ », trên đài BFMTV nhắc lại, Joe Biden được bầu chọn dựa trên hai lời hứa : Trở lại với sự bình thường sau những năm lộn xộn của Trump, của đại dịch Covid-19, cái chết của George Floyd và Khôi phục lại vị thế nước Mỹ. Nhưng sau một năm cầm quyền, những cam kết này của ông dường như vẫn khó được thực hiện. Ở trong nước, tỷ lệ được lòng dân của Joe Biden tụt giảm thê thảm. Có đến 51% số người được hỏi (thăm dò của Politico/Morning Consult), thậm chí là 54% (NBC News hồi tháng 10/2021) cho biết không tán đồng cách điều hành của chủ nhân Nhà Trắng hiện nay. Những khó khăn của Biden Kết quả cuộc bầu cử tại bang Virginia, hôm 03/11/2021 là một minh chứng hiển nhiên. Ứng viên đảng Cộng Hòa Glenn Youngkin, 54 tuổi, đã giành thắng lợi trước đại diện đảng Dân Chủ, Terry McAuliffe, 64 tuổi, bất chấp việc đích thân tổng thống Joe Biden, cựu tổng thống Barak Obama và phó tổng thống Kamala Harris đến cổ vũ vận động. Tổng thống Mỹ biện giải cho thất bại này là do đất nước đang trong một bối cảnh tế nhị : « Người dân tức giận và sống trong nỗi lo bất định. Có nhiều nguyên nhân để giải thích : Covid, giáo dục, thị trường lao động hay như còn có khủng hoảng nhiên liệu nữa. » Tuy nhiên, giới phân tích tại Pháp cho rằng thất bại bầu cử ở Virginia ít nhiều phản ảnh những khó khăn mà ông Biden đang trải qua, bắt đầu từ cuộc khủng hoảng di dân lớn chưa từng có hồi tháng 4/2021 để rồi phải đi đến quyết định duy trì hạn ngạch nhập cư do Trump thiết lập, chương trình tiêm ngừa cũng bị một bộ phận người dân phản đối, hay như việc thông qua hai kế hoạch chấn hưng kinh tế… Gerard Araud, cựu đại sứ Pháp tại ở Mỹ (2014-2019) trên đài truyền hình Arte, cho rằng đó còn là do sự chia rẽ trong nội bộ đảng Dân Chủ, gây khó khăn cho những chương trình cải cách mà Biden muốn thực hiện như cam kết trong cuộc vận động tranh cử. « Tại một đất nước thật sự đang bị chia rẽ sâu sắc, với một đảng Cộng Hòa vẫn còn chịu sự ảnh hưởng của Donald Trump và luôn từ chối hợp tác với chính quyền hiện hành. Trong một hệ thống tổng thống mà ở đó không có điều gì có thể thực hiện được nếu như cả hai đảng không muốn làm việc chung với nhau. Rồi người ta còn có một đảng Dân chủ đang bị chia rẽ giữa một bên ôn hòa và bên kia là một cánh tả mỗi lúc một tả, thì ông Biden, một người thuộc cánh trung khó thể nào mà thực thi các chương trình của mình. Có hai kế hoạch tái khởi động : Một dành cho cơ sở hạ tầng và một chủ yếu để cho các vấn đề xã hội. Từ nhiều tháng qua, ông ấy cố gắng cho thông qua, nhưng đảng Dân Chủ đã không tài nào có được sự đồng thuận giữa hai phe. » Nỗi thất vọng của cử tri Virginia Đối với nhà chính trị học Marie-Christine Bonzom, trên tờ HuffingtonPost, cử tri Virginia đã biến cuộc bầu cử này như là một « cuộc trưng cầu dân ý để chống lại chính quyền Biden ». Phải chăng đó là vì có bóng dáng Trump trong cuộc bầu cử ? Giới phân tích tại Pháp tin rằng « Không ». Ông Gérard Olivier, nhà nghiên cứu Viện Triển vọng và An ninh tại châu Âu, trên đài Arte nhắc rằng ứng viên đảng Cộng Hòa, ông Glenn Youngkin, khi tranh cử đã luôn tìm cách tỏ ra giữ khoảng cách với Trump. « Trên thực tế, lần này, cử tri lắng nghe Youngkin bởi vì ông ấy chỉ nói với họ về cuộc sống thường nhật, về lạm phát, về giá xăng dầu đã tăng gấp đôi trong vòng có 10 tháng, về giáo dục và nhiều chủ đề khác nữa. Chính vì vậy mà họ bỏ phiếu cho Youngkin. Ở đây không chỉ có những cử tri ủng hộ đảng Cộng Hòa, mà còn có rất nhiều người thân đảng Dân Chủ và cử tri độc lập, những người từng bỏ phiếu cho Biden cách nay một năm và nay họ đã bỏ phiếu cho Youngkin. » Nếu như chiến dịch tiêm chủng ngừa Covid-19, lĩnh vực hiếm hoi duy nhất mà Joe Biden vẫn còn được đa số người dân ủng hộ và thể hiện rõ sự khác biệt với người tiền nhiệm trong cách xử lý dịch bệnh, thì bà Charlotte Recoquillon, chuyên gia về Hoa Kỳ, Viện Địa chính trị Pháp, cũng trên đài Arte, nhận thấy rằng Joe Biden đang trả giá cho những hứa hẹn cải cách cho đến giờ vẫn chưa được thực hiện. « Ở đây còn có việc tổng thống Biden đã không thể nào cho thông qua được các cải cách như ngành cảnh sát, xóa nợ cho sinh viên, nghỉ phép bệnh hay như nghỉ hộ sản và nhất là vấn đề giữ trẻ nhỏ vẫn luôn là câu hỏi lớn. Đó là những chủ đề tranh cử mà nhờ đó ông ấy đã huy động được cử tri cánh tả, những người cấp tiến, và phe dân chủ xã hội cũng như là phong trào Black Live Matter. Những người này giờ cảm thấy rất thất vọng. Về cuộc bầu cử giữa kỳ, tôi tin rằng mối tương quan lực lượng đang được tái tổ chức một lần nữa để làm cho ông Biden hiểu rằng nỗi sợ tỏ ra quá cấp tiến có nguy cơ buộc ông trả giá rất đắt ». Afghanistan : Vết đen khó phai Còn trên bình diện đối ngoại thì sao? Về điểm này, rõ ràng là có một sự đoạn tuyệt với thời kỳ Donald Trump : Không còn những dòng tweet thô lỗ, không còn chuyện thay đổi quay ngoắt bất thình lình trong đối ngoại, cũng không còn những lời chửi rủa ngoài mong đợi nhắm vào các đồng minh hay xích lại gần với những chính phủ chuyên chế. Thời kỳ của những « bức thư tình » với Kim Jong Un và những lời dọa dẫm cho « Little Rocket Man » đã qua. Thay vào đó, theo nhận định của ông Jeff Hawkins, cựu đại sứ Mỹ và là nhà nghiên cứu của Viện Quan hệ Quốc tế và Chiến lược (IRIS), nguyên thủ Mỹ tìm cách nối lại với chính sách của Obama, bất kể là trong việc nối lại đàm phán hạt nhân với Iran, hay việc Hoa Kỳ trở lại với Thỏa thuận Paris về khí hậu. Dù vậy, cựu đại sứ Mỹ cũng nhận thấy đôi khi có một sự tiếp nối đáng kinh ngạc với chính sách đối ngoại của Trump, mà hồ sơ Afghanistan là một ví dụ điển hình. Một quan điểm cũng được cựu đại sứ Pháp ở Mỹ, ông Gerard Araud đồng chia sẻ trên đài Arte. « Trên thực tế, rõ ràng là có một hình thức tiếp nối từ Obama sang Trump, rồi từ Trump sang Biden. Cả ba nhân vật này đều hiểu rằng người dân Mỹ đã ngán ngẩm với những cuộc can thiệp bên ngoài. Nước Mỹ không còn muốn là hiến binh của thế giới và cả ba vị tổng thống này, mỗi người với một phương pháp riêng, một cách tự nhiên lại đi về cùng một hướng. Ở Kabul, tôi không bàn về cách thức thực hiện, nhưng rõ ràng là ông Biden đang thực thi một chính sách của Trump, mà chính sách này vốn dĩ đã có từ thời Obama. Vào thời đó, ông Obama đã từng thông báo ý định thoái lui của Hoa Kỳ. » Chỉ có điều, khi bất chấp những ý kiến của giới tướng lĩnh và các đồng minh trong khối NATO, Biden vẫn duy trì đường hướng của Trump. Cuộc triệt thoái diễn ra trong hỗn loạn ở Kabul và hình ảnh hàng ngàn người Afghanistan tìm cách chạy trốn quân Taliban trong nỗi tuyệt vọng tại sân bay, vô hình chung đã tạo nên một vết đen khó phai và có thể sẽ đeo bám Joe Biden cho đến cuối nhiệm kỳ. Hồ sơ Afghanistan cũng là một trong những nguyên nhân dẫn đến thắng lợi của đảng Cộng Hòa tại bang Virginia. Bởi vì, đây chính là nơi sinh sống của nhiều gia đình quân nhân và trú đóng nhiều căn cứ quân sự Mỹ, theo như lưu ý của nhà chính trị học Marie-Christine Bonzom trên trang mạng HuffingtonPost. Chống Trung Quốc : Một chính sách tiếp nối với Trump ? Ngoài ra, còn có một điểm khác cũng được hầu hết giới quan sát tại Pháp cùng đồng tình : Giống như dưới thời Donald Trump, cuộc đọ sức Mỹ - Trung vẫn sẽ tiếp diễn, từ Trump, Biden và thậm chí cho đến « 5 đời tổng thống sau đó », như phân tích của ông Gerard Araud. Theo đó, « cuộc đối đầu toàn diện đang diễn ra giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc sẽ kiến tạo nên các mối quan hệ quốc tế trong những thập niên sắp tới. ». Trong cuộc đọ sức này, châu Âu sẽ người ngoài cuộc. Vì sao ? Chuyên gia Gerard Olivier đưa ra các giải thích : « Bởi vì hai cường quốc lớn này đang tranh giành thế bá quyền ở thế kỷ 21. Đương nhiên, châu Âu thoái lui là điều không thể tránh khỏi. Nhìn từ phía Hoa Kỳ, có một sự thất vọng đối với Trung Quốc. Nghĩa là, kế hoạch của Mỹ để Trung Quốc tham gia vào Tổ chức Thương mại Thế giới chính là để Trung Quốc mở cửa rộng hơn, và Hoa Kỳ như vậy có thể làm ăn với Trung Quốc nhiều hơn như là họ đã làm với nhiều nước khác. Và quan hệ giao thương sẽ dẫn đến những thay đổi trong quan hệ chính trị. Thế nhưng, đó không phải là tất cả những gì người ta nhìn thấy ở Trung Quốc. Ngược lại, người ta chỉ thấy chế độ mỗi lúc một cứng rắn hơn, Tập Cận Bình là chủ tịch mãn đời. Rồi còn có các vấn đề về người Duy Ngô Nhĩ, Hồng Kông và giờ là Đài Loan nữa. Và thế là Hoa Kỳ cũng thế, trở nên cứng rắn hơn trước một Trung Quốc ngày một chuyên chế. » Cuối cùng, nếu như khác với Trump, tổng thống Biden nhấn mạnh nhiều đến tầm quan trọng và sự trường tồn của các mối quan hệ đồng minh, điều đó cũng không ngăn cản được Biden phản bội lại đồng minh lâu đời nhất của Mỹ là nước Pháp, trong vụ hợp đồng của tầu ngầm của Úc và thành lập liên minh quân sự AUKUS, khiến mối quan hệ đồng minh bị sứt mẻ. Nói một cách khác, mức độ khó đoán khó lường của Joe Biden có lẽ cũng không kém gì Trump. Sự việc dẫn đến một cuộc khủng hoảng ngoại giao chưa từng có và khiến người ta không khỏi tự hỏi : Sau một năm cầm quyền, liệu Biden có đã xóa được dấu vết Donald Trump hay chưa ?

In today's episode: New polling from Politico/Morning Consult and Rasmussen show 35% of the country wanting to 'overturn' the 2020 presidential election and well over half of the country knows that cheating affected the outcome The sheriff of Racine, Wisconsin presents evidence of a scheme to intentionally evade election law in order to steal the votes of nursing home residents 'Let's Go Brandon' songs top the charts as chants break out all over the country The mainstream media tries to help wish the Biden communism package over the finish line Joe Biden intends to pay illegal immigrant families who were separated at the border $450,000 The fake president tells us about how he drove an electric school bus and will make electric cars that can travel across the country on a single tank of gas, figuratively speaking. Listen and support the podcast: anchor.fm/imyourmoderator Merch site: www.cancelcouture.com or shop.spreadshirt.com/cancel-couture Writing at: imyourmoderator.substack.com Follow the podcast info stream: t.me/imyourmoderator

Sixty-two percent of American voters believe President Biden is responsible for the rising inflation, a Politico/Morning Consult poll found Wednesday. Forty-one percent of Democrats agree that inflation is a result of Biden's failed polices, along with 61 percent of independents and 85 percent of Republican voters. Support The Show: https://waynedupree.locals.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sixty-two percent of American voters believe President Biden is responsible for the rising inflation, a Politico/Morning Consult poll found Wednesday. Forty-one percent of Democrats agree that inflation is a result of Biden's failed polices, along with 61 percent of independents and 85 percent of Republican voters. Support the show: https://patreon.com/wdshow See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Leslie begins today with her 'Ripped from the Headlines' news segment.  Here are the stories that she gave her take on: 1. NPR: "Senate Democrats Offer A New Voting Bill, But A GOP Filibuster Likely Blocks The Way" 2. AXIOS: "Pandemic-era stimulus lifted millions out of poverty, new government data shows" 3. Politico-Morning Consult poll: Majority support requiring employers with 100+ employees to mandate COVID vaccinations or weekly testing 4. WASHINGTON POST: "GOP condemnation of Biden coronavirus mandate fuels concern other vaccine requirements could be targeted" 5. CNN: "Woodward/Costa book: Worried Trump could 'go rogue,' Milley took top-secret action to protect nuclear weapons" Leslie is then joined by Brad Bannon, who runs Bannon Communications Research, a polling, message development and media firm which helps labor unions, progressive issue groups and Democratic candidates win public affairs and political campaigns.   The two of them analyze today's California gubernatorial recall election. You can hear Brad guest host for Leslie each Monday from 3-4pm ET with his own program, 'Deadline D.C. with Brad Bannon.' Brad also writes a political column each week for 'The Hill.' His Twitter handle is @BradBannon. 

Leslie begins today with her 'Ripped from the Headlines' news segment. Here are the stories that she gave her take on: 1. NPR: "Senate Democrats Offer A New Voting Bill, But A GOP Filibuster Likely Blocks The Way" 2. AXIOS: "Pandemic-era stimulus lifted millions out of poverty, new government data shows" 3. Politico-Morning Consult poll: Majority support requiring employers with 100+ employees to mandate COVID vaccinations or weekly testing 4. WASHINGTON POST: "GOP condemnation of Biden coronavirus mandate fuels concern other vaccine requirements could be targeted" 5. CNN: "Woodward/Costa book: Worried Trump could 'go rogue,' Milley took top-secret action to protect nuclear weapons" Leslie is then joined by Brad Bannon, who runs Bannon Communications Research, a polling, message development and media firm which helps labor unions, progressive issue groups and Democratic candidates win public affairs and political campaigns. The two of them analyze today's California gubernatorial recall election. You can hear Brad guest host for Leslie each Monday from 3-4pm ET with his own program, 'Deadline D.C. with Brad Bannon.' Brad also writes a political column each week for 'The Hill.' His Twitter handle is @BradBannon.

Highlights:  “The deplorables are smelling blood with Biden being so weak and they want a rematch.”“While over a half of a million patriots are watching Trump’s celebration in West Palm Beach, Florida, only about 50,000 bothered to tune in to sleepy Joe’s mumbling comments for President’s Day.”“The political map here is rather clear. Trump has surged in strength while all those who sought to destroy him have collapsed. They politically melted and there’s nothing left for them in the current political landscape.”“Trumpism is the only way forward for the GOP.”Timestamps:      [02:51] Nigel Farage, Sebastian Gorka, and Steve Bannon seeing Trump as a candidate for 2024[04:12] On the latest Politico/Morning Consult poll on how Trump may win the primaries[05:48] Trump’s celebration versus Biden’s speech for President Day[06:37] Why Trump’s allies are calling him ‘Teflon Don’[08:55] The political death of the feckless RINO senators that voted to convict Trump[10:54] On the future of the GOP Resources: Evaluate your cybersecurity today with Graybeard Security! Book your personal security analysis by using the Dark Web Scanner for FREE at turleytalks.graybeardsecurity.ioGet Hemp Fusion’s sleep supplement with 25% OFF plus 10 FREE travel packs of Hemp Fusion’s stress products using the code ‘WINNING’ at  hempfusion.comLivestream video: Trump’s Week of WINNING and the Path Forward for 2024!!!Fight back against Big Tech CENSORSHIP! Subscribe to my GAB PLATFORM: https://gab.com/turley-talksSubscribe to my Brand-New RUMBLE Channel here: https://rumble.com/c/DrSteveTurleyFind me on BITCHUTE: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/vEzYfW0ALXeNBecome a Turley Talks Insiders Club Member: https://insidersclub.turleytalks.com/welcomeThank you for taking the time to listen to this episode.  If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and/or leave a review.Do you want to be a part of the podcast and be our sponsor? Click here to partner with us and defy liberal culture!If you would like to get lots of articles on conservative trends make sure to LIKE Dr. Steve Turley’s Facebook Page and sign-up for the 'New Conservative Age Rising' Email Alerts. 

Una encuesta de mayo de 2017 de Politico/Morning Consult mostró que el 81 % de los votantes estadounidenses estaban a favor de la investigación del fiscal especial. Una encuesta de junio de 2017 de Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research preguntó a los adultos si la investigación del fiscal especial podría ser justa e imparcial: el 26 % estaba «extremadamente confiado» o «muy confiado»; 36 % estaban «moderadamente confiados»; y un 36 % «no estaban muy seguros» o «no confiaban en absoluto». La Vida Real es Falsa. Este es Ken Rick --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/kenrick-rampersad/message

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the country’s leading infectious-disease expert, joins host Dan Diamond to talk about the state of the coronavirus outbreak, the progress on vaccines and testing stumbles, and how he's protecting his own mental health during the crisis.  Stay up-to-date on the latest Covid-19 news by subscribing to the POLITICO Nightly and POLITICO Pulse newsletters. And subscribe to our latest newsletter POLITICO Future Pulse, looking at where health care and technology intersect.  MENTIONED ON THIS SHOW - Check out Dan Diamond's accompanying story on Dr. Fauci at politico.com. - Americans trust Fauci far more than President Trump and other individuals when it comes to endorsing a vaccine, according to the latest POLITICO/Morning Consult poll. Dan Diamond is the host of POLITICO Pulse Check and author of the POLITICO Pulse newsletter. Dr. Anthony Fauci is the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.  Kara Tabor produced this episode.  Jenny Ament is the senior producer of POLITICO audio.  Irene Noguchi is the executive producer of POLITICO audio.

Jimmy Barrett and Shara Fryer take you through the stories that matter on the morning of 12/23/2019, including: It’s the Season of Polling. In mid-December, we have presidential polls and impeachment polls. Starting with the presidential race, Real Clear Politics shows Joe Biden with a healthy lead over his Democrat rivals. A recent Politico/Morning Consult poll found a, “Majority expect Trump to win in 2020.” A political scientist claims, “Trump impeachment would guarantee his re-election in 2020.” There are also a few interesting polling asides. An American Jewish Committee survey found, “Nine in 10 Orthodox Jews support President Donald Trump.” There are also three recent polls showing black support for Trump at 30 percent or higher, despite previous GOP presidential candidates typically garnering less than 10 percent of the black vote on election day. The Texas suburbs are slipping away from the GOP. These women for Trump want to win them back. Texas Republicans need women on their side if they’re going to keep the state red in 2020, but recent polls suggest President Donald Trump’s support among women is plummeting. It’s time for churches to make room for the semi-annual visit from the “Creasters”, those church members who only manage to attend services on Christmas and Easter. If ministers only have two Sundays a year to reach these people, what do they do to inspire them to make church a regular habit (resolution?) in 2020?

Welcome back to the Poll Party! Kicking off this week’s episode, Adam and Rory discuss the recent announcements that have changed the Democratic Primary field, including Kamala Harris dropping out and Michael Bloomberg entering. They also review a couple of new national polls on the Democratic field, the first from Taubman (https://watson.brown.edu/taubman/files/taubman/imce/taubman_national_f2019 %281%29.pdf) and the second from Politico/Morning Consult (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html). A big topic of conversation is comparing the 2 polls, and why they are should different results, and the different methodologies used for each. Rory and Adam look at the Politico polling tracking over time, and how polls should be looked at over a longer period of time to look for trends rather than a spot in time, similar to tracking studies for brands. In the next segment, Rory gives us an impeachment polling update, looking at the summaries provided by the Washington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/12/03/americans-are-split-impeachment-just-like-they-were-before-public-hearings/), specifically how the results differ among Independents and in swing states. Since we are deep into the holiday shopping season, this week’s poll of the week hits on topic. Rory talks about a recent Harris Poll / Open X Survey about Online Shopping at Work. (https://www.fastcompany.com/90408181/you-shop-online-at-work-we-all-know-it-and-this-research-proves-it) (Editor’s Note: Rory got alittle worried about revealing her shopping habits since her boss was sitting across the table from her.) Finally, in this week’s Quiz of the Week, Adam and Rory find out what their inner holiday is. Hint – They are the same. You can find out yours here: https://www.buzzfeed.com/lthorn2332/whatas-your-inner-holiday-7pi7xrp5zt. You can join the conversation by reaching out to us on Twitter at @PollPartyPod, by email at PollPartyPod@gmail.com, text us, or leave us a voicemail at 312-620-7187.

GOP concerns rise over President Donald Trump's impeachment reaction, a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows support for impeachment at a new high and more in today's Audio Briefing.

Lowell Ponte, THE NEW REALITY, CAN THE 3-HEADED DEMOCRATIC PARTY WIN?, Social Communist Totalitarian Control, Three Headed Demon-Ratic Party, End of Soul-Less Confused Democrats, Arrogant Control Freak Democratic Party Politicians, Liars Promise Breakers Thieves, Liberal Racists, Dr Bill Deagle MD AAEM ACAM A4M, NutriMedical Report Show, www.NutriMedical.com, www.ClayandIRON.com, www.Deagle-Network.com,NutriMedical Report Show,THE NEW REALITYCAN THE 3-HEADED DEMOCRATIC PARTY WIN?Lowell Ponte thumps racist leftists blaming their shortcomings on the rightWND, July 28, 2019 https://www.wnd.com/2019/07/can-the-3-headed-democratic-party-win/With Democrats gathering this week for their second presidential debate, New York Times pundit Thomas B. Edsall observes that “The Democratic Party is actually three parties. They have different constituents and prefer different policies. Satisfying them all will not be easy.”To describe this medically, the Democratic Party has one body with three heads, possessed by three contradictory personalities.What liberal Edsall could not bear to admit is that the Democrats’ multiple personalities create an internal contradiction that could be fatal to the party’s hopes of victory in 2020 and beyond. This one big party could easily split into three small parties.The three loosely-united parties we call the Democrats include a “very liberal” faction obsessed with radical causes such as climate extremism and unlimited abortion; a “somewhat liberal” left wing devoted to race, gender and immigration issues; and, largest of the three, a party of moderate and conservative voters focused on “creating jobs” and (gasp) “lowering taxes.”Radical young Democrats want a party of hard-left ideology and identity politics, whose followers think of themselves not as individuals but collectively as members of gender, racial or class groups. Democrats debating this Tuesday and Wednesday will vie to be farthest left.Today’s Democratic Party refuses to debate on Fox News, where candidates would face tough questions about their Achilles heel, their most vulnerable spot.Democrats have repudiated white working-class voters. They depend utterly on winning supermajorities of minority voters – black, Latino, Asian-American and other collectivized groups. This is why their media auxiliaries CNN and MSNBC boosted the number of times they call President Donald Trump a “racist” to above 2,000 a week.But who, exactly, is a “racist”? According to Columbia University’s John McWhorter, when Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her socialist coven hurl this epithet at Donald Trump or Democrat House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, their “2.0 meaning of racist” is “that which is offensive, for any reason,to people of a race.” (Emphasis added.)According to July polling by Rasmussen Reports, 32 percent of Democrats think it is “racism any time a white politician criticizes the political views of a politician of color.” (Emphasis added.)“That’s just speech-stifling, freedom-chilling crazy,” writes Cheryl Chumley of the Washington Times. “That’s racism in itself … to claim white politicians can’t criticize black politicians simply because of skin colors.”According to Edsall, the Democratic Party’s “more moderate wing, which is pressing bread-and-butter concerns like jobs, taxes and a less totalizing vision of health care reform, is majority nonwhite, with almost half of its support coming from African-American and Hispanic voters.” (Emphasis added.)In other words, if a white leftist criticizes moderate Democrats, that leftist is criticizing Blacks and Hispanics. And to criticize the political views of Blacks and Hispanics is – by the same crazy one-way definition used to smear President Trump – racist.The most racist people in American politics today are therefore leftists. But this should not surprise us. The Democratic Party began as America’s racist party of the slave-owners, Ku Klux Klan cross-burners and lynch mob terrorists, and has always used race as a divide-and-conquer means to power. Historian Paul Johnson documented in his book “Intellectuals” that Karl Marx was a viciously anti-Semitic and anti-black racist.This label “racist” is rapidly losing all credibility. If everyone is a racist, then nobody is. And for Trump to argue with minorities exactly as he does with whites is a sign of equality, not paternalistic discrimination.So as we approach the 2020 election, what winning weapons do Democrats have? Days before the Mueller hearings, a Politico/Morning Consult poll showed that 42 percent of Democrats as well as 42 percent of Republicans are skeptical of the two-year Mueller probe into Trump and believe it was conducted “unfairly.”With Mueller revealing during the hearings that he was unfamiliar with his own report, and appeared to be suffering mental problems, support for anything like Trump’s impeachment is fading among all but the most left-wing partisans.Can Democrats win on issues? Not likely, given the extremist positions that even “moderate” former Vice President Joe Biden, has taken. A liberal July NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll found that giving free health care to illegal aliens is opposed by 62 percent of voters, including 47 percent of moderate Democrats and 67 percent of independents. Reparations and ending private health insurance are strongly rejected. Open borders is opposed even by 37 percent of progressive Democrats, and opposed by everybody else. Fifty-five percent of Hispanic Americans want a Census question to identify non-citizens. Watch which head prevails in this week’s debates.Lowell Ponte is a former Reader’s Digest Roving Editor. His articles have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times and other major publications. His latest paper co-authored with Craig R. Smith, “Protecting Your Wealth in Today’s America: How You Invest Your Savings Requires New Thinking,” shows how to rethink several areas of investment to protect and grow your savings in our new schizophrenic politics. For a free, postpaid copy, call toll-free 800-630-1492. For information regarding your data privacy, visit Acast.com/privacy See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Lowell Ponte, THE NEW REALITY, CAN THE 3-HEADED DEMOCRATIC PARTY WIN?, Social Communist Totalitarian Control, Three Headed Demon-Ratic Party, End of Soul-Less Confused Democrats, Arrogant Control Freak Democratic Party Politicians, Liars Promise Breakers Thieves, Liberal Racists, Dr Bill Deagle MD AAEM ACAM A4M, NutriMedical Report Show, www.NutriMedical.com, www.ClayandIRON.com, www.Deagle-Network.com,NutriMedical Report Show,THE NEW REALITYCAN THE 3-HEADED DEMOCRATIC PARTY WIN?Lowell Ponte thumps racist leftists blaming their shortcomings on the rightWND, July 28, 2019 https://www.wnd.com/2019/07/can-the-3-headed-democratic-party-win/With Democrats gathering this week for their second presidential debate, New York Times pundit Thomas B. Edsall observes that “The Democratic Party is actually three parties. They have different constituents and prefer different policies. Satisfying them all will not be easy.”To describe this medically, the Democratic Party has one body with three heads, possessed by three contradictory personalities.What liberal Edsall could not bear to admit is that the Democrats’ multiple personalities create an internal contradiction that could be fatal to the party’s hopes of victory in 2020 and beyond. This one big party could easily split into three small parties.The three loosely-united parties we call the Democrats include a “very liberal” faction obsessed with radical causes such as climate extremism and unlimited abortion; a “somewhat liberal” left wing devoted to race, gender and immigration issues; and, largest of the three, a party of moderate and conservative voters focused on “creating jobs” and (gasp) “lowering taxes.”Radical young Democrats want a party of hard-left ideology and identity politics, whose followers think of themselves not as individuals but collectively as members of gender, racial or class groups. Democrats debating this Tuesday and Wednesday will vie to be farthest left.Today’s Democratic Party refuses to debate on Fox News, where candidates would face tough questions about their Achilles heel, their most vulnerable spot.Democrats have repudiated white working-class voters. They depend utterly on winning supermajorities of minority voters – black, Latino, Asian-American and other collectivized groups. This is why their media auxiliaries CNN and MSNBC boosted the number of times they call President Donald Trump a “racist” to above 2,000 a week.But who, exactly, is a “racist”? According to Columbia University’s John McWhorter, when Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her socialist coven hurl this epithet at Donald Trump or Democrat House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, their “2.0 meaning of racist” is “that which is offensive, for any reason,to people of a race.” (Emphasis added.)According to July polling by Rasmussen Reports, 32 percent of Democrats think it is “racism any time a white politician criticizes the political views of a politician of color.” (Emphasis added.)“That’s just speech-stifling, freedom-chilling crazy,” writes Cheryl Chumley of the Washington Times. “That’s racism in itself … to claim white politicians can’t criticize black politicians simply because of skin colors.”According to Edsall, the Democratic Party’s “more moderate wing, which is pressing bread-and-butter concerns like jobs, taxes and a less totalizing vision of health care reform, is majority nonwhite, with almost half of its support coming from African-American and Hispanic voters.” (Emphasis added.)In other words, if a white leftist criticizes moderate Democrats, that leftist is criticizing Blacks and Hispanics. And to criticize the political views of Blacks and Hispanics is – by the same crazy one-way definition used to smear President Trump – racist.The most racist people in American politics today are therefore leftists. But this should not surprise us. The Democratic Party began as America’s racist party of the slave-owners, Ku Klux Klan cross-burners and lynch mob terrorists, and has always used race as a divide-and-conquer means to power. Historian Paul Johnson documented in his book “Intellectuals” that Karl Marx was a viciously anti-Semitic and anti-black racist.This label “racist” is rapidly losing all credibility. If everyone is a racist, then nobody is. And for Trump to argue with minorities exactly as he does with whites is a sign of equality, not paternalistic discrimination.So as we approach the 2020 election, what winning weapons do Democrats have? Days before the Mueller hearings, a Politico/Morning Consult poll showed that 42 percent of Democrats as well as 42 percent of Republicans are skeptical of the two-year Mueller probe into Trump and believe it was conducted “unfairly.”With Mueller revealing during the hearings that he was unfamiliar with his own report, and appeared to be suffering mental problems, support for anything like Trump’s impeachment is fading among all but the most left-wing partisans.Can Democrats win on issues? Not likely, given the extremist positions that even “moderate” former Vice President Joe Biden, has taken. A liberal July NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll found that giving free health care to illegal aliens is opposed by 62 percent of voters, including 47 percent of moderate Democrats and 67 percent of independents. Reparations and ending private health insurance are strongly rejected. Open borders is opposed even by 37 percent of progressive Democrats, and opposed by everybody else. Fifty-five percent of Hispanic Americans want a Census question to identify non-citizens. Watch which head prevails in this week’s debates.Lowell Ponte is a former Reader’s Digest Roving Editor. His articles have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times and other major publications. His latest paper co-authored with Craig R. Smith, “Protecting Your Wealth in Today’s America: How You Invest Your Savings Requires New Thinking,” shows how to rethink several areas of investment to protect and grow your savings in our new schizophrenic politics. For a free, postpaid copy, call toll-free 800-630-1492. For information regarding your data privacy, visit Acast.com/privacy See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Poll of the week New Navigator Survey Trump and Democrats' Enthusiasm President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Democrats lose their enthusiasm advantage (NBC News/Wall Street Journal) Voter Approval Rising for Trump's Handling of the Economy (Wall Street Journal/NBC News) AG Barr and the Mueller Report Little support for Barr's handling of Mueller report (POLITICO/Morning Consult) 2020 Campaigns The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Latest National General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Monmouth on Capitalism vs. Socialism Socialism not seen as compatible with American values, but opinion is not overwhelmingly negative (Monmouth University) Foreign Policy America Adrift: How the U.S. Foreign Policy Debate Misses What Voters Really Want (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Voters Want an ‘America First' Foreign Policy (Just Not Trump's) (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Democrats are playing down foreign policy. (GBAO/Center for American Progress) Pew on Diversity Americans See Advantages and Challenges in Country's Growing Racial and Ethnic Diversity (Pew Research) Pew on Methodology When Online Survey Respondents Only ‘Select Some That Apply' (Pew Research) Met Gala Dress Which Musician Had Your Favorite Met Gala 2019 Look? (Billboard) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It's Margie's Birthday! Please donate to World Central Kitchen to help feed furloughed Federal workers! The shutdown continues to take its toll on federal workers and begins to take a more serious toll on the President's political standing. Pelosi has edge over Trump on budget negotiations (CBS News) Shutdown, Russia drive Trump to all-time high disapproval (POLITICO/Morning Consult) 6 in 10 Americans blame Trump for shutdown (Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research) Voters see shutdown as bigger problem than border situation (FOX News) NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll How un/popular is Donald Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) President Trump Job Approval (RealClearPolitics) Cardi B reminds us that the last shutdown was about healthcare. Where do voters stand on ACA and its alternatives like Medicare for all? Public Opinion on Single-Payer, National Health Plans, and Expanding Access to Medicare Coverage (Kaiser Family Foundation) More Americans are saying climate change is personally important to them. Global Warming Concerns Rise Among Americans (Yale University and George Mason University) The “Brexit” is when you tell people you're leaving but don't actually go anywhere. The opposite of that? Ghosting. What do people think is acceptable “ghosting” on Tinder? How Do You Calculate The Emotional Cost Of Ghosting Someone? (BuzzFeed News) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of The Humanist Report we'll talk about the suppression of progressives; this includes a new Politico/Morning Consult public opinion poll that excludes Bernie Sanders as well as Cynthia Nixon's criticism of the Democratic Party establishment for tipping the scales against progressive candidates across the country. Additionally, we'll talk about Kaniela Ing's corrupt corporatist opponents that were bought off by the health insurance industry, Joe Arpaio's idiocy on ‘Who is America?', a terrifying new study on climate change, Ajit Pai's lies, right-wing snowflakes and more! Enjoy the program!

POLITICO reporters discuss the Rob Porter abuse allegations that have shaken the White House and why chief of staff John Kelly is in the middle of this scandal. The panel also breaks down the Trump polling bump we saw in the latest POLITICO/Morning Consult poll and what it means for the Republican Party in 2018.

Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America welcome a new Politico/Morning Consult poll showing more Americans now plan to vote for a Republican congressional candidate than for a Democrat, which is a big swing since in recent weeks.  They also roll their eyes as Democrats and pundits fret that President Trump hasn't given specific orders for the FBI to thwart Russian attempts to meddle in the midterm elections, when FBI Director Christopher Wray says they are on the case because it is their job after all.  And they look at the Valentine's Day tradition of columns by liberal women blaming men for their own relationship frustrations and the decline of modern romance.

Today I'm joined by Wine expert and ex Columbia university communications head Doug Levy and by part-time Buddhist and Bernie Sanders forward planner Reggie Hubbard. In a week in which President Donald Trump’s poll numbers and approval ratings stabilize and move up slightly over the past month, we ask is Trump and his breaking of political norms, the new normal. Following a low of 39 percent in the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll last month after his controversial reaction to the violent protests in Charlottesville, Virginia, Trump is back at 43 percent in this week’s survey. Other surveys show similar results: Trump bottomed out at 35 percent in Gallup’s weekly tracking poll in late August, but ticked up to 38 percent last week. Trump is at 40 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, up about 2.5 points from his low-water mark last month. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, Sean Spicer apologizes for his Hitler analogy and more in today's Playbook Audio Briefing.

Immigration week in Washington, a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll and more in today's Playbook in 90 Seconds.

A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll on the Electoral College, Bill Clinton weighs in on the election and more in today's Playbook Plus in 90 Seconds.

Donald Trump's pick for secretary of state will have a tough time on Capitol Hill, a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll and more in today's Playbook in 90 Seconds.

Well it's pretty crazy out there. Hold onto your crosstabs everyone. And don't forget you can see Margie in LA on 10/20 at the Ace Hotel with the fine folks at KCRW's Left Right & Center. Check it out here.   Poll of the Week There's a reason we're going to focus on the tapes & the debate--it's one of the biggest news stories this year. Politico/Morning Consult National Poll   October Surprises The post-debate polling is bleak for Trump, but  not quite as volatile as the news. Maybe. Brietbart on post debate poll CNN/ORC poll on the second debate NBC SurveyMonkey poll on the the second debate NBC/WSJ poll on Trump's tape Politico/Morning Consult on Trump's tape Huffington Post/HuffPost Pollster on trump's respect for women SurveyMonkey on Trump's tapes The Atlantic on Trump and female voters Reuters/Ipsos Poll on Clinton's marriage FiveThirtyEight poll on gender gap YouGov/Economist Poll on gender gap NBC/WSJ poll on GOP's action on Trump Politico/Morning Consult on GOP's action on Trump Morning Consult on Trump's loyal supporters   McMuffin-mentum Mmm. McMuffins. Kristen's Muffin-map is driving Twitter crazy. Deseret news/Y2 Analytics poll on McMullin   Are you going crazy? You're not the only one feeling stressed out about this election. But are you the only one who believes a conspiracy theory? Washington Post on unproven rumors Washington Post on perceived partisan biases Politico on Trump's mental health toll NYT Upshot: Your therapist may lean blue   Candy binge In times like these, we turn to candy. Influenster: each state's Halloween favorite   Key Findings Let's not get the message muddled here. The tapes are not about cursing, but about assault. That could explain some of the differences in results we're seeing. And while the impact on the race is clear--the impact on the GOP's fortunes...too soon to say. News is moving faster than public opinion, and public opinion moving faster than pollsters. Is the election giving you stress? Are you binge eating candy and McMuffins? Talk to the pollsters. Tell us how that makes you feel. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices