Podcast appearances and mentions of cameron bagrie

An economist says the economy has some forward motion. Stats NZ data shows a 1.1% GDP increase in the September quarter. Independent Economist Cameron Bagrie says he expects to see 2 to 3 percent growth over the next 12 months is likely. He told Francesca Rudkin there are other statistics trending in a positive direction. Bagrie says that includes more hours worked and greater bank lending into the business sector. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

After yesterday's half-year fiscal update from the Government, the canary in the mine is gasping for air and the elephant in the room is walking all over everything. And economist Cameron Bagrie is saying that we can't ignore either of them - particularly in relation to the long-term outlook and what it means for superannuation and retirement planning. He says, with Government debt forecast to blow-out long-term, we need to accept the fact that the universal pension scheme is unsustainable. Government debt is forecast to increase to 180 percent of GDP in 30 to 40 years because of the ageing population and Cameron Bagrie says if we think tinkering around the edges with KiwiSaver is the solution, then we're dreaming. And I couldn't agree more. He says a conversation about the sustainability of superannuation can't be avoided forever. I would disagree with him slightly on that one. I think that conversation about the sustainability of our NZ Super scheme needs to happen now. My view on NZ Super is that it's crazy people who work beyond 65 get the pension. Even though it's taxed at a higher rate - I get that. But I still think it's wrong. I've also been a fan of some form of means testing. But, if I'm honest, do I really think the scale of the problem we've got - especially long-term - would be sorted out by not paying the pension to people who continue to work beyond 65 and means testing people before they get the pension? Probably not. So, if we're really going to think long-term, I reckon we need to make the call that people of a certain age are told that the NZ Super pension won't be available to them by the time they reach retirement age. This would have to be long-term. So, for arguments sake, let's say we told people who are 35 and younger that they will have to provide for themselves completely when they retire. That would give them at least 30 years to get themselves sorted. In fact, I would say that people in this age group probably assume now anyway that they won't be getting a government pension by the time they reach retirement age. So what I'm talking about is a very gradual phase-out of the government pension. I'm in no doubt that something like this is needed. Because we are dreaming if we think we can keep doing what we're doing. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Treasury's Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update has painted a concerning picture for the Government books. It forecasted the deficit will peak at $16.9 billion dollars, and only drop to $60 million in the 2029-2030 financial year. Independent economist Cameron Bagrie says this forecast doesn't come with many surprises. "If you look at the bigger picture, we're now going to have a decade of deficits. And if you look at the last two years, the situation's actually been worsening." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kiwibank says it's on with a 2.4% GDP increase for 2026. But the bank has joined the chorus blaming the Reserve Bank for messing up the communications leading to increased fixed-term rates at the major retail banks. Independent Economist Cameron Bagrie told Heather du Plessis-Allan that the economy is slowly stabilising, and because of that interest rates don't need to be as low. "When you turn the corner, interest rates don't need to be as low." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

As we wait for today's official cash rate announcement, one economist says we've turned a corner and things are feeling, overall, a lot more positive. Cameron Bagrie spoke to Corin Dann.

Is an Independent Economist who comments on the state of a precarious world economy. Plus we preview next week's OCR announcement from the Reserve Bank. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Nigel Woodhead, Cameron Bagrie, Jane Smith, Stefan Vogel, and Jo Luxton. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Katie Milne, Cameron Bagrie, Damien O'Connor, Hunter McGregor, Miles Hurrell, and Chris Russell. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

One of the country’s leading economists discusses Labour’s new capital gains tax policy, the OCR and our exchange rate. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Mark Mitchell, Katie Milne, Cameron Bagrie, Damien O'Connor, and Phil Duncan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Economic consultancy Infometrics says the impacts of the latest OCR cut probably won't be felt until mid to late next year - by which point the economy will be growing. It could mean greater inflation - with predictions the OCR will rise again as early as late next year. Independent economist Cameron Bagrie told Ryan Bridge that caution is needed. He says if the economy does kick into gear, there could be capacity issues, and inflation could rear its ugly head again. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

An argument has been made that the government has ‘overdone it' with interest rate cuts. Economist Cameron Bagrie told Ryan Bridge that the Reserve Bank has a difficult balance to maintain. 'Giving the economy a little bit more juice is not without risk...and headline inflation is moving up.' LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Relief for borrowers after the Reserve Bank cut the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points. Cameron Bagrie spoke to Ingrid Hipkiss.

The new Reserve Bank Governor seems to tick all the boxes. Dr Anna Breman has been announced as the next Governor, taking over from Christian Hawkesby in December. She was the First Deputy Governor of Sweden's central bank, and was selected from more than 300 candidates that were initially identified. Economist Cameron Bagrie told Francesca Rudkin that Breman is going to be laser focused on the key priorities, including delivering low and stable inflation. He says they're going to go back to basics as the epicentre of any central bank is credibility – credibility of the framework, the governor, and the governance. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We talk GDP, GDT and OCR with an independent economist.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Cameron Bagrie, Jason Herrick, Phil Duncan, and Hunter McGregor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bagrie Economics chief economist Cameron Bagrie speaks to Q+A about the economic situation New Zealand is in, and what levers could be pulled to get the country out of the malaise. However, Bagrie says some of the levers that have been pulled in previous downturns might not be available now. Join Jack Tame and the Q+A team and find the answers to the questions that matter. Made with the support of NZ on Air.

With Australia National University senior lecturer Dr Anas Iqtait, Whena Owen following up on access to Cape Palliser, Victoria University's Dr Andrew Lensen, Bagrie Economics chief economist Cameron Bagrie, and 1News' Te Aniwa Hurihanganui.

Tonight, on The Panel, Wallace Chapman is joined by panellists Ali Jones and Simon Pound. First up, thousands of secondary school teachers walked off the job today in a dispute over pay. The Panel talks to Paul Stevens, a teacher at Auckland's Rangitoto College and a PPTA representative. Then they hear from independant Cameron Bagrie about the Reserve Banks decision to whack 25 points off the OCR - what does it mean for mortgage holders looking to refix?

Independent economist looks beyond tomorrow’s OCR announcement to comment on where neutral is for the Reserve Bank. Plus, is the economy officially suffering from Long Covid where strong economic growth alone won’t be enough to get the Govt’s finances back on track? So is the solution more spending cuts or increased taxes?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Stephen Fleming, Cameron Bagrie, Damien O'Connor, and Phil Duncan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Farmer Tom Martin, Cameron Bagrie, Dr Jacqueline Rowarth, Emma Higgins, and Jane Smith. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Nathan Guy, Cameron Bagrie, Dr Jacqueline Rowarth, and Farmer Tom Martin.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Independent economist comments on US tariffs, a drop in OCR, the unemployment rate, and the threat of stagflation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On the Early Edition with Ryan Bridge Full Show Podcast Tuesday 22nd of July 2025, the Government finally gave the green light for a new medical school at the University of Waikato, Executive Director of the Association of Salaried Medical Specialists Sarah Dalton shares her thoughts. The Netball New Zealand board have voted to update its eligibility criteria for the Silver Ferns, allowing overseas-based athletes. Inflation came in at 2.7% yesterday, independent economist Cameron Bagrie tells Ryan whether it will impact an OCR cut in August. Plus Australia Correspondent Donna Demaio has the latest on the Australian parliament resuming for the first time since election. Get the Early Edition Full Show Podcast every weekday on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Inflation is coming dangerously close to the top end of the Reserve Bank's target band. It's reached 2.7% year-on-year – the main drivers being council rates, increased rents, electricity prices, and food prices. Independent economist Cameron Bagrie told Ryan Bridge that there's not only cyclical damage to the economy from the Reserve Bank's efforts to curb inflation, but also significant structural issues. He says that productivity used to be, on average, 1.4% per year, but it's now down to 0.3%. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Stuart Nash, Hugh Jackson, Cameron Bagrie, Farmer Tom Martin, and Jo Luxton.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On today's REX Daily Podcast, Dom talks with independent economist Cameron Bagrie about whether New Zealand has become economically risk averse, the rise of political division and his major takeaways from Fieldays... And he talks with Dom Kalasih, CEO of Transporting NZ, about the Ministry of Transport’s surprise cancellation of a long-anticipated freight study, why he thinks it's a bad idea and why it's a critical time for New Zealand’s supply chain and transport system. Tune in daily for the latest and greatest REX rural content on your favourite streaming platform, visit rexonline.co.nz and follow us on Instagram, Facebook and LinkedIn for more.

Dom talks with independent economist Cameron Bagrie about whether New Zealand has become economically risk averse, the rise of political division and his major takeaways from Fieldays. Tune in daily for the latest and greatest REX rural content on your favourite streaming platform, visit rexonline.co.nz and follow us on Instagram, Facebook and LinkedIn for more.

We ask an independent economist what he thinks the Reserve Bank will do ahead of tomorrow's OCR announcement. We also discuss Trump's tariffs, the Alliance Group capital raise and how we can fund National Super. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Cameron Bagrie, Farmer Tom Martin, Sirma Karapeeva, Jo Luxton, and John McOviney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The number of public servants working within Government is down slightly on this time last year. But new Public Service data shows measured against last quarter, the number of civil servants has increased. The data shows there were 63,238 people employed by the Government as of March this year – 2045 fewer people compared to March 2024, but an increase of 269 on the last quarter. Economist Cameron Bagrie told Mike Hosking government personnel spending in that same period has also increased by 3.1%. He says that the big change in the fiscal stance, the tightening of the reins, have not been seen yet, and the question is if it will really be delivered. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Toby Williams, Damien O'Connor, Cameron Bagrie, Christopher Luxon, and Mile Hurrell. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Independent economist comments on today’s OCR announcement, the Investment Tax Boost, and National Super.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Christopher Luxon, Cameron Bagrie, Bruce Thorrold, Dr Jacqueline Rowarth, and Blair McLean.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

No unicorns, no rainbows, no BS, but not austerity - this is how Finance Minister Nicola Willis has described her second budget to be revealed this afternoon.  Independent economist Cameron Bagrie on how the numbers might add up.

The Government's halfling their operating allowance in the budget out at the end of May. They say they have freed up “billions” in additional public service cuts to allocate more money into the country's “most pressing priorities.” Economist Cameron Bagrie talks to Heather du Plessis-Allan about the announcement. LISTEN ABOVE.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The managing director of Bagrie Economics talks about the impact of the rise in the Kiwi dollar, the importance of central bank independence, and commodity prices holding up in New Zealand. Plus, we preview next month’s MPS and OCR announcement.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Rowena Duncum talks to Phil Duncan, Cameron Bagrie, Lindy Nelson, and Warwick Catto.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Independent economist and keynote speaker at the SIDE conference next week. Today, he previews Trump’s “Liberation Day” and Thursday’s much-awaited tariff announcement.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Richard McIntyre, Cameron Bagrie, Jo Luxton, John McOviney, and Phil Duncan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We ask an independent economist whether the recovery is underway and what’s going to happen to interest and exchange rates. Plus. what do Trump’s tariffs mean for NZ farmers?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Rob Hewett, Cameron Bagrie, Hunter McGregor, and Dr Jacqueline Rowarth.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

An economist says New Zealand needs to have a tough conversation about superannuation. Finance Minister Nicola Willis yesterday told Newstalk ZB the scheme needs to become sustainable and a debate about age eligibility will be needed eventually. Bagrie Economics says raising the age makes sense, with the average life expectancy up a lot. Cameron Bagrie says we can't keep kicking the can down the road. "More than 50 percent of all welfare spending is going towards New Zealand's Superannuation - and some people need that money, but there's a chunk of society that I don't think need that money and they're double dipping." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Cameron Bagrie, Dr Jacqueline Rowarth, Christopher Luxon, Richard Allen, and Todd Charteris. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This independent economist comments on Trump and tariffs, exchange and interest rates, and why we could lower the corporate tax rate. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Cameron Bagrie, Bryce McKenzie, Grant McCallum, Jeremy Rookes, Dr Jacqueline Rowarth, and Phil Duncan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bagrie Economics’ managing director gives his thoughts on how the economy is shaping up for the first half of 2025 and why the NZD is still falling. Plus, what should we keep an eye on globally and what chance are sub 5% home loans before the year is out?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Independent economist crunches the numbers on 2024 ahead of this afternoon’s Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) and Thursday’s GDP data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jamie Mackay talks to Shane Jones, Cameron Bagrie, Mark de Lautour, and John McOviney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.