public institution that manages a state's currency, money supply, and interest rates
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to raise interest rates once again amid surging costs of living and the war on Iran. Independent economist Nicki Hutley says perhaps it's time the RBA takes its own advice
Il professore di Finanza della UNSW Massimiliano Tani dice la sua sul secondo rialzo dei tassi d'interesse deciso dalla Banca centrale dall'inizio dell'anno: "Non vedo un surriscaldamento della domanda, il problema sta altrove".
The Reserve Bank has hiked interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1 per cent. It's the second rise in a row - and there could be more to come. - Резервный банк повысил процентную ставку на 25 базисных пунктов — до 4,1 процента. Это уже второе повышение подряд — и, возможно, впереди ещё новые.
Listen to the latest top news from Australia in Nepali, including Australia's big four banks have announced they will increase variable home loan rates by 25 basis points to 4.1 per cent in line with yesterday's cash rate hike from the Reserve Bank. - ब्याज दर बढाउने रिजर्भ ब्याङ्कको घोषणासँगै ‘भेरिएबल होम लोन रेट' बढाएर ४.१ प्रतिशत पुर्याउने अस्ट्रेलियाका चार ठुला ब्याङ्कहरूको निर्णय लगायत आजका प्रमुख अस्ट्रेलियन समाचार छोटकरीमा सुन्नुहोस्।
The Reserve Bank of Australia has hiked interest rates for the second consecutive month as war in the Middle East compounds inflation concerns. The split five-four decision on Tuesday was the tightest since the central bank started publishing vote tallies, with the RBA's monetary policy board lifting the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1 per cent.
Australian homeowners are slugged an average extra of $2,800 a year as Reserve Bank lifts rates, dozens of petrol stations around Australia run out of fuel as panic-buying continues. Plus, all eyes on One Nation in the South Australia election.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Reserve Bank has hiked interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1 per cent. It's the second rise in a row - and there could be more to come.
President Trump looks to postpone his China trip, saying his focus remains on the conflict in the Middle East. The U.S. leader also hits out at European allies after several reject his demand to help escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. And in markets, futures point to a day in the red on Wall Street, with Trump again calling on the Fed to cut rates ahead of its meeting starting today, after the Reserve Bank of Australia fires the starting gun on a week of central bank action by tightening policy.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
The war in the Middle East has rocked the financial world, with the price of oil sky rocketing and no end to the conflict in sight. This week will see the Reserve Bank set the interest rate - and the markets are now predicting there's likely to be a hike in the rates. Cameron Carr spoke to the AMP's Chief Economist Shane Oliver. He says it's an uncertain situation.
War headlines are everywhere - but what could global conflict actually do to interest rates?In this episode, the team breaks down how the US-Iran conflict, rising oil prices, and global economic uncertainty could affect inflation, the Reserve Bank's decisions, swap rates, and ultimately the interest rates Kiwis pay on their mortgages.Tune into Markets, Mystics and Mayhem to learn moreFor more money tips follow us on:FacebookInstagramThe content in this podcast is the opinion of the hosts. It should not be treated as financial advice. It is important to take into consideration your own personal situation and goals before making any financial decisions.
The recent announcement by the Reserve Bank focused on the availability of cash and ATM's, and commercial bank branches. The Reserve Bank is currently seeking feedback on these possible changes from the public. Professor Robert MacCulloch, (who once worked at the Reserve Bank), is forthright in his commentary. His thoughts on cash, CBDC's, and privacy versus government control are invaluable. As are your thoughts in The Mailroom with Mrs Producer. File your comments and complaints at Leighton@newstalkzb.co.nz OR Carolyn@newstalkzb.co.nz Haven't listened to a podcast before? Check out our simple how-to guide. Listen here on iHeartRadio Leighton Smith's podcast also available on iTunes:To subscribe via iTunes click here See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Government's setting up a Ministerial Oversight Group on economic security to focus on fuel and supply chains. The Middle East conflict's forced crude oil over $100 USD a barrel, and made New Zealand's sharemarket plunge, 3.27 percent down so far. Finance Minister Nicola Willis says the group will be briefed by MBIE weekly and have input from Treasury, the Reserve Bank, MFAT and others. Newstalk ZB senior political correspondent Barry Soper says the Government's acknowledged the Middle East crisis will be tough on everyone, but New Zealand can stay in good shape. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On Episode 817 of The Core Report, financial journalist Govindraj Ethiraj talks to Sourav Mitra, Partner – Oil & Gas at Grant Thornton Bharat as well as Saugata Bhattacharya, Member of the Monetary Policy Committee at Reserve Bank of India.SHOW NOTES(00:00) The Take(04:41) Why oil prices are the most critical indicator to watch this week.(07:58) Between oil and gas, how will India cope in the coming weeks?(15:46) A global shortage of capital will affect economies like India. What could come next? Register for India Finance and Innovation Forum 2026https://tinyurl.com/IFIFCOREFor more of our coverage check out thecore.inSubscribe to our NewsletterFollow us on:Twitter |Instagram |Facebook |Linkedin |Youtube
You can now buy $120 000 a year instead of $60 000 without any permissions from the Reserve Bank – and there's plenty you can do with this, says 80eight CEO Faadil Moti. Moneyweb Crypto news articles
It's been less than a week since the war in Iran began but it's already having an economic impact here.Oil and gas prices are rising and that has the Reserve Bank worried about inflation and analysts warn that could mean more interest rate hikes. Today, chief business correspondent Ian Verrender on why we're so economically vulnerable to a conflict so far away and what we can expect in the weeks ahead. Featured: Ian Verrender, ABC chief business correspondent
Ian Verrender, ABC's Business and Finance Editor, joined Philip Clark on Nightlife to discuss the latest in economic, business and finance news.
Well, well, the government maybe celebrating strong economic growth figures, but it makes it more likely the RBA will increase rates sooner rather than later. So good news is perhaps also bad news. Money markets are now pricing in a 33 per cent chance of a second rate increase from the Reserve Bank later this … Continue reading "Stronger Growth In the Rear View Mirror, Yes, But…"
Is it 1-1? The Prime Minister dug himself a hole over Iran. Barbara Edmonds dug herself a hole in the NZ Herald. As far as holes go, I regard the Luxon hole as slightly less problematic, given the war is not in our direct purview and there is nothing we can do about it. But it does display the ongoing issue the Prime Minister appears to have with many New Zealanders: he doesn't look like he is confident and he doesn't tell it like it is. In a world where people who tell it like it is generally succeed, he is still playing 'Mr Nice Guy' and getting trapped by a media pack who love the smell of blood. Edmonds is a real worry. She too, is nice. So nice, she told us quite openly getting a surplus isn't happening anytime soon and she doesn't have a clue how to pay for the most expensive promise they have made – restoring pay equity. You can argue around the dual mandate for the Reserve Bank but that's wonk's territory. Dollars and cents are real and it's our back pocket that is affected. A sad outworking of MMP is we have an increasing number of inexperienced players in the game of running the joint. Luxon knows business, which ties into the economy, which is why things are starting to turn for us. This Government has done a decent job on it. He is an amateur on foreign policy. You only had to listen to Winston Peters yesterday on this show to know that people who have been there, done that, have seen the world change therefore, can explain it. And Winston doesn't take crap from juniors, which is what too much of the Press Gallery is made up of. The nuance and sophistication of reporting is largely gone and replaced by clickbaiters and Luxon, being too nice a guy and too inexperienced in certain areas, walks right into it. Barbara on the other hand is entitled to her views. But this is why Labour won't win the election. She has clearly learned nothing from watching Grant Robertson butcher the place and because that was only three years ago the memories of the voters are still sharp. So in a guns at dawn, Luxon wins because foreign policy jibber-jabber isn't as serious as economic sabotage and incompetence. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
There's growing speculation as Labour appears to be mulling over their Reserve Bank policy ahead of the election. The previous Labour Government changed the bank's remit, ordering it to focus on keeping inflation low - and ensuring maximum employment. The current Government scrapped the changes. NZ Herald political editor Thomas Coughlan explained what Labour finance spokesperson Barbara Edmonds could be considering. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A record portion of new bank lending to first-home buyers is going to those with small deposits. More than half of the $1.1 billion lent to first-home buyers in January went to borrowers with deposits of less than 20 percent, according to the latest Reserve Bank figures. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Over the weekend, the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran, killing the country's Supreme Leader. In the days since, we’ve seen an escalating exchange of retaliatory strikes across the Middle East. Here at home, attention is now turning to the potential cost-of-living impacts of the conflict. Today, we'll unpack what a war thousands of kilometres away means for everyday expenses like petrol, and why the Reserve Bank is already watching closely. Want to support The Daily Aus? That's so kind! The best way to do that is to click ‘follow’ on Spotify or Apple and to leave us a five-star review. We would be so grateful. The Daily Aus is a media company focused on delivering accessible and digestible news to young people. We are completely independent. Want more from TDA?Subscribe to The Daily Aus newsletterSubscribe to The Daily Aus’ YouTube Channel Have feedback for us?We’re always looking for new ways to improve what we do. If you’ve got feedback, we’re all ears. Tell us here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.In this episode of New Zealand Property Insights, Paul and Debbie Roberts unpack the stark warnings from the recent New Zealand Economic Forum regarding the future of NZ Superannuation. With an aging population and changing economic data, relying solely on the government for retirement is becoming an increasingly risky strategy.In this episode, Paul and Debbie cover:The Superannuation Squeeze: A breakdown of why the retirement age may need to rise to 72 or 73 for the country to afford the Superannuation Bill. The hosts discuss the dropping dependency ratio and the alarming fact that 40% of Kiwis reach age 65 with little to no private savings.Reserve Bank Outlook & Interest Rates: With the OCR sitting at 2.25%, the Reserve Bank has indicated that mortgage rates may only fall a further 20 to 30 basis points. Paul and Debbie discuss why 70% of borrowers are now choosing to fix their mortgages for at least one year and how to structure loans in a flat-to-rising market.MBIE Landlord Compliance Crackdown: A recent sweep of 53 student rentals in Dunedin resulted in 23 warnings and 12 improvement notices. Discover why taking a planned, preventative approach to maintenance and documenting everything is essential to protect your investment business.Whether listeners are planning for retirement or looking to ensure their rental properties remain compliant, this episode cuts through the noise to provide actionable, factual insights.Resource Links:
As complaints of insurance mis-selling by banks finally prompt regulatory action, Monika examines the Reserve Bank of India's draft Responsible Business Conduct guidelines and what they could mean for customers. The proposed rules aim to require suitability assessments, explicit consent, and restrictions on coercive sales practices, signalling a shift toward holding banks accountable for putting customer interests ahead of sales targets. Drawing on years of research and documented evidence, she explains how mis-selling has persisted through opaque disclosures, aggressive commissions, and weak enforcement, eroding public trust in the banking system.Monika argues that while the intent of the new rules is welcome, their effectiveness will depend on clear definitions of suitability, independent monitoring, and reforms to the commission structures that incentivise harmful sales. Without these structural fixes, regulation risks becoming symbolic rather than transformative. She also reflects on how banks could instead build long-term, trust-based relationships with customers by offering transparent financial planning and aligning their incentives with household financial security rather than short-term product sales.In listener queries, Vijay Panchal from Ahmedabad asks whether to combine Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana with equity investing for his daughter's future and whether to prioritise NPS or PPF for retirement under the new tax regime; Nitin Gupta from Dehradun seeks clarity on the tax and ownership implications of mutual fund investments held in his minor son's name as he approaches adulthood; and Hemanth Thyagraj from Bangalore asks how to balance home loan prepayments with ongoing mutual fund investing while pursuing long-term financial independence.Chapters:(00:00 – 00:00) RBI's New Mis-Selling Rules and What They Mean for Bank Customers(00:00 – 00:00) Suitability Framework, Commissions and Fixing Incentives in Financial Product Sales(00:00 – 00:00) SSY vs Index Funds and Choosing Between NPS and PPF(00:00 – 00:00) Managing Mutual Funds Held in a Child's Name After They Turn 18(00:00 – 00:00) Balancing Home Loan Prepayment with Long-Term Investinghttps://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Content/PDFs/01CBDRAFT11022026ADD95448CA7E4662A409F78D829072C7.PDFhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S014759671730046Xhttps://m.rbi.org.in//scripts/Bs_viewcontent.aspx?Id=3370https://youtu.be/q9kmG-443vo?si=IuTsFG9pbFmysTMDhttps://drive.google.com/file/d/1E8939c5w16_NIvshQbcUXW1iZtMLJVcS/view?usp=drivesdkIf you have financial questions that you'd like answers for, please email us at mailme@monikahalan.com Monika's book on basic money managementhttps://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-money-english/Monika's book on mutual fundshttps://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-mutual-funds/Monika's workbook on recording your financial lifehttps://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-legacy/Calculatorshttps://investor.sebi.gov.in/calculators/index.htmlYou can find Monika on her social media @monikahalan. Twitter @MonikaHalanInstagram @MonikaHalanFacebook @MonikaHalanLinkedIn @MonikaHalanProduction House: www.inoutcreatives.comProduction Assistant: Anshika Gogoi
A war of words between the banking sector and its regulator over how much New Zealanders want cash. The Reserve Bank's proposing opening more branches and hubs to provide cash services, costing the sector $104 million a year. It says cash continues to play an essential role for small businesses and communities. But Banking Association Chief Executive Roger Beaumont told Mike Hosking customers are moving towards digital payment methods. He says they're using apps or online banking, rather than going to punch in a pin at an ATM to buy an icecream from the dairy. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On the Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive Full Show Podcast for Wednesday, 25 February, 2026, we talk to Transport Minister Chris Bishop about plans to let E-scooters use cycle lanes and allow children under-12 to ride their bikes on the footpath. Why the Reserve Bank wants banks to set up more ATMs and branches. Real Estate agent Rawdon Christie tells us why so many newly built townhouses aren't selling. And on The Huddle, Thomas Scrimgeour and Jack Tame assess Donald Trump's record one hour 47-minute State of the Union speech. Get the Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive Full Show Podcast every weekday evening on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
New Zealand won't be going cashless anytime soon under the Reserve Bank's new proposal. It wants to set up 1300 multi-bank hubs to provide full services free of charge. The plan ensures those in urban areas can walk to get cash - and the drive for those living rurally is reasonable. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Reserve Bank's emphasising the importance of cash services being free-of-charge. It's proposed requiring the banking sector to provide accessible full-cash services across the country - at $104 million a year. The plan ensures those in urban areas can walk to get cash, and the drive for those living rurally is reasonable. Money and Cash Director Ian Woolford says people don't expect to pay to deposit or withdraw cash. "Communities need easier access to cash, closer to home...what we've learned, partly, from those cash trials is that this is what communities need." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Reserve Bank of Australia deputy governor Andrew Hauser speaks to economics editor Patrick Commins and business and economics reporter Luca Ittimani about the 2025 surprises that led to the first interest rate rise in two years. Hauser also responds to last week's criticisms by Tim Wilson, the newly appointed shadow treasurer, that the RBA has not down enough to curb inflation. And we put to the deputy governor your audience questions about house prices, economic inequality and how shoppers can respond when they think companies are ‘taking the p'
ASB Senior Economist Chris Tennent-Brown joins host Nigel Grant to break down what the latest decision on OCR signals about future interest rates, why mortgage and term deposit rates have already started lifting, and what a more patient Reserve Bank means for housing, savings and the wider economy. Plus, why “be careful what you wish for” is still the best advice when it comes to lower rates.
Subscribe to the new Macro Musings YouTube Channel! Raghuram Rajan is a finance professor at the University of Chicago and leads the Group of 30. Previously he was the chief economist at the IMF and the governor of the Reserve Bank of India. In Raghuram's first appearance on the show, he discusses his famous 2005 Jackson Hole speech, how he righted the ship on India's emerging economy, the consequences of zero-sum thinking, the differences between being a policymaker and an academic, the ratcheting effect of QE on the Fed's balance sheet, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on January 20th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:58 - Raghu's Career 00:22:20 - Policymaker Versus Academic 00:29:00 - Ratcheting Effect of Quantitative Easing 01:01:06 - Outro
Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.Is the property market officially shifting gears?In this episode of The Week in Review, Debbie Roberts unpacks a massive week of contradictory but exciting real estate news. We dive into a sudden surge in tourism and migration that has the broader economy starting to hum, and discuss why the Reserve Bank holding the OCR steady at 2.25% cements a "higher for longer" interest rate environment.We also cover a massive win for first-home buyers as ASB joins the Kāinga Ora 5% deposit scheme with a unique lending advantage, plus a look at why the government just slashed Auckland's long-term housing targets by 400,000 homes.Key Topics Covered:Migration & Tourism: How the late-2025 rebound is setting the stage for a housing revival.First Home Buyers: Why ASB's entry into the 5% deposit scheme—and their acceptance of two boarders' income—could boost your buying power.Interest Rates: What the OCR pause at 2.25% means for your fixed-rate mortgage strategy.Auckland Zoning: The government's U-turn on Plan Change 120 and what it means for character neighbourhoods.Market Data: Cotality's February update showing flat property values and a welcome drop in rents.
A very happy Zoi Sadowski-Synnott joined us after becoming the most decorated Olympic snowboarder in the world; Corin Dann spoke with Reserve Bank governor Dr Anna Breman following her first official cash rate decision; We're hearing more about landslides - as extreme weather conditions become more common. We found out more about the risks they pose to communities; SKY TV may have to curb more than its enthusiasm after HBO's decision to end its content deal with the platform and launch its own service. We spoke to Duncan Grieve about what it could mean for consumers; And we spoke to the founder of a Wellington based start up that's going nuclear.
The new Reserve Bank governor says the economy is starting to recover, but it might take time for people to feel it. In her first monetary policy statement, Dr Anna Breman has held interest rates at 2.25 percent. Corin Dann spoke to her shortly after the decision.
The OCR has stayed at 2.25%. No surprise there.But in this episode, Ed and Andrew explain why what the Reserve Bank said matters more than what it did – and what that means for your mortgage, your strategy, and house prices.You'll learn:What the latest OCR decision really signals about the direction of interest ratesWhy inflation is still sitting above 3% What to expect for mortgage rates over the next 6, 12, and 24 monthsIf you've got a mortgage or you're planning to get one, this episode gives you a clear roadmap for what's likely ahead and how to position yourself accordingly.
Our new Reserve Bank Governor says she has full confidence in the people making OCR decisions. The Monetary Policy Committee, chaired by Anna Breman, has decided to keep the OCR unchanged at 2.25% for now. It says while inflation is above the target band, the economy still needs some time to recover. Breman told Mike Hosking the committee will make the best decisions it can, based on the data and forecasts it has access to at the time. She says something might look obvious in retrospect, but they're dealing with lots of global shocks constantly hitting the New Zealand economy. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Reserve Bank's kept the OCR unchanged at 2.25% and isn't forecasting any change until the end of the year. Governor Anna Breman says inflation should be back within target this quarter. She says the economy fundamentals are consistent with inflation falling to, and remaining at, 2% over the medium term. Infometrics Principal Economist Brad Olsen told Mike Hosking the Governor is playing with a pretty straight bat. He says it's a tricky balance, as the economy doesn't quite feel like it has recovery momentum, and they don't want to cut that off at the knees by spooking anyone, but they do have to be focused on inflation. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The new Reserve Bank Governor will deliver her first Monetary Policy Statement today. The central bank's expected to keep the OCR unchanged at 2.25%. It's likely to show when inflation should start easing, and when the economy should recover from last year's downturn. BNZ Chief Economist Mike Jones told Mike Hosking today's announcement will likely see them swap out the mild easing bias the bank had in November and replace it with a mild tightening bias. He says they believe the Reserve Bank will probably want to signal a hike by around December this year. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
It's the official cash rate week. And, while not a lot is expected to happen to the rate itself, attention is going on what the Reserve Bank's new governor might have to say about it. Money correspondent Susan Edmunds spoke to Corin Dann.
On the eve of his retirement as president and chief executive officer of the Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic has much to look back on with pride and satisfaction. Bostic joins the Economy Matters podcast to reflect on his work at the Reserve Bank.
In this episode of The Pure Property Podcast, co-hosts Paul Glossop and Phil Tarrant discuss the economic forces shaping Australia's property market and what they mean for investors. Glossop outlines how unexpected inflation data has prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia to reconsider its rate path, fuelling speculation about future interest rate movements. The hosts note a divide among major banks: some forecast stability, while Westpac anticipates further hikes, adding to market uncertainty. Drawing on insights from Chris Joye of Coolabah Capital, the episode highlights how shifting economic data has challenged earlier forecasts and reinforced the need for investors to remain adaptable. The conversation also examines debates about persistent inflation, including criticisms that government spending and subsidies contribute to it. Glossop stresses that investors should focus on fundamentals and adopt disciplined strategies to navigate these headwinds. Potential policy changes, such as adjustments to the capital gains tax (CGT) discount, are flagged as risks that could dampen market liquidity by encouraging investors to hold properties longer. Despite these pressures, strong housing demand, structural undersupply, and strategic planning continue to support long-term opportunities for property investors.
The government has announced a surprise review of the Reserve Bank's actions during the Covid-19 pandemic - and it's due to land just months out from the election. Opposition parties say it is a politically motivated hit-job - but ministers from across the coalition say it's simply about learning from past mistakes. Acting political editor Craig McCulloch spoke to Lisa Owen.
The government announced a review into the Reserve Bank's pandemic policies, saying it's necessary to make sure mistakes aren't repeated. Giles Dexter reports.
The opposition is questioning the timing of the government's independent review into New Zealand's monetary policy response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Former Reserve Bank economist Michael Reddell spoke to Corin Dann.
Chris Minns defends the actions of NSW Police, Melissa McIntosh leaves door open to future resignation amid ongoing leadership speculation. Plus, Labor and Reserve Bank of Australia blamed by voters as anger over interest rates grows.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of our monthly finance chat, we spoke with financial advisor Bishwas Bhattarai, who discusses how the Reserve Bank's interest rate rise to 3.85 per cent might affect mortgage holders, its impact on the housing market, things you should know about capital gains tax and popular suburbs for buying and investing. - रिजर्भ ब्याङ्कको यस वर्षको पहिलो बैठकले ब्याज दर बढाउने निर्णय गरेको छ। ३.६ प्रतिशत रहँदै आएको ब्याजदर बढेर ३.८५ प्रतिशत पुर्याइएको हो। यस महिनाको आर्थिक कुराकानीमा ‘मोर्गेज होल्डर'हरूलाई ब्याज दर वृद्धिले गर्ने असर, क्यापिटल गेन्स ट्याक्स र घर किन्न वा लगानी गर्न फाइदाजनक सबर्बहरू लगायतका विषयमा आर्थिक सल्लाहकार विश्वास भट्टराईसँग गरिएको कुराकानी सुन्नुहोस्।
Topics:In this episode of 'The Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove,' the hosts delve into recent political, economic, and social topics. They kick off with Australian politics, discussing the potential changes to the capital gains tax and inflation rates, followed by debates on the Reserve Bank's role in interest rates. The discussion shifts to political polls, coalition dynamics, and key figures in the Liberal Party. The hosts then critique Queensland's proposed hate speech laws and their potential implications. The episode proceeds with an analysis of the controversial visit of Israeli President Herzog to Australia, touching on the influence of the Zionist lobby. The conversation also covers the Epstein saga, media ownership by billionaires, and the implications of Trump's proposed election reforms. Lastly, the hosts examine the accuracy of reported figures on Iranian protests and discuss the complexities of verifying information in such contexts.00:00 Introduction and Welcome01:22 Australian Politics: Capital Gains Tax and Inflation07:29 The Reserve Bank and Interest Rates Debate16:03 Political Polls and Coalition Dynamics27:26 Queensland Hate Speech Laws34:14 Israeli President Herzog's Visit35:42 Israeli President Herzog's Controversial Visit37:33 The Influence of the Zionist Lobby41:19 Epstein Saga and Conspiracy Theories42:13 Epstein Saga and Media Ownership46:18 Trump's America and Election Controversies48:20 Trump's America and Election Integrity54:06 Iranian Protests and Media Credibility01:03:24 Iranian Protests and Media Credibility01:20:52 Concluding Thoughts and Sign-OffTo financially support the Podcast you can make:a per-episode donation via Patreon or one-off donation via credit card; orone-off or regular donations via Paypal orif you are into Cryptocurrency you can send Satoshis. We Livestream every Monday night at 7:30 pm Brisbane time. Follow us on Facebook or YouTube. Watch us live and join the discussion in the chat room.We have a website. www.ironfistvelvetglove.com.auYou can email us. The address is trevor@ironfistvelvetglove.com.au
After the Reserve Bank's first rate hike in more than two years, Guardian Australia's political editor, Tom McIlroy, speaks to the economics editor, Patrick Commins, and Lea Jurkovic, the economics correspondent at the Australian Financial Review, about the indicators that informed the central bank's decision this week. They also discuss the ongoing vulnerabilities in the economy, the missed opportunities when the RBA doesn't comment on government spending and the maturity lacking in the political debate about interest rates
Our Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach and Chief U.S. Economist Michael Gapen discuss the path for U.S. interest rates after the nomination of Kevin Warsh for next Fed chair.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matthew Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy. Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist. Matthew Hornbach: Today we'll be talking about the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that occurred last week.It's Thursday, February 5th at 8:30 am in New York.So, Mike, last week we had the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting of 2026. What were your general impressions from the meeting? And how did it compare to what you had thought going in? Michael Gapen: Well, Matt, I think that the main question for markets was how hawkish a hold or how dovish a hold would this be. As you know, it was widely expected the Fed would be on hold. The incoming data had been fairly solid. Inflation wasn't all that concerning, and most of the employment data suggested things had stabilized. So, it was clear they were going to pause. The question was would they pause or would they be on pause, right? And in our view, it was more of a dovish hold. And by that, it suggests to us, or they suggested to us, I should say, that they still have an easing bias and rates should generally move lower over time. So, that really was the key takeaway for me. Would they signal a prolonged pause and perhaps suggest that they might be done with the easing cycle? Or would they say, yes, we've stopped for now, but we still expect to cut rates later? Perhaps when inflation comes down and therefore kind of retain a dovish bias or an easing bias in the policy rate path. So, to me, that was the main takeaway. Matthew Hornbach: Of course, as we all know, there are supposed to be some personnel changes on the committee this year. And Chair Powell was asked several questions to try to get at the future of this committee and what he himself was going to do personally. What was your impression of his response and what were the takeaways from that part of the press conference? Michael Gapen: Well, clearly, he's been reluctant to, say, pre-announce what he may do when his term is chair ends in May. But his term as a governor extends into 2028. So, he has options. He could leave normally that's what happens. But he could also stay and he's never really made his intentions clear on that part. I think for maybe personal or professional reasons. But he has his own; he has his own reasons and, and that's fine. And I do think the recent subpoena by the DOJ has changed the calculus in that. At least my own view is that it makes it more likely that he stays around. It may be easier for him to act in response to that subpoena by being on staff. It's a request for additional information; he needs access to that information. I think you could construct a reasonable scenario under which, ‘Well, I have to see this through, therefore, I may stay around.' But maybe he hasn't come to that conclusion yet. And then stepping back, that just complicates the whole picture in the sense that we now know the administration has put forward Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chair. Will he be replacing the seat that Jay Powell currently sits in? Will he be replacing the seat that Stephen Myron is sitting in? So yes, we have a new name being put forward, but it's not exactly clear where that slot will be; and what the composition of the committee will look like. Matthew Hornbach: Well, you beat me to the punch on mentioning Kevin Warsh… Michael Gapen: I kind of assumed that's where you were going. Matthew Hornbach: It was going to be my next question. I'm curious as to what you think that means for Fed policy later this year, if anything. And what it might mean more medium term? Michael Gapen: Yeah. Well, first of all, congratulations to Mr. Warsh on the appointment. In terms of what we think it means for the outlook for the Fed's reaction function and interest rate policy, we doubt that there will be a material change in the Fed's reaction function. His previous public remarks don't suggest his views on interest rate policy are substantively outside the mainstream, or at least certainly the collective that's already in the FOMC. Some people would prefer not to ease. The majority of the committee still sees a couple more rate cuts ahead of them. Warsh is generally aligned with that, given his public remarks. But then also all the reserve bank presidents have been renominated. There's an ongoing Supreme Court case about the ability of the administration to fire Lisa Cook. If that is not successful, then Kevin Warsh will arrive in an FOMC where there's 16 other people who all get a say. So, the chair's primary responsibility is to build a consensus; to herd the cats, so to speak. To communicate to markets and communicate to the public. So, if Mr. Warsh wanted to deviate substantially from where the committee was, he would have to build a consensus to do that. So, we think, at least in the near term, the reaction function won't change. It'll be driven by the data, whether the labor market holds up, whether inflation, decelerates as expected. So, we don't look for material change. Now you also asked about the medium term. I do think where his views differ, at least with respect to current Fed policy is on the size of the Fed's balance sheet and its footprint in financial markets. So, he has argued over time for a much smaller balance sheet. He's called the Fed's balance sheet bloated. He has said that it creates distortions in markets, which mean interest rates could be higher than they otherwise would be. And so, I think if there is a substantive change in Fed policy going forward, it could be there on the balance sheet. But what I would just say on that is it'll likely take a lot of coordination with Treasury. It will likely take changes in rules, regulations, the supervisory landscape. Because if you want to reduce the balance sheet further without creating volatility in financial markets, you have to find a way to reduce bank demand for it. So, this will take time, it'll take study, it'll take patience. I wouldn't look for big material changes right out of the box. So Matt, what I'd like to do is, if I could flip it back to you, Warsh was certainly one of the expected candidates, right? So, his name is not a surprise. But as we knew financial markets, one day we're thinking it'd be one candidate. The next day it'd be thinking at the next it was somebody else. How did you see markets reacting to the announcement of Mr. Warsh? For the next Fed share, and then maybe put that in context of where markets were coming out of the last FOMC meeting. Matthew Hornbach: Yeah, so the markets that moved the most were not the traditional, very large macro markets like the interest rate marketplace or the foreign exchange market. The markets that moved the most were the prediction markets. These newer markets that offer investors the ability to wager on different outcomes for a whole variety of events around the world. But when it comes to the implications of a Kevin Warsh led Fed – for the bigger macro markets like interest rates and currencies, the question really comes down to how? If the Fed's balance sheet policies are going to take a while to implement, those are not going to have an immediate effect, at least not an effect that is easily seen with the human eye. But it's other types of policy change in terms of his communication policy, for example. One of the points that you raised in your recent note, Mike, was how Kevin Warsh favored less communication than perhaps some of the recent, Federal Open Market Committees had with the public. And so, if there is some kind of a retrenchment from the type of over-communication to the marketplace, from either committee members or non-voters that could create a bit more volatility in the marketplace. Of course, the Fed has been one of the central banks that does not like to surprise the markets in terms of its monetary policy making. And so, that contrasts with other central banks in the G10. For example, the Swiss National Bank tends to surprise quite a lot. The Reserve Bank of Australia tends to surprise markets. More often, certainly than the Fed does. So, to the extent that there's some change in communication strategy going forward that could lead to more volatile interest rate in currency markets. And that then could cause investors to demand more risk premium to invest in those markets. If you previously were comfortable owning a longer duration Treasury security because you felt very comfortable with the future path of Fed policy, then a Kevin Warsh led Fed – if it decides to change the communication strategy – could naturally lead investors to demand more risk premium in their investments. And that, of course, would lead to a steeper U.S. Treasury curve, all else equal. So that would be one of the main effects that I could see happen in markets as a result of some potential changes that the Fed may consider going forward. So, Mike, with that said, this was the first FOMC meeting of the year, and the next meeting arrives in March. I guess we'll just have to wait between now and then to see if the Fed is on hold for a longer period of time or whether or not the data convinced them to move as soon as the March meeting. Thanks for taking time to talk, Mike. Michael Gapen: Great speaking with you, Matt. Matthew Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
At its first meeting for 2026, the Reserve Bank lifted the cash rate to 3.85%, as most economists expected. That move officially ends the shortest and most modest rate-cutting cycle since the RBA began inflation targeting back in 1993. So what does this really mean for property investors, home buyers, and Australia's housing markets? That's what I'm going to unpack, along with Dr Andrew Wilson's latest housing market data for January. Now, let me give you a quick spoiler alert. Yes, this rate rise will take some heat out of buyer demand in the short term. But in my view, it's also creating a genuine window of opportunity for those who are finance-ready. Despite what the headlines will tell you, I believe housing markets are going to keep rising through 2026, just as they did last year when interest rates were at similar levels. And that's because the real drivers of property prices aren't interest rates alone – they're the underlying structural forces, which I'll explain shortly. Takeaways RBA reverses course to regain control over inflation, but a single hike is unlikely to alter the housing market balance. This marks the end of the shortest and most modest rate cutting cycle since the RBA started inflation targeting in 1993. The outlook for the cash rate remains somewhat clouded. Given the underlying supply and demand pressures in the Australian housing sector, it is unlikely that a single rate hike will substantially alter the market balance. January is typically a quiet month for property sales. Perth's housing market is showing strong growth compared to other regions. Unit prices in Brisbane have seen substantial increases over the past two years. The local economy plays a crucial role in housing market performance. There is a persistent low supply of properties in the market. First home buyer incentives are influencing market dynamics. Capital growth remains a key factor for homeowners and investors. Market predictions indicate potential interest rate cuts in the future. Understanding regional differences is essential for property investment strategies. Links and Resources: Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/ · Win a hard copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time. Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report. · Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report – What's ahead for property for 2026 and beyond. Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property plan. Click here and have a chat with us. Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here. Join Michael Yardney plus a team of experts, at Wealth Retreat 2026 on the Gold Coast in May. Find out more about it here and register your interest www.wealthretreat.com.au It's Australia's premier event for successful investors and business people. Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.
A boy swims 4km to save his family at sea, inflation lands well above the Reserve Bank's target. Plus, thousands of small businesses are closing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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