Podcasts about gdp

Gold falls as war drives oil higher, but Peter Schiff says stagflation, deficits, and a weaker dollar are setting up gold's next major surge.Peter Schiff explains why the latest pullback in gold, silver, and mining stocks is not a sign that the bull market is over, but a temporary reaction to rising oil prices, higher bond yields, and a stronger dollar. He argues that markets are focusing too narrowly on delayed Fed rate cuts while missing the bigger picture: war-driven deficits, stubborn inflation, a weakening economy, and mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve to eventually monetize even more debt.He also breaks down soft GDP growth, rising PCE inflation, weakness in housing, and what he sees as the widening gap between Trump's economic claims and the underlying data. Schiff's core thesis is that stagflation, war spending, and long-term dollar weakness remain strongly bullish for gold and silver, while the current selloff is creating another buying opportunity.Chapters:00:00 Metals Pullback Buy Zone02:00 Stocks Oil Rates Dollar05:07 War Deficits Bullish Gold09:51 Inflation Reality Check17:10 Housing Bubble Warning22:54 Lies or Delusion24:18 Economic Boom Claims25:15 War Fallout and Stagflation33:07 Gold Silver Big Picture37:56 Buy the Dip and Wrap UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffGet more gold & silver now: https://www.schiffgold.com1-888-GOLD-160 (465-3160)Open a T Gold account: https://www.tgold.comOpen a managed account: https://europac.comListen to The Peter Schiff Show: https://schiffradio.comFollow the main channel: https://youtube.com/peterschiff#Gold #OilPrices #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

GDP data released this week shows an economy that slowed to a crawl in the fourth quarter of 2025 as inflation picked up. That's not a good sign now that oil prices have nearly doubled this year and job cuts continue. We discuss what this data says about the economy and what we're going as investors. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jason Moser discuss: - Q4 2025 GDP data - Uber's autonomous momentum - Adobe's earnings - Executive free agents - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Alphabet (GOOG), Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), Target (TGT), Costco (COST), Best Buy (BBY), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), NVIDIA (NVDA), Boeing (BA), 3M (MMM), Netflix (NFLX), Globus Medical (GMED), Aerovironment (AVAV). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jason Moser Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We're committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Senate passed a bipartisan bill yesterday that aims to take on housing affordability by increasing the housing supply and cutting red tape. But it has a tough road ahead in the House and possibly the White House. This morning, we'll dig in. Also on the show: GDP growth was revised down to just 0.7%. Plus, China's latest five-year plan aims to transform the country into a tech-driven global power, while boosting domestic demand.

＜ヘッドライン＞イランのイスラム教聖職者「専門家会議」、米イスラエルの空爆で殺害された最高指導者アリー・ハメネイ師の後任に反米保守派の次男モジタバ・ハメネイ師を選出　イラン革命防衛隊報道官「当面の間、地域からの原油輸出は1リットルさえ認めない」　湾岸諸国の原油設備を攻撃、ホルムズ海峡を事実上封鎖／イランのホルムズ海峡封鎖で原油相場が急騰、ガソリンが大幅値上がり　IEA加盟国、過去最大規模4億バレルの石油備蓄協調放出で合意　高市総理大臣「石油の民間備蓄15日分と国家備蓄1ヶ月分を放出」「ガソリンの小売価格を全国平均1リットル170円程度に抑制し軽油や重油、灯油などにも措置を講じる」／トランプ米大統領「イランには事実上、攻撃対象にするものは何も残っていない」「軍事作戦はもうすぐ終わる」　原油価格高騰が物価高に跳ね返るのを抑え込もうと口先介入　対ロ経済制裁緩和の禁じ手にも踏み込む構え／米トランプ政権、日本・中国・EUなど16の国・地域を対象に「通商法301条」に基づく調査を開始　「過剰生産能力」の実態調べ、結果次第で制裁関税・輸出規制などの対抗措置／中国・全人代、「第15次5カ年計画」採択し閉幕　「35年の1人当たりGDPを20年比倍増」「ハイテク産業で米国に頼らないサプライチェーン構築」／米2月雇用統計、非農業部門就業者数が前月比マイナス9万2000人と市場予想から大きく乖離してマイナス　米2月消費者物価指数、市場予想と一致するもFRBがより重視する個人消費支出物価指数の上昇示唆　雇用不安とインフレ懸念の高まりへのFOMC＝の判断に注目／公取委、27年春にも荷物の受け手企業が運送会社のトラックに無償で待機強いることを独禁法違反の対象に　待たせた場合には送り主に対価を支払うよう求める、荷物の無償積み下ろしも禁止　違反企業に排除措置命令の行政処分／経営厳しいFMラジオ業界、一部の中継局の廃止・停波と配信アプリ「ラジコ」で代替求める　採算取りづらい過疎地などの放送インフラの維持コストを抑える狙い　災害時の放送・スマホ操作に不慣れな高齢者らへの対応が課題　24年度はFM単営局50社中23社が赤字 ＜ポイント＞　（１） イランの「徹底抗戦」と原油相場の行方（２） 焦るトランプと3/19日米首脳会談の課題（３） 日米欧中銀の政策決定会合について ＜ここ／これを見てきた＞ワールド・ベースボール・クラシック

SUMMARY DEL SHOW Futuros en verde antes de una mañana cargada de datos: PCE y GDP como los catalizadores principales para tasas y expectativas de la Fed. Core PCE esperado en 3.1% anual vs 3.0% previo: inflación aún “pegajosa” y menos espacio para recortes pronto; hoy también sale JOLTS como termómetro del empleo. $ADBE cae fuerte por anuncio de salida del CEO pese a buenos resultados; $META baja tras reporte de que su modelo “Avocado” se retrasa y no iguala a rivales.

是活該報應嗎？是3+1好嗎？ 三星幾年前還在想要Kill Taiwan，如今的韓國為什麼悲泣

As India's revised GDP numbers are released with a new base year of 2022–23, Monika unpacks the deeper story hidden beneath the headline growth print. She explains how the economy continues to grow at a stable rate above 7%, driven on the production side by manufacturing and services, and supported on the expenditure side by household savings and government capital expenditure. While consumption remains the backbone of growth, private investment needs to accelerate to complete the virtuous cycle of rising wages, stronger demand, and sustained high growth.Monika walks listeners through why this GDP release is structurally significant. The updated methodology incorporates new surveys, GST data, digital public finance systems, and expanded data sources to better reflect today's economy. A major shift to “double deflation” in manufacturing aims to measure real growth more accurately by adjusting both input and output prices. She also addresses the recurring debate on data credibility, distinguishing between methodological improvements and allegations of manipulation, and explains why large-scale tampering across multiple data systems is implausible. The takeaway: the data suggests steady, resilient growth — not spectacular, but meaningful in a turbulent global year.In listener queries, Devasri Jegan, a recent BBA graduate, asks how to overcome beginner confusion and where to start investing; Arpita Mondal writes in about rising silver prices and whether she should invest after sharp moves; Vineet Sharma from the Gulf shares his journey of building a ₹4 crore FD corpus through discipline and leverage and seeks guidance on starting mutual fund investing at 48 while redefining life goals; and Saurabh Garg's recent speech on GDP methodology also comes up in the broader discussion on interpreting official data.Chapters:(00:00 – 00:00) What the New GDP Data Reveals About India's Growth Story(00:00 – 00:00) Base Year Changes, Double Deflation and Can We Trust the Data?(00:00 – 00:00) Starting Your Investment Journey Without Getting Overwhelmed(00:00 – 00:00) Silver Prices, Commodity Hype and Asset Allocation Discipline(00:00 – 00:00) Starting Mutual Funds at 50 After Building Wealth Through FDsSaurabh Garg speechhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_n71JFcBoDQ&t=728s PIB releasehttps://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2233518®=3&lang=2 If you have financial questions that you'd like answers for, please email us at ⁠mailme@monikahalan.com⁠ Monika's book on basic money management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-money-english/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Monika's book on mutual funds⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-mutual-funds/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Monika's workbook on recording your financial life⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-legacy/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Calculators⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://investor.sebi.gov.in/calculators/index.html⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠You can find Monika on her social media @monikahalan. Twitter ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Production House: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.inoutcreatives.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Production Assistant:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Anshika Gogoi⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

VOV1 - Với quy mô hơn 100 triệu dân và đóng góp khoảng 62% vào tăng trưởng GDP hằng năm, thị trường trong nước không chỉ là dư địa phát triển lớn mà còn là động lực tăng trưởng chiến lược trong giai đoạn tới.Theo đại diện Cục Thống kê, hai tháng đầu năm nay, tổng mức bán lẻ hàng hóa và doanh thu dịch vụ tiêu dùng theo giá hiện hành tăng khoảng 8% so với cùng kỳ năm trước. Xét về cơ cấu trong hai tháng đầu năm, doanh thu bán lẻ hàng hóa chiếm tỷ trọng lớn nhất với hơn 76% tổng mức, tương đương khoảng 945 nghìn tỷ đồng.Thực tế cho thấy, tiêu dùng nội địa đã đóng vai trò đặc biệt quan trọng trong cấu trúc tăng trưởng của Việt Nam. Năm 2026, Chính phủ đặt mục tiêu nâng tổng mức bán lẻ và doanh thu dịch vụ tiêu dùng tăng từ 13–15%, cao hơn đáng kể so với kết quả năm 2025 cho thấy quyết tâm tái định vị tiêu dùng nội địa - một động lực tăng trưởng chủ lực, cùng vơi xuất khẩu và đầu tư. Ông Trần Hữu Linh, Cục trưởng Cục Quản lý và Phát triển thị trường trong nước, Bộ Công Thương cho rằng:"Chính phủ đặt ra tỷ lệ tăng trưởng thị trường nội địa năm 2026 là từ 13 - 15% thì đây là thách thức rất lớn và đòi họ phải có sự đổi mới toàn diện. Ngay cả Cuộc vận động “Người Việt Nam ưu tiên dùng hàng Việt Nam” thì chúng tôi cũng đã đề xuất thay đổi theo hướng là thay đổi, ngay từ khẩu hiệu cũng cần có một khẩu hiệu mới, có thể là người Việt Nam dùng sản phẩm Việt Nam để khẳng định chắc chắn hàng Việt chất lượng tốt và người Việt Nam thì cần phải sử dụng hàng Việt Nam, qua đó mới thúc đẩy được sự tin tưởng của người tiêu dùng đối với hàng Việt. Chúng tôi đang lên phương án triển khai rất nhiều hoạt động để giúp cho doanh nghiệp nội địa của Việt Nam nâng cao năng lực cạnh tranh, giúp cho hàng Việt 100% “made in Việt Nam” chinh phục được người tiêu dùng".Ngành công thương đang triển khai nhiều nhóm giải pháp nhằm kích cầu tiêu dùng và phát triển thị trường nội địa theo hướng hiện đại, bền vững. Trước mắt, Bộ Công Thương tập trung tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mại quy mô quốc gia, Tuần lễ hàng Việt, Hội chợ sản phẩm OCOP và hoạt động xúc tiến thương mại liên kết vùng nhằm mở rộng kênh tiêu thụ cho hàng hóa sản xuất trong nước.Thúc đẩy tiêu dùng trong nước

Our analysts Andrew Sheets and Martijn Rats discuss why a prolonged disruption of oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz would be unprecedented—and nearly impossible for the market to absorb.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley.Martijn Rats: I'm Martijn Rats, Head of Commodity Research at Morgan Stanley.Andrew Sheets: Today on the program we're going to talk about why investors everywhere are tracking ships through the Strait of Hormuz.It's Wednesday, March 11th at 2pm in London.Andrew Sheets: Martijn, the oil market, which is often volatile, has been historically volatile over the last couple of weeks following renewed military conflict between the United States and Iran.Now, there are a lot of different angles to this, but the oil market is really at the center of the market's focus on this conflict. And so, I think before we get into the specifics, I think it's helpful to set some context. How big is the global oil market and where does the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz fit within that global picture?Martijn Rats: Yeah, so the global oil consumption is a little bit more than a 100 million barrels a day. But that splits in two parts. There is a pipeline market and there is a seaborne market. And when it comes to prices, the seaborne market is really where it's at. If you're sitting in China, you're buying oil from the Middle East, all of a sudden, it's not available. Sure, if there is a pipeline that goes from Canada into the United States, that doesn't really help you all that much.Andrew Sheets: So, it's the oil on the ships that really matters.Martijn Rats: It's the oil on ships that is the flexible part of the market that we can redirect to where the oil is needed. And that is also the market where prices are formed. The seaborne market is in the order of 60 million barrels a day. So, only a subset of the 100 [million]. Now relative to that 60 million barrel a day, the Strait of Hormuz flows about 20 [million]. So, the Strait of Hormuz is responsible for about a third of seaborne supply, which is, of course, very large and therefore, you know, very critical to the system.Andrew Sheets: And I think an important thing we should also discuss here, which we were just discussing earlier today on another call, is – this is a market that could be quite sensitive to actually quite small disruptions in oil. So, can you give just some sense of sensitivity? I mean, in normal times, what sort of disruptions, in terms of barrels of oil, kind of, move markets; get investors' attention?Martijn Rats: Yeah, look, this is part of why this situation is so unusual, and oil analysts really sort of struggle with this. Look normally, at relative to the 100 million barrels a day of consumption, we care about supply demand imbalances of a couple of 100,000 barrels a day. That becomes interesting.If that, increases to say 1 million barrel a day, over- or undersupplied, you can expect prices to move. You can expect them to move by meaningful amounts. We can write research; the clients can trade. You have a tradable idea in front of you. When that becomes 2 to 3 million barrels a day, either side, you have major historical market moving events.So, in [20]08-09, oil famously fell from over 100 [million] down to something like 30 [million], on the basis that the oil market was 2-2.5 million barrel day oversupplied for two quarters. In 2022, we all thought – this actually never happened, but we all thought that Russia was going to lose about 3 million barrel day of supply. And on that basis, just on the basis of the expectation alone, Brent went to $130 per barrel. So, 2-3 [million] either side you have historically large moves. Now we're talking about 20 [million].Andrew Sheets: And I think that's what's so striking. I mean, again, I think investors, people listening to this, they can do that arithmetic too. If this is a market where 2 to 3 million barrels a day have caused some of the largest moves that we've seen in history, something that's 20 [million] is exceptional. And I think it's also fair to say this type of closure of the Strait [of Hormuz] is something we haven't seen before.Martijn Rats: No, which also made it very hard to forecast, by the way. Because the historical track records did not point in that direction, and yet here we are. The historical track record – look, you can look at other major disruptions historically.The largest disruption in the history of the oil market is the Suez Crisis in the mid-1950s that took away about 10 percent of global oil consumption. This is easily double that. So really unusual. If you look at supply and demand shocks of this order of magnitude, you can think about COVID. In April 2020, for one month, at the peak of COVID, when we're all sitting at home. Nobody driving, nobody flying. Yeah, we lost very briefly 20 million barrels a day of demand. Now we're losing 20 million barrels a day of supply. So, look, the sign is flipped, but it's in the same order of magnitude. And yeah, these are unusual events that you wouldn't actually, sort of, forecast them that easily. But that is what is in front of us at the moment.Andrew Sheets: So, I think the next kind of logical question is if shipping remains disrupted, and I'd love for you to talk a little bit about, you know, you're sitting there with satellite maps on your screen tracking shipping, which is – a development. But, you know, what are the options that are available in the region, maybe globally to temporarily balance this supply and create some offset?Martijn Rats: Yeah. So, like of course when we have a big disruption like this one, of course the market is going to try to solve for this. There are a few blocks that we can work with. I'll run you through them one by one, including some of the numbers. But very quickly you arrive at the conclusion that this is; this puzzle – we can't really solve it.Like in 2022, the market was very stressed. We thought Russia was going to lose 3 million barrels a day of supply, but we could move things around in our supply demand model. Russia oil goes to China and India. Oil that they buy, we can get in Europe, we can move stuff around to kind of sort of solve a puzzle.This puzzle is very, very difficult to solve. So, through the Strait of Hormuz, 15 million barrels a day have crude, 5 million barrels a day of refined product, 20 million barrels a day in total. What can we do?Well, the biggest offset, is arguably the Saudi EastWest pipeline. Saudi Arabia has a pipeline that effectively allows it to ship oil to the Red Sea at the Port of Yanbu, where it can be evacuated on tankers there. That pipeline has a capacity of 7 million barrels a day. We think it was probably already flowing at something like 3 million barrels a day. So, there's probably an incremental 4 [million] that can become available through that. That's the biggest block, that we can see of workaround capacity, so to say.After that the numbers do get smaller. The UAE has a pipeline that goes through Fujairah that's also beyond the Strait of Hormuz. We think there is maybe 0.5 million barrel a day of capacity there. Then you're basically, sort of, done within the region, and you have to look globally for other sources of oil.If there are sanctions relief, maybe on Russian oil, you can find a 0.5 million barrel day there. Here, there and everywhere. 100,000 barrels a day, 200,000 barrels a day. But the numbers get…Andrew Sheets: It's still not… So, if you kind of put all of those, you know, kind of, almost in a best-case scenario relative to the 20 million that's getting disrupted.Martijn Rats: If you add another one or two from a massive SPR release, the fastest release from SPR…Andrew Sheets: That's the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.Martijn Rats: Yeah, exactly. Earlier today, we got an announcement, that the IEA is proposing to release 400 million barrels from Strategic Reserve across its member countries. That is a very large number. But – and that is important. But more important is how fast can it flow because the extraction rate from these tanks is not infinite. The fastest ever rate of SPR release is only 1.3 million barrels a day. Now, maybe the circumstances are so extraordinary, we can do better than that and we can get it to 2 [million]. But beyond that, you're really in very, very uncharted territory.So maybe in the region, work around sanctions relief, SPR release, we can probably find like 7 million barrels a day out of a problem that is 20 [million]. You're left with another 13 [million]. The 13 [million] is four times what we thought Russia would lose. So, you're left with this conclusion: Look, this really needs to come to an end.Andrew Sheets: And the other rebalancing mechanism, which again, you know, when we come back to markets and forecasting, this is obviously price. And, you know, you talk about this idea of demand destruction, which I think we could paraphrase as – the price is higher so people use less of it and then you can rebalance the market that way.But give us just a little sense of, you know, as you and your team are sitting there modeling, how do you think about, kind of, the price of oil? Where it would need to go to – to potentially rebalance this the other way.Martijn Rats: Yeah, that price is very high. So, what it's a[n] really interesting analysis to do is to look at the historical frequency distribution of inflation adjusted oil prices.You take 20 years of oil prices. You convert it all in money of the day, adjusted for inflation, and then simply plot the frequency distribution. What you get is not one single bell curve centered around the middle with some variation around the midpoint. You get, sort of, two partially overlapping bell curves.There is a slightly larger one, which is, sort of, the normal regime. Lower prices, 60, 70, 80 bucks. There's a lot of density there in the frequency distribution, that's where we are normally. What's interesting is that actually, if you go from there to higher prices, there are prices that are actually very rare in inflation adjusted terms.Like a [$] 100-110. In nominal terms, we might feel that that has happened. In inflation adjusted terms, these prices are extremely rare. They are way rarer than prices that live even further to the right. [$]130, 140.The oil market has this other regime of these very high prices. If you go back in history, when did those prices prevail? They always prevailed in periods where we asked the same question. What is the demand destruction price? And yeah, to erode demand by a somewhat meaningful quantity, yeah, you end up in that regime. These very high prices, like [$]130. And it's… It's not a gradual scale. You sort of at one point shoot through these levels and that's where you then end up.Andrew Sheets: It's quite, quite serious stuff.Martijn Rats: Well, yeah. Also, because we can casually say in the oil market, ‘Oh, demand erosion has to be the answer.' But we don't erode demand in isolation. Like, you know, diesel is trucking. Yeah, jet is flying. NAFTA is petrochemicals.Andrew Sheets: These are real core parts of economic activity.Martijn Rats: It's all GDP.Andrew Sheets: So maybe Martijn, in conclusion, let me give you a slightly different scenario. Let's say that the conflict goes on for another couple of weeks, but then there is a resolution. Traffic goes back to normal. Walk us through a little bit of what that would mean. You know, kind of how long does it take to get back to normal in a market like this?Martijn Rats: Yeah. So, if you say, weeks, I would say that is an uncomfortable period of time actually.Andrew Sheets: Feel free to use a slightly different scenario.Martijn Rats: If you say days. Let's say next week something happens, the whole thing comes soon to end. Look, then we will have logistical supply chain issues. But look, we can work through that.There is at the moment somewhat of an air pocket in the global oil supply chain. There should be oil tankers on their way to refineries for arrival in April and May that currently are not. So, we will have hiccups and things need to be rerouted and we draw on some inventories here or there, but… And that will keep commodity prices tense, I would imagine. The equity market will probably look through it.We'll have a month or six weeks, not more than two months, I would imagine of logistical issues to sort out. Look, of course, if that, you know, doesn't happen, then we're back in the scenario that we discussed. But yeah, look, that that's equally true. If it's short, we can sort of live with a disruption.Andrew Sheets: It's fair to say that this is a situation where days really matter, where weeks make a big difference.Martijn Rats: Oh, totally. Look, the oil industry has built in various, sort of, compensatory measures, I think. You know, inventories along the supply chains. But nothing of the scale that can work with this. I mean, this is truly yet another order of magnitude.Andrew Sheets: Martijn, thank you for taking the time to talk.Martijn Rats: My pleasure.Andrew Sheets: And thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.Important note regarding economic sanctions. This report references jurisdictions which may be the subject of economic sanctions. Readers are solely responsible for ensuring that their investment activities are carried out in compliance with applicable laws.

Kerry Lutz and Jim Welsh discuss how sustained high oil prices could impact the global economy, noting that the duration of elevated prices matters far more than short-term spikes. They examine recent market reactions to oil moves, regional supply risks such as Qatar's natural gas force majeure, and why stronger U.S. production today may provide more economic insulation than during the 2008 energy shock. The conversation also places current energy prices in historical context, explaining why a true 1970s-style crisis would require dramatically higher oil prices. They then turn to precious metals, where Jim outlines gold's recent parabolic rally and sharp correction. While the pullback may continue in the short term, he believes it could ultimately set the stage for the next leg higher in the longer-term bull market. The discussion closes with a look at AI and market structure risks. Massive hyperscale spending on artificial intelligence is expected to boost GDP this year, but it may also distort market psychology and push equity valuations higher than fundamentals justify. At the same time, that spending could reduce corporate buybacks as companies redirect cash flow toward AI infrastructure. With technical cracks appearing in the S&P, the group notes that downside risks for equities may be building. Find Jim here: https://www.macrotides.com/ Find Kerry here :https://khlfsn.substack.com and here: https://inflation.cafe    Kerry's New Book "The Armstrong Economic Code: The 5 Truths Investors Must Never Forget" is out now on Amazon!  Get your copy here:   https://a.co/d/bvYbZOz  "The World According to Martin Armstrong – Conversations with the Master Forecaster" is a #1 Best Seller on Amazon. . Get your copy here: https://amzn.to/4kuC5p5  

"The next step for governments will be to confiscate gold," warns David Garofalo, the powerhouse CEO of Gold Royalty Corp. In this interview with Daniela Cambone, he delivers a stark warning about the future of fiat currency and the inevitable return to a gold-backed monetary system. Garofalo argues that the explosive growth of U.S. debt to 350% of GDP has set the stage for a global monetary reset, positioning gold not merely as a commodity, but as the ultimate monetary instrument. "It's like that saying about bankruptcy," he explains. "It happens gradually, then suddenly. That will be what happens with the confidence in our underlying fiat currencies. It will be a light switch that goes off."

【遠雄樂元】 北屯捷運X好市多 雙首排 ➤早鳥首付55萬起 旗艦級新地標 21-39坪，北屯機捷總站20米，好市多60米，出站即到家。2147坪新世代遊園宅，全齡化公設✦ 早鳥輕入住 https://sofm.pse.is/8th2xk -- 台中南屯建功5號好宅招租囉！ 3月開放申請，社宅位於建功路與春安路交叉口 歡迎年滿18歲，名下無自有住宅，符合財稅規定的民眾， 可點擊下方資訊欄連結了解詳情 台中社宅17租：https://sofm.pse.is/8tmbrv 3/14(六)開放現場看屋，也歡迎到社宅現場參觀！ 以上廣告由台中市政府住宅發展工程處提供 －－－－以上為 SoundOn 動態廣告－－－－ ＊第八季＊【EP. 635】#經濟學人導讀 / 國際時事 / 英文學習：大國崛起的幻象？揭開印度「世界第四」背後的真實面貌 探討印度經濟崛起的現狀與隱憂，指出政府過度沉迷於全球 GDP 排名與金氏世界紀錄等「大國敘事」，卻忽視了基礎設施落後與民生品質低下的現實矛盾。文中詳細分析了「印度製造」政策在手機組裝與半導體產業取得的顯著進展，特別是透過 PLI 計畫成功吸引蘋果與美光等國際巨頭進駐，試圖建立本土供應鏈生態系。然而，這種發展呈現嚴重的二元化現象，即尖端工廠周邊往往仍面臨電力不穩、污水橫流及橋樑垮塌等治理崩潰。作者警告，若經濟成長無法轉化為公共服務的實質提升，宏大的工業藍圖恐將淪為脫離國民感受的政治口號。最終，資料強調印度必須從單純的數字增長轉向真正的社會發展，方能避免陷入中等收入陷阱並實現真正的國家現代化。 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

川普下令狙殺伊朗最高領袖哈米尼，引爆中東戰火，《經濟學人》最新封面故事批評這對美國而言是一場「沒有戰略的戰爭」，不僅在政治上會造成戰線擴大，甚至迫使周邊多國與北約捲入，經濟上也會導致通膨與經濟風暴，尤其是全球能源命脈受阻，油價狂飆恐重創GDP，伊朗內部分裂危機，更恐將引發區域大地震，文中呼籲美國應盡速縮小戰爭目標。 【聽完這集你會知道】 02:15｜川普「無戰略戰爭」的三大全球危機：美國狙殺伊朗領袖缺乏明確戰略恐引發嚴重外溢效應：戰火波及北約、油價飆破百元推升通膨，以及伊朗內部分裂導致的地緣政治動盪。 14:00｜AI 失控倒數？五角大廈與企業的角力：知名 AI 公司 Anthropic 擔憂技術淪為監控與自動化武器，與國防部爆發合約爭議 。若政府持續忽視安全護欄，恐提早引發人工智慧災難 。 16:40｜中國 2026 經濟目標為何被批「太低？：中國將 GDP 成長目標設於 4.5% 至 5%，遭批缺乏野心 。過低的目標將限制刺激政策，恐讓經濟深陷連續四年的通縮與青年高失業率泥淖 。 主持人：天下雜誌資深主筆 黃亦筠 主講人：金庫資本管理合夥人兼總經理 丁學文 製作團隊：張雅媛、莊志偉、邱宇豪 ＊延伸閱讀｜衝突升級　為什麼對伊朗有利？：https://www.cw.com.tw/article/5140058 ＊立即下載天下App：https://mkt.cw.com.tw/applink/cwapp.html?source=podcast ＊訂閱天下全閱讀：https://bit.ly/3STpEpV ＊意見信箱：bill@cw.com.tw -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

香港以380%的負債對GDP比例登上全球第一，比排第二的日本和排第三的新加坡，香港總負債高有其獨特的原因，尤其是企業負債 227% 更是國際金融中心吸納全球融資的必然結果。三個地方有截然不同的負債結構以及背後的原因：日本以國家財政承接九十年代泡沫爆破的代價，背後是財閥與政治深度共生的鐵三角；新加坡自被迫獨立以來以 CPF、組屋和主權基金構建制度性架構，建構出另一種獨特的管治模式。真正值得深思的是，香港正由尋租型經濟和聯繫匯率共同塑造了一套市場主導的城市基因。2022年至今，香港政府持續的結構性赤字、土地收入萎縮、以及北京財政思維對本地政策取向的滲透，正在考驗這套基因能否在根本改造的壓力下維持完整。問：香港負債380%是否等同於財政危機？ 答：380%本身並不直接代表危機，關鍵在於負債的成份。其中67%政府債務大部分為外匯基金票據，背後有超過100%的美元資產抵押，屬於聯繫匯率的貨幣架構工具，非無擔保借貸。企業負債227%主要來自在港上市企業（當中八成市值屬內地公司）在香港進行美元融資，屬金融中介城市的正常現象，並非本地系統性風險。問：日本政府債務為何由1991年的約60% GDP膨脹至今日超過兩倍？ 答：1991年資產泡沫爆破後，大量日本企業和金融機構資不抵債，但政府選擇以擴張性財政政策補貼就業和維持供樓，避免社會出現斷層式的失業潮。這種選擇背後有日本財閥與政治圈深度共生的結構性原因——讓政治上重要的企業倒閉，在政治上根本不可行。結果就是私人資本錯配的代價被系統性轉移到政府的資產負債表，三十多年來持續累積。問：香港的「尋租型經濟」是如何形成的？ 答：香港自開埠以來，英國殖民者需要依賴本地精英（洋行、財團、銀行）協助管治，作為交換，精英階層獲得土地利益。這形成了一種封建式的層層尋租結構：政府收入主要依賴土地，地產商從中獲益，雙方利益高度一致。稅率因此長期維持低水平，而土地財政成為整個系統的資金來源。問：為何1997年後香港始終無法「變成新加坡」？ 答：新加坡的社會模式——CPF公積金、組屋、國家主導投資架構——是六十年制度積累的整體生態系統，無法以個別政策移植。更根本的是，如果香港要大幅擴展公營房屋，就必須壓縮土地財政收入，政府隨即失去主要收入來源，被迫轉向舉債。而香港在聯繫匯率下沒有獨立貨幣政策，這條路在財政上根本無法持續。問：新加坡的高政府債務（172% GDP）是否與香港的財政問題類似？ 答：兩者性質截然不同。新加坡的政府債務是制度性架構的產物——包括CPF供款、基建投資及主權基金運作，過去37年只出現兩次財政赤字，財政儲備透過GIC和淡馬錫主動創造回報。香港政府債務中真正屬於財政借貸的部分，是2022年以來結構性赤字持續累積的結果，背後缺乏對應的資產回報機制，性質與新加坡完全不同。問：自由港的三條法則是什麼，香港目前處於什麼位置？ 答：自由港有三個核心條件：一是貨物自由進出、無關稅；二是在國際政治上相對中立；三是管治由城市自身決定，而非由宗主國主導。香港在第一條上目前仍維持，但在第二和第三條上已出現根本性的動搖——國際政治定位愈趨清晰地偏向一方，而管治方針亦已非香港自主決定。新加坡恰好在這兩個條件上持續強化，令其逐漸承接了部分原本屬於香港的國際金融功能。問：香港最有可能演變成什麼樣的城市？ 答：若當前軌跡持續，香港最有可能演變成另一個中國內地城市，而非新加坡式的獨立城邦。香港變成新加坡，在邏輯上需要擁有獨立的主權決策空間——包括貨幣政策、外交定位和管治自主——這些條件在北京的政策框架下不可能出現。與此同時，上海等內地城市的崛起，亦令香港作為「中國的國際金融通道」這個獨特定位愈來愈難以維持。 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit leesimon.substack.com/subscribe

China's Two Sessions are outlining the country's economic priorities for the year ahead and offering signals about the next phase of development. What does the 2026 Government Work Report reveal about China's growth strategy? And how might these policy directions shape China's role in the global economy? In this episode of The Hub, Wang Guan talks to experts to explore China's 2026 GDP growth target, the role of innovation-driven growth as China increases investment in R&D and accelerates the development of new quality productive forces, and discuss how policymakers are balancing stability with high-quality development.

Find me on Substack!Matt Reustle is the former CEO of Colossus and architect of the Business Breakdowns podcast, who spent a decade at Goldman Sachs mastering business dissection before building one of the investment world's most influential media platforms.The episode is sponsored by TenzingMEMO — the AI-powered market intelligence platform I use daily for smarter company analysis. Code BILLIONS gets you an extended trial + 10% off.3:00 – Matt reflects on his upbringing: engineer father, educator mother, and how dinner table conversations about managing teams shaped his thinking on accountability and action.5:00 – The pivot from Goldman Sachs to Colossus: Matt describes the frustration with compliance-driven communication at large firms and the freedom podcasting offered to reach wider audiences with authentic analysis.7:15 – Second-order impact of content: how episodes designed for investors also reach management teams, founders, and unexpected audiences who extract different lessons.10:51 – From analyzing businesses to running one: Matt describes eating “humble pie” when moving from the investor seat to the operator seat, gaining appreciation for nuance, experimentation, and details that don't scale.15:06 – The Patek Philippe episode and stewardship: watches powered by human movement, built to last centuries, and the marketing genius of positioning a product as something you never truly own but look after for the next generation.19:09 – Long-term thinking benefits you now: Bogumil argues that applying a multi-generational filter to decisions delivers returns in the current generation, not just future ones.22:58 – What makes a compounder: Matt identifies three characteristics — a self-reinforcing sales model, religious cost efficiency, and disciplined capital allocation — set against the macro backdrop of industries growing faster than GDP.31:35 – Mapping value chains: finding mission-critical, low-cost components with high barriers to entry where small players capture outsized profits.37:34 – Financial hygiene: management teams that communicate future flexibility and demonstrate depth of knowledge signal discipline; track records outweigh rhetoric.43:40 – Evolutionary DNA of businesses: the ability to adapt and pivot, what Henry Ellenbogen calls “act two companies,” and why the best investors change their minds when information changes.49:30 – Audience of one philosophy: creating content for a specific person breeds focus, quality, and trust — and paradoxically reaches far more people than content designed for mass appeal.54:35 – AI as a creative superpower: interacting with your own content library in new ways, finding use cases from peers, and owning the technology rather than letting it own you.58:20 – Success as fulfillment: family, creation, and relationships — Matt's definition shaped by watching his parents balance it all.Podcast Program – Disclosure StatementBlue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.EPISODE NOTES

Báo động trước tình trạng ngược đãi những người lao động bị cưỡng bức, trong đó có không ít nạn nhân là người Việt Nam, tại các trung tâm lừa đảo trực tuyến ở các nước Đông Nam Á, Văn phòng Cao ủy Nhân quyền Liên Hiệp Quốc ngày 20/02/2026 đã kêu gọi cộng đồng quốc tế hành động chống lại tệ nạn này. Riêng Việt Nam đang phối hợp với Cam Bốt và những đối tác khác ở Đông Nam Á để triệt hạ các đường dây lừa đảo xuyên quốc gia. Trong một báo cáo được công bố vào năm 2023, Liên Hiệp Quốc ước tính hàng trăm ngàn người đã bị cưỡng bức tuyển dụng để thực hiện các vụ lừa đảo trực tuyến. Báo cáo mới, dựa trên lời khai của các nạn nhân và các cuộc phỏng vấn với các cảnh sát và đại diện của xã hội dân sự, mô tả các vi phạm nhân quyền nghiêm trọng mà những người bị buộc phải làm việc trong các trung tâm này phải gánh chịu.  Báo cáo ghi nhận các trường hợp tra tấn, ngược đãi, bóc lột, lạm dụng tình dục, cưỡng bức phá thai, bỏ đói và biệt giam. Một nạn nhân từ Sri Lanka khai rằng những người không đạt chỉ tiêu hàng tháng về lừa đảo đã bị dìm xuống nước hàng giờ trong các bể nước (gọi là 'nhà tù nước'). Các nạn nhân cũng kể lại việc bị ép buộc chứng kiến, thậm chí tham gia vào những hành vi vi phạm nhân quyền nghiêm trọng này. Một nạn nhân người Bangladesh cho biết anh ta được lệnh đánh đập những người lao động cưỡng bức khác, và một nạn nhân người Ghana mô tả việc bị ép buộc phải chứng kiến ​​bạn mình bị đánh đập. Một nạn nhân người Việt Nam kể lại việc em gái mình bị đánh đập, bị chích điện, bị nhốt trong phòng và bị bỏ đói trong bảy ngày vì đã toan đào thoát. Liên Hiệp Quốc lên án tình trạng những nạn nhân này bị xác định sai là tội phạm và bị truy tố hình sự, hoặc bị trừng phạt thay vì được bảo vệ. Từ nhiều năm qua, Cam Bốt đã trở thành “thiên đường” cho các tổ chức tội phạm điều hành ngành công nghiệp lừa đảo trị giá hàng tỷ đô la. Một báo cáo năm 2024 của Viện Hòa bình Hoa Kỳ ước tính doanh thu từ các vụ lừa đảo mạng ở Cam Bốt vượt quá 12,5 tỷ đô la mỗi năm, tương đương một nửa tổng sản phẩm nội địa (GDP) của nước này. Viện tư vấn Stimson Center, trụ sở chính tại thủ đô Washington của Mỹ, có một dự án về chống lừa đảo trên mạng, tập hợp các nhà khoa học cũng như các nhà hoạch định chính sách và cả đại diện các tập đoàn công nghệ như Google hoặc Meta. Sau ba năm thực hiện, vừa rồi họ đã tổ chức hội thảo tại Bangkok để tổng kết và đánh giá về những chiến dịch triệt hạ các trung tâm lừa đảo ở Cam Bốt. Tham gia dự án này có tiến sĩ Lương Thanh Hải, một nhà tội phạm học, hiện là giảng viên Trường Tư pháp hình sự và tội phạm học Griffith, Úc. Trả lời phỏng vấn RFI Việt ngữ ngày 05/03/2026, ông Lương Thanh Hải cho biết:  "Hơn nửa năm trở lại đây, từ giữa năm 2025 cho đến đầu năm 2026, dưới áp lực mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng quốc tế, từ Mỹ, Trung Quốc, Hàn Quốc và một số nước Đông Nam Á, chính quyền Cam Bốt đã mở một chiến dịch quy mô rất lớn nhằm triệt phá các khu phức hợp lừa đảo trực tuyến ( scams compound ). Tất nhiên để đánh giá một kết quả tổng thể đòi hỏi những số liệu cụ thể và hiện nay thì chúng tôi vẫn đang cập nhật để có số liệu cụ thể chính xác. Nhưng sơ bộ thì trong vòng nửa năm trở lại đây, chính quyền Cam Bốt đã đánh sập được gần 200 trung tâm lừa đảo. Có thể nói là đây là một con số khá ấn tượng. Trong cuộc tọa đàm vừa rồi, chúng tôi cũng đã tổng kết sơ bộ ít nhất có hơn 173 nhân vật cầm đầu đã bị bắt và khoảng trên dưới 11.000 người tham gia đã bị trục xuất khỏi Cam Bốt. Hàng ngàn người là nạn nhân bị ép lừa đảo đã thoát khỏi các trung tâm đó. Đầu tháng 2 vừa rồi, chúng tôi cũng ghi nhận, đặc biệt là sau khi quân đội Thái Lan tiến hành công kích và triệt phá các khu phức hợp, các sòng bài lớn ở Cam Bốt, người ta đã phát hiện các đối tượng sử dụng trang phục cảnh sát của ít nhất là 7 nước như Úc, Brazil, Việt Nam, Indonesia, Singapore v.v... Đây có thể nói là những bằng chứng rõ nhất cho thấy các ổ lừa đảo này hoạt động hết sức  tinh vi, sử dụng các trang phục của lực lượng thực thi pháp luật nhằm tạo ra những kịch bản y như một cuộc thẩm vấn của cảnh sát liên bang Úc, hay của cảnh sát Việt Nam, cảnh sát Singapore..., để lừa đảo, thậm chí là đưa ra các kịch bản bắt bớ, khởi tố..., khiến các nạn nhân dễ bị đánh gục. Chính quyền Cam Bốt đầu năm vừa rồi đã đưa ra được một con số khá ấn tượng là đã giảm được khoảng 50% hoạt động lừa đảo trực tuyến sau các chiến dịch mạnh như vậy. Tất nhiên con số đó cũng cần phải được thẩm định.  Ngoài ra một số trùm mạng lưới, đặc biệt là Trần Chí ( Chen Zhi ), một đối tượng cầm đầu đã bị chính quyền Hoa Kỳ phong tỏa các tài sản và dưới áp lực của Mỹ, Cam Bốt cuối cùng cũng đã triển khai các chiến dịch và bắt được trùm lừa đảo này. Đầu năm vừa rồi, Trần Chí bị dẫn độ theo yêu cầu của chính quyền Trung Quốc đưa về Trung Quốc xét xử. Giới nghiên cứu chúng tôi tiếp tục cập nhật và hy vọng chính phủ Trung Quốc sẽ công bố những thông tin minh bạch, cũng như các bản án cụ thể, để chúng tôi từ góc độ tội phạm học có thể phân tích sâu hơn tại sao và như thế nào mà một trùm lừa đảo như Trần Chí lại có thể đi sâu và điều hành cả một tập đoàn lớn như vậy ở Cam Bốt trong rất nhiều năm. Sau khi phá được nhiều chuyên án lớn như vậy, nhiều tổ chức quốc tế cho rằng các đường dây này chỉ tạm thời giải tán thôi và rồi sẽ lại di chuyển sang địa phận khác. Các hoạt động tuyển dụng lao động của những trung tâm lừa đảo vẫn tiếp tục trên mạng xã hội. Bởi vì xét đến cùng, công nghiệp lừa đảo này ở Cam Bốt vẫn có quy mô cực lớn, có thể kiếm siêu lợi nhuận hàng chục tỷ đồng mỗi năm. Nói cách khác, chiến dịch này đã gây xáo trộn lớn, nhưng chưa thực sự triệt tiêu được hệ sinh thái đối với loại tội phạm lừa đảo qua mạng này." Hơn nữa, không chỉ có người Trung Quốc hay người Cam Bốt, mà có cả người Việt Nam điều hành đường dây lừa đảo ở xứ Chùa Tháp. Theo báo chí Việt Nam, ngày 13/02, Công an Đồng Nai phối hợp Cục An ninh mạng và phòng, chống tội phạm sử dụng công nghệ cao (Bộ Công an) đã tạm giữ Nguyễn Thị Vân, 30 tuổi, cùng 13 người khác để điều tra hành vi Lừa đảo chiếm đoạt tài sản. Nguyễn Thị Vân được xác đinh là cầm đầu đường dây lừa đảo 2.500 tỷ đồng của hàng ngàn nạn nhân, hoạt động tại Cam Bốt. Các nhà điều tra cho biết đây là một trong những vụ án đầu tiên bắt giữ được chủ mưu là người Việt Nam, tự đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng quy mô lớn và vận hành hệ thống lừa đảo tại nhiều địa điểm ở Cam Bốt. Ngày 25/02, đến lượt Cơ quan Cảnh sát Điều tra Công an tỉnh Tây Ninh ra thông báo tìm những ai là nạn nhân của Huỳnh Nguyễn Ngọc Huy trong vụ án lừa đảo qua mạng xã hội để mua bán người. Cụ thể, Huy dùng tài khoản Facebook "Huy Trần" đăng tin tuyển dụng giả giới thiệu các “việc nhẹ lương cao” để lừa gạt nạn nhân đưa sang Cam Bốt. Tại đây, các nạn nhân bị ép buộc làm việc, nếu muốn về nước phải trả tiền chuộc rất cao, hoặc bị bán tiếp sang các công ty lừa đảo khác. Nhà tội phạm học Lương Thanh Hải giải thích:  "Qua nghiên cứu từ thực tiễn, cũng như về lý thuyết, chúng tôi gọi đó là sự trùng lặp, sự lặp lại giữa nạn nhân và thủ phạm. Chúng tôi hay dùng thuật ngữ offender - victim overlap. Họ là những nạn nhân đã bị dụ dỗ để sang làm, bị ép buộc, được đào tạo từng bước một, từng kịch bản một và thậm chí đóng các kịch bản lực lượng thực thi pháp luật của nước A, nước B, nước C để lừa ngược lại. Thậm chí khi bị nhốt vào các trung tâm lừa đảo này, họ bị ép buộc phải đạt được chỉ số KPI ( chỉ số đo lường và đánh giá hiệu quả hoạt động ), hàng ngày hàng giờ phải thực hiện bao nhiêu cuộc lừa đảo. Thành thử họ không còn lựa chọn nào khác, buộc phải làm ngày làm đêm, thậm chí phải lừa cả người thân trong gia đình, bạn bè của họ ở Việt Nam, lôi kéo sang để lại trở thành nạn nhân của các vụ lừa đảo qua mạng tiếp theo. Trong khoảng hai năm trở lại đây, công an Việt Nam cũng đã phối hợp khá chặt chẽ với các lực lượng thực thi pháp luật của khu vực Đông Nam Á, thông qua các kênh chính thống, ví dụ như ASEANAPOL, tức là Hiệp hội cảnh sát trưởng của các nước ASEAN, hoặc là thông qua các đối tác song phương giữa cảnh sát và bộ Nội Vụ của Vương Quốc Cam Bốt hoặc Thái Lan. Đã có nhiều cuộc giải cứu thành công, ví dụ mới đây công an tỉnh Tuyên Quang đã giải cứu và đưa được khoảng 74 nghi phạm từ Cam Bốt và Việt Nam trong một vụ lừa đảo lên đến hàng nghìn tỷ đồng. Hiện nay, Việt Nam được đánh giá là một những nước đầu tiên của khu vực Đông Nam Á đang hướng tới áp dụng nguyên tắc "không hình phạt" đối với nạn nhân, nếu như chứng minh được họ là nạn nhân của các vụ ép buộc lừa đảo trực tuyến. Điều này cũng đã được cụ thể hóa trong luật về phòng chống buôn bán người của Việt Nam được sửa đổi năm 2024 và có hiệu lực từ tháng 7/2025. Về góc độ chính sách và pháp luật, chúng tôi cho đấy là một trong những bước tiến rất đáng ghi nhận từ chính quyền Việt Nam." Một cơ sơ pháp lý khác để Việt Nam có thể tăng cường hợp tác với các nước để diệt trừ các trung tâm lừa đảo, theo ông Lương Thanh Hải, chính là Công ước Hà Nội:  "Công ước Hà Nội, tức là Công ước của Liên Hiệp Quốc về phòng chống tội phạm mạng, đã được ký từ tháng 10/2025. Bản thân Việt Nam và Cam Bốt, cùng một số nước khác trong Đông Nam Á, có tham gia. Theo thống kê của chúng tôi, tổng số nước ký kết đã lên đến 73 hoặc là 75 nước. Đây là một bước tiến lớn về cơ sở pháp lý để tăng cường hợp tác quốc tế trong phòng chống các tội phạm mạng, bao gồm cả lừa đảo trực tuyến như các trung tâm ở Cam Bốt. Tuy nhiên, phần lớn những người Việt được phát hiện tham gia, thậm chí trực tiếp đi sang và cầm đầu các nhóm đối tượng ở Cam Bốt trong các trung tâm lừa đảo trực tuyến không phải là những "big boss", không phải là trùm của những ông trùm. Phần lớn những ông trùm đó vẫn là "behind the scene", vẫn đang tiếp tục lẫn trốn. Như trường hợp của Trần Chí chẳng hạn, phải mất rất nhiều thời gian mới bị phá vỡ và bị bắt. Thành thử  những người Việt này thì chúng tôi đánh giá chủ yếu là đứng đằng sau điều hành các trung tâm lừa đảo Cam Bốt. Công an Việt Nam cũng đang tiếp tục khởi tố theo các nhóm tội lừa đảo, chiếm đoạt tài sản, hoặc tổ chức đưa người ra nước ngoài trái phép, tham gia trực tiếp vào các trung tâm lừa đảo đó. Các số liệu cũng như các bằng chứng cho thấy các đường dây này thường là dụ người Việt Nam bằng cái chiêu là "việc nhẹ lương cao", sau đó bán sang trung tâm lừa đảo. Các cơ quan công an Việt Nam trực tiếp cũng như phối hợp với lượng thực thi pháp luật các nước, trong đó Cam Bốt và Thái Lan, đã triệt phá các nhóm môi giới này trên các nền tảng xã hội, như Zalo hoặc Facebook và có nhiều trường hợp đã xử lý về tội mua bán người, hoặc tổ chức xuất cảnh trái phép. Chúng tôi cũng kỳ vọng Công ước Hà Nội, cũng như các cơ sở pháp lý khác trong khu vực ASEAN, đặc biệt là giữa các nước Việt Nam, Lào, Cam Bốt và thậm chí cả Thái Lan nữa, sẽ tăng cường hợp tác về thực thi pháp luật, trao đổi dữ liệu về tội phạm mạng, tiếp tục phối hợp giải cứu các nạn nhân và cũng có thể tiến hành dẫn độ, hoặc trao đổi các loại tài liệu liên quan đến điều tra, truy tố và xét xử trong quá trình triệt phá các băng nhóm từ nay cho đến cuối năm và trong thời gian tới."

Guest Mike Murphy, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, joins to discuss ongoing budget talks in DC. Discussion of fraud and waste spending, amount of spending on social programs, the battle on tariffs, and ways to get the federal budget under control. Can we increase the GDP enough to balance the budget, and where can we cut spending? President Trump kicks off the weekend announcing a new "Shield of Americas" movement with multiple Central American and South American nations to battle against cartels, organized crimes, trafficking issues, and more. Can we rid our hemisphere from drugs, crime, and shadow governments?

Podcast: Industrial Cybersecurity InsiderEpisode: The Blind Spots Putting Manufacturers at Risk: WEF 2026 Global Cybersecurity OutlookPub date: 2026-03-03Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationLuRae Lumpkin, Producer of Industrial Cybersecurity Insider, sits down with industrial cybersecurity expert Dino Busalachi to break down the 2026 World Economic Forum Global Cybersecurity Outlook Report and what it really means for manufacturers. While the report surveyed nearly a thousand CEOs, CIOs, and CISOs, Dino reveals a critical blind spot: industrial control systems and OT environments are being left dangerously exposed. They discuss how AI is becoming a double-edged sword for attackers and defenders, why supply chain vulnerabilities remain unaddressed, the shocking lack of cybersecurity skills on plant floors, and why most companies still aren't conducting incident response exercises. Dino shares real-world insights from working in nearly 2,000 plants over four decades, explaining why IT and OT remain disconnected, how remote access creates massive security gaps, and why outdated equipment with decades-old vulnerabilities sits unpatched in critical manufacturing environments. The conversation reveals that while enterprises focus on IT security, the plant floor—where revenue is actually generated—remains critically vulnerable, with potentially catastrophic consequences for businesses, supply chains, and even national GDP. Chapters: (00:00:00) - Introduction and Overview of WEF 2026 Cybersecurity Report (00:01:00) - Where Cybersecurity Funding Actually Goes: IT vs OT Reality (00:03:00) - The Myth of Disconnected Legacy Equipment (00:05:00) - AI as a Double-Edged Sword in Industrial Environments (00:08:00) - The Vulnerability Crisis: Thousands of Unpatched Systems (00:09:00) - Third-Party and Supply Chain Security Gaps (00:12:00) - Remote Access: The Hidden Attack Vector (00:14:00) - Critical Supplier Dependencies and Decentralized OT (00:15:00) - The Skills Gap: Why Industrial Cybersecurity Expertise is Scarce (00:19:00) - The Shocking Truth About Incident Response Exercises (00:22:00) - Real-World Impact: When Manufacturers Get Hit (00:24:00) - Getting All Stakeholders in the Same Room (00:28:00) - Insurance vs Prevention: The True Cost of Cyber Incidents (00:29:00) - Final Thoughts: Who Should Own OT Cybersecurity? Links And Resources:Want to Sponsor an episode or be a Guest? Reach out here.Industrial Cybersecurity Insider on LinkedInCybersecurity & Digital Safety on LinkedInBW Design Group CybersecurityDino Busalachi on LinkedInCraig Duckworth on LinkedInThanks so much for joining us this week. Want to subscribe to Industrial Cybersecurity Insider? Have some feedback you'd like to share? Connect with us on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube to leave us a review!The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Industrial Cybersecurity Insider, which is the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Listen Notes, Inc.

The international world order is being shaken up, and Europe's place at the new table is far from certain. Russia's war against Ukraine continues unabated. What security strategy should Europe pursue?Last year, the NATO allies agreed in The Hague to spend 3.5 percent of their GDP on direct defence expenditure. What does that mean in practice? Will Europe succeed in overcoming national interests, fragmented production, and slow coordination? Will Europe be able to defend Ukraine?Together with Justyna Gotkowska, Deputy Director and Head of the Security and Defence Department at the OSW Centre for Eastern Studies based in Warsaw, we examine Europe's security from the perspective of those closest to Russia's war and its long-term consequences and her four-point plan for Ukraine, which offers a potential European counterstrategy in response to Russian ‘peace' proposals. She is joined in conversation by Alex Krijger and Nikki Sterkenburg.Information wars: about this series With this three-part programme series, which is partially funded by a Public Diplomacy Grant from NATO, we want to provide in-depth analysis of current affairs and facilitate nuanced debate, thus making complex material accessible. Russian-Western relations are shaped by war, in the broadest sense of the word. What are the consequences of the hybrid forms of warfare? Such as cyber- and psychological warfare, and economic sanctions.In order to understand the current state of affairs, the Information Wars series will focus on the larger historical, societal and cultural context of the relations between Ukraine and NATO member states on the one hand, and Russia on the other hand.Programme editors: Ianthe Mosselman and Dirk StruikZie het privacybeleid op https://art19.com/privacy en de privacyverklaring van Californië op https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this episode of the Jim Paulsen Show, Jim joins Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau to break down the macro forces shaping today's markets and economy. Jim explains why the economy may be far weaker than headline GDP numbers suggest, how technology and AI investment are masking weakness in the broader economy, and why leadership in the stock market may be shifting. The conversation also explores the market implications of geopolitical conflict, the relationship between policy and market leadership, and how investors should think about AI's long-term economic impact.Topics covered in this episodeHow geopolitical events like the Iran conflict affect markets, volatility, oil prices, and investor sentimentWhy market reactions to geopolitical shocks often fade once the situation is “vetted” by investorsThe relationship between oil prices, the US dollar, and global financial marketsWhy Paulsen remains constructive on international stocks and emerging markets despite recent volatilityWhy energy and food now represent a much smaller share of consumer spending than in past inflation cyclesThe argument that inflation fears may be overstated given structural disinflationary forces in the economyHow AI and technological innovation can destroy some jobs while simultaneously creating new economic demandWhy technological progress often lowers costs and expands markets rather than simply eliminating workThe concept that the “new economy” driven by technology investment is now large enough to influence overall GDP growthPaulsen's analysis showing that roughly 11 percent of the economy tied to new-era investment is growing rapidly while the remaining 89 percent is barely growingWhy the broader economy may resemble a recession even while headline GDP remains positiveHow the dominance of large technology companies in indexes like the S&P 500 may be masking weakness in the broader marketThe historical “toggle” between technology leadership and broader market leadership in equity marketsWhy policy conditions like the yield curve and monetary easing often drive leadership shifts toward value, small caps, and cyclical stocksWhether the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy without a traditional recessionWhy policy support may eventually broaden the bull market beyond technology stocksTimestamps0:00 Jim Paulsen on geopolitical volatility, oil prices, and market reactions2:50 How investors should think about the Iran conflict and market implications10:50 The relationship between oil prices, the US dollar, and safe-haven flows12:20 Why Paulsen likes international and emerging market stocks14:30 Why higher oil prices may not lead to sustained inflation18:40 AI disruption and the economic debate around jobs and productivity23:00 How innovation historically creates new demand and economic growth29:40 Technology is the tail wagging the economic dog33:30 Why the “new economy” is growing far faster than the rest of the economy37:00 Evidence that most of the economy may already resemble a recession41:00 Profit growth disparity between technology and the rest of the economy45:40 Why the stock market can mask weakness in the broader economy46:30 The historical leadership toggle between tech and the broader market49:00 Valuation differences between technology and other sectors50:30 How policy conditions influence market leadership55:00 Signs that leadership may already be shifting beyond tech57:00 Could the Fed ease without a traditional recession59:00 What a policy shift could mean for the next phase of the bull market

【遠雄樂元】 北屯捷運X好市多 雙首排 ➤早鳥首付55萬起 旗艦級新地標 21-39坪，北屯機捷總站20米，好市多60米，出站即到家。2147坪新世代遊園宅，全齡化公設✦ 早鳥輕入住 https://sofm.pse.is/8tch9t －－－－以上為 SoundOn 動態廣告－－－－ 美國「史詩怒火」行動橫掃伊朗，擊殺伊朗最高領袖、摧毀大量飛彈發射器，伊朗部署的中共製防空體系在美軍面前形同虛設，這對解放軍高層會產生多大的心理威懾？是否證明台灣採購美製精準武器是正確之路？賴政府推1.25兆台幣的特別國防預算，著重於哪些層面？繼俄烏戰爭後，無人機在美伊戰爭再次大展身手，以台灣科技能力，是否能在無人機和數位擊殺鏈中占一席之地？美國對台灣數項軍購案發價書即將到期，若立院卡關導致簽署失敗，將如何影響美方對台灣「自衛意志」的評估？賴清德直指國民黨當年69次阻擋美國售台潛艦，美國當時為何反應不大？而今時空背景不同，台灣還能再錯過一次戰略機遇嗎？包含兩位一級上將在內，台灣軍方高層罕見公開表態支持特別國防預算，與一些綏靖主義的退將形成對比，這是否能向大眾傳達敵我意識、能否有助台灣社會團結？極權國家只懂拳頭，沒有武備就沒有上談判桌的資格，嚇阻力量有兩種，一種是國防實力，另一種是什麼？精彩訪談內容，請鎖定@華視三國演議！ 本集來賓：#余宗基 #矢板明夫 主持人：#汪浩 以上言論不代表本台立場 #特別國防預算 #軍售 #美伊戰爭 #數位擊殺鏈 電視播出時間

VOV1 - Với quy mô hơn 100 triệu dân và đóng góp khoảng 62% vào tăng trưởng GDP hằng năm, TTTN không chỉ là dư địa phát triển lớn mà còn là động lực tăng trưởng chiến lược trong giai đoạn tới. Việc chủ động nguồn nguyên liệu, nhiên liệu từ TTTN có ý nghĩa đặc biệt quan trọng, nâng cao tính tự chủ...Trong bối cảnh kinh tế thế giới liên tục đối mặt với các cú sốc lớn như đại dịch Covid-19, xung đột Nga - Ukraine, căng thẳng thương mại Mỹ - Trung và gần đây là những bất ổn địa chính trị mới, thị trường trong nước đã khẳng định vai trò là “trụ cột ổn định” và là bệ đỡ quan trọng của nền kinh tế khi khu vực xuất khẩu gặp nhiều khó khăn. Cùng với mục tiêu hướng tới giá trị kim ngạch xuất nhập khẩu "nghìn tỷ đô la" đóng góp vào tăng trưởng "hai con số" trong giai đoạn 2026-2030, đâu là những giải pháp được ngành Công Thương tập trung ưu tiên? PV Nguyên Long phỏng vấn Thứ trưởng Bộ Công Thương Nguyễn Sinh Nhật Tân về nội dung này

When it comes to one economic indicator, Canada is lagging behind one of the U.S.'s poorest states: Alabama. And while GDP per capita is an imperfect metric of wealth, Globe reporter Tim Kiladze went down to Alabama and found that there are some things the state has done that are worth taking note of. Tim joins the show to share what he saw down south, explore the criticisms of GDP per capita and respond to the reaction his reporting has generated. Questions? Comments? Ideas? Email us at thedecibel@globeandmail.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

– Responding to the SaaSpocalypse – Surprisingly good GDP numbers – The risks of a higher oil price… and the costsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

China is expecting its GDP to grow by over six trillion yuan this year, which officials say will provide solid support for stabilizing employment, benefiting the people and preventing risks.

In an increasingly uncertain global environment, what role can China play in stabilizing growth and boosting confidence? At China's most important annual political gathering, the Two Sessions, Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report and announced the country's GDP growth target for 2026. The meeting also sent signals that market access would be further expanded and that more sectors, particularly in services, would be further opened to global investors. What are China's priorities for the year ahead through 2030? And what could China's development goals mean for the world economy?

The head of the National Development and Reform Commission, China's top economic regulator, says the country's GDP is expected to grow by over six trillion yuan, or nearly 870 billion U.S. dollars, this year (01:20). Foreign diplomats and overseas media have spoken highly of China's ongoing Two Sessions and achievements over the past years (11:58). Beijing calls for de-escalating tensions in the Middle East while stepping up efforts to assist stranded Chinese nationals in the region (19:41).

Brian Wieser, founder of Madison and Wall, joins Ari Paparo and Eric Franchi to discuss why the digital ad market is stronger than expected and what recent earnings reveal about platforms and ad tech companies. The conversation covers retail media growth, DSP competition, and how companies like Amazon, OpenAI, and The Trade Desk are approaching the next phase of advertising, along with Brian's view on AI's impact on agencies, CTV, and the broader ad ecosystem. Takeaways The digital ad market is strong, growing about 15 percent despite economic uncertainty. Ad growth is driven more by competition and new categories than by GDP. Retail media is expanding as retailers increase competition between brands. Agencies may benefit from AI, as marketers still need human guidance. AI platforms are starting to explore new advertising models. Chapters 00:00 Intro and Marketecture Live preview 03:10 The state of the digital advertising market 07:00 What drives ad market growth today 10:30 DSP competition and The Trade Desk's market share 15:00 Retail media growth and Walmart's momentum 20:30 AI disruption, SaaS concerns, and agencies 27:00 Streaming consolidation and CTV economics 33:40 OpenAI partnerships and the future of AI advertising 39:30 Amazon expanding its advertising ecosystem 45:00 AI marketing tools and Jeff Green's $150M Trade Desk stock purchase Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Best Investment Strategy for 2026 Market Uncertainty | How to Protect and Grow Wealth in Uncertain Markets — In this episode of The Core Report Weekend Edition, Financial Journalist Govindraj Ethiraj speaks with Chintan Haria, Principal Investment Strategist at ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited, about how investors should think about investment strategy in 2026 as markets face rising uncertainty across geopolitics, trade tensions, commodities, inflation, global debt, and shifting capital flows.As volatility returns and the easy gains of recent years fade, investors everywhere are asking the same question: how do you protect and grow wealth in uncertain markets? In this conversation, we explore where to invest in 2026, how to build a resilient portfolio, and why asset allocation may matter more than stock picking alone.From stocks, gold, silver, fixed income, and hybrid funds to sector rotation, commodities, global markets, and India's economic growth, this episode provides a clear framework for navigating market volatility and investment decisions during uncertain times.Govindraj Ethiraj and Chintan Haria discuss the best investment strategy for 2026 market uncertainty, why protecting capital is critical in volatile markets, and how investors can think about portfolio diversification, wealth creation, and long-term investing. The discussion also covers India vs global investing, investor behaviour, sector opportunities, and the importance of disciplined asset allocation.Key topics covered in this episode include:(00:00) Introduction(01:20) Has Investment Strategy Really Changed in 2026?(03:48) Post‑COVID Euphoria Fades, New Cycles Emerge(06:00) Metals, Turbulence and Rethinking Portfolio Strategy (07:56) Sector Rotation and the IT Conundrum(12:02) Retail Investors Now Shape Market Behaviour(16:30) How ICICI AMC Applies Strategy Across Funds(19:10) Tracking the 650‑Stock Portfolio(20:30) India's Market Depth and New Listings(21:50) Capital Formation vs IPO Frenzy(23:25) The Next Wave of Emerging Themes(25:38) India's GDP as the Market's North Star(28:29) Stock Picking in a Fast‑Shifting Economy(29:58) Commodity Cycles and Marginal Cost of Extraction and Mining(31:30) Staying Calm Through Turbulent Markets(34:32) Global Money Printing and the Reset Ahead(38:20) Beyond SIPs: Hybrid Funds for Volatile Times(39:40) Fear vs Greed: What Drives Markets Today?With markets increasingly shaped by global debt, geopolitical tensions, and commodity cycles, this episode offers insights for investors looking to navigate volatility, build resilient portfolios, and make smarter investment decisions in 2026 and beyond.Whether you are a professional, investor, entrepreneur, or someone interested in business, finance, markets, and wealth creation, this episode of The Core Report will help you understand how smart investors approach uncertainty and long-term investing.Watch till the end for an important insight: fear in markets can create opportunity, but disciplined asset allocation remains the foundation of successful investing.Subscribe to The Core Report for more conversations on business, markets, economics, investing, and the forces shaping India and the global economy.

The Administration tells us that a new "Golden Age" for the American economy is now underway, and that we should see substantial material incremental GDP growth this year from the policies it has put in place through acts like the One Big Beautiful Bill, tax relief, deregulation, tariffs and new trade deals purported to bring $trillions of new foreign investment into the US.Today's guest, however, is much more skeptical of the promise of these policies as well as the overall prospects for the economy.And now the US is at war with Iran. How will that impact the situation?For guidance, we turn to highly-respected economist & award-winning researcher David Rosenberg, founder & president of Rosenberg Research.LAST CHANCE! REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bearmarket #marketcorrection #jobs _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

We have had some extremely distinguished guests over the last 6 years, but we haven't secured one who combines, a Rhodes Scholar, US Army Colonel, Counter terrorism expert, leading the US's cyber intelligence defence agency, and a lecturer at Oxford and beyond, whilst also having worked at Morgan Stanley, and now CEO at RSAC. Jen plots a journey from Oxford to Westpoint, from Colonel of the US's first Cyber Battalion to the Whitehouse, working under Condoleezza Rice and then chosen by President Biden to create CISA, The US's first cyber defense agency.In a whirlwind, world-wide tour, Jen plots the risks, defines the adversaries, reflects on intelligence, cooperation, and the real and present cyber risks to industries.She offers advice to boards, the existential risks for businesses who think this is just a “technology issue” and leaves us with a stark observation. If the cost of annual cybercrimes were aggregated into one number, it would be equivalent in GDP terms to being the third largest economy in the world! The Money Maze Podcast is kindly sponsored by Schroders, IFM Investors, World Gold Council and LSEG.Sign up to our Newsletter | Follow us on LinkedIn | Watch on YouTube 

How you show up in the world matters more than you may realize

DescriptionIn this episode, Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" Rike go point-counterpoint on two high-profile articles making waves across Wall Street and Silicon Valley: Citrini's provocative February 2025 report, The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis, and Citadel's rebuttal, The 2026 Global Intelligence Crisis.Dave and Ray unpack whether AI is truly triggering an unprecedented economic collapse or whether Citrini's dark simulation is, as one economist put it, just "a scary bedtime story." They dig into the SaaS private credit contagion theory, the historic parallels of labor displacement, the role of government regulation, and why this particular AI scare hits closer to home than any previous tech disruption. As always, the brothers bring the receipts, including nearly 20 sources and 20 hours of research - so you don't have to.Full Episode Summary:Dave Kellogg and Ray Rike open by framing the episode as a tale of two AI futures: Citrini's alarming speculative simulation versus Citadel's data-driven rebuttal.The Citrini Case (Bear Case): Published February 22nd, Citrini's report simulates a scenario in which rapid AI agent adoption triggers a global intelligence crisis by mid-2028 featuring 10.2% unemployment and a 38% drop in the S&P 500. The report argues AI is categorically different from prior technology waves because it displaces cognitive workers, who represent roughly 75% of U.S. labor income.Citrini further warns that SaaS, already accounting for 23% - 25% of the $3 trillion U.S. private credit market could become the chip in the windshield that cracks the broader financial system, with ripple effects into insurance and the broader economy. Dave and Ray note that Citrini's word choices ran 3.4-to-1 negative, and flag that the firm may hold short positions — characterizing the piece as well-crafted "bear porn."The Citadel Rebuttal (Bull Case): Two days later, Citadel, a $65B AUM asset manager with 35 years of credibility responded with a data-driven defense. Software engineering jobs are up since January 2024, AI CapEx is 2% of GDP and AI-adjacent commodity pricing is up 65%. Citadel argues AI follows historical S-curve adoption patterns, that "recursive capability doesn't equal recursive adoption," and that technology has always complemented rather than replaced labor - pointing to Microsoft Office as a historical analogue.Dave and Ray's Take: Both hosts find Citadel more credible, but acknowledge real displacement risks ahead. Their key insight: the reason this particular AI scare is generating 10x more fear than past labor disruptions (auto workers, telephone operators, elevator operators) is that this time it's us — white-collar knowledge workers facing displacement. Ray adds that blue-collar jobs (truck drivers, Uber drivers, warehouse workers) face equal or greater long-term risk from AI plus robotics, but those disruptions don't generate the same visceral fear in the media and investor class. Both agree the timing of adoption is the biggest unknown. Long-term, history favors the Citadel view. Short-term, the transition could be painful.On Government Response: Dave and Ray agree that political and regulatory intervention is inevitable if unemployment spikes materially, whether through labor protections, AI regulation, or fiscal stimulus.On Economists' Reactions: Real economists, including Noah Smith (Noahpinion) and Wharton's Jeremy Siegel, largely dismissed the Citrini piece, wi Siegel arguing that productivity gains generate new income and demand, Smith calling it a "scary bedtime story." Dave's takeaway for operators: let the Metrics Brothers do the 20 hours of reading so you don't have to.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

On this week's episode of The Liquidity Event, Shane and AJ break down the viral "Settrini Report," a fictional yet plausible AI scenario that rattled markets and raised serious questions about productivity, white-collar job displacement, and the future of labor's share of GDP. They discuss whether AI pricing is sustainable, what new data center infrastructure means for small-town America, and why we may be closer than ever to a zero-employee unicorn company. The conversation then shifts to the ethics and economics of organ donor compensation, including whether families should be reimbursed for funeral expenses and how incentives shape real-world outcomes. The episode wraps with a Reddit debate about paying 1.25% on a $10 million portfolio, what that fee should actually buy you, and why behavioral discipline often matters more than cost. Key Timestamps: 01:52 – How the "Settrini Report" went viral and moved markets 04:18 – AI agents replacing $180K product managers 07:02 – What happens if labor's share of GDP collapses 09:40 – Is AI pricing real, or just VC-subsidized for now? 12:11 – AI infrastructure, power plants, and small-town impact 15:03 – The rise of the zero-employee unicorn founder 18:27 – Organ donor compensation and the ethics debate 22:10 – How other countries structure organ donor incentives 24:54 – Paying 1.25% on a $10M portfolio… is it worth it? 28:41 – Market volatility, geopolitical tension, and staying disciplined

Corn and wheat slip while beans hold steady; Middle East war has markets on edge; China import demand expected to slip as they lower GDP targets; winter wheat crop condition update.

APAC stocks rebounded from yesterday's sell-off as the region took impetus from the positive handover from Wall Street, where the Nasdaq led the advances on tech strength, while geopolitics remained in focus.US President Trump said they are in a very strong position, and that Iran's missiles and launchers are being wiped out, while he added that they will continue forward.Iranian Foreign Minister says Washington will regret targeting Iranian frigate in international waters, Sky News Arabia reported.China set its 2026 GDP growth target at 4.5%-5.0%, as expected (prev. ‘around 5%'), and CPI at around 2%, while it plans to issue CNY 800bln in new policy financing tools and aims to create more than 12mln urban jobs.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.9% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF prelim. (Feb), EZ Retail Sales (Jan), US Challenger Job Cuts (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Jan), Jobless Claims, South Korean CPI (Feb), ECB Minutes (Feb) & BoE's DMP, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Kroger, JD.com & Victoria's Secret.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister says Iran has not sent any messages to the US to end the conflict, but are instead focused on self defence efforts, according to Sky News Arabia.Deputy Commander of the Iranian Army Central Command said Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz; IRGC struck a US oil tanker while announcing US, Israeli and European vessels are not allowed through the strait. European bourses trade mixed, STMicroelectronics surges on new chip; US equity futures softer despite positive AVGO earnings.DXY back on a firmer footing, antipodeans lag on China's new growth target and metals prices.Fixed benchmarks lower as energy prices continue to drive price action.Crude benchmarks remain firmer; Spot gold trades slightly firmer, whilst base metals are lower after China forecasts lowest GDP figure since 1991.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Cuts (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Jan), Jobless Claims, South Korean CPI (Feb), ECB Minutes (Feb), Speakers including ECB President Lagarde & Fed's Bowman, Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Kroger & Victoria's Secret.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

As our governments, institutions, and the public become more aware of the increasing pressures on material and energy availability, we've simultaneously seen powerful ripple effects for industrial policy, economic planning, and geopolitical dynamics. Parallel to this story are evolving strategies unique to each nation as new lines of power emerge alongside the trends of artificial intelligence, competing demands for rare earth metals, and an increasingly unstable global power balance that underpins all of it. How have these seemingly disparate factors combined to influence recent international events – and how can understanding them help us forecast the future of global governance and power?  In this episode, Nate is joined by financial and economic analysts, Craig Tindale and Michael Every, to discuss the widespread implications of growing geopolitical tensions over scarce resources and the rapidly changing foreign policy and economic statecraft that countries are implementing in response. Importantly, Craig and Michael emphasize the centrality of China and the U.S. as the two superpowers reshaping global alliances, and how industrial capacity and material constraints underpin each move made in their pursuit for dominance. Ultimately, they emphasize the need for clarity and realignment of the goals for economic and industrial policy as we leave behind the era of growth and grapple with a simplifying world. What can the long overlooked story of rare earth metals, energy resources, and industrial capacity tell us about ongoing geopolitical events? How might continued AI development play a key role in the future of economic statecraft and the international balance of power? And finally, how should we re-think what economic growth actually serves in an era of resource constraints, geopolitical competition, and ecological crisis? In other words, what is GDP truly for? (And what is GPT really for?)   About Craig Tindale: Craig Tindale is a private investor who has spent nearly four decades working in software development, business strategy, and infrastructure planning, including in leadership positions at Telstra, Oracle, and IBM. Additionally, he has direct experience working in East-to-West supply chains, including as the CEO and Asia Regional Director for DataDirect Technologies.  He's now pivoted to investing in groundbreaking ideas such as drone reforestation through Air Seed Technologies, and uses his knowledge of Chinese industrial strategy and Western tech demand to identify the choke points in Critical Metals markets. Most recently he released the white paper, Critical Materials: A Strategic Analysis, which offers a systems synthesis on how the race for rare earths and the return of material constraints is shaping geopolitical relationships.    About Michael Every: Michael Every is Global Strategist at Rabobank Singapore analyzing major developments and key thematic trends, especially on the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and markets. He is frequently published and quoted in financial media, is a regular conference keynote speaker, and was invited to present to the 2022 G-20 on the current global crisis.  Michael has over two decades of experience working as an Economist and Strategist. Before Rabobank, he was a Director at Silk Road Associates in Bangkok, Senior Economist and Fixed Income Strategist at the Royal Bank of Canada in both London and Sydney, and an Economist for Dun & Bradstreet in London.   Show Notes and More   Watch this video episode on YouTube   Want to learn the broad overview of The Great Simplification in 30 minutes? Watch our Animated Movie.   ---   Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future   Join our Substack newsletter   Join our Hylo channel and connect with other listeners  

“We should all be able to look at the numbers and agree that this is not sustainable and that whatever we've been doing is not working. Democrats have had their chance, and Republicans have had their chance, and it's only gotten worse.” — Halle TeccoWarren Buffett called America's healthcare costs “a hungry tapeworm on the American economy.” That tapeworm now devours nearly a fifth of the nation's GDP—and the patient, as always, is on the table. We dedicate today's show to this most perennial of all America's problems, with two guests and two new books that approach the tragi-comedy from different angles.Self-styled innovation wonk Halle Tecco—founder of Rock Health, investor in over fifty digital health companies, professor at Columbia Business School—argues in Massively Better Healthcare that the system is both excessively public and excessively private, a Kafkaesque bureaucracy in which verticalized health plans now own the PBMs, the pharmacies, and increasingly the doctors. The result is monopoly medicine on a scale that would have appalled the original trust-busters.This is ultimately an antitrust story. As we've discussed on the show with Tim Wu, Biden's chief antitrust enforcer, the concentration of corporate power is the great unfinished business of American democracy. Tecco makes the case that Big Med is where the trust busters should go next after Big Tech. UnitedHealth is now one of the largest employers of doctors in the country. So it wasn't exactly shocking when the UnitedHealth CEO was assassinated two years ago. The system isn't broken, Tecco suggests. It's working exactly as designed—just not for patients.Surgeon Robin Blackstone, MD, author of Doctor AI: Reimagining Health. Rebuilding Trust. Delivering Health 4.0, joins us in the second half of the show to offer a view from the front lines. After 30 years as a surgeon, Blackstone confirms everything Tecco diagnoses—and adds a chilling detail of her own: the system is priced entirely for fixing illness, not preventing it. Her prescription is a “triangle of trust” between patient, physician, and AI—with the patient finally owning their own data.Both agree on one thing: every dollar spent on public health saves $14.30 in medical and societal costs. We are all already paying for all the waste. We just need to fix Big Med. But who's going to do it? Tecco says that America is ready for another round of Obamacare politics. But I'm not so sure. Five Takeaways•       Healthcare Is a Tale of Two Civilizations: If you're wealthy, you go to UCSF and get the best care in the world. If you're not, you're one of the 100 million Americans without a regular primary care provider. Healthcare debt is the number one cause of bankruptcy. A person earning $30,000 in a rural county can expect to live a full decade less than someone earning $100,000 in an affluent suburb.•       The Real Winners Are Monopoly Medicine: Verticalized health plans now own the PBMs, the pharmacies, and increasingly the providers. The ACA's profit cap forced them to grow the pie instead of getting more efficient. United is now one of the largest employers of doctors in the country. Independent pharmacies are closing at the rate of one per day. Rite Aid is bankrupt—the only major chain not owned by a health plan.•       Every $1 in Public Health Saves $14.30: We're already paying for the crisis—in emergency room visits, lost productivity, and disability. We just need to move the safety net upstream. Public health is the only part of the system designed for prevention, yet its share of total health spending has dropped 25% in two decades. The economic case is overwhelming. The political will is not.•       AI Could Break the Information Asymmetry: Patients are already using ChatGPT to diagnose themselves—and sometimes it's saving their lives. One woman caught her own pneumonia because her doctor couldn't see her for a week. But some doctors want to keep the paternalism: one AI tool built on medical journals is restricted to clinicians only because making it available to patients would “piss off the doctors.”•       The System Is Priced for Rescue, Not Health: Everything is loaded to the moment your gallbladder goes bad or your heart gets a blockage. Prevention doesn't get paid for. Both guests agree: we need a massive re-pricing that rewards keeping people healthy, not just treating them when they're sick. That means paying doctors to prevent strokes, not just to fix them. About the GuestsHalle Tecco is the founder of the venture fund Rock Health and an investor in more than fifty digital health companies. She is an adjunct professor at Columbia Business School and a course director at Harvard Medical School. Her new book is Massively Better Healthcare: The Innovator's Guide to Tackling Healthcare's Biggest Challenges (Columbia University Press).Robin Blackstone, MD, is a physician, health systems architect, and founder of Blackstone Health. A surgeon by training with 30 years of clinical experience, she is the author of Doctor AI: Reimagining Health. Rebuilding Trust. Delivering Health 4.0.ReferencesPrevious Keen On episodes and authors mentioned:•       Robert Pearl on how AI will be monetized in the healthcare industry•       Tim Wu on the extractive economics of platform capitalism•       Zeke Emanuel on which country has the world's best healthcare•       Warren Buffett on healthcare costs as “a hungry tapeworm on the American economy”About Keen On AmericaNobody asks more awkward questions than the Anglo-American writer and filmmaker Andrew Keen. In Keen On America, Andrew brings his pointed Transatlantic wit to making sense of the United States—hosting daily interviews about the history and future of this now venerable Republic. With nearly 2,800 episodes since the show launched on TechCrunch in 2010, Keen On America is the most prolific intellectual interview show in the history of podcasting.WebsiteSubstackYouTubeApple Podcasts

Our Hong Kong/China Transportation & Infrastructure Analyst Qianlei Fan discusses how China's travel industry is shifting from a post-pandemic rebound to a multi-year expansion.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Qianlei Fan, Morgan Stanley's Hong Kong / China Transportation Analyst. Today, I'll share my thoughts on why travel is quickly emerging as one of [the] key drivers of China's economic rebalancing.It's Tuesday, March the 3rd, at 2pm in Hong Kong. I've just gotten back from my Lunar New Year trip to mainland China. With the longest Chinese New Year break in history, people were out roaming, exploring, laughing, and the whole country felt like it was buzzing with people on a mission to enjoy every minute. According to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, total domestic tourism spending recorded a robust 19 percent year-on-year growth during the holiday. In fact, China's tourism industry isn't just rebounding after the pandemic. It's entering a structurally stronger phase, supported by policy tailwinds, demographic shifts, and a clear pivot toward experience-driven consumption. By 2030, tourism revenue could reach RMB 12 trillion – equal to roughly USD $1.7 trillion – implying 11 percent annual growth from the mid-2020s. Over the next five years, cumulative domestic and inbound revenue may approach RMB 50 trillion, or USD $7.2 trillion. That scale makes travel more than a cyclical recovery – it's becoming a core pillar of China's consumption-led growth. We expect tourism's share of GDP to rise to about 6.7 percent by 2030, up from 4.8 percent in 2024.Domestic travel remains the backbone. People aren't just traveling again; they're traveling more than before. Policy is reinforcing demand. Extended public holidays, new school breaks, and event-driven tourism are boosting activity. In 2025 alone, around 3,000 large-scale performances attracted more than 43 million attendees. And spending reflects that shift. Domestic tourism spending reached RMB 6.3 trillion in 2025, about 11 percent above pre-COVID levels. Even with slightly lower spend per trip, more frequent travel is lifting overall revenue.International travel is emerging as a second growth engine. By 2030, inbound travel could represent 16 percent of total tourism revenue. In late 2025, inbound visitor growth in major cities was up about 30–50 percent year-over-year, supported by expanded visa-free access, which now accounts for the majority of foreign arrivals. These visitors often stay longer and spend more. Outbound travel is strengthening too. International air traffic grew 22 percent in 2025, far outpacing domestic growth, and now contributes a meaningful share of airline revenue. Demographics and technology are reinforcing the trend. Younger consumers prioritize travel, while older households – with substantial savings – are beginning to spend more as services improve. At the same time, smart hotels, virtual reality attractions, and data-driven operations are enhancing engagement and willingness to pay. This isn't just pent-up demand. It's policy, demographics, technology, and supply aligning at once. – with travel at the center of China's consumption story.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Andy Constan of Damped Spring Advisors for a wide-ranging discussion on geopolitical risk, AI and productivity, capital flows, credit markets, fiscal policy, and the shift from US to international equities. Andy walks through the framework he uses to evaluate uncertainty, from wars and geopolitical shocks to the long-term implications of artificial intelligence, and explains why capital markets and funding conditions may matter more than bold narratives. We also explore growth, inflation, Fed policy, and the structural case for global diversification in today's macro environment.Main topics coveredA practical framework for analyzing geopolitical shocks, including red flags, green flags, and how to evaluate information quality during times of uncertaintyHow markets are pricing the current conflict with Iran across oil, equities, bonds, gold, and volatilityWhy historical market performance after wars may offer limited predictive value due to small sample sizesHow to think about AI from a macro perspective, including GDP growth versus GDP share and who ultimately captures the gainsThe capital markets implications of massive AI-related capex and whether equity and credit markets can fund current spending plansGrowth, inflation, and the Fed: how fiscal stimulus, wealth effects, QT, and labor market trends are shaping the current macro backdropWhy Andy has shifted away from US assets toward international markets, including the role of bond yields and global risk parityA critical look at the Trump accounts proposal and the broader issue of fiscal deficits and capital allocationThe key risks Andy is watching over the next three to six months, especially around credit markets and funding conditionsTimestamps00:00 Introduction and overview of discussion topics01:01 Framework for evaluating geopolitical shocks and information quality11:46 Market reaction to the Iran conflict and asset pricing implications23:00 Why historical war data may not be reliable for market forecasting27:03 How to analyze AI's impact on productivity and economic growth37:00 AI capex, credit markets, and funding risks42:24 Growth, inflation, and Fed policy in the current cycle49:20 The case for international equities over US markets56:20 Trump accounts, fiscal policy, and capital allocation01:02:23 What Andy is watching most closely in the months ahead

What industry has the annual impact of $3.5 trillion to U.S. GDP, generates $1.3 trillion in personal earnings and supports 20.4 million jobs?  CRE, of course! Join us as Marc Selvitelli CEO of NAIOP discusses highlights of their 2026 economic impact report with broker and show host Michael Bull, CCIM. Discussions include a behind the curtain look at office, industrial, retail, multifamily and data centers.  TCN Worldwide Real Estate Services - A global network of over 1,500 leading commercial real estate professionals delivering integrated, expert sales, leasing, management and consulting services across 200 U.S. and global markets. https://www.tcnworldwide.com/ Buildout - Aconnected software platform built for commercial real estate brokerages—combining CRM, marketing, data, and back-office automation. https://www.buildout.com Bull Realty, TCN Worldwide - Commercial Real Estate Asset & Occupancy Solutions in Atlanta and throughout the Southeast U.S. https://www.bullrealty.com/ Commercial Agent Success Strategies - Twenty-one cloud accessed commercial broker training videos with slide deck action notes. Learn more at https://www.commercialagentsuccess.com/  

Abortion and LGBTQ issues have zero traction in politics any more. So should we jettison social conservatism for fiscal? Kevin talks with Bill Jack about the utter lack of substance behind Republican fiscal policy. We're doing worse on the deficit-to-GDP ratio in this fiscal year than Biden did in every year of his office. So what should we do when conservatives don't care about social sins, and are more liberal on spending than liberals?

In today's episode on 4th March 2026, we break down India's revised GDP estimates, the new measurement framework, and the hows and whys behind it.⁠Book a FREE call with Ditto⁠

Our Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur and U.S. Head of Credit Strategy Vishwas Patkar discuss the implications of private credit's exposure to the software industry.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. Vishwas Patkar: I'm Vishwas Patkar, Morgan Stanley's U.S. Head of Credit Strategy. Vishy Tirupattur: While potential disruption from AI has been a key driver for markets [in the] last few weeks, the focus of investor agenda has been in the software sector. On today's podcast, we will talk about software in the credit markets and its implications. It's Monday, March 2nd at 10am in New York. Vishwas, let's start by understanding how the exposure in software manifests in the credit markets. How does it compare to software, say, in the equity market? Vishwas Patkar: Yeah, so the software exposure in credit markets is large, and understandably that's why investors are closely watching what's happening with software in the equity market. But what's interesting and important for investors to note is the exposure in credit is very different from what it is in equities. So, for instance, a good chunk of exposure in the credit market is around private issuers. So, we estimate about 80 percent of companies are private in the whole sample set that we looked at. And that's largely a function of the fact that software is not a big part of the more liquid spaces like Investment Grade and High Yield. But it is heavily represented in the more opaque parts of the market, like leveraged loans, CLOs, and, you know, BDCs. So, our analysis found that about 25 percent of BDC portfolios are in software, closely followed by private credit CLOs. And leveraged loan market was about 16 percent. So, that's an important distinction to keep in mind versus the equity market. The second thing I would flag is – because the software sector grew a lot in the loan market through the LBO wave of 2020 and 2021, it has a weaker credit quality skew to it than the overall market. So about 50 percent of borrowers in the sector are rated B - or lower. So, that's the lowest rungs of the rating spectrum. Many of these software deals were underwritten with higher leverage than the broad market. And as a result of that you also have more front-loaded maturities in the sector, which brings the risks of refinancing, if some of this disruption persists. But Vishy, that's a nice segue to you. Over the past couple of years, you looked at the private credit market in depth and that's where I think the exposure we found is the highest in BDCs, you know, which is the public face of private credit. So, in your assessment, what is the risk of software to private credit, given all of the headlines that are popping up? Vishy Tirupattur: Public face of private credit – Vishwas, that's a great line. BDCs – business development corporations for those who are not familiar – are companies that invest in the debt of small and medium sized companies, sourced through non-bank channels. BDCs fund themselves through equity and debt issuance. So, if you look at the portfolios of BDCs to look at their exposure to software, there's a wide variation across the various BDC portfolios. What makes the assessment of these software risks in BDCs challenging is that many of these companies are private companies without the reporting obligations of public companies. So, no earnings reports, no 10-Ks or cues or broadly publicly available financials look at. So, in effect, these companies need to be re underwritten to evaluate which of these companies would be disrupted from AI; and which companies could actually benefit from AI and see their margins expand. So, in the context of BDCs, liability spreads are something we are watching closely. BDC liability spreads have widened but we think more needs to happen there. The clearing levels need to wait for the full resolution of the companies that benefit and that get hurt by disruption that is still awaited. So, we expect credit spreads of BDCs to remain volatile for some time to come. Vishwas Patkar: Okay. So, seems like this is a significant, or at least a non-trivial risk factor for credit markets, given the growth of the sector, leverage, the skew and quality. But Vishy, do you think this could be systemic for risk markets at large? Vishy Tirupattur: So, I do think that this is a significant risk, but I don't think it's a systemic risk. The amount of leverage in BDC is fairly small. About 2x is the kind of leverage. You compare that to the kind of leverage that existed in the financial system before the financial crisis – that's orders of magnitude smaller risk. And also the linkage to the banking system comes through the back leverage provided to the non-bank lenders. But this leverage is substantially risk remote with very high subordination levels. So, my conclusion here is this is a significant risk but not a systemic risk. So let me turn the same question to you, Vishwas. Taking on a sort of historical perspective as well as a macro perspective, how do you see this risk manifesting in the broader credit space? Vishwas Patkar: Yeah, so I would agree with you Vishy, that we need to see a valuation reset. We think spreads should go wider because of disruption concerns, even if they affect a relatively narrow part of the market. But a lot of that's happening against issuance that's rising. But I would say the risk of systemic concerns really emerging is relatively low. if you look at historical cycles where credit has been the weak link in the economy, those are typically characterized by a lot of corporate re-leveraging. So, think about the late 1990s or from 2004 to 2007 or the early 2000-teens. These are all cycles where corporates were being very aggressive, adding a lot of debt. And you know, when the economy slowed, credit became the source of some default and downgrade concerns. We haven't really seen that type of credit cycle play out at all in the past few years. If you look at corporate debt to GDP, for example, it's gone down each of the last five years. Balance sheet corporate leverage has been flat or actually gone lower in spots. M&A activity, which is usually a good indicator of corporate aggressiveness, still remains below trend. So, I think we have had a fairly restrained credit cycle where in place fundamentals are quite strong. And that's why I think the systemic contagion from any credit spread weakness, I think could be relatively muted. Vishy Tirupattur: So, the key takeaway from us is that software and credit is a significant risk but is not quite systemic risk. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In this news-style episode, Simon and Dan break down Citrini Research’s The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis—a “note from the future” dated June 30, 2028 that frames the most bullish AI adoption path as a surprisingly bearish outcome for the real economy. They walk through the core feedback loop: companies deploy AI to boost productivity and margins, layoffs rise (especially in white-collar roles), consumer spending weakens, and the cycle reinforces itself—creating what the piece calls “ghost GDP,” where productivity climbs but wages and demand don’t keep up. From there, the duo digs into the sectors Citrini argues get hit first and hardest: SaaS (seat contraction + customers using AI as renewal leverage), the intermediation layer (agents shopping travel, subscriptions, insurance, delivery, and more), and even payment rails as AI agents chase lower-cost settlement via stablecoins. They also connect the dots to private credit and insurance flywheels—where mark-to-model portfolios can look stable until forced selling and capital needs expose stress—and what rising unemployment could mean for housing in once “prime” white-collar markets. Tickers discussed: V, MA, AXP, DFS, PYPL, AMZN, WMT, EXPE, UBER, DASH, SHOP, GOOGL, PLTR, TRI, OWL, APO, BN, KKR, CRM, ADBE, AIG Citrini research report Subscribe to our Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Our New Youtube Channel! Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

When you hear "meal deal" you probably think of fast-food chains, like McDonald's. But as daily life grows more unaffordable, a new tier of chain restaurants are adopting similar options to hang onto their cash-strapped regulars. It's why Panera just launched a new $10 value meal, and analysts expect other fast-casual joints to follow suit. Plus: Data center construction was up nearly 30% in 2025 but had a limited impact on GDP; buy now, pay later for rent payment comes at a price; we discuss the week's economic headlines.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

When you hear "meal deal" you probably think of fast-food chains, like McDonald's. But as daily life grows more unaffordable, a new tier of chain restaurants are adopting similar options to hang onto their cash-strapped regulars. It's why Panera just launched a new $10 value meal, and analysts expect other fast-casual joints to follow suit. Plus: Data center construction was up nearly 30% in 2025 but had a limited impact on GDP; buy now, pay later for rent payment comes at a price; we discuss the week's economic headlines.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Trump claims we have the hottest economy in the world and the greatest turnaround in history, but the numbers tell a completely different story—GDP growth actually slowed under his watch, the stock market is the worst performer globally, and he's ignoring the real crisis ahead: a sovereign debt catastrophe that will make 2008 look like a warm-up act.This episode is sponsored by Samsara. - This episode is sponsored by Samsara. Head to https://samsara.com/gold to request a free demo and see how Samsara brings visibility and safety to your operations.This episode is also sponsored by Function. Own your health for $365 a year. That's a dollar a day. Learn more and join using my link. Visit https://www.functionhealth.com/peter and use gift code PETER25 for a $25 credit toward your membership.Peter Schiff delivers a scathing critique of Trump's State of the Union address, systematically debunking what he calls numerous economic lies and misrepresentations. Schiff argues that Trump's claims about achieving the "hottest economy in the world" and a "historic economic turnaround" are completely false, pointing out that GDP growth actually slowed from 2.8% under Biden's final year to 2.4% in Trump's first year. He criticizes Trump's housing policy of keeping prices artificially high while suppressing mortgage rates, calling it the same failed approach that led to the 2008 financial crisis, and disputes claims about record-breaking tax cuts, inflation solutions, and stock market performance.Beyond exposing what he sees as outright fabrications, Schiff condemns Trump's economic policies as fundamentally socialist, including the ban on Wall Street buying single-family homes, government intervention in power plant construction, and various spending programs disguised as tax cuts. He warns that these policies will accelerate inflation and fiscal crisis, predicting that the resulting economic collapse will be blamed on Republicans and capitalism, paving the way for Democratic victories and more socialist policies. Schiff urges listeners to protect themselves by investing in gold, silver, and foreign stocks, noting that gold mining stocks are hitting new highs ahead of the metals themselves, which he sees as a bullish leading indicator.Chapters:00:00 Show Intro Montage00:55 State of the Union Setup03:36 Housing Prices and Rates10:24 Stock Market Bragging15:54 Economy Claims and Inflation31:10 Gas and Economic Bragging32:48 Tariffs Supreme Court and Trade Reality35:56 Taxes Entitlements and Price Claims39:26 Healthcare Drugs and Anti Socialism Rants53:05 Fiscal Cliff and Gold StrategyFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#Finance #Economics #GoldOur Sponsors:* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy