Podcasts about gdp

Market value of goods and services produced within a country

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    Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast
    Charles' Take: Will 2026 Be the Year “Everything” Strikes Back?

    Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 5:59


    Charles is joined by Cameron Dawson, Newedge Wealth Chief Investment Officer to discuss how the market leadership may be broadening out beyond just the top tech stocks, the forecast for GDP growth in the coming year, and expectations for future returns in the market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    THE STANDARD Podcast
    Morning Wealth | เบื้องลึก กนง. ลดดอกเบี้ย ห่วงความเสี่ยง ‘การเมือง' กระทบเศรษฐกิจ | 18 ธันวาคม 68

    THE STANDARD Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 65:57


    กนง. ลดดอกเบี้ยเหลือ 1.25% ต่ำสุดในรอบเกือบ 3 ปี ล้วงลึกการประชุมและนัยทางเศรษฐกิจ พูดคุยกับ สักกะภพ พันธ์ยานุกูล เลขานุการคณะกรรมการนโยบายการเงิน (กนง.) 10 ธุรกิจเสี่ยงตกงาน ปี 2569 นักวิชาการเตือน 5 สัญญาณอันตรายกดดัน GDP ไทยโตต่ำแค่ 1.6% รายละเอียดเป็นอย่างไร

    The Conditional Release Program
    The Two Jacks - Episode 137 - VPNs, Vigilance and Very Bad Polls: The Two Jacks on a Fractured World

    The Conditional Release Program

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 86:38


    Possibly the longest shownotes in history thanks to Gemini 3 Pro. Bless the swamp from which this AI slop emerged and enjoy the episode. Or just read this, I suppose. The title sucks terribly. Do better, Gemmo! Show Notes with Time‑Shifted Timestamps(All timestamps below have been shifted forward by 25 seconds to allow for theme music, as requested.)00:00 – Welcome, Cricket and the Pink Ball at the Gabba00:00:25 – Jack the Insider (Joel Hill) opens episode 137 of The Two Jacks and notes they're recording just after midday on 4 December.00:00:36 – Quick chat about the looming day–night Test at the Gabba and the prospect it could finish very quickly.00:00:44 – Hong Kong Jack explains why dusk session timings in Hong Kong line up perfectly with “Asahi o'clock”.00:01:07 – The Jacks wonder which pink ball is in use – Duke or Kookaburra – and what that means for Mitchell Starc and the batters.00:01:30 – They flag that full cricket chat will come later in the episode.Tai Po Fire, Mourning and Accountability in Hong Kong00:01:53 – Jack the Insider pivots from sport to tragedy: an update on the Tai Po (Typo) fire in Hong Kong, now with 159 dead, from ages 1 to 97.00:02:07 – Hong Kong Jack describes the government‑ordered three‑day citywide mourning period, mass flower layings, official ceremonies and a three‑minute silence.00:02:35 – Discussion of schools cancelling Christmas parties and staff functions in solidarity; a sense the tragedy is being taken seriously across society.00:02:55 – Hong Kong Jack outlines the judge‑led inquiry: not only into the Tai Po fire's causes, but also systemic issues in building management and renovation contracts on large estates, with hints of corruption.00:03:30 – Evidence emerging that the green construction cloth lacked proper fire retardant and that flammable materials were used to seal lift wells, helping the fire move inside.00:04:23 – Bodies, including one man, found in stairwells and lobbies; Hong Kong Jack cautions against jumping to conclusions before investigators reconstruct the fire.00:04:53 – Arrest tally climbs to around 12, mostly consultants/contractors involved in management and renovations rather than labourers.00:05:35 – Hong Kong Jack notes large numbers of displaced residents in hotels and temporary accommodation and outlines generous government payments to families of foreign domestic workers killed (about HKD 800,000 per family).00:06:05 – A harrowing vignette: a Javanese truck driver receives a final phone call from his wife, trapped with her employers' baby, seeking forgiveness because there is no escape.00:06:35 – The Jacks reflect on the horror of the story and promise to revisit the inquiry as more facts emerge.Australia's Under‑16 Social Media Restrictions & VPNs00:06:50 – Jack the Insider turns to domestic Australian politics: the under‑16 social media restrictions about to kick in.00:07:05 – He notes overwhelming parental support (around 80%) but says the government is now “hosing down expectations” and reframing the policy as a long‑term “cultural change” effort.00:07:30 – Platforms not yet on the restricted list – Roblox and Discord – are flagged as problematic globally for child sexual exploitation, illustrating rollout gaps.00:08:05 – They discuss technical enforcement: existing account age data, length of time on a platform and the likelihood that some adults will be wrongly flagged but quickly reinstated.00:08:35 – Jack the Insider explains the government's theory of cultural change: a generation that grows up never having had TikTok or Instagram under 16 “won't know what they're missing”.00:09:00 – Hong Kong Jack compares Australia to mainland China's efforts to control the internet and points out China still can't stamp out VPN usage, predicting similar Australian difficulties.00:09:25 – Jack the Insider clarifies that VPNs are not illegal in Australia; about 27% of connected Australians already use one, probably now closer to a third.00:09:55 – He strongly recommends everyone use a VPN for privacy and location masking, and warns that good VPNs now explicitly advise not to choose Australia as an exit node because of the new regime.00:11:00 – They note that Malaysia and several European countries (Denmark, Spain, France and EU initiatives) are eyeing similar under‑age social media restrictions, with large fines (Australia's up to about AUD 50 million or 1% of turnover).00:12:20 – Meta is already scanning and booting under‑age users, but teenagers are sharing tips on evading age checks. Jack the Insider describes various age‑verification methods: selfie‑based AI checks, account age, and Roblox's move to ban under‑15s.00:13:45 – Anecdote about Macau security doing ID checks: Hong Kong Jack's son is checked for being over 21, while Jack's own age makes ID unnecessary—an amusing generational moment.00:14:55 – The Jacks agree the policy is unlikely to stop kids having TikTok accounts but might “nudge” behaviour toward less screen time.00:16:00 – Jack the Insider stresses the real dangers of the internet—particularly organised child sexual exploitation rings like the notorious “764” network—and questions whether blunt prohibition can solve these issues.Bruce Lehrmann, Appeals and Costs00:18:22 – They move to the Bruce Lehrmann defamation saga: his appeal has failed and he's likely millions of dollars in debt.00:18:45 – Discussion of the prospect of a High Court appeal, the low likelihood of leave being granted, and the sense that further appeals are “good money after bad”.00:19:22 – Jack the Insider notes outstanding criminal charges against Lehrmann in Toowoomba relating to an alleged statutory rape, and outlines the allegation about removing a condom after earlier consensual sex.00:20:07 – They discuss the probable difficulty of prosecuting that case, and then pivot to the practical question: who is funding Lehrmann's ongoing legal adventures?00:20:35 – Hong Kong Jack explains why some lawyers or firms may take on such cases for profile, despite poor prospects of payment, and they canvass talk of crowdfunding efforts.00:21:07 – The Jacks agree Lehrmann should have left the public stage after the criminal trial was discontinued; now, bankruptcy in 2026 looks likely.00:21:58 – Limited sympathy for Channel 10 or Lisa Wilkinson; more sympathy reserved for Brittany Higgins and Fiona Brown, who are seen as exceptions in an otherwise “pretty ordinary” cast.NACC, Commissioner Brereton and Conflicts of Interest00:23:24 – The Jacks turn to the National Anti‑Corruption Commission (NACC) and Commissioner Paul Brereton's side work for Defence.00:24:03 – Hong Kong Jack recounts Senate Estimates footage where officials first claimed Brereton's Defence consulting work occurred outside NACC hours, then later admitted more than ten instances (possibly close to 20) during NACC office time.00:25:25 – Discussion of conflict‑of‑interest: the Commissioner maintaining a paid Defence relationship while heading the body that may need to investigate Defence.00:25:57 – The Jacks question the tenability of his position, especially given the NACC's opaque nature, its minimal public reporting obligations and a salary around AUD 800k–900k plus expenses.The Struggling Australian and Global Economy, Productivity and ANZ00:26:20 – Jack the Insider outlines Australia's sluggish economy: inflation remains sticky, GDP growth is flat, and government spending is driving much of the growth.00:27:00 – They discuss a small, tentative rise in productivity (around 0.2% for the quarter) and the Treasurer's caution that productivity figures are volatile.00:27:57 – Hong Kong Jack stresses that historically, economies escape malaise through productivity‑driven growth; there is no easy alternative, in Australia or globally.00:28:23 – Broader global picture: the US isn't in outright recession but is crawling; Europe is sluggish; Poland is a rare bright spot but rapid growth brings its own risks.ANZ and Post‑Royal Commission Failures00:28:54 – Focus shifts to ANZ's continuing governance and compliance failures after the Banking Royal Commission.00:29:30 – Jack the Insider shares a personal story about dealing with ANZ's deceased estates department following his mother and stepfather's deaths and the difficulty in releasing funds to pay for funerals.00:30:20 – Justice Jonathan Beach's scathing remarks: ANZ is still mishandling deceased estates, charging fees and interest to dead customers, despite years of warnings.00:31:34 – They recall Royal Commission revelations about “fees for no service” and charging the dead, plus ANZ's recent exclusion from certain Commonwealth bond business due to rorting.00:32:12 – The Jacks see this as a clear culture problem: five years on, the basics still aren't fixed, suggesting inadequate investment in compliance and little genuine reform.UK Justice Backlog and Curtailing Jury Trials00:33:05 – The conversation moves to the UK's proposal to restrict jury trials for offences likely to attract less than a two‑year sentence.00:33:35 – Hong Kong Jack notes the English historical attachment to jury trials dating back to Magna Carta, and that defendants have long had the right to opt for a jury if imprisonment is possible.00:34:38 – Justice Minister David Lammy, once a fierce critic of similar Tory proposals, is now advancing the idea himself, creating a political shambles.00:35:02 – They weigh up pros and cons of judge‑only trials for complex financial crimes, where juries may struggle to follow long, technical evidence.00:36:10 – Jack the Insider points out that even judges can find such cases difficult, but there is at least some expertise advantage.00:36:22 – They revisit the Southport riots and harsh sentences for people inciting attacks on hotels housing asylum seekers, arguing that common‑sense community judgment via juries may be better in such politically charged cases.00:37:26 – Ultimately, they doubt the reforms will meaningfully reduce the UK's huge court backlog and see it as another noisy but ineffective response.Ethics in Politics, Misleading Voters and the “Ethics Czar” Problem00:39:21 – Discussion moves to the UK budget, alleged “black holes” and whether the Chancellor misled voters about a AUD 22 billion‑equivalent gap.00:40:14 – They examine calls for the Prime Minister's ethics adviser, Sir Laurie Magnus, to rule on ministerial truthfulness, and Hong Kong Jack's discomfort with handing moral judgment to “anointed officials”.00:40:51 – The Jacks argue accountability should rest with Parliament and ultimately voters, not appointed ethics czars, whether in the Johnson era or now.00:41:36 – In Australia, Tony Burke's handling of “ISIS brides” returning to Australia is cited: he asked officials to leave a meeting so he could talk politically with constituents. The Jacks see this as legitimate hard‑headed politics in a very complex area rather than an ethical scandal.00:43:03 – Jack the Insider defends the principle that Australian citizenship must mean something, especially for children of ISIS‑linked families; stripping citizenship or abandoning citizens overseas can be a dangerous precedent.00:44:08 – Anecdotes segue into a broader reflection: politicians have always misled voters to some extent. They quote stories about Huey Long and Graham Richardson's defence of political lying.00:45:24 – They swap observations about “tells” when leaders like Malcolm Turnbull or Julia Gillard were lying; Scott Morrison, they say, had no visible tell at all.00:46:22 – Cabinet solidarity is framed as institutionally sanctioned lying: ministers must publicly back decisions they privately opposed, and yet the system requires that to function.Ukraine War, Peace Efforts and Putin's Rhetoric00:46:42 – The Jacks discuss reports of draft peace deals between Ukraine, the US and Russia that Moscow rejected over wording and guarantees.00:47:17 – Jack the Insider describes a gaunt Foreign Ministry spokesman, not Sergey Lavrov, delivering Russia's objections, sparking rumours about Lavrov's status.00:47:56 – Putin goes on TV to reassure Russians they're winning, threatens destruction of Europe if conflict escalates and claims territorial gains Russia doesn't actually hold.00:48:17 – Hong Kong Jack argues European fantasies of imposing a “strategic defeat” on Russia are unrealistic; retaking all occupied regions and Crimea would exact unbearable costs in lives and money.00:49:33 – The Jacks infer that Putin will eventually need to “sell” a negotiated deal as a victory to his own public; his current bluster is partly domestic theatre.00:49:50 – They note some odd, Trump‑like US talk of structuring peace as a “business deal” with economic incentives for Russia, which they find an odd fit for a brutal territorial war.Trump's Polling Collapse, Economic Credibility and 202600:50:13 – Attention turns to Donald Trump's polling in his second term: his net approval is negative across all major polls, in some cases approaching minus 20.00:51:04 – Jack the Insider highlights Trump's recent promises of USD 2,000 cheques to every American plus no income tax—claims they see as fantastical and electorally risky when voters inevitably ask “where's my money?”.00:51:39 – They compare Trump's denial of inflation and cost‑of‑living pressures to Biden's earlier mistakes in minimising pain; telling people “everything's cheaper now” when their lived experience contradicts that is politically fatal.00:52:34 – Hong Kong Jack notes history shows that insisting things are fine when voters know they aren't only accelerates your polling collapse.00:53:02 – They briefly touch on a special election in Tennessee: a safe Trump district where the Republican margin has shrunk. They caution against over‑reading the result but note softening support.00:54:14 – CNN's Harry Enten is quoted: this has been Trump's worst ten‑day polling run of the second term, with net approval among independents plunging to about minus 43 and a negative 34 on inflation.00:55:15 – They speculate about what this means for the 2026 midterms: Trump won't be on the ballot but will loom large. A future Republican president, they note, might still face governing without a Congressional majority.Disability, Elite Colleges and the Accommodation Arms Race00:56:07 – The Jacks discuss Derek Thompson's forthcoming Atlantic piece on surging disability registrations at elite US colleges: more than 20% at Brown and Harvard, 34% at Amherst and 38% at Stanford.00:57:10 – Hong Kong Jack explains how disability status yields exam and assessment advantages: extra time, flexible deadlines, better housing, etc., and why wealthy students are more likely to secure diagnoses.00:57:48 – They cite intake breakdowns at one college: small numbers for visual/hearing disabilities, larger numbers for autism, neurological conditions and especially psychological or emotional disabilities—suggesting a big shift in what counts as disabling.00:58:45 – Jack the Insider counters that many of these conditions were under‑diagnosed or ignored in the 1970s and 80s; growing recognition doesn't automatically mean fraud.00:59:40 – He brings in chronic conditions like ME/CFS: historically treated as malingering or “all in the head”, now increasingly accepted as serious and often disabling.01:00:02 – Hong Kong Jack quotes a Stanford professor asking, “At what point can we say no? 50%? 60%?”—underlining institutional concern that the system can't cope if a majority claim accommodations.01:01:05 – They wrestle with the employer's problem: how to interpret grades achieved with significant accommodations, and whether workplaces must also provide similar allowances.01:02:21 – Jack the Insider's answer is essentially yes: good employers should accommodate genuine disability, and it's on applicants to be upfront. He stresses diversity of ability and that many high‑achieving disabled people are valuable hires.01:03:40 – Hong Kong Jack remains more sceptical, shaped by long legal experience of people gaming systems, but agrees lawyers shouldn't be the priestly class defining morality.Cricket: India–South Africa, NZ–West Indies, BBL and the Gabba01:04:25 – They pivot back to sport: a successful South African tour of India, including a series win in Tests and a 1–1 one‑day series with big hundreds from Virat Kohli, Gaikwad and Aiden Markram.01:05:31 – Quick update on New Zealand's Test against the West Indies in Christchurch, with New Zealand rebuilding in their second innings through Ravindra and Latham.Women's Cricket and Phoebe Litchfield01:06:19 – Jack the Insider raves about the Sydney Thunder v Brisbane Heat game and singles out Phoebe Litchfield as the best women's batter in the world: technically sound, not a slogger, scoring “runs for fun” and hailing from Orange.Gabba Day–Night Test: Australia v England01:06:50 – With Usman Khawaja out, they discuss the unchanged 12 and whether Bo Webster plays, potentially pushing Travis Head up to open.01:07:39 – For England, Mark Wood hasn't recovered; they bring in Will Jacks, a batting all‑rounder and part‑time spinner, to bolster the order but lose their fastest bowler.01:08:11 – If you win the toss? Bat first, they say—if the conditions allow—and look to control the game with the bat for four hours or more.01:08:44 – They caution that with recent heavy Queensland rain, the pitch could be juicy whether you bat first or second; the key is getting cricket on Saturday.01:08:48 – Hong Kong Jack rates this as the best England attack to tour Australia in a long time, especially with Wood and Archer firing in Perth, although Archer's pace dropped markedly in the second innings.01:09:36 – They dissect England's first‑Test collapse: at one stage it was an “unlosable” match according to Ponting and the stats, but reckless strokes from set batters (Duckett, Pope, Root, Brook) handed it back to Australia.01:09:55 – Mitchell Starc's extraordinary home day–night record—averaging around 17 with the pink ball—looms as a big factor.Franchise Cricket, Empty Stadiums and Saving the Red‑Ball Game01:12:11 – Jack the Insider describes watching the ILT20 in the UAE: near‑empty stands, disengaged fielders and an overall “soulless” spectacle aimed solely at TV viewers in South Asia and the Gulf.01:13:49 – Despite his love of cricket, he worries this is a glimpse of the future if the longer formats aren't protected and nurtured. He pleads, in effect, for saving Test and other red‑ball cricket from being cannibalised by anonymous franchise leagues.Class and Cricket: Private Schools, Clubs and Stuart Broad01:14:11 – The Jacks explore the class divide in English cricket: all but one of England's Perth XI finished school at private schools; the sole exception is captain Ben Stokes, who grew up partly in New Zealand.01:15:05 – In contrast, Australia's pathway still runs largely through club cricket, though private schools with professional coaching (like Cranbrook) give some players a head start.01:15:47 – Jack the Insider notes Sam Conscientious (Sam Constance / Cummins reference is implied) spending two years at Cranbrook, reflecting how elite schools build academies with ex‑first‑class coaches that state systems can't match.01:16:20 – They agree state‑school kids like the Waugh twins still come through club cricket, but in England, some top private schools effectively operate as de facto county academies.01:17:31 – Anecdotes about Stuart Broad: a likeable “nepo baby” of former England player Chris Broad, who was toughened up by a formative season at Hoppers Crossing in Melbourne sub‑district cricket. Local players loved him.01:18:20 – Hong Kong Jack recommends Broad's appearance on The Front Bar as essential viewing for understanding his character and the cultural contrasts between English and Australian cricket.01:18:40 – More class culture: Chris Cowdrey, briefly England captain, shows up in full whites and blazer to toss with Viv Richards in surf shorts and thongs. When Cowdrey starts reading out England's XI, Viv cuts him off: “Mate, I don't care who you play, it's not going to make any difference.”F1, Oscar Piastri's Bad Luck and AFLW Glory01:21:11 – Brief detour to Formula 1: Oscar Piastri's season with McLaren seems dogged by terrible luck and questionable team decisions that have cost him a near‑certain championship.01:21:57 – Jack the Insider reflects on how F1 drivers like Piastri have effectively been in vehicles since toddlerhood, climbing the ladder from go‑karts to supercars.01:22:50 – They express hope he can clinch the title in the final race, but wryly note that F1 rarely grants fairytale endings.AFLW01:22:23 – AFLW: North Melbourne complete an undefeated season to win the premiership, comfortably beating Brisbane in the grand final.01:23:07 – Hong Kong Jack praises it as the best AFLW season yet, with marked improvement in depth and skill across the competition. North remain the benchmark everyone else must chase.Wrap‑Up, Tom Stoppard Anecdote and Season Timing01:23:49 – The Jacks look ahead to watching the Gabba Test, beers on ice for Jack the Insider and the late Hong Kong dusk session for Hong Kong Jack.01:24:01 – They note the death of playwright Tom Stoppard at 88 and share a favourite story: Spielberg offers him the Jaws screenplay; Stoppard declines because he's writing a play—“actually for BBC Radio”.01:25:11 – Final reflections on how Stoppard would have improved Jaws, then a note that the podcast will soon reach its final episodes for the year, with plans to feature listener feedback before a short summer break.01:25:56 – Jack the Insider signs off, thanking listeners and Hong Kong Jack, and promises they'll be back next week.

    christmas tv women american tiktok ai donald trump australia europe english uk china france england politics russia european joe biden ukraine australian russian european union focus local spain tennessee new zealand class north harvard cnn attention hong kong accountability saving republicans atlantic productivity melbourne ethics discord vladimir putin id stanford wood formula poland orange pope root tests denmark bodies insider moscow limited disability south africans bless commissioners malaysia prime minister f1 parliament clubs arrest brisbane gemini perth gdp queensland platforms cabinet mate gulf mourning congressional usd commonwealth cricket xi uae polls spielberg defence conflicts appeals bat bbc radio chancellor christchurch broad roblox treasurers vpn mclaren south asia wrap up crimea high court jacks anecdotes global economy west indies amherst bbl bad luck vigilance macau broader anz latham scott morrison aud vpns magna carta royal commission southport anecdote aflw sergey lavrov gabba waugh virat kohli me cfs toowoomba piastri derek thompson malcolm turnbull julia gillard ben stokes tom stoppard asahi fractured world foreign ministry duckett kookaburra mark wood brereton cranbrook stuart broad brittany higgins travis head javanese lisa wilkinson huey long sydney thunder mitchell starc harry enten brisbane heat bruce lehrmann nacc ponting banking royal commission stoppard tony burke pink ball senate estimates graham richardson chris broad aiden markram phoebe litchfield hoppers crossing
    Money Tree Investing
    The Federal Reserved Tipped It's Hand For a Bull Market In…

    Money Tree Investing

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 51:53


    The Federal Reserve tipped it's hand for a bull market. Today we discuss the details. We talk economic divergence, as decades of debt-fueled growth and asset inflation have benefited boomers and asset owners while leaving younger generations locked out of housing and upward mobility, creating frustration and political volatility. The U.S. economy is fundamentally leveraged by pulling future earnings forward and this could be an eventual but unpredictable global financial reset. We also talk the near-term debt panic but don't get nervous as deficits are the true risk. We also talk practical investing takeaways around market cycles, sentiment, tax-loss selling, Santa Claus rally dynamics, and the importance of patience, diversification, and avoiding extreme, fear-driven decisions. We discuss... We highlight generational economic disparities, noting younger people struggle with housing affordability and wealth accumulation compared to boomers. Economic frustration among younger generations is linked to the appeal of populist political figures who speak to lived experiences. The U.S. economy is heavily leveraged, with future earnings being pulled forward to maintain growth and consumption. We warn of a potential global financial reset, while emphasizing that timing and specifics are uncertain. Central banks' accumulation of gold is a signal of perceived systemic risk and preparation for a global reset. Debt itself can be manageable, but the ongoing growth of deficits is the real problem. Concerns about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds were dismissed as largely impractical due to mutual economic harm. Market reactions to Fed rate cuts are analyzed, showing how assets like stocks, silver, the dollar, and Treasury yields respond differently. It's important to analyze market cycles and sentiment, rather than relying on GDP or simplistic economic indicators. Tax-loss selling and end-of-year market dynamics are discussed as opportunities to buy undervalued assets with lower downside risk. The Santa Claus rally and January market patterns are historically strong indicators for short-term gains. Focus on sectors or assets that were beaten down, watch early January flows, and avoid extreme, fear-driven moves.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-federal-reserved-tipped-its-hand-773 

    The Sean Spicer Show
    President Trump: The Business of America | Ep 608

    The Sean Spicer Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 52:05


    President Trump will address the nation tonight, his 11 months in office have produced some extraordinary accomplishments. He will address the current issue of affordability and the bright future of the country where the best is yet to come. Stephen Moore is a celebrated economist and he is here to unpack everything happening in the U.S. economy. As recent polls show that people are still not happy about the economy, the numbers are telling a different story. GDP has seen a 4% growth, there are 7 million new job openings and oil and gas production is at an all-time high. After all, around 90% of the price increases were created under Biden, including an inflation rate that hit 9%. President Trump's tariffs and the subsequent deals he made thereafter are working. The U.S. has brought in hundreds of billions to trillions in revenue and as of right now the only developed nation with a growing and booming economy. President Trump again suggested abolishing income tax as tariff revenue slices our deficit in half. President Trump is a visionary and a businessman and is showing the world right now how its done. His next decision will be who to replace Jerome Powell with as Chair of the Federal Reserve. The choice is between Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh, both excellent choices to further the Trump agenda and bring us into the Golden Age. Featuring: Stephen Moore Co Founder | Unleash Prosperity Economic Advisor https://x.com/StephenMoore Today's show is brought to you by: Beam Do you want to wake up in the middle of the night and scare Santa away and ruin Christmas? Of course you don't, you want to wake up refreshed, inspired and ready to take Christmas day or any day! You need Beam's Dream powder. This best-selling blend of Reishi, Magnesium, L-Theanine, Apigenin and Melatonin will help you fall asleep, stay asleep, and wake up refreshed. So if you're ready for the best night of sleep you ever had just head to https://shopbeam.com/SPICER to receive 40% off your order. Concerned Women For America Concerned Women For America focuses on seven core issues: family, sanctity of life, religious liberty, parental choice in education, fighting sexual exploitation, national sovereignty, and support for Israel. CWA knows what a woman is. CWA trains women to become grassroots leaders, speak into the culture, pray, testify, and lobby. If you donate $20 you will get CEO & President Penny Nance's new book  A Woman's Guide, Seven Rules for Success in Business and Life. Head to ⁠https://concernedwomen.org/spicer/⁠to donate today! ------------------------------------------------------------- 1️⃣ Subscribe and ring the bell for new videos: https://youtube.com/seanmspicer?sub_confirmation=1 2️⃣ Become a part of The Sean Spicer Show community: https://www.seanspicer.com/ 3️⃣ Listen to the full audio show on all platforms: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-sean-spicer-show/id1701280578 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/32od2cKHBAjhMBd9XntcUd iHeart: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-the-sean-spicer-show-120471641/ 4️⃣ Stay in touch with Sean on social media: Facebook: https://facebook.com/seanmspicer Twitter: https://twitter.com/seanspicer Instagram: https://instagram.com/seanmspicer/ 5️⃣ Follow The Sean Spicer Show on social media: Facebook: https://facebook.com/seanspicershow Twitter: https://twitter.com/seanspicershow Instagram: https://instagram.com/seanspicershow Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
    The Fed Comes Bearing Gifts (Ep. 166)

    Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 55:34


    A rare split is opening inside the Federal Reserve. Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, and Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Wealth, dig into what that tension really means as growth projections move higher and rate cuts keep coming. They break down the widening gap between market expectations and the Fed's own outlook, the mixed signals coming from the latest dot plot, and what dissenting votes reveal about how policymakers are reading inflation and a softening labor market. At the same time, they look to the areas gaining strength, including cyclicals, global markets, commodities and the latest AI rotation, to understand how a divided Fed is shaping positioning as investors look ahead to 2026.Key Takeaways:• The Fed is diverging internally: The dot plots and dissents show widening disagreement on how aggressively to cut• Markets are pricing a different path: Traders expect more easing than the Fed, especially beyond 2026• Growth projections are rising: The Fed now sees stronger 2025–2026 GDP despite ongoing cuts• Labor-market signals are weakening: Falling quits and slowing hiring increase pressure on policymakers• Cyclical strength continues: Industrials, materials, and developed international markets are pushing the rally forwardJump to:0:00 - Cold Open, Holidays, And Setup2:45 - AI Leadership Rotates And Market Breadth8:50 - Cyclicals Lead, Global Rally Builds14:40 - Europe, Developed Markets, And Industrials20:55 - IPOs, Sentiment, And Bull Market Signals27:00 - The Fed Cuts: Dots, Dissent, And Markets35:20 -Neutral Rate, Long-Run Inflation, And 202641:50 - Press Conference Takeaways And Labor Risks48:10 - Gold Breakout And Commodities Pulse53:30 - Labor Market: JOLTS, Quits, And WagesConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

    The Brave Marketer
    Building an Intelligent Internet: AI's Future is in Specialized Agents

    The Brave Marketer

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 28:55


    Emad Mostaque, founder and CEO of Intelligent Internet, discusses his vision for an open and intelligent internet, along with the impact it can have on everyday users. He acknowledges the risks of AI surpassing human capabilities, but shares an optimistic view of where the true strength of a society lies. He also discusses the ways communities can withstand these disruptions and thrive in a changing world. Key Takeaways:  What problems AI agents are ready to solve today, and when we can expect future unlocks The future of low-cost intellectual work, and how specialized AI agents can be designed to safely reduce cognitive friction The implications of AI on a nation's gross domestic product (GDP), and the importance of measuring community intelligence Advice for parents raising the next generation of users Guest Bio: Emad Mostaque is the founder of Intelligent Internet, and is dedicated to advancing distributed and accessible artificial intelligence systems. As founder of Stability AI, he influenced the widespread availability of generative AI tools for image, audio, and video, reaching over 300 million downloads. He contributes to the development of open source AI infrastructure, including as an advisor to Render Network. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- About this Show: The Brave Technologist is here to shed light on the opportunities and challenges of emerging tech. To make it digestible, less scary, and more approachable for all! Join us as we embark on a mission to demystify artificial intelligence, challenge the status quo, and empower everyday people to embrace the digital revolution. Whether you're a tech enthusiast, a curious mind, or an industry professional, this podcast invites you to join the conversation and explore the future of AI together. The Brave Technologist Podcast is hosted by Luke Mulks, VP Business Operations at Brave Software—makers of the privacy-respecting Brave browser and Search engine, and now powering AI everywhere with the Brave Search API. Music by: Ari Dvorin Produced by: Sam Laliberte  

    TD Ameritrade Network
    Green: Not a ‘Big Believer' in Tech Rotation Story

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 7:09


    Michael Green is watching full-time employment numbers, which he notes have been weakening for two years. “We're not seeing the rebound that we need to,” he says, and “unfortunately” other areas of the economy are not picking up. Tech is driving the economy right now but not making a lot of jobs, he adds. “I'm not a big believer in the rotation story,” Michael says, arguing that it would be hard for the market to lose tech leadership when they're mostly driving GDP.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    早安英文-最调皮的英语电台
    外刊精讲 | 中国力推 AI 诊疗 2030 年全覆盖,能破解看病难困局吗?

    早安英文-最调皮的英语电台

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 10:01


    【欢迎订阅】每天早上5:30,准时更新。【阅读原文】标题:Dr Chatbot is popping up all over China正文:China's public-health system is both world-class and woeful. The best hospitals in Beijing and Shanghai have top-notch doctors, the latest drugs and gleamingequipment. But such places make up only around 10% of China's medical institutions. In the country's 33,000-odd township-level health centres, only half of general practitioners (GPs) even have university degrees. In total China spends around 7% of its GDP on health (for comparison Britain shells out around 11%).知识点:woeful adj. /ˈwəʊfʊl/very bad or disappointing 糟糕的;令人失望的• The school's facilities were woeful compared with others. 与其他学校相比,这里的设施十分糟糕。• His performance in the exam was woeful. 他在考试中的表现令人失望。获取外刊的完整原文以及精讲笔记,请关注微信公众号「早安英文」,回复“外刊”即可。更多有意思的英语干货等着你!【节目介绍】《早安英文-每日外刊精读》,带你精读最新外刊,了解国际最热事件:分析语法结构,拆解长难句,最接地气的翻译,还有重点词汇讲解。所有选题均来自于《经济学人》《纽约时报》《华尔街日报》《华盛顿邮报》《大西洋月刊》《科学杂志》《国家地理》等国际一线外刊。【适合谁听】1、关注时事热点新闻,想要学习最新最潮流英文表达的英文学习者2、任何想通过地道英文提高听、说、读、写能力的英文学习者3、想快速掌握表达,有出国学习和旅游计划的英语爱好者4、参加各类英语考试的应试者(如大学英语四六级、托福雅思、考研等)【你将获得】1、超过1000篇外刊精读课程,拓展丰富语言表达和文化背景2、逐词、逐句精确讲解,系统掌握英语词汇、听力、阅读和语法3、每期内附学习笔记,包含全文注释、长难句解析、疑难语法点等,帮助扫除阅读障碍。

    X22 Report
    [DS] Will Fight To Hide Their Treasonous Crimes From Being Exposed,Military Is The Only Way – Ep. 3797

    X22 Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 99:54


    Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureCalifornia is destroying their gasoline market, they want the state to own it, socialism. Oil prices are dropping, gas prices are dropping soon gas will be close to $1. Trump is reversing the [CB] illusion, jobs are being returned to the private sector. All in preparation to go back to the Constitution. The [DS] will continue to push back and try to delay everything Trump is trying to do. The House is prepared to make his EO into law, this will protect the country into the future. Trump had the real Generals stand behind him, these are the individuals that will protect the Republic from the [DS]. Trump is undoing decades of corruption, exposing the [DS] treasonous crimes, they will fight to hide their treasonous acts but this will fail. In the end the Military is the only way. Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/US_OGA/status/2000639453866651711?s=20 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2000951982874636662?s=20 https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/2000628845918265518?s=20 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2000925538131829101?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2000925018281402525?s=20 https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/2000952081012940948?s=20 https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/2000966123274068007?s=20 https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2000936248370717073?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000922549060858200?s=20   $2,000 per household, depending on the number of workers.” “[The economy] is gonna start lifting off in Q1 and Q2.” This is HUGE! Political/Rights https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2000701268806062358?s=20 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2000713713423196652?s=20 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2000766725231665257?s=20 https://twitter.com/KnightsTempOrg/status/2000645606964933100?s=20 WEIRD? Police Publish and Quickly Delete Photos of Rob Reiner's Son Being Cuffed for Slaughtering Parents, Give No Explanation Nick Reiner, the 32-year-old son of liberal activist and famed director Rob Reiner, has been arrested and charged with the brutal murder of his parents. The LAPD Gang and Narcotics Division published dramatic photos of Nick's handcuffed arrest on Instagram on Monday, but quickly deleted them without explanation. Rob Reiner, 78, known for classics like The Princess Bride, Spinal Tap, and When Harry Met Sally, and his wife Michele Singer Reiner, 68, were found stabbed to death in their Brentwood, Los Angeles home on Sunday afternoon. The New York Post reports: Nick Reiner, whose face is blurred out, is seen being forced to the ground with his hands cuffed behind his back, according to one photo. Another snap showed law enforcement pushing the suspect against the front of a squad car. In the caption, the unit only identified the man as “a double homicide suspect.” The arrest was made by US Marshals with the assistance of the LAPD's robbery homicide division, according to the post. An LAPD spokesperson declined to comment when asked why the force's gang and narcotics unit deleted the arrest photo shortly after it was published. The since-deleted photos: Nick, who has long battled severe drug addiction starting in his teens, co-wrote and starred in the 2016 semi-autobiographical film Being Charlie, directed by his father, which chronicled a young man's struggles with substance abuse and rehab. Insiders report that Nick “really resented” his father and “hated himself for not being as successful,” amid ongoing family tensions. The night before the murders, Rob and Nick reportedly got into a “very loud argument” at Conan O'Brien's Christmas party, loud enough for other guests to notice. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/nypost/status/2000870292227260695?s=20 https://twitter.com/barrycunningham/status/2000736216354853228?s=20   lists are…well you know. TAKE A LISTEN https://twitter.com/RealSLokhova/status/2000919590449394156?s=20 Real Texas Conservative  The tragic deaths of filmmaker Rob Reiner and his wife Michele on December 14, 2025, have cast a somber shadow over Hollywood, prompting reflections on legacy, loss, and the lingering scars of political division. In response, President Donald Trump’s Truth Social post on December 15, 2025 – framing their passing through the lens of “Trump Derangement Syndrome” (TDS) – has ignited controversy. Yet, when examined against the backdrop of Reiner’s decade-long barrage of vitriolic rhetoric against Trump, the statement emerges not as callous, but as an appropriate blend of pointed satire, genuine sympathy, and a timely concern for mental health. This piece builds an ironclad case for its fittingness, rooted in factual history, psychological insight, and legal precedent. To understand the appropriateness of Trump’s words, one must first confront the unyielding hostility Reiner directed at him since 2015. Reiner, celebrated for directing classics like “This Is Spinal Tap” and “The Princess Bride,” transformed into one of Trump’s most vocal detractors after his presidential candidacy. In a 2016 interview with The Hollywood Reporter, Reiner labeled Trump a “con man” and “dangerous,” warning he would erode democratic norms. This escalated over the years. By 2018, Reiner tweeted comparisons of Trump to Hitler, accusing him of fostering fascism and white supremacy. His 2024 documentary “God & Country” explicitly tied Trump’s influence to Christian nationalism, portraying it as a threat to American democracy. Reiner’s social media feed became a relentless stream of attacks, calling Trump a “pathological liar,” “sociopath,” and “existential danger” in posts that amassed millions of views. Even in 2025, shortly before his death, Reiner urged boycotts of Trump-related events, framing his re-election as apocalyptic. These were not isolated jabs but a sustained campaign, often personal and inflammatory, that Reiner himself admitted stemmed from deep-seated outrage. This history of antagonism, predominantly initiated by Reiner, sets the stage for why Trump’s response is not only defensible but proportionate. Far from escalating the feud posthumously, Trump’s post acknowledges Reiner’s talents – “a tortured and struggling, but once very talented movie director and comedy star” – while attributing the tragedy to TDS, a “mind-crippling disease” fueled by “raging obsession.” This framing isn’t baseless invention; it’s grounded in credible psychological analysis. Critics have questioned the timing of Trump’s post, issued just a day after the tragedy, as potentially too raw or opportunistic. However, this immediacy is precisely what makes it authentic and effective, aligning with Trump’s longstanding style of direct, unfiltered leadership in a 24/7 news cycle where narratives solidify within hours. Historical precedents abound; consider how President Lincoln addressed critics’ deaths or political losses with prompt wit during the Civil War, using fresh moments to foster national introspection and prevent distorted legacies. Similarly, Trump’s swift response cuts through emerging media spin – already framing Reiner solely as a heroic anti-Trump voice – by injecting balance and psychological truth right when public discourse peaks. Delaying would risk seeming calculated or detached, whereas this timing underscores sincerity, especially paired with the post’s sympathetic close. In essence, it’s not haste but strategic candor, transforming grief into a teachable moment on division’s dangers before emotions calcify. Transitioning from personal history to broader insight, TDS has been recognized by mental health experts as a manifestation of intense political polarization leading to real psychological strain. Psychiatrist Dr. Keith Ablow, in analyses shared on platforms like the Mark Simone Show, described TDS as rooted in “mass hysteria,” where individuals project anxieties onto a political figure, resulting in paranoia, chronic stress, and potential health declines. Research in the Journal of Abnormal Psychology supports this, linking partisan hatred to elevated cortisol levels, anxiety disorders, and weakened well-being. Trump’s reference to TDS isn’t mockery; it’s a diagnostic observation, highlighting how Reiner’s fixation – evident in his own words – might have contributed to personal tolls, especially amid reports of familial strife surrounding the deaths. By raising this, Trump shifts the narrative from vendetta to vigilance, urging awareness of how ideological obsessions erode lives. Moreover, the post’s satirical edge aligns with a storied tradition of political commentary, making it intellectually apt rather than insensitive. Trump employs hyperbole – “driving people CRAZY” amid America’s “Golden Age” – to underscore the irony of Reiner’s paranoia against tangible achievements like record economic growth, Middle East peace accords, and energy independence during his administration. This mirrors Jonathan Swift’s exaggerated proposals in “A Modest Proposal” or Abraham Lincoln’s witty rebukes of critics, using humor to expose societal flaws without literal malice. Legally, such expression is shielded by the First Amendment; the Supreme Court’s ruling in Hustler Magazine v. Falwell affirms that satirical opinions about public figures, absent provable falsehoods, are protected speech. Trump’s “reportedly due to” phrasing acknowledges speculation, ensuring it remains opinion, not defamation. What elevates the statement to appropriateness is its undercurrent of grace amid past unkindnesses, including Trump’s rare direct engagement with Reiner pre-tragedy despite the instigations. The post concludes with “May Rob and Michele rest in peace!” This isn’t perfunctory; it’s a sincere extension of sympathy, humanizing both parties and transcending the feud while modeling reciprocity in an era of unrelenting acrimony. Trump’s words match rhetoric’s intensity yet cap it with compassion and a mental health caveat, turning potential gloating into a nudge toward understanding division’s toll. In conclusion, Trump’s response is ironclad in its fittingness because it reciprocates a decade of Reiner’s attacks with measured satire, validates psychological realities, and prioritizes sympathy over score-settling. It doesn’t diminish the tragedy but illuminates division’s costs, encouraging reflection. Postscript: While the author is not an attorney or mental health practitioner, his nearly two decades as a seasoned content writer and editor have honed expert research skills, enabling rigorous analysis grounded in verifiable facts and legal precedents. https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/2000931274744324237?s=20 https://twitter.com/AlecLace/status/2000700955457630718?s=20 https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/status/2000694706054029700?s=20  reason for it. Sadly, past experience, teaches us that the most likely reason for the lack of transparency is that the answers are not going to support the left-wing agenda of the local Rhode Island Democrats. I could be wrong. But if I was wrong, I have a nagging suspicion. I would've had answers to those questions already. The FBI is offering a $50,000 reward for information leading to the arrest of this man. Trump blames Brown, not FBI, for delay in finding shooting suspect President Trump blamed Brown University for the delay in locating the suspect in the fatal mass shooting on the school's campus in Rhode Island on Saturday. “You'd really have to ask the school a little bit more about that because this was a school problem,” Trump said when asked on Monday if FBI Director Kash Patel has told him why it's been difficult for the FBI to identify the suspected shooter. “They had their own guards. They had their own police. They had their own everything, but you'd have to ask that question really to the school, not to the FBI. We came in after the fact, and the FBI will do a good job, but they came in after the fact,” he said. Source: thehill.com War/Peace https://twitter.com/WarClandestine/status/2000694318512652750?s=20 JUST IN: US OBLITERATES 3 More Venezuelan Drug Boats Just Hours After President Trump Designates Fentanyl as a Weapon of Mass Destruction United States Southern Command on Monday announced that Joint Task Force Southern Spear took out three narcotrafficking vessels in the Eastern Pacific.  A total of eight “narco-terrorists” were killed in the strikes. “Intelligence confirmed that the vessels were transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Eastern Pacific and were engaged in narco-trafficking,” US SOUTHCOM said. Video from the strikes shows massive explosions on each boat, turning them into burning piles of rubble. https://twitter.com/Southcom/status/2000756230252314901?s=20 Source: thegatewaypundit.com Trump: Syria is a key part of peace efforts in the Middle East Washington, Dec. 16 (SANA) U.S. President Donald Trump described the developments in Syria this year as “remarkable,” highlighting that the United States is committed to ensuring lasting peace in the Middle East, with Syria playing an essential role in that peace. Source: sana.sy 1306 Q !xowAT4Z3VQ ID: e7b971 No.1248119 Apr 30 2018 10:51:06 (EST) Define the terms of the Iran nuclear deal. Does the agreement define & confine cease & desist ‘PRO' to the republic of Iran? What if Iran created a classified ‘satellite' Nuclear facility in Northern Syria? What if the program never ceased? What other bad actors are possibly involved? Did the U.S. know? Where did the cash payments go? How many planes delivered? Did all planes land in same location? Where did the U1 material end up? Is this material traceable? Yes. Define cover. What if U1 material ended up in Syria? What would be the primary purpose? SUM OF ALL FEARS. In the movie, where did the material come from? What country? What would happen if Russia or another foreign state supplied Uranium to Iran/Syria? WAR. What does U1 provide? Define cover. Why did we strike Syria? Why did we really strike Syria? Define cover. Patriots in control. Q British Intelligence Head Says Prepare for War Against Russia  The newly appointed head of MI6, Blaise Metreweli, formerly known by her position as “Q”, is literally the granddaughter of factual Ukraine Nazi, Constantine Dobrowolski.  Now, as head of MI6 Metreweli wants war with Russia. In a rather remarkable speech to the British people, Blaise Metreweli proclaimed Europe is in “the space between peace and war,” with a direct military conflict with Russia looming as the biggest threat.  Metreweli declared, “Our world is being actively remade, with profound implications for national and international security.” Source: theconservativetreehouse.com https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2000898313579561365?s=20 https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2000896186413441184?s=20   have already been filed. The World Bank estimates the total at $524 billion over the next decade – triple Ukraine’s 2024 GDP. Zelensky: “It’s not enough to force Russia into a deal. It’s not enough to make it stop killing. We must make Russia accept that there are rules in the world.” Mechanism: Register of Damage (created 2023): collects claims from individuals, companies, and the Ukrainian state. Claims Commission: reviews, validates, and awards compensation case-by-case. Categories: sexual violence, child deportations, infrastructure destruction, religious sites bombed. Funding plan: Frozen Russian assets held by the EU, supplemented by member contributions. Dutch FM David van Weel: “The goal is to have validated claims that will ultimately be paid by Russia.” Enforcement? Still being worked out. Complication: Trump's team floated amnesty for war crimes as part of a peace deal – makes prosecuting the very individuals being billed impossible. Next steps: Convention takes force after 25 nations ratify it (if funds secured). Russia calls frozen-assets proposal “illegal,” denies war crimes, threatens retaliation. Reality check: This is post-WWII-style reparations applied to an ongoing conflict. The $524B estimate covers through 2024 only – 2025's escalated attacks on utilities, transport, and civilians already make the number outdated. https://twitter.com/AwakenedOutlaw/status/2000626884145754206?s=20   breaking out. Their position is legitimately insane. Sadly, what’s clear is that the European leadership is comprised of war-mongering, bloodthirsty psychopaths. The idiom, “With friends like these, who needs enemies?” comes to mind. Only in this case, it’s not a sarcastic observation. ______ EU Globalists Threaten to Dump $2.34 Trillion in U.S. Debt to Stop Trump's Ukraine Peace Deal JUST IN: Senate Advances $900 BILLION Defense Spending Bill with Military Aid to Ukraine Senate advances $900 billion defense spending bill The US Senate on Monday voted to end the filibuster and advance the National Defense Authorization Act to a final vote.  The bipartisan vote, 76-20, invoked cloture on the bill, bringing it one step closer to final passage, which could still take days. Still, some lawmakers seek to amend the bill further, which would then require House passage before landing on the President's desk. Burchett: Big vote tonight was the NDAA, National Defense Authorization Act, and it was $900.6 billion. There’s money in there for, of course, Ukraine, $800 million total, and some other things, money in there for recognizing an Indian tribe out of North Carolina— has nothing to do with national security— Syria, money, Iraq. But we just got to quit this stuff. Somebody's, America’s got to start paying attention. Trump didn’t even ask for that. You’ve got the war pimps that push for this stuff. And they always will tell you, Oh, it’s, “Burchett, man, they’re gonna spend all that money here buying those missiles.” You know, is that what we’re basing our votes on is they’re going to buy implements to kill other people on? I’m all for getting rid of our enemies, but this is just too much, way too much, and things are just not what they appear. We need to wake up. I voted no. Over 100 Democrats voted to pass this. That ought to tell you right there what this is about. Got some liberal stuff tucked in there, and it’s over 3000 pages. We get it on Sunday, and we’re voting on it today. There’s no way, no way, we will ever know what was in there, and just— anyway, frustrated, we’ll keep fighting. Thank y’all for sending me here. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2000775317577744797?s=20   commands down to 8. Under the plan expected to be presented to Secretary Hegseth this week: U.S. Central Command, European Command, and Africa Command would be downgraded and placed under a new “U.S. International Command.” U.S. Southern Command and Northern Command would merge into “U.S. Americas Command” (Americom), reflecting the administration’s shift toward Western Hemisphere operations. The remaining commands: Indo-Pacific, Cyber, Special Operations, Space, Strategic, and Transportation. A senior defense official on the urgency: “Time ain’t on our side, man. The saying here is, ‘If not us, who, and if not now, when?'” The plan aligns with Trump’s national security strategy declaring that “the days of the United States propping up the entire world order like Atlas are over.” Former Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel expressed concern: “The world isn’t getting any less complicated. You want commands that have the capability of heading off problems before they become big problems.” Congress has required the Pentagon to submit a detailed blueprint before any changes can take effect. The Monroe Doctrine comes to CENTCOM. https://twitter.com/WarClandestine/status/2000687672936030583?s=20   been done long ago, which is eradicate the cartels that are plaguing the Western hemisphere via drug/human trafficking. The cartels have gone unchecked for decades, while they murder millions of Americans and commit heinous crimes against humanity. Trump confirms that designating the cartels as a foreign terrorist organizations “is a big deal from a legal and military standpoint”. Trump is going to use the full force of the US MIL to shut this entire corrupt network down. The Dems/MSM, and the weaklings on the Right, are going to squeal and moan the entire way, but this must be done. Trump is going to neutralize this threat to the American People and do what past Presidents failed to do. Medical/False Flags [DS] Agenda https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2000857179142680769?s=20   been part of it. Her late father served as a colonel in the Somali army under dictator Siad Barre, whose regime carried out mass killings in the 1980s. That makes her backstory more complicated than she lets on. A resurfaced video shows a man resembling Omar's father discussing brutal tactics. There's no proof he committed war crimes, but some say he was close enough to know what was happening. Photos also show Omar's siblings with General Morgan – known as the “Butcher of Hargeisa” – and Omar herself at a 2022 event where Morgan was present. One relative even referred to him as “uncle.” Omar hasn't commented on the new findings, and her silence has led some to question how she can call for accountability abroad without addressing her own family's history. https://twitter.com/JamesRosenTV/status/2000723473182965780?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2000723473182965780%7Ctwgr%5Eb493e83212e9c33013500c56069b3622c19b2e21%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Frusty-weiss%2F2025%2F12%2F16%2Fice-officials-rip-ilhan-omar-over-ridiculous-story-about-her-son-being-racially-profiled-n2197175 https://twitter.com/thestoicplumber/status/2000748048683815183?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000742064959455252?s=20 U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro: D.C. Authorities Were Artificially Deflating Crime Stats With ‘Manipulated' Numbers https://twitter.com/USAttyPirro/status/2000637280789188855?s=20  into MPD's reported deflation of crime statistics. The need for accurate information to fight crime is essential. After a review of almost 6000 reports and the interview of over 50 witnesses, it is evident that a significant number of reports had been misclassified, making crime appear artificially lower than it was. The uncovering of these manipulated crime statistics makes clear that President Trump has reduced crime even more than originally thought, since crimes were actually higher than reported. His crime fighting efforts have delivered even more safety to the people of the District. The conduct here does not rise to the level of a criminal charge. However, it is up to MPD to take steps to internally address these underlying issues. Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/amuse/status/2000822708389745055?s=20 There is FEC data analysis that strongly suggests that Mark Kelly, Elissa Slotkin, Jason Crow, Chris Deluzio, Chrissy Houlahan and Maggie Goodlander have been recipients of illegally laundered campaign funds. Kelly is currently under investigation. They’re all backed by Soros!! President Trump's Plan https://twitter.com/MrAndyNgo/status/2000710555674325272?s=20  extremists after transitioning. https://twitter.com/george18kennedy/status/2000781888152129887?s=20   Staff of the Army (senior uniformed leader of the U.S. Army, member of the Joint Chiefs). – Admiral Daryl Caudle – Chief of Naval Operations (senior uniformed leader of the U.S. Navy, member of the Joint Chiefs). – General Eric M. Smith – Commandant of the Marine Corps (senior uniformed leader of the U.S. Marine Corps, member of the Joint Chiefs). – General Kenneth S. Wilsbach, USAF – Chief of Staff of the Air Force (senior uniformed leader of the U.S. Air Force, member of the Joint Chiefs). – General B. Chance Saltzman, USSF – Chief of Space Operations (senior uniformed leader of the U.S. Space Force, member of the Joint Chiefs). https://twitter.com/MJTruthUltra/status/2000668738203312188?s=20 TAKE A LISTEN https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/2000725299420352640?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000916623243300901?s=20   Something BETTER be done about this. https://twitter.com/RobLutherLawyer/status/2000697951295840722?s=20 https://twitter.com/FBIDirectorKash/status/2000961090612813971?s=20 https://twitter.com/SusieWiles/status/2000943061627548148?s=20   story. I assume, after reading it, that this was done to paint an overwhelmingly chaotic and negative narrative about the President and our team. The truth is the Trump White House has already accomplished more in eleven months than any other President has accomplished in eight years and that is due to the unmatched leadership and vision of President Trump, for whom I have been honored to work for the better part of a decade. None of this will stop our relentless pursuit of Making America Great Again! https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000957946352820238?s=20  codification of the President’s executive orders.” “A very aggressive legislative agenda coming right out of the gates in January. We’re going to continue to work, for example, on health care to continue to bring costs down for the American people, to bring down the cost of living overall.” “He’s up to about 200 of those [orders], probably about 150 of them are codifiable by Congress and we’re working steadily through that list.” “You’re going to see us delivering for the American people while the effects of that giant piece of legislation that we did on July 4th, got signed on July 4th, comes into implementation.” “So much more, much more yet to do and the President and I talk about that almost every day and he’s excited about it and I am.” https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/2000685717497004167?s=20 to procedurally gum up the works behind the scenes. JD Vance Points Out the Consequence of the Senate “Blue Slip” Veto of Judicial Nominees It was passed by Congress on May 13, 1912, and ratified on April 8, 1913 The 16th Amendment to the United States Constitution grants Congress the authority to impose and collect income taxes without the need to apportion them among the states or base them on census data. constitution.congress.gov It was passed by Congress on July 2, 1909, and ratified on February 3, 1913. all of this is an outcome of the 17th Amendment, which stopped the state legislatures from having control over their senators.  Under the original constitutional framework, the Senate was designed to represent the interests of the state, as the Senators were appointed by state legislature, not popular votes.  The Sea Island assembly destroyed this cornerstone when they triggered the 17th Amendment. Repeal the 17th Amendment, and just about everything in federal government changes. Machiavelli said, “It must be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to plan, more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to manage than a new system. For the initiator has the enmity of all who would profit by the preservation of the old institution and merely lukewarm defenders in those who gain by the new ones.”  A prescient and oft repeated quote that is pertinent to the situation. When our founders created the system of government for our constitutional republic, they built in layers of protection from federal control over the lives of people in the states.  Over time, those protections have been eroded as the federal bureaucracy has seized power.  One of the biggest changes that led to the creation of the permanent political class was the 17th Amendment. Our founders created a system where Senators were appointed by the state legislatures.  In this original system, the Senate was bound by obligation to look out for the best interests of their specific states.  Under the ‘advise and consent‘ rules of Senate confirmation for executive branch appointments, the intent was to ensure the presidential appointee -who would now carry out regulatory activity- would not undermine the independent position of the states.  .When the 17th Amendment (direct voting for Senators) took the place of state appointments, the perspective of ‘advise and consent' changed.  The Senate was now in the position of ensuring the presidential appointee did not undermine the power of the permanent bureaucracy, which is the root of power for the upper-chamber. Senate committees, Homeland Security, Judiciary, Intelligence, Armed Services, Foreign Relations, etc. now consists of members who carry an imbalanced level of power within government.  The Senate now controls who will be in charge of executive branch agencies like the DOJ, DHS, FBI, CIA, ODNI, DoD, State Dept and NSA, from the position of their own power and control in Washington DC. In essence, the 17th Amendment flipped the intent of the constitution from protecting the individual states to protecting the federal government. Seventeenth Amendment- “The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two Senators from each State, elected by the people thereof, for six years; and each Senator shall have one vote. The electors in each State shall have the qualifications requisite for electors of the most numerous branch of the State legislatures. When vacancies happen in the representation of any State in the Senate, the executive authority of such State shall issue writs of election to fill such vacancies: Provided, That the legislature of any State may empower the executive thereof to make temporary appointments until the people fill the vacancies by election as the legislature may direct.” (link)   The biggest issue following the passage of the 17th Amendment became Senators who were no longer representing the interests of their state.  Instead, they were representing the interests of the power elite groups who were helping them fund the mechanisms of their re-election efforts. A Senator only needs to run for re-election every six years.  The 17th Amendment is the only amendment that changed the structure of the Congress, as it was written by the founders. Over time, the Senate chamber itself began using their advice and consent authority to control the executive and judicial branch.  The origination of a nomination now holds the question: “Can this person pass the Senate confirmation process?” source: theconservativetreehouse.com https://twitter.com/j3669/status/2000683161273897213?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000952036238746070?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2000671858417422538?s=20   is going to save the GOP, AGAIN. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");

    united states christmas america god american time president donald trump europe hollywood los angeles house space state reality americans british research video war russia european ukraine washington dc european union north carolina western army congress indian fbi world war ii middle east iran journal economy supreme court military navy debt iraq democrats consequences civil war weapons transitioning senate adolf hitler cia define intelligence strategic funding patriots air force syria republic constitution ukrainian senators hide historical exposed photos crimes nuclear convention cyber pentagon presidents rhode island oil transportation critics gop golden age abraham lincoln damage amendment gdp marine corps butcher dump homeland security brown university first amendment doj world bank trillion new york post nsa zelensky space force legally cb ds dod princess bride george soros lapd enforcement insiders dhs hollywood reporter foreign relations rob reiner somali tds generals eo spinal tap truth social delaying special operations reiner judiciary repeal mi6 trump white house uranium brentwood when harry met sally joint chiefs machiavelli indo pacific something better western hemisphere american people united states constitution mark kelly trump derangement syndrome psychiatrist dr ndaa fec national defense authorization act state dept jonathan swift us marshals this is spinal tap mpd armed services monroe doctrine military aid stop trump sea islands falwell central command treasonous createelement elissa slotkin modest proposal odni centcom northern syria kurt schlichter weel naval operations u1 abnormal psychology parentnode getelementbyid nick reiner space operations jason crow hustler magazine southern command dc draino southcom hargeisa making america great again eastern pacific european command chrissy houlahan keith ablow northern command mrandyngo iran syria being charlie
    The David Pakman Show
    The economic collapse that is dragging Trump

    The David Pakman Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 63:39


    -- On the Show -- Donald Trump highlights November job gains while burying October losses as unemployment rises to its highest level in more than four years -- Donald Trump prepares to remove FBI Director Kash Patel and Deputy Director Dan Bongino after their leadership failures create political embarrassment -- Donald Trump mocks filmmaker Rob Reiner after his violent death by blaming criticism of Trump rather than behaving like a president -- Donald Trump defends his remarks about Rob Reiner, shifts blame for mass violence, and contradicts himself on policy -- Republican officials publicly rebuke Donald Trump for mocking Rob Reiner, signaling a weakening hold over his own party -- Donald Trump faces demands to disclose medical and financial records after suing the Pulitzer Prize Board and triggering legal discovery -- Trump advisers reveal basic economic ignorance as Kevin Hassett struggles to explain why 25 percent GDP growth is impossible -- Dr. Mike dismantles Daniel Amen's brain scan claims by explaining why SPECT imaging cannot diagnose cognition or justify supplement sales -- On the Bonus Show: Trump declares fentanyl a weapon of mass destruction, Trump sues the BBC for $10 billion over an edited January 6 speech, Erika Kirk meets with Candace Owens amid conspiracy claims, and much more...

    Voices of Freedom
    Interview with Catherine Pakaluk

    Voices of Freedom

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 43:52


    An Interview with Dr. Catherine Pakaluk, Associate Professor of Social Research and Economic Thought, Catholic University of America What makes a society truly prosperous? Is it GDP growth and stock market returns, or is there something more — something rooted in strong families, vibrant communities, and institutions that help people flourish? Our guest on this episode of Voices of Freedom has spent her career exploring these deeper questions about economic freedom and human flourishing. Catherine Pakaluk is an economist whose research challenges us to think beyond conventional metrics and consider how families, faith communities, and schools work together to create meaningful prosperity. As both a Harvard-trained scholar and a mother of eight, Catherine brings a unique perspective to debates about family, economic opportunity, and the future of American society. She is an Associate Professor of Social Research and Economic Thought at the Busch School of Business at the Catholic University of America, where her research focuses on the economics of education and religion, family studies and demography, and Catholic social thought. Catherine's work examines the institutions and relationships that enable people to thrive, from faith communities to schools to families themselves. Her most recent book, Hannah's Children, examines women defying demographic trends by choosing large families, offering surprising insights about how people weigh what truly matters. Topics Discussed on this Episode: Catherine's path to economics and her focus on education, religion, family studies, and Catholic social thought The relationship between religious institutions and economic liberty How families function as economic and social institutions that create opportunity Research on school choice, educational outcomes, and teaching the next generation Catherine's most recent book, Hannah's Children, and insights about women who defy demographic trends What gives Catherine hope for American families and civil society

    The Current
    Jamaican resilience after category 5 storm

    The Current

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 11:23


    The CBC's David Common was in Jamaica more than a month after parts of the island were devastated by a category 5 hurricane. He takes us to a local hospital where the roof was ripped off and patients are still showing up with injuries from the storm. He also introduces us to locals who are trying to get back on their feet and hoping that tourists will still be coming this winter season. Tourism makes up one third of Jamaica's GDP and employs hundreds of thousands of people.

    I Don't Care with Kevin Stevenson
    How Simulation-Based Education Is Transforming Healthcare Leadership and Decision-Making Worldwide

    I Don't Care with Kevin Stevenson

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 30:47


    As healthcare systems worldwide face rising costs, workforce shortages, and increasing pressure to balance quality with financial sustainability, traditional classroom-based management education is struggling to keep pace. According to the World Economic Forum, healthcare spending now accounts for nearly 10% of global GDP, making leadership decision-making more consequential—and more complex—than ever. At the same time, educators and executives alike are searching for ways to prepare leaders for real-world uncertainty, not just theoretical case studies.So how do you train healthcare leaders to make better decisions when the stakes are high, the data is imperfect, and the environment is constantly changing?That's the core question explored in the latest episode of I Don't Care, hosted by Dr. Kevin Stevenson, featuring Jeremy Lovelace, Founding Director of HFX Technologies Group. Stevenson and Lovelace dive into how simulation-based healthcare management education is reshaping the way future and current healthcare leaders learn strategy, finance, and human-centered decision-making—across borders, systems, and sectors.Key Takeaways from the Conversation…Simulation over static cases: Dynamic, financially driven simulations provide a more realistic and measurable way to train healthcare decision-makers than traditional case competitions or lectures.Global adaptability: A simulation originally modeled on a leading Brazilian hospital has proven effective across diverse systems, including U.S. health systems, European providers, and the UK's NHS.Human skills under pressure: Beyond financial metrics, simulations reveal leadership gaps in teamwork, stress management, and judgment under uncertainty—often the most powerful learning outcomes.Jeremy Lovelace is the Founding Director of HFX Technologies Group, a firm specializing in simulation-based training for strategic and financial decision-making. With a background in management consulting and decision science, Lovelace has worked extensively with universities, healthcare organizations, and public-sector institutions across Europe, the Americas, and beyond. His work includes partnerships with global business schools such as University College London and simulations inspired by top-tier healthcare institutions like Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein in Brazil. Lovelace holds an MBA and brings decades of experience in leadership development, education technology, and applied strategy.

    Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
    US Market Open: Brent dips below USD 60/bbl for the first time since May; US equity futures point to a weaker open ahead of jobs report

    Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 3:24


    Ukrainian President Zelensky said there is still no ideal peace plan as of now, and the current draft is a working version; Russia's Ryabkov said they are ready to make efforts to overcome disagreements relating to the Ukraine crisis.China Securities Times commentary noted that China should set a positive yet 'pragmatic' 2026 GDP growth target with leeway, while researchers are said to be divided between an around 5% or 4.5%-5.0% growth target for 2026.European bourses are broadly lower, with US equity futures also in the red as the NQ continues to underperform.USD awaits data deluge, GBP outperforms following hawkish LFS and PMI & JPY continues gains into BoJ on Friday.USTs trade steady into NFP, Bunds chop on PMI metrics whilst Gilts underperform post-jobs data.Brent dips below USD 60/bbl for the first time since May as geopolitical tensions ease; metals are broadly subdued.Looking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs (Dec), US Average Weekly Prelim Estimate ADP (4-week, w/e 29 Nov), Non-Farm Payrolls (Oct), Jobs Report (Nov), Retail Sales (Oct), Business Inventories (Sep), NBH Announcement, Comments from BoC's Macklem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

    Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
    EU Market Open: NQ continues to be pressured, dragging global equities lower; Markets await US jobs reports and global flash PMIs

    Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 3:12


    APAC stocks were mostly lower after the weak lead from Wall Street, as the tech-related pressure rolled over into the region; Nikkei 225 fell beneath the 50,000 level amid a firmer currency.China Securities Times commentary noted that China should set a positive yet 'pragmatic' 2026 GDP growth target with leeway, while researchers are said to be divided between an around 5% or 4.5%-5.0% growth target for 2026.US President Trump said they are looking into whether Israel violated the ceasefire by killing a Hamas leader; Ukrainian President Zelensky said there was still no ideal peace plan as of now.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.7% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs Report (Oct), EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Dec), German ZEW Survey (Dec), Japanese Trade Balance (Nov), US Average Weekly Prelim Estimate ADP (4-week, w/e 29 Nov), Non-Farm Payrolls (Oct), Jobs Report (Nov), Retail Sales (Oct), Business Inventories (Sep), NBH Announcement, Comments from BoC's Macklem, Supply from UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

    Daily Signal News
    Victor Davis Hanson: Trump's New National Security Strategy Holds China's Feet to the Fire

    Daily Signal News

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 11:39


    The recently unveiled U.S. National Security Strategy has ruffled liberal and even some conservative feathers both here and abroad, for two reasons:  No. 1, the Trump administration told Europe an inconvenient truth: The birthplace of Western civilization is facing “civilization erasure.” And No. 2, critics feel that the strategy is not critical enough of Russia and China. They're wrong. An entire section, “Economic Security,” is a not-so-subtle nod to America's ongoing, great power competition with China, evident in these carefully selected priorities: “balanced trade,” ”securing access to critical supply chains and materials,” “reindustrialization,” “reviving our defense industrial base,” etc. The other controversy is: Why does the strategy call for an end to the Russia-Ukraine war and not just openly condemn Vladimir Putin instead?  Because the assessment is grounded in reality. Unless the Europeans want to spend more than the already mandated 5% of GDP on defense budgets and pour more sophisticated weapons systems into Ukraine, then the conflict has no clear end in sight: “Do you wanna have an ongoing bleeding Stalingrad or Verdun … right on the borders of Europe,” asks Victor Davis Hanson on today's edition of “Victor Davis Hanson: In a Few Words.”

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
    2367: This Week in Real Estate: What Every Investor Must Know Now

    Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 22:57


    Michael Zuber and Jason Hartman, are forecasting economic and housing trends for 2026. They discuss several key variables, including the unemployment rate, which Hartman predicts will slightly increase due to automation and artificial intelligence, but argues this will ultimately lead to greater prosperity and new industries. The conversation then shifts to interest rates, with Jason expressing optimism for rates hovering around six percent, partly due to the Federal Reserve's move back into quantitative easing (QE), which he believes will positively impact the housing market by increasing credit availability. They anticipate modest GDP growth and increased home sales volume for 2026, rejecting crash scenarios and predicting home price appreciation of around 3-4%. They conclude by affirming that inflation is the government's likely strategy to manage massive debt, which they see as a hidden wealth creator for real estate investors through inflation-induced debt destruction. #2026EconomicVariables #UnemploymentU3 #RisingUnemployment #AIandAutomation #IncreasedProductivity #InsatiableWants #EconomicProsperity #LuxurySectors #SpasAndMedSpas #CarAsAService #LowerInterestRates #QuantitativeEasing #MoneySupply #MortgageCreditAvailabilityIndex #HousingLockinEffect #AffordableHousing #NoForeclosureCrisis #MBSBuyingGameChanger #ScarceInventory #HousingPriceAppreciation #GDPBullish #ResilientEconomy #TheConsumer #InflationInducedDebtDestruction #RealEstateWealthCreation   Key Takeaways: 1:43 Where do you think these things go in 2026 9:39 Money supply and Quantitative Easing (QE) 13:46 GDPs and Recession calls 15:39 A crash in transactions versus price 17:58 The consumer  19:14 6 Ways to get out of this mess   Transcript HERE   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

    money real estate investors recession gdp federal reserve must know hartman special offer qe free courses jason hartman michael zuber ron legrand gdps quantitative easing qe pandemicinvesting hartman us save taxes estate planning protect get ron free mini book fund cya protect your assets
    Beyond Markets
    The Week in Markets: Economically-sensitive stock market indices break to new highs

    Beyond Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 19:09


    The Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but it also increased its forecast for 2026 GDP, from 1.9% to 2.1%, hardly a rate that would necessitate a long string of further cuts. Multiple forces are pulling the economy in different directions, so the 10-year treasury yield will likely continue to move in the same wide band it's been in since 2023. Recent local elections have tilted strongly in favour of Democrats, and Trump's approval ratings are low. It is possible next year's mid-term elections go strongly in the Democrats' favour, and the administration has less power than it does now. With economically-sensitive stock market indices like mid and small caps, the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500 equal-weighted index all breaking to new highs, it's difficult to be pessimistic.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

    How to Invest in Commercial Real Estate
    Stocks vs. Commercial Real Estate in a Crash: Risk, Liquidity, and Opportunity

    How to Invest in Commercial Real Estate

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 20:35


    Criterion breaks down year-end acquisition numbers, highlights stock-market bubble indicators, and lays out a practical commercial real estate strategy to survive a potential 2026–2027 correction. Time Stamps: 0:00 – Introduction 1:30 – Year-end update: $72M acquired + $21M equity raised 2:35 – Growth story: 2019 first deal to “20X” scale + investor base expansion 4:27 – Why talk about a potential 2026–2027 market correction 6:12 – Index run-up: S&P / Dow / NASDAQ context and “bubble” risk framing 8:47 – Valuation red flags: S&P PE ratios vs. 1929 / 2001 comps 9:47 – Buffett Indicator explained (market cap vs. GDP) 10:55 – “Magnificent 7” concentration + elevated PE multiples 12:40 – Awareness over prediction: risk management mindset 13:08 – Macro pressure: national debt + interest cost discussion 15:19 – If stocks crash: what happens to real estate values + inflation response 16:39 – CRE in a downturn: tenant risk, vacancy, and cash reserves 17:25 – Rates drop = refinance opportunity; CRE vs. stocks volatility 18:42 – Why higher-cap buys help: breathing room on cash flow 19:14 – Crash playbook: buy discounted assets, avoid forced sales, keep operating 19:47 – “Don't wait for perfect”: buy through every season Visit TheCriterionFund.com for more information commercialrealestate #commercialrealestateinvesting #cre #realestateinvesting #investing #passiveincome #wealthbuilding #financialfreedom #realestatepodcast #investoreducation #stripcenters #retailrealestate #neighborhoodcenters #caprate #cashoncash #dealmaking #capitalraising #privateequityrealestate #marketcycle #recessionproof #riskmanagement #economicoutlook #interestrates #refinance #valueadd #assetmanagement #tenantmix #vacancy #portfolio #multifamilyinvesting stockmarket #sp500 #nasdaq #dowjones #buffettindicator #priceratios #peratio #magnificentseven #marketcorrection #marketcrash #macro #inflation #deficit #nationaldebt #economy #investingtips #wealthstrategy #longterminvesting #buythedip

    Watchdog on Wall Street
    $18 Trillion in Tariffs? Let's Do the Math

    Watchdog on Wall Street

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 3:45 Transcription Available


    LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured  Donald Trump says tariffs generated $18 trillion in just 10 months—and some Republicans are repeating it like it's gospel. But let's slow down and apply a little basic math. $18 trillion is nearly two-thirds of U.S. GDP. If that kind of money actually flowed into the country, manufacturing, construction, and investment would be exploding. They're not—they're moving in the opposite direction.In this episode, Chris breaks down what tariff revenue really looks like (hint: it's under $300 billion), why there are no written $18 trillion investment “commitments,” and how exaggeration turns into outright misinformation once politicians and pundits start echoing it. Supporting pro-growth policy doesn't require fantasy numbers—and repeating them only insults the public's intelligence.Facts matter. Trillions matter. And if we want credibility on economic policy, we have to stop pretending a big fish story is an actual balance sheet.

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast
    Steven Joyce: Former Finance Minister ahead of Treasury's Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 6:50 Transcription Available


    There's a view that New Zealand's still a while away from being a 'rockstar' economy. Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update documents are coming out early this afternoon, carrying key economic metrics. Treasury's also releasing a Budget Policy Statement outlining priorities for upcoming spending. Former Finance Minister Steven Joyce told Heather du Plessis-Allan it was a pretty average year for the economy, and next year looks to be better. Joyce says getting core spending below 30% of GDP is the goal, but it won't happen overnight. He says Bill English spent eight years after the Canterbury quakes and the global financial crisis wrestling to get back into surplus. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    In Focus by The Hindu
    Why did India get a 'C' grade from IMF?

    In Focus by The Hindu

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 18:19


    In its recent assessment, the International Monetary Fund India's national accounts statistics, which includes key figures such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross Value Added (GVA), a grade of ‘C', the second-lowest grade there is. “National accounts data are available at adequate frequency and timeliness and provide broadly adequate granularity,” the IMF noted, adding, “However, some methodological weaknesses somewhat hamper surveillance and warrant an overall sectoral rating for the national accounts of C.” At a time when the government is celebrating 8.2% GDP growth, this grade has sparked uncomfortable questions. What is the IMF saying and is India truly growing as fast as the government claims?  Guest: Prof. B. Bhagwan Das, Former Associate Professor of Economics, Loyola College, Chennai Host: Nivedita V Edited by Sharmada Venkatasubramanian Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Ask Dr. Drew
    Latinos For Trump: Why They Voted For MAGA & Mass Deportations Of Illegal Immigrants w/ Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar & Chris Salcedo + How ChatGPT Endangers Mentally Ill Users w/ Dr. Josef Witt-Doerring – Ask Dr. Drew – Ep 565

    Ask Dr. Drew

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 71:01


    The 2024 election was very confusing for Libs. After years of pandering to minority groups and “expert” predictions that Trump's immigration policies would lose his Latino supporters, a Pew study found Latino Americans surged to MAGA with over 48% – actually rising from 36% in 2020. But for people who aren't racist panderers, the explanation is simple. Cultural traits common among many Mexican-American immigrants — Catholic faith, traditional family values, commitment to hard work and law-following — align with conservative ideas. Many Latino immigrants resent those who cross the border illegally and view legal immigration as a matter of principle – because they worked hard, followed the law, and distrust those who won't do the same. In fact, a recent study found Latino Americans are powering US economic growth, reaching an estimated $3.7 trillion of our GDP. Chris Salcedo is a television and radio broadcaster, political analyst, and podcaster. He is Executive Director of the Conservative Hispanic Society and author of The Rise of the Liberty-Loving Latino. Follow at https://x.com/CSalcedoShow⠀Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar is the U.S. Representative for Florida's 27th District and a five-time Emmy Award-winning journalist. She is the author of “Dignity Not Citizenship” available at https://amzn.to/4q14rdc and was born in Miami's Little Havana to Cuban exiles. Follow at https://x.com/MaElviraSalazar⠀Dr. Josef Witt-Doerring is a board-certified psychiatrist and former FDA Medical Officer. He is Medical Director of TaperClinic, specializing in de-prescribing psychiatric medications, and runs a growing YouTube channel focused on mental health education. Follow at https://x.com/drjosefWD 「 SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS 」 • AUGUSTA PRECIOUS METALS – Thousands of Americans are moving portions of their retirement into physical gold & silver. Learn more in this 3-minute report from our friends at Augusta Precious Metals: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://drdrew.com/gold⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ or text DREW to 35052 ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠• FATTY15 – The future of essential fatty acids is here! Strengthen your cells against age-related breakdown with Fatty15. Get 15% off a 90-day Starter Kit Subscription at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://drdrew.com/fatty15⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ • PALEOVALLEY - "Paleovalley has a wide variety of extraordinary products that are both healthful and delicious,” says Dr. Drew. "I am a huge fan of this brand and know you'll love it too!” Get 15% off your first order at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://drdrew.com/paleovalley⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ • VSHREDMD – Formulated by Dr. Drew: The Science of Cellular Health + World-Class Training Programs, Premium Content, and 1-1 Training with Certified V Shred Coaches! More at https://drdrew.com/vshredmd • THE WELLNESS COMPANY - Counteract harmful spike proteins with TWC's Signature Series Spike Support Formula containing nattokinase and selenium. Learn more about TWC's supplements at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twc.health/drew⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 「 ABOUT THE SHOW 」 Ask Dr. Drew is produced by Kaleb Nation (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://kalebnation.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and Susan Pinsky (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/firstladyoflov⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠e⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠). This show is for entertainment and/or informational purposes only, and is not a substitute for medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Executive Producers • Kaleb Nation - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://kalebnation.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ • Susan Pinsky - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/firstladyoflove⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Content Producer & Booking • Emily Barsh - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/emilytvproducer⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Hosted By • Dr. Drew Pinsky - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/drdrew⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Around the Horn in Wholesale Distribution Podcast
    Mike Hockett on Planning Through Uncertainty and Forecasting The Future of Distribution

    Around the Horn in Wholesale Distribution Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 96:28


    What happens to wholesale distribution when tariffs rise, interest rates stay high, and customers expect more with less friction? In this episode of Around the Horn in Wholesale Distribution from LeadSmart Channel Cloud, Kevin Brown and Tom Burton sit down with Modern Distribution Management editor and market analyst Mike Hockett to unpack the data behind the headlines and what it means for revenue leaders in distribution. You will hear a practical, numbers-driven outlook for 2025 that connects GDP forecasts, Fed policy, and tariff risk with real impacts on margins, inventory, and channel relationships. The conversation stays grounded in what wholesalers, manufacturers, and reps can control, and how to use planning, consultative commerce, and better pipeline visibility to future-proof distribution businesses through uncertainty.  What You Will Learn: Why November's softer numbers do not necessarily signal a collapse, and how MDM thinks about “soft landing” versus “stall.”How tariffs, elections, and Fed policy are likely to affect pricing power, imports, and inventory strategy for wholesale distribution teams.Where distributors are still leaving money on the table because of weak forecasting, poor CRM adoption, and limited collaboration with suppliers and reps.How to connect market forecasts to practical decisions about hiring, territory coverage, and hybrid selling models.Episode Highlights:00:00 – Why this conversation matters now08:15 – Inside MDM's latest distribution data18:40 – Are we heading toward a soft landing or a stall?30:10 – Tariffs, trade policy, and pricing pressure42:35 – Forecasting failures inside distribution organizations55:20 – Hybrid selling and channel conflict1:07:45 – Technology, CRM adoption, and operational readiness1:21:30 – M&A, succession planning, and consolidation signals1:33:10 – Practical priorities for the next 12 months Meet the Guest: Mike Hockett is an editor and market analyst with Modern Distribution Management (MDM) and the National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors. He spends his time inside the data and conversations that shape the future of wholesale distribution, from sector forecasts and benchmarking to technology, talent, and channel strategy. Tools, Frameworks, or Strategies Mentioned:MDM's annual distribution forecast and benchmark reporting.Practical approaches to collaborative planning and forecasting between manufacturers, reps, and distributors.CRM and pipeline practices that give revenue leaders in distribution a clearer “ground truth” for planning.Leave a Review: Help us grow by sharing your thoughts on the show.Learn more about the LeadSmart AI B2B Sales Platform: https://www.leadsmarttech.com/ Join the conversation each week on LinkedIn Live.Want even more insight to the stories we discuss each week? Subscribe to the Around The Horn Newsletter.You can also hear the podcast and other excellent content on our YouTube Channel.Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or TikTok.

    Stuff That Interests Me
    Taxing Ourselves Into Oblivion

    Stuff That Interests Me

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 9:59


    I was having breakfast with my son, daughter-in-law and grand child earlier in the week. He is 25, she is 24, and baby is 5 weeks old.They're both pretty successful in their jobs - both in sales, on commission, so very much performance-based - and they both work very hard. They are ambitious. They want a big house with a big family, and plenty of money to live off. Pretty normal ambitions, really, and once upon a time not so impossible to achieve.I'm extremely proud of them both for having gone against the grain and had their first child so young. I'm also proud of how they have both adapted to parenthood. They live with me, so I see every day how utterly devoted they are, how much effort they put in, how they are learning and flourishing. The way Millie has thrown herself into motherhood and totally dedicated herself to her child is a thing to behold. Breast feeding on demand, everything. It really is a joy to see.Because they've started a family young, there is a very real chance they will go on to have a very big family. They both say that is what they want. My son, Samuel, has now gone back to work, while Millie is on maternity leave. But having both made several successful deals, and with a backlog of outstanding commission coming payable too, they found themselves between them paying £26,000 of taxes last month - 50% of the £53,000 they earned was taken, when you factor in the student loans they have to repay. (They might get some of that back at the end of the year).To earn that kind of money in a month at such a young age is just brilliant - I see how hard both of them work, the hours they put in, early morning after early morning, late night after late night, the persistence - and I'm proud of them. It is not easy. None of their university colleagues are doing anything like as well, at least in financial terms.With the bonanza month they both had, they could have paid off significant chunks of their student loans. But no such luck. The tax man cometh first.Meanwhile, they are so far from being able to buy a house for their young family - not just in the area they grew up, but anywhere in Greater London - it's a joke. I like having them live with me, don't get me wrong, but the fact that even a couple as successful as this are miles away from owning a property of reasonable enough size to start a family makes my blood boil.We live in a Victorian terraced house in South London that was built 150 years ago for a working-class man and his family. Yet a working-class man could never afford to buy this house now, even though it's 150 years old - never mind the highest-earning couple in their peer group.The most commonly given reason why people do not have bigger families earlier in life is expense. And what is the greatest expense in your life? Altogether now, “your government”. By far and away. Lower that expense and people will have bigger families again, earlier in life. (Even the cost of housing itself - the second biggest expense in a typical life - would come down with less government - less planning permission, less building regulation, less market intervention for political ends, less fiat and so on).Quite a few of the houses in our street are owned by the council. An old lady who lived in one of them recently died, and her house was given to a Somali family. So the taxes that Samuel and Millie are paying, and would like to have been able to use towards their own family, are being used to house another family not just from another country, but another continent never mind another culture. I've no doubt their needs are great. They get the house they need. We pay. How many more families not from the UK are we expected to sponsor - and delay/minimize our own procreation for?We are literally taxing our own to enable to the procreation of others. As I say in the title, we are taxing ourselves into oblivion.“Have you ever known taxes to actually go down?” My son asked me.“Well,” I said. “They came down a bit in 1980s under Thatcher”.It might feel relatively recent to me, but that was a good 15 years - half a generation - before my son was born in 2000. And even under Thatcher and Reagan, it's worth remembering, the state actually grew.The state continued to grow in the 90s and 00s, and, by the time you factor in all the various stealth taxes that got introduced, not least fiscal drag - perhaps the most odious of the lot - as well as currency debasement, so did taxes.Now, because of fiscal drag, you see teachers paying higher rates of Income Tax. It's not in any way exceptional in London to earn more than 50 grand. You haven't got a hope of having any kind of lifestyle, if you don't. I dread to think how many Londoners - those that work hard at least - are paying higher rates of tax. And for what?What chance do these people have of buying a home and starting a family?And all this money is being taken to spent on what, exactly? Not potholes, that's for sure.I think the question my son was really asking was, “Is there any chance taxes come down?”Well, if you look at Britain since World War II - actually since World War I - the growth in the state has been relentless and inexorable. So the rise in taxes we must pay has been inexorable. I'm not just talking about Income Tax. As I say, I'm talking about all the stealth taxes and debasement of currency as well. Is there any realistic chance they'll come down? Liz Truss only tried to slash government spending by two and a half percent. And look what that did.It's incredible to think that at the turn of the 20th century taxation - or the state - amounted to less than 10% of GDP.Even if Reform were to win the next election, how would they realistically cut state spending by more than a couple or three percent? The institutional resistance - the blob, the civil service, the quangos, the media - would fight them at every turn. In short, taxes are unlikely to come down by anything meaningful.We cannot get this country purged until the currency collapses. That's the only way I see it happening. It's very sad. If you live in a Third World Country such as the UK, I urge you to own gold or silver. The pound is going to be further devalued. The bullion dealer I recommend is The Pure Gold Company. Pricing is competitive, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, the US, Canada and Europe or you can store your gold with them. More here.My son, who is not particularly political, observes the absurdity of it: many people who build wealth, the most productive and talented, are leaving because of high taxes, and we replace net contributors with net takers. The country is systematically driving away the people who create value while importing those who consume it. It's economic suicide by design.As readers of Daylight Robbery will know, I regard taxation as the best measure of freedom there is. The more heavily taxed societies - where obviously there is limited economic freedom - tend to be the societies where there is limited freedom of speech, freedom of movement, freedom of thought, freedom to experiment and all the rest of it.Freedom of movement in the UK is limited by the cost of movement - whether it's transport costs, petrol costs, Stamp Duty, fines, charges, new mileage taxes - all reduce movement. They're all a tax. There might not be laws preventing movement in the way there once were if you were, say, a serf, but taxes give you a similar outcome. They restrict movement - and thus possibility - because people cannot afford to move.You don't need me to demonstrate how freedom of both thought and speech are being attacked. The two-tier justice system sees people committing violent crimes getting released early - indeed often not even getting convicted - while people who just said words get locked up.I'm sorry to say it, but I don't think even Farage and Reform can turn this one around, particularly when Farage is watering a lot of his policies down in order to give the media less to smear him with, and make himself more electorally palatable. Starmer did something not so totally dissimilar.And if something should happen to Farage, what then? What would Reform be without him? I like Richard Tice a lot, but there is not exactly a huge queue of people waiting to fill Farage's boots.Tell someone about this great article.So I come back to my point that I've made on these pages many times. If you are young and wanting to build a good life for yourself, and you want to be rewarded for the hard work you put in, your chance of doing that in the UK is limited. You're best off going somewhere else. Sorry to sound negative. There are many things to be positive about in this world, but the future of taxation and freedom in the UK is not one of them.Remember the golden rule of Daylight Robbery: fix taxation, everything else follows.But there is no sign of us doing that.Until next time,DominicICYMI, here is this week's commentary - also prepping for the North American tax loss trade.And, finally, I appeared on the mighty Tom Woods Show this week. I love Tom, and he is fast becoming one of my best buddies. Here are links to the interview on Apple podcasts, Spotify and YouTube. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast
    Heather du Plessis-Allan: I'm confident for the economy in 2026

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 1:35 Transcription Available


    If you weren't already feeling confident about 2026, I've got two reasons you should. At least two major retail banks see signs of an economic recovery and we have a new Reserve Bank Governor. No pressure on Anna Breman, but she hasn't arrived a day too soon given that the old lot were still managing to stuff things up until literally the last chance they had, with Christian Hawkesby saying the wrong thing and sending wholesale market rates, and therefore fixed term interest rates, up by 30 basis points. To be fair to him, he was only the fill in. And if we're honest with ourselves it's more hope than certainty that the Swedish import will be any better than Hawkesby or Adrian Orr. But then again you could argue it really would be hard to be worse given the last four years. But we're here for the good news. The good news is that Anna Breman arriving as the new broom coincides with ASB, and now Kiwibank, all saying it's on. They're seeing signs of a recovery for 2026. Kiwibank's call arguably matters more than the others because they've been the gloomiest. They were calling for more rate cuts than the Reserve Bank was prepared for. They were warning it was more grim out there than the Wellington bankers realised. They were right. So here's hoping they are right again when they say sales are already up, and when sales go up, everything else follows. House prices are up 2-3% next year. The economy is growing 2.4% and then it's 3% the next year. I don't know about you but that combo - a new person in charge of the central bank and growing consensus that the recovery is now on - is probably the best Christmas present i could wish for. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast
    Cameron Bagrie: Independent Economist on Kiwibank blaming the Reserve Bank for rising interest rates

    The Mike Hosking Breakfast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2025 3:18 Transcription Available


    Kiwibank says it's on with a 2.4% GDP increase for 2026. But the bank has joined the chorus blaming the Reserve Bank for messing up the communications leading to increased fixed-term rates at the major retail banks. Independent Economist Cameron Bagrie told Heather du Plessis-Allan that the economy is slowly stabilising, and because of that interest rates don't need to be as low. "When you turn the corner, interest rates don't need to be as low." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    The Dentist Money™ Show | Financial Planning & Wealth Management
    #719: Two Cents of 12/13 - New Fed Projections; SAVE Plan Update; Shifts in the Dental Workforce

    The Dentist Money™ Show | Financial Planning & Wealth Management

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2025 52:59


    Welcome to Dentist Money Two Cents, a look at the latest financial and economic news from the past week.
 On this episode of Dentist Money's Two Cents, Matt, Taylor, and Rabih break down the Federal Reserve's latest projections, what slower GDP growth means for interest rates, and how current economic conditions affect the dental industry. They also talk about shifts in the dental workforce and address upcoming changes to student loan repayment as the SAVE plan nears its end. Learn more about the Dentist Money Launchpad Program, join the waitlist to learn everything you didn't learn about money in dental school through a series of live courses built exclusively for D4s and recent grads! Book a free consultation with a CFP® advisor who only works with dentists. Get an objective financial assessment and learn how Dentist Advisors can help you live your rich life.

    American Thought Leaders
    Future of European Security and Russia-Ukraine Peace Efforts: Latvia Foreign Minister Baiba Braze

    American Thought Leaders

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 47:59


    Amidst ongoing U.S. efforts to mediate a Russia–Ukraine peace and the release of a new U.S. national security strategy that has sent shockwaves through Europe, I'm sitting down with the foreign minister of Latvia, Baiba Braze, to get her unique perspective.Latvia is a small Baltic country bordering Estonia, Lithuania, Belarus, and Russia. In the 1940s, the Soviets occupied Latvia and its neighboring countries—a reality that has made Latvia hyper-vigilant against potential Russian expansionism.Latvia joined both the EU and NATO in 2004, alongside Lithuania and Estonia.Latvia is one of the few NATO countries that spends considerably more than 2 percent of its GDP per year on its military.“We keep reminding [other NATO countries] that it's possible to do that, and we are showing you as our example. In our case, it's 5 percent hard defense capabilities,” Braze said.Latvia is working to reallocate state funding to hit a target of 4.91 percent of GDP in defense spending by 2026 and 5 percent in subsequent years.In our wide-ranging interview, Braze discusses the Ukraine war, how she sees a potential peace agreement taking shape, and how pressure can be mounted on Russia. She's traveled four times to Ukraine in the 18 months since her appointment as Latvia's minister of foreign affairs.Views expressed in this video are opinions of the host and the guest, and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.

    Real Vision Presents...
    Global Market Mixed Moves, Fed Rate Cut Boosts Dow, and BOE Cut Hopes Rise: PALvatar Market Recap, December 12 2025

    Real Vision Presents...

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 3:23


    ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar breaks down a mixed global market session driven by fresh economic data and central bank signals. U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly jumped while a Fed rate cut sent the Dow soaring. Europe saw modest gains on hopes of a Bank of England cut after soft GDP data, with German inflation holding steady. Asian markets were similarly mixed, highlighted by a strong Nikkei and weakness in Hong Kong's tech sector.

    Coffee House Shots
    ‘Growth is not Labour's priority, it's hilarious'

    Coffee House Shots

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 13:28


    The British economy is shrinking. Figures just released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that GDP fell by 0.1 per cent in the three months to October. The contraction came after growth of 0.1 per cent in the three months to September. On a monthly basis, the economy shrank by 0.1 per cent in both September and October after remaining flat in August. Is growth really Labour's priority? And what impact is all this doom and gloom having inside the party?Lucy Dunn speaks to James Heale and Tim Shipman.Produced by Oscar Edmondson.Become a Spectator subscriber today to access this podcast without adverts. Go to spectator.co.uk/adfree to find out more.For more Spectator podcasts, go to spectator.co.uk/podcasts.Contact us: podcast@spectator.co.uk Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    80,000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin
    AI could let a few people control everything — permanently (article by Rose Hadshar)

    80,000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 60:10


    Power is already concentrated today: over 800 million people live on less than $3 a day, the three richest men in the world are worth over $1 trillion, and almost six billion people live in countries without free and fair elections.This is a problem in its own right. There is still substantial distribution of power though: global income inequality is falling, over two billion people live in electoral democracies, no country earns more than a quarter of GDP, and no company earns as much as 1%.But in the future, advanced AI could enable much more extreme power concentration than we've seen so far.Many believe that within the next decade the leading AI projects will be able to run millions of superintelligent AI systems thinking many times faster than humans. These systems could displace human workers, leading to much less economic and political power for the vast majority of people; and unless we take action to prevent it, they may end up being controlled by a tiny number of people, with no effective oversight. Once these systems are deployed across the economy, government, and the military, whatever goals they're built to have will become the primary force shaping the future. If those goals are chosen by the few, then a small number of people could end up with the power to make all of the important decisions about the future.This article by Rose Hadshar explores this emerging challenge in detail. You can see all the images and footnotes in the original article on the 80,000 Hours website.Chapters:Introduction (00:00)Summary (02:15)Section 1: Why might AI-enabled power concentration be a pressing problem? (07:02)Section 2: What are the top arguments against working on this problem? (45:02)Section 3: What can you do to help? (56:36)Narrated by: Dominic ArmstrongAudio engineering: Dominic Armstrong and Milo McGuireMusic: CORBIT

    The Tara Show

    In this explosive episode, we dive into the shocking reality of terrorist entry, narcoterrorism, and U.S. border policy under the Biden administration, plus a look at Trump's economic record and trade victories. Highlights include:

    OH GOD, WHAT NOW? Formerly Remainiacs
    Trump to Europe: “Drop Dead”

    OH GOD, WHAT NOW? Formerly Remainiacs

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 61:11


    America's new National Security Strategy is a hellish concoction of far-right obsessions, paranoid conspiracy thought, imperial fantasy, and outright aggression. European leaders are horrified but what are they going to do about it? Plus: Glasgow South MP Gordon McKee explains the UK's debt to GDP ratio using towers of custard creams and bourbons. But can you make politics too simple? And in the Extra Bit for Patreons, we talk about Netflix's real goal in trying to buy Warners: to kill off cinema. 

    The Real Power Family Radio Show
    Financial Friday - Deficits DO Matter

    The Real Power Family Radio Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 55:12


    FF: Deficits DO Matter! We talk about holiday spending in the U.S. and Canada, which can add to the monthly deficit and overall debt for the consumer. Governments are continuously increases their debt and running deficits every year. While some may say that deficits don't matter or "in the long run, we'll all be dead," but the truth is that the only way to increase the monetary supply without inflation is to create enough value to account for the increase. That is not what is going on in the world today. The government deficit is added to GDP, but the government isn't actually producing anything, so the calculation for GDP is seriously flawed. The greatest trick the Fed ever did was to convince the world that 2% inflation was good. It just makes it take more currency to get the goods and services you need and steals your purchasing power. We talk about how you can plan ahead to make your world a better place! Sponsors: American Gold Exchange Our dealer for precious metals & the exclusive dealer of Real Power Family silver rounds (which we finally got in!!!). Get your first, or next bullion order from American Gold Exchange like we do. Tell them the Real Power Family sent you! Click on this link to get a FREE Starters Guide. Or Click Here to order our new Real Power Family silver rounds. 1 Troy Oz 99.99% Fine Silver Abolish Property Taxes in Ohio: www.AxOHTax.com  Get more information about abolishing all property taxes in Ohio. Our Links: www.RealPowerFamily.com Info@ClearSkyTrainer.com 833-Be-Do-Have (833-233-6428)

    The Tara Show
    “Trump's 3.5% GDP Miracle & Outmaneuvering the World

    The Tara Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 9:40


    The economy is roaring — and nobody's talking about it. This episode dives into:

    The Tara Show
    H3: “Trump Takes on Biden, Borders & the Global Cartel

    The Tara Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 32:00


    OECD
    COGITO Talks… From vanishing villages to vital visions: The future of rural Kazakhstan

    OECD

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 21:13


    Rural populations are shrinking. In 11 of the 29 OECD countries included in the OECD Reinforcing Rural Resilience report (https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/reinforcing-rural-resilience_7cd485e3-en.html), rural populations are declining, not only as percentage of national populations but also in absolute numbers. Rural regions close to cities are also exposed to this trend, particularly if their populations tend more easily to move to urban areas. Despite not being an OECD Member country, Kazakhstan is experiencing similar trends. During the Soviet Union, its urban population was 53% but today that percentage has increased to 63%. Now only 37% of its population is living in rural areas, with only 5% of its GDP coming from the agricultural sector. Discussing all things decentralisation, digitalisation and democracy in Kazakhstan, Shayne MacLachlan from the OECD has a conversation with Zhanerke Kochiigit. This conversation took place at the 2025 OECD Latin American Rural Development Conference, Rural-Urban Connections: Pathways to Sustainable Development (https://www.oecd.org/en/events/2025/11/oecd-latin-american-rural-development-conference.html) in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Have a listen. Zhanerke Kochiigit is a researcher in Nazarbayev University, located in Astana, Kazakhstan. She works in the Graduate School of Public Policy and is dedicated to studying rural development in northern regions of Kazakhstan, where there is very low population density. Her recent papers include: "Analysis of Migration Processes and Recommendations on Regulation of Internal Migration from Southern to Northern Regions of Kazakhstan" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/345845312_Analysis_of_Migration_Processes_and_Recommendations_on_Regulation_of_Internal_Migration_from_Southern_to_Northern_Regions_of_Kazakhstan?_tp=eyJjb250ZXh0Ijp7ImZpcnN0UGFnZSI6InByb2ZpbGUiLCJwYWdlIjoicHJvZmlsZSJ9fQ and " Actual aspects of population migration from labor surplus to the labor-deficit regions of Kazakhstan and state regulation of migration processes" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328552379_Actual_aspects_of_population_migration_from_labor_surplus_to_the_labor-deficit_regions_of_Kazakhstan_and_state_regulation_of_migration_processes. She previously worked at Eli Lilly and Company as a Product Manager. https://www.linkedin.com/in/zhanerke-kochiigit-7ab130b9/?originalSubdomain=kz **** To learn more, visit OECD Latin American Rural Development Conference https://www.oecd.org/en/events/2025/11/oecd-latin-american-rural-development-conference.html and the OECD's work on Rural Development https://www.oecd.org/en/topics/policy-issues/rural-development.html. Find out more on these topics by reading Reinforcing Rural Resilience https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/reinforcing-rural-resilience_7cd485e3-en.html and Rural Innovation Pathways https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/rural-innovation-pathways_c86de0f4-en.html. To learn more about the OECD, our global reach, and how to join us, go to www.oecd.org/about/ To keep up with latest at the OECD, visit www.oecd.org/ Get the latest OECD content delivered directly to your inbox! Subscribe to our newsletters: www.oecd.org/newsletters

    商业就是这样
    Vol.236 1万亿美元!马斯克的天价薪酬有多大可能实现?

    商业就是这样

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 38:36


    2025年11月,特斯拉的股东投票通过了CEO马斯克的最新薪酬方案,如果实现了这份方案里的所有目标,马斯克在未来十年,可以获得累计1万亿美元的薪酬。这个数字不仅远超此前上市公司高管的薪酬纪录(此前这个纪录也属于马斯克),甚至可以在全球上市公司里排名前10。要拿到这笔钱,特斯拉届时的市值要达到8.5万亿美元,这个数字可以拍到全球GDP第三。比万亿美元更有趣的是,这个超乎想象的数字之所以被提出,是因为此前特斯拉给马斯克提供的一份薪酬,被法院否决了。于是特斯拉提出了一个更夸张的方案。| 主播 |肖文杰、约小亚| 时间轴 |02:31 这份方案之所以诞生,是因为上一份方案被否决04:07 12级台阶的“白金成就”08:27 EBITDA小课堂13:15 特拉华州的衡平法院可不一般17:15 “压倒性的影响力”22:27 谁支持,谁反对26:32 这份方案里比数字更反常的一个条款30:01 创始人CEO的悖论35:17 这份方案赌的只是特斯拉吗?| 延伸资料 |特斯拉董事会关于马斯克薪酬方案的公告https://ir.tesla.com/_flysystem/s3/sec/000093807625000017/fsbateslase-gen.pdf马斯克前后两份薪酬对比https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2025/09/29/the-trillion-dollar-man-comparing-musks-2018-pay-plan-to-his-latest-tesla-award/特拉华州衡平法院对2018版薪酬的判决https://law.justia.com/cases/delaware/court-of-chancery/2019/ca-2018-0408-jrs.html| 后期制作 |潘鑫| 声音设计 |刘三菜| 收听方式 |你可以通过小宇宙、苹果播客、Spotify、喜马拉雅、网易云音乐、QQ 音乐、荔枝、豆瓣等平台收听节目。| 认识我们 |微信公众号:第一财经 YiMagazine联系我们:thatisbiz@yicai.com

    Thoughts on the Market
    Asia's Economy and Markets in 2026

    Thoughts on the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 8:32


    Our Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya and Chief China Equity Strategist Laura Wang unpack Asia's broadening economic recovery and focus on China's path to market stability in 2026.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Laura Wang: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley's Chief China Equity Strategist.Chetan Ahya: And I'm Chetan Ahya, Chief Asia Economist.Laura Wang: Today – our 2026 macro outlook for Asia with a particular focus on China's equity market.It's Wednesday, December 10th at 10am in Hong Kong.Chetan, as 2025 draws to a close; and if we try to remember what we were thinking about this time last year, I think, probably a lot of the market participants were expecting headwinds going into 2025 on the exports and trade front. But turns out that Asia's export growth is tracking at 8 percent this year so far. What's your explanation for this surprise?Chetan Ahya: Well, yes, Laura, you know, we were all concerned that there will potentially be tariffs, especially on China. And therefore, we were concerned that [the] regions' exports may be affected negatively. However, what has happened is that tech exports have driven the strength in the overall exports for the region. And that is all because of the story on AI and tech development that we have all been watching.But the good news is that non-tech exports will recover in 2026. In fact, that's the key call we are making – that from early next year, you will see that improvement in the U.S. domestic demand that helps Asia's exports. And at the same time, we are expecting that bulk of this tariff-related uncertainty would be behind us. And so those are the two factors we think will support this recovery in non-tech exports in 2026.Laura Wang: That's great. How significant is the shift in exports from tech to non-tech?Chetan Ahya: Well, we think that's very important for [the] regions' economic outlook. Because when you think about the tech exports recovery, it was helpful to keep [the] regions' overall exports growth strong, but it did not have the broader multiplier effect on the economy. So, for example, when you think about the tech exports, it tends to be more capital intensive, and we don't see much benefit on job growth.I think the best example I can give you is when you look at the Taiwan economic numbers. We've seen very strong GDP growth year-to-date. But at the same time, consumption numbers have been very weak. And so, non-tech exports recovery is very important for the broader economic recovery, and that is precisely what we expect in 2026. You will see that broadening out of growth with follow up in CapEx, job growth, and consumption recovery.Laura Wang: Your work suggests that Asia inflation will pick up modestly in 2026. What factors are behind this trend?Chetan Ahya: Well, as the non-tech exports recovery materializes, you should see improvement in capacity utilization across the board in the region. That should reduce the disinflationary pressures that we've been seeing year-to-date. And at the same time, we are expecting that the disinflationary pressures that the region was facing from China is also going to ease in 2026.Laura Wang: How will Asia central banks respond to keep inflation within their comfort zones? And what does this mean for monetary policy across the region in 2026?Chetan Ahya: Well actually, there's not much concern about keeping the inflation within the central bank's comfort zone because what we've seen year-to-date in Asia is that Inflation has been much lower than the central bank's target for a number of economies in the region. And they have been responding to this with more interest rate cuts.But going forward, as disinflationary pressure is reduced, we are expecting that the central banks in the region would end their rate cutting cycle. We should see just about one to two more rate cuts for some of the central banks. And then policy rates should remain largely stable through to the end of 2026.So, Laura, let me come to you now. So, 2025 was a very strong year for China markets. And you see 2026 as a ‘keep it steady' year rather than a breakout year. What does stability look like for investors and companies?Laura Wang: That's right, 2025 was a very good year for China equity market. We saw both MSCI China and Han Sang Index delivering more than 30 percent return in absolute terms. Going into 2026, we see it as a year for investors and for the market to preserve and protect what has been achieved in 2025 so far, but not with significantly much higher upside at this point. This is because the valuation re-reading we've seen so far in 2025 is already more than 30 percent, close to 40 percent.In [20]26, we think the valuation will largely stay at its current level, and further upside for the market will be more driven by solid earnings growth. For 2026, we see MSCI China's earnings growth year-on-year at around 6 percent.Chetan Ahya: So, with that backdrop, Laura, do you expect more inflows into the market next year?Laura Wang: Absolutely. Actually, we have already talked to so many investors on a global basis, and we are seeing much higher level of interest in investing in Chinese equities, particularly in some R&D and innovation heavy sectors.That being said, what we are seeing also is relatively light positioning by global investors in Chinese equities – actually across the board, still a quite sizable underweight, which means there will be much higher room for them to increase their allocation gradually in 2026 back to China.Chetan Ahya: And with the U.S.-China tensions easing a bit, and China doubling down on AI and smart manufacturing, where do you see the real-world opportunities from that?Laura Wang: There will be a lot of opportunities inside Chinese equity market, but we do want to stay with the names that will be delivering very solid earnings growth in the next few years. And we also want to highlight the next five years growth strategy laid out by Chinese policy makers.We want to make sure that we focus on the sectors that are very well aligned with the national growth strategy with a strong focus in R&D and innovation – and that would include AI as well as smart manufacturing, automation, robotics, and biotech. We also have collected very high level of interest from global investors in these sectors.At the same time, as we start to see less deflation pressure in 2026, but still with it potentially persisting into 2027, we want investors to still hold on to some exposure to high quality dividend plays. The steady cash returns from these stocks will help you navigate through some volatilities in the market in next year.Chetan Ahya: So, you expect global investors returning, mainland investors shifting money from savings into stocks, and strong cross-border trading within Hong Kong. What does that mean for market behavior and thematic opportunities?Laura Wang: One very positive development we have observed in 2025 is the strong capital market activities in Hong Kong. Hong Kong at single stock exchange basis actually is the most active IPO market in the world in 2025, and with policy support for Hong Kong to continue as a global financial hub, we expect this trend to continue. So, we are seeing more and more capital market activities happening in Hong Kong and mainland China in the next year. And in terms of thematic opportunities, I already mentioned that opportunities align with the national growth strategy with very heavy innovation and R&D focus. Along these opportunities, we're also heavy recommending investors to focus on thematic opportunities such as anti-evolution, as well as corporate governance reform.That summarizes our New Year outlook for Asia economy as well as China equity market. Chetan, thanks so much for taking the time to talk to me.Chetan Ahya: Great speaking with you, Laura.Laura Wang: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

    The Dividend Cafe
    Wednesday - December 10, 2025

    The Dividend Cafe

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 7:36


    Post-FOMC Meeting Market Reaction and Economic Outlook - December 10, 2023 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from The Bahnsen Group in Newport Beach discusses the market's reactions to the Federal Reserve's recent actions. On December 10th, 2023, the Federal Reserve concluded its FOMC meeting, cutting rates by 25 basis points and adding to its balance sheet, which boosted both the stock and bond markets. The Dow closed up 497 points, with the S&P and Nasdaq also showing gains. Szytel explains the significance of the steepening yield curve, which signals positive economic growth, and reviews the Federal Reserve's future interest rate expectations, unemployment, inflation, and GDP projections. The episode also addresses an op-ed by Muhammad Al Arian regarding the restructuring of The Fed. Overall, the episode provides an optimistic outlook on short-term risk assets and the economy. 00:00 Welcome to Dividend Cafe 00:16 Federal Reserve Meeting Insights 00:48 Market Reactions and Performance 01:25 Understanding Yield Curves 03:28 Economic Projections and Fed Actions 04:30 Op-Ed Discussion and Final Thoughts 05:17 Conclusion and Upcoming Topics Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    Lets Have This Conversation
    Igniting An Evolution of Organizational Excellence Through Emotional Wellness with: Hanna Bauer

    Lets Have This Conversation

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 45:26


    Employee Engagement on the Brink In 2024, the globalpercentage of engaged employees fell from 23% to 21%. Engagement has only losttwice in the past 12 years, in 2020 and 2024. Last year's two-point drop inengagement was equal to the decline during the year of COVID-19 lockdowns andshelter-in-place orders.  According to the latest State of the GlobalWorkplace 2025 report, released by Gallup. $9.6 trillion in productivity could be added to theeconomy if the global workforce were fully engaged.That would represent a 9% increase in global GDP. But ifleaders seize the moment, a productivity opportunity awaits. In fact, someorganizations are already enjoying the benefits of a highly engaged workforce.Manager engagement is the key to reversing declining productivity, improvingemployee well-being, and unlocking trillions in economic potential.As Founder of HEARTnomics, Hanna Bauer equips top teams with actionablestrategies to build cultures of resilience and clarity. She is among just 20global Faculty Members for Maxwell Leadership, travelling internationally totrain executive teams in leadership that connects people and performance.Hanna's career includes being a former CEO who led her company toGovernor-recognized success, as well as blazing a trail as the first woman to chairthe Board of Ser Familia.Her work resonates with thousands of leaders andprofessionals online, but Hanna's approach remains incredibly genuine anddown-to-earth. Her speaking style is engaging, relatable, and deeply rooted inpersonal experience and decades of cross-industry leadership.Implementation ExcellenceIt's about having the solutions and knowing how tointegrate the right solutions successfully. Executed with love, you can learnhow excellence becomes vital for delivering quality services that fostercustomer retention and acquisition. She joined me thisweek to tell me more. For more information: https://heartnomics.com/Follow: @HannaBauer

    Associates on Fire: A Financial Podcast for the Associate Dentist

    In this episode of the Dental Boardroom Podcast, host Wes Read, CPA and financial advisor at Practice CFO, is joined by Brandon Hobson and Paul for their quarterly deep dive into the stock market, global economy, and what dentists and practice owners should prepare for as 2026 approaches.The episode covers:The Federal Reserve's rate movements and expected leadership changeWhether the current AI wave is a bubble or a true productivity revolutionThe future relevance of the traditional 60/40 investment strategyHow economic shifts impact dentists' borrowing, practice finances, and patient spendingPractice CFO's investment outlook and positioning for 2026A must-listen for dental entrepreneurs and investors navigating today's unpredictable financial landscape.Key Topics & Takeaways1. Federal Reserve Update & Interest RatesCurrent Fed Funds Rate: 3.75%–4%, with another 0.25% cut expected soon.Kevin Hassett is the likely replacement for Jerome Powell in 2026 potentially a more politically influenced choice.Concerns about Fed independence rising due to political pressure.Rate cuts stimulate borrowing but risk inflation if overdone.Importance for dentists:Affects practice loans, buildouts, refinancing, and equipment financing.Impacts patient discretionary spending, especially in cosmetic dentistry.2. Stagflation Risk?Inflation appears stable around the mid-2% range.Unemployment creeping toward 4%.Risk emerges if inflation rises while unemployment increases = “stagflation.”Not yet alarming, but the rate of change is what matters.3. GDP & Economic StrengthU.S. GDP last reading (Q2): 3.8%, stronger than expected.Global GDP remains surprisingly strong despite trade tensions.Q3 & Q4 readings delayed due to government shutdown but expected to stay positive.4. AI: Bubble or Breakthrough?Big tech's AI infrastructure spend expected to hit $3 trillion by 2028.53% of investors believe we are in an AI bubble.OpenAI & NVIDIA valuations are 30–40× revenue, compared to Walmart at 1.3×.MIT study: 95% of companies currently see no ROI from AI.Major concerns:Revenue lag vs. massive AI investmentCircular funding structures (promising investments without cash to fulfill them)Big tech taking on debt to fund AI (Meta's off-balance-sheet financing)Parallel drawn to the dot-com era huge innovation + huge speculative hype.5. What About the Magnificent Seven?High valuations and interconnected dependence create contagion risk.NVIDIA's unusually high profit margins may attract new competition.Some tech (like Google, Meta) still offers strong fundamentals & cash flow.But investors should avoid blindly overweighting tech indexes.6. Is the Classic 60/40 Portfolio Back?After years of underperformance, value stocks and quality companies are regaining momentum.PracticeCFO's positioning:Lower tech exposure (15–18% vs. S&P 35–40%)Higher weight in value, quality, and cash-flow-focused companies20–40% international stocks for diversificationAI benefits will extend to all sectors consumer staples may monetize AI faster and cheaper than...

    Radio Sweden
    Nobel Prizes, GDP down, Swedes could be hit by new US tourism rules, modern Christmas classic written in Malmö

    Radio Sweden

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 2:19


    A round-up of the main headlines in Sweden on December 10th 2025. You can hear more reports on our homepage www.radiosweden.se, or in the app Sveriges Radio. Presenter/Producer: Kris Boswell

    Pitchfork Economics with Nick Hanauer
    From Abundance to Enshittification: 2025's Must-Read Economics Books

    Pitchfork Economics with Nick Hanauer

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2025 31:14


    This week, Paul and Goldy look back at the most notable economics books of the year. They discuss Ezra Klein and David Thompson's Abundance, Cory Doctorow's blistering Enshittification, Thomas Piketty's new works on inequality, Diane Coyle's fresh take on GDP, and the overlooked history behind the Garland Fund. Whether you're hunting for a holiday gift for the wonk in the family or looking to understand the ideas driving today's political economy, this episode is full of must-reads.  Must-Read Economics Books 2025 Abundance by Ezra Klein and David Thompson Enshittification: Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It by Cory Doctorow Equality Is a Struggle by Thomas Piketty Nature, Culture, and Inequality by Thomas Piketty Equality: What It Means and Why It Matters by Thomas Piketty and Michael J. Sandel The Measure of Progress: Counting What Really Matters by Diane Coyle The Radical Fund: How a Band of Visionaries and a Million Dollars Upended America by John Fabian Witt Honorable Mention Ricardo's Dream: How Economists Forgot the Real World and Led Us Astray By Nat Dyer  Why Information Grows: The Evolution of Order, from Atoms to Economies by Cesar Hidalgo  Coming Up Short: A Memoir of My America by Robert Reisch  Mood Machine: The Rise of Spotify and the Costs of the Perfect Playlist Liz Pelly  Other Books Mentioned in Episode Homelessness is a Housing Problem by Greg Colburn & Clayton Page Aldern Why Nothing Works: Who Killed Progress--And How to Bring It Back by Marc Dunkelman Capital in the 21st Century by Thomas Piketty The Gardens of Democracy: A New American Story of Citizenship, the Economy, and the Role of Government by Nick Hanauer & Eric Liu  Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx  Website: http://pitchforkeconomics.com Facebook: Pitchfork Economics Podcast Bluesky: @pitchforkeconomics.bsky.social Instagram: @pitchforkeconomics Threads: pitchforkeconomics TikTok: @pitchfork_econ YouTube: @pitchforkeconomics LinkedIn: Pitchfork Economics Twitter: @PitchforkEcon, @NickHanauer Substack: ⁠The Pitch⁠

    The David McWilliams Podcast
    The Great Affordability Lie?

    The David McWilliams Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2025 35:46


    Around the world, people feel poorer, even when the numbers say we've never been richer. In Ireland, GDP is soaring, household wealth has more than doubled since 2014, and yet most families are pinned to their collar. Why? Because the official poverty line is €33,600, but it now takes at least €52,000 a year just to stay afloat. That's a 40% gap between what's measured and what's felt. Rent has passed €2,000 a month, groceries are up 16% in a year, childcare can cost over €1,000 monthly, and still we're told the economy is “booming.” Inspired by Michael Green's viral Substack and Kyla Scanlon's “vibecession,” we unpack the growing chasm between income and cost, and how it's fuelling backlash, burnout, and political blowback from New York to Newbridge. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    Real Vision Presents...
    Fed Rate Cut Odds, Global Data Surprises, and Crypto Momentum: PALvatar Market Recap, December 08 2025

    Real Vision Presents...

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2025 5:00


    ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar highlights a pivotal week ahead as markets brace for a widely expected Fed rate cut, though economists anticipate an unusually contentious meeting. Global data surprised, with Germany's industrial production jumping and China's trade surplus surpassing $1 trillion, while Japan posted a sharp GDP contraction. Crypto markets surged, bitcoin reclaimed $92,000, and Binance secured approval to relocate its headquarters to Abu Dhabi.

    The Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed
    Chicks on the Right: Can Mass Deportations Fix The Economy For Good?

    The Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2025 16:22


    In today's episode, the Chicks sit down with Bulwark Capital's Zach Abraham to break down a viral interview with Federal Reserve Governor about Trump's plan for mass deportations and what it could mean for inflation, GDP, housing, and the long-term U.S. economy. Zach explains why removing millions of Biden-era illegal immigrants could create disinflation, reduce crime […]

    Mock and Daisy's Common Sense Cast
    Can Mass Deportations Fix The Economy For Good?

    Mock and Daisy's Common Sense Cast

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2025 16:22 Transcription Available


    In today's episode, the Chicks sit down with Bulwark Capital's Zach Abraham to break down a viral interview with Federal Reserve Governor about Trump's plan for mass deportations and what it could mean for inflation, GDP, housing, and the long-term U.S. economy. Zach explains why removing millions of Biden-era illegal immigrants could create disinflation, reduce crime and government spending, and finally ease the pressure on the housing market. They also dig into the constitutional power of the executive branch, why the Fed has failed for decades, and how unchecked immigration fuels chaos at every level. Plus: Soros networks, globalism, sovereignty, assimilation, and raising “dragon killers” in a world gone mad.Get back to basics with Bulwark's Know Your Risk Portfolio Review—don't put it off, go to KnowYourRiskPodcast.com today.Subscribe and stay tuned for new episodes every weekday!Follow us here for more daily clips, updates, and commentary:YoutubeFacebookInstagramTikTokXLocalsMore Info