Podcasts about rbnz

In 2021, the combination of spiking interest rates, differential tax treatment, new RBNZ regulations, and the CCCFA, put and end to the residential property party. Although some of the sting's been taken out, many property investors are formulating a plan to exit, once any sign of life returns to the market. Where will they go?Provincia: Whether you're looking to invest, or you have a commercial property that needs better management - they the true one-stop shop for wholesale industrial investors. Check out Provincia.co.nz for more.Book in a free 15-min phone call with Darcy Ungaro (financial adviser).Sign up to the fortnightly newsletter!Thank You MyRent: See why residential property investors all over New Zealand are switching to myRent.Affiliate Links!The Bitcoin Adviser: Plan for intergenerational digital wealth. Hatch: For US markets.Revolut: For a new type of banking.Sharesies: For local, and international markets.Easy Crypto: To buy and sell digital assets.Loan My Coins: Bitcoin lending product.Exodus: Get rewards on your first $2,500 of swapsOnline courses:New Wealth Foundations: Personal finance from a wealth-builder's perspective.Take the free, 5-part online course Crypto 101: Crypto with Confidence Get Social:Check out the most watched/downloaded episodes hereFollow on YouTube , Instagram, TikTok: @theeverydayinvestor, X (@UngaroDarcy), LinkedIn.www.ungaro.co.nz________________________Disclaimer: Please act independently from any content provided in these episodes; it's not financial advice, because there's no accounting for your individual circumstances. Do your own research, and take a broad range of...

We should all thank Kelly Eckhold, a some-time participant on this show and most-of-the-time economist at Westpac, for his thinking around the future of the Reserve Bank. As I have said many times, if one good thing came out of Covid, it put the Reserve Bank, its role, and its influence front and centre for many more of us that may never really have paid attention to its workings and its ability to shape everyday aspects of our lives. Eckhold suggests the new governor put the inflation target a little higher than 1-3%. Historically we sit at about 2.5%, so chasing less than that can have a lot of effects you may, or may not, want. Do remember some inflation is good. You want inflation, you just don't want the amount we have had, and you want it produced from growth, not just cost-plus-accounting from councils and power companies. More importantly for me is the public accountability. The Quigley/Orr debacle shows you what can go on when public disclosure is not as fulsome as it could be. Eckhold wants the Monetary Committee vote made public. Good idea, so it should be. It's not often there is a divergence, but there has been lately. In fact, the last statement involved a 4-2 vote, which has never happened before. So why don't we know who they were and what they said? The rules as they stand mean a person on the committee can out themselves. But you will notice from last time that no one has. Why not? Next idea: a press conference should be held after each meeting, not just the ones that produce a cash rate call. I know I'm a wonk, but I cannot press enough the value of watching these things live. Not just the Reserve Bank, but opticians who these days, thanks to digital coverage of places like the Herald, run them in full routinely. The irony of that is you would be amazed what you learn, as opposed to what you may or may not learn from a news bulletin edited and often curtailed to a point of nonsense later in the day in a news bulletin. The best example is the Prime Minister's press conference on a Monday after Cabinet. So, more pressers, more transparency, which is more detail, more sunlight, more inquisition and more knowledge. What possibly could the Reserve Bank argue is wrong with that? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

THE BEST BITS IN A SILLIER PACKAGE (from Tuesday's Mike Hosking Breakfast) Show Your Working/Are Teachers Really Not Paid Enough?/Are the Rest of Us Really Not Paid Enough?/Yet Another Meaningless Poll/Just Your Everage GlennSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

FIRST WITH YESTERDAY'S NEWS (highlights from Monday on Newstalk ZB) Now's the Time to Sell High/Is Anybody In Charge?/Flying Absolutely Everywhere/When Did I Learn Another Language?/You Could Have Someone's Eye OutSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Western media continues to be complicit even as Israeli atrocities get slightly more coverage. In NZ more details come out about the FBI office - who is leading the country when security details are actively hidden from the PM? And there are serious questions to be asked about what's happening at the Reserve Bank.This episode's co-hostsPhilip, KyleTimestamps0:00 Opening 2:10 Israeli Atrocities and Western Media20:42 FBI Office29:48 Lost Optics34:54 Failing to Appeal38:46 The Reserve Bank53:12 Supermarkets1:00:54 ClosingIntro/Outro by The Prophet MotiveSupport us here: https://www.patreon.com/1of200

THE BEST BITS IN A SILLIER PACKAGE (from Monday's Mike Hosking Breakfast) Who Are the Inmates Exactly?/Don't You Listen to the News?/The Problem with Unions/The Problem with Weightloss Drugs/AnemophobiaSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

FIRST WITH YESTERDAY'S NEWS (highlights from the weekend on Newstalk ZB) We're Being Run By a Bunch of Headless Chooks/A Trolley Full of Broccoli/Rugby Is Not Safer than Soccer/Paperback Double FeatureSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Whether it's the government, international organisations, higher education, or the media, one of the defining dynamics of the social media age is the deteriorating trust in public institutions. It's extraordinary, really. At a time when humans are on the whole wealthier, healthier, and more dominant than at any other time in our species' history, we're more distrustful of the institutions that are supposed to serve us. Saturday Mornings is usually a monetary policy-free zone, and I promise to mostly keep it that way for now. But it was pretty remarkable at the close of play last night to see an announcement from the Finance Minister about the Chair of the Reserve Bank. Neil Quigley had resigned, effective immediately, following further revelations about his handling of former Governor Adrian Orr's departure. Nicola Willis confirmed to Newstalk ZB that if Quigley hadn't offered his resignation, she'd have asked for it. I don't expect everyone to follow all of the Reserve Bank dramas. But the long and short of it is that former Governor Adrian Orr got in a dispute with the government over the bank's funding. It turned into a showdown of sorts, the Reserve Bank Board raised concerns with him about his conduct (some of which he disputed), and after taking leave for a few days he ultimately resigned. But instead of being absolutely transparent about the dispute and what had actually happened, the RBNZ Chair Neil Quigley told media that Orr had resigned for “personal reasons”. If this was just some rando then no harm no foul. But Adrian Orr was the Governor of the Reserve Bank, one of the most powerful public servants in the country. His pen stroke and the decisions of his Monetary Policy Committee could be the difference between thousands or hundreds of thousands of people losing their jobs or homes. Like many journalists, I didn't buy the “personal reasons” explanation and felt we all deserved to know more detail about what had actually happened. Ater all, this wasn't a private company. The Reserve Bank serves us. After Neil Quigley's explanation, and after the Reserve Bank declined for Adrian Orr to be interviewed, I even went to the extreme length of sending him a letter at his home asking him to front. It's something I'd almost never do, but the public deserved an explanation. And it's taken until now and a ruling from the ombudsman for us to get the full story. I think there are lessons in this for all of us who work in jobs that purport to serve the public. In my role, I think about trust a lot. And look, I know this is very different to the Reserve Bank, much lower stakes, but I had the chance to reflect on my own work this week, and tried to lean into the spirit of introspection and openness. I was on a podcast, re_covering, in which Newstalk ZB's Frank Ritchie asks journalists to reflect on a story they covered. I didn't choose one which I'd absolutely nailed. Instead, I reflected on my five years as TVNZ's US Correspondent, and on my surprise at the first election of Donald Trump. As I said on re_covering, the fact so many of us were so shocked by the result (including Trump!) shows I and the rest of the news media covering that election had done a massively insufficient job of reflecting the scale of the anger and dissatisfaction with the status quo in the US. That election changed the world. Ultimately, I hope reflecting on my surprise will make me more sceptical of conventional wisdom, and better at my job today. Humans are fallible. We all make mistakes. But the Reserve Bank episode demonstrates the best thing a public institution can do to protect its reputation is not try and protect its reputation. Just admit when you got things wrong. Admit things that make you look bad. Learn lessons the hard way. Convince the public you have nothing to hide by showing us you have nothing to hide. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It's been revealed the Reserve Bank chairman sent a warning letter to Treasury in the wake of Adrian Orr's resignation. Neil Quigley warned that it would 'immediately destroy the goodwill' between the two entities if it publicly released details of the fateful meeting. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It's been revealed the Reserve Bank chairman sent a warning letter to Treasury in the wake of Adrian Orr's resignation. Neil Quigley warned that it would 'immediately destroy the goodwill' between the two entities if it publicly released details of the fateful meeting. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Has the penny dropped? There was no shortage of headlines and news coverage yesterday out of our interview with the Prime Minister on the Reserve Bank. In a nutshell, Luxon suggested Christian Hawkesby blew it and should have/could have moved faster on the cash rate. This is news, but not because the Prime Minister is right. We all know he is right. But there is a convention whereby because the Reserve Bank is independent you don't bag them, especially if you are a politician, far less the most influential politician. But here is why Luxon was right and deserves recognition for what he said: there comes a time when you've got to say what you've got to say. You can't dance around convention without becoming convention's victim. There is too much of that. People who can't have a go at judges is another example. By tiptoeing around the truth, we invite complacency and accountability becomes woefully lacking. The cold, hard politics are at play as well. Christian Hawkesby and his gang of monetary committee wonks aren't up for re-election next year. Believe me, if Luxon wanders the countryside telling us he wished the cash rate was lowered faster, he's not getting any sympathy. The extreme of course is Trump, where you call for sackings and, occasionally, actually do some sacking. We don't need to be that unhinged. But it is unfairly restrictive for a government to cut spending, cut red tape, change rules and laws, trim jobs, cap councils, upend the RMA, and get the fast track going. Or in other words, work their butts off pulling every lever they can to fire the joint up. But in the meantime, the old dump de dos on the terrace can't see a contraction when it smacks them in the face and they stall the economy through ineptitude. Also, quite apart from anything, we like strong leadership. We like people telling it like it is. If Luxon has had a weakness it might just be he has been a bit corporate, a bit beige, a bit polite and a bit nice. Hopefully yesterday was the start of something new and more strident and with it a few more people are held to open, public account. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

THE BEST BITS IN A SILLIER PACKAGE (from Tuesday's Mike Hosking Breakfast) Who Trumps Who?/Health or Wealth?/Big Butter Drama/Pictures of Cars/Suck On That, FinlandSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The OCR got another cut this week, now down to 3%. While there have been questions for a while around whether banks are passing the cuts down to consumers, the real question is whether the cuts will actually solve anything at all. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news Fed boss Powell gave a hint at Jackson Hole that weaker American labour market conditions may trump inflation risks when they next meet in three weeks - and a rate cut is a live possibility.Before that, Thursday NZT, the market darling Nvidia is set to report its results, and any variation from what is expected to be a stellar result, or any slackening of their outlook indications, could very well have ripple impacts on how investors judge their overall current sky-high valuations across the whole equities landscape. It's a huge immediate risk-point.But this coming week, we will be focusing on the New Zealand employment indicators for July to be released later in the week. And later today, the RBNZ will updated it Dashboard to June, so we can see the market winners (and losers) in the banking sector.Across the ditch, all eyes will be on July's monthly CPI data to be released on Wednesday.China will be releasing its August PMIs this week. India will updated its Q2-GDP, and its July industrial production data. And Canada will also have a Q2-GDP update too.But we shouldn't forget that the northern hemisphere has been getting in the last of its summer vacations recently. This is the final week before the US Labor Day national holiday on September 1, 2025, the traditional end of their summer holiday period and when their financial markets build back up to full strength.They will be coming back after digesting the Fed's latest indicators from Powell's Jackson Hole speech. He noted the core US economy has weathered the "sweeping changes in [US] economic policy" well, but now says "the balance of risks appears to be shifting" - to the negative side. Markets have taken this as a hint a rate cut could come as early as their mid September meeting.The US equity markets roared back to post a record high in Friday. The USD fell. Benchmark bond yields retreated.However, in the euphoria of the possibility of a rate cut markets seem to be ignoring this part: "inflation expectations could move up, dragging actual inflation with them. Inflation has been above our target for more than four years and remains a prominent concern for households and businesses". But they are betting on the 'transitory' inflation story again. Inflation embedded for four years, and juiced by tariffs, will be ignored at their peril.Across the border, Canadian retail sales in June were +6.5% higher than a year ago, the best rise since the pandemic recovery period in 2022. But some of this is just higher prices flowing through from their tariff dispute with the US, and a small correction dip is expected in the July data. And the Canadians are not ignoring the inflation risks of tariffs. To keep a lid on these inflationary effects of that dispute, Canada said it will roll back some of its retaliatory tariffs on the US. The US isn't doing the same, so their consumers will still pay the extra on imports.Across the Pacific, China reported more ugly foreign direct investment data over the weekend. While it didn't actually shrink like it did in April and June, it is running -13.4% below year ago levels, and it is still less than half the July ytd levels of 2022 or 2023, and down -7.3% from last year. The June to July gain this year, while welcome, isn't anything more than a statistical blip in the context of the fall away over the last four years.So it is no surprise that Beijing is reorienting to a focus on internal consumption - something they have a chance of still controlling. The international trade environment isn't moving in their favour and even where they do still get gains, they are not enough to move their needle.There was a surprising dip in Japanese inflation in July. It eased to 3.1% from 3.3% in the previous month, the lowest reading since November 2024. Helping was that electricity prices fell for the first time since April 2024. But food prices jumped +7.6%, the most since February. Again, rice was the big culprit.New data out from the Australian statistics bureau shows their R&D investment grew by +18% to AU$24 bln in 2023-24. The strongest growth was in IT including spending on Artificial Intelligence, which grew by +142% since 2021-2022.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.26%, essentially unchanged from Saturday at this time, down -6 bps for the week.Wall Street roared back in Friday trade with the S&P500 up +1.5% after the Powell hint of a rate cut next month. That means it is able to claim a +0.4% advance for the week which pushed it to a new record high.The price of gold will start today at US$3,370/oz, down -US$1 from Saturday, up +US$36 for the week.American oil prices have held at just under US$64/bbl with the international Brent price now just under US$68/bbl. These levels are more than +US$1 higher than a week agoThe Kiwi dollar is at just on 58.7 USc and unchanged from Saturday at this time. Against the Aussie we also holding at 90.4 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged too at 50.1 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 66.3, little-changed from Saturday but down -60 bps for the week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$114,366 and down -2.2% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been very low at just under +/- 0.6%.And finally, in Australia, AML regulator Austrac has directed Binance to appoint an external auditor after identifying serious concerns with the crypto exchange's anti-money laundering and counter terrorism financing controls.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

This week, our FX Strategists break down the growth/inflation mix in the US and how that's impacting the dollar, before providing an update on the state of cross-border USD flows and FX hedging. They also provide a recap of recent tactical developments in G10, including the dovish RBNZ surprise and recent data out of the UK.     Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ben Jarman, Global Economics, Rates & FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy Octavia Popescu, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 22 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5061667-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

Today we discuss the upcoming Jackson Hole Bun Fight and New Zealand Reserve Bank Decision to cut rates and I will argue that the whiff of stagflation is getting stronger, to the detriment of ordinary households and businesses. The RBNZ cut the OCR by 25bp, citing tighter spending by businesses and households, falling home prices … Continue reading "Stagflation Looms As Central Bankers Party Amid Peak Uncertainty!"

APAC stocks traded mixed after a lacklustre performance stateside, where mega-cap tech led the declines.RBNZ lowered the OCR by 25bps as expected, cut its OCR forecasts across the projection horizon and voted on the options of either a 25bps or 50bps reduction.European equity futures indicate a negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.7% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.9% on Tuesday.DXY is marginally higher for a third session in a row, NZD lags post-RBNZ, GBP eyes inflation data.White House is eyeing Budapest for peace talks with Zelensky and Putin, according to Politico.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, EZ HICP (Final), Riksbank Policy Announcement & FOMC Minutes, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Waller, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Target.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses opened lower but have clambered back to the unchanged mark; US futures remain on the backfoot.DXY is flat, GBP digests hot UK CPI, NZD lags after the RBNZ delivered a dovish 25bps cut.RBNZ lowered the OCR by 25bps as expected, cut its OCR forecasts across the projection horizon and voted on the options of either a 25bps or 50bps reduction.USTs underperform into 20yr auction, Bunds bid on German Producer Prices, Gilts initially lagged on CPI but now firmer.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Bostic, Waller and reported Fed Chair candidate Zervos, Supply from the US, Earnings from Target.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US markets fall on tech valuation concerns. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cuts and signals more to come, so the NZ dollar falls over 1%. Bank Indonesia also cuts to support growth. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner dissects the RBNZ's latest forecasts after a dovish cut. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Markets fall as traders wait on how dovish the Fed chair will be at Jackson Hole. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is set to cut rates. Malaysia's exports are set to face headwinds after a strong July. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari discusses what's been driving the gold price in recent months, and the outlook for the rest of 2025. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The Reserve Bank says the way we use cash is changing and it wants to know exactly how people are using cash, in its biennial survey on the subject. Retail New Zealand chief executive Carolyn Young spoke to Corin Dann.

Michael Reddell, who appears on this show a fair bit, has put the Adrian Orr resignation back in the news. He has a source close to the action that, in simple terms, suggests that Orr packed a sad at a couple of meetings, one of which was with Nicola Willis, the chair of the Reserve Bank Neil Quigley wrote to Orr with a list of concerns over that behaviour, and Orr quit. The underlying issue appears to be the fact the Government were determined to cut the Reserve Bank's budget, which ultimately, they were successful in doing. Why? Because like everything else under the Labour Government, too much money was spent, things blew out and the Reserve Bank had wandered off into new and expensive areas they didn't need to be in. The main point being: essentially what we thought happened, did. Adrian Orr has a short fuse, a fairly elevated sense of entitlement and importance, and didn't like what was unfolding – which is fine. He didn't have to like it and if he disliked it so badly, he could walk, which he did. But, and here is where this is important, he held a critical role in all our lives. People in jobs like that need to exemplary. Exemplary in execution and exemplary in person. He wasn't. He was a failure. Which then takes us back to how he got the job: through Grant Robertson. Not only did Robertson appoint Orr, he reappointed him. Bad people make bad decisions, and those bad decisions go on to have consequences. By way of contrast what do you reckon the pressure on Jerome Powell is like right now? Is Powell yelling and packing a sad? Is Powell going to quit in a massive hissy fit and vanish from the face of the earth without a word? I have a dollar with anyone who wants it that the answer is "no". Maybe Orr doesn't give a monkey's. Maybe Orr is that sort of bloke who's so inflated and mesmerised by himself that he is well past any reputational reflection. Maybe Grant is too. But the damage still sits in our bank accounts and rates bills and economic funk to this day. The bloke who stuffed the joint, packed a sad and stormed out, never to be heard from again. It's a sad indictment on a role and influence that should have been handled a great deal more elegantly and with a mile more professionalism.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US President Trump said they will have straight, simple tariffs of between 15% and 50% on countries, while he added the US is in serious talks with the EU and if they agree to open up to US businesses, US will let them pay lower tariffs.Reports noted that the US and the EU were closing in on a trade deal with a 15% tariff rate, albeit this is yet to be officially confirmed, and White House Trade Adviser Navarro said to take the reports with a pinch of salt.EU member states are set to vote on EUR 93bln of counter-tariffs on US goods on Thursday and a broad majority of EU members would support using the anti-coercion instrument in the event of no US trade deal and US tariffs of 30%.Alphabet (GOOGL) shares rose 1.7% after-market following earnings whilst Tesla (TSLA) slipped 4.4% as CEO Musk warned of “rough times”.APAC stocks mostly extended on gains; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.0% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Global PMIs, German GfK Consumer Sentiment, US Jobless Claims, Canadian Retail Sales, ECB & CBRT Policy Announcements, Speakers including RBNZ's Conway & ECB President Lagarde, Supply from Italy & US.Earnings from LVMH, BNP Paribas, TotalEnergies, STMicroelectronics, Dassault Systemes, Carrefour, Michelin, BE Semiconductor, Richemont, Nestle, Roche MTU Aero, Deutsche Bank, Lloyds, IG, Reckitt Intel, American Airlines, Blackstone, Dow Chemical, Nasdaq, Union Pacific, Honeywell & Keurig Dr Pepper.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they will have straight, simple tariffs of between 15% and 50% on countries, while he added the US is in serious talks with the EU and if they agree to open up to US businesses, US will let them pay lower tariffs.European bourses continue to gain, albeit are off best levels; US futures mixed, GOOGL +3%, TSLA -6% in pre-market trade.GBP lags on soft PMIs, EUR eyes ECB and potential EU-US breakthrough.EGBs hit by trade updates, Gilts off lows post-PMIs, USTs await data.Crude rises on trade optimism and geopolitics, gold unwinds risk premium.Looking ahead, Global PMIs, US Jobless Claims, Canadian Retail Sales, ECB & CBRT Policy Announcements, Speakers including RBNZ's Conway & ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the US.Earnings from LVMH, Carrefour, Michelin, Intel, American Airlines, Blackstone, Dow Chemical, Nasdaq, Union Pacific, Honeywell & Keurig Dr Pepper.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.Topic #1:  The Mortgage Mag 9th of July - Mortgage rates may have bottomed already as RBNZ holds OCRTopic #2: NZ Adviser 8th of July -NZ housing market dips as buyers gain leverageTopic #3: RNZ 9th of July - No climate change buy-outs in future, expert group tells governmentTopic #4: Realestate.co.nz 9th of July -The New Zealand Property Report Good news for renters as national rental price falls for another monthTopic #5: RNZ 8th of July - Government to loosen rules for selling homes in trustsSupport the show*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice. *Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Today we look at the latest from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand where rates were held, though following cuts of 2.25%, compared with the RBA 0.5%. Uncertainly remains the watchword. So we reflect on the different inflation track, and look at rental inflation in particular, in the light of the latest Domain data showing … Continue reading "Central Banks In Wonderland: As RBNZ Holds Too!"

Join Jen Corkran and Ben Picton as they dissect the RBA and RBNZ's July interest rate decisions. Jen and Ben discuss what's keeping central bankers in each country up at night and what we can expect in the months ahead for interest rates.   RaboResearch Disclaimer: Please refer to our Australian RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com.au/knowledge/disclaimer, our New Zealand RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.co.nz/knowledge/disclaimer, and our Global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011410028/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the Australian, New Zealand, and Global RaboResearch material published on the podcast.

APAC stocks traded mixed following the similar performance stateside where tariff updates remained in focus.US President Trump said he will announce something on pharmaceuticals very soon and will be announcing semiconductor tariffs, believes the copper tariff will be 50%.President Trump said the US is probably two days off from sending the EU a letter, which means a deal.European equity futures indicate a slightly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Tuesday.DXY is a touch higher with the USD mixed vs. peers (stronger vs. havens, weaker vs. antipodeans).RBNZ maintained the OCR at 3.25%, as expected, hinted at future rate cuts ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE FSR, FOMC Minutes, RBA's Hunter, BoE Governor Bailey, ECB's Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump flagged the release of at least 7 tariff letters today. Reports that the EU is closing in on a temporary "framework" agreement, via FT.European bourses began modestly firmer and have been grinding higher since, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.1%; German autos bid on trade nuances, Basic Resources hit by non-US copper performance, Media lags after WPPStateside, futures are in the green and directionally in-fitting with Europe but gains are much more muted, ES +0.2%; updates around AAPL, NVDA, AMZN in focusUSD steady with G10s mixed but essentially flat. RBNZ as expected, no significant NZD move.Fixed benchmarks have a modest upward bias, though they remain markedly lower on the week; today's action in Europe is a retracement of Tuesday's supply-induced pressure rather than a pronounced move higher.Crude has an upward bias, specifics light. XAU softer. Front-running of US copper into potential tariffs has widened the Comex-LME arbitrage to over USD 2,000/t.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers include ECBʼs Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Reserve Bank left the OCR on hold at 3.25 percent - with the bank claiming it was waiting for more economic data. Economists widely suspected the RBNZ wouldn't cut rates any further, and they believe there's more cuts to come. Milford Asset Management's Remy Morgan unpacked the market reactions. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Economists say pausing the OCR could be prudent as we wait to find out more about the state of global trade. The Reserve Bank will make a call today on whether to cut the Official Cash Rate for a seventh consecutive time or hold it steady at 3.25%. There's much to consider, including uncertainty about the US tariffs. ASB Chief Economist Nick Tuffley told Heather du Plessis-Allan we'll have more information next month about inflation and inflation expectations. He says hopefully all the trade deadlines will be dealt with and we'll have more clarity about what tariffs countries face. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The UK saw another round of combined sterling and gilt weakness, a pattern which is becoming worryingly familiar. Politics elsewhere seemed to have run a bit more smoothly with the US budget bill passing through the Senate and House, teeing up some degree of fiscal expansion for the year ahead. Tariffs remain on the agenda for the week ahead, as we approach the 9 July deadline. In Asia, we focus on the Bank of Korea's likely hawkishness relative to potential rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Chapters: (US: 02:14, Asia: 08:53, Australia & New Zealand: 13:53, EMEA: 16:33).

The Reserve Bank gets another chance to cut interest rates next week. So far 2025 has seen the RBNZ make three consecutive cuts to the official cash rate, which was widely expected by economists up and down the country. But next week, for the first time this year, there's doubt. Kiwibank economist Sabrina Delgado joins Bernard Hickey to assess our central bank's options leading into next week's monetary policy statement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Will the RBNZ cut rates in July or keep Kiwis waiting? We unpack why the Reserve Bank might hold off on cutting the OCR, from unexpected GDP growth and stubborn inflation to the global oil price shocks that could hit your mortgage and financial plans.Next Steps: For tailored advice on your mortgage strategy ahead of the next OCR decision, talk to the team at Lighthouse Financial today.For more money tips follow us on:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The content in this podcast is the opinion of the hosts. It should not be treated as financial advice. It is important to take into consideration your own personal situation and goals before making any financial decisions.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.Topic #1:  RNZ 19th of June - House prices to be '20% lower in 2030s than 2021' - forecastTopic #2: Good Returns 18th of June -Rising inflation adding to RBNZ's headacheTopic #3: Stuff 19th of June -Kāinga Ora to halt over 200 developments, sell vacant landTopic #4: RNZ 19th of June - Quarter of households rely on government housing supportTopic #5: 1News 17th of June - How long will better times for renters last?Support the show*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice. *Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

The Finance Minister's revealed top-level legal advice was sought over the Reserve Bank's battle with Treasury for funding. The bank received less money than it anticipated in the latest funding round - which prompted Adrian Orr to quit as Governor. NZ Herald Wellington business editor Jenee Tibshraeny unpacks the issue further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Finance Minister made it clear she was unimpressed with the way the RBNZ handled public communication around Adrian Orr's departure. Reserve Bank board chair Neil Quigley recently revealed he 'regretted' the time it took to release information around Orr's surprise resignation. Nicola Willis says the central bank could have provided some clarifying statements more promptly than they did. "As soon as they'd worked through what they could say with the former governor, there was obviously significant public interest in that information. And it would have been in everybody's best interests for them to share that at an earlier junction." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It's hardly a surprise, is it? Adrian looks at what Nicola is offering to run the place, packs a sad, and is off. It's a pathetic end to a tumultuous period in which we, the people who paid him, deserved an awful lot better. The fact this information on the Orr resignation had to be dragged out of the bank by way of the Official Information Act, the rules of which were ignored as the bank failed to meet deadlines, shows you just what sort of place we are dealing with. How you conduct yourself is critical. It's critical to all of us and even more critical the further up the totem pole you are. There's nothing wrong with Adrian quitting if he genuinely believed the money being offered to run the bank wasn't enough. But you do it with some dignity. You quit, you serve out your period, you offer reasons for you quitting and you move on with life. In doing it that way you give us all an insight into what sort of human being you are. And in this case, you might well have been able to give us insight into how your organisation runs, what its thinking is, what the gap is between the bank and the Government and why you might be right, and they might be wrong. It doesn't have to turn into a scrap or a fallout. Just a series of adult ideas as to why people might see things at odds to each other. If Covid taught us nothing else, it taught us the critical role of a central bank and what sort of people run it. The way Adrian ran it is well documented and the general view held by many is widely traversed. But the sudden departure was another insight into why Adrian did things the way he did. He is petulant. You don't leave out of the blue and in silence. You don't bail on hosting an international finance conference having said you were looking forward to it. It's toys and sandpits with Adrian and then obfuscation from the bank when a few simple questions were asked. If you can't conduct yourself, and the bank can't conduct themselves, with any great level of clarity, transparency and professionalism, is it any wonder the economy got run over the way it did? Ol' Adrian won't be missed. But you would have hoped for something a bit more sophisticated on the way out. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Finance Minister says the Reserve Bank should have given the reasons behind Governor Adrian Orr's abrupt departure - sooner. It released documents yesterday showing Orr resigned over Government funding being well below the Budget allocation he sought. Nicola Willis criticised the central bank's delay in outlining the reasons. NZ Herald political editor Thomas Coughlan explained further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A former Reserve Bank economist is calling out his former employers' lack of transparency. The bank today revealed Adrian Orr quit as Governor in March, when the five-year funding for the RBNZ was much less than anticipated. Michael Reddell says the bank waited far too long to say why Orr left so abruptly. "It's just extraordinary - maybe they couldn't tell us the full story on the day, but the new Reserve Bank funding agreement was published on the 16th of April. There's absolutely no excuse at this point for lack of clarity." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Call me superficial, but to watch the Reserve Bank heavyweights lined up, as I did Wednesday post their cash rate decision, I did not see dynamism. These people outwardly do not fill you with any sense of excitement. The Reserve Bank is in a spot and, as a result, so are we as a country. A couple of semi-interesting things happened and also one very interesting thing. They voted 5 to 1 to cut. They don't vote that often. They also offered alternative scenarios, which they haven't done for five years. Alternative scenarios are not a good sign. If you have enough of them, you are literally making stuff up. Anyone can drum up alternative scenarios. What I want to hear more of from experts is what is actually going on. The important stuff is they have no bias on further cuts. A lot of people thought we would get a cut yesterday, followed by one, possibly two, more. The so-called "neutral rate", that's the cash rate settling at 2.75% or 2.5% – that now seems to be off the table. Why? They argue inflation, which is what drives them. That's their mandate. The trouble with that is inflation is only just in the band. It's heading more towards the top of the band and here is the really big part – growth, or large dollops of growth, are not driving this inflation. We are barely growing, if growing at all. Yet inflation is still a thing. That's not good for an economy and it's not good for the Government. The Government, namely Willis and Luxon, leap, and have leapt, on each announcement talking about the money coming back into the economy as the interest rates drop. If the bank isn't cutting, then rates aren't dropping, and we aren't spending or feeling remotely bullish. The Reserve Bank doesn't care that much because they are fixated on inflation, whether it's driven by factors beyond our control —like insurance, shipping or councils— or growth. Yes, we had growth in Q1. It was quite good growth too. The live GDP tracker has Q2 up a bit, but not much. But it has annual numbers negative and inflation trending up. What we need is help. We are in a quagmire we need to extricate ourselves from. The Reserve Bank doesn't look like they are that interested. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Reserve Bank cut the Official Cash Rate this week, as expected, but one of the six members of the bank's rate setting committee voted to hold the OCR. That surprised markets and pushed up the wholesale interest rates that drive fixed mortgage rates. Bernard Hickey speaks with Kiwibank's Mary Jo Vergara about a very uncertain outlook for rates in the wake of Donald Trump's Liberation Day shock. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A new face is coming to New Zealand's coins. An image of King Charles has officially been approved to feature on the 10 cent coin from 2027. 2024 will be stamped on the currency – the year the Reserve Bank ordered them. A koruru image will remain on the reverse side, as it has since 1967. Ian Woolford, Director of Money and Cash at the Reserve Bank, told Mike Hosking it's taken so long as they already have quite a big inventory of coins and bank notes. He says 10 cent coins are the ones they need to stock up on, which is why they're the first cab off the rank. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

European bourses opened mixed but now in the red, US futures also lower ahead of NVIDIA results.USD is fractionally extending on Tuesday's upside, Kiwi leads after RBNZ delivers a hawkish cut.40yr JGB auction weighs, awaiting US supply & FOMC Minutes.Energy markets await JMMC/OPEC+; Metals tread water.US President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!".Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including BoE's Pill, Supply from the US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

New Zealand has been on a more aggressive monetary policy path, having pushed rates high enough to create a recession, then cut them again after starting its easing cycle in August lowering the OCR by 225 points including another 25 basis points today, making the RBNZ one of the most aggressive rate cutters among its … Continue reading "Kiwis Get Another Rate Cut: But Will Home Prices Respond?"

Don't bank on further cuts to the Official Cash Rate. The Reserve Bank's dropped the OCR 25 basis points to 3.25%, and is now forecasting it could reach a low of 2.9% by the end of the year. But Governor Christian Hawkesby says further cuts aren't guaranteed. He told Mike Hosking they're taking things one step at a time, as they wait to see how global developments affect the economy and inflation. Hawkesby says the OCR is now close to "neutral" and the Reserve Bank's next move won't be pre-programmed, it will depend on how things unfold. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 29th of May, the Reserve Bank made the decision to cut the OCR by 25 basis points, but did we get any sort of clear direction for the future? Acting Governor Christian Hawkesby is on the show. The Prime Minister has recovered from his illness and is on the program to give his reaction to the OCR announcement and the public service leaks. We love Tami Nielson, so when she has a new NZ tour to announce, a new single, a new album coming soon, and multiple NZ Music Awards nominations, we had to get her on for a chat. Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

BNZ's the latest bank to drop its home loan rates, anticipating a change to the Official Cash Rate this afternoon. The Reserve Bank's expected to cut the OCR 25 basis point to 3.25%. Already BNZ's cut its fixed rates to as low as 4.89%, and its standard variable rate to 6.44%. BNZ chief economist Mike Jones told Mike Hosking today's decision should indicate the Reserve Bank's general direction, but it probably won't reveal anything too specific. He says that seems to be the playbook offshore, allowing it to take its time and assess the lay of the land at the next meeting. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

To give you an insight into just how hard Christian Hawkesby's job is today, have a look at what the shadow board says. The NZIER has a monetary policy shadow board. It's a bunch of economists and their view as to what should be happening. Some say drop by 25 basis points, one says 50, and some say don't do anything. How do you deal with that? These are experts. They know what they are doing. Or do they? So no matter what Christian does some of them are going to go "what on Earth was he thinking?" Think about the difference between 50 basis points and nothing. 50 basis points is a lot. 50 means things aren't good, and we need to fire the place up a bit. If we don't move it means things are just where we want them. Are they where we want them? No, is my answer. But then I'm not an economist. Most of them say things like "boy this is tricky". My word is "uncertainty" – the watch word of the day. It's through this murky mix of "who the hell knows what's going on" that Christian has to wade and produce something that will see us head into a half decent Christmas. Of course that's part of the mess we are in. There is a lot of water to go under our beleaguered bridge before Christmas, and a number of decisions from the Reserve Bank, along of course with the much-dissected commentary. What does 25, or 50 basis points, or nothing, mean? What's old Christian thinking? I'll tell you this for nothing – a big part of this equation is mood. It's the same with the Budget last week and the depreciation measures. You have to want to get amongst it. You have to take your mortgage rate cut and do something with it. You have to want to buy your tractor, or ute, and depreciate it by 20%. If you are in a funk and you're not spending, then depreciating 20% of zero is nothing and no one gains. Christian, or Nicola for that matter, can't do it all. At some point we have to believe. We have to have our arm twisted. We have to see a bit of light. The most powerful factor in any economy is us, and mood. At some point a switch has to go off, a decision has to be made, and we need to look forward to better days. Let's hope today is a part of that story. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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