Podcasts about markets podcast

This week on the Viewpoints podcast, Burkhard spends time reviewing performance trends across global markets, and what they tell us about investor sentiment. We also touch on the outcomes of the recent snap elections within France and the United Kingdom. Plus, on the lighter side, share a summer reading recommendation now that summer holiday season is in full swing.

This episoed of Bionic Planet is technically an episode of Andrew Greely's podcast, Smarter Markets, where I appeared as a guest to discuss my new vertical "The Tribes of the Climate Realm." It's not a series but a vertical, where episodes will drop intermittently over the remainder of the year and probably for years to come.  If you're sharing or referencing the show, please reference the original at https://www.smartermarketspod.com/carbon-frontiers-2024-episode-10-steve-zwick/ The discussion revolves around the historical context of the first generation of REDD projects and the media criticism they have encountered. Steve Zwick emphasizes the importance of understanding the different ideological factions within the climate community and the need to communicate the history and tribes within this realm to combat misinformation and cherry-picking. Throughout the episode, Steve Zwick provides insights into the development of methodologies, the role of verification and validation bodies (VVBs), and the criticisms faced by projects like Cordillera Azul. He highlights the need for balanced evaluations and constructive critiques to drive progress in the voluntary carbon markets. The conversation also touches on the challenges faced by journalists and market participants in accurately covering and communicating the complexities of carbon markets. Steve Zwick emphasizes the importance of thorough research, understanding uncertainty, and questioning preconceptions to provide accurate and insightful coverage of projects and methodologies. Overall, the episode serves as a deep dive into the intricacies of voluntary carbon markets, shedding light on the evolution of methodologies, the role of VVBs, and the need for balanced and informed reporting in this complex and evolving landscape. Timestamps Introduction to the Podcast Episode: 00:00:00-00:00:10 Discussion on the New Vertical "The Tribes of the Climate Realm": 00:00:10-00:00:31 Introduction to Smarter Markets Podcast: 00:00:42-00:00:52 Exploring the Crisis of Information or Trust: 00:00:52-00:01:03 Sponsorship Message by Base Carbon: 00:01:03-00:01:14 Introduction to Carbon Frontiers 2024: 00:01:22-00:01:33 Guest Introduction - Steve Zwick: 00:01:34-00:01:44 Discussion on REDD Projects and Media Criticism: 00:01:44-00:01:55 Questioning the Focus on First Generation REDD+ Projects: 00:01:55-00:02:05 Exploring the Ideological Factions in the Climate Realm: 00:02:05-00:02:16 Importance of Understanding the History of Markets: 00:02:16-00:02:26 Benefits and Critiques of First Generation REDD+ Projects: 00:02:26-00:02:37 Discussion on Baselines in REDD+ Projects: 00:02:37-00:02:47 Criticism of Baselines and Media Misinterpretation: 00:02:47-00:02:57 Challenges in Estimating Baselines: 00:02:57-00:03:04 Critique of REDD+ Baselines and Media Interpretation: 00:03:04-00:03:14 Discussion on Verification and Validation Bodies (VVBs): 00:03:15-00:03:25 Role of VVBs in Auditing REDD+ Projects: 00:03:25-00:03:36 Addressing Weaknesses in VVBs: 00:03:36-00:03:46 Lessons from Credit Rating Agencies: 00:03:46-00:03:56 Addressing Issues with VVBs: 00:03:56-00:04:07 Evaluation of REDD+ Projects and Baselines: 00:04:07-00:04:18 Discussion on Cordillera Azul Project Criticism: 00:04:18-00:04:28 Critique of Cordillera Azul Project: 00:04:28-00:04:38 Analysis of Media Criticism on Cordillera Azul: 00:04:38-00:04:47 Evaluation of Project Achievements: 00:04:47-00:04:57 Exploring Misinterpretations in Project Critiques: 00:04:57-00:05:07 Discussion on Nikkei Asia's Critique: 00:05:07-00:05:17 Importance of Balanced Reporting: 00:05:17-00:05:27 Guidelines for Journalists Covering Climate Markets: 00:05:27-00:05:37 Quotes "We have to keep developing new methodologies, but we can't assume the old ones are bad... the old methodologies were much better than people give them credit for." - 00:30:07-00:30:18 "The whole point of an evolutionary process is figuring out what works, what doesn't, and moving forward." - 00:39:06-00:39:18 "It's not a one and done thing. Don't think you can drop in, do a piece that's accurate on this and be finished." - 00:44:17-00:44:30 "Don't think you can drop in, do a piece that's accurate on this and be finished." - 00:44:17-00:44:30 "We need to do a much better job of explaining... the history of these markets and the science that underpins them." - 00:42:54-00:43:04 "The old methodologies were much better than people give them credit for." - 00:30:07-00:30:18 "We have to acknowledge that the whole point of an evolutionary process is figuring out what works, what doesn't, and moving forward." - 00:39:18-00:39:29 "The whole point of an evolutionary process is figuring out what works, what doesn't, and moving forward." - 00:39:06-00:39:18 "We need to do a much better job of explaining... the history of these markets and the science that underpins them." - 00:42:54-00:43:04 "The old methodologies were much better than people give them credit for." - 00:30:07-00:30:18  

On this week's episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard spends time reviewing an abundance of global election-related developments, including thoughts around Thursday's US Presidential debate, along with upcoming snap elections in both the UK and France. Burkhard explains the impact of these developments to markets, along with offers guidance as to how investors should navigate through election-induced market volatility.

On this week's episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard covers a range of topics, including a potential timeline for higher for longer rates in the US, the gathering of world leaders at the G7 Summit, how the law of acceleration will change the world and economies over the next decade, and more.

On this week's episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard explains the underestimated importance of the upcoming European elections, football championships, and the Olympics, along with what investors can learn from professional athletes, coaches, and teams.

Markets and life are full of conundrums. This week, our Viewpoints podcast addresses at least three current ones. Some of them have unexpected resolutions, related to the surprising roles and impact of cheating, free-riding, bond-yields, the sometimes-infectious nature of mood-swings and time's canny ability to heal many wounds.

With US equity indices having recently reached record levels, many investors are wondering how long this momentum can continue (and what might disrupt it). Burkhard outlines CIO's view on equity returns, along with breaks down the anatomy of a bull market. Plus, we spend time on the implications of the bull market wealth effect to consumer behavior and economic activity.

Following a brief Springtime hiatus, we catch-up with Burkhard to hear about his recent travels and the connections that can be drawn from the picturesque landscapes of Europe to the European economic landscape. Burkhard also shares takeaways from a recent conversation with IMF-Head Kristina Georgieva, where they discuss the ingredients for a successful economy (tune in to find out!).

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, recaps what he has learned from the various trips he has been on while visiting investors and how it compares to our house view. He also goes over his short-term views on inflation ahead of the all-important CPI report. In George's view, just like the last NFP report captured some of the concerns that have been forming for quarters now (and something we have been flagging), what if shelter cost declines show up now and actually start driving CPI lower, just in time for a Fed that needs greater confidence before thinking about when to ease rates ahead.

Eps. 24! We unpack critical earnings reports and forecasted economic trends. In this episode, we explore the disappointing GDP figures and unexpected outcomes in PCE indices, alongside a detailed analysis of key earnings from tech giants like Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet. Tesla impresses with plans for new EVs despite earnings hiccups, while Microsoft and Alphabet exceed expectations with significant gains in cloud and AI sectors. We also scrutinize Meta's strategic shifts and financial forecasts amidst growing AI investments. Moreover, the episode covers Apple's strategic predicaments in China and anticipates potential revelations at the upcoming "Let Loose" event. Join us as we dissect these financial and technological evolutions shaping the future of global markets.Subscribe for weekly insights. Follow us on social media for daily updates.Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts.✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

On this week's episode, Burkhard reflects on April's market performance and whether potential adjustments to the timing of Fed rate cuts could impact the prospects for growth. We also touch on how investors should consider positioning for rising geopolitical risk, and on the lighter side, share some reading and movie tips for a Spring weekend!

This episode, we delve into the latest strategic maneuvers across the global tech landscape. Discover how top CEOs, including Apple's Tim Cook and Microsoft's Satya Nadella, are eyeing significant investments in Indonesia, reflecting the region's growing influence in the tech sector. Cook's recent meetings with President Joko Widodo and further expansions in Vietnam signal a major shift in manufacturing strategies among Silicon Valley giants. Meanwhile, the corporate world reels from Tesla's announcement of its largest workforce reduction yet, slashing up to 20% of its employees. We explore the reasons behind these drastic cuts and the implications for Tesla's future amidst an intensifying EV price war. Adding to the high stakes, we discuss the upcoming earnings reports, which are expected to reveal the financial impacts of these corporate strategies. Stay tuned as we also cover insider activity during Q1 2024, highlighting the biggest sellers and what this could mean for the market. From boardroom strategies to factory floors, this episode covers all the angles, giving you the insights needed to understand these monumental shifts in the tech world. Join us for a thorough breakdown of these pressing issues as we navigate through the complexities of tech innovations and corporate strategies. Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

On this week's episode, Burkhard explains how a young statistician saved the lives of many Air Force pilots during WWII - while the famous anecdote dates back almost 80 years, it still has lessons for investors. We also cover what the recent annual IMF meeting suggests about the global economy, and in turn, the potential road ahead for Fed rate cuts.

We kick off with the latest CPI and PPI figures, where inflation heats up more than expected, and explore how these key indicators are shaking up investor expectations. We'll also cover the remarkable low trading volumes during the April 8th eclipse and jump into the high-stakes Q1 earnings season with surprising results from major banks and tech giants. Plus, don't miss our deep dive into the AI advancements setting Big Tech stocks on fire and the strategic moves shaping the future of cloud computing. Whether you're an investor, a tech enthusiast, or just keen to keep up with the economic currents, this episode packs everything you need to stay informed and ahead of the curve! Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

On this week's episode, Burkhard explains what investors can learn from stock market all-time-highs, placing the US and global economy into the context of a “new world order” rising, and how the UBS House View offers guidance in a fast-changing world (plus, what Bob Marley had to say about "what's wealth?”).

This week we dive into the whirlwind of Fed speeches and economic data impacts to a staggering week for Tesla, Disney, and groundbreaking AI and chip developments. Witness how Wednesday's unexpected ISM Services PMI uplifted the market, while hawkish Fed statements, especially from Kashkari, triggered a Thursday downturn, hinting at zero rate cuts in 2024. Amid inflation concerns, Friday brought talk of further rate hikes, juxtaposed against a jobs report smashing expectations with the highest NFP in 10 months. Plus, get the lowdown on Tesla's Q1 delivery challenges, Disney's proxy battle outcome, Intel's deepening foundry losses, Google's potential shift towards charging for AI searches, and Apple's innovative leap into AI and home robotics. Stay tuned as we also preview next week's major earnings and economic releases, setting the stage for more market-moving news. This episode is packed with insights and analyzes you won't want to miss! Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, walks through the ever evolving reaction function from the Fed, where George isn't terribly concerned about the recent Fed hawkish comments. George feels that this has been standard operating procedure, where the Fed tries to calibrate their message after a FOMC meeting. What we learned at the March FOMC is still important, the Fed is increasingly focused on their dual-mandate and will react to labor market weakness just as it would to changes for the path for inflation. George also walked through a special topic theme from the latest Macro2Markets Monthly report, the topic being how healthy is the consumer and are there signs of the wealth effect at work post the recent large rally in financial assets. Lastly George gave a mini-NFP preview.

Eps. 20! Kunal Desai, the founder of bullsonWallstreet, shares his inspiring journey into the world of trading. Starting with his father's influence during the dot-com boom, Kunal delves into how his trading evolved from college experimentation to professional success, highlighting the pivotal role of mentorship from Paul Singh in shaping his structured approach. Kunal's trading style focuses on momentum and trend-following, combining fundamental analysis with technical indicators, and he emphasizes the benefits of trading communities like Investors Underground for sharing ideas and strategies. Kunal also provides insights into the psychological aspects of trading, the importance of education and process development, effective risk management, and the keys to long-term success - passion, continuous learning, and adaptability in the ever-changing markets. #daytrading #tradingsuccess #bullsonwallstreetSubscribe for weekly insights. Follow us on social media for daily updates.Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts.✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

View Points is a new weekly podcast series which focuses on global market and macro developments. Tune in each week to hear timely insights from Burkhard Varnholt. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Description:  Eps. 19! This week, Nvidia's GTC Conference revealed Blackwell, the latest AI processor generation, including the upcoming GB200 chip launch and the revenue-generating NIM software. Leading companies like Oracle, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are embracing the GB200 chip. A market cap comparison highlights Nvidia's proximity to Apple by $300 billion. Apple's potential integration of Google's Gemini AI into future iPhones, Intel's $8.5 billion grant under the CHIPS Act, Microsoft's appointment of Mustafa Suleyman as AI CEO, and Apple's DOJ antitrust suit are key industry developments. Tesla's production cut at its Shanghai Gigafactory amid China sales decline and Model Y price adjustments reflect current market dynamics. #NvidiaGTC #AIprocessors #Blackwell #GB200 #Apple #GoogleGemini #IntelCHIPSAct #MicrosoftAI #AppleAntitrust #TeslaProductionCut Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

View Points is a new weekly podcast series which focuses on global market and macro developments. Tune in each week to hear timely insights from Burkhard Varnholt. Host: Daniel Cassidy

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, gives us an update on his latest view since his last podcast and highlights what is driving market sentiment and views lately. George then walks us through the March FOMC preview report, focused on what is our base-case and risks around our views into and out of the Fed meeting. George believes Chair Powell will aim to sound neutral as the market has already priced-out a lot of the recent cut expectations and the data trends remain mixed.

We delve into Bitcoin's soaring highs and $MSTR's strategic moves, alongside a deep dive into CPI and PPI data ahead of the Fed meeting. Discover the upcoming S&P 500 rebalancing and the latest social media showdown between TikTok and Instagram. Uncover the Boeing saga with $BA facing investigations and delivery challenges, followed by AI and chip highlights featuring Apple's acquisitions and Intel's Pentagon news. Lastly, explore the resurgence of Chinese ADRs post-CPI print and Premier Li's visit to Baidu, along with the European Commission's scrutiny of AliExpress and other tech giants. Stay informed with our comprehensive breakdown of key market developments! Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

First up, we dissect Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Congressional testimony that sent shockwaves through the stock market. From rates to economic data, we break down the drama that unfolded post-testimony. Next, we zoom into the crypto realm with Bitcoin's record-breaking week and a showdown of market caps against other cryptocurrencies. Brace yourself for some jaw-dropping numbers! Then, we shift gears to $NYCB's rollercoaster ride with halts, announcements, and a billion-dollar capital raise involving big names like Steven Mnuchin. Buckle up for some corporate intrigue! In our AI showdown segment, we compare $NVDA to major players and explore Super Micro's S&P 500 debut alongside chip giants Broadcom and Marvell's earnings reports. Moving on to Apple updates and antitrust fines in the EU, we unveil the latest on MacBook Airs, sales struggles.  And finally, in the EV world, we uncover Tesla's China sales slump and Rivian's game-changing R2 platform launch with specs that will leave you electrified! Stay tuned for a sneak peek at next week's major earnings reports from companies like $ONON, $DLTR, $PATH, $DG, $DKS, $ADBE, $BLNK, and $ULTA. Get ready to ride the financial waves with us!

First up, we dissect Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Congressional testimony that sent shockwaves through the stock market. From rates to economic data, we break down the drama that unfolded post-testimony. Next, we zoom into the crypto realm with Bitcoin's record-breaking week and a showdown of market caps against other cryptocurrencies. Brace yourself for some jaw-dropping numbers! Then, we shift gears to $NYCB's rollercoaster ride with halts, announcements, and a billion-dollar capital raise involving big names like Steven Mnuchin. Buckle up for some corporate intrigue! In our AI showdown segment, we compare $NVDA to major players and explore Super Micro's S&P 500 debut alongside chip giants Broadcom and Marvell's earnings reports. Moving on to Apple updates and antitrust fines in the EU, we unveil the latest on MacBook Airs, sales struggles. And finally, in the EV world, we uncover Tesla's China sales slump and Rivian's game-changing R2 platform launch with specs that will leave you electrified! Stay tuned for a sneak peek at next week's major earnings reports from companies like $ONON, $DLTR, $PATH, $DG, $DKS, $ADBE, $BLNK, and $ULTA. Get ready to ride the financial waves with us!

It's all about the disproportionate growth of the Mag 7 within the Nasdaq 100 and their outsized contribution to the index's market cap gains. We shift focus to Berkshire Hathaway's latest financial revelations, including its substantial cash reserves and a touching tribute from Warren Buffett to Charlie Munger. The narrative then transitions to a historical analysis of Leap Day returns from 1928-2016, setting a comparative backdrop for today's market movements. The first segment delves into the Bitcoin craze, spotlighting unprecedented trading volumes among Bitcoin ETFs, with special attention to the performance of $GBTC and the broader implications of recent Coinbase glitches and Marathon Digital's earnings surprises. As we navigate through economic developments, AI advancements, and the evolving EV landscape, this video serves as your comprehensive guide to understanding the pivotal shifts and key players driving market dynamics in 2024. Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

Brian Levitt is a Global Market Strategist at Invesco. Brian shares is economic outlook (including a look at the US inflation picture), reflects on the Q4 reporting season, and outlines his preferences when it comes to asset allocation. We also spend time examining the Fed's course for monetary policy, namely the timing for rate cuts in 2024. Host: Daniel Cassidy

William Davies is the Global Chief Investment Officer at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. William shares his thoughts on the condition of the US economy, relative to other regions around the globe. We also discuss the road ahead for monetary policy, and how to think about positioning your portfolio for the current environment. Host: Daniel Cassidy

We delve into the significant shake-up in the Dow Jones Industrial Average with Amazon's addition, replacing Walgreens Boots Alliance, effective February 26. This strategic move, spurred by a desire for greater retail sector representation and influenced by Walmart's adjusted index weight post its stock split, highlights the evolving landscape of the American economy. Furthermore, we'll explore Jeff Bezos' substantial $AMZN stock sell-off, part of his plan to divest up to 50 million shares by January 2025. Shifting our focus eastward, we examine China's latest efforts to stabilize its tumultuous stock market, introducing measures to curb selling pressures that have recently led to a modest recovery in Chinese ADRs and stocks. Our bespoke graphic segment offers a unique perspective on the $NQ's performance following pivotal tech releases, setting the stage for our deep dive into the semiconductor industry's latest developments. Nvidia's exceptional quarterly earnings surpass expectations, signaling robust growth driven by surging GPU demand and generative AI's allure. Meanwhile, Intel's potential $10B subsidy negotiation under the Chips and Science Act underscores the strategic importance of semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. Additionally, we'll cover Super Micro's dramatic market movements and the implications for AI and cloud computing. The aftermath of the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting reveals a cautious stance on rate cuts amidst inflation concerns, a sentiment echoed by the market's anticipatory shifts. In the retail sector, we dissect Walmart's and Home Depot's earnings, underscoring key strategic moves and financial health. Lastly, our coverage on the electric vehicle market sheds light on the challenges and milestones of companies like Rivian and Lucid, alongside the broader trends affecting EV adoption in Europe. This video is your go-to source for understanding these critical shifts in technology, finance, and retail sectors, setting the context for future market movements. Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

 Eps. 14! This week's podcast dives deep into red-hot inflation, surprising earnings beats, and Bitcoin's bullish breakout. Here's a taste of what you'll get: ** Hot CPI & PPI:** Inflation keeps surprising, but are markets overreacting? We analyze the January numbers and their impact. ** Major Earnings Beatdowns:** SHOP, ABNB, DKNG, HOOD, COIN - we dissect their reports and highlight key takeaways. ** Bitcoin Bounces Back:** BTC reclaims $50k+ territory! We chart its journey and discuss its potential impact on the crypto market. ** Chip Strength Continues:** $NVDA, $MRVL, $AMD lead the charge. We explore the sector's momentum and key players. ** Rideshare Showdown:** $UBER vs. $LYFT - fare wars, false forecasts, and buyback bonanza! We navigate the latest developments. ** DoorDash Delivers:** Q4 report brings good news, but can they maintain the momentum? We analyze their future outlook. ** What's Up Next?** We preview next week's earnings calendar, highlighting key companies like $WMT, $HD, $NVDA, and more! Don't miss a beat! Tune in for all the in Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, and Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Prepayment Modeling and Strategy, discuss the January 2024 remittance data as well as the 2024 outlook for prepayment and turnover. They also go over how prepayment turnover is likely to evolve in 2024 and how dislocation in demographics is both observed turnover rates, in addition to home price appreciation and its potential implication on monetary policy going forward.

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, discusses the price action since the hawkish FOMC, stronger than expected NFP, hawkish chair Powell 60 minutes interview, and lastly, a higher than expected inflation report. In George's view the macro and market conditions pre-CPI release were looking too good to be true. George believes that markets were priced for perfection and overdue some level setting after months of nonstop rallying. In the end, the higher CPI sends the Goldilocks crowd a rude reminder that this year will not be a linear progression to a soft-landing outcome, there will be bumps along the way, in our view. This will result in episodic vol.

Eps. 12! In this we dive into the latest nonfarm payrolls data that exceeded expectations, signaling a robust job market with significant revisions to previous figures. We tackle a week full of major earnings reports from tech giants, highlighting Microsoft's AI focus and robust sales, Alphabet's ad revenue miss despite overall beats, Meta's remarkable revenue jump and its venture into dividends, and Amazon's performance alongside semiconductor companies like AMD, Super Micro, and Qualcomm. The episode also covers the Federal Reserve's latest meeting decisions, the anticipation around Apple's Vision Pro launch, and Tesla's legal challenges and corporate strategy shifts. We wrap up with a preview of the upcoming earnings season, setting the stage for what investors should watch in the next week. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of these pivotal financial developments. Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, reviews the key developments in the market as January comes to a close and February begins. We provide our view on the latest changes in government financing estimates and the upcoming jobs report. George walks us through the team's FOMC preview for the January meeting where we believe that after the December pivot, they are sequencing toward starting an easing cycle soon, in our view.

EPS 11 kicks off with an analysis of the unexpectedly strong quarterly GDP growth of 3.3%, alongside a detailed examination of inflation metrics that hint at a cooler inflation environment than anticipated. The discussion extends to the recent wave of tech layoffs, with a focus on significant job cuts at Microsoft and Salesforce, and how these moves are visualized in the broader tech industry up to January 2024. We then pivot to a comprehensive review of key tech earnings, highlighting Tesla's Q4 performance misses, Netflix's successful quarter and strategic expansion into live sports streaming, and Intel's disappointing forward guidance. The video also explores the electric vehicle market's latest developments, including Rivian's leadership changes and Tesla's plans for a new mass market model. Shifting focus to China, we discuss the government's intervention efforts to stabilize the stock market and Alibaba's stock movements following notable purchases by its founders. Additionally, we cover the resurgence of DWAC and Rumble's latest strategic moves. Wrapping up, we preview the upcoming week's major earnings reports from tech giants, offering insights into what these developments mean for investors and the market at large. Subscribe for weekly insights.  Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

In this episode, we explore a range of financial and tech topics. We start with an analysis of the latest inflation data, notably higher than expected, and examine comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Bowman and NY Fed President Williams, emphasizing the ongoing battle against inflation. The excitement in the crypto space is palpable with the potential SEC approval of Bitcoin Spot ETFs, balanced by warnings from SEC Chair Gensler. In the tech sphere, we spotlight Nvidia's strategic advancements and the latest from the Consumer Electronics Show, including Intel and AMD. Boeing's 737 MAX 9 challenges, including FAA's grounding and quality concerns, are discussed. Finally, we delve into Big Tech with Apple's Vision Pro launch, iPhone's sales struggle in China, Google's significant patent lawsuit, and Amazon's extensive layoffs across various divisions. This episode provides a comprehensive look into the intersecting worlds of finance and technology. Subscribe for weekly insights. Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

George Goncalves, MUFG Head of Macro Strategy, discusses the 2024 outlook for U.S. credit markets with IG Desk Analyst Andrew Myers and HY Desk Analyst Bill Matthews. They cover topics from the recently published 2024 Desk Strategy Outlook, ranging from corporate bond issuance, key credit themes to watch ahead, and potential credit spread ranges. 

George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, discusses the 2024 outlook for the agency MBS sector with Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Prepayment Modeling and Strategy and our resident subject matter expert on mortgages. They cover topics from the recently published 2024 Desk Strategy Outlook, ranging from agency MBS issuance, prepayments, and the mortgage basis. They also discuss if "the second golden age of MBS" is still a relevant theme for investors and the agency MBS market. 

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, discusses our Macro thesis around the economy and Fed policy. With unemployment low, inflation declining, and spending solid (helped by fiscal policy mid-year), all this resulted in stronger than expected GDP in 2023. The markets also embraced the soft landing narrative in the last two months of 2023. In George's view, this makes for a hard comparison at the start of 2024. In our view, the long and variable lags from one of the fastest Fed hiking cycle catches up in 2024. This will put the riskier side of the credit spectrum in scope for further adjustment. Net, we are not calling for a hard landing recession but instead something more like a bumpy landing which is short-lived. In fact, a recession altogether could be avoided if the Fed meets or beats what is priced-in for cuts and bank lending rebounds. Yet, due to lags in the recession dating process, we won't know we're in one until after the fact. In the end, we stick by our view that the Fed will be starting an easing cycle soon (our base-case is for a 25bp March cut) where they will attempt to soften the decline in economic activity as the year progresses.

Eps. 8! We explore a range of topics including the latest from the FOMC meeting, dissect economic data like jobless claims and nonfarm payroll, and delve into the automotive sector with insights on Tesla and Rivian's Q4 performances, along with Chinese EV market dynamics. The tech sector is also covered with a focus on Apple's market challenges and Bitcoin's fluctuating market conditions. Additionally, we examine Mobileye's stock performance post-IPO, delve into the volatile oil market, and discuss the ongoing boardroom battle at Disney. This comprehensive analysis is designed to provide viewers with critical information and insights across various sectors, making it a must-watch for those interested in finance and business trends. Subscribe for weekly insights. Follow us on social media for daily updates. Share this podcast with fellow market enthusiasts. ✨ Stay tuned for our next episode where we'll dive into more fascinating market trends and business insights!

In Episode 7 of our podcast, we delve into the remarkable events that shaped 2023 and anticipate trends for 2024. The year-end rally for indices, Meta and Nvidia's stellar performance, and the intriguing prospects in weight loss drugs and mental health dominate our retrospective analysis. We explore the tumultuous OpenAI saga, including Sam Altman's ouster and subsequent return, shedding light on the dynamics within the company. In the tech sector, we spotlight semiconductor giants like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and Intel, detailing their strategic moves. The EV segment covers Tesla's Cybertruck deliveries and Baird's endorsement of Rivian. Big Tech's strength is showcased through Apple's Vision Pro and Meta's Quest 3, emphasizing their strides in wearables. We also touch upon Meta's impressive market cap surge and CEO Mark Zuckerberg's strategic focus on efficiency. The crypto realm takes center stage with discussions on BTC's market cap, Microstrategy's Bitcoin purchases, and the potential impact of a spot BTC ETF. Join us for an insightful discussion on these market trends and more, and stay tuned for our next episode! Disclaimer: Views expressed are for informational purposes, and listeners are advised to seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

We analyze the Federal Reserve's latest meeting, the US Consumer Price Index, and the decline in crude oil markets. The episode also examines the Nasdaq 100's rebalancing, including notable additions like DoorDash and Uber's entry into the S&P 500. We explore developments in the chip industry with AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom, followed by insights into Bitcoin's recent drop and major market acquisitions. Our tech segment delves into Oracle's earnings, Google's antitrust case, Apple's market predictions, and Pfizer's financial outlook amidst new challenges. Tune in for expert analysis on these pivotal economic and tech updates. Remember to like and subscribe for more! Join us for a comprehensive journey through these critical financial and tech developments, where we contextualize each event with expert analysis and predictions for future market movements. Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more insightful episodes!"

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, marks to market the price-action since our last podcast in late November as well as how markets are setup ahead of a key week for central banks. With markets getting ready to closing out another year, how the FOMC event is received will likely set the stage if the risk-on continues into year-end or not. We expect the Fed to push-back on the recent easing of financial conditions and avoid saying anything that might come across as under-writing rate cuts, something that the market is pricing in spades for 2024. With a recent goldilocks jobs report and a slightly higher than expected CPI print, especially with a higher super-core reading (one of chair Powell's preferred inflation metrics), we do not believe that the Fed will convey a dovish message at the last FOMC meeting of 2023. Lastly, George gives us a glimpse into the themes and framework the team is using in order to setup for the 2024 macro world.

Several announcements coming out of the first days of COP28 demonstrate the seriousness that stakeholders are aiming to adopt the summit's agenda. This may sound trivial, but such wrangling typically takes up a considerable amount of negotiation time at climate talks, such as the mid-year intersessional gathering in Bonn, where countries couldn't agree on the agenda until the penultimate day.  Ehsan Khoman, Head of Commodities, ESG and Emerging Markets Research (EMEA), discusses the major takeaways from COP28 thus far and what success may look like as the summit draws to a close on 12 December.

In this episode of The Markets: Podcast, we delve into recent market shifts and tech advancements. Our focus ranges from Microsoft and OpenAI's evolving dynamics, highlighted by Sam Altman's move to Microsoft, to the repercussions of internal upheavals at OpenAI on their future and employee morale.In the aerospace sector, we examine Boeing's victory at the Dubai Airshow, securing 313 orders, and what Deutsche Bank's upgrade to a 'Buy' rating means for the company. The episode also covers the electric vehicle (EV) market, focusing on Nio's financial health, Tesla's Cybertruck, and broader market trends.

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, walks us through some of his latest special topics in the Macro2Markets Monthly Outlook report. As the title suggests, we first explore the risk-on mood on Wall Street and what is driving it. In George's view, he believes it is a bit premature that some market participants are reading the weaker data and the market-based interest rate declines as a good thing. George wraps up by providing his views on the current developments in bank lending and general credit conditions overall. He also takes us through the big moves that are happening on the U.S. government deficit front and their implications.  

In today's episode, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, and Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Prepayment Modeling and Strategy, discuss October's remittance data, relative value against the backdrop of slower seasonal prepayment, and the outlook for the current coupon basis against the headwinds of 2023's never ending conga line of black swan events. 

This week George Goncalves, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, takes us around the world and back, discussing the latest changes from the Bank of Japan (BoJ), ahead of October month-end trading and the critical double-header events on November 1, when the Treasury releases its quarterly refunding announcement (Q.R.A.) for its Treasury supply needs. Then in the afternoon, the FOMC meets for its second to last meeting of calendar year 2023. In George's view, so long as term premia stays elevated and 10yr rates do not decline back towards the low 4s, these higher long-term rates are doing the tightening for the Fed, and thus the Fed hiking cycle is likely over (where the July hike may end up being the last hike of this cycle). In addition, what is frightening about October 31, other than the spooky Halloween scenes, is that this means there are only two months left in the year and liquidity probably gets worse for markets from here on out. Lastly, George wraps up by providing his views for Fed day, expecting another “hawkish skip”, the second in a row, and that chair Powell will refrain from saying they are done by keeping December in play.