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This episode is sponsored by EMXETF.comKevin T. Carter joins Kyle to talk about TGRZ, the China AI LLM Tigers ETF, and why China's role in the AI trade may be much bigger than most U.S. investors realize.Kevin breaks down the AI market as a five-layer stack: electricity, chips, data centers, models, and applications. From there, he explains why TGRZ is focused on the model layer, where Chinese open-weight AI models like DeepSeek, Kimi K3, GLM, and Qwen are increasingly competing with U.S. models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others.The conversation also gets into one of the biggest surprises from the episode: how differently China and the U.S. appear to view AI adoption. Kevin points to public sentiment around AI being roughly 80% favorable in China versus about 20% in the U.S., and Kyle explores whether that difference in adoption could matter as much as the technology itself.They also discuss Jack Ma, Alibaba, the blocked Ant IPO, and why Kevin believes some of the risks investors associate with China are more complicated (and possibly more overblown) than the headlines suggest.The episode closes with a look at AI infrastructure, data centers, power demand, underwater and space-based compute, and the broader question of whether AI destroys jobs, creates new ones, or does some combination of both.As always, none of this is investment advice. TGRZ is speculative and volatile. Do your own research, understand the risks, and make sure any investment fits your own strategy.Learn more at EMXETF.com.Chapter Timestamps:00:00 — Cold Open: Why Chinese AI Models Are Different00:35 — Introduction: Rethinking the AI Race01:40 — TGRZ and What It Takes to Launch an ETF04:03 — The Five-Layer AI Stack06:25 — The Emerging Market “Mag Three”: Samsung, Hynix, and TSMC07:34 — Why TGRZ Focuses on the AI Model Layer08:03 — DeepSeek and the Cost Question10:58 — What Open-Weight AI Actually Means13:14 — Alibaba, Qwen, and China's AI Ecosystem15:23 — Why U.S. Startups Are Using Chinese AI Models19:10 — Jack Ma, Ant IPO, and China Risk27:42 — TGRZ Volatility and Future EMXETF AI Products29:36 — Data Centers, Power Demand, and AI Infrastructure33:54 — AI Sentiment: China's 80% Favorable vs. the U.S. at 20%36:50 — AI, Jobs, ATMs, Radiology, and What Comes Next40:08 — EMXETF.com, TGRZ Risk, and Closing ThoughtsSponsors:For more than 20 years, the EMXETF team has been focused on technology and innovation across Emerging Markets. Today, we believe artificial intelligence represents the next major chapter of that growth story. From advanced semiconductors and AI infrastructure to models, applications and digital platforms, Emerging Markets are playing an increasingly important role in the global AI ecosystem. EMXETF combines our deep experience in these markets with focused research to give investors targeted exposure to the companies helping shape the future of AI.Kevin: Kevin T. Carter is the Founder & Chief Investment Officer of EMXETF. While he considers himself an active “value” investor first and foremost, he has collaborated with Princeton economist and indexing legend, Dr. Burton Malkiel, for more than 20 years. Their work together began in 1999 with the development of eInvesting, a pioneer firm in fractional share brokerage that was acquired by ETRADE in 2000. In 2002 they founded Active Index Advisors, a pioneer in so-called “direct indexing” that was acquired by Natixis Asset Management in 2005. In 2006, their efforts turned to China and Emerging Markets with Dr. Malkiel's publishing of “Investment Strategies to Exploit Economic Growth in China” and the subsequent book From Wall Street to the Great Wall. Working with Guggenheim Partners, they launched several China focused ETFs on the NYSE.China AI Tigers ETF: TGRZChina AI Research ReportConnect with Kevin on LinkedInAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Auditors warned Guggenheim Partners about weak controls within its business, and Uber is teaming up with driver unions to try to slow the rollout of robotaxis. Plus, US oil major Chevron and Italy's Eni are boosting investment in oil production in Venezuela.Mentioned in this podcast:KPMG warned Guggenheim unit over deficiencies in internal controlsUber allies with driver unions in bid to slow robotaxi rolloutChevron to double Venezuela oil production with $7bn pledgeWant to get in touch? Email us at podcasts@ft.comNote: The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts The FT News Briefing is produced by Sonja Hutson, Saffeya Ahmed, and Josh Gabert-Doyon. Our show is mixed by Sam Giovinco and Kelly Garry. Additional help from Gavin Kallmann, Michael Lello, Peter Barber and David da Silva. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Flo Phillips is the FT's global head of audio. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Commercial real estate has had to weather many challenges since the pandemic, with office vacancies, higher interest rates, refinancing concerns, and the health of regional banks all weighing on the asset class. According to Tom Christopoul, Head of Global Real Estate at Guggenheim Investments, the worst is behind us and the market is in a genuine recovery, but it differs sharply by sector, geography, and position in the capital stack. He joins Macro Markets to discuss sector-by-sector opportunities and risks, capital flows, how AI is reshaping real estate fundamentals, and the attractive demographic and technical tailwinds behind senior housing.Related Content:The Advantages of Investing in Infrastructure and Other Real AssetsRead moreThird Quarter 2026 Structured Credit Outlook: Non-Agency RMBS: Income, Convexity, and a Rebuilt MarketRead MoreFixed-Income Strategy While the Market Tests the FedAnne Walsh joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy, ETFs, and why 2026 will not be like 2022 for bonds.Listen nowThird Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsSound credit fundamentals and elevated yields to weather tail risks to our outlookRead moreInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.5841537
What started as a simple sports question: why did Mark Walter sell the Los Angeles Lakers after just 14 months? — turned into something else entirely. In Part 1 of this two-part ToddCast Special Report, Chuck Todd pulls the thread from a record $12.5 billion franchise sale to the life insurance companies, private credit vehicles, and obscure Delaware LLCs sitting underneath one of the least understood transformations in American finance since 2008. The facts on the record: Walter's Delaware Life Insurance Co. and Clear Spring Life and Annuity Co. received grand jury subpoenas from Manhattan prosecutors in February, disclosed in June 26 regulatory filings, with a parallel SEC review, following earlier inquiries into Guggenheim's $362 billion money management arm. After receiving the subpoenas, both insurers conducted internal reviews, found reporting errors, and revised earlier disclosures — with Delaware Life disclosing an additional $16 billion in private credit assets linked to affiliated entities beyond what had previously been reported. Chuck is emphatic about what that does not mean: no money disappeared, no loans were declared bad, and a disclosure change is not a financial loss. No charges have been announced against the companies or any individuals, Group 1001 says it is cooperating fully with federal authorities and that its financial position remains strong, and the filings did not state that assets were improperly managed or that investors suffered losses. From there, Chuck builds the machine from the ground up in plain English — a retiree in Indiana buying an annuity, an insurer that has to earn enough to keep that promise, a post-2008 world where banks got safer and the risky lending simply moved somewhere with no public market attached to it. He traces Walter's career from asset-backed securitization in the 1990s through the 2012 Dodgers purchase (and the question Andrew Ross Sorkin asked at the time about where the money came from), through the corporate genealogy of Guggenheim, Delaware Life, Clear Spring, and Group 1001, to insurance filings showing hundreds of millions in debt tied to the Dodgers' regional sports network and ticket revenue. He credits the reporting he's leaning on throughout — Katie Baker at The Ringer, independent researcher Nick Nemeth at Mispriced Assets, plus Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, and the Financial Times — and he is scrupulous about the line between what the public record establishes and what it simply cannot. The core question isn't whether anyone broke the law; investigators with subpoena power will answer that. It's whether we understand this system well enough to know what happens when it comes under stress — because when the assets underneath an institution's balance sheet can't be continuously tested in a public market, how much confidence should any of us have in the numbers? Part 2 continues the story. Timeline: 00:00 Why did Mark Walter sell the Lakers? Pulling the thread 00:30 This stopped being a basketball story 00:45 A record $12.5B sale — and why the seller is the story, not the buyers 01:15 Walter took control just 14 months earlier at a $10B valuation 01:30 The thread led to life insurance companies 02:00 A financial market that's grown enormously since the last crisis 02:30 Things that rhyme with 2008 — and things that rhyme with Enron 02:45 Executive Life: the insurer that failed three decades ago 03:15 Three different historical examples — not the same thing 03:45 Not saying another 2008 is coming 04:00 "A sneaking suspicion we may be looking at the beginning of something very bad" 04:15 The questions public filings simply cannot answer 05:15 Why some answers only exist in depositions 05:30 Why the federal investigation matters — subpoena power 06:00 The rule for this episode: what we know vs. what we don't 06:30 The central question about measuring financial strength 07:15 Why this should be a five-alarm fire for regulators 07:45 An enormous market built around things that are private by definition 08:15 Credit where it's due: The Ringer, Mispriced Assets, WSJ, Bloomberg, FT 09:15 Connecting dots vs. building a case 10:00 We made banks safer after 2008 — the money went somewhere else 11:00 Even if it's all legal, the larger question remains 11:45 A simple rule: when someone tells you "it's complicated" 12:15 Complexity as a feature, not a bug 13:00 The innocent explanation: a $2.5B gain in 14 months 13:30 Iger and Kushner were already exploring an NBA expansion team 13:45 Why buy the Lakers instead of building from scratch 14:45 What "valued at $10 billion" does and doesn't mean 15:30 We don't know how much cash Walter personally receives 15:45 Why sell at all? Walter collects teams, he doesn't flip them 16:30 Why only the Lakers? He's keeping the Dodgers 17:15 February grand jury subpoenas and the parallel SEC review 17:30 The disclosure change inside the insurers' filings 18:15 A disclosure change is not a financial loss 19:30 Nobody's been charged; companies say they're cooperating 20:00 Reporting on liquidity — and the precision that question requires 21:00 Why the timing is a legitimate reporting question 21:15 Keeping two separate sports stories separate 21:45 The FIFA deal collapsed roughly 10 days before the Lakers deal 22:15 What the timing does and does not establish 23:00 The political question: Josh Kushner, Jared Kushner, the executive branch 23:45 The pattern is context — it is not evidence 24:00 No evidence of a quid pro quo 24:45 Why the question stays on the shelf 25:15 What does "billionaire" actually mean? 26:00 Who is Mark Walter? Cedar Rapids, a concrete plant, and anonymity 27:15 "I'm nothing special. I'm just the king of common sense." 27:45 Why the low profile matters to this story 28:30 Liberty Hampshire and asset-backed securitization 29:30 Meeting the Guggenheims and building Guggenheim Partners 30:45 Wealth vs. commanding capital that isn't yours 31:45 2012: buying the Dodgers, and the Frank McCourt cautionary tale 33:00 Baseball wanted the exact opposite of McCourt 33:45 Andrew Ross Sorkin's question: where's the rest of the money? 34:15 Insurance company capital in the Dodgers financing 35:15 How does retirement money end up near a baseball team? 36:30 Following the money: a hypothetical retiree in Indiana 37:15 The annuity bargain and what insurers do with the money 38:15 How 2008 scrambled the insurance business 39:00 Low rates and the hunt for yield 39:45 Chuck's Widget Company and the loan the bank won't make 41:00 Money always finds a way — the lesson from campaign finance 41:45 What private credit actually is 42:15 The genuine advantages of private credit 43:00 Stickier capital — and why runs still happen 43:45 Private credit isn't inherently bad. What happens when it gets big? 44:15 No public market means no continuous price check 45:15 What replaces the market as the check on valuation? 46:00 Two sides looking for each other 47:00 Multiplying one retiree's $100,000 by hundreds of thousands 47:45 What happens when the same person owns both sides? 48:30 This is an entire industry, not one man's invention 49:15 Guggenheim's move into insurance and the roots of Group 1001 50:30 The ecosystem: asset management, insurance, private credit 51:00 Why the corporate structure is so hard to follow 51:30 Sportsnet LA and American Media Productions 52:00 Roughly $587M of that debt held by the two insurers, per filings 52:30 Dodgers Tickets LLC and slicing up a franchise 53:00 Is the Dodgers one entity or many? 53:30 Asset-backed securitization, applied to a baseball team 54:30 Is lending against Dodgers TV revenue inherently bad? 55:00 The brother analogy: conflicts and other people's money 55:30 February: subpoenas to Delaware Life and Clear Spring 56:15 The assets were always on the books — the question is characterization 56:30 General interrogatory 13.2 and the original 3% answer 57:00 The revised figure: roughly $16.4B described as dependent on affiliates 57:30 Three separate questions the public record can't resolve 58:15 What the internal reviews concluded 58:45 Comparing that figure to Delaware Life's reported capital and surplus 59:15 What the number does NOT mean 59:45 Concentration, governance, and disclosure 1:00:30 The questions that actually matter 1:01:00 Why the opacity itself is part of the story 1:01:15 Someone looked at the individual borrowers, one by one 1:02:00 Nick Nemeth and the Mispriced Assets research 1:03:15 Why independent research matters in the new media world 1:03:45 Roughly 230 holdings with striking similarities 1:04:00 The names: Verdant Hills, Pines, Iroquois, Yellow Creek 1:04:30 Special purpose vehicles — what's inside the box? 1:05:00 The legitimate reasons to use an LLC 1:05:30 How structure can change regulatory treatment 1:06:15 Does the legal wrapper describe the economic risk underneath? 1:06:45 Does that explain 230 vehicles? We don't know. 1:07:15 The echo of the mortgage crisis 1:08:00 Formation dates, filing numbers, and same-day funding 1:08:45 Roughly 44% of positions held by both insurers, purchased the same day 1:09:15 Innocent explanations exist — but this looks like a system 1:09:30 The questions only investigators can answer 1:10:00 Identification numbers and why outsiders can't check a price 1:10:45 A sophisticated process may exist — but it isn't a public market 1:11:15 What's a private note worth this morning? 1:11:30 Carried at or near purchase price: the concern raised 1:12:00 The great irony: the Lakers are the easy thing to value 1:12:30 Who owns these investments — and who was promised whatSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
An impatient bond market has steepened the yield curve as the Warsh-led Federal Reserve seeks to establish credibility as an inflation fighter and clarity as a communicator. Meanwhile, the resilience of the US economy and corporate earnings is offsetting tail risks like geopolitics and possible change in consumer sentiment. Anne Walsh says there is a lot of opportunity in an environment like this, and she joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy, ETFs, and why 2026 will not be like 2022 for bonds.Related Content:Third Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsSound credit fundamentals and elevated yields to weather tail risks to our outlookRead Fixed-Income Sector ViewsBeyond the Private Credit Headlines: Finding Opportunity in a Noisy MarketHead of Private Debt Origination Joe McCurdy and Portfolio Manager Rusty Parks join Macro Markets to discuss opportunities and emerging risks in the private debt sector.Listen Now Quarterly Macro Themes Our latest Macro Themes updates our economic outlook, examining drivers of growth and emerging risks in the second half of 2026.Read Quarterly Macro Themes Important Notices and DisclosuresInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. During periods of declining rates, the interest rates on floating rate securities generally reset downward and their value is unlikely to rise to the same extent as comparable fixed rate securities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Investors in asset-backed securities, including collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this material may be reproduced or referred to in any form, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. Past performance is not indicative of future results.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Wealth Solutions, LLC, Guggenheim Private Investments, LLC, Guggenheim Investments Loan Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.RO 5812246
Private credit has experienced significant growth in recent years, fueled by institutional and individual investors that have recognized the potential for high risk-adjusted returns and borrowers' need to expand credit channels beyond banks and public debt. Besides gathering assets, in the last several months the sector has also accumulated its share of headlines. Joe McCurdy, Head of Private Debt Origination, and Portfolio Manager Rusty Parks join Macro Markets to provide an update on the sector, discuss where they see opportunities and emerging risks, and share the one assumption they make whenever they evaluate a credit. Related Content:Investing in Private DebtInvestment opportunities in directly originated loans.Read MoreMacro Markets: Halftime Analysis for Investors: Macro Themes and Market Drivers for 2H2026 and BeyondU.S. Economist Matt Bush and Market Strategist Maria Giraldo join Macro Markets to discuss our 2Q2026 Quarterly Macro Themes.Listen Now Second Quarter 2026 Quarterly Macro Themes Our latest Macro Themes updates our economic outlook, examining drivers of growth and emerging risks in the second half of 2026. Read 2Q26 Quarterly Macro Themes Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5752704
War, oil spikes, and a transition at the Federal Reserve contributed to a volatile first half of 2026, but the relative calm at the year's mid-point is an opportune time to examine some of the forces that could drive markets in the coming quarters. U.S. Economist Matt Bush and Market Strategist Maria Giraldo join Macro Markets to discuss the investment implications of our latest Quarterly Macro Themes, including the growth engine and inflationary impact of AI investment, expectations for rates and spreads, the wild card of energy prices, and more.Related Content:Second Quarter 2026 Quarterly Macro Themes Our latest Macro Themes updates our economic outlook, examining drivers of growth and emerging risks in the second half of 2026.Read 2Q26 Quarterly Macro Themes Macro Markets: The Complexity Premium in Structured Credit: The Opportunity Set TodayKarthik Narayanan joins Macro Market to discuss the appeal of structured credit, opportunity and risk in the current environment, and where we are investing today.Listen Now “Space X is the new proxy for risk appetite.”Anne Walsh, CIO, joins CNBC Power Lunch to discuss Federal Reserve policy, the emerging threat of an equity market bubble, and which asset classes may help balance portfolio exposure.Watch NowInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.SP 5731325
Episode 304 reunites The Analysts — Remarkable Retail's celebrated panel of Forrester's Sucharita Kodali, Guggenheim's Simeon Siegel, and GlobalData's Neil Saunders — to take stock of retail coming out of earnings season. Steve Dennis and Michael LeBlanc open on the paradox of 2026: results are largely strong, sentiment is dismal. Simeon argues the link between the two is "tenuous at best" — people talk one way and spend another. Neil has the data: roughly 60% of shoppers who expect the economy to worsen still spent more than a year ago, propped up by spring tax refunds that won't repeat. Then the K-shaped economy. Higher-income households drive most of the real volume growth; middle-income shoppers prop up value growth mainly because prices are higher. Sucharita revisits "peak ambiguity" and the "vibe session," noting record sales barely outrun stubborn inflation. The panel unpacks the standouts — Ross's 17% comp, Victoria's Secret up 15% — and debates GLP-1's role in surging apparel and beauty: wardrobe replacement, new confidence, trading up to statement pieces. On turnarounds, Simeon lands the episode's sharpest thesis: brands "ubiquitize" and peak around $3–4 billion in the US. Lululemon got too big, over-distributed, and over-earning — so the bad sales have to "walk out the door" before the brand can re-elevate, the same lens that frames Nike's long reset. He and Sucharita draw the Gap parallel ahead of Simeon's on-stage interview with Mickey Drexler, noting Old Navy now dwarfs Gap itself. Neil makes the case for Macy's under Tony Spring — basics fixed first, satisfaction and visitation improving — while Steve stays skeptical of the pace. Next, the DTC reckoning. Simeon reframes his old "DTC is not all it's cracked up to be" call as "anti-anti-wholesale": outside high-margin luxury, nearly every brand needs a healthy wholesale business — and stores remain the best channel because "the customer is your employee." Sucharita pushes back on the AI narrative, reminding everyone it's far more than generative hype, as the panel digs into why scaled players — Amazon, Walmart, Costco, off-price — keep compounding through retail media, marketplaces, and flywheel economics. It closes on the wealth effect, trillion-dollar market caps, and whether a market correction could rattle high-end spending — then rapid-fire hot takes: brands to watch (Cozey, Ross Stores, Goyard) and what's on each analyst's radar, from inflation and surging oil prices to a quiet "middle of the doughnut" news lull and an election year's hunt for stability. Join us at the CommerceNext Growth Show in New York June 23rd and 24th with this exclusive discount code for 10% off general admission tickets and FREE retail tickets: Your code is "REMARKABLE" . See you in the Big Apple! About UsSteve Dennis is a strategic advisor and keynote speaker focused on growth and innovation, who has also been named one of the world's top retail influencers. He is the bestselling author of two books: Leaders Leap: Transforming Your Company at the Speed of Disruption and Remarkable Retail: How To Win & Keep Customers in the Age of Disruption. Steve regularly shares his insights in his role as a Forbes senior retail contributor and on social media.Michael LeBlanc is a senior retail advisor, keynote speaker and media entrepreneur. Michael has delivered keynotes, hosted fire-side discussions hosted senior retail executive on-stage in 1:1 interviews worldwide. Michael produces and hosts a network of leading retail trade podcasts, including The Remarkable Retail Podcast, The Voice of Retail The Food Professor, The FEED powered by Loblaw and the Global eCommerce Leaders podcast. He has been recognized by the NRF as a global Top Retail Voice for 2025 and 2025 and continues to be a ReThink Retail Top Retail Expert for the fifth year in a row.
The Dow Jones jumped to a new all-time high while the other major averages moved lower on Tuesday. Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan were joined by Guggenheim Partners' Anne Walsh for the full hour to break down the move in stocks, treasury yields, and energy prices. Key interviews during the hour included Snap CEO Evan Spiegel, JP Morgan's Doug Petno, and Callaway Golf CEO Chip Brewer. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Investors today are navigating a set of complex macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces. Whatever the market conditions, Guggenheim Investments leans in to structured credit as an important allocation in most of our fixed-income strategies. In Part 1 of this episode, Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss the fundamental appeal of the sector and its relative and absolute value.Related Content:Corporate Credit QuarterlySolid corporate fundamentals continue to anchor our constructive view on credit.Read Now Macro Markets: Portfolio Strategy as Oil Stays Elevated and ‘Regime Change' Comes to the FedInsights on the FOMC decision, inflation, and the possible path of oil prices.Listen Now The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing offers diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5564384
Investors today are navigating a set of complex macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces. Whatever the market conditions, Guggenheim Investments leans in to structured credit as an important allocation in most of our fixed-income strategies. In Part 2 of this episode, Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss where we are finding value and risk in today's market.Related Content:Corporate Credit QuarterlySolid corporate fundamentals continue to anchor our constructive view on credit.Read Now Macro Markets: Portfolio Strategy as Oil Stays Elevated and ‘Regime Change' Comes to the FedInsights on the FOMC decision, inflation, and the possible path of oil prices.Listen Now The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing offers diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.SP XXXXX
The Federal Reserve held rates steady last week, as expected, but the backdrop is anything but routine. Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch and Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Patricia Zobel join Macro Markets to share insights on a range of market issues, including the FOMC decision, inflation and the possible path of oil prices, private credit volatility, and market opportunities and risks as Jay Powell prepares to pass the monetary policy baton to Kevin Warsh.Related Content:Successful Investing Means Looking Through the NoiseAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss market dynamics amid geopolitical tensions and why private debt remains a good place to invest.Watch VideoSecond Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector Views Identifying relative value across the fixed-income market.Read 2Q26 Fixed Income Sector Views The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing has diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5453624
What is next for corporate credit—investment-grade and high yield corporate bonds and leveraged loans—after a volatile first quarter? Credit fundamentals were sound coming into 2026, and while the U.S. economy has shown resilience, the path of energy prices and geopolitical risk continues to stay elevated. Tom Hauser, Head of Corporate Credit, and Dan Montegari, Head of Research for Corporate Credit, join Macro Markets to help us make sense of these dynamics and their potential impact on corporate credit portfolios and the outlook going forward.Related Content:Successful Investing Means Looking Through the NoiseAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss market dynamics amid geopolitical tensions and why private debt remains a good place to invest.Watch VideoSecond Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsIdentifying relative value across the fixed-income market.Read 2Q26 Fixed Income Sector Views The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and InfrastructureThe dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing has diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5441129
Investors look to physical infrastructure assets to potentially provide steady cash flow, inflation protection, portfolio diversification, and resiliency through economic cycles. In this episode of Macro Markets, John Tanyeri, head of our Real Assets group, explores the powerful secular and geopolitical forces shaping the landscape, and identifies where we're finding compelling relative value amid elevated economic and geopolitical uncertainty.Related Content:The Advantage of Investing in Real Assets and Infrastructure The dynamic landscape of infrastructure investing has diverse opportunities across sectors and the risk-return spectrum.Read WhitepaperSecond Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector Views Identifying relative value across the fixed-income market.Read 2Q26 Fixed Income Sector Views Macro Markets Podcast Episode 83: Geopolitical Risk Rears Its Head Evan Serdensky and Matt Bush discuss our outlook and portfolio strategy in this environment and provide insights from our latest Quarterly Macro Themes publication. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.RO 5394877
The war in Iran and spike in oil prices have threatened the generally strong U.S. economy and elevated volatility in the markets. In this episode of Macro Markets, Portfolio Manager Evan Serdensky and U.S. Economist Matt Bush discuss our outlook and portfolio strategy in this environment, and provide insights from our latest Quarterly Macro Themes publication. Related Content:1Q 2026 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what's next. Read 1Q26 Macro Themes 1Q 2026 Corporate Credit QuarterlyA Record Supply Year Is Taking Shape on Solid GroundRead Corporate Credit QuarterlyMacro Markets Podcast Episode 82: The Next Test for Equities?Equity market opportunities and risks, plus some of the advantages of unit investment trusts. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Stock markets can be volatile. Investments in securities of small and medium capitalization companies may involve greater risk of loss and more abrupt fluctuations in market price than investments in larger companies. Equity or stock investments may not be suitable for all investors. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.5348153
Equity markets have shown remarkable resilience through chaotic trade policies, the rise of AI, and now a war in the Middle East. But with the Iran conflict continuing to unfold, oil at elevated levels, and volatility spiking, that resilience could face a tough test. Equity Strategist Michael Schwager and Equity Product Strategist Ryan Sundby join Macro Markets to discuss market opportunities and risks in this environment, and address some of the advantages of unit investment trusts. Related Content:1Q26 Corporate Credit Quarterly: A Record Supply Year Is Taking Shape on Solid GroundHow record credit issuance may reshape market dynamic in 2026. Read Corporate Credit QuarterlyMacro Markets Podcast Episode 81: AI's Macro and Market Impact: A Framework for InvestorsU.S. Economist Matt Bush and Market Strategist Maria Giraldo join the latest episode of Macro Markets to discuss insights from our new white paper, “AI's Promise and History's Lessons.”Listen to Macro MarketsAI's Promise and History's Lessons Artificial intelligence is poised to reshape the economic landscape, creating significant opportunities for investors, but also notable risks.Read NowInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.Read the Trust's prospectus carefully before investing. It contains the Trust's investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses and other information, which should be considered carefully before investing. Obtain a prospectus at GuggenheimInvestments.comThis material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.5302252
U.S. Economist Matt Bush and Market Strategist Maria Giraldo join the latest episode of Macro Markets to discuss insights from our new white paper, “AI's Promise and History's Lessons.” They explore how artificial intelligence is driving innovation and long-term productivity gains, even as it creates short-term disruptions in labor markets and deepens economic divides. Learn how investors can position for the challenges and opportunities ahead.Related Content:AI's Promise and History's Lessons Our new paper addresses the economic and market implications of AI in the context of investment opportunities across infrastructure, equity, and credit markets. [Read Now]Macro Markets: Fixed Income Outlook: Sunny with a Chance of Tail Risks Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins Macro Markets to review current market conditions for bonds and discuss our economic outlook and portfolio strategy for the coming year.[Listen Now] First Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsOur investment team evaluates sectors across the fixed-income market.[Read Now]Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2026 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC.SP 67841
Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins Macro Markets to review current market conditions for bonds and discuss our economic outlook and portfolio strategy for the coming year. He shares his views on the incoming Federal Reserve chair, opportunities in credit and structured products, and the impact of artificial intelligence on markets and the economy.Related Content:AI's Promise and History's Lessons Our new paper addresses the economic and market implications of AI in the context of investment opportunities across infrastructure, equity, and credit markets.[Read Now]First Quarter 2026 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsOur investment team evaluates sectors across the fixed-income market.[Read Now]10 Macro Themes Driving Markets in 2026 10 macroeconomic trends likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year.[Read Now] Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of...
How can leaders navigate a world roiled by a host of uncertainties, from the impact of AI to jobs and economies, to an ever-warming world and increasing geopolitical conflicts? They can start by asking the right questions. In this special episode, with interviews recorded in Davos, leaders share what's top of mind for 2026. They give their thoughts on how leaders can navigate the unknown, their strategies to focus on what matters most and the key questions they're looking to answer at the start the year. Featured in this episode: Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director, International Monetary Fund, the question to help navigate uncertainty Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer, Guggenheim Investment Management; Managing Partner, Guggenheim Partners on separating the signal from the noise Sunny Mann, Global Chair, Baker McKenzie, on tapping experts and building for resilience Nicholas Thompson, CEO, The Atlantic, on if we'll see the democratization of AI Jeremy Allaire, Founder and CEO, Circle, on how autonomous work will take shape Nikki Clifton, UPS Foundation, focusing on the right challenge Jonathan Haidt, author The Anxious Generation, on investing on habits for flourishing Suleika Jaouad, author and artist, on valuing meaning over momentum Adam Grant, Wharton Organizational Psychologist, on following the right leaders Jon Batiste, Grammy-winning musician, on making the future we imagine a reality About this epsiode: Transcript: https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/meet-the-leader/episodes/questions-davos-leaders-are-asking-2026 Related story: Davos 2026: 10 questions on leaders' minds https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/02/davos-2026-10-questions-on-leaders-minds/ Related sessions: Davos 2026: Special address by Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission: https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/01/davos-2026-special-address-ursula-von-der-leyen/ Davos 2026: Special address by Mark Carney, Prime Minister of Canada https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/01/davos-2026-special-address-by-mark-carney-prime-minister-of-canada/ Related epsiodes: Meet The Leader: IMF's Kristalina Georgieva on what's next for AI, skills and the global economy https://tinyurl.com/4ptf5ewp Radio Davos: What just happened at Davos 2026 https://open.spotify.com/episode/3vB8W0ljH3VQeHAaf2sCuV
Humans have shaped the world more than any other species in existence, largely due to our ability to coordinate and work together as a unit – in other words, to govern ourselves. This means that, while human societies are at the center of the many crises we face today, we are also the key to navigating through them safely. But this is only possible if we're able to hold the foundations of our governance together: communication, agency, and remembering our shared humanity. What is the current state of our ability to do this, and what policy mechanisms and agreements are needed to navigate the turbulent decades to come? In this Reality Roundtable, Nate is joined by geopolitical risk experts Mark Medish and Chuck Watson to discuss the increasing strain being placed on human governance as a result of escalating conflicts between nations and state leaders. Together, they delve into the intricate foundations of our modern governing structures and why it is critical that we reinforce existing international treaties and agreements in order to avoid the worst outcomes for all of humanity. Mark and Chuck also discuss the history of nuclear arms control – including the upcoming expiration of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) – and how artificial intelligence threatens to disturb the tenuous peace built in the 20th century. Ultimately, they emphasize the need to renew public awareness and education on the importance of governance and the need for our leadership to engage in diplomatic negotiations in an increasingly complex world. Despite the media's focus on laws, regulations, and technology, why do people and our shared humanity still lay at the center of good governance and decision making? Where are our current leaders failing us, and does the average citizen still hold agency to influence the trajectory of global events? Lastly, what do we risk by abandoning trust in our fellow citizens and nations, and what opportunities are still available to rebuild our confidence in each other? (Conversation recorded on January 8th, 2026) About Mark Medish: Mark Medish has over 30 years of professional experience in policy, law, finance, and strategic communications. Medish served at The White House as a Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director on the National Security Council, as well as at the U.S. Treasury as Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Affairs. He also worked in senior positions at the State Department (USAID) and the United Nations (UNDP). Medish is Vice Chair of Project Associates Ltd., a London headquartered strategic consultancy with offices in Europe, the Middle East, East Africa, and the U.S. He is also a founding partner of the Mosaiq Law Group in Washington, D.C., and a co-founder of Keep Our Republic, a non-profit civic education organization promoting democratic governance and rule of law. His previous business leadership posts include: president of The Messina Group, a boutique strategic communications firm based in Washington, D.C.; president of the international division of Guggenheim Partners, an asset management company headquartered in Chicago; and equity partner at Akin Gump, an international law firm where he led the sovereign advisory practice. He worked as a vice president for studies and senior scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He was a visiting research fellow at The Japan Institute of International Affairs in Tokyo. He is a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is also a board member of the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University and the Institute for Human Sciences (IWM) in Vienna. About Chuck Watson: Chuck Watson has had a long career in international development projects as well as military and intelligence work, with a specialty in natural and human-made disaster modeling. He worked for the US Air Force, was an attaché to US Ambassadors to the Middle East Robert McFarland and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld. Chuck has worked as an advisor to governments for over four decades with a particular emphasis on big data, open source intelligence, with an emphasis on the Soviet Union and Russia. Chuck is also the founder and Director of Research and Development of Enki Holdings, LLC, which designs computer models for phenomena ranging from tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and other weather phenomena, earthquakes, and tsunamis, as well as anthropogenic hazards such as industrial accidents, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction. Show Notes and More Watch this video episode on YouTube Want to learn the broad overview of The Great Simplification in 30 minutes? Watch our Animated Movie. --- Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future Join our Substack newsletter Join our Hylo channel and connect with other listeners
Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, joins Macro Markets to discuss our newly published report, “10 Macro Themes for 2026". From steady but slow growth and disinflation to AI-driven infrastructure investment and intensifying competition, these dynamics create a complex opportunity set favoring active management in fixed-income markets.Related Content:10 Macro Themes for 2026Guggenheim Investments' Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Team identifies 10 macroeconomic trends we believe are likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year.Read NowMacro Markets: The Investing Outlook for 2026 Anne Walsh joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy within the context of our 2026 outlook for growth, inflation, monetary policy, private credit, and the impact of AI on markets and the economy. Listen NowWalsh: ‘Expect the Unexpected'Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joined CNBC Power Lunch to discuss market conditions and strategies for portfolio protection in a period of policy uncertainty.Watch NowInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based...
Steve Dennis and Michael LeBlanc open the first episode of 2026 with a clear-eyed look at the retail news shaping the year ahead. Holiday sales landed largely as expected. Online sales grew faster, but at a decelerating pace, reinforcing the continued centrality of stores—particularly as click-and-collect represented a meaningful share of holiday fulfillment. The hosts also dig into sector-level performance, noting continued softness in big-ticket home categories alongside strength in apparel, beauty, and sporting goods.Attention then turns to structural stress in retail. The looming Chapter 11 filing of Saks Global underscores the limits of debt-heavy consolidation strategies and the difficulty of rationalizing oversized store portfolios. Steve outlines why store closures, vendor confidence, and new leadership will be critical to any successful reorganization. The news segment closes with a sobering look at U.S. job growth, which has slowed sharply, particularly in retail and manufacturing. While unemployment remains low, constrained labor supply and weak hiring momentum raise important questions for 2026.From there, the episode shifts to a wide-ranging discussion with The Analysts, this time featuring Simeon Siegel, Senior Managing Director at Guggenheim Partners, and Sucharita Kodali, Vice President and Principal Analyst at Forrester. Reflecting on 2025, both describe a year marked by cognitive dissonance: record retail spending alongside low consumer confidence and wildly uneven outcomes. Rather than a simple “K-shaped” economy, Simeon argues that execution matters most, pointing to stark performance differences between retailers selling similar products to similar customers.The Analysts explore where market share is truly shifting, why off-price and value leaders continue to gain ground, and how e-commerce growth is normalizing as the channel matures. Sucharita explains why physical retail remains resilient in the U.S., while Simeon adds that rising friction—fees, returns, and fulfillment costs—has dulled some of e-commerce's original advantages. The conversation also tackles tariffs, AI, and technology hype. The episode concludes with Steve and Michael's perspectives on Amazon's surprising new physical retail stores plans and a possibly big Supreme Court ruling on tariff policy. About UsSteve Dennis is a strategic advisor and keynote speaker focused on growth and innovation, who has also been named one of the world's top retail influencers. He is the bestselling authro of two books: Leaders Leap: Transforming Your Company at the Speed of Disruption and Remarkable Retail: How To Win & Keep Customers in the Age of Disruption. Steve regularly shares his insights in his role as a Forbes senior retail contributor and on social media.Michael LeBlanc is the president and founder of M.E. LeBlanc & Company Inc, a senior retail advisor, keynote speaker and now, media entrepreneur. He has been on the front lines of retail industry change for his entire career. Michael has delivered keynotes, hosted fire-side discussions and participated worldwide in thought leadership panels, most recently on the main stage in Toronto at Retail Council of Canada's Retail Marketing conference with leaders from Walmart & Google. He brings 25+ years of brand/retail/marketing & eCommerce leadership experience with Levi's, Black & Decker, Hudson's Bay, CanWest Media, Pandora Jewellery, The Shopping Channel and Retail Council of Canada to his advisory, speaking and media practice.Michael produces and hosts a network of leading retail trade podcasts, including the award-winning No.1 independent retail industry podcast in America, Remarkable Retail with his partner, Dallas-based best-selling author Steve Dennis; Canada's top retail industry podcast The Voice of Retail and Canada's top food industry and one of the top Canadian-produced management independent podcasts in the country, The Food Professor with Dr. Sylvain Charlebois from Dalhousie University in Halifax.Rethink Retail has recognized Michael as one of the top global retail experts for the fourth year in a row, Thinkers 360 has named him on of the Top 50 global thought leaders in retail, RTIH has named him a top 100 global though leader in retail technology and Coresight Research has named Michael a Retail AI Influencer. If you are a BBQ fan, you can tune into Michael's cooking show, Last Request BBQ, on YouTube, Instagram, X and yes, TikTok.Michael is available for keynote presentations helping retailers, brands and retail industry insiders explaining the current state and future of the retail industry in North America and around the world.
Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy within the context of our 2026 outlook for growth, inflation, monetary policy, private credit, and the impact of AI on markets and the economy. In this complex landscape, she makes the case for why she believes now is not a time for sitting on the sidelines.Related Content:The Risk Mitigation Advantage in Active Fixed-Income ManagementWhy active has the potential to outperform passive in fixed incomeRead Now2026 Outlook for Fixed-Income and EquitiesAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to share her 2026 market outlook and insights on the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting.Watch NowMacro Markets Podcast Episode 77: Agency MBS: From Zero to Hero How Agency MBS shifted in the risk-reward equation and the opportunity going forward.Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments...
For two decades, we typically looked past Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to find better relative value opportunities in the non-government sponsored credit markets. But something fundamental changed, and over the past three years these securities have claimed an increasingly significant allocation in our total return strategies. What sparked this pivot? Portfolio Manager Adam Bloch and Louis Pacilio from our Structured Credit team unpack the mechanics of the Agency MBS market, explain what shifted in the risk-reward equation, discuss the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and explore the opportunity going forward.Related Content:Fourth Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsThe ABCs of Asset-Backed Finance Finding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed finance.Read The ABCs of Asset-Backed FinanceMacro Markets Podcast Episode 76: Why and Where (and How) to Invest in Asset-Backed Finance Relative value opportunities in ABS, CLOs, and residential and commercial MBS, as well as insights into the process for managing these complex investments.Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other
El legendario equipo de Los Angeles Lakers cambia de manos tras 45 años bajo el control de la familia Buss. La franquicia, una de las más emblemáticas del deporte mundial, ha sido adquirida por el magnate estadounidense Mark Walter en un acuerdo valorado en 10.000 millones de dólares, la transacción más grande en la historia del deporte profesional. La familia Buss, deja un legado imborrable, que desde los días del “Showtime” con Magic Johnson hasta la era de Kobe Bryant y el anillo en la burbuja de 2020, vieron brillar a los oro y purpura. Ahora llega un nuevo propietario: CEO de Guggenheim Partners, cofundador de TWG Global y ya copropietario de los Los Angeles Dodgers. Con esta operación, Walter amplía su influencia en el deporte estadounidense y promete mantener viva la identidad de los Lakers mientras impulsa su crecimiento global. En el reportaje, también se analiza el presente deportivo del equipo, liderado por Luka Doncic, y las nuevas incorporaciones que buscan devolver al conjunto angelino al trono de la NBA.
Asset-backed investments have typically traded at higher yields and wider spreads than comparably rated corporate securities. Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, explains why this relative value opportunity exists and where he sees value across asset-backed securities, collateralized loan obligations, and residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities. He also offers insights into the process for managing these complex investments.Related Content:The ABCs of Asset-Backed FinanceFinding value in complexity: The structure, risks, and investor-friendly features of asset-backed finance.Read the ReportInterest Rate Expectations Support Fixed Income Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss monetary and fiscal policy, macroeconomic trends, and credit market opportunities. Watch Now Fourth Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such...
The stock market continues to power ahead even as the labor market shows signs of weakening and inflation pressures mount. Michael Schwager, Equity Strategist, and Ryan Sundby, Equity Product Specialist, join Macro Markets to discuss forces driving the gains, why the rally might have room to run, and the relative value of blue chip stocks in this environment. Related Content:Fourth Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsPrivate Credit Has More Room to ExpandAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to share her outlook on the economy, monetary policy, and the credit markets. Watch Now Macro Markets Podcast Episode 74: Fed Easing Resumes, Adding Tailwinds and Volatility to the Outlook Matt Bush and Evan Serdensky provide an update to our macroeconomic outlook and discuss portfolio strategy for the road ahead. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Stock markets can be volatile. Investments in securities of small and medium capitalization companies may involve greater risk of loss and more abrupt fluctuations in market price than investments in larger companies. Equity or stock investments may not be suitable for all investors. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors,...
The Federal Reserve resumed rate cuts at its September meeting, gauging that risks to the labor market currently outweigh inflation risks. Mixed signals from the fixed-income and equity markets reflect the uncertain and complex outlook. Tune in as Matt Bush, our U.S. economist, and Evan Serdensky, portfolio manager on our Total Return team, cut through the noise, update our macroeconomic outlook, and discuss portfolio strategy for the road ahead.Related Insights:Third Quarter 2025 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what's next. Read 3Q25 Quarterly Macro ThemesThird Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read 3Q25 Fixed Income Sector Views Macro Markets Podcast Episode 73: Gamechanger: Post-FOMC & Jobs Data Analysis and Outlook Steve Brown and Patricia Zobel join Macro Markets to offer their analysis on the complex forces shaping our economic outlook and portfolio strategy.Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such...
Steve Brown and Patricia Zobel join Macro Markets to offer their analysis on the complex forces shaping our economic outlook and portfolio strategy.Related Content:Third Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read 3Q25 Fixed Income Sector Views Macro Markets Episode 72: Credit Cycle Check-InTom Hauser, Head of Corporate Credit, and Dan Montegari, Head of Research for Corporate Credit, join Macro Markets to discuss credit quality and market technicals at this point in the credit cycle.Listen nowViews on Rates and Yield CurveSteve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss the direction of future Federal Reserve policy and his outlook for the yield curve.Watch nowInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors,...
Patricia Zobel serves as Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, and previously served as an executive at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (New York Fed). Patricia rejoins the podcast to share perspective on a range of topics, spanning an outlook for the US economy, US trade policy, Fed independence, and the direction of monetary policy. We also spend time on allocation preferences. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Tom Hauser, Head of Corporate Credit, and Dan Montegari, Head of Research for Corporate Credit, join Macro Markets to discuss credit quality and market technicals at this point in the credit cycle, as well as what is driving the divergence between the high yield and bank loan sectors. Find out how tariffs and A.I. factor into our bottom-up credit analysis, and where to find value in a time of market volatility and tight spreads. Related Content:Third Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative value across the fixed-income market.Read 3Q25 Fixed Income Sector Views The Case for Fixed Income in a Volatile WorldPortfolio Manager Adam Bloch joins Asset TV for a fixed-income masterclass, discussing the current macro environment, finding relative value, and why today's market may represent a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for fixed-income investors. Watch NowMacro Markets Episode 71: Midyear Outlook—Taking and Avoiding Risk in a Volatile Market and Uncertain WorldAnne Walsh joins Macro Markets for a look back at the first half of 2025 and shares her outlook on the economy, rates, fiscal policy, monetary policy, and relative value. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is...
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets for a look back at the first half of 2025 and shares her outlook on the economy, rates, fiscal policy, monetary policy, and relative value. As we head into the second half of the year, the best approach to navigating the noise of market volatility is to stay focused on the long-term signals, which are positive for active fixed-income management. Follow this link to the March 2025 commentary by Walsh referenced in this episode, titled “Don't Let Policy Volatility Overshadow Market Opportunity.” Related Content:Stay Focused on Macro Themes During Tricky Investment Environment Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss Fed policy, rate cuts, and current investment opportunities Watch Now Solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum An active, diversified, multisector approach to meeting the total return objectives of core fixed-income management without taking undue risk. Read the Report Macro Markets Episode 70: The Real Opportunity in Real Assets John Tanyeri, Head of Real Assets or Originations, and Matt Lindland, Head of Structured Products, join Macro Markets to review the spectrum of investments in real assets and their place in a diversified portfolio. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to...
What is the investment proposition of ‘real assets'? John Tanyeri, Head of Guggenheim Investments' Real Assets Group, and Matt Lindland, Head of Structured Products, join Macro Markets to review the spectrum of investments in the asset class—like infrastructure, commercial real estate, and securitized cash flows from hard assets—and their place in a diversified portfolio. They also discuss how trends like digitalization, decarbonization, deglobalization, and demographic shifts should help drive returns going forward. Related Insights:Notes on Treasury Market Activity Update on our macro and market outlook following recent rate volatility. Read NowAttractive Opportunities in Credit Despite Fiscal Policy volatility Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, talks to Bloomberg TV at the Milken Institute Global Conference about trade, tariffs, taxes, and the future direction of monetary policy. Watch Now Macro Markets Podcast Episode 69: Investing for Insurance Companies: Prepare for the Worst and Expect the Best Jamie Crapanzano of our insurance portfolio management team and Ann Bryant of our insurance strategy team join Macro Markets to discuss issues and trends in fixed-income markets—those that apply to all investors as ell as those that are specific to the industry. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as
Jamie Crapanzano of our insurance portfolio management team and Ann Bryant of our insurance strategy team join Macro Markets to discuss issues and trends in fixed-income markets—those that apply to all investors as well as those that are specific to the industry. Related Content:Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative value across the fixed-income market. Read Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Attractive Opportunities in Credit Despite Fiscal Policy Volatility Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, talks to Bloomberg TV at the Milken Institute Global Conference about trade, tariffs, taxes, and the future direction of monetary policy. Watch Now Changing the Correlation Assumptions in the Risk-Based Capital Calculation The NAIC is considering a major overhaul of the required capital calculation. Planning begins now for life and annuity companies. Read Now. Macro Markets Podcast Episode 68: Private Debt Update: Don't Shy Away from VolatilityJoe McCurdy and Rusty Parks join Macro Markets to review the drivers of value in the $1.7 trillion private debt market and how today's market uncertainty can lead to investment opportunities. Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained...
Joe McCurdy and Rusty Parks join Macro Markets to review the drivers of value in the $1.7 trillion private debt market and how today's market uncertainty can lead to investment opportunitiesRelated Content:Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative value across the fixed-income market. Read Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Notes on Tariff TurbulenceUpdate on our macro and market outlook following announcement of new tariff and trade policies.Read Notes on Tariff TurbulenceMacro Markets Podcast Episode 67: Outlook and Strategy After the Tariff Gray Swan Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, and Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, join Macro Markets to review the tariff-related paradigm shift in trade policy.Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2025 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be...
What if the market chaos we're experiencing today isn't as unprecedented as it seems? In this episode, we unpack what today's economic volatility has in common with the 2008 financial crisis and how smart investors can adapt. Host Jeannette Friedrich is joined by Jeff Traister, Managing Director of Systematic Portfolio Investing at Guggenheim Partners. With decades of experience spanning crisis-era mortgage trading to building systematic strategies for a $120B portfolio, Jeff offers rare insight into how to navigate uncertainty, manage risk, and stay grounded in disciplined strategy. Key takeaways from the episode: - The most resilient investment strategies are systematic but also adaptive, continuously evolving based on incoming data rather than rigid models - Human behavior is often the biggest challenge to disciplined investing, especially during high volatility - Liquidity risk is often invisible until it's too late, and many investors fail to account for it properly - Lessons from the 2008 crisis remain critical today, particularly around risk modeling and the importance of conducting in-house analysis - Extreme market behavior today, such as dislocation in Treasury markets, may require Federal Reserve intervention similar to 2008 - Long-term investment strategies should be designed to weather political uncertainty, tariffs, and recession risk - Private real estate stands out in today's environment for its stability, insulation from daily volatility, and asset-specific fundamentals - Emotional discipline and diversified thinking are essential, and investors should never rely solely on credentials or single sources of information Contact Jeff https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeff-traister-los-angeles/ Timestamps 00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction 01:59 Navigating Investment Strategies in Uncertain Times 04:59 Lessons from the 2008 Financial Crisis 19:55 The Fed's Potential Actions and Market Impact 21:35 Comparing 2008 Crisis to Current Market Conditions 24:06 Personal Insights and Investment Strategies Are you REady2Scale Your Multifamily Investments? Learn more about growing your wealth, strengthening your portfolio, and scaling to the next level at www.bluelake-capital.com. Credits Producer: Blue Lake Capital Strategist: Syed Mahmood Editor: Emma Walker Opening music: Pomplamoose *
Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, and Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, join Macro Markets to review the tariff-related paradigm shift in trade policy, and update our macro outlook, risk assessment, and portfolio strategy as the market volatility unfolds.Related Content:Notes on Tariff TurbulenceUpdate on our macro and market outlook following announcement of new tariff and trade policies.Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary Don't Let Policy Volatility Overshadow Market OpportunityLong-term signals are positive for fixed income. Read the CIO Outlook Macro Markets Podcast Episode 66: Asset-Backed Finance: The Evolution of a Portfolio Mainstay Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, discusses the role asset-backed finance plays in a diversified fixed-income portfolio.Listen to Macro Markets Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered...
Karthik Narayanan joins Macro Markets to discuss the evolution of asset-backed finance, the role it plays in a diversified fixed-income portfolio, and current market dynamics and opportunities.Related Content:Don't Let Policy Volatility Overshadow Market OpportunityLong-term signals are positive for fixed income. Read CIO Outlook 1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 65: Macro and Micro Views on Credit Opportunities in a Shifting Economy Top-down and bottom-up perspectives on opportunity in the high yield and bank loan market. Listen to Macro Markets Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2025 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part...
Strong fundamentals and positive market technicals should support credit performance in an environment characterized by high nominal yields, tight spreads, and elevated policy uncertainty. Maria Giraldo and Rebecca Elkins join Macro Markets to provide top down and bottom up perspectives on opportunity in the high yield and bank loan market. Related Insights:1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 64: The SMA Advantage—Institutional Strategies for Individual Investors Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, joins Macro Markets to explore separately managed accounts (SMAs), a structure that offers many potential benefits to individual investors. Bloch also shares his views on growth, inflation, and relative value in the market.Listen to Macro Markets1Q 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is
Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, joins Macro Markets to discuss separately managed accounts (SMAs), a structure that offers many benefits to individual investors. Bloch also shares his views on growth, inflation, and relative value in the market.Related Insights:1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 63: Post-Inauguration/Post-FOMC Analysis—Into the Known UnknownMatt Bush and Evan Serdensky discuss evolving economic and investing conditions, as well as recent A.I.-related volatility. Listen to Macro Markets Podcast1Q 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.SMA strategies discussed herein are available exclusively through third party financial professionals and are not offered directly to the public through Guggenheim Investments. SMA target characteristics and allocations are for illustrative purposes only. Individual account holdings and characteristics will vary depending on the size of an account, cash flows and account restrictions. Individual accounts within the same strategy may have portfolio characteristics and performance that differ from one another. This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Investment Risks. The strategies described herein may not be suitable for all investors. All investments have inherent risks. There is no guarantee the manager will be able to implement investment strategies successfully or achieve investment objectives. • The market value of fixed income securities will change in response to interest rate changes and market conditions among other things. In general, bond prices rise when interest rates fall and vice versa. • High yield securities present more liquidity and credit risk than investment grade bonds and may be
The new administration has hit the ground running, the Fed held rates steady at its last policy meeting, and markets have been volatile. Matt Bush, our U.S. economist, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, join Macro Markets to discuss evolving economic and investing conditions, as well as recent A-.I.-related volatility.Related Insights:10 Macro Themes for 202510 trends that will shape credit markets in 2025. Read 10 Macro ThemesMacro Markets Podcast Episode 62: 10 Macro Themes for 2025 (and a Quick Fed Update)Patricia Zobel, Head of our Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Group joins Macro Markets to discuss our 10 Macro Themes likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. Listen to Macro Markets EpisodeFirst Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Learn where we're finding value.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Private Investments, LLC, Guggenheim Wealth Solutions, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 63850
Patricia Zobel, Head of our Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Group, joins Macro Markets to discuss the top 10 Macro Themes we believe will shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. She also discusses December economic data releases, the incoming Trump administration, and the future path of Fed policy.10 Macro Themes for 202510 trends that will shape credit markets in 2025. Read 10 Macro Themes1Q25 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsPlanning begins now for Life and Annuity companies.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsThe Power of Private Credit in Fixed-Income PortfoliosDina DiLorenzo, President of Guggenheim Investments, joins CNBC to discuss opportunities across private credit and innovative new products to meet clients' evolving needs.Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Wealth Solutions, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Private Investments, LLC.SP 63613
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets after the Fed's December rate hike to discuss her 2025 economic outlook, and how she navigates heightened uncertainty amid potentially sweeping changes in government policies that could significantly affect economic growth, inflation, and the outlook for certain sectors. Related Content: 4Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsA good time for active fixed-income management. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views 4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookCompanies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are Investing Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability...
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Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy and our outlook following the U.S. election and the Fed's most recent rate cut.Related Content: 4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. 3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what's next.Companies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are Investing Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding,
Where can investors find attractive yield while mitigating risk in the current environment? Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss what makes the sector an important component of our actively managed fixed-income portfolios and where we are finding value now.4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. Read High Yield and Bank Loan Outlook3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what's next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesCompanies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are InvestingAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such...
Patricia Zobel serves as Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, and previously served as an executive at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (New York Fed). Patricia shares perspective on a range of topics, spanning an outlook for the US economy, to the direction of monetary policy. We also spend time on allocation preferences across fixed income, real estate, and ex-US. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Tad Nygren, Head of Governments and Agencies, joins the podcast to offer insights on the market's reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut, economic data releases, and what may come next. Related Content:4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed.High Yield and Bank Loan Outlook3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what's next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesHigher Quality Fixed Income is ‘the Place to Be'Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss her outlook for credit markets during a period of political instability. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 62773
U.S. Economist Matt Bush and Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo discuss the macro and market implications of the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. They also provide commentary on the latest issue of Quarterly Macro Themes.Related Content:3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what's next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes3Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookRelatively low distress ratios suggest manageable default rates down the road. High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookHigher Quality Fixed Income is ‘the Place to Be'Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss her outlook for credit markets during a period of political instability. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 62634
Steve Rimmer shares his journey in the aviation industry, which started with his upbringing and passion for airplanes. He discusses how chance and being in the right place at the right time played a role in his career. Steve talks about his experience working with British Aerospace, Security Pacific Bank, Curtis & Company, and Guggenheim Partners. He emphasizes the importance of having a strong team and expertise in understanding the asset in aviation investing. Steve also discusses the challenges of commoditization in the industry and the need to go beyond spreadsheets to make informed investment decisions. In this conversation, Steve Rimmer discusses the challenges and opportunities in the aircraft leasing industry. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the big picture and the value of personal relationships in the industry. Rimmer also highlights the need for a forward-looking mindset and the ability to adapt to changing dynamics. He discusses the impact of delays in aircraft deliveries and the potential overtrade opportunities for airlines. Rimmer also explores the future of the industry, including the role of engine OEMs, the potential for new aircraft programs, and the importance of managing risk.