Podcasts about jpy

US President Trump said 12 nations will receive tariff letters on Monday (deliveries to start from 17:00BST). Also, threatened 10% additional tariff for those aligned with BRICS.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said letters to trading partners will notify them that if no deal is reached, they will revert to April 2nd tariff levels; tariffs to take effect on August 1st.European bourses began the day with modest gains but action is tentative, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%; ES -0.4% amid trade uncertainty, NQ -0.5% underperforms on TSLA -6.5%USD firmer vs all major peers. Antipodeans hit by the tone, JPY on the USD strength and soft domestic wage data, Cable below 1.36 and EUR/USD at a 1.1723 lowFixed benchmarks contained and experiencing two-way trade into the tariff letters, USTs near-enough unchanged, Bunds lower but off worstCrude began on the backfoot after OPEC+ eight agreeing to increase output by 548k (prev. 411k); since, benchmarks off lows and modestly firmer. Metals dented by the USD.Looking ahead, highlights include supply from the UK (BoE Gilt sale), US President Trump meeting Israeli PM Netanyahu & US tariff lettersClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed following a similar handover from the US where participants digested data, trade commentary and a slew of central bank rhetoric.US President Trump said he doubts the US will have a deal with Japan but will possibly have an agreement with India.US Senate narrowly passed President Trump's sweeping tax and spending bill; House to vote by Thursday "at the latest".European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Tuesday.DXY is modestly firmer, JPY narrowly lags on negative trade headlines, EUR/USD is lingering just below the 1.18 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include EU & Italian Unemployment Rate, US Challenger Layoffs, ADP National Employment, Canadian Manufacturing PMI, NBP Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Cipollone, Lane, Lagarde & BoE's Taylor, Supply from UK & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses in the green, shrugging off a mixed APAC lead. US futures post modest gains, RTY outperformsUSD attempts to atone for recent pressure. DXY eyes 97.00 to the upside, JPY lags, EUR and GBP both hitFixed in the red, Gilts lag after the UK Welfare Reform u-turn. USTs await data and fiscal updatesUS House set to convene at 09:00ET, Punchbowl reports several sources expressing alarm at the number of no's from lawmakersCrude in the green and despite light newsflow continue to climb, metals mixedLooking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, ADP National Employment, Canadian Manufacturing PMI, NBP Policy Announcement, ECBʼs Lane & Lagarde.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Senate vote-a-rama is still ongoing, Thune suggests we are "getting to the end", unclear if he has enough votesEU reportedly wants immediate relief in any US deal, said to be accepting universal tariffs but is seeking key exemptionsRisk tone began firmer after strong Chinese data; thereafter, deteriorated into and through the European morningUS futures in the red, ES -0.2%, awaiting updates on the Reconciliation Bill, Chair Powell and a packed data docketUSD continues to fall. JPY and CHF lead, fixed bid, XAU higher.EUR and EGBs unreactive to as-expected flash HICP and numerous ECB speakers who have focused on EUR strengthLooking ahead, highlights include US Manufacturing PMIs, ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB Central Banking Forum, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee. Earnings from Constellation Brands. Holiday closures in Hong Kong & Canada.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

In this episode of At Any Rate Arindam Sandilya, Juan Duran-Vara and Ladislav Jankovic discuss FX Derivatives themes of interest heading into 2H25. We briefly go over the FX volatility backdrop and then pivot to the six themes: carry, USD skew, correlations, directional exposure in JPY and EUR, JPY surface setup, and wrap it up with the just-in case recession hedges.   Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ladislav Jankovic, Global FX Strategy Juan Duran-Vara, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on June 30, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5018065-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

APAC stocks began the week mostly in the green following last Friday's record highs on Wall St; participants digested a slew of data including mixed Chinese PMIs.US and Canada agreed to resume negotiations with a view towards reaching a deal by July 21st after Canada rescinded the Digital Services Tax.The Senate is set to vote on Trump's sweeping tax cut and spending bill on Monday following a 51-49 vote to open the debate on the bill.European equity futures indicate a positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.6% on Friday.DXY has kicked the week off on the backfoot but holding above Friday's low, JPY outperforms, EUR/USD sits on a 1.17 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Q1 final), German Import Prices, Retail Sales & CPI, Italian CPI, US Chicago PMI, ECB's de Guindos & Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Goolsbee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A firmer start to the week Stateside, ES +0.4%, as markets focus on the progress of Trump's Bill; however, Europe is more contained, Stoxx 600 +0.1%, as the reciprocal deadline nears.US Senate voted to begin debating the Reconciliation Bill; vote-a-rama not expected to start until 09:00ET today, as such the House will not vote until Wednesday at the earliest, via Fox's Pergram.DXY has kicked off week-, month-, quarter- & H1-end on a mildly negative footing, though the magnitude of this has dissipated across the morning. EUR contained, JPY outperforms, GBP softer.Fixed benchmarks were contained overnight before EGBs picked up on numerous German data points.Crude benchmarks are in the red but only modestly so, updates continue on the geopolitical front, with Trump saying he is not offering Iran anything.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago PMI, Speakers including ECB's de Guindos & Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Goolsbee.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today we talk through the US "Operation Midnight Hammer" bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities and the implications from here, as well as why we have seen limited fallout for global markets thus far. As well, we discuss why the JPY is suffering a fresh pounding overnight for reasons entirely unrelated to geopolitics. This and much more on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the countryʼs nuclear facilities. Iranʼs security body will make the final decision on whether to proceed with the plan, state television reported. Iranian Foreign Minister said “all options” are on the table.European bourses opened lower in reaction to US-Iran but some managed to climb into the green as the session progressed; US equities are modestly firmer.DXY benefits from the US attack on Iran and currently trades near session highs, JPY the clear G10 laggard.Brief upside in fixed income gives way to energy-induced inflation concern, bearish bias added to by the improving equity tone.Brent gapped higher by 5% at the open in reaction to US strikes on Iran, but has since entirely pared that move.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, ECB President Lagarde; Fed's Goolsbee, Kugler, Supply from EU, and Trump's National Security meeting.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Markets are responding calmly this morning following the US airstrikes on Iran at the weekend, with oil prices initially spiking before retreating to previous levels. Global stocks are trading mixed as investors await potential Iranian reprisals and key economic indicators, including flash Purchasing Managers' Indices and US Personal Consumption Expenditure data later in the week. Key events this week include a speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde today, the NATO summit, and testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell before Congress on Tuesday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, observes that US equity markets are climbing the wall of worry amid the uncertainty in the Middle East, and he notes that the EUR is at a 10-year high against the JPY.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (05:25) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:02) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.European stocks benefit from geopolitical optimism whilst US futures are slightly lower.DXY flat, JPY mildly boosted by Y/Y Core CPI beat.Two-way action for JGBs after reports suggest Japan plans to cut FY25 superlong JGB issuance by JPY 3.2tln, Gilts gap higher on retail sales but fade.Crude curtailed by negotiating updates, European risk tone weighs on gold.Looking ahead, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he wants "a real end," with Iran "giving up entirely" on nukes”, via CBS's Jacobs.US President Trump says the EU is not yet offering a fair deal, there is a chance of a deal with Japan but they are "tough". Pharma tariffs coming soon.Stocks hit as Iran-Israel strikes continue and Trump posts that "everyone" should evacuate Tehran.FX markets in narrow ranges awaiting US Retail Sales; incremental strength in JPY post-BoJ, but Ueda sparked some weakness thereafter.Two-way action for JGBs; USTs just about firmer while EGBs & Gilts reside in the red.Crude moves higher as Trump cuts his G7 trip short and now awaiting developments from the situation in Iran.Looking ahead, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed/mostly lower with the region failing to coattail on Wall Street's gains, as geopolitical angst kept risk subdued.US President Trump posted that "Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!" before cutting his G7 trip short, stoking fears of a US military offensive. Sentiment later stabilised after CBS reported that the US is not joining Israel offensively in its military operations against Iran.BoJ maintained its rate at 0.5% as expected via unanimous vote, and is to reduce the amount of monthly JGB purchases by about JPY 200bln each quarter from April 2026 onward (as telegraphed); Tamura dissented on the taper plan.Japanese PM Ishiba and US President Trump did not reach a tariff agreement, but confirmed they are to continue tariff talks, according to Fuji TV.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.6% after cash closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German ZEW, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoJ Press Conference, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit, IEA OMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.Iran's President to speak on the subject soon; US President Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left".Geopolitics driving all price action with crude posting significant gains & equities under pressure; ES -1.2%, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%FTQ ensued overnight, supporting fixed income and XAU; gold remains near best, but fixed has pulled back to Thursday's parameters.DXY on the front foot, but shy of Thursday's high, as the USD benefits from its haven status. JPY surprisingly softer vs USD. EUR and GBP both hit, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Elderson. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher with risk sentiment underpinned amid some optimism surrounding US-China talks; to resume 10:00BST.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said it was a 'good meeting' with China, Commerce Secretary Lutnick said talks were "fruitful".European equity futures indicate a marginally negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.USD is net positive vs. peers, EUR/USD sits around the 1.14 mark, JPY sits towards the bottom of the pile.Bunds are off lows but with the rebound relatively limited, crude futures are supported by the positive risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Employment & Average Earnings, ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts, EIA STEO, US-China Talks in London, US-Iran Nuclear deal "counter offer", ECB's Rehn, Supply from Netherlands, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from the US amid a stunning online bust-up between US President Trump and Elon Musk.US President Trump said that trade talks with China have never been off track and straightened out the complexity.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.1% on Thursday.DXY is a touch higher, EUR/USD ran out of steam ahead of 1.15, JPY marginally lags with FX markets otherwise steady.RBI cut the Repurchase Rate by 50bps to 5.50% (exp. 25bps cut) and changed its stance to neutral from accommodative.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output & Trade Balance, French Trade Balance, EZ Employment, GDP & Retail Sales, US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Bundesbank Semi-Annual Forecasts, ECB President Lagarde & BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses trade flat/lower following the fallout of the dramatic Trump-Musk spat, but with traders setting their sights on the US jobs report.USD is slightly firmer in what has ultimately been a week of losses for DXY. EUR is trivially softer vs. the USD. JPY is the laggard across the majors.USTs are a touch higher ahead of the US jobs report and following yesterday's ECB-led losses. Bunds are attempting to atone for yesterday's downside. Gilts are being led by the upside in German paper.Crude Futures are subdued amid a firmer Dollar and overall cautious risk tone heading into the US job. Spot gold and silver are largely treading water. Base metals are mixed.Looking head, highlights include US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Speakers include BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Daniel talks about the USD's increasing pro-cyclicality, and the JPY's rising role in safe-haven demand.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

APAC stocks were subdued heading into month-end as participants digested a slew of data and amid trade uncertainty; Euro Stoxx 50 futures indicate a flat open.DXY little moved after US President Trump-Fed Chair Powell meeting, JPY benefits after mostly-firmer than expected Tokyo CPI.US appeals court temporarily reinstated US President Trump's tariffs during the appeal and said it needs time to consider filings.US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.Germany is reportedly eyeing a 10% digital tax on global tech giants like Meta (META) and Google (GOOGL), according to FT.Looking ahead, German Retail Sales, Spanish, German & Italian Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said a couple of large deals are close. Furthermore, he said China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.European stocks opened with modest gains and have continued to build on that, whilst US equity futures are incrementally lower.DXY is firmer and towards session highs, JPY marginally benefits post-Tokyo CPI.USTs marginally lower/flat, two-way EGB action on prelim. inflation prints ahead of Germany's figure and US PCE.Crude is trading with modest gains given the risk tone and into weekend OPEC events, base metals move lower.Looking ahead, German Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Daniel discusses possible implications from rising JGB yields and the strength in JPY against the USD.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

Today a look at Japanese Government Bond yields getting crushed overnight on signs that the MoF is planning to tweak its issuance to avoid further pressure on long yields. This inspired a JPY sell-off and the US dollar has backed up across the board as well. Elsewhere, risk appetite is in fine form, if we have some longer term concerns on heavy retail participation. Today's pod hosted by Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy Jacob's preview of Nvidia earnings John's second article in four-part series covering Rule #2 for Trading and Investing in the Trump 2.0 era.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

The EU set to focus on critical sectors in a bid to avoid US tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.Stocks in the green and generally at session highs; NQ +1.7%.USD attempts to atone for recent losses, JPY weighed on by a pullback in domestic yields.Bonds bid and yields slump on MOF sources, Gilts outperform on this & reports that the UK will be shifting to shorter-term borrowing in order to lower its interest bill.Crude uneventful ahead of OPEC+ whilst precious and base metals slip.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods & Consumer Confidence, NBH Policy Announcement, Supply from the US, Earnings from AutoZone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is pushing the EU to cut tariffs or face extra duties with US negotiators to tell Brussels they expect unilateral concessions, according to FT.European and US equity futures are trading mixed and generally reside on either side of the unchanged mark.USD shunned once again after Thursday's attempted bounce; JPY benefits from hot core inflation data overnight; GBP little moved to firmer-than-expected Retail Sales.Bonds are higher as USTs look to claw back recent losses; some downside in Bunds following German GDP but proved fleeting.Crude remains subdued whilst metals benefit from the softer Dollar ahead of US-Iran talks at 12:00 BST / 07:00 EDT.Looking ahead, Canadian Retail Sales, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, BoE's Pill, Fed's Musalem & Cook.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's Tax/Spending bill is currently being debated in the US House (passed the Rules Committee overnight), the debate has formally hit the two-hour minimum as of the time of publication; vote time TBC.European stocks trade lower following the Wall Street and APAC losses; US equity futures attempt to recover recent losses.USD mixed vs. peers, EUR and GBP digest PMI metrics, JPY narrowly leads.USTs a little firmer finding some reprieve following 20yr weakness, Bunds choppy following EZ PMIs.Crude pressured amid reports of further OPEC+ output hikes, Spot gold a little lower.Bitcoin extended on gains and printed a fresh all-time high of above the USD 111k level; Texas House approved the bill to create a Bitcoin reserve.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, Jobless Claims, Canadian Producer Prices, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes. Speakers including RBA's Hauser, BoE's Breeden, Dhingra & Pill, ECB's Elderson & de Guindos, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Barkin & Williams, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the US sovereign rating downgrade by Moody's which spurred a mild 'sell America' impulse (ES -1.1%).US Treasury Secretary Bessent said countries will get a letter with a US tariff rate if they are not negotiating in good faith and he thinks that rate would be the April 2nd level.The House Budget Committee approved President Trump's tax cut bill to set up a possible vote as soon as this week.Chinese Industrial Production topped forecasts, Retail Sales disappointed, House Prices continued to contract Y/Y.USD is slightly softer vs. peers, EUR/USD stalled just shy of 1.12, Cable sits around the 1.33 mark, JPY marginally outperforms peers.UK and the EU are expected to agree on Monday to a major post-Brexit reconciliation, according to the FT.US President Trump said he will speak with Russian President Putin on Monday at 10:00EDT/15:00BST.Looking ahead, highlights include US Leading Index Change, EU-UK Talks, Speakers including Fed's Bostic, Williams, Logan & Kashkari, Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today, a blitz of news, from geopolitics on latest trade deal developments and more, to specific company news, particularly United Health and Meta, which faces possible major business risks that are perhaps underappreciated. Today's pod also covers the latest macro data, the big bounce in gold, the outlook for USD and JPY, huge tectonic issues for the US treasury market and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Michael McNair post on X mentioned on the pod. John's latest FX Update.    Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

White House economic adviser Hassett says the administration has more than 20-25 deals on the table and when President Trump returns, he will announce the next deal, according to a Fox interview.Stocks opened mixed but now hold a downward bias as the risk tone dips; US futures flat/modestly lower.DXY is hit and makes a fresh WTD low, JPY leads.Bonds hold an upward bias as risk appetite deteriorates, Bunds see modest upside on a well-received German auction.Crude clipped as Trump speaks in Saudi, commodities fail to benefit from USD downside.Looking ahead, OPEC MOMR Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Jefferson & Daly. Earnings from Cisco Systems, CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European stocks are firmer across the board, whilst US equity futures trade cautiously ahead of US-China talks on the weekend.USD recovery pauses for breath, JPY outperforms whilst the Kiwi lags a touch.Marked divergence as EGBs & Gilts react in full to trade updates. USTs await a barrage of Fed speak.Softer intraday Dollar keeps commodities afloat for now.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs, Speakers including BoE's Pill, Fed's Barr, Kugler, Perli, Williams, Goolsbee & Waller.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

China's Ministry of Commerce confirmed US-China trade talks with Vice Premier He Lifeng to visit Switzerland from May 9th-12th and will visit France from May 12th-16th for economic and financial dialogue.PBoC Governor Pan announced to cut RRR by 50bps effective May 15th and to cut the policy interest rate by 10bps effective on May 8th with the 7-day reverse repo rate lowered to 1.40% and interest rates on Standing Lending Facility across all tenors lowered by 10bps. Pan stated that the policy rate cut will lead to a Loan Prime Rate cut of 10bps and the RRR cut will release about CNY 1tln in liquidity.European stocks mixed whilst US-Sino trade talks have been confirmed and as traders await the FOMC.USD stronger vs. peers as US-China meeting spurs trade hopes, JPY underperforms.Two way action for EGBs & Gilts but benchmarks ultimately firmer, aided by auctions. USTs more contained pre-FOMC.Crude firmer on China's monetary policy easing, US-China trade talks, and rising tensions between India and Pakistan.Looking ahead, Fed, NBP, CNB & BCB Policy Announcements, US Treasury Secretary Bessent, Fed Chair Powell's Presser, Supply from the US, Earnings from AppLovin, Carvana, Arm, DoorDash, AMC, Uber, Disney, Barrick Gold.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3Sn9Ook   - Today we discuss the US bearish case remaining intact as key resistance has held, signs that Palantir may finally be paying the price for its bubbly valuation, the latest rip in gold prices and drivers there, as well as in crude oil, the outlook for JPY,  an FOMC preview and outlook for Fed policy the rest of this year, the latest must reads and so much more. Today with Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Sentiment in the equities complex hit after HKMA said it has been lowering its duration in US treasury holdings; the exchange fund has been diversifying into non-US assets; ES -0.7%, NQ -1%.Germany's CDU leader Merz fails to be elected as Chancellor, a decision which has sparked pressure in European bourses leading to underperformance in the DAX 40.USD on the backfoot, JPY leads the majors, EUR upside stalled in reaction to Merz updates.Bunds boosted on Merz, though the move has since pared, Gilts underperform.Crude and gold remain firm amid escalating geopolitics.Looking ahead, US International Trade, Canadian Exports/Imports, NZ HLFS Unemployment Rate, EIA STEO, Comments from BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US. Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Rivian, Tempus AI, Celsius, Datadog, Constellation Energy, UniCredit, Intesa Sanpaolo & Ferrari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded higher but with gains capped in severely thinned conditions owing to mass holiday closures across the region and in Europe for Labour Day.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50% and provided some dovish rhetoric despite maintaining its rate hike signal.US is said to have reached out to China recently for tariff talks, according to Bloomberg citing an influential social media account.US stocks were boosted heading into the Wall St closing bell. Futures saw a further lift following strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.DXY is higher, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY eyeing 144 to the upside, EUR/USD sits around the 1.13 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing, BoJ Governor Ueda's Press Conference.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's, Drax, Hiscox, Lloyds, Kerry, Whitbread, Standard Chartered & Telecom Italia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Europe on holiday, US equity futures entirely in the green with sentiment boosted after strong META/MSFT results.DXY is a little firmer ahead of US data, JPY hit post-BoJ/Ueda.JGBs lead post BoJ/Ueda, USTs await Tier 1 data points.Crude continues to decline, XAU hit by the USD while base peers welcome the US tone post-Mag7.Looking ahead, US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is expected to soften the impact of his automotive tariffs, according to WSJ citing sources.European bourses are mixed, whilst US equity futures trade incrementally higher, ahead of a slew of earnings.USD attempts to claw back some of Monday's losses, CHF & JPY lags whilst the Loonie fares better post-election.Canada's ruling Liberals, led by Mark Carney, won the national election but will need to form a minority government.Fixed benchmarks are relatively contained into a packed US session.Crude complex is on the backfoot, continuing recent losses, while base metals diverge.Looking ahead, US Consumer Confidence, Advance Goods Trade, JOLTS Job Openings, Speakers including BoE's Ramsden, SNB's Martin & US Treasury Secretary Bessent.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

China is said to consider exempting some US goods from tariffs as costs increase with Chinese authorities considering removing additional levies for medical equipment and some industrial chemicals like ethane, according to Bloomberg citing sources familiar with the matter.China's Foreign Ministry says it is not having any consultations or negotiations with the US on tariffs; on tariff exemptions, says not familiar with specifics.European bourses edge higher on positive Chinese trade reports; US futures mixed, GOOGL +5.5% pre-market after strong Q1 results.DXY recovers amid trade hopes, JPY weakens amid outflows from haven FX and despite hotter Tokyo CPI.Bonds trade rangebound as participants await further tariff updates.Crude modestly firmer, XAU slips given the positive risk tone and stronger USD.Looking ahead, BoE's Greene, ECB's Nagel, Rehn & Cipollone, Earnings from, SLB, AbbVie, Phillips 66 & Centene.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed with most indices rangebound despite the sell-off on Wall St after President Trump renewed his criticism against Fed Chair Powell.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.5%.DXY has extended on recent downside with JPY the main beneficiary, EUR/USD is above the 1.15 mark.Bunds are rangebound on return from the long weekend, crude futures have continued the mild rebound from the prior day's trough.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPPI, US Richmond Fed Index, EZ Consumer Confidence, ECB's Knot, de Guindos, BoE's Breeden, Fed's Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Kugler & Barkin, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from SAP, Iberdrola, Tesla, Verizon, GE Aerospace, Lockheed Martin, Danaher & Elevance.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Anyone looking to by gold really needs to contact today's video sponsor, our friends over at DefytheGrid, using the link below:https://defythegrid.com/c/eurodollaruniversity/Make sure you use Coupon Code: eurodollaruniversityA big move in Japan today, with yields dropping and the yen rising. Both were matched by some truly grim developments and warnings from around the world, everything from AI to the Bank of Canada's extreme case and then some truly grim results in New York. Or, exactly what JGBs and JPY are signaling themselves. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Nvidia Curbs and ASML Warning Spur Global Tech-Stock Routhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-16/nvidia-supplier-stocks-drop-on-latest-china-export-restrictionsWTO April 2025 Global Trade Outlookhttps://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/trade_outlook25_e.pdfFRBNY April 2025 Business Leaders Survey https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/Survey/business_leaders/2025/2025_04blsreport.pdf?sc_lang=en&hash=F63E9C1D24FCF84A22217C915C713718https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Daniel discusses our outlook for the two safe haven currencies - JPY and CHF. Speaker:  - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

This week's Global Markets podcast takes place against a backdrop of financial market turmoil with signs of a building crisis of confidence in US assets. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to Chris Jakubowski Head of FI FX Sales about what needs to happen to halt the slide in confidence. There are certain actions that would help but none seems that likely. Derek and Chris also discuss the prospects for JPY and the BoJ's stance in the midst of increased financial market turmoil. Disclaimer: www.mufgresearch.com (PDF)

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said there is no postponing tariffs and April 9th tariffs are coming; tariffs are going to stay in place for days and weeks.US NEC Director Hassett said more than 50 countries have reached out to the White House to begin trade negotiations.Fed Chair Powell said on Friday that it feels like the Fed does not need to be in a hurry and has time; it is not clear what the path of monetary policy should be.APAC stocks resumed last week's heavy selling, US equity futures (ES -3.5%, NQ -4.3%, RTY -3.7%) have slumped, Europe set to open lower (Eurostoxx 50 future -4.1%).DXY remains on the backfoot, EUR/USD hit resistance at the 1.10 mark, Cable sits around the 1.29 level, CHF and JPY outperform.US yields are lower once again and in bull-steepening mode, crude prices continue to feel the squeeze.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, EZ Sentix Index, Retail Sales, US Employment Trends, ECB's Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump unveiled individual reciprocal tariffs for each country which are essentially half of what countries were charging the US.The US is to apply a 20% tariff on imports from EU, 34% tariff on imports from China, 26% tariff on imports from India and 25% tariff on imports from South Korea.Trump also stated that the baseline tariff is 10% for all nations and announced 25% auto tariffs, while Canada and Mexico were not subject to reciprocal tariffs for now.US equity futures slumped in response to the tariff announcement (ES -2.6%, NQ -3.1%, RTY -3.9%). Europe is also marked lower with the Eurostoxx 50 future down 1.7%.USD is showing a mixed performance vs. peers but ultimately net lower (AUD, NZD weaker vs. the USD. JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF stronger).Global bond yields are lower with the inflation implications dwarfed by the mass risk-aversion in the market. Fed pricing looks for 82bps of easing by year-end vs. 76bps yesterday morning.Crude is lower as markets digest the global growth implications, whilst spot gold hit another record high.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ Producer Prices, US Weekly Claims, Challenger Layoffs & ISM Services, ECB Minutes & BoE DMP, Speakers including Fed's Cook, Jefferson, US VP Vance, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick, ECB's Schnabel & de Guindos, Supply from Spain, France, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

USTR has reportedly prepared "an across-the-board tariff on a subset of nations that likely would not be as high as the 20% universal tariff option", according to WSJ.APAC stocks were mostly positive but with the major indices stuck within narrow parameters on 'Liberation Day'.European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.4% on Tuesday.USD mixed vs. peers, antipodeans lead, JPY lags, EUR/USD failed to hold above 1.08.US President Trump believes Russian President Putin is stalling and the administration is eyeing aggressive sanctions enforcement, according to FoxLooking ahead, highlights include US ADP & Factory Orders, US Tariff Implementation Date, EU Defence Ministers Meeting, NBP Base Rate, RBA's Bullock, ECB's Schnabel, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Kugler & US President Trump, Supply from the UK & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Daniel talks about the JPY – the other diversifier besides Gold - and why it is shaping up for more upside against the USD.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

US President Trump is said to be pushing senior advisers to go bigger on tariff policy as they prepare for ‘Liberation Day' on April 2nd; reportedly revived the idea of a flat universal tariff single rate on most imports.APAC stocks were pressured heading into month- and quarter-end amid tariff concerns as Trump's April 2nd Liberation Day drew closer.US President Trump threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal can't be reached, while he also warned of secondary tariffs on Russian oil.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with EuroStoxx 50 futures down 0.8% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.9% on Friday.DXY is a touch softer, JPY outperforms on a safe-haven bid, EUR/USD sits on a 1.08 handle and antipodeans marginally lag.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales, Italian CPI (prelim.), German CPI (prelim.), US Chicago PMI.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses and US futures approach PCE in the red following the overnight tone and further risk aversion from earthquakes in MyanmarCanadian PM to speak with Trump today; EU has mentioned Apple, Meta and PayPal as part of any potential tariff responseDXY attempts to claw back Thursday's pressure and is firmer vs peers ex-JPY, which is the best performer after Tokyo CPIA firmer start for fixed benchmark ahead of US PCE and any tariff/trade developments, no move to the morning's prelim. HICP figuresCrude choppy, precious metals underpinned by the tone while base metals are lowerGeopolitics in focus amid updates on Panama, Ukraine minerals deal and further damage to the Sudzha stationLooking ahead, highlights include US PCE (Feb) & Consumption, Speakers including Fed's Bostic, Barr & ECB's de Guindos.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks trade mixed after the early momentum from tariff-related optimism on Wall St wore thin.US President Trump will announce additional tariffs over the next few days on autos, lumber and chips; may give "a lot" of countries breaks on tariffs.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.3% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.2% on Monday.FX markets are broadly steady with the DXY flat, EUR/USD lingers around the 1.08 mark, JPY marginally outperforms.The UK's OBR forecast is to roughly halve the UK's expected growth in 2025 from 2% to about 1%, FT.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo, US Richmond Fed Index, Consumer Confidence, Japanese Services PPI, Speakers including Fed's Williams & Kugler, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

How to Choose the Best Forex Pairs for Trading  Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Watch Prop Firm Masterclass #581: How to Choose the Best Forex Pairs for Trading In this video: 00:22 – Forex pairs – what to choose? 01:37 – The best pair to trade is …….. 02:00 – Assessing Strength and Weakness. 03:13 – Fine tuning to pick the best setup available. 04:25 - 17 minutes Masterclass. 04:33 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker offering a 50% credit bonus. 05:05 – Book a Call and speak with us. As a forex trader, what are the best forex pairs that you can look at trading? Let's talk about that a more. Right now. Hey traders, Andrew here at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 581. Forex pairs – what to choose? What to talk about forex pairs as a trader you have a lot of pairs available and a lot of people, especially when they start. I get very confused with the different currency pairs. You standard main pairs you get you exotics, you get your minors, and more and more pairs now are available to us as traders. So really the question is what is the best pair to trade? Well, a lot of people think you need to trade just the euro US dollar or just the US yen because their spreads are tight. And in the case of the EUR/USD, it tends to have the most movement or not some movement, but the most volume traded on it, per day in general. And then other people look at pairs like the GBP/JPY because it moves a lot and they think they need to trade that. And then people look at pairs like the EUR/CHF, which doesn't move a lot, and they think they can't trade it. So that becomes a lot of confusion out there. Do you need, like the most liquid pair, the tighter spread. Do you need one that moves a lot? Do you need one that doesn't move at all? The best pair to trade is …….. And so my answer is it depends. And I know I say that to a few things because it's true. I don't just trade the NZD/USD or against the JPY because I live in New Zealand. You shouldn't do that either. You shouldn't have an emotional tie to a currency pair. What you should do is look through all the currency pairs. And the reason I say that there's a few reasons. Assessing Strength and Weakness.  Number one, you can assess strength and weakness very well. If you do that. As an example, rather than just looking at the EUR/USD, why don't you look at also the EUR/JPY, the EUR/GBP, the EUR/AUD, EUR/NZD, EUR/CAD and make a full assessment. So if for example you can do that and you see let's say all of those pairs were moving up, that's going to give you a fairly good indication that the Euro is very, very strong. But if you didn't do that and you looked at just the EUR/USD and is moving up, you don't know whether the strength in the Euro or whether that movement of the EUR/USD heading up is, is just because the US is extremely weak right now. So you might be taking a by trade on the EUR/USD thinking the strength in the Euro, whereas it may just be the US weakness that's pushing it up. And the Euro against other pairs may actually be dropping. So you're not doing yourself any favors there. So to assess multiple currency pairs is going to be your best option. Fine tuning to pick the best setup available. The other thing that gives you is let's say you see really good buy trades on the EUR/USD, the EUR/CAD, the EUR/AUD, the EUR/NZD, the EUR/CHF. Let's say they're all showing some fairly good setups at the same time. And by the way, I only trade on the close of a candle. Let's say you see that what you really then should do is fine tune those setups and maybe pick 1 or 2 of the very best ones setups that give you a high probability chance of a success for trade setups that have round numbers in their favor. On a buy trade that doesn't need to break a previous swing hig...

The dollar is ending this week on a weaker footing and Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to Simon Mayes Head of UK, Ireland & Switzerland FX Corporate Sales about the drivers in the FX markets and looks ahead to the numerous central bank meetings taking place on Wednesday and Thursday. Derek hones in on the BoJ and the yen and highlights the key focuses of the BoJ meeting for the markets and how JGB yields are an important influence of JPY direction. Disclaimer: www.mufgresearch.com (PDF)

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/431GGtt   -  Today we look at the pivotal German election this weekend and a number of scenarios in what will inevitably prove a weak showing for the centrist parties. We also discuss the implications of Walmart's weak outlook and look ahead at the most pivotal earnings event of the quarterly cycle: the post-Wednesday close Nvidia report. The latest on FX and more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Global Head of Investment Strategy Jacob Falkencrone, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting. Jacob's piece on Ali Baba's earnings.  John's latest FX Update on JPY, German election and more.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.