Podcast appearances and mentions of bear markets

The Worst It'll Ever Be: AI Apps in 20 Minutes, SpaceX's $1.8T IPO & Saylor's Head Fake — Bad Crypto Podcast #810 It's a bear market, so the bad boys of crypto are doing what builders do: SHIPPING. Bitcoin sits at $61,873, the altcoins are in the crapper, and Joel has officially divorced his bags. Travis explains why the 4-year cycle is alive and well — mapping this pullback exactly to previous cycles, with a projected bottom around mid-October. Then it goes full mad-scientist. Travis builds a viral-worthy "Culture Shock" site of World Cup visitors reviewing America in 20 minutes flat with Claude's new Fable model, then ships Viddl — a desktop app that downloads video from YouTube, X, TikTok, Instagram or LinkedIn with FFmpeg baked in. Joel premieres his AI-generated origin story film (1978, a food court paycheck, and a TRS-80 in a Radio Shack window) and announces his Acumen daily puzzle games are headed to the App Store. Plus: SpaceX IPOs as $SPCX at a $1.8 TRILLION valuation with ~$250B in demand, OpenAI and Anthropic file to go public, Michael Saylor's 32-BTC head fake, a trader who built his own exchange from a 42-page prompt, and the AI video tool stack the guys actually use (Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance & more). "The technology that we're using now to build stuff is the worst that it's going to be." — Joel ⏱ CHAPTERS0:00 Cold open & liftoff1:04 Episode 810 kicks off — semi-retired no more3:48 Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is mapping exactly4:45 Saylor's head fake: sells 32 BTC, buys 1,500 more6:40 Market check: BTC $61,873 & Joel divorces his altcoins7:49 The AI trading edge: OKX & the 42-page prompt exchange10:24 SpaceX IPO ($SPCX): $250B demand, $1.8T valuation11:27 Trillion-dollar AI: Anthropic & OpenAI file to go public15:48 Culture Shock: World Cup visitors review America19:09 Viddl: download any video, built in a morning23:06 Joel's AI origin story: 1978 & a TRS-8026:30 The AI video stack: Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance28:08 Acumen: 9 daily puzzle games headed to the App Store31:56 Travis's Pixar-style get-well video for his brother35:03 "The worst it's ever going to be" — why the opportunity is NOW37:18 The fine print

Crypto News: Binance founder CZ says "Bitcoin won't be "dead" for too long. Don't panic, in large friendly letters." A16z crypto, Paradigm lead $175 million bet to move global credit markets onchain. Crypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concerns. Brought to you by

In this episode of the Crazy Wisdom Podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with software engineer and entrepreneur Arowolo Muritadhor for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from agriculture and manufacturing in Nigeria to the evolving role of crypto in the country's economy. They touch on how hyperinflation, particularly the naira's dramatic drop in 2023, pushed Nigerians toward stablecoins as a practical savings tool, and how informal kiosk networks have stepped in where traditional banking infrastructure falls short. The conversation also covers the tension between government regulation and the permissionless nature of blockchain technology, comparisons between the decline of the Roman Empire and current shifts in US economic dominance, the role of mobile payments in Africa, language learning, and whether AI agents have any real utility in crypto infrastructure yet. You can connect with Arowolo on LinkedIn and X at @armolas_06.Timestamps00:00 - Host welcomes Arowolo Muritadhor, introducing topics of software engineering and animal food production in Nigeria.05:00 - Discussion shifts to manufacturing, components assembly, and China's dominance in low-cost production globally.10:00 - Conversation explores crypto adoption in Nigeria as a network state phenomenon, separating informed users from mainstream population.15:00 - Mobile payments and kiosk ATM replacements emerge as critical financial infrastructure bridging unbanked Nigerians.20:00 - Roman Empire parallels drawn to modern crypto taxation, government control, and inevitable death-and-taxes reality.25:00 - Bitcoin and Ethereum permissionless nature debated against government wallet-level censorship vulnerabilities.30:00 - AI agents examined as crypto infrastructure tools, revealing mostly trading bots rather than foundational builders.35:00 - Nigeria's 2023 naira collapse compared to Argentina's hyperinflation, driving citizens toward stablecoin dollar savings.40:00 - US Treasury history unpacked through FDR gold confiscation and Nixon ending convertibility, paralleling empire decline.45:00 - Crypto reframed as anti-bank rather than purely anti-government, enabling freedom through immutable accountability.50:00 - Transparent blockchain ledgers discussed as potential government accountability tools across democracy, republic, and oligarchy structures.Key Insights1. Nigeria has a significant divide between its northern and southern regions in terms of economic activity. The north, centered around Abuja, is more agricultural with substantial cattle production, while Lagos in the south functions as a dense urban and commercial hub. This geographic and economic split shapes how different financial tools and technologies are adopted across the country.2. China's dominance in low-cost manufacturing has made it nearly impossible for countries like Nigeria, the United States, or Argentina to compete on price alone. The more realistic path for developing economies is to import components and focus on local assembly and creativity, which is where meaningful economic participation becomes possible.3. Crypto adoption in Nigeria accelerated dramatically around 2023 when the naira experienced a sharp devaluation against the US dollar. Before that point, saving in dollars was difficult for many Nigerians, especially those without formal bank accounts, making stablecoins like USDT an attractive and practical alternative for preserving wealth.4. Informal kiosk operators in Nigeria have organically become a substitute for ATMs, giving communities access to basic financial services where traditional banking infrastructure does not reach. This grassroots financial layer is now a key entry point for integrating crypto and stablecoin payments into everyday commerce.5. Governments are increasingly trying to regulate crypto at the wallet and centralized exchange level, using tax compliance as a primary mechanism. While Bitcoin and Ethereum remain largely permissionless, the practical chokepoints for most users remain centralized platforms where identity and transactions can be monitored.6. The historical parallel between the fall of the Roman Empire and current shifts in US economic and geopolitical power offers a useful frame for understanding why crypto matters. Just as Rome debased its currency and struggled to sustain imperial costs, the US faces mounting debt and a financialized economy that may accelerate dollar instability and push more people toward alternative stores of value.7. One genuinely constructive use case for blockchain beyond speculation is immutable accountability, particularly for public institutions and prediction markets. A transparent ledger that governments or officials voluntarily adopt could create verifiable records of decisions and promises, reducing corruption and increasing trust in ways that traditional governance structures have struggled to achieve.

Is the four-year cycle dead, or is it about to be right on time again? Benjamin Cowen joins Brandon Green to argue that narrative follows price — not the other way around — and that everyone calling for "this time is different" said the same thing in 2017, 2021, and again in 2025. Cowen walks through the macro headwinds facing Bitcoin, what a new Fed chair like Kevin Warsh can and can't do, and why a midterm-year reset is the most likely path forward. Plus: his controversial take on Bitcoin treasury companies and why he believes they'll eventually underperform Bitcoin itself.

Nick Valdez looks at this shocking data regarding Bitcoin bear market bottoms. What if the time-based metrics weren't ever really that accurate? Well, Nick is here with some pretty concrete evidence that Bitcoin will bottom MUCH sooner than people think!

David maps the current Bitcoin bear market against every prior one — where we are, how much longer it could run, and where the bottom could land. FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to the Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ DISCLAIMER As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice.

Ted has officially abandoned the studio for a two-week holiday, so Pav is joined by our resident fraud and risk expert, Calum, to try and make sense of a market that is tearing up the traditional crypto playbook. The boys are breaking down the real drivers behind the HYPE pump, looking at everything from Goldman Sachs quietly scooping up massive positions to a brand new US Spot ETF sucking in $74 million in its first week and a half. Plus, we look at why historical midterm election data says a stock market drawdown is looming between May and October, why billionaire fund managers are dumping 95% of their blue-chip bags, and the legendary "Pentagon Pizza Index" that might be flashing an early warning sign for global markets. You'll hear:  - How Hyperliquid is completely eclipsing the rest of the market and trading in brand new territory . - Why giant fund managers and NASDAQ-listed companies lare aggressively building Hyperliquid treasuries  - Inside the $74 million in cumulative net flows that completely flipped the "sell the news" script  - The historical data that shows stock markets behaviour between May and October during a midterm year. - Why Kevin Warsh stepping in could signal a historical 6-to-12 month market drawdown . - The hilarious (but oddly accurate) way internet sleuths track geopolitical tension via late-night fast-food orders  … and much more! Want to see what we're looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here.Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify:  https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc  To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can't wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.

Brian Belski joins Dan Nathan to break down why he still sees the S&P 500 moving higher — but warns a correction may come first. Belski explains why this is now an earnings-driven market, why the Mag 7 may begin to hand leadership to the other 493 stocks, and what could trigger the next pullback. He also shares his views on AI stocks, SpaceX/OpenAI IPOs, financials, industrials, housing, rates, and why he believes the market could still end the year with “an 8 handle.” Topics include:• Why Brian Belski expects a correction before another rally• The case for S&P 8,000 (and why it won't be a straight line)• AI enthusiasm, IPO mania & whether we're in a bubble• Why he's bullish on financials, industrials & select cyclicals• Treasury yields, housing, Walmart, Deere & the consumer outlook• What could actually trigger the next bear market Timecodes 00:00 Intro + Brian Belski Returns02:00 Inside Belski's New ETF (HIS) & Stock-Picking Strategy05:45 How Belski Nailed the S&P 7,000 Call08:30 Why 2026 Is an “Earnings-Driven” Market09:45 Why Belski Expects a Market Correction10:45 Mag 7 vs. The Other 493 Stocks14:00 Walmart Warning, Consumer Trends & Retail Risks17:15 Deere, Industrials & Why AI Could Benefit Old Economy Stocks20:00 Why Belski Still Likes Financials Despite Weak Performance21:45 Airlines, FedEx & The Transport Trade24:00 Housing, Homebuilders & What Happens If Rates Fall26:45 Will Treasury Yields Finally Move Lower?31:00 SpaceX, OpenAI & Anthropic IPO Risks33:00 Could AI IPOs Trigger a Market Shake-Up?39:00 The AI Trade: Bubble, Boom or Just Getting Started?44:00 What Wall Street Is Missing in Software & AI45:45 Timing the Next Market Correction48:00 What Could Actually Cause a Bear Market?49:45 Belski's S&P Outlook: Why He Sees an “8 Handle” This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus⁠ Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. Xxx —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Hour 3 for 5/22/26 Drew and Peter Grandich discuss why Peter is bearish on the current market (1:00). Calls: fraud (13:50) and taking a conservative approach to spending (22:19). Then, Drew revisits a conversation with Fr. Richard Simon about the Holy Spirit (27:51) and how the Holy Spirit has changed Fr.'s life (43:16). Callers share their stories. Link: https://petergrandich.com/ https://x.com/petergrandich

Ben Carlson joins Excess Returns to discuss his new book Risk and Reward and the biggest lessons investors can learn from market history. We cover how to think about risk, inflation, market timing, bear markets, lost decades, diversification, compounding and why surviving volatility is the key to building long-term wealth.Ben's Bookhttps://amzn.to/4dFHsQzBen Carlson on Xhttps://x.com/awealthofcsBen's Bloghttps://awealthofcommonsense.com/Main topics covered:Why risk is hard to define and always involves trade-offsHow vivid risks like sharks and headlines distort investor decision-makingWhy doing nothing can be one of the hardest parts of investingHow inflation should be viewed through personal finance, human capital and long-term investingWhy stocks can be an inflation hedge even if they struggle during inflation spikesWhy waiting for the market coast to clear often failsWhat the world's worst market timer teaches about saving and staying investedHow loss aversion shapes investor behaviorWhat the Great Depression, bear markets and 30-year returns teach about long-term investingWhy there is no perfect portfolio and the best strategy is one you can actually stick withTimestamps:00:00 Ben Carlson on why risk and reward are attached06:35 Doing nothing, action bias and better investing behavior11:51 Inflation psychology and lessons from the 1970s16:55 Why stocks can hedge inflation over the long run21:07 Why waiting for the coast to clear is a market timing trap26:30 Time horizons, loss aversion and portfolio behavior31:49 Government rescue, left-tail risk and unintended consequences35:54 Recessionary vs non-recessionary bear markets42:09 Why the stock market and economy can diverge47:24 Why compounding is about holding, not trading51:37 Starting valuations, lost decades and future returns55:40 Risk, reward and the biggest lesson for investors

Crypto finally has some good news in a bear market… so why did the market still sell off? This week, Ted and Pav unpack the Clarity Act, why everyone in crypto is suddenly talking about regulation again, and what it could mean for exchanges, founders, DeFi, stablecoins, investors and the broader industry. They also get into the weird market signals happening right now: retail activity is at historic lows, ETFs are starting to see outflows, Bitcoin is still holding up better than previous cycles, and some very specific pockets of the altcoin market are still moving… You'll hear:  00:00 - Why the Clarity Act is suddenly everywhere and what it actually means for crypto 07:56 - Why retail Bitcoin activity is at historic lows, even while prices are still holding up 11:15 - What ETF outflows could tell us about the next two weeks 15:10 - Why RWAs are outperforming the market and attracting serious institutional money 20:20 - Why blockchain could fix one of the biggest inefficiencies in traditional markets 22:39 - How tokenisation could open up 24/7 markets Want to know how a cricketer uses crypto? Check out our episode with Hayden Kerr on Spotify, Apple or YouTube. If you're keen to learn more about RWAs, head over to rwa.xyz Want to see what we're looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here. – Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify:  https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc  To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can't wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.

There is a retirement risk that not many people think about & it could quietly derail your retirement plan. Learn what it is & how to mitigate against it in this episode.

Listen Now: Listen and subscribe to Morningstar's The Long View from your mobile device: Apple Podcasts | Spotify Today on the podcast, we welcome back Ben Carlson, who's the author of a new book called Risk and Reward. Ben is the director of institutional asset management for Ritholtz Wealth Management. In addition, Ben's a prolific creator of content. His blog is called A Wealth of Common Sense. He also co-hosts the podcast Animal Spirits with Michael Batnick. Ben is the author of four books about investing and money, and he's a CFA charterholder. Episode Highlights 00:00:00 Understanding Market History Is About Preparation, Not Prediction 00:02:00 Lessons From Japan's Asset Bubble and Mean Reversion 00:06:54 The Different Ways Investors Respond to Crashes 00:08:36 The Automatic Investing Revolution Has Changed Behavior 00:15:22 Why Patience Is Harder to Come By in an On‑Demand World 00:19:32 The Importance of Education in Private Asset Investing 00:21:35 Inflation Psychology and How to Respond 00:28:15 Two Different Kinds of Bear Markets 00:35:40 Using Alpha to Deliver Better Aftertax Outcomes for Clients More From Ben Carlson Everything You Need To Know About Saving For Retirement Don't Fall For It: A Short History of Financial Scams Invest Your Way to Financial Freedom Risk and Reward More From Morningstar Ben Carlson: How Not to Get Scammed What We've Learned From 150 Years of Stock Market Crashes The 60/40 Portfolio: A 150-Year Markets Stress Test If you have a comment or a guest idea, please email us at TheLongView@Morningstar.com. Follow Christine Benz (@christine_benz) and Ben Johnson (@MstarBenJohnson) on X, and Christine Benz, Amy Arnott, and Ben Johnson on LinkedIn. Visit Morningstar.com for new research and insights from Christine, Ben, and Amy. Subscribe to Christine's weekly newsletter, Improving Your Finances. If you want more Morningstar podcasts, check out The Morning Filter and Investing Insights. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

✔️ Once Bitcoin durably broke above this moving average, the bear market was over.✔️ Bitcoin is just $100 away from the 200-day moving average.✔️ Bitcoin is doing something it has never done in a bear market before ✔️ We've got

✔️ Once Bitcoin durably broke above this moving average, the bear market was over.✔️ Bitcoin is just $100 away from the 200-day moving average.✔️ Bitcoin is doing something it has never done in a bear market before ✔️ We've got

Bitcoin just completed the longest bear market rally of the last two cycles, but under the hood, the data still looks eerily similar to 2022. Mike and Ryan break down the battle between shorts and spot buyers, why $85K may decide the market, what ETF flows and Saylor's bid are really signaling, and the setup that could trap both bulls and bears.----

Michael Saylor is buying at a pace that could trigger a historic Bitcoin supply shock. At the same time, the Bank of England is quietly warning of a major market correction while governments freeze stablecoins and push dollar dominance. This breaks down why Bitcoin thrives through all of it, from quantum panic to financial system cracks. The shift is already happening and most people still do not see it.SPONSORS✅ Ledn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/9W598/9B9DM/?source_id=podcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Simply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loanNeed liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? Ledn has been the trusted Bitcoin-backed lending platform for 6+ years. Access your BTC's value while HODLing.

Is the Bitcoin bear market finally over? Today, we're analyzing the latest market signals to determine if we have truly bottomed out and exactly when I'm planning to start accumulating altcoins again. 

This week's blogpost - https://bahnsen.co/42ccBWB In this week's Thoughts on Money, Trevor, Blaine, and Brett discuss Blaine's article, “The Next Bear Market,” which argues that a 20% market decline will happen at some point and that recent, fast recoveries (COVID, 2022, 2023 bank failures, and a short-lived 2025 ~19% drawdown) may be breeding investor complacency. They distinguish corrections (10%) from bear markets (20%), highlight how intra-year drawdowns often fade in annual returns, and emphasize the market's interconnected participants, leverage-driven selling, and the expectation that the Fed will intervene. The group focuses on preparing through adequate liquidity and safety nets to avoid selling at the wrong time, understanding why you own assets, and emphasizing dividends and income as part of total return. They note risk surveys can misstate real behavior, advisors act as guides to help clients endure volatility, and premium returns require accepting volatility as the price of admission. 00:00 Podcast Intro 00:30 Why Bear Markets Happen 03:05 Drawdowns vs Annual Returns 05:02 Statement Pain Explained 07:19 Too Big to Fail Mindset 10:17 Complacency After Long Runs 18:40 Corrections vs Bear Markets 20:37 Risk Tolerance Reality Check 23:04 Long Horizon Portfolio Buckets 24:15 Focus on Dividends Not Price 25:47 Dividends And Total Return 26:22 Safety Nets And Inflation 27:31 Bear Markets And Labels 28:57 Recession Versus Bear 29:37 Markets Versus Economy 30:40 Why Cash Reserves Matter 32:51 Leverage And Forced Selling 34:24 Liquidity And Buyer Shortages 35:24 Life Transitions And Risk 37:00 Advisor Psychology And Coaching 40:38 Guides Expand Risk Tolerance 41:42 Portfolio Rules Of Thumb 43:38 Volatility Price Of Returns 45:32 Time Horizon Is The Edge 46:35 Wrap Up And Disclosures Links mentioned in this episode: http://thoughtsonmoney.com http://thebahnsengroup.com

Sam MacPherson is the CoFounder and CEO of Phoenix Labs, the core team behind Spark.Some DeFi protocols are burning through reserves, while others wait for the bull market to save them. Spark is doing neither.In a new episode of our Revenue Meta series, Sam breaks down the business behind Spark and how it's generating $27.8M in projected annual revenue (up from $23M since recording) across four business channels. We discuss what's being done with the $9.6M protocol surplus to better return value to SPK holders through programmatic buybacks and growth initiatives. We also cover the Spark Liquidity Layer managing over $2.3 billion in DeFi, CeFi, and TradFi. Sam has the latest on their upcoming CeDeFi prime brokerage called Spark Prime and what else is in store to get Spark back to earning a projected $80M in annual revenue.------

Stocks dropped fast in March. Headlines turned sharply bearish. Goldman Sachs warned of a potential 20%+ decline. Commentators pointed to oil shocks, rising rates, and recession risks.Paying attention to all that led investors astray.In this 16-minute video, I walk through the Nasdaq Composite year-to-date through April 16, 2026, exactly where the headlines told you to panic versus where our rules told us to gear up, and what happened next (spoiler: the market erased its Iran war losses in weeks).If you followed the news, you probably sat it out. If you followed a schedule and predefined rules, you're already in new profit territory.And, believe it or not, the pundits are already warning again. The lesson never changes: adhere to a methodology, follow a schedule, ignore the headlines. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit jasonkelly.substack.com/subscribe

On episode 218 of Ask The Compound, Ben Carlson and Duncan Hill discuss: how to protect against drawdowns in retirement portfolios, why markets move if most investors buy and hold, the current state of the consumer, how advisors should think about diversification and alternatives, personal finance lessons and more. Submit your Ask The Compound questions to askthecompoundshow@gmail.com! This episode is sponsored by Public. Find out more at https://public.com/ATC Subscribe to The Compound Newsletter for all the latest Compound content, live event announcements, find out who the next TCAF guest is, get updates on the latest merch drops, and more! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab joins Excess Returns to break down how war, an oil shock, and shifting market dynamics are reshaping the investing landscape. She explains why the surface-level strength in markets is misleading, what's really happening beneath the index, and how investors should think about inflation, the Fed, AI, and the evolving role of retail traders.Follow Liz Ann on Twitterhttps://twitter.com/LizAnnSondersLiz Ann's Research and Commentaryhttps://www.schwab.com/learn/author/liz-ann-sondersTopics CoveredHow war and oil shocks are impacting markets, inflation, and Fed policyWhy the US being a “net energy exporter” doesn't protect investorsThe hidden bear market beneath index-level resilienceRotation vs. correction and what it means for portfoliosThe rise of retail traders and the shift away from “dumb money”Why better or worse data matters more than good or bad dataThe K-shaped economy and its impact on consumption and marketsAI's three phases and its real impact on jobs and productivityWhy this earnings season may be more important than usualThe shifting role of the Mag 7 and broader market participationWhy the bond market may be the true driver of equitiesRisks in credit markets and what investors should watchLabor market dynamics and challenges for younger workersHow investors and young professionals should think about AITimestamps00:00 Intro and current market environment04:05 Why the US isn't immune to oil price shocks05:35 Lessons from past oil shocks and inflation07:22 Why markets seem resilient despite macro risks08:00 The hidden drawdowns beneath the index surface10:13 Rolling recessions and sector-level weakness10:37 Are investors conditioned to buy every dip12:58 What happens when the dip doesn't get bought14:36 Valuations, corrections, and market structure15:12 Sentiment analysis in a new market regime18:50 Retail investors outperforming institutions20:08 Better or worse vs good or bad economic data23:00 How markets anticipate economic turning points25:22 Understanding the K-shaped economy28:00 Wealth effects and risks from equity declines29:09 AI as a transformative force vs macro risks30:00 The three phases of AI development33:04 Why this earnings season matters more34:00 Earnings revisions and sector concentration36:00 The future of Mag 7 leadership vs the rest of the market38:00 Contribution vs performance in index returns40:00 Sector sensitivity to inflation and supply chains42:00 Fundamentals vs speculation in small caps44:21 The Fed's dilemma in an oil shock environment48:00 Why the bond market is driving equities50:05 Credit markets and systemic risk signals53:26 Lessons from past bond market dislocations54:19 Labor market challenges and younger workers57:00 Career advice in the age of AI59:26 How Liz Ann uses AI in her research process01:01:00 Closing thoughts and where to follow Liz Ann

The sea of red has finally flashed green, but is this just a "dead cat bounce" or the start of something bigger? In this episode, Pav is joined by special guest and fraud expert Calum to break down the sudden 5% Bitcoin jump and why the fear & greed index is finally climbing out of the "valley of fear". We're looking at the massive 3,000% move from Rave DAO, the slowing sell pressure on US Spot ETFs, and why Ethereum is finally starting to show strength against Bitcoin. Plus, we dive into the "Clarity Act" conspiracy theories and share exactly what we're doing with our own portfolios right now. Hint: someone's becoming a Bitcoin Maxie. You'll hear:  - We explore whether the recent 5% Bitcoin jump is a "dead cat bounce" - Why ETH is finally starting to outperform the Bitcoin benchmark and what that means for the rest of your watchlist. - Altcoin Anomalies: The staggering 3,148% move from Rave DAO and institutional interest suddenly returning to ZCash - Breaking down the slowing sell pressure in US Spot ETFs - Is the Clarity Act delay causing the market to lose faith in a 2026 regulatory timeline? … and much more! Want to see what we're looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here. Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify:  https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc  To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can't wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.

Welcome to our new weekly series, ICYMI, where we start off the week with a quick game-changing tip from one of our guests that you might have missed. Tune in every Monday for an expert dose of life advice in under 10 minutes.  Today, we're throwing it back to one of our most valuable 2022 finance interviews with Nicole Victoria to help guide us through recession fears, market volatility, and economic uncertainty. If you've been wondering whether you should buy the dip, sell your stocks, or pause investing when the market crashes, this episode is packed with advice on how to recession-proof your money and make smarter long-term financial decisions. Nicole breaks down why so many people lose money in recessions and the biggest investing mistakes to avoid when panic sets in. Whether you're a beginner investor trying to understand recession investing strategies like dollar cost averaging, or feeling anxious about these uncertain times... this ICYMI is a great starting point.  Nicole is a CEO, money coach and financial literacy advocate Nicole Victoria AKA No Budget Babe, who specializes in helping millennial and gen-z women effortlessly manage their money and build bank accounts that never stop growing. Listen to our full episode with Nicole Victoria here! Follow Nicole: No Budget Babe Instagram: @Nobudgetbabe TikTok: @nobudgetbabe Subscribe to my Substack:teachmehowtoadult.substack.comFollow us on the ‘gram:@teachmehowtoadultmedia@gillian.bernerFollow on TikTok: @teachmehowtoadultSubscribe on YouTube

The Last Trade: Jackson, Michael, and Brian break down Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF launch, the FDIC greenlighting the Genius Act, a Tennessee wrench attack ring hunting bitcoiners through DoorDash, Anthropic's Project Glasswing, and why bitcoin's 175% run during QT kills any bear argument.---

Is the bottom finally in? After months of geopolitical tension and the shadow of the U.S.-Iran conflict looming over the charts, a surprise two-week ceasefire and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have sent Bitcoin screaming back above $72,000.

In today's episode, we are breaking down the exact timeline for the end of the Bitcoin bear market based on historical halving cycles, institutional ETF flows, and the latest macro data for 2026 

I've spent over four decades inside financial markets. Every Sunday I publish what I've learned that week about Bitcoin — price, flows, macro, and where we stand relative to the generational wealth zone. The Bitcoin Intelligence Report. Free weekly. btcintelligencereport.com

SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, March 30th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week, we're back with another weekly roundup live at DAS to discuss our takeaways from the conference. We deep dive into the institutional bull market, the state of angel and venture investing in crypto, Western Union's stablecoin pivot and more. Enjoy! -- Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Rob: https://x.com/HadickM Follow Santi: https://x.com/santiagoroel Follow Empire: https://x.com/theempirepod -- ZKsync is the Bank Stack of Ethereum. It is a network of chains secured by cryptography, not validators. Its cutting-edge ZK innovation enables the privacy, performance and connectivity that businesses need to thrive in the digital assets economy. To find out more visit: https://www.zksync.io/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:48) Takeaways From DAS (07:16) Is Crypto in a Bull or Bear Market? (13:55) Angel Investing and Crypto Venture Capital (24:48) ZKsync Ad (24:24) Blockworks Investor Relations (26:13) Western Union's Stablecoin Flywheel (33:17) The Bear Case For Stablecoins (38:30) Final Takeaways From DAS (43:25) Sports Betting On Prediction Markets (48:15) Audience Questions (52:10) Content of The Week -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, Rob and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Hour 3 for 3/27/26 Peter Grandich joins Drew for a conversation about the state of the markets and the war in Iran (5:19). Topics: the liquidity crisis and tipping point (8:11), bear market (13:44), 401ks (15:30), and a stable currency (24:30). Then, Msgr. Jason Gray from the Diocese of Peoria discusses the upcoming beatification of Archbishop Fulton J. Sheen (26:28) and overwhelming response to the cause (39:20). Links: https://petergrandich.com/ x.com/petergrandich https://www.celebratesheen.com/

Amanda Whitcroft, Founder of WhitcroftPR, joined me to break down crypto's wild ride into a bear market—and what comes next.Topics: - Crypto bear market - Michael Saylor and Strategy's risk - Crypto legislation - Banks vs Stablecoin yield - MemecoinsBrought to you by

The bear market has been brutal, but the data is screaming that the end is near. In today's episode, we are diving deep into the charts to reveal the exact price level where Bitcoin is expected to find its ultimate floor before the next major bull run.

“While most people see a Bitcoin downturn, others see opportunity.In this episode, Samson Mow explains why this market might be ‘too good to be true' — especially for big players.”In this episode, Jan3 CEO Samson Mow joins David Sencil to explain why the current downturn may not last — and why institutional demand could be stronger than ever.With companies like Strategy and MetaPlanet buying more Bitcoin than miners produce daily, Samson argues this market phase might be a rare window of opportunity for large-scale investors.Recorded in Japan, this conversation dives into the future of Bitcoin — from breaking market cycles to global adoption at the nation-state level.What you'll learn in this episode:- Why the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle may be breaking down- How JAN3 is working directly with governments on Bitcoin adoption- What Production Ready is and why a security-hardened Bitcoin client matters- Why quantum computing may not be a real threat to Bitcoin- The current state of Bitcoin adoption in Japan and MetaPlanet's roleSamson Mow is the CEO of Jan3, focused on accelerating nation-state Bitcoin adoption and building tools like Aqua Wallet. He previously contributed to El Salvador's Bitcoin strategy.

The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action. Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk through the six-factor scorecard and tell you exactly where today's break stands. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:14 - Market Volatility & End of Quarter 4:20 - Claude.AI & Tokens 6:42 - Houston Meteor 7:25 - Markets Break 200-DMA 13:54 - How Markets Work with Catalysts 18:50 - When markets Break the 200-DMA 25:13 - Paying Attention to Sentiment 27:26 - How to Differentiate between Brief vs Sustained Breaks 31:08 - What to do Next 34:18 - Why CDX Spreads Matter 39:44 - Dollar Plumbing, Gold, & Central Banks ------- Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/VlxdVnhyKR4?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money," https://youtube.com/live/IvotNMC_fgk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-200-dma-just-broke-what-every-investor-should-know/ "The Dollar's Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-plumbing-conspiracy-vs-data/ "CDX: Credit Spreads Are Flashing A Warning" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cdx-credit-spreads-are-flashing-a-warning/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures" is here: https://youtu.be/9qem93AR4jI ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #200DMA #MarketAnalysis #TradingAlerts #SP500 #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action. Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk through the six-factor scorecard and tell you exactly where today's break stands. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:14 - Market Volatility & End of Quarter 4:20 - Claude.AI & Tokens 6:42 - Houston Meteor 7:25 - Markets Break 200-DMA 13:54 - How Markets Work with Catalysts 18:50 - When markets Break the 200-DMA 25:13 - Paying Attention to Sentiment 27:26 - How to Differentiate between Brief vs Sustained Breaks 31:08 - What to do Next 34:18 - Why CDX Spreads Matter 39:44 - Dollar Plumbing, Gold, & Central Banks ------- Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/VlxdVnhyKR4?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money," https://youtube.com/live/IvotNMC_fgk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-200-dma-just-broke-what-every-investor-should-know/ "The Dollar's Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-plumbing-conspiracy-vs-data/ "CDX: Credit Spreads Are Flashing A Warning" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cdx-credit-spreads-are-flashing-a-warning/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures" is here: https://youtu.be/9qem93AR4jI ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #200DMA #MarketAnalysis #TradingAlerts #SP500 #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

Even as crypto markets pull back, one corner of the ecosystem continues to grow: stablecoins. In this episode, Circle CFO Jeremy Fox-Geen explains why digital dollars like USDC are seeing rising adoption despite declines in assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum—and how stablecoins have begun to decouple from broader crypto cycles. We discuss the real-world use cases driving that growth, from cross-border payments to global demand for U.S. dollars, and why usage, not just supply, is accelerating. The conversation also explores how stablecoins could underpin a new “internet financial system,” particularly as agentic AI systems begin to transact and exchange value autonomously.

This episode is a compilation of answers to YOUR questions that were asked directly from my listeners who attend my weekly business education YouTube live webcast. Topics include oil and global conflict, Bitcoin and market volatility, smart investing in uncertain times, and how to win in today's evolving job market, and more.Refer to chapter marks below for a complete list of topics covered and to jump to a specific section. Get mentored by Chris: Book a Zoom call to discuss joining my Business Academy, Finance Bootcamp (to get a job in finance) or MBA Degree Programs or for investing/business/personal development coaching: https://haroun.short.gy/1on1CallYTWDownload my free "Networking eBook": www.harouneducation.comAttend my weekly YouTube Live every Thursday's 8am-11am PT. Subscribe to my YouTube Channel to receive notifications. Learn more about my MBA Degree ProgramChapter Marks: 0:26 Welcome to the 354th Weekly Live Webcast of March 19, 2026! 0:52 How to short the real estate market? 4:31 How high does oil go to at this point? 5:58 What is the point of hitting oil bases in Iran? 6:49 How does this affect Petrodollars? 7:40 Who is the best president of all time? 8:10 Why is Bitcoin falling? 10:23 Is now the best time to invest? 13:16 How do new graduates navigate this job market? 16:05 Are we ending the near of a cycle? 19:52 How do levered ETFs work? 21:35 What risk should every person be taking in their 20's? 24:37 Did you see layoffs at Meta? 25:54 How to nail a pitch deck? 28:10 What makes you stand out in sales? 29:52 Toughest question you've ever been asked? 30:54 What does the U.S. look like if we were still on the Gold Standard? 31:57 Shouldn't we invest in a Bear Market? 33:22 Can Gold fall more than Bitcoin? 36:47 Do you cringe when you watch your videos? 43:05 How to handle when the USD is rising and much stronger than my local currency? 44:20 Where do you cast your eyes when interviewing Connect with me: Schedule a 1:1 call with Chris: https://haroun.short.gy/1on1CallYTWYouTube: ChrisHarounVenturesCompleteBusinessEducationInstagram @chrisharounLinkedIn: Chris HarounTwitter: @chris_harounFacebook: Haroun Education Ventures  TikTok: @chrisharoun

On episode 234 of The Compound and Friends, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Downtown Josh Brown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ are joined by Jim Lebenthal to discuss: stock market volatility, who's winning the AI race, risks and opportunities in private credit, Jim's favorite stocks, and much more! This episode is sponsored by Betterment Advisor Solutions and Janus Henderson Investors. Learn more at: https://betterment.com/advisors Learn more at https://www.janushenderson.com/ Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠instagram.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠twitter.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Felipe Montealegre is the Founder and CIO of Theia.A liquid crypto investment fund explains why they believe the four-year token bear market is coming to an end and how they're deploying capital. Felipe explains why his team concluded 99% of crypto tokens, excluding a few SoV tokens, should be valued on discounted cash flows and how that view kept them out of certain overvalued L1s and L2s. Plus, more on positioning for what Felipe calls "the best opportunities in four years!"In this episode, we cover:+ Why the bear market is ending: reasonable valuations, tokenholder rights, and revenue growth+ Understanding Edge vs. Brier scores: why being contrarian and right beats just being right+ The real bottleneck for RWAs: the need for financially sophisticated underwriters, not more engineers------

Nick Valdez finds something in the chart NO ONE is talking about. A death cross formed on the 3-day charts and now Bitcoin is following the playbook of previous bear markets! What does this mean for Bitcoin's price moving forward? 

Marty sits down with Alex Leishman, CEO and CTO of River, to discuss Bitcoin adoption trends in the current bear market, the Lightning Network's growing momentum, institutional vs. individual ownership shifts, AI's impact on productivity and hiring, quantum computing risks to Bitcoin, and River's vision for the future of Bitcoin banking. Alex on X: https://x.com/Leishman River report: https://x.com/SDWouters/status/2024507942708351443 STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/VJ2dABShBz Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bit.ly/4pOv2L4 Promo Code: TFTC99 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ SLNT https://slnt.com/tftc Lygos: https://bit.ly/4koiJmB Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Dragonfly raises a $650M Fund IV amid crypto's institutional vs retail sentiment gap, the industry exodus including Kyle Samani's departure from Multicoin, OpenClaw's OpenAI acquisition and crypto Twitter harassment, X402 payment standards for AI agents, Polymarket's controversial 5-minute Bitcoin betting markets, and the brewing federal vs state regulation battle over prediction markets. Welcome to The Chopping Block — where crypto insiders Haseeb Qureshi, Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner chop it up about the latest in crypto. This episode kicks off with major news: Dragonfly just closed their $650 million Fund IV, making them one of the largest crypto VCs not through growth, but because others have downsized. The timing feels surreal — they keep raising right when markets dump, creating the biggest gap between institutional optimism and retail sentiment Haseeb has ever seen. But money flowing in contrasts sharply with talent flowing out. Kyle Samani left Multicoin, Arianna Simpson departed A16z Crypto, and several other crypto veterans are moving on. The crew unpacks what this "great resignation" means for an industry that feels like it's shifted from pioneer phase to settler phase. Then they dive into the OpenClaw saga — the viral AI coding assistant that got acquired by OpenAI, but not before its creator almost deleted it due to harassment from crypto Twitter demanding he launch a token. This leads to a deep discussion on X402 payment standards and why AI agents might prefer crypto over credit cards. Finally, they debate Polymarket's controversial 5-minute Bitcoin betting markets and the brewing legal battle between federal and state regulation of prediction markets. Let's get into it. Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pods, Fountain, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform. Show highlights

Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, breaks down why we're still in a crypto winter, the truth about central bank gold buying, and why Bitcoin's revenue problem doesn't matter… yet. We dive into the Kevin Warsh Fed era, quantum risks, and the rise of AI agents. Get your tickets to OPNEXT 2026 before prices increase! Join us on April 16 in NYC for technical discussions, investor talks, and intimate conversation with the brightest minds in Bitcoin. Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, joins us to talk about the current state of the crypto winter and when the bottom is finally in. We explore the digital gold narrative, explaining why central bank buying—not debasement—drove gold's recent surge. Matt details the institutional vs. retail divide, the impact of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and the looming debate over Bitcoin's security budget. Plus, we tackle the quantum discount and how AI agents could 1000x on-chain activity. Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Notes: * Altcoins like Sui and Aptos fell 70%+ in 2025. * Institutions might end the winter by Q2 2026. * BTC volatility capped at 50-60% drawdowns. * Gold price surge driven by central bank buys. Timestamps: 00:00 Start 03:22 Is it still "crypto winter"? 04:34 Why January? 06:36 Market segments 08:31 Gold 10:54 Central banks & Bitcoin 12:56 Causes of the crash 14:52 Kevin Warsh 16:58 Fed hawks become doves 17:34 Quantum... oh so scary! 19:59 Bitcoin Core 21:44 Revenue 24:37 Beyond "digital gold" narrative 26:44 AI

Lyn Alden is a macro strategist and one of the most respected independent voices in global markets. This conversation was recorded live at Bitcoin Investor Week in New York. In this discussion, Lyn explains why deflationary forces may outweigh inflation risks, how AI-driven productivity is reshaping the economy, and why traditional macro signals are breaking down. We also explore energy's role in controlling inflation, the divergence between gold and bitcoin, and what it all means for long-term investors.======================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.======================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/======================0:00 - Intro0:23 - Inflation vs deflation: what macro regime are we in?2:28 – Money printing, productivity, & hidden deflation5:17 – Gold vs Bitcoin: why gold is outperforming7:59 – Why retail hasn't bought bitcoin this cycle12:05 – Bitcoin vs stablecoins and capital flows14:34 – AI, jobs, & deflationary pressure17:12 – Will deflation force more money printing?19:08 – High growth without inflation: is it possible?

SkyBridge Capital Founder Anthony Scaramucci joins Jennifer Sanasie and Will Foxley to diagnose the current bear market and the "Trump coin" liquidity drain. Scaramucci reveals why 60-year-old money managers are currently choosing gold over Bitcoin, compares the banking lobby to the dying taxi industry, and explains why he's doubling down on his $150,000 year-end price target despite the current fear index hitting a record low. - This episode was hosted live by Jennifer Sanasie and Will Foxley at Consensus Hong Kong 2026, presented by Hex Trust.

In this solo episode, Anthony Pompliano explores a key question facing investors today: Is Bitcoin in a bear market? He breaks down the recent drawdown, explains why this cycle looks different, and discusses how Wall Street adoption, shifting inflation expectations, and global risk dynamics are reshaping Bitcoin's price action.======================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/======================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 80+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $1,000 in rewards.======================As markets shift, headlines break, and interest rates swing, one thing stays true — opportunity is everywhere. At Arch Public, we help you do more than just buy and hold. Yes, our dynamic accumulation algorithms are built for long-term investors… but where we really shine? Our arbitrage algos — designed to farm volatility and turbocharge your core positions. The best part of Arch Public's products is they are free! Yes, you heard that right, try Arch Public for free! Take advantage of wild moves in assets like $SOL, $SUI, and $DOGE, and use them to stack more Bitcoin — completely hands-free. Arch Public is already a preferred partner with Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, and Robinhood, and our team is here to help you build smarter in any market. Visit Arch Public today, at https://www.archpublic.com, your portfolio will thank you.======================0:00 - Is bitcoin in a bear market?7:28 - Why is this bear market different? 17:29 - Conclusion: where does bitcoin go from here?20:41 - CFO Silvia