Podcast appearances and mentions of Jerome Powell

(9/22/23) The Oscar Meyer Weinermobile is returning; Jerome Powell & the shrinking market; the resilience of the consumer is weakening, cooling down. Candid Coffee preview of Progression Planning presentation: Having the Conversation; Trump Tax Cuts are expiring in 2026; what you need to do now; the Roth Solution. Autumn onset; family funds & tax planning; the use of life insurance: Making sure your money goes to family instead of the government. How inflation is affecting financial planning; your advisor must be a student of inflation SEG-1: Oscar Meyer Mobile & Shrinking Market SEG-2: Candid Coffee Promo/Preview SEG-3: BlackRock and Tax Cut Expirations SEG-4: Autumn Onset & Family Fund Tax Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Fu2u6TwToM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Post-Meeting Fed = Opportunity" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pv9TgvqoRY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Too Hawkish Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLEarr1D2-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TrumpTaxCuts #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #JeromePowell #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing

On this episode, Guy, Dan, and Danny are joined by Vincent Daniel and Porter Collins of Seawolf Capital to discuss scary moves in the bond market (2:00), the fiscal dominance narrative (10:00), volatility (12:00), Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech (14:30), crude oil (20:00), market breadth (24:30), the pulse of the consumer (36:00), banks (40:00), gold (46:00), and Vinny & Porter give individual stock picks (51:00). About the Show: On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money's Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They're offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we're here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market. Check out our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/tape See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape. Shoot us an email at OnTheTape@riskreversal.com with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod. We're on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow Liz Young @LizYoungStrat on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

  The Friday Five for September 22, 2023: Apple releases iOS17, iPadOS 17, and WatchOS 10 X (fka Twitter) could charge "small monthly payment" Q4 Medicare Part B drug rebate list Federal Open Market Committee meeting September 2023 Coming soon on the ASG Podcast   Have questions for the ASG Podcast team? Fill out the form to get answers! Whether it's related to general insurance or a detailed insurance marketing question… we'll get you the answer!  We're here to help you survive today and thrive tomorrow. Remember… the only bad question is the one you don't ask. Reach out and let us help!   Follow Us on Social! Ritter on Facebook, https://www.facebook.com/RitterIM Instagram, https://www.instagram.com/ritter.insurance.marketing/ LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/company/ritter-insurance-marketing TikTok, https://www.tiktok.com/@ritterim Twitter, https://twitter.com/RitterIM and Youtube, https://www.youtube.com/user/RitterInsurance Sarah on LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/sjrueppel/ Instagram, https://www.instagram.com/thesarahjrueppel/ and Threads, https://www.threads.net/@thesarahjrueppel  Tina on LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/tina-lamoreux-6384b7199/   Resources: Ask the ASG Official Form: https://bit.ly/askasg Social Media Alternatives to X (fka Twitter): https://agentsurvivalguide.podbean.com/e/agent-apps-social-media-alternatives-to-x-fka-twitter/   References: DOL Consumer Price Index Report August 2023: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cpi.pdf Elon Musk: Social media platform X, formerly Twitter, could go behind paywall: https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-66850821 Elon Musk suggests X will start charging all users "small monthly payment": https://www.cbsnews.com/news/elon-musk-x-twitter-monthly-payment/ Fed Chair Jerome Powell details the central bank's economic and rate outlook: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/20/live-updates-fed-decision-september-2023.html Federal Open Market Committee Information: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm Fed to hold rates steady, but signal policy path in meeting this week: https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/fed-hold-rates-steady-signal-policy-path-meeting-this-week-2023-09-19/ Here's everything the Fed is expected to do Wednesday: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/19/heres-everything-the-fed-is-expected-to-do-wednesday.html Inflation Reduction Act Continues to Lower Out-of-Pocket Prescription Drug Costs for Drugs with Price Increases Above Inflation: https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/inflation-reduction-act-continues-lower-out-pocket-prescription-drug-costs-drugs-price-increases-0 Musk says X will charge everyone to use the platform: https://www.axios.com/2023/09/19/musk-x-twitter-charge-all-users-monthly-subscription-fees Reduced Coinsurance for Certain Part B Rebatable Drugs under the Medicare Prescription Drug Inflation Rebate Program: https://www.cms.gov/files/document/reduced-coinsurance-part-b-rebatable-drugs-oct-dec-2023.pdf

(9/21/23) The markets' response to Wednesday's FOMC meeting and comments from Jerome Powell were the same as the past eight such announcements. The unspoken question: When will the Fed begin to cut rates? Preparation for Q4 is underway as earnings season wraps; markets are close to end of current corrective phase, and volatility is beginning to warm up. The Fed offered no hope or magical language for Markets. Higher for Longer will be the theme, with no material change from previous statements. The Fed's economic projections are never correct. We're expecting negative revisions to previous GDP numbers. Are higher interest rates here to stay? Does the "neutral rate" reflect what's happening or what's lagging? Demographics are destiny. What the Fed didn't say: What's coming will drive policy; a "soft-landing" is not the Fed's base-line expectation. The Fed WANTS Recession. SEG-1: Market Response in FOMC Aftermath SEG-2: What the Fed Said SEG-3: Higher Interest Rates Forever? SEG-4: What the Fed Didn't Say Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLEarr1D2-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Post-Meeting Fed = Opportunity" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pv9TgvqoRY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "The Way You Invest in Bonds is WRONG!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IOGmhwnntw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is This Time Different- Unpacking Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-this-time-different-unpacking-bond-yields/ "October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/ "Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #JeromePowell #SoftLanding #Demographics #NeutralRate #BondYields #GDP #Markets #Money #Investing

We start this week with our thoughts on the Fed estimating rates will be higher for longer. We'll then dive into the craziness of the venture capital industry over the last few years and how interest rates are playing a role. We finish with a historical perspective on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds and bullish takes on Taylor Swift and our New Orleans Saints. Key Takeaways [00:18] - Checking in with Jerome Powell and the Fed  [04:41] - Instacart IPO & the competition within the venture capital industry [14:03] - How interest rates are affecting real estate and venture capital [15:58] - Ten-Year Treasuries [22:40] - LA tent city, T-Swift economics, and excitement for the Saints  Links Current projections for Fed Funds Rate Investments in Instacart made after ‘15 underperforming S&P 500 significantly Home price index with an 18-month lag versus CPI Demand for vacation homes at 7 year low Total returns on an annual basis of the 10-year US Treasury bond Timmer: A compelling risk-reward picture for owning bonds Meb Faber: The Ivy Portfolio California tent city to cost $44k per tent Taylor Swift helps Chicago book most hotel rooms on record Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the monetary policy committee of the Federal Reserve System. It meets eight times per year to set interest rates and conduct other monetary policy operations. The FOMC's decisions have a significant impact on the global economy, including the traditional financial markets and the Bitcoin and crypto sectors.On Wednesday, September 20, 2023, at 2:00 pm ET, the FOMC will announce its decision on the federal funds rate. The federal funds rate is the interest rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans. It is the benchmark interest rate in the United States, and it affects all other interest rates in the economy.The FOMC is widely expected to raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points (bps) at this meeting. This would bring the federal funds rate to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. This would be the highest level of the federal funds rate since 2006.The FOMC will also release a statement and a set of economic projections at the same time as its rate decision. The statement will provide more detail on the FOMC's rationale for its decision and its outlook for the economy. The economic projections will show the FOMC's forecasts for economic growth, inflation, and unemployment.The FOMC's decisions are typically followed by a press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 pm ET on Wednesday to discuss the FOMC's decision and answer questions from reporters.The FOMC's rate decision and Powell's press conference are closely watched by investors and other market participants around the world. The FOMC's decisions can have a significant impact on the prices of stocks, bonds, and other assets, including Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.Investors and traders in both the traditional financial markets and the Bitcoin and crypto sectors are closely watching the FOMC's rate decision this Wednesday. They are eager to learn how the FOMC will balance the need to combat inflation with the risk of slowing economic growth.In the traditional financial markets, investors are concerned that the FOMC may be raising interest rates too quickly, which could lead to a recession. However, they are also aware that the FOMC needs to take action to bring inflation under control.In the Bitcoin and crypto sectors, investors are concerned that the FOMC's rate hikes could lead to a sell-off in risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. However, they are also hopeful that the FOMC's actions will help to stabilize the global economy and create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in the long term.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will address the public, shedding light on the decision, 30 minutes post-announcementPowell's press conference will be closely watched by investors and other market participants for insights into the FOMC's thinking and its plans for the future. Powell is likely to discuss the following topics:The FOMC's rationale for its rate decisionThe FOMC's outlook for the economyThe FOMC's plans for future rate hikesThe FOMC's views on Bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesPowell's comments could have a significant impact on the prices of stocks, bonds, and other assets, including Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Investors and traders will be listening carefully for any signs that the FOMC may be changing its stance on inflation, interest rates, or Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has paused its rate-hiking cycle, predicting one more hike later this year and fewer cuts than expected next year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish forecast pushes Treasuries to new multi-year records while U.S. equities close in the red. We hear from Klaviyo CEO Andrew Bialecki who hailed the timing of his company's IPO. Shares were up 9 per cent on the debut. And in the UK, investors are braced for the Bank of England's rate decision which could follow the U.S. in pausing rate hikes following yesterday's better-than-expected inflation data. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

(9/21/23) The markets' response to Wednesday's FOMC meeting and comments from Jerome Powell were the same as the past eight such announcements. The unspoken question: When will the Fed begin to cut rates? Preparation for Q4 is underway as earnings season wraps; markets are close to end of current corrective phase, and volatility is beginning to warm up. The Fed offered no hope or magical language for Markets. Higher for Longer will be the theme, with no material change from previous statements. The Fed's economic projections are never correct. We're expecting negative revisions to previous GDP numbers. Are higher interest rates here to stay? Does the "neutral rate" reflect what's happening or what's lagging? Demographics are destiny. What the Fed didn't say: What's coming will drive policy; a "soft-landing" is not the Fed's base-line expectation. The Fed WANTS Recession. SEG-1: Market Response in FOMC Aftermath SEG-2: What the Fed Said SEG-3: Higher Interest Rates Forever? SEG-4: What the Fed Didn't Say Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLEarr1D2-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Post-Meeting Fed = Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pv9TgvqoRY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Way You Invest in Bonds is WRONG!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IOGmhwnntw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is This Time Different- Unpacking Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-this-time-different-unpacking-bond-yields/ "October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/ "Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #JeromePowell #SoftLanding #Demographics #NeutralRate #BondYields #GDP #Markets #Money #Investing

Los tipos de interés se quedan entre el 5.25% y el 5.5%, al menos durante un mes más, aunque no se descarta que haya más subidas antes de que finalice el año. La inflación ha vuelto a subir en Estados Unidos y eso contribuye a que una nueva alza sea una posibilidad real. La inflación está en el 7.3%, pero el objetivo es que baje hasta el 2%, de modo que, como ha dicho Jerome Powell este agosto, "todavía queda camino por recorrer". La pausa de la Reserva Federal confronta con la decisión que tomó el Banco Central Europeo la semana pasada, cuando el BCE decidió llevar los tipos de interés por encima del 4%, aunque abriendo la puerta a que fuera la última subida antes de una pausa. Lo analizamos en Hora 25 de los negocios.

Stocks closed near their lows of the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated his intent to keep rates high and said that a soft landing for the economy is not the base case scenario. We break down all the action in the market today. Plus more details on the UAW negotiations. What all the strikes are costing the economy. Fast Money Disclaimer

Join Cryptomanran and Gareth Soloway on this episode of Crypto Banter as he dives into the latest Bitcoin price action ahead of the FOMC meeting tomorrow! Is this a bull trap or has the rally just begun? Find out now! ⚠️

Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve will take center stage in the week ahead when the central bank makes its next policy decision.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Fed can raise interest rates, but they cannot create housing supply.  Housing intelligence analyst Rick Sharga joins us for the second week in a row. This housing market is awful for primary residence homebuyers. But at GRE Marketplace, you can still buy income properties with rates as low as 4.75%. Rick tells us that the most prosperous markets now favor the: Midwest and Southeast, single-family homes, rental property investors with buy-and-hold strategies. National home prices are appreciating modestly. Home sales volume is still down. Investors now account for more than one-quarter of property purchases. Mortgage delinquencies are near an all-time low. Rick and I discuss why this market is so bad for flippers.  High homeowner equity positions ($300K+) support this housing market.  Timestamps: The impact of rising mortgage rates [00:02:37] Discussion on how the Federal Reserve's raising of short-term rates has caused mortgage rates to go up, affecting the housing market. The affordability challenge [00:03:38] Exploration of the impact of higher mortgage rates on homebuyers, particularly first-time buyers, and the decrease in affordability. Low supply of homes [00:08:48] Analysis of the low inventory of homes for sale, with a decrease of 9% from the previous year and 47% from 2019, leading to a challenging market. The mortgage rate lock in effect [00:11:05] Discussion on how the mortgage rate lock in effect can crimp demand but cannot create supply. Hottest markets in the Midwest and Southeast [00:11:05] Analysis of the hottest real estate markets in the Midwest and Southeast regions of the United States. Positive turn in home price appreciation [00:13:06] Explanation of how home price appreciation went down but has recently turned positive again. Housing Permits, Starts, and Construction [00:21:24] Discussion on the trends and levels of housing permits, starts, and construction, and the need for builders to increase production. Investor Activity in the Residential Market [00:22:28] Exploration of the percentage of home purchases made by investors, with a focus on small and medium-sized investors and the misconception of institutional investors dominating the market. Delinquencies and Foreclosures [00:24:36] Analysis of mortgage delinquency rates, foreclosure activity, and homeowner equity, highlighting the low delinquency rates, the presence of equity in foreclosed homes, and the importance of early-stage foreclosure sales. The future direction of rents [00:32:00] Discussion on the potential upward pressure on rents due to low affordability and high homeownership rate. Inventory coming to the market [00:33:03] Exploration of the impact of expensive inventory coming to the market and its effect on rent prices. The overall economy and housing market [00:34:03] Consideration of the possibility of a recession, unemployment spike, and foreclosures affecting the housing market. The coach's role in finding real estate deals [00:43:06] Explanation of how an investment coach can help you find the best real estate deals in the marketplace. Advantages of buying properties from marketplace [00:44:20] Reasons why buying properties from marketplace can lead to good deals, including lower prices and absence of emotional seller involvement. Resources mentioned: Show Notes: www.GetRichEducation.com/467 Rick Sharga's website: CJPatrick.com Rick Sharga on X (Twitter): @RickSharga Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text ‘FAMILY' to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review”  Top Properties & Providers: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREmarketplace.com/Coach Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Keith's personal Instagram: @keithweinhold   (00:00:01) - Welcome to. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. Hold a terrific discussion today on the direction of the housing market, including lessons that you can learn for all time plummeting home sales volume and direly low home inventory. Why home price appreciation is taking place now. Could the government soon penalize you for owning too many rental properties? What's the best place for a real estate investor to position themselves in this era? And more today on Get Rich Education.   (00:00:33) - You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get rich education.   (00:00:56) - Walking from Horseheads, New York to Nags Head, North Carolina, and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold. And you're listening. To get rich education, you are going to get a fantastic market update today. And along the way, you'll also learn lessons if you're consuming this 5 or 10 years from now. Our expert guest was with us last week to discuss the economy. This week, it's episode two of two as we discuss the real estate market.   (00:01:25) - He has been the executive VP of markets at some of America's leading housing intelligence firms, and today he's the founder and CEO of Patrick Company, either a market intelligence firm for the real estate and mortgage markets. And he has 20 plus years of experience in those industries. It's the return of Rick Saga Part two of two. It's not imperative that you listen to last week's Part one of two that we can help you see the big picture. Enjoy this long, unbroken interview and then after the break, I'll come back to close it. Just you and I. We're talking with Rick Sagar, expert housing analyst, previously. We talked about the general condition of the economy. And now Rick and I are going to break down the housing market with what's happening there. There's so definitively connected. Keith One of the things to that the Federal Reserve has done by raising those short term rates is caused mortgage rates to go up, right? Mortgage rates tend to run loosely in line with the yields on the ten year US Treasury bonds that we talked about at the end of the first segment.   (00:02:37) - Those are now up around 4%. And typically a 30 year fixed rate mortgage will be between one and a half and two percentage points higher than that yield. So in a normal market, we'd be looking at a mortgage rate today of about five and a half to 6%. Instead because of the risk and the volatility that the market is pricing in because they're not sure what the Federal Reserve is going to do next. We're looking at mortgage rates for a 30 year fixed rate loan of over 7%. The most recent numbers from last week from Freddie Mac, we were at almost 7.2% on that average, 30 year fixed rate loan and 6.5% on a 15 year fixed rate loan. You and I were talking before the show and and you know, historically speaking, if we keep these things in context, we're still actually below the 25 year average, which was 8%. But we have a whole generation of homebuyers who've come of age during the period of the lowest mortgage rates in the history of the country. They got spoiled, they got spoiled.   (00:03:38) - And to be clear, it's one of the reasons that home prices rose as rapidly as they did and got as high as they are is because you could afford to make monthly payments with a two and a half, three, 3.5% mortgage. Now, you still have home prices about as high as they were then, and you have a mortgage rate that's doubled. And for most home buyers, particularly first time home buyers that make your monthly mortgage payment was going to go up by 45 to 60%. And most of us didn't get that 45 to 60% raise last year. It really had a huge impact on affordability. In fact, this is such an unusual occurrence that according to Freddie Mac, it's the only time in US history when mortgage rates doubled during a calendar year and they didn't just double in a calendar year. Keith They doubled in the space in a few months. It was that kind of systemic shock to the system that really hit the housing market as hard as it did. Right. And they've also nearly tripled in a pretty short period of time.   (00:04:35) - Yeah, they really have. And again, going back historically speaking and and get this from Gen Z folks and millennials, when I talk about, you know, the old days of mortgage and I do remember my first mortgage had two numbers to the left of the decimal point. I forget if it was 11 or 12%, but it was something like that. And they basically say, okay, Boomer, but that 11% mortgage was on your $70,000 house, Right. And not, you know, today's median priced home of $430,000 or whatever it is. So it's a fair point. Mortgage rates are not high, historically speaking, but that monthly cost, because of the combination of home prices and higher interest rates, is choking some people and making affordability a problem. And because of that, one of the forward looking metrics that I take a look at is the purchase loan mortgage application index from the Mortgage Bankers Association. So this is the number of people that are applying for loans with the purpose of buying a house.   (00:05:35) - They're off almost 30% on a year over year basis right now. You can see without straining your eyes at all the impact that these higher mortgage rates are having on the housing market. And we had almost record numbers of purchase loan applications from the time people who are allowed out of their house during the pandemic until these mortgage rates doubled from 2020 through the early part of 2022, mortgage rates were in the threes and fours and sometimes even in the twos. Yeah, everyone wants to talk about mortgage rates and it is an important discussion to have here at Marketplace with our investment coaches. Rick Some builders, as you know, they commonly offer rate buy down incentives to buyers of new homes. And what some of our providers are doing here, Rick, is we have one builder where if you use their preferred lender, they're buying down your income property's mortgage rate to 5.75%. And we have another builder where if you use their preferred lender, they're still buying down your mortgage rate to 4.75%. And of course, with Non-owner occupied property here, you know, previously you had talked about mortgage rates in excess of seven.   (00:06:47) - They might normally be about 8% for non owner occupied property, but you're able to buy them down to five and three quarters or even four and three quarters with one of our providers for new builds right now, that's a great deal and your listener should really be taking advantage of those opportunities. We'll get into new homes in a few minutes and what we're seeing builders do for consumers, But have to tell you, those numbers are better deals than consumers are getting right now. And you're being generous when you're talking about private lending rates right now. Most of the lenders I'm familiar with are nine, ten, 11%, depending on the nature of your investment. So your folks are getting a great deal with those rates. We talked about purchase loan applications. The other advanced predictor I look at is pending home sales. These are people that are entering into contracts. The deal hasn't been closed yet. Has it been recorded yet? This comes out from the National Association of Realtors. And those numbers are down on a year over year basis as well.   (00:07:42) - There's a lot of rate sensitivity in the market, though, Keith. And if you go back to March when rates went down just a fraction of a percent, we saw more purchase loan applications. We saw more pending home sales. But as rates have climbed back up over seven, we've seen both of these metrics go down. Yeah. So we're talking about pending home sales. We're talking about sales volume that's down in this discussion, not sales price. And anyone might be hard to say, but when you see sales volume that's down, including pending sales, how often is that due to worse affordability and how often is that due to low supply of homes? Why don't we jump right into that? Keith That's a great segue. And this is a very difficult time in the housing market because it has both of the factors that you just mentioned, two very difficult headwinds for the market to try and overcome. And and we'll get into details on both of those in just a minute. Because of that, existing home sales were down in July and they were down pretty significantly on a year over year basis, about 16%.   (00:08:48) - And that's the 23rd consecutive month where existing home sales were lower than they were the prior year. January was the lowest month of sales this month, and it broke a streak we started this year. I was forecasting that we'd see between 4.3 and 4.4 existing home sales. That's down from about 5.2 last year in about 6.1 million the year before. Right now, we're trending at a little over 4 million existing home sales for the year. So even my relatively low forecast for the year may have been overly optimistic. You mentioned inventory and inventory is a huge headwind for the market. Inventory of homes for sale today is down about 9% from where it was a year ago. It's down 47% from where we were in 2019, which was probably the last normal year we've had in the housing market. In a normal year, we would be looking at about a six month supply of homes available for sale. That's what economists or housing market analysts will look at as a balanced market balance between supply and demand. We're at about two and a half months supply right now nationally and in many states it's much lower than that.   (00:09:56) - So there's just not much out here. And the only reason the inventory number looks as good as it looks and it doesn't look very good is because it's taking a little longer to sell properties once they hit the market. If you were looking at new listing data, it's even worse. There's very little inventory coming to market in the way of new listings, and that's because of the rate increases we talked about a minute ago. 90% of borrowers with a mortgage have an interest rate on that mortgage of 6% or less. 70% have an interest rate of 4% or less. If you're sitting on a mortgage rate of 3.5% and you sell your house and buy a house at the same exact price with a 7% mortgage, you've just doubled your monthly mortgage payment. It's not that people psychologically don't want to trade a low rate for a high rate. There's a financial penalty for them doing so. And until we see mortgage rates come down a bit, probably into the fives, we're just not going to see a lot of inventory coming to market except for homeowners who need to sell or have so much equity and maybe you're going to downsize into a smaller property that they don't care about that kind of shift.   (00:11:05) - Yeah, that is the mortgage rate lock in effect. Perfectly explain. And the Fed with the raising rates, they can crimp demand. But one thing that the Fed cannot do is create supply. As much as you might like to see Jerome Powell in work boots with a nail gun, that just doesn't happen. There's an image for you, for your listeners. Yeah, and I'm not sure I'd want to. I'd want to live in that house. That's not Chairman Powell building, but inspection. Yeah. Good economist. Maybe not a carpenter. We were talking about this a little bit earlier, too. And if you're an investor, this is probably worth noting, whether you're a fix and flip investor or investor who's buying properties to rent out a lot of the interest. This is from the sharing some data from Realtor.com and they've taken a look at where people are searching for properties and where transactions are taking place and they're finding that Midwest Southeast are really the hottest markets, places that are a little off the beaten path, you know, places in New Hampshire and Connecticut and Maine and Ohio and Wisconsin.   (00:12:06) - But interestingly, some of the markets that had been suffering a little bit, they're starting to see a little more interest in whether it's California, but off the coast or markets in Colorado or Washington state. But clearly, a lot of the activity, a lot of the money is moving into the Midwest, in southeast. That's right. With the work from anywhere trend, you might see this small flattening and not as much of a disparity in home prices between markets. You're certainly still going to see that, but that can just help create a mild flattening when it doesn't matter where you live anymore and you can go ahead and purchase in lower cost markets. Yeah, and what I'm sharing now is national home prices, home price. And I'm glad you mentioned what you just did, Keith, because the fact of the matter is this has been a very localized correction. And if you're in San Francisco or San Jose, if you're in Seattle, if you're in Austin, if you're in Phoenix, you're in markets where prices are off 10% or more from peak.   (00:13:06) - If you're in Boise, Idaho, you're off more than 10% from peak of Boise had oil prices go up by 47% in a single year, a year or so ago. So he just overshot the mark. One of the reasons the national numbers don't show more volatility is because of what Keith just mentioned. It's because people are trading in where they are in a high price, high tax state moving into a lower price state and candidly outbidding local buyers and probably overpaying a little bit for those properties. So you're seeing home prices go up in some of those less expensive markets much more rapidly than they would under normal circumstances. And what we're talking about here is national home prices that are appreciating at a modest rate now. Yeah, and they are. So if you look at whether you're looking at the Case-Shiller index, it gets published monthly or the National Association of Realtors data. We saw home price appreciation start to go down last year. It was still positive but going down and that was true until pretty much the end of the first quarter this year when the data went negative for the first time in years.   (00:14:15) - So we were seeing on both a month over month and year over year basis home prices go down and that happened until June, June, things flatlined in July. Prices actually went up ah, year over year. So if you're looking at the median home price compared to the peak price a year ago, it's actually up about 1% from where we were last year, which is kind of amazing. The Case-Shiller index is a little bit of a lagging indicator and it rolls three months together, but it also started to turn the corner with its July report. So after almost a full year of price appreciation coming down and prices in decline, we've seen both of these indexes turn and are starting to go positive. It does show you that there continues to be demand for properties that are brought to market. And while home price appreciation certainly isn't soaring by any means, it's back in positive territory now. And that's something that a lot of people hadn't predicted this year. When the supply of homes is this low, it keeps generating a few bids for any available home.   (00:15:21) - Now, not as many bids as it did back in 2021. But besides generating bids, you have these huge population cohorts of millennials and Gen Zers that are growing, and they're in their prime homebuyer years moving through the system to go ahead and place those bids and keep just modest home price appreciation here lately. That's sort of how I see it. Rick If you want to add any color or thoughts to that, I think you're spot on. Keith It's the largest cohort of young adults between the ages of 25 and 34 in US history. That's prime age for forming a household. 33 to 34 is the average age of a first time buyer right now. And so these people would like to buy a house. And for people who are investing in single family rental properties in particular, at least short term, the affordability issue is something that definitely works in your favor. If somebody was looking to buy a house, they might prefer to rent a house rather than rent an apartment. I've read research that shows somewhere between 20 and 30% of people who had planned to buy have decided to rent for the next year or two while market conditions settle down or while they can put aside more money for a down payment.   (00:16:27) - These market conditions are playing in favor of people who have rental properties to offer. One other metric I'd like to share in terms of home prices, Keith is the FHFa puts out its own index. FHFa is the government entity that controls Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. So these are your conventional bread and butter, vanilla kind of 30 year fixed rate loans. If you look at their portfolio, home prices are actually up 3.1% year over year. And every sector of the country is showing positive rice appreciation except for the Pacific states and the mountain states. And those are some of the markets we talked about earlier. And even those are very close to breaking even at this point. So HFA breaks it into about ten regions, nine of those ten currently appreciating year over year. Yep, something like that important for you to know again as an investor as to what's happening in your region. Again, whether you're you're planning to sell the property or rent it out. You talked about what builders are doing for your investor folks.   (00:17:28) - Yeah, we're seeing new home sales actually improving to consumers as well for a lot of the same reasons, incentives. So a lot of builders are coming to the closing table with cash. They're paying points on mortgages and getting those rates down where they're short term or long term. They're offering discounts, they're offering upgrades to properties. And so new home sales are still down, but just slightly on a year over year basis and have actually been beating last year's numbers for the last four months. My original estimate for new home sales this year was about 600,000. I think we're going to probably coming closer to 675,000 this year. And the only reason we won't sell more is because the builders aren't building that fast enough. But one of the reasons people are buying these new homes is because that's what's on the market today. People would have bought an existing home, can't find one. Here's the other factor. New home prices are down 16.4% from last year's peak. Now, this is informative. Think this would surprise a lot of people? Well, it surprises me.   (00:18:28) - It should surprise people because new home prices almost always go up, right? This does not mean builders are discounting homes 16.4%. What's happening is they are building less expensive homes, They're less expensive per square foot, and they're building smaller homes. And they're doing that in acknowledgement of the higher cost of financing. That also, by the way, is in sending people to look at these properties as either a starter home or a minor move up kind of property. But it is one of the reasons why new home sales are doing better than existing home sales right now on a percentage basis. That's an interesting number, Rick. A few weeks ago, I shared with our newsletter audience that builders are building homes smaller and closer together, which might be reflected in lower prices, but just didn't think it would be 16.4% lower from peak. Now, if you're doing year over year, it's probably not that big of a drop, but from the peak price we are off. And it is to your point, it's a pretty significant number.   (00:19:26) - It would be a problematic number if it was the existing home market, right, because then you'd be looking at the same property being worth 16% less. But a builder can kind of play with those numbers a little bit. Single family housing starts after falling for quite a while, are now back going back up only slightly from where they were a year ago, but they are moving in the right direction. Multifamily starts have actually tailed off a little bit after reaching record high numbers. There could be as many as a million apartment units coming to market this year. Yeah, which would be an all time record. So we've seen building on those multifamily units slow down a little bit. If you look at at new home starts for single family properties still below where they were a year ago. But again, for the first time in quite a few months, starting to trend up. A couple of things to share with your viewers here, Keith. In terms of construction, we're seeing construction continue to grow in the multifamily market because of all the starts we saw previously.   (00:20:23) - We are seeing single family construction slowed down, but that's because the builders are working their way through a glut of homes that was under construction. So we had a really weird happenstance about a year ago, a little over year, we had the highest number of homes under construction ever. And this data goes back to the early 1970s, and we had the lowest number of completed properties available for sale ever. And a lot of that was due to supply chain delays and to labor shortages. And over the last year to 15 months, the builders have gradually begun working through this glut of homes that were started but not finished. And we've seen the number of completed homes go up a little bit, almost back to normal levels, not quite there. One of the reasons they're not quite there is people are buying these homes before they're completed. They're working with the builder. Buying a home is it's almost ready to go, but still under construction. What's been encouraging, looking into the future is that permitting has increased a bit over the last two quarters.   (00:21:24) - We know builders are betting on the future. They're not necessarily breaking ground on all these properties they have permits for because they don't want to oversaturate either. And they're being very judicious with their building because they got caught with a ton of inventory during the Great Recession that they wound up selling at fire sale prices. But the trends are long term, looking like they're going in the right direction right now for new homes. So to help the viewer and listeners chronologically, we're talking about housing permits followed by housing starts. And then finally, housing construction. Right? Permits are up, starts are up recently, but down year over year. And the construction numbers are getting back close to normal levels. And we need the builders to build more because even before the rate lock effect took effect and existing home inventory got so scarce we didn't have enough housing in the works, we were depending on whose numbers you believe, somewhere between 2 and 6 million units short. We need the builders to come back to market. Note for your folks.   (00:22:28) - Keith Investors continue to account for a fairly significant amount of activity in the residential market. Over a quarter of home purchases 26% in June, which is the most recent data we have, were made by investors and believe this number actually under reports the number of investor purchases because it's from a company called CoreLogic, it's accurate data for what they count, but they only count investor purchases where the buying entity has an LLC and LP Corp kind of entity. And we know that a lot of buyers don't do that who are investors. So it probably understates it. But the fact of the matter is that historically speaking, 26% of residential purchases being done by investors is pretty high number. That's a pretty high number and as you alluded to, is probably actually higher than 26% of home purchases being made by investors. And so the headlines will breathlessly tell you that Main Street is being gobbled up by Wall Street. Oh, I know. And those institutional investors are evil people. They're buying everything that the truth is is completely the opposite.   (00:23:31) - If you look at investors who are buying properties, it's really the small investors who are buying about 46% of those investor purchases and medium sized investors about 35%. If you're looking at the biggest of the big investors, they're buying less than 10% of what's going out today. And they still own collectively about 3% of the single family rental stock. It's the mom and pop investor who continues to drive the market. Yeah, I'm glad you bring this up, Rick, because there seems to be this outsized perception that institutional money through someone like, say, in Invitation homes is just gobbling up all the good investor homes. And and they're really not. It's mom and pop investors that rule. In fact, there's some legislation pending in D.C. right now that's aimed to keep these institutional investors from doing what they're already not doing and have some tax penalties for anybody who owns. Here's the number that's important. More than 50 properties well, Invitation Homes owns significantly more than 50 properties. I know a lot of medium sized investors who own more than 50 properties.   (00:24:36) - Yeah, they're certainly not institutional investors. They certainly don't have a hedge fund behind them. Important again, for folks in this market to be in touch with their legislators and let them know what's really going on in the marketplace so we don't get this kind of bad legislation. It makes it tough for the average investor to really take full advantage of the opportunities that are out there. 100%. Mom and pop investors might need more than 50 units to obtain financial freedom. Yep. Just to wrap up, Keith, a couple of points on delinquencies and foreclosures. I know a lot of investors got into the business, you know, a decade or so ago and there was just a rash of foreclosure activity and you could buy a distressed property by just walking down the street and knocking on doors. It's a little different these days because of that strong economy we talked about earlier. In that low unemployment rate. Mortgage delinquencies are at an all time low. Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the midpoint of this year, at the end of the second quarter, the total delinquency rate was 3.37%.   (00:25:36) - To put that in context, historically the number is somewhere between 4 and 5%. So not only are we not seeing a lot of delinquencies, we're seeing less than we would see normally as seriously delinquent loans. The ones that are 90 days plus past due is as low as we've seen it in probably the last 6 or 7 years. That's really interesting. So not very many homeowners are in trouble with making their payments, which to some people might seem like a conflict with what we described back in the earlier part of the chat about low savings and higher credit card debt. So many of these homeowners are locked in to these really low payments where they got low mortgage interest rates. Plus inflation cannot touch those fixed rate payments. And that's an important point for those people that are in these homes. It would be more expensive for them to go rent right now, probably because they got such a good deal on the mortgage rate. There's usually a pretty strong correlation between unemployment rates and mortgage delinquency rates. So I mentioned that the most recent report had unemployment at 3.8%.   (00:26:37) - I think at the end of June it was a 3.5%. So we might see delinquency rates tick up a little bit. There was also some really bad social media memeing going on during the government's mortgage forbearance program. There was even an economist who predicted that almost everybody who got a forbearance was going to go into default and that would have been a catastrophe. If you look back a little over a year ago, actually more like two years ago when there was there were a lot of people in forbearance. You saw delinquency rates very high, but that was because people were allowed to miss payments. They were just being counted by the industry as delinquent. The fact is that less than a half of a percent, less than one half of 1% of the borrowers who were in forbearance and there were 8.5 million of them have defaulted on their loans. The overwhelming majority have done very, very well with that program. So it really didn't contribute to any kind of delinquency or default activity. So strong economy, extremely high, low quality because lenders really haven't been making many risky loans since the Great Recession.   (00:27:40) - The record amount of of homeowner equity that's out there. Yeah. Is keeping this market pretty solid to the point where foreclosure activity today is still running at a little bit less than 60% of pre-pandemic levels. So in a normal market, about 1 to 1.5% of loans are in some state of foreclosure. In today's market, it's about a half a percent. So we're just not seeing much go into foreclosure and the properties that go into foreclosure. The homeowners have a significant amount of equity. 92% of borrowers in foreclosure have equity in their homes, which is wildly different from where we were during the great financial crisis, when a third of all homeowners were underwater on their loans. At just about everybody in foreclosure was upside down. And people push back at me when I'm out talking at conferences about this. Keith Oh, yeah, they have equity, but they don't have enough equity to make a difference. Oh, yes, they do. 88% of the borrowers in foreclosure have more than 20% equity. That's typically the magic number that a realtor will tell you you need in order to sell your property and avoid any other kind of complications with one of these foreclosures, preventing any sort of fire sale and lowering of prices that makes all home prices go down in a neighborhood where not anywhere near that.   (00:28:57) - No, not at all. And in fact, some other data that I'll share with you and your listeners is that about 62% of the distressed property sales we see right now are properties in the early stage of foreclosure prior to the foreclosure auction, which means these distressed homeowners are protecting their equity by selling the property before it gets sold at a foreclosure sale. And so they're protecting the vast amount of this equity. But if you're an investor in today's market, there's some really important information in what I just gave you. You can't wait for the bank repossession. In this cycle, bank repossessions are running 70% below where they were prior to the pandemic, so there's fewer properties getting to auction because 67% of these distressed property sales are prior to the auction. Properties that get to auction are selling through at about 60% rate. So there's nothing going back to the lenders. So if you want to buy a property in some stage of foreclosure, your best bet in today's market is to get a list of people in the early stages of foreclosure and reach out directly to them.   (00:30:01) - Your second best bet is to get to that foreclosure auction. Be ready to move at the auction, and your worst bet is to wait for the lender to repossess the property. And in fact, I've seen anecdotal data that suggests that those properties are actually more expensive than the ones you could buy from the homeowner or at the auction because the lenders are fixing them up and selling them at full market price. Good guidance for those chasing distressed properties. So that's what's going on in the foreclosure market. I don't see foreclosure activity being back to normal levels until sometime next year. And I don't see activity bank repossessions being back to normal levels even next year. It's a very different marketplace. This is what I was just talking about. Keith If you were to break up what selling and what stage of the foreclosure process right now, about 64% of distressed sales are taking place prior to the foreclosure auction and less than 20%. Distressed sales today are those background properties. So it's a very different world than what a lot of investors grew up in.   (00:31:03) - Rick is about to share his summary with us, his closing thoughts. Before he does that, I've got two questions for you, Rick. I hear some people out there, it seems to be oftentimes the real estate agent type, maybe that's trying to be a big cheerleader for the market. And I hear a few of them say something like, hey, you know what? You better buy now, because when mortgage rates fall, home prices are really going to shoot through the roof. I don't really know that that necessarily happens because when mortgage rates fall, okay, that might increase demand of capable homebuyers, but it should also increase supply. Now, the mortgage rate lock in effect, goes away and more people will want to bring supply onto the market. And I also like to think about what happens when rates are falling. Typically, that means the economy needs help and unemployment might be a little higher. So my thoughts, Rick, are if mortgage rates do fall substantially, that might help home price appreciation a little bit, but I don't see it as any sure thing that that would make home prices go through the roof.   (00:32:00) - What are your thoughts? It's a great question. You make a very logical argument. A lot of it comes down to supply. And that's where I would hedge my bets. I don't think we see a ton of supply come back to market until rates are back in the low fives. So there's a point and a half of interest going from little over seven to maybe 5.5%, where we're probably going to see more buyers come to market than we're going to see inventory come to the market. My other thought we touched on it earlier is with rents. Talk to me about the future direction of rents. They were horribly hot a year or two ago, up 15% year over year. Rents have moderated substantially. But with this really lousy home affordability and a high homeownership rate, it seems like with this low affordability, we're set up for the homeownership rate to go lower in the proportion that rent go higher, which could put upward pressure on rents over time here. What are your thoughts with rents? Yeah, offsetting what you just said is a record number of apartment units coming to market this year.   (00:33:03) - There are likely to be some markets across the country that wind up oversupplied because of the amount of inventory coming to market. Now, don't get me wrong, the inventory coming to market is going to tend to be expensive inventory. And so that in and of itself could make rent prices come up a bit. I do believe in the short term I would tend to agree with you that the lack of housing stock available for people who would like to buy is going to play in the benefit of the folks who own properties to rent. And that will, I believe, be particularly true for people that own single family residential units that are like houses to rent. I guess we're going to split the difference on these two questions. I'm going to mostly agree with you on the second one. I do believe there's a chance prices will go up a little bit more than you think as mortgage rates come down until we get down to about 5.5%, mortgage rates are lower when we see more of that inventory coming to market. And what is the real wild card in all of this, of course, is what happens with the overall economy.   (00:34:03) - Do we enter a recession? Does unemployment spike? If that's the case, that should weaken, demand a bit and you could have a little bit of an uptick in foreclosures, which will weaken the market as well. So a lot of different components at play. And I think what people ask you questions like that, Keith, about, you know, mortgage rates come down, is this going to happen? They kind of oversimplify the equation quite a bit. There are a lot of other variables that go into it. 100%. Why don't you go ahead and share your closing thoughts with us? A lot of stuff we covered, so I won't dwell on too much of this very long. But from my perspective, a recession is still a real possibility. Probably not until next year if we have one. And if we do, it's likely to be pretty mild and fairly short and we shouldn't see a huge, huge spike in unemployment. I do believe that as the Fed decides it's done raising the Fed funds rate and announces that we'll see mortgage rates gradually decline back toward 6% by the end of this year.   (00:34:57) - And we'll be back in the fives next year. And by the way, historically, every time the Fed has stopped raising the Fed funds rate, we have seen mortgage rates come back down. Existing home sales right now are on pace for their lowest number since 2009. Likely, we're going to see somewhere in the neighborhood of 4.2 million existing home sales. But we're likely to see more new home sales than a lot of people had forecast beginning of this year, maybe 650, 675,000 of those sales in 2023. And we've seen prices decline in the new home market, but they might have bottomed out in the existing home market because of the supply and demand thing that Keith and I have kind of beaten to death during this podcast. Again, importantly for this audience, investors continue to account for a very large percentage of residential purchases and a lot of you seem to be shifting toward buy and hold strategies, which again makes ultimately good sense in a market like today's. And then that anticipated wave of foreclosures that all those folks on YouTube were trying to sell you courses to figure out how to maximize never materialized.   (00:35:57) - And at least during this cycle, not likely to any time soon. Probably won't. Yes, A lot of people a couple of years ago, especially on YouTube, were talking about a certain price collapse is coming and it never happened. And I never saw how it would have happened and I never made those sort of dire predictions. Well, Rick, this was a great chat about the overall economy, the housing market and what investors need with the housing market. I'm sure our audience learned an awful lot. It was a terrific update. If our audience wants to learn more about you and kind of wish this chat would just go on and they could learn more about you and engage with your resources. What's the best way for them to do that? Well, you can certainly follow me on social media. I refuse to say my Twitter handle is just Rick Saga. I'm on LinkedIn to hard to find there. You can also check out my website which is Patrick. Com. Enjoy doing these conversations with you Keith.   (00:36:51) - Think the first time we talked you reached out because I had come down like the wrath of God on somebody who was predicting a housing price crash because I didn't see one coming either and thought he was doing investors a disservice. So keep the faith and keep the good fight going. Keith And I'll be here whenever you want to talk. Jerry Listeners can't stop talking about their service from Ridge Lending Group and MLS 42056. They have provided our tribe with more loans than anyone there truly a top lender for beginners and veterans. It's where I go to get my own loans for single family rental property up to four Plex's. So start your pre-qualification and you can chat with President Charlie Ridge personally, though, even deliver your custom plan for growing your real estate portfolio. Start at Ridge Lending Group. Com. You know, I'll just tell you for the most passive part of my real estate investing personally, I put my own dollars with freedom family investments because their funds pay me a stream of regular cash flow in. Returns are better than a bank savings account up to 12%.   (00:38:00) - Their minimums are as low as 25. K. You don't even need to be accredited. For some of them, it's all backed by real estate and I kind of love how the tax benefit of doing this can offset capital gains in your W-2, jobs, income. And they've always given me exactly their stated return paid on time. So it's steady income, no surprises while I'm sleeping or just doing the things I love. For a little insider tip, I've invested in their power fund to get going on that text family to 668660. And this isn't a solicitation If you want to invest where I do, just go ahead and text family to six six, eight six, six. Hi, this is Russell Gray, co-host of the Real Estate Guy's radio show. And you're listening to Get Rich Education with Keith Reinhold. Don't Quit Your Day dream. Yeah, terrific insight from Rick, as usual. It's remarkable how much this interview is aligned with what we're doing here. As Rick discussed how, though, it's a tough environment for homebuyers, it's better for investors, especially for single family rentals and especially in the Midwest and South are core areas.   (00:39:23) - It's a better market for the buy and hold investor than it is for flippers. It's a tough chase for flippers. Sometimes you don't flip the house, the house flips you. There are still so few homeowners in delinquency and foreclosure. Rick believes that when lower mortgage rates come, home, prices could appreciate more than I tend to think. We'll see how that turns out. And, you know, historically here, as we talk about the direction of home prices and the direction of rent growth Now with respect to home prices, when I provided you with the home price appreciation forecast, I keep somewhat undershooting. The market appreciation tends to outperform what I think by just a bit. Back in 2018, 2019, home price appreciation rates, they were just kind of bumping along at 4 or 5%. Back then, interest rates were super low, housing supply was more balanced. And I said right here on this show then about five years ago, that I don't see what will make home price growth like really accelerate or shoot up from here.   (00:40:32) - Well, then we had the pandemic, something that no one saw coming when the pandemic fog cleared. You remember that all here on the show in late 2021, I forecast 9 to 10% home price appreciation for the coming year, which back then I was talking about 2022. And then that appreciation rate for 2022 came in at 10.2%. Although I was close, I shot just a touch low. Now at the end of 2022, well, about nine months ago, I predicted zero home price appreciation for this year. As we near the fourth quarter, it looks like we'll get low single digit appreciation, but that remains to be seen. However, I've long been undershooting the market just a bit, though. Close and mortgage rates. No, don't even ask me. I don't try I don't make mortgage forecast. That is too hard to do. Making a mortgage rate prediction is almost like a certain way to be wrong. Although Rick and I talked about how this is a good market for investors, to my point from last week, in some markets, cash flow has become an endangered species with some of these increasing expenses for investors.   (00:41:46) - And again, I have some really good news for you here. We have largely solved that problem here at Gray of higher mortgage rates, hurting your cash flow. And that's why investors like you are still snapping up rental properties from Marketplace right now because of the strength of our marketplace network and relationships. Here we have a new build provider offering a mortgage rate to investors of 5.75%. Yes, they will see that your rate is bought down to 5.75%. In today's environment, another new build investment property provider is offering a rate buy down to 4.75%. Yes, you heard THAtrillionIGHT? And we have another builder provider where our investment coaches have been sharing with you a 2.99% seller financing option. There is more to it than that. And these builders, though they are in business to move property. So take advantage of it where you can. And besides buying down your mortgage rate for you like that, some are even waiving their property management fee for you for the first year. In addition to buying down the rate. I don't know how long all that's going to last, so this can be a really good time for you to contact your in investment coach.   (00:43:06) - Your coach will help you shop the marketplace properties, tell you where the real deals are and tell you how to get those improbably low mortgage rates for income properties. Today, your coach guides you and makes it easy for you If you don't have an investment coach yet, just go to Marketplace. Com slash coach and they're there to help you out. And marketplace properties they are often less expensive than elsewhere in addition to the low rates from some of the providers. But now you might wonder why often are the prices not always, but often, why are they lower? Well, first of all, investor advantage markets just intrinsically have lower prices than the national median. And secondly, there is no real estate agent to compensate with the traditional 6% commission, you are buying more directly. Thirdly, these property providers, they are not. And pop flippers that provide investors like you and other people where they just flip like one home a year instead. These are builders and renovation and management companies in business to do this at scale so they get to buy their materials in bulk, keeping the price lower for you.   (00:44:20) - And another reason that you tend to find good deals at Marketplace is that you aren't buying properties from owner occupants where their emotions get involved and they get irrational over there on the seller side. So you can go ahead and get started with off market deals at GRI, marketplace.com. If you'd like the free coaching from our investment coaches, then contact your coach. And if you don't have one yet again you can do that straight at GRI marketplace.com/coach that's an action item for you this week that your future self should thank you for until next week. I'm your host Keith Winfield. Don't quit your day dream.   (00:45:04) - Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.   (00:45:32) - The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building get rich education.

#jeromepowell #stockmarket #stocks We're diving deep into Jerome Powell's highly anticipated speech at Jackson Hole 2023 and deciphering what his words could mean for the stock market in the coming months.

Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Joe Mathieu delivers insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy.On this edition, Joe speaks with: Virginia Democrat Senator Mark Warner reacts to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's decision to launch an impeachment probe into President Joe Biden. 46th Governor of Arkansas & Republican Candidate for president Asa Hutchinson said he would replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Bloomberg Politics Contributor Rick Davis and Rokk Solutions Vice President Alvin Jordan discuss the political implications of an impeachment inquiry into the sitting President. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Joe Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and was formerly a senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Joe is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Specifically, Joe and David talk about the future direction of r star, what current inflationary trends mean for the Phillips curve, the Fed's commitment to a two percent inflation target, and a lot more.   Transcript for this week's episode.   Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!   Joe's Twitter: @GagnonMacro Joe's PIIE profile   David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings   Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our new Macro Musings merch!   Related Links:   *Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve Around the World* by Joe Gagnon, Kristin Forbes, and Christopher Collins   *Fed Chair Powell's Message in Jackson Hole: Two Means Two* by David Wilcox   *Why the Era of Historically Low Interest Rates Could Be Over* by Nick Timiraos

The Fed has put the American economy under extreme pressure to lower inflation. Mortgage rates are now at twenty-year highs, job openings are starting to fall, “cautious consumers” return, and a 2024 recession is still in the cards. Everything the Fed wanted is finally happening…but it's not happening fast enough. Can anything solve the inflation we're up against? Few know the Fed as well as Nick Timiraos, economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal. Nick has been tracking the Fed's moves for years and has been our go-to correspondent on what Fed chair Jerome Powell could be announcing next. With inflation finally taking a hit and the economy slowing down, progress is finally being made. But this doesn't mean that we're out of the woods yet. The Fed knows the job isn't finished yet and is willing to push the American economy to extremes to get there. In this episode, we talk to Nick about the Fed's next moves, mortgage rate predictions, how the housing market could reignite, recession forecasts, and the “immaculate disinflation” that could save our economy.  In This Episode We Cover: Why the Fed is keeping mortgage rates high even as we see lower inflation  Consumer spending and why Americans are being more “cautious” with their money  Credit tightening and risks for businesses if interest rates don't decline  Why job openings are falling and what this means for unemployment 2024 recession risks and what would have to happen for a “soft landing” to actualize  And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's Instagram The Fed's Plan for Future Interest Rates Can the Fed Dodge a Recession in 2023? The Fed's Next Move and When Rates Will Drop Connect with Nick: Nick's Twitter Nick's Website Nick on WSJ Click here to listen to the full episode: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-139 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page"If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here." #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #europe #eurodollar #germany Jerome Powell is selling a soft landing, but is anyone really buying? Not really, no. Risks - which are no longer just theoretical risks - are building all over the place. In addition to China/Asia, deflation has really gripped Europe. Producer prices there are sinking, even core rates. It's only a matter of time before consumer prices get sucked down, too. Only a couple years ago, Powell had admitted globally synchronized is a real danger. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNiall Ferguson (Bloomberg): The US Economy's Not a Plane and It Won't Land Gentlyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-08-13/powell-s-fed-let-the-us-economy-get-too-hot-for-a-soft-landingMinutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeOctober 29–30, 2019https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20191030.pdfTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE EPISODESYouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39XjrPodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURESJeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.

Amy Nixon is a macro economic analyst, freelance writer, Boston Marathon qualifier living in the Dallas, TX area. On the podcast we discuss love of running, her thoughts on Jerome Powell, the state of commerical/residential real estate, future of Airbnb, Twitter/X and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!!     Video Version of show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v3fmby7-coffee-and-a-mike-episode-672-with-amy-nixon-talking-airbnb-cre.-re-and-mor.html   Follow Amy Twitter- https://twitter.com/texasrunnerdfw?s=21&t=wJ_TXcgvhfWdQSmirONGEA   Follow Me Twitter- https://twitter.com/CoffeeandaMike Instagram- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ Truth Social- https://truthsocial.com/@coffeeandamike Gettr- https://gettr.com/user/coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike   Support My Work Venmo- https://venmo.com/code?user_id=3570365208987017385&created=1658667789.4661531&printed=1 Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com

Tired of being the last to know about the latest business headlines? This week's episode is here to give you the inside scoop! We plunge headfirst into understanding the Biden administration's plan to extend overtime pay to millions of salaried workers - a move likely to cause a significant shift of $1.2 billion in wages from employers to employees. Don't be left in the dust as we delve into how this development could impact the job market. Don't take a breather just yet; we're only getting started. We're also peeling back the layers on the Federal Reserve's strategy, with insights into why another interest-rate hike could be on the horizon, and what this means for small businesses and investors. The plot thickens as we bring to light former president Donald Trump's legal woes and the charges of racketeering that could influence future political dynamics. This episode is a must-listen for anyone seeking an engaging exploration of current events and their potential impact on the business landscape. So, strap in and get ready for a thrilling ride through the week's most pivotal headlines!We're interested in buying your apartment building from you! Our highly skilled team is here to assist you during the hassle-free process.Contact Us Now!EMAIL: team@premierridgecapital.comWEBSITE: https://www.premierridgecapital.com/Support the show

On this week's show we discuss: Israel's $86B prize Gabon, another coup against Colonialist France A diplomatic incident in Libya US, Al Qaeda & ISIS, ...again. Ukrainian horror confirmation - around a half million dead! But we start out first with: Jerome Powell encourages Aliyah? Well, in a way. -with guest: Dr. Mordechai Ben-Menachem, commentator on mid-east and world issues, and author of the book: Muslim Winter https://tinyurl.com/y6g85sec The Tamar Yonah Show 03SEP2023 - PODCAST

The boys are off and running with shenanigans from the beginning. Haroon inadvertently opens his energy drink before the show started so he can't entertain you with his usual unnecessary interruptions, but don't worry, he filled his can with water for reasons we still don't fully understand. They spend a good amount of time recapping Jerome Powell's commentary from Jackson Hole, Wyoming which were clearly designed to strike fear in to the markets. One of their favorite economists, Mohamed El-Erian is very concerned that the Fed's actions to date may have 'destroyed the housing market by crushing both supply and demand.' Which was a fantastic segue in to the complete trash nonsense that Zillow is attempting to market. What do you do when home affordability is at an all time low? Rates are rising, home values haven't come down. Well, if you're Zillow, you offer a 1% down payment program to lure in homebuyers so you can sell more leads to Realtors. Resources:Fed Chair Powell calls inflation ‘too high' and warns that ‘we are prepared to raise rates further' (CNBC)Jerome Powell says it ‘takes time' for slowdown in rent rises to show up in the Fed's inflation gauge (Market Watch)Fed's Mester sees another rate hike, says rate cuts may have to wait (Reuters)The Fed may have destroyed the housing market by crushing both supply and demand, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says (Business Insider)Zillow offers 1% down payment to lure homebuyers as mortgage rates hit 22-year high (NY Post)Goldman Sachs unloads another business acquired under CEO David Solomon (CNBC)A 'valuation reset' hits the IPO market as Better stock crashes 90% after debut (Yahoo! Finance)Why the Era of Historically Low Interest Rates Could Be Over (Wall Street Journal)Disclaimer: Please note that the content shared on this show is solely for entertainment purposes and should not be considered legal or investment advice or attributed to any company. The views and opinions expressed are personal and not reflective of any entity. We do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and listeners are urged to seek professional advice before making any legal or financial decisions. By listening to The Higher Standard podcast you agree to these terms, and the show, its hosts and employees are not liable for any consequences arising from your use of the content.

¡Emprendeduros! En este episodio Rodrigo nos da una actualización de mercado donde habla de la situación del Mercado, los números de consumo, el discurso de Jerome Powell, el mercado de empleos y los incentivos de China. Nos da los reportes de ingresos de Nio, Best Buy, Salesforce, Chewy y Pinduoduo. Después habla de Xpeng comprando coches de piloto asmático y la mejora en la relación entre EEUU y China. Finalmente nos da la actualización de crypto donde habla del ETF de GreyScale, el reglamento de impuesto de crypto y la demanda del SEC a creadores de NFTs. DESCUENTO EN MEZCAL ALERON POR 15% www.mezcalaleron.com y www.mezcalaleronusa.com CODIGO: MEXICO

(8/31/23) Markets prepare to move into September, with weaker ADP report, downward revision to GDP, and a large gap between GDP vs GDI (Gross Domestic Income). GDP is on the rise, GDI is declining; what will revisions show? The deviation between income vs production must be rectified. Market rally continues; September may not be as weak as historical averages suggest, thanks to August action. Is GDP actually lower than reported? Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate;" Powell holding firm on 2% inflation goal. The real impact of more debt on economic growth: There is a negative multiplier. Hurricane Idalia & The Broken Window Theory; pulling forward consumption. Earnings & Economic Report previews; noting the shift from "Meta" mentions to "AI" in earnings reports. Parsing Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech: blaming Ukraine war for inflation, with no mention of inflationary effect of stimulus money flooding the economy. The arsonist gets the Nobel Prize for putting out the fire. Has the Fed already broken something? Dollar General reports 16% decline: Has Dollar General become the 84-cent Store? The Lag Effect is evident in consumer spending; there are two stories: Gov't Data vs on the street data. Resumption of Student Loan payments & Sally Mae notices. What happens to small- and mid-cap companies when loans come due in a higher-rate environment? Investors are hiding in mega-cap companies flush w cash and low-rate debt. SEG-1: GDP on the rise, GDI in Decline SEG-2: Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate" SEG-3: Earnings & Economic Reports Preview; Jerome Powell's blame for Inflation SEG-4: Dollar General drops 16%: Lag Effect is Evident Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jWmqq-Eqr2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will September Weakness Return?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H_9akXBRrU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Cleared Resistance" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1UKs7gc6TE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-and-deficits-and-qt-oh-my-part-2 "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #HurricaneIdalia #EconomicImpact #MarketRally #InterestRates #NeutralRate #Inflation #BrokenWindowTheory #Markets #Money #Investing

Well so much for that market euphoria. A lot of market observationists were really expecting a Fed victory lap at the Jackson Hole symposium after CPI came in under the Fed Funds rate for multiple consecutive months. However, Jerome Powell expressed a much different sentiment, saying in his speech that their job is far from over and that they're still aiming for that 2% inflation target. Not the worst outcome given that no one's feeling good about the economy; however, not the best outcome since the people that "ruined" the economy when they thought they were fixing it, are still committed to deploying solutions to fix the economy. Find us on Twitter, Instagram, & Facebook @DRUNKENOMICAL Merch: drunkenomics.myspreadshop.com Patreon: patreon.com/drunkenomics Stay Drunkenomical y'all!

(8/31/23) Markets prepare to move into September, with weaker ADP report, downward revision to GDP, and a large gap between GDP vs GDI (Gross Domestic Income). GDP is on the rise, GDI is declining; what will revisions show? The deviation between income vs production must be rectified. Market rally continues; September may not be as weak as historical averages suggest, thanks to August action. Is GDP actually lower than reported? Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate;" Powell holding firm on 2% inflation goal. The real impact of more debt on economic growth: There is a negative multiplier. Hurricane Idalia & The Broken Window Theory; pulling forward consumption. Earnings & Economic Report previews; noting the shift from "Meta" mentions to "AI" in earnings reports. Parsing Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech: blaming Ukraine war for inflation, with no mention of inflationary effect of stimulus money flooding the economy. The arsonist gets the Nobel Prize for putting out the fire. Has the Fed already broken something? Dollar General reports 16% decline: Has Dollar General become the 84-cent Store? The Lag Effect is evident in consumer spending; there are two stories: Gov't Data vs on the street data. Resumption of Student Loan payments & Sally Mae notices. What happens to small- and mid-cap companies when loans come due in a higher-rate environment? Investors are hiding in mega-cap companies flush w cash and low-rate debt. SEG-1: GDP on the rise, GDI in Decline SEG-2: Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate" SEG-3: Earnings & Economic Reports Preview; Jerome Powell's blame for Inflation SEG-4: Dollar General drops 16%: Lag Effect is Evident Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jWmqq-Eqr2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will September Weakness Return?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H_9akXBRrU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Cleared Resistance" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1UKs7gc6TE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-and-deficits-and-qt-oh-my-part-2 "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #HurricaneIdalia #EconomicImpact #MarketRally #InterestRates #NeutralRate #Inflation #BrokenWindowTheory #Markets #Money #Investing

Buy my stuff Come to rebel capitalist live at https://rebelcapitalistlive.comCheck out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/proRebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

Hold onto your seats as we expose the dirty laundry of Wells Fargo and the SEC's allegations of excessive advisory fees charged to nearly 11,000 investment accounts. We're pulling no punches, diving straight into the murky waters surrounding Wells Fargo's notorious reputation for overcharging. Listen as we unravel the complexities of this controversial issue and discuss the $35 million civil penalties the bank agreed to pay to settle the matter, all without admitting or denying the SEC's charges.Then, we'll shift gears and take you on a journey through the potential economic tsunami of auto worker strikes, which could reportedly cost a staggering $5 billion in a mere 10 days. We'll walk you through the intricate web of current labor contract negotiations and the potential consequences that could ensue. As a finale, we'll take you inside Jerome Powell's warnings about possible further rate hikes and the impact these high rates are having on real estate transactions. This is not just another business news show, it's an enlightening conversation that unearths the issues that could shape your business decisions. Tune in and stay informed. Don't miss out on the vital insights we're serving up just for you!We're interested in buying your apartment building from you! Our highly skilled team is here to assist you during the hassle-free process.Contact Us Now!EMAIL: team@premierridgecapital.comWEBSITE: https://www.premierridgecapital.com/Support the show

Michael Mullaney, director of global markets research at Boston Partners, says the bond market and Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell 'are like two ships passing in the night,' with the bond market expecting the central bank chairman to cut rates sooner than he might want to, but if Powell raises rates or keeps them higher for longer, it will have a big negative impact on the market. Mullaney may not like the domestic markets particularly well, but he continues to considerit 'the best house in a bad neighborhood,' noting that other economies -- particularly Europe -- are facing bigger struggles right now. Also on the show, Deb Boyden of Schroders discusses the firm's annual retirement survey, which showed that just 10 percent of non-retirees plan to wait to age 70 before claiming Social Security benefits, meaning they will not max out their payouts because they want to start receiving cash sooner; plus, Chuck answers a listener question about dollar-cost averaging, and Ed Shill of Wealth Enhancement Group brings his balanced approach to the Market Call.

Jerome Powell gives it to us straight on the future of rates, Fannie Mae predicts weak home sales in 2024, and Keller Williams announces major profit share change for ex-agents.

Free Webinar on Friday, September 1 link to sign up here:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve  #jacksoneholeWhy do central bankers need to be "confident" about inflation? At Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Jay Powell repeatedly referred to a high level of uncertainty. It doesn't matter if that was hawkish or dovish, those at the Fed portray that they know more than they do. It was the same at Jackson in August 2010 when then-Chair Ben Bernanke used the same "uncertainty" to launch a second QE.Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreJay Powell, Jackson Hole: Inflation: Progress and the Path Aheadhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20230825a.htmTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE EPISODESYouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39XjrPodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURESJeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.

Chris Wallis, CEO and CIO at Vaughan Nelson, joins to discuss the recent BRIC conference, Jerome Powell reiterating the Fed's 2% inflation target, and China weakness and liquidity.

In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending August 26th, 2023… tough talk on inflation from the Fed Chief, when and why we might see a surge in home prices, and what Texas is doing to manage a booming economy north of Dallas.   We begin with economic news from this past week and comments from Fed Chief Jerome Powell. He delivered the keynote address at the Kansas City Fed's annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He reiterated previous sentiments about making progress on inflation, but says it's still too high and the central bank plans to “keep at it until the job is done.” He said: “We are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate, and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward our objective” – which is 2%...    ...The North Texas area is becoming a global technology hub as semiconductor companies move into the area. That's creating tens of thousands of jobs, and with all those jobs, a surge in housing demand. We are capitalizing on this opportunity at RealWealth with a North Dallas Rental Fund for accredited investors. You can find out more about this fund at growdevelopments.com.   That's it for today. You can listen to past episodes and check for links to our news sources at newsforinvestors.com. You can also sign up for a free RealWealth membership while you are there to learn more about how and where to invest in real estate. And please remember to subscribe to this podcast, and leave a review!   Thanks for listening! Kathy Fettke   Follow Kathy on Instagram at: https://www.instagram.com/kathyfettke/ Purchase Kathy's audiobook on Audible at: https://tinyurl.com/retirerichaudible   Links:   1 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-unsure-of-the-need-to-tighten-further-b43a9d18?mod=federal-reserve   2 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-drop-to-3-week-low-of-230-000-still-no-sign-of-rising-u-s-layoffs-1f1411f6?mod=economic-report   3 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-home-sales-fall-in-july-as-rates-rise-and-listings-fall-33b79a54?mod=economic-report   4 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-new-homes-sales-rise-4-4-in-july-533ab184?mod=economic-report   5 - https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms   6 - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/housing-market-outlook-recession-home-prices-mortgage-rates-fannie-mae-2023-8   7 - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/house-prices-wont-fall-ndash-195516944.html   8 - https://www.rentcafe.com/blog/rental-market/market-snapshots/new-apartment-construction/ 9 - https://www.bizjournals.com/dallas/news/2023/08/18/txdot-greg-abbott-115-billion.html

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming on Friday that inflation remains too high. He added that the central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further in the coming months. The big picture: Mortgage rates are already at a two-decade high and so far this year has had a record number of media layoffs. Why does this strong economy feel so weak in some areas? Plus, a racially motivated shooting in Jacksonville leaves three dead. Tropical Storm Idalia eyes Florida. Guests: Axios' Neil Irwin and Ina Fried. Credits: Axios Today was produced by Niala Boodhoo, Alexandra Botti, Fonda Mwangi, Robin Linn and Alex Sugiura. Music is composed by Evan Viola. You can reach us at podcasts@axios.com. You can send questions, comments and story ideas to Niala as a text or voice memo to 202-918-4893. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democrats ranging from Bernie Sanders to Gavin Newsom are waiting in the wings for Joe Biden to fall down on the job; Jerome Powell spells out an unclear path forward on inflation; and we examine the latest Republican polls. Click here to join the member exclusive portion of my show: https://utm.io/ueSEj Ep.1797 - - -   DailyWire+: Become a DailyWire+ member to gain access to movies, shows, documentaries, and more: https://bit.ly/3lfVtwK Get your Jeremy's Hand Soap here: https://bit.ly/3q2CCIg Get your Ben Shapiro merch here: https://bit.ly/3TAu2cw  - - -  Today's Sponsors: ExpressVPN - Get 3 Months FREE of ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/ben PureTalk - Claim your FREE 5G Samsung Galaxy! https://www.puretalkusa.com/landing/shapiro Ruff Greens - Get a free Jumpstart Trial Bag at RuffGreens.com/Ben, or call 833-MY DOG 33 Stamps - Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/shapiro. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! Helix - Get 25% OFF + 2 FREE pillows with all mattress orders with code HELIXPARTNER25: https://helixsleep.com/BEN - - - Socials: Follow on Twitter: https://bit.ly/3cXUn53 Follow on Instagram: https://bit.ly/3QtuibJ Follow on Facebook: https://bit.ly/3TTirqd Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3RPyBiB

This week in Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by their Stansberry Research colleague, Bryan Beach. Bryan is the editor of Stansberry Venture Value, which is Stansberry's small-cap value newsletter. Dan and Corey kick off the podcast by dissecting the latest in the market, starting with the recent Republican political debate and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's presence in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (00:00) Bryan then joins the conversation to break down his value-investment approach. This approach extends across industries and is guided by the pursuit of "value nuggets." One of Bryan's central investing tenets involves identifying companies that have experienced significant declines in value. And right now, the Software as a Service ("SaaS") space is a prime example of such undervaluation. (20:53) The conversation then shifts to Bryan's previous role as an accountant. He recalls Wall Street's historical inclination toward upfront software-purchase models, which encompassed future maintenance packages and fees. But Salesforce changed all that in the early 2010s by reshaping the software landscape. The transition toward the SaaS model gained remarkable traction between 2015 and 2021. (27:50) More recently, SaaS companies have experienced a downturn in popularity. But Bryan sees this as an opportunity. Bryan and Dan go into how if Warren Buffett were a young investor today, he would likely be captivated by the software sector. The two draw connections between Buffett's historical interest in newspapers and the appeal of software business today. Bryan highlights their affordability and upward momentum, making them prime investment candidates. (46:00) ➡️ Watch Here

What the world of macro and crypto will look like after Jackson Hole? James Lavish, Dave Weisberger, and Mike McGlone will shed some light on Jerome Powell's comments.  James Lavish: https://twitter.com/jameslavish Dave Weisberger: https://twitter.com/daveweisberger1  Mike McGlone: https://twitter.com/mikemcglone11 ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEK DAY!

Guy, Dan and Liz Young of SoFi discuss Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and the market's reaction (4:00). U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo visits China (16:30). Best Buy, Lululemon, Dollar General report this week, will we glean any new insights on the consumer (21:30)? Salesforce reports after the close on Wednesday (26:00). Later, Dan sits down with Chad Anderson of Space Capital to talk about how he got into the industry (31:00), the international space race (36:00), investing in space (40:00), the space economy (44:00), Elon Musk's unmatched power in the stars (48:00), and how to participate in the space playbook (54:00). For a free copy of Chad's book, The Space Economy: Capitalize on the Greatest Business Opportunity of Our Lifetime, here's what you need to do: Leave a review for On The Tape and Okay, Computer. wherever you listen to podcasts Screenshot it and send it to contact@riskreversal.com with your address Read More China's Worsening Economic Slowdown Is Rippling Across the Globe Apple's iPhone Supply Chain Splinters Under US-China Tensions -- About the Show: On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money's Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They're offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we're here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market. Check out our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/tape See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape. Shoot us an email at OnTheTape@riskreversal.com with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod. We're on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow Liz Young @LizYoungStrat on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

On today's episode, HW Media editor Chris Clow talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about Jerome Powell's recent speech in Jackson Hole, whether or not we can expect additional rate hikes, and what we might expect from housing inventory for the remainder of the year.Related to this episode:Housing sector is showing signs of picking back up: Powell Home sales will be weak in 2024 regardless of “soft landing”: Fannie MaeHousingWire's YouTube ChannelEnjoy the episode!HousingWire Annual is where the community from across the housing ecosystem comes together to share strategies, drive business, discover new technologies, discuss best practices, and meet industry leaders. Our agenda is power packed with content to propel your company to the next level and connect you with the industry playmakers. Click here to learn more!The HousingWire Daily podcast examines the most compelling articles reported across HW Media. Each morning, we provide our listeners with a deeper look into the stories coming across our newsrooms that are helping Move Markets Forward. Hosted and produced by the HW Media team.

On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave his much-anticipated speech at the Kansas City Fed Monetary Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. While many were expecting some kind of academic or theoretical discussion, the text was straightforwardly about the current path of monetary policy. So what did we learn? What actually happens at Jackson Hole? And how did this year's event fit in with prior years? On this episode, we turn to two of our colleagues, Bloomberg Surveillance co-host Tom Keene as well as Michael McKee, international economics and policy correspondent for Bloomberg Television. We discuss the speech, the whole event, and how 2023 compares and contrasts with previous editions of the event.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Shaun continues to expose Jerome Powell and The Fed. PLUS, Steve Goreham, executive director of the Climate Science Coalition of America, exposes the politicization of weather and energy in his newest book Green Breakdown: The Coming Renewable Energy Failure. And Washington Times White House reporter Jeff Mordock asks why the media has ignored Joe Biden's mental decline - and points to an answer of what he might be suffering from.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to raising interest rates until inflation is brought under control — leaving some wondering whether the Central Bank's 2% target is attainable — or even worthwhile. 

CNBC's Mike Santoli and Josh Brown discuss comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the annual central bank conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Plus big losses; Disney closed at its lowest level in nearly nine years and Nike on its longest losing streak since going public in 1980.

P.M. Edition for Aug. 25. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, speaking in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, argued for holding interest rates steady for now, but left the door open to further rate hikes down the line. Plus, can chip maker Nvidia keep the tech stock rally going? Markets reporter Charley Grant has more. Annmarie Fertoli hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3Pe4vqK The right thing to do with Dividend Cafe the weekend USC football season is beginning is just replay last year's edition over and over again, one of my favorite Dividend Cafes of all time … But alas, I have never rehashed old material for a Dividend Cafe since this weekly writing began in September of 2008 and I won't start now. Fresh and new every week is the commitment, so fresh and new you shall receive (no matters how much Fight On it sometimes entails). You may have heard that tbere are other things happening in the world besides USC's imminent kickoff to their season. As I type Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, is preparing to speak at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. In the last 15 months or so he has raised the federal funds target rate over 5%, something nearly 100% of economists would have predicted would break the back of the economy a year ago. Here we are a year later, and not only is the economy not broken, but markets are not all that distraught, either. They aren't great. And economic growth is tepid. But nothing has broken. Yet. But we are not exactly out of the woods, either. And in fact one could argue that the damage done from the Fed's tightening has surfaced (or is about to surface) in less obvious ways. And that is the subject of this week's Dividend Cafe. Maybe the Fed wants to create 7% unemployment (because, you know, more people unemployed brings down prices). Maybe a lot of economists predict that will happen (and were predicting it 18 months ago). But whether economic recession should happen (it shouldn't) or will happen (TBD), there are certainly other looming problems that warrant discussion. And for that discussion, you will want to jump in to this week's Dividend Cafe! Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

¡Emprendeduros! En este episodio Rodrigo y Alejandro nos dan una actualización de mercado donde hablan de la situación del mercado, el discurso de Jerome Powell en Jackson Hole, la junta de los BRICS, las posibles huelgas y unas estadísticas de empleos. Nos dan los reportes de ingresos de Zoom, Lowe's, Macy's, Dick's Sporting Goods, NVIDIA y Snowflake. Después hablan de la bancarrota de Evergrande y de la recta final de la adquisición de Activision Blizzard. Finalmente nos dan la actualización de Cryptos donde hablan de la caída de las cryptos, mas problemas para Binance y la inversion de Coinbase en Circle antes del análisis técnico por parte de Delox. ¡Síguenos en Instagram! Alejandro: https://www.instagram.com/salomondrin Rodrigo: https://www.instagram.com/rodnavarro Delox: https://www.instagram.com/deloxelhumilde Emprendeduros: https://www.instagram.com/losemprendeduros

Carl Quintanilla, Courtney Reagan and Mike Santoli focused on what investors could expect from the Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the Fed symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Friday's event comes one day after a Wall Street sell-off which erased gains sparked by Nvidia's blowout quarter. Retail back in the spotlight and capping a volatile week for the sector: Gap posted mixed quarterly results, while shares of Nordstrom fell despite a quarterly earnings beat. The company said losses due to theft were historic. Also in focus: Sara Eisen's rare interview with the CEOs of Simon Property Group and Authentic Brands, along with the executive chair of Sheinabout a new fast-fashion retail partnership involving the Forever 21 chain. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

How much should a sandwich cost? How about a fast food drink? A gallon of gas? Turns out, behavioral economics shapes how much we think something should cost and explains why it’s hard to adjust those prices for inflation. We’ll also dissect Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium speech and hear why squashing the last bit of inflation is so tricky.

How much should a sandwich cost? How about a fast food drink? A gallon of gas? Turns out, behavioral economics shapes how much we think something should cost and explains why it’s hard to adjust those prices for inflation. We’ll also dissect Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium speech and hear why squashing the last bit of inflation is so tricky.

A.M. Edition for Aug. 25. Stock markets are on edge ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the central bank's annual retreat in Jackson Hole today. WSJ editor Matthew Thomas explains why precarious signals from the U.S. economy have investors nervous. Plus, Donald Trump shakes up his legal team as he surrenders in Georgia. And Saudi Arabia weighs a bid from China to help boost its quest for nuclear power. Luke Vargas hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices