Podcast appearances and mentions of neil newhouse

The outcome of a race is ultimately up to voters to decide. And while polls aren't always perfect, they can be helpful to gauge support for a candidate and inform decisions for a campaign. CNN Political Director David Chalian sits down with prominent Republican pollster Neil Newhouse to discuss the state of the GOP presidential primary, what it's like to be a lead pollster for a presidential campaign, and how he's adjusted for challenges the polling industry is facing.To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy

The conversation on new poll numbers out in two ABC and NBC polls this week continues, with Neil Newhouse at Public Opinion Strategies, which conducted the poll for NBC News. And Michael asks today's Smerconish.com Poll Question: Would Biden's poll numbers be boosted if he replaced Kamala Harris? Original air date 26 September 2023, the interview with Mr. Newhouse was conducted on 25 September 2023.

Chris Mottola is in his fifth decade as a Republican media consultant, with nearly 400 campaigns under his belt - including seven presidential campaigns and working with eleven US Seantors and six governors. His client list includes the highest echelons of GOP names like Bush, Dole, McCain, Giuliani, Specter, Rubio, Pataki, Sununu, Frist & many more. In this conversation, we talk his nearly lifelong passion for film, the non-political techniques he's brought to his political work, what drew him into campaigns, lessons learned from some of the smartest operatives who preceded him, and the stories behind some of his most memorable campaigns and effective TV ads.IN THIS EPISODEChris's roots as a Philly kid…The movie that ignited Chris's passion for film at age 7…Chris breaks down his embrace of “formalism” in filmmaking…A memorable first press conference in his first real political job…Handling over 50 spots in one cycle as a young NRCC production staffer…Chris tells lessons learned from legendary admakers Bob Goodman and Charles Guggenheim…Chris on the influence of “his favorite person on campaigns" , pollster Arthur Finkelstein…Chris talks some of his signature wins in Wisconsin and Florida as he establishes himself as a media consultant…Chis explains how a narrow loss to Patty Murray in the 1992 Washington Senate race that spurred his growth as a consultant…Chris's work for longtime PA Senator Arlen Specter and the drama around his 2009 party switch…Chris's time riding the campaign bus with Bob Dole in 1996…Chris on his work for colorful Montana Senator Conrad Burns…The story behind Chris's creation of the first gay rights spot for a Republican Senator…Three techniques that make Chris's spots a little different…Chris's 1970s moonlighting as an offensive football guru…How Chris embraced women voiceover artists…Why Philadelphia over-indexes on political media consultants and production talent… AND 80/20 questions, Adagio for Strings, JJ Balaban, the barbers' union, Brian Bellick, Ed Blakely, Don Bonker, Bertolt Brecht, Tom Brokaw, Buckely v. Valeo, the C&S Club, the Capitol Hill Club, Jimmy Carter, Alex Castellanos, Ronald Castille, Rod Chandler, commuter schools, Gary Cooper, Earl Cox, Mouse Davis, Dickens' novels, Fund for a Conservative Majority, David Garth, Tony Earl, Wilson Goode, Rod Goodwin, Bill Green, Gary Hart, Jesse Helms, Bernard Herrman, Edward Hopper, the Houston Gamblers, Asa Hutchinson, Peter Jennings, Andi Johnson, Ted Kennedy, laundry lists of grievances, Connie Mack, Buddy MacKay, Joseph Mankiewicz, David Marsden, George McGovern, Sally Mercer, Michealangelo's Pieta, Jack Mudd, Mike Murphy, Patty Murray, Neil Newhouse, old auctioneers, Neil Oxman, George Pataki, pearl clutching, potato peelers, Hester Prynne, Jerry Rafshoon, Dan Rather, Resonance Theory, the run-and-shoot, Tony Schwartz, Doc Schweitzer, seersucker suits, Judy Shepard, Matthew Shepard, Saul Shorr, Don Sipple, Gordon Smith, Bob Squier, Greg Stevens, stick time, Temple University, Tommy Thompson, Pat Toomey, the Voight-Kampff test, Bill Walsh, the World Football League, you bet....& more!

Historical trends and months of polling previously predicted that Democrats will face trouble in the midterms. But recent data shows that a red wave may not be the tsunami that Republicans were hoping for. Democratic strategist Joel Benenson and Republican pollster Neil Newhouse join Amna Nawaz to discuss what they're watching ahead of Election Day. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

Historical trends and months of polling previously predicted that Democrats will face trouble in the midterms. But recent data shows that a red wave may not be the tsunami that Republicans were hoping for. Democratic strategist Joel Benenson and Republican pollster Neil Newhouse join Amna Nawaz to discuss what they're watching ahead of Election Day. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

With less than three months until the midterms, Democrats hope recent legislative successes will help bolster their campaigns. But Republicans are betting they can win back control of Congress. Democratic strategist Joel Benenson, who worked with Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, and Neil Newhouse, lead pollster for Mitt Romney and John McCain's presidential bids, join Judy Woodruff to discuss. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

With less than three months until the midterms, Democrats hope recent legislative successes will help bolster their campaigns. But Republicans are betting they can win back control of Congress. Democratic strategist Joel Benenson, who worked with Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, and Neil Newhouse, lead pollster for Mitt Romney and John McCain's presidential bids, join Judy Woodruff to discuss. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

A new University of Chicago poll found that over a quarter of a deeply alienated American public, particularly those who identify as Republican, believe that it may “soon be necessary to take up arms” against the government, The poll, a collaboration between Republican and Democratic pollsters Neil Newhouse and Joel Benenson, respectively, surveyed 1,000 registered voters around the U.S.. A slight majority of those, 56%, said they believed the government was corrupt and “rigged against everyday people like me,” with self-identified Republicans polling substantially higher on that question than Democrats. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A new University of Chicago poll found that over a quarter of a deeply alienated American public, particularly those who identify as Republican, believe that it may “soon be necessary to take up arms” against the government, The poll, a collaboration between Republican and Democratic pollsters Neil Newhouse and Joel Benenson, respectively, surveyed 1,000 registered voters around the U.S.. A slight majority of those, 56%, said they believed the government was corrupt and “rigged against everyday people like me,” with self-identified Republicans polling substantially higher on that question than Democrats. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Meet The Host, Jarrett Lewis:Jarrett Lewis is a Partner at Public Opinion Strategies. Previously, he was the Executive Director of Health Policy at The Health Management Academy. He received a B.A. in Political Science from Clemson University and an MBA from Duke University.Meet The Guests, Neil Newhouse & Brian Stryker:Neil Newhouse is co-founder and Partner of Public Opinion Strategies. He has been named Pollster of the Year three times by the American Association of Political Consultants. He received an undergraduate degree from Duke University, and a graduate degree from the University of Virginia.Brian Stryker is a Partner at Impact Research. Brian was a recipient of the 2021 American Association of Political Consultants 40 Under 40 Award. He received an undergraduate degree in History from the University of Washington.Key Insights:Neil Newhouse and Brian Stryker are experts at measuring and moving public opinions.Top Issues for the Midterms. The number one issue for voters is the economy, specifically inflation and cost of living. While changing day-by-day, the Ukraine conflict has become a rising issues for voters as well. (9:41) What about Healthcare? Healthcare can be an important issue in terms of cost. However, as new problems are supplanting COIVD-19, healthcare has become a back-burner issue. Many people dislike the current healthcare system, but also fear too much change. (34:47) An Era of Hyper-partisanship. Neil shares that traditionally one-third of voters split their ticket, but that decreased to 9% of voters in the 2020 election. Brian also points out that voters don't often reward compromise, which limits politicians' ability to work across party lines. (44:45)Relevant Links: Follow Brian Stryker on TwitterFollow Neil Newhouse on TwitterFollow Jarrett Lewis on Twitter

On today's show, some breaking news: Federal agents executed a search warrant at Rudy Giuliani's New York apartment. John King discusses with CNN's Paula Reid, Evan Perez, and David Chalian, plus legal analyst Elie Honig and the New York Times' Jonathan Martin. And new CNN polling shows a majority of Americans approve of how Biden is handling the presidency as he prepares for his first joint speech to Congress. John discusses with CNN's Phil Mattingly and pollsters Celinda Lake and Neil Newhouse.To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy

I'm very fortunate this week to be joined by my first Republican guest, GOP pollster Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies. Glen cut his teeth in polling in the Reagan / Bush era and helmed the polling operation for House Republicans before co-founding his own firm - a firm that now represents more than 40 members of Congress and 10+ US Senators. Glen tells some great stories of his early days in politics - matriculating at American University, interning on the Hill, cutting  his teeth at polling with President Reagan's pollster and at the NRCC before being part of the founding of Public Opinion Strategies. Podcast WebsiteTwitter: @ProPoliticsPodTwitter: @ZacMcCraryFacebook: The Pro Politics Podcast  IN THIS EPISODEGlen gets “Potomac Fever” in high school…What Glen learned at American University that guided him toward politics…What did he learn that gave Glen a “leg up” when he started in politics…Glen spends a semester working in politics across the pond in the UK…Glen crosses path as a young staffer with Democratic Majority Leader Jim Wright…How Glen's first job out of college was working with President Reagan's pollster…Why Glen turned down the RNC and GOP Senate Committee to work for the GOP House Committee…The one House race the Republicans lost that taught Glen an important lesson in politics…Glen's great story of the lack of GOP preparation before Dan Quayle was chosen as VP…The one strategic decision that helped Ileana Ros-Lehtinen win her first congressional race…What oversight at the NRCC led Glen to worry he was about to lose his job…The origin story Public Opinion Strategies formed around a kitchen table…The one strategic decision of Glen's that helped win a New Hampshire Governor's race…Glen's memories of the '94 GOP wave…Glen's take on how important the Cal Cunningham affair was in Thom Tillis 2020 re-election…Glen's advice on how to get in the door of a polling firm…and then rise through the ranks…ALSO…Mary Chapin Carpenter, Dick Cheney, Barbara Christmas, Mike Crapo, Dan Coats, Jim Courter, Cal Cunningham, Rob Engel, Jim Florio, George Gekas, Newt Gingrich, Wilma Goldstein, Bob Goodlatte, Jack Kingston, Peter Kostmayer,  John McCain, Bill McInturff, Steve Merrill, Neil Newhouse, Chris Nicholas, Jim Nussle, Claude Pepper, Dan Quayle, Arlen Specter, Van Taylor, Thom Tillis, Craig Thomas, Lindsay Thomas, Jill Long Thompson, Richard Wirthlinand more!Podcast WebsiteTwitter: @ProPoliticsPodTwitter: @ZacMcCraryFacebook: The Pro Politics Podcast  

This week, a conversation with two veteran political opinion researchers about the future of polling. They’ll explore to what extent election outcomes can accurately be anticipated. Many believe the predictions before our last two presidential elections were misleading. How much validity is there to that belief? And can polling evolve to better serve us? We’ll hear from Peter Hart and Neil Newhouse, two veteran pollsters from different ends of the political spectrum.

In this episode, Lanhee recaps the midterm elections and talks about how Republicans should address health care reform going forward. His guests are James Hohmann, a reporter at the Washington Post, who provides his reflections and analysis of the results of the midterm elections, and Neil Newhouse, Republican pollster and partner at Public Opinion Strategies, […]Join the conversation and comment on this podcast episode: https://ricochet.com/podcast/crossing-lines/a-pollster-a-journo-and-why-we-cant-just-get-along/.Now become a Ricochet member for only $5.00 a month! Join and see what you’ve been missing: https://ricochet.com/membership/.Subscribe to Crossing Lines with Lanhee Chen in Apple Podcasts (and leave a 5-star review, please!), or by RSS feed. For all our podcasts in one place, subscribe to the Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed in Apple Podcasts or by RSS feed.

We’re down to the numbers game, folks. Don’t worry, I’m sure we’ll still have the name calling, threats, promises, rallies, commercials and more – I didn’t say the campaign is over – but all focus now turns to a single number: 270. What’s the best path for both candidates to get there? And what’s it like inside the campaigns in the final days. Few would know better than Neil Newhouse; because he’s been there. Neil was lead pollster four years ago for Mitt Romney’s 2012 Presidential campaign. He is partner and co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, which the New York Times once described as the country’s “leading Republican polling company.” Neil himself is 3-Time winner of “Pollster of the Year” by the American Association of Political Consultants. He has seen and done a lot. And yet, as you might imagine, he’s never seen anything like this campaign. I know it’s naïve, but I keep getting amazed at how many political professionals I talk with who’ve been doing this for years – dozens of campaigns and so many Presidential elections – and yet to a person, they’ve never seen anything like this one. Neil didn’t hold back. He outlines the path to 270 for each candidate – which states must they win. Which ones we should watch on Tuesday. But he also calls this the Nose-Holder election. Trump and Clinton have some of the highest unfavorable ratings of any candidates in history. Among his really interesting points: Most of the time, you want your candidate in the news – you want the headlines. This go round, the only time Trump or Clinton gets attention is when something negative is happening. No news really might be good news in this campaign. The other thing he says we should watch for? Enthusiasm. Turnout will be key in a vote where supporters aren’t so much enthusiastic for their candidate as they are disgusted with the other. We talked as well about what’s next – no matter who wins, what will the political, social, and economic divides in our country look like. There’s no sugar-coating: While Neil sees a way out, he shares the view of so many others that we likely have dark days ahead – for the Republican and Democratic parties, and even for the country. What I liked most about this conversation: Neil has given much – maybe all – of his professional life to politics and governing. This guy cares, and that comes through loud and clear in his ideas and his tone. Whichever side you’re on, I think you’ll appreciate his concern, and I think you’ll really like this conversation.

Hillary's email headaches give her poll numbers a hit. Trump manages to keep himself out of the news cycle. Mike Murphy does some electoral college projections. And finally, an informative interview GOP pollster Neil Newhouse about how polling works. http://RadioFreeGOP.com

Nationally-known pollster Neil Newhouse joins the Deep Background gang to talk about the 2016 election.  Then:  Is Missouri really in play between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton?  Reporters Dave Helling, Steve Kraske, and Scott Canon talk about the race 10 weeks before election day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In a live "Office Hours" interview Feb. 9, 2012, Duke political science professor Sunshine Hillygus takes viewer questions about the science of public opinion polling and the art of campaign communications. She is joined via Skype by Neil Newhouse, Mitt Romney's lead pollster and a 1974 graduate of Duke. Duke senior Sarah Krueger conducts the interview.