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As the second round of Asian Qualifiers nears its conclusion, we take a look at the major talking points ahead of the final few matchdays. Who will emerge victorious between China and Thailand? Will North Korea's forfeit actually work in their favour? Where to for Hong Kong after Jorn Andersen walks away? Plus we talk about the legacy left behind by Indian legend Sunil Chhetri ahead of his final ever international game, and finally we speak with Vancouver Whitecaps' Japanese goalkeeper, Yohei Takaoka on his move to MLS.
What do Lee Anderson's inflammatory comments mean for the Tory party? Is it possible for Parliament to have a united front on Israel-Gaza? Will North Korea ever collapse? Join Rory and Alastair as they answer all these questions and more on today's episode of The Rest Is Politics. TRIP Plus: Become a member of The Rest Is Politics Plus to support the podcast, receive our exclusive newsletter, enjoy ad-free listening to both TRIP and Leading, benefit from discount book prices on titles mentioned on the pod, join our Discord chatroom, and receive early access to live show tickets and Question Time episodes. Just head to therestispolitics.com to sign up, or start a free trial today on Apple Podcasts: apple.co/therestispolitics. Instagram: @restispolitics Twitter: @RestIsPolitics Email: restispolitics@gmail.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
North Korea and the world is in a precarious place. With two major wars, North Korea finds itself in a position to help. One of the few things that North Korea has been a consistent exporter of is weapons. The country has a lot of them as it continues to prepare for a war with South Korea, the US and perhaps everyone else. But with conflicts in Ukraine and Palestine, many are concerned about China attacking Taiwan. Will North Korea get involved in this conflict? Will there be another domino to drop? Can North Korea parlay this new commerce into a better life for people back at home? ---Got any questions or comments? Send them to us at dmz@crossingbordersnk.org.Support the show
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the current hunger crisis in North Korea. Reports indicate that over 40% of North Koreans are facing malnutrition and hunger, and North Korea has asked the World Food Program for help.How should the United States respond to the hunger crisis in North Korea? Will North Korea allow more of the international community to help feed its people? What role does China and Russia's support of North Korea play in all this?Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-suffers-one-of-its-worst-food-crises-in-decades-ee25aa86 https://apnews.com/article/politics-kim-jong-un-south-korea-seoul-north-950fb682af3421c283870b30b5501560 Follow our experts on Twitter:@jamil_n_jaffer@NotTVJessJones@lestermunsonLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Benjamin Wittes joins the panel (including Will Saletan) to discuss Trump's triple legal woes, Putin's nuclear saber rattling, and Electoral Count Act reform finally happening. Highlights & Lowlights: Benjamin Wittes: Show of support for Ukraine takes ugly turn outside Russian Consulate in Montreal - CBC (https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/russian-consulate-montreal-ukraine-1.6588382) Mona: The U.S. and the Holocaust - PBS (https://www.pbs.org/kenburns/us-and-the-holocaust/) Will: North Korea denies supplying weapons to Russia - BBC News (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62873987) Linda: Carnegie Politika - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (https://carnegieendowment.org/politika) Damon: ‘A Crisis Coming': The Twin Threats to American Democracy - The New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Benjamin Wittes joins the panel (including Will Saletan) to discuss Trump's triple legal woes, Putin's nuclear saber rattling, and Electoral Count Act reform finally happening. Highlights & Lowlights: Benjamin Wittes: Show of support for Ukraine takes ugly turn outside Russian Consulate in Montreal - CBC (https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/russian-consulate-montreal-ukraine-1.6588382) Mona: The U.S. and the Holocaust - PBS (https://www.pbs.org/kenburns/us-and-the-holocaust/) Will: North Korea denies supplying weapons to Russia - BBC News (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62873987) Linda: Carnegie Politika - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (https://carnegieendowment.org/politika) Damon: ‘A Crisis Coming': The Twin Threats to American Democracy - The New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Can we predict the future more accurately?It's a question we humans have grappled with since the dawn of civilization — one that has massive implications for how we run our organizations, how we make policy decisions, and how we live our everyday lives.It's also the question that Philip Tetlock, a psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania and a co-author of “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction,” has dedicated his career to answering. In 2011, he recruited and trained a team of ordinary citizens to compete in a forecasting tournament sponsored by the U.S. intelligence community. Participants were asked to place numerical probabilities from 0 to 100 percent on questions like “Will North Korea launch a new multistage missile in the next year” and “Is Greece going to leave the eurozone in the next six months?” Tetlock's group of amateur forecasters would go head-to-head against teams of academics as well as career intelligence analysts, including those from the C.I.A., who had access to classified information that Tetlock's team didn't have.The results were shocking, even to Tetlock. His team won the competition by such a large margin that the government agency funding the competition decided to kick everyone else out, and just study Tetlock's forecasters — the best of whom were dubbed “superforecasters” — to see what intelligence experts might learn from them.So this conversation is about why some people, like Tetlock's “superforecasters,” are so much better at predicting the future than everyone else — and about the intellectual virtues, habits of mind, and ways of thinking that the rest of us can learn to become better forecasters ourselves. It also explores Tetlock's famous finding that the average expert is roughly as accurate as “a dart-throwing chimpanzee” at predicting future events, the inverse correlation between a person's fame and their ability to make accurate predictions, how superforecasters approach real-life questions like whether robots will replace white-collar workers, why government bureaucracies are often resistant to adopt the tools of superforecasting and more.Mentioned:Expert Political Judgment by Philip E. Tetlock“What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?” by Christopher W. Karvetski et al.Book recommendations:Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel KahnemanEnlightenment Now by Steven PinkerPerception and Misperception in International Politics by Robert JervisThis episode is guest-hosted by Julia Galef, a co-founder of the Center for Applied Rationality, host of the “Rationally Speaking” podcast and author of “The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't.” You can follow her on Twitter @JuliaGalef. (Learn more about the other guest hosts during Ezra's parental leave here.)Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of "The Ezra Klein Show" at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.“The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld and Rogé Karma; fact-checking by Michelle Harris; original music by Isaac Jones; mixing by Jeff Geld; audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin and Alison Bruzek.
On today's show, we've got an update on Jizzlane Maxwell and Epstein. We discuss the hilarious Hunter Biden texts to his lawyer where he uses the n-word. They're fantastic. Kim Jong Un has declared a war on South Korean pop music. Will North Korea survive the coming war against the K-Pop Stans? A recent study shows that white boys growing up with Black neighbors become Democrats. No word on whether or not they're more attracted to black women, but the implications are striking. Finally, we've a got a story about crypto loving sexbots coming to save the planet. It's a weird world folks! If you enjoyed the show, please Like & Subscribe to our channel and share the links. This show can be found @hiddeninplainsightradio on Instagram and @thehiddenpod on Twitter. iTunes Link: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/hidden-in-plain-sight/id1488538144?i=1000459997594 Spotify Link: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5zsntvl63Do7m9gNTD8Za2?si=MczvbuMlRuCbmWChclVUZA YouTube Link: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNRejWJs0hn8pefj5FiE7ZQ If you want to get our free weekly bonus episode or support the show, check out our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/hiddeninplainsightpod
Will SpaceX land people on Mars in the next decade? Will North Korea give up their nuclear weapons? Will your friend turn up to dinner?Spencer Greenberg, founder of ClearerThinking.org has a process for working out such real life problems.In this conversation from 2018, Spencer walks us through how to reason through difficult questions more accurately, and when we should expect to be overconfident or underconfident. Full transcript, related links, and summary of this interviewThis episode first broadcast on the regular 80,000 Hours Podcast feed on August 7, 2018. Some related episodes include:• #7 – Julia Galef on making humanity more rational, what EA does wrong, and why Twitter isn't all bad• #11 – Dr Spencer Greenberg on speeding up social science 10-fold & why plenty of startups cause harm. • #15 – Prof Tetlock on how chimps beat Berkeley undergrads and when it's wise to defer to the wise• #30 – Dr Eva Vivalt on how little social science findings generalize from one study to another• #40 – Katja Grace on forecasting future technology & how much we should trust expert predictions.• #48 – Brian Christian on better living through the wisdom of computer science• #78 – Danny Hernandez on forecasting and measuring some of the most important drivers of AI progressSeries produced by Keiran Harris.
Contact Tracing, Synthetic Biology Ask a futurist: how do we get from now to the Covid-19 free future? Steer into the slide. The future of synthetic biology is sticking viruses into our systems as medication Apple-Google contact tracing vs Palantir: who do you trust? France bans Amazon from selling non-essential items: should America follow? Should Amazon be doing more with automation? The best videoconferencing etiquette Why are people tearing down 5g towers to fight coronavirus? What new businesses are going to be born out of the Covid-19 crisis? Automation, synthetic biology, and delivery get a VC boost AI development and Big Tech data gathering is leading us down a dystopian superhighway Is CES gone for good? How long can movie theaters stay closed? Salute to the real heroes - the IT people keeping us all connected in this crisis Distance learning: what is working, what isn't, and what is the future of education? How did Microsoft fumble Cortana? The same way they fumbled Windows Phone Apple hopes to put its own chips in macs Google says AI can design a chip in 6 hours The next world war will be fought in cyberspace Kim Jong Un: Dead or alive? Will North Korea be the next manufacturing hotspot or a radioactive crater? Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Amy Webb and Iain Thomson Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Sponsors: extrahop.com/TWIT LastPass.com/twit twit.cachefly.com www.stamps.com - promo code: TWIT
Contact Tracing, Synthetic Biology Ask a futurist: how do we get from now to the Covid-19 free future? Steer into the slide. The future of synthetic biology is sticking viruses into our systems as medication Apple-Google contact tracing vs Palantir: who do you trust? France bans Amazon from selling non-essential items: should America follow? Should Amazon be doing more with automation? The best videoconferencing etiquette Why are people tearing down 5g towers to fight coronavirus? What new businesses are going to be born out of the Covid-19 crisis? Automation, synthetic biology, and delivery get a VC boost AI development and Big Tech data gathering is leading us down a dystopian superhighway Is CES gone for good? How long can movie theaters stay closed? Salute to the real heroes - the IT people keeping us all connected in this crisis Distance learning: what is working, what isn't, and what is the future of education? How did Microsoft fumble Cortana? The same way they fumbled Windows Phone Apple hopes to put its own chips in macs Google says AI can design a chip in 6 hours The next world war will be fought in cyberspace Kim Jong Un: Dead or alive? Will North Korea be the next manufacturing hotspot or a radioactive crater? Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Amy Webb and Iain Thomson Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Sponsors: extrahop.com/TWIT LastPass.com/twit twit.cachefly.com www.stamps.com - promo code: TWIT
Contact Tracing, Synthetic Biology Ask a futurist: how do we get from now to the Covid-19 free future? Steer into the slide. The future of synthetic biology is sticking viruses into our systems as medication Apple-Google contact tracing vs Palantir: who do you trust? France bans Amazon from selling non-essential items: should America follow? Should Amazon be doing more with automation? The best videoconferencing etiquette Why are people tearing down 5g towers to fight coronavirus? What new businesses are going to be born out of the Covid-19 crisis? Automation, synthetic biology, and delivery get a VC boost AI development and Big Tech data gathering is leading us down a dystopian superhighway Is CES gone for good? How long can movie theaters stay closed? Salute to the real heroes - the IT people keeping us all connected in this crisis Distance learning: what is working, what isn't, and what is the future of education? How did Microsoft fumble Cortana? The same way they fumbled Windows Phone Apple hopes to put its own chips in macs Google says AI can design a chip in 6 hours The next world war will be fought in cyberspace Kim Jong Un: Dead or alive? Will North Korea be the next manufacturing hotspot or a radioactive crater? Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Amy Webb and Iain Thomson Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Sponsors: extrahop.com/TWIT LastPass.com/twit twit.cachefly.com www.stamps.com - promo code: TWIT
Contact Tracing, Synthetic Biology Ask a futurist: how do we get from now to the Covid-19 free future? Steer into the slide. The future of synthetic biology is sticking viruses into our systems as medication Apple-Google contact tracing vs Palantir: who do you trust? France bans Amazon from selling non-essential items: should America follow? Should Amazon be doing more with automation? The best videoconferencing etiquette Why are people tearing down 5g towers to fight coronavirus? What new businesses are going to be born out of the Covid-19 crisis? Automation, synthetic biology, and delivery get a VC boost AI development and Big Tech data gathering is leading us down a dystopian superhighway Is CES gone for good? How long can movie theaters stay closed? Salute to the real heroes - the IT people keeping us all connected in this crisis Distance learning: what is working, what isn't, and what is the future of education? How did Microsoft fumble Cortana? The same way they fumbled Windows Phone Apple hopes to put its own chips in macs Google says AI can design a chip in 6 hours The next world war will be fought in cyberspace Kim Jong Un: Dead or alive? Will North Korea be the next manufacturing hotspot or a radioactive crater? Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Amy Webb and Iain Thomson Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Sponsors: extrahop.com/TWIT LastPass.com/twit twit.cachefly.com www.stamps.com - promo code: TWIT
In this special New Year's episode with the BBC Dad, Dr. Robert Kelly, we get his predictions about a range of foreign policy issues for 2020:--Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test?--Will Kim Jong Un meet with Trump again?--Will Trump leave office before the end of the year?--Will there be any wars anywhere?--Will the US withdraw any troops from South Korea?
Overnight, the negotiations between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un fell apart and ended with no deal between the two countries. Why did the talks break down? What did North Korea want from the United States? Will we see another summit? Will North Korea ever denuclearize? Was it smarter for President Trump to walk away from what might not have been a good deal?
Will Trump be re-elected? Will North Korea give up their nuclear weapons? Will your friend turn up to dinner? Spencer Greenberg, founder of ClearerThinking.org has a process for working out such real life problems. Let’s work through one here: how likely is it that you’ll enjoy listening to this episode? The first step is to figure out your ‘prior probability’; what’s your estimate of how likely you are to enjoy the interview before getting any further evidence? Other than applying common sense, one way to figure this out is called reference class forecasting: looking at similar cases and seeing how often something is true, on average. Spencer is our first ever return guest. So one reference class might be, how many Spencer Greenberg episodes of the 80,000 Hours Podcast have you enjoyed so far? Being this specific limits bias in your answer, but with a sample size of at most 1 - you’d probably want to add more data points to reduce variability. Zooming out, how many episodes of the 80,000 Hours Podcast have you enjoyed? Let’s say you’ve listened to 10, and enjoyed 8 of them. If so 8 out of 10 might be your prior probability. But maybe the two you didn’t enjoy had something in common. If you’ve liked similar episodes in the past, you’d update in favour of expecting to enjoy it, and if you’ve disliked similar episodes in the past, you’d update negatively. You can zoom out further; what fraction of long-form interview podcasts have you ever enjoyed? Then you’d look to update whenever new information became available. Do the topics seem interesting? Did Spencer make a great point in the first 5 minutes? Was this description unbearably self-referential? Speaking of the Question of Evidence: in a world where Spencer was not worth listening to, how likely is it that we’d invite him back for a second episode? Links to learn more, summary and full transcript. We’ll run through several diverse examples, and how to actually work out the changing probabilities as you update. But that’s only a fraction of the conversation. We also discuss: * How could we generate 20-30 new happy thoughts a day? What would that do to our welfare? * What do people actually value? How do EAs differ from non EAs? * Why should we care about the distinction between intrinsic and instrumental values? * Would hedonic utilitarians really want to hook themselves up to happiness machines? * What types of activities are people generally under-confident about? Why? * When should you give a lot of weight to your prior belief? * When should we trust common sense? * Does power posing have any effect? * Are resumes worthless? * Did Trump explicitly collude with Russia? What are the odds of him getting re-elected? * What’s the probability that China and the US go to War in the 21st century? * How should we treat claims of expertise on diets? * Why were Spencer’s friends suspicious of Theranos for years? * How should we think about the placebo effect? * Does a shift towards rationality typically cause alienation from family and friends? How do you deal with that? Get this episode by subscribing to our podcast on the world’s most pressing problems and how to solve them: type 80,000 Hours into your podcasting app. Or read the transcript below. The 80,000 Hours podcast is produced by Keiran Harris.
Tensions are rising slightly once again between the United States and North Korea. Will North Korea actually follow through with any agreements made at the summit between President Trump and Kim Jong-Un? The deadline is approaching to reuniting families separated at the border. How hard is it proving to do that? And Tesla is now going to open a factory in China in response to tariffs.
The Supreme Court ruled today that President Trump's travel ban is constitutional and will stand. What does this mean for people coming to this country? Will the countries on the list stay the same now? Will North Korea be off of it now? Does this decision prove that this was not any type of Muslim ban? How much authority does the President have in this situation?
Will North Korea’s recent diplomatic efforts be an answer to South Korean Christians’ prayers? Hopefully, says Sang-Bok David Kim, the chancellor of a South Korean evangelical graduate school, Torch Trinity Graduate University. “North Korea has been threatening South Korea two or three times a year. [They say], ‘We want to make Seoul a city of fire.’ They make weapons. They shoot our navy boat down. They shoot cannonballs into South Korean islands,” said Kim. “We are very sorry they have behaved like that.” But this aggressive behavior hasn’t kept South Korean churches from praying for their Northern neighbors. Instead, South Korean Christians pray frequently for “freedom, for evangelism, for the transformation of the North Korean leaders, that God will be merciful to them and to us so our nation will be unified so we can go up there and evangelize in North Korea and plant 15,000 churches,” he said. Kim joined associate digital media producer Morgan Lee and editor in chief Mark Galli to discuss his ambitious North Korea church planting plan, how the South Korean church has welcomed refugees from the North, and the surprising way God entered his family’s life.
Now that we're a few days removed from the North Korea summit, questions about the future remain. Will North Korea follow through with their end of the bargain? Is the United States still going to seek full denuclearization of the Kim regime? Can we trust North Korea? And yesterday was primary day in many states. Why are there so many unusual candidates winning elections?
What are the ramifications of the sudden termination of the planned meeting between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un? What factors led to the cancellation and has the door been permanently closed on a diplomatic solution to the North Korean nuclear problem? Will North Korea abandon its moratorium and resume nuclear and missile tests and escalate tension on the Korean Peninsula. Will there be a resumption of advocacy for a U.S. preventive military attack on North Korea? As Pyongyang, Seoul, Beijing, and Washington engaged in summit diplomacy, Japan had been the neglected partner. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe had established the closest relationship with President Trump of any world leader but then seemed ignored during the summit mania. Does the U.S.-North Korea summit cancellation vindicate Abe’s firm approach to Pyongyang or has there been lasting impact on his political strength as well as Japan’s relationship with the United States?Join us as two panels of distinguished experts discuss these and other topics as well as make recommendations for U.S. policy in the uncertain time ahead. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
French President Macron is welcomed at the White House. Will the Iran nuclear deal survive? Will North Korea denuclearize? An update on the Toronto attack. Buck interviews David French. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comFollow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuckSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
French President Macron is welcomed at the White House. Will the Iran nuclear deal survive? Will North Korea denuclearize? An update on the Toronto attack. Buck interviews David French. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
The summit between North and South Korea raises questions about the future of the peninsula. Will North Korea actually stick to their promises? Is the pressure from the United States and China working? Back home, are we going to see robots start to take more jobs? And what was Sam Nunberg doing going on all the cable networks yesterday?
In our second hour Randy talks about Trump, North Korea, and the Olympics. Will North Korea try and do something? The Obama/Iran deal, religion and politics, the Tom Tancredo Situation, and your calls.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The President has said threats to the United States by North Korea will be met with "fire and fury". What is coming with the North Korea situation? Will North Korea make an attack on Guam or the mainland United States?
Will North Korea call America’s bluff as joint-military drills begin with Seoul? Today on TRUNEWS, Rick Wiles addresses the growing tension between the West and the rising Eurasian superpowers, as both Russia and China game for control of their geographic spheres. Rick also discusses the attempted assassination of Wikileaks’ Julian Assange and the extension of further sovereign debt purchases by the Federal Reserve.