Podcasts about tensions

Tuesday's episode of The A.M. Update with Aaron McIntire tracks the fluid status of the Iran conflict, where President Trump touts over 5,000 targets struck, massive declines in Iranian missile and drone capabilities, and a potential short-term operation while holding back on devastating infrastructure hits. Conflicting signals emerge on the war's timeline, alongside reports of a new Supreme Leader named amid questions about his status and a regime using a cardboard cutout in ceremonies. Tensions rise with missile incidents near Turkey drawing sharp warnings from Erdogan, potential activation of Iranian sleeper cells abroad, and a dramatic single-day oil price drop from $116 to under $90 per barrel due to safer Strait of Hormuz transit and G7 reserve discussions. Domestic news covers a foiled IED plot by self-radicalized teens in New York linked to terrorism charges, renewed scrutiny on James Talarico with more unearthed comments, an NBC poll showing low favorability for AI and various political figures, a DOJ-Ticketmaster antitrust deal with divestitures and fines, and Qatar's foreign minister publicly expressing deep betrayal over Iran's attacks on Gulf neighbors, prompting analysis of the small nation's long-term triangulation strategy for survival.   A.M. Update, Aaron McIntire, Iran war, Operation Epic Fury, President Trump, Mo Taba Khamenei, sleeper cells, oil prices, Strait of Hormuz, Qatar Iran relations, James Talarico, Ticketmaster deal, AI favorability poll, NYPD terrorism plot

Monday's edition of The A.M. Update with Aaron McIntire dives into the intensifying Iran conflict, featuring dramatic scenes from Tehran where coalition strikes on oil infrastructure triggered black rain, toxic fallout, and widespread smoke over the capital. Reports highlight fractures within Iranian leadership, with the formal government issuing apologies for regional attacks while the IRGC vows to continue them. President Trump dismisses accusations of targeting a desalinization plant, reframing focus on the regime's atrocities, amid emerging claims of UAE involvement. Tensions rise with the UK over delayed support and intelligence sharing, drawing sharp comments from Trump and regional allies. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth downplays Russian intel assistance to Iran, emphasizing U.S. awareness and dominance. Domestic updates include disappointing February jobs numbers amid rising oil prices nearing $90/barrel, Markwayne Mullin's controversial DHS nomination and past J6 remarks, a curious old clip from retiring Senator Steve Daines, fresh Epstein-related revelations from prison guard records, Midwest tornado devastation, shifting youth views on socialism in new polling, and observations on fluctuating X narratives around the war depending on the time of day.   A.M. Update, Aaron McIntire, Iran conflict, Operation Epic Fury, Tehran strikes, oil prices, UK Iran support, Pete Hegseth, Markwayne Mullin, Ashley Babbitt, Jeffrey Epstein, jobs report, socialism poll, Midwest tornadoes, Steve Daines

With no sign of the Strait of Hormuz reopening, energy markets are facing an extraordinary supply shock. Around 20% of global oil supply has effectively become unavailable, pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022. While an emergency G7 meeting to discuss a coordinated reserves release, along with the drawdown of commercial inventories, may buy some time, these measures are temporary. If the conflict and the closure of the strait persist, demand will ultimately need to fall to match reduced supply. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Experts say the next month could bring disruptive cyber activity from Iran and its aligned groups, and they're urging organizations to shore up defenses now. The concerns center on the likelihood of targeted operations against the sectors with the highest visibility and the weakest points of entry. We'll examine what the threat picture looks like—and how leaders can harden their operations quickly—with James Turgal, VP of global cyber risk at Optiv.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Leadership changes sparked by DHS Secretary Noem's departure and Oklahoma Senator Mullin's potential role have stirred new political drama but provided no path forward on the Department of Homeland Security's funding freeze. Add to that a Congress increasingly split over war‑powers resolutions and the path to any Middle East supplemental, and the next few months look anything but predictable. We connect the political and procedural dots with Mitchell Miller of WTOP.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Crude oil prices have jumped above $100 as the US and Israel intensify military operations in Iran, effectively halting traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. While President Trump touts military successes, he faces a growing "philosophical break" with a MAGA base wary of new "forever wars". Oracle and OpenAI have scrapped plans for a flagship AI data center expansion in Texas as financing negotiations stalled. Tensions rise as Colonel Chris Wyatt argues President Trump's "3D chess" is isolating the ANC by removing its international allies. Meanwhile, back home, MP Juliet Basson details a "hostile" oversight visit to Normandien Farms that saw a factory shuttered over a dust mask dispute.

Fuel remains central to daily life in Nigeria, powering transportation, electricity generation, and many small businesses. Yet motorists are facing a sharp rise in petrol prices, climbing from about ₦840–₦890 per litre to as high as ₦1,050–₦1,150 in some areas. Today on Nigeria Daily, we examine how rising tensions between Iran and the United States are influencing global oil markets and pushing fuel prices higher in Nigeria.

Ce lundi 9 mars, Antoine Larigaudrie vous présente le coffre fort dans son émission Tout pour investir sur BFM Business. Retrouvez l'émission du lundi au vendredi et réécoutez la en podcast.

Tensions in the Middle East are escalating ten days after U.S. and Israeli strikes in Iran killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Tehran is facing a major environmental and security crisis following attacks on oil refineries, while Iranian drone strikes across the Gulf are disrupting travel and raising fears of a wider conflict. A new Supreme Leader has been announced in Iran, as European and Gulf leaders prepare emergency talks and oil prices surge past 100 dollars a barrel.We'll have the latest from Dubai, analysis from Brussels and a look at what rising energy prices could mean for Europe's economy with an exclusive interview with the president of the Eurogroup Kyriakos Pierrakakis.Europe Today is Euronews' daily podcast hosted by Maria Tadeo and Méabh Mc Mahon, broadcasting directly from Brussels, at the heart of Europe. Every morning, we deliver the top and exclusive stories shaping the European Union (EU) and beyond.Stay ahead with the key news and insights that matter in Europe today. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

durée : 00:02:34 - Le brief éco - Le prix du baril dépasse les 115 dollars, en hausse d'environ 30 %, une flambée inédite depuis l'invasion de l'Ukraine en 2022. La paralysie du détroit d'Ormuz et les frappes sur des infrastructures pétrolières iraniennes alimentent les craintes d'une crise énergétique mondiale. Vous aimez ce podcast ? Pour écouter tous les autres épisodes sans limite, rendez-vous sur Radio France.

Intense escalation in the Middle East as Israel targets Iran's oil sites amidst President Trump's demands for surrender. Get insights into the unfolding geopolitical crisis and what it means for global politics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

705,027 views Streamed live on Mar 2, 2026 #donbass #army of ukraine #zelensky#arestovych #shelest #war #trump #iranFundraising for a car for the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade

Experts warn that the ongoing crisis in the Middle East may exacerbate food insecurity and drive up the cost of essential goods, fuel, and other necessities - Nagbabala ang ilang eksperto na maaring lumala ang food insecurity gayundin ang pagtaas ng presyo ng pangunahing bilihin, gasolina at iba pa sa gitna ng krisis sa Gitnang Silangan.

In this episode, Damien discusses the recent escalation in the Middle East and its immediate effect on global stock markets, bond markets and the price of gold. He also explains the importance of the US Dollar Index and why it is a key indicator to watch during times of geopolitical uncertainty. Finally, as ISA season approaches, Damien and Andy look at how you can earn interest on uninvested cash held within an investment platform. They outline the different ways platforms pay interest and the best rates currently available.Check out this week's ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠podcast article⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ on the Money to the Masses website to see the full list of resources from this week's show.Follow Money to the Masses on social media:YouTube - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/moneytothemasses⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/moneytothemasses⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/moneytothemasses⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Tik Tok - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@moneytothemasses⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠You may already compare products and services online and make purchases but by doing so via our dedicated page you might not only save money but could also earn cashback or take advantage of exclusive offers for MTTM listeners.Support the show by visiting and bookmarking our dedicated podcast page:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Money to the Masses Dedicated Podcast Page⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Click to support the showLinks referred to in the podcast:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up to our weekly newsletterTake out a free trial of 80-20 investorLatest price for UK Natural GasPlatforms paying the best interest on cashBest Cash ISA Rates

Farah Naz Rishi is a busy do-er with fingers in many creative pies. She's worked as a lawyer, a video-game journalist, a voice actor and is a bestselling author. Farah has written memoir, 'Sorry for the Inconvenience', which details her experience as a Pakistan-American Muslim Woman, also has published many Young Adult books, including 'If You're Not The One', and 'It All Comes Back to You'.Now, Farah has published, 'The Flightless Birds of New Hope'. Here's the blurb...We follow Aden Shah—who has made a career of running away when things get hard— as he reunites with his estranged siblings in the wake of their parents' death. Tensions flare. And in a single moment of resentment, Aden sets free their parents' favorite “child”: their prize-winning Major Mitchell's cockatoo, Coco Chanel. What follows is a reluctant, chaotic road trip in a beat-up RV as the three Shah siblings chase Coco across the country. Along the way, they crash headlong into the eccentric world of birders, and into the unfamiliar people they've become. We discuss exploring connections, nature and sibling relationships. Also, you can hear how her work as a voice-actor influences her ability to get into character, and why she's ditched word-counts.You can hear how Farah shuts off her anxiety with wallpaper, how she tricks herself into writing, and about the first idea she had for her story.Get a copy of the book - uk.bookshop.org/shop/writersroutineThis week's episode is sponsored by 'Minding Toby', the new novel by M.M. Rodeheaver. Find out more - https://margaretrodeheaver.com/Read the newsletter - writersroutine.substack.comSupport the show - patreon.com/writersroutineko-fi.com/writersroutine@writerspodwritersroutine.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Michael Reinking, NYSE Senior Market Strategist, recaps a volatile week shaped by intensifying AI‑related job fears and new geopolitical pressures. AI‑driven layoffs and sector rotation weighed on tech and financials, even as headline index moves stayed relatively contained. Operation Epic Fury pushed oil sharply higher and sent Treasury yields up on renewed war‑flation concerns. Markets swung on shifting headlines around Hormuz security and potential backchannel talks. With key jobs data and inflation reports ahead, investors remain cautious and highly reactive to both AI sentiment and Middle East developments.

This morning, we're breaking down the latest disturbing developments in the Epstein saga. Newly released interviews with the teen who accused Donald Trump have surfaced, and the details are dark, unsettling, and raising serious questions. As more information tied to Jeffrey Epstein continues to come to light, will Trump ever actually be investigated? And will anyone in power ever face real accountability? Then we turn to the other crises dominating the headlines. Tensions continue to rise around the situation with Iran, while new economic data paints a troubling picture for the administration. With weak job numbers and growing instability abroad, it's been a rough stretch. This episode is sponsored by 120Life. Go to https://incogni.com/donlemon and use code donlemon for 60% off. Incogni HELPS wipe yourself from the Internet — they can't harm you if they can't find you. Click the link below to claim your 60% off and get your personal data off the market! Erase yourself from the internet This episode is brought to you by Incogni. Go to https://incogni.com/donlemon and use code donlemon for 60% off. Incogni HELPS wipe yourself from the Internet — they can't harm you if they can't find you. Click the link below to claim your 60% off and get your personal data off the market! Erase yourself from the internet. This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. BetterHelp makes it easy to get matched online with a qualified therapist. Sign up and get 10% off at https://BetterHelp.com/donlemon This episode is brought to you by Shopify. See less carts go abandoned and more sales go with Shopify and their Shop Pay button.Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at https://SHOPIFY.COM/lemon Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Gareth and Leigh-Ann unpack the shifting landscape of global geopolitics and what South Africa's potential role could look like in the event of a wider global conflict. Hanan delivers a powerful monologue on eating disorders, questioning whether society truly treats them as the serious mental health issue they are. Simon Wilkins from Galetti joins the conversation to discuss his incredible 36km swim across the icy English Channel, and Gideon Joubert weighs in on a major issue facing South Africans right now — the proposed new gun laws and what they could mean for personal safety and security. The Real Network

In EVN Report's news roundup for the week of March 6: Following U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran, the stakes are high for Armenia and the wider South Caucasus; Armenian Government is facilitating the return of Armenian nationals trapped across the Gulf and other regions; Electric Networks of Armenia, owned by Tashir Group, is to be nationalized and more.

The March 6th edition of The Marc Cox Morning Show navigates a dense St. Louis foggy morning while covering national and local stories. Hour 1 opens with traffic chaos, Missouri's new interstate speed limits, Donald Trump's DHS replacement of Kristi Noem with Markwayne Mullin, and Kim St. Onge on road rage. Hour 2 dives into Trump's Republican base, Iran's Strait of Hormuz tensions, market shifts, and Nicole Murray on Six Flags and pop culture updates. Hour 3 features Mark Cantor live from Tel Aviv on Israel-Iran tensions, Jim Carafano analyzing Middle East strategy, Rep. Eric Burleson on congressional oversight and NDAs, and Kim on a Whim discussing RFK Jr.'s push for nutrition education in medical schools. Hour 4 covers Hillary Clinton's fiery reactions, the Queen of Hearts charity drawing, Missouri Senator Ben Brown on the Save Missouri Act, school board candidates Lauren Greenwood and David Jaworski on curriculum and fiscal oversight, and local stories including Girl Scouts selling cookies outside a dispensary and St. Louis Federal Reserve history with Sue Thomas. The show balances politics, local engagement, and cultural commentary with on-the-ground reporting and expert analysis. Hashtags: #MarcCoxMorningShow #HillaryClinton #MissouriPolitics #MiddleEastTensions #MarkwayneMullin #TrumpSupport #QueenOfHearts #SaveMissouriAct #BenBrown #SchoolBoard #FederalReserve #LocalEvents #CommunityEngagement

Tensions ran deep between Jews and Samaritans in the first century, shaped by centuries of history, division, and mistrust. Understanding this context sheds light on why Jesus' journey through Samaria was so significant. Before the famous conversation at the well even begins, the setting itself reveals something powerful about His mission. Join us as we unpack the history that helps this passage come alive.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------DONATE: https://evidence4faith.org/give/WEBSITE: https://evidence4faith.org/NEWSLETTER: http://eepurl.com/hpazV5BOOKINGS: https://evidence4faith.org/bookings/CONTACT: Evidence 4 Faith, 349 Knights Ave Kewaskum WI 53040 , info@evidence4faith.orgMy goal is that their hearts, having been knit together in love, may be encouraged, and that they may have all the riches that assurance brings in their understanding of the knowledge of the mystery of God, namely, Christ, in whom are hidden all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge. - Colossians 2:2-3CREDITS: Developed & Hosted by Michael Lane. Produced & Edited by Isabel Kolste. Graphics & Publication by Isabel Kolste. Additional Art, Film, & Photography Credits: Stock media “Memories” provided by mv_production / Pond5 | Logo Stinger: Unsplash.com: Leinstravelier, Logan Moreno Gutierrez, Meggyn Pomerieau, Jaredd Craig, NASA, NOASS, USGS, Sam Carter, Junior REIS, Luka Vovk, Calvin Craig, Mario La Pergola, Timothy Eberly, Priscilla Du Preez, Ismael Paramo, Tingey Injury Law Firm, Dan Cristian Pădureț, Jakob Owens | Wikimedia: Darmouth University Public Domain, Kelvinsong CC0 | Stock media “A stately Story (Stiner02)” provided by lynnepublishing / Pond5

In this business-focused episode of BOAT Briefing, online editor Holly Margerrison is joined by BOAT's business editor Gabrielle Lazaridis to unpack a week of unusually intense industry news. The pair discuss the operational and insurance implications of escalating tensions in the Middle East and what they mean for yacht movements. They also examine the latest ownership changes at Sunseeker, leadership restructuring at The Italian Sea Group and the escalating takeover battle surrounding US giant MarineMax. The conversation also turns to the sailing calendar, with a look at the history and enduring appeal of the St Barths Bucket as it kicks into action next week.This episode of BOAT Briefing is sponsored by Amico & Co, a Genoa-based, family-owned refit yard with more than 200 years of maritime heritage, renowned for its full-service refit expertise on large yachts, delivered through highly specialised in-house teams.BOATPro: https://boatint.com/48w Subscribe: https://boatint.com/48xContact us: podcast@boatinternationalmedia.com

06 Mar 2026. We speak to Majid Al Futtaim CEO Ahmed Ismail about the state of retail. Plus, the business of spring break holiday camps as families adjust plans, GymNation on managing staff, clients and operations during uncertainty, and an expert analysis of surging jet fuel and energy prices and what they mean for the wider market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed stocks pulling back and oil continuing to rally as the Iran war enters day six. Broadcom shares jump on a Q1 earnings beat and a forecast of AI chip sales surpassing $100 billion in 2027. The anchors also reacted to published reports on tensions between the Pentagon and Anthropic, including CEO Dario Amodei's employee memo referencing the Trump Administration and slamming OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. Also in focus: What Berkshire Hathaway's new CEO Greg Abel told CNBC about resuming buybacks,  software stocks extend rebound, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on investing in OpenAI, BlackRock slashes another private credit loan to zero. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs.Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you!There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently.If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) and book your call today!Take advantage of our partnership with LifeLock and get discounts using our link: https://lifelock.norton.com/offers?expid=LLONEYEAR&promocode= JSPW24&VENDORID= _JESSUPWM&om_ext_cid=ext_partner_ JSPW24_Productpage $)Show Notes:Blog Post from Matt Cerminaro on February 24th titled “The Craziest Stat of 2026” - https://chartkidmatt.com/p/the-craziest-stat-of-2026 IRS Tax Withholding EstimatorUS-Israel strike on Iran & market reaction – VIX peaked mildly, institutional buying, investor confidence (03:24) Midterm year volatility expectations – Weak early months, Q4 rebound, historical resilience (06:41) Middle East conflicts & supply chain containment – Limited market disruption, quick recovery (09:23) US dollar trends & international equity outlook – Unexpected 3.5–4% rebound, impact on global stocks, diversification advice (12:12, 14:30) Mortgage rates & housing affordability – 30-year rates below 6%, improved buying conditions, sticky home prices (15:22, 16:30) Tech sector (MAG7) valuation shifts – Low valuations vs. defensive sectors, potential buying opportunities (18:13, 21:20, 28:37) Market technicals & behavioral insights – S&P 500 moving average contraction, disciplined investing, long-term perspective (22:33, 25:25) Tax planning & IRS tools – Withholding estimator, biannual review, avoiding penalties (31:46, 33:15)  Hosts:Mark McEvily - Chief Investment Officer and Managing Partner Matthew Jessup – Chief Executive Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Managing PartnerAddress: 35 Park Ave. Dayton, OH 45419 Phone: 937-938-9105 https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/ Social Media:Facebook: @JessupWealthManagement LinkedIn: @JessupWealthManagementTwitter: @jessupwealth Instagram: @jessupwealthhttps://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/disclosures-page

durée : 00:05:05 - La Revue de presse internationale - par : Mathilde Romagnan - Depuis mardi, les relations sont tendues entre les deux pays, à cause des frappes américano-israéliennes contre l'Iran. La Maison Blanche parle d'un apaisement, mais le gouvernement espagnol se dit toujours opposé à la "guerre", selon la presse espagnole. - invités : Mathilde Romagnan Journaliste

Czechia less vulnerable to energy turmoil despite Middle East tensions, illegal distilleries on the rise following hike in excise tax, Karel Břinda on research at Harvard and working with bacteria as if they were books

This week, alliances are forming, and Cirie is still leading her tribe. Christian unfortunately poops his pants, but also ends up winning the episode and is quickly moving to the front of the pack. Tensions are rising between Ozzy and Coach, and the nerd alliance is running the pack on the Orange tribe.If you enjoyed this episode please share it with your Survivor and reality tv friends and follow us on Instagram at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@taglinetwinks⁠⁠

This Day in Legal History: Boston MassacreOn March 5, 1770, a confrontation between British soldiers and American colonists in Boston turned deadly in what became known as the Boston Massacre. Tensions had been rising for months as British troops occupied the city to enforce parliamentary taxes that many colonists believed were unjust. On that evening, a crowd gathered near the Boston Custom House and began taunting a British sentry, shouting insults and throwing snowballs and debris. As the situation escalated, additional soldiers arrived to support the guard, but the crowd continued to press in. In the confusion and fear of the moment, the soldiers fired into the crowd. Five colonists were killed and several others were wounded, including Crispus Attucks, who is often remembered as the first casualty of the American Revolution.The incident quickly became a flashpoint in colonial politics, with patriot leaders using it as evidence of British tyranny. Yet the legal response that followed was notable for its commitment to due process despite intense public anger. British Captain Thomas Preston and eight soldiers were arrested and charged with murder. Future president John Adams agreed to defend the soldiers, arguing that the rule of law required even deeply unpopular defendants to receive a fair trial. During the proceedings, Adams emphasized the evidence suggesting the soldiers had been surrounded and threatened by a hostile crowd. The jury ultimately acquitted six soldiers and convicted two of the lesser charge of manslaughter.The trials demonstrated an early American commitment to the principle that legal judgments should be guided by evidence rather than public pressure, even during moments of political upheaval.The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that New Jersey cannot use sovereign immunity to protect New Jersey Transit from personal injury lawsuits filed by riders injured outside the state. The unanimous opinion, written by Sonia Sotomayor, resolved a conflict between the Pennsylvania Supreme Court and the New York Court of Appeals over whether the transit agency qualifies as an “arm of the state.” The dispute arose from two lawsuits filed by passengers injured in NJ Transit bus crashes that occurred outside New Jersey.The justices focused heavily on how the agency was structured. During oral argument, several members of the Court questioned why New Jersey created NJ Transit as a corporation with the ability to sue and be sued while also disclaiming responsibility for its debts. Some justices suggested those design choices undermined the state's argument that the agency should receive sovereign immunity protections.New Jersey's lawyers argued that the agency's independence is largely formal and that the governor maintains significant control over the system. They also warned that allowing such lawsuits could subject the state to litigation in other states' courts. However, the Court appeared unconvinced by those arguments and emphasized that the plaintiffs were private individuals seeking compensation rather than other states trying to regulate New Jersey.The ruling ultimately sided with the New York court's earlier decision and overturned the Pennsylvania ruling, allowing the personal injury lawsuits to proceed.Supreme Court Rejects NJ Immunity Defense In NY, Pa. SuitsRegulators are increasingly focusing on dynamic or algorithmic pricing, a practice that uses personal data—such as location, browsing history, and purchasing behavior—to set individualized prices for consumers. The approach has raised concerns among privacy and consumer protection regulators because it relies on large amounts of personal data and may affect price transparency. Although grocery pricing has drawn the most attention, the practice is also used in industries like travel, financial services, and online retail.The Federal Trade Commission has been studying the issue but has not clearly stated whether dynamic pricing violates any specific federal law. In 2024, the agency issued subpoenas to companies that develop pricing algorithms to learn how they collect consumer data, train their systems, and influence the prices consumers see. A preliminary research summary released in 2025 confirmed that these tools rely heavily on consumer data and can adjust prices in real time, but it did not identify specific legal violations.While the federal approach remains uncertain, state regulators are taking more direct action. The office of Rob Bonta, the California attorney general, launched an investigative sweep in January 2026 to examine how companies use consumer data to personalize prices. Investigators sent letters to retailers, grocery stores, and hotels requesting information about pricing algorithms, data sources, and disclosures to consumers.Meanwhile, the New York Attorney General's Office is investigating companies' compliance with the state's new Algorithmic Pricing Disclosure Act. The law requires businesses to clearly inform consumers when prices are generated using algorithms that rely on their personal data. Regulators have warned that disclosures hidden behind hyperlinks may not satisfy the law's requirement that notices be clear and conspicuous.Other states are considering similar legislation, including proposals targeting surveillance-based pricing or banning dynamic pricing in certain industries. As scrutiny increases, companies that use personalized pricing tools are being urged to review their data practices, pricing disclosures, and compliance with emerging state privacy laws.Amidst uncertainty from FTC, states zero in on dynamic and algorithmic pricing | ReutersThe U.S. civilian federal workforce decreased by about 12% between September 2024 and January 2026, according to newly released government data. The reductions reflect efforts by Donald Trump's administration to shrink federal agencies, a policy he promoted as a way to reduce government size and increase efficiency.Several major departments experienced significant staffing losses. The U.S. Department of the Treasury saw its workforce drop by roughly 24%, while the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services lost about 20% of its employees during the same period. These reductions represent some of the largest declines across federal agencies.One notable exception was the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, which slightly increased its workforce by less than 1%. The agency's growth reflects the administration's continued focus on immigration enforcement and deportation efforts.Overall, the data indicates that the administration's push to cut federal staffing has had a broad impact across much of the government, significantly reducing the number of civilian employees in many departments.US government workforce shrunk by 12% since September 2024 | Reuters This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe

US and European equities rebounded yesterday as the absence of another energy spike supported sentiment. Strong US job gains and a firm ISM services reading eased growth concerns, reduced expectations for a July rate cut, and lifted major indices, with technology leading. The US dollar held firm, investors are positioned for a weaker euro, and Swiss franc strength triggered a second round of SNB verbal intervention. Bitcoin surged, China set a cautious growth target, and Asian markets – especially South Korea – rebounded sharply after steep losses. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, provides a timely update on the oil and gas markets following the near‑halt in activity through the Strait of Hormuz.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:12) - Oil and gas update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

In this macro market update, Candice and Felicity unpack the latest developments in the Middle East and what the Iran conflict could mean for global markets, oil prices and investment portfolios.With tensions escalating across the Gulf region and growing disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz a critical shipping route responsible for roughly 20–25% of global oil supply investors are asking what this means for markets.In this episode we discuss:• Why geopolitical conflicts often have less lasting impact on markets than investors expect • How much of the recent oil price move has already been priced into markets • What history tells us about stocks, gold, bonds and volatility during geopolitical crises • The potential scenarios for the Iran conflict and their market implications • Why US large-cap equities and structural growth sectors may remain resilient • Opportunities emerging across cyclicals, travel stocks and global equities • The role of energy, commodities and safe-haven assets in portfolios • How investors can navigate volatility while staying focused on long-term investment objectivesPeriods of geopolitical tension can create uncertainty in markets, but they can also present opportunities for disciplined investors who stay focused on fundamentals and long-term strategy.⚠️ DisclaimerThis podcast contains general information only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It should not be considered personal financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are Authorised Representatives of Shaw and Partners Limited (ABN 24 003 221 583, AFSL 236048). The information discussed in this podcast is current at the time of recording but may change without notice. Any opinions expressed are those of the hosts and may not necessarily reflect the views of Shaw and Partners Limited. Before making any investment decision, you should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek advice from a licensed financial adviser. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Investing involves risk and the value of investments can rise or fall. This podcast is produced for informational and educational purposes only. Everything is based on facts known at the time of recording 3rd March 2026. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Tensions in the Middle East are rising fast as conflict with Iran expands and new regional alliances begin to form. I break down the strategic moves behind the war, the realignment happening among Arab nations, and the growing concerns about sleeper cells and security inside the United States. Understanding these geopolitical shifts is key to seeing how this crisis could reshape global power in the months ahead.   Podcast Episode 2048: Iran War Escalates, Middle East REALIGNMENT + Sleeper Cells in America? | don't miss this! Listen to more episodes of the Lance Wallnau Show at lancewallnau.com/podcast

Today we talked U.S. vs. Iran, ships going down, rising global tension — and what it all means. Big headlines. Bigger consequences.

Tensions between the United States and Iran are adding new uncertainty to the global economy — and that could have real implications for real estate investors. In this episode of Real Estate News for Investors, Kathy Fettke breaks down how escalating conflict in the Middle East could impact oil prices, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's path for interest rates. Kathy explains the key economic signals investors should be watching right now — including oil prices, mortgage rates, and consumer confidence — and what different economic scenarios could mean for the housing market. While geopolitical events can create volatility, long-term real estate fundamentals still come down to smart market selection, strong cash flow, and conservative financing. This episode will help investors understand the bigger economic picture and how global events can shape the housing market here in the United States. Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-conflict-poses-new-risk-us-economic-resilience-2026-03-02/ 

Today we talked U.S. vs. Iran, ships going down, rising global tension — and what it all means. Big headlines. Bigger consequences.

Global Tensions

SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, March 4th -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Host Ken Miller is first joined by USAF Col. (Ret.) Jeffrey Fischer, author and now CEO of Fischer Aerospace, to discuss the breaking news of the US and Israel's attack on Iran and what it could mean for the region. Then, Ken sits down with Dean Cheng, a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies and Non-Resident Fellow at the George Washington University Space Policy Institute. They take a deep dive into the modernization of China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) and the evolving security dynamics across the Indo-Pacific, with a focus on China's pursuit of information dominance. The conversation explores how the PLA is adapting its doctrine and capabilities in the EMS, and what that means for the US and its allies.We invite you to share your thoughts, questions, or suggestions for future episodes by emailing host Ken Miller at host@fromthecrowsnest.org or visit us on our Instagram @fromthecrowsnestpodcast.To learn more about today's topics or to stay updated on EMSO and EW developments, visit our homepage.

Send a textRHOP Season 10 Reunion Part 3 Recap | Wendy Breaks Down Over Arrest, Karen Claps BackThe Real Housewives of Potomac Season 10 Reunion Part 3 delivered one of the most emotional and explosive finales in RHOP history.The episode picks up with Monique confronting Stacey over alleged contact with Chris and accusations about filming with children. Tensions rise as Andy questions Stacey's honesty, Wendy defends her position, and the group debates who leaked information.We break down: • Monique vs Stacey drama • Gizelle's shady hosting moments • The Colorado trip fallout • Karen Huger's emotional return • Wendy Osefo addressing her arrest and legal issues • Karen's powerful warning about jail time • Marriage strain, family impact, and public backlash • The 10-year milestone champagne toastWendy opens up about the October 9th arrest, the burglary confusion, financial rumors, alias accusations, and how the legal case has impacted her marriage to Eddie. Karen shares hard advice about staying silent, protecting your freedom, and learning humility through adversity.Plus: Gizelle reflects on growth, Ashley admits pettiness, Angel apologizes, and the ladies close out 10 years of Potomac with a champagne toast.This reunion had everything: tears, denial, accountability, sisterhood, and some classic shady moments.Watch as we unpack every major moment from RHOP Season 10 Reunion Part 3.

Comedy Ratings, Kyle Kinane's Phish Weekend, and Colbert's Reported CBS TensionsJohnny Mac's Daily Comedy News recaps late-night jokes about the war, including Seth Meyers on Mar-a-Lago security and Stephen Colbert's “Epic Fury” anagram. He cites Deadline streaming numbers: Katt Williams' latest Netflix special drew 7.1M first-week views; Dave Chappelle's Sticks & Stones leads Netflix US debuts, while Shane Gillis' Live in Austin tops on YouTube; he also notes Amazon and Hulu special performance and how platforms count views differently. Kyle Kinane describes doing comedy during Phish's Cancun takeover and his outlook on “micro happiness” and the difference between fame and success. Johnny mentions Vulture's profile of Chris Fleming and People's interview with Nate Bargatze denying he's quitting standup. He summarizes a New York Times piece on arena comic Max Amini's crowd-work-driven, globally accessible shows and ends with Comedy Survivor voting, Radar Online's report on Colbert's ratings and workplace tensions, Jimmy Carr's renewed Am I the A-Hole, Trump attending the White House Correspondents' dinner hosted by mentalist Oz Pearlman, and Johnny criticizing an unpolished Jim Gaffigan clip. 00:10 Late Night War Jokes00:41 Streaming Special Ratings02:22 Kyle Kinane Finds Joy03:12 Chris Fleming Profile04:28 Nate Bargatze Rumors05:10 Max Amini Arena Comedy07:13 Comedy Survivor Update07:56 Colbert Ratings Rumor09:09 Jimmy Carr Renewed09:40 WHCD Host Announced11:09 Gaffigan Clip Finale Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/daily-comedy-news-with-johnny-mac--4522158/support.Daily Comedy News is the number one comedy news podcast, delivering daily coverage of standup comedy, late night television, comedy specials, tours, and the business of comedy.COMEDY SURVIVOR in the facebook group.Contact John at John@thesharkdeck dot com For Uninterrupted Listening, use the Apple Podcast App and click the banner that says Uninterrupted Listening.  $4.99/month John's Substack about media is free.This is the animal sanctuary mentioned in the February 10 episode.

47 years. That is how long the U.S. and Iran have been circling each other, probing for weaknesses, and demonizing the other (in many cases for good reason). Tensions reached a tipping point on February 28, 2026 and the United States, along with Israel, initiated a new wave of strikes which has lead to chaos across the Middle East. 11 countries have been targeted by retaliatory strikes from Iran and the death toll on all sides continues to rise. How did we get here? Why was now the time to act? Where does it all end and what decisions will shape the final outcome of this latest use of military force? In this month's episode, we speak with Alex Vatanka, Senior Fellow at the Middle East Institute, where he focuses on Iran. We review the terse relationship between these two countries since the Iranian Revolution of 1979 and outline the litany of moments that have shaped the course of history. In addition, the conversation outlines how this war got started and what shape it has taken in the early days, providing key insights into possible outcomes. While much is left to be written in this story, the key moments have been set in motion. Listen to gain critical insights into this fast moving and ever changing conflict that will reverberate across the world for years to come.(Please note: This episode was recorded on February 27, one day before U.S. and Israeli airstrikes started. We have tried to capture the latest updates to the fighting, but understand this conflict has shifted rapidly in the first few days).Alex Vatanka is a Senior Fellow at the Middle East Institute. He specializes in Middle Eastern regional security affairs with a particular focus on Iran. He was formerly a Senior Analyst at Jane's Information Group in London. Alex is also a Senior Fellow in Middle East Studies at the US Air Force Special Operations School (USAFSOS) at Hurlburt Field and teaches as an Adjunct Professor at DISAS at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. He has testified before the US Congress and lectured widely for both governmental and commercial audiences, including the US Departments of State and Defense, US intelligence agencies, and a list of international corporations.Born in Tehran, he holds a BA in Political Science (Sheffield University, UK), and an MA in International Relations (Essex University, UK), and is fluent in Farsi and Danish. He is the author of two books: The Battle of the Ayatollahs in Iran: The United States, Foreign Policy and Political Rivalry Since 1979 (2021) and Iran and Pakistan: Security, Diplomacy, and American Influence (2015).He has also written chapters for a number of books, including Authoritarianism Goes Global (2016); Handbook on Contemporary Pakistan (2017); Russia in the Middle East (2018), Winning the Battle, Losing the War: Addressing the Drivers Fueling Armed Non-state Actors and Extremist Groups (2020); Global, Regional and Local Dynamics in the Yemen Crisis (2020); Routledge Handbook of Counterterrorism and Irregular Warfare Operations (2021); and Understanding New Proxy Wars (2022). He is presently working on his third book, Iran's Arab Strategy: Defending the Homeland or Exporting Khomeinism?

Coming up on today's Local: How will Southern California feel the impacts of the war with Iran? Also, will Iran still be allowed to play in the World Cup?

Tensions grow in the Middle East with Iran retaliating against the U.S. strikes that killed Iran's leader. Kevin Green points to crude oil's surge Tuesday morning and a spike in the VIX as key components to the start of a sharp downside market move. KG adds that similar commodities like natural gas and heating oil rallying as well, which will trickle into higher energy prices in the U.S. On the earnings front, KG touches on MongoDB's (MDB) stock plunge after beating but disappointing in guidance. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Abdul-Ahad explores the Sunni insurgency, tensions between nationalists and foreign jihadis, and the humiliation of occupation that fueled resistance and further sectarian violence in Iraq. 3.

Tensions between the U.S. and Iran are rising — and the markets are reacting.In this episode, we break down what it could mean for oil prices, energy and defense stocks, gold, the U.S. dollar, and the broader stock market. Is this just headline volatility… or something bigger?More importantly — how should traders respond?Don't miss our upcoming workshop https://training.tieronetrading.com/income-trader-3-day-workshop63847604Your Trading Coach - Akil

The war with Iran has been scripted for decades. So true is this statement that it was explicitly predictable the second Trump administration would initiate it even before the election in 2024. How was this known and how did shows like The Secret Teachings broadcast this back then? Americans are now relegated to a same series of labels used during the Bush administration: you are either with us or against us; just as WMDs and Terrorism have been used to justify breaking fundamental promises. The bottom line is we were lied to by the Trump administration repeatedly. Americans been duped and threatened by a foreign government and have done their bidding once again. This is not a sovereign country. It's a joke. Run by pedophiles and mass murdering religious whackos:CNN reported the following: "Ahead of the upcoming Jewish holiday of Purim, worshippers read the specific portion from the Old Testament, known as Zachor. The passage from the book of Deuteronomy commands the ancient Israelites to remember an unprovoked attack by the nation of Amalek and to eradicate the memory of Amalek once the Israelites are settled in their land. The passage is read publicly before Purim to fulfil the mitzvah of remembering Amalek as Israel's archetypical enemy.”Deuteronomy 25:17 instructs: “Remember what Amalek did to you on the way as you came out of Egypt." The story of Purim can be found in the later story told in the Scroll (Book) of Esther. In Hebrew, the word Megillah (scroll) shares a root with Galuí, meaning “to reveal,” while Esther stems from Hester, meaning “hidden.” Purim is thus literally about “revealing the hidden.” In fact, the primary commandment of Purim is to hear the Megillah read out loud from a physical parchment scroll. Zachor simply means “remember.” Specifically, it refers to the commandment in Deuteronomy. The Greek word apokalupsis, from apokaluptein, is where we obtain the word apocalypse. Although the word means to “uncover” or “reveal” the spiritual reality behind worldly events—particularly as they relate to the changing of the four seasons (four horses), or the lifting of the veil of nature—it has become associated with cataclysmic events and a final earthly war called Armageddon. What is interesting, and perhaps frightening to some, is that the Purim ritual is derived from the revelation of the hidden found in the name of the Scroll of Esther. Starting a war with these specific optics is akin to literally creating the optics of the apocalypse and eschaton!  *The is the FREE archive, which includes advertisements. If you want an ad-free experience, you can subscribe below underneath the show description.

A tense exchange between our stoic Duke Grend, and the Duchess of Velmireth lays ahead for our intrepid band of heroes.  With claim to the crown in question, who will throw their hat… or fist… into the ring?  And what of the enigmatic Duke Varnmoor, what plans does he have?  Tensions are rising, can our group help steer this ship away from a succession war?  Tune in and find out! How can I cop me some fresh drip?  Up in dat shop at 12sidedguys.com/shop!  The 12 Sided Guys Discord's got the most gangsta OG baddies, check it, https://discord.gg/SJZnpCCx6N! Share dem benjie's wit us at ‌‌patreon.com/12sidedguys‌‌ ‌so we can hook you up with additional content, bonus ‘sodes, maps, and a wiki-wiki-pedia for the Rosvane hoodrat in all of us!‌  Ya heard? -- Additional‌ ‌sound‌ ‌effects‌ ‌from‌ ‌tabletopaudio.com.

Dana Bash hosts a special edition of State of the Union after the US and Israel launch sweeping strikes on Iran, targeting its nuclear program and weapons systems and killing Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other senior officials, as President Trump vows bombing will continue “as long as necessary.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Our Global Commodities Strategist Martijn Rats discusses the geopolitical drivers behind the recent spike in oil prices and outlines four Iran scenarios.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley's Global Commodities Strategist.Today – what's fueling the latest oil market rally.It's Thursday, February 26th, at 3pm in London.What happens when oil prices jump, even though there's no actual shortage of oil? That's the situation we're in right now. Tensions between the U.S. and Iran have escalated again. Naturally, markets are paying attention.Over the past week, Brent crude rose about $3 to around $72 per barrel. WTI climbed into the mid-$60s. Shipping costs surged. And traders have started paying a premium for protection against a sudden oil spike – the levels we haven't seen since the early days of the Ukrainian invasion.But here's the key point: there's no clear evidence that global oil supply has tightened. Exports are still flowing. Tankers are still moving. And some near-term indicators of physical tightness have actually softened. When oil is truly scarce, buyers scramble for immediate barrels and short-term prices spike relative to future delivery. Instead, those spreads have narrowed, and physical premiums have eased.This isn't a supply shock. It's a risk premium. In simple terms, investors are buying insurance. So what could happen next? We see four broad scenarios.Before I outline them though, here's something we do not see as a core case: a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Roughly 15 million barrels per day of crude and another 5 million of refined product moves through that corridor. A sustained shutdown would be enormously disruptive. But we think the probability is very low.Now coming back to our four scenarios. The first is straightforward. A negotiated settlement; conflict is avoided. Iranian exports continue and shipping lanes remain open. In that scenario, what unwinds is the geopolitical risk premium – which we estimate at roughly $7 to $9 per barrel. If that fades, Brent could drift back to the low-to-mid $60s, similar to past episodes where prices spiked on fear and then retraced once supply proves unaffected.Second, we could see short-lived frictions – shipping delays, higher insurance costs, temporary logistical issues. That might remove a few hundred thousand barrels per day for, say, a few weeks.. Prices could briefly spike into the $75–80 range. But balancing forces would kick in relatively quickly. For example, China has been building inventories at a steady pace. At higher prices, that stockbuilding would likely slow, helping offset temporary disruptions. That points to some further upside in prices – but then normalization.The third scenario is more serious, but still contained: localized export losses of perhaps 1 to 1.5 million barrels per day for a month or two. Prices would stay elevated longer, but spare capacity and demand adjustments could eventually stabilize the market.Now our last scenario is the more serious and considers a potential shipping shock. The real risk here isn't wells shutting down – it's shipping disruption. Global trade of crude oil depends on efficient tanker movement. If transit times were extended even modestly, effective shipping capacity could fall sharply, creating what amounts to a temporary tightening of about 2 to 3 million barrels per day – or about 6 percent of global seaborne supply. That is a logistics shock, not a production outage – but it would push prices toward early-2022-type levels, at least briefly.Now let's zoom out. Beyond geopolitics, the fundamentals look weak. OPEC+ supply is rising, and our forecasts show a sizable surplus building in 2026. Even if some of that oil ends up in China's stockpiles, a lot would still likely flow into core OECD inventories. Historically, when the market looks like this, prices tend to fall, not rise.Which brings us back to the central point. Oil isn't rallying because the world has run out of barrels. It's rallying because markets are pricing geopolitical risk. And unless that risk turns into actual, sustained disruption, insurance premiums tend to expire.Thank you for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.This podcast references jurisdiction(s) or person(s) which may be the subject of economic sanctions. Readers are solely responsible for ensuring that their investment activities are carried out in compliance with applicable laws.

Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Monday, February 23, 2026. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: Olympic hockey victory boosts morale in our divided country, Kash Patel faces a bit of backlash over beer with the players post-game. Stephen A. Smith provides insight on Disney's political influence and the men's vs. women's Olympic hockey team's reactions to Trump's invitation to the State of the Union address. The latest on the Supreme Court's decision against Trump's tariffs. Senior Fellow at the Center for International Policy, Sina Toossi enters the No Spin Zone to analyze the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Cartels light Puerta Vallarta ablaze after the murder of “El Mencho”, their leader. Final Thought: Bill is filling in for Chris Cuomo on News Nation at 8pm on March 4th, and he's bringing back the O'Reilly Factor! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices