Podcasts about smart portfolios

AI is largely very positive and will act as an excellent tailwind for many companies in terms of growing their earnings over time, but it cannot replace everything. This is according to Aaron Bright, assistant portfolio manager of IG's Smart Portfolios. Bright and IGTV's Angeline Ong discussed the economic impact of AI and how to reframe your investment exposure to China. Any opinion, news, research, analysis, or other information does not constitute investment or trading advice.  Follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube  *Your capital is at risk. 75% of retail CFD accounts lose money*

Brace for a rocky ride in 2023 amid the Ukraine crisis, the China reopening trade, sticky inflation and high interest rates. IG's assistant portfolio manager, Aaron Bright, tells IGTV's Angeline Ong how Smart Portfolios can help investors navigate this year, which some investors say could feel like a Ryanair landing.Any opinion, news, research, analysis, or other information does not constitute investment or trading advice.  Follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube 

Jim Welsh, portfolio manager at Smart Portfolios and editor of the MacroTides newsletter, says that the next downturn is being set up by recent moves that have bolstered confidence and lulled investors into feeling good. When the market turns, closer to mid-year, Welsh thinks the disappointment of those investors will make the market more vulnerable to 'a significant decline,' which he believes will take the Standard and Poor's 500 down to the 3,500 level, with a hard-landing economy putting 3,200 within the realm of possibilities. In The Big Interview, Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group, foresees a 'growth recession,' likely to start in the second half of 2023 as consumers start to tighten up their spending. Rick says a recession, if it happens, will be mild. In The NAVigator segment, Steven Perry, vice president at XA Investments, discusses the benefits and risks associated with leverage in closed-end funds during a rising-rate environment, plus Chuck answers a listener's question about how he set up -- and changed over time -- the allowance practices used with his daughters.

An independent systematic futures trader and investor, writer, and research consultant. Author of 3 trading books: “Systematic trading”, “Smart Portfolios”, “Leveraged Trading”. Author of the upcoming “Advanced futures trading strategies”. His resume includes working for AHL, a large systematic hedge fund, and part of the man group. Prior to that he worked as a research manager for CEPR, an economic think tank, and traded exotic derivatives for Barclays investment bank. Confessions of a Market Maker presents Rob Carver---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Rob Carver on Twitter: https://twitter.com/investingidiocy?s=20&t=DypFsAPj3mM1H_SOdTcJVA Rob's Website & Blog: https://www.systematicmoney.org/ JJ on Twitter: https://twitter.com/vwaptrader1?s=20&t=DypFsAPj3mM1H_SOdTcJVA Ray on Twitter: https://twitter.com/AllxDayxRayx---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Any listener of this podcast that has the skills to pass an evaluation can become a prop trader fully funded by either APEX Trader or Topstep Funding. Our own microefutures trading community has many members who are now fully funded; no need to trade with your own money; keep 90% of your profits. To learn more, visit our website at microefutures.com

Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios -- author of the "Macro Tides" newsletter -- says the Federal Reserve will not be able to raise interest rates, calm the economy and bring rates right back down, noting that current conditions are reminiscent of a 15-year period from the mid-1960s to the early 1980s when the market was largely flat as the central bank struggled to keep inflation in check. If the market repeats that kind of long-term doldrums, Welsh says that buy-and-hold investors will be disappointed in the long run. That's doubly scary when considering the comments of Chris Maxey, chief market strategist at Wealthspire, who says in The Big Interview that investors need to take a longer-term approach to deal with current volatility and Fed policy-making and the recession he sees ahead for 2023. In The NAVigator segment, John Cole Scott of Closed-End Fund Advisors discusses and compares floating-rate and senior loan funds to preferred-securities funds, noting that floating-rate funds are a tool for combating high and rising interest rates, while preferred equities are a good weapon for battling a recession, which may lead investors to "split the ticket" in order to deal with  today's complex markets. In the Market Call, Aleksandr Spencer, chief investment officer at Bogart Wealth, discusses tactical investing and the right funds and ETFs for the job now.

Jim Welsh, Macro Strategist and Portfolio Manager at Smart Portfolios joins us to discuss inflation, Fed policy and the recent carnage on Wall Street.  He also talks about using Fibonacci sequences to help chart financial markets.  Follow Jim Welsh on Twitter @JimWelshMacro and his website MacroTides.com --- Make sure to subscribe to us on the Audacy app; leave us a review & rate on Apple Music, too! Have a question for host Andy Giersher? Tweet him @Giersh. Never miss an episode from us! Hit the follow button on our Insta & Twitter

Jim Welsh, macro strategist at Smart Portfolios and the author of MacroTides, says he still believes the market can rally during the last half of the year, but he says investors have to respect the current downtrend, which is likely to get worse before any bounceback. Welsh notes that consumer savings should help absorb inflation, business spending is up, demand is higher and he believes the economy has enough internal strength to avoid recession so long as the Federal Reserve doesn't have to raise rates above 2.5 percent. If rates rise higher, Welsh says it could lead to a recession in 2023. Also on the show, John Cole Scott, chief investment officer at Closed-End Fund Advisors discusses how to find the right issues to deal with the rising-rate, high-inflation conditions, Chuck discusses some things that he has never head said by experts during the first 10 years of the show, and Janet Brown of FundX Investment Group discusses funds, ETFs and the "upgrading" investment style in the Market Call.

Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist for Ned Davis Research, says that the market has room to run into next year, but that 2022 is likely to see much more volatility and much slower growth, even if inflation concerns start to fade and interest rates don't move dramatically higher. Clissold expects an earnings environment that is less friendly, traditional mid-term election year doldrums and more to hold the market to an average year overall, but with more pullbacks and downturns en route to that profitable finish. By contrast, Jim Welsh, macro strategist at Smart Portfolios, says the technicals -- along with some market history, plus higher inflation for longer than he believes most are expecting -- suggest that trouble is coming next year; unlike most technicians who have appeared on the show, Welsh expects the market to take a step back before starting a Santa Claus rally to finish 2021. Also on the show, Stephen Hester, partner at Wide Moat Research and editor at the Intelligent REIT Options Advisor newsletter, compares business-development companies to REITs as a portfolio tool, and financial adviser Tony Hixon discusses his book, 'Retirement Stepping Stones,' and how important it is for people to consider more than their finances as they prepare to end their working careers.

Listen to the latest market news from eToro Market Analyst Josh Gilbert, hosted by Trading School Lead Sam North as they summarise the latest earnings season, preview Disney's release, try to break down what Elon Musk's tweets were all about and also review which 'themes' may perform well over the next 6 months. Learn more about trading by visiting the eToro Trading School's home page where you can read reports, watch videos and sign up to our free trading course.Your capital is at risk. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Past performance is not an indication of future results.This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without taking into account any particular recipient's investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past or future performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication.

Listen to the latest market news from eToro Market Analyst Josh Gilbert, hosted by Trading School Lead Sam North as they summarise the latest earnings season, preview Disney's release, try to break down what Elon Musk's tweets were all about and also review which 'themes' may perform well over the next 6 months. Learn more about trading by visiting the eToro Trading School's home page where you can read reports, watch videos and sign up to our free trading course.Your capital is at risk. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Past performance is not an indication of future results.This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without taking into account any particular recipient's investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past or future performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication.

Duane McAllister, portfolio manager for the Baird Funds, says that the Federal Reserve is likely to sustain its inflation projections but says that he doesn't expect interest rates to spike as inflation goes up, citing strong international demand and other factors as keeping rates in check. Also on the show, Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios talks technical analysis, noting that he sees the market taking a 7 to 10 percent downturn over the next few months before proving that drop to be a buying opportunity based on a rebound in the fourth quarter, Jill Gonzalez of WalletHub.com discusses how coronavirus changed Americans' habits with rewards credit cards, and Oliver Pursche of Wealthspire talks exchange-traded funds in the Market Call.

This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global. Although most of us like to think that we will rise to the occasion when the moment comes, various studies show that the vast majority of people will sink to the level of their training in the heat of battle. A systematic response to dynamic scenarios, removing one’s emotions from the equation, has been the standard approach in the military for millennia. In the world of investing, rules-based methodologies remain a contentious topic, even though a majority of the most successful asset managers are quants. Rob Carver (Independent Systematic Researcher and Author) knew early on that his investment career could only take the ‘systematic path’. He joined us for a great conversation that covered: His early days on a trading floor, which felt like trying to solve Sudoku puzzles with a dozen angry men screaming at him Drawing inspiration from Thomas Bass, author of The Predictors Nuances across different rules-based methodologies Allowing intuition to seep in – when and how to sin The chasm between managing 3rd party capital versus your own money The evolution of his systematic thinking – the humility and beauty of ensembles Model fitting, automation and optimization – going down a quant rabbit hole Rob also detailed some of his experiences during major market selloffs, particularly in the Great Financial Crisis and more recently in the Covid Crash. We also established that systematic investing just isn’t sexy enough for Hollywood, and we’ll likely never see Keanu Reeves starring in “The Covariance Matrix” (h/t Breaking the Market). Thank you for watching and listening. See you next week

Andrew Foster, manager of the Seafarer Overseas Growth and Income Fund, says the best bargains in emerging markets are in the countries that are still mired in coronavirus troubles, and he expects normalization to happen until at least 2022, with ‘tough sledding’ keeping markets there depressed in the interim, creating potential investment bargains. Also ont eh show, Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios says he expects inflation to reach 3.5 percent by the summer and in that time also thinks the Standard and Poor’s 500 to drop down to roughly 3,500 before bouncing back and hitting new highs in the 4,000 range by summertime, Chuck discusses what investors might take from the firing of longtime Fox Business host Lou Dobbs, and Art Amador of the AI Powered Equity fund talks stocks in the Market Call.

Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios says that he expects the market to correct to where the Standard and Poor's 500 index down as low as 3,000 before a rally in the first two months of 2021 -- largely the result of the government's next stimulus package -- possibly bringing the index back to 4,000. At that point, however, Welsh is worried that the bull market could run out of steam, vulnerable to a 'much bigger correction' as the coronavirus problem drags on.  Also on the show, Bryce Rowe of National Securities Corp. talks about the strong opportunities in business-development companies now, author Marc Levenson talks globalization and his new book on how what started as moving stuff around has now become a way to move ideas, and we rebroadcast a recent Market Call covering small-cap stocks with Jay Kaplan of the Royce Funds.

In this episode, we talk about investing. With markets likely going in for a rocky end of 2020, IG’s Victoria Scholar is joined by IG’s portfolio manager Sam Dickens. The two discuss where investors could look for protection from the uncertainty that’s likely to roll over into 2021,  including the US election result and the lack of coronavirus vaccine. Sam also talks about IG’s smart portfolios, which have outperformed benchmarks by +6.3% since the start of 2020. Any opinion, news, research, analysis, or other information does not constitute investment or trading advice. Follow us on Twitter @IGTV Learn more about IG's Smart Portfolios here

Money manager Jim O'Shaughnessy -- the best-selling author of 'What Works on Wall Street' -- says that investors can look back through history to see that the United States has come through 'some really scary things.' which is why his outlook hasn't and won't change. He's expecting to ride out the current stock market and economic concerns, betting on the American people to 'figure stuff out.' Also on the show, Larry Antonatos of Brookfield Asset Management discusses real assets and which ones he expects to perform well heading into 2021, Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios talks the market's technicals and expects a short-term pullback before the Standard and Poor's 500 index rebounds to new highs around Labor Day, and John Barr of the Needham Growth and Needham Aggressive Growth Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.

Long-time Wall Street observer Marc Chaikin of Chaikin Analytics says the stock market is entering what he calls 'blue-sky territory,' a point near the end of a bull market with no signs of recession on the horizon and no resistance to stop a run and make investors unhappy. While it won't last forever, Chaikin says investors can profit by shifting away from defensive stocks, noting that technology, health care and financials are the places to be this year. Also on the show, Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios says the market's technicals mostly continue to support the ongoing uptrend, John Cole Scott of Closed-End Fund Advisors answers audience questions in The NAVigator, and Thomas Kirchner of the Camelot Event-Driven Fund talks about companies going through mergers in the Market Call. 

Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios said that with market sentiment on the rise and most observers thinking things are good, it's time to be guarded. Welsh said that the market's technicals look to him like a small rally to reach a market top before a 5 to 7 percent pullback that he does not think will scare investors. After that, he expects the market to recapture its highs, top out and then a correction early in 2020 that could shave as much as 750 points off the Standard and Poor's 500. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com has the ETF of the Week, Oliver Pursche, chief investment strategist at Bruderman Brothers Asset Management checks in from the EY Strategic Growth Conference, and James Abate of Centre Asset Management talks stocks in the Market Call.

Jim Welsh, macro strategist and portfolio manager at Smart Portfolios, said he expects the market to rally to rpughly 2,950 on the Standard and Poor's 500 ahead of the next Fed meeting, only to have the central bankers issue some sort of disappointing news around a rate cut that puts the market into a short tailspin down to the 2,750 range. From there, Welsh said, expect an oversold bounce that helps to fuel the next rally. Also on the show, author Caitlin Zaloom discusses the lengths parents go to in order to pay for college educations, we rebroadcast an interesting disagreement between Jeremiah Reithmiller and Steve Tresnan of HighTower Advisors on how to use alternative investments in a portfolio, and Michael Robinson of Money Map Press stops by to talk stocks in the Market Call.

Jim Welsh, macro strategist for Smart Portfolios and author of the Weekly Technical Review newsletter said that the market's various benchmarks are diverging, so that while the public attention has been on recent highs for the Standard and Poor's 500, they have been ignoring the mixed and dangerous signals coming from things like the Dow Transports. He expects the market to enjoy its current highs but to for the S-and-P to challenge recent support levels of 2,800 before Labor Day, noting that if the benchmark can't hold that level it could fall to around 2,350  quickly. Also on the show, author and attorney Michael Hackard discusses protecting your loved ones from financial fraud, Roch Polimeni of the College Savings Foundation talks about their annual survey of how high school students are now viewing college through the financial lens, and Brian Andrew of Johnson Financial Group covers funds and ETFs in the Market Call.

Two technical analysts -- Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios and Avi Gilburt of Elliott Wave Trader -- said they expect the market to have a corrective rally from here, only to then fall to where the Standard and Poor's 500 is in the 2,600 range. Both suggested selling into rallies and becoming more defensive, and said it looks like gold is bottoming out and could be worth buying soon, though Gilburt ultimately expects the decline to be deeper and last longer. Also on the show, Matt Dreith of the Wasatch funds talks India, China and emerging markets, and Chuck discusses lasting lessons taught by the passing of his brother Rob, who would have turned 66 today.

Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios said he expects the market to reach a near-term high -- propelled by a window-dressing rally as fund managers try to make their portfolios look like winners with moves at the end of the first quarter -- but that the optimism that comes with that move will also bring about the rally's end and lead to a modest pullback. After that, he believes the market's direction is likely to be determined by the outcome of trade concerns in China, Europe, and England. Also on the show, Brett Arends of MarketWatch.com discusses a study which shows that the music you listen to while making investment decisions could impact how well you do in the market, Catherine Collinson of the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies discusses how heavy lifting in your job could impact your ability to retire comfortably, and we rebroadcast a recent interview with Mike Liss of American Century Value.

My guest today is Robert Carver. He got his start in finance working at trend following firm AHL in 2001 during his final year of college. He was introduced to quantitative trading while at AHL and for the first time began thinking of finance in a systematic way. He later went back to AHL, working there from 2006-2013. It took a lot of research and digging for Robert to decipher which financial tools available to traders were appropriate for him. He knew he was not the only trader with this problem so he decided to write a book laying out what he had found through his research. Robert gives actionable tips and guidelines for others who may need help finding what trading instruments are right for them. Robert also wanted “Smart Portfolios” to be a book for the average investor. He wrote it in a way that is not over complicated. Any trader, new or professional, can pick it up and find it useful. The topics are his books Systematic Trading: A unique new method for designing trading and investing systems and Smart Portfolios: A Practical Guide to Building and Maintaining Intelligent Investment Portfolios. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Portfolio selection Benchmarks International investing Fundamental trading Warren Buffett trading Expected average performance Leveraging a portfolio Luck vs. Skill Venture capitalism Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Robert Carver got his start in finance working at trend following firm AHL in 2001 during his final year of college. He was introduced to quantitative trading while at AHL and for the first time began thinking of finance in a systematic way. He later went back to AHL, working there from 2006-2013. His newest book is “Smart Portfolios: A Practical guide to building and maintaining intelligent investment portfolios.” It took a lot of research and digging for Robert to decipher which financial tools available to traders were appropriate for him. He knew he was not the only trader with this problem so he decided to write a book laying out what he had found through his research. Robert gives actionable tips and guidelines for others who may need help finding what trading instruments are right for them. Robert also wanted “Smart Portfolios” to be a book for the average investor. He wrote it in a way that is not over complicated. Any trader, new or professional, can pick it up and find it useful. Robert bases portfolio selection around three questions: 1. What should you invest in? 2. How much of your capital goes into those investments? 3. Do you make changes to your portfolio along the way? Whenever he receives questions from people, those questions usually fall into one of the above categories. There is never perfection when trying to predict how a portfolio will perform but Robert stresses that if you start your investing answering the above questions, you will be on the right track. After the right portfolio and financial tools have been selected it’s necessary to understand different types of returns. Michael and Robert finish the podcast discussing differences between geometric and arithmetic returns. In this episode of Trend Following Radio: Portfolio selection Benchmarks International investing Fundamental trading Warren Buffett trading Expected average performance Leveraging a portfolio Luck vs. Skill Venture capitalism

Today on the show, I'm joined by Robert Carver, to discuss his new book, Smart Portfolios: A practical guide to building and maintaining intelligent investment portfolios. Rob is an independent investor, trader and writer. He spent over a decade working in the City of London before retiring from the industry in 2013. Rob's new book Smart Portfolios is about building and maintaining smart investment portfolios. At its heart are the three key questions every investor needs to answer; what to invest in, how much to invest, and when to make changes to a portfolio. Rob addresses these three areas by providing a single integrated approach to portfolio management. He shows how to follow a step-by-step process to build a multi-asset investment portfolio, and how to rebalance the portfolio efficiently. Here's my conversation with Robert Carver, author of Smart Portfolios, in episode 274 of Informed Choice Radio.