Podcasts about bull market

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Latest podcast episodes about bull market

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
The Unexpected Reality of Crypto Market Cycles! with William Quigley

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2026 55:15 Transcription Available


William Quigley, Co-Founder of Tether and WAX, joined me to discuss the disappointing crypto bull market and when we may see a recovery.Topics:- Tether & the Stablecoin market - Banks fighting stablecoin yield - Stablecoins impact on FX Market - Crypto bull and bear market review- Future of Crypto Brought to you by

TD Ameritrade Network
Why This Bull Market is Unloved

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 24, 2026 6:36


“There's a lot on investors' minds at the moment,” says Kelly Bouchillon. He digs into the Fed's potential rate cut path, with multiple Fed speakers throughout Tuesday's session. Retail investors are seeing their accounts near highs, Kelly says, and now they need to figure out how to protect it. Despite worries around defending gains, he's staying optimistic on the U.S. and international equities.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The KE Report
Nick Hodge –  Embrace The Volatility Within The Structural Bull Market In Silver, Gold, Copper, and Uranium Stocks

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2026 44:45


Nick Hodge, Co-Owner of Digest Publishing and editor of Foundational Profits and Underground Alpha, joins me for our monthly longer-format discussion on different macroeconomic factors, continuing to fuel the commodities supercycle in silver, gold, copper, uranium, and opportunities in their related resource stocks.   We start off discussing the extreme volatility seen in the price charts for silver, gold, platinum, copper and other metals since our last conversation in early January.  We reviewed that prices climaxed into the uber-bullish sentiment witnessed at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference in late January; right before correcting down hard in the days and week that followed.    After several more weeks of choppy price action, things are settling out; but Nick reiterates that investors should be embracing this volatility.  He points out that we are still in a structural bull market in the precious metals for a number of macroeconomic factors from interest rates, currencies, sovereign debt, ongoing central bank buying, the rise of BRICS nations, and even crypto stablecoin companies like Tether buying huge amounts of gold to back their Tether Gold (XAUt) product.   Tether is also directly investing into royalty companies like Elemental Royalty Corporation (TSXV: ELE) (NASDAQ: ELE), Gold Royalty Corp (NYSE American: GROY), and Versamet Royalties Corporation (TSX: VMET). Nick flagged that Streamex Corp. (NASDAQ: STEX), a leader in institutional-grade tokenization and real-world asset infrastructure, recently announced that it has acquired a 9.9% equity interest in Empress Royalty Corp. (TSXV:EMPR) (OTCQX:EMPYF).  We also discussed some of the larger transactions lately executed by the larger senior royalty companies like Wheaton Precious Metals (TSX: WPM) (NYSE: WPM), Franco-Nevada Corporation (TSX: FNV)(NYSE: FNV), and Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX: TFPM, NYSE: TFPM).   While there have been quite a few new entrants into the royalty space over the last couple years, Nick believes that the demand is there for more royalty vehicles, and that it isn't overcrowded yet, and we'll likely keep seeing more new companies launched as this sector continues to expand.    He pointed out the some of the quality prospect generator companies, like Headwater Gold Inc. (CSE: HWG) (OTCQX: HWAUF) and Almadex Minerals Ltd. (TSX-V: DEX), have also accumulated royalties within their asset portfolios that provide future optionality to sell or spin out into new companies.   Next, we shifted over to the merger and acquisition transactions in the precious metals and critical minerals space, noting some of the unique M&A news of late, and outlining why the overall volume of deal flow is less than many expected considering the need to replace minded reserves, and the compelling value propositions of the development projects.   Nick outlines that this lack of takeovers of quality projects, while developers remain undervalued at current metals prices gives investors a unique opportunity to capitalize on these market inefficiencies.  He revisits prior comments made about Kutcho Copper Corp. (TSXV: KC) (OTCQX: KCCFF) , and how since then the stock has gone up over a 100% after restating their economics in light of the underlying metals environment.   Wrapping up we shift over to the strong fundamental factors for nuclear power and compelling supply/demand imbalances for more uranium.  He discusses the permitting milestone achieved with Denison Mines Corp. (TSX: DML) (NYSE American: DNN), the imminent spin-out of Verdera Energy from enCore Energy Corp. (NASDAQ: EU) (TSXV: EU), and that North Shore Uranium Ltd. (TSX-V:NSU) and Skyharbour Resources Ltd. (TSX.V: SYH) (OTCQX: SYHBF) are 2 earlier-stage uranium explorers he's been adding to in his portfolio.   Click here to follow Nick's analysis and publications over at Digest Publishing     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown
Looks Like a Bull Market, Feels Like a Crash

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 20, 2026 68:57


On episode 230 of The Compound and Friends, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠is joined by Robyn Grew and Kristina Hooper of Man Group to discuss: the 2026 outlook, AI's impact and recession possibilities, as well as International markets, private credit, and much more! This episode is sponsored by Public and ClearBridge Investments Find out more about Public at: https://public.com/compound International and emerging market stocks outperformed the U.S. in 2025. At ClearBridge, we believe this momentum can continue. Find out more at https://www.clearbridge.com/ Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠instagram.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠twitter.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Public Disclosure: Paid endorsement. Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Not investment advice. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and investment values may rise or fall. See terms of match program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram. Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Carson Group's Detrick: The bull market is 'alive and well' with room to run

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2026 62:33


Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for the Carson Group, says that February and March could be "banana peel months" for the stock market to slip on, but he's not expecting a significant downturn and he says the underpinnings for the stock market will keep the bull market running through at least the end of the year. Detrick noted that the market has sent some mixed messages — with about 20% of stocks making 52-week highs while 6% made 52-week lows just last week — but he says that a strong economy with a dovish Federal Reserve can overcome geopolitical concerns, creating an environment where investors should be "overweight equities, but diversified around the globe." Dan Doonan, executive director for the National Institute on Retirement Savings, discusses their latest report, "Retirement in America: An Analysis of Retirement Preparedness Among Working-Age Americans," which has made headlines for suggesting that the average working American has less than $1,000 saved for retirement. Doonan is quick to back away from that number — because it includes the many Americans who have nothing saved and who aren't working to change that — but notes that while retirement balances are much higher for people who put in the effort, there remains a savings crisis in America.  Gil Baumgarten, founder and chief executive officer at Segment Wealth Management, brings his dividend-and-income focused approach to stock picking back to the Money Life Market Call.

77 WABC MiniCasts
Jack Bouroudjian and Jim Lacamp and the Recent Bull Market | 02-14-26

77 WABC MiniCasts

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2026 18:07


Larry Kudlow and investment experts Jack Bouroudjian and Jim Lacamp analyze a robust bull market characterized by shifting leadership and strong economic indicators. The participants argue that the economy is entering a period of significant productivity growth and high corporate earnings, which they believe justifies high stock valuations despite a recent drawdown in Bitcoin. Central to their optimistic outlook is the observation that wages are outpacing inflation, creating a favorable environment for consumer spending and further investment. The discussion also critiques current monetary policy, with the panel calling for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to avoid stifling the ongoing "miracle" of market expansion.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Creed of Crypto
185. Is ProveX Starting a PulseChain Bull Market?

Creed of Crypto

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2026 79:41


Broke Boi Crypto (@BrokeBoiCrypto) and Crypto Ewok (@CryptoEwok) discuss the latest in Crypto, DeFi, Bitcoin and macro economics.Follow the show on Twitter: @CreedOfCrypto

The Julia La Roche Show
#338 Warren Pies: The Bearish Narratives Are Overdone — Bull Market Remains Intact

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2026 55:30


Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, lays out his thesis for a "Goldilocks" first half of 2026, characterized by growth inflecting higher alongside continued disinflation — a very equity-positive environment. However, Warren identifies four key risks testing the market's delicate balance: vanishing MAG7 buybacks due to AI capex, software's existential disruption, Kevin Warsh's Fed nomination (which he calls "the worst pick for investors"), and precious metals volatility. Despite these headwinds, Warren argues the most bearish narratives are overdone. He notes that software has moved from overvalued to fairly valued, that post-GFC markets have returned double digits in every year with buyback contractions, and that extreme return dispersion near all-time highs historically resolves in six-month rallies. His core investment thesis: "When disruption is the risk, own that which cannot be disrupted" — rotate from bonds into commodities as the ideal portfolio hedge. Warren maintains his equity overweight, expects the bull case to remain intact through H1, and sees the recent rotation as healthy rather than ominous.Links: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/https://x.com/WarrenPiesTimestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome back Warren Pies 1:16 Macro picture: The secular debasement regime 3:30 Goldilocks for H1 2026 — growth up, inflation down 5:38 Four risks to the delicate balance 12:34 Is the market healthier than people think? The rotation argument16:38 Software went from overvalued to fairly valued 17:26 Markets at record highs 18:30 Extreme dispersion under the surface 22:18 Sentiment: More pessimistic than you'd expect near ATHs30:11 The four risks: Buybacks, software, Warsh, and precious metals30:52 Commodities thesis: When disruption is the risk, own that which cannot be disrupted 37:38 Kevin Warsh and the Fed 45:22 10-year 49:53 The economy53:33 Where to find Warren and parting thoughts

Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Podcast: Broadening Bull Market, Record Highs, and Contrarian Opportunities - Tyler Herriage - February 10, 2026

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2026 31:34


In today's episode, Tyler takes a deep dive into the market's ongoing strength, despite mixed headlines and bearish sentiment. The conversation covers the broadening effect fueling all-time highs across sectors and international markets, the latest updates on GDP growth, and strong moves from the homebuilders. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

TD Ameritrade Network
Polcari: 'Solidly In This Bull Market'

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2026 7:42


A "6200% increase" in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. That's the margin between Kenny Polcari's first day on Wall Street and last week's historical milestone as the index crossed 50k. He joins Diane King Hall to provide his animated analysis of all things trading. He sees more opportunity and more jobs as AI adoption could create the "4th industrial revolution." However, he admits the tech sector could be "taking a break" after momentum lifted it to new highs. Kenny points to the broadening out in the markets, specifically outperformance in industrials and consumer staples. With that in mind, he sees the bull market mentality continuing but notes the potential for a "broad S&P drawdown in the first 6 months of the year."======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

MoneywebNOW
It may not seem like it ... but this is still a bull market

MoneywebNOW

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2026 19:56


Petri Redelinghuys from Herenya Capital Advisors on where he sees the best opportunities as crypto, big tech and commodities all retreat. Wiehann Olivier from Forvis Mazars on stablecoins, the rand, and the opportunity slipping away without clear regulation. Ernest North, co-founder of Naked, unpacks how car-insurance write-offs really work.

SD Bullion
Silver Volatility Whiplash, Physical Shortages and a Metals Bull Market Still Unfolding

SD Bullion

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2026 14:28


Gold and silver just lived through another roller-coaster week, with sharp silver price swings masking what's really happening underneath the surface. Physical supply continues to tighten globally, while speculative excess gets shaken out in dramatic fashion. Big-picture signals—from exchange inventories to global capital flows—suggest this bullion bull market is far from finished. Listen to see the data, charts, and context that explain why these moves matter and what could come next. Extreme price volatility and speculation in silver and gold The podcast details sharp swings in silver prices, heavy options speculation, leveraged positioning, and the role of futures markets and ETFs in amplifying short-term moves. Tightening physical bullion supply and market stress signals A major focus is the ongoing drawdown of silver inventories in China, rising lease rates in London, backwardation, and reports of silver bullion shortages from dealers worldwide. Long-term macro and relative-value case for bullion The update ties precious metals to bigger trends like currency debasement, capital flows, and declining confidence in fiat systems, using gold-to-stocks and gold-to-housing ratios to show why bullion may continue outperforming traditional assets.

SF Live
This Isn't a Gold Bubble — It's a Currency Breakdown | Matthew Piepenburg

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2026 24:24


Matthew Piepenburg explains why today's surge in gold and silver reflects a breakdown in sovereign debt, the bond market, and global currencies. From rising yields and hidden inflation to central bank gold accumulation and the end of post-1971 monetary credibility, this conversation lays out why policymakers are running out of options, and why the real crisis isn't gold, but paper money itself.#gold #financialmarkets #silver ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------

Stuff That Interests Me
A Bull Market Flush – and a Management Red Flag

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 4, 2026 3:49


This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.theflyingfrisby.comPhew. I need to write about something else apart from silver and gold. But I have to look at the price action we have seen this week, and I will say this. It was violent. Extraordinary, even. But it wasn't necessarily bearish.Sharp sell-offs like those we saw on Friday and Monday are characteristic of bull markets. In bear markets, corrections are grinding and protracted. Selling pressure is persistent. Value erodes slowly amid deteriorating fundamentals.Bull markets behave differently. They flush. Explosively.Late entrants and overleveraged speculators get shaken out. Stops are tight. Everyone is climbing the wall of worry. When a correction comes, a cascade of stop losses gets triggered all at once. Hence the violence.BTW the latest Atlas Pulse came out on Friday, as level-headed as always. It's the best gold and silver newsletter out there, in my view. Get your copy here - it's free.This is not just a precious-metals phenomenon. It's a broader market truism. I've seen it in equities, other commodities, you get it all the time in tech - especially bitcoin. Indeed the action we are seeing in bitcoin at the moment is typical of a bear market. The selling is grinding and relentless, rather than sharp and explosive.What's more the gold and silver miners behaved well, and in a way that is consistent with a bull market flush. Yes, they saw significant selling. But gold corrected 21% and silver 41%. GDX (the large mining companies) only corrected 19% and SIL (the large silvers) 24%. Most importantly, they recovered faster. You would not have got a bounce like that in a bear market.The relative strength is telling. If this were a reversal, the miners would have sold off by more. They didn't.If you live in a third world country such as the UK, I urge you to own gold or silver. The pound will be further devalued, as will the euro and dollar. The bullion dealer I recommend is The Pure Gold Company. More here.What's more, theh miners only need $4,000 gold and $50 silver to be highly profitable. But if higher prices are the new normal, then a lot of previously uneconomic mines - particularly the low-grade, bulk-tonnage in Canada - are going to become economic. Heck, even STLLR Gold (TSX.STLR) might work. I should probably delete that last sentence.How the landscape has changed from a couple of years ago.Such huge potential, but …In other news, I sat through the Comstock Inc (AMEX:LODE) conference call yesterday. An hour of my life I won't get back.The asymmetric potential of this company remains enormous. But that call was a red flag bonanza.With the silver story what it is, and a clear path for this company to become North America's largest silver producer, this stock should be trading above $15.

Sports Cards Live
Is This Bull Market Different + Fanatics, PSA, and Power in the Hobby + Why Boxes Cost So Much

Sports Cards Live

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2026 46:52


Jason Masherah, President of Upper Deck, and moves from hobby momentum into the business mechanics behind what collectors are feeling right now. We start with a straight question: how real is the US hockey card market, and where is the growth coming from? Jason explains why Upper Deck is focused on expanding hockey's footprint in the United States, how the Certified Diamond Dealer ecosystem helps them measure shop health, and what changed since 2017 with programs designed to help stores upgrade, expand to multiple locations, and build stronger communities. From there, we hit a fun CDD storyline: the player appearance giveaway, why those events matter for collectors and kids, and why Jason still gets anxiety about players flaking because it reflects on the brand and the shop hosting. Then we get into the Olympics angle, including an update on an Olympic licensed Team Canada Tim Hortons product and a massive chase concept tied to a golden goal moment that hockey fans still remember vividly. Next comes a topic everybody argues about: unopened wax pricing. Jason breaks down what's actually driving higher prices, including labor and material costs, inflation, and how pricing behavior differs across sports. He also draws a hard line on something he believes in: collectors should still be able to buy and rip a real hobby box without being forced into breaks as the only realistic option. We also dig into the current hobby upcycle. Jason shares why he thinks this era is different from the early 90s, why Gen X returning matters, and how serial numbering changed the psychology of collecting. Then a great sidebar: should everything be serial numbered, or does mystery help certain chase cards become lore? We close with a clear discussion about consolidation and “monopolies” in the hobby. Jason compares grading dominance versus exclusive league licenses, explains why those are not the same problem, and talks about what would actually need to happen for competition to return in certain sports. Follow, subscribe, and leave a 5-star review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify if you want more long-form conversations like this.Watch Sports Cards Live on YouTube and join the chat when we go live Saturdays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Julia La Roche Show
#334 Chris Whalen: Trump's Fed Chair Pick Kevin Warsh Is a Classic Hawk, Why Gold Is Due for a Correction But The Bull Market Isn't Over, & The Private Credit Cesspool

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2026 35:12


In this week's episode of The Wrap, Chris Whalen breaks down President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, calling him "the only choice" and a "classic hawk" who won't be afraid to lecture Congress on the link between deficits and inflation — something no Fed chair has done in 30 years. Chris explains why Warsh will likely shrink the balance sheet while giving Trump one or two rate cuts, and predicts the nomination may actually keep Powell on the board through 2028 just to deprive Trump of another conservative seat. On markets, Chris sees a more boring year ahead after 2025's extraordinary run, with gold and silver due for a 10-15% correction — though the bull market isn't over. He notes that crypto platforms like Hyperliquid are now trading precious metals, signaling money flowing from crypto into the "shiny object that's moving most." Chris also warns that private equity is becoming a major risk, with one in five firms now illiquid or in default, representing hundreds of billions in potential bank losses.Links:    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/  Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/   Timestamps:0:00 Welcome 1:09 Kevin Warsh nominated as Fed Chair — Chris's reaction 2:15 Warsh will have to build consensus on the FOMC 3:01 Warsh won't be afraid to link deficits and inflation 3:15 Will Warsh be more hawkish? 4:26 Warsh during the financial crisis — what to expect 5:25 The martyrdom of Jerome Powell: Yellen and Powell did too much6:04 Hard decisions the market won't like 6:15 A conservative Fed puts pressure back on Congress 7:21 Will Trump like Warsh lecturing on deficits? 7:49 Powell refusing to say if he'll stay as governor 9:32 Is staying on the board political? 10:32 What will Powell's legacy be? 12:09 The state of the Fed's balance sheet: Poor 13:21 Central banks should keep assets short — the Fed didn't 14:15 Powell's comments on the deficit being "unsustainable" 16:08 Markets: S&P briefly hit 7000 17:47 Credit-sensitive stocks under pressure, metals outperforming 18:41 Labor market and layoffs: Amazon, UPS, FedEx 19:19 Personnel costs and inflation 19:42 Gold to $5,600, silver to $110 — correction coming? 20:50 Crypto platforms now trading gold and silver 22:21 Central bank gold holdings now exceed foreign Treasury holdings24:26 Where Chris is putting his money 24:43 WGA 50 bank rankings preview 26:57 Private equity risk: 1 in 5 firms illiquid or in default 28:29 AI companies leveraged to their eyebrows 28:50 Viewer mail: Taking profits on Annaly?32:29 Parting thoughts: Earnings, Warsh, and what's ahead 34:47 Closing

Mining Stock Education
Bull Market Advice, Recent Conference Sentiment & Discerning Bias with Bill Powers & Brian Leni

Mining Stock Education

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 52:49


In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Bill Powers and co-host Brian Leni of Junior Stock Review engage in their monthly Junior Mining Insights discussion. They cover Brian's recent attendance at the Metals Investor Forum and the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, highlighting the positive sentiment and increased interest from investors. The conversation also explores demographics and the influence of younger investors transitioning from cryptocurrency to junior mining stocks. The duo discusses where current value can be found in a precious metals bull market. They delve into the importance of understanding an information conveyor's bias and process when evaluating information in the sector. Brian shares his experience from a recent site tour in South America and the impact of community engagement by mining companies. The episode concludes with Bill discussing potential investment opportunities in critical metals and copper, influenced by broader market sentiment and insights from industry experts. 00:00 Introduction 00:27 Conference Insights: Vancouver Events 01:40 Market Sentiment and Demographics 03:40 Crypto Investors in Mining 06:40 Viewer Feedback and Market Psychology 09:37 Investment Strategies and Market Trends 15:12 Bias and Process in Mining Investments 22:44 Community Engagement in Mining 27:55 Analyzing Brian's Hot Chili Investment 28:37 The Importance of Water in Mining 29:18 Copper Market and Investment Strategy 30:10 Understanding Brian's Investment Bias 30:35 Quantifying Market Opportunities 31:14 The Role of New Discoveries in Investment Decisions 32:06 Portfolio Composition and Strategy 33:42 Learning from Investment Successes and Failures 36:03 Investor Psychology and Decision Making 42:49 Current Investment Questions and Opportunities 48:51 Brian's New Newsletter Brian's website: https://www.juniorstockreview.com/ Brian's YT: https://www.youtube.com/@FIELD_NOTES Bill's Twitter: https://x.com/MiningStockEdu Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/

The Financial Exchange Show
Does this bull market have room to run?

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2026 38:32 Transcription Available


Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti discuss the upcoming Fed meeting and rate cut decision and why what is happening at the Fed is crucial for the economy. Does this bull market have room to run? Is the AI bubble close to popping? Homebuyers are backing out of deals at the fastest pace in nearly a decade. The dollars sudden drop raises alarms.

Vertical Research Advisory
Retail Investors Lead Bull Market as Gold and Silver Hit New Highs

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2026 27:48


Welcome to the VRA Investing Podcast! On this lively Friday edition, host Kip Herriage dives into the latest market trends, the ongoing surge in gold and silver, and why retail investors have outsmarted Wall Street by betting big on the Trump economic miracle. From discussing true price discovery in precious metals to exploring groundbreaking developments with Tesla's humanoid robots and robo-taxis, Kip Herriage covers it all. He unpacks bold predictions for GDP growth, explains the impact of AI innovation, and reveals why now is a thrilling time to be in the markets. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just looking for insights on where the economy is headed, this episode is packed with optimism, actionable advice, and a few personal stories from Kip Herriage himself. So grab your headphones and let's jump into a transformative moment in investing!

TD Ameritrade Network
Bull Market Momentum: TSM, AMAT, LRCX, ASX, and EWY Poised for Growth

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2026 8:34


Phoenix Financial Services' Wayne Kaufman outlines the current bull market's momentum, noting excellent market breadth and positive sentiment. He delves into how corporate earnings growth, fueled by efficiencies and A.I. innovations, justifies current valuations despite a vanished equity risk premium. Kaufman also highlights several semiconductor and electronics manufacturing companies poised for continued growth, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), Applied Materials (AMAT), Lam Research (LRCX), ASE Technology Holding Company (ASX), and the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY), which includes Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Get Ready For The Future Show
Fastest Four: Bull Market Officially Over?

The Get Ready For The Future Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2026 3:06


Just because a bull market is aging doesn't mean it's about to end. In this episode of Fastest 4 Minutes in Finance, Scott Inman breaks down what history tells us about the fourth year of a bull market, using data going back to 1949. With the S&P 500 up roughly 80% since the bull market began in October 2022, many investors are asking whether the run is running out of steam—or if there's still fuel left in the tank.

Stinchfield with Grant Stinchfield
Wall Street Pro Declares: Bull Market is a Go, The Market Negativity Narrative is Fake News!

Stinchfield with Grant Stinchfield

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 30:42


Today on Stinchfield, we expose one of the most powerful weapons used against everyday investors: the financial media’s psyop of negativity. Fear sells. Panic controls. And Wall Street knows it. While the headlines scream recession, collapse, and doom, something very different is happening beneath the surface. The truth is, the bull market isn’t over—it may be just getting started. And 2026 could be one of the most profitable years for those who understand what the media refuses to tell you. We’re joined by Wall Street veteran Kip Herriage, CEO of Vertical Research Advisory, who breaks down how this nonstop drumbeat of negativity is designed to shake you out of winning positions—and how smart money is positioning right now. Kip lays out the real signals, the coming catalysts, and the keys to beating the market in 2026—not with hype, but with data, discipline, and clarity. If you’re tired of being emotionally manipulated by financial media and want to understand where the market is actually headed, this is a conversation you cannot miss. vraletter.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Wealthion
Henrik Zeberg: The Final Gasp of This Bull Market—and the Fragile Economic Reality Beneath It

Wealthion

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 53:50


Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Podcast: Bull Market Signals and Options Program Success - Kip Herriage - January 12, 2026

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 31:21


In today's episode, Kip recaps an action-packed weekend of playoff football before diving into the latest moves in the markets. He breaks down Monday's dramatic reversal, where the Dow Jones battled back from a nearly 500-point drop to close in positive territory, and highlights the bull market behaviors in indexes like the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and semiconductors. Kip shares insights into the VRA Parabolic Options program's impressive performance, discusses the strength of homebuilder stocks, and explains why he's so bullish on gold, silver, and junior miners right now. He also gives his take on Trump's upcoming appearance at Davos, what it could mean for the markets, and the behind-the-scenes fight between Trump and the Federal Reserve. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

The Jay Martin Show
Rick Rule: A Generational Precious Metals Bull Market Is JUST STARTING

The Jay Martin Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2026 43:40


Rick Rule joins Jay to explain why the recent strength in gold, silver, and commodities may still be early in a much larger cycle. Drawing on decades of market experience, Rick breaks down how underinvestment, supply shortfalls, and mispriced risk are setting the stage for what he believes could become a historic commodities bull market over the next two years. Connect with Rick: https://x.com/RealRickRule https://www.ruleinvestmentmedia.com/ Join us LIVE at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference on January 25 & 26. Tickets: https://VRICMedia.com Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://linkly.link/26yH8 Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 00:00 — Are investors late to the gold and silver rally? 01:29 — Rick Rule's "three" questions for junior mining CEOs 06:41 — Capital structure, patience, and long-term value creation 09:46 — Why volatility is the cost of big wins 13:22 — Opening VRIC with decades of experience 14:01 — Why Rule thinks a major commodities bull market is still ahead 16:46 — Gold stocks, earnings surprises, and analyst blind spots 19:36 — Institutional money and precious metals allocations 22:02 — Copper shortages, oil underinvestment, and supply constraints 27:09 — Why price discovery is inevitable in copper and energy 37:34 — Venezuela, oil markets, and separating headlines from reality Copyright © 2025 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.

Simply Bitcoin
Will Trump's $200B Move Trigger a Bitcoin Bull Market? | Bitcoin Simply

Simply Bitcoin

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2026 17:06


Donald Trump just triggered a $200B bond-buying spree sparking what's likely the biggest money printer moment since 2008. Here's why Bitcoin is about to explode, what institutions are doing behind the scenes, and how retail is finally waking up. SPONSORS✅ Ledn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/9W598/9B9DM/?source_id=podcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Simply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loanNeed liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? Ledn has been the trusted Bitcoin-backed lending platform for 6+ years. Access your BTC's value while HODLing.

Creed of Crypto
180. Will 2026 be the REAL Crypto Bull Market?

Creed of Crypto

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2026 84:21


Broke Boi Crypto (@BrokeBoiCrypto) and Crypto Ewok (@CryptoEwok) discuss the latest in Crypto, DeFi, Bitcoin and macro economics.Follow the show on Twitter: @CreedOfCrypto

investir.ch
L'éternelle marche en avant du Bull Market – 7 janvier 2026

investir.ch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 7, 2026 10:43


On dit toujours que c'était mieux avant. Et des fois je pense que c'est pas complètement faux. Avant, on avait une journée de trading qui se terminait à la clôture et qui – des fois – continuait encore un peu « after close », mais rien de bien méchant. Maintenant on a des cryptos qui … Continued

Vertical Research Advisory
The Structural Bull Market Explained: Semis, Small Caps, and Reflation Rally Insights

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2026 31:34


Welcome to another episode of the VRA Investing Podcast with your host, Kip Herriage. In today's show, Kip Herriage takes us through a bullish outlook on the markets, sharing why military action, the reflation trade, and the evolving power dynamics at the Federal Reserve are driving stocks higher. He discusses the impacts of global events, the Trump economic doctrine, and what it means for investors right now. You'll hear insights on sector trends, including the breakout moves in semiconductors and small caps, as well as a deep dive into precious metals and the exciting prospects for gold and silver during this cycle. Plus, Kip Herriage addresses the Supreme Court's upcoming decision on tariffs and its potential effects on the market. If you're looking to stay ahead with sharp market analysis and actionable investing ideas, this episode is packed with reasons to be optimistic — and some specific picks to watch. So sit back, relax, and get ready for a high-conviction take on what could be a melt-up year for investors.

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Piper Sandler's Johnson: Bull market, yes, 'but with a lower-case B'

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2026 58:42


Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler, says three consecutive years of stock market gains aren't going to come to a dead stop, but he does think the market's pace will slow down in 2026, where he has a target for the Standard & Poor's 500 of 7,150. Johnson expects a strong first quarter, but suggests investors might want to start building up cash for a pullback that could occur in the second or third quarter, noting that this market is "acting more like a light switch than a dimmer," meaning it will have on-off volatility rather than more gentle moves. David Goerz, chief executive and chief investment officer at Strategic Frontier Management, sees the market reaching a similar peak — he picked 7,200 on the S&P as his target — and also forecast a correction or downturn in the spring or early summer, but he says that the fundamentals behind his process suggest that small-caps and international stocks will be the areas that ultimately carry the market higher. In "The Week That Is," Vijay Marolia, chief investment officer at Regal Point Capital, discusses how Venezuela — in the news due to the arrest of its president — should not be overlooked for its economic impact, despite being a frontier market, discusses how energy markets will sort out the issues there and talks about how capitalism continues to show its dominance over socialism.

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Crossmark's Doll makes his '26 predictions: 'We are in a high-risk bull market'

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 2, 2026 60:28


Bob Doll, chief investment officer at Crossmark Global Investments, returns to the show to discuss his 10 forecasts for the year ahead, when he is expecting "a good, but not a great year" as the market navigates "a high-risk bull market." Doll, a Wall Street veteran who has been making annual forecasts and predictions for decades, says that every year has plenty of uncertainty, but he says it feels like there is more now. He's expecting positive economic growth, sticky inflation and earnings that are lower than analysts expect, which will put a cap on the market's ability to generate gains. John Cole Scott, president of CEF Advisors — the chairman of the Active Investment Company Alliance — reviews the forecasts he made a year ago for 2025, grading his wins and losses on everything from inflation levels and Treasury yields to discount levels and the performance of five funds he identified as potential buys. Plus, Chuck talks about how investors are caught in a cyclone of emotions — suffering from higher inflation while benefiting from a stock market that has been defying gravity — and how a straightforward to-do list for the new year can provide more financial stability and clarity for 2026 and beyond.

Wintrust Business Lunch
Noon Business Lunch 1/2/26: Bull market, Fed forecast, Tesla sales fall

Wintrust Business Lunch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 2, 2026


Segment 1: Steven Esposito, President of Yellowstone Wealth Management in Lake Forest, joins John to talk about the spectacular market returns for the last few years, why he’s happy that the market is broadening, why it’s likely that interest rates will continue to fall, if there is any concern about inflation, the importance of a broad based […]

Stacking Slabs
2025 Bull Market Unpacked: Why the Hobby Took Off and What It Means for Collectors

Stacking Slabs

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 1, 2026 33:37


2025 was not a random spike. It was a convergence.In this episode, Brett steps back from individual card sales and looks at the forces that pushed the hobby into a true bull market. Online sales hit record highs. Platforms evolved. Corporations moved in. New collectors showed up. The center of gravity shifted.This is a collector-first breakdown of what drove the growth in 2025 and why it matters when you buy, sell, and hold cards.Topics covered include • Why $422M in online sales in a month matters more than any single card • How Fanatics, Topps, eBay, and live commerce reshaped demand • The rise of breakers, repacks, and platform-driven velocity • What corporate money changes for collectors on the ground • Signals to watch as the market moves into 2026This episode is about context. Because better context leads to better decisions.Get your free copy of Collecting For Keeps: Finding Meaning In A Hobby Built On HypeStart your 7 day free trial of Stacking Slabs Patreon Today[Distributed on Sunday] Sign up for the Stacking Slabs Weekly Rip Newsletter using this linkFollow Stacking Slabs: | Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Tiktok ★ Support this podcast on Patreon ★

Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Why 2026 Might Not Be the Bull Market Everyone Expects w/ Julio Moreno

Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 31, 2025 35:13


In this episode of The Milk Road Show, onchain analyst Julio Moreno delivers an uncomfortable but data-driven take: we may already be in a bear market, and the catalysts people are counting on for 2026 aren't as obvious, or as powerful as they think.~~~~~

TD Ameritrade Network
Banks & Industrial Demand Drive Gold & Silver Bull Market

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 29, 2025 9:28


David McAlvany explains why gold and silver are experiencing a structural bull market not seen since the 1970s. He highlights central bank gold purchases in 2024 and 2025, which precede investor interest. He also discusses industrial demand for silver, particularly from solar and solid-state battery technologies, and how global distrust in institutions and potential geopolitical intensification could further drive gold and silver prices.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Thoughts on the Market
Special Encore: 2026 U.S. Outlook: The Bull Market's Underappreciated Narrative

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 26, 2025 6:30


Original Release Date: November 19, 2025Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why he continues to hold on to an out-of-consensus view of a growth positive 2026, despite near-term risks.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today I'll discuss our outlook for 2026 that we published earlier this week. It's Wednesday, Nov 19th at 6:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it. 2026 is a continuation of the story we have been telling for the past year. Looking back to a year ago, our U.S. equity outlook was for a challenging first half, followed by a strong second half. At the time of publication, this was an out of consensus stance. Many expected a strong first half, as President Trump took office for his second term. And then a more challenging second half due to the return of inflation. We based our differentiated view on the notion that policy sequencing in the new Trump administration would intentionally be growth negative to start. We likened the strategy to a new CEO choosing to ‘kitchen sink' the results in an effort to clear the decks for a new growth positive strategy. We thought that transition would come around mid-year. The U.S. economy had much less slack when President Trump took office the second time, compared to the first time he came into office. And this was the main reason we thought it was likely to be sequenced differently. Earnings revisions breadth and other cyclical indicators were also in a phase of deceleration at the end of 2024. In contrast, at the beginning of 2017—when we were out of consensus bullish—earnings revisions breadth and many cyclical gauges were starting to reaccelerate after the manufacturing and commodity downturn of 2015/2016. Looking back on this year, this cadence of policy sequencing did broadly play out—it just happened faster and more dramatically than we expected. Our views on the policy front still appear to be out of consensus. Many industry watchers are questioning whether policies enacted this year will ultimately lead to better growth going forward, especially for the average stock. From our perspective, the policy choices being made are growth positive for 2026 and are largely in line with our ‘run it hot' thesis. There's another factor embedded in our more constructive take. April marked the end of a rolling recession that began three years prior. The final stages were a recession in government thanks to DOGE, a rate of change trough in expectations around AI CapEx growth and trade policy, and a recession in consumer services that is still ongoing. In short, we believe a new bull market and rolling recovery began in April which means it's still early days, and not obvious—especially for many lagging parts of the economy and market. That is the opportunity. The missing ingredient for the typical broadening in stock performance that happens in a new business cycle is rate cuts. Normally, the Fed would have cut rates more in this type of weakening labor market. But due to the imbalances and distortions of the COVID cycle, we think the Fed is later than normal in easing policy, and that has held back the full rotation toward early cycle winners. Ironically, the government shutdown has weakened the economy further, but has also delayed Fed action due to the lack of labor data releases. This is a near-term risk to our bullish 12-month forecasts should delays in the data continue, or lagging labor releases do not corroborate the recent weakness in non-govt-related jobs data. In our view, this type of labor market weakness coupled with the administration's desire to ‘run it hot' means that, ultimately, the Fed is likely to deliver more dovish policy than the market currently expects. It's really just a question of timing. But that is a near-term risk for equity markets and why many stocks have been weaker recently. In short, we believe a new bull market began in April with the end of a rolling recession and bear market. Remember the S&P [500] was down 20 percent and the average S&P stock was down more than 30 percent into April. This narrative remains underappreciated, and we think there is significant upside in earnings over the next year as the recovery broadens and operating leverage returns with better volumes and pricing in many parts of the economy. Our forecasts reflect this upside to earnings which is another reason why many stocks are not as expensive as they appear despite our acknowledgement that some areas of the market may appear somewhat frothy. For the S&P 500, our 12-month target is now 7800 which assumes 17 percent earnings growth next year and a very modest contraction in valuation from today's levels. Our favorite sectors include Financials, Industrials, and Healthcare. We are also upgrading Consumer Discretionary to overweight and prefer Goods over Services for the first time since 2021. Another relative trade we like is Software over Semiconductors given the extreme relative underperformance of that pair and positioning at this point. Finally, we like small caps over large for the first time since March 2021, as the early cycle broadening in earnings combined with a more accommodative Fed provides the backdrop we have been patiently waiting for. We hope you enjoy our detailed report published earlier this week and find it helpful as you navigate a changing marketplace on many levels. Thanks for tuning in. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Palisade Radio
Ross Beaty: Why This Gold Bull Market ‘Still Has Legs’ & The Big Problem in Mining

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2025 31:24


Stijn Schmitz welcomes Ross Beaty to the show. Ross Beaty is a Renowned Geologist, Serial Mine Builder & Conservation Advocate. Beaty provides a comprehensive overview of the current gold market and mining industry landscape. He suggests that while gold is currently at record highs around $4,300, the market still has potential for growth, driven by strong macro and supply-demand fundamentals. Beaty anticipates a wave of new gold mine production in 2025-2027 that might eventually dampen prices, but remains optimistic about the sector’s near-term prospects. Drawing from his extensive experience building successful mining companies like Pan American Silver and Equinox Gold, Beaty emphasizes the importance of understanding specific commodity dynamics and investing in projects with significant scale and potential. He highlights the critical factors for successful mining investments, including geological potential, project location, commodity demand-supply fundamentals, and management quality. Beaty candidly discusses the mining industry’s inherent risks, noting that even well-planned projects can face unexpected challenges from geological complexities, political instability, community tensions, and volatile metal prices. He advocates for diversification and strategic portfolio management, as demonstrated by Equinox Gold’s recent divestment of Brazilian assets to focus on tier-one projects and manage debt. Beyond his mining endeavors, Beaty is deeply committed to environmental conservation through his philanthropic work. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:58 – Gold Bull Market Phase 00:03:04 – Exploration Under-Investment 00:05:09 – Lessons from Past Cycles 00:06:40 – Investment vs Mining Differences 00:09:49 – Ross’s Company Categories 00:11:40 – Spotting Special Projects 00:13:20 – Project Evaluation Criteria 00:16:28 – Commodity Fundamentals Analysis 00:21:30 – Common Mining Pitfalls 00:23:00 – Growth and Debt Risks 00:24:05 – Industry Dilution Problems 00:26:30 – Equinox Brazil Divestments 00:29:10 – Future Plans Philanthropy 00:30:23 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://www.equinoxgold.com Foundation: https://sitkafoundation.org Ross Beaty is a renowned Canadian geologist, mining entrepreneur, and philanthropist with over 50 years of experience in the international minerals and renewable energy sectors. Born in Vancouver in 1951 to a forestry entrepreneur father and a teacher mother, Beaty earned degrees in geology and law from the University of British Columbia, followed by an MSc in geology from Imperial College London. His career began in the 1970s, blending scientific expertise with business acumen to build a legacy of resource innovation. Beaty founded Pan American Silver Corp in 1994, where he serves as Chair Emeritus, growing it into a global leader in silver production. He is currently Chair of Equinox Gold Corp’s Board of Directors, a position he has held since its inception in 2017. Over four decades, he has founded and divested more than a dozen public companies, including Equinox Resources (sold in the 1990s) and Alterra Power Corp, a clean energy firm, generating an estimated $6 billion in shareholder value. A former President of the Silver Institute in Washington, DC, Beaty is a Fellow of the Geological Association of Canada, Society of Economic Geologists, and Canadian Institute of Mining. Beyond business, Beaty is a passionate environmental advocate. He co-founded and presides over the Sitka Foundation, focusing on biodiversity conservation in British Columbia through strategic grants and impact investing. He chairs the BC Parks Foundation, serves as a director for Panthera and the Pacific Salmon Foundation, and is Patron of the Beaty Biodiversity Centre at UBC. His accolades include induction into the Canadian Mining Hall of Fame (2018), the Order of Canada (2017), and an honorary Doctor of Laws from UBC (2018). An optimist at heart, Beaty champions a shift from consumerism to conservation. Married to physician Trisha Beaty, he enjoys beekeeping, cider production, and sea kayaking in Howe Sound. His journey from mining magnate to green evangelist exemplifies resilient entrepreneurship.

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
Crypto in 2026! Bull Market Top or Relief Rally?

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2025 10:41 Transcription Available


TD Ameritrade Network
MoneyFlows' Case for 2026 Bull Market & Why Inflation 'Not a Problem'

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 22, 2025 6:57


Alec Young with MoneyFlows explains why he sees the bull market carrying into 2026. The metrics behind his thesis include an improving A.I. trade, favorable monetary policy, and an easing trade environment. Alec also explains why he doesn't see inflation as a problem for the U.S. and the Fed into 2026. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Bitcoin Takeover Podcast
S16 E63: David Bailey on NAKAMOTO, BTC Media & The Bull Market

Bitcoin Takeover Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2025 126:58


David Bailey is the chairman of Bitcoin Magazine, the organizer of the most successful series of Bitcoin conferences, and the mastermind behind the Nakamoto BTC treasury company. In this episode, we talk about his latest business dealings and the current state of the Bitcoin bull market. Time stamps: 00:01:47 Bitcoin Magazine's Bitcoin-Only Pivot 00:02:17 Surviving 2018 and the COVID Pivot 00:04:09 Scaling Up: Conferences and Global Expansion 00:05:11 Bringing Politicians to Bitcoin 00:07:35 Trump's Embrace of Bitcoin and Global Perception 00:09:48 Bitcoin Price Expectations and Political Impact 00:10:56 Presidential Pardons and the Lack of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve 00:14:10 Trump Meme Coins and Industry Signals 00:17:07 Privacy, Regulation, and Privacy Acceleration Thanks to Zcash 00:20:53 Nakamoto Stock Price and Public Company Challenges 00:23:00 Bitcoin Treasury Companies: Purpose and Model 00:24:40 Evolution of Bitcoin Financialization (Banks, ETFs, Strategic Reserves, Reserve Companies) 00:35:42 David Bailey Addresses Accusations of Mismanagement 00:44:00 Bitcoin Price, Narratives, and Community Factions 00:45:05 Bullish Narratives and Breaking the Four-Year Cycle 00:46:21 Core vs. Knots: Development and Forks 00:49:35 Bitcoin Improvement Proposals and Development Stagnation 00:50:28 Jeremy Rubin in the Epstein Files, Bitcoin's Public Perception 00:54:01 Trump, Epstein, and Political Distractions 00:55:00 Bitcoin.com's Shift and Roger Ver Reflections 01:01:48 BCH Fork, Losses, and Historical Lessons 01:02:41 Conspiracy Theories: Censorship and Satoshi's Coins Post-Quantum 01:05:00 Quantum Risk and Bitcoin's Long-Term Security 01:10:24 Altcoins: Legitimacy and Usefulness 01:18:11 Ethereum, Solana, and Bitcoin's Competitive Edge 01:22:27 Bitcoin's Youth and Historical Significance 01:22:58 Operation Choke Point 3.0 and Wall Street Resistance 01:30:20 Would David Bailey Become Crypto Czar? 01:34:04 Why Invest in Nakamoto? 01:37:28 Comparing Treasury Companies 01:40:28 If You Could Change One Thing in Bitcoin: Drivechains 01:42:03 Security Budget, Scaling, and Miner Incentives 01:46:50 Bitcoin Price Predictions and the Four-Year Cycle 01:55:02 Social Media, Narratives, and Bitcoin Culture 01:58:24 Bitcoin as Money and Regulatory Setbacks 02:03:13 Closing Thoughts and Pardons

Money Tree Investing
The Federal Reserved Tipped It's Hand For a Bull Market In…

Money Tree Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 51:53


The Federal Reserve tipped it's hand for a bull market. Today we discuss the details. We talk economic divergence, as decades of debt-fueled growth and asset inflation have benefited boomers and asset owners while leaving younger generations locked out of housing and upward mobility, creating frustration and political volatility. The U.S. economy is fundamentally leveraged by pulling future earnings forward and this could be an eventual but unpredictable global financial reset. We also talk the near-term debt panic but don't get nervous as deficits are the true risk. We also talk practical investing takeaways around market cycles, sentiment, tax-loss selling, Santa Claus rally dynamics, and the importance of patience, diversification, and avoiding extreme, fear-driven decisions. We discuss... We highlight generational economic disparities, noting younger people struggle with housing affordability and wealth accumulation compared to boomers. Economic frustration among younger generations is linked to the appeal of populist political figures who speak to lived experiences. The U.S. economy is heavily leveraged, with future earnings being pulled forward to maintain growth and consumption. We warn of a potential global financial reset, while emphasizing that timing and specifics are uncertain. Central banks' accumulation of gold is a signal of perceived systemic risk and preparation for a global reset. Debt itself can be manageable, but the ongoing growth of deficits is the real problem. Concerns about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds were dismissed as largely impractical due to mutual economic harm. Market reactions to Fed rate cuts are analyzed, showing how assets like stocks, silver, the dollar, and Treasury yields respond differently. It's important to analyze market cycles and sentiment, rather than relying on GDP or simplistic economic indicators. Tax-loss selling and end-of-year market dynamics are discussed as opportunities to buy undervalued assets with lower downside risk. The Santa Claus rally and January market patterns are historically strong indicators for short-term gains. Focus on sectors or assets that were beaten down, watch early January flows, and avoid extreme, fear-driven moves.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-federal-reserved-tipped-its-hand-773 

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
CFRA's Stovall says this bull market is partying, not getting scared

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 57:06


Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, says that "Bull markets don't die of old age, they die of fright, and what they are most afraid of is recession." But he says the current bull market not only doesn't need to be too worried about recession yet, he says that after celebrating its third birthday, it has gotten into the rarified air of a market that can keep running and producing positive results for longer. While he is not expecting a big, double-digit year in 2026 for the stock market, he says modest gains — tempered by heightened volatility and a downturn or two to overcome — are likely. In "The Danger Zone," David Trainer, president at New Constructs, revisits three past picks that outperformed as shorts but which then got the actual benefits of "stupid money risk" — something he discusses nearly every week on the show — as they were bought out by private equity firms in deals that bailed out some shareholders, but which says will not be enough to save bad businesses. Plus, Vijay Marolia, chief investment officer at Regal Point Capital, is back with "The Week That Is," digging further into the Warner Brothers Discovery buyout, discussing whether a selloff last week might be a sign that investors are getting weary and may bail out before Santa Claus comes for a rally, and looks at the potential for a SpaceX initial public offering in 2026, which might be the biggest IPO in history.

Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Could Inflation Cause the Next Grain Bull Market??

Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 12:48


Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

The Goldmine
How Much Longer Will the Bull Market Last?

The Goldmine

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 39:35


On episode 201 of Ask The Compound, Ben Carlson and Duncan Hill are joined by Jurrien Timmer to discuss: where we are in this bull market's cycle, how the AI bubble compares to past bubbles, the right level of inflation, rethinking traditional allocations, financial markets and more. Submit your Ask The Compound questions to askthecompoundshow@gmail.com! This episode is sponsored by Grayscale. Find out more about Grayscale by visiting: ⁠⁠https://www.grayscale.com/ Learn more about Fidelity Trader+ at: ⁠https://www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus Subscribe to The Compound Newsletter for all the latest Compound content, live event announcements, find out who the next TCAF guest is, get updates on the latest merch drops, and more! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
Ethereum Finally REVERSING! (Bitcoin Sets Up MASSIVE 2026 Bull Market)

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2025 59:32


Ethereum is finally showing signs of a major reversal, and the charts suggest this could be the beginning of a powerful momentum shift across the entire crypto market.

Money Tree Investing
The Bull Market In Cash Is Coming...

Money Tree Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2025 66:32


A bull market in cash is coming! Gary Zimmerman, founder and CEO of Max, explains how he discovered major inefficiencies in the cash-deposit market and built a platform that helps clients earn higher yields while staying fully FDIC-insured. We explore how broker-dealer incentives shaped the "always be invested" mindset, why RIAs take a more fiduciary approach to cash, and how most advisors dramatically underestimate how much cash clients actually hold in outside bank accounts. We also dive into the strategic role of cash in portfolios, the psychology and behavioral finance behind loss aversion, and why many investors keep cash in low-yield big banks despite far better options. We discuss... Gary Zimmerman shares his path from aspiring biochemist to investment banker and ultimately founder of Max. Gary describes how Max helps advisors and clients earn higher yields on cash while staying fully FDIC-insured. The conversation highlights the structural differences between broker-dealers and fiduciary RIAs in how they treat cash. Cash is both the "worst" asset class (low returns) and the "best" (strategic flexibility and optionality). Gary emphasizes that many advisors are unaware of large "held-away" cash balances clients keep at big banks. Research shows high-net-worth households keep roughly 25% of their liquid assets in cash—far above portfolio models. Behavioral finance plays a major role as clients publicly want risk but privately hoard cash for emotional comfort. Cash helps investors sleep better, reduce loss-aversion anxiety, and feel less trapped in work or life decisions. Gary explains that deposit pricing inefficiency exists because large banks don't need or want more deposits. The system also keeps client deposits below insurance limits by spreading funds across multiple banks. They explore how most households either have no emergency reserve or keep excessive idle cash earning too little. Cash reserve needs vary dramatically by life stage, career stability, and complexity of financial obligations. Senior professionals may need years of cash cushion because job searches take longer at higher levels. Behavioral mistakes in downturns often stem from being over-invested relative to one's psychological risk capacity. Gary argues that post-pandemic money-supply expansion suggests more inflation is still embedded in the system. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/bull-market-in-cash-gary-zimmerman-768 

Thoughts on the Market
Bull Market Keeps an Eye on the Fed

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2025 4:12


Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why investors might want to reassess their portfolios, keeping in mind the gap between market moves and monetary policy.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast, why the Fed may hold the key for both near term and medium-term stock market performance. It's Monday, November 24th at 1pm in New York. So, let's get after it. At the end of September, we discussed the building tension between the Fed and markets in terms of both the fed funds rate and liquidity, suggesting this had the potential to lead to a correction in the short-term. This scenario is playing out with high momentum and low-quality stocks responding more to tightening liquidity back in September, while the high-quality S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 responded more to the incremental hawkishness on rate cuts relayed at the October 29th Fed meeting.While downside for the S&P 500 has been limited to just 5 percent, the damage under the surface has been more significant with two-thirds of the largest 1000 stocks seeing more than a 10 percent drawdown and one quarter down more than 20 percent. Similarly, Bitcoin is down close to 30 percent and topped even earlier than high momentum stocks. Gold also felt the impact of tighter liquidity earlier than the S&P 500, as one would expect.We're staying vigilant around this dynamic related to monetary policy and can't rule out more index-level downside in the short-term, especially if breadth remains weak. Having said that, we think the weakness under the hood is a sign that we're closer to the end of this correction than the beginning for the weaker areas of the market. Historically, the Generals tend to fall the most at the end of corrections. As I said on this podcast back in September, we would view this type of correction and reset on expectations as an opportunity to double down on our rolling recovery thesis which remains out of consensus.From our perspective, private labor data are showing signs of weakness that suggest the Fed should be cutting rates more aggressively. This is very much in line with my core view that the rate of change trough in the labor data occurred back in April with the lows in the equity market. The official government labor data that the Fed is waiting for is lagging and will simply confirm what we, and the markets, already know. With the official October jobs data cancelled due to the shutdown and the November series not available until December 16th, the equity market may continue to wrestle with the Fed that dragging its feet and delaying rate cuts.The good news is that we expect a meaningful decline in the Treasury's General Account in the coming weeks as the government re-opens. This should help to provide a much-needed boost to liquidity at the same time the Fed ends quantitative tightening. The question is whether these changes will be enough to improve liquidity conditions in a durable way. In my view, the clearest indication will be if we see relief in areas of the equity market and asset classes most sensitive to these dynamics over the next two weeks. That means low quality profitless growth stocks in the equity world should rally the most.Bottom line, I remain convinced in our bullish 12-month outlook for the S&P 500 and stocks more broadly. Initial feedback from investors to our recently published 2026 outlook indicates that several of our core views for 2026 remain out of consensus. More specifically, our early cycle narrative versus consensus thinking that we're late cycle; 17 percent earnings growth next year versus the consensus at 14 percent. And finally, our upgrades of small/mid cap stocks and consumer discretionary goods to overweight. Use near term weakness related to a Fed that is moving too slow for the markets' liking to reposition portfolio to sectors and stocks that have lagged behind for most of the past several years – but will benefit the most from the more aggressive Fed action that we expect to come.Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

The Pomp Podcast
The Bitcoin Bull Market Is CANCELLED?! | Jeff Park

The Pomp Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2025 32:20


Jeff Park is the Partner and Chief Investment Officer at ProCap BTC. In this conversation, we break down why bitcoin's price has been slipping and whether the market is actually signaling the start of a bear trend. Jeff explains the key forces driving sentiment — from liquidity pressures to global macro shifts — and why a slightly negative year for bitcoin might not be as bearish as it sounds.We also dig into what it would take for bitcoin to rip back toward the $125K–$150K range, plus how geopolitical dynamics in Japan, China, and elsewhere are shaping the broader investment landscape.======================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 80+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $1,000 in rewards.======================In this episode, Pomp spotlights easyBitcoin.app—the app that pays you 1% extra on recurring buys, 2% annual bitcoin rewards, and 4.5% APY on USD. Download it now for iOS or Android at https://easybitcoin.onelink.me/F1zP/klc4v1p8 and start earning today. Your capital is at risk. Crypto markets are highly volatile. This content is informational and not financial advice.======================Core is the leading Bitcoin scaling solution, enabling you to lock in yield by locking up your Bitcoin. Simply lock it on the Bitcoin blockchain to secure the Core network, and get rewards. No bridging. No lending. Just holding. Still your keys. Still your coins. Now your yield. Start at https://stake.coredao.org/pomp======================Timestamps: 0:00 – Intro1:50 – Why is bitcoin dropping? Should investors be worried?4:36 – Do technical levels like CME gaps actually matter?8:13 – Harvard's bitcoin position and how endowments invest12:15 – Has optionality changed bitcoin's market dynamics?15:14 – What Jeff is watching for real signs of optimism17:30 – Is the 4-year cycle officially dead?23:18 – Macro risks: liquidity, global conflict, & Trump premium25:56 – What would a true upside black swan look like?28:05 – How do you underwrite quantum risk today?

Thoughts on the Market
2026 U.S. Outlook: The Bull Market's Underappreciated Narrative

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2025 5:27


Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why he continues to hold on to an out-of-consensus view of a growth positive 2026, despite near-term risks.Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today I'll discuss our outlook for 2026 that we published earlier this week. It's Wednesday, Nov 19th at 6:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it. 2026 is a continuation of the story we have been telling for the past year. Looking back to a year ago, our U.S. equity outlook was for a challenging first half, followed by a strong second half. At the time of publication, this was an out of consensus stance. Many expected a strong first half, as President Trump took office for his second term. And then a more challenging second half due to the return of inflation. We based our differentiated view on the notion that policy sequencing in the new Trump administration would intentionally be growth negative to start. We likened the strategy to a new CEO choosing to ‘kitchen sink' the results in an effort to clear the decks for a new growth positive strategy. We thought that transition would come around mid-year. The U.S. economy had much less slack when President Trump took office the second time, compared to the first time he came into office. And this was the main reason we thought it was likely to be sequenced differently. Earnings revisions breadth and other cyclical indicators were also in a phase of deceleration at the end of 2024. In contrast, at the beginning of 2017—when we were out of consensus bullish—earnings revisions breadth and many cyclical gauges were starting to reaccelerate after the manufacturing and commodity downturn of 2015/2016. Looking back on this year, this cadence of policy sequencing did broadly play out—it just happened faster and more dramatically than we expected. Our views on the policy front still appear to be out of consensus. Many industry watchers are questioning whether policies enacted this year will ultimately lead to better growth going forward, especially for the average stock. From our perspective, the policy choices being made are growth positive for 2026 and are largely in line with our ‘run it hot' thesis. There's another factor embedded in our more constructive take. April marked the end of a rolling recession that began three years prior. The final stages were a recession in government thanks to DOGE, a rate of change trough in expectations around AI CapEx growth and trade policy, and a recession in consumer services that is still ongoing. In short, we believe a new bull market and rolling recovery began in April which means it's still early days, and not obvious—especially for many lagging parts of the economy and market. That is the opportunity. The missing ingredient for the typical broadening in stock performance that happens in a new business cycle is rate cuts. Normally, the Fed would have cut rates more in this type of weakening labor market. But due to the imbalances and distortions of the COVID cycle, we think the Fed is later than normal in easing policy, and that has held back the full rotation toward early cycle winners. Ironically, the government shutdown has weakened the economy further, but has also delayed Fed action due to the lack of labor data releases. This is a near-term risk to our bullish 12-month forecasts should delays in the data continue, or lagging labor releases do not corroborate the recent weakness in non-govt-related jobs data. In our view, this type of labor market weakness coupled with the administration's desire to ‘run it hot' means that, ultimately, the Fed is likely to deliver more dovish policy than the market currently expects. It's really just a question of timing. But that is a near-term risk for equity markets and why many stocks have been weaker recently. In short, we believe a new bull market began in April with the end of a rolling recession and bear market. Remember the S&P [500] was down 20 percent and the average S&P stock was down more than 30 percent into April. This narrative remains underappreciated, and we think there is significant upside in earnings over the next year as the recovery broadens and operating leverage returns with better volumes and pricing in many parts of the economy. Our forecasts reflect this upside to earnings which is another reason why many stocks are not as expensive as they appear despite our acknowledgement that some areas of the market may appear somewhat frothy. For the S&P 500, our 12-month target is now 7800 which assumes 17 percent earnings growth next year and a very modest contraction in valuation from today's levels. Our favorite sectors include Financials, Industrials, and Healthcare. We are also upgrading Consumer Discretionary to overweight and prefer Goods over Services for the first time since 2021. Another relative trade we like is Software over Semiconductors given the extreme relative underperformance of that pair and positioning at this point. Finally, we like small caps over large for the first time since March 2021, as the early cycle broadening in earnings combined with a more accommodative Fed provides the backdrop we have been patiently waiting for. We hope you enjoy our detailed report published earlier this week and find it helpful as you navigate a changing marketplace on many levels. Thanks for tuning in. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!