Podcasts about bull market

Dr. Mark Thornton, Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and Austrian economist who correctly called the housing bubble, warns that we're living in an everything bubble with a flock of black swans ready to ignite a crisis. From commercial real estate cover-ups to private equity opacity, data center spending without defined returns, and trillions in government debt, Dr. Thornton explains how Fed manipulation and artificial interest rates have created malinvestments across the economy—and why Trump's push for lower rates will only fuel more bubble activity. He breaks down Austrian Business Cycle Theory, why we're on the on-ramp to hyperinflation with 2026 looking turbulent, and makes the case for gold and silver as essential hedges against fiat money depreciation in a world of central bank money printing and currency debasement.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaLinksX: https://x.com/DrMarkThorntonFree Hayek book: https://store.mises.org/Hayek-for-the-21st-Century-P11367.aspxMises Institute: https://mises.org/profile/mark-thorntonTimestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome Dr. Mark Thornton 01:09 Concerns about the macro economy 6:35 Fed manipulation creating vast array of potential swans 12:00 What if inflation ticks up? Long-term government debt and currency depreciation fears 14:50 Living through an everything bubble 18:40 Fed outlook22:30 Austrian Business Cycle Theory explained 28:30 Malinvestment and artificial credit expansion 34:50 Who really benefits from the Fed's policies? 44:50 Inflation to pay off the national debt 46:00 Gold and silver as hedges against fiat money depreciation 52:40 Early on in the precious metals bull market, silver going above $50 is 'the end of the beginning' 1:00:03 Path to hyperinflation 1:07:01 Bitcoin and Austrian School of Economics compatibility 1:10:31 Final thoughts and closing

Entre Airbus qui nous fait le remake de “Panique à bord”, l'Allemagne qui transforme son industrie en spaghetti trop cuits, les USA qui cherchent désespérément un peu de momentum et le Japon qui éternue tellement fort que tout le marché obligataire tremble… on est servis. Et pourtant, au milieu de ce joyeux chaos, les marchés veulent toujours acheter le dip. Parce qu'on est câblés comme ça : un mélange bizarre d'optimisme naïf et de déni organisé. La macro fait peur ? Pas grave : “ça veut dire baisse des taux !”. Le Bitcoin déprime ? Bah… une bonne nuit de sommeil et on n'en parle plus. Nvidia “en promo” ? Les analystes passent instantanément en mode fanboy. Meta à +70%, Oracle à +90% ? Pourquoi pas. C'est Noël, non ? Dans cet épisode du Morningbull Live, je reviens sur :

Stocks, crypto fall to start December as the risk-off trade continues. HSBC's Max Kettner breaks down the market action. T. Rowe Price's Tony Wang talks top tech stocks on the three-year anniversary of the AI bull market. Black Friday winners and losers with Goldman Sachs' Kate McShane. New MongoDB CEO CJ Desai on the company's latest quarter.   Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Arnold of Altcoin Daily sat down with me at Chainlink SmartCon to discuss the current state of the crypto market and more. Show Sponsor -

Crypto News: Silver hits a new all time signaling liquidity roation and the macro bull market is still intact and crypto turn will come. Animoca Brands to focus on stablecoin, RWA in 2026 amid US IPO efforts. Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/ 

A bull market in cash is coming! Gary Zimmerman, founder and CEO of Max, explains how he discovered major inefficiencies in the cash-deposit market and built a platform that helps clients earn higher yields while staying fully FDIC-insured. We explore how broker-dealer incentives shaped the "always be invested" mindset, why RIAs take a more fiduciary approach to cash, and how most advisors dramatically underestimate how much cash clients actually hold in outside bank accounts. We also dive into the strategic role of cash in portfolios, the psychology and behavioral finance behind loss aversion, and why many investors keep cash in low-yield big banks despite far better options. We discuss... Gary Zimmerman shares his path from aspiring biochemist to investment banker and ultimately founder of Max. Gary describes how Max helps advisors and clients earn higher yields on cash while staying fully FDIC-insured. The conversation highlights the structural differences between broker-dealers and fiduciary RIAs in how they treat cash. Cash is both the "worst" asset class (low returns) and the "best" (strategic flexibility and optionality). Gary emphasizes that many advisors are unaware of large "held-away" cash balances clients keep at big banks. Research shows high-net-worth households keep roughly 25% of their liquid assets in cash—far above portfolio models. Behavioral finance plays a major role as clients publicly want risk but privately hoard cash for emotional comfort. Cash helps investors sleep better, reduce loss-aversion anxiety, and feel less trapped in work or life decisions. Gary explains that deposit pricing inefficiency exists because large banks don't need or want more deposits. The system also keeps client deposits below insurance limits by spreading funds across multiple banks. They explore how most households either have no emergency reserve or keep excessive idle cash earning too little. Cash reserve needs vary dramatically by life stage, career stability, and complexity of financial obligations. Senior professionals may need years of cash cushion because job searches take longer at higher levels. Behavioral mistakes in downturns often stem from being over-invested relative to one's psychological risk capacity. Gary argues that post-pandemic money-supply expansion suggests more inflation is still embedded in the system. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/bull-market-in-cash-gary-zimmerman-768 

In today's episode, Kip breaks down the post Thanksgiving market action and shares insights into why November finished with such strength despite a few surprises from the indexes. You'll hear Kip Herriage's bullish outlook for 2024, including his conviction that we're heading into a generational bull market driven by the so-called "innovation revolution," and his targets for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq for the year ahead.

Marc Henderson, CEO of Laramide Resources (OTCQX: LMRXF | TSX: LAM) believes that we are in the middle of the greatest uranium bull market in the history of the sector, and he breaks down the multitude of catalysts that he believes will drive prices much higher. Marc also dives into how Laramide Resources fits into the picture, with their diversified portfolio of development and exploration projects spread around the world. Laramide Resources Website: https://laramide.comFollow Laramide Resources on X: https://x.com/LaramideResDisclaimer: Commodity Culture was compensated by Laramide Resources for producing this interview. Jesse Day is not a shareholder of Laramide Resources. Nothing contained in this video is to be construed as investment advice, do your own due diligence.Follow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture

Watch the YouTube The CQS Natural Resources fund is one of the most influential and long-standing mining investment trusts in London. Portfolio manager Robert Crayfourd joins Vox to offer his insights into where the mining markets go from here - in a year in which gold has surpassed all expectations, but other metals still have some way to go. Are we now in a bull market? - yes, says Crayfourd, but there's still plenty of upside on the table. CQS remains well positioned in precious metals and in copper equities, and offers investors access to overseas opportunities that they might not otherwise get exposure to. Crayfourd also offers his thoughts on base and critical metals, lithium, and why the weaponisation of the dollar has had such a profound impact on commodities.

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why investors might want to reassess their portfolios, keeping in mind the gap between market moves and monetary policy.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast, why the Fed may hold the key for both near term and medium-term stock market performance. It's Monday, November 24th at 1pm in New York. So, let's get after it. At the end of September, we discussed the building tension between the Fed and markets in terms of both the fed funds rate and liquidity, suggesting this had the potential to lead to a correction in the short-term. This scenario is playing out with high momentum and low-quality stocks responding more to tightening liquidity back in September, while the high-quality S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 responded more to the incremental hawkishness on rate cuts relayed at the October 29th Fed meeting.While downside for the S&P 500 has been limited to just 5 percent, the damage under the surface has been more significant with two-thirds of the largest 1000 stocks seeing more than a 10 percent drawdown and one quarter down more than 20 percent. Similarly, Bitcoin is down close to 30 percent and topped even earlier than high momentum stocks. Gold also felt the impact of tighter liquidity earlier than the S&P 500, as one would expect.We're staying vigilant around this dynamic related to monetary policy and can't rule out more index-level downside in the short-term, especially if breadth remains weak. Having said that, we think the weakness under the hood is a sign that we're closer to the end of this correction than the beginning for the weaker areas of the market. Historically, the Generals tend to fall the most at the end of corrections. As I said on this podcast back in September, we would view this type of correction and reset on expectations as an opportunity to double down on our rolling recovery thesis which remains out of consensus.From our perspective, private labor data are showing signs of weakness that suggest the Fed should be cutting rates more aggressively. This is very much in line with my core view that the rate of change trough in the labor data occurred back in April with the lows in the equity market. The official government labor data that the Fed is waiting for is lagging and will simply confirm what we, and the markets, already know. With the official October jobs data cancelled due to the shutdown and the November series not available until December 16th, the equity market may continue to wrestle with the Fed that dragging its feet and delaying rate cuts.The good news is that we expect a meaningful decline in the Treasury's General Account in the coming weeks as the government re-opens. This should help to provide a much-needed boost to liquidity at the same time the Fed ends quantitative tightening. The question is whether these changes will be enough to improve liquidity conditions in a durable way. In my view, the clearest indication will be if we see relief in areas of the equity market and asset classes most sensitive to these dynamics over the next two weeks. That means low quality profitless growth stocks in the equity world should rally the most.Bottom line, I remain convinced in our bullish 12-month outlook for the S&P 500 and stocks more broadly. Initial feedback from investors to our recently published 2026 outlook indicates that several of our core views for 2026 remain out of consensus. More specifically, our early cycle narrative versus consensus thinking that we're late cycle; 17 percent earnings growth next year versus the consensus at 14 percent. And finally, our upgrades of small/mid cap stocks and consumer discretionary goods to overweight. Use near term weakness related to a Fed that is moving too slow for the markets' liking to reposition portfolio to sectors and stocks that have lagged behind for most of the past several years – but will benefit the most from the more aggressive Fed action that we expect to come.Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

In this episode, we sit down with Sanctuary Wealth Chief Investment Strategist Mary Ann Bartels to break down her new 2026 outlook. We cover her long-term S&P 500 forecast, why she believes we are still early in a secular bull market, how technological innovation is fueling productivity and profitability, the risks she's watching in 2026, and the case for international stocks, gold, and diversification. Mary Ann also explains why skepticism suggests we are not yet in a true bubble, how valuations fit into today's market, and what investors should understand about cycles, inflation, and long-term compounding.Topics Covered• Secular bull markets and why the long-term trend still points higher• Whether today's market is following historic bubble patterns• AI, technology cycles, and the connection between innovation, productivity, and profits• Why skepticism means we are not yet near euphoria• The 2026 “reset” and how the presidential cycle could affect markets• Valuations, earnings trends, and interest-rate dynamics• Market concentration, structural changes, and the role of mega-caps• Growth vs value and why growth leadership may persist• Why international markets may be entering their own secular bull market• Inflation outlook, tariffs, and what the data now suggests• Private credit concerns and overall financial-system stability• Gold's surge, future targets, and its role as portfolio diversification• Portfolio construction, risk, and the importance of compounding for younger investorsTimestamps00:00 Market patterns, bubbles, and early-cycle dynamics01:00 Introduction02:00 Long-term S&P 500 outlook04:00 Historical bubble analogs and market psychology06:00 Skepticism vs optimism09:00 2026 reset and election-year dynamics13:00 Valuations and PE expansion17:00 Long-term valuation trends17:40 Innovation cycles and economic growth20:20 Productivity, AI CapEx, and profitability21:00 Technology adoption across industries22:20 Digitization and long-term tech layers22:30 Market concentration and structural changes25:00 Why corrections are more frequent27:20 Growth vs value31:00 International markets outlook36:00 Correlations, deglobalization, and opportunity38:40 Inflation short-term vs long-term40:30 Private credit and financial stability43:30 Gold outlook and targets45:40 Diversifying concentrated portfolios48:40 Crypto, private markets, and generational shifts49:20 Key risks for 202651:40 What most investors get wrong53:00 The one lesson for the average investor54:40 Closing

The Last Trade: Bitcoin sentiment has cratered after a 30% drawdown, but the thesis hasn't changed. Cycles are dead, liquidity is turning, and gold's strength signals what's next for BTC. Fundamentals are stronger than ever as custody, rails, and institutional demand quietly build beneath the noise.---

Jeff Park is the Partner and Chief Investment Officer at ProCap BTC. In this conversation, we break down why bitcoin's price has been slipping and whether the market is actually signaling the start of a bear trend. Jeff explains the key forces driving sentiment — from liquidity pressures to global macro shifts — and why a slightly negative year for bitcoin might not be as bearish as it sounds.We also dig into what it would take for bitcoin to rip back toward the $125K–$150K range, plus how geopolitical dynamics in Japan, China, and elsewhere are shaping the broader investment landscape.======================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 80+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $1,000 in rewards.======================In this episode, Pomp spotlights easyBitcoin.app—the app that pays you 1% extra on recurring buys, 2% annual bitcoin rewards, and 4.5% APY on USD. Download it now for iOS or Android at https://easybitcoin.onelink.me/F1zP/klc4v1p8 and start earning today. Your capital is at risk. Crypto markets are highly volatile. This content is informational and not financial advice.======================Core is the leading Bitcoin scaling solution, enabling you to lock in yield by locking up your Bitcoin. Simply lock it on the Bitcoin blockchain to secure the Core network, and get rewards. No bridging. No lending. Just holding. Still your keys. Still your coins. Now your yield. Start at https://stake.coredao.org/pomp======================Timestamps: 0:00 – Intro1:50 – Why is bitcoin dropping? Should investors be worried?4:36 – Do technical levels like CME gaps actually matter?8:13 – Harvard's bitcoin position and how endowments invest12:15 – Has optionality changed bitcoin's market dynamics?15:14 – What Jeff is watching for real signs of optimism17:30 – Is the 4-year cycle officially dead?23:18 – Macro risks: liquidity, global conflict, & Trump premium25:56 – What would a true upside black swan look like?28:05 – How do you underwrite quantum risk today?

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why he continues to hold on to an out-of-consensus view of a growth positive 2026, despite near-term risks.Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today I'll discuss our outlook for 2026 that we published earlier this week. It's Wednesday, Nov 19th at 6:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it. 2026 is a continuation of the story we have been telling for the past year. Looking back to a year ago, our U.S. equity outlook was for a challenging first half, followed by a strong second half. At the time of publication, this was an out of consensus stance. Many expected a strong first half, as President Trump took office for his second term. And then a more challenging second half due to the return of inflation. We based our differentiated view on the notion that policy sequencing in the new Trump administration would intentionally be growth negative to start. We likened the strategy to a new CEO choosing to ‘kitchen sink' the results in an effort to clear the decks for a new growth positive strategy. We thought that transition would come around mid-year. The U.S. economy had much less slack when President Trump took office the second time, compared to the first time he came into office. And this was the main reason we thought it was likely to be sequenced differently. Earnings revisions breadth and other cyclical indicators were also in a phase of deceleration at the end of 2024. In contrast, at the beginning of 2017—when we were out of consensus bullish—earnings revisions breadth and many cyclical gauges were starting to reaccelerate after the manufacturing and commodity downturn of 2015/2016. Looking back on this year, this cadence of policy sequencing did broadly play out—it just happened faster and more dramatically than we expected. Our views on the policy front still appear to be out of consensus. Many industry watchers are questioning whether policies enacted this year will ultimately lead to better growth going forward, especially for the average stock. From our perspective, the policy choices being made are growth positive for 2026 and are largely in line with our ‘run it hot' thesis. There's another factor embedded in our more constructive take. April marked the end of a rolling recession that began three years prior. The final stages were a recession in government thanks to DOGE, a rate of change trough in expectations around AI CapEx growth and trade policy, and a recession in consumer services that is still ongoing. In short, we believe a new bull market and rolling recovery began in April which means it's still early days, and not obvious—especially for many lagging parts of the economy and market. That is the opportunity. The missing ingredient for the typical broadening in stock performance that happens in a new business cycle is rate cuts. Normally, the Fed would have cut rates more in this type of weakening labor market. But due to the imbalances and distortions of the COVID cycle, we think the Fed is later than normal in easing policy, and that has held back the full rotation toward early cycle winners. Ironically, the government shutdown has weakened the economy further, but has also delayed Fed action due to the lack of labor data releases. This is a near-term risk to our bullish 12-month forecasts should delays in the data continue, or lagging labor releases do not corroborate the recent weakness in non-govt-related jobs data. In our view, this type of labor market weakness coupled with the administration's desire to ‘run it hot' means that, ultimately, the Fed is likely to deliver more dovish policy than the market currently expects. It's really just a question of timing. But that is a near-term risk for equity markets and why many stocks have been weaker recently. In short, we believe a new bull market began in April with the end of a rolling recession and bear market. Remember the S&P [500] was down 20 percent and the average S&P stock was down more than 30 percent into April. This narrative remains underappreciated, and we think there is significant upside in earnings over the next year as the recovery broadens and operating leverage returns with better volumes and pricing in many parts of the economy. Our forecasts reflect this upside to earnings which is another reason why many stocks are not as expensive as they appear despite our acknowledgement that some areas of the market may appear somewhat frothy. For the S&P 500, our 12-month target is now 7800 which assumes 17 percent earnings growth next year and a very modest contraction in valuation from today's levels. Our favorite sectors include Financials, Industrials, and Healthcare. We are also upgrading Consumer Discretionary to overweight and prefer Goods over Services for the first time since 2021. Another relative trade we like is Software over Semiconductors given the extreme relative underperformance of that pair and positioning at this point. Finally, we like small caps over large for the first time since March 2021, as the early cycle broadening in earnings combined with a more accommodative Fed provides the backdrop we have been patiently waiting for. We hope you enjoy our detailed report published earlier this week and find it helpful as you navigate a changing marketplace on many levels. Thanks for tuning in. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Follow Click Beta:Spotifyhttps://open.spotify.com/show/0u1fxie4C4vHXIJPUMhvUsApple Podcastshttps://podcasts.apple.com/ky/podcast/click-beta/id1793929457YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/excessreturns

The AOR team of Jeff Schulze and Josh Jamner offer their prognostications for the U.S. economy and equity market in the year ahead, building a case for positive momentum to shine through.

Faheema Adia from Momentum Securities on WeBuyCars's milestone month with over 16 000 sales. Gary Arnold, CEO of Astral, on a stronger second half and a robust dividend. Wiehann Olivier from Forvis Mazars on why crypto assets remain a challenge under CIS rules.

Nas últimas semanas, o tema da inteligência artifical tem ganhado cada vez mais holofotes, e os investidores traçam diferentes cenários para a temática e seus impactos no mercado. Estamos diante de uma bolha? Enquanto isso, a bolsa brasileira não para de subir, em meio a um movimento de forte alta para bolsas de mercados emergentes. Neste episódio, o Carteiros do Condado faz uma análise dos mercados de ações global e local, segundo os principais investidores do Brasil. Confira!E quer aprofundar a conversa?Acesse: Raio XP da Bolsa https://conteudos.xpi.com.br/raio-xp-da-bolsa/O que acontece na política Argentina pode reverberar no Brasil em 2026? https://youtu.be/Ko0_E5xqxHE

In this episode, Kyle cuts through the fear with actual logic: macro is still supportive, inflation fears are mostly nonsense, AI is reshaping liquidity flows, and crypto's biggest problem right now isn't price, it's structure. ~~~~~

Bitcoin just nuked below $100K, and panic is everywhere. But beneath the noise? One of the strongest bull setups of the cycle is forming. From Saylor doubling down to supply drying up, this isn't the end, it's a trap for bears and tourists.SPONSORS:⛏️Sazmininghttps://www.sazmining.com/?oid=10&affid=8&source_id=podcast

JP Morgan just made a massive Ethereum move, and it could signal the start of a new crypto bull market. With institutional money flowing back into blockchain infrastructure, ETH might be on the verge of a major breakout — one that could lift the entire altcoin sector with it.

WHY IS CRYPTO ON FIRE?! Is everything burning to the ground?This is Consensus on the 100x Podcast - your fav show to figure out how the weekly news in crypto actually affects you!This time we're covering:- Is the bull market over or have market cycles fundamentally changed?- Is YouTube now Anti Crypto?- Is web3 gaming dead (again) or are these just birth pains?- @PlayProvidence going early access- @footballdotfun takes on the NFL- @PlayWildcard is LIVE on steam- Moonfrost abandons crypto. Good or bad?- @Polymarket partners with Google = adoption- The GAM3 Awards!Let's get saucy!on this episode:100x: https://x.com/100x_OfficialMatthew Walker: https://x.com/MatthewWalker_XCesar Martinez: https://x.com/100xCesarDisclosures: Nothing stated in this is financial advice. You should do your own research about all topics discussed and make responsible investing decisions.

South Korea's Kospi Index has surged about 70% this year, driven by AI-linked tech stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Retail investors, who poured more than $100 billion into US equities since the pandemic, are now turning their attention homeward. President Lee Jae Myung's pro-market and corporate governance reforms, including dividend tax cuts from 49% to a proposed 25%, are reshaping investor sentiment and capital flows. Peter Kim, managing director and investment strategist at KB Securities, joins John on the Asia Centric podcast. Kim discusses the sustainability of South Korea's rally, Seoul's overheated property market and the geopolitical balancing act between China and the US.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In today's episode, Tyler Herriage covers a jam-packed day on Wall Street, celebrating a few all-time highs, and exploring what these milestones mean for investors. Tyler breaks down the accelerating rotations from our sectors, strong Q3 earnings, and how the "psyop of negativity" is affecting investor sentiment. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYD Subscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld Editor's Note: Nick just released a brand-new Foundational Profits report called “The Secret $1.02 Million Gold Script.” It's about a unique way to profit from gold's rise — one that multiplies gains when bullion moves higher. These “Gold Scripts” don't require digging or drilling. They simply collect gold at a fixed price and sell it for huge profits. With gold already near $4,000 and a government-triggered catalyst looming, this could be the single most powerful trade setup Nick's seen in decades. He explains exactly how these Gold Scripts work — and how a $10,000 stake could potentially turn into $500,000 — inside this special report. To see The Secret $1.02 Million Gold Script click here: https://bit.ly/fp-gold-scriptsThe free version of the 339th episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published. Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - The so-called “gold crash” turned out to be a two-day consolidation. Gerardo walked through fresh support levels at $4,040 for gold and $48 for silver — both now holding firm. Nick explained how he'd already trimmed some outsized positions at $4,300 gold and redeployed into a broader metals ETF covering steel, coal, and base-metal producers. The debt sits above $38 trillion, the Fed is still cutting, and nothing in the fundamentals has changed: we remain in a precious- and base-metals bull market.Market Takes - Both hosts agreed: this is a market for asset owners. Gerardo outlined how he's taking 1,000% profits from mature uranium positions and rotating capital into smaller $20 million-market-cap explorers with clear growth paths. Nick discussed how private assets and pre-IPO rounds offer the best value now — especially deals coming to Private Placement Intel. The rotation from mega-caps into new issuers has only begun.Bizarro Banter - From Fast-41 permits (projects here: https://www.permits.performance.gov/projects/fast-41-covered ) and government equity stakes to White House renovations, pardons, and the new NBA gambling scandal — this episode covered the expanding hypocrisy of politics and culture. Nick reminded listeners: “They don't care about you—own the Iron Bank, not the Podunk bank.” Both drew parallels between political tribalism, sports betting addiction, and the “YOLO mindset” driving risk behavior across society.Premium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4hseB3v0:00 Introduction1:54 Macro Musings: Gold Pullback Holds Support. Fed Cuting With Rising Inflation. Metals Bull Intact.9:05 Market Takes: Rotation From Uranium Winners. Small-Cap Explorers Getting Attention. Private & Pre-IPO Value Emerging.23:54 Bizarro Banter: Fast-41 Permitting. White House Renovations. NBA Gambling Scandal.27:01 Premium Portfolio Picks: America's Next Uranium Developers. Critical Metals Powerhouse. (You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section) Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4hseB3vPLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. Plus an archive of all premium episodes. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4hseB3v2. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/

It's a bull market until it's not. There are plenty of catalysts and data to suggest a strong market in to year end. Buy the dip? HOW? Here are the links to all the sales: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TRENDSPIDER - BLACK FRIDAY SALE - UP TO 70% OFF - up to 52 training sessions INCLUDED ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

This week, Steve Van Wie and Joey Loss discuss current market performance, emphasizing the ups and downs of various indices and the impact of economic factors like job cuts and government shutdowns. They delve into cryptocurrency skepticism, highlighting the risks and misconceptions associated with digital currencies and reinforcing the importance of understanding before investing. Additionally, they explore the potential implications of financial market predictions, individual stock investments, and significant technological changes.

El sentimiento bajista se apoderó del mercado, pero ¿esto es el fin del bull run o una oportunidad de compra disfrazada?Inscríbete a Inversionista del Futuro: https://www.espaciocripto.io/inversionista?utm_source=social&utm_medium=yt&utm_content=bioComunidad de Espacio Cripto: https://t.me/espaciocripto0:00 - Intro1:23 - Análisis de Precios4:45 - ¿Estamos en un momento para comprar?6:42 - El Contexto Macroeconómico9:55 - ¿Por qué los ETFs institucionales no venden?12:27 - Nuestra Estrategia Personal: ¿Qué estamos haciendo con nuestros portafolios?15:33 - Robinhood: La máquina de hacer dinero que no para de innovar.17:55 - Tether: ¡Tiene más bonos que Alemania y Arabia Saudita!21:12 - Monad: Todo sobre el lanzamiento más esperado del año.24:17 - Uniswap llega a Monad: ¿Qué oportunidades trae?29:31 - Outro

Bitcoin dropped but 30 Coinglass indicators show the bull market is intact. We break down the 7 best signals including Bitcoin dominance at 59%, Pi cycle top indicator, and why ETFs change everything. No bear market signals detected. We dive deep into Coinglass's Bull Market Peak Indicators showing zero out of 30 signals flashing bear market warnings. Despite recent price drops and worst jobs data in 22 years, Bitcoin dominance sits at 59% (65% triggers peak warnings), Pi cycle top indicator remains green, and long-term holders absorbed $52.2B in sell pressure. Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Notes: • 0 out of 30 indicators show bear market • Bitcoin dominance currently at 59% • 65% dominance historically signals cycle top • Jobs data showed 100K+ losses last month • Long-term holders absorbed $52.2B sell pressure Timestamps: 00:00 Start 00:36 BTC puking on jobs data 01:39 Bitcoin Dominance 07:19 Institutional Allocations 09:09 Long Term Holder Supply 11:57 Mayer Multiple 13:26 Peull Multiple 19:42 Pi Cycle Top Indicator -

Is the crypto bull market really over, or just pausing while AI takes the spotlight? On this week's Weekly Rollup, Ryan and guest co-host Haseeb break down Bitcoin's 10/10 crash, hidden leverage, and the “Bitcoin silent IPO” thesis. They also cover the $128M Balancer hack, DeFi's decentralization debate, L2 vanity metrics, Brian Armstrong's prediction market stunt, and why Peter Thiel says Bitcoin's becoming a BlackRock coin. ------

Rupert Mitchell of Blind Squirrel Macro joins Matt Zeigler to talk global markets, China's resurgence, the AI CapEx boom, and where investors can still find value in a concentrated, overvalued U.S. market. Rupert shares insights from his recent trip to China, his evolving macro framework, and how he's positioning across equities, credit, and real assets in what he believes could be the start of a long cycle shift away from U.S. dominance.Topics covered:China's accelerating industrial and market recoveryWhy he sees the start of an 8–10 year bull market in ChinaThe “CapEx time bomb” under the Mag 7U.S. vs. international equity performance and valuationsThe rise of fallen angels and how private credit changed high yieldWhy he may soon flip from short to long creditThe end of the stock-bond correlation eraHis “Bushy” portfolio and defensive positioningTrend following, precious metals, and EM local debtEmerging opportunities in Africa and UzbekistanThe global energy complex and long-dated crude exposureShort ideas in fast casual restaurants and the “forgotten 493”How investor sentiment extremes create opportunityTimestamps:00:00 China's transformation and why Rupert's bullish05:00 The Made in China 2025 plan and global dominance07:00 U.S. vs. international equity rotation10:00 The Mag 7's CapEx problem14:00 The “forgotten 493” and passive flow dynamics18:00 Bonds, credit spreads, and what the yield curve says21:00 Private credit, fallen angels, and the next credit setup25:00 The end of risk parity and correlation breakdown27:00 Inside the Bushy portfolio and alternatives30:00 Gold, miners, and precious metals strategy33:00 Frontier and EM opportunities – Africa and Uzbekistan39:00 The Acorns portfolio and global positioning44:00 Energy stocks, refiners, and long-dated crude49:00 The restaurant short thesis and U.S. consumer trends53:00 Where to follow Rupert and Blind Squirrel Macro

Download the “65 Investment Terms You MUST Know to Reach Your Financial Goals” for FREE by going to https://TodaysMarketExplained.com/  The markets are showing strength — but not without contradictions. Domestic equities hold the top spot, international stocks are quietly outperforming, and commodities are on the move. Yet beneath the surface, AI mania is driving record valuations, the Fed's next rate decision looms, and the U.S. government shutdown has become the longest in history.In this episode of Today's Market Explained, Brian Kasal and Chris Reardon break down the week's biggest developments across equities, sectors, and global economies. From AI-driven productivity hopes and tariff negotiations with China to deglobalization, trade realignments, and the implications of a $7 trillion cash pile, they cut through the noise to reveal where opportunities — and risks — really lie.

Value investor and former New York City mayoral candidate Whitney Tilson returns to The Julia La Roche Show following the election of Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic socialist, as NYC's new mayor. Tilson reflects on the election results, expressing concern about the candidate he called a "Trojan horse for the DSA" with dangerous ideas about defunding police and seizing private property—yet remains bullish on New York City's future. He also shares his market outlook, favorite long ideas including Berkshire Hathaway and Amazon, and the "stinky six" stocks he's avoiding right now.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaThis episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: https://stansberryresearch.com/https://stansberryresearch.com/whitney-tilsons-dailyTimestamps: 0:00 - Introduction and welcome Whitney Tilson, day after NYC mayoral election1:04 - Mixed feelings about election night2:00 - Warnings about Zohran Mamdani and democratic socialist concerns2:45 - Still bullish on New York despite election outcome3:10 - What Mamdani's election says about the city3:22 - Democratic Party dynamics and Trump reaction4:37 - Why Mamdani won: identifying affordability as key issue4:54 - Mamdani's effective messaging: free buses, freeze the rent, universal childcare5:45 - Economics don't work: the promises can't be funded6:30 - Mamdani as a gifted politician and brilliant public speaker7:10 - The "Trojan horse for the DSA" warning7:43 - Whitney's concerns about Mamdani: hostility to Israel, defund police rhetoric8:30 - Mamdani tacking to center: keeping Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch9:27 - NYC's vibe is back post-pandemic9:38 - Big employers making long-term commitments to NYC10:25 - Risk of turning into San Francisco10:52 - Wait and see mode: wealthy residents considering leaving14:30 - Why Mamdani is still dangerous16:06 - Running for mayor: what surprised Whitney20:00 - Hope that Mamdani learns from cautionary tales36:56 - Investment ideas: favorite longs44:00 - Stocks to avoid: the "stinky six"47:04 - Berkshire's massive cash pile: $382 billion51:47 - What's keeping Whitney up at night56:30 - What makes Whitney optimistic: America's economic recovery59:38 - Closing remarks

Crypto News: Jim Cramer says we are in a bear market. Bitcoin's monthly chart shows warning signs of bulls losing momentum. Crypto whale who nailed the October crash opens $55M BTC and ETH longs. Brought to you by✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/

With the S&P 500 up, many are wondering how much longer the bull market can run. Kevin Mahn says recent history is on its side. He attributes this resilience to the A.I. revolution, which he believes has just begun to gain steam. He also expects earnings to continue to drive the market, but warns that valuations matter and investors should be selective in their approach. Mahn sees opportunities in A.I. infrastructure, aerospace and defense, and small-cap biotech, as well as in the utilities trade.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Steve Forbes explains why the Federal Reserve must continue cutting rates despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hesitance to do so, warning that failure would cause the stock market's bull run to turn bearish. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Are we starting to see the tide go out on the bull market or is this just some froth being skimmed away? We discuss with Dan Greenhaus of Solus Alternative Asset Management, Sofi's Liz Thomas and Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold. Plus, we discuss some big opportunities outside of the tech and AI space with portfolio manager Brian Kersmanc of GQG Partners. And, star analyst Stacy Rasgon tells us what he is expecting from AMD results in Overtime.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson looks at buying opportunities approaching year-end, as U.S. trade policy and the Fed find middle ground. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Mike Wilson: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing recent macro events and third quarter earnings results.It's Monday, November 3rd at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it.Last week marked the passage of two key macro events: the meeting on trade between Presidents Trump and Xi and the October Fed meeting. On the trade front, the U.S. agreed to cut tariffs on China by 10 percent and delay newly proposed tech export controls for a year. In exchange, China agreed to pause its proposed export controls on rare earths, and resume soybean purchases while cracking down on fentanyl. This is a major positive relative to how developments could have gone following the sharp escalation a few weeks ago, and markets have responded accordingly.With respect to the Fed meeting, Powell suggested policy is not on a preset course which took the bond market probability of a December rate cut down from 92 percent before the meeting to 68 percent currently. It also led to some modest consolidation in equity prices while breadth remained very weak. In my view, the market is saying that if growth holds up but the Fed only cuts rates modestly, leadership is likely to remain narrow and up the quality curve.Over the next 6 to 12 months, we think moderate weakness in lagging labor data, and a stronger than expected earnings backdrop ultimately sets the stage for a broadening in market leadership. However, we are also respectful of the signals the markets are sending in the near term. This means it's still too early to press the small cap/low quality/deep cyclical rotation trade until the Fed shows a clear willingness to get ahead of the curve. Perhaps just as important for markets was the Fed's decision to end Quantitative Tightening, or QT, in December.Recently, Jay Powell has acknowledged the potential for rising stress in the funding markets and indicated the Fed could end QT sooner rather than later. Over the past month, expectations for the timing of this QT termination ranged from immediately to as late as February. Powell seemed to split the difference at last week's meeting and this could be viewed as disappointing to some market participants.In order to monitor this development, I will be watching how short-term funding markets behave. Specifically, overnight repo usage has been on the rise and if that continues along with the widening spreads between the Secured Overnight Financing Rate and fed funds, I believe equity markets are likely to trade poorly, especially in some of the more speculative areas. In short, we think higher quality areas of the market are likely to continue to outperform until this dynamic is settled.Meanwhile, earnings season is in full swing and the real standout has been the upside in revenue surprises, which is currently more than double the historical run-rate. We think this could provide further support that our rolling recovery thesis is under way which leads to much better earnings growth than most are expecting.Bottom line, we are gaining more confidence in our core view that a new bull market began in April with the end of the rolling recession and the beginning of a new cycle. This means higher and broader earnings growth in 2026 and a potentially different leadership in the equity market. The full broadening out to lower quality, smaller capitalization stocks is being held back by a Fed that continues to fight inflation; perhaps not realizing how much the private economy and average consumer needs lower rates for this rolling recovery to fully blossom. Last week's Fed meeting could be disappointing in that regard in the short run for equity markets. As a result, stay up the quality curve until we get more clarity on the timing of a more dovish path by the Fed and look for stress in funding markets as a possible buying opportunity into year end.Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Crypto News: Trump's tariffs has changed the timeline of the Bitcoin and crypto bull market. Controversy is brewing about Trump's pardon of CZ Binance after a 60 minutes interview.Brought to you by

Welcome to the VRA Investing Podcast! In this episode, host Kip Herriage dives into the impressive performance of the markets coming out of October and shares why November is historically the best month for the S&P 500. Kip breaks down the key trends driving the current bull market, including record-high price action across major indices, the huge generational wealth transfer to millennials, and the underlying strength of the U.S. housing sector.

This week, we discuss why Blockworks decided to shut down its news room. We then dive into why 2025 marks the start of a new chapter for the crypto industry, why we're still in a bull market, MegaETH's ICO, recent IPOs, M&A and more. Enjoy! -- Follow Rob: https://x.com/HadickM Follow Santi: https://x.com/santiagoroel Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod -- Join the Empire Telegram: https://t.me/+CaCYvTOB4Eg1OWJh -- Crypto-native institutions and developers demand institutional-grade infrastructure with regulatory clarity and full asset control. Blockdaemon's Earn Stack is a non-custodial platform combining high-performance staking rewards and seamless DeFi integration with no intermediate smart contract or vaults. Programmatically access leading Ethereum & Solana staking rewards, plus DeFi opportunities across lending protocols, DEXs, and AMMs. Book a Demo! -- Katana is a DeFi-first chain built for deep liquidity and high yield. No empty emissions, just real yield and sequencer fees routed back to DeFi users. Pre-deposit now: Earn high APRs with Turtle Club [https://app.turtle.club/campaigns/katana] or spin the wheel with Katana Krates [https://app.katana.network/krates] -- Mantle is pioneering ""Blockchain for Banking"" as a revolutionary new category that sits at the intersection of TradFi and web3. Key elements for Mantle as the ""Blockchain for Banking"": - Transactions posted to the blockchain - Compatibility with TradFi rails - Integrated DeFi features Mantle Network, the access layer — transforms Mantle Network into a purpose-built vertical platform — the blockchain for banking — that enables financial services on-chain. Mantle leads the establishment of Blockchain for Banking as the next frontier. Follow Mantle on X (@Mantle_Official) for the latest updates on Mantle as the 'Blockchain for Banking'. -- (00:00) Introduction (01:20) Why Blockworks Closed The News Division (13:27) Blockdaemon Ad (14:04) Katana Ad (14:52) The Next Chapter For Blockworks (20:48) It's Still A Bull Market (25:12) Securitize Plans To Go Public At a $1.25B Valuation (31:16) Blockdaemon Ad (31:53) Katana Ad (32:39) Western Union Announces USDPT (51:25) Mantle Ad (52:22) Mastercard Looks To Acquire Zerohash (01:00:03) Will Stripe's Tempo Be a Success? (01:06:17) The MegaETH ICO (01:09:44) Content Of The Week -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Brian Leni welcomes Nicole Adshead-Bell to discuss the psychology of participants in the junior mining sector. Listen as Nicole shares her insights on the current state of the gold and copper markets, the importance of profit-taking, and the dynamics driving M&A activity. Learn how understanding investor behavior and market cycles can help you make more informed and profitable investment decisions in the mining sector. Nicole Adshead-Bell is the Director of Cupel Advisory. She is a PhD geologist by trade and has worked in the resource sector for more than 25 years. Her roles within the sector have varied from analyst to M&A facilitator to junior resource company board member. Notable quote from Dr. Adshead-Bell: " None of us can predict the top or the bottom, but I think behavioral characteristics in bull markets are very, very predictable.  There's been really interesting psychological studies done on this, people get more upset with their broker for selling a winning position too early than they do for holding onto a losing position. And you just think about how irrational that is." 00:00 Introduction 00:27 Insights on Precious Metals 00:45 Market Behavior and Investment Strategies 03:46 The Psychology of Selling and Profit Taking 08:42 Generalist Investors and Market Sentiment 18:29 Mergers and Acquisitions in the Bull Market 24:04 Understanding Incentive Compensation in Mining 25:12 The Aurion and Rupert Resources Deal 28:11 Copper Market Dynamics and Predictions 32:13 Challenges and Opportunities in Mining Companies 36:20 The Importance of Geologists in Mining 39:27 Financing Strategies in the Mining Sector 43:13 Investment Strategies and Time Horizons 45:33 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Nicole's website: https://www.cupeladvisory.com/about Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education (MSE) offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. If you buy stock in a company featured on MSE, for your own protection, you should assume that it is MSE's owner personally selling you that stock. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/

Fed meeting and 3 Mag 7 Stocks report tonight. Expect volatility and this should shape the direction of the market. Is the bubble about to pop? If you've got your tools and you know the stocks you own, you should feel confident - not nervous! Here are the links to all the sales: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TRENDSPIDER - HUGE SALE - Get 1 year with 52 trainings for less than the price of piano or golf lessons ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Mike from MC Sports Cards is back on Passion to Profession, presented by eBay.In this episode, Mike breaks down how the current bull market feels different from 2021 and why focusing on quality over quantity continues to separate his business. He shares his perspective from the front lines of the hobby—running high-end consignments, navigating collector psychology, and adapting to the demands of a growing market.We also talk about the evolution of MC's business model, the rise of case hits and repacks, why scarcity matters now more than ever, and the mindset it takes to stay consistent through waves of hobby growth.This one's a masterclass in staying focused when everything around you feels hot.A special thank you to eBay for sponsoring Passion to Profession. The biggest and best marketplace to buy your next favorite trading card.Get exclusive content, promote your cards, and connect with other collectors who listen to the pod today by joining the Patreon: Join Stacking Slabs Podcast Patreon[Distributed on Sunday] Sign up for the Stacking Slabs Weekly Rip Newsletter using this linkFollow Stacking Slabs: | Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Tiktok ★ Support this podcast on Patreon ★

This week will determine if the bull market continues. We are seeing a buy the dip market with even seasonality not taking the market down. Here are the links to all the sales: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TRENDSPIDER - HUGE SALE - Get 1 year with 52 trainings for less than the price of piano or golf lessons ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

On this TCAF Tuesday, Josh Brown is joined by Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe of DataTrek Research to discuss: the key to understanding Q3 reporting season, the seasonality of S&P highs, a financial analysis of Big Tech, and more! Then at 39:40, hear an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts with ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Downtown Josh Brown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠! This episode is sponsored by Betterment Advisor Solutions. Grow your RIA, your way by visiting: https://Betterment.com/advisors   Sign up for ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Compound Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and never miss out! Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As the S&P 500 continues to rally, our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses three factors that could lead to a stock market correction in the near term.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing why we are still in a new bull market even if a correction is likely in the near term. It's Monday, October 20th at 1pm in New York. So, let's get after it. I continue to believe the sharp selloff in April following Liberation Day marked the trough of what was effectively a three-year rolling recession in the U.S. economy. We have written extensively about this view; but it still remains very much out of consensus. Since 2022 most sectors of the private economy have gone through their own individual recession but at different times. The final trough in the rate of change in economic activity came in April around the tariff announcements which came as a surprise to almost everyone, at least in terms of the magnitude and scope. In short, Liberation Day was really capitulation day on the last piece of bad news for the economic cycle which then bottomed. Stocks seem to agree which is why they have rallied in a straight line since then, much like they do after the trough in any economic cycle. The other proof we have for this claim is the v-shaped recovery in earnings revision breadth, something we have discussed for many months in our written research and on this podcast. Based on our numerous conversations with investors, this view remains very unpopular. Instead, most believe the economy and earnings growth for next year are at risk of being lower rather than higher than expected, as I do. Core to my view is that we are now firmly in an inflationary regime since COVID and the implementation of helicopter money to get us out of that crisis. The government has to run it hot to get us out of the massive debt and deficit problem created over the past 20 years. The end result is that investors need to expect hotter but shorter cycles rather than the elongated 10-year cycles we experienced between 1980-2020 when inflation was falling. That means two-year up cycles followed by one-year down cycles for U.S. equity markets, which is exactly what's happened since 2020. We are now in the midst of a new up cycle that began in April. The key thing to understand during this new regime is that inflation is not bad for stocks so long as it's accelerating and the Fed is on the sidelines or easing like in 2020-21, 2023 and now today. Higher inflation means higher earnings growth which is why price earnings multiples are high today. With inflation likely to accelerate next year, stocks are anticipating better earnings growth. In other words, stocks are a hedge against inflation. In fact, relative to gold, high quality stocks may offer a cheaper inflation hedge at this point given their dramatic underperformance to precious metals year-to-date and since 2021. Eventually, inflation will be a problem again for stocks like in 2022 when the Fed has to react by tightening policy, but that's a story for another day. Having said all this, the equity markets are a bit frothy at the moment and so a 10-15 percent correction in the S&P 500 is not only possible but would be normal at this stage of a new bull market. I see three primary reasons for why we could get that in the near term. First, China-U.S. trade relations have recently escalated again, and we are slowly marching toward a November 1st deadline for tariffs on China to go back to Liberation Day levels. While most investors don't want to get sucked into selling at the worst possible time like they did in April, this risk is real and will weigh on stocks if we don't see evidence of a de-escalation in the next few weeks. Second, funding markets have exhibited some signs of increased stress lately. This is likely due to the ongoing quantitative tightening program by the Fed which is draining bank reserves. Should these stresses increase, it could spill over into equities. Third, our earnings revision breadth metric is rolling over now after its historic rise since April. This could continue into earnings season as it's normal to see some retracement from such a high level and tariffs start to flow through from inventories to the income statement. Trade tensions might also weigh on company guidance in the short term. Bottom line, I believe a new bull market began in April with a new rolling economic and earnings recovery that is now quite nascent. However, even new bull markets have corrections along the way, and certain conditions argue we are at risk for the first tradable one since April. Keep your powder dry in the near term for what should be a great buying opportunity, if it arrives. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!