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Gold and silver reverse hard after a massive 2025 run, with gold down ~9–10% and silver down as much as ~30% intradayFraming: gold can shed “multiple Bitcoins” of market cap in hours, underscoring scale and volatility even for “safe” assetsBill Miller point: BTC–gold long-run correlation is near zero, so divergence doesn't falsify the “digital gold” thesisPerspective check: gold stagnated for long stretches while Bitcoin outperformed, so recency bias cuts both waysIdea explored: gold strength can precede major Bitcoin moves, not as a law, but as a recurring historical rhythmFed section: Kevin Warsh is nominated/expected as the next Fed chair; he's publicly non-hostile to Bitcoin and calls much of “crypto” effectively securitiesPowell clips criticized: “central banking has served the people well” and “credibility is right where it needs to be,” despite gold signaling skepticism about fiat managementHealthy hopium: David Marcus argues Bitcoin's monetary properties and “gold parity” math implying ~$1.1M–$1.5M per BTC over time, with timing uncertainPolicy/market structure: debate over stablecoins paying yield and competitive pressure on banks, plus a broader “digital assets industry” convergence thesisQuick hits: Binance converting a $1B reserve fund to BTC, BlackRock filing a Bitcoin premium-income (covered call) ETF concept, and a custody-related theft story ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin
In this Friday Q&A episode, Don answers listener questions on handling backdoor Roth conversions with investment gains, whether Avantis or Vanguard makes more sense for bond investing, and why 529 plans have become even more attractive with new Roth rollover rules. He also tackles a puzzling report of inflated ETF pricing on Vanguard's platform, urging further investigation, and reassures a listener concerned about AVGE's diversification compared to VT. Along the way, Don emphasizes the importance of low fees in fixed income, the long-term logic behind factor investing, and the reality that taking additional risk is what creates the potential for higher returns. 0:04 Friday Q&A intro and plea for more listener questions 1:44 Backdoor Roth with gains—how to handle taxable growth 6:01 Avantis vs. Vanguard for bond funds and why fees matter more in fixed income 8:00 Using 529 plans for kids and new Roth rollover rules 11:19 Odd ETF pricing on Vanguard and why it makes no sense 13:38 AVGE vs. VT diversification concerns and factor investing explained 18:24 Risk, factor tilts, and long-term expectations Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this monthly wrap-up, Craig Hemke for Sprott Money is joined by Bob Thompson, senior portfolio manager at Raymond James in Vancouver, to break down the massive macro trends reshaping the gold and silver markets in early 2026. With BMO now forecasting a silver price of $150 and a gold price bull case of $6,300, this conversation reveals how Western investors are only just beginning to understand the shift already well underway in the East. Bob and Craig discuss ETF flows, the underappreciated leverage in mining stocks, and a capital-rotation event that could inject billions into the sector. From the TSX Venture to the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, and from central bank gold accumulation to generalist investor hesitation, this episode is packed with actionable insights. Keywords: gold price, silver price, buy gold, buy silver, mining stocks, silver forecast, gold outlook, capital rotation, TSX Venture, precious metals investing, silver miners, physical gold, physical silver, macro trends 2026, Canadian markets, central banks, dollar decline, inflation hedge.
O filmie, rzeczywistości pracy ratowników, barierach w udzielaniu pomocy i emocjonalnych kosztach tych doświadczeń opowiadają Miłka Fijałkowska, dziennikarka i reporterka oraz i Magdalena Foremska, ekspertka Polskiej Akcji Humanitarnej.Lista kin z filmem w repertuarze: https://www.nowehoryzonty.pl/film/glos-hind-rajabTu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
See what gold and silver highs mean and how to plan retirement spending without the 80% rule. Is gold's record run a sign you should buy? Do you really need 80% of your income in retirement? Hosts Sean Pyles and Elizabeth Ayoola discuss retirement income rules of thumb to help you understand how to estimate what you might spend after you stop working. But first, senior news writer Anna Helhoski joins Sean and Elizabeth to break down the precious-metals rally with investing writer Sam Taube. They discuss why investors treat gold and silver as “safe havens,” how a weakening U.S. dollar and tariff-driven uncertainty can move prices, and what to consider if you're deciding between physical metals and gold ETFs. Then, James Bashall, COO and advisor for NerdWallet Wealth Partners, joins Sean and Elizabeth to discuss how to plan for retirement without blindly relying on the 80% rule. They discuss where the 80% benchmark came from, how other shortcuts like the 4% rule and the “rule of $1,000” can shape your thinking, and why running multiple spending scenarios (including a “spending smile”) can help you balance travel, inflation, and health care costs over time. Wondering how to buy gold? You have several options, including bullion, gold stocks, gold funds and gold futures. Learn more about the pros and cons of each: https://www.nerdwallet.com/investing/learn/how-to-buy-gold If you want to learn more about working with a financial advisor, then visit NerdWallet Wealth Partners at nerdwalletwealthpartners.com/smart Want us to review your budget? Fill out this form — completely anonymously if you want — and we might feature your budget in a future segment! https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScK53yAufsc4v5UpghhVfxtk2MoyooHzlSIRBnRxUPl3hKBig/viewform?usp=header In their conversation, the Nerds discuss: gold prices, silver prices, gold record high, investing in precious metals, gold vs silver, safe haven asset, hedge against inflation, hedge against a falling dollar, U.S. dollar decline, dollar index, portfolio diversification, gold ETF, best gold ETFs, physical gold, gold bullion, buying gold coins, storing gold safely, selling gold jewelry, central banks buying gold, geopolitical uncertainty investing, tariffs and markets, market volatility hedge, Goldman Sachs gold forecast, commodity investing, rebalancing portfolio, silver industrial demand, silver for electronics, AI chips silver demand, electric vehicle silver demand, retirement income replacement, 80% rule retirement, retirement spending, 4% rule, withdrawal rate, Monte Carlo retirement simulation, and retirement healthcare costs. To send the Nerds your money questions, call or text the Nerd hotline at 901-730-6373 or email podcast@nerdwallet.com. Like what you hear? Please leave us a review and tell a friend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Success is nothing more than a few simple disciplines, practiced every day. — Jim Rohn Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Do Not Allow the Complexity of Charting to Scare You Away." https://youtu.be/fznHSCq38lw If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Le sujet :L'industrie financière a transformé l'investissement en produit de grande consommation : private equity à 1 €, gestion passive, ETF, DCA automatisé… Mais cette démocratisation cache un piège redoutable : des idées reçues qui vous poussent à investir sans vous poser les bonnes questions.L'invité du jour :Mathieu Vaissié est directeur associé de Ginjer AM et chargé de cours en gestion d'actifs à l'Université Paris-Dauphine.Au micro de Matthieu Stefani, il déconstruit 10 croyances populaires qui vous font perdre de l'argent. En voici 5 :La volatilité n'est pas le vrai risqueLa diversification dilue les gains potentielsLes frais bas ne garantissent pas la performanceLe DCA vous fait manquer les meilleures opportunitésLes thématiques populaires sont les pires investissementsPréparez-vous à remettre en question tout ce que vous croyiez savoir sur l'investissement.Ils citent les références suivantes :Le compte Instagram L'Esprit CritiqueLe livre de Shane Parrish, Penser avec clartéL'étude SPIVAL'étude "Mind the Gap US 2025" de MorningstarAinsi que d'anciens épisodes de La Martingale :Le premier épisode de Mathieu Vaissié dans La Martingale : #63 Gérer ses risques, de la théorie à la pratiqueOn vous souhaite une très bonne écoute ! C'est par ici si vous préférez Apple Podcasts, ou ici si vous préférez Spotify.Et pour recevoir toutes les actus et des recommandations exclusives, abonnez-vous à la newsletter, c'est par ici.La Martingale est un podcast du label Orso Media.Merci à notre partenaire Louve Invest, l'assurance-vie aux frais les plus bas du marché*.Bénéficiez de 0,35% de frais de gestion à vie sur les supports en unités de compte jusqu'au 14/02 : https://lp.louveinvest.com/offre-av-la-martingale*Source : Benchmark de novembre 2025 réalisé par Les Echos Études.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Once synonymous with passive, index-based investing, ETFs have become a vehicle for active managers seeking to deliver differentiated returns. Today, active ETFs now outnumber passive funds among US-listed exchange-traded products for the first time.Scott Davis, Head of ETFs at Capital Group, joins us on this episode of ETF Innovators to discuss how the firm integrates over 90 years of investment expertise into modern ETF structures.
David Dziekanski of Quantify Funds discusses his firm's recent ETF launches, including one that allows access to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. Another is a Bitcoin and gold ETF, BTGD. He stresses the tax efficiency and ease of trading for ETFs. He discusses the “4-year cycle” of Bitcoin and how it is affecting who is interested in buying crypto. David believes crypto and gold are both good plays as the U.S. continues to let its currency weaken. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this episode, we discuss gold’s surge as a potential signal of fiscal trajectory and sovereign-risk concerns, the roles of USD weakness, central bank buying, and ETF inflows.#Gold #FiscalTrajectory #USDollar #CentralBanks #ETFs #SovereignRisk #Markets #SightLines To read this week's Sight|Lines, click here. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of Stifel Financial Corp. or its affiliates (collectively, Stifel). This communication is provided for information purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Asset allocation and diversification do not ensure a profit or protect against loss. © Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated | Member SIPC & NYSE | www.stifel.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
欢迎收听雪球出品的财经有深度,雪球,国内领先的集投资交流交易一体的综合财富管理平台,聪明的投资者都在这里。今天分享的内容叫光伏板块大涨解析:从硅石头到电能的全过程,来自ETF印钞基。光伏产业链其实很清晰,最原始的材料是硅,硅是从硅矿里提取出来的,合盛硅业是这个环节的龙头,牢牢抓着产业链的起点。但有了硅矿可没法直接用,全是一堆石头,还得把这些硅石头变成纯净的硅料,干这个提纯活儿的就是通威股份。就算把石头变成了纯净硅料,也不能直接拿去加工,得放进专门的设备里炼制,这设备就跟炼丹炉似的,而生产这种硅晶炉的公司,名叫晶盛机电。把硅料做成硅片的企业,主要是隆基股份和T C L中环。他们俩做的硅片尺寸不一样,就跟电池分大号和小号似的,隆基主要做一八二尺寸的,中环主打二一零加尺寸,走的是不同的技术路线。硅片做好了还得切割,高测股份就是专门做硅片切割的。切割硅片得用金刚线,金刚线是用母线做的,福立旺就是生产母线的。另外,TOP Con硅片上要印很多线条,用的是丝网印刷工艺,明年福立旺的丝网就会用到这个领域。H J T路线就不一样了,得用激光或者铜电镀工艺。硅片上那些条状的线条,大多是用激光雕刻出来的,帝尔激光就是这个环节的主要公司。有了能用的硅片,下一步就是做成一小块一小块的电池片,涉及到的公司有通威股份、爱旭股份、晶科能源、晶澳科技。这里面还有些阵营关系:晶科、晶澳和隆基是一条绳上的蚂蚱,爱旭则跟T C L中环站一队,通威最灵活,脚踏两条船,两条技术路线都覆盖了。小块电池片做好后,要组装成咱们常见的那种几平米大的光伏板,主要负责组装的公司是晶科能源、晶澳科技和天合光能。这么大一块光伏板,常年放在户外风吹日晒,是不是得像手机一样贴层膜保护一下?做这种胶膜的公司是福斯特。贴完膜还得盖一层玻璃加固防护,福莱特就是做这种光伏玻璃的。到这一步,光伏板晒太阳就能发电了,但发出来的是直流电,咱们日常生活用的都是交流电,这就需要逆变器来转换一下。生产逆变器的公司有阳光电源、上能电气、固德威、特变电工。这里还要分两种场景:有一种是大片大片铺设的光伏发电板,那叫集中式光伏,得用集中式逆变器,主要公司是阳光电源、上能电气、特变电工;还有一种是小范围用的,比如家里、商铺屋顶的小块光伏板,这叫分布式光伏,用的是分布式逆变器,锦浪科技、固德威在这个领域做得好。为啥光伏板块炒得这么猛呢?因为这些发射卫星的事炒得很大,卫星在太空没办法用水电、风电,只能用光伏发电。咱们说的太空光伏,就是把光伏板放到太空,靠太空二十四小时日照、没有大气层遮挡的优势发电,效率比地面光伏高出五到十倍,还不怕阴天黑夜,能一直稳定输出。而且商业航天现在爆发式增长,全球都在抢低轨卫星轨道,不管是马斯克的星链,还是国内的各类卫星星座,每颗卫星都得靠光伏供电,这就给太空光伏带来了刚性需求。为啥这俩概念现在被热炒?券商测算,未来几年低轨卫星带来的太空光伏市场规模能翻十倍,要是太空数据中心落地,市场规模能冲到几千亿美元。相当于在地面光伏之外,又开辟了一个高增长赛道,这也让整个光伏产业链的想象空间更大了。这块儿的技术和企业布局也有讲究,分国家队和民企两条线。航天科技集团这些国家队是主力军,靠砷化镓电池技术给卫星、空间站供电,抗辐射、耐温差,技术特别成熟。民企这边,之前提到的隆基、天合光能都在发力,隆基专门搞了太空实验室,和航天集团合作研发;天合光能更猛,钙钛矿叠层电池技术全球领先,专利数量最多,还把组件用到了在轨卫星上。另外国内还有“逐日工程”这样的国家级项目,专门攻关太空光伏无线传能技术,就是把太空发的电用微波或激光传回地面。不过,我得说一句,这些目前都是以炒概念为主,大家参与需要谨慎。除了个股,现在也有专门的光伏和新能源的E T F,比买单一股票风险要低。
A new ETF allows individuals to earn income by insuring against natural disasters through investing in catastrophe bonds. We break down the historical returns, risk, fees, and structure of this intriguing investment opportunity.Topics covered include:What types of natural disasters are increasingHow insurance companies use reinsurance and cat bonds to protect against extreme lossesWhy home insurance premium increases should be lower in 2026How cat bonds are structured and what makes them a unique fixed income securityWhat to consider in deciding to invest in cat bonds.SponsorsGelt - Taxes Done RightDelete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% offInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterOur Premium ProductsAsset CampMoney for the Rest of Us PlusInvestments MentionedBrookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF (ILS)Stone Ridge High Yield Reinsurance Risk Premium Fund (SHRIX and SHRMX)Show NotesMiami Is Entering a State of Unreality by Mario Alejandro Ariza—The AtlanticHistorical Hurricane Tracks—NOAALA fires dominated insured losses of $127bn in 2025, says Aon by Eva Xiao and Lee Harris—The Financial Times2026 Climate and Catastrophe Insight—AONBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. 2002 ANNUAL REPORT—Berkshire HathawayWhen, Where and How Often Insurers Fail—PACICCClimate change presses on: Devastating wildfires and intense thunderstorms exacerbate losses for insurers—Munich REReinsurance buyers experience market softening as reinsurers grow capital following strong returns—Guy CarpenterCatastrophe bond sales hit record as insurers offload climate risks by Lee Harris and Ian Smith—The Financial TimesSwiss Re Global Cat Bond Performance Index returns 11.40% for 2025—ArtemisCatastrophe Bonds by Alexander Braun and Carolyn Kousky—WhartonSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
ETF.com's Dave Nadig is back on Boxes and Lines for our annual check-in on what's going to actually matters in markets for the year ahead, even if we never quite get to a formal list of “predictions.” Instead, Ronan and JR talk with Dave about what the last year revealed: record ETF flows and launches, what feels like a wild-west phase of financial innovation, rising speculation, and the blurring line between active and passive investing. They also explore tokenization, regulation, and why ETF plumbing may be sturdier than many critics assume. Social posts:
Your little choices become habits that affect the bigger decisions you make in life. — Elizabeth George Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "How to Master the Charts." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Two of Seeking Alpha's top analysts, Steven Bavaria and Samuel Smith, share their top income picks for the year: (FOF) and (OWL), respectively. This is an excerpt from our live event, Income Investing Strategy For 2026.Show Notes:'Stayin' Alive' In 2026 With The Cohen & Steers Closed-End Opportunity FundMy Ultimate Contrarian Bet For 2026: Blue Owl CapitalInvesting Experts' transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.
Beth Kindig from Tech Insider Network and Andres Cardenal from The Data Driven Investor discuss their top growth picks for 2026: Bloom Energy and MercadoLibre. This is an excerpt from our live event: Growth & Tech Investing Strategy For 2026.Show Notes:Bloom Energy Powering the AI RevolutionMercadoLibre: Top Quality Stock Deeply UndervaluedBloom Energy: Solving the AI Data Center Power BottleneckInvesting Experts' transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.
How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast by 10minutestocktrader.com
Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.If you have ever looked at a stock after earnings and said, what just happened, you are not alone. This video exists because moments like that are exactly how accounts get wrecked when people do the wrong thing at the wrong time.Let's be blunt. Earnings are a gamble. Healthcare stocks are a gamble. Combine the two and you are basically daring the market to humble you. This session breaks down a real example where a stock dropped hard, fast, and without mercy, and why that single move is enough to justify never touching earnings trades again.The tricky part is that earnings lure you in first. The stock looks strong. The chart looks clean. Maybe it even runs up nicely beforehand. That's how people convince themselves they are being “smart.” Then the report hits and logic disappears. Strength stops mattering. Charts stop mattering. Your plan stops mattering. The market decides, and you deal with the consequences.This video walks through exactly how to think about that in real time. When to stay aggressive. When to sit in cash. When to flip defensive. No hype. No guessing. Just reacting to what the market is actually doing instead of what you want it to do.You also get a front-row seat to how trades are executed live. Position sizing. Cash management. ETFs used defensively instead of swinging for home runs. Even broker issues show up, because that is real life trading. It is messy, frustrating, and very different from fantasy screenshots on social media.Here are some of the big lessons that come through loud and clear:✅ Why earnings can erase weeks of progress in one day✅ Why healthcare stocks carry surprise risks you cannot plan for✅ Why buying strength beats guessing bottoms✅ How defensive ETF trades fit into a bigger plan✅ Why rules keep you calm when everything feels chaoticOne of the most important takeaways is this: cash is a position. Sitting out is not being scared. It is being disciplined. When conditions are not right, forcing trades is how people blow themselves up. When conditions line up, execution becomes boring, and boring is where consistency lives.This approach is not flashy. It is not designed to impress Reddit. It is built to survive real markets with real money on the line. Every trade shown has a reason. Every plan has rules. Every decision is documented.If you are tired of getting blindsided by earnings, chasing moves that already happened, or feeling like the market is out to get you, this video will change how you think. Subscribe to the OVTLYR channel for more honest trading breakdowns, live decision-making, and strategies built around saving time, making money, and taking less risk.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today
Link do książki Tomasza Karwatki The 5. Pierwsze pięć lat prowadzenia firmy: https://ksiazka.the5.tech/Tu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
Jak powstają drony na Ukrainie? Jakub Bodziony, wicenaczelny Kultury Liberalnej, spędził 2 tygodnie na Ukrainie przyglądając się z bliska jak wygląda produkcja dronów.(00:00) Wstęp(1:59) Kim są ludzie, którzy je tworzą?(6:57) Jak te firmy wyglądają od środka?(9:36) Sytuacja pod Kupiańskiem(18:29) Kim są operatorzy dronów? Czy łatwiej im jest eliminować wroga?(26:03) Różnice między ukraińskimi jednostkami(40:59) Co było najbardziej poruszające? Normalizacja życia towarzyskiego(45:18) Dzieci w szkole uczą się lutowania dronów 47:18(47:19) Czy widać spadek morale?(52:59) Różne twarze Ukrainy Tu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
Bitcoin stumbles through another Sunday-night slide as gold rips to historic highs, pulling attention and liquidity away from crypto and fueling talk of a speculative metals mania layered on top of genuine macro fear. This episode digs into why gold's breakout is happening now, how ETF outflows, loss realization, and shaken conviction are weighing on Bitcoin, and why the growing contrast between physical metal liquidity and Bitcoin's always-on exit may ultimately reinforce the long-term thesis even as short-term sentiment stays ugly. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
Crypto News: Ripple XRP partners with Saudi bank unit on blockchain payments, custody, and tokenization. BlackRock files for a new iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. https://x.com/Ripple/status/2015923986589262039Brought to you by
Greatness is not in where we stand, but in what direction we are moving. We must sail sometimes with the wind and sometimes against it – but sail we must and not drift, nor lie at anchor. — Oliver Wendell Holmes Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Back Away to Really See What's Happening." https://youtu.be/0sU-vJ-xnWg If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
「這個時代的劇本,就用這個時代的鏡片來讀。」—— 蔡司智銳鏡片代言人 謝盈萱2026.1.1 – 3.31馬年奔騰智選登錄抽活動詳情與登錄請見 https://fstry.pse.is/8lturt #蔡司智銳鏡片系列#蔡司優視力體驗 —— 以上為 KKBOX 與 Firstory Podcast 廣告 —— 【政府普發1萬,夏普再加碼1萬!】活動時間:2025/10/1-2026/2/28好康兩重奏:好禮1:單筆消費滿10萬,送1萬電子禮卡(限前100名)好禮2:不限消費金額月月,抽1萬電子禮卡(每月20名)請立刻點擊: https://fstry.pse.is/8jtf5g —— 以上為 Firstory Podcast 廣告 —— 【98有聲書房】開張,訂閱收藏News98精選有聲書:https://apple.co/44KcuRo主持人:阮慕驊來賓:《今周刊-存股助理電子報》總編輯 謝富旭 主題: 2026年ETF投資攻略節目時間:週一至週五 5:00pm-7:00pm本集播出日期:2026.01.27
Crypto News: BlackRock Chief Investment Officer Rick Rieder surges 46% in odds to be picked by President Trump as new Fed Chair. if this happens it could be very bullish for bitcoin and crypto. R3 bets on Solana to bring institutional yield onchain.Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/
Do you really think you'll learn and grow and achieve without failing? — Maxime Lagacé Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Volume: Understanding Jesse Livermore's Theories and More." https://bit.ly/3P4FbTP If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Introducing the simple investor's best friend… the index ETF.You don't have to be an expert on financial markets to be an investor. In fact, it's arguably easier today than it's ever been to invest and most of that is thanks to our friend; index ETFs.In this episode you will learn:What we would buy if we were starting again todayWhat is an indexDifferent indexes around the worldHow you can buy an index: ETFsWhy an index is all you needChapters:This is Part 7 of our 12 step series sharing everything we've learned about investing to help you get started, or to remind you of why it's so important.——— Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we've got you covered. ———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Get Started Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today.———Get Started Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional.Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Luke Laretive is our first guest in the studio for 2026 and he's wasting no time, laying out his call for the year ahead: 2026 is the year of resources.We're diving deep into commodity cycles, big-cap miners and two stocks Luke says have genuine 10-bag potential.For more tips from Luke, subscribe to his newsletter at https://senecafs.com.au/subscribeIn this episode:01:55 Why 2026 is the year of resources06:27 What's driving prices09:09 Why many fund managers will miss the trade12:36 Top picks by commodity17:10 The big miners: BHP, Rio & merger talk21:02 Lithium outlook22:52 Two stocks with 10-bag potential24:44 Portfolio construction & commodity exposureWin a $500 Visa Digital eGift Card by completing the 2026 Equity Mates Media Community Survey! The Community Survey helps us understand how we can continue to improve our content to help you on your money and investing journey. You can either complete the five compulsory questions, or take 10 minutes to give us a bit more feedback: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/WRWDVTV ———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we've got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbook Or our free 4-step stock checklist Find company information on TIKR Screen the market with GuruFocus Track your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today. ———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media. This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional. Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 5406 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Khaby Lame sarebbe al centro di un'operazione industriale senza precedenti per la creator economy: Step Distinctive Limited, holding che controlla tutte le attività economiche legate al suo brand, è stata oggetto di un accordo con Rich Sparkle Holdings Limited per una valutazione complessiva di circa 975 milioni di dollari. L'operazione, formalizzata il 9 gennaio 2026, non riguarda la vendita di semplici profili social, ma il riassetto strutturato dell'intero ecosistema economico del creator. Parte dell'accordo prevede l'utilizzo dei dati biometrici di Khaby per sviluppare un gemello digitale basato su intelligenza artificiale, capace di generare contenuti e interazioni in modo continuo e scalabile. I venditori riceverebbero anche azioni del gruppo acquirente, trasformando la transazione in una partnership strategica. L'operazione è vista come un possibile punto di svolta: il creator non più solo come figura mediatica, ma come asset industriale e infrastruttura economica globale. Approfondiamo con Matteo Pogliani, Fondatore e direttore dell'osservatorio nazionale influencer marketing e CEO di 40DegreesPirelli, nuovo stallo tra gli azionisti. Camfin disdice il patto con SinochemCamfin ha deciso di non rinnovare il patto parasociale con il socio cinese Sinochem su Pirelli, in scadenza a metà maggio. La scelta segnala il fallimento delle trattative in corso per ridurre la quota di Sinochem dal 34% a circa il 10%, passaggio ritenuto necessario per consentire a Pirelli di operare senza vincoli sul mercato statunitense, alla luce delle nuove norme Usa sui "connected vehicles" in vigore dal 17 marzo. La disdetta del patto attiva inoltre la procedura di Golden Power, con una notifica imminente al Governo, che avrà 60-90 giorni per pronunciarsi. L'intervento potrebbe arrivare prima della scadenza di marzo e incidere sulla governance e sul rinnovo del consiglio di amministrazione previsto a giugno. Nel frattempo Camfin ribadisce la disponibilità al dialogo. Pirelli ha anche annunciato la sottoscrizione di nuove linee bancarie quinquennali per 2,1 miliardi di euro. Il commento è di Marigia Mangano, Il Sole 24 OreL'oro supera per la prima volta i 5.000 dollari per l'incognita TrumpL'oro ha superato per la prima volta la soglia dei 5.000 dollari l'oncia, arrivando fino a 5.100 dollari, proseguendo un rally iniziato nel 2025, quando il metallo prezioso aveva registrato un rialzo del 64%, il più forte dal 1979. A sostenere i prezzi contribuiscono le tensioni geopolitiche globali, le aspettative di possibili tagli dei tassi da parte della Fed nel 2026, gli acquisti delle banche centrali e i flussi verso gli ETF come copertura dai rischi politici e macroeconomici. Dall'inizio dell'anno i prezzi sono già saliti di oltre il 18%, confermando il ruolo dell'oro come bene rifugio in una fase di forte incertezza dei mercati. Interviene Alessandro Plateroti, Direttore editoriale UCapital.comConfindustria: economia quasi fermaSecondo la Congiuntura Flash del Centro Studi Confindustria, l'economia italiana è in una fase di quasi stagnazione. Il petrolio ha invertito il trend al ribasso, il gas resta su livelli molto elevati e l'incertezza geopolitica spinge le famiglie ad aumentare la propensione al risparmio, frenando i consumi. In positivo agiscono l'accelerazione del Pnrr, la riduzione dei tassi sovrani e la ripresa del credito, mentre gli investimenti rappresentano l'unico vero motore del Pil. L'industria resta volatile, l'export debole e la fiducia delle imprese altalenante. Nell'Eurozona la crescita è fiacca, mentre Stati Uniti e Cina mostrano performance migliori. L'oro è ai massimi, segnale di sfiducia verso gli Usa e di indebolimento del dollaro. Le Borse europee appaiono relativamente più forti, favorendo il ricorso al mercato azionario per finanziare gli investimenti, anche da parte delle Pmi. Ne parliamo con Luca Bianchi, direttore Svimez
Tu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
[깊이 있는 경제뉴스] 1) 외화예금 이자 0%대.. 은행권도 ‘환율 방어‘ 동참 2) 주말 사이 뚝 떨어진 환율.. 배경은? 3) 흔들리는 독일 제조업, 한국 기업이 쓸어담는다 - 정지서 연합인포맥스 기자 - 조미현 한국경제신문 기자 [친절한 경제] 코스피가 계속 오르면 인버스 ETF는 0원이 되나요? - 청취자 빅진규 씨
Crypto News: Binance Founder CZ predicts Bitcoin will enter a supercycle this year.. UBS weighing crypto trading for private banking clients.Brought to you by
W rozmowie z Pawłem Rakowskim analizujemy rosnącą rolę Arabii Saudyjskiej, Kataru i Emiratów, mechanizmy kontroli migrantów, wewnętrzne napięcia w świecie arabskim oraz konsekwencje tej konkurencji dla Europy i Zachodu.(00:00) Wstęp(2:05) Czy świat arabski rośnie w siłę i zaczyna odgrywać coraz większą rolę?(14:29) Na ile te bogate miejsce się westernizują i otwierają?(22:00) System kafala - jak kontrolowani są migranci?(27:55) Wpływy arabskie na świat(32:15) Solidarność czy rywalizacja?(38:01) Polityczny wpływ świata arabskiego (39:43) Co to oznacza dla Europy?(44:18) Czy to co się dzieje w Palestynie może mieć wpływ na Arabię, Katar czy Emiraty?(47:54) Co oznacza dla świata Zachodu konkurencja świata arabskiego?Tu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
In this listener-driven episode, Don, Tom, and advisor Roxy Butner tackle a wide range of investing questions, starting with the explosive growth of ETFs and why many new funds—especially active, leveraged, and thematic products—may be risky for long-term investors. They discuss whether and how to exit expensive inherited mutual funds, how to use low-income years for tax planning, and why capital gains can still trigger taxes even in sabbatical years. The team reviews a complex multi-fund portfolio, explains the pros and cons of adding growth tilts, and dives into behavioral finance—offering practical ways to resist over-tinkering. They close with guidance for investing inherited money later in life, emphasizing purpose, risk tolerance, and family planning, and preview the upcoming RetireMeet event. 0:04 Intro, listener questions, and why “ETF” is not “EFT” 0:27 ETF growth in 2025 and the rise of active and leveraged funds 1:31 Why most new ETFs worry Tom (active, leverage, speculation) 2:04 Choosing the right ETF: costs, indexing, and long-term focus 3:16 Roxy joins and the listener Q&A begins 3:54 Inherited AIVSX: taxes, donating shares, and switching to ETFs 7:04 Why traditional mutual funds are tax-inefficient 8:14 Sabbatical year strategy and capital gains misconceptions 10:39 When to involve a tax professional 11:31 Portfolio mix: VOO, Avantis, international, and value tilts 12:17 Why adding VUG may increase risk 14:57 Asset location challenges and rebalancing problems 15:22 Behavioral finance: resisting the urge to tinker 19:21 How often to check your portfolio 20:10 Discipline, rules, and systematic investing 21:11 Inherited $300K at age 79: purpose and next-generation planning 23:40 Building a taxable portfolio for heirs 24:40 RetireMeet preview and featured speakers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Betting markets are increasingly pointing to Kevin Warsh as a potential successor to Jerome Powell, with Kevin Hassett expected to remain in his White House role under Donald Trump. Which begs the question: What would a Warsh-led Federal Reserve actually bring to markets? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the possibilities of a Warsh Fed: Would such likely be more tolerant of volatility, rely less on emergency interventions, and place greater emphasis on valuation, fundamentals, and disciplined policy rules? 0:00 INTRO 0:18 - Earnings, Economics, & Imminent Greenland Deal 2:48 - Markets Break Trendline - Look for Volatility 8:22 - Greenland, Denmark, & Danish Bonds 15:10 - What the Media Doesn't Say About Bond Auctions 17:14 - Texas Winter & Nat Gas Futures 20:32 - Warsh vs Wallace as Fed Head 23:58 - Keep an Eye on Rick Rieder 26:14 - The Marriage of Blackrock & The Fed 27:52 - Markets are Driven by the Wrong Things 31:12 - The Reflation Narrative 34:29 - Speculation, ETF's & Fighting for the same Dollars 39:05 - The Gamification of Markets 41:29 - The Importance of Risk Management 45:00 - End of the 1st Half of the Secular Period Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4roSFzE3Ww&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "It's Q&A Day — and (almost) anything goes" here: https://www.youtube.com/live/jFDHVzdwNdo -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Stall at Resistance - Volatility Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EviI_k5gb8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #MarketVolatility #MonetaryPolicy #RiskManagement
In this season 6 episode of First Look ETF, Stephanie Stanton @etfguide examines the latest ETF marketplace trends with NYSE and guests. The guest lineup for this episode includes:1. Maital Legum, NYSE2. Paul Baiocchi, CFA, Head of Fund Sales and Strategy, SS&C ALPS Advisors3. Chris Grogan, Portfolio Manager, Director of Asset Allocation Services, Eventide Investments4. Alex Hoy, Senior Director and Client Portfolio Manager, GQG PartnersCorrection:17:54 GQG Partners currently offers one U.S. focused ETF. Other fund strategies offered by the firm are linked to international, emerging and global equities.*********First Look ETF is sponsored by the New York Stock ExchangeLearn more at https://www.ETFCentral.comWatch us on YouTube (Link http://www.youtube.com/etfguide)Follow us on Twitter @ETFguide (Link https://twitter.com/etfguide)Visit us at ETFguide.com (https://www.etfguide.com)
Betting markets are increasingly pointing to Kevin Warsh as a potential successor to Jerome Powell, with Kevin Hassett expected to remain in his White House role under Donald Trump. Which begs the question: What would a Warsh-led Federal Reserve actually bring to markets? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the possibilities of a Warsh Fed: Would such likely be more tolerant of volatility, rely less on emergency interventions, and place greater emphasis on valuation, fundamentals, and disciplined policy rules? 0:00 INTRO 0:18 - Earnings, Economics, & Imminent Greenland Deal 2:48 - Markets Break Trendline - Look for Volatility 8:22 - Greenland, Denmark, & Danish Bonds 15:10 - What the Media Doesn't Say About Bond Auctions 17:14 - Texas Winter & Nat Gas Futures 20:32 - Warsh vs Wallace as Fed Head 23:58 - Keep an Eye on Rick Rieder 26:14 - The Marriage of Blackrock & The Fed 27:52 - Markets are Driven by the Wrong Things 31:12 - The Reflation Narrative 34:29 - Speculation, ETF's & Fighting for the same Dollars 39:05 - The Gamification of Markets 41:29 - The Importance of Risk Management 45:00 - End of the 1st Half of the Secular Period Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4roSFzE3Ww&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "It's Q&A Day — and (almost) anything goes" here: https://www.youtube.com/live/jFDHVzdwNdo -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Stall at Resistance - Volatility Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EviI_k5gb8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #MarketVolatility #MonetaryPolicy #RiskManagement
It takes as much energy to wish as it does to plan. — Eleanor Roosevelt Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Using Trend Lines to Visualize Price Movement." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
The Option Block goes on the road! This week, Mark Longo is coming to you live from the Securities Traders Association (STA) 100th Anniversary event in Chicago. Joined in person by Henry "The Flowmaster" Schwartz, the team breaks down the biggest highlights from the conference and the massive volatility shifts hitting the equity markets. On This Episode: Live from the Floor: Mark and Henry discuss the 100-year legacy of the STA and the evolution of the options industry from the birth of the CBOE in 1973 to today's high-volume digital environment. The State of the Industry: Henry shares key takeaways from his panel, including the explosion of volume in Single Stock, ETF, and Index options. Plus, a look at how Robinhood has reshaped retail education and reduced friction for a new generation of traders. Volume Predictions for 2026: With the market currently averaging 66-67 million contracts a day, are we on track for a record-shattering 17 billion contracts this year? Monday & Wednesday Expirations: It's a done deal! The team discusses the upcoming listing of Monday and Wednesday daily expirations for major names like Tesla, Nvidia, and Apple, and what this means for after-hours risk management. The "Greenland Trade": Navigating a week where the market swung 100 handles down and 100 handles back up on geopolitical volatility. The Odd Block: The Flowmaster provides an update on ARDX and CWEN, plus a deep dive into the Mag 10 (Magnificent 10 Index) where put volume is currently lighting up the tape at record levels. Get More from The Options Insider: Visit the Website: TheOptionsInsider.com Check out the App: Available on iTunes and Google Play. Follow the Crew: Join the conversation on Twitter/X @Options, Facebook, and StockTwits. This episode of The Option Block is brought to you by Cboe Global Markets. To learn more about the suite of S&P 500 Index Options (SPX) and Mini S&P 500 (XSP) options, visit https:// cboe.com/spx
Interview recorded - 19th of January, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Jim Bianco. Jim is the is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C.During our conversation we spoke about Jim's overview for 2025, inflationary fear, demand decreasing, liquidity issues, impact on the markets and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:22 - Overview of 20254:51 - Inflation fear6:36 - Disinflationary trends14:06 - Return to 2010's?16:16 - Demand decrease19:22 - Yield curve control22:56 - Liquidity25:06 - Monetary responsible32:29 - Impact on the markets?34:42 - Precious metals37:54 - AI infrastructure 45:57 - One message to takeaway?Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Research Advisors. He is also the President of Bianco Research LLC. Since 1990, Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking.Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).Jim Bianco: Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ETF: https://www.biancoadvisors.com/X: https://twitter.com/intent/follow?screen_name=biancoresearch&tw_p=followbuttonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
It takes as much energy to wish as it does to plan. — Eleanor Roosevelt Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Using Trend Lines to Visualize Price Movement." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Donald Trump poinformował, że podczas spotkania z szefem NATO stworzono "ramy przyszłego porozumienia dotyczącego Grenlandii. Co wiemy na temat tego porozumienia? Dlaczego Trump wybiera taki sposób osiągania celów? Czy Ameryka nie może pogodzić się z utratą swojej potęgi? Czy USA takimi działaniami zbliża Europę do Chin? Czy Europa pokazała swoją sprawczość czy słabość? Co z NATO? Czy Polskie elity są świadome zmian?Gość : Marek Stefan, redaktor naczelny Układ Sił oraz współpracownik Strategy&Future.Tu możesz zgłosić się do Szkoły Przywództwa: https://szkolaprzywodztwa.pl/Mecenasi programu: Inwestuj w fundusze ETF z OANDA TMS Brokers: https://go.tms.pl/UkladOtwartyETF AMSO-oszczędzaj na poleasingowym sprzęcie IT: https://amso.pl/Uklad-otwarty-cinfo-pol-218.htmlPobierz aplikację Hallow: http://hallow.com/ukladotwarty
Last episode we talked about mutual funds, and today we're tackling something you hear all the time in investing: ETFs, also known as Exchange-Traded Funds. In this episode, we'll break down what an ETF is, how it's similar to a mutual fund, how it's different, and when you might use one versus the other. If you've ever wondered which option makes the most sense for your investing goals, this “Back to Basics” conversation will help make it simple. The List: Two Things That Are the Same… But Still Different Hashtags: #etfs #exchangetradedfunds #mutualfunds #comparison #backtobasics #CocaColaIsBetterThanPepsi Visit us online: www.bullcastpodcast.com Produced by Cameron Spann | Powered by Pickler Wealth Advisors Sound effects obtained from https://www.zapsplat.com Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are subject to market volatility, including the risks of their underlying investments. They are not individually redeemable from the fund and are bought and sold at the current market price, which may be above or below their net asset value Investments in target-date funds are subject to the risks of their underlying holdings. The year in the fund name refers to the approximate year (the target date) when an investor in the fund would retire and leave the workforce. The fund will gradually shift its emphasis from more aggressive investments to more conservative investments based on its respective target date. The performance of an investment in a target-date fund is not guaranteed at any time, including on or after the target date. Investments are subject to risk, including the loss of principal. Some investments are not suitable for all investors, and there is no guarantee that any investing goal will be met. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Talk to your financial advisor before making any investing decisions.
We are our own potters; for our habits make us, and we make our habits. — Frederick Langbridge Prior Session's Trade Execution Summary Grid: Receive TODAY's Trade Execution Summary Grid, our Complete Analysis & Predictions of Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin by becoming a Patreon Member at any of our three levels of support: https://bit.ly/CWPatreonSupport Sign up at Trading View access my platform and charts: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=136493 How to Set Up Our Three Time Frame Chart on TradingView: https://youtu.be/wLwTnrtAOTA I have opened my page to sharing. Find me on TradingView at Thom Goolsby. Here at Charting Wealth, we focus on the reality of price movement by following trends. We teach you a simple and effective method to read stock, ETF and crypto charts, keep your emotions in check and learn when to buy and when to sell. Charting is your road map to the market and the riches it can offer. Forget the hype you see and hear in the financial news media. They are selling products in print ads and commercials. Focus on what is real, no matter how hard it can be to believe! Otherwise, you become a sucker or worse, a slave, to the delusion someone else wants you to believe. Use the lessons we teach every day to accurately chart any stock, commodity, ETF and cryptocurrencies. We give you daily, real life lessons with the five ETFs we track: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, 20-Year Treasury Bonds, Gold and Bitcoin. We have all the tools you need to learn how to trade. For subscribers, we have a GREAT TRAINING to SUPERCHARGE your practice trading: "Navigating the Minefield: Dodging Common Trading Pitfalls for Sustained Success." If you are not a subscriber, become one! Subscribe for FREE to our daily market reviews & training at http://www.ChartingWealth.com We urge you to "Follow the charts, NOT the noise!" and want to help you follow the market and improve your knowledge of stock and ETF movements. Support our work at PATREON and receive GREAT benefits (training, gifts, etc...): https://www.patreon.com/user?u=14138154 Receive our STOCK ALERTS via TEXT when WEEKLY VERTICAL CROSSOVERS occur. Very valuable information! Less than 8 texts a month. Text "chartingwealth" to 33222 on your cell phone. At ChartingWealth.com, http://chartingwealth.com every day the market is open, we chart the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Gold & Bonds. In just a few short minutes, we give you a valuable training update and quickly review the trends we see taking place in the market. At the end of every week, we give you an overview of what happened over the last five days and what's on the calendar for the next trading week. DISCLAIMER: We offer NO advice and make NO claims to expertise of any kind. This site is dedicated to knowledge and education through our stock chart training, reviews and other information -- nothing more.
Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist at Morningstar Wealth, discusses the firm's outlook for 2026, noting that the market has rewarded the sellers of artificial intelligence technologies, but at some point the buyers of AI technology will "need to show material gains from those investments" to justify the spending and maintain AI profits. As a result, he is cautious on artificial intelligence and technology stocks, but he is positive on the market and says he expects to see strong opportunities in small-cap stocks and international plays, particularly in emerging markets. Cullen Roche discusses his new book, "Your Perfect Portfolio: The Ultimate Guide to Using the World's Most Powerful Investment Strategies," which examines what it takes to apply some of the most famous investment strategies of all time to an individual investment portfolio, and what to expect for results. Roche, who is founder and chief investment officer of the Discipline Funds, also discusses why it is more important for investors to focus on "you" rather than on "perfect." Plus Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, revisits a fund that he made the ETF of the Week last year to give it the honor again. Repeats are rare in ETF of the Week history, but results alone might deserve it here; the fund he picked — tied to cryptocurrency — has had three stellar calendar years and is already up more than 33 percent for the first few weeks of 2026.
A chaotic but revealing game-show-style opening leads into a sharp lesson on why market trivia doesn't matter nearly as much as discipline. Tom and Don walk through eye-opening 2025 market stats, including the real impact of the Magnificent Seven, international stocks' outperformance, and a surprising Bitcoin result, before pivoting to listener calls on risk aversion in retirement, tax drag in fixed income, ETF vs. mutual fund structure, pensions as “bond substitutes,” and the fear of poorly timed rollovers. The episode reinforces a consistent theme: markets anticipate, investors overthink, and long-term success comes from diversification, cost control, and building portfolios around real human behavior—not headlines. 0:04 Cold open and chaotic “What Do You Know?” game show setup 1:58 S&P 500 return vs. performance without the Magnificent Seven 5:16 Magnificent Seven's staggering 10-year return 5:48 International stocks outperform U.S. stocks in 2025 7:35 Retired caller weighs SGOV vs. VTEB and tax efficiency 10:01 Risk aversion, inflation fears, and when bonds actually belong 13:11 CD ladders as a stability alternative to bond funds 14:27 Clean energy ETFs rise despite negative policy headlines 16:41 Colombia emerges as best-performing global stock market 18:02 Bitcoin's surprising full-year decline in 2025 19:02 Why none of this market trivia actually matters 20:28 ETFs vs. mutual funds explained simply and clearly 24:44 Why fund companies resist ETF conversions 27:13 Pension income vs. bonds in portfolio construction 31:20 AI voice experiment and margin rate reality check 32:02 Fear of rolling over 401(k)s and “hodgepodge-itis” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Bryon Lake, Chief Transformation Officer at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins Bilal Little to discuss how ETFs are reshaping the future of investing. Drawing on nearly two decades in the ETF industry, Lake explains why the ETF wrapper has become the preferred technology for delivering active strategies at scale. He highlights Goldman's growth in active ETFs, the rise of defined-outcome strategies, and the firm's agreement to acquire Innovator to expand those capabilities. Lake also explores how digital tools, democratization, and access to alternatives are changing the investor experience
The Wealth Formula Podcast is one of the longest-running personal finance podcasts still standing. For more than a decade, I've shown up every single week to talk about investing, markets, and the forces shaping the economy. What's interesting is how much my own thinking has evolved over that time. Early on, I was more rigid. I was—and still am—a real estate guy. But back then, I didn't give much thought to ideas outside that lane. I was dogmatic, and I didn't always challenge my own beliefs. Time has a way of doing that for you. I've now lived through multiple market cycles. I've watched the stock market melt up to valuations that felt absurd—and then keep going. I've seen gold go from flat for a decade to parabolic over a year. I've seen interest rates sit near zero for a decade and then snap higher at the fastest pace in modern history. And I've learned, sometimes the hard way, that diversification is about survival and that every asset class has its day. One lesson I learned that I am thinking a lot about these days is: ignore major technological shifts at your own peril. Back in 2014, I first started hearing people talk seriously about Bitcoin. At the time, I dismissed it. I listened to the critics, was convinced it was a scam, and didn't take the time to truly understand it. That was a mistake—not because everyone should have bought Bitcoin, but because I ignored a structural change happening right in front of me. Bitcoin went from a cypherpunk expression of freedom to the largest ETF owned by BlackRock. Today, the dominant story is artificial intelligence. And whether you love stocks, hate stocks, prefer real estate, or focus exclusively on cash flow, you cannot afford to ignore AI. This isn't a fad. It's a general-purpose technology—on the scale of electricity, the internet, or the industrial revolution itself. That doesn't mean it's easy to invest in. It's hard to look at headline names trading at massive valuations and feel good about buying them today. But investing in AI isn't about chasing a single company. It's about understanding second- and third-order effects: energy demand, data centers, productivity gains, labor displacement, capital flows, and how blockchain and decentralized systems intersect with all of it. What experience has taught me is this: you don't need to be first to invest—but you do need to be early in understanding. If you wait until something feels obvious, most of the opportunity is already gone. This week's episode of the Wealth Formula Podcast is focused squarely on AI and blockchain—what's real, what's noise, and where the long-term implications may lie. Listen to this episode. You'll come away smarter. And years from now, you may look back and realize this was one of those moments where paying attention really mattered. Transcript Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at phil@wealthformula.com. Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Wealth Formula Podcast. Coming to you from Montecito, California. Today we wanna start with a reminder. We are in a new year and we are already doing deals, uh, through the Wealth Formula Accredit Investor Club. You can go and sign up for that for free. Uh, wealth formula.com just hit investor club and you just get on there and, and you’ll get onboarded. And from there, all you gotta do is wait for deal flow and webinars coming to your inbox. And, um, you know, if nothing else, you learn something. So go check it out. Uh, go to. Wealth formula.com and sign up for Investor Club now onto today’s show. Uh, the, it is interesting. I don’t know if you are aware it’s a listener, but we are, wealth Formula is, uh, probably I would say one of the, certainly in the one of the top longest running personal finance podcasts still. Standing. Uh, I’ve been around, well, I think the first episode was on like 2014, so it was a long time, but in earnest, you know, at least for over a decade. And, you know, during that time, I’ve shown up every week, every single week. Don’t Ms. Weeks, but none, none. Isn’t that incredible? I’ve shown up, uh, talked about investing and talked about very way markets are working, forces, shaping the economy, all that kind of stuff. But you know, as you can imagine, as a. As a younger individual versus, um, my crusty self. Now, you know, a lot of my own thinking has evolved over that time, you know, back then. And I, you know, I think this appealed to some people, but, um, you know, I was really dogmatic. I’m a real estate guy, right? And I still am a real estate guy, but back then I wouldn’t give anything else the time of day to even think about, you know, and, and, uh, I, I, you know. I was dogmatic and didn’t always challenge my own belief systems. Um, I’m different now, right? I’ve softened And time is a way of, of changing all of that dogmatic stuff for you. You know, I’ve lived through multiple market cycles. I’ve watched, well, I’ve watched the stock market, which I, which I always maligned, you know, melt up to valuations. Uh, that felt absurd. And then keep going higher. I’ve seen gold, which was kind of ridiculous for the longest time. I watched it for like a decade, just pretty much flat, and then it goes parabolic. Over the last year, I’ve seen interest rates sit near zero for a decade and then snap higher. Uh, not even as time, just launch higher at the fastest space in modern history. And I’ve learned sometimes I guess, the hard way that diversification is about survival and that every class, every asset class has its day. Just like every dog has its day. And um, you know, one other lesson that I learned that I’m thinking a lot about these days is ignore major technological shifts at your own peril. So what am I talking about? Well. It’s kind of a, it is a technological shift, whether you think it about not, but Bitcoin. Okay. Back in 2014, I first started hearing people talk seriously about Bitcoin, and at that time I dismissed it. I was, uh, I was listening to critics beater Schiff that constantly called it a scam, said it was going to zero and so on. I didn’t, I didn’t take the time to truly understand it, to try to understand it the way I understand it now, that makes me a believer in Bitcoin. That, of course was a big mistake, not because, you know, everyone should have bought Bitcoin and, uh, back then, well, they, you know, would’ve been nice if they did, but because fundamentally I ignored something that was a structural change happening right in front of me. And since then, Bitcoin went from a cipher punk expression of freedom to the large CTF owned by BlackRock today. The dominant story is actually artificial intelligence. Now, whether you love stocks, hate stocks, prefer real estate focused exclusively on cab, whatever, you cannot afford to ignore ai. It’s not a fad. It’s a general purpose technology and a technology shift, and the scale of electricity. The internet bigger than the internet, bigger than the industrial revolution. Now, that doesn’t mean it’s easy to invest in. I mean, I’m gonna go invest in AI and make a bunch of money because I mean, what does that even mean? It’s hard to look at headline names, trading at massive valuations like Nvidia and all that right now, and saying, oh, I’m gonna go buy that. Who knows? That’s gonna work out. When I talk about investing in AI isn’t really just investing in stocks or any individual company or data centers or whatever. It’s about understanding. The second and third order effects, energy demand. You know, as I mentioned, data centers, productivity gains, labor displacement, capital flows, and how blockchain and decentralized systems intersect with all of that. It is very, very complicated. Um, but it’s really important to start to try to understand, you know, an experience that stop me is this. You don’t need to be the first to invest, but you do need to be early in understanding. If you wait until something feels obvious, usually the opportunity’s gone by then. And you know, the thing about AI is even if you think it’s obvious now. The reality is that most people haven’t really caught on. Maybe they played with chat GPT, but I don’t think they’re understanding what this whole, you know, this thing is gonna do to our world. Um, anyway, so that is what this week’s episode of Wealth Formula Podcast, uh, is about. It’s about AI and also, um, a little bit about, you know, bitcoin and blockchain and that kind of thing. Um, we’re gonna talk about what’s noise, uh, you know, where the long, what the long-term, uh, implications are all of this stuff. This is a show that, uh, I really enjoy doing really, really good stuff. Um, so make sure you listen in. We’ll have that interview for you right after these messages. Wealth Formula banking is an ingenious concept powered by whole life insurance, but instead of acting just as a safety net. The strategy supercharges your investments. First, you create a personal financial reservoir that grows at a compounding interest rate much higher than any bank savings account. As your money accumulates, you borrow from your own bank to invest in other cash flowing investments. Here’s the key. Even though you borrowed money at a simple interest rate, your insurance company keeps paying you compound interest. On that money, even though you’ve borrowed it, that result, you make money in two places at the same time. That’s why your investments get supercharged. This isn’t a new technique. It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments. Visit Wealth formula banking.com. Again, that’s wealth formula banking.com. Welcome back to the show, everyone. Today. My guest on Wealth Formula podcast is Jim Thorne, chief Market strategist at Wellington. L is private wealth with more than 25 years of experience in capital markets. He’s previously served as chief capital market strategist, senior portfolio manager, chief economist, and CIO. Uh, equities at major investment firms and has also taught economics and finance at the university level. Uh, Jim is known for translating complex economic, political, and market dynamics into clear actionable insights to help investors and advisors navigate long-term capital decisions. Uh, Jim, welcome with the program. Thanks for having me Buck. Well, um, Tim, I, I, I, uh, had been following a little bit of, uh, what you discuss on, uh, on X and, um, one of the things that caught my eye is, you know, your, your narrative on, on ai, a lot of people are tend to be still sort of skeptical of AI and what’s going on, uh, with the markets. Um, uh, but at the same time, uh, there’s this. Sense. I think that ignoring AI altogether as an investor is, is, is downright potentially dangerous. So, uh, at the highest level, why is AI something people simply can’t dismiss? Well, we live in an, uh, uh, you know, many other people have coined this term, but we live, we’re living in an exponential age of, of technological innovation. And, you know, AI and I’ll just add into their, uh, blockchain is just the normal evolutionary process that, you know, for me started when I left graduate school and came into the business in the nineties where everybody had this high degree of skepticism of the computer and the, the, the phone, the, the. And the internet. And so, you know, what we do is we go through these cycles and there are periods of time where the stars align. And we have a period of time where we have what I would call an intense period of innovation where I would suggest to you that. People are skeptical. Skeptical, and yet at the same point in time, they very early on in the, in the, in the trade, call it a bubble when it’s not. And so I think it comes from the position of ignorance. One, I think two, fear, and then three. If you think about if you are an active manager, I in a 40 ACT fund, um, you know, and you’re sitting there with, uh, you know, mi. Uh, Nvidia at, you know, eight or 9% of your index. And that’s a big chunk that you’ve gotta put into your fund, uh, just to be market neutral. So there’s a lot of people that hate this rally. There’s a lot of people that are can, going to continue to hate this rally. But the thing I anchor my hat on are a couple of things. Look at if this is no different than the railroad. Canals, any major technological innovation, will it become a bubble? Yes. Just not now. So, so let’s follow up on that, because a lot of people think, or are talking about the, do you know the.com bubble, uh, comparisons, and you’ve argued that that sort of misses the real story. So, so where are we getting it wrong right now? Are those people getting it wrong? In the nineties buck, you’d walk into a bar and there wouldn’t be ESPN on there’d be CNBC on people were getting their jobs to become day traders. Folks didn’t go to the go to university because they were basically getting their white papers financed. You had companies that were trading off of clicks. So I lived that. Anybody who is of a younger generation has no idea what a bubble is, and it’s specious and pedantic for them to use that term when they have no clue about what they’re talking about. But you did mention that it could become a bubble. How do we know when it does become a bubble? Oh, it’ll become a bubble. Well, when, when, when you know, the, what, what I am looking for is, you know, when we, when the good investment opportunities start to dry up, when liquidity starts to dry up. So what I, it’s not about valuation, to me it’s about liquidity. So in 2000, what, and I’m roughly speaking, what went down was you had all these companies that were trading at Strat catastrophic valuation, this stupid valuations, and you walked in one day and they didn’t get financing. And if you read the prospectus or you followed the company, you knew that they were not going to be free cash flow positive for another two or three rounds of financing. All of a sudden you walked in and everybody goes, oh my God, this thing, you know, trading at 250 times sales. And everybody went, yeah, of course. And so what it was is, was when does liquidity dry up? So I’ll give you a date, um, you know, with Trump’s big beautiful bill act. 100% tax deductibility of CapEx and that goes until Jan 1, 20 31. So to me, that’s a very motivating factor for people to, um, invest. The last thing I would say to you in more of a game theoretic context book is, look, if you are a big tech company and you don’t invest in ai. You are ensuring your death. Yahoo, Hela Packard. I can go through the list of companies that cease to invest, so they’re looking. If it was you and I when we were running this company, I would say, dude, we gotta invest because if we don’t have a poll position in this next platform, whatever it is, we’re done. We’re toast. And I think that’s why you’re seeing all these hyperscalers spending as much money as they are. ’cause they get this, they saw it. So, you know, you framed ai not necessarily as a a tech trade, but as a capital expenditure cycle. Can you explain that to people? Well, what we need to do is we need to build out the infrastructure of ai. Then, and that’s the phase that we’re in right now. So it’s more like we’re building out all of the railroads, the railway tracks and the railway stations across the United States back in the 18 hundreds. And then we’re gonna go through that building phase. And then as that building phase goes, some companies, some towns, are going to basically realize and recognize what’s happening and start to basically take ai. Bring it into their business model, into enhanced margins. Right. So right now we’re building it out. I mean, you know, we all focus on the hyperscalers, but the majority of companies, pardon me, governments. Individuals, they haven’t used AI and, and what is interesting about this is back in the nineties, they were talking about how the internet had to evolve to be much more. You know, uh, have critical thinking in, in, in it. And it was more explained when you went to these conferences, as you know, you know, think about this. You’re hearing this in 99, okay? Not today. You go in and you ask Google or dog pile at the same time, or excite, okay? You would say, I wanna go to Florida in the third week of March and I wanna stay here and I wanna spend this amount of money and I wanna rent a car. Plan it for me. And they would come back and they would tell you that it would come back and it would, it would, everything would be there. And you would have your over here and all you would have to do is drop your money and you had your thing planned. So none of this is as, it’s aspirational, but we’ve heard it before. And in technology, what happens is it’s not like it’s new. We’ve been talking to, I did machine learning in in graduate school. Ai, you know, I did neural networks and I’m a terrible Ian. This isn’t, you know, Claude Shannon wrote about this in 1937, right? But it’s about when does it hit, and so it was chat GBT. Can we argue, was that right? As an investor, it’s stop arguing, start investing. Then what you’ve gotta figure out, which is the question you ask, is when does the music stop? I think it goes until the end of the decade. You know, one of the things that, uh, is interesting about this, uh, AI investment, uh, it’s, it’s unfolding in a higher interest rate environment. Why is that detail so important? Understanding its significance? Well, it’s the cost of capital, right? And so this phase that we have right now. It’s funny you say that, right? ’cause our reference point is zero interest rates, right? Yeah, yeah. Right. That’s right. So, you know, you know, so, so think about this, what it happens right now. Now we’re in the phase where you’ve got these hyperscalers that instead of taking all their free cash flow and buying bonds and buying back stock, are increasing CapEx because there’s a great tax deduction on it. So you get a lot of, so we’re in this phase where, for where, where a lot of the money is, you know, was. Was, let me, let me be clear, was a hundred free cashflow. Now we’re getting these guys, these companies like Oracle and what have you, you know, starting to issue debt and look at debt isn’t bad as long as the rate of return on debt is higher than the interest rates. And so, you know, you know, I, I would say historically speaking, for a lot of these high quality names, the interest rates are not, uh, at levels that will stop them from investing. Right. Right. You know, you’ve written that, um, productivity is ultimately the real story behind ai. So why does productivity matter more than the technology headlines themselves? Well, let me just put it this way, right? So we’ve grown, I grew up, I, I joined, I’m up here in Toronto, right? So I’m gonna give it to you in Canadian dollars, right? So I joined, I joined here. You know, I grew up here, went to the states, came back home. Growing this company I joined when we’re about three and a half billion. We’re getting close to 50 billion, and we’re the fastest growing independent platform in the country. I’m a one man band, right? I use three ai. In the old days, I’d have four research assistants. Where’s the margin in that? And so I, that’s how I see it. And let me be clear, it’s, you know, this isn’t we’re, it’s not perfect. But if I wanted to say, instead of you, but hey, write me a 2000 word essay on the counterfactual of what happened with railroads up until 1894 when the, when the bubble popped, give me a f, you know, a a thousand word essay and, and just a general overview. I can get that in less than five minutes. Michael Sailor is writing product on ai, which, which, which you would take, which you would take. He’s in his presentation, say it would take a hundred lawyers. So it’s gonna be more about those. And it’s, it’s no different than Internet of things or, you know, it was, uh, Kasparov that talked about this. Gary Kasparov talking about the melding of, of technology in humans. He would ran, run this chess tournament called freestyle. You could use a computer, you could use, you know, grand Masters. You could use whatever you wanted to compete. And who won? Well, who won it Was that those teams that were generalists that had a little bit of that, the knowledge of the computer and the knowledge of the test. Uh, o of chess, right? That’s what’s gonna happen. So this isn’t we’re, as far as I’m concerned, we’re not, yes, there’s going to be some d some jobs that are going to be replaced, but that is always the case in technology. I’m not a Luddite, okay? I am not Luddite. But the same point in time. I, I would suggest to you that it, it is just a really, for me, it’s a, helps me. Do research no different than when I was an undergrad and they went from cue cards in the, the library at the university to actually having a dummy terminal and I could ask questions in queue. You know, it stalked me from having to go to the basement of the library and going to microfiche. Right. Have helping that way. Now can it, can, will it do other things? I’m sure it is, and I’ll lead that to Elon Musk and the crew. You know, that’s above my pay grade. But for me, I see it as a very helpful way of, you know, allowing me to process and delineate. Much more information a a and not have me waste so much time trying to figure out what got went on in the past or, you know, QMF. Right. You know, summarize me the talk five, you know, academic papers in this area, what are they saying? And then they gimme the papers. Right. It just speeds the process up. Yeah. You know, um, one of the things that I’ve been sort of talking about and thinking about. Is that it’s hard to not see AI as a very, very strong deflationary force. Um, how do you think about that? Yeah. Technology is deflationary, right? Doubt about it. And so I look at it this way, Ray. Um, so I work at the financial services industry, okay. You know, Mr. Diamond of JP Morgan is talking about how they are starting to embrace blockchain and ai. They are going to cut out the back end of that in the, the margins in that, in that company by the end of the cycle are going to be fantastic. People just do not get in. You know, the financial services industry is built on a platform. Of the 1960s, dude. I mean, they’re still running Fortran, cobalt. So you know what I, how I look at this is much more as a margin type story, and there’s going to be a lot of displacement. But at the same point in time, I look at Tesla and automation and ai. And you know, people look at Tesla as a car company. I look at Tesla as an advanced manufacturing company. Elon Musk could basically go into any industry and disrupt it if it wanted to. Right. So that’s how I look at it. And so, you know, the hard part is going to be, you know. Nothing. If we get back to where we were, it’s not going to be perfect, right? Because here’s, here’s where the counter is, here’s where the counter is. Right? If you, if, if you think about, and we’re, I’m gonna take Trump outta the equation and ent outta the equation right now, but if we just went back to the way things were before COVID, we would have strong deflationary forces. Okay. Just with demographics, just with excessive levels of debt. Just with, you know, pushing on a string in terms of, in terms we couldn’t get the growth up, you know, and, you know, and the overregulation of financial institutions. Trump and descent are basically applying what’s called supply side economics, and they’re deregulating. It’s says law, which is John Batiste, that says basically supply creates his own demand and it’s non-inflationary. But really what they’re going to try to do is they’re going to try to run the economy hot and they’re gonna try to pull this way out of the debt. And if you do that and you deregulate the banks. And allow the banks to get back to where they were before the financial crisis. Okay. You know, and, and the Fed takes its interest rates down to neutral, expands the balance sheet. Then I don’t think we’re gonna go back to the zero bound in deflation. I think this thing’s gonna run hot for a long time. And I think it, the real question is, is, is is 2 75 in the United States the neutral rate? I think it is. Uh, but as, as, as Scott be says, and, and, and, and, and let’s be clear, buck, the guy’s a superstar. Okay. Guy is a legend. Just you sit there, just shut up and listen to him. Okay. They keep up, right? Well, so they’re gonna run it hot, but where we are is, in his words, mine, not mine. We’re still in this detox period, you know what I mean? We still got the Biden era. We still got, you know, a over a decade of excessive ca of Central Bank intermediation. That needs to get, you know, go away. So what I say, and what I’ve been writing about is 26 is going to be the year that the baton is passed back to the private sector. Let’s get rates down to 2 75. That’s, I mean, I’m going off the New York Fed model. That says real fed funds, the real, the real neutral rate is 75 to 78 basis points. I think inflation’s at two. That that gets you 2 75. Get the rates there and then get the balance sheet of the Fed to the level so that overnight lending isn’t loose or tight. It’s just normal. And then step back, go away and let Wall Street and the private sector create credit. Create economic growth and let’s get back to the business cycle. And if we do that, we’re gonna have non-inflationary growth. It’s gonna be strong, but we’re not going back to the zero bound and we’re gonna grow our way out of this. And so that’s where I get really excited about. This is a very unique time in history. A very, very, very unique time in history where, and I don’t know how long it’s going to last because of the compression that we have now because of the, you know, we live in such a digital world, but let’s say it’s five years demographic says it’s to 33, 32 to 33. That’s, you know, that’s how long this run is. And, and to me, uh, AI is a massive play. I, I, to me, blockchain is a massive play and to me it’s to those countries and companies that get it is, whereas investors, we wanna think, start thinking about investing. Yeah. You mentioned, um, non non-inflationary growth. Can you drill down on that a little bit just so people understand a little bit where. Usually you think of an economy running super hot, you, you think automatically there’s an, you know, an inflationary growth. So I want you to think in your mind into your list as think in your mind. Go back to economics 1 0 1 with the demand curve. In the supply curve, okay? And there are an equilibrium. And at that equilibrium we have a price at an equilibrium, and we have an output as an equilibrium. Okay? Now what I want you to do is I want you to keep the demand curves stagnant or, or, or anchored. Then I want you to shift the supply curve out. Prices go down, output goes out. We can talk all this esoteric stuff, you know, you know Ronald Reagan and, and Robert Mandel and supply side economics. But it’s really your shift in the supply curve out, and that’s what, and that’s what BeIN’s doing. I mean, this is a w would just sit down and be quiet. He’s talking about, you know, what is deregulation? He’s pushing the supply provider. Oh, hold on. My phone. My, my thing. And what did, since the two thousands, what did, what was the policy? It was kingian, it was all focused on the demand curve. Everything was focused on demand. And so all we’re doing is we’re, we’re getting the keynesians out. I use 2000 ’cause that’s when Ben Bernanke really came in and was very influential. Let me just say he’s a very smart, I learned so much from reading. Smart, smart, smart, smart guy. But his whole thing was Kasan. He came from MIT, his thesis supervisor was Stanley Fisher, right? We’re going back to, you know, Mario Dragons thesis supervisors, Stanley Fisher, all these guys came from MIT, Larry, M-I-T-M-I-T, Yale, and Princeton. Whereas previously it was the University of Chicago. It was Milton Friedman. It was, it was supply side economics. We’re going back, they’re going back to supply side economics and right now we need it. We need balance. But my god, what did we end off with? We ended off with four years of mono modern monetary theory. Deficits matter. That’s insanity. You had mentioned a little bit, uh, you, you’ve talked about blockchain a few times here. Talk about the significance. I mean, it’s sort of, you know, blockchain was a thing that everybody was, everybody was talking about it, you know, three, four years ago, but now it’s all about ai. But you know, now you’ve got, um, but in, but in the background, blockchain has grown, uh, adoption has grown. Uh, tell us what’s going on there, and if you could tie it into the significance of, of where we’re at today. Yeah. Um, uh, Jeff Bezos gave a wonderful speech, I think in two thou, early two thousands, where he basically talked about the fact that, you know, once this innovation is led out of the genie’s, led out of the bottle, whether or not, you know, buck and Jim, like it as an investment, the innovation continues. And so after the internet bubble pop, right? Really smart guys like Jeff Bezos, uh, Zuckerberg, you, you, the whole cast of characters, right? Basically built it out. Okay. And it wasn’t perfect and everybody knew it wasn’t perfect. I mean, that was the whole thing that was so bizarre. But they knew it wasn’t perfect and they knew that they needed to solve some problems. Right. And you know, it was a double spend problem. I mean, the internet that we were dealing with right now was developed in the 1950s and so on and so forth. And so, you know, that always stuck with me. Right. A couple of things stuck with me because I’ve lived through a couple of these cycles. The first one is Buck. When the, when Wall Street coalesces around something just shut up and buy it, right? I mean, I, I spent too much of my life arguing about whether dog pile and Ask Gees was better than Google. Wall Street said Google was the best. Shut up. Invest, right? And so, so look, blockchain solved the double spend problem. Blockchain solved all the problems that the original iteration of the internet could solve, and everybody knew it was coming along okay. So it’s a decentral, it’s decentralized, right? Uh, does, does not need to be reconciled. So no. Not only do you have another iteration of the internet. You have basically introduced into society the biggest innovation in accounting or recordkeeping since double entry. Bookkeeping accounting was introduced in Florence, Italy centuries ago by the Medicis and, and buck. All this is out there like, so this is a profound, right? So think about you’re in an accounting department and you don’t have to reconcile, right? So look. The first use cakes was Bitcoin. And what was the, what was the beautiful thing about it? Well, first off, it grew up by itself. And secondly, it’s got perfect scarcity, right? And so let’s just full stop. And I mean, yes, gold and silver had the run that they should have had decades. So I had been waiting and listening to people, gold bugs, talking about this type of run since the nineties. Okay. Um, but look, you know, and the problem with fi money, right? I mean, this is, this goes back decades. It’s an old argument. The way you solve it is, is Bitcoin. That’s the solution. I mean, forget about it. I mean, if they’re gonna whip it around and do all this stuff, fine. But the other thing that people miss and Sailor hasn’t, and Sailor is brilliant, is look. Bitcoin is pristine collateral in 2008, in September. What caused the, the system to stop was the counter. We could not identify counterparty risk for near cash. It was a settlement problem. Anybody you talk to Buck that says it was, you know, the subprime this and it, yeah, that was crap. I get that. But when the system shut down is you had a $750 million near cash instrument with X, Y, Z, wall Street firm, and you did this for three extra beeps and it was no longer cash. Guess. And guess what? Your institutional money market fund broke the buck. That’s when the system blew sky high. When the money market broke the buck and it was a settlement problem, blockchain and Bitcoin solved that. Sailor knows that, look where Wall Street’s gonna go. They understand now that. Bitcoin is pristine, collateral and capital that is 100% transparent. Let’s lend against it, and that’s what Sadler’s doing. That’s why Wall Street hates the guy so much, right? Think about that. Think of where is he going after he’s going after all the stranded capital on Wall Street. And, and the whole point is he’s sitting there going, I’m too busy for this. And you’ve got all these other people that are gonna live off of other people’s ignorance. Meanwhile, Jing Diamond knows exactly what he’s talking about. We can identify, if I hear one more person on me in, in the meeting say, I don’t know. You know, you know, uh, micro strategies balance sheet is so complicated. Really. Compared to JP Morgans, I mean, you know what his capital is. It says Bitcoin, like, what are you guys talking about? But hey, fucking in this business, people make generational wealth on ignorance of people who think they know what they don’t know. So, you know, just going back to Jamie Diamond, you know, he spent, I don’t know how long. Throwing every insult, uh, he could towards Bitcoin. And now they’ve really kind of, they haven’t backtracked. I think he’s, he’s, you know, his, his, um, I think the way he phrases is the blockchain’s a real thing. He never seems to really say the word Bitcoin, uh, in this regard. Um, banks in general, where do you think they’re headed with this stuff? I mean, I, you know, right now, again, you can kind of see even. Um, I think, you know, some of the big advisory firms suddenly recommending one to, you know, one to 4% of people’s portfolios in Bitcoin. I mean, this is all, I mean, gosh, I, I’ve, you know, been talking about Bitcoin since 2017. This is in unbelievable transformation in less than a decade. Where do you see this going in the next five to 10 years? It’s called the, it’s called, what is it? It’s called, I’m gonna call it the Evolution of Jim. Me, you know, in my business and, and, and, and you know, the thing I have book is I’ve survived and I’ve gone through a lot of cycles. I’ve done a lot, you know, and you ask yourself, you scratch your head a lot and you’re, and you, but you’re continually doing objective research and you’re this, if you, this is why I love this game so much. Right? So let’s just go stop for a second. Let’s get some context. Right. My first summer job, one of my first summer jobs, I worked in the basement of a bank in the in, in downtown Toronto, right up the street from the Toronto Stock Exchange. And my job was to let guys in with beak, briefcases into the cage, into the big vault, to basically bring in certificates. Okay. And, and what? Stock certificates. And so remember, you know, and I remember my grandfather when we, when he died, look at, we couldn’t sell the house because he didn’t believe in the banks. And we were finding certificates all over the house in the walls. Okay? Right. So in the 1960s it was bare based. The whole industry was bare based. And there was the volume in Wall Street started to pick up to the point where they couldn’t handle the volume. There was a paper crisis where almost a third of the companies went down bankrupt because of the cage. The cage. Okay. So basically what happened was, to make a long story short, they came out with, they came, Hey, why don’t we get two computers At one point in time, they said, okay, crisis. Let’s solve it. Well, why don’t we get these two computers and we can solve, or we can sell trades among, amongst each other. Okay. And then we don’t need to have guys riding around Wall Street with bicycles and big briefcases. Okay. And then what we did was, what we did was we sat there and said, well, why don’t we have a centralized clearing, and we’re gonna call it DTC or CDS, depending on what country you’re in. And what we’re gonna do is we’re gonna offer paper, we’re gonna, we’re gonna issue paper rights to the underlying stock that was developed in the early 1970s. That’s the system that we’re on right now. There are a lot of faults with that. Let me give you, when you’ve talked about the GameStop a MC situation, when you have a company that’s basically have more shares outstanding short, sorry, more shares short than outstanding, that shows you that the old system doesn’t work. It’s called ation. The paper writes to the underlying assets, it, it doesn’t match up. There have been guys that make a career outta this and write books about this, right? Dole Pineapple. They had a corporate, a corporate event, right? Hostile takeover. 64,000 for 64 million shares, voted, I think, and there was only 3,200 on. We all know this, so this has to be solved. The way you solve it is you tokenize assets, and this was talked about a decade ago, and they know about it and true tofor, they, and if you’re thinking about it, it’s totally logical, right? But if we allow this innovation to go full stream ahead, we’re wiped out, right? So what did they do? They delayed. They delayed. And as you know, you could talk about, it’s called Operation choke 0.2 0.0. Right. You know, the Fed overreached their bounds, they de banked people. I mean, this is why, why Best it’s going after them. They, yet they stepped over their constitutional mandate. Right. The federal, the Fed Act is not, uh, does not supersede the US Constitution. Elizabeth warned the whole thing. They did it. Okay, so let’s not complain about it. So now Atkins is gonna, we’re gonna have the Clarity Act come out and they’re gonna basically deregulate New York Stock Exchange already there. They’re gonna put everything on the blockchain and when you put everything on the blockchain, trade a settlement. There’s no hypo. Immediate settlement. Immediate, which is a benefit if you can get your act together because it, you know, for Wall Street firms you need less capital, right? So it’s a natural evolutionary process. And then you sit there and go back in history, if you and I were writing it, we’d sit there and go, well, should we be surprised that the incumbents right, the status quo pushed back on innovation? No, there was a guy, there was a prophet, um. At, at Harvard, his name was Clay Christensen, and he wrote this wonderful book called The Innovator’s Dilemma. You know, why does, why don’t companies evolve, or why do they go bankrupt? It’s because they cease to evolve and the status quo doesn’t allow the evolution of the companies to take place. Right? Well, that’s what happened in RA. We’re gonna complain about it. No, it, it is what it is. It’s water under the bridge. And so what I think is happening is, you know, Mr. Diamond is basically saying. He’s pragmatic, he’s a realist. And now he’s saying, we gotta evolve. And hey, by the way, now I’ve gotten to the point where I think I can make a tunnel. Think about that. Yeah. Think about his own stable coins, right? So his own stable coins. And, uh, well think about this. If you trade like internal meetings, right? And I’m hyped this hypothetical, right? I go, fuck, don’t screw this up this time. And you’re gonna go, Jim, what are you talking about? I go. We want a nice bread between bid and ask in these financial price. We don’t wanna go down to pennies. Okay? Can we go back to the old days when we were, you know, trading in quarters and sixteenths and so we can make some skin in the game? I think you’ve got the deregulation of the banking industry where the banks are gonna, they’re fit. It’s gonna be baby steps. But what’s gonna happen is they’re gonna basically say, stop taking all that capital that’s sitting at the Fed, making four or fed funds rate overnights wherever it’s four half, 3 75 right now. And you can now trade it. Go back to prop trading, which is what they did. And they’re gonna start off, they will start off with, its only treasuries. Eventually they’ll be able to expand throughout our lifetime. So the old way you gotta look at it is, you know. We’re bringing the ba, you know, we’re putting the band back together, man. Right. And the banks are gonna deregulate, they’re gonna deregulate the banks, they’re going to innovate, they’re gonna be able to use the capital, their earnings profile going out into the end of the decade. It’s, it’s gonna be monstrous, it’s gonna be, you know, it, it’s, it’s, and, and that’s how I get, you know, when people say, where do you think the s and p goes? You know, I say, you know, 14,000, you know, double from here by the end of the decade. And he goes, well, what about ai? I go, well, they’re gonna, that’s important, but it’s the banks. I think the banks are gonna have a renaissance. Yeah. Yeah. Um, one thing just to get your thoughts on, so when you look at the banks, you talked about sort of the inevitability of tokenization. Um, the stock exchange, uh, we talked about stable coins. I mean, another great way for banks to make money. Uh, essentially where does that, how, how does that help or hurt Bitcoin adoption? Because Bitcoin is a sort of a separate, separate, you’re not, you’re not building on Bitcoin as much as you are, say, Ethereum, Mar Solana or, you know, some of the, some of the blockchain things. So, so is it just that. Is it just a, an adoption issue? Because you live in a, in a different world. You live in a world of blockchain and Bitcoin is, its currency. It’s weird, right? Because I, I’m writing this feed like, so Buck, where are you right now? Where, where, where are you located? I’m in Santa Barbara. You’re in California. So, yeah, so I’m in Toronto, right? Uh, you know, I lived in, worked in the States for, you know, a decade, a couple of decades, and I’m back home and it’s like, man, they don’t get it. Right, and, and, and, and what am I talking about? Well, well, this, this is the, the thing that you’ve gotta understand is this, right. Ethereum was invented by Vladi Butrin in this town, Joe Alozo, who’s the head of one of the largest Ethereum groups. Father is a dentist at Bathurst and Spadina. We’re up here and people are saying, oh, you know, president Trump don’t talk about being a 51st state. We act like a colony, duke. We are a, you know, we forget about calling us one. We are. So, look, it, look, there is no doubt in my mind that Ethereum is going to have a place and, and we’re going to use it. Seems like we’re going to use Ethereum and that’s the smart contract, you know? Um. And that’s fine. Um, you know, but going back in time. But, but remember, there’s not per, there’s not perfect scarcity there. So I like Ethereum, don’t get me wrong, but I look at Bitcoin and I look at the, I look at the scarcity, and I also look at the fact of, you know, what sa, what Sailor, if you sailor did a presentation in the middle of next year and all hell broke loose. What he did, and it’s, you know, and of course I’m hypothesizing. He basically went to New York and said, I am going to create fixed income products and I am going to give yields. On those products, and I’m coming after the stranded capital that sits on Wall Street that you guys have been ripping on for years. In the middle of last year, staler went public and declared war. Okay. Are we surprised that Jim Shane Oaks came out and everybody came out basically guns a blazing. Are we surprised? But what he, what Sailor did and put and slammed on the table is it’s pristine capital, it’s transparent capital. And what are you willing to pay for that? And now you GARP banks trading at. We have no idea what their capital structure really is. Honestly, we have an idea, but it’s very opaque, right? You know, the high quality names are trading at two, two to, you know, two times tangible book. You’ve got fintech’s companies trading at four to five times, right book, and you know, what’s Sailor doing right now? Diluting his stock so he can buy as much Bitcoin as he wants because he sees the next game. He says the hell with what you guys think the next game is going to be. Wall Street’s going to realize that Bitcoin is pristine capital and there’s only 21 million of it. What do you and, and what just happened today? What did Morgan Stanley just file a treasury company. So everything you and I are talking about, they know they’re smart guys, right? They’re real, they’re not. That’s, this is the whole point. They’re really, really, really smart. Okay. They see they’ve gone through the history. They know. Okay, so you’re sitting there, you get around the room, you say, so wait a minute. Wait. Whoa, sailor’s over here. And he’s basically saying he’s gonna give you a a pref that’s basically backed by Bitcoin charging 10%. And he’s going after our corporate clients. I mean, and what’s the pitch Buck? You’ve got a hundred million dollars. Okay, you got a hundred million dollars in the kitty. Okay, buck. What happens is you need $10 million a year for working capital, which is in cash, which means you’ve got $90 million sitting there idle. Hey, buck, I can give you 10% on that. You go to Jamie, he’s giving you two. What are you gonna do? Yeah. I think one of the issues right now is I the, the perceived risk profile of that. Right. Uh, you know. I tend to agree with you about the, uh, pristine nature of Bitcoin s collateral, but just in general, the perception. I don’t know that, that that’s. That’s the case. Well, you gotta go back to the fact that, do you think Bitcoin’s going to zero or not? No, of course not. Yeah. ‘ cause the Bitcoin doesn’t go to zero. There’s no, then, then that are, there’s Bitcoin could go to zero. There’s no, I mean, I don’t think, I mean, non-zero probability, of course, right? I don’t think it is. And if that has been, if it has been selected and now you have Wall Street coalescing it, I haven’t even mentioned the president of the United States or his family. Right. Uh, or the Commerce Secretary and his family, right? Or if you go to New York, wall Street, right, they’re all talking about it, right? So, I, I, you know, to me, I, I, the question about micro strategy, to me it’s not. That it’s a treasury company and it’s got a pile of Bitcoin. What does he do with it? Does he become a bank? Like why does it, this is me. I’m pitching him. Right. Hey, Mike, why don’t you just become a FinTech, say you’re like a FinTech company and you’ll get, and you, you’re gonna instantaneously trade it five to six times book. Why don’t you, why are you, you’re talking like you’re attacking them, but you’re still, you’re still a software company with a, with a big whack of Bitcoin that you are writing pres. Right? So, and, and so that’s, that’s how I look at it. I think the wave is too big. We are going to digitize. And the other thing that we didn’t really touch on with respect to AI and blockchain, and I’m gonna paraphrase the president. Right. Um, Mr. Trump is, look, um, it’s a matter of national security, duke, and when I hear that, I go back to the nineties in the eighties when I was in late eighties when I was an undergrad. Right. And it wasn’t China, it was Japan. And, and you know, what happened was, you know, it, it’s funny, Al Gore did deregulate so that. The internet could become for-profit. We all stood around and said, you know what the hell could, how do we make money on this? That’s, you know, what do we do? And then what did we do? We, we, we threw a ton of money at it and the United States controlled it. And what did we get out of it? We got out, we got, you know, all those companies. Right. The last thing I would say to you, and this is much more of a personal story, is I, when I was younger, I was in New York and it was 2000 and I was at the Grand Hyatt, and it was a tech, it was a tech conference and, uh, Larry Ellison Oracle was there and he gave a, he gave a, he gave a a, a fireside chat. Then, um, we go to a breakout room and, you know, in a break, I don’t know about if you’ve been to one, but you go to a breakout room, it’s a smaller room at the hotel, and you know, sometimes you got 25 people, sometimes you got 50 people, right. And, you know, I went to the, I went to the breakout with Mr. Allison ’cause of Oracle and I went in there and it was absolutely jammed and I was sweating and he just looked at us and he just ripped us. He AP Soly, just, I still have the scars today. I’m talking to you about it. Okay. He called it a bubble. He called it a bubble. He, he was early in calling it a bubble. I never forgot that. And then you sit there and see what he’s doing right now. Where he’s levering up the balance sheet. Now, to me, having survived in this game for such a long period of time, and I call it a game, it’s a game of strategy, whatever, you know, how does that not, you know, I would say to you, we were, your office was next to mine. Fuck. I remember New York, he’s loading the goose loaded in. He go in, he’s borrowing money from his grandmother. He’s, you know, what is going on. And he’s really stinking smart. You know, he’s, he, Larry Allenson just doesn’t do, and people, oh, he’s in, you know, he’s, no, he’s not, he’s, he’s like the mentor of all of these guys. You know what I mean? So there’s a, to me, there’s a discontinuity that these need to believe that we’re still early on because you know, what, if Larry’s, what do we take when Larry or Mr. Ellison is leveraging up to me, it’s profound because I’m anchoring off of my bias to the New York, the New York high at, at the Tech Co. I think it was, I think it was at Bear Stearn. I couldn’t remember Bear Stearns or Lehman. But you know, one of those I carry that experience on with the rest of my life. I do. It’s like, what is Larry thinking? Right? So he’s leveraging up buck. That’s all I know. He’s a priest or guy. Well, that’s probably a good place for us to stop, Jim, uh, chief, uh, market strategist at Wellington Elta Private Wealth. Thank you so much for joining me. Thanks so much and be safe. You make a lot of money but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties. Now you’re trying to catch up. Meanwhile, you’ve got a mortgage, a private school to pay for, and you feel like you’re getting further and further behind. Now, good news, if you need to catch up on retirement, check out a program put out by some of the oldest and most prestigious life insurance companies in the world. It’s called Wealth Accelerator, and it can help you amplify your returns quickly, protect your money from creditors, and provide financial protection to your family if something happens. The concepts here are used by some of the wealthiest families in the world, and there’s no reason why they can’t be used by you. Check it out for yourself by going to wealth formula banking.com. Welcome back to the show everyone. Hope you enjoyed it. Uh, and, uh, as I said before, do not ignore ai. This is something that you need to start using. Have your kids start using it. Uh, make sure that they, you know. They use it every day because this whole world is turning AI and it’s gonna happen. You know, it’s gonna happen in, in a blink of an, uh, blink of an eye. And the world is gonna change and there are gonna be real winners out there. And the winners are gonna be people who knew where there was, was going and kind of used it in their mind’s eye as they looked on navigating how. You know how to allocate their money. Anyway, that is it for me. This week on Wealth Formula Podcast. This is Buck JJoffrey signing off. If you wanna learn more, you can now get free access to our in-depth personal finance course featuring industry leaders like Tom Wheel Wright and Ken McElroy. Visit wealth formula roadmap.com.
On this episode of Animal Spirits: Talk Your Book, Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are joined by Jeff Schwarte from Simplify ETFs to discuss: barrier options, how structured products work in an ETF, creating regular income and how equity income funds can fit into a portfolio. Find complete show notes on our blogs... Ben Carlson's A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick's The Irrelevant Investor Feel free to shoot us an email at animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://idontshop.com Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar walks through a volatile macro backdrop as tariff threats tied to U.S.–Europe relations weigh on global markets and push gold and silver to record highs. Eurozone inflation slips below target, reinforcing expectations of steady ECB policy, while China meets its GDP goal despite weak domestic demand. Japan faces economic headwinds ahead of key political events. In crypto, bitcoin drops sharply amid liquidations, even as ETF flows, Ethereum activity, and regulatory debates remain in focus.