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The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal polling data paints a bleak picture, nine months out, for President Joe Biden. Realizing we're still nine months out is small comfort when you look back at 2020 and 2016 polls from he same point in those races, too, and there are perplexing and somewhat shocking subsets to discuss, too. So is there (or will there be) a contingency plan for Democrats? Details of the bipartisan Senate immigration bill came out, and while GOP House Speaker Mike Johnson said it's "dead on arrival," there's a lot for so-called "border hawks" to like ... and if you don't believe me (or Senator Chris Murphy), hear what a Fox News national correspondent said on X.
Nathan is the CEO of SouthernDefense.com, one of the fastest growing online retailers of ammo. More than half of American voters -- 52% -- say they or someone in their household owns a gun, per the latest NBC News national poll. That's the highest share of voters who say that they or someone in their household owns a gun in the history of the NBC News poll, on a question dating back to 1999. In 2019, 46% of Americans said that they or someone in their household owned a gun, per an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. And in February 2013, that share was 42%. "In the last ten years, we've grown [10 points] in gun ownership. That's a very stunning number," said Micah Roberts of Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm that co-conducted the poll with members of the Democratic polling firm Hart Research. "By and large, things don't change that dramatically that quickly when it comes to something as fundamental as whether you own a gun," Roberts added. Gun ownership does fall along partisan lines, as it has for years, the poll finds. This month, 66% of Republican voters surveyed say that they or someone in their household owns a gun, while just 45% of independents and 41% of Democrats say the same. In 2004, a March NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that 57% of Republicans said that they or someone in their household owned a gun, while just 41% of independents and 33% of Democrats said the same. White voters tend to own guns at higher rates than Black or Latino voters, but gun ownership rates among Black voters have jumped in recent years.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this never ending election cycle, there is no such thing as too much analysis about the state of public opinion polling. So, today Rick is joined by Geoff Garin, president of Hart Research, who along with Public Opinion Strategies has conducted the NBC News/Wall Street Journal political poll since 1989. Beyond what the heck happened on November 3 in the Presidential election and across the nation, Geoff and Rick also cast an eye towards the double US Senate run-offs in Georgia. Importantly, they'll also discuss where public opinion stands on Americans' ability to come to a consensus on key issues - climate change and healthcare.
Carrie Dann reports on a Quibi and NBC News analysis of more than 2,000 young voters surveyed in the NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls from January through August of this year.
Some ways of dealing with breadwinner guilt are to find what charges you back up and do it. Let go of perfectionism and give yourself grace. For a complete transcript check out our show notes for episode 23 on smallbizmama.com Topics • Despite the balancing acts working women must perform and the pervasive gender pay gap, an NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll suggests that 49% of U.S. working women serve as their family's main breadwinner. • This number includes an estimated 42% of working women with children. Among women married to, or cohabiting with, a male partner, researchers say 31% are earning at least half of their household income. • In research on the female breadwinner, Meisenbach (2010) found that many of these women felt enormous guilt and resentment. • It would also appear that the gender socialization of women as nurturers and primary caregivers is enduring and instilling an embedded standard that women themselves want to uphold (April and Mooketsi, 2010). Consequently, women are under significant pressure when they attempt to put their emotional needs and personal fulfillment (joy and subjective wellbeing— instinctually individual) above their idealistic responsibilities and beliefs • These sometimes unreasonable, stressful and fear-driven societal and cultural expectations induce differential self-views and can be fertile grounds for reoccurring guilt and shame (Thomson and Walker, 1989; and Lewis, 1992), exacerbated by feelings of inferiority, exhaustion, confusion, fearfulness, and anger (Douglas and Michaels, 2004) • As the model of the female breadwinner grew, so the growth of the ‘house husband’ arose— husbands who are actively engaged in a role reversal with their wives (Wentworth and Chell, 2001). It has been argued that the breadwinner role validates a man’s masculinity (Lewis and Cooper, 1987) and that men who cannot fulfill the breadwinner role are not fully adult or not fully masculine (Meisenbach, 2010)—thus, seen as having their sexuality questioned. As such, another essential part of a female breadwinner’s experience is skillfully managing the male’s identity by valuing his household contribution. • When it comes to family-life satisfaction, women who earn more than their husbands report lower satisfaction than their peers who have a lower income than their spouses, according to a new Institute for Family Studies/Wheatley Institution survey of U.S. adults ages 18 to 50. • On other measures, including marital satisfaction and whether the couple feels close and engaged in the relationship, female breadwinners also score lower than their peers who earn less than their husbands. • The culprit here may be traditional gender norms. The idea that men should take the lead in breadwinning and women in caring for children and the home still affects men and women today, and a violation of this norm could make some couples uncomfortable with their arrangement • When it comes to childcare responsibilities, married mothers who are the primary breadwinner in the house are also much more likely than fathers in the same role to take a lead in the childcare responsibilities (37% vs. 7%). So, when wives are the primary breadwinners, they are still much more likely to assume a disproportionate share of housework and childcare. This is an example of the classic “second shift” that sociologist Arlie Hochschild pointed to in her book. It is easy to see why these overworked breadwinner wives and mothers may not be as happy as others. Tips to help with Breadwinner Guilt: 1. Stay Focused, Say No: a. We're all guilty of not spending time in the moment. When we're working, we're often thinking of all the things we should, could and would do with our family this weekend. At home, we let work and "real life" project task lists run through our heads. By doing so, we're not maximizing our time spent in either camp. b. Obvious, but the basic rule: Work when you're at work; let it go when you're at home. 2. Blur Gender Roles: a. Whether we agree with it or not, eyebrows often rise when the man is not the family provider, and watch out if he decides to stay home with the kids. Gender roles, expectations that wives stay home to care for families, and our own egos can sometimes combine to create relationship tension, resentment, and stress. b. Reducing the stigma of gender roles, even just within your household would ultimately help reduce the stress and resentment one feels when comparing their work and home situation to the societal gender norms our society and culture have ingrained in us. • A recent study suggests that how couples divide their household tasks is linked to their relationship satisfaction. And an earlier Pew Research survey found that “sharing household chores” is ranked as one of the top three factors associated with a successful marriage. • The key, as always, is communication. Be upfront, discuss budding resentments early before they fester and grow. Divide responsibilities so that no one is unfairly burdened. Don’t take on everything yourself and be a martyr, blaming him for everything that may go wrong. The goal is to stop being “me” and “he” and be a “we.” For the complete show, notes go to small biz mama.com************************** https://www.smallbizmama.com/episode-23-dealing-with-breadwinner-guilt/ Mentions ********************************************************************* https://www.envestnetinstitute.com/article/burdens-executives-feel-primary-breadwinners https://www.academia.edu/40978632/Female_Breadwinners_Resultant_Feelings_of_Guilt_and_Shame https://ifstudies.org/blog/the-happiness-penalty-for-breadwinning-moms https://lifestyle.howstuffworks.com/family/parenting/parenting-tips/5-things-to-know-when-moms-the-breadwinner5.htm https://ifstudies.org/blog/the-happiness-penalty-for-breadwinning-moms https://www.workingmomsagainstguilt.com/now-we-have-to-deal-with-breadwinner-guilt/
There has been a slew of anti-Trump attack ads that have gone viral in the last few months. One ad shows the President as weak, sickly, and feeble. Another ad is a mock endorsement from Putin. These splashy, viral ads aren’t coming from the left, but from The Lincoln Project -- a political action committee run by long-time Republicans and Independents determined to defeat President Trump. This group includes conservatives like George Conway, husband to White House advisor Kellyanne Conway. They say the goal of these ads isn’t just to troll the president, but to “litigate the case against Donald Trump.”And they are seeing some signs of success. The Lincoln Project raised $16.8 million last quarter. And a new NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll shows that 50% of voters say they strongly disapprove of the President and 50% say they won’t vote for him come November. But can this group of conservatives convince long-time Republicans to vote for a Democrat?On this episode of Into America, host Trymaine Lee sits down with Lincoln Project co-founder Reed Galen. Galen has worked as a strategist for President George W. Bush and Senator John McCain. And he explains the conservative strategy to persuade voters and unseat Donald Trump in 2020. For a transcript, please visit https://www.msnbc.com/intoamerica.Further Reading:Trump's growing re-election threat: Republican skepticsRepublicans who back an impeachment inquiry can save the country — and the GOPTrump has a 50 percent problem in the new NBC News/WSJ poll
Whose job is it to address the challenges the United States faces right now? Can any one person — like the president — fix it? These questions come up as the country grapples with the COVID-19 pandemic, a touch-and-go economy, and protests and calls for change following the police killing of George Floyd and several other Black Americans. America has faced an onslaught of challenges before, but it’s weighing on us. For example, 80 percent of participants in a recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey told pollsters that things are “out of control.” MPR News host Kerri Miller talked with a political scientist and a historian about how change happens and whether any one person or group can fix the situation we’re in. Guests: Philip Chen, assistant professor of political science at Beloit College in Wisconsin. Leah Wright Rigueur, assistant professor of public policy at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government. To listen to the full conversation you can use the audio player above. Subscribe to the MPR News with Kerri Miller podcast on: Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts , Spotify or RSS
A recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that 80% of voters feel things are out of control in the US. This "out of control" feeling can sap the energy out of our bones and out of our lives. Let's take control of our personal lives, and share our good energy with each other so together we can move forward and make good things unfold in the global community. It starts by being in control of your financial destiny. You can find more information at https://www.coffeehouseinvestor.com
Ben Kamisar introduces the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that captures the shadow primary between Biden and Warren and Sanders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Trump Trump's Approval Rating (RealClear Politics) Views of Trump's personal traits, job approval (Pew Research) Most want to see Mueller report released (Ariel Edwards-Levy) Changing America Jason McGrath of GBAO talks about Lightfoot in Chicago Voters Say Scrap Elite School Test in NY (Quinnipiac) On Equal Pay Day 2019, lack of awareness persists (SurveyMonkey) 2020 Among all voters, half say they are ‘very uncomfortable' with Trump for 2020 (NBC News / Wall Street Journal) 18-29-year-olds Likely Democratic Primary Voters Prefer Sanders (Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School) The World Large Majorities in Both Parties Say NATO Is Good for the U.S. (Pew Research) NCAA Basketball Final Four Michigan State has America's support after beating Duke to reach Final Four (and Kristen loves J.J. Redick) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Despite rocky politics, 2018 was a great year for the economy and a good time to work in real estate. On this episode, we look back at the major news stories of the year and explore what some of them mean for the industry as we move into 2019. Articles mentioned in this episode:- Inman's article about Matthew Gardner's predictions for 2019- A poll conducted by NBC News / Wall Street Journal
In this episode, we discuss the recent round of polls showing voter opinion of President Trump’s first 100 days. How important are these polls, how relevant are they to the 2018 midterm elections, and what are some important indicators? We then briefly discuss France’s Presidential election, the polling, and what it suggests for the future of European politics. Segment 1: President Trump’s First 100 Days The last week has brought us two major polls, one from NBC News/Wall Street Journal and another from The Washington Post/ABC News, revealing public opinion of President Trump’s first 100 days in office. The two polls find similar measurements of Trump’s job approval, at 40% and 42%, respectively, and the NBC News Wall Street Journal survey found that 45% of respondents believe that the President is off to a “poor start.” Much of analysis in the media has focused on historical comparisons. NBC notes that at this same point, President Obama’s approval rating was 61%, George W. Bush’s was 56% and President Clinton’s was at 52%. Dan Balz and Scott Clement at The Washington Post report that President Trump’s job approval is the lowest recorded at this stage dating back to Eisenhower. Still, both surveys do find some positive data points for the President. The Washington Post/ABC News survey finds that only 2% of his voters’ regret voting for him, and his approval rating among them stands at 94%. Also, his efforts to pressure U.S. companies to keep jobs here enjoy broad support at 73%. And when respondents were asked whether President Trump is in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States today, or is he out of touch, 38% said that he is in touch, which is a higher percentage than both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party generally. In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey, 50% of respondents say they approve of the President’s handling of Syria. The first 100 days of Trump’s presidency also show a country that is incredibly polarized. According to the Huffington Post Pollster’s aggregate, 85% of Republicans approve of the job the President is doing compared to only 12% of Democrats and 40% of Independents. 43% approve of the President’s handling of the economy, while only 35% approve of his handling of health care. Segment 2: French Presidential Election The results of France’s first round of presidential elections are in, and Emmanuel Macron will face off against the National Front’s Marine Le Pen in a May 7th election. It was a good result for most pollsters, who correctly called the top four candidates and the order, and were remarkably close to the final percentage of the vote for each candidate. As Harry Enten at FiveThirtyEight notes, polls in France have historically been fairly accurate, certainly more so than polls in the United Kingdom have been. At this point, Macron has an overwhelming, 26-point lead in a head-to-head matchup with Le Pen. Still, news coverage leading up to the May 7th election will almost certainly seek to draw comparisons to last year’s U.S. presidential election. That may be a mistake. As Nate Silver points out here, Le Pen finds herself in a much deeper hole than Trump was ever in. There’s not a lot of precedent for a polling error large enough to cover such a large, 26-point deficit. This has led to some prominent models giving Le Pen very little chance to win. Others, however, are far more cautious. For example, political scientist Ian Bremmer, who runs The Eurasia Group, gives Le Pen a 40% chance. At least partly underlying that kind of caution is surely a comparison to, again, last year’s U.S. Presidential election. However, the fact that France has no equivalent of our Electoral College is important to remember. Bremmer also suggested before the first round of voting what many suggest was a dynamic at play in the U.S. last year: that poll respondents are reluctant to voice support for Le Pen, just as they supposedly were for Donald Trump. While we’re skeptical that this phenomenon actually did play out last year, there is even more reason to be skeptical in a European election. This is because, as, again, Nate Silver points out, we have quite a bit of data on whether European right-wing parties actually outperform their polls, and the fact is that they generally don’t.
In this episode we discuss President Trump’s address to Congress last week, check in on the public polling data after one month of the Trump administration, and take a look at the Obamacare replacement bill released by House GOP leadership last night. Segment 1: Presidential Address to Congress President Trump’s address to Congress on Tuesday night was widely praised as his first “presidential” moment, a moment that voters watching at home seem to have responded to. A CNN/ORC poll of voters who watched the speech showed 57% of respondents with a very positive reaction to the speech, a number that exceeded the reaction to all of President Obama’s State of the Union speeches except for his very first in February 2009. While 58% of respondents thought that President Trump would move the country in the right direction before the speech, after the speech that number shot up to 69%. That’s a data point that the Trump White House has to love seeing. And not surprisingly, that same percentage, 69%, say that Donald Trump made them feel more optimistic about the direction of the country after his speech. A CBS/YouGov poll found similarly positive reviews for President Trump. Even a near majority of Democrats, 46%, found the speech to be “presidential”, and nearly ¾ of Independent voters thought it was “unifying”. One thing to keep in mind, as this CBS article on their poll results points out, members of the president’s own party are more likely than others to watch an address to Congress or State of the Union, which presumably affects these overall numbers somewhat. After a few more days to process the speech, a Huffington Post/YouGov online panel weighed in, and they too generally approved of the speech, with 57% approving of the speech, though 52% also said it was similar to most of what he’s said and done since becoming president. So whether the public really viewed this speech as a change in tone is open to question. Monmouth University also released a poll conducted a few days after the speech and over the weekend, which found about 1-in-5 respondents saying they feel more confident about Trump’s presidency after the speech. A large number of those who came away feeling more confident were Republicans (47%) or Independents (44%). Segment 2: Public Polling on President Trump and Congress / The Obamacare Replacement Bill Even before his address to Congress, there was some good news for President Trump in the public polling. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey from February 18th-22nd among registered voters showed Trump with significantly higher favorability ratings than both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party generally. The survey also found that a majority, 51%, of respondents thinks the media has been too critical of President Trump. A Morning Consult/POLITICO survey found President Trump’s job approval at 50%, the highest that it has reached in their tracking surveys since he became president. The same survey also found that 43% believe that the country is headed in the right direction, which might not look good on it’s face, but it is a serious improvement from the 71% who believed the country was on the wrong track on the day after Election Day. The Morning Consult/POLITICO survey also asked respondents whom they trust more to handle a variety of issues: Democrats in Congress or Republicans in Congress? Republicans are trusted more on the economy, jobs, and immigration, while Democrats are trusted more on health care (and Medicare and Medicaid), the environment, energy, and social security. That shows the extent to which President Trump has work to do to gain the public’s trust on certain issues, especially as the Republican Congress begins their efforts in earnest to repeal and replace Obamacare. The country is still very much divided on whether to trust them in those efforts. This line of questioning on who voters trust more becomes even more relevant as the GOP leadership’s newly released Obamacare replacement bill has finally seen the light of day, drawing instant criticism from the House Freedom Caucus and from Senators Rand Paul and Mike Lee, among others, as “Obamacare lite”. Our own Senator Cory Gardner is in the middle of the fray, as he joined 3 other GOP Senators in voicing concerns over the Medicaid expansion – concerns which were addressed in the bill that was eventually unveiled, but which only added to the criticism from more conservative members of the House and Senate. Clearly this is an issue where the Republican Party is fractured, and these divisions will likely need to be resolved for a repeal and replace bill to eventually pass.