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The war in Iran may have come to an end, but both the course and the conclusion of that war have brought into sharp relief the forces that increasingly define a world of weaponized power and systemic risk: unconstrained leaders willing to gamble with military force; the search for, and use of, economic leverage; technologies destabilizing both decision-making and development models; and old alliances fracturing and new alignments forming. Ian Bremmer is a leading geopolitical analyst and the president and founder of the Eurasia Group. His most recent piece for Foreign Affairs is about the long-term consequences of the Iran war, but he has also written on shifts in global power, the effect of technology on geopolitics, and much else. Dan Kurtz-Phelan spoke to Bremmer on Monday, June 22, about how to make sense of today's global turmoil. You can find sources, transcripts, and more episodes of The Foreign Affairs Interview at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/foreign-affairs-interview.
Convidado: Christopher Garman, diretor executivo das Américas na Eurasia Group, consultoria voltada em analisar tendências geopolíticas, eleições e mudanças regulatórias no continente. Nesta terça-feira (23), o presidente dos Estados Unidos compartilhou em sua rede social um artigo publicado pela emissora NewsMax que cita o Brasil como o próximo “teste” de Trump no processo de “ressurgimento conservador” da América Latina. É mais um sinal de que a Casa Branca está com a eleição brasileira na mira. A relação entre Trump e Lula, que já foi descrita pelo americano como uma “excelente química”, agora está estremecida – depois do encontro do G-7, ele também disse que “não pensa” e “não se importa” com Lula. Na relação entre os países, as últimas semanas registraram o anúncio de um novo tarifaço sobre produtos brasileiros e a classificação das facções CV e PCC como organizações terroristas por parte do governo americano. Neste episódio, Natuza Nery conversa com o analista internacional Christopher Garman sobre o que quer Donald Trump no Brasil e qual o tamanho da influência que ele pode ter nas eleições daqui. Garman avalia o impacto das ações da Casa Branca nas demais eleições latino-americanas e analisa as perspectivas de Lula e Flávio Bolsonaro até outubro.
Vernichtendes Urteil: „Trumps folgenreichster außenpolitischer Fehler“Ein Kommentar von Rainer Rupp.Unter der Überschrift „The Long Shadow of the Iran War - Trump's Most Consequential Foreign Policy Mistake”, in Deutsch: “Der lange Schatten des Iran-Krieges - Trumps folgenreichster außenpolitischer Fehler“ hat die US-Zeitschrift Foreign Affairs (Auswärtige Angelegenheiten) am 17. Juni eine längere Analyse zweier Experten veröffentlicht, die Trump Krieg gegen Iran als eine einzige große Katastrophe für die USA dargestellt.Nun ist Foreign Affairs nicht irgendeine Publikation, denn sie wird von dem Prestige trächtigen Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), (Rat für Auswärtige Beziehungen) herausgegeben. Und dessen Einfluss auf die US-Außenpolitik ist kaum zu übertreffen.Wenn man dann in einem Artikel von Foreign Affairs, wie jetzt am 17. Juni geschehen, lesen kann, dass Trumps Iran-Krieg dem Prestige der USA bleibenden Schaden zugefügt und die Anstrengungen des US-Establishments, nämlich die globale Alleinherrschaft der USA zu erhalten, untergraben hat, dann sollte man den Artikel zwei Mal lesen.Aber auch ohne lange Erklärungen der beiden Autoren des Artikels, Ian Bremmer und Firas Maksad, hat auch der außenpolitisch interessierte Laie längst erkannt, dass Dank Trumps Entscheidung, Iran anzugreifen, er vor den Augen der Welt das US-Militär als Papier-Tiger demaskiert hat. Denn in diesem Krieg konnten nicht einmal die berüchtigten „Carrier-Strike-Groups“ („US-Flugzeugträger Angriffsgruppen“) wie gewohnt agieren.Diesmal mussten sich die „Carrier“ jenseits der Reichweite der iranischen Raketen auf über 1.000 Km Distanz von der iranischen Grenze zurückziehen. Das war wiederum jenseits der Reichweite ihrer Bomber, weshalb diese aufwendig pro Flug bis zu vier Mal aufgetankt werden mussten. Hinzu kam, dass die US-Airforce auch ihre Tankerflotte nicht ausreichend schützen konnte und hohe Verluste verzeichnete. Das und einiges mehr hat den bisherigen Wert der Flugzeugträger als Schlüsselelement der US-Machtprojektion zu einer Karikatur werden lassen.Nicht nur China und Russland haben das genau beobachtet, sondern auch die Mittelmächte rund um die Welt, vor allem aber auch die bisherigen US-Vasallen-Staaten in und um die Golf-Region, wie die beiden Foreign Affairs Autoren entsetzt feststellen.Zu der Qualifikation der beiden Autoren Ian Bremmer und Firas Maksad wäre noch zu sagen, dass Ian Bremmer nicht nur Gründer und Präsident der „Eurasia Group“ ist, sondern auch Herausgeber und Kolumnist des Time Magazine sowie außerordentlicher Professor für internationale und öffentliche Angelegenheiten an der Columbia University. Er ist auch Autor zahlreicher Fachbücher. Firas Maksad ist Geschäftsführer für den Nahen Osten und Nordafrika bei der Eurasia Group.Als wahrscheinlichstes Ergebnis dieses Trump US-Krieges erwarten die beiden Autoren „einen stärker polarisierten und fragmentierten Nahen Osten, in dem bestehende multilaterale Institutionen (wie die vom Westen dominierte Weltbank, der IWF, WTO, usw.) an Einfluss verlieren, rivalisierende Koalitionen sich verhärten und externe Mächte um Einfluss konkurrieren“. Wieder erwarten sie, dass„China sowie Indien, Pakistan und andere Staaten weiter an Boden gewinnen. Sie werden ihre wirtschaftliche und diplomatische Rolle ausbauen, ohne jedoch die Kosten einer hegemonialen Führungsrolle zu tragen. Dieser Trend wird sich voraussichtlich nicht auf den Nahen Osten beschränken.“...https://apolut.net/trump-verzockt-amerikas-macht-von-rainer-rupp/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
O presidente Lula (PT) telefonou para o senador Jaques Wagner (PT-BA) e pediu para o petista se defender das acusações do caso Master. O líder do governo no Senado é um dos novos alvos da Compliance Zero, operação que investiga as fraudes envolvendo o banco de Daniel Vorcaro. A âncora da CNN Thais Herédia, o analista de Política da CNN Caio Junqueira e Christopher Garman, diretor-executivo da Eurasia Group, debatem o assunto.
Chuck opens the podcast with a wide-ranging look at what he sees as the long-term impact of the Trump administration's foreign policy. He argues that the United States has weakened many of the alliances and institutions that underpinned American influence for decades, raising questions about whether key partners in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East can still rely on Washington as a stable security partner. Then Chuck is joined by Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer for an in-depth conversation about the aftermath of the Iran war, the future of the Middle East, and the growing geopolitical uncertainty facing America's allies. Bremmer explains why he believes the conflict has fundamentally altered regional dynamics, creating competing power blocs led by the UAE and Israel on one side and Saudi Arabia and its partners on the other. He also discusses China's opportunities in the region, the future of Iran's regime, and why the biggest long-term consequence of the conflict may be an accelerated global shift away from oil and gas. The conversation then turns to Russia and Ukraine, where Bremmer delivers a stark warning: Vladimir Putin may now represent the world's most dangerous geopolitical risk. He explains why he is increasingly concerned about Putin's isolation, decision-making, and willingness to escalate as the war continues. In Ask Chuck, listeners ask about Democratic impeachment scenarios, presidential war powers, the future of the Republican Party, and other political questions shaping the road to 2028. Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life! Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary. Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free! Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code CHUCKTODDCAST at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/chucktoddcast Timeline: (Timestamps may vary due to advertisements)02:21 Opening Thoughts: The Fallout from Iran07:53 Why Trump Isn't Really an Isolationist12:34 America's Alliances and the Cost of Dependency19:51 Three Major Takeaways Before Ian Bremmer23:34 Trump's Political Future, Cuba, and the Midterms32:23 Ian Bremmer Joins the Podcast35:47 Why the Iran Deal Looks Like a Strategic Failure38:06 Has America Broken Trust with Its Allies?41:52 The Gulf States Recalculate Their Security Strategy45:11 The Emerging UAE-Israel Alliance49:48 Saudi Arabia's New Geopolitical Path52:47 How the Middle East Is Splitting into Rival Blocs55:47 Qatar, Iran, and Regional Uncertainty58:05 Netanyahu's Political Challenges After the War1:02:19 Can the Iranian Regime Survive?1:06:49 The Global Shift Away from Oil and Gas1:09:29 China's Growing Influence in the Middle East1:11:01 North Korea's Rising Leverage1:15:01 Why Putin May Be More Dangerous Than Kim Jong-un1:18:25 Russia, Nuclear Risk, and Global Stability1:22:25 Russian Operations Against the West1:26:17 Ask Chuck1:28:23 Would Impeaching Trump Backfire on Democrats?1:33:40 Presidential War Powers Explained1:36:43 Additional Listener Questions1:45:51 The Future of Political Coalitions1:56:06 Baseball, the Nationals, and Weekend ThoughtsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Chuck is joined by Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer for an in-depth conversation about the aftermath of the Iran war, the future of the Middle East, and the growing geopolitical uncertainty facing America's allies. Bremmer explains why he believes the conflict has fundamentally altered regional dynamics, creating competing power blocs led by the UAE and Israel on one side and Saudi Arabia and its partners on the other. He also discusses China's opportunities in the region, the future of Iran's regime, and why the biggest long-term consequence of the conflict may be an accelerated global shift away from oil and gas. The conversation then turns to Russia and Ukraine, where Bremmer delivers a stark warning: Vladimir Putin may now represent the world's most dangerous geopolitical risk. He explains why he is increasingly concerned about Putin's isolation, decision-making, and willingness to escalate as the war continues. Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life! Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary. Try ShipStation free for 60 days with full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to https://ShipStation.com and use code TODDCAST for 60 days for free! Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code CHUCKTODDCAST at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/chucktoddcast Timeline (Timestamps may vary due to advertisements) 02:21 Ian Bremmer Joins the Podcast06:03 Why the Iran Deal Is a Failure for Trump12:25 How the Middle East Is Reordering Itself20:19 The UAE, Saudi Arabia & Competing Power Blocs28:23 Iran's Future and the End of Oil Dominance35:50 China's Growing Influence in the Middle East42:23 North Korea, Putin & Global Security Risks49:46 Cuba, Trump, and the Western Hemisphere56:05 World Cup, Knicks & Closing ThoughtsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Since the start of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict on February 28, I've found myself drawn to a handful of thoughtful analysts who have helped me make sense of the unfolding conflict and its vast global implications. One of those people is Gregory Brew, an analyst at Eurasia Group and a historian who studies the intersection of Iran, oil, and U.S. foreign policy. As rumors of a potential ceasefire began to swirl, I reached out to Greg to help me understand the nature of this agreement and what it means for U.S.-Iran relations, the region, and the global oil market. We kick off by discussing what we know so far about what this ceasefire obliges Iran and the United States to do, whether he thinks it can hold, and what may come next. This is a timely conversation that will give you the background and context you need to understand U.S.-Iran diplomacy as it unfolds over the coming weeks. It is freely available to all, but, as always, your support through a paid subscription is what makes this kind of content possible. Support Global Dispatches with a discounted subscription: https://www.globaldispatches.org/40PercentOff
So far, the US-Iran agreement has given both sides the cover to declare victory while somehow satisfying nobody. The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in the agreement - surely at Iran's insistence - means it will also be in constant danger of collapse. But with the US and Iran now committed to ending the war, Uncensored looks at the big picture. What has been achieved, if anything? And how will it reshape the region? Piers Morgan asks president of Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer, international affairs scholar, Jeffrey Sachs and professor of political science Robert Pape. 00:00 Introduction 01:00 Ian Bremmer interview begins 01:42 Is the Iran peace deal a ‘failure' for Donald Trump? 02:25 ‘This is not a deal to be proud of and is likely worse than Obama's' 08:39 Will Israel go it alone in the war with Iran and how would America react? 10:27 The position of the gulf states in the wake of the agreement 12:52 What is the outcome of the war for the US? 15:51 Ian Bremmer reacts to Elon Musk becoming a trillionaire 18:58 Will the Republicans lose the house and the senate? 22:32 Jeffrey Sachs interview begins 26:44 Sachs' view on the outcome for Israel, the Middle East and China 31:29 The impact of war on the long-term trends in energy 34:44 Robert Pape interview begins 34:54 Robert Pape on the lack of clarity in Trump's deal 37:55 “This piles more and more pressure on Donald Trump” 42:12 Robert Pape outlines the signs of an endgame in the Iran War Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Today on the program, as the US and Iran appear to be closer to an agreement to end the war, Fareed speaks with Karim Sadjadpour, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group. Next, Elon Musk's rocket company SpaceX became the largest IPO ever this week. The company has ambitious goals for space exploration — are they realistic? Fareed asks astrophysicist Janna Levin. Finally, according to a new poll, more than half of Americans believe AI could put them or someone in their household out of a job. But the labor market data shows that the panic may be premature. So, what is the reality? Fareed speaks with AI policy expert Molly Kinder. GUESTS: Karim Sadjadpour (@ksadjadpour), Ian Bremmer (@ianbremmer), Janna Levin (@JannaLevin), Molly Kinder (@MollyKinder) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Candidaturas que se consolidam através de pesquisas...sofrem, e bastante, quando pesquisas caem. É o que acontece no momento com a pré-candidatura do senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ). Além do âncora da CNN William Waack, participam desta edição Christopher Garman, diretor-executivo da Eurasia Group, Caio Junqueira, analista de Política, Ingo Plöger, presidente da Abag, Lourival Sant'Anna, analista de Internacional, e Marcello Estevão, diretor-gerente e economista-chefe do IIF.
Iran and the United States have been adversaries for decades. But caught in the middle are the 92 million Iranians with "90 million opinions" on their government, foreign intervention, and state of their society. In this episode of "Values & Interests," Neda Bolourchi, senior non-resident fellow at the Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group, draws on history and personal values to explore competing visions of change in Iran, the enduring strength of the current regime, and the realities that often get lost in debates about intervention and national sovereignty. Read Bolourchi's recent article for Carnegie Council: https://www.carnegiecouncil.org/media/article/iran-is-not-venezuela Be sure to subscribe to "Carnegie Council" wherever you stream your podcasts. Access all "Values & Interests" episodes: https://carnegiecouncil.co/values-interests-podcast
Confira os destaques do Jornal da Manhã deste domingo (07): O governo brasileiro intensifica as negociações com os Estados Unidos para tentar evitar a aplicação de uma tarifa de 25% sobre produtos nacionais. A medida, anunciada pela gestão de Donald Trump, gera preocupação sobre os impactos comerciais e geopolíticos na relação entre os dois países. Brasília busca ampliar o prazo das tratativas até meados de julho e trabalha para manter o Pix fora das discussões. Para analisar o cenário e os possíveis desdobramentos, a Jovem Pan entrevista Fabio Andrade, professor de relações internacionais. A Justiça do Peru determinou o prosseguimento do processo contra o candidato à Presidência Roberto Sánchez, da coalizão Juntos por el Perú, a apenas dois dias do segundo turno das eleições presidenciais. Sánchez é acusado de omitir informações relacionadas ao financiamento partidário em eventos realizados entre 2018 e 2020. A decisão judicial não impede sua participação na votação marcada para domingo (7), mas acrescenta um novo elemento de tensão ao cenário político peruano. O tribunal rejeitou os argumentos apresentados pela defesa e validou formalmente a acusação, embora ainda caibam recursos. A ponte Ponte Frei Paolino Baldassari desabou no início da noite desta sexta-feira (05) em Sena Madureira, deixando quatro pessoas feridas. A estrutura havia sido inaugurada em março de 2024 e estava interditada desde quinta-feira (04). A obra custou R$ 36 milhões e foi supervisionada pelo Departamento de Estradas de Rodagem, Infraestrutura Hidroviária e Aeroportuária do Acre (DER-Acre). A União Europeia oficializou a exclusão do Brasil da lista de países autorizados a exportar carnes e outros produtos de origem animal para o bloco. A medida, que entra em vigor em setembro, foi justificada pela falta de garantias relacionadas ao controle sanitário de antimicrobianos. O governo federal afirmou ter sido surpreendido pela decisão, enquanto entidades do agronegócio contestam o veto e defendem a qualidade dos sistemas de controle e fiscalização brasileiros. Para analisar os impactos econômicos e comerciais da medida, a Jovem Pan entrevista Felippe Serigati. A defesa de Jairo Souza Santos Júnior anunciou que recorrerá da sentença que condenou o ex-vereador a 43 anos, 9 meses e 20 dias de prisão pela morte de Henry Borel. Segundo o advogado Rodrigo Faucz, o recurso será apresentado na próxima segunda-feira e terá como base a alegação de que a decisão dos jurados foi contrária ao conjunto de provas produzido durante o processo. A defesa também afirma ter registrado mais de 20 supostas nulidades ao longo do julgamento, que, na avaliação dos advogados, comprometem a validade da condenação e podem levar à anulação do júri. O Dia dos Namorados deve movimentar cerca de R$ 26 bilhões no comércio em todo o Brasil, segundo pesquisa. O levantamento da Confederação Nacional dos Dirigentes Lojistas (CNDL) e do SPC Brasil aponta que aproximadamente 100 milhões de consumidores pretendem presentear seus parceiros neste ano, o equivalente a seis em cada dez brasileiros. Roupas, perfumes, cosméticos e chocolates estão entre os itens mais procurados, com gasto médio estimado em R$ 264 por pessoa. A pesquisa também mostra que 76% dos consumidores devem pesquisar preços antes das compras e 34% pretendem parcelar os gastos. Além dos presentes tradicionais, a venda de flores também deve crescer, impulsionada pela data comemorativa, pela chegada do frio e pelo calendário de eventos do período. A decisão dos Estados Unidos relacionada às facções criminosas pode gerar impactos no sistema financeiro e aumentar as exigências de compliance sobre instituições bancárias. O tema levanta discussões sobre controles, monitoramento de operações e adequação às normas internacionais. Para analisar os possíveis efeitos da medida e os desafios para o setor financeiro, a Jovem Pan entrevista Cristopher Garman, diretor da Eurasia Group. Essas e outras notícias você acompanha no Jornal da Manhã. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Não dá para levar o presidente Lula a sério quando disse hoje que foi surpreendido com a proposta americana de impor ainda mais tarifas sobre exportações. Trump passou meses buscando um jeito de recompor aquelas medidas de imposição de tarifas que a corte suprema de lá disse que não tinham base legal. Além do âncora da CNN William Waack, participam desta edição Thaís Herédia, analista de Economia, Caio Junqueira, analista de Política, Daniel Rittner, diretor editorial de Brasília, Lourival Sant'Anna, analista de Internacional, Christopher Garman, diretor-executivo da Eurasia Group, e Fernando Brancoli, professor de Geopolítica da UFRJ.
Over the past month, there have been two dominant stories in American foreign policy. One, of course, is the war with Iran. The other is the much-anticipated summit between President Trump and Xi Jinping of China. And I think if you look closely at both of these stories, you see that our foreign policy has entered into a period of absolute incoherence. I'm not even sure what the status of the Iran war is at this point. What is Trump trying to achieve? What is he willing to accept? Taking a more hawkish approach to China has been a core and consistent principle of Trump's since his first term. He's been insistent that China has taken advantage of the United States and that America needed to change that dynamic and flex more power. But is that happening? Is that even Trump's position anymore? So I wanted to do an episode looking at China and Iran and trying to assess Trump's foreign policy in general and the ways he's remaking what America means on the world stage. Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consultancy firm, and the global affairs publication GZero. He's also the author of, among other books, “Every Nation for Itself: What Happens When No One Leads the World.” Mentioned: Bowling Alone by Robert D. Putnam The J Curve by Ian Bremmer “The ‘Vibecession' Is Over. The ‘Permacession' Is Here.” by Annie Lowrey “Disney and the Decline of America's Middle Class” by Daniel Currell Eurasia Group's Top Risks for 2026 Book Recommendations: The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy by Douglas Adams A World Appears by Michael Pollan The Chronoliths by Robert Charles Wilson Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com. You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs. This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu and Annie Galvin. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris with Julie Beer. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Johnny Simon and Isaac Jones. Our recording engineer is Johnny Simon. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Marie Cascione, Kristin Lin, Emma Kehlbeck, Jack McCordick, Marina King and Jan Kobal. Original music by Pat McCusker and Carole Sabouraud. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. The director of New York Times Opinion Shows is Annie-Rose Strasser. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
No feirão das bondades pré-eleitorais foi a vez agora do Congresso Nacional, que derrubou um veto do presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) e permitiu a doação de cestas básicas, ambulâncias e valores em dinheiro a municípios. O âncora da CNN William Waack, Thaís Herédia, analista de Economia, Caio Junqueira, analista de Política, Daniel Rittner, diretor editorial de Brasília, e Christopher Garman, diretor-executivo da Eurasia Group, debatem o tema. Sobre a guerra no Oriente Médio, Sandro Teixeira Moita, professor de Ciências Militares da Eceme, e Lourival Sant'Anna, analista de Internacional, analisam o assunto.
The US-Israeli led war in Iran and the prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz is once again exposing Europe's vulnerability to global energy shocks; raising urgent questions about gas storage, LNG dependency and whether governments have learned anything from previous crises.In this episode of PluggedIn, Montel's Richard speaks with Henning Gloystein from Eurasia Group and Saul Kavonic from MST Marquee about the escalating conflict and growing risks facing energy markets and global supply chains.Could shipping flows resume within weeks, or are market participants underestimating the possibility of years of disruption? The discussion explores fuel shortages, LNG price risks, Europe's storage dilemma, China's strategic positioning, and why many analysts believe the global economy is only beginning to feel the effects of the crisis.With competing forecasts and mounting geopolitical tensions, the episode examines what comes next for energy markets, and whether the world is prepared for a prolonged supply shock.#StraitOfHormuz #LNG #NaturalGas #OilMarkets #EnergyCrisis #GlobalEnergy #Geopolitics #EnergySecurity #GasMarkets #TTF #EnergyTransition #Iran #MiddleEast #ShippingCrisis #EnergyPodcast #Montel #PluggedInPodcast #OilAndGas #EuropeEnergy #LNGMarketsHost: Richard Sverrisson – Editor-in-Chief, Montel NewsGuests:Saul Kavonic, Head of Energy Research, MST MarqueeHenning Gloystein, Managing Director - Energy & Resources, Eurasia Group Editor: Alexandra CarlonProducer: Alexandra Carlon
With wars raging and supply chains blocked, we’re in an era of geopolitical chaos. This week on Zero, Akshat Rathi talks with Gerald Butts, chairman of the political risk consultancy Eurasia Group and former chief of staff to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. They discuss how investors and companies are responding to the energy shock, where the green transition might falter and who will emerge winners a decade from now. Zero is a production of Bloomberg Green. Our producer is Oscar Boyd. Special thanks to Sommer Saadi, Mohsis Andam, Sharon Chen and Laura Millan. Thoughts or suggestions? Email us at zeropod@bloomberg.net. For more coverage of climate change and solutions, visit https://www.bloomberg.com/green.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer says President Donald Trump doesn't have the ability to reopen the Strait of Hormuz right now. But he does say Iran is desperate. He speaks to Joe Mathieu and Carol Massar at the Milken Global Conference.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tina Fordham is a Geostrategist, Author and Advisor to board and C-Suite leaders on a mission to transform how leaders navigate the changing global environment. Her signature theses on the Geopolitics Supercycle, PQ (Political Quotient) and Vox Populi Risk have entered the popular lexicon, while the tools developed by Fordham Global Foresight have demonstrated how geopolitics can be integrated into business strategy. Fordham was Wall Street's original Chief Global Political Analyst, spending 17 years at Citigroup. She created Eurasia Group's financial markets research business; was appointed to the United Nations' first HighLevel Panel on Women's Economic Empowerment; and has served as a Senior Advisor to the U.K. Prime Minister and 2-and 3-star Generals. Tina is a member of the International Advisory Boards of Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, her alma mater, and Cambridge University's Centre for Geopolitics. She hosts "The Navigator", produced in collaboration with the London Stock Exchange, and is a frequent guest on CNN, CNBC and Bloomberg. Her forthcoming book, Mad World: A Geostrategy Survival Guide for Business Leaders, will be published in July 2026 by Whitefox. In this podcast, we discuss: The Geopolitics Super Cycle The 1973-Scale Oil Shock Europe's "Barely Controlled Panic" The 2026 Greenland Maneuver Venezuela and the Iran "Jujitsu" Move China's "Silent" Advantage The Rise of Middle Powers Raising Your "PQ" (Political Quotient) You can follow Tina's work on X, LinkedIn, and the Fordham Global Foresight website. You can also contact Tina here,
Ian Bremmer, founder of Eurasia Group, joins Scott to break down a world in flux. They discuss the Iran war, the unraveling of U.S. alliances, and why global tensions are rising across the Middle East, Europe, and China. Ian explains what a more fragmented world means for American power and why the global order may be entering a more unstable phase. Also, friendly reminder that we're live on Substack.Subscribe at profgmedia.com to get ad-free versions of all our podcasts, the full archive of Scott's newsletters, and exclusive content including deep dives, livestream conversations, and subscriber Q&As. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Many contemporary talking heads take a pessimistic view of the future, but our guest today hopes to change this. Oz interviews Zachary Karabell, host of the podcast What Could Go Right? and founder of the Progress Network, about being an ‘edgy optimist’ and what that means for the future of humanity. After that, TechStuff presents an episode of What Could Go Right? featuring Ian Bremmer, the founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Together, Bremmer and Karabell discuss how the post-WW2 world order has changed over the years, whether social media is a tool for freedom or a mechanism for control, and why the current moment of global chaos may simply be part of a longer geopolitical cycle — one that, like all cycles, eventually turns. Download SAILY in your app store and use our code techstuff at checkout to get an exclusive 15% off your first purchase! For further details go to https://saily.com/techstuffSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ian Bremmer (President and Founder, Eurasia Group and GZERO Media) joins Chris Cuomo to break down where the Iran war is actually heading — and why the short-term politics are masking a much more serious long-term problem. Bremmer walks through the state of the ceasefire talks, the role Jared Kushner is playing in negotiations, and why Trump now has marginally more leverage than he did in the first round — but still not enough to get a deal that holds. He and Cuomo debate whether the Abraham Accords were a genuine diplomatic achievement or a business arrangement that lined Kushner's pockets, and what that history means for trusting the current process. The conversation turns to the economic consequences that are already unfolding — semiconductor shortages, jet fuel supply chains, LNG infrastructure damage, and the Strait of Hormuz — and why Bremmer argues these will take years to work through regardless of how Trump announces an exit. Join The Chris Cuomo Project on YouTube for ad-free episodes, early releases, exclusive access to Chris, and more: https://www.youtube.com/@chriscuomo/join Follow and subscribe to The Chris Cuomo Project on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube for new episodes every Tuesday and Thursday: https://linktr.ee/cuomoproject Get 30% off Soul Mood Gummies at https://GetSoul.com with promo code CUOMO. Find LUCY near you at https://lucy.co/stores, or save 20% on your first online order at https://lucy.co/CCP with promo code CCP. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Rising tensions in the Middle East and a shifting political divide in the US take center stage. As Donald Trump extends a fragile ceasefire with Iran, questions grow over how the conflict will end - with Iran still controlling the Strait of Hormuz and US pressure ongoing. At the same time, public opinion in America is undergoing a dramatic shift. Support for Israel is declining across both parties, with more Americans now sympathizing with Palestinians than Israelis - an unprecedented change shaping the future of US politics. Tonight's debate captures that divide: lifelong Democrat Alan Dershowitz switches parties to defend Israel, while Republican Joe Kent breaks ranks over US ties to Israel and the Iran War. With potential 2028 contenders like Josh Shapiro and Rahm Emanuel weighing in, the political stakes couldn't be higher. How does the Iran conflict end and where does America stand on Israel now? Piers Morgan is joined by international relations scholar, Professor John Mearsheimer, author and legal scholar Alan Dershowitz, former director of the US National Counterterrorism Center, Joe Kent, and Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group. Polymarket poll on the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee - https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What happens when the rules of the global game are being rewritten in real-time? Ian Bremmer, the founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, joins host Zachary Karabell to discuss how to navigate a world defined by a "long geopolitical recession" and the erosion of the post-1945 order. From the escalating conflicts in the Middle East and the surprising vulnerabilities of the economic models in the Gulf to the "asymmetric war fighting" that allows drones to bring the global economy to its knees, this episode reckons with a world that seems to be disintegrating rather than coming together. Bremmer and Karabell explore why we aren't getting a better picture of what's happening on the ground in places like Iran and Yemen, and whether the "noise" of modern social media is a tool for freedom or a new mechanism for state control. As political revolutionaries rise and established media organizations downsize, Bremmer and Karabell ask: is our current information environment worse than it was 30 years ago, or can individuals still "sniff out" the truth? And: Is this the peak of global chaos, or just a cyclical trough before a new rebound? What Could Go Right? is produced by The Progress Network and Kaleidoscope. For transcripts, to join the newsletter, and for more information, visit: theprogressnetwork.org Subscribe to our (FREE) Substack newsletter: https://theprogressnetwork.org/newsletter/ Watch the podcast on YouTube: / theprogressnetwork Follow us on X, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok: @progressntwrk Subscribe to Zachary's Substack: www.edgyoptimist.substack.com/ Follow him LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/zacharykarabell Follow Zachary on X @zacharykarabell
The global order that shaped the past several decades is giving way to a more fragmented and uncertain world. Long-standing alliances are under strain, economic integration is giving way to competition, and geopolitical risk is once again a central driver of markets and policy. These shifts are not abstract. They are reshaping trade flows, disrupting supply chains, and contributing to volatility in energy markets and the broader economy—affecting everything from fuel prices to the cost of goods. So, how might great power competition, geopolitical fragmentation, artificial intelligence, and global instability redefine the international landscape? And what will that mean for policymakers, businesses, and the global energy system? This week's episode features a fireside chat between Jason Bordoff and Ian Bremmer from the Columbia Global Energy Summit 2026, which was hosted by the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University SIPA and recorded earlier today. Jason and Ian examine the Iran crisis, the Islamabad talks, and the shifting dynamics of the Gulf region. They also address the "myth" of sovereign AI, China's strategy, and the deep structural concerns of global CEOs navigating today's volatility. Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a geopolitical risk advisory firm, and GZERO Media, a digital media company providing coverage of international affairs. He is the author of eleven books, including his latest work, The Power of Crisis: How Three Threats—and Our Response—Will Change the World. Ian also teaches at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs. Credits: Hosted by Jason Bordoff and Bill Loveless. Produced by Mary Catherine O'Connor, Caroline Pitman, and Kyu Lee. Engineering by Gregory Vilfranc.
Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group president and founder, discusses the recent US military blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, where 27 vessels have been directed to turn back. This move aims to increase economic pressure on Iran, although Bremmer notes that Iran currently benefits from higher oil prices and had previously seen a suspension of US oil sanctions. He speaks on "Bloomberg Open Interest."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
After predicting the world's biggest risks for over 25 years, Geopolitical Expert Ian Bremmer reveals the top 10 risks for 2026, and why the AI job threat is far bigger than people think! Ian Bremmer is a political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group, a leading political risk research and consulting firm, and GZERO Media, a global affairs media company. He is also a Professor at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, and the author of several books, including, “The Power of Crisis: How Three Threats - and Our Response - Will Change the World”. He explains: ◼️Why the US has become the biggest driver of global instability ◼️How China is quietly winning the long-term power and resources game ◼️The AI threat that could hack banks, infrastructure, and entire economies ◼️Why millions of jobs could disappear and trigger political backlash ◼️How collapsing global leadership is creating a dangerous “G-Zero” world 00:00 Intro 01:43 The Report Warning of 2026's Biggest Global Threats 06:43 Are We Watching International Cooperation Collapse in Real Time? 10:04 The Real Motive Behind Trump's Most Controversial Moves 12:33 The Hidden Forces Driving the Iran War 18:51 The Critical Mistake That Escalated the Iran Conflict 20:17 Who Really Holds Power Inside Iran? 22:21 Why the U.S. Blocked the Strait of Hormuz—and What It Triggered 27:21 How the Lebanon–Iran War Spiral Began 29:15 What Could Have Prevented This Crisis From Unfolding? 31:39 The Unexpected Shifts in the Middle East 35:06 The Real Impact of Trump's Impulse-Driven Decisions 40:40 The Path That Could Change Everything 45:00 Russia and China's Calculated Response to the Iran War 47:58 What Europe Got Wrong - and Why It Matters Now 51:47 China's Long-Term Strategy: Where Does It Leave America? 57:47 A Brief Break—But What Comes Next Matters More 00:59:53 I Predicted 2025—Here's What's Coming Next 01:04:10 Why AI Could Trigger a Global Economic Shock 01:06:07 The Unseen Workforce Powering AI's Rise 01:09:52 Rising Public Anger: Why Elites and AI Leaders Are Under Fire 01:14:36 Is Universal Basic Income Becoming Inevitable? 01:16:01 The Growing Problems Big Tech Can't Solve 01:22:21 Can the Tech Oligarchy Actually Be Stopped? 01:27:53 Is a True “Utopia” Possible—or Just a Myth? 01:34:34 Why Public Service Matters More Than Ever Today 01:37:46 At the End of Life: What Will Your Choices Really Mean? Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com Follow Ian: X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/1jUp9VW Instagram - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/HII48p9 YouTube - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/4yJPMn2 Eurasia Group - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/Jhf7nJ You can purchase Ian's book ‘“The Power of Crisis: How Three Threats - and Our Response - Will Change the World”, here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/6YBkvoW The Diary Of A CEO: ◼️Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/ ◼️Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook ◼️The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt ◼️The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb ◼️Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ◼️Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven Ketone - https://ketone.com/STEVEN for 30% off your subscription order Shopify - https://shopify.com/bartlett
On today's episode, we'll discuss the recent meeting between Chinese leader Xi Jinping and KMT Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun, the first in a decade between a Chinese Communist Party General Secretary and a KMT Chair. Ms. Cheng was elected party chair only four months ago, and her top priority was to meet with Xi Jinping. She has not yet visited the United States, but says she intends to do so later this year. In their public statements, Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun highlighted several common themes, including opposition to Taiwan independence, support for the 1992 Consensus, shared history and Chinese heritage, that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family, the importance of China's national rejuvenation, and the need to preserve peace and promote the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations. To discuss this historic meeting, I'm joined by Amanda Hsiao. Amanda is a director in Eurasia Group's China practice covering China's foreign policy and cross-strait relations. This episode was recorded on April 10, 2026. Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction [01:42] Why the Xi–Cheng Meeting Matters [03:00] Cheng Li-wun's Aims and Messaging [06:13] Xi Jinping's Strategic Objectives [11:17] Signaling Ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit [13:23] Progress Towards Unification [17:53] Shifting Positions on the 1992 Consensus [22:25] Public Views of Cheng Li-wun [26:32] Potential Shifts to China's Taiwan Policy [28:12] Implications for Use of Force [30:34] What Stood Out During Cheng's China Trip
Follow Forbes Newsroom President Donald Trump announced the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary ceasefire on Tuesday night, less than two hours before his self-imposed deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or "a whole civilization will die." Just one day later, Iran on Wednesday accused the U.S. of violating the ceasefire agreement and reportedly announced it closed the Strait of Hormuz. The White House said that what Iran is saying publicly about the closure is different what they are telling the Trump administration privately. Clayton Allen, the head of Eurasia Group's U.S. practice, joined "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss the "fragile" state of the ceasefire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
To discuss the reaction to President Trump's announcement that the U.S. will continue attacking Iran for two to three more weeks, Amna Nawaz spoke with Robin Niblett and Firas Maksad. Niblett is a distinguished fellow and former director at Chatham House. Maksad is managing director of the Middle East and North Africa practice at the Eurasia Group. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
After President Trump's address to the nation, markets saw volatile energy prices. Eurasia Group's Firas Maksad discusses the inflection point coming in the coming month, as well as the international energy supply chain. Harvard Professor Arthur Brooks has authored a new book, “The Meaning of Your Life.” He suggests which habits are making our lives feel emptier and which habits that can make us happier. Plus, NASA has launched four astronauts into space in the first lunar mission in 50 years, and CNBC's Sharon Epperson reports on teens and sports betting. Sharon Epperson - 09:16 Arthur Brooks - 17:36 Firas Maksad - 30:32 In this episode: Sharon Epperson, @sharon_epperson Arthur Brooks, @arthurbrooks Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The steep rise in gas prices amid the Iran war is the second-largest spike in three decades, and it's hitting Americans' wallets. We hear from people scrambling to fill their tanks and William Brangham discusses how bad a shock this war could deliver to the global economy with Cliff Kupchan, chairman of the Eurasia Group, an international consulting firm. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
Gregory Brew of Eurasia Group joins Rory to discuss the potential collapse of the Carter Doctrine following a provocative social media post by President Trump regarding the security of the Persian Gulf. The discussion centers on the 1980 policy that committed the U.S. to using military force to protect the flow of oil, a guarantee that now appears to be evaporating as Trump signals an end to U.S. protection for global energy routes. With the Strait of Hormuz closed for over a month and oil prices soaring toward $200, the episode explores the "Unilateral Taco" scenario where Trump might abruptly end hostilities regardless of whether the waterway is reopened. Brew analyzes Iran's shift from a struggle for survival to a strategic effort to maximize gains and impose tolls, leveraging their functional control over the world's most critical maritime chokepoint. The conversation also breaks down the "hydraulic relationship" between energy prices and political pressure, specifically how Iran uses allies like the Houthis as a lever to keep prices high and force a U.S. de-escalation. Brew examines the precarious position of GCC nations and Israel, who face the risk of their territories becoming permanent "live fire zones" if the U.S. abandons its traditional security role. Finally, the episode questions what a post-war status quo looks like and whether the credibility of U.S. energy guarantees can ever be restored after such a fundamental shift in geopolitical priorities
In this episode we host Ava Shen to unpack the dynamics of Taiwanese politics, the role of the DPP, KMT, and TPP, and how cross-strait tensions shape both domestic discourse and international perceptions. The conversation explores disinformation, shifting political priorities among younger voters, and key misunderstandings in the West about Taiwan and its strategic environment.Ava Shen covers Taiwan and Chinese foreign policy and domestic politics at Eurasia Group. Previously, she interned at Rhodium Group, conducting economic research on China and Taiwan. She also worked as a research assistant at the Stimson Center, focusing on Chinese foreign policy in Asia and China-West Africa cooperation on maritime environmental issues. The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter. The International Risk Podcast is sponsored by Conducttr, a realistic crisis exercise platform. Conducttr offers crisis exercising software for corporates, consultants, humanitarian, and defence & security clients. Visit Conducttr to learn more.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!Tell us what you liked!
Three weeks into Trump's war with Iran, is anyone actually winning? Or are we watching a conflict spiral with no clear endgame? Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov sit down with Ian Bremmer (president of the Eurasia Group) and Dan Senor (former policy advisor to Mitt Romney, and the host of the “Call Me Back” podcast) for a real debate on the war. They talk about whether or not the U.S. has a strategy for either meaningful victory or enduring peace, the consequences the war has had on regional stability and on Trump's political base at home, how our actions in Iran have affected the country's standing in other global conflicts — like the Russia-Ukraine war, and in Venezuela. Plus: what it all means for the global economy, oil prices, and our experts predict how things could unfold from here. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov Follow Prof G, @profgalloway Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@RagingModerates Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
CBC's Peter Armstrong breaks down new Statistics Canada data that says the country lost 84,000 jobs last month, marking the biggest drop outside of the pandemic since 2009. Eurasia Group president Ian Bremmer discusses the international pressure points developing after two weeks of the Iran war, and whether there's any path to end the conflict in the near future. Plus, Northwest Territories Premier R.J. Simpson reacts to Prime Minister Mark Carney's plan to invest $35 billion in the North, and weighs in on whether the money is going to the right places.
The Trump administration’s messaging around the war with Iran feels reminiscent of stuff like … cowboy movies. And video games. And the manosphere. This hour, a look at the rhetoric around the war and where it’s all coming from. GUESTS: Casey Ryan Kelly: Professor of Rhetoric and Public Culture in the Department of Communication Studies at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. He is also Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Speech, and author of books including Manifesting Violence: White Terrorism, Digital Culture, and the Rhetoric of Replacement Jonathan Guyer: Program Director at the Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group, and a reporter and editor focused on foreign policy, national security, and the Middle East. He is host of the podcast “None of the Above” Roger Stahl: Author and Professor of Communication Studies at the University of Georgia. He is director of the documentary Theaters of War Music featured (in order): “Hoe-Down” from Rodeo – Aaron Copland, NYO-USA, Michael Tilson Thomas You Should Have Seen the Other Guy – Nathaniel Rateliff Under My Thumb – Rolling Stones Son of Your Father – Elton John Cowboys Are Frequently Secretly Fond of Each Other – Orville Peck and Willie Nelson I Am a Rock – Simon and Garfunkel Support the show: http://www.wnpr.org/donateSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
As the United States and Israel attack military facilities across Iran, Tehran has been retaliating. But it has attacked Gulf countries more than it has targeted Israel. Why? And how will the likes of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates respond? Will it shift their geopolitical alignment away from the United States? Regional experts Mina al-Oraibi, the editor in chief of the National, and Firas Maksad, a managing director at the Eurasia Group, join FP Live to share their perspectives. Khalid al-Jaber and Omar H. Rahman: Security Alliances With the U.S. Have Made Gulf States More Vulnerable David Petraeus and Clara Kaluderovic: The Drone Attrition Trap Macdonald Amoah, Morgan D. Bazilian, and Jahara Matisek: The First 36 Hours of War Consumed Over 3,000 U.S.-Israeli Munitions Firas Maksad: The Middle East Has Two New Rival Teams Esfandyar Batmanghelidj: The Iran War Is Jeopardizing the Entire Global Economy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Barbara Doran of BD8 Capital Partners and Charlie Bobrinskoy of Ariel Investments join the markets panel to assess positioning, leadership and where investors should lean next. Earnings from Marvell Technology, Gap and Costco add another layer to the market narrative. Ian Bremmer, Founder of Eurasia Group, examines how tensions involving Iran could reshape global energy flows and geopolitical risk. Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies maps out key breakouts and breakdowns across the tape while Corey Tarlowe of Jefferies evaluates the state of the consumer and what upcoming retail results may reveal. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On the morning of February 28, 2026, the US and Israel bombed several parts of Iran, including the Tehran compound of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Geopolitical expert and Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer breaks down why US President Donald Trump made the decision to strike, what it means for hopes of “regime change” and the key details you need to know about this perilous moment in global history. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on February 28, 2026.)Learn more about our flagship conference happening this April at attend.ted.com/podcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This hour: Full coverage of the war in Iran by Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, and David Faber - and the impact on global markets with a great line-up of experts. Hear from CNBC's own Michael Santoli and Rick Santelli... alongside Ian Bremmer from Eurasia Group, former Defense Secretary Mark Esper, market veteran Richard Bernstein, and Former Israel Ambassador to the U.S. Michael Oren. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The United States and Israel have launched a devastating new war on Iran. What has happened so far, when could it end, and what could it mean for oil, gas, and the global energy shift?Rob is joined by Gregory Brew, an analyst with the Eurasia Group's energy, climate, and resources team focused on the geopolitics of oil and gas. He serves as the group's country analyst for Iran. He's also an historian of modern Iran, oil, and U.S. foreign policy, and the author of two books about the subject.Shift Key is hosted by Robinson Meyer, the founding executive editor of Heatmap News.You can find a full transcript of the episode here.Mentioned:From Heatmap: War With Iran Isn't Just an Oil StoryFrom Heatmap: How Trump's War Could Destabilize the Global Energy Market--This episode of Shift Key is sponsored by …Accelerate your clean energy career with Yale's online certificate programs. Explore the 10-month Financing and Deploying Clean Energy program or the 5-month Clean and Equitable Energy Development program. Use referral code HeatMap26 and get your application in by the priority deadline for $500 off tuition to one of Yale's online certificate programs in clean energy. Learn more at cbey.yale.edu/online-learning-opportunities.Music for Shift Key is by Adam Kromelow. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Michael speaks with Gregory Brew, Senior Analyst at the Eurasia Group and country analyst for Iran, about the high-stakes decision facing the Islamic Republic: "strikes or talks." Greg analyzes the upcoming diplomatic summit in Istanbul, where the U.S. is pushing for "maximalist concessions" regarding Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missile stockpile, and regional proxy networks like Hamas and Hezbollah. Greg also discusses the strategic leverage of the recent U.S. naval buildup in the Middle East and whether these talks are a deliberate pretext for military action against Tehran. Greg also breaks down Iran's internal "credibility crisis" and the future of regional stability.
On Christmas Day, the United States launched a series of missile strikes in Nigeria, ostensibly against jihadist groups. In the weeks prior, Donald Trump had been claiming that Christians in Nigeria were being subjected to systematic attacks by such groups, and he framed these strikes as a "Christmas present" that killed jihadist leaders and destroyed terrorist camps. But that does not seem to have been the case. The strikes largely targeted an area in northwest Nigeria that is not home to any major jihadist group, and credible independent analysts have not found evidence of any deaths. Last week, a New York Times report found unexploded Tomahawk missiles lying in a field. So what is actually going on here? My guest today, Amaka Anku, is the head of Eurasia Group's Africa Practice. She was in Nigeria at the time of the strikes, which she said caused considerable bewilderment among Nigerians. We kick off by discussing what we know about the missile strikes and why the region targeted was politically convenient for both the American and Nigerian governments. We then have a longer conversation about what these American missile strikes say—and don't say—about Nigeria's multiple security challenges. Support the show! https://www.globaldispatches.org/
Ian Bremmer joins Preet to break down his annual Top Risks report and the biggest geopolitical threats shaping 2026. Bremmer is the founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. They discuss the U.S. intervention in Venezuela, the new “Donroe Doctrine” of U.S. foreign policy, and why a political revolution in the U.S. ranks as the top risk. Then, Preet answers your questions on why Nicolás Maduro is being prosecuted in New York and the show “Schoolhouse Rock.” In the bonus for Insiders, Preet answers a listener's question about the legality of renaming the Kennedy Center to include Donald Trump's name. Join the CAFE Insider community to stay informed without hysteria, fear-mongering, or rage-baiting. Head to cafe.com/insider to sign up. Thank you for supporting our work. Show notes and a transcript of the episode are available on our website. You can now watch this episode! Head to CAFE's Youtube channel and subscribe. Shop Stay Tuned merch and featured books by our guests in our Amazon storefront. Have a question for Preet? Ask @PreetBharara on BlueSky, or Twitter with the hashtag #AskPreet. Email us at staytuned@cafe.com, or call 833-997-7338 to leave a voicemail. Stay Tuned with Preet is brought to you by CAFE and the Vox Media Podcast Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group, joins Jessica Tarlov, co-host of The Five and Raging Moderates, to unpack the biggest risks facing the world in 2026 — from Trump's political revolution and U.S. intervention abroad to Europe's instability, AI, and the global energy race. Follow Ian, @ianbremmer. Follow Jessica, @jessicatarlov. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
George Conway examines his run for Congress in New York City. The Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer details the destabilization Trump has brought to the world stage.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Reacting to President Trump's threats against Colombia, President Gustavo Petro hit back by vowing to "take up arms" to defend his country. Trump and Petro have clashed from the very start when Petro initially refused to take Venezuelan migrants Trump was deporting, then over the war in Gaza, and US military strikes against alleged drug-trafficking vessels. The US even suspended Petro's visa and sanctioned him last year. But could this really spiral into an American assault on Colombia? Juan Manuel Santos was the country's president for eight years until 2018, and he joins Christiane from there. Also on today's show: Karim Sadjadpour, Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Ian Bremmer, Founder and President, Eurasia Group & GZERO Media Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
2026 is a tipping point year, says Ian Bremmer, founder of Eurasia Group. Highlighting the top risks that await the world, he breaks down the US military extraction of Venezuela leader Nicolás Maduro and explains why US President Donald Trump's embrace of the “Donroe doctrine” kicks off the most uncertain geopolitical environment in decades. With stark insights on what's to come in Europe, Russia and China, this is a can't-miss look at the volatile world order. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on January 5, 2026.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
On Monday, Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro pleaded "not guilty" to charges brought against him by the Trump administration following his capture over the weekend in a U.S. operation. Maduro was arraigned on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges. Following his arrest, some world leaders and Democrats in Congress have questioned the legality of removing Maduro from power. Former state and federal prosecutor Jim Trusty joins the Rundown to discuss the strength of the case against Maduro and whether other witnesses will cooperate. The arrest of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro has sparked international backlash, emergency meetings at the United Nations, and condemnation from some U.S. allies. Supporters of President Trump's decision to greenlight Operation Absolute Resolve argue the move delivers a major blow not only to the country's drug networks, but also to American adversaries like Iran, Hezbollah, and China, which have expanded their presence in Venezuela and the region. Ian Bremmer, president and founder of the Eurasia Group, joins the Rundown to assess the challenges ahead—including the possibility of the U.S. using military force to secure offshore oil infrastructure and cut off Venezuela's exports—and how the Trump administration is reshaping American power and influence across the Western Hemisphere. Plus, commentary by Jason Chaffetz, FOX News contributor and the host of the Jason In The House podcast on FOX News Radio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices