Podcasts about Eurasia Group

This is a conversation with Mujtaba Rahman. Mij is what you would call an insider of European politics. He leads the European section of the Eurasia Group and a big part of his job is to know what is going on behind the scenes, not just what you can read in the news but what European leaders really think, say and do when there are no cameras. And so it was a perfect opportunity to dive deep into European politics. We talked about whether Europe has a strategy for what do with Ukraine and Russia, what do European leaders really think about Donald Trump behind closed doors and how are they already preparing for Europe without the U.S. Or how likely is it that anti-establishment politicians in France, UK or Germany will dominate elections in the coming years and completely turn all those policies upside down. I think it's a fascinating conversation and it's always a pleasure to talk to someone who knows so much. ➡️ Join the community of geopolitics enthusiasts and gain access to exclusive content on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://stationzero.substack.com/Thank you Conducttr for sponsoring the podcast. Take a look at Conducttr's services and its crisis exercise software at: https://www.conducttr.com

"Everybody understands the world is volatile, but they don't necessarily understand why it's volatile or how to deal with it," says Sean West, cofounder of Hence Technologies and author of the new book, Unruly: Fighting Back When Politics, AI, and Law Upend the Rules of Business. "Unruly is a play on words. ... The world is kind of ‘unruling.' The rules and norms that were developed during globalization are falling away." On this week's LawNext, West joins host Bob Ambrogi to discuss how the collision of geopolitics, technology, and legal shifts is creating unprecedented challenges for businesses of all sizes – and their legal advisors. Their conversation explores how businesses can turn volatility into opportunity, the importance of strategic legal counsel in this environment, and why companies of all sizes need access to geopolitical intelligence. They also discuss Hence's recent launch of Hence Global, an AI-powered platform designed to help businesses and their legal counsel manage geopolitical uncertainties by providing customized, real-time risk analysis and insights tailored to specific business roles and needs. West explains how the platform delivers personalized, role-specific intelligence that enables legal teams to better serve their clients and organizations in an increasingly uncertain world. Before cofounding Hence in 2020, West was global deputy CEO of Eurasia Group, a global affairs advisory firm, where he advised CEOs, general counsel and investors on geopolitical and legal risk. He is also a lecturer at the University of California, Berkeley, School of Law.   Thank You To Our Sponsors This episode of LawNext is generously made possible by our sponsors. We appreciate their support and hope you will check them out. Paradigm, home to the practice management platforms PracticePanther, Bill4Time, MerusCase and LollyLaw; the e-payments platform Headnote; and the legal accounting software TrustBooks. Briefpoint, eliminating routine discovery response and request drafting tasks so you can focus on drafting what matters (or just make it home for dinner). SpeakWrite: Save time with fast, human-powered legal transcription—so you can focus on your practice   If you enjoy listening to LawNext, please leave us a review wherever you listen to podcasts.  

O co přesně Donald Trump usiluje? Po jeho návratu k moci mnozí v obavách sledují chaos, jaký svým transakčním přístupem vyvolal na globálním hřišti, ale také narušování principů právního státu v samotné Americe. Stále častěji se objevují úvahy o tom, že se USA vydaly na cestu k autokracii. Jak to vidí přední americký politolog Ian Bremmer? Host: Ian Bremmer - americký politolog, zakladatel a prezident Eurasia Group Článek a další informace najdete na webu Seznam ZprávySledujte nás na sociálních sítích X, Instagram, Threads nebo Bluesky. Náměty a připomínky nám můžete psát na e-mail zaminutusest@sz.cz

Tom Bilyeu hosts renowned political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer, for a high-stakes analysis of today's dramatically changing global order. With Donald Trump's unprecedented tariff moves sending shockwaves through the global economy and AI advancing at blistering speed, Tom enlists Ian's expertise to break down the chaotic landscape and offer insight into where the world is heading. Ian dives deep into the fragmentation of global alliances, the crucial implications of U.S.-China decoupling, and why eroding trust in America's leadership is creating economic and strategic risk on a global scale. Whether you're a business leader, investor, or simply trying to navigate the world, this episode will give you frameworks to stay ahead as major powers reposition their strategies in real time. SHOWNOTES 00:00 Uncertainty in Global Trade Policy 04:12 "Chaos vs. Trade War Consequences" 08:18 China-U.S. Trade War Intensifies 10:25 Decouple Manufacturing from China 13:28 US Strategy: Outcompeting China 18:55 Greatest Capital Allocator: Elon Musk 21:29 Elon Musk: Controversy and Influence 25:15 Embracing Friction for Innovation 28:13 "Disillusionment with Leadership and AI Impact" 29:53 AI's Transformative Impact on Industries 35:51 Trump's Uneven Ukraine-Russia Strategy 37:56 Trump's Advisors on Russia Sanctions 40:35 Putin-Trump Dynamic: Personal vs. Political 43:28 Trump's Tactical Diplomatic Moves 49:39 America's Failure on Immigration Laws 51:02 Follow GZERO Media & Ian Bremmer CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS Audible: Sign up for a free 30 day trial at https://audible.com/IMPACTTHEORY  Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to https://www.vitalproteins.com and entering promo code IMPACT at check out Upway: Get $150 OFF any purchase over a thousand when you use code IMPACT at https://upway.co. Thrive Market: ​​Go to https:thrivemarket.com/impact for 30% off your first order, plus a FREE $60 gift! American Alternative Assets: If you're ready to explore gold as part of your investment strategy, call 1-888-615-8047 or go to https://TomGetsGold.com Tech Unheard: Tune into Tech Unheard from Arm and NPM—wherever you get your podcasts. Monarch Money: Use code THEORY at https://monarchmoney.com for 50% off your first year! Mint Mobile: If you like your money, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans at https://mintmobile.com/impact.  DISCLAIMER: Upfront payment of $45 for 3-month 5 gigabyte plan required (equivalent to $15/mo.). New customer offer for first 3 months only, then full-price plan options available. Taxes & fees extra. See MINT MOBILE for details. What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: If you want my help... STARTING a business: join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER SCALING a business: see if you qualify here. Get my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox: sign up here. ********************************************************************** If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast, Tom Bilyeu's Mindset Playbook —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you. ********************************************************************** Join me live on my Twitch stream. I'm live daily from 6:30 to 8:30 am PT at www.twitch.tv/tombilyeu ********************************************************************** LISTEN TO IMPACT THEORY AD FREE + BONUS EPISODES on APPLE PODCASTS: apple.co/impacttheory ********************************************************************** FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Chuck Todd is joined by geopolitical expert and Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer to unpack the global implications of President Donald Trump's efforts to reshape the international order.Chuck opens the episode by examining how Trump's use of tariffs and his zero-sum approach to foreign policy are dismantling decades of established U.S. trade and diplomatic norms.Ian then joins the conversation to assess the ripple effects of Trump's tariffs on global trade, how key U.S. allies and rivals are likely to respond, and whether China stands to benefit in the long run.He explains how Trump's policies may be inadvertently strengthening Xi Jinping, why the U.S. is ill-equipped to operate in a “law of the jungle” environment, and what kind of economic damage could be on the horizon.The discussion turns to the rise of anti-American sentiment abroad, the erosion of the rule of law at home, and why the economic fallout may disproportionately affect red states.They then take a global tour of hotspots: debating the prospects for a renewed nuclear deal with Iran, whether Turkey has fully slipped into autocracy, and the likelihood of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2025.  To wrap up the episode, Chuck answers listener questions in the "Ask Chuck" segment.Timeline0:00 Introduction1:00 Trump is creating a new world order2:00 Trump has a zero-sum view of foreign policy4:00 Could Trump break with Putin over lack of ceasefire?6:00 Trump 2.0 and Trump 1.0 are completely different9:00 Ian Bremmer joins the show10:00 Has Trump broken the world economic order, or temporarily disrupted it?11:15 Countries will begin to de-risk away from the US13:30 Trump using emergency powers to unilaterally break international agreements18:00 China will become dominant in the old architecture built by the U.S.21:15 People voting for a second “Trump 1.0” and are getting something vastly different22:30 Instability will force unity on the EU23:30 Americans don't understand how good we have it*24:30 The future of power seems to lie with the autocracies and not the democracies25:30 Is Trump throwing a lifeline to Xi Jinping?29:30 The U.S. doesn't have the right political system to operate in the “law of the jungle”32:00 China's surveillance state will check any type of middle class uprising34:30 How different would things look if we had the TPP?38:00 How should companies navigate the uncertainty Trump is creating?39:30 Products from China are already becoming unavailable41:00 Companies are all lobbying for exemptions42:00 The hit to the US economy is going to be massive44:20 The rise of anti-American sentiment45:45 The first amendment only applies to citizens now?46:45 The hit to American tourism will be substantial48:00 Economic damage will hit red states the hardest49:30 Mexican government has been willing to cooperate51:45 Trump wants to cut a deal with Iran, even if it makes Israel unhappy54:20 Will Erdogan get away with smashing democracy in Turkey?56:15 What to make of the political turmoil in South Korea?58:00 Will Bolsanaro/Le Pen have their charges stick, or could they win office in the future?1:00:30 Biggest risks to the world? Is Trump at the top of that list?1:02:30 Will the Ukraine/Russia war achieve a ceasefire this year?1:06:20 Ask Chuck1:06:40 What books do you assign your class to best understand this political moment?1:12:00 Are we in a competitive autocracy similar to Erdogan's Turkey?(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group, joins Scott to discuss Trump's tariffs, U.S.-China tensions, developments in Iran and Ukraine, and America's global standing. Follow Ian, @ianbremmer. Algebra of Happiness: something to be proud of.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

« Chiến đấu đến cùng » khi bị tấn công, « đáp trả tương xứng thuế đối ứng » của Mỹ và áp dụng đúng phương pháp của Washington để bảo vệ quyền lợi : Trung Quốc đã chọn giải pháp đối đầu trong cuộc chiến thuế quan với chính quyền Trump. Trong chưa đầy một tuần lễ, Trung Quốc chuyển từ « thế thủ » sang « thế công ». Trên nguyên tắc, kể từ 0 giờ ngày 10/04/2025 hàng Mỹ nhập khẩu vào Hoa Lục bị đánh thuế 34 % « tương tự » như hàng « made in China » bán sang Hoa Kỳ.Chỉ 48 giờ sau màn trình diễn của Donald Trump ở Nhà Trắng, mở màn một cuộc chiến thương mại với toàn cầu, tại Bắc Kinh bộ Thương Mại « đáp lễ » bằng hàng rào quan thuế. Trung Quốc cho mở điều tra nhắm vào hơn một chục doanh nghiệp Mỹ và hạn chế xuất khẩu 7 kim loại hiếm thiết yếu cho công nghệ cao và thiết bị điện tử trong dự án sản xuất chiến đấu cơ đời mới F-47 vừa được Washington rầm rộ loan báo.Sau một dịp nghỉ cuối tuần dài ngày, quay lại thủ đô Washington tổng thống Hoa Kỳ nổi đóa thấy Bắc Kinh chọn giải pháp đối đầu. Donald Trump chỉ trích Trung Quốc đi « nhầm đường » và đòi tăng thêm 50 % thuế hải quan nhắm vào hàng « made in China », bên cạnh mức thuế 54 % sắp bị áp dụng từ 0 giờ ngày 09/04, theo giờ của Washington. Lập tức Bắc Kinh khẳng định « trong tư thế sẵn sàng, quyết đấu đến cùng ».Trung Quốc « de-risking » với Mỹ Cơ quan tư vấn Capital Economics, trụ sở tại Luân Đôn đánh giá, lãnh đạo Trung Quốc nhận thấy rằng « kinh tế nước này đủ vững chắc để cưỡng lại mọi thủ đoạn của Donald Trump ».Bên cạnh những lập luận mang tính tuyên truyền, giới tài chính đồng loạt cho rằng, « Trung Quốc đã rút kinh nghiệm từ cuộc chiến thương mại lần trước với chính quyền Trump và có những bước chuẩn bị kỹ hơn ».Kế hoạch Made in China 2025 của chủ tịch Tập Cận Bình đã đem lại những kết quả cụ thể : Trung Quốc dẫn đầu một số lĩnh vực công nghệ mới, không chỉ là « công xưởng sản xuất hàng rẻ » mà đã trực tiếp cạnh tranh với các đối thủ ở Hoa Kỳ từ ô tô điện đến trí tuệ nhân tạo. Công cụ thông minh DeepSeek made in China đã khiến thế giới công nghệ ở Thung Lũng Silicon choáng váng.Trong lĩnh vực vệ tinh không gian, tháng 11/2024 Brazil đã ký hợp đồng với Qiafan, một công ty khởi nghiệp « vô danh » lấn sân của Elon Musk cung cấp các dịch vụ vệ tinh  Về công nghệ bán dẫn, Trung Quốc cũng không còn hoàn toàn lệ thuộc vào các nhà cung cấp phương Tây. Trong số các nhà sản xuất máy bay dân sự, Airbus của châu Âu và Boeing của Mỹ không còn trong thế độc quyền từ khi dòng Comac C919 của Trung Quốc bắt đầu xuất hiện… Một điểm khác nữa cho phép ông Tập Cận Bình tự tin lao vào cuộc đọ sức với Washington : Nhà cung cấp thiết bị viễn thông Hoa Vi vẫn tồn tại và thịnh vượng đó là trước các đòn trừng phạt liên tiếp của hai đời tổng thống Mỹ, Donald Trump và Joe Biden.Thị phần của Mỹ với Trung Quốc bị thu hẹpĐành rằng Trung Quốc vẫn là đối tác thương mại quan trọng thứ ba của Hoa Kỳ sau Mêhicô và Canada, nhưng nếu như hồi 2017, hơn 20 % kim ngạch xuất khẩu của Trung Quốc đổ về Mỹ, nay tỷ lệ  đó rơi xuống còn chưa đầy 15 % theo các số liệu của Hải Quan Trung Quốc được tuần báo Anh The Economist trích dẫn. Nói cách khác về xuất nhập khẩu Trung Quốc ít lệ thuộc hơn vào Mỹ so với 8 năm về trước.Báo Nhật Nikkei Asia trích lời bà Vương Đan, giám đốc công ty tư vấn Eurasia Group trụ sở tại Singapour, hồi 2017 « tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu của Trung Quốc sang Hoa Kỳ chiếm khoảng 4 % GDP, nay tỷ lệ này chỉ còn là 3 % ».  Ngoài ra, để tiếp tục thâm nhập thị trường Mỹ, Bắc Kinh đã khai thác chiến lược « Trung Quốc +1 » qua một sô trung gian như Ấn Độ, hay Việt Nam và nhất là Mêhicô... Trong các khoản giao dịch hàng hóa Mỹ-Trung, cho đến hiện tại, Trung Quốc chủ yếu mua vào nông phẩm và năng lượng của Hoa Kỳ. Trước mắt, về dầu khí Bắc Kinh có thể trông cậy vào Nga. Về nông phẩm, ngũ cốc, Brazil và Achentina đã thu hẹp thị phần của các nông gia Hoa Kỳ, những thành phần cử tri ủng hộ Donald Trump.Đất hiếm, tiền tệ, công cụ pháp lý : những loại vũ khí trong tay Trung Quốc Kinh nghiệm từ « cuộc thương chiến lần thứ nhất » cũng do chính quyền Trump khởi động hồi 2018-2019 Trung Quốc đã tăng tốc chiến lược « tách rời khỏi » Hoa Kỳ cả về công nghệ lẫn thương mại. Và đó cũng là điểm khởi đầu cho phép nền kinh tế thứ hai toàn cầu không hề mặc cảm khi phải đương đầu với siêu cường số 1 thế giới. Do vậy Trung Quốc chuyển từ thế « thủ » sang thế tấn công ».Mỹ phụ thuộc vào đất hiếm để sản xuất các vật dụng kết nối, điện ô tô điện, vũ khí, vệ tinh... Do vậy, trong số các đòn đáp trả Donald Trump « Giải Phóng » Hoa Kỳ, Bắc Kinh đã loan báo thông báo « hạn chế » xuất khẩu 7 kim loại hiếm sang Mỹ.Một công cụ khác trong tay Bắc Kinh là phá giá đồng tiền quốc gia để hàng Trung Quốc xuất khẩu sang Mỹ vẫn hấp dẫn. Ngân Hàng Trung Ương đang hướng tới giải pháp này.Thế rồi Trung Quốc cũng dùng lá bài « an ninh quốc gia » để điều tra các tập đoàn Mỹ xuất khẩu một số mặt hàng « lưỡng dụng » sang Hoa Lục, cũng khai thác công cụ pháp lý « chống cạnh tranh bất bình đẳng » để trừng phạt các doanh nghiệp của Hoa Kỳ. Điều đó không cấm cản các giới chức Bắc Kinh vẫn khẳng định Trung Quốc là một « mảnh đất màu mỡ cho các nhà đầu tư quốc tế »Chiến tranh tâm lý Vào lúc tại Hoa Kỳ, giới đầu tư « nhốn nháo » vì chính sách thuế quan của Donald Trump, nhiều nhà tỷ phú hàng đầu (Bill Ackmann, Larry Fink ..), những người từng ủng hộ ông Trump trong cuộc tranh cử tổng thống 2024 kêu gọi Washington « dừng tay » thì thứ trưởng Thương Mại Trung Quốc tiếp đại diện nhiều tập đoàn Mỹ như của hãng xe Tesla hay tập đoàn bảo hiểm GE Healthcare…Ông Lăng Kích (Ling Jie) đưa ra thông điệp : Trung Quốc là « điểm đầu tư lý tưởng, an toàn và đầy hứa hẹn  với các tập đoàn nước ngoài, với các doanh nghiệp của Mỹ ». So với thời điểm hôm 20/01/2025, ngày ông tổng thống Trump nhậm chức, 180 tỷ đô la tài sản của ba doanh nhân Mỹ giàu nhất hành tinh đã tan thành mây khói. Cổ phiếu của tập đoàn Apple mất giá trong nhiều phiên giao dịch liên tiếp từ khi Nhà Trắng loan báo áp thuế 34 % hàng từ Trung Quốc nhập khẩu sang Hoa Kỳ, do 85 % các sản phẩm mang nhãn hiệu quả táo do nhân công Trung Quốc tạo ra để cung phục vụ các khách hàng Mỹ. Cũng chính vì biện pháp thuế sắp tới của tổng thống Trump mà dân Mỹ đua nhau sắm điện thoại thông minh trước khi giá mỗi chiếc iPhone trên thị trường đắt thêm từ 200 đến 300 đô la.Vỏ quýt dầy, móng tay nhọn Song bên cạnh những tuyên bố mạnh mẽ cả từ phía Bắc Kinh lẫn Washington, thực tế không thể chối cãi là tổng thống Mỹ đã mở một cuộc thương chiến với toàn cầu Trung Quốc là mục tiêu chính bị nhắm tới. Thiệt hại đầu tiên hết và nghiêm trọng nhất đè nặng lên hai nước liên quan. Nhà Trung Quốc học Valérie Niquet, thuộc Quỹ Nghiên Cứu Chiến Lược của Pháp nhấn mạnh đến điểm kẹt của Bắc Kinh trong cuộc đọ sức này :« Từ lâu nay ai cũng biết Trung Quốc bị thiệt hai nhiều trong cuộc đọ sức với Hoa Kỳ. Tập Cận Bình và những người tiền nhiệm đã đề ra mục tiêu điều chỉnh lại và lấy lại cân bằng trong mô hình phát triển, để cỗ máy sản xuất ít ngốn năng lượng hơn, để tiêu thụ nội địa là lực đẩy cho tăng trưởng của Trung Quốc. Nhưng từ đó đến nay, Bắc Kinh vẫn chưa thực hiện được mục tiêu này. Trung Quốc kỳ vọng bơt bị phụ thuộc vào xuất khẩu nhưng cho đến hiện tại thì xuất khẩu vẫn là đầu tàu kinh tế và Trung Quốc phụ thuộc nhiều hơn vào các thị trường nước ngoài, nhất là hai thị trường phát triển nhất là Mỹ và châu Âu. Nếu Hoa Kỳ đóng cửa thị trường, thì tác động đầu tiên đè năng lên người tiêu dùng ở Mỹ nhưng Trung Quốc cũng bị vạ lây »Nguy cơ bấn ổn nội địa Trung Quốc Cuộc chiến thương mại phiên bản 2 của ông Trump nổ ra vào lúc kinh tế Trung Quốc vẫn chưa phục hồi sau đại dịch COVID 19 và chưa thoát khỏi khủng hoảng địa ốc kéo dài. Valérie Niquet :« Chiến tranh kinh tế gia tăng cường độ giữa hai siêu cường thế giới này đã bắt đầu dẫn tới những hệ quả đối với toàn cầu chứ không chỉ giới hạn ở Hoa Kỳ và Trung Quốc. Bắc Kinh đã có các biện pháp trả đũa : áp thuế 34 % lên tất cả các mặt hàng Mỹ như đã loan báo. Tuy nhiên nếu chúng ta nhìn vào các sản phẩm của Trung Quốc bán sang Hoa Kỳ thì tổng cộng hàng Trung Quốc bị đánh thuế hải quan hơn 60 %. Không mấy khi tôi bênh vực cho Trung Quốc, nhưng phải công nhận rằng, mức thuế này là quá nặng và bị tung ra vào thời điểm bất lợi cho Trung Quốc. Kinh tế nước này đang đình đốn và từ nhiều năm qua, Trung Quốc vẫn chưa hoàn thành mục tiêu tăng tiêu thụ nội địa để bớt phụ thuộc vào xuất khẩu như vừa nói. Thành thử quyết định của Washington tuần trước, có nguy cơ gây bất ổn trong xã hội Trung Quốc và nguy cơ này là rất, rất lớn » .Tác động đối với Trung Quốc cũng sẽ mạnh hơn so với cuộc chiến thương mại hồi 2018-2019 do Hoa Kỳ cũng đã rút kinh nghiệm trong thương lượng với Bắc Kinh. Trong kế hoạch thuế quan lần này, châu Á là khu vực bị đánh nặng nhất. François Monnier, tổng biên tập tuần báo Investir chuyên về đầu tư :« Chúng ta thấy rõ mục tiêu của Donald Trump là để chuẩn bị cho một cuộc đối đầu với Trung Quốc. Chính vì thế mà Washington đánh thuế rất nặng vào các nước châu Á : Trung Quốc bị 34 % nhưng các nước châu Á khác cũng chịu mức thuế rất cao, tránh để Bắc Kinh sử dụng lại chiến lược Trung Quốc + 1, tức là di dời sản xuất sang các quốc gia chung quanh. Chúng ta thấy Việt Nam bị đánh thuế 46 %. Ở nhiệm kỳ đầu chính quyền Trump đã phạm phải sai lầm chỉ tập trung vào Trung Quốc và do vậy mà các doanh nghiệp nước này chuyển hướng đầu tư sang Việt Nam để từ Việt Nam, xuất khẩu sang Hoa Kỳ. Lần này chúng ta thấy Mỹ tấn công một cách toàn diện vào châu Á ». Ngày 30/03/2025 các quan chức cao cấp ba nước Trung Quốc, Hàn Quốc và Nhật Bản, ba nhà vô địch về xuất khẩu của châu Á họp tại Seoul và bàn về kế hoạch « hợp tác », hướng tới một « khu vực tự do mậu dịch » ba bên. Như thể dưới tác động của « trận bão » mang tên Trump, Tokyo, Bắc Kinh và Seoul tạm gạt sang một bên các bất đồng để cứu nguy kinh tế.Cũng dưới tác động của « Ngày Giải Phóng », Washington tạo cơ hội để Liên Hiệp Châu Âu và Trung Quốc tìm được một sân chơi chung. Thủ tướng Lý Cường và chủ tịch Ủy Ban Châu Âu, Ursula Von der Leyen trong cuộc điện đàm hôm 08/04 đã nhấn mạnh đến « trách nhiệm của Liên Âu tránh gây thêm căng thẳng thương mại toàn cầu ». Đây cũng có thể là cơ hội để làm sống lại thỏa thuận đầu tư mà Bruxelles và Bắc Kinh đã ký vội vào cuối 2020 nhưng từ đó đến này hoàn toàn bị lãng quên.  Sau cùng như báo The Economist nhận định chính sách thuế quan của ông Trump đẩy lạm phát ở Hoa Kỳ lên cao, dân Mỹ càng khó cai nghiện « hàng rẻ Trung Quốc »Nhưng Trung Quốc ý thức rằng, chiến tranh thương mại Washington khai mào có sức công phá rất lớn nếu như Donald Trump hủy hoại kinh tế Hoa Kỳ. Nền kinh tế số 1 thế giới bị đình đốn hay suy thoái thì sẽ là « một thảm họa » với hàng ngàn, hàng chục ngàn công ty Trung Quốc gia công cho các hãng của Mỹ. Các nhà xuất khẩu Trung Quốc cũng bị kéo vào vòng xoáy khủng hoảng vì cho đến nay chưa một thị trường nào trên thế giới, kể cả tại 27 nước Liên Âu có được sức mua mạnh như của 350 triệu dân Mỹ.

2 April 2025 will go down in history, of that there is no doubt. US President Trump and his team insist this is because it was, as they termed it, “Liberation Day” from the global intertwined trade system, in which the US imposed shockingly high tariffs on all its trading partners, excluding Russia and Belarus. Nearly every other state appear to be appalled by this move — because it will harm each of them and their people and they find it incredible that the US, the leader of the free world and the global trading system for the past eight decades, appears to be the one destroying it.The immediate effects of the tariff decision have quickly become obvious: global markets plunged, but especially those in the US; all states and regions are contemplating reactions, and retaliations. And above all, the credibility of the US has taken a big hit. Indeed, if there is a title to the Trump playbook it seems to be "How to Disrupt the World While Undermining Yourself, Potentially Strengthening Your Opponents and Alienating Your Allies."To discuss the tariffs, the playbook, the effects and the state of the global economy, Ilana Bet-El is joined by Rebecca Christie, Senior Fellow at Bruegel and Lauren Gloudeman, Director of the China programme at Eurasia Group. In a searching conversation, they clarify much about the tariff shock, the options open to the EU and China, the effects in the US, and potentials for the future.Recorded on 3 April 2025ChaptersA new global trade world launched by Trump?How US tarrifs impact China, EU and global markets?Are Trump' tariffs a strategy or a gamble?China's and Europe's responses to TrumpWhat next for global trade?MentionsEurasia & BruegelThe Sound of Economics - last episode“Tariffs and trade wars”“Did tariffs contribute to the Great Depression?"NPR , 1930s tariff war Trump calculationsFollowLauren Gloudeman Eurasia group pageRebecca Christie X/Twitter, BlueskyInstagramELNCreditsFlorence FerrandoMusic: Let Good Times Roll, RA from #Uppbeat Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

I sat down with Tinatin Japaridze to explore how history shapes her work as a geopolitical risk analyst at the Eurasia Group. We discussed the role of historical context in forecasting geopolitical risks and how historical training fosters deep curiosity about the world. Tinatin shared her unconventional path to the field—one that took her from composing a Eurovision song to journalism, a regional studies MA at Columbia, and even New York's local politics. She reflected on balancing the personal and professional in her work and how these diverse experiences ultimately made her a stronger analyst. We also dove into her book Stalin's Millennials (2022) and why talking to taxi drivers can be more insightful than you might think. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

The Canada-U.S. relationship appears to be collapsing. Quickly. On this week's TLDR, we talk to Eurasia Group's Graeme Thompson about how we got here, and what Canada can do to steel itself for the rapidly-changing world. Plus, we offer a primer on getting yourself out of debt when you find yourself in the hole. This episode was hosted by Devin Friedman, business reporter Sarah Rieger and author Jared Sullivan. Follow us on other platforms, or subscribe to our weekly newsletter: linkin.bio/tldrThe TLDR Podcast is offered by Wealthsimple Media Inc. and is for informational purposes only. The content in the TLDR Podcast is not investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell assets or securities, and does not represent the views of Wealthsimple Financial Corp or any of its other subsidiaries or affiliates. Wealthsimple Media Inc. does not endorse any third-party views referenced in this content. More information at wealthsimple.com/tldr.

I sat down with Tinatin Japaridze to explore how history shapes her work as a geopolitical risk analyst at the Eurasia Group. We discussed the role of historical context in forecasting geopolitical risks and how historical training fosters deep curiosity about the world. Tinatin shared her unconventional path to the field—one that took her from composing a Eurovision song to journalism, a regional studies MA at Columbia, and even New York's local politics. She reflected on balancing the personal and professional in her work and how these diverse experiences ultimately made her a stronger analyst. We also dove into her book Stalin's Millennials (2022) and why talking to taxi drivers can be more insightful than you might think. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On "Forbes Newsroom," Cliff Kupchan, Chair of the Eurasia Group, discussed the current state of the proposed limited ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, the possible role of the U.S. in enforcing it, and President Trump's approach to both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Israel launched massive airstrikes across Gaza early Tuesday, two months after the first phase of the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas went into effect. Gregory Brew, senior analyst with Eurasia Group, joined "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss the developments in the Middle East.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Ian Bremmer (political scientist and founder, Eurasia Group and GZERO Media) joins Chris Cuomo to break down how collapsing trust in institutions, the war in Ukraine, and the shifting balance of power between the U.S., China, and Russia are reshaping America's role in the world. They discuss whether U.S. political dysfunction, fueled by Trump's influence, is weakening America's global standing, how authoritarian governments are using misinformation to their advantage, and why economic and political instability are fueling uncertainty worldwide. Bremmer also weighs in on the future of U.S. support for Ukraine, how global alliances are evolving, and whether the U.S. is prepared for the next era of world leadership. Follow and subscribe to The Chris Cuomo Project on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube for new episodes every Tuesday and Thursday: https://linktr.ee/cuomoproject Join Chris Ad-Free On Substack: http://thechriscuomoproject.substack.com Support our sponsors: Bamboo Reclaim your time. Check out the free demo at BambooHR.com/freedemo. See for yourself all that BambooHR can do – and how truly affordable it can be too! Cozy Earth Luxury Shouldn't Be Out of Reach. Visit CozyEarth.com/CHRIS and use my exclusive code CHRIS for up to 40% off Cozy Earth's best-selling sheets, towels, pajamas, and more. RadioActive Media Learn how you can experience the power of audio marketing by also utilizing the strength of text messaging which can generate and RIO as high as 7 to 1. Text ""CHRIS"" to 511 511 or on the web at radioactivemedia.com Text rates may apply. Select Quote Get the right life insurance for YOU, for LESS, at SELECTQUOTE.COM/CHRISC to get started. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A divergência de ideologia entre o presidente americano Donald Trump e Lula deverá trazer impactos importantes ao Brasil. Segundo a Eurasia Group, pelo menos três fatos devem fazer com que a relação do republicano e do petista piore. A expectativa é que esse estresse nas relações diplomáticas afete também o agronegócio. Confira!

Think Like an Economist podcast’s Justin Wolfers examines the “fuzzy math” behind DOGE’s supposed savings for Americans. The Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer details the new global alignments in a post-Trump 2.0 world.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Vance Crowe and guest Jacob Shapiro into the evolving geopolitical landscape, focusing on the shifting dynamics between the United States and Europe. The discussion begins with the recent statements by U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegsek, indicating a deprioritization of European security in favor of addressing issues like migration and the perceived threat from China. This shift is further highlighted by President Trump's unexpected communication with Vladimir Putin, bypassing European and Ukrainian leaders, signaling a potential change in U.S. foreign policy.We also explore the controversial remarks by JD Vance at the Munich Security Conference, which sparked a strong reaction from the German defense minister, and the implications of these developments on the transatlantic partnership. The conversation touches on the historical context of U.S.-Europe relations and the potential consequences of a more self-reliant and militarized Europe.Our guest, Jacob Shapiro, Director of Research at the Bespoke Group, shares insights into his role in managing generational wealth and the importance of geopolitical analysis in investment strategies. We discuss the challenges of making predictions in a rapidly changing world and the balance between emotional intuition and objective analysis.The episode also covers the role of consulting groups like Eurasia Group and Stratford in shaping geopolitical understanding, and the importance of considering multiple disciplines when analyzing global events. We examine the impact of U.S. foreign aid, the recent changes in USAID, and the broader implications for international relations.Finally, we touch on the energy policies under the Trump administration, the strategic importance of U.S.-Canada relations, and the potential for internal divisions within Canada. The conversation concludes with a look at the upcoming German elections and their significance for European politics, as well as the complex economic and political landscape in China.Legacy Interviews - A service that records individuals and couples telling their life stories so that future generations can know their family history. https://www.legacyinterviews.com/experienceRiver.com - Invest in Bitcoin with Confidence https://river.com/signup?r=OAB5SKTP(00:00:00) US-Europe Relations Shift(00:02:22) Economic and Geopolitical Forecasting(00:06:01) Deep State and Geopolitical Consulting(00:10:20) Geopolitical Analysis and Objectivity(00:18:39) Emotional Influence in Analysis(00:24:34) Russia-Ukraine Conflict Analysis(00:28:23) US-Russia Relations Under Trump(00:34:05) US-Europe Trade and Military Dynamics(00:40:48) US Trade Policy and Tariffs(00:44:44) Energy Policy and Economic Impact(00:50:58) US Foreign Aid and USAID(01:03:13) Canada-US Relations and Trade(01:09:02) China's Global Role and US Strategyhttps://serve.podhome.fm/episodepage/the-vance-crowe-podcast_638721156549613591/420

Europe's energy sector is caught in the crossfire of rising populism. With elections approaching in Norway and Germany, governments are under pressure to prioritize short-term price stability over long-term market efficiency. Norway's decision to impose fixed electricity prices has sparked concerns about weakened price signals and energy market fragmentation. Meanwhile, in Germany, the far-right AfD is gaining ground, threatening the country's renewable energy expansion and interconnectivity with neighbours.This week, Plugged In comes to you from Essen at the E-World Energy & Water trade fair, where the future of Europe's energy markets hangs in the balance. Montel's Siobhan Hall sets the scene before we hear from Hanns Koenig, Managing Director for Central Europe at Aurora Energy Research, and Amund Vik, former Norwegian deputy minister for petroleum and energy.We discuss Norway's shift toward energy protectionism, the growing backlash against renewables, the risks of fixed electricity pricing, and whether Europe's integrated energy market is at risk of political unravelling.Host: Richard Sverrisson - Editor-in-Chief, Montel.Guests: Hanns Koenig, Managing Director for Central Europe at Aurora Energy Research; Amund Vik, Senior Advisor, Eurasia Group; Stephen Woodhouse, Director, Afry; Siobhan Hall, Brussels Correspondent, Montel NewsPodcast editor: Bled Maliqi, Montel. 

Germany's far-right party, Alternative for Germany, has seen gains in popularity in recent years, and as the country's Feb. 23 elections near, Elon Musk has even voiced his support for the party. Jan Techau, a director on Eurasia Group's Europe team, joins Brittany Lewis on "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Earlier this week, President Donald Trump said that the U.S. could "take over" and develop Gaza. This comes after he said Palestinians should be resettled in other neighboring countries like Jordan or Egypt. Gregory Brew, senior analyst with Eurasia Group, joins "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss the president's shock proposal, and what that means for U.S. relations in the Middle East.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are entering the "Rule of Don" with fewer checks on executive power in the US presidency and that's a big risk for 2025 according to Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Every year, he delivers his highly anticipated Top Risks report and says 2025 will be a uniquely dangerous year with very few international leaders stepping up to take the wheel and drive a global agenda and maintain international order. Ian Bremmer shares his insights that can help us understand the most significant threats and opportunities that may unfold in the year ahead.

Patrick Bet-David sits down for an interview with Ian Bremmer, geopoliticalscientisit and founder of Eurasia Group. Bremmer, a World Economic Forum speaker, gives insights into the WEF's annual Davos meeting, Klaus Schwab, Trump's 2024 election win, and the Too 10 global risks of 2025. ----

Det danske boligmarked er lige nu splittet mellem historisk billigt og historisk dyrt. Som ventet sænkede ECB og Nationalbanken renten med 0,25 procentpoint til 2,75 pct. Årsagen til, at tre medlemmer stopper, er på grund af uoverensstemmelser i DSV's bestyrelse. Donald Trump spiller en direkte eller indirekte rolle i næsten alle punkterne på top-10-listen fra Eurasia Group.   Vært: Trine Duvander (trdu@borsen.dk)

On “Forbes Newsroom,” Clayton Allen, U.S. Director of the Eurasia Group, discussed the trade war that was almost started and avoided between the U.S. and Colombia, as well as the Trump administration's first actions on border security. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Jimmy Carter (1924-2024) was hailed as an exemplary leader on human rights whose presidency was ruined by crises outside his control, none worse than the hostage crisis in Iran. This favorable view elides critical events that took place during the years before the U.S. embassy was seized in Tehran in Nov. 1979. President Carter acted like the previous presidents he had criticized. He embraced the brutal Shah of Iran, sold him weapons, and stuck with him to the very end. Then the Carter administration avoided making contact with Iran's new revolutionary, Islamist leaders headed by the Ayatollah Khomeini. What if Carter had made different moves? Would U.S.-Iran relations be different today? In this episode, historian and Eurasia Group senior analyst Gregory Brew delves into the Cold War origins of the U.S.-Iran relationship and why Jimmy Carter made a human rights exception for the Shah.  Further reading: The Struggle For Iran: Oil, Autocracy, and the Cold War, 1951 to 1954 by Gregory Brew and David S. Painter America and Iran: A History, 1720 to the Present by John Ghazvinian Further listening: Operation Ajax (podcast featuring interview w/ Gregory Brew)

As the second inauguration of Donald Trump approaches and global leaders head to Davos, Switzerland for the World Economic Forum, we at Mixed Signals want to know: what will media's role be in an increasingly unstable era? And will it bring more order or disorder for global politics? To discuss this, Ben and Max bring on political risk advisor Ian Bremmer of the Eurasia Group. They talk about how global leaders are engaging with new media and if digital media is shaping global politics, or vice versa. They also talk about Ian's run-in with Elon Musk in 2022, and how Donald Trump's second term will influence media leaders like Zuckerberg and Bezos. Be sure to follow Nayeema's new show, Smart Girl Dumb Questions, on Apple, Spotify, YouTube or wherever you get your content! Find us on X: @semaforben, @maxwelltani If you have a tip or a comment, please email us mixedsignals@semafor.com Sign up for Semafor Media's Sunday newsletter: https://www.semafor.com/newsletters/media 

Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group, joins Chuck to talk about China, Russia and what a second Trump administration means for global politics. 

Tommy and Ben discuss Pete Hegseth's confirmation hearing for Secretary of Defense, President Biden's final foreign policy speech, and the many global challenges Donald Trump will be inheriting on his first day in office. They also talk about the potential for a last minute ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, Lebanon's new president, far-right parties and candidates that are ascendant in Croatia, Austria, and Germany, Paul Manafort's international comeback attempt, and the politics of naming aircraft carriers. Then, Ben speaks with Ian Bremmer, founder and president of the Eurasia Group, about the top global risks of 2025.  For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast. 

On "Forbes Newsroom," Gregory Brew, senior analyst with Eurasia Group, discussed the possible impending ceasefire and hostage release deal between Israel and Hamas.Stay ConnectedForbes on Facebook: http://fb.com/forbesForbes Video on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/forbesForbes Video on Instagram: http://instagram.com/forbesMore From Forbes: http://forbes.comSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Ian Bremmer (President and Founder, Eurasia Group and GZERO Media) joins Chris Cuomo to discuss Eurasia Group's Top Risks for 2025 report, highlighting the biggest global challenges expected to shape the year ahead. From rising tensions with China and immigration battles to the influence of media algorithms and oligarchs, Bremmer breaks down the political, economic, and societal risks that could define Trump's second term and reshape America's role on the global stage. Follow and subscribe to The Chris Cuomo Project on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube for new episodes every Tuesday and Thursday: https://linktr.ee/cuomoproject Join Chris Ad-Free On Substack: http://thechriscuomoproject.substack.com Support our sponsors: Oracle Right now, Oracle is offering to cut your current cloud bill in HALF if you move to OCI. For new US customers with minimum financial commitment. Offer ends March 31st. See if your company qualifies for this special offer at Oracle.com/CCP iRestore Our listeners get $625 off their iRestore Elite when you use promo code chris at iRestorelaser.com. That's $625 off your iRestore Elite at irestore laser dot com with promo code chris. Hair loss is frustrating. You don't have to fight it alone thanks to iRestore. Select Quote Get the right life insurance for YOU, for LESS, at selectquote.com/chrisc AG1 And AG1 is offering new subscribers a FREE $76 gift when you sign up. You'll get a Welcome Kit, a bottle of D3K2 AND 5 free travel packs in your first box. So make sure to check out DrinkAG1.com/ccp to get this offer! Start your new year on a healthier note. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2025 ushers in one of the most dangerous periods in world history — on par with the 1930s and early Cold War, says Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Highlighting the top geopolitical risks for the year ahead, Bremmer explores the impact of Donald Trump's return to power in the US, the breakdown of the US-China relationship, the consequences of a rogue Russia, the future of unchecked AI development and more, plus some bright spots amid these unprecedented challenges. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on January 6, 2025.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On the GZERO World Podcast, we're taking a look at some of the top geopolitical risks of 2025. This looks to be the year that the G-Zero wins. As longtime listeners will know, a G-Zero world is an era when no one power or group of powers is both willing and able to drive a global agenda and maintain international order. We've been living with this lack of international leadership for nearly a decade now. But in 2025, the problem will get a lot worse. We are heading back to the law of the jungle. A world where the strongest do what they can while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must. And the former—whether states, companies, or individuals—can't be trusted to act in the interest of those they have power over. It's not a sustainable trajectory. But it's the one we're on. Joining Ian Bremmer  to peer into this cloudy crystal ball is renowned Stanford political scientist Francis Fukuyama.Host: Ian BremmerGuest: Francis Fukuyama Subscribe to the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

On the GZERO World Podcast, we're taking a look at some of the top geopolitical risks of 2025. This looks to be the year that the G-Zero wins. As longtime listeners will know, a G-Zero world is an era when no one power or group of powers is both willing and able to drive a global agenda and maintain international order. We've been living with this lack of international leadership for nearly a decade now. But in 2025, the problem will get a lot worse. We are heading back to the law of the jungle. A world where the strongest do what they can while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must. And the former—whether states, companies, or individuals—can't be trusted to act in the interest of those they have power over. It's not a sustainable trajectory. But it's the one we're on. Joining Ian Bremmer  to peer into this cloudy crystal ball is renowned Stanford political scientist Francis Fukuyama.Host: Ian BremmerGuest: Francis Fukuyama Subscribe to the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

With Donald Trump's second inauguration about 10 days away, it's a good time to survey what lies ahead for the U.S. and global economies. The political risk consultancy Eurasia Group recently put out its annual list of top risks for the year ahead. In 2025, rivalries and instability could pose threats to the global economy. Also: a look at the British bond market and what to expect when you’re expecting a jobs report.

With Donald Trump's second inauguration about 10 days away, it's a good time to survey what lies ahead for the U.S. and global economies. The political risk consultancy Eurasia Group recently put out its annual list of top risks for the year ahead. In 2025, rivalries and instability could pose threats to the global economy. Also: a look at the British bond market and what to expect when you’re expecting a jobs report.

Longtime friend of The Armstrong & Getty Show, Ian Bremmer, joins Jack & Joe to talk about The Eurasia Group's annual Top Risks Report. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ian Bremmer, the president and founder of the Eurasia Group, joins Scott to discuss what he believes are the year's top geopolitical risks. These risks include the breakdown of the global order, Trump's return to office, along with escalating tensions between major powers all over the world.  Follow Ian, @ianbremmer. Scott opens with his thoughts on Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy's advisory warning that alcohol consumption is a leading cause of cancer. Algebra of Happiness: success is a series of small actions, every day. Subscribe to No Mercy / No Malice Buy "The Algebra of Wealth," out now. Follow the podcast across socials @profgpod: Instagram Threads X Reddit Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It's officially the new year, and 2025 will bring a whole new set of challenges as governments react to the shifting policies of the incoming Trump administration, instability in the Middle East, China's economic weakness, and a world where the global order feels increasingly tenuous. 2025 will be a year of heightened geopolitical risks and global disorder, with the world no longer aligned with the balance of power. So what should we be paying attention to, and what's the world's #1 concern for the year ahead? Each year, The Eurasia Group, GZERO's parent company, forecasts the top political risks most likely to play out over the year. On this special edition of the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer analyzes the Eurasia Group's Top Risks of 2025 report with Cliff Kupchan, Eurasia Group's chairman and a leader of the firm's global macro coverage; Susan Glasser, staff writer at the New Yorker; and Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's head of research and managing director, United States. The conversation is moderated by Evan Solomon, GZERO Media's publisher. Moderator: Evan SolomonExpert Panelists: Cliff Kupchan, Ian Bremmer, Jon Lieber, Susan Glasser Subscribe to the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

It's officially the new year, and 2025 will bring a whole new set of challenges as governments react to the shifting policies of the incoming Trump administration, instability in the Middle East, China's economic weakness, and a world where the global order feels increasingly tenuous. 2025 will be a year of heightened geopolitical risks and global disorder, with the world no longer aligned with the balance of power. So what should we be paying attention to, and what's the world's #1 concern for the year ahead? Each year, The Eurasia Group, GZERO's parent company, forecasts the top political risks most likely to play out over the year. On this special edition of the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer analyzes the Eurasia Group's Top Risks of 2025 report with Cliff Kupchan, Eurasia Group's chairman and a leader of the firm's global macro coverage; Susan Glasser, staff writer at the New Yorker; and Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's head of research and managing director, United States. The conversation is moderated by Evan Solomon, GZERO Media's publisher. Moderator: Evan SolomonExpert Panelists: Cliff Kupchan, Ian Bremmer, Jon Lieber, Susan Glasser Subscribe to the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

2025 ushers in one of the most dangerous periods in world history — on par with the 1930s and early Cold War, says Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Highlighting the top geopolitical risks for the year ahead, Bremmer explores the impact of Donald Trump's return to power in the US, the breakdown of the US-China relationship, the consequences of a rogue Russia, the future of unchecked AI development and more, plus some bright spots amid these unprecedented challenges. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on January 6, 2025.)

2025 ushers in one of the most dangerous periods in world history — on par with the 1930s and early Cold War, says Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. Highlighting the top geopolitical risks for the year ahead, Bremmer explores the impact of Donald Trump's return to power in the US, the breakdown of the US-China relationship, the consequences of a rogue Russia, the future of unchecked AI development and more, plus some bright spots amid these unprecedented challenges. (This interview, hosted by TED's Helen Walters, was recorded on January 6, 2025.)

Ice and snow has created dangerous road conditions across parts of the U.S. At least five people have died in the winter storm, which has also wreaked havoc at airports. CBS News' Rob Marciano has the latest.CBS News business analyst Jill Schlesinger shares tips for saving, paying down debt and more in 2025 to help you achieve your financial goals.The Eurasia Group's annual risk report names "The G-Zero Wins" as the biggest threat of 2025, predicting a world without clear international leadership. Founder Ian Bremmer joins "CBS Mornings."The Carter Center, based in Atlanta, was launched by the Carter's after they left the White House and has worked to promote human rights, health and democracy worldwide. CBS News' Nikole Killion spoke with those who worked alongside former President Jimmy Carter and shows the mark he leaves behind.Oprah Winfrey reveals her newest book club selection, "A New Earth: Awakening to Your Life's Purpose" by Eckhart Tolle, only on CBS Mornings. The book, focused on finding peace and living in the present, becomes the first to be selected twice in the club's 28-year history. You can watch Eckhart Tolle's conversation with Oprah on "The Oprah Podcast."Poet Amanda Gorman shares her new children's book, "Girls on the Rise," celebrating women's achievements and encouraging young girls to embrace their power to change the world.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Tinatin Japaridze specializes in the geopolitics and security of Eurasia, with a particular focus on the Russia-Ukraine war. She leads Eurasia Group's coverage of Georgia and Azerbaijan, including the countries' domestic and foreign policies, reforms, and leadership. Prior to joining Eurasia Group, Tinatin spent more than 15 years working at the intersection of communications and security. For several years, Tinatin was the UN Bureau Chief for Eastern European media outlets, a UN Radio host, and the producer of her own radio show on current affairs and international security. She is a regular media contributor to The Moscow Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, among other outlets. Her book “Stalin's Millennials: Nostalgia, Trauma, and Nationalism” was published in 2022. ---------- LINKS: https://x.com/TinatinTweets https://www.linkedin.com/in/tinatinjaparidze/ https://uc.web.ox.ac.uk/people/tinatin-japaridze https://www.thecriticalmass.com/tinatin-japaridze ---------- BOOKS: Stalin's Millennials: Nostalgia, Trauma, and Nationalism (2022) ---------- SILICON CURTAIN FILM FUNDRAISER A project to make a documentary film in Ukraine, to raise awareness of Ukraine's struggle and in supporting a team running aid convoys to Ukraine's frontline towns. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain/collections ---------- SUPPORT THE CHANNEL: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ---------- ARTICLES: https://www.gzeromedia.com/news/watching/georgias-parliament-advances-divisive-foreign-agents-bill https://eurasianet.org/perspectives-russia-is-going-to-wake-up-to-a-very-difficult-reality https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/navalny-kremlin-critics-deaths-1.7117854 ---------- TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND: Save Ukraine https://www.saveukraineua.org/ Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas https://superhumans.com/en/ UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukraine https://unbroken.org.ua/ Come Back Alive https://savelife.in.ua/en/ Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy https://u24.gov.ua/ Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation https://prytulafoundation.org NGO “Herojam Slava” https://heroiamslava.org/ kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyśl https://kharpp.com/ NOR DOG Animal Rescue https://www.nor-dog.org/home/ ---------- PLATFORMS: Twitter: https://twitter.com/CurtainSilicon Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/siliconcurtain/ Podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/4thRZj6NO7y93zG11JMtqm Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finkjonathan/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ---------- Welcome to the Silicon Curtain podcast. Please like and subscribe if you like the content we produce. It will really help to increase the popularity of our content in YouTube's algorithm. Our material is now being made available on popular podcasting platforms as well, such as Spotify and Apple Podcasts.

MacroVoices hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome, Robert Kahn. They'll dive into four key geopolitical issues currently shaping the global investment landscape: Trump 2.0, China, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the Israel-Gaza-Iran nexus. Robert will share expert insights on how these major events are influencing financial markets and what investors should watch for in the months ahead. https://bit.ly/3DxYd1s   ⚫ Check out Eurasia Group: https://www.eurasiagroup.net/

It's News Day Tuesday! Emma speaks with Gregory Brew, analyst with the Eurasia Group's Energy, Climate, & Resources Team, to discuss the fluid situation in Syria now that rebels have taken control of Damascus. Then, she speaks with Thomas Birmingham, reporter and intern at The Nation based in New Haven, to discuss his recent piece entitled "In the US, Tenants Are Usually on Their Own. Can a New National Tenant Union Change That?." First, Emma runs through updates on the charging of the United Healthcare CEO killer, Pete Hegseth's nomination, Lara Trump's future in politics, Pete Buttigieg's potential governor run in Michigan, Tulsi Gabbard's nomination, Bibi Netanyahu's corruption case, Ukraine's defense, Democratic leadership, Boeing layoffs, and wildfires in Malibu, before touching on developing succession drama in the Murdoch family and the right-wing media's response to the killing of United Healthcare's CEO. Gregory Brew then joins, first providing the context of the deep domestic unpopularity of Assad's late Russia- and Iran-backed regime, then diving deep into the filling of the vacuum in the wake of his departure, with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham – the Islamist militant rebel group that just deposed of Assad's regime – still in control in Damascus while Kurds in the east continue to fight a Syrian National Army backed by an anti-Kurdish Turkey, all coinciding with US pressure against a potential ISIS resurgence. Next, Brew looks to the biggest winners and losers outside of Syria, with the collapse of the Assad regime dramatically decreasing Iranian and Russian influence in the region – with the former not seeming too displeased amid an already-crumbling relationship with Assad – while substantially raising the status of the likes of Israel. Thomas Birmingham then joins, jumping right into the major success of Bozeman Tenants United – the Montana city's tenant's union – and their role in an ongoing attempt to organize the National Tenant Union Federation, alongside tenant unions in Chicago, Kansas City Louisville, and Connecticut, with those in Kentucky and Montana providing a particularly valuable blueprint for successful progressive, working-class organizing in deep-red states. Expanding on the work Bozeman Tenants United engages in, Birmingham walks through the story of Ozaa Echo Maker as an example of how these organizing efforts work to bring marginalized and politically uninvolved people into politics, providing them a voice and showcasing genuinely democratic models of leadership, also touching on the extensive work BTU does locally, from pushing for tenant property ownership to building their electoral power and representation on city council, to defend renters' contract rights. Wrapping up, Thomas and Emma discuss Biden's role in pushing back against corporate landlords at the tail-end of his tenure and the importance of showcasing proper tenant power as this fight continues. And in the Fun Half: Emma and the MR Team talk with Jason from DC about the fallacy of bringing a populist right out of the Trump Administration, Lindsay Graham vocalizes his support for Tulsi Gabbard, and the crew unpacks developments in the arrest United Healthcare CEO's killer – with some help addressing the “death of a villain” narrative around this story from Ava in Miami. They also watch Ben Wikler's appearance on the Daily Show, plus, your calls and IMs! Follow Gregory on Twitter here: https://x.com/gbrew24 Follow Thomas on Twitter here: https://x.com/thomasbirm Check out Thomas' piece in The Nation here: https://www.thenation.com/article/society/tenant-union-organizing-rent/ If you can, donate to Majed Jebril's GoFundMe to assist their family in Gaza: https://www.gofundme.com/f/emergency-help-jebrils-family-in-gaza Check out Bana Jebril's incredible portrait of Emma here: https://x.com/Banajebrilart/status/1865807635095896289 Get the limited edition EmMajority Report hat at the MR store here!: https://shop.majorityreportradio.com/collections/all-items/products/limited-edition-the-emmajority-baseball-hat Become a member at JoinTheMajorityReport.com: https://fans.fm/majority/join Follow us on TikTok here!: https://www.tiktok.com/@majorityreportfm Check us out on Twitch here!: https://www.twitch.tv/themajorityreport Find our Rumble stream here!: https://rumble.com/user/majorityreport Check out our alt YouTube channel here!: https://www.youtube.com/majorityreportlive Join Sam on the Nation Magazine Cruise! 7 days in December 2024!!: https://nationcruise.com/mr/ Check out StrikeAid here!; https://strikeaid.com/ Gift a Majority Report subscription here: https://fans.fm/majority/gift Subscribe to the ESVN YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/esvnshow Subscribe to the AMQuickie newsletter here: https://am-quickie.ghost.io/ Join the Majority Report Discord! http://majoritydiscord.com/ Get all your MR merch at our store: https://shop.majorityreportradio.com/ Get the free Majority Report App!: http://majority.fm/app Go to https://JustCoffee.coop and use coupon code majority to get 20% off your purchase! 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Joe Biden's final foreign trip as President was a long-promised visit to sub-Saharan Africa—Angola, to be precise. Biden had pledged to be the first President to visit Africa in nearly a decade, but the trip was delayed and is only happening with just a few weeks left in his term. Still, the trip was intended to solidify at least one part of the Biden administration's legacy: a major infrastructure project called the Lobito Corridor. This rail line links the mineral-rich regions of the Democratic Republic of Congo to a port on Angola's Atlantic coast. A key question now is whether this legacy will survive the incoming Trump administration. How might the Trump administration's approach to Africa differ, if at all, from that of the outgoing Biden administration? Joining me to answer these questions—and many more—is Ziyanda Stuurman, Senior Analyst for Africa at the Eurasia Group. We begin by discussing why Angola is well-suited for a major American investment like the Lobito Corridor and then dive into a wide-ranging conversation about how this investment fits into the geopolitical competition between China and the United States, as well as what might—or might not—change about U.S. policy toward Africa under the new administration.  

President Biden made a historic trip to Angola last week, fulfilling a first-term pledge to visit Africa and becoming the first sitting President to visit the country. While there, the President met with regional leaders and announced more than $1 billion in U.S. assistance -- aiming to strengthen relations in the region and combat China's growing influence. Head of the Eurasia Group's Africa practice, Amaka Anku, weighs in on the importance of America and Africa's relationship, and if it will continue to develop under the Trump Administration. President-elect Donald Trump made headlines with his proposed tariffs for Canada, China, and Mexico. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with the President-elect earlier in the week amidst fears that new tariffs could hurt Canada's economy. But what exactly are tariffs, and how have they been used in the past? FOX News Contributor and former Deputy Chief of Staff to President George W. Bush Karl Rove answers those questions and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With just a few weeks left before the 119th Congress is sworn in, the 118th Congress still has a few more agenda items. FOX News Senior Congressional Correspondent Chad Pergram notes that with a slim Republican majority, and major items on the table, it is certainly not "the most wonderful time of the year" on Capitol Hill.   As AI takes the world by storm, political leaders are wary of the political, economic, and social challenges that could come from its widespread usage. We revisit a conversation with President and founder of Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer discussing the importance of seeking international cooperation on the issue. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump's election can be interpreted as a change election, signaling the rejection of things as they were. But what does all this change mean for the world? How are countries and companies navigating new geopolitical risks with Trump's win? In a bonus episode, FP's Ravi Agrawal puts these questions to the world's foremost geopolitical risk expert, Ian Bremmer. He's also the president and founder of Eurasia Group, as well as GZERO Media.  Suggested reading (FP links are paywall-free): Ian Bremmer: The Global Credibility Gap Ian Bremmer: The Next Global Superpower Isn't Who You Think Carl Bildt: Trump's Dealmaking Record Could Be Bad News for Ukraine Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ian Bremmer, the president and founder of Eurasia Group, joins Scott to discuss major themes and forces shaping the current geopolitical landscape, including the wars in the Middle East and Russia, the impact of China's ‘managed decline,' and the impending US election. Follow Ian, @ianbremmer. Scott opens with his thoughts on the WaPo deciding to skip an endorsement.   Algebra of happiness: against the grain. Subscribe to No Mercy / No Malice Buy "The Algebra of Wealth," out now. Follow the podcast across socials @profgpod: Instagram Threads X Reddit Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices