Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting

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SportfolioKings brings you -- Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting, an analytics driven new-age take on sports betting and handicapping with Zach @ContextCapper and Brett @deepvaluebettor leading the charge. We believe every listener has what it takes to be a KING of their own SPORTFOLIO; they may just need additional tools to add to their tool chest, and THAT is what we intend to provide. No selling of picks here, just turning over every stone until we get a forward thinking sports betting market that abandons the antiquated way "daddy" used to sports bet. Times are evolving, and we're going to be there to capture the market shifts along the way. Join us, and #KingMe

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    • Jan 5, 2023 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 1h 2m AVG DURATION
    • 60 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting

    2022 NFL Week 18 Betting Market Outlook | Miss us? We're back for the regular season grand finale. Let's make some money, Kings

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2023 42:52


    Brett and Judah review playoff scenarios heading into Week 18, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. #nflanalytics #nflbetting #livebetting #trading #sportfolio Follow SportfolioKings on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/sportfoliokings Follow Brett on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/deepvaluebettor Follow Judah on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/throwthedamball Follow Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting on Twitter ➝

    2022 NFL Week 15 Betting Market Outlook | Bucs' ceiling outcomes continue to be mispriced by the market

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2022 35:41


    Brett and Judah recap NFL Week 14 live betting performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 15 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. #nflanalytics #nflbetting #livebetting #trading #sportfolio Follow SportfolioKings on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/sportfoliokings Follow Brett on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/deepvaluebettor Follow Judah on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/throwthedamball Follow Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting on Twitter ➝

    2022 NFL Week 14 Betting Market Outlook | Buy the f*cking dip on the Jets selloff (even v the Bills)

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2022 56:51


    The New York Jets moved the move impressively vs the Vikings, but struggled to cash TDs. The Jets have been betting darlings, but a single week of mild underperformance has the team mispriced vs an increasingly vulnerable Bills team with visible cracks forming. We'll be betting the Jets heavy and looking for live opportunities to add exposure at better prices. Brett and Judah discuss their gameplan for this matchup and recap NFL Week 13 live betting performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 14 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. #nflanalytics #nflbetting #livebetting #trading #sportfolio Matchup Chapters: 0:00 - Intro 1:32 - Butthurt moments and our beef with certain betting groups 6:10 - Live betting performance recap 16:41 - Review Week 13 Drive Quality model scoreboard 20:23 - Week 14 industry analyst market power rankings 34:10 - Raiders v Rams 37:45 - Jets v Bills 39:40 - Browns v Bengals

    2022 NFL Week 13 Betting Market Outlook | live in-game betting opportunities abound in a volatility rich late afternoon slate

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2022 61:22


    Chiefs, Bengals, Dolphins, oh my! The late afternoon NFL slate is ripe for elite football, volatility, and juicy mispriced live spreads. Brett and Judah discuss their gameplan for this and recap NFL Week 12 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 13 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Chiefs, Bengals, Dolphins, oh my! The late afternoon NFL slate is ripe for elite football, volatility, and juicy mispriced live spreads. Brett and Judah discuss their gameplan for this and recap NFL Week 12 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 13 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. 0:00 - Intro 0:17 - Live betting butthurt moments 4:06 - Live betting mega wins 5:38 - Review Week 12 Drive Quality model scoreboard 11:56 - Week 13 industry analyst market power rankings 26:35 - Bills v Patriots 29:07 - Jets v Vikings 27:34 - Patriots v Vikings 33:11 - Broncos v Ravens 36:00 - Commies v Giants 38:18 - Titans v Eagles 41:09 - Jaguars v Lions 45:17 - Steelers v Falcons 47:23 - Packers v Bears 49:05 - Dolphins v 49ers 53:48 - Seahawks v Rams 55:33 - Chiefs v Bengals 56:03 - Chargers v Raiders 58:06 - Cowboys v Colts 1:00:13 - Saints v Bucs Follow SportfolioKings on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/sportfoliokings Follow Brett on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/deepvaluebettor Follow Judah on Twitter ➝

    2022 NFL Week 12 Betting Market Outlook | Bills carve up Lions D, Danny Dimes over props, Vikings struggle to bounce back

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2022 65:02


    A trifecta of mediocre games only a bettor could love on Thanksgiving Day! Yippie! The Cowboys D may turn Danny Dimes into mashed potatoes, but a deficit-enabled game script could make his pass (and potentially run(ning for his life)) props an over gravy train. Brett and Judah discuss this and recap NFL Week 11 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 12 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:00 - Intro, 0:24 - Review Week 11 Drive Quality model scoreboard, 6:28 - Week 12 industry analyst market power rankings, 16:29 - Bills v Lions, 21:48 - Giants v Cowboys, 27:34 - Patriots v Vikings, 30:25 - Texans v Dolphins, 32:22 - Bears v Jets, 36:02 - Ravens v Jaguars, 40:17 - Bengals v Titans, 45:34 - Falcons v Commanders, 46:11 - Broncos v Panthers, 48:50 - Bucs v Browns, 51:51 - Raiders v Seahawks, 53:08 - Chargers v Cardinals, 56:41 - Rams v Chiefs, 57:59 - Saints v Niners, 59:59 - Packers v Eagles, 1:02:10 - Steelers/Colts Follow SportfolioKings on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/sportfoliokings Follow Brett on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/deepvaluebettor Follow Judah on Twitter ➝ https://twitter.com/throwthedamball Follow Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting on Twitter ➝ https://t

    2022 NFL Week 11 Betting Market Outlook | Are the Bears still UNDERRATED?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2022 39:06


    The Chicago Bears have ranked top 5 in our offensive Drive Quality metric since the team's "mini-bye" following the Washington heartbreaking loss in Chicago a fews ago. Is this a sustainable phenomenon? Brett and Judah discuss this and recap NFL Week 10 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to industry analyst consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 11 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:00 - Intro 1:41 - Week 10 Drive Quality model surprises 8:12 - Week 11 consensus market power rankings review 16:23 - Browns/Bills 18:29 - Eagles/Colts 21:06 - Jets/Patriots 23:27 - Lions/Giants 24:36 - Panthers/Ravens 25:48 - Commies/Texans 26:48 - Bears/Falcons 30:48 - Rams/Saints 31:51 - Raiders/Broncos 32:40

    2022 NFL Week 10 Betting Market Outlook | Seahawks earn top 10 status, Bears maul Lions, Jags D hangs tough

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2022 58:13


    Brett, Judah, and special guest caleb (@calebbets3) recap NFL Week 9 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 10 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:00 - Intro | 0:47 - Week 9 Drive Quality model surprises | 8:24 - Week 10 consensus market power rankings review | 21:17 - Falcons/Panthers | 24:03 - Seahawks/Bucs | 30:12 - Vikings/Bills | 31:58 - Texans/Giants | 33:23 - Jags/Chiefs | 36:22 - Browns/Dolphins | 38:55 - Broncos/Titans | 41:50 - Lions/Bears | 44:31 - Saints/Steelers | 46:36 - Colts/Raiders |

    2022 NFL Week 9 Betting Market Outlook | Saints stun Ravens, buying Jags selloff, Bucs bounce back

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2022 53:33


    Brett and Judah recap NFL Week 8 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 9 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:00 - Intro 0:45 - Week 8 Drive Quality model scoreboard 5:54 - Changes to industry analyst market consensus rankings 16:20 - Eagles/Texans 19:53 - Colts/Pats 21:16 - Chargers/Falcons 25:55 - Dolphins/Bears 29:35 - Vikings/Commies 31:01 - Panthers/Bengals 34:03 - Bills/Jets 36:30 - Packers/Lions 39:44 - Raiders/Jags 41:19 - Seahawks/Cardinals 42:53 - Rams/Bucs

    2022 NFL Week 8 Betting Market Outlook | Ravens ravage Bucs, Bill B snipes Jets, Bills bury Packers, rejuvenated Cards vanquish Vikes

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2022 78:35


    Brett and Judah recap NFL Week 7 performance, evaluate their machine learning-enabled Drive Quality model scoreboard, assess changes to consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 8 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:07 - Intro | 0:35 Recap Week 7 betting performance and key takeaways | 4:20 - Week 7 Drive Quality model scoreboard | 9:58 - Changes to market consensus rankings after Week 5 | 26:40 - Ravens/Bucs | 35:12 - Broncos/Jaguars | 37:50 - Patriots/Jets | 42:19 - Steelers/Eagles | 47:50 - Cardinals/Vikings | 53:59 - Bears/Cowboys | 57:31 - Raiders/Saints | 58:59 - Panthers/Falcons | 1:01:33 - Titans/Texans | 1:03:18 - Giants/Seahawks | 1:04:34 - Commanders/Colts | 1:05:53 - Niners/Rams | 1:08:05 - Packers/Bills | 1:10:04 - Bengals/Browns | 1:13:53 - Closing bell, preliminary Circa Millions bets Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor and @throwthedamball on Twitter for more insights throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 7 Betting Market Outlook | it's hip to be square

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2022 53:23


    Brett and Judah recap NFL Week 6 performance, evaluate interesting game-outcome discrepancies in their Drive Quality scoreboard, assess changes to consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 7 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Matchup Chapters: 0:07 - Intro, 2:56 - Changes to market consensus rankings after Week 6, 13:55 - Drive Quality model alternative scoreboard for Week 6, 15:33 - Cardinals/Saints, 19:00 - Packers/Commanders, 23:15 - Giants/Jaguars, 26:58 - Bucs/Panthers, 29:13 - Lions/Cowboys, 32:05 - Falcons/Bengals, 35:03- Browns/Ravens, 36:58 - Colts/Titans, 38:14 - Jets/Broncos, 40:51 - Texans/Raiders, 42:03 - Chiefs/49ers, 46:02 - Seahawks/Chargers, 48:11 - Steelers/Dolphins, 50:30 - Bears/Patriots Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor and @throwthedamball on Twitter for more insights throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 6 Betting Market Outlook | Bengals blossom, Jaguars re-emerge, Jets cover in LaFluer Bowl, and Chiefs take crown

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 58:43


    Brett, Judah, and Arjun (@arjunmenon100) recap NFL Week 5 performance, evaluate interesting game-outcome discrepancies in their Drive Quality scoreboard, assess changes to consensus market power rankings, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 6 slate: isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @arjunmenon100 on Twitter for more insights throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    "Sunday Night Tilt": NFL Week 5 raw impressions + early Week 6 spread preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2022 43:26


    Brett and special guest Corey (@clars24) offer their fresh, emotional takes on what just transpired in a very difficult NFL Week 5, recap sportfolio performance and live betting results, and walk through the initial betting slate for NFL Week 6. Our core Circa Millions contest selections went a woeful 1-3-1, allocating exposure to Bills, Jaguars, Lions, Chargers, and Bucs. We are now 14-10-1 on the season (58%) and fall to 1205th place. Our live betting GameTRADE stream on Twitch yielded a net -6 units, bringing season-to-date to +11 units, with mostly Lions derivative bets weighing on total return. Come live bet and trade games with us every Sunday afternoon: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/1619686497

    2022 NFL Week 5 Betting Market Outlook | scratching and clawing to find value in unattractive matchups...

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 70:58


    Brett and Judah recap NFL Week 4 performance, evaluate their proprietary Drive Quality scoreboard, and investigate angles across every game on the NFL Week 5 slate, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contest. Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on Twitter for more insights and ramblings throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 4 Betting Market Outlook | selling Eagles hype, riding Browns rushing prowess, buying dip on Chiefs, leaning into Jets variance

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2022 51:43


    Brett and Judah conduct a deep dive review of every game on the NFL Week 4 slate, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contests. We're selling Eagles hype vs a still underappreciated Jaguars defense, riding Browns rushing prowess vs an extremely vulnerable Falcons run defense, buying the dip on Chiefs after two lackluster performances vs a Bucs team still benefiting from yester years' successes, and leaning into Jets variance with the return of Zach Wilson vs an equally bad Steelers team in Mitch Trubisky's last game as a starter. Matchup Chapters: 0:06 - Intro, 0:40 - Recap Week 3 betting and Circa performance, 12:19 - Changes to market consensus rankings, 20:04 - Dolphins/Bengals, 22:29 - Vikings/Saints in London, 23:43 - Titans/Colts, 25:56 - Bills/Ravens, 27:50, - Chargers/Texans, 30:28 - Seahawks/Lions, 31:36 - Jets/Steelers, 33:08 - Jaguars/Eagles 36:59, - Commanders/Cowboys, 38:32 - Browns/Falcons, 40:33 - Cardinals/Panthers, 42:20 - Broncos/Raiders, 44:33 - Patriots/Packers, 47:09 - Chiefs/Bucs, 50:12 - Rams/Niners

    2022 NFL Week 3 Betting Market Outlook | Bills bulldozer, Rams rager, Jags hang around

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2022 51:22


    Brett and Judah conduct a deep dive review of every game on the NFL Week 3 slate, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions contests. Matchup Chapters: 0:11 - Steelers/Browns 4:52 - Ravens/Patriots 8:48 - Bills/Dolphins 11:30 - Bengals/Jets 15:36 - Saints/Panthers 16:54 - Lions/Vikings 19:38 - Chiefs/Colts 26:28 - Raiders/Titans 30:27 - Eagles/Commanders 31:37 - Texans/Bears 33:28 - Jaguars/Chargers 36:51 - Packers/Bucs 39:57 - Falcons/Seahawks 41:40 - Rams/Cardinals 43:24 - 49ers/Broncos 46:41 - Cowboys/Giants 49:07 - MNP SGP 50:28 - Preliminary top 5 Circa leans

    "Sunday Night Tilt": NFL Week 2 impressions and live betting results + early Week 3 spread preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2022 37:31


    Brett and Judah offer their fresh, emotional takes on what just happened in NFL Week 2, recap sportfolio performance and live betting results, and walk through the initial betting slate for NFL Week 3. Our core Circa Millions contest selections went 2-2, allocating exposure to Bills (pending), Jaguars, Commanders, Bengals, and Patriots. Our live betting stream on Twitch yielded a net -2 units, bringing season-to-date to +7 units. Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on Twitter for more insights and ramblings throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 2 Market Outlook | buying low on Patriots, fading Lions as favorites, seeing value on Jags

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2022 51:08


    Brett and Judah assess the NFL Week 2 landscape, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions and Survivor contests. The market may have sold off on Mac Jones and co. a bit more than is justified, so will bet Patriots and look to lean into further live if can get over +4. Lions steam has pushed them into favorite territory and the market is pricing the WFT has a bottom 5 team; we'll gladly fade these phenomena. We liked what we saw from the Jaguars in Week 1, and expect them to follow through with another strong performance vs. a vulnerable Colts team in Jacksonville. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for Week 2. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 2 Betting Market Outlook | buying low on Patriots, fading Lions as favorites, seeing value on Jags

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2022 51:08


    Brett and Judah assess the NFL Week 2 landscape, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions and Survivor contests. The market may have sold off on Mac Jones and co. a bit more than is justified, so will bet Patriots and look to lean into further live if can get over +4. Lions steam has pushed them into favorite territory and the market is pricing the WFT has a bottom 5 team; we'll gladly fade these phenomena. We liked what we saw from the Jaguars in Week 1, and expect them to follow through with another strong performance vs. a vulnerable Colts team in Jacksonville. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for Week 2. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    "Sunday Night Tilt": NFL Week 1 impressions and live betting results + early Week 2 spread insights

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2022 42:59


    Brett and Judah offer their fresh, emotional takes on what just happened in NFL Week 1, recap sportfolio performance and live betting results, and walk through the initial betting slate for NFL Week 2. (*apologies for lower quality audio as we are on vacation and away from our typical trading rigs*) Our core Circa Millions contest selections went collectively 6-1, allocating exposure to Chargers, Giants, Texans, Bears, Commanders, Chiefs, and Eagles. Our live betting stream on Twitch yielded a net +9 units. Follow betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on Twitter for more insights and ramblings throughout the 2022 NFL season. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 1 Market Outlook | cautious on Rams, Giants upside, Chargers rock, Texans surprise, fading Jags and Lions steam

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2022 69:10


    Brett, Judah, and Zach pontificate on NFL Week 1, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions and Survivor contests. A lot of disagreement, but are generally cautious on Rams, see Giants upside v. Titans, betting on Texans to surprise v. Colts, expect Chargers to exploit the Raiders, and are fading Jags and Lions steam. Ravens will likely be the core allocation for survivor strategies, but Joe Flacco is a notable wrinkle that makes Brett and Zach a bit nervous. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for Week 1. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    2022 NFL Week 1 Betting Market Outlook | cautious on Rams, Giants upside, Chargers rock, Texans surprise, fading Jags and Lions steam

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2022 69:10


    Brett, Judah, and Zach pontificate on NFL Week 1, isolating opportunities to lean into alt lines, take advantage of potential live betting mispricings, and how to position for the Circa Millions and Survivor contests. A lot of disagreement, but are generally cautious on Rams, see Giants upside v. Titans, betting on Texans to surprise v. Colts, expect Chargers to exploit the Raiders, and are fading Jags and Lions steam. Ravens will likely be the core allocation for survivor strategies, but Joe Flacco is a notable wrinkle that makes Brett and Zach a bit nervous. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @contextcapper on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for Week 1. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    AFC West | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | Chargers bet on variance, Broncos all-in on Russell resurgence, and Raiders plummet

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2022 88:21


    Highest conviction trade idea ✍️: Raiders under 8.5 wins and alt under 7.5 wins at +210. The AFC West has four playoff contenders and everyone got better, except for the Chiefs. Are they still the crown jewel of the best division in football? The Broncos haven't made the playoffs in six years - the second longest drought in the league. Is Russell Wilson the missing piece, or is the near 34 year old washed? The the Chargers are leaning into the variance game and built a roster that is stacked, but we've seen all-star rosters constructed before the end on a wimper - is it all sizzle and no steak? The Raiders experienced some of the most turnover in the league, have a new coaching staff, play a top 5 most difficult schedule, and were the beneficiaries of an incredible luck in 2021 - odds suggest the team is egregiously mispriced. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @drivs228 on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the AFC West. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    AFC North | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | Bengals encore, Ravens revenge, Steelers defensive mirage

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2022 40:30


    Highest conviction trade idea ✍️: Steelers under 7.5 wins, Browns alt uner 7 wins +195 and to win Super Bowl +5000. Steelers defense is likely a sham, overly reliant on TJ Watt, and will be exposed as not only a strength but perhaps a weakness in 2022. The market is lukewarm on the Bengals despite winning the AFC and being a late TD away from being Super Bowl champions. Joe Burrow was sacked an egregious 70 times last season, but the Bengals brass made a vigilant effort to enhance the weakest part of the team: the OL. Now the unit may be a top 10 unit. Can this explosive offense recapture the AFC crown in a crowded field? The Browns are all in on Deshaun Watson, leveraging their future, their brand, the stability of their organization. All on a disgraced wildcard. Can Jacoby Brissett and an elite offensive line, keep the Browns competitive through the first 11 games of the season? The Ravens were 5-1 to start the season. In position for the number one seed in the AFC in early December, before unraveling and losing six straight games to close the season. Is a healthier Ravens team capable of going on a revenge tour in 2022? We'll discuss all of this and more on this episode of betting market outlook for the AFC North.

    NFC West | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | Rams' brain drain stifles encore, 49ers feast on easy schedule, and Pete Carroll gets exposed

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2022 40:53


    Spoiler: our favorite division bets are Rams under 10 wins and Seahawks fewest points scored (+750). Stafford and Co. enter 2022 as Super Bowl champs and with another set of lofty expectations - but remain in arguably the best division in the NFC, if not the NFL. We are selling the hype - expecting a tough division to drive wild volatility and a lack of depth, a reversal of positive injury luck, and a significant loss of coaching talent to stifle the team on their path to the targeted 10 wins (current market win total expectations). The Niners and Cardinals both have high ceilings but low floors (emblematic of the division volatility writ large), and the market is torn in both directions. However, the Niners are priced at 10 wins and the Cardinals are priced at 8.5 wins. Maybe Kyle Shanahan's wizardry can take advantage of the relatively easy schedule (projected 13th easiest) and propel this team to division champs, but will come down to how aggressive the team plans to be with Trey Lance - who is still very much a work in progress. The Seahawks' loss of Russ Wilson will likely expose Pete Carroll as the worst head coach in league, as he is now unshackled from the pressures of 'letting Russ cook' and can now forces his conservative playcalling down the throats of a talentless team with a bottom-5 offensive line and no visible on-the-field leader. Under 6 wins looks very attractive. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @yanni_bet on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the NFC West. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    AFC East | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | Tua surprises, Patriots sink, and Bills blossom

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2022 44:18


    Spoiler: our favorite division bets are Patriots under 8.5 wins and Dolphins alt under 8 wins. Tua Tagovailoa has upside if a 49ers-esque short-pass/quick-slant/RPO and YAC-oriented offense is successfully implemented, leveraging the immense speed of their enhanced WR corps - but a lot can also go wrong and market expectations are already elevated, making the bar for success from a betting perspective unduly high. The Patriots loss talent and simply got worse across almost every category imaginable, yet market expectations haven't adjusted enough to the downside - likely due to the mystique of Bill Belichick (which has certainly been earned). The Jets will likely remain the dumpster divers of the division, but should show improvement with a young, speedy, and talented set of pass catchers and a steadily strengthening defense. The Bills remain the cream of the crop, may have been the best team last year, and only got better in the offseason (ex the loss of OC Brian Daboll). It's Super Bowl or bust for this mighty offense. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, and @throwthedamball on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the AFC East. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    AFC South | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | Jaguars ascend, Colts disappoint, and Titans get rekt

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2022 44:03


    Spoiler: our favorite division bets are Titans alt under 8 wins and Jaguars over 6.5 wins. Trevor Lawrence has the pedigree and potential to be an elite QB, but a resurgent Jaguars defense may be the catalyst for a surprise division title. The Colts rented another aging QB in Matt Ryan and have a crumbling OL, but bettors continue to overestimate their talent. The Titans lost their star WR AJ Brown, it's uncertain if King Henry can return to form, and their OL has been severely downgraded; difficult to depend on their defense to save them in back-to-back seasons. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @ferd_turgeson on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the AFC South. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is fueled by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    NFC South | 2022 Betting Market Outlook | NFL Season Preview Series

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2022 92:31


    The Bucs offensive line continues to receive steep praise from the media and betting markets, but bringing back only 2 of 5 starters. No Antonio Brown, no Gronk, and now missing several key cogs on the OL: if the Bucs struggle or the OL breaks down mid-season, does Tom Brady risk his health and continue to play out the season? It's a risk few bettors seem to be seriously considering. Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, @throwthedamball, and @joea_nfl on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the NFC South. Not Your Daddy's Sports Betting podcast is powered by SportfolioKings, a next-gen sports betting research platform fueled by advanced data analytics and Wall Street-style trading strategies. We blend the advantages of fundamental analysis, data science, and market- and sentiment-oriented research to identify actionable alpha opportunities in sports markets. Join us at www.sportfoliokings.com.

    NFL half-way Special: AFC look ahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2021 69:39


    @ContextCapper is joined this week by @SharpClarkeNFL and @RonAceSports, two of the sharpest handicappers in the NFL scene to breakdown the AFC in a fast-paced round-robin live recorded special. Each capper has 2 minutes to talk us through a team from each AFC division, followed by a minute of pushback/agreement. At the half-way point in the season, this is a chance to do a concise macro view on teams across the AFC and then NFC will get our attention next week.

    2021 NFL midseason special: AFC lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2021 69:39


    @ContextCapper is joined this week by @SharpClarkeNFL and @RonAceSports, two of the sharpest handicappers in the NFL scene to breakdown the AFC in a fast-paced round-robin live recorded special. Each capper has 2 minutes to talk us through a team from each AFC division, followed by a minute of pushback/agreement. At the half-way point in the season, this is a chance to do a concise macro view on teams across the AFC and then NFC will get our attention next week.

    NFL WK 7 Recap: WK 8 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2021 81:54


    Zach and Brett break down week 7 briefly (25 minutes) Then spend the next hour diving into week 8. More opportunity in week 8 than week's past, as they look for the tides to turn back in the book's favor.

    2021 NFL WK 7 Recap: WK 8 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2021 81:54


    Zach and Brett break down week 7 briefly (25 minutes) Then spend the next hour diving into week 8. More opportunity in week 8 than week's past, as they look for the tides to turn back in the book's favor.

    NFL WK 6 Recap: WK 7 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2021 94:14


    Are the Cardinals unstoppable? Will the Chiefs finally turn back toward championship form? Is Justin Herbert now OVERRATED? Just some questions to ponder on this week's episode with Zach and Brett as they dig into Week 6 and look ahead to Week 7.

    2021 NFL WK 6 Recap: WK 7 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2021 94:14


    Are the Cardinals unstoppable? Will the Chiefs finally turn back toward championship form? Is Justin Herbert now OVERRATED? Just some questions to ponder on this week's episode with Zach and Brett as they dig into Week 6 and look ahead to Week 7.

    NFL WK 5 Recap: WK 6 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2021 102:06


    No more emails for you Mr. Gruden. Zach and Brett are back recapping Week 5 to see what's real and what's fraudlent. This week, the duo started a new game to MAKE PICKS, each has to pick a side of 5 games on the pod, recorded as of Wednesday night. The winner gets a special prize!

    2021 NFL WK 5 Recap: WK 6 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2021 102:06


    No more emails for you Mr. Gruden. Zach and Brett are back recapping Week 5 to see what's real and what's fraudlent. This week, the duo started a new game to MAKE PICKS, each has to pick a side of 5 games on the pod, recorded as of Wednesday night. The winner gets a special prize!

    NFL WK 4 Recap: WK 5 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2021 145:23


    Special guest Ron @Ronacesports joins the pod with Brett and Zach. Ron is a 40 year handicapping expert who flies under the radar, but is as consistent a capper as we've seen in the space. Rams were crowned the best in the NFC, now everyone is abandoning ship? Jets Win. Jags should of won.. Are these teams now betable?

    2021 NFL WK 4 Recap: WK 5 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2021 145:23


    Special guest Ron @Ronacesports joins the pod with Brett and Zach. Ron is a 40 year handicapping expert who flies under the radar, but is as consistent a capper as we've seen in the space. Rams were crowned the best in the NFC, now everyone is abandoning ship? Jets Win. Jags should of won.. Are these teams now betable?

    NFL WK 3 Recap: WK 4 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2021 108:29


    Is Justin Herbert the Chiefs Kryptonite? Are the Bills and the Rams the top teams in the NFL? Can the Bengals win the AFC North? Zach and Brett recap Week 3 in detail to see what can be applied to Week 4's slate.

    2021 NFL WK 3 Recap: WK 4 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2021 108:29


    Is Justin Herbert the Chiefs Kryptonite? Are the Bills and the Rams the top teams in the NFL? Can the Bengals win the AFC North? Zach and Brett recap Week 3 in detail to see what can be applied to Week 4's slate.

    NFL WK 2 Recap: WK 3 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2021 103:14


    Are Kyle Murray and the Cardinals for real? Has the league caught up to the Chiefs? What happened to all that Winston MVP talk? Just some questions Zach and Brett are asking as they work to make sense of week 2 and look forward to week 3.

    2021 NFL WK 2 Recap: WK 3 Lookahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2021 103:14


    Are Kyle Murray and the Cardinals for real? Has the league caught up to the Chiefs? What happened to all that Winston MVP talk? Just some questions Zach and Brett are asking as they work to make sense of week 2 and look forward to week 3.

    NFL Week 1 Recap!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2021 116:22


    Zach and Brett do their deep dive on every game of week 1, the market reaction, key takeaways and much more!

    2021 NFL Week 1 Recap!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2021 116:22


    Zach and Brett do their deep dive on every game of week 1, the market reaction, key takeaways and much more!

    Betting the AFC West in 2021

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2021 73:43


    @SharpClarkeNFL joins @ContextCapper for the season pre-view of the AFC West. Cheifs -- Broncos -- Raiders -- Chargers, three playoff caliber teams and then there's Jon Gruden.

    Betting the 49ers in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2021 34:38


    Zach and Brett boil down the 49ers to what the hell is going on at QB. Nonetheless, in Shannahan they trust to field a competitive squad on a weekly basis.

    Betting the Cardinals in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2021 31:06


    Zach and Brett dig in and see if this is Klifff Kingsbury's last chance to prove he belongs in the NFL.

    Betting the Seahawks in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2021 39:14


    Zach and Brett continue their dive into the NFC West, this time digging into just how much Chef Russ is actually going to cook.

    Betting the Rams in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2021 39:14


    Mathew Stafford. Sean McVay. Super Bowl. Or does it all come unravelled when the thinned out defense underperfoms? Zach and Brett take on the LA Rams and their shot at winning it all in 2021.

    Betting Washington in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2021 0:39


    Zach and Brett take on the Washington Football team, relitigate Fitzmagic and wonder just how far Washington can go in 2021.

    Betting the Eagles in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2021 37:13


    Will Jalen Hurts prove the doubter wrong? Just some of the questions Zach and Brett deep dive, hoping to prove the PFF's of the world wrong.

    Betting the Cowboys in 2021: Preview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2021 38:59


    Zach and Brett weigh the pros and mostly cons of what it means to bet on "America's Team." #KinMe at SportfolioKings.com

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