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This week, the Hivemind team discusses Bitcoin's recent price action, macro and equity market influences, perp DEX activity, and their outlooks on Solana, Hyperliquid, Lighter, and PumpFun. They also cover privacy coins, equity perps, and market cycles. Enjoy!Thanks for tuning in! – Follow Ceteris: https://x.com/ceterispar1bus Follow Jason: https://x.com/3xliquidated Follow Yan: https://x.com/YanLiberman Follow Flip: https://x.com/trevor_flipper Follow Empire: https://x.com/theempirepod Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/4jYEkBx Subscribe on Apple: https://bit.ly/3ECSmJ3 Subscribe on Spotify: https://bit.ly/4hzy9lH —- TIMESTAMPS (00:00) Introduction (01:39) Market Outlook (14:34) Saylor's Buys & Onchain Trends (27:10) Robinhood's Equity Perps (29:44) Thoughts on Lighter (42:43) Monero vs Zcash (54:55) Market Cycles —-- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, the Hivemind team, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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On January 16th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
Every year, Wall Street rolls out its market predictions. Targets get published, expectations get set, and the headlines make it sound like the future is just a spreadsheet away. But markets have a long history of humbling even the most confident forecasts, and that creates a real problem for retirement savers. Because, while short-term forecasts are usually noise, ignoring market expectations altogether isn't the answer either. So in today's episode, I break down how to think about market outlooks the right way. We'll cover why forecasts so often miss the mark, when long-term assumptions actually matter, and how market research can be used as a planning tool (not a prediction engine). I also share key themes from Vanguard's Economic and Market Outlook for 2026, focusing on growth, inflation, and expected returns—and why all of that matters for your portfolio and retirement plan. ***
Some industry predictions may seem outlandish—or even impossible. But does that mean they're not worth considering? Kick off 2026 with Kevin and Macan, as they explore consensus- defying predictions that may sound absurd, but warrant closer examination. Listen in as they examine the logic behind some of industry's boldest predictions, challenging listeners to rethink what's truly possible. From a potential 50% surge in gold prices to an S&P 500 Index that could endure a bear market and still finish the year up 20%, our hosts break down the rationale, data, and market dynamics behind each scenario—examining the roles of central bank rate cuts, liquidity, momentum and investor behavior, all while underscoring the importance of diversification in an unpredictable market environment. Tune in for a lively start to 2026—and decide for yourself: are these forecasts improbable, or impossible?
In this episode of the Jon Sanchez Show, Jason Gaunt fills in for John Sanchez, who is under the weather. Gaunt provides a comprehensive market update, discussing the recent performance of major indices, including the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ, which all experienced declines. He delves into the implications of recent economic data, including the Producer Price Index and retail sales figures, highlighting concerns about inflation and interest rates. Gaunt emphasizes the market's reaction to earnings reports from major banks, noting that despite decent results, stocks fell due to broader market anxieties and the need for more positive news to sustain growth.The conversation shifts to the impact of geopolitical events, particularly regarding Iran and tariffs, and how these factors contribute to market volatility. Gaunt also discusses the energy sector's performance, suggesting a potential shift towards energy investments. He concludes with insights from BlackRock's market outlook, emphasizing the importance of diversifying portfolios and being cautious about future earnings expectations. Overall, the episode provides listeners with a detailed analysis of current market conditions and strategic investment considerations.Chapters00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:56 Economic Data and Market Reactions04:32 Earnings Reports and Financial Sector Insights07:39 Geopolitical Events and Market Impact11:36 Energy Sector Performance and Investment Strategies18:36 BlackRock's Market Outlook and Future Expectationsmarket update, economic data, interest rates, inflation, earnings reports, energy sector, investment strategy, geopolitical events, BlackRock outlook
On January 15th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
Get an inside look at what's shaping my thinking. Bi-weekly, I share the top 5 investing and financial planning articles I'm reading—straight to your inbox. Sign up for my newsletter. ----- Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins me for a wide-ranging conversation about what actually matters for long-term investors heading into 2026. We get past the headline forecasts and into how a seasoned strategist interprets markets in real time—without falling into the traps that trip up most investors. Listen now and learn: ► Why "forecasts" can be useful even when you're not making price targets—and how to use them the right way ► A clearer way to think about what really drove market returns in 2025 (and what many investors missed) ► What to pay attention to with the Fed in 2026, and what's mostly just noise ► A grounded framework for thinking about the U.S. dollar, national debt, and the long-term investor's edge Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions. (03:00) Why Schwab Won't Do Year-End Targets (08:23) How Liz Ann Builds an Outlook: cycles, quadrants, and "better or worse" vs. "good or bad" (13:33) 2025's Biggest Investor Lesson (16:48) The Magnificent Seven Misconception: contribution ≠ performance (21:05) The 2026 Outlook (26:09) The Federal Reserve, Rate Cuts, and a New Fed Chair: why the "C" in FOMC matters (31:39) The US Dollar and Reserve Currency Fears: "there's no replacement for it" (35:19) US National Debt: not a default story, but a long-term "wet blanket on growth" (43:02) Long-Term Investing vs. Gambling: owning vs. hoping, and why "get in/get out" isn't a strategy (47:22) How Liz Ann Sonders Invests Her Own Money (50:16) What's Different Now: post-COVID sentiment, the retail trader, and why psychology got harder (52:55) Where to Find Liz Ann's Research Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com) Disclosure: This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. The commentary in this "post" (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client. References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see disclosures here.
In this week's episode of Retire in Texas, Darryl Lyons, CEO and Co-Founder of PAX Financial Group, breaks down what Wall Street's biggest firms are predicting for 2026 - and what it could mean for your portfolio. After reviewing market outlooks from BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Schwab, Pimco, and more, Darryl shares a curated summary of the trends shaping the year ahead. From stock valuations and artificial intelligence to bonds, global markets, inflation, and alternative investments, this episode cuts through the noise to highlight key points that could matter for long-term investors. Drawing from industry research and real-world context, Darryl walks through where opportunity may exist, where risks are building, and why diversification and thoughtful strategy matter more than ever in today's market environment. Key highlights of the episode include: · Why U.S. stocks are historically expensive - and what that means for future returns. · How artificial intelligence is driving massive investment and reshaping global markets. · What falling interest rates could mean for bonds and fixed income strategies. · Why international markets like Japan and Germany are gaining renewed attention. · How inflation, tariffs, and policy decisions may influence market stability. · The growing role of real assets, infrastructure, and alternative investments. If you've been wondering how to position your portfolio for 2026, this episode offers a clear framework for thinking through risk, opportunity, and long-term strategy. Whether you're concerned about market volatility, curious about AI's impact, or simply want a better understanding of what's ahead, Darryl provides perspective to help you make more informed decisions. For more insights and to connect with a PAX Financial Group advisor, visit www.PAXFinancialGroup.com. If you found this episode helpful, consider sharing it with someone who's thinking about their financial strategy for the year ahead. Resources: www.blackrock.com/corporate/literature/whitepaper/bii-global-outlook-2026.pdf www.pimco.com/us/en/insights/charting-the-year-ahead-investment-ideas-for-2026 https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-outlook https://am.gs.com/en-us/advisors/insights/article/investment-outlook www.capitalgroup.com/advisor/pdf/shareholder/MFCPBR-099-1046320.pdf
On January 14th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
What will really drive markets in 2026? In today's episode, I'm joined by longtime trader and investor Scott McCormick, CMT, for a wide-ranging conversation on what he sees shaping the next major phase across global markets. Scott shares his forward-looking insights on bonds, equities, commodities, and currencies, breaking down where risk is building, where opportunity may emerge, and how traders should be thinking about positioning as we move into a new market regime. We'll also tackle one of the most surprising moves on the board—the improbable rally in silver—and discuss whether it's the start of something bigger or just a temporary dislocation. If you care about macro trends, intermarket analysis, and staying ahead of the curve, this is a must-listen episode. Listen now:
On January 13th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Dodd Kittsley, Co-CIO of Davis Advisors, to discuss why fundamental research and selectivity are becoming increasingly critical as markets transition into a period of normalized interest rates.From Davis Advisors' 60-year history of “eating their own cooking” to the evolution of active equity ETFs, Kittsley explains how a high-conviction, benchmark-agnostic investment philosophy can help investors compound capital over the long term—especially in a richly valued market.From the “time arbitrage” embedded in their discipline to their views on AI-driven growth and undervalued financials, Kittsley outlines why what investors don't own may matter just as much as what they do in the next market cycle.In this episode:– Why Davis Advisors pioneered the active equity ETF space nearly a decade ago– The benefits of high-conviction, concentrated portfolios that ignore benchmarks– How “picks and mortars” technology is reshaping financials like Capital One– Valuation discipline in an overvalued market and the risks of unsustainable dividends– The “time arbitrage” advantage of long-term ownership and owner-operator focusLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#ActiveETFs #FundamentalInvesting #MarketOutlook #Equities #Valuation #LongTermInvesting #PortfolioStrategyStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
On January 12th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
Today we have the great fortune of having the return appearance of one of the most respected capital allocators in the business: Jan van EckJan is CEO of vanEck, an asset management firm with over $100 billion in assets under management invested across its wide family of ETFs and funds, spanning equity, bond, commodity, digital and regional asset classes.As we've done the past several quarters now, Jan and I will spend the next hour discussing his Q1 macro and market outlooks, as well as where he sees the biggest opportunities for investors right now.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bullmarket #federalreserve #aibubble _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
19 Minutes PodcastAndy Hruby is joined by Joe Vaclavik to break down the grain market setup for January 12–16, 2026. They discuss what index fund rebalancing could mean for price action, what to watch in Monday's USDA report, and how to think about 2026 corn versus soybean profitability and acres. They also cover basis and carry in a tight-margin environment, demand and carryout risk, South America weather, and why recent geopolitical headlines have had limited impact on grain.
After a year of strong performance across major asset classes, what lies ahead for financial markets in 2026? In our latest Market Outlook podcast, Fiduciary's Head of Investments, Pat Donlon, CFA, shares key trends and insights to watch this year. View the video here on our website with closed captions.
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Mike Wilson, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist and CIO at Morgan Stanley. The conversation covers the impact of inflation on stocks, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, and the current state of the employment market. Mike emphasizes the Fed's priority on funding the deficit and job growth over controlling inflation. The discussion includes the role of AI in corporate productivity, sector-specific investment opportunities, and the intricacies of the IPO and M&A markets. Mike also addresses potential deflationary forces, equity risk premiums, and the broader economic implications of industrial and consumer good sectors. Throughout, they highlight the importance of staying tactical and adaptable in investment strategies. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
On January 9th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
Housing expert Rick Sharga joins Kathy Fettke to share a data-driven 2026 housing market outlook based on the latest investor sentiment survey. They break down where home prices, mortgage rates, and investor activity may be headed, why more investors are shifting from fix-and-flips to rentals, and whether fears of a housing crash are supported by the data. A realistic, no-hype look at what real estate investors should expect in 2026.
Welcome to 2026. In this special New Year's episode of The Data Minute, Peter sits down with his colleague Ashley Neville from Carta's Insights Team to dissect the data that defined 2025 and forecast the trends shaping the year ahead.Ashley and Peter analyze the "haves and have nots" market where AI startups command a 40% valuation premium over their peers. They explain why solo founders now account for over a third of all new companies and how capital constraints are driving this shift.They also break down the changing landscape for startup employees, including why equity packages have dropped by 50% and why many departing workers are choosing not to exercise their options. Plus, they discuss the liquidity pressure facing VCs, the "Nvidia problem" for LPs, and what founders need to understand about the Safe market in 2026.Subscribe to Carta's weekly Data Minute newsletter: https://carta.com/subscribe/data-newsletter-sign-up/Explore interactive startup and VC data, with Carta's Data Desk: https://carta.com/data-desk/Chapters:01:14 – Ashley Neville joins the show 02:18 – Fundraising: A market of "Haves and Have Nots"03:47 – The 40% AI valuation premium06:00 – Why the bar for media coverage has skyrocketed07:34 – The surge of the Solo Founder (30% to 36%)10:00 – The concentration of startups in SF and SaaS11:17 – The new hiring reality: 10% leaner teams13:34 – Why employee equity packages are down 50%15:20 – Why employees are leaving options on the table18:43 – The "First Employee" equity bump21:10 – The need for better equity education24:02 – The liquidity crisis: IPOs vs. Staying Private28:05 – LP Psychology: Why invest in VC when you have Nvidia?29:39 – Companies staying private for 16-18 years32:10 – Fund Economics: VC vs. PE personal capital36:20 – The most common founder questions (Safes & Dilution)38:52 – OutroThis presentation contains general information only and eShares, Inc. dba Carta, Inc. (“Carta”) is not, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services, and is for informational purposes only. This presentation is not a substitute for such professional advice or services nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business or interests. © 2026 eShares, Inc., dba Carta, Inc. All rights reserved.
On January 8th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
From a lumpy 2025 market to building pent-up demand, M&A attorneys Corey Kupfer and Brian Meegan share their frontline perspective on deal trends and what business owners need to know heading into 2026. In this episode of the DealQuest Podcast, host Corey Kupfer sits down with his partner Brian Meegan of Kupfer. to kick off the new year with a candid conversation about the deal market. Together, they've handled dozens of deals totaling hundreds of millions of dollars in purchase price and enterprise value across wealth management, tech, and trade industries nationwide. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN: In this episode, you'll discover why the 2025 M&A market has been "lumpy" with strong activity in certain sectors while others slowed, and how markets normalize uncertainty when clarity takes too long. Corey and Brian discuss tax legislation certainty versus tariff uncertainty pending Supreme Court review, why pent-up demand builds pressure that eventually releases, and how massive PE dry powder creates deployment urgency. You'll learn why equitizing Generation 2 leadership years before an exit improves options and valuation, how trade industries remain attractive due to AI resistance, and what regional differences mean for deal opportunities. DEAL MARKET REALITY: The end of 2024 was intense, and momentum carried into 2025. Yet conversations with colleagues revealed uneven activity nationwide. Wealth management stayed robust while other sectors slowed. Weaker earnings combined with elevated prices created buyer-seller disconnects. CERTAINTY AND UNCERTAINTY: Markets crave predictability. Recent tax legislation provided clarity around R&D credits and SALT deductions. Tariff policy remains uncertain with potential Supreme Court review, creating productivity costs as companies refigure supply chains. PENT-UP DEMAND: When natural deal flow gets suppressed, it builds pressure rather than disappearing. PE firms sit on enormous capital with fund timeline pressures. Money isn't the constraint. Finding opportunities and having clarity to proceed are the real bottlenecks. THE GEN 2 IMPERATIVE: Equitizing key executives years before a potential exit creates tax-efficient structures, makes companies more attractive to buyers, and gives acquirers confidence. Waiting until deal time limits options and hurts valuation. REGIONAL DIFFERENCES: Brian's Denver practice serves different markets than Corey's coastal work. Colorado features strong tech sectors and alternative energy with California migration. Heavy manufacturing concentrates in Arizona and Nevada. TRADE CONSOLIDATION: Professionalization of trades including plumbing, electrical, and HVAC continues after more than a decade. These industries resist AI disruption, making them attractive for stable revenue and consistent fundamentals. Perfect for business owners considering exits, entrepreneurs evaluating opportunities, and anyone wanting frontline perspective on current M&A conditions. FOR MORE ON THIS EPISODE: https://www.coreykupfer.com/blog/brianmeegan2026 FOR MORE ON BRIAN MEEGAN: https://www.kupferlaw.com/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/brian-meegan/ FOR MORE ON COREY KUPFER https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker. He has more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker. He is deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is also the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Get deal-ready with the DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer, where like-minded entrepreneurs and business leaders converge, share insights and challenges, and success stories. Equip yourself with the tools, resources, and support necessary to navigate the complex yet rewarding world of dealmaking. Dive into the world of deal-driven growth today! Episode Highlights with Timestamps [00:00] - Introduction: Kicking off 2026 with partner Brian Meegan [02:00] - Why the M&A market has been "lumpy" across sectors [04:00] - Tax policy certainty after major legislation passed [08:00] - 2026 outlook and pent-up demand building pressure [13:00] - Appreciation for DealQuest listeners and clients [16:00] - The importance of equitizing Generation 2 leadership [18:00] - Tax efficiency and planning equity participation early [22:00] - Heavy manufacturing trends in Arizona and Nevada[28:00] - Optimism for 2026 and where opportunities exist Guest Bio:Brian Meegan is a partner at Kupfer., bringing extensive transactional experience from his Denver-based practice. Brian specializes in M&A transactions and complex deal structures across tech, natural resources, and professional services. His Colorado practice provides unique perspective on regional market dynamics outside traditional coastal centers. Host Bio:Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker with more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Show Description: Do you want your business to grow faster? The DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer reveals how successful entrepreneurs and business leaders use strategic deals to accelerate growth. From large mergers and acquisitions to capital raising, joint ventures, strategic alliances, real estate deals, and more, this show discusses the full spectrum of deal-driven growth strategies. Related Episodes: Episode 331 - M&A Market Outlook for 2025 with Corey Kupfer: Predictions and survey data about M&A activity expectations. Episode 339 - Why Your Gen 2 Matters in M&A with Corey Kupfer: Succession planning and how next-generation leadership affects deal value. Episode 350 - Building Wealth Through Rental Properties with Tom Dillon: The "sweaty startups" concept and trade industry consolidation. Episode 335 - Sovereign Wealth Funds and the Future of Investment Advisory Deals with Corey Kupfer: New capital sources entering wealth management M&A. Episode 330 - From Operator to Owner with Pete Mohr: Business freedom and reducing owner involvement while maintaining value. Episode 206 - Should Uncertainties in the Market Impact Your Deal-Making? with Corey Kupfer: How external factors should influence deal decisions. Social Media: Follow DealQuest Podcast: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ Website: https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Follow Brian Meegan: https://www.kupferlaw.com/ Keywords/Tags: M&A market outlook 2026, deal trends, private equity dry powder, pent-up demand, tariff uncertainty, trade consolidation, equitizing employees, succession planning, wealth management M&A, Gen 2 leadership, tax policy certainty, interest rates, regional deal markets, Colorado tech sector, entrepreneurship, business growth strategies, dealmaking, exit planning, capital deployment, fund timelines
After a volatile first half and another year of strong headline returns, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step back to assess what actually shaped markets in 2025 and what that foundation means heading into 2026.They revisit why early-year turbulence caught so many investors off guard, how companies navigated tariffs and margin pressure more effectively than expected, and why earnings growth remained the quiet backbone of the rally. The conversation then turns forward, covering their 2026 outlook for stocks and bonds, the role of AI-driven capital spending, global market leadership, and why sentiment continues to lag reality even as breadth improves. Along the way, they discuss inflation stickiness, labor market crosscurrents, policy tailwinds, and where diversification still matters most as the cycle matures.Key Takeaways: • Earnings did the heavy lifting: Profit growth and margin resilience, not valuation expansion, powered market gains • Volatility followed the script: Early-year drawdowns fit historical patterns despite widespread surprise • Global leadership expanded: International markets and cyclicals outpaced expectations as breadth improved • AI spending surged: Capital expenditures accelerated across major tech platforms, reinforcing long-term growth trends • 2026 outlook remains constructive: Above-average equity returns and modest bond gains hinge on steady growth without recessionJump to:0:00 — Setting The Stage For 20251:48 — Tariffs, Liberation Day, And Market Bottom4:30 — Sentiment, Concentration Myths, And Breadth9:45 — Speculation Falls, AI Leaders Repriced14:45 — Small Caps, Transports, And Rate Cuts22:30 — IPO Drought, Private Markets, And Valuations27:20 — Media Moments, Gold, And Diversifiers32:20 — Fed Cuts, Dots, And Labor Revisions40:10 — 2026 Playbook: Mid Caps, Financials, Healthcare46:30 — Global Vs. U.S., EM Tilt, And PolicyConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
In this first episode of 2026, Jerry Robinson shares his 2026 economic and market outlook and explains how he's positioning for the year ahead.Jerry previews three key economic forecasts shaping the new year and then walks through three investment themes he expects to outperform the S&P 500 in 2026.The episode also includes a preview of several stocks Jerry is watching closely this year and concludes with a reflective final word on time, perspective, and enjoying the journey of life as the years move faster than we realize. This episode is a preview of Jerry's full 2026 Market Outlook, which is available to Follow the Money members.
On January 7th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
In this essential Alternative Allocations podcast episode, Tony and guests dissect the 2026 outlook, offering crucial insights for financial advisors navigating commercial real estate, private equity secondaries, and private credit. Discover the macro themes shaping these dynamic sectors, from new cycles in real estate to the growing need for liquidity in private equity. Tune in to equip yourself with the knowledge to identify opportunities in the evolving private markets landscape. *********** Anant Kumar is a managing director and head of research with Benefit Street Partners, based in our West Palm Beach office. Prior to joining BSP in 2015, Mr. Kumar worked in the capital markets advisory group at Lazard Frères and the leveraged finance group at Deutsche Bank. Mr. Kumar received a Master of Business Administration from the University of Chicago, a Master of Science from Stanford University, and a Bachelor of Engineering from Visvesvaraya Technological University in India. Taylor Robinson is a Partner of Lexington Partners, primarily focused on sourcing, negotiating, and executing secondary transactions. Taylor joined Lexington Partners in 2008 from JPMorgan, where he was in investment banking and leveraged finance. Aside from his investment focus and other Firm responsibilities, he is a member of Lexington's ESG steering committee and Franklin Templeton's global Stewardship & Sustainability Council. Jeb Belford, equity owner and Managing Director, is the Chief Investment Officer of Clarion Partners. He is chairman of the Firm's Investment Committee, and a member of the Executive Board. From 2013-2021, Jeb was the lead Portfolio Manager of the Firm's open-end core fund, with overall responsibility for fund management and portfolio strategy. From 2005-2012, Jeb was the Portfolio Manager for the Firm's value-add investment platform. Prior to becoming a portfolio manager, Jeb was a senior member of the Firm's Acquisitions Group, completing investments across a broad range of strategies. His background includes all key aspects of portfolio management, including acquisitions, financing and sales totaling over $20 billion in all property types and risk strategies, in markets across the U.S., Brazil and Mexico. Jeb joined Clarion Partners in 1995 and began working in the real estate industry in 1984. ************ Resources: 2026 Private Market Outlook Executive Summary Anant Kumar | LinkedIn Taylor Robinson | LinkedIn Rick Schaupp | LinkedIn Alternatives by Franklin Templeton Tony Davidow, CIMA® | LinkedIn
On January 6th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
In today's episode we discuss the market and give our views on where the market will finish and how it will get there.
Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025's market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and diversified positioning, recognizing that returns may come with higher volatility than recent years. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Maduro Impact on Oil; What's Next for New Year? 4:42 - No Santa Rally! 9:58 - What to Expect in 2026 14:13 - Base Portfolio Management in Terms of a Range of Outcomes 20:02 - The Risk of Disappointment 24:00 - Full Time Employment is Driver for Economic Growth 27:39 - The Big Story - Earnings Catch Down to Growth 31:43 - What WILL Derail Markets in 2026 35:16 - Supply Demand Imbalances & Precious Metals 40:23 - How Prices are Set by Futures Markets 42:20 - Margins on Commodities 50:42 - Comming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Outlook For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeEA-JQBKEA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=10s ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketAnalysis #InvestmentRisk #FederalReservePolicy #PortfolioStrategy
Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025's market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and diversified positioning, recognizing that returns may come with higher volatility than recent years. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Maduro Impact on Oil; What's Next for New Year? 4:42 - No Santa Rally! 9:58 - What to Expect in 2026 14:13 - Base Portfolio Management in Terms of a Range of Outcomes 20:02 - The Risk of Disappointment 24:00 - Full Time Employment is Driver for Economic Growth 27:39 - The Big Story - Earnings Catch Down to Growth 31:43 - What WILL Derail Markets in 2026 35:16 - Supply Demand Imbalances & Precious Metals 40:23 - How Prices are Set by Futures Markets 42:20 - Margins on Commodities 50:42 - Comming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Outlook For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeEA-JQBKEA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=10s ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketAnalysis #InvestmentRisk #FederalReservePolicy #PortfolioStrategy
On January 5th, 2026, Steve Grzanich shares today's potential market drivers:
19 Minutes PodcastIn this episode of The Ag View Pitch, we kick off 2026 with a grain market outlook for January 5–9 and a discussion with guest Jeff Fichtelman. We react to the Farm Bridge payment details, including why corn payments surprised some people relative to soybeans, and what it signals about today's market environment.We also talk through practical marketing lessons for 2026, especially the idea that fewer summer weather rallies may mean more opportunity, and more discipline, during the winter. The conversation covers the government's balancing act between boosting demand (and potentially inflation) versus making bridge style payments, and why the best plan for many farms is keeping marketing simple: pick a price or margin target, execute, and sell in small increments instead of waiting for a perfect rally.Ahead of the upcoming crop report, we share how to stay balanced, enough sold to cover bills without getting overexposed, and why “decent” prices still deserve action when rallies can be short. We also discuss old crop and new crop positioning, cost control, and risk management tools like crop insurance.To reach Jeff Fichtelman, visit Interactive Ag and use the “Contact Us” link: interactiveag.com
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Bob Lang shares his market outlook for 2026, anticipating a year of volatility and increased liquidity, driven by potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and a new round of quantitative easing. He foresees a positive year for markets, with mid to high single-digit returns. While the traditional Magnificent Seven may not lead the charge, new technology leaders like Micron Technology (MU), CrowdStrike (CRWD), and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) are emerging.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
On January 2nd, 2026, Ryan Burrow shares today's potential market drivers:
In this year's EOTM Outlook by Michael Cembalest, we focus on four risks: US power generation constraints, China on its own, Taiwan and hyperscaler profits. View video here
As we begin the new year, this New Year's Day market outlook takes a balanced, risk-aware look at what 2026 may hold for investors. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the bullish case for markets, including the macro and technical backdrops supporting higher prices, while also addressing the growing risks beneath the surface—particularly stress in credit markets and the potential for lower long-term returns. The discussion explores how elevated valuations, tighter financial conditions, and shifting economic dynamics could impact portfolio outcomes in the year ahead. We also outline practical investment strategies for 2026, including why cash can provide valuable optionality during periods of volatility and uncertainty. Additional topics include a preview of the 2026 Economic Summit, sector opportunities such as energy, expectations for gold and silver, and a critical discussion of which investments may be inappropriate to hold inside a Roth IRA structure. This episode is designed to help investors set realistic expectations, manage risk, and position portfolios thoughtfully for the year ahead. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Market Outlook for 2026 2:12 - The Case for Bullishness 7:15 - The Risk for Lower Returns 9:44 - The Case for Bearishness 13:24 - Stress in Credit markets 15:33 - Investing Strategies for 2026 20:40 - Cash Provides Optionality 23:48 - 2026 Economic Summit Preview 29:17 - Energy Plays for 2026 32:20 - Expectations for Gold and Silver in 2026 39:15 - What Investments Should NOT Be Held in a Roth IRA? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5ZwEVKb4e0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Marketing for Financial Advisors in the AI Age - Greg Joslyn Interview," here: https://youtube.com/live/Rz5VtHnobEk?feature=share -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2026MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #MarketRisk #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning
How do you take the savings you've built over a lifetime and turn it into reliable income you can count on year after year? That's a question I've been hearing more and more, and it makes sense, without a clear withdrawal strategy, retirees can unintentionally drain their accounts too quickly, trigger unnecessary taxes, or simply feel unsure about whether they're doing things the right way. Making the shift from accumulating money to actually using it can feel uncomfortable, and my goal is to help people approach that transition with clarity and confidence. In this episode, I break the process down into a straightforward framework that organizes your retirement savings into distinct buckets, each with its own purpose and timeline. I also reveal the too common situation where someone has paid far more in taxes than they needed to, all because of the order in which they pulled money from their accounts. With a little structure and thoughtful planning, you can create an income stream that supports your lifestyle, protects your long-term security, and still leaves room to enjoy the retirement you've worked so hard for. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in... (0:00) Intro. (0:20) Sources of Income in Retirement. (4:22) Costly Withdrawal Mistakes. (10:10) The Spending Mindset Shift. (13:23) The Three-Bucket Method. (28:00) Adjusting Over Time. A Smarter Approach to Using Your Retirement Income Understanding how you'll draw income in retirement is every bit as important as building the savings itself. Social Security, pensions, part‑time earnings, and withdrawals from your investments all contribute to the picture, but the sequence and timing of those withdrawals can dramatically impact your long‑term results. Pulling too much from tax‑deferred accounts early on can trigger avoidable taxes, while leaning too heavily on a single source can limit your options later. I've met plenty of people who ended up paying far more in taxes than they needed to simply because they didn't have a coordinated withdrawal strategy. With a thoughtful plan, retirees can design their income in a way that reduces taxes, stretches their savings, and helps ensure their money lasts as long as they do. Retirement isn't just about accumulating enough, it's about managing it intentionally once you get there. Learning to Use Your Retirement A Shift from Saving to Spending For years, often decades, we're taught to save diligently, invest consistently, and grow our retirement nest egg. But when the moment finally arrives to start using that money, flipping from saver to spender isn't always as simple as it sounds. I've worked with plenty of retirees who hesitate to touch their accounts, even when they're in a strong financial position. Watching balances decline can feel unsettling, even though that's the very purpose of those savings. Some people even take Social Security earlier than ideal just to avoid withdrawing from their investments, a choice that can cost them significantly over time. Recognizing that spending down your savings is a normal, healthy part of retirement can make a world of difference. When people understand this shift, they're better equipped to make confident decisions, and to actually enjoy the retirement they spent a lifetime preparing for. Structure Retirement Withdrawals to create a Predictable Paycheck When it comes to turning savings into reliable income, I've found that simplicity is often the key. The three‑bucket approach helps retirees organize their money into short‑term cash, steady income‑producing investments, and long‑term growth assets. With this structure, you always know which bucket your income is coming from and when you'll need it. A dedicated income bucket makes withdrawals feel more like a predictable paycheck, while the growth bucket keeps your future needs covered. This setup helps prevent selling investments at the wrong time, keeps taxes in check, and gives retirees the confidence that their financial plan can support them for the long haul. Resources & People Mentioned 3 Steps to Retirement Planning Retirement Budgeting Tool 2025 Market Outlook from LPL Financial Episode 72: The Bucket Strategy BEST Withdrawal Strategy | Where Should You Pull Funds from First? I'm 60 Years Old with $1.8million saved. How long will my money last? Connect With Gregg Gonzalez Email at: Gregg.gonzalez@lpl.com Podcast: https://RetirementMadeEasyPodcast.com Website: https://StLouisFinancialAdvisor.com Follow Gregg on LinkedIn Follow Gregg on Facebook Follow Gregg on YouTube Subscribe to Retirement Made Easy On Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts
On December 31st, 2025, Ryan Burrow shares today's potential market drivers:
On December 30th, 2025, Ryan Burrow shares today's potential market drivers:
As 2025 closes, Crit Thomas analyzes key market takeaways: prioritize earnings over survey data, acknowledge the U.S. economy's resilience, and recognize the historical trend of Federal Reserve tightening preceding bear markets. Thomas expresses guarded optimism for 2026, citing the easing Federal Reserve, fiscal stimulus, and anticipated deregulation. However, he cautions against the K-shaped economy, potential small business struggles, and the S&P 500's concentrated gains.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
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On December 29th, 2025, Ryan Burrow shares today's potential market drivers:
19 Minutes PodcastAs 2025 comes to a close and the calendar turns to 2026, Chris sits down with Jim McCormick of agmarket.net to walk through what grain producers should be watching right now. With year-end trading volume thin, basis behavior can get aggressive as elevators work through inventory and producers make financial adjustments, creating both opportunity and risk.Jim explains why soybean rallies may continue to attract selling pressure, especially with China's recent purchases coming in lighter than early expectations and Brazil shaping up for a strong crop. He outlines 10.80 as the upper end of the current trading range and discusses why unpriced bushels may need a plan if that level is tested. On corn, the conversation shifts to technicals after March futures broke a long-term downtrend, while still facing heavy resistance in the $4.50 to $4.60 zone given large projected ending stocks.The discussion also looks ahead to the upcoming USDA report, where yield and acreage adjustments could create volatility, and why delayed fund position data remains an important missing piece. South American weather, especially dryness concerns in southern Argentina, is another key factor to monitor. Chris and Jim also dig into cash flow pressure building toward spring, slower soybean selling compared to past years, and how larger lines of credit could force bushels to move.The conversation wraps with thoughts on 2026 marketing strategy, including why panic selling a crop more than a year out may not make sense, what price levels could justify forward selling corn, limited interest in 2026 soybeans so far, and why energy markets suggest patience when locking in fuel. Jim also shares lessons from 2025 that producers should carry forward, including knowing break-evens precisely, staying flexible, and being ready for faster market moves than in the past.
Matthew Bidwell, Wharton Professor of Management, reflects on the cooling labor market, the influence of artificial intelligence, hybrid work dynamics, and what workers and graduates should expect as the economy heads toward 2026. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy & Liz discuss the potential risks of a market bubble, the validity of 2025 predictions, and the outlook for 2026. Key topics include sector performance, expectations for the small-cap market, and the implications of the yield curve inversion. The episode also highlights the significance of gold and other precious metals in the current economic climate. The discussion covers broader economic factors such as fiscal stimuli and interest rate differentials, particularly in Japan, and their impact on global markets. Read Liz's outlook here: https://www.sofi.com/article/investment-strategy/the-2026-outlook/ Timecodes 0:00 - 2025 Retrospective 5:45 - 2026 Big Picture 11:50 - Small Caps 16:00 - Yield Curve 21:15 - Japan Factor 25:30 - Gold —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Ordinary Guys Extraordinary Wealth: Real Estate Investing and Passive Income Tactics
In this REI Only episode of The FasterFreedom Show, Sam shares his outlook on what the real estate market could look like in 2026, using 2025 as the baseline. He explains why he expects conditions to be slightly better overall, while emphasizing that outcomes will remain highly situational and location dependent. Sam also discusses why improving affordability could bring more buyers back into the market and how potential changes like 50-year mortgages and looser credit requirements may help expand access to homeownership.Whether you're planning your next investment or thinking about timing your entry into the market, this episode offers a realistic, level-headed view of what steady, predictable growth in 2026 could mean for real estate investors.FasterFreedom Capital Connection: https://fasterfreedomcapital.comFree Rental Investment Training: https://freerentalwebinar.com
December 18, 2025: Is artificial intelligence already replacing jobs—or is that narrative getting ahead of the data? This episode examines new research from Vanguard's 2026 Economic and Market Outlook, which analyzes U.S. employment and wage data to understand how AI exposure is actually affecting work today. Contrary to widespread fears, the findings show that jobs most exposed to AI—including analysts, accountants, HR professionals, and other knowledge workers—are not disappearing. They are growing. And real wages in those roles are rising faster than in jobs with lower AI exposure. The episode explores why AI is currently acting as a productivity amplifier rather than a job killer, how this phase mirrors earlier waves of technological change, and where the real risks are beginning to emerge. It also looks ahead to the implications for workforce design, skill development, and career pathways—especially as AI reshapes entry-level work and raises performance expectations across organizations. For leaders, executives, and professionals trying to separate AI hype from reality, this episode offers a grounded, data-driven view of what's happening now—and what signals to watch next in the future of work.