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Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss the political impact of the Hunter Biden verdict on federal gun charges and whether President Biden will pardon or commute his son's sentence. They also chat about newly released footage of Nancy Pelosi from January 6th and a recent article in Rolling Stone magazine on Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito which was based on secret audio recordings made by a reporter posing as a religious conservative. Then, Andrew and Carl talk with Karlyn Bowman, public opinion expert at the American Enterprise Institute about voters' attitudes toward politicians' ethics and how they view Donald Trump in the wake of his New York conviction. And finally, Tom Bevan speaks with RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende about the latest polls.
Generation after generation seem to pine for “the good old days,” an elusive time when many of us think morals, institutions, and the quality of life, in general, were higher. Americans are no exception to this rule, but there's something unique about American nostalgia. While we reminisce about the past, we also owe much of our success as a nation to our forward-thinking culture that embraces the possibility of the American Dream. Today on Political Economy, I talk with Karlyn Bowman about the way Americans view their nation, and the tensions between their love of their past and their strong hope for the future.Bowman is a distinguished senior fellow emeritus here at AEI, where she specializes on American public opinion. In 1982, she founded “Election Watch,” the longest-running political analysis program in Washington. She has also been a Forbes columnist since 2008.
De komende maanden gaan de VS opnieuw in overdrive voor de Amerikaanse verkiezingen. Voor De Morgen duikt journalist en Amerika-liefhebber Ben Van Alboom in de strijd tussen president Joe Biden en zijn uitdager. In extra afleveringen van de podcast Lopende zaken brengt hij met experts, journalisten en locals een stand van zaken over de race naar het Witte Huis. De Republikeinen zouden de voorbije jaren een complete metamorfose hebben ondergaan. Maar hoe zit het bij de Democraten? Dat Biden te oud is voor een extra ambtstermijn weerklinkt meer en meer. Daar zit zijn vergeetachtigheid voor iets tussen. Waren ook eerdere presidenten al verward? De rechtszaken tegen Trump blijven het nieuws domineren. Zal hij dan toch van enkele stembiljetten verdwijnen? In deze aflevering beantwoordt presentator Ben Van Alboom samen met politicoloog Bart Kerremans en De Morgen-journalist Maarten Rabaey enkele prangende Amerikaanse verkiezingsvragen. En tunen ze in bij Karlyn Bowman, gekend van het American Enterprise Institute. Presentatie: Ben Van AlboomGasten: Bart Kerremans, Maarten Rabaey, Karlyn BowmanProductie: Laurens Bervoets (hoorstroom)Eindredactie: Sam Feys Wilt u reageren? Mail dan naar podcasts@demorgen.beSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Throughout America's history, its people formed churches, social and fraternal organizations, and neighborhood groups at an astonishing pace. When we talk about “American exceptionalism” this is what we're really talking about: the self-organizing community that solves its own problems. In second half of the 20th century, however, scholars and pundits have pointed to a decline in American neighborliness and propensity for joining civic organizations. Church attendance is down, social organizations are dissolving, and two-parent families are declining. What can the data on American attitudes toward community tell us about why this is happening? Today, I am pleased to welcome Ryan Streeter and Dan Cox to discuss the state of American communities. Streeter is a Senior Fellow and Director of Domestic Policy Studies at AEI. He studies topics of civil society, community, localism and religion. Dan Cox is the Senior Fellow in Polling and Public Opinion at AEI and the Director of the Survey Center of American Life. He specializes understanding American attitudes toward politics, youth culture, identity, and religion. We discuss highlights from AEI's fall American Community survey, which can be found on the AEI website. We'll also discuss their vocational journeys and professional lives and the role of civic engagement in building a happy and fulfilling life. Mentioned During the Episode https://www.aei.org/profile/ryan-streeter/ (Ryan Streeter) https://www.aei.org/profile/daniel-a-cox/ (Dan Cox) https://www.americansurveycenter.org/research/public-places-and-commercial-spaces-how-neighborhood-amenities-foster-trust-and-connection-in-american-communities/ (American Community Survey) https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/stephen-goldsmith (Stephen Goldsmith) https://www.britannica.com/biography/Adam-Smith (Adam Smith) https://www.britannica.com/biography/David-Hume (David Hume) https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/social-sciences/social-network-analysis (Social network analysis) https://www.pewresearch.org/ (Pew Research Center) https://www.prri.org/ (Public Religion Research Institute) https://www.aei.org/profile/karlyn-bowman/ (Karlyn Bowman) https://www.aei.org/research-products/book/the-moral-sense/ (The Moral Sense- James Q. Wilson) https://www.britannica.com/biography/Irving-Kristol (Irving Kristol) https://www.aei.org/press/press-release-in-memory-of-michael-novak-1933-2017/ (Michael Novak) https://www.aei.org/research-products/book/to-empower-people/ (To Empower People) https://www.jstor.org/stable/2111666?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents (Thermostatic Opinion) https://www.aei.org/politics-and-public-opinion/if-libraries-are-about-finding-the-truth-lets-be-honest-about-their-decline/ (Sam Abrams on public libraries)
On this special Derby Weekend edition of the New Hampshire Journal podcast, two die-hard horse racing fans share their insights and make their predictions for Saturday's Kentucky Derby: Lobbyist Curtis Barry of Concord, N.H. and J. Mark Powell, political consultant and writer -- and former resident of the Blue Grass State.Plus, Karlyn Bowman, a distinguished senior fellow emeritus at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) who helped launch AEI's work on public opinion, talks about her analysis of decades of polling data on how Americans really view abortion, and the potential political impact of a reversal of Roe v. Wade.Hosted by Michael Graham.
Throughout America's history, its people formed churches, social and fraternal organizations, and neighborhood groups at an astonishing pace. When we talk about “American exceptionalism” this is what we're really talking about: the self-organizing community that solves its own problems. In second half of the 20th century, however, scholars and pundits have pointed to a decline in American neighborliness and propensity for joining civic organizations. Church attendance is down, social organizations are dissolving, and two-parent families are declining. What can the data on American attitudes toward community tell us about why this is happening? Today, I am pleased to welcome Ryan Streeter and Dan Cox to discuss the state of American communities. Streeter is a Senior Fellow and Director of Domestic Policy Studies at AEI. He studies topics of civil society, community, localism and religion. Dan Cox is the Senior Fellow in Polling and Public Opinion at AEI and the Director of the Survey Center of American Life. He specializes understanding American attitudes toward politics, youth culture, identity, and religion. We discuss highlights from AEI's fall American Community survey, which can be found on the AEI website. We'll also discuss their vocational journeys and professional lives and the role of civic engagement in building a happy and fulfilling life. Mentioned During the Episode https://www.aei.org/profile/ryan-streeter/ (Ryan Streeter) https://www.aei.org/profile/daniel-a-cox/ (Dan Cox) https://www.americansurveycenter.org/research/public-places-and-commercial-spaces-how-neighborhood-amenities-foster-trust-and-connection-in-american-communities/ (American Community Survey) https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/stephen-goldsmith (Stephen Goldsmith) https://www.britannica.com/biography/Adam-Smith (Adam Smith) https://www.britannica.com/biography/David-Hume (David Hume) https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/social-sciences/social-network-analysis (Social network analysis) https://www.pewresearch.org/ (Pew Research Center) https://www.prri.org/ (Public Religion Research Institute) https://www.aei.org/profile/karlyn-bowman/ (Karlyn Bowman) https://www.aei.org/research-products/book/the-moral-sense/ (The Moral Sense- James Q. Wilson) https://www.britannica.com/biography/Irving-Kristol (Irving Kristol) https://www.aei.org/press/press-release-in-memory-of-michael-novak-1933-2017/ (Michael Novak) https://www.aei.org/research-products/book/to-empower-people/ (To Empower People) https://www.jstor.org/stable/2111666?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents (Thermostatic Opinion) https://www.aei.org/politics-and-public-opinion/if-libraries-are-about-finding-the-truth-lets-be-honest-about-their-decline/ (Sam Abrams on public libraries)
On Washington Wednesday, Mary Reichard talks to Karlyn Bowman of the American Enterprise Institute about President Biden's falling approval rating and what that could mean for the midterm elections; on World Tour, Onize Ohikere reports on the economic crisis in Lebanon; and Paul Butler talks to a biologist about what prompts birds to pack up and fly south for the winter. Plus: commentary from Janie B. Cheaney, an ancient sword, and the Wednesday morning news.Support The World and Everything in It today at wng.org/donate. Additional support comes from Samaritan Ministries, connecting Christians who care for one another spiritually and financially when a medical need arises. More at samaritanministries.org/worldpodcast. From Christianbook.com. Hundreds of thousands of gifts—just a click away at Christianbook.com. And from Covenant College, a distinctly Christian, liberal arts college on beautiful Lookout Mountain, Georgia. Explore more at covenant.edu.
A February poll by the Associated Press found that about half of Americans think Democracy isn't functioning…only 16% think it's working well. The Pew Research Center finds that only 1/3 of Americans have confidence in the public's wisdom in making political decisions, a figure that has been cut nearly in half in the last 25 years. 40 percent of Democrats and Republicans see the other party not just as people they disagree with, but as a threat to the well-being of the nation. 3/4 of American adults today say that Republicans and Democrats can't even agree on basic facts. It seems like our basic belief in Democracy and our form of government is being strained to the breaking point. But, there are signs of hope. Pew finds that 84 percent think that trust in government can be improved. And 86 percent believe it is possible to improve trust in each other. So, how much trouble are we really in? Our guest today Karlyn Bowman is an expert on tracking and analyzing American public opinion. She is a distinguished senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and has written extensively for a number of publications about how Americans think. She says maybe the numbers aren't telling us the story it looks like...and maybe there's more reason for optimism after all. Photo by Koshu Kunii on Unsplash
Just how strong is Donald Trump's brand, and what does it mean for the Republican Party going forward? A new online survey of 1,000 people who said they voted for Trump in the 2020 election provides some answers. This extensive poll, conducted by YouGov under the direction of the Ethics & Public Policy Center's Henry Olsen, explores loyalty to Trump and his voters' positions on political, economic, and social issues. Please join AEI for a panel discussion about the survey results and what they mean for the future of the GOP, with Echelon Insights' Kristen Soltis Anderson and AEI's Karlyn Bowman, Daniel A. Cox, and Sean Trende. Watch the event https://www.aei.org/events/donald-trump-and-the-future-of-the-gop/ (here).
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, The Marist Poll has just released its November America Now: National Outlook Index, and the mood of the nation is more wary. Which indicators have shifted the overall index? We discuss. Then, we always hear about the horse race, but what about questions like have you ever been in jail? Sound far-fetched? Believe it or not, poll questions like that were once asked. We speak with Karlyn Bowman, Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, about her research into how poll questions have evolved over time. And, don’t forget to check out our series of free, short online courses. It’s called The Marist Poll Academy. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of the Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at the Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.
On Washington Wednesday, Mary Reichard talks to analyst Karlyn Bowman about what the pollsters got right, and what they got wrong in 2020; on World Tour, Africa reporter Onize Ohikere reports on international news; and Bonnie Pritchett spends a night walking the streets of Houston with a team sharing the gospel with sex workers. Plus: commentary from Katie Gaultney, Bigfoot found, and the Wednesday morning news. Support The World and Everything in It today at wng.org/donate.
Elections in America and around the world in recent years have raised concerns about the reliability of opinion polling. But the challenges facing the industry go beyond simple reliability and predictive power, revealing a chasm between pollsters and the public they observe that poses a threat to the credibility and usefulness of opinion surveys in our democracy. After the shocking election results in 2016, will Americans find the polls more trustworthy in 2020? Guest Karlyn Bowman joins us to discuss. https://www.aei.org/profile/karlyn-bowman/ (Karlyn Bowman) is a senior fellow and research coordinator at the American Enterprise Institute, where she studies trends in American public opinion on a wide variety of social and political topics. She is also the recipient of the Roper Center's 2020 Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research, one of the highest honors in polling and public opinion. This podcast discusses themes from Karlyn's essay in the Summer 2018 issue of National Affairs, “https://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/the-trouble-with-polling (The Trouble with Polling).”
Our crazy election season is nearly over, and Real Clear Politics’ Sean Trende and the American Enterprise Institute’s Karlyn Bowman help us unpack the polls and discuss the future of a post-Trump Republican Party. Only on the Horse Race with Henry Olsen! Source
Only ten days to go and about 1/3 of the ballots have already been cast. Can Donald Trump come from behind? Can the Republicans hold the Senate? Polling expert Karlyn Bowman and election analyst Jacob Rabushkin help us answer these questions. And a special guest appearance by the late Mao Tse Tung on the Ad of the Week – only on the Horse Race with Henry Olsen! Source
President Trump has continued to drop in the polls and he’s spending his time in states he won handily four years ago. The Sabato Crystal Ball’s Kyle Kondik and the American Enterprise Institute’s Karlyn Bowman join the Horse Race this week to tell us what it all portends. Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report also joined the podcast to run down the state of play in the U.S. House races. Source
The race has entered its last full month with twists and turns galore. Karlyn Bowman sorts the polling out for us this week while the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel’s Craig Gilbert gives us the state of play in the key swing state of Wisconsin. All this and three ads of the week, only on The Horse Race with Henry Olsen! Source
Will Tuesday’s disgusting debate shake up the presidential race? Election expert Ruy Teixeira joins the Horse Race to give his assessment. Arizona is perhaps the key battleground state, and the University of Arizona’s Samara Klar gives us the lowdown from the ground. Polling analyst Karlyn Bowman joins in the launch of our new regular feature, Poll Barometer, which looks at what the polls tell us... Source
This week, Ben Domenech of the Federalist grades Trump’s response to the coronavirus while the American Enterprise Institute’s Karlyn Bowman explores what the polls say Americans think about the pandemic’s effects on their lives. J. Miles Coleman also dissects North Carolina’s political divisions. All this and an Ad of the Week that takes aim at China and the “Chinese Virus”! Source
Karlyn Bowman breaks down the latest polls, and discusses what lessons the Clinton impeachment and Nixon resignation could hold for the two parties today. The post How do Americans feel about impeachment? Parallels between now and 1998 appeared first on American Enterprise Institute - AEI.
Karlyn Bowman breaks down the latest polls, and discusses what lessons the Clinton impeachment and Nixon resignation could hold for the two parties today. The post https://www.aei.org/multimedia/how-do-americans-feel-about-impeachment-parallels-between-now-and-1998/ (How do Americans feel about impeachment? Parallels between now and 1998) appeared first on https://www.aei.org (American Enterprise Institute - AEI).
“Predictions are hard,” goes the proverb, “especially about the future.” But as the 2020 election season ramps up and Democrats compete for the opportunity to take the White House, it seems as though everyone will try anyway. Some predictions are based on a close look at demographic and other long-term political trends, while others depend […] The post Back to America’s political future (ft. Karlyn Bowman) appeared first on American Enterprise Institute - AEI.
Rod Arquette Show Daily Rundown - Friday, March 1, 20194:20 pm: David Kirkham, founder of the Utah Tea Party, joins the show to discuss the ten-year anniversary of the party5:05 pm: Howard Stephenson, President of the Utah Taxpayers Association, joins the show to give us his reaction to the tax reform plan recently unveiled by Utah lawmakers6:05 pm: Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs joins Rod for a discussion about the possibility of splitting Salt Lake County into two counties as some of the cities in southwest Salt Lake County are unhappy with their share of transportation and arts and parks funding.A bill currently being considered by Utah lawmakers would allow communities to split from a county without a majority vote from the entire county6:20 pm: Karlyn Bowman, Senior Fellow at American Enterprise Institute, on the results of the group’s latest Community and Society survey6:35 pm - Listen Back Friday: We’ll listen back to Rod’s conversations this week with Representative Jeff Stenquist on his proposal to help clean up the air by giving financial incentives to those purchasing newer vehicles, and (at 6:50 pm) with Dr. GM Cox of Tarleton State University on whether cities should expand their video surveillance capabilities
Rod Arquette Show Daily Rundown - Wednesday, January 16, 20194:20 pm: Utah State Auditor John Dougall joins Rod to discuss the results of an audit that shows the Utah Driver License Division improperly shared the personal data of Utah residents with three other state agencies4:35 pm: Karlyn Bowman, a Senior Fellow with the American Enterprise Institute, joins the program to discuss the results of a recent report on the economic state of the nation6:05 pm: Boyd Matheson, Opinion Editor for The Deseret News, joins Rod for their weekly conversation about the world of politics6:20 pm: Lisa Miller, Outreach and Growth Manager for the Utah Department of Transportation, joins the program to discuss a driverless shuttle project the department is partnering on with the Utah Transit Authority6:35 pm: State Senator Allen Christensen joins the program to discuss his proposed legislation that would repeal and replace the Medicaid expansion initiative recently passed by Utah voters
AEI’s Karlyn Bowman introduces the Bradley Lectures Podcast, the newest offering on the AEI Podcast Channel launching early in September 2018. The post Bradley Lecture Series Podcast: An introduction by Karlyn Bowman appeared first on American Enterprise Institute - AEI.
Will the November election produce a (Democratic) blue wave or a (Republican) red tide? Pre-election opinion polls this year seem more volatile than ever, and beyond the horse-race aspect, there are lots of problems with opinion polling in the age of cell phones and the internet. Steve Hayward sat down with Karlyn Bowman, public opinion specialist at AEI and author of recent article on “ Is... Source
AEI Research Scholar Karlyn Bowman discusses the attitudes and demographics of Millennials. Her remarks were recorded on July 6, 2017, in Washington DC at the Conservative Women's Network luncheon, a monthly event co-sponsored by CBLPI and The Heritage Foundation.
AEI Research Scholar Karlyn Bowman discusses the attitudes and demographics of Millennials. Her remarks were recorded on July 6, 2017, in Washington DC at the Conservative Women's Network luncheon, a monthly event co-sponsored by CBLPI and The Heritage Foundation.
Karlyn Bowman, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, discusses trends and voters' preferences found in 2016's primary and caucus exit polling data. Her remarks were recorded at the May Conservative Women's Network, a monthly event co-sponsored by the Luce Institute and The Heritage Foundation.
Karlyn Bowman, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, discusses trends and voters' preferences found in 2016's primary and caucus exit polling data. Her remarks were recorded at the May Conservative Women's Network, a monthly event co-sponsored by the Luce Institute and The Heritage Foundation.
Chuck and Patrick discuss a Supreme Court decision on Immigration and the State of Arizona. In part II, we talk with Karlyn Bowman of the American Enterprise Institute on polling data and the so-called war on women allegedly spearheaded by those who are not on the left. The cutbacks to womens health included in Obamacare does not come up in the discussion.