Podcasts about echelon insights

Kristen Soltis Anderson, noted pollster for Echelon Insights and author of the newsletter “Codebook,” gives us a big-picture look at the numbers and trends for the Trump presidency six months after his return to the White House.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/tavis-smiley--6286410/support.

Kara is joined by guest co-host Kristen Soltis Anderson, pollster and co-founder of Echelon Insights. They unpack the latest in Trump-world: a new round in the Trump vs. Elon saga, the $16 million settlement with Paramount, and a potential TikTok buyer. Plus, what the polls say about the “Big Beautiful Bill," and how NYC mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani is responding to Trump's threats. Follow Kristen on X here. Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠. Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠. Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at ⁠⁠nymag.com/pivot⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

After reportedly speaking to President Trump on the phone, Elon Musk took to Twitter, on Wednesday, to say he regrets “some” of his tweets about President Trump — but that doesn't mean all is forgiven. As the dust settles on last week's cross-platform showdown, the long-term consequences from the breakup of the world's richest man and its most powerful one are just beginning to emerge. So, Kara gathered a panel of four expert guests to unpack how the feud ignited, who holds the most leverage, why a ceasefire took place, if it'll last, and what it all means for the future of tech, politics and power.  Henry Blodget is the co-founder and former CEO of and editor-in-chief of Business Insider. Before that, he was a tech analyst on Walls Stree. You can find him on Substack at Regenerator.  Kirsten Grind is an investigative business reporter at The New York Times, the author of two books, and the winner of more than a dozen national awards.  Kristen Soltis Anderson is a pollster, contributing Opinion writer for The New York Times, author, and co-founder of Echelon Insights. Rick Wilson is a former Republican political strategist and ad-make. He is a co-founder of the Lincoln Project and you can find him on Substack or listen to his podcast The Enemies List. Questions? Comments? Email us at on@voxmedia.com or find us on Instagram, TikTok, and Bluesky @onwithkaraswisher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

We are 100 days into the second Trump administration and there's no better person to help us understand what voters are making of these first months of Trump 2.0 than Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.Kristen is a founding partner of Echelon Insights, an opinion research and analytics firm. She's a contributing opinion writer for The New York Times and an on air political contributor at CNN.Quick disclaimer: we taped this conversation on Thursday, April 24th, before the flurry of 100 day polls were released this past weekend. That's why you won't hear us asking her about these polls. But the reason we wanted to have Kristen on in the first place was that we didn't want to get caught up in the immediate set of data. We wanted Kristen to do what she does best which is to filter the signal from the noise, present a 30,000 view of the political environment rather than focusing on the minutiae or just small movements in data. What we like about Kristen so much is that she's able to to toggle seamlessly between reading cross tabs but also probing voters in focus groups and really listening to what they are saying or not saying, and then explaining it to regular people in a way that is approachable but not condescending.That's why we were especially excited to talk with her about a presidency as complicated and unprecedented as Trump's.Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-upLearn more about The Cook Political Report: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe

Donald Trump is many things to many people, but the majority who put him back in the White House generally shared confidence in his ability to stabilize the economy after four years under Joe Biden. Ahead of Trump’s early April tariff declaration, Kristen Soltis Anderson’s team at Echelon Insights conducted their monthly Verified Voter Omnibus survey and […]

9:05 – 9:22 (15mins) Weekly: Karen Kataline @KarenKataline More info on Karen: www.karenkataline.com@KarenKataline 9:41 – 9:56 (15mins) Ward Clark: RedState.com To talk about his latest articleBig News! New Study Shows Younger Generation Shifting Sharply Right By Ward Clark | 2:56 PM on March 24, 2025 Every now and then, you run across something that gives you a little hope for the future. On this manic Monday, one such item appeared in the form of a recent survey by the Young America's Foundation, that shows our younger generation has a healthy skepticism about big government - and they are swinging to the right. That's good news, and it's good news with possible generational benefits. In the wake of the 2024 election, much was made of young voters’ shift to the right, most notably among young men but also among young women. Compared to the 2020 presidential election, the significant change in support among 18- to 29-year-old voters delivered a needed boost to propel Donald Trump to victory — in every swing state, the Electoral College, and the popular vote. To better understand what young Americans were driven by last November — and what they expect now and in the immediate future — Young America’s Foundation again partnered with Echelon Insights to survey these 18- to 29-year-old voters. Here are what the foundation describes as key takeaways: More young liberals voted for Donald Trump than young conservatives voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election More than half of young liberals said their views on social issues have shifted “much more” to the Left in recent years Young conservatives say their political views are informed by their own experiences, families, and religion — not being “brainwashed” by prominent influencers online In the wake of the 2024 election, young conservatives are emboldened and more likely than their liberal or independent peers to feel comfortable sharing their views The cost of living, jobs, and the economy remain the top concerns for young Americans Most young Americans feel the U.S. should have a role — albeit a minor role — in resolving the conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and its foes A plurality of young liberals, conservatives, and independents agree that the mainstream media cannot be trusted Most young people think the federal government needs significant reform Sixty-nine percent of young voters say it is unfair for the government to continue spending that adds to the national debt, a burden they don’t want to be stuck with What does this tell us? For one thing, all of the Democrats' silly stunts in the 2024 election fell flat. Kamala Harris's many embarrassing attempts to make herself look "hip" or whatever the kids are calling it these days, just didn't work. It's very possible that this was part of a really interesting find, that more young liberals voted for Trump than young conservatives for Harris, the Bulwark's attempts to persuade them otherwise notwithstanding. Eighty-four percent of young Trump voters said their vote was for Trump, while 15 percent said they chose him as more of a vote against Harris. Conversely, just 58 percent of Harris voters said they voted for her as a candidate, while 40 percent cast their ballots as a vote of opposition against Trump. That's not at all surprising. In Kamala Harris, the Democrats chose a candidate who was the least likable candidate since Her Imperial Majesty Hillary I, Dowager-Empress of Chappaqua - the 2024 election results reflected that. But here's the real kicker: Of the issues facing this country and their generation, young voters registered the cost of living as their biggest concern, followed by jobs and the economy. Notably, topics regularly exploited by the Left — such as race relations, the environment, and abortion — were less concerning to young voters than things like political corruption, immigration, and taxes. I've written many times about the difficulty our two younger daughters have had in the Biden economy; they are still unable to buy a house, despite being a three-income household. They are at the upper end of the age range in this survey. Two of our grandchildren are at the lower edge of the range, and they, too, are worried about eventually buying a house - even the one who's going to medical school. The younger generation is, clearly, more concerned about the economy and the runaway scale and scope of government, which leads inevitably to corruption. These are the issues Donald Trump ran on in 2024. These are the issues Donald Trump won on. There may well be another element, besides the obvious one that Democrats seem incapable of working out that their problem isn't messaging, it's the message. Look at the prominent Democrats on the national level - the average age of Democrat Congressional leaders can only be ascertained by carbon-dating. They are, quite literally, yesterday's news, while being on the right may well be becoming the next big cool thing for the younger generations. It's the Democrats who are The Man, now, and those of us on the right are the cool kids. That's a great thing to see. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

9:41 – 9:56 (15mins) Ward Clark: RedState.com To talk about his latest articleBig News! New Study Shows Younger Generation Shifting Sharply Right By Ward Clark | 2:56 PM on March 24, 2025 Every now and then, you run across something that gives you a little hope for the future. On this manic Monday, one such item appeared in the form of a recent survey by the Young America's Foundation, that shows our younger generation has a healthy skepticism about big government - and they are swinging to the right. That's good news, and it's good news with possible generational benefits. In the wake of the 2024 election, much was made of young voters’ shift to the right, most notably among young men but also among young women. Compared to the 2020 presidential election, the significant change in support among 18- to 29-year-old voters delivered a needed boost to propel Donald Trump to victory — in every swing state, the Electoral College, and the popular vote. To better understand what young Americans were driven by last November — and what they expect now and in the immediate future — Young America’s Foundation again partnered with Echelon Insights to survey these 18- to 29-year-old voters. Here are what the foundation describes as key takeaways: More young liberals voted for Donald Trump than young conservatives voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election More than half of young liberals said their views on social issues have shifted “much more” to the Left in recent years Young conservatives say their political views are informed by their own experiences, families, and religion — not being “brainwashed” by prominent influencers online In the wake of the 2024 election, young conservatives are emboldened and more likely than their liberal or independent peers to feel comfortable sharing their views The cost of living, jobs, and the economy remain the top concerns for young Americans Most young Americans feel the U.S. should have a role — albeit a minor role — in resolving the conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and its foes A plurality of young liberals, conservatives, and independents agree that the mainstream media cannot be trusted Most young people think the federal government needs significant reform Sixty-nine percent of young voters say it is unfair for the government to continue spending that adds to the national debt, a burden they don’t want to be stuck with What does this tell us? For one thing, all of the Democrats' silly stunts in the 2024 election fell flat. Kamala Harris's many embarrassing attempts to make herself look "hip" or whatever the kids are calling it these days, just didn't work. It's very possible that this was part of a really interesting find, that more young liberals voted for Trump than young conservatives for Harris, the Bulwark's attempts to persuade them otherwise notwithstanding. Eighty-four percent of young Trump voters said their vote was for Trump, while 15 percent said they chose him as more of a vote against Harris. Conversely, just 58 percent of Harris voters said they voted for her as a candidate, while 40 percent cast their ballots as a vote of opposition against Trump. That's not at all surprising. In Kamala Harris, the Democrats chose a candidate who was the least likable candidate since Her Imperial Majesty Hillary I, Dowager-Empress of Chappaqua - the 2024 election results reflected that. But here's the real kicker: Of the issues facing this country and their generation, young voters registered the cost of living as their biggest concern, followed by jobs and the economy. Notably, topics regularly exploited by the Left — such as race relations, the environment, and abortion — were less concerning to young voters than things like political corruption, immigration, and taxes. I've written many times about the difficulty our two younger daughters have had in the Biden economy; they are still unable to buy a house, despite being a three-income household. They are at the upper end of the age range in this survey. Two of our grandchildren are at the lower edge of the range, and they, too, are worried about eventually buying a house - even the one who's going to medical school. The younger generation is, clearly, more concerned about the economy and the runaway scale and scope of government, which leads inevitably to corruption. These are the issues Donald Trump ran on in 2024. These are the issues Donald Trump won on. There may well be another element, besides the obvious one that Democrats seem incapable of working out that their problem isn't messaging, it's the message. Look at the prominent Democrats on the national level - the average age of Democrat Congressional leaders can only be ascertained by carbon-dating. They are, quite literally, yesterday's news, while being on the right may well be becoming the next big cool thing for the younger generations. It's the Democrats who are The Man, now, and those of us on the right are the cool kids. That's a great thing to see.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

9:05 – 9:22 (15mins) Weekly: Karen Kataline @KarenKataline More info on Karen: www.karenkataline.com@KarenKataline 9:41 – 9:56 (15mins) Ward Clark: RedState.com To talk about his latest articleBig News! New Study Shows Younger Generation Shifting Sharply Right By Ward Clark | 2:56 PM on March 24, 2025 Every now and then, you run across something that gives you a little hope for the future. On this manic Monday, one such item appeared in the form of a recent survey by the Young America's Foundation, that shows our younger generation has a healthy skepticism about big government - and they are swinging to the right. That's good news, and it's good news with possible generational benefits. In the wake of the 2024 election, much was made of young voters’ shift to the right, most notably among young men but also among young women. Compared to the 2020 presidential election, the significant change in support among 18- to 29-year-old voters delivered a needed boost to propel Donald Trump to victory — in every swing state, the Electoral College, and the popular vote. To better understand what young Americans were driven by last November — and what they expect now and in the immediate future — Young America’s Foundation again partnered with Echelon Insights to survey these 18- to 29-year-old voters. Here are what the foundation describes as key takeaways: More young liberals voted for Donald Trump than young conservatives voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election More than half of young liberals said their views on social issues have shifted “much more” to the Left in recent years Young conservatives say their political views are informed by their own experiences, families, and religion — not being “brainwashed” by prominent influencers online In the wake of the 2024 election, young conservatives are emboldened and more likely than their liberal or independent peers to feel comfortable sharing their views The cost of living, jobs, and the economy remain the top concerns for young Americans Most young Americans feel the U.S. should have a role — albeit a minor role — in resolving the conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and its foes A plurality of young liberals, conservatives, and independents agree that the mainstream media cannot be trusted Most young people think the federal government needs significant reform Sixty-nine percent of young voters say it is unfair for the government to continue spending that adds to the national debt, a burden they don’t want to be stuck with What does this tell us? For one thing, all of the Democrats' silly stunts in the 2024 election fell flat. Kamala Harris's many embarrassing attempts to make herself look "hip" or whatever the kids are calling it these days, just didn't work. It's very possible that this was part of a really interesting find, that more young liberals voted for Trump than young conservatives for Harris, the Bulwark's attempts to persuade them otherwise notwithstanding. Eighty-four percent of young Trump voters said their vote was for Trump, while 15 percent said they chose him as more of a vote against Harris. Conversely, just 58 percent of Harris voters said they voted for her as a candidate, while 40 percent cast their ballots as a vote of opposition against Trump. That's not at all surprising. In Kamala Harris, the Democrats chose a candidate who was the least likable candidate since Her Imperial Majesty Hillary I, Dowager-Empress of Chappaqua - the 2024 election results reflected that. But here's the real kicker: Of the issues facing this country and their generation, young voters registered the cost of living as their biggest concern, followed by jobs and the economy. Notably, topics regularly exploited by the Left — such as race relations, the environment, and abortion — were less concerning to young voters than things like political corruption, immigration, and taxes. I've written many times about the difficulty our two younger daughters have had in the Biden economy; they are still unable to buy a house, despite being a three-income household. They are at the upper end of the age range in this survey. Two of our grandchildren are at the lower edge of the range, and they, too, are worried about eventually buying a house - even the one who's going to medical school. The younger generation is, clearly, more concerned about the economy and the runaway scale and scope of government, which leads inevitably to corruption. These are the issues Donald Trump ran on in 2024. These are the issues Donald Trump won on. There may well be another element, besides the obvious one that Democrats seem incapable of working out that their problem isn't messaging, it's the message. Look at the prominent Democrats on the national level - the average age of Democrat Congressional leaders can only be ascertained by carbon-dating. They are, quite literally, yesterday's news, while being on the right may well be becoming the next big cool thing for the younger generations. It's the Democrats who are The Man, now, and those of us on the right are the cool kids. That's a great thing to see. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

9:41 – 9:56 (15mins) Ward Clark: RedState.com To talk about his latest articleBig News! New Study Shows Younger Generation Shifting Sharply Right By Ward Clark | 2:56 PM on March 24, 2025 Every now and then, you run across something that gives you a little hope for the future. On this manic Monday, one such item appeared in the form of a recent survey by the Young America's Foundation, that shows our younger generation has a healthy skepticism about big government - and they are swinging to the right. That's good news, and it's good news with possible generational benefits. In the wake of the 2024 election, much was made of young voters’ shift to the right, most notably among young men but also among young women. Compared to the 2020 presidential election, the significant change in support among 18- to 29-year-old voters delivered a needed boost to propel Donald Trump to victory — in every swing state, the Electoral College, and the popular vote. To better understand what young Americans were driven by last November — and what they expect now and in the immediate future — Young America’s Foundation again partnered with Echelon Insights to survey these 18- to 29-year-old voters. Here are what the foundation describes as key takeaways: More young liberals voted for Donald Trump than young conservatives voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election More than half of young liberals said their views on social issues have shifted “much more” to the Left in recent years Young conservatives say their political views are informed by their own experiences, families, and religion — not being “brainwashed” by prominent influencers online In the wake of the 2024 election, young conservatives are emboldened and more likely than their liberal or independent peers to feel comfortable sharing their views The cost of living, jobs, and the economy remain the top concerns for young Americans Most young Americans feel the U.S. should have a role — albeit a minor role — in resolving the conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and its foes A plurality of young liberals, conservatives, and independents agree that the mainstream media cannot be trusted Most young people think the federal government needs significant reform Sixty-nine percent of young voters say it is unfair for the government to continue spending that adds to the national debt, a burden they don’t want to be stuck with What does this tell us? For one thing, all of the Democrats' silly stunts in the 2024 election fell flat. Kamala Harris's many embarrassing attempts to make herself look "hip" or whatever the kids are calling it these days, just didn't work. It's very possible that this was part of a really interesting find, that more young liberals voted for Trump than young conservatives for Harris, the Bulwark's attempts to persuade them otherwise notwithstanding. Eighty-four percent of young Trump voters said their vote was for Trump, while 15 percent said they chose him as more of a vote against Harris. Conversely, just 58 percent of Harris voters said they voted for her as a candidate, while 40 percent cast their ballots as a vote of opposition against Trump. That's not at all surprising. In Kamala Harris, the Democrats chose a candidate who was the least likable candidate since Her Imperial Majesty Hillary I, Dowager-Empress of Chappaqua - the 2024 election results reflected that. But here's the real kicker: Of the issues facing this country and their generation, young voters registered the cost of living as their biggest concern, followed by jobs and the economy. Notably, topics regularly exploited by the Left — such as race relations, the environment, and abortion — were less concerning to young voters than things like political corruption, immigration, and taxes. I've written many times about the difficulty our two younger daughters have had in the Biden economy; they are still unable to buy a house, despite being a three-income household. They are at the upper end of the age range in this survey. Two of our grandchildren are at the lower edge of the range, and they, too, are worried about eventually buying a house - even the one who's going to medical school. The younger generation is, clearly, more concerned about the economy and the runaway scale and scope of government, which leads inevitably to corruption. These are the issues Donald Trump ran on in 2024. These are the issues Donald Trump won on. There may well be another element, besides the obvious one that Democrats seem incapable of working out that their problem isn't messaging, it's the message. Look at the prominent Democrats on the national level - the average age of Democrat Congressional leaders can only be ascertained by carbon-dating. They are, quite literally, yesterday's news, while being on the right may well be becoming the next big cool thing for the younger generations. It's the Democrats who are The Man, now, and those of us on the right are the cool kids. That's a great thing to see.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this episode of The Puck: Venture Capital and Beyond, host Jim Baer sits down with Republican pollster and political strategist Patrick Ruffini, co-founder of Echelon Insights and author of The Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. Ruffini shares his insights on the shifting political landscape, the rise of a multiracial working-class coalition within the Republican Party, and what this realignment means for future elections. They discuss why Trump's economic populism has resonated with minority voters, how the GOP has become the party of the working class, and what both parties must do to stay competitive in an evolving electorate. Looking ahead to 2028, they explore whether figures like J.D. Vance can carry the torch and how policy, bureaucracy, and economic realities will shape the next four years. Tune in for a data-driven, big-picture look at where American politics is heading.

This week on Breaking Battlegrounds, Montana Attorney General Austin Knudsen joins us to discuss the crisis at the U.S.-Canada and Mexico borders, the fentanyl epidemic—Montana's #1 public safety threat with overdose deaths up 2,000% in three years—and his fight against banks debanking conservatives. Next, pollster and political analyst Patrick Ruffini breaks down his book Party of the People, shares his insights on populism, and dives into recent polling—including Elon Musk's likability and 2024 election over-performers. Then, History As It Happens host Martin Di Caro examines the global shift between democracy and authoritarianism, the growing rejection of the establishment, whether history truly repeats itself, and how government failures have fueled public distrust. Finally, in Kiley's Corner, we cover UMass denying a student his $10,000 prize for making a half-court shot and the shocking details of the Zizian cult, a radical transgender group linked to the killing of a Border Patrol agent and a California landlord. Don't miss these crucial conversations, only on Breaking Battlegrounds!www.breakingbattlegrounds.voteTwitter: www.twitter.com/Breaking_BattleFacebook: www.facebook.com/breakingbattlegroundsInstagram: www.instagram.com/breakingbattlegroundsLinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/breakingbattlegroundsTruth Social: https://truthsocial.com/@breakingbattlegroundsShow sponsors:Invest Yrefy - investyrefy.com4Freedom MobileExperience true freedom with 4Freedom Mobile, the exclusive provider offering nationwide coverage on all three major US networks (Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile) with just one SIM card. Our service not only connects you but also shields you from data collection by network operators, social media platforms, government agencies, and more.Use code ‘Battleground' to get your first month for $9 and save $10 a month every month after.Learn more at: 4FreedomMobile.comDot VoteWith a .VOTE website, you ensure your political campaign stands out among the competition while simplifying how you reach voters.Learn more at: dotvote.voteAbout our guests:Austin Knudsen is serving as the Attorney General of Montana. He formerly served as the Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives from 2015 to 2019. As Attorney General, Austin has made combating the drug pandemic and supporting law enforcement a main focus — ensuring that Montana is a safe place to live and raise a family.-Patrick Ruffini is a pollster, political analyst, and co-founder of Echelon Insights, a leading firm specializing in public opinion research and data-driven strategy. Follow him on X @PatrickRuffini.-Martin Di Caro is an award-winning broadcaster and host of 'History As It Happens,' a podcast that delves into current events through a historical perspective.Follow him on X @MartinDiCaro. Get full access to Breaking Battlegrounds at breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/subscribe

President-elect Donald Trump made stunning gains with black men, Hispanic voters, and younger Americans in the 2024 presidential election, challenging long-held political assumptions. One person saw it coming more than a year ago. Patrick Ruffini, founding partner of Echelon Insights, published "Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP" in November 2023. He spoke with The Daily Signal when the book published last year. Listen to that episode: https://www.dailysignal.com/2023/11/07/how-a-working-class-coalition-is-remaking-the-republican-party/ Ruffini returned this week to share his insights on Trump's victory and how the Republican Party can build upon his electoral success. Listen to the full interview or read an edited transcript below. Key highlights include: Dramatic shifts in voting patterns across diverse communities Why traditional Democratic strongholds are crumbling The emergence of a new multiracial populist coalition How economic issues and cultural dynamics are reshaping voter allegiances Keep Up With The Daily Signal Sign up for our email newsletters: https://www.dailysignal.com/email   Subscribe to our other shows:  The Tony Kinnett Cast: https://www.dailysignal.com/the-tony-kinnett-cast  Problematic Women: https://www.dailysignal.com/problematic-women  The Signal Sitdown: https://www.dailysignal.com/the-signal-sitdown    Follow The Daily Signal:  X: https://x.com/DailySignal  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thedailysignal/  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheDailySignalNews/  Truth Social: https://truthsocial.com/@DailySignal  YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/DailySignal  Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/TheDailySignal    Thanks for making The Daily Signal Podcast your trusted source for the day's top news. Subscribe on your favorite podcast platform and never miss an episode.

Andrew, Tom and Carl discuss the still unsettled Senate election in Pennsylvania, where incumbent Bob Casey has yet to concede the race to challenger Dave McCormick, and they look ahead to the 2025 elections in Virginia and New Jersey. They also talk about a new poll from Echelon Insights which shows that 41 percent of Democrats think Kamala Harris should run atop the party's ticket in 2028. Plus, they discuss the anniversary of the Gettysburg Address which was delivered 161 years ago today. Next, Tom Bevan talks to White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about Trump's latest cabinet picks including Howard Lutnick as Commerce Secretary. And then, Andrew Walworth talks to Catholic University professor Jakub Grygiel about Ukraine's recent use of American-made missiles to strike deep within Russian territory and Moscow's announcement that it is changing its nuclear doctrine to allow for the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In our first post-election episode, I'm joined by Patrick Ruffini, a co-founder of Echelon Insights and the author of Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. We dive right into last week's results, starting with how and why non-white voters shifted so much towards Trump. We cover the “cosmopolitan trap” that Democrats have fallen into—focusing solely on issues that motivate white voters with a college degree—and why the Harris campaign over-indexed on abortion and democracy. Will Democrats finally have a “Sister Souljah” moment? Who might emerge as the face of a changed Democratic Party? What can the Trump administration focus on to improve the GOP's standing with their new voters?  Get full access to The Liberal Patriot at www.liberalpatriot.com/subscribe

What does a second Trump presidency mean for America? Kara hosts a panel of experts and reporters to reflect on the results of the election and to find out what we can expect going forward. They discuss the issues that mattered most to voters; what Democrats got wrong; the parts of our democracy that are broken beyond repair; the apparent shift in our country's sense of self; and the role of social media versus traditional media in the digital age. Guests: Kristen Soltis Anderson, a pollster, founding partner of Echelon Insights, author of The Selfie Vote: Where Millennials are Leading America (And How Republicans Can Keep Up) and a CNN political contributor Isaac Arnsdorf, a national political reporter for The Washington Post and author of Finish What We Started: The MAGA Movement's Ground War to End Democracy.  Mike Madrid, co-founder of the Lincoln Project, and author of The Latino Century: How America's Largest Minority is Transforming Democracy Abby Phillip, anchor of CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip  Questions? Comments? Email us at on@voxmedia.com or find us on Instagram and TikTok @onwithkaraswisher Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

To understand the 2024 election results, it helps to go back to 2020. Donald Trump lost the election that year, but he made significant gains with nonwhite voters. At the time, a lot of Democrats saw that as a fluke, a hangover from Covid lockdown policies. But the Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini saw it as bellwether.In his 2023 book, “Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP,” Ruffini argued that Trump was ushering in a party realignment. A trend that had been happening for years in the white electorate – college-educated voters moving to the left, and non-college-educated ones moving to the right – was now evident, he said, among voters of all races, breaking up the core of the Democratic base.And so far, the data we have from this election suggests that Ruffini was right.In this conversation, Ruffini, a founding partner at Echelon Insights, contextualizes the 2024 election results by looking back at 2020's. We discuss what Democrats missed about these voter trends; the appeal of Trump's brand of class politics; why Democrats might have been better off with a red wave in the 2022 midterms; and how Kamala Harris's campaign may have hurt her with nonwhite working-class voters.Book Recommendations:Steadfast Democrats by Ismail K. White and Chryl N. LairdThe Real Majority by Richard Scammon and Ben WattenbergThe New Americans by Michael BaroneThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Elias Isquith. Fact-checking by Kate Sinclair, Mary Marge Locker, Jack McCordick and Michelle Harris. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota and Efim Shapiro. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Rollin Hu and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

Hour 3 Segment 1 Tony starts the final hour of his show talking about Lindy Li, a Kamala Harris surrogate, on how Harris did in the election loss. Tony also talks about how more counties in California turned red from the election. Later, Tony also talks about how Jerome Powell says he isn't going anywhere.   Hour 3 Segment 2 Tony talks about racist text messages received to students at IU as a prank.   Hour 3 Segment 3 Tony talks about border agents seizing 11,000 rounds of ammunition at El Paso in a Honda Ridgeline on Election Day. Tony also talks about some polls from Echelon Insights.   Hour 3 Segment 4 Tony wraps up another edition of the show by talking about how Donald Trump has named Susie Wiles as his white house chief of staff. Wiles is also the first woman to ever be chief of staff.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris are spending the weekend making their final case to swing state voters nationwide. The consensus among pundits and pollsters is that the race is neck-and-neck, but are they missing something? This past week, Patrick Ruffini, founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, joined the Rundown's Jessica Rosenthal to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds, what we can read from registration trends, and how polling methods have evolved since 2016 and 2020. Ruffini explained why he thinks the race is very close but went through some trends and data that can be seen as favorable to both campaigns and could provide them with an edge. We often must cut interviews short during the week, but we thought you might like to hear the full interview. Today on Fox News Rundown Extra, we will share our entire interview with GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini and learn even more about the “tea leaves” the political experts are examining days before the election. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris are spending the weekend making their final case to swing state voters nationwide. The consensus among pundits and pollsters is that the race is neck-and-neck, but are they missing something? This past week, Patrick Ruffini, founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, joined the Rundown's Jessica Rosenthal to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds, what we can read from registration trends, and how polling methods have evolved since 2016 and 2020. Ruffini explained why he thinks the race is very close but went through some trends and data that can be seen as favorable to both campaigns and could provide them with an edge. We often must cut interviews short during the week, but we thought you might like to hear the full interview. Today on Fox News Rundown Extra, we will share our entire interview with GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini and learn even more about the “tea leaves” the political experts are examining days before the election. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris are spending the weekend making their final case to swing state voters nationwide. The consensus among pundits and pollsters is that the race is neck-and-neck, but are they missing something? This past week, Patrick Ruffini, founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, joined the Rundown's Jessica Rosenthal to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds, what we can read from registration trends, and how polling methods have evolved since 2016 and 2020. Ruffini explained why he thinks the race is very close but went through some trends and data that can be seen as favorable to both campaigns and could provide them with an edge. We often must cut interviews short during the week, but we thought you might like to hear the full interview. Today on Fox News Rundown Extra, we will share our entire interview with GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini and learn even more about the “tea leaves” the political experts are examining days before the election. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

How close is the 2024 presidential election? Here is how the New York Times framed it recently: “Never in modern presidential campaigns have so many states been so tight this close to Election Day. Polling averages show that all seven battleground states are within the margin of error, meaning the difference between a half-point up and a half-point down — essentially a rounding error — could win or lose the White House.” A recent Times-Sienna poll has the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris deadlocked at 48 to 48. Other polls are similarly close — which does not mean they are all telling the same story. Today's guest, Kristen Soltis Anderson, writes that although “several of them show a dead heat, beneath the surface, they diverge in how they arrive at that result”. What stories can we glean from each poll? What theories of this election can we derive from those stories? Are the polls even right? And why, despite verbal gaffes and incendiary rallies and international conflict and general campaign turmoil, have the polling averages remained so steady in recent months? Kristen is a founding partner of Echelon Insights, an opinion research and analytics firm, and contributing Opinion writer to the New York Times, where she often writes about what is knowable and not knowable based on the polls. We talk about all these themes, including a theory of the election that Kristen came upon while watching football in Phoenix on a Sunday.Finally, we discuss a detailed survey of American workers that Echelon Insights, Kristen's firm, put into the field for the Economic Innovation Group — and its most surprising findings. All this and more on today's episode!RELATED LINKS: Opinion | The Polls Show a Dead Heat, but They Don't All Tell the Same StoryOpinion | Two Weeks to Go, but Only One Way to Stay CalmOpinion | This Year's October Surprise May Be That There Isn't OneOpinion | Why the Election Is Coming Down to Defining Kamala Harris - The New York TimesOpinion | I've Studied the Polls. Here's Why Harris Isn't Running Away With It.The American Worker Project Survey: Key Findings DeckAmerican workers and the 2024 electionKristen's website Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick Ruffini is a pollster with Echelon Insights and he is also the author of the book Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP.  Get full access to What Happens Next in 6 Minutes with Larry Bernstein at www.whathappensnextin6minutes.com/subscribe

This election has been unlike the others, with many historic moments leading up to the big day. Both candidates made their closing arguments this week, former President Donald Trump at New York's famed Madison Square Garden on Sunday and Vice President Kamala Harris at the Ellipse in Washington D.C. on Tuesday. Host of MediaBuzz on FOX News and the MediaBuzz Meter podcast, Howie Kurtz, joins the Rundown to break down the media reaction to the events and the Washington Post's decision to not endorse any presidential candidate. Which candidate has the edge in the race for President of the United States? With just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris will be found making their final case to swing state voters across the country. As both candidates push to earn the advantage, most pundits and analysts looking at the poll numbers agree that the candidates' winning chances appear to be neck-and-neck. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds and how the methods and accuracy of polling have changed since previous elections. Plus, commentary from the host of “Tomi Lahren is Fearless on Outkick,” Tomi Lahren. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This election has been unlike the others, with many historic moments leading up to the big day. Both candidates made their closing arguments this week, former President Donald Trump at New York's famed Madison Square Garden on Sunday and Vice President Kamala Harris at the Ellipse in Washington D.C. on Tuesday. Host of MediaBuzz on FOX News and the MediaBuzz Meter podcast, Howie Kurtz, joins the Rundown to break down the media reaction to the events and the Washington Post's decision to not endorse any presidential candidate. Which candidate has the edge in the race for President of the United States? With just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris will be found making their final case to swing state voters across the country. As both candidates push to earn the advantage, most pundits and analysts looking at the poll numbers agree that the candidates' winning chances appear to be neck-and-neck. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds and how the methods and accuracy of polling have changed since previous elections. Plus, commentary from the host of “Tomi Lahren is Fearless on Outkick,” Tomi Lahren. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This election has been unlike the others, with many historic moments leading up to the big day. Both candidates made their closing arguments this week, former President Donald Trump at New York's famed Madison Square Garden on Sunday and Vice President Kamala Harris at the Ellipse in Washington D.C. on Tuesday. Host of MediaBuzz on FOX News and the MediaBuzz Meter podcast, Howie Kurtz, joins the Rundown to break down the media reaction to the events and the Washington Post's decision to not endorse any presidential candidate. Which candidate has the edge in the race for President of the United States? With just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris will be found making their final case to swing state voters across the country. As both candidates push to earn the advantage, most pundits and analysts looking at the poll numbers agree that the candidates' winning chances appear to be neck-and-neck. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race in key battlegrounds and how the methods and accuracy of polling have changed since previous elections. Plus, commentary from the host of “Tomi Lahren is Fearless on Outkick,” Tomi Lahren. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mike Ferguson in the Morning 10-30-24 Patrick Ruffini, founding partner of Echelon Insights, analyzes the battleground states. He looks at how the methods and accuracy of polling have changed since previous elections.     NewsTalkSTL website: https://newstalkstl.com/ Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/NewsTalkSTL Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/NewstalkSTL Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NewsTalkSTL Livestream 24/7: bit.ly/NEWSTALKSTLSTREAMSSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The polling keeps shifting in the 2024 presidential race, as attention focuses almost exclusively on seven swing states where the competition is further tightening. The RealClearPolitics averages have former President Trump up in Arizona by one point, Pennsylvania by two points, and North Carolina by less than a point. For Vice President Harris, polling averages have her up by little over a point in Wisconsin and Michigan and just under a point in Nevada and Georgia. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have downplayed polls or even denied that the polling will accurately reflect the reality of the race. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race and how undecided swing voters are likely to cast their ballots in November. The NFL season kicks off tonight with the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Baltimore Ravens. The reigning champions are looking to return and win the Super Bowl for the third season in a row. Author of the new book, "Out Of The Darkness: The Mystery of Aaron Rodgers," Ian O'Connor joins the podcast to preview the NFL season, give his picks for the Super Bowl, and share stories of the Jets quarterback from his book. Plus, commentary by Fox News Medical Contributor and author of "Panic Attack," Dr. Nicole Saphier. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The polling keeps shifting in the 2024 presidential race, as attention focuses almost exclusively on seven swing states where the competition is further tightening. The RealClearPolitics averages have former President Trump up in Arizona by one point, Pennsylvania by two points, and North Carolina by less than a point. For Vice President Harris, polling averages have her up by little over a point in Wisconsin and Michigan and just under a point in Nevada and Georgia. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have downplayed polls or even denied that the polling will accurately reflect the reality of the race. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race and how undecided swing voters are likely to cast their ballots in November. The NFL season kicks off tonight with the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Baltimore Ravens. The reigning champions are looking to return and win the Super Bowl for the third season in a row. Author of the new book, "Out Of The Darkness: The Mystery of Aaron Rodgers," Ian O'Connor joins the podcast to preview the NFL season, give his picks for the Super Bowl, and share stories of the Jets quarterback from his book. Plus, commentary by Fox News Medical Contributor and author of "Panic Attack," Dr. Nicole Saphier. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The polling keeps shifting in the 2024 presidential race, as attention focuses almost exclusively on seven swing states where the competition is further tightening. The RealClearPolitics averages have former President Trump up in Arizona by one point, Pennsylvania by two points, and North Carolina by less than a point. For Vice President Harris, polling averages have her up by little over a point in Wisconsin and Michigan and just under a point in Nevada and Georgia. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have downplayed polls or even denied that the polling will accurately reflect the reality of the race. Founding partner at Republican polling firm Echelon Insights, Patrick Ruffini, joins the Rundown to analyze the state of the race and how undecided swing voters are likely to cast their ballots in November. The NFL season kicks off tonight with the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Baltimore Ravens. The reigning champions are looking to return and win the Super Bowl for the third season in a row. Author of the new book, "Out Of The Darkness: The Mystery of Aaron Rodgers," Ian O'Connor joins the podcast to preview the NFL season, give his picks for the Super Bowl, and share stories of the Jets quarterback from his book. Plus, commentary by Fox News Medical Contributor and author of "Panic Attack," Dr. Nicole Saphier. Photo Credit: AP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Conservative pollsters Dr. Frank Luntz and Kristen Soltis Anderson return to discuss how the election dynamics have shifted since the assassination attempt on President Trump and the coronation of Kamala Harris. What's the state of the race since Biden dropped out? Who is the most dangerous (for Republicans) VP that Kamala could choose? What does JD Vance bring to the table for Trump? What are the prospects for Republicans in the House and Senate? As good as the polling looks now, Frank and Kristen explain why Republicans should run through the tape and not be overly confident. Kristen Soltis Anderson is a pollster, speaker, commentator, and author of The Selfie Vote: Where Millennials Are Leading America (And How Republicans Can Keep Up). She is Founding Partner of Echelon Insights, an opinion research and analytics firm that serves brands, trade associations, nonprofits, and political clients. Through her work at Echelon, she regularly advises corporate and government leaders on polling and messaging strategy, and has become one of the foremost experts on the Millennial generation. She also leads focus groups for The New York Times' opinion section “America in Focus” series. Follow her on X at @KSoltisAnderson and read her Substack here: kristensoltisanderson.substack.com/ Dr. Frank Luntz has written, supervised, and conducted more than 2,500 surveys, focus groups, ad tests, and dial sessions in more than two dozen countries on six continents over the past 20 years. His political knowledge and skills are recognized globally, and he has served as an election consultant and commentator in Canada, Britain, Ireland, Germany, Austria, the Netherlands, Australia, Venezuela, and Ukraine. Follow him on X at @FrankLuntz.

A reminder for new readers. That Was The Week includes a collection of my selected readings on critical issues in tech, startups, and venture capital. I selected the articles because they are of interest to me. The selections often include things I entirely disagree with. But they express common opinions, or they provoke me to think. The articles are snippets sized to convey why they are of interest. Click on the headline, contents link, or the ‘More' link at the bottom of each piece to go to the original. I express my point of view in the editorial and the weekly video below.Hat Tip to this week's creators: @reidhoffman, @dougleone, , @credistick, @rex_woodbury, @NathanLands, @ItsUrBoyEvan, @berber_jin1, @cityofthetown, @keachhagey, @pmarca, @bhorowitz, , @signalrank, @steph_palazzolo, @julipuli, @MTemkin, @geneteare, @lorakolodny, @jasminewsun, @JBFlint, @asharma, @thesimonetti, @lessinContents* Editorial: * Essays of the Week* Crossing The Series A Chasm* The Consumer Renaissance* The Creator Economy on AI Steroids* AI Is Transforming the Nature of the Firm* The Opaque Investment Empire Making OpenAI's Sam Altman Rich* Video of the Week* The American Dream - Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz* AI of the Week* SignalRank Version 3 Improves Performance Again* How Long Can OpenAI's First-Mover Advantage Last?* OpenAI Employees Warn of Advanced AI Dangers* A Right to Warn about Advanced Artificial Intelligence* Nvidia hits $3tn and surpasses Apple as world's second-most valuable company* VCs are selling shares of hot AI companies like Anthropic and xAI to small investors in a wild SPV market* News Of the Week* Crunchbase Monthly Recap May 2024: AI Leads Alongside An Uptick In Billion-Dollar Rounds* Elon Musk ordered Nvidia to ship thousands of AI chips reserved for Tesla to X and xAI* Introducing video to Substack Chat* Instagram's Testing Video Ads That Stop You From Scrolling Further* Startup of the Week* NBA Nears $76 Billion TV Deal, a Defining Moment for Media and Sports* X of the Week* Doug Leone - I am supporting Trump. * Reid Hoffman - I am supporting BidenEditorialI woke on Tuesday to Doug Leone of Sequoia Capital on X saying:I have become increasingly concerned about the general direction of our country, the state of our broken immigration system, the ballooning deficit, and the foreign policy missteps, among other issues. Therefore, I am supporting former President Trump in this coming election.Doug has the right to support Trump. It is also clear that the immigration system is broken, the deficit is ballooning, many things are wrong with foreign policy, and there are “other issues.” Trump as the solution is less obvious. But there it is—hot on the tails of Chamath Palihipitaya and David Sacks announcing a fund-raiser for Trump on the All-In podcast (they said they would do the same for Biden).Reid Hoffman followed up a day later with:On one level, this is a straightforward choice, but any literate attempt to analyze Leone's issues might arrive at the following conclusions:* Like many Western nations, the USA is aging rapidly and has a shrinking working-age population across all skill sets. Immigrants are needed, and pro-immigration leadership is needed, creating a path to entry for large numbers of skilled and unskilled workers to fill empty jobs as we get close to full employment.* The deficit is large, and there are many palliatives available. Selling more to China would help, but both party leaders are protectionist. Taxes to reduce the divide between the 1% and the rest would help a bit. However, what would help the most is economic growth, which requires investment in technology and productivity. Neither leader seems too focused on innovation and investment.* Foreign Policy - well, sheesh, it's a big issue. However, saber-rattling about Taiwan and provoking China seems to be a hobby shared by both parties and does not seem smart. Ukraine and the future of Europe are better in Biden's hands, but not by a lot. Europe looks very shaky. The US is increasingly isolationist. The appetite for world leadership is on the decline. Again, the solution would focus on economic growth, which seems absent.Voting for Trump is a big no-no for me. But voting for Biden is, at best, a lesser evil instinct, not a belief system. The election will not be where the future is built, but it is important. Politicians are collectively disappointing.This week's video of the week from Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz is called “The American Dream” and champions their view about American Dynamism. And I must confess that this comes closer to a vision of the future than either political outfit. Their vision requires political support, massive government financial commitment, and private capital investment. I see no evidence of those happening.The real winning effort seems to be happening on the ground. This week, Nvidia hit $3 trillion, eclipsing Apple as the world's second-most valuable company. This is even though Apple has 7 times the revenue of Nvidia.This week's first essays also focus on prospects for boom time. Rex Woodbury's ‘The Consumer Renaissance' examines the impact of consumer spending on our lives. In ‘The Creator Economy on AI Steroids, ' Nathan Lands focuses on how emerging tools will transform creativity. But in ‘AI Is Transforming the Nature of the Firm, ' Evan Armstrong gets closest to a future vision.”AI is the first universally flexible technology. It can interact with our digital environments in similar ways to humans, so it can have all the flexibility that we do. In that way, it may be the last technology we ever need.This seems to be the crux of hope in a world where dreams and nightmares are strangely devoid of detail. What the world needs (not only America) is hope. And hope is born from optimism. Optimism is born from success. The most likely success of the next decades will result from specific uses of AI that improve human life.I know and like Doug Leone. I know and like Reid Hoffman. Doug's bar for success needs to be higher. Voting for Trump is not right, and even if it were, it would not be sufficient.Reid also needs a higher bar. Voting for Biden will not be sufficient even if it is right.Let's focus on where success can be found, grow optimism, and breed hope. There is a need for a broad technical revolution and the social rebirth it enables. Silicon Valley and its friends globally need to invent the next version of human existence to the benefit of all. The social rebirth requires a conscious effort; technology will not magically bring it about. More in this week's video.Essays of the WeekCrossing The Series A ChasmDan GrayDan Gray, a frequent guest author for Crunchbase News, is the head of insights at Equidam, a startup valuation platform, and a venture partner at Social Impact Capital.June 5, 2024As we get deeper into 2024, there is increasing concern about the state of Series A fundraising. The bar for investment appears much higher, and fewer startups are reaching it.This is a problem for founders, and investors like Jenny Fielding, managing partner of Everywhere Ventures, who said, “Every Seed investor's dilemma: All my Series A buddies want to meet my companies early! All my companies are too early for my Series A buddies.”To attach some data to this, we can see that the median step-up in valuation from seed to Series A has gone from $19.5 million in Q1 2022 to $28.7 million in Q1 2024. Series A firms seem to be looking for much stronger revenue performance, with targets of $2 million to $3 million in ARR, compared to $1 million to $2 million just a few years ago.The outcome is that while 31.8% of Q1 2020 seed startups closed their Series A within two years, that fell to just 12% for Q1 2022 — which should worry everyone.Why are Series A investors so much more demanding?Today's Series A investors are looking at startups that raised their seed between 2021 and 2023, which identifies the root of the problem: it spans the Q2 2022 high-tide mark for venture capital.For example, there were 1,695 seed rounds of more than $5 million in 2021, rising to 2,248 in 2022, then falling to 1,521 in 2023. As a comparison, there have been just 137 so far in 2024.The result is two categories of startups that are looking to raise their Series A today:* Pre-crunch startups that raised generous seed rounds and stretched the capital out as far as they could, to grow into inflated valuations.* Post-crunch startups that raised modest seed rounds on more reasonable terms, with shorter runways and less demonstrable growth.Strictly speaking, neither is more appealing than the other; the first group has less risk, the second offers more upside, and both are adapted to current market realities. It shouldn't cause a problem for investors, provided they can distinguish between the two.The cost of market inefficiencyVenture investors have a market-based lens on investment decisions, which means looking fairly broadly at trends in revenue performance and round pricing to determine terms, e.g. a typical Series A is within certain bounds of revenue performance and valuation. While that approach may be serviceable and efficient under ideal conditions, the past few years have been far from ideal.Without distinguishing between the two cohorts, investors are now looking at the performance of Series A candidates that spent more than $5 million on a war chest for two to three years of growth alongside the valuations of candidates that raised around $2 million to prove scalability. It just doesn't work as an average, and thus the unreasonable expectations...MoreThe Consumer RenaissanceFrom Predicting Consumer AI Applications to Analyzing Consumer SpendREX WOODBURY, JUN 05, 2024“Consumer” has become something of a bad word in venture capital circles.We see this reflected in the early-stage markets: recent data from Carta showed that just 7.1% of Seed capital raised last year went to consumer startups. That's less than half the share from 2019 (14.3%).But I think consumer is actually a great place to be building and investing. Whenever something is out of favor, that's a sign it's probably a good place to spend time: this is an industry built on being contrarian, not built on following the herd. We're entering a compelling few years for consumer entrepreneurship.First, I'd argue that consumer is too narrowly defined. When people think consumer, they often think consumer social (a tough category) or consumer brands (a tough fit for venture compared to internet and software businesses, with typically lower return profiles). But consumer is broader. Consumer encompasses businesses that sell to consumers and those that rely on consumer spending. This means the obvious names—apps on our phones like Uber, Instacart, Spotify—and the enablers: Shopify, for instance, powers online retail; Faire powers offline retail; Unity powers game development. Each of the latter three is B2B2C, in its own way, but I would categorize each is also a consumer technology business.The wins in consumer can be massive. The biggest technology businesses in history began as consumer businesses—Google, Facebook, Apple, Amazon. The original companies comprising FAANG—with Microsoft conspicuously absent—were allconsumer.And some of the best returns of the last five years have stemmed from consumer tech IPOs. At Daybreak, we invest ~$1M at Pre-Seed and Seed. Here's how much a $1M investment in the Seed round of five recent consumer IPOs would yield:Big consumer wins compare favorably to big enterprise wins—relative to Snowflake's market cap, Uber is ~3x in size, Airbnb is ~2x in size, and DoorDash is roughly equal. (Snowflake is the biggest enterprise IPO of the last decade.) The last few years produced a windfall of consumer outcomes, yet investors today almost write off the category.At Daybreak, we don't focus exclusively on consumer; my view is that you need to balance more binary consumer outcomes with B2B SaaS and B2B marketplaces. But we do approach investing through the lens of the consumer—how people make decisions. The buyers of products like Figma and Ramp, after all, are people, and software companies are increasingly selling bottom-up into organizations. The line between consumer and enterprise has been blurring for years.This week's Digital Native makes the argument that consumer tech is a compelling place to build and invest. We'll look at the data to back up this argument, then delve into three categories of consumer that I'm particularly interested in right now:* Checking in on Consumer Spend* Consumer Tech: The Data Doesn't Lie* What to Watch: AI Applications* What to Watch: Shopping* What to Watch: Consumer Health* Rule of Thumb: Follow the SpendThis week we'll cover #1-3, and next week in Part II we'll tackle #4-6.Let's dive in

SERIES 2 EPISODE 187: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN A-Block (1:44) SPECIAL COMMENT: The light bulbs may have finally gone off over the heads of the Biden Campaign at 2:03 P-M Eastern yesterday. They had USED the phrase before and they had said the phrase before but it was at THAT moment that they sent it out into the world alone: a Twitter-X post reading simply “Convicted Felon” and under it the close-up, sweating, mottled-face, golf picture of Convicted Felon Donald Trump that looks it was the before shot in a before-and-after about your grandpa's risk of having a stroke. Elections are not decided by social media posts and they are not decided by nicknames and they are not decided by bad photos but you can probably decide ONE PERCENTAGE POINT in an election with them. Or two. Or five. We may hate it, but we live in America where the name “Crooked Hillary” stuck, and the phrase “Lock Her Up” stuck, and the acronym “MAGA” – one of the stupidest and discordant acronyms of all time – stuck. And here Joe Biden has an answer to every insult and every meme and every catchphrase used by Trump and his cult and it's not only a GREAT answer but it has the added benefit of being entirely true and it has the even GREATER benefit of utterly deranging Trump's whores. They have spent every day since the conviction screaming, shouting, whining, crying “don't say that” like you did the day the kids gave you your first mean nickname in the 3rd or 4th Grade. Now they have to make it show up in the polling. In the newest poll, CBS/You Gov, the number of Republicans saying he's not fit to be president is up to 10 percent and the number of Independents saying he's not fit to be president is FIFTY percent. Echelon Insights, run by the conservative Kristen Soltis Andersen, went back to 477 people it previously polled who had had it 47-47 and after the verdict asked them again and they came back 49-47 for Biden.  So keep calling him “Convicted Felon Donald Trump.” Every time. Like he legally changed his name to it. And that means Joe Biden, personally. Say it. Put it in campaign ads. Can you imagine the political media freakout? It would be indelibly attached to Trump.  MEANWHILE: The Supreme Court is coming apart at the seams: The civilian victim in the Alito Flag Scandal now says that both IN late 2020/early 2021 AND two weeks ago, a black S-U-V from the Alito security detail parked in front of her mother's home in Alexandria Virginia. “I couldn't say who was in the car because of the tinted glass,” Emily Baden told The Guardian, “and nobody ever said anything. I took it as a general threat. The message was, we could do terrible things to you, and nobody would be able to do anything about it. When it comes to justices at the supreme court, they make the laws, but the laws don't apply to them.” But Congressman Jamie Raskin has a solution, if only Merrick Garland will get off the dime. B-Block (27:20) THE WORST PERSONS IN THE WORLD: The publishers and distributors of "2000 Mules" repudiated the film, apologized to one of the people they slandered, and blamed it all on Dinesh D'Souza (who would now be meat). Josh Hawley either made up a story about an illicit use of American troops abroad, or he revealed military secrets - prosecute him! And once again the right wingers explain how they'll show us, they'll avenge Trump by shooting everybody. Why does it never occur to them that they may have lots of guns but who has all the tanks and military bases again? Meet Carl Higbie of NewsMax. Carl's bonkers. C-Block (35:06) THINGS I PROMISED NOT TO COME: With the 80th Anniversary of D-Day looming I flashed back to the 60th Anniversary and the then-new MSNBC president who pulled out all the stops and went wall-to-wall live from Normandy and with all his big stars working a Saturday to impress his bosses...and then breaking news cancelled all of it!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Patrick Ruffini of Echelon Insights joins to discuss his new book, The Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. He and Henry consider why the shift has occurred, why so few saw it coming, how sustainable a working class Republican Party really is, and what to make of it as […]

As the U.S. approaches another presidential election, many of us are contemplating our beliefs, staying informed about election news, and at times, questioning the integrity of the voting polls. This month we delve into the upcoming House, Senate, and presidential elections with the help of two political polling experts. Where can we find reliable polls amidst an ocean of information? Has the rise of AI and other technologies affected the 2024 election? How are election outcomes determined? Which voter demographics might lead to surprising election results? Join us for an insightful discussion on these topics and more on the Harvard Data Science Review Podcast. Our guests: Kai Chen Yeo, pollster and partner at Echelon Insights, a next-generation opinion research, analytics, and intelligence firm. Scott Tranter, Head of Data Science at Decision Desk HQ  

If recent polls are to be believed, Donald Trump is poised to become the President, for the second time, of the United States of America. Yet some observers think most swing voters who end up deciding American elections will ultimately turn away from Trump 2.0. For proof, they point to the difficulty Trump has had winning over many voters in his own party during the Republican primaries.   But other analysts insist the former president remains a formidable political force: He has a large and loyal base, he motivates people who don't typically don't vote, and he's consistently beating Democrat Joe Biden in polls of key battleground states. 2016 should serve as an important lesson, they argue: don't underestimate Donald Trump. Arguing in favour of the resolution is Sarah Longwell. She is the publisher of the political analysis and opinion website The Bulwark, and host of The Focus Group Podcast.  Arguing against the resolution is Patrick Ruffini. He is a pollster and founding partner of the firm Echelon Insights. He is also the author of the book Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP.   SOURCES: The Times and Sunday Times, MSNBC   The host of the Munk Debates is Rudyard Griffiths  Tweet your comments about this episode to @munkdebate or comment on our Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/munkdebates/ To sign up for a weekly email reminder for this podcast, send an email to podcast@munkdebates.com.   To support civil and substantive debate on the big questions of the day, consider becoming a Munk Member at https://munkdebates.com/membership Members receive access to our 50+ year library of great debates in HD video, a free Munk Debates book, newsletter and ticketing privileges at our live events. This podcast is a project of the Munk Debates, a Canadian charitable organization dedicated to fostering civil and substantive public dialogue - https://munkdebates.com/ Senior Producer: Ricki Gurwitz Producer: Daniel Kitts Editor: Kieran Lynch

In this episode of the American Compass Podcast, Oren Cass talks with Patrick Ruffini, founding partner of Echelon Insights, about his book "Party of the People," which examines the Republican Party's transformation in recent years.Ruffini argues that the divide between college-educated and non-college voters has become the defining cleavage in American politics. Ruffini and Cass discuss the cultural and economic roots of this realignment, the unique political talents of figures like Donald Trump and Bill Clinton, and how both parties are struggling to build broad coalitions.

RealClearPolitics president and co-founder Tom Bevan talks with Echelon Insights founding partner Patrick Ruffini on the 2024 presidential race, the future of the Republican Party, and whether an improving economic picture will help President Biden's chances in November.

SERIES 2 EPISODE 116: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN A-Block (1:44) SPECIAL COMMENT: TRUMP DC ELECTION SUBVERSION TRIAL POSTPONED. Still officially scheduled for a month from Sunday, it has in fact "fallen off" the Washington Federal Court Calendar and no new date has been set. Even as the District of Columbia and the federal government think of ways to protect the Prettyman Courthouse with metal fencing and street closures (just like right after Trump's January 6 coup), The Washington Post speculates the trial will allow for Trump's trial in New York on the Stormy Daniels Payoff Business Fraud to start next month instead. Either way, Trump's stall has worked. The DC District Appeals Court has yet to rule on his "Presidential Immunity" bullshit and fingers are pointed at the member of the three-judge panel who was appointed by George W. Bush. ALSO: MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE is the worst person ever to serve in the United States House of Representatives. Her inability to pronounce "indictable" correctly is everything that's wrong with this country today, particularly our refusal to help the chronically stupid to heal themselves. More maddening, Greene has previously claimed a) that dyslexia runs in her family AND b) that her political opponents are "retards." B-Block (22:48) THE WORST PERSONS IN THE WORLD: Steve Garvey assailed by three kids in an L.A. Times profile (the other 197 love him though). Moms For Liberty actually manages to outdo itself in what we used to call Bluenosing. And the pollster who has defined which group of voters can put Trump over the top: African-American Men With Three Arms. C-Block (34:32) FRIDAYS WITH THURBER: His most famous, most imagination-stimulating work: "The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The fact that Donald Trump is the front-runner for the G.O.P. nomination in 2024 has created a chasm in our politics. In the past, Democrats and Republicans at least understood why members of the other party liked their chosen candidates. Most conservatives weren't confused why liberals liked Barack Obama, and vice versa for George W. Bush. But for a lot of Democrats, it feels impossible to imagine why anyone would cast a vote for Trump. And as a result, the two parties don't just feel hostile toward each other; they feel increasingly unknowable.Kristen Soltis Anderson is a veteran Republican pollster, a founding partner of the opinion research firm Echelon Insights and a CNN contributor. She spends her days trying to understand the thinking of Republican voters, including hosting focus groups for New York Times Opinion. So I wanted to get her insights on why Republicans like Trump so much — even after his 2020 electoral loss, the Jan. 6 insurrection and over 90 criminal charges. What really explains Trump's enduring appeal?Mentioned:Researcher applicationAssociate engineer applicationGallup's Presidential Job Approval CenterBook Recommendations:Subtract by Leidy KlotzParty of the People by Patrick RuffiniWelcome to the O.C. by Josh Schwartz, Stephanie Savage and Alan SepinwallThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Kristin Lin. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Annie Galvin and Rollin Hu. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser.

Patrick Ruffini is the author of the book Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. Patrick is the founder of Echelon Insights that uses digital analytics to improve polling and strategy for Republican candidates. I want to hear from Patrick if voter behavior is entrenched and whether the Republicans can persuade Black and Hispanic voters to vote like their White Working-Class brethren. Get full access to What Happens Next in 6 Minutes with Larry Bernstein at www.whathappensnextin6minutes.com/subscribe

Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson returns to give Rep. Crenshaw her insights into Trump vs DeSantis, how abortion is affecting the GOP's election prospects, good and bad candidate messaging strategies, and much more. What should DeSantis do if he had a time machine? How did Republicans get caught off guard by the Roe v Wade backlash and is there any hope to convince Gen Z to become pro-life? What effect is the political consulting industry having on candidate quality and the populist echo chamber of social media? They also discuss how to craft accurate voter surveys, what went wrong with the 2022 midterms, and Trump's chances of defeating Biden in 2024. Kristen Soltis Anderson is a pollster, speaker, commentator, and author of The Selfie Vote: Where Millennials Are Leading America (And How Republicans Can Keep Up). She is Founding Partner of Echelon Insights, an opinion research and analytics firm that serves brands, trade associations, nonprofits, and political clients. Through her work at Echelon, she regularly advises corporate and government leaders on polling and messaging strategy, and has become one of the foremost experts on the Millennial generation. She also leads focus groups for The New York Times' opinion section “America in Focus” series. Follow her on X at @KSoltisAnderson and read her Substack here: kristensoltisanderson.substack.com/

Patrick Ruffini joins The Great Battlefield podcast to talk about his career as a Republican pollster and his book "Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP".

Andrew Egger is joined by Patrick Ruffini, a Republican pollster and co-founder of Echelon Insights. The two discuss the shift in non-white voting habits, how Trump activated the populist coalition on the right, and the role of pro-life politics in that coalition. Show notes: -New York Times/Siena Poll -Patrick Ruffini's profile at Echelon Insights Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is Garrison Hardie with your CrossPolitic Daily News Brief for Friday, November 17th, 2023. Download our new app!: You guys are aware that we have a new app right? If not you should download it right now! Head on over to your app store, and type in “CrossPolitic”, “Fight Laugh Feast”, or “PubTV”. Once you find the app, you may need to update your app, or if you have a droid phone, you may need to delete your current FLF app, and re-download it! Once downloaded you’ll be able to view or listen to our content right on your mobile device! As always, if you’d like to sign up for a pub membership, you can head on over to fightlaughfeast.com… that’s fightlaughfeast.com. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/house-ethics-committee-head-moves-to-expel-george-santos-after-release-of-damning-report House Ethics Committee head to move to expel George Santos after release of damning report The chairman of the House Ethics Committee will move to expel Rep. George Santos, R-N.Y., from Congress after the release of a damning report into the embattled Long Island Republican. "Chairman Guest feels that the evidence uncovered in the Committee’s investigation is more than sufficient to warrant punishment, and that the most appropriate punishment is expulsion," Republican Mississippi Rep. Michael Guest's personal office told Fox News Digital on Thursday. "So, separate from the Committee process and his role as Chairman, he plans to file an expulsion resolution during tomorrow’s 9:00 am pro forma session." The ethics committee released a damning report that accused Santos of having "used campaign funds for personal purposes" and "engaged in fraudulent conduct," among other allegations. Guest filing the resolution on Friday tees up an expected vote on whether to boot Santos from the House sometime after lawmakers return from the Thanksgiving break on Nov. 28. A 56-page deep dive into the allegations against Santos by the panel's Investigative subcommittee detailed campaign funds being spent at spas and luxury stores, among other questionable places. The bipartisan subcommittee unanimously agreed that Santos "knowingly caused his campaign committee to file false or incomplete reports with the Federal Election Commission; used campaign funds for personal purposes; engaged in fraudulent conduct in connection with RedStone Strategies LLC; and engaged in knowing and willful violations of the Ethics in Government Act as it relates to his Financial Disclosure (FD) Statements filed with the House." That includes $50,000 in campaign donations that were wired to Santos' personal account on Oct. 21, 2022, and allegedly used to, among other things, "pay down personal credit card bills and other debt; make a $4,127.80 purchase at Hermes; and for smaller purchases at OnlyFans; Sephora; and for meals and for parking." Santos also spent more than $2,200 at resorts in Atlantic City, New Jersey, from July 23, 2022, to July 24, 2022, according to the report, despite a staffer telling the subcommittee that "he was not aware of any events in Atlantic City and did not attend any campaign events in Atlantic City." Santos posted a lengthy response to the report on X, in which he announced he would not seek re-election in 2024 and accused the House Ethics Committee of bias. "If there was a single ounce of ETHICS in the ‘Ethics committee’, they would have not released this biased report. The Committee went to extraordinary lengths to smear myself and my legal team about me not being forthcoming (My legal bills suggest otherwise)," Santos wrote. "It is a disgusting politicized smear that shows the depths of how low our federal government has sunk. Everyone who participated in this grave miscarriage of Justice should all be ashamed of themselves." GOP lawmakers from New York previously moved to expel Santos earlier this month, but the effort failed along bipartisan lines. Most Democrats who said they voted to punt the measure explained they were waiting for the findings of the ethics committee report. https://dailycaller.com/2023/11/16/chinas-xi-receives-standing-ovation-american-business-leaders/ China’s Xi Receives Standing Ovation From American Business Leaders Chinese President Xi Jinping received a standing ovation from American business leaders during an exclusive dinner in San Francisco on Wednesday. Xi met with President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) conference in San Francisco Wednesday and had talks on a broad range of issues, including military communications, fentanyl trafficking and Taiwan. During a private dinner in the city’s downtown Hyatt Regency hours later, Xi gave a speech about the need for China-U.S. cooperation and received praise from hundreds of high-level American business executives. “China is pursuing high-quality development, and the United States is revitalizing its economy,” Xi said during his speech. “There is plenty of room for our cooperation.” Among the leaders at the reception and dinner were Apple CEO Tim Cook, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink, Tesla and X CEO Elon Musk and a number of executives from FedEx, Qualcomm, KKR, Blackstone and Boeing, according to The Wall Street Journal. Tickets to attend the dinner started at $2,000 per person, up to $40,000 for a chance to dine with Xi at his table. “I think it’s important Americans and Chinese are meeting again face to face,” said managing director for China of McLarty Associates John L. Holden, who attended the dinner, according to The New York Times. “This is not a magic bullet, but it is something that can provide possibilities that wouldn’t exist otherwise.” “All of you here this evening remain keenly interested to do business in China, and to find ways to advance our bilateral economic relationship,” Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told the audience at the dinner, CNBC reported. “I know that, because half of you have come to see me to tell me that.” During his speech, Xi claimed that China is “ready to be partners and friends” rather than adversaries with the U.S, according to the Times. He also evoked China’s history with the U.S., recalling American and Chinese cooperation to defeat the Japanese during World War II. Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom gifted Xi a Golden State Warriors Basketball jersey during the dinner, according to a Chinese Foreign Affairs spokesperson in attendance. In his meeting with Biden hours prior, Xi agreed to reestablish military-to-military communication lines with the U.S., which had been cut off in February. Xi also agreed to take steps to “dramatically curtail” the creation of fentanyl precursors created in China, which often end up in Mexico to be made into completed products and are subsequently trafficked into the U.S. Biden praised his Wednesday meeting with Xi and then called him a “dictator” minutes later. “Well, look, he is,” Biden said during a press conference Wednesday. Biden again calls Xi ‘dictator’ after Chinese prez warns against ‘turning back’ on Beijing-Play Clip The White House and China’s foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. https://www.foxnews.com/us/pro-palestinian-protesters-block-bridges-boston-san-francisco-rush-hour Pro-Palestinian protesters block bridges in Boston, San Francisco during rush hour Pro-Palestinian protesters blocked traffic on bridges in Boston and San Francisco during rush hour Thursday morning to call for a cease-fire in Gaza as Israel continues to target Hamas leadership more than a month after the militant group’s deadly incursion into Israel. On the Boston University bridge, the group IfNotNow, which says it represents members of Boston’s Jewish community, chanted "Cease-fire now!" and demanded that Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., support an immediate cease-fire and use her influence to stop the Israeli government’s military action in Gaza. The protest slowed traffic to a trickle on the bridge, which connects Boston and Cambridge, as the group held signs that said, "Let Gaza Live," and unfurled a banner across the roadway that read, "Jews say: Ceasefire now." "We care about Palestinian lives, we only want to hurt Hamas," one protester on the bridge told NBC Boston, while another said, "There can’t be peace for Jews unless there is peace for Palestinians." Meanwhile, Pro-Palestinian protesters also shut down the Bay Bridge in San Francisco, where President Biden was courting world leaders at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit. The Arab Resource and Organizing Center planned the demonstration, in which protesters were heard shouting, "Free Palestine" and "We want justice." Others chained themselves to the bridge or lay in the road covered with sheets smeared with fake blood, FOX2 KTVU reported. Authorities had closed one lane on the bridge as a preventative measure during the summit, the station reported, citing the California Highway Patrol. Israel vowed to wipe out Hamas after the militant group launched its Oct. 7 surprise attack, in which at least 1,200 people died in Israel and around 240 were taken captive by militants back to Gaza. More than 11,200 Palestinians have been killed since the war began, according to the Health Ministry in Hamas-run Gaza. The protest came as Israeli forces dropped leaflets warning Palestinians to flee parts of southern Gaza, residents said Thursday, signaling a possible expansion of their offensive. https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/11/15/nolte-miserable-chicagoans-drop-mayor-brandon-johnsons-approval-rating-to-28/ Miserable Chicagoans Drop Mayor Brandon Johnson’s Approval Rating to 28% In Wednesday’s glorious edition of Democrats Getting What They Voted For, newly elected Democrat Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has an approval rating of just 28 percent. Echelon Insights polled 800 registered voters in Chicago between October 18 and 22. So how is it possible that Johnson, who won a majority just seven short months ago, is now sitting with a dismal 28 percent approval rating, which is only one point higher than Lori Lightfoot (the sitting mayor he defeated) had in February 2023, which was only one month before she lost her reelection campaign? I think the answer to this disconnect is obvious. In Chicago, dead people can vote, but dead people cannot be polled over the telephone. When asked about Chicago’s worst issues, 69 percent of those polled said crime. That’s only a two-point decrease since February. Then came high taxes (31 percent) and homelessness (20 percent). Everything else was under 15 percent. When asked how Mayor Johnson is doing on those top three issues, only 21 percent approved of the job he’s doing on crime, while 66 percent disapproved. On economic development, only 32 percent approved, while 43 percent disapproved. On housing and homelessness, only 18 percent approved, while 63 percent disapproved. On the specific issue of “management of immigrants transported to the city,” only 23 percent approved, while 64 percent disapproved. This question relates directly to His Fraudulency, Joe Biden, throwing the southern border wide open to millions of unvetted, third-world illegal aliens. On that same question, living Chicago voters were asked, “How do you feel about Mayor Brandon Johnson’s proposed plan to house migrants in ‘base camps’ made up of large, heated tents in various parts of Chicago?” Only 28 percent approved, while 63 percent disapproved. Those who said they “strongly oppose” on this question made up nearly half, 46 percent. When asked if they supported or opposed Chicago’s status as a sanctuary city, a majority of 52 percent opposed, while 42 percent supported. In February 2023, the month before Chicago voted Lightfoot out, 28 percent said the city was headed in the right direction. That number has now dropped to just 20 percent, while 65 percent say things are headed in the wrong direction. Now that cash bail has been eliminated statewide, it hurts Chicago more than any other city. Only 35 percent of Chicagoans support that policy, but the Democrat governor who instituted that suicide pact won around 80 percent of the vote in Cook County, which is where Chicago sits. This poll tells us that Chicagoans are getting exactly what they voted for and are quite upset over it, which tells you just how damaged Democrats are.

This is Garrison Hardie with your CrossPolitic Daily News Brief for Tuessday, November 14th, 2023. Fight Laugh Feast Magazine Our Fight Laugh Feast Magazine is a quarterly issue that packs a punch like a 21 year Balvenie, no ice. We don’t water down our scotch, why would we water down our theology? Order a yearly subscription for yourself and then send a couple yearly subscriptions to your friends who have been drinking luke-warm evangelical cool-aid. Every quarter we promise quality food for the soul, wine for the heart, and some Red Bull for turning over tables. Our magazine will include cultural commentary, a Psalm of the quarter, recipes for feasting, laughter sprinkled through out the glossy pages, and more. Sign up today, at fightlaughfeast.com. https://pjmedia.com/victoria-taft/2023/11/12/us-news-outlets-must-answer-if-they-knew-about-hamas-terror-attacks-on-israel-before-october-7-n4923834 Media in Panic Mode Over Questions About Whether They Knew in Advance About Hamas Attack on Israel On October 7, four photojournalists who provide reporting and photos for the likes of the Associated Press (AP), CNN, the New York Times, Reuters, and other outlets were allegedly at the Israeli border with Hamas terrorists who committed acts of atrocities against innocent Israeli civilians that shocked the world. Since an Israel-supporting news watchdog website reported the claim, everyone wants to know if these Gaza-based reporters knew in advance about the attack and, more importantly, if they could have saved lives by alerting the world about it. The question arises: Did the AP, CNN, the New York Times, and Reuters know about the Hamas terror attack in advance? The allegations have sent major media into panic mode and generated even more mistrust in the corporate press. The website HonestReporting, which chronicles coverage of Israel by an increasingly one-sided press to contrast the "Pallywood" and crisis actor coverage by Hamas and its agents, asks: "Is it conceivable to assume that 'journalists' just happened to appear early in the morning at the border without prior coordination with the terrorists? Or were they part of the plan?" Hamas terrorists paraglided and drove into the civilian populations that day and committed acts of horrific brutality. They wanted their murders and acts of terror chronicled for the world, which is why they wore GoPro cameras and apparently arranged for these traditional media photographers to go in with them. HonestReporting reported that "four names appear on AP’s photo credits from the Israel-Gaza border area on October 7: Hassan Eslaiah, Yousef Masoud, Ali Mahmud, and Hatem Ali." The news watchdog took a close look at Elsaiah, a "freelancer who also works for CNN, crossed into Israel, took photos of a burning Israeli tank, and then captured infiltrators entering Kibbutz Kfar Azza." Elsaiah "did not wear a press vest or a helmet," the website reported. He posted a video of himself on Twitter/X saying that “everyone who were inside this tank were kidnapped, everyone who were inside the tank were kidnapped a short while ago by al-Qassam Brigades [Hamas’ armed wing], as we have seen with our own eyes.” The website later featured an older photo of Elsaiah with the Hamas leader who planned the attack. In war reporting, journalists are often given a heads-up and allowed to chronicle American troops heading into battle, for example. But this wasn't an act of war -- it was terror. It was murder for murder's sake. There hadn't been an Israeli offensive to which the Gaza terror organization was responding. Indeed, if Hamas had been wearing uniforms and acting as an "army" they would be accused of war crimes. As it is, they're accused of crimes against humanity. https://www.foxnews.com/world/uk-infant-indi-gregory-dies-legal-battle-british-government-treatment-options UK infant Indi Gregory dies amid legal battle with British government over treatment options A terminally ill baby in the United Kingdom, who was the focus of a legal battle involving her parents, British health officials and the Italian government over treatment options, died Monday morning in hospice care. Christian Concern, a group supporting the family, said 8-month-old Indi Gregory died after her life support was withdrawn on Sunday, according to The Associated Press. The infant had suffered brain damage because of a rare condition known as mitochondrial disease. The child's doctors said her life support should be removed to allow her to die at a hospital or in hospice, but her parents, Dean Gregory and Claire Staniforth, continued to fight for her to remain on life support, hoping that experimental treatments may extend her life. The Italian government had solicited permission for her to be treated at Bambino Gesu Children’s Hospital in Rome. Italian officials even granted citizenship to the baby amid the legal battle over her health care. Doctors claimed that Indi was not aware of her surroundings and was suffering as they argued she should be allowed to die peacefully. Legal challenges supported by Christian Concern were rejected by British judges. Indi's case is the latest in a series of legal battles in the United Kingdom between parents and doctors over treatment for children with terminal illnesses. British judges have repeatedly taken the side of doctors in cases about the best interests of the child, despite parental objections to a proposed treatment option. Court of Appeal Justice Peter Jackson said on Friday that doctors treating Gregory and other critically ill children were put in an "extremely challenging" position by the legal battle. He also criticized "manipulative litigation tactics" that attempt to frustrate orders made by judges after careful consideration. https://www.dailyfetched.com/over-70-of-americans-unwilling-to-be-drafted-if-ww3-breaks-out-poll/ Over 70% of Americans Unwilling to Be Drafted If WW3 Breaks Out, Poll A new poll has found that 72 percent of Americans would be unwilling to volunteer to serve their country if WW3 breaks out, compared to just 21 percent who said they would. As the US becomes deeply embedded in the ongoing Israel-Hamas war and the Russia-Ukraine war, the Echelon Insights findings suggest most Americans hold a more ‘America First’ view of foreign policy than the political establishment. Since 1987, the US military has shrunk by 39 percent, and the Army and Air Force missed their recruitment targets in 2023 by 10,000. Meanwhile, the Navy missed its target by 6,000. The lack of troops could pose a big problem for America’s war readiness. While infantry soldiers are relatively easy to train in a crisis, pilots and naval specialists require years of instruction. As The National Pulse noted, the traditionally conservative-leaning young people the military has often relied on for manpower may also have been deterred by its intolerant attitude towards unvaccinated Americans in recent years and senior officers’ promotion of far-left interests such as drag and “white rage.” Meanwhile, with the prospect of WW3 is becoming more likely, Americans may not have to worry about being drafted as nuclear weapons would destroy most countries. Last week, President Donald Trump warned that Mexico could be at risk of nuclear destruction in the Event of WW3 breaking out from the war in the Middle East. Trump said the potential ramifications of another nuclear war could involve the total destruction of Mexico. “The biggest threat is nuclear weapons,” Trump said. https://dailycaller.com/2023/11/12/former-national-champion-texas-head-coach-jimbo-fischer-fired-poor-performance/ Former National Champion Head Coach Jimbo Fischer Fired For Poor Performance Texas A&M has fired head football coach Jimbo Fischer, bringing his six-year tenure with the Aggies to a close while netting himself $76 million. The firing comes on the heels of a 51-10 victory of Mississippi State, moving Texas A&M to 6-4 on the season, according to CBS Sports. Fisher took the Texas A&M head coaching position in 2018, coming off a successful tenure at Florida State, where he won a national championship in 2014, per the outlet. While the Aggies did manage to go 9-4 in 2018, Texas A&M has struggled over the past two seasons, barely cracking eight wins in 2021 and going 5-7 in 2022, per the outlet. When Fischer became head coach of the Aggies, he signed a 10-year, $75-million contract, which was later extended through 2031. The contract also came with a massive buyout clause worth $76 million, which he is now owed by Texas A&M, per the outlet. “After very careful analysis of all the components related to Texas A&M football, I recommended to President Welsh and then Chancellor Sharp that a change in the leadership of the program was necessary in order for Aggie football to reach our full potential and they accepted my decision. We appreciate Coach Fisher’s time here at Texas A&M and we wish him the best in his future endeavors,” Texas A&M athletics director Ross Bjork said in a statement. The Aggies will finish off their regular season with Abilene Christian University and top-25 LSU.

The Guy Benson Show for 11/08/23 ~ Byron York, Chief political correspondent, Washington Examiner, Fox News contributor, author of The Daily Memo ~ Congressman Chip Roy is the Representative for Texas' 21st Congressional District ~ Patrick Ruffini, a cofounder of Echelon Insights, a polling and analytics firm & author of the band new book Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP ~Mollie Hemingway Editor-in-Chief at The Federalist, Fox News Contributor & Co-Author of Justice on Trial Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Subscribe to The Realignment to access our exclusive Q&A episodes and support the show: https://realignment.supercast.com/REALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/PURCHASE BOOKS AT OUR BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignmentEmail Us: realignmentpod@gmail.comFoundation for American Innovation: https://www.thefai.org/posts/lincoln-becomes-faiPatrick Ruffini, author of Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP and cofounder of Echelon Insights, joins The Realignment. Marshall and Patrick discuss how Trump assembled the most diverse Republican presidential coalition in history in 2020, how and why the GOP became the party of non-college educated workers, what the potential GOP populist coalition could look like, and how these trends could realign the American political system over the next few decades. 

Kristen Soltis Anderson is a GOP pollster, messaging strategist, and Founding Partner of Echelon Insights, an opinion research and analytics firm that serves brands, trade associations, nonprofits, and political clients. Through her work at Echelon, she regularly advises corporate and government leaders. Kristen also leads focus groups for The New York Times' opinion section “America […]

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