Podcast appearances and mentions of kyle kondik

On this episode: House majorities have grown razor-thin in recent elections, with three cycles in a row decided by just a handful of seats. Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball joins to explain how voter sorting, redistricting changes, and a shrinking battlefield are shaping the odds for 2026. He breaks down why historical midterm trends may be less reliable, how key states like New York, Ohio, and Wisconsin could swing control, and why even small shifts—just one or two seats—can have outsized effects.Read Kondik's analysis: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/the-house-a-big-sort-lowers-the-odds-of-a-big-wave/ Explore our ‘26 House elections page: https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2026 This year, we're hoping to learn more about our audience and what topics you want us to tackle. Complete a brief 5 minute survey to review the show and share some feedback: https://forms.gle/zPxYSog5civyvEKX6 Sign up for our Newsletters: https://ballotpedia.org/Ballotpedia_Email_Updates Stream "On the Ballot" on Spotify or wherever you listen to podcasts. If you have questions, comments, or love for BP, feel free to reach out at ontheballot@ballotpedia.org or on X (formerly Twitter) @Ballotpedia.*On The Ballot is a conversational podcast featuring interviews with guests across the political spectrum. The views and opinions expressed by them are solely their own and are not representative of the views of the host or Ballotpedia as a whole.

On this episode: Split-ticket voting, also known as ticket splitting, occurs when voters choose candidates from different parties in a single election — voting Republican Donald Trump for president and Democratic congressional candidates, for example. In today's partisan political landscape, many outlets and pundits did not expect there to be significant levels of split ticket voting this cycle. Though as the dust settles nearly a month after the election, ticket splitting looks to have played a big role in some of the tightest races.  Kyle Kondik — managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics — joins the show long with Ballotpedia managing editor Cory Eucalittlo to pore over the data and highlight the biggest surprises and trends to keep an eye out for in ‘26.  Sign up for our Newsletters: https://ballotpedia.org/Ballotpedia_Email_Updates  Stream "On the Ballot" on Spotify or wherever you listen to podcasts. If you have questions, comments, or love for BP, feel free to reach out at ontheballot@ballotpedia.org or on X (formerly Twitter) @Ballotpedia. *On The Ballot is a conversational podcast featuring interviews with guests across the political spectrum. The views and opinions expressed by them are solely their own and are not representative of the views of the host or Ballotpedia as a whole.

Elections Analyst & Managing Editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball Kyle Kondik gives his crystal ball ratings for the House, Senate, and Presidential races.

Since Vice President Kamala Harris became the Democratic presidential nominee, the story of this election cycle has been how close the race appears to be. Now, with only 10 days until Election Day, former President Trump and Vice President Harris remain neck-and-neck — but could last-minute momentum change the state of the race? Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, discusses why the race remains so tight, what he's learning from early voting and recent polls, and how he believes the race may change during these final days. The FBI has opened an investigation into the leak of top-secret U.S. intelligence documents relating to a potential attack on Iranian targets by Israel. As the fallout from that continues, talks are set to resume between Arab nations and Israel on a possible ceasefire as tensions continue to reach a fever pitch in the region. FOX News Contributor and Former CIA Bureau Chief Dan Hoffman details how these developments could affect diplomacy and the intelligence community. Plus, a look at what North Korean soldiers joining the Russians in Ukraine means for the greater international order, and the potential for foreign entities to sow discord in U.S. elections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Since Vice President Kamala Harris became the Democratic presidential nominee, the story of this election cycle has been how close the race appears to be. Now, with only 10 days until Election Day, former President Trump and Vice President Harris remain neck-and-neck — but could last-minute momentum change the state of the race? Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, discusses why the race remains so tight, what he's learning from early voting and recent polls, and how he believes the race may change during these final days. The FBI has opened an investigation into the leak of top-secret U.S. intelligence documents relating to a potential attack on Iranian targets by Israel. As the fallout from that continues, talks are set to resume between Arab nations and Israel on a possible ceasefire as tensions continue to reach a fever pitch in the region. FOX News Contributor and Former CIA Bureau Chief Dan Hoffman details how these developments could affect diplomacy and the intelligence community. Plus, a look at what North Korean soldiers joining the Russians in Ukraine means for the greater international order, and the potential for foreign entities to sow discord in U.S. elections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The old wisdom held that Democrats could rely on the votes of those in the Black and Latino communities - often immigrant families that felt that party were on their side. But in recent elections that has started to shift. Kamala Harris is struggling to win the Black vote at the same levels Joe Biden won it in 2020, which pushed him over the line. And her latest pitch is an economic plan specifically tailored to Black men. Is this smart or reductive? And can Trump capitalise on that gap? We're joined by Luis Sanchez, who's on the ground in Wisconsin.Later, what are the polls telling us now and how much should we trust them? We're with Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball - the electoral gurus who break down the numbers.Editor: Tom HughesExecutive Producer: Louis DegenhardtProducers: Rory Symon & Natalie Indge Digital Editor: Michaela WaltersSocial Media Editor: Georgia FoxwellVideo Production: Rory Symon, Shane Fennelly & Arvind BadewalDigital Journalists: Michael Baggs & Jacob PaulAudio clips courtesy of BBC Breakfast and Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg on BBC One.Don't forget you can also subscribe to our other News Agents podcasts via the link below:https://linktr.ee/thenewsagents You can listen to this episode on Alexa - just say "Alexa, ask Global Player to play The News Agents"And you can grab your News Agents merch, including t-shirts, hoodies and water bottles at the link below.https://store.global.com/collections/the-news-agentsThe News Agents is brought to you by HSBC UK - https://www.hsbc.co.uk/

0:00 - Dan & Amy react to Kamala's 60 Minutes interview   11:48 - Kamala on 60 Minutes: her Glock   30:44 - Kamala calls DeSantis irresponsible for ducking her calls   45:22 - Randy Niemeyer, running for Congress in Indiana's 1st Congressional District, is confident that if the voters turn out he can win in a historically blue district. Help support Randy Niemeyer for Indiana District 1 niemeyerforcongress.com   57:26 - In-depth History with Frank from Arlington Heights   01:00:46 - Former Chief Asst. U.S. Attorney & Contributing Editor at National Review, Andrew McCarthy, on Jack Smith's Damning, Political, and Legally Flawed J6 Filing against Trump. Andy is also the author of  Ball of Collusion: The Plot to Rig an Election and Destroy a Presidency   01:19:23 - President at Wirepoints, Ted Dabrowski, reacts to Brandon Johnson's school board takeover. Get Ted's latest at wirepoints.org   01:35:34 - CEO of Palladium Pictures, Michael Pack, discusses his new documentary  Get the Jew: Brooklyn, 1991. Get the Jew is part of the WSJ Opinion Docs series. Watch the 20min film for free wsj.com/video/wsj-opinion 01:51:52 - Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball and University of Virginia Center for Politics Director of Communications, goes through the methodology of political polling. Follow Kyle on X @kkondikSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Along with everything else that's on the ballot this election year, so is the U.S. House of Representatives. All nine seats of Arizona's congressional delegation are before voters, but in reality, only two are expected to have any suspense. Congressional district 1 features a showdown between Republican Congressman David Schweikert and Democratic Dr. Amish Shah. Congressional District 6 is a rematch between Republican Juan Ciscomani and former state Sen. Kirsten Engel. This week on The Gaggle, a politics podcast by The Arizona Republic and azcentral.com, host Ron Hansen is joined by one of the Republic's national politics reporters Laura Gersony to talk through who the competitors are for these districts and how they define themselves. Later, Kyle Kondik joins The Gaggle. He is the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. He clues us in on how the results of Arizona's election will have a seismic impact on who holds power in Congress for the next two years. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We are less than two months away from Election Day now, so what can we learn from those weekly polls? Should we even pay attention to them?  Our guest today analyzes American campaigns and elections. Kyle Kondik is the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. He explains how polls work in today's world, why the polls failed in 2016, and whether we should rely on them this time around.   Learn more about Kyle Kondik: https://www.theNewsWorthy.com/shownotes Sign-up for Sabato's Crystal Ball newsletter: centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/  Sign-up for our bonus weekly EMAIL: https://www.theNewsWorthy.com/email Become an INSIDER for AD-FREE episodes: https://www.theNewsWorthy.com/insider   Episode sponsors: Head to lumen.me/NEWSWORTHY for 15% off your purchase Go to Quince.com/newsworthy for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. To advertise on our podcast, please reach out to libsynads@libsyn.com #election #polling #trumpharris    

On this episode: Kyle Kondik–the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics–joins the show to discuss the recent assassination attempt on Donald Trump (R), Trump's choice of J.D. Vance (R) as his running mate, and how Joe Biden's (D) debate performance may affect presidential polling. Plus – more on Senate/House projections, abortion ballot measures, and how plausible it is that Biden actually steps out of the race. Follow Kyle on X: https://x.com/kkondik  Check out Sabato's latest polling and reporting: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/  Sign up for our Newsletters: https://ballotpedia.org/Ballotpedia_Email_Updates  Stream "On the Ballot" on Spotify or wherever you listen to podcasts. If you have questions, comments, or love for BP, feel free to reach out at ontheballot@ballotpedia.org or on X (formerly Twitter) @Ballotpedia. *On The Ballot is a conversational podcast featuring interviews with guests across the political spectrum. The views and opinions expressed by them are solely their own and are not representative of the views of the host or Ballotpedia as a whole.

 This past week, Hunter Biden became the first child of a sitting President to be convicted of a crime. Though the verdict initially seemed like it could have negative political implications for his father, some media headlines say the jury's decision ‘shatters' the Trump campaign's narrative that the Justice Department is unfairly targeting the former President. Host of 'The Guy Benson Show,' Guy Benson, shares his thoughts on how the historic conviction could impact the 2024 race, whether President Biden will end up pardoning his son or commuting his sentence, and why Hunter's case can't accurately be compared to the Former President's.    The veepstakes are underway! Former President Donald Trump has nearly a month to choose his running mate for the 2024 election, and there are several well-known individuals on his not-so-short list. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, discusses Trump's possible VP picks and their potential impact on his campaign. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 This past week, Hunter Biden became the first child of a sitting President to be convicted of a crime. Though the verdict initially seemed like it could have negative political implications for his father, some media headlines say the jury's decision ‘shatters' the Trump campaign's narrative that the Justice Department is unfairly targeting the former President. Host of 'The Guy Benson Show,' Guy Benson, shares his thoughts on how the historic conviction could impact the 2024 race, whether President Biden will end up pardoning his son or commuting his sentence, and why Hunter's case can't accurately be compared to the Former President's.    The veepstakes are underway! Former President Donald Trump has nearly a month to choose his running mate for the 2024 election, and there are several well-known individuals on his not-so-short list. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, discusses Trump's possible VP picks and their potential impact on his campaign. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

 This past week, Hunter Biden became the first child of a sitting President to be convicted of a crime. Though the verdict initially seemed like it could have negative political implications for his father, some media headlines say the jury's decision ‘shatters' the Trump campaign's narrative that the Justice Department is unfairly targeting the former President. Host of 'The Guy Benson Show,' Guy Benson, shares his thoughts on how the historic conviction could impact the 2024 race, whether President Biden will end up pardoning his son or commuting his sentence, and why Hunter's case can't accurately be compared to the Former President's.    The veepstakes are underway! Former President Donald Trump has nearly a month to choose his running mate for the 2024 election, and there are several well-known individuals on his not-so-short list. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, discusses Trump's possible VP picks and their potential impact on his campaign. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

All eyes are on the 2024 election and global concerns about the impact of AI are rampant, especially with deep fakes and disinformation campaigns from hostile governments and nefarious actors. In this special episode, host Tammy Haddad interviews two of the nation's leading forces for safety and security in elections, Jen Easterly, Director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Joined by UVA's Kyle Kondik, this conversation was recorded on Friday, April 5 with a live audience at the 25th anniversary celebration of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. A special collaboration with the Center's Politics Is Everything podcast.

Kyle Kondik and Carah Ong Whaley discuss Senator Mitch McConnell's legacy after he announced his intention to step down from his role as Senate Republican Leader effective November 2024. They also talk about the Michigan presidential primary election results; the impact of district changes after the New York State Assembly and Senate both passed a new New York Congressional map this week that was signed into law by Governor Kathy Hochul; a preview of the California Congressional primary; and the recent history of split-ticket voting in presidential and Senate elections.  Links in this episode:  The Postwar History of Senate/Presidential Ticket-Splitting, Part Two Notes on the State of Politics: Feb. 28, 2024

Kyle Kondik and Carah Ong Whaley discuss recent political developments and new analyses on the Crystal Ball, including reduced split-ticket voting in Senate elections, updates on 2024 Senate contests, insights from the NY-3 special election results and the significance of New York redistricting for the House of Representatives. They also highlight the decreasing number of competitive House seats and the potential impact on future control of the House. Links in this episode Notes on the State of the Senate Big NY-3 Win Brings Democrats Ever Closer in the House

In this episode, Kyle Kondik and Carah Ong Whaley discuss the recent Nevada caucus and primary results and dive into the potential impact of ticket-splitting in down-ballot House of Representatives elections this year. Rich Thau, president of Engagious, also joins Carah, Tyler Busch, Zoe Shook, and Etienne Ouellette to discuss focus groups with voters in key states for the 2024 elections. The 2024 Deciders is a project with Sago and Syracuse University's Institute for Democracy, Journalism and Citizenship, In the presidential elections The Race for the House, Part One The Race for the House, Part Two Engagious - 2024 Deciders

With the 2024 election less than a year away, Kyle Kondick, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics' nonpartisan election forecasting newsletter joins the podcast to look at our electoral landscape—both presidential and congressional—from 30,000 feet. Have a listen as Kyle and Adam discuss Biden's vulnerabilities as an incumbent, the precarious senate map for Democrats and whether or not the youth vote can really tip the scales next year at the ballot box. All things Kyle here: https://www.kylekondik.com/Kyle on X: @kkondikCheck out Sabato's Crystal Ball here: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/Thanks for helping us save democracy one episode at a time! Join the Dirty Moderate Nation on Substack! Tell us what you think on Twitter! Are you registered to VOTE?

The Breakdown is live w/ guest Kyle KondikThis week on The Breakdown we're welcoming Kyle Kondik, managing editor of “Sabato's Crystal Ball” at the University of Virginia Center for Politics' authoritative, nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections.Don't miss a moment – watch now, share on social media, and follow The Lincoln Project below. Join the fight at LincolnProject.us! MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODESabato's Crystal Ball – https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ FOLLOW Kyle KondikTWITTER: @kkondikFOLLOW LINCOLN PROJECTTWITTER: https://bit.ly/3zwZFva INSTAGRAM: https://bit.ly/31yyrHR FACEBOOK: https://bit.ly/3zCBHhT PODCAST: https://apple.co/3G7zr4L

President Joe Biden turned 81 years old this past week, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. His birthday put an even brighter spotlight on the age issue that seems to be plaguing his poll numbers.   Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joined the Rundown's Dave Anthony to discuss the growing concern among Democrats over Biden being over the hill and incapable of serving four more years.   Kondik also explained how other factors are playing into Biden's struggles, including voters being dissatisfied with his handling of the economy. However, he does note there is still time for the President to turn things around and why another Democrat replacing him on the ballot does not seem likely.   We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with political analyst Kyle Kondik. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even more of his take on the 2024 race and why President Biden's reelection campaign appears to be an uphill battle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Joe Biden turned 81 years old this past week, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. His birthday put an even brighter spotlight on the age issue that seems to be plaguing his poll numbers.   Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joined the Rundown's Dave Anthony to discuss the growing concern among Democrats over Biden being over the hill and incapable of serving four more years.   Kondik also explained how other factors are playing into Biden's struggles, including voters being dissatisfied with his handling of the economy. However, he does note there is still time for the President to turn things around and why another Democrat replacing him on the ballot does not seem likely.   We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with political analyst Kyle Kondik. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even more of his take on the 2024 race and why President Biden's reelection campaign appears to be an uphill battle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Joe Biden turned 81 years old this past week, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. His birthday put an even brighter spotlight on the age issue that seems to be plaguing his poll numbers.   Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joined the Rundown's Dave Anthony to discuss the growing concern among Democrats over Biden being over the hill and incapable of serving four more years.   Kondik also explained how other factors are playing into Biden's struggles, including voters being dissatisfied with his handling of the economy. However, he does note there is still time for the President to turn things around and why another Democrat replacing him on the ballot does not seem likely.   We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with political analyst Kyle Kondik. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even more of his take on the 2024 race and why President Biden's reelection campaign appears to be an uphill battle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Major U.S. airlines are bracing for a record number of flyers during this Thanksgiving travel season, with one report projecting about 29.9 million passengers between November 17th and 27th. Travel issues arise during high-volume periods but many still remember in January 2023 when all planes in America were grounded by the Federal Aviation Administration for the first time since 9/11, stemming from a computer system error. U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg joins the Rundown to discuss why he's confident in the FAA this year, his faith in the future of electric vehicles and the resilience of America's travel infrastructure. President Joe Biden turned 81 years old on Monday, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. Voters have expressed concern about President Biden's age, saying he is too old to be an effective leader. In fact, recent polling shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead by two points. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joins the Rundown to discuss how Biden's age will affect his reelection campaign and why Bidenomics isn't resonating with voters. Plus, commentary by Fox News Contributor and author of “The Magnificent Mischief of Tad Lincoln,” Raymond Arroyo. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Major U.S. airlines are bracing for a record number of flyers during this Thanksgiving travel season, with one report projecting about 29.9 million passengers between November 17th and 27th. Travel issues arise during high-volume periods but many still remember in January 2023 when all planes in America were grounded by the Federal Aviation Administration for the first time since 9/11, stemming from a computer system error. U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg joins the Rundown to discuss why he's confident in the FAA this year, his faith in the future of electric vehicles and the resilience of America's travel infrastructure. President Joe Biden turned 81 years old on Monday, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. Voters have expressed concern about President Biden's age, saying he is too old to be an effective leader. In fact, recent polling shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead by two points. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joins the Rundown to discuss how Biden's age will affect his reelection campaign and why Bidenomics isn't resonating with voters. Plus, commentary by Fox News Contributor and author of “The Magnificent Mischief of Tad Lincoln,” Raymond Arroyo. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Major U.S. airlines are bracing for a record number of flyers during this Thanksgiving travel season, with one report projecting about 29.9 million passengers between November 17th and 27th. Travel issues arise during high-volume periods but many still remember in January 2023 when all planes in America were grounded by the Federal Aviation Administration for the first time since 9/11, stemming from a computer system error. U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg joins the Rundown to discuss why he's confident in the FAA this year, his faith in the future of electric vehicles and the resilience of America's travel infrastructure. President Joe Biden turned 81 years old on Monday, making him the oldest person to serve as commander-in-chief. Voters have expressed concern about President Biden's age, saying he is too old to be an effective leader. In fact, recent polling shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead by two points. Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, joins the Rundown to discuss how Biden's age will affect his reelection campaign and why Bidenomics isn't resonating with voters. Plus, commentary by Fox News Contributor and author of “The Magnificent Mischief of Tad Lincoln,” Raymond Arroyo. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Kyle Kondik and Carah Ong Whaley talk with Patrick Ruffini, a Founding Partner of Echelon Insights and Republican pollster about his new book Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. The book examines an unfolding political realignment especially along class lines with implications for the 2024 elections and beyond.

Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: University of Virginia's Center for Politics' Kyle Kondik about how the balance of power in Congress will shaped by the large number of incumbents not seeking reelection. Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino about new approval rating numbers for President Joe Biden on his 81st birthday. Bloomberg Government Congress Reporter Jack Fitzpatrick about what to expect when Congress returns from Thanksgiving recess. Co-Founder of the House Freedom Caucus and former Republican Congressman Mick Mulvaney about the relationship between Speaker Mike Johnson and the conservative wing of the Republican conference in the House. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On Tuesday, November 7, 2023 voters in several states will go to the polls to cast ballots in state and local elections. Many voters have already cast a ballot early in-person or by mail. Kyle Kondik and Carah Ong Whaley discuss the Crystal Ball's mega preview of some of the key elections we are watching: gubernatorial elections in Kentucky and Mississippi; the state legislative contests in Virginia; an abortion-related ballot issue in Ohio; and a state Supreme Court race in Pennsylvania.  Links in this episode:  A 2023 Election Mega-Preview

Bellwether and swing states are often the battlegrounds upon which the US presidential race is won. Historically, Ohio has been one of the most important - but that is changing. So which states matter the most for the upcoming 2024 election? And how will Trump or Biden (or anyone else) win them over? Kyle Kondik is the Author of ‘The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the president”. He joins Alex Andreou in The Bunker. “We're seeing a shift in the key states in the electoral college, partially due to Trump.” - Kyle Kondik. “Both Trump and Biden have over 50% unfavorability, these voters tend to skew to the right but were not a fan of what happened on January 6th. These voters are likely to decide the next election” - Kyle Kondik.  “Both Biden and Trump's ability to tell a story defines the ground they are battling over” - Alex Andreou. www.patreon.com/bunkercast Book Link: https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Bellwether Written and presented by Alex Andreou. Producer: Chris Jones. Assistant Producer: Adam Wright Music by Kenny Dickinson. Audio production: Robin Leeburn        . Managing Editor: Jacob Jarvis. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison. THE BUNKER is a Podmasters Production Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The past several election cycles, North Carolina is often mentioned among the potential swing states and receives a lot of attention.    But recent analysis shows as few as three or four states will make a difference in the presidential election. Does North Carolina make the cut?    Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, joins host Tim Boyum with the answer, a long discussion about the 2024 presidential race in North Carolina and our congressional races and race for governor.

Recent political wins by Ohio Democrats have some thinking that the state might be swinging more towards being a "purple" state. But that might be wishful thinking. On this week's episode of Snollygoster, host Mike Thompson talks with Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.

The House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer released a memo detailing evidence of the Biden family's foreign business dealings, including redacted bank records which the GOP claims will reveal millions of dollars in payment to Hunter Biden from Russian and Kazakhstani oligarchs. House Oversight says they believe they can tie the folks contributing millions to Hunter's businesses abroad to President Biden himself. Congressman Pat Fallon (R-TX) argues there is a concerning pattern with Hunter Biden's business dealings and says he believes eventually the evidence will uncover a massive political scandal. On the Rundown, Rep. Fallon explains what Hunter Biden's bank documents reveal, the Democrats' response to them, and the continued search for a smoking gun in this investigation. Earlier this week, voters in an Ohio special election rejected a measure that would have made it more difficult to change the state's constitution. The current system required a simple majority to make amendments; however, the defeated GOP-backed measure had proposed raising the threshold to a 60 percent supermajority. Many pundits and pro-choice activists warned that if passed, this would severely curtail Ohioans' ability to pass the abortion rights amendment scheduled for a state ballot initiative in November. While the vote is still months away, this sets the stage for Ohio voters to codify abortion rights. On the podcast, Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball, breaks down why this special election was indirectly a vote on abortion rights, why this Republican-backed measure was defeated, and how this will affect Ohioans on the November ballot. Plus, commentary by former FBI Special Agent Nicole Parker. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer released a memo detailing evidence of the Biden family's foreign business dealings, including redacted bank records which the GOP claims will reveal millions of dollars in payment to Hunter Biden from Russian and Kazakhstani oligarchs. House Oversight says they believe they can tie the folks contributing millions to Hunter's businesses abroad to President Biden himself. Congressman Pat Fallon (R-TX) argues there is a concerning pattern with Hunter Biden's business dealings and says he believes eventually the evidence will uncover a massive political scandal. On the Rundown, Rep. Fallon explains what Hunter Biden's bank documents reveal, the Democrats' response to them, and the continued search for a smoking gun in this investigation. Earlier this week, voters in an Ohio special election rejected a measure that would have made it more difficult to change the state's constitution. The current system required a simple majority to make amendments; however, the defeated GOP-backed measure had proposed raising the threshold to a 60 percent supermajority. Many pundits and pro-choice activists warned that if passed, this would severely curtail Ohioans' ability to pass the abortion rights amendment scheduled for a state ballot initiative in November. While the vote is still months away, this sets the stage for Ohio voters to codify abortion rights. On the podcast, Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball, breaks down why this special election was indirectly a vote on abortion rights, why this Republican-backed measure was defeated, and how this will affect Ohioans on the November ballot. Plus, commentary by former FBI Special Agent Nicole Parker. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

All GOP candidates that Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin endorsed won their primary bids Tuesday with large margins. Progressives also had a good night including ousting the only pro-life Democrat while three progressive district attorney candidates backed by George Soros won. FOX's Alex Hogan speaks with Kyle Kondik, political analyst and managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, about the results of the Virginia primary and if they say anything about the national political stage. Click Here To Follow 'The FOX News Rundown: Evening Edition' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

All GOP candidates that Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin endorsed won their primary bids Tuesday with large margins. Progressives also had a good night including ousting the only pro-life Democrat while three progressive district attorney candidates backed by George Soros won. FOX's Alex Hogan speaks with Kyle Kondik, political analyst and managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, about the results of the Virginia primary and if they say anything about the national political stage. Click Here To Follow 'The FOX News Rundown: Evening Edition' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Joe Mathieu delivers insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy.  On this edition, Joe speaks with:  Bloomberg National Politics Reporter Mark Niquette on the state of the 2024 presidential race.  Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, on outlook for the 2024 presidential race and the GOP's ‘Roast and Ride' event in Iowa.  Bloomberg Politics Contributors Jeanne Sheehan Zaino and Rick Davis on the 2024 presidential race, Ukraine, US-China relations, and the defense summit in Singapore.  Mick Mulvaney, Former-OMB Director and Former-Acting White House Chief of Staff on the latest with the 2024 presidential race.  Clay Seigle, Global Oil Service Director with Rapidan Energy Group, on outcomes from the latest OPEC+ meeting.  Bloomberg Deputy Team Leader and Equities Reporter Jess Menton on the markets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this West Virginia Morning, it's still a year away, but already, West Virginia's U.S. Senate election is set to be one of the most competitive and most watched in the country. To get an idea of how it might shape up, Curtis Tate spoke with Kyle Kondik, communications director for the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The post A Look At Upcoming Elections On This West Virginia Morning appeared first on West Virginia Public Broadcasting.

We're chatting with one of our favorite fellow election analysts on this week's episode of The Downballot, Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball. Kyle helped call races last year for CBS and gives us a rare window inside a TV network's election night decision desk, which literally has a big button to call control of the House—that no one got to press. Kyle also dives into his new race ratings for the 2024 Senate map, including why he thinks Joe Manchin's unlikely tight-rope act might finally come to an end.In their Weekly Hits, co-hosts David Nir and David Beard recap big developments in two Senate contests: Rep. Adam Schiff's entry into the race to succeed Dianne Feinstein, and the GOP's unexpected show of unity in the open-seat election in Indiana. They also dissect the first poll of this year's hotly contested race for governor in Kentucky and highlight another 2023 battle that shouldn't get overlooked: the race for a vacant seat on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court.Transcript available here.

This week marked significant changes for Senate Democrats. On Tuesday, incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock won re-election in Georgia, giving Democrats a larger Senate majority with 51 seats. Meanwhile, Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema announced she would be leaving the Democratic party and registering as an Independent. The news will not change the Senate makeup as she does not intend to caucus with Republicans. Managing Editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball, University of Virginia Center for Politics, Kyle Kondik shares why Georgia's Senate race was so significant, what the Democrats' expanded majority means for the next two years, and whether or not it will impact the likelihood of major legislative accomplishments. The Head of the Commodity Future Tradings Commission Rostin Behnam told Senators at the Senate Agriculture Committee Hearing he has no direct authority to regulate cash digital commodity markets, which is arguably the reason that cryptocurrency company FTX collapsed last month. Senators have taken it upon themselves to propose the Lummis-Gillibrand Responsible Financial Innovation Act, in hopes to fix this absence of regulation. Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) details the content of her bill, states that she believes there will be major consequences for principles at FTX as well as Sam Bankman-Fried, and agrees that this collapse could have been avoided. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Krystal and Saagar bring the news about Russia striking Ukraine, Crimea bridge explosion, Biden's warning, Trump's call for diplomacy, Biden's weed policies, Uvalde firing police officers, Assange vs Bolton, Starbucks CEO, TV revolution, & midterm ad spending! To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and Spotify Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623  Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl  Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/ Kyle Kondik: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-2022-ad-wars/  https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Long+Red+Thread  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Krystal and Saagar bring the news about Russia striking Ukraine, Crimea bridge explosion, Biden's warning, Trump's call for diplomacy, Biden's weed policies, Uvalde firing police officers, Assange vs Bolton, Starbucks CEO, TV revolution, & midterm ad spending!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Kyle Kondik: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-2022-ad-wars/ https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Long+Red+Thread  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What does the latest CBS News Battleground Tracker tell us about the nationally important Georgia Senate race? Face the Nation Moderator Margaret Brennan breaks down the numbers with CBS News Elections & Surveys Director Anthony Salvanto, CBS News Deputy Director of Elections and Data Analytics Kabir Khanna, and the managing editor of the Sabato Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, Kyle Kondik.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This midterm cycle there are high stakes in campaigns for governors' mansions and the winners will impact everything from state elections to reproductive rights. Republicans have dominated the gubernatorial landscape but there are 36 races that could change the breakdown. Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics joined Geoff Bennet to discuss. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

Krystal and Saagar cover the Roe political fallout, Ohio GOP and Dem primary results, Fed raising rates, Starbucks union busting, DIY abortions, SCOTUS retrospective on culture war, Dems failures on abortion, and election analysis with Kyle Kondik! To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and Spotify Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623  Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl  Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/ Kyle Kondik: https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Long+Red+Thread  https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/author/kyle-kondik/   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Krystal and Saagar cover the Roe political fallout, Ohio GOP and Dem primary results, Fed raising rates, Starbucks union busting, DIY abortions, SCOTUS retrospective on culture war, Dems failures on abortion, and election analysis with Kyle Kondik!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Kyle Kondik: https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Long+Red+Thread https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/author/kyle-kondik/   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

JD Vance spoke recently at a Donald Trump rally in Delaware County Ohio last weekend. He was publicly boasting about the endorsement he had just gotten from "the big man," touting his newfound benefactor as the future 47th President of the United States. Trump's backing of Vance, author of the best-selling Hillbilly Elegy, was a head-spinning moment in the wild and woolly Ohio Republican primary. Just six years ago, when Trump was first running for President, Vance excoriated him, writing in one recently revealed text message to his former college roommate, "I go back and forth thinking Trump is a cynical asshole like Nixon who wouldn't be that bad and might even prove useful or that he's America's Hitler." But that was then, and whatever Vance thought of Trump's politics at the time, he's abandoned those views of yesteryear seeing in a full embrace of Donald Trump the key to victory in the Senate race. Next month starts a wave of primaries in Ohio, Georgia, and Pennsylvania that will provide the strongest clues yet on just how much of a hold on Republican voters that Trump still has. Yahoo News' Tom LoBianco joins to discuss the recent Trump rally. Then Kyle Kondik, the Managing Editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball Newsletter that tracks congressional elections.GUEST:Kyle Kondik (@kkondik), American elections commentator & analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for PoliticsTom LoBianco (@tomlobianco), Politics reporter @yahoonews, Mike Pence biographer: “Piety & Power”HOSTS:Michael Isikoff (@Isikoff), Chief Investigative Correspondent, Yahoo NewsDaniel Klaidman (@dklaidman), Editor in Chief, Yahoo NewsVictoria Bassetti (@VBass), fellow, Brennan Center for Justice (contributing co-host)RESOURCES:LoBianco's latest piece on the primaries in Ohio - Here.Trump holds rally in Ohio in support of Vance - Here.Follow us on Twitter: @SkullduggeryPodListen and subscribe to "Skullduggery" on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.Email us with feedback, questions or tips: SkullduggeryPod@yahoo.com. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Krystal and Saagar provide the new comments from Biden on regime change in Russia, peace deal negotiations, Biden's billionaires tax, defense budget increase, recession indicators, Hunter Biden revelations, worst Will Smith takes, independent media future, China lockdowns, and the 2022 midterms outlook! To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/ To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and Spotify Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623  Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl  Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/ Kyle Kondik: http://www.kylekondik.com/  https://www.amazon.com/Long-Red-Thread-Democratic-Republican/dp/0821424424  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Krystal and Saagar provide the new comments from Biden on regime change in Russia, peace deal negotiations, Biden's billionaires tax, defense budget increase, recession indicators, Hunter Biden revelations, worst Will Smith takes, independent media future, China lockdowns, and the 2022 midterms outlook!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Kyle Kondik: http://www.kylekondik.com/ https://www.amazon.com/Long-Red-Thread-Democratic-Republican/dp/0821424424  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Krystal and Saagar cover the latest on the Ukraine-Russia situation, Canada's new emergency measures against the truckers, a new set of awful polling for Biden and Trump, AOC's weak comments on Pelosi, Sarah Palin's defamation lawsuit against the New York Times, Trevor Noah's DNC comedy, why the truckers won, 2022 midterm forecast with Kyle Kondik, & more!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Kyle Kondik: http://www.kylekondik.com/ https://www.amazon.com/Long-Red-Thread-Democratic-Republican/dp/0821424424  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Krystal and Saagar discuss the passing of the bipartisan infrastructure bill, courts halting Biden's vaccine mandate, worker activity across America, CNN being out of touch, Astroworld tragedy, following the money, where is Joe Biden, going deep in the election results with Kyle Kondik, and more!To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/To listen to Breaking Points as a podcast, check them out on Apple and SpotifyApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar/id1570045623 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Kbsy61zJSzPxNZZ3PKbXl Merch: https://breaking-points.myshopify.com/Kyle Kondik's Book: https://www.ohioswallow.com/book/The+Long+Red+Thread  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.