Podcasts about tf metals report

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Best podcasts about tf metals report

Latest podcast episodes about tf metals report

The KE Report
Craig Hemke – Unusual Intra-day Swings In Gold and Silver Since Last Week In This Post-war and Post-Fed Meeting Environment

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 19:12


In this Daily Editorial, Craig Hemke, Founder and Publisher of the TF Metals Report, joins me to analyze the unusual intra-day swings in the precious metals market ever since the signing of the US/Iran MOU ending the war, and since Kevin Warsh chaired his first FED meeting and addressed the markets last week.   In this episode, we cover:   Technical Levels to Watch:   Craig comments on the break-down in gold and silver below the 200-day moving average, resulting in weakening pricing momentum. This is creating the potential for gold to dip below it's double bottom around $4,100 and silver to retest or dip below its double bottom around $61.   Even if gold breaks below $4,000 into the mid $3,000s or if Silver breaks $61 and heads down to the $54 support level from last falls “double-top,” Craig points out that still would not invalidate the larger bull market trend of the last few years. He points out we may need that last capitulation move this summer to wash out any remaining weak hands, and to then base and bring in the new buyers that cause shorts to cover and begin a new upleg. We review again the very low “open interest” levels on the COT report, and how this lower level of market participation can cause unusual intra-day price swings in both directions.   Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting and Press Conference:   We contrasted the outlook and approach Kevin Warsh outlined last week versus the approach to data collection and forecasting that his predecessor Jerome Powell had taken. The markets took Warsh's comments "this committee will deliver price stability,"  to be a hawkish hold, since he indicated focusing on the higher inflation readings. The Fed funds futures are now anticipating 1-2 rate hikes this year versus the initially market anticipated rate cuts, coming into this year.   The Macroeconomic Fundamentals Haven't Changed:   Sovereign debt remains at record levels and most nations can not endure interest rates that go up to drastically. Throughout history, central banks have opted for printing more money and driving interest rates meaningfully lower, to inflate their way out of economic challenges, and to pay off higher interest debt with lower-rate debt.  Even if we see some initial hawkish rate hikes, Craigs doesn't anticipate that we'd have long to wait after that before monetary policy adjusts course in the opposite direction, in a more dovish playbook. Overall, central banks continue to add gold to their balance sheets versus adding more US or foreign treasuries. We also noted that many individuals and financial institutions have been rotating some of their bond holdings into the precious metals complex. All that really changed over the last few months was the black swan of a war in the Middle East; and now that it appears to be winding down, we'll see if the prior pre-war trends reassert themselves over the fullness of time.   Click here to visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report – https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Is the Gold Bull Market Back? Technicals vs. Fundamentals

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2026 22:20


In this Daily Editorial, Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins us to analyze the recent surge in the precious metals market. With gold and silver breaking key technical levels, we discuss whether this is a sustainable trend or just a "dead cat bounce." In this episode, we cover: Technical Levels to Watch: Craig breaks down the "double bottom" in gold and silver and explains why staying above the 200-day moving average is critical for a bullish outlook. The Dollar Correlation: Why the US Dollar Index (DXY) staying in a tight range is actually providing a tailwind for metals, and what happens if it breaks below 98. Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis: A deep dive into the never-ending debate—does the technical chart predict the future, or are the fundamental drivers of debt and inflation the only things that truly matter?   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ------------------------ For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Mining Stock Daily
Craig Hemke Comments on Gold's Sell-Off Amidst a Stuck FOMC

Mining Stock Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 22:50


Craig Hemke of TF Metals Report returns to Mining Stock Daily for a candid discussion on the recent selloff in precious metals, rising market volatility, and the macro forces driving investor sentiment. The conversation explores the growing influence of real interest rates, inflation concerns, central bank gold buying, and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve as new leadership prepares for its first major policy decision. Craig also shares his outlook on gold, mining equities, government debt, geopolitical tensions, and why he believes the long-term case for precious metals remains firmly intact despite today's uncertainty.

gold stuck federal reserve selloff fomc craig hemke tf metals report
The KE Report
Craig Hemke – Technical and Fundamental Outlook For Gold, Silver, and PM Equities After The Market Bloodbath Last Friday

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 17:20


Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me to reflect on the technical outlook and fundamental factors fueling the longer-term precious metals bull market, after the market bloodbath and strong corrective move to end last week in gold, silver, and the precious metals equities. He breaks down what aspects have be pressuring the precious metals complex over the last few months, culminating the extreme selling we saw at the end of last week; and what this all means for shorter-duration traders versus longer-term buy-and-hold macro-investors as we look ahead.   Key Discussion Points:   The Aftermath Of Fridays Chart Damage: Gold, (GDX), (GDXJ), (SIL), and (SILJ) all saw pricing on their charts pierce down through the 200-day moving average support to end last week on June 5th. Silver went down and tagged the 200-day, but then dropped below it today in Monday's trading session on June 8th; before closing back above it again. (GDX) Testing The 200-day SMA In Mid-May Was The Early Warning Signal:  Craig mentioned that Gold and the other precious metals ETFs losing their 200-day moving average support levels over the last few trading sessions shouldn't have been a surprise; because the GDX already dipped below this level a couple of weeks back.  He told his subscribers that this was likely coming for gold and silver next, and that is what we've seen play out. Jobs, Inflation, and Manufacturing Data Could Be Setting Up Rate Hikes: While the markets spent the last year convinced we'd see a series of further rate cuts from the Fed and other central banks, the economic data has turned that narrative on its head and now the Fed funds futures markets are not anticipating any cuts, but rather rate hikes by year end. Central Bank Buying Remains The Prime Mover For Gold: After consistent buying from central banks for the last few years, shifted to a few central banks like Turkey and the UAE central banks to start selling gold to address liquidity challenges and stabilize their currencies, the pricing trends followed.  Craig remains encouraged that China has been picking up the slack buying record amounts of gold over the last few months. Additionally, Turkey may be starting to shift back to buying gold again, and other nations with low or no gold reserves may get onto the bid to purchase more gold. The Great Rotation Out Of Bonds And Into Gold Cuts Both Ways: We discussed that as more individuals and nations sell US treasuries to rotate into gold as a reserve asset, that it helps underpin buying in gold but simultaneously raises interest rates which pressures gold. Craig helps parse out those to forces at work in the markets, and how Fed policy may respond to keep the system afloat.  Gold and Silver Producers Sold Off Hard, Ignoring Strong Fundamentals: Even though its been only a few weeks since most precious metals producers reported record Q1 earnings, and Q2 appears to still be one of their strongest quarters in historic terms, the miners were sold without mercy into the end of last week, and that is after having already corrected hard over the last few months. Navigating Algo Trading and Machine-driven Market Volatility: Craig doesn't believe the extreme selling in gold, silver, or the PM equities, last week or even over the last few months has been resource investors parsing out the fundamentals and throwing in the towel.  Instead he believes that high-frequency trading algos keep triggering the selling patterns based off interest rates and currencies moves, war headlines, and expectations that central banks will tighten monetary policies.   Once the algos start selling, then that selling triggers other machine trading selling, and the waterfall declines show up on the charts. Gold Is A Long-Term Store Of Value Preserving Purchasing Power:   Craig wraps us up sharing why he believes the longer-term fundamentals for gold have not changed and are just as strong today as they were at the end of last year or the early spike this year.  He makes the point that gold is the true measuring stick of how much purchasing power that national fiat currencies are losing over time, and that is unlikely to change over the fullness of time. He still anticipates that gold and silver prices will keep rising over time, as fiat units deteriorate, and thus this will translate into higher valuations in the PM equities for patient investors.   Cl   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold CoT Report Update, Copper Strength, & War Headlines

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2026 25:26


In this Daily Editorial, we welcome Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, to dissect a highly volatile session across the commodities landscape. Amid shifting headlines out of the Middle East and a see-saw reaction in traditional stock indices, Craig breaks down why hard assets are reacting inversely to standard war-narrative headlines and what it means for macro-investors moving forward. Key Discussion Points Geopolitical Headlines vs. Market Reality: Why the reopening of tensions in Iran initially triggered a pullback in precious metals, and why theater often drives early-morning price action over baseline fundamentals. The Copper and Silver Correlation: An analysis of Copper's push toward new all-time highs and how this powerful industrial demand component is acting as a safety net to keep Silver well above its key technical baselines. Fiat Currency Dilution & Global M2 Money Supply: How a 17% explosion in global M2 money supply over the last two years forces a structural re-pricing of hard assets across the board. Historic Lows in Commitment of Traders (COT) Open Interest: A look into why futures market open interest is sitting at 20-year lows during a commodities boom, and what happens when institutional money inevitably rushes back in. Navigating Liquid Air Pockets and Volatility: Why thin market liquidity is causing staggering single-day moves in Silver and Gold, and how investors can brace for near-term technical decisions around the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver Markets: Q2 Mining Margins and Technical vs. Fundamental Drivers

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 21:18


In this Daily Editorial, we are joined by Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, to parse through the conflicting signals currently driving the precious metals sector. Despite broader market optimism and a rally in mining stocks today, gold and silver prices have remained relatively flat. Craig shares his insights on what is causing this divergence and what investors should expect next. Key Discussion Points: Navigating Market Optimism and Option Expiration: Craig discusses the broader market indicators, including a rally in the bond market, falling crude oil prices, and the impact of the June gold option expiration day, and how these factors are influencing underlying asset prices. Technical Frustrations vs. Strong Fundamentals: A look at why the short-term technical charts look weak, contrasted against the strong fundamentals, massive free cash flow generation, and aggressive share buybacks currently seen across the mining sector. Evaluating Second-Quarter Expectations: While PM prices are flat/down this quarter after a blowout Q1 margins may not break the consecutive records seen over the last year, Craig explains why Q2 earnings will still be incredibly robust compared to historical averages. Leverage Strategies for Investors: Craig details his personal investment thesis, focusing on why he targets the lowest-cost producers to maximize safety and leverage as the long-term macroeconomic picture unfolds. The Risks of Central Bank Liquidations: A deeper look at what could potentially disrupt the long-term bullish outlook for precious metals, specifically highlighting the threat of sudden central bank selling and currency defenses, as observed with Turkey earlier this year.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver: Any Clarity On Future Direction?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 21:53


In this Daily Editorial, we are joined by Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, to dissect the recent volatile price action across the precious metals sector. As silver maintains its footing in a significantly higher price bracket compared to recent years, Craig provides a technical and fundamental outlook on where the floors and ceilings currently sit for the complex. Key discussion points include: Silver's technical range-bound consolidation: Why the current $65–$95 range is providing critical lines of demarcation for investors and what a breakout above $95 would signify for the next leg higher. The gold-silver ratio and gold's sensitivity: An analysis of why gold has remained relatively stagnant compared to silver and how Federal Reserve rate hike expectations are weighing on the yellow metal. Paradigm shifts in historical pricing: A look at why silver's ability to hold above $85 - despite a rallying US Dollar and rising yields - suggests a fundamental change in market dynamics compared to previous cycles. Copper's influence on the silver trade: Exploring the "Dr. Copper" breakout to all-time highs and how industrial demand and supply hoarding in the red metal are providing a tailwind for silver. Macro drivers and negative real rates: Why the long-term thesis remains tied to the inevitability of yield curve control and the return of deeply negative real interest rates.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   --------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver: Navigating Historically High Prices in a Low-Sentiment Market

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2026 15:32


In this Daily Editorial, I sit down with Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, to break down the current state of the precious metals sector. Despite gold and silver holding at historically high price levels, the market is grappling with a significant loss of momentum and a puzzling lack of investor interest. Key discussion points: The Disconnect in Sentiment: Why the market feels "boring" and range-bound despite gold and silver maintaining strong historical price floors. Collapsing Open Interest: An analysis of the dramatic drop in COMEX open interest - reaching 20-year lows - and what this thin liquidity means for future volatility. Rising Costs for Miners: A look at the upcoming earnings season and the potential of higher costs being forecasted.    Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ------------------ For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold $5,000 & Silver $80: Technical Trends and Policy Shifts

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 20, 2026 25:59


In this Daily Editorial, we sit down with Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, to analyze the recent rebound in precious metals. With Gold nearing $5,000 and Silver trading around $80, Craig provides a deep dive into the technical and fundamental drivers shaping the markets in April 2026. Key discussion points: The Anomalous COT Reports: An examination of why current open interest in Comex Gold and Silver is hitting multi-decade lows and how this "thin" market is driving increased price volatility. Central Bank Demand vs. Sovereign Selling: Insights into the recent "London Plunge" and how massive physical gold sales by Turkey impacted global prices. Technical Moving Averages: A look at the "Universal Chart" and whether the current recovery can restore the bullish technical alignment seen earlier in the year. Macro Catalysts and Policy Shifts: Discussion on potential Fed interest rate cuts, the nomination of Kevin Warsh, and the whispers of a U.S. Treasury gold revaluation to bolster the national balance sheet. Gold as a Devaluation Trade: Why the long-term trend remains a fundamental move away from fiat currency and toward the elemental stability of precious metals.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ----------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke – Geopolitics, Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, and Fundamental Valuations Are Presenting Longer-Term Opportunities In PM Stocks

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 7, 2026 26:21


Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, joins me for a candid conversation around the impacts of geopolitics, macroeconomics, Fed policy, a technical outlook on gold and silver prices, and the ongoing disconnect in the valuation of the precious metals stocks, considering the record margins and revenues they experienced in Q1, which just wrapped up last week.      Key Discussion Points:   Geopolitics can swamp the charts and macroeconomics in the short-term: The upcoming deadlines that the US has imposed on Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening, could either end in a deal or more bombing and fighting.  Either scenario could see such a large market reaction.   This makes it nearly impossible to forecast what may play out in the short-term. Central Bank policy response tools are limited: If inflation starts moving higher on the back of higher oil, fertilizer, chemical, and manufacturing inputs, then the Fed's ability to cut rates will be more muted.  However, if the global economy slows from a ‘demand shock' then central banks will err on the side of running the economy hot, cutting rates, and easier monetary policy. Interest Rates and the US Dollar response need to be monitored closely:  Craig points out from a larger macro perspective that market has it wrong regarding future rate hikes, citing the unsustainable cost of refinancing the growing sovereign debt levels if rates go to high.   He'll be watching both the short and long end of the interest rate curve, as well as the US dollar response. The Disconnect in Mining Equities: Much media speculation has been made about margin compression facing producers as energy costs, but that is painting all mining companies with the same broad brush without any legitimate analysis for how much their margins may be affected. The PM prices in the first quarter were at record average quarterly prices, which will lead to records Q1 revenues and earnings, even as the stock corrections got overdone and oversold. We'd have to see a massive selloff in metals during Q2 to get the average prices and margins down under just Q4 of 2025, much less that of Q3 2025.  This means that Q2 will likely outperform the current expectations based on where PM stocks are priced today.     Click here to visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report – https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/     For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Identifying the Bottom in Gold and Silver Amid Global Conflict

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2026 29:27


In this episode, we are joined by Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, to break down one of the most volatile periods for precious metals in recent history. Craig provides a deep dive into the macroeconomic "perfect storm" currently suppressing prices. Key Discussion Points: The Triple Threat to Gold: Craig explains how the 50-55 basis point shift in the 2-to-10-year yield curve, a rallying U.S. Dollar, and the massive 58-metric ton gold liquidation by Turkey have converged to drive prices lower. Central Bank Liquidity Concerns: An analysis of why sovereigns like Turkey are swapping gold for dollars to prop up local currencies and how this deviates from the decade-long trend of central bank accumulation. The "Peak Lunacy" in Rates: Why Craig believes the market has it wrong regarding future rate hikes, citing the unsustainable cost of refinancing $12 trillion in U.S. Treasuries at higher interest rates. The Disconnect in Mining Equities: A look at the severe margin compression facing producers as energy costs rise while metal prices fall, and why Q1 earnings might still surprise the market. Silver's Technical Outlook: Evaluating the breakdown of the "one universal chart" and whether Silver is headed back toward its 200-day moving average or poised for a triple-digit recovery.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ------------------------------ For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

Wealthion
Gold and Silver Wrecked on Hormuz Shutdown — Why Craig Hemke Isn't Selling | $6,000 Target

Wealthion

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2026 39:48


The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Navigating Metal Volatility Amidst Global Tensions, Open Interest At Multi-Year Lows

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 2, 2026 22:22


In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we are joined by Craig Hemke, the founder and editor of TF Metals Report. As we transition into March, the precious metals market is reacting to significant geopolitical volatility following recent U.S. actions in Iran and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Craig provides a deep dive into why gold and silver continue to show resilience despite extreme price swings and high-frequency trading dominance. Key Discussion Points: Geopolitical Volatility and Oil: How the escalating conflict involving Iran is creating a "whiplash" effect in crude oil prices and its subsequent ripple effect on the global economy and interest rates. The Power of Monthly Charts: Why long-term investors should prioritize monthly and quarterly closes over intraday "noise" caused by computer-driven algorithmic trading on the COMEX. Low Open Interest in Metals: A look at the surprisingly low participation rates in gold and silver, which Craig argues contradicts "bubble" narratives and sets the stage for further gains. Mining Equity Earnings: Analyzing the massive free cash flow being generated by major producers like Newmont and Agnico Eagle, and what this means for future M&A activity and share buybacks. Physical Scarcity vs. Paper Markets: Addressing the rumors regarding COMEX defaults and the reality of physical silver demand in major hubs like China and India.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   -------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver Analysis: Decoding the COT and COMEX Volatility

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2026 22:24


In this daily editorial, we are joined by Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, to dissect one of the most volatile periods in recent precious metals history. Following a series of dramatic price swings, Craig shares his perspective on the structural "washout" in the paper markets and why the current setup may be a strong signal that a sustainable bottom is in place. Key discussion points: COT Report Insights: Craig analyzes the massive liquidations shown in the Commitment of Traders (COT) survey, noting that open interest across Comex Gold has fallen to its lowest levels since late 2018. Physical vs. Derivative Markets: A look at the growing tug-of-war between strong physical buying in Shanghai and London versus the aggressive derivative trading and "bot" activity on the New York Comex. Mining Stock Leverage: Why producers like Barrick Gold (GOLD) continue to see a valuation gap despite record-breaking revenue growth and significantly higher average selling prices compared to previous quarters. Macro Drivers: Evaluation of the "Trump-Warsh" trade, currency debasement, and how sideways movement in metals can actually be a bullish catalyst for retail interest in the mining sector.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   --------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Precious Metals Bloodbath or Buying Opportunity?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2026 24:11


In this daily editorial, we are joined by Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, to dissect one of the most volatile periods in recent precious metals history. Following a historic Friday sell-off that saw silver drop over $30 in a single day, Craig shares his perspective on whether this is the end of the bull run or a standard - albeit violent - consolidation phase. Analyzing the Friday Flush: Craig discusses the "mind-blowing" price action in silver and gold, noting that despite the record-breaking one-day drop, silver still managed to end the month in positive territory. The "Warsh" Factor and Fed Speculation: We evaluate the market's reaction to the nomination of Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve, questioning the narrative that a "hawkish" Fed shift is the true driver behind the metals' decline. Technical Gaps and Institutional Maneuvers: The discussion covers the filling of technical gaps in the GDX and the impact of month-end profit taking, option expirations, and delivery cycles on the Comex. Mining Stock Valuations vs. Metal Prices: Craig explains why the fundamental outlook for producers like Agnico Eagle, Newmont, and Kinross remains incredibly strong as they move into a quarter with significantly higher average selling prices. Long-term Conviction vs. Short-term Volatility: A look at the difference between trading momentum and long-term investing in a system where the dollar continues to lose value against the "stable unit" of gold.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   --------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Comex vs. Shanghai: What's Really Driving Silver?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2026 21:21


Today on the KE Report Daily Editorial (Tuesday, January 20), we're joined by Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, for a wide-ranging conversation on the powerful precious metals rally and the macro forces he believes could shape 2026. Gold and silver continue to surge, with gold pressing higher and silver rapidly approaching the psychologically important $100 level after a dramatic run from late-2025 lows. Craig breaks down why this move looks different from past spikes, what market structure signals are flashing beneath the surface, and where global pricing power may be shifting. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.  

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of January 5-9, 2026

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2026 9:47


Thanks for listening!

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The KE Report
Craig Hemke – Strong Start To 2026 In Gold, Silver, and Copper - Macroeconomic Factors That Matter

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2026 29:33


Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me to kick off the first full trading week of 2026, reviewing the strong close to end last year, and the even stronger start to this year in gold, silver, copper, and the precious metals stocks.   We also break down the macroeconomic factors that matter moving into the year to come.   We start off reviewing the big moves higher today across the metals complex with gold, silver, copper, at or near all-time highs in what is typically a quite seasonally strong period of the year for this part of the commodities sector.   Craig points out that while the metals have been undeniably strong, that the related mining stocks have only had lackluster responses over the last few weeks, considering how much their profit margins and project economics have expanded. This brings up the lagging valuations in lieu of the much higher average metals price in Q4 over Q3, where gold, silver, platinum, and copper all closed the month of December, the fourth quarter, and the year at all-time high closes on the longer-duration charts. Craig feels that this is what is truly germane for institutional investors and analysts as they tend to block out the short-term noise and focus on the longer-term trends in motion.   When we look at where metals prices are here to kick off the year in early January they are a levels that are so much higher than those average prices in Q4, that it is hard to imagine that Q1 isn't going to see even higher average metals prices, and thus even higher record revenues or project economics. This raises the question of why more investors are not getting in front of those trends and bidding the quality mining shares much higher than they've responded thus far? Craig feels a great deal of this lack of leverage in the mining stocks lately is coming from sympathetic lack of belief from most investors that these prices are going to stay up at these levels.   One factor that has continued to tamp down futures pricing in gold, silver, platinum, and palladium over the last few weeks has been the COMEX rising of margin requirements.   Many investors are concerned that if this raising of margins requirements persists that it could trigger a selling cascade lower.  Craig weighs on the history and dynamics around these moves by the Chicago commodities exchange.    The conversation then transitions over into what factors are going to keep underpinning higher metals prices.  We review the arbitrage between the physical and paper markets both in terms of the current backwardation between higher spot prices over future prices, and from prices seen on the Shanghai exchange versus the COMEX. Craig mentions that while he doesn't feel there is a direct safe haven bid today after the weekend geopolitical events between the US and Venezuela, that it still may underpin other nations central banks to keep buying gold and diversifying out of US dollars as a precaution. Another key factor he is watching is what we'll see in 2026 with regards to central bank monetary policy here in the US, once Trump installs a more dovish head to the Fed mid-year. Craig also continues to watch for potential yield curve control through monetary policy, if the interest rates get too extreme in either direction. Following up on our last conversation, and looking ahead to Craig's coming 2026 Macrocast report due out later this week, we revisit the potential for Scott Bessent and the treasury department to monetize aspects of the US balance sheet (notably a potential repricing in gold) to help fund a sovereign wealth fund.   Click here to visit Craig's TF Metals website:   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.    

The KE Report
Weekend Show - Craig Hemke & Dan Steffens - 2026 Outlook: Gold, Silver, Energy Stocks

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 27, 2025 60:00


This Weekend's Show we are replaying two big-picture conversations from earlier in the week. Craig Hemke explains why this metals run looks structural (not just momentum), while Dan Steffens lays out how a “glut” narrative in oil could flip, at the same time LNG-driven natural gas demand tightens and energy stocks offer dividends, buybacks, and M&A-driven upside.   Segment 1 & 2 - Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins the KE Report to recap an extraordinary year for gold and silver, explaining the structural forces behind record-high prices, why mining shares remain undervalued, and what macro signals - like central bank policy and yield-curve control - could drive the next phase of the precious-metals bull market into 2026. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   Segment 3 & 4 - Dan Steffens, President of Energy Prospectus Group, joins the KE Report to share his outlook for oil and natural gas heading into 2026, including why modestly higher prices could still drive strong cash flow for producers. He also highlights standout large-cap, mid-cap, dividend, and royalty stocks, discusses M&A opportunities, and explains how he balances income, growth, and risk across his energy portfolios. Click here to visit the Energy Prospectus Group website for more energy market and stock analysis - http://www.energyprospectus.com/ If you enjoy the show, be sure to subscribe to our podcast feed (KER Podcast), YouTube channel, and follow us on X for more market commentary and company interviews. Don't forget to subscribe and leave us a review!   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver Finish 2025 at All-Time Highs! Structural Shift or Blow-Off Top?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 22, 2025 24:58


In this year-end daily editorial, Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, joins the KE Report to recap a historic year for precious metals and look ahead to the structural shifts of 2026. Gold closes the year with a staggering 65% year-to-date gain, while silver has outperformed, nearly doubling that figure. Craig analyzes why the traditional "Trump Trade" of a soaring dollar failed to materialize, replaced instead by a fundamental global shift toward hard assets. We discuss the "structural superfecta" - the rare occurrence of metals hitting weekly, monthly, quarterly, and annual all-time highs simultaneously - and why 2026 could be defined by a new macro era of asset monetization and yield curve control.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report - https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   -------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Cutting Through the Silver Market Misinformation

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 19:59


In this KE Report Daily Editorial, I'm joined by Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, to break down silver's explosive move above $60, gold's ongoing bull market, and the growing wave of misinformation surrounding precious metals. Craig explains what's really driving prices higher, and why investors should stay focused on real data, not viral headlines. Key discussion points include: Silver's Volatility Above $60 - Strong fundamentals driving big daily swings, not market breakdowns. Gold's Ongoing Bull Market - Why consolidation is healthy and new highs remain likely. Debunking Silver Market Myths - Clearing up false narratives around COMEX deliveries and JPMorgan positioning. What Actually Matters - Fed liquidity, dollar trends, positioning, and seasonality over click-driven hype. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report.   -------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights week of December 8-12, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 10:25


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The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Silver's Breakout, Copper Strength & the Fed's Next Move

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2025 23:29


In this KE Report daily editorial, we speak with Craig Hemke, founder of TF Metals Report, about silver's surge toward $60/oz, strong copper performance, and how this week's Fed meeting may drive the next move in metals and miners. Key discussion points: Silver strength - Breaking above $54, triggering momentum buying and short covering. Gold's unusual back-to-back gains - Markets front-running future rate cuts and negative real yields. Copper vs. oil - What the divergence may signal for global growth. Fed expectations - High odds of a year-end cut and how a new Fed chair could shift policy. Seasonality - Light tax-loss selling this year but strong Q4 metals prices supporting miner earnings. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report   ---------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Silver's Breakout, Silver Miner Margins, & the Hard-Asset Supercycle

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2025 19:42


In this daily editorial, Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, breaks down the historic acceleration in precious metals, with Silver surging over 15% in November and now approaching $60/oz. Craig argues this sustained move is fundamentally different from past spikes and serves as a "front run" to major bullish developments anticipated in 2026. We analyze the glaring valuation disconnect in mining shares - despite record metal prices - and the imminent catch-up trade, which is part of a broader "hard asset" boom that includes Copper and Gold. Key Discussion Points: Silver's New Analog: Why the current market action is a sustained breakout, similar to Gold's 2024 move, rather than a fleeting spike. The Valuation Disconnect: Analysis of the historic lag in GDX and silver miners (SIL), signaling a massive catch-up trade is imminent based on Q4 margin expansion. Macro Drivers: Discussion on the weakening US Dollar and massive US Treasury deficits fueling the need for hard assets. The Hard Asset Trade: Simultaneous monthly high closes across Gold, Silver, Copper, GDX, and COPX signaling a major, sustained commodity trend. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report   --------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of November 10-14, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2025 9:45


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The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold Rebound: It's More Than Just The Government Reopening

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2025 21:18


In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we chat with Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, about the strong rebound in metals and markets following news of the U.S. government reopening and growing investor optimism. Key Discussion Highlights: Front-running Next Year's QE: Markets are already pricing in renewed monetary stimulus and yield curve control. Calm Market Window: A rare “clean week” with no major data or options expirations supports short-term strength. Record Gold ETF Demand: $37B in North American inflows shows investors are returning to gold exposure. Money Rotation: A small shift from overvalued tech giants could send metals soaring. Silver Upgraded: Added to the U.S. critical minerals list, boosting long-term visibility. Seasonal Setup: Typical December–February rally window could mark the next major upswing. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report   ------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke – Precious Metals Correction: Pattern or Breakdown?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 21:26


Gold and silver have pulled back sharply from recent highs, but Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, says this is classic bull-market behavior - not the start of a bear phase. Gold remains up roughly 40–50% YTD, silver over 50%, and despite short-term pain, the structural uptrend remains intact. Key Topics Recurring 10% pullbacks: Craig outlines how each gold rally since 2023 has followed a rhythm — 90-day consolidations, 10% corrections, and ~20% surges higher. He sees the current move as another leg in that pattern. Silver's consolidation band: After reaching $54, silver's drop below $47 mirrors prior shakeouts. Hemke expects a 20% range to hold before the next breakout attempt toward new highs. Earnings strength & sentiment lag: Even at $3,800–$4,000 gold, miners like Newmont (NYSE: NEM) and Agnico Eagle (TSX/NYSE: AEM) are printing record margins. Investor sentiment, however, hasn't caught up. M&A and cash hoards: Majors are flush with cash, minimal debt, and strong cash flow. Hemke expects consolidation in the sector to spark fresh M&A activity as producers replace reserves. Macro triggers to watch: A Fed rate cut cycle, potential dollar weakness, and re-emerging risk appetite could all act as catalysts for the next leg up across precious and base metals. Visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   -------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold/Silver Huge Volatility, Silver Backwardation, Equity Valuations

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 23:54


Gold and silver remain in strong uptrends despite last week's sharp pullback. Gold is still up ~50% YTD, silver over 60%, and miners (GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ) continue to surge.  Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins us to explain why last week's volatility was typical bull-market action - not the end of the move. Key Topics Options expiry shakeout: Expiring calls triggered forced selling and sharp, short-term pressure. Silver above $50: After decades, silver's sustained breakout signals a new phase; holding that level could ignite more CTA and fund buying. Backwardation insight: Spot silver trading above futures reflects institutional supply tightness in London, not a retail shortage. Miners' earnings torque: With record prices and lower costs, producers and developers remain undervalued heading into Q3 results. Investor roadmap: Expect a brief consolidation after earnings before the next leg higher.   Visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/   ---------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of October 13-17, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2025 8:03


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of October 6-10, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 8:52


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The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver's Historic Run… What's Next for Miners?

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 26:00


Gold and silver have extended their historic run, with gold up 8 of the last 9 months (~50% YTD) and silver up over 60% YTD. Meanwhile, the mining ETFs (GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ) have posted massive gains - GDX up 125% this year. Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me to break down why this move is not parabolic speculation but part of a recurring pattern - and why miners may just be getting started. Key Topics Breakout structure: Gold's fourth major breakout in two years follows the same rhythm — multi-month consolidations followed by 15–20% surges. Craig explains why the late-August breakout fits that roadmap and how far it could extend into year-end. Silver's acceleration: Structural supply deficits, record industrial demand, and a FOMO-driven futures trade are propelling silver toward its prior highs. Craig outlines why $49–50 may trigger a short consolidation before a push into new territory. Miners' earnings leverage: With record quarterly average prices for gold and silver, falling energy costs, and strong margins, miners are set for spectacular Q3 results. Craig highlights why mid-tier, low-AISC producers offer the best torque and why developers remain undervalued on a per-ounce basis. Flows & valuation reset: Even 1% of the $20 trillion combined market cap of the “Mag 6” mega-caps could buy the entire GDX ten times over. A small rotation into miners could rewrite valuation norms as ETF and fund flows broaden across the sector. Macro backdrop: With the U.S. government shutdown delaying data and upcoming CPI/PPI releases, markets remain focused on the Fed's next move. Craig also points to ongoing currency debasement, de-dollarization, and central-bank buying as key tailwinds for gold demand. Investor playbook: Why “buy-the-dip” behavior persists, how to identify quality producers with low costs, and why the absence of 2011-style M&A suggests this bull market still has room to run.   Stocks / symbols mentioned: GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ, CDE, FNV, WPM   Click here to visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report   ----------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: https://kereport.substack.com/ https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of September 8-12, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 10:15


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The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold & Silver Breakout, ETF Inflows, and What's Next for the Miners

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 20:53


Gold and silver have broken out to new cycle highs after a 5-month consolidation. Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me to map the pattern driving the move, where it could go next, and how equity inflows and central-bank dynamics are reshaping the precious metals landscape. Key Topics Breakout mechanics & roadmap: Four repeated cycles over the last ~2 years … 3–4 months of sideways consolidation followed by 15-20% surges. With the latest breakout confirmed in late August, Craig outlines upside scenarios into Q4. Miners vs. metals: Why strong metal prices plus widening margins can still mean more catch-up ahead for producers and developers; how valuation frameworks (P/E, price/book) may evolve if capital rotates into the sector. ETF flows & breadth: Rising inflows into GDX/GDXJ as broad participation improves across large caps and juniors; how equity strength and metal strength reinforce each other. Macro drivers: Slowing U.S. data, rate-cut expectations into the upcoming Fed meeting, and the prospect of yield-curve management; how global de-dollarization and central-bank buying since 2022 continue to underpin gold demand. Then vs. now: Lessons from the 2009–2011 bull market compared to today's debt math, policy backdrop, and global currency dynamics. Positioning mindset: Why “buy-the-dip” may persist in a structurally supportive backdrop, and what traders should watch as liquidity returns post-summer. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report   For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests may own shares in companies mentioned.

Mining Stock Daily
Gold's Reaction to the Attempt of Restructuring the Federal Reserve - Craig Hemke

Mining Stock Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 20:37


In this episode of Mining Stock Daily, Trevor Hall and Craig Hemke of TF Metals Report delve into the relationship between the Trump administration and the precious metals market. They explore how executive decisions, such as attempts to restructure the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, have influenced gold prices and market sentiment. The discussion covers the potential long-term effects on monetary policy and the bullish outlook for gold.

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Gold's Next Breakout? COT Reports Show Bullish Setup

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2025 19:11


Today, Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me for his regular Monday commentary on the precious metals markets. We start with a recap of last week's market action following Jerome Powell's remarks at Jackson Hole, which signaled that the Fed may be preparing for a September rate cut. The result: strength across equities, bonds, and precious metals, with the U.S. dollar the lone laggard. Key Discussion Points: Powell's Jackson Hole speech and why a rate cut now looks all but certain. Market reaction: broad rallies across assets, dollar weakness, and implications for gold and silver. Insights from the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report showing bullish positioning for both gold and silver. Gold's ongoing five-month consolidation and what could spark the next breakout. The revaluation of junior mining stocks and what's needed for the sector to continue higher. Silver's inertia and potential for a sharp move once momentum returns. The seasonal setup heading into September and how upcoming jobs data could influence Fed policy. Follow Craig's work at TF Metals Report.

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of August 18-22, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 9:09


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The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Precious Metals Outlook Ahead of Jackson Hole

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 23:04


Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins us for his regular Monday discussion to recap the latest in the gold and silver markets and preview what's ahead this week. Key Topics Covered: Jackson Hole Preview: Jerome Powell's upcoming speech on Friday is expected to set the tone for gold, the U.S. dollar, and broader markets heading into September. Fed Policy & Rate Cuts: Market expectations remain high for a September cut, but will Powell hint at more aggressive easing? Gold & Dollar Correlation: Why the recent sideways action could give way to the next breakout move depending on Fed signals. Central Bank Demand & Bull Market Longevity: How sustained buying continues to underpin gold's strength, limiting major sell-offs. Gold Stocks & ETFs: With producers showing strong balance sheets what does that mean for investors? Craig also shares insights on the revaluation of gold miners - from majors to juniors - and what could fuel the next leg higher in this ongoing bull market.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/

The KE Report
Craig Hemke - Tariff Craziness, Gold & Silver Price Resilience, Mining Stock Surge, and Market Drivers

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 24:07


Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins us to break down the recent volatility in precious metals following last week's gold tariff headlines - and the immediate backtrack. While daily swings grab headlines, Craig points out that gold remains in a strong long-term uptrend, recently posting its highest weekly close ever above $3,400. We discuss: Why gold's fundamentals remain bullish despite short-term noise and political headlines. The standout performance of gold and silver mining stocks, with GDX hitting highs not seen since 2011. How recent earnings reports reveal producers are far more profitable than many investors expected. Silver's breakout above $37–$38, its best levels in over a decade, and what it means for margins in Q3. The macro backdrop - weak economic data, Fed policy expectations, and the impact on the US dollar and metals prices. Craig also shares insights on positioning from the CoT reports, the potential for further upside in both metals, and why institutional sentiment could be shifting in favor of gold and silver producers.   Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report

TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of August 4-8, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 9:38


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of July 28 - August 1, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2025 11:22


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of July 7-11, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2025 8:07


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of June 23-27, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2025 8:52


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of June 9-13, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 8:50


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of May 19-23, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 8:37


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of May 12-16, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2025 9:06


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of May 5-9, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 8:17


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of April 21-25, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 10:21


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of March 24-28, 2025

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Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 7:28


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TF Metals Report Highlights
TF Metals Report Podcast Highlights - Week of March 17-21, 2025

TF Metals Report Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 10:22


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Palisade Radio
Craig Hemke: Monetizing Assets & Gold’s Role in 2025

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2025 52:49


Craig Hemke from TF Metals Report discusses macroeconomic trends, gold markets, and investment strategies. He emphasizes the importance of central bank demand for gold, driven by geopolitical tensions like Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has led to record purchases over the past three years. This demand has created a physical floor under the gold market despite rising interest rates and a strong dollar. Hemke also explores the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its significant impact on liquidity and market expectations. He discusses potential quantitative easing measures due to high government spending and deficits, which could further inflate asset prices. The yield curve inversion in 2024 was highlighted as a precursor to economic challenges, with the Fed's policy shifts influencing currency and metals markets. The conversation touches on the complexities of investing in precious metals, particularly silver, which straddles commodity and monetary roles. Hemke warned against passive investments like ETFs, advising investors to do thorough research when selecting individual mining stocks. He stresses the importance of a diversified portfolio and cautions against overexposure to any single asset. Contrarian investing is addressed, with Hemke encouraging prudence rather than extremism. He advises increasing allocations to gold gradually, emphasizing long-term strategic positioning rather than timing market dips. He concludes by reiterating the role of gold as a hedge against a debt-based monetary system nearing its limits, urging investors to focus on preserving purchasing power through physical ownership. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Macrocast & C.B. Demand5:42 - Fed's Importance?8:00 - Moar Q.E. Coming?11:25 - Fed & Drastic Action12:55 - State of Equity Mkts16:37 - Tariffs & Big Picture23:54 - U.S. Gold Revaluation?32:26 - Gold Supply & Demand?35:35 - It's Fine39:00 - Silver Considerations41:48 - Miners & Prod. Costs47:13 - Contrarian Mindset49:55 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/TFMetalsWebsite: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/subscribeArticle: Inversion/Reversion Macrocast - https://goldseek.com/article/inversion-reversion-2025-macrocast Craig Hemke, aka "Turd Ferguson," was a licensed securities "professional" for nearly twenty years. Then, disgruntled by the fraud known as "financial services," he retired to a career as a serial entrepreneur in 2008. Though otherworldly in his ability to forecast price movements, Craig is not a soothsayer, a psychic, or a witch, but, after all these years, he has a decent understanding of the forces at play in the precious metal "markets."