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Palisade Radio is the largest online discussion platform for junior mining globally. Each week, host Collin Kettell interviews top experts in the energy and mining space to discuss macro trends and identify strong investment ideas. With over 1,000,000 views in just three years and videos viewed from…

Collin Kettell


    • Jun 26, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 52m AVG DURATION
    • 864 EPISODES

    Ivy Insights

    The Palisade Radio podcast is a phenomenal source of information and insight in the world of finance, investing, and mining. Hosted by Tom Bodrovics, this podcast consistently brings on high quality guests who provide in-depth analysis of current economic conditions and the investment environment. The show notes are a standout feature as they provide detailed information and resources mentioned during the episodes, which is extremely helpful for listeners. Tom's interviewing style allows guests to give complete answers without interruption, making for thoughtful and engaging conversations.

    One of the best aspects of Palisade Radio is the caliber of guests that appear on the show. Tom always manages to secure interviews with experts who offer unique perspectives and valuable insights into their respective fields. This variety makes for interesting listening, as different viewpoints are explored and analyzed. Additionally, Tom's thorough research prior to each interview ensures that the discussions are well-informed and thought-provoking. The show consistently delivers real wisdom from these experts, making it an invaluable resource for anyone interested in finance or investing.

    Another great aspect of Palisade Radio is its objective approach to topics such as money printing or economic conditions. Despite potentially controversial subjects, Tom remains calm and impartial throughout the discussions. This allows listeners to form their own opinions based on a balanced presentation of both sides of the argument. This objectivity is refreshing in a world where many podcasts lean towards one particular viewpoint.

    While it's difficult to find any major flaws in Palisade Radio, one small criticism could be its focus on mining-related topics. While this may not appeal to all listeners, it fits well within the broader scope of finance and investing covered by the podcast. Nevertheless, some individuals looking for a more diverse range of topics may feel slightly limited by this emphasis.

    In conclusion, The Palisade Radio podcast stands out among its peers as one of the best sources for insightful analysis in finance, investing, and mining. It consistently features high caliber guests who provide deep knowledge and wisdom in their respective fields. Tom Bodrovics does an excellent job as the host, offering objective discussions and allowing guests to speak with courage and conviction. With its informative content, detailed show notes, and engaging conversations, Palisade Radio is a must-listen for anyone interested in gaining a better understanding of the current economic landscape and the world of finance.



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    Latest episodes from Palisade Radio

    Don Durrett: This is When Silver Becomes Unobtainable

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 76:00


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Don Durrett, author, investor, and founder of GoldStockData.com, to delve into the current state of the gold and silver markets, the broader economy, and what investors should watch for in the coming months. Don begins by noting that gold has been in a bull market since late 2019, with a significant breakout in March 2024. Despite the recent surge, he believes the bull market in mining stocks is still in its early stages, with higher lows signaling a potential breakout. However, he cautions that sentiment remains weak, partly due to the strong performance of the stock market, which has overshadowed gold. Drawing parallels to the 1970s, Don explains that gold and miners typically perform well during periods of economic uncertainty or when the stock market falters, a scenario he sees as increasingly likely. Don shifts to the macroeconomic landscape, highlighting the unsustainable U.S. budget deficit, which is approaching $2 trillion annually, and the need to roll over $7 trillion in debt this year. He warns that the debt burden, combined with declining foreign purchases of U.S. Treasuries, could lead to higher interest rates and inflation. Don predicts a looming recession, driven by factors like weakening full-time employment, a housing bubble, and the inflationary impact of tariffs, particularly if President Trump follows through with significant tariff increases on July 9th. He believes these tariffs could exacerbate economic weakness, leading to a prolonged downturn reminiscent of Japan's "lost decade" in the 1990s, where monetary policy failed to revive growth. Discussing gold and silver, Don emphasizes that their bull markets are tied to economic instability and a potential "fear trade," where investors shift away from equities and into safe-haven assets. He notes that silver, currently undervalued relative to gold, could see a surge in demand, particularly if shortages emerge. Don also touches on Mexico's mining policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum, which could restrict new mining concessions, though he doesn't see this as a major near-term threat to silver supply. He concludes by urging investors to focus on the long-term potential of gold and silver, particularly as the U.S. economy faces mounting challenges. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:01:06 - Mkt. Forecast 2025/202600:04:50 - Metals - Wall of Worry00:09:13 - The Macro Picture00:19:38 - U.S. Short-Term Debt00:31:08 - Trump, The Fed & Powell00:38:55 - Oil & U.S. Recession00:41:00 - T-Bills, Dollar & Game Theory00:53:20 - A Silver Bull Trap?01:04:16 - New Era for Metals01:05:55 - PM Shortages Coming?01:07:10 - Mexican Silver Permitting01:15:05 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DonDurrettWebsite: https://www.goldstockdata.comSubstack: https://dondurrett.substack.comAmazon Books: https://www.amazon.com.mx/How-Invest-Gold-Silver-Complete/dp/1427650241Blog Posts: https://seekingalpha.com/author/don-durrett#regular_articlesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Newager23 Don Durrett received an MBA from California State University Bakersfield in 1990. He has worked in IT-related positions for 20+ years. He has been a gold investor since 1991, with a focus on Junior Mining stocks since 2004. Realizing the value of investing in gold and silver and noticing the lack of available material for first-time investors, Don set out to provide information. First, he wrote a book, How to Invest in Gold & Silver: A Complete Guide with a Focus on Mining Stocks. He followed up the book with a website (www.goldstockdata.com) to provide data, tools, and analysis for gold and silver stock investors. His gold and silver mining stock newsletter is widely regarded as one of the best. He is a frequent guest on financial podcasts and a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com.

    Adrian Day: There is no Better Risk Reward Right Now than Gold Equities

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 77:47


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management and Manager of the Euro Pacific Gold Fund, to discuss the economic and monetary landscape under President Trump's second term, the implications of tariffs, and the outlook for gold and other commodities. Adrian begins by addressing the potential impact of Trump's trade policies, particularly tariffs, on inflation and the global financial system. He argues that while tariffs are often seen as inflationary, they can be deflationary by reducing demand for certain goods. However, he warns that a weakening U.S. dollar and a potential loss of its reserve currency status could lead to higher inflation domestically, as dollars previously held abroad return to the U.S. Adrian emphasizes that while the U.S. dollar's dominance is not immediately threatened, Trump's policies could accelerate its decline, with significant consequences for the economy. The conversation then shifts to the U.S. debt market, where Adrian highlights the challenges of financing the growing deficit. He notes that major buyers of U.S. Treasuries, such as China and Japan, are reducing their holdings, and domestic buyers like regional banks and the Federal Reserve are also pulling back. This could lead to higher interest rates and increased pressure on the U.S. economy. Adrian predicts that the Federal Reserve may eventually return to quantitative easing (QE) to support the bond market, which would be bullish for gold. He also discusses the disconnect between gold prices and gold mining stocks, attributing it to the lack of participation from North American investors. However, he believes this is changing as economic conditions shift, with gold stocks offering significant value and expanding margins. Adrian also touches on other commodities, particularly copper and uranium, which he sees as critical for the global energy transition. He concludes by advising investors to focus on value rather than price, emphasizing that the gold market is still in its early stages of a bull run. Timestamps:0:00:00 - Introduction00:01:22 - Trump & U.S. Trade Policy00:06:30 - Multi Res. Currency World00:09:13 - A Bretton Woods Event?00:13:42 - Cad. Dairy & Tariffs00:15:57 - U.S. Economic Concerns?00:22:12 - U.S. Debt Global Outlook00:34:26 - Fed Rates & Q.E.00:40:20 - Gold & Market Participants00:45:28 - Gold Sentiment00:48:28 - Gold & Geopolitical Risk00:51:58 - Monetary Response & Gold00:54:39 - Gold Price & Mining Equities01:00:29 - GSR, Silver, & Cycles01:05:02 - Royalty Companies & Value01:07:30 - Capital & Explorers01:10:42 - Other Sectors/Countries01:16:12 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Website: https://adrianday.com/ Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and is frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.

    Doomberg: The Second Front of WWIII

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 57:43


    Tom welcomes back the headwriter for the Doomberg Team for another interesting discussion around current geopolitics. They delve into the rapidly escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, which Doomy argues was sparked by a dangerous miscalculation by Israel. He emphasizes that Israel vastly underestimated Iran's military capabilities, assuming they could deliver a knockout blow early in the conflict. However, as days pass and Iranian missiles continue to breach Israel's famed defense systems, the situation appears increasingly dire for Israel—a small country now facing a prolonged war of attrition against a nation ten times its size, backed by Russia and China. Doomberg frames this escalation as part of a broader “World War III,” a concept often downplayed in Western media but openly acknowledged by Russian and Chinese propaganda. He highlights the geopolitical stakes, including the potential diversion of U.S. military resources from Ukraine to Israel, which could embolden Russia further. The discussion also touches on the fracturing of Trump's base, many of whom feel betrayed by his apparent shift from a peace-oriented campaign to a hawkish stance—echoing the skepticism of prominent conservative voices like Tucker Carlson and Steve Bannon. The conversation extends to broader geopolitical risks, including the possibilities of false-flag attacks, cyber threats to American infrastructure, and the vulnerability of global energy supply chains—particularly if the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Doomberg critiques the market's seemingly placid response to these escalations, noting that oil prices reflect some risk premium but broader financial markets appear overly complacent. Throughout, Doomberg advocates for sober, nuanced analysis, urging listeners to look beyond emotional reactions and consider second- and third-order consequences. He critiques the bellicose posturing of Washington hawks, including figures like John Bolton and Lindsey Graham, and questions whether Trump is being maneuvered into a disastrous war or has abandoned his anti-interventionist stance entirely. The discussion closes with a call for vigilance, urging audiences to approach geopolitical conflicts with a critical, independent mindset rather than relying on echo chambers or sensationalism. Doomberg's insights serve as a timely reminder of the high stakes and long-lasting repercussions of unchecked military escalation in an interconnected world. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:49 - Iran Trap & News Cycle00:06:34 - Proxy Conflicts & Diplomacy00:08:28 - End of War President?00:11:18 - Promises & Realities00:15:00 - Zelensky & Ukraine00:18:40 - Reactions & Consequences00:22:22 - Tucker Ted Cruz Interview00:26:36 - Emotions & U.S. Politics00:31:28 - News Flow & Finding Truth00:34:40 - Israel's Vulnerabilities00:41:28 - Israeli Samson Option00:43:06 - Strait of Hormuz & Oil00:47:38 - Mkts. Pricing In WWIII?00:50:07 - OPEC Production00:51:27 - Other Geopolitical Risks00:53:18 - U.S. Infrastructure Risk00:56:20 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Substack: https://doomberg.substack.comX: https://x.com/DoombergT Doomberg is the anonymous publishing arm of a bespoke consulting firm providing advisory services to family offices and c-suite executives. Its principals apply their decades of experience across heavy industry, private equity, and finance to deliver innovative thinking and clarity to complex problems.

    Justin Huhn: The Uranium Market is in Completely Uncharted Bullish Territory

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 56:57


    Tom welcomes back Justin Huhn for a in-depth discussion about the Uranium market and the potential risks if there's a nuclear weapon exchange in the conflict between Israel and Iran. They discusses how nuclear powers handle enrichment and how the Uranium fuel cycle operates. Justin sees potential for growth in the Uranium market due to an increase in SMR demand and global efforts towards sustainable energy sources. He also warns against a possible overbought situation in the short term but emphasizes the importance of watching the physical market dynamics and Sprott's activities to spot potential buying opportunities. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:41 - Iran Conflict Concerns00:04:32 - Enrichment & Grades00:08:40 - Plutonium Details00:09:36 - Market Reaction & Risks00:13:16 - Uranium Supply & Demand00:22:10 - Project Approvals & Risk00:26:37 - Sprott Deal & Canacord00:34:08 - Sprott SPUT Holdings00:38:55 - Banks & Sentiment Shifts00:44:07 - Investor Hangover00:52:30 - Concluding Thoughts00:56:12 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.uraniuminsider.comNewsletter: https://www.uraniuminsider.com/newsletterX: https://x.com/UraniumInsider Justin is the Founder and Publisher of the Uranium Insider Pro Newsletter. Through the combination of rigorous fundamental analysis and Justin's thorough understanding of technical analysis, determinations are made for select companies to be included on Uranium Insider Pro's "Focus List," as well as the most opportune times for entry or exit. Justin is frequently asked to offer his commentary on various media forums, including Crux Investor, Smith Weekly, Palisades Gold Radio, Mining Stock Education, and Mining Stock Daily. He also regularly participates in the post-earnings commentary that is broadcast immediately after industry majors release quarterly earnings.

    Alasdair Macleod: The Credit Bubble has Expanded into Equities, Parallels to 1929

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 55:28


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back gold market and finance expert Alasdair Macleod. Together they explore the escalating systemic risks in global gold and silver markets, driven by surging demand for physical delivery. Macleod highlighted the European Central Bank's (ECB) warning about skyrocketing counterparty risks in gold derivatives, emphasizing that COMEX delivery demands have reached unprecedented levels, with an annualized rate of 1,500 tons—far exceeding post-pandemic trends. This surge reflects a growing scramble for physical metal which is exacerbated by delays in delivery fulfillment. Bullion banks, fearing tariffs and supply shortages, inflated futures prices to create arbitrage opportunities, further straining markets. Macleod underscored a critical shift: central banks, once willing to lease gold to stabilize markets, now hesitate to renew leases, fearing irreversible loss of reserves. This trend, compounded by COMEX silver shortages, signals deepening liquidity crises. Demand is driven by sovereign wealth funds, Asian families, and Middle Eastern entities diversifying from the dollar amid geopolitical tensions and long-term currency devaluation fears. The discussion pivoted to the U.S. debt trap, with deficits exceeding 6% of GDP and tepid demand for long-term Treasuries. Macleod compared today's credit bubble and protectionist tariffs to the 1929 crash, warning of a potential debt deflation spiral. He noted China's strategic accumulation of gold and silver, possibly prepping the yuan for gold backing, while avoiding abrupt moves to destabilize Western economies. Amid these risks, Macleod stressed wealth preservation over accumulation, advocating physical gold as a hedge. He cautioned that markets underestimate the looming convergence of fiscal instability, currency crises, and geopolitical shifts, urging vigilance as structural economic fractures deepen. The episode closed with a stark reminder: today's calm belies a gathering storm, mirroring historical precedents where credit excesses and policy missteps fueled systemic collapse. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/MacleodFinanceSubstack: https://substack.com/@macleodfinanceWebsite: https://goldmoney.comResearch: https://www.goldmoney.com/research/ Alasdair Macleod is Head of Research for GoldMoney. He is an educator and advocates for sound money thru demystifying finance and economics. His background includes being a stockbroker, banker, and economist. Alasdair started his career as a stockbroker in 1970 on the London Stock Exchange. Within nine years, he had risen to become senior partner of his firm. Subsequently, he held positions at the director level in investment management and worked as a mutual fund manager. Mr. Macleod also worked at a bank in Guernsey as an executive director. For most of his 40 years in the finance industry, he has been demystifying macro-economic events for his investing clients. The accumulation of this experience has convinced him that unsound monetary policies are the most destructive weapon governments use against the common man. Accordingly, his mission is to educate and inform the public in layman's terms what governments do with money and how to protect themselves from the consequences.

    John Lee: Expanding Conflict Will Lead to More Managed Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 43:06


    Tom welcomes back John Lee for a discussion on the concerning trends of global control and manipulation by powerful entities across finance, media, and technology. Lee highlights tactics like facial recognition and digital wallets that threaten privacy and autonomy. He warns of a potential biometric system that could blacklist individuals, emphasizing the need for proactive measures. To protect oneself, Lee suggests diversifying assets, particularly investing in gold and silver as reliable stores of value, and establishing alternative living arrangements globally to avoid dependency on any single system. He also stresses the importance of gaining new experiences over mere wealth accumulation, advocating for personal growth and memorable experiences as true sources of wealth. Lee remains optimistic that collective consciousness will drive a breakthrough, leading to positive change after sufficient negative experiences. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:37 - Geopolitics & Markets00:02:02 - Silver Markets & Miners00:03:18 - Silver's Recent Moves00:06:25 - Apathy & Sentiment00:10:14 - Tariffs & Debt Markets00:14:53 - Fed Rates & Data Reliance?00:18:43 - Trade War Outlook?00:22:37 - Bigger Powers & Proxies00:27:16 - Commodities Prices & Gov't00:31:17 - Outcomes & Predictions00:35:33 - Head Warnings Buy Gold?00:41:48 - Wrap Up Guest Links:x: https://x.com/johnlee25893955Website: https://www.silverelef.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-lee-baa93422/ John Lee, CFA, is CEO and President of Silver Elephant Mining. Mr. Lee specializes in mining M&A and has raised over $150 million through the TSX and TSX Venture Exchange for junior companies since 2009. Lee identified, negotiated and financed Lynn Lake nickel acquisition in 2009, Ulaan Ovoo coal in 2010, Wellgreen nickel-pgm in 2011, Shakespeare nickel-pgm in 2012, Pulacayo silver in 2015, Gibellini vanadium in 2017, Bisoni vanadium in 2020, and Minago nickel-pgm in 2021. Mr. Lee is a CFA charterholder and graduated from Rice University with bachelor's degrees in Economics and in Engineering (honor).

    Adam Hamilton: Gold Miners Set For Their Best Quarter Ever

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 44:58


    Adam Hamilton, a seasoned expert in gold stocks with over two decades of experience, emphasizes the importance of strategically selecting investments within the gold mining sector. He advocates for focusing on mid-tier miners, which he believes offer superior growth potential compared to major miners. These mid-tier companies, operating at 300,000 to 1,000,000 ounces annually, are more agile and capable of expanding their operations effectively. Hamilton highlights their lower costs and better ability to generate cash flows, making them a more attractive investment option. In contrast, major miners often struggle with high costs and face challenges such as overpaying for mergers and acquisitions (M&A), leading to diluted earnings. Their large market capitalizations make it difficult for them to grow production sustainably, unlike mid-tier miners which can achieve significant growth through new projects. Hamilton also discusses the cyclical nature of exploration spending within the industry. Recent years have seen reduced exploration activity due to unfavorable market conditions, potentially leading to a future supply deficit. He underscores the importance of diversification in investment strategies, advising against overcommitting to any single asset. Instead, he recommends spreading investments across various sectors to mitigate risk. During periods like the summer doldrums, Hamilton suggests that investors use this time for thorough research and homework to identify undervalued opportunities. He encourages a patient approach, noting that buying windows may be brief once favorable conditions arise. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:52 - Historical Gold Moves00:04:52 - Corrections & Sentiment00:06:46 - Apathy & Historic Sentiment00:12:42 - Gold & Trade War Fears?00:14:43 - Summer Doldrums00:17:42 - Silver Price Levels00:20:37 - Short Squeeze?00:21:45 - Fed, Gold, and Data00:25:26 - News & Your Attention00:28:00 - Miners & Leverage00:30:36 - Momentum in Metals00:32:32 - Crypto Market Impacts00:37:26 - Majors & Mid-Tiers00:41:32 - Majors & Exploration00:43:20 - Conclusion & Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://zealllc.com/Articles: https://zealllc.com/essays.htm Adam Hamilton founded Zeal LLC in early 2000. He started investing in stocks when he was 12 years old, using money from summer jobs. He grew up fascinated by stock markets, dreaming of making a living in this unique realm where compensation is not limited by time on task like most other professions. After growing up in a small-town banking family in rural North Dakota, Adam left for school at the University of Colorado at Boulder. While watching the markets and trading, he studied finance, accounting, and entrepreneurship. Adam went on to be a Big Six CPA and consultant after graduation, never stopping learning. By early 2000, Adam finally had enough experience and capital to found Zeal at 25 years old. Rather than hide his research and trading work in a hedge fund, Adam wanted to help others thrive in the markets. So he started sharing his now-world-famous market research work through very-affordable newsletters. Customers raved, and many millions of dollars of newsletter sales later Adam was blessed to become a self-made millionaire. He is very thankful to be living his dream, and plans to research, trade, and share wisdom through newsletters for the rest of his life. Adam is a Christian saved by Jesus Christ. He and his wife are greatly blessed with 2 children, and they live in Colorado.

    Alex Krainer: The US Banking System is the Key to Challenging the Hegemony

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 69:26


    Tom welcomes Alex Krainer to the show to discuss the importance of investing in commodities like gold and silver as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability. Krainer highlights the manipulation of markets, particularly natural gas, which has been kept artificially low to control food prices. Krainer discusses the problems created by the modern debt based systems and why these structures need to change for humanity to progress. He feel the world is heading towards an uncharter period of multi-polarity in currencies. Krainer emphasizes the need for individuals to build local support networks, as governments may fail to provide adequate assistance during crises. He advises investors to get to know their neighbors and develop practical solutions to survive challenges like shortages or economic disruptions. Krainer also touches on his work in trend following and provides resources such as his Substack newsletters and books, which are available for free on his website. His insights underscore the importance of preparedness and resilience in uncertain times. Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:52 - U.S. Imperial Interests00:07:02 - Repeatable Cycles?00:11:43 - A Multi-Polar World?00:15:48 - Trump's Policies00:20:25 - Ukraine War Progression00:24:25 - Wars, Debt System, & Profits00:30:38 - Framework & Systems00:37:40 - Reforming Banking00:48:55 - Central Bank Gold Buying00:51:56 - Silver's Behavior?00:54:50 - Trend Analysis & Risks00:59:44 - Energy, NatGas, Crude Oil01:02:36 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Website: https://isystem-tf.com/Books: https://isystem-tf.com/about/Substack: https://alexkrainer.substack.comX: https://x.com/NakedHedgie Alex Krainer is an author and hedge fund manager based in Monaco. He was born and raised in a socialist regime of former Yugoslavia, under one-party communist rule. Alex was born in Rijeka, Croatia , and spent a year in California as part of a student exchange program when he was 17 years old. He later transferred to Switzerland, where he completed a degree in Business and Economics.After his studies, Alex lived in Venezuela for a year and experienced his first banking crisis when 9 of Venezuela's 16 largest banks failed. He returned to Croatia and joined the military, serving through 1995 during the last phases of Croatia's war of independence.Alex has worked as a market analyst, researcher, trader, hedge fund manager, and CEO since 1996, mostly out of Monaco. He is the founder of Krainer Analytics and creator of I-System Trend Following. As an author, Alex has written books such as "The Grand Deception: The Browder Hoax," which was censored and banned. His work often focuses on geopolitical issues, including the conflict between Russia and the west.

    Rick Rule: The Coming Decade Looks Like the 1970’s, Take Action to Survive It

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 62:28


    Tom welcomes back the legendary Rick Rule to the show.  Rick discusses the current state of the gold and his thoughts on the uranium sector. Rick also discusses the U.S. energy sector and notes that the the Canadian oil and gas industry, particularly in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, is potentially even more favorable due to political conditions. He contrasts this with the over-drilled Permian basin in the U.S., suggesting Canada's untapped resources could lead to significant growth if policies become more supportive.  Rick's investment philosophy centers on long-term perspective, resilience, and continuous learning. Rule advises investors to educate themselves, act prudently, and build a strong reputation. He concludes with a quote from Robert Friedland, underscoring the importance of preparation for economic challenges, urging listeners to embrace this journey as an opportunity for growth.  Lastly, Rick highlights his new project Battle Bank, a unique service providing lending products secured by physical gold and silver, catering to those seeking capital access while maintaining prudent savings. Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:50 - Noise, News, & Attention00:09:05 - Taking Personal Action00:13:50 - Corporate Culture & Teams00:15:12 - Building a Portfolio00:19:07 - 70s The Lost Decade00:25:00 - Are Tariffs Useful?00:30:00 - Gold Bull Mkt. Status00:35:33 - Bullion Dealers & Sentiment00:41:16 - 70s Inflation & Impact00:45:50 - M&A Possibilities?00:47:04 - Uranium Exposure00:50:24 - Energy & Finding Value00:52:35 - Canadian Energy & Realities00:55:14 - Rick's Current Projects00:58:34 - Battle Bank & Saving in Gold01:00:26 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/realrickruleTwitter: https://twitter.com/realinvestmentmediaWebsite: https://ruleinvestmentmedia.comYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@RuleInvestmentMediaClassroom: https://ruleclassroom.com2024 Symposium: https://rulesymposium.com Rick Rule has dedicated his entire adult life to many aspects of natural resources securities investing. Besides the knowledge and experience gained in a long and focused career, he has a global network of contacts in the natural resources and finance sectors. Mr. Rule is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and is regularly interviewed for radio, television, print, and online media outlets concerning natural resources investment and industry topics. Prominent natural resources-oriented newsletters and advisories frequently quote him. Mr. Rule and his team have expertise in many resource sectors, including agriculture, alternative energy, forestry, oil and gas, mining, and water. Mr. Rule is particularly active in private placement markets, having originated in hundreds of debt and equity transactions with private, pre-public, and public companies.

    Gerald Celente: The Dollar is Cooked

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2025 34:29


    Gerald is founder of the Trends Research Institute and publisher of The Trends Journal. He holds nothing back as usual with an insightful assessment of the general quality of global leadership. Celente, who has spent 45 years forecasting trends, describes world leaders as "clowns" and "scum," citing examples like Boris Johnson in the UK, Emmanuel Macron in France, and Gerhard Schröder in Germany. He argues that these leaders are failing to address systemic issues, with the middle class in decline and wealth inequality on the rise. Celente highlights the impact of globalization and free trade agreements like NAFTA, which he believes have hollowed out American manufacturing and enriched corporations at the expense of workers. He also critiques the consolidation of media power under past administrations, noting that six companies now control 92% of U.S. media. In terms of economic trends, Celente discusses the rise of gold as a safe-haven asset, with prices expected to hit $4,000 an ounce due to geopolitical tensions and inflation. He expresses skepticism about tariffs, arguing they won't revive American manufacturing and will instead harm small businesses. Celente also warns of the dangers of AI-driven economic bubbles and the potential collapse of equity markets. Geopolitically, Celente focuses on the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, which he believes will drive oil prices to $120 per barrel and further destabilize global markets. He warns of the growing risk of nuclear annihilation, particularly between Israel and Iran, calling it a "doomsday scenario." Celente concludes by advocating for personal resilience, urging listeners to prioritize physical, emotional, and spiritual well-being. He also calls for a renaissance in values, emphasizing the importance of truth, integrity, and ethical leadership in rebuilding society. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Geo-Political Freakshow5:02 - Top 2025 'Trends Journal'7:47 - Tariffs & Manufacturing11:00 - Media Monopolies14:30 - Escalation Vs. Peace17:57 - Global Economic Slowdown22:00 - A.I. & China's Tech Sector23:44 - Trump & Interest Rates24:44 - Iran & Israel Nuclear Risk27:38 - Mentally Arrogant Rich28:20 - We Need a Renaissance31:09 - Focus on Your Health33:45 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://trendsjournal.comX: https://x.com/@geraldcelenteSubstack: https://trendsinthenews.substack.com Gerald Celente is the Founder/Director of the Trends Research Institute and Publisher of the weekly Trends Journal magazine. He is the author of the highly acclaimed and best-selling books “Trend Tracking” and “Trends 2000” (Warner Books). With a 43-year track record of identifying, tracking, and forecasting trends, Celente is world-renowned as today's #1 Trend Forecaster. Celente has earned the reputation as a trusted name in trends for his many accurate forecasts; among them, the 1987 Stock Market crash, Dot com bust, “Gold Bull Run,” “Panic of ‘08,” the rise of organic foods, and the popularity of gourmet coffee long before Starbucks was a household name. Celente, who developed the Globalnomic methodology to identify, track, forecast, and manage trends, is a political atheist. Unencumbered by political dogma, rigid ideology, or conventional wisdom, Celente, whose motto is “Think for Yourself,” observes and analyzes current events forming future trends for what they are – not for how he wants them to be. A true American Patriot, Celente owns three pre-Revolutionary stone buildings on the most historic corner in America, where the seeds of Democracy were sown, Colonial Kingston, New York's first Capitol. Self-described as a “Warrior for the Prince of Peace,” Gerald Celente is also the Founder “Occupy Peace & Freedom,” a not-for-profit movement to honor the Constitution and Bill of Rights and restore Freedoms.

    Bob Coleman: Gold, Silver, Platinum, Basel III & Financial Instability

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2025 54:36


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Bob Coleman of Idaho Armored Vaults to discuss silver market dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and precious metals trends. They start by analyzing the recent 5.5% rise in silver prices, attributing it to Trump's tariff announcements and the impact on COMEX short positions. Coleman explains that the silver market is experiencing a squeeze due to excessive short positions, with traders struggling to unwind contracts as physical demand grows. The conversation highlights how managed money, including hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, has been forced out of long positions during market sell-offs, leaving shorts dominant in certain markets. This dynamic creates upward pressure on prices despite weak retail buying activity. Coleman notes that high-net-worth individuals are increasingly turning to precious metals as a hedge against economic uncertainty, though physical demand remains subdued compared to past cycles. They also explore platinum's 15-17% year-to-date gains and its potential for further growth due to supply constraints and rising industrial demand. The discussion touches on the delayed implementation of Basel III regulations, which have reduced bank activity in unallocated precious metals, and the growing role of stablecoins like Tether in the Treasury market. Coleman emphasizes the importance of physical ownership over derivatives or structured products, citing risks such as nationalization of storage facilities and geopolitical instability. He advises readers to review storage agreements and terms of service to avoid hidden counterparty risks. The interview concludes with a focus on long-term trends in precious metals, driven by inflation fears and central bank policies. Bob urges investors to stay informed and cautious about market manipulation. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:32 - Silver & Recent Moves4:58 - 2025 Open Interest7:51 - Banks & Big Buyers11:00 - Platinum Outlook?14:10 - Shorts & Supply18:10 - Inflation & Deflection22:07 - Platinum Tariff Exempt?23:58 - Basel III Details28:13 - Stablecoins & Tether34:48 - ECB Gold Mkt Warning37:19 - Cad Mint Storage Terms40:45 - Retail Bullion Demand?46:02 - Manipulation Concerns?49:53 - Biggest Market Movers52:38 - Long-Term Big Picture53:40 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/profitsplusidWebsite: https://www.goldsilvervault.com/ Bob Coleman is a Registered Investment Advisor since 1992. In 2001, he founded Profits Plus Capital Management, LLC (RIA) and Dollars and Sense Growth Fund. Recognizing the necessity for physical metal storage, he founded Idaho Armored Vaults and Gold Silver Vault in 2008. They are a distinguished and respected leader in the precious metals industry specializing in storage, transportation, shipping logistics, and security.

    Greg Weldon: We have Crossed the Debt Macro Event Horizon

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2025 39:37


    Tom welcomes back Greg Weldon, a seasoned financial market veteran and publisher of The Global Macro Strategy Report . They discuss the critical themes shaping the global economy in 2025. Highlighting Scott Bessent's remarks, Weldon explains that the U.S. government will never default on its debt, and instead will perpetually devalue the currency to service its obligations. He warns that the country has however crossed a "macro event horizon," where it is trapped in a gravitational pull of debt that grows unsustainably relative to GDP. Weldon points to $54 trillion in combined public and household debt—186% of GDP—as evidence of this precarious situation. With foreign buyers losing appetite for U.S. assets, the Fed may become the last resort buyer of Treasuries, perpetuating the cycle of money printing. He notes that foreign ownership of U.S. bonds remains low, leaving domestic institutions to absorb much of the burden. The conversation delves into inflation and its drivers. Weldon argues that while energy prices remain subdued due to base effects, food inflation and service sector pressures pose significant risks. He also questions whether higher inflation expectations can be anchored, given the Fed's challenges in balancing monetary policy with economic growth. Weldon predicts that the Fed will increasingly prioritize preventing debt deflation over controlling inflation, leading to further dollar depreciation. Weldon expresses skepticism about a gold-backed dollar or bond solution, noting that U.S. gold reserves are insufficient to cover deficits meaningfully. Instead, he highlights gold and silver as potential beneficiaries of currency debasement, with silver poised for a breakout after years of underperformance. He also touches on global trends, such as Europe's rise as a safer haven and the BRICS nations' growing interest in dollar system alternatives. Ultimately, Weldon paints a picture of a world teetering on debt-driven instability, where central banks are forced to choose between reflating economies or facing collapse. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Bessent & Default Risk4:55 - Moody's Downgrade7:12 - U.S. Debt Refinancing9:40 - Foreign Debt Buyers?12:20 - Japan's Bond Issues15:03 - Solutions & Gold Std?16:55 - Equities & Silver20:30 - The Fed Catch 2224:25 - Fwd Inflation Drivers?27:54 - Debt Saturation & Ceilings34:50 - Polarization & Extremes38:50 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.weldononline.com/X: https://x.com/WeldonLIVEMoney Podcast: https://x.com/money_podcastYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@GregoryWeldonE-Mail: sales@weldononline.com Greg Weldon is a veteran in the global financial markets industry with over 40 years of experience. He started his career as a floor trader on the COMEX and later worked as a broker for Lehman Brothers and Prudential Securities. He then became a proprietary money manager for hedge funds Moore Capital Management and Commodities Corporation. In 1998, he founded Weldon Financial and has been producing independent research ever since. His clients include top hedge funds, banks, government agencies, and individual investors. WeldonLIVE, his flagship service, provides a comprehensive market research report, including live commentary. The service covers global economic reports, supply-demand fundamentals, monetary trends, and their impact on stock, bond, currency, and commodity markets. Weldon combines a top-down macro approach with technical analysis to offer a broad view of market trends. He provides market recommendations in sectors such as stock indexes, metals, currencies, fixed-income, energy, and commodities.

    Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed is Derelict in it’s Duty to the American People

    Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2025 49:05


    Tom Bodrovics once again engages in an interesting conversation with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." The conversation focuses on the ongoing recession that likely began in Q1 2024. Danielle highlights key data points, such as job losses starting in Q2 2024, which confirm the recession's onset. Despite this clarity, official channels are reluctant to acknowledge the recession due to political considerations. Danielle emphasizes the severe impact of student loan forbearance and credit constraints on US households, noting that rising defaults will further strain consumer spending. This situation is compounded by a lack of clear policies to replace past stimulus measures, leaving the economy vulnerable. Danielle shifts into the commercial real estate sector, with banks facing growing pressure to recognize losses. She critiques the Federal Reserve for ignoring critical data, such as shelter inflation and job losses, in favor of focusing on tariffs' impact on goods prices. This stance, she argues, is politically motivated and disregards the Fed's own historical lessons. Investors are advised to prioritize safety over riskier assets, given the high returns on cash and the uncertain economic outlook. Danielle concludes by urging empathy and support for communities navigating these challenging times, emphasizing the importance of looking out for one another during economic hardship. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:10 - Recession Recognition?6:05 - Recession & Neg. GDP9:06 - Politics & Power Games11:28 - Democrats & Leadership14:16 - Global Recession Outlook16:10 - Student Loan Problems20:10 - Com. Real Estate Bubble23:48 - Banks & Neg. Home Values26:38 - Q.E. Tariffs & Inflation30:30 - Wages, Housing, & Retail36:30 - Powell & Coming Shocks40:59 - Fed Ignoring The Data42:05 - Safe Investor Plays?47:10 - Concluding Thoughts48:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a Research Revolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

    Ronald Stöferle: Gold has Entered the Public Participation Phase

    Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2025 49:08


    Ronnie Stöferle, researcher and fund manager at Incrementum and author of the In Gold We Trust report, emphasizes that gold remains a critical asset as its role evolves alongside shifting global dynamics. Over nearly two decades, Stöferle has observed significant changes in how gold is perceived and demanded, particularly driven by emerging markets like Saudi Arabia, India, China, and Turkey. These regions now account for the majority of physical gold demand, both from central banks and private investors, underscoring a growing recognition of gold's value as a safe haven and store of wealth. Stöferle highlights that while gold is often seen as low volatility, it is currently in the "public participation phase" of its bull market cycle. This phase is characterized by increased media attention, higher price forecasts, and broader acceptance into investment portfolios. Despite gold's recent rise to around $3,300 per ounce, Stoferle maintains a bullish outlook, projecting a long-term target of $4,800 by the end of the decade. He attributes this confidence to underappreciated demand from emerging markets and growing skepticism toward traditional financial systems. The discussion also delves into the distinction between "safe haven gold" (physical gold stored securely) and "performance gold" (silver mining stocks and commodities). Stöferle suggests that while physical gold serves as a defensive hedge, performance gold offers higher potential returns. However, he cautions investors to actively time their exposure to these assets due to their volatility. Additionally, Stöferle addresses the role of Bitcoin alongside gold, viewing it as a complementary asset within a broader portfolio diversification strategy. He notes that while Bitcoin faces skepticism from traditional financial institutions, its adoption is steadily gaining traction, particularly among younger investors. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Gold and Global Change2:55 - Golds Performance7:20 - Demand West Vs. East12:48 - C.B. Gold Demand15:57 - Int. Rates & Bond Mkts.18:55 - Trump & Weaker Dollar23:45 - New Gold Theory27:54 - ETF Flows & Public Demand30:48 - Silver's Potential?34:34 - Miner's & Fundamentals37:53 - Metals & Bitcoin's Role?44:27 - Tether & Treasuries45:57 - Wrap Up & Final Thoughts Guest Links:In Gold we Trust 2025 – Full version:https://ingoldwetrust.report/download/46285/?lang=enIn Gold we Trust 2025 – Compact version:https://ingoldwetrust.report/download/46286/?lang=enVideo with all highlights of the report:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vM4_NDZL9mA&t=2s Slidedeck Key Takeaways of IGWT25:https://ingoldwetrust.report/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Presentation-Press-Conference-In-Gold-We-Trust-report-2025-english.pdf Link to Incrementum's Monthly Gold Compass:https://ingoldwetrust.report/monthly-gold-compass/?lang=en Subscription Link:https://ingoldwetrust.report/subscribe/?lang=en Twitter:https://x.com/@IGWTreporthttps://x.com/@RonStoeferle Webpage IGWT-report: https://ingoldwetrust.report/?lang=enWebpage Incrementum: https://www.incrementum.li/en/ Ronnald Stöferle is fund manager and managing partner of Incrementum AG. He studied Business Administration and Finance in the USA and at the Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, and also gained work experience at the trading desk of a bank during his studies. Upon graduation he joined the Research department of Erste Group, where he published his first “In Gold We Trust” report in 2007. Over the years, the Gold Report has proceeded to become one of the benchmark publications on gold, money, and inflation. Since 2013 he has held the position as reader at scholarium in Vienna, and he also speaks at Wiener Börse Akademie. In 2014, he co-authored the book “Austrian School for Investors” and in 2019 “Die Nullzinsfalle” (The Zero Interest Rate Trap). He is also a member of the board of Tudor Gold, a Canadian exploration company with projects in ...

    Tony Greer: Gold is Trading like a Prophecy, What are the Risks?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 46:20


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Tony Greer, trader, editor of The Morning Navigator , and co-founder of the MacroDirt podcast, to discuss the current state of global markets. The conversation begins with an overview of the chaotic economic landscape, including regime change dynamics, inflationary pressures, and market volatility across sectors like bonds, gold, oil, and Bitcoin. Tony highlights the breakdown of traditional market correlations, making it difficult to predict trends. He emphasizes gold as a key store of value, noting central bank buying but expressing caution about its current highs and potential vulnerabilities if buyers step back. Gold miners, meanwhile, are performing well, though Tony questions whether larger investors will shift allocations into them. The discussion turns to bond markets, particularly the Japanese situation, where yields have spiked, raising concerns about central bank intervention. Tony suggests that yields may continue to rise before any potential stabilization. He also touches on inflation, noting that while official numbers appear tame, everyday costs remain high, and the impact of tariffs could linger. Oil prices are surprisingly stable despite geopolitical tensions, with plenty of supply keeping prices in check. Tony speculates that energy stocks could rebound if oil prices stabilize but remains cautious about their profitability at current levels. The interview also covers the broader economic picture, including the risks of a U.S. recession and the impact of Trump's trade policies. Tony expresses skepticism about chasing recession narratives, instead focusing on market trends and central bank behavior. He concludes by reiterating the importance of watching stores of value like gold and Bitcoin, given the ongoing themes of currency debasement and geopolitical uncertainty. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Interesting Times1:42 - Politics & Correlations3:44 - C.B. & High Gold Prices12:05 - Timeframes & Signals16:46 - Capital Rotation Miners19:44 - Global Debt Markets22:57 - Volatility & Confusion25:16 - C.B. Coordination & YCC27:00 - Inflation Threats?28:41 - Oil Price Drivers33:18 - Recession Risks?35:25 - Tariff Ramifications37:14 - Copper?38:10 - Trump's Administration40:40 - 2025 What to Watch43:58 - U.S. Debt Overhang?45:21 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Substack: https://tgmacro.substack.com/Twitter: https://x.com/tgmacroWebsite: https://tgmacro.com/E-Mail: tony@tgmacro.comMacro Dirt Podcast: https://www.google.com/search?q=macro+dirt+podcast After graduating from Cornell University in 1990 Tony followed in his father's footsteps to a Wall Street trading operation. He quickly learned his career path would be vastly different. He says, "I would not be sitting in the same seat on the same trading desk managing the same risk for the same firm for over 30 years." We have clearly entered a new era in financial markets. He began in the treasury department of Sumitomo Bank on the 107th floor of the World Trade Center downtown Manhattan. Tony was an FX trading assistant while the Quantum Fund was breaking the Bank of England in 1992. In 1993 he joined Union Bank of Switzerland as an FX and commodities trader, spending half a year as a Vice President in their Zurich treasury department. Then returned to New York City early in 1995 to join J. Aron & Company, the privately held commodity trading arm of Goldman Sachs. He managed risk for the Goldman Sachs Commodities Index, in precious and base metals trading, and futures and options trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. He started his first venture in 2000 – Machine Trading which happened right before the tech bubble burst. That decision was his first excruciating life lesson in market timing. It turned out to be an extremely valuable learning experience. He believes there is a massive opportunity with both the unprecedented situation in global markets and in the way financial news is consum...

    Chris Whalen: Inflated – Money, Debt, and the American Dream

    Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2025 57:39


    Tom Bodrovics introduces Chris Whalen, author of Inflated: Money, Debt, and the American Dream, which has been re-released in a second edition with significant updates. The conversation focuses on the current state of markets, the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, and the challenges posed by the federal debt and inflation. Chris explains that he removed 20,000 words from his original book to make space for a new chapter analyzing the Federal Reserve's management of the money supply under Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jerome Powell. He highlights how the U.S. housing market has become heavily government-supported, leading to increased volatility and rising costs for consumers. Discussing inflation, Chris notes that it is driven by the inability of governments to generate sufficient income to meet their people's needs, as seen in countries like Argentina. He argues that borrowing from future income through debt creates distortions, particularly in housing markets, where prices have surged due to low interest rates and government intervention. He also critiques the dysfunctionality of Congress, which he believes is unable to pass budgets or manage spending effectively. Chris emphasizes the importance of gold as a hedge against inflation and expresses skepticism about stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, calling them speculative vehicles rather than reliable alternatives to fiat currency. He suggests that the U.S. dollar's dominance in global markets contributes to inflationary pressures, as other countries benefit from using dollars without bearing the associated costs. The discussion concludes with Chris offering an optimistic outlook, noting that while challenges remain, opportunities exist for investors to navigate inflation through real estate and gold. He encourages listeners to manage investments with a long-term perspective, considering the erosive effects of even low levels of inflation over time. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:02 - His Revised Book3:08 - Tariffs & Debt Distortions7:12 - Reserve Currency & Inflation11:03 - Debt Markets & Fed/Banks17:32 - National Debt & Spending21:18 - DOGE Cuts & Old Systems30:17 - Trump's Strategy?34:04 - Gold During Nixon Era39:08 - Book & US Administrations44:13 - MMT Era & Cryptocurrency?50:21 - Silver Supply & 1800s52:06 - Stablecoin Backing55:02 - Concluding Thoughts56:33 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/X: https://x.com/rcwhalenBooks (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/mv3wctcrLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rcwhalen/ Richard Christopher Whalen is an investment banker and author based in New York. He serves as Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC, focusing on banking, mortgage finance, and fintech sectors. Christopher is a contributing editor at National Mortgage News and a general securities principal and member of FINRA. From 2014 to 2017, he was the Senior Managing Director and Head of Research at Kroll Bond Rating Agency, leading the Financial Institutions and Corporate Ratings Groups. Previously, he was a principal at Institutional Risk Analytics from 2003 to 2013. Over three decades, Chris has worked as an author, financial professional, and journalist in Washington, New York, and London. After graduating, he served under Rep. Jack Kemp (R-NY) at the House Republican Conference Committee. In 1993, he was the first journalist to report on secret FOMC minutes concealed by Alan Greenspan. His career included roles at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Bear Stearns & Co., Prudential Securities, Tangent Capital, and Carrington Mortgage Holdings. Christopher holds a B.A. in History from Villanova University. He is the author of three books: "Ford Men: From Inspiration to Enterprise" (2017), published by Laissez Faire Books; "Inflated: How Money and Debt Built the American Dream" (2010) by John Wiley & Sons; and co-author of "Financial Stability: Fraud, Confidence & the Wealth of Nations,

    David Skarica: Mega Returns – Profiting from Maximum Pessimism

    Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 63:28


    David Skarica discusses his book "Mega Returns: Profit from Maximum Pessimism," highlighting key themes such as the end of asset price inflation driven by excessive debt and government spending. The conversation begins with an exploration of how COVID-19 and the 2008 financial crisis fueled a period of unprecedented debt, leading to inflated asset prices across sectors. Skarica emphasized the dangers of governments overspending during COVID, particularly in the U.S., where interest payments now surpass defense budgets. A concerning sign of fiscal strain. He warned that rising debt levels globally, especially in Japan and emerging markets like Canada and Australia, could trigger a debt crisis, potentially leading to hyperinflation. Investment strategies were a focal point, with Skarica advocating for precious metals such as gold, silver, platinum, and palladium as hedges against inflation. He also suggests specific ETFs for corporate bonds and options trading as actionable strategies. Additionally, he highlighs opportunities in emerging markets, particularly India's growth potential and Argentina as a turnaround play. Green energy and technology are discussed with cautious optimism. While skeptical of some trends, Skarica identifies opportunities in green energy companies and rare earth metals. He remains cautious about cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, noting their volatility but acknowledging their role as a hedge against dollar devaluation. Finally, Skarica underscores the importance of monitoring bond markets for signs of economic stress, particularly rising yields, which could indicate broader financial instability. His insights provide a comprehensive view of current market dynamics and actionable strategies for investors navigating a complex financial landscape. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Profit From Pessimism4:28 - Timing the Debt Mkts.8:52 - Canada & Australia11:40 - Global Bail Outs?14:44 - Revaluing Gold Res.19:23 - Corporate Debt Concerns25:01 - Trade Ideas & Theories27:28 - Opportunity Still in PMs32:52 - Platinum Metals?35:54 - Commodity Prices40:37 - Energy & Agriculture43:52 - Oil Company Risks47:32 - Emerging Markets?49:55 - Argentina?52:01 - New Technology55:05 - Bitcoin & Ethereum57:24 - G. Energy & Rare Earths1:01:08 - New Book Details1:02:16 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/DavidSkaricaYouTube: https://youtube.com/@profitpessWebsite: https://profitfrompessimism.com David Skarica had an interest in financial markets at an early age. At the age of 16, he read the small booklet “The Plague of the Black Debt”, by James Dale Davidson, which was given to him by his uncle. David was always a sports stat nut, loving football, hockey and baseball stats, which lead to David becoming intrigued with economics and markets. David is such an avid Football and Las Vegas Raiders fan — his principal in grammar school was Bernie Custis, who was the late Raiders owner Al Davis' roommate at Syracuse University, and the first ever African American quarterback in college and pro football history — that he also runs his own football vlog, Raiders Greats, which discusses great Raiders player of the past. He also is a soccer fan who supports Leeds Utd., as his father was born in Leeds, England. In 1996, at the age of 18, David became the youngest person on record (that he knows of anyhow) to obtain the Canadian Securities Course (CSC) license to trade investment securities. In the late 1990s, David felt that the market was becoming another epic bubble similar to the bubble of the 1920s, so he decided at the tender age of 20 to write his first book, Stock Market Panic!, which was published in 1998. Over the next decade, gold soared from $250 an ounce to nearly $1900, while the S&P 500 lost value. In the same year that this book was published, he decided to start his newsletter, Addicted to Profits. The newsletter's name was a spin on Robert Palmer's famed song Addicted ...

    Lyn Alden: Trump Team’s Attempts at Cutting the Deficits Will Fail

    Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2025 61:30


    Tom welcomes back Lyn Alden, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, to the show to discuss the intricacies of trade deficits, the role of the US dollar as a global reserve currency, and the broader economic implications for the United States. Lyn explains that a trade deficit occurs when a country imports more than it exports, and while some countries experience this cyclically, others, like India, have managed structural deficits by investing in long-term growth rather than overconsumption. The US, however, faces a unique challenge: its trade deficit is deeply tied to its status as the world's reserve currency, which creates an excess demand for dollars and makes it difficult to manufacture competitively. Lyn highlights that the dollar's strength perpetuates this cycle, making imports expensive and exports cheaper, while also forcing the US to rely on foreign investment to fund its deficits. This dynamic has contributed to deindustrialization and a shift in economic power globally. She contrasts this with historical examples like the UK during the Bretton Woods era, where a similar situation led to stagnation before the rise of new powers like the US. The discussion shifts to fiscal dominance, where large government deficits constrain monetary policy, making central banks more reliant on fiscal authorities. Lyn notes that the Fed is increasingly limited in its ability to control inflation due to these fiscal pressures. She also addresses Trump's tariff policies, arguing they harm domestic industries and shift costs onto American consumers while failing to address the root causes of trade imbalances. Inflationary pressures from tariffs are uneven, with specific sectors facing price increases while others experience disinflation. Lyn emphasizes that sustained inflation requires broader money supply growth, which has not been a significant factor in recent years. She concludes by exploring alternatives like gold and Bitcoin as potential reserve assets, suggesting that diversification into neutral reserves could help mitigate risks but remains largely theoretical at this stage. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Trade Deficits & Tariffs5:02 - Sustainable Economics?10:33 - Dollar & Liquidity14:02 - Fiat Currency 'Growth'15:49 - Fed & Fiat Deflation?21:40 - Tariff Model & Truth25:05 - Gold, Bitcoin, & Dollar28:30 - Trade, Tariffs, & Conflict33:04 - Bond Market Impacts36:36 - Taxes & Gradual Tariffs39:05 - DOGE & Reducing Deficits42:00 - Fiscal Dominance46:23 - Devaluing/Lower Dollar?49:43 - U.S. Gov't Buying Gold?52:20 - Bitcoin Reserve?56:09 - Tariffs & Inflation Effects59:40 - Watch for Fiscal Issues1:00:50 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/LynAldenContactWebsite: https://www.lynalden.com/ Lyn Alden is editor and publisher of LynAlden.com, where she has both a subscription and a free financial newsletter. She says, "Her background lies at the intersection of engineering and finance." Her site provides investment research and strategy, covering stocks, precious metals, international equities, and alternative investments, with a specialization in asset allocation. Whether you're new to investing or experienced, there's a lot there for you. Lyn has a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering and a master's degree in engineering management, focusing on engineering economics and financial modeling. She oversees the finances and day-to-day operations of an engineering facility. She has been performing investment research for over fifteen years in various public and private capacities. Her work has been editorially featured or cited on Business Insider, Marketwatch, Time's Money Magazine, The Daily Telegraph, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Street, CNBC, US News and World Report, Kiplinger, and The Huffington Post. She has also appeared on Real Vision, The Investor's Podcast Network, The Rebel Capitalist Show, The Market Huddle, and many other podcasts.

    Brett Heath: Silver’s Big Moment – Is a Market Reversal Coming?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 40:52


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Brett Heath, CEO of Metalla Royalty and Streaming, to discuss the current state of the gold industry. Brett highlights a strong bid under gold, driven by macroeconomic factors such as shifting perceptions around US assets and central bank diversification into gold. He notes that emerging market economies are reducing their exposure to US treasuries and increasing gold reserves, creating sustained demand. Brett emphasizes the undervalued nature of gold equities compared to historical standards, suggesting they are attractively priced for investors seeking stability and cash flow. He points to increased M&A activity as companies scramble to acquire high-quality assets amid a scarcity of scalable projects. Brett also discusses the speculative nature of silver, which is currently underperforming relative to gold, but sees potential for a rebound if sentiment shifts. Overall, Brett paints a bullish picture for gold, with significant long-term appreciation expected despite short-term volatility. He urges investors to monitor trends in asset valuation and central bank activity, signaling that now may be an opportune time to invest in high-quality gold assets. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Global Macro Picture5:20 - C. Banks East Vs West6:27 - Who Buys Next?8:26 - Timeline & Mkt. Direction10:25 - GDX & GDX.J Outflows12:38 - Gold, Fed & Catalysts16:05 - Inflation Drivers19:08 - U.S. Debt & Servicing21:42 - Industry Sentiment25:28 - Hurdles for Gold?28:53 - Chaotic M&A Coming?30:50 - Perception & Valuations36:03 - Silver Ratio Thoughts39:13 - Violent Reversal Silver40:15 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.metallaroyalty.com/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/metalla-royalty-and-streaming-ltd.Twitter: https://x.com/metallaroyalty Brett Heath is Chief Executive Officer and Director of Metalla Royalty & Streaming. Mr. Heath has a comprehensive career in the royalty sector and public markets with over two decades of experience. Over his career, he has founded and built over $1 billion in value using the royalty model in the public and private markets. He is currently the Chief Executive Officer of Metalla Royalty (NYSE: MTA) and Director of Key Carbon Ltd. (Private). He has completed over 50 royalty transactions in gold, silver, copper, nickel, and carbon markets with a diverse group of counterparties from major corporates, private equity, and private interests.

    Michael Gentile: The Perfect Storm in Mining – Record Gold Prices and Undervalued Stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2025 60:53


    Michael Gentile, strategic investor in the junior mining sector and co-founder of Bastion Asset Management, discusses the current state of the gold mining industry and its potential for mean reversion. He highlights that gold mining stocks are trading at depressed levels despite record-high gold prices, creating a compelling entry point for investors. Gentile notes that while gold prices have tripled since 2018, gold mining stocks have lagged behind, offering significant value. Gentile emphasizes the importance of investing in commodities during periods of low sentiment and depressed prices, as this setup often precedes substantial returns. He points to historical cycles where negative sentiment and undervaluation led to major rebounds in gold mining stocks. Gentile also underscores the strong fundamentals of the industry, including record margins and free cash flow generation, which he attributes to higher gold prices and stable costs. He contrasts the current market with past periods, such as 2015-2020, where similar conditions led to significant rallies in gold mining stocks. Gentile believes that the sector is poised for a rotation, driven by improving fundamentals and macroeconomic factors like central bank buying of gold and geopolitical uncertainties. He also notes that while tech stocks have outperformed gold mining stocks historically, the latter now offers a unique opportunity due to its undervaluation. Gentile advises investors to diversify their exposure to the sector through ETFs or baskets of producing companies before moving into higher-risk junior miners. He stresses patience and a long-term perspective, as building mines takes time and requires careful consideration of jurisdictional risks and infrastructure challenges. In conclusion, Gentile sees the gold mining sector as a multi-year tailwind driven by macroeconomic trends, including the repositioning of gold as a hedge against inflation and the US dollar's decline. He encourages investors to allocate at least 5-10% of their portfolios to gold or related equities to preserve wealth in uncertain times. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Mining Valuations & Risk3:08 - Catalysts & Charts7:24 - Margin Expansion Growth13:53 - Miners & Projections16:08 - Global Slowdown Impacts?19:10 - Capital Rotation Charts25:15 - Timing & Positioning28:43 - Lassonde Curve & Patience32:13 - Other Metals & Sentiment34:46 - Project Timelines & Risks40:00 - M&A & Finding Projects45:50 - Secondary Project Factors48:20 - Rating Jurisdictions50:37 - Development & Resource Est.53:47 - Advice for New Investors56:37 - Portfolio Weightings59:23 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-gentile-01028552Website: https://bastion-am.com Michael Gentile, CFA, Founding Partner & Senior Portfolio Manager Before founding BAM, Michael was Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager at Formula Growth Ltd for over 17 years. Michael co-managed the FG Alpha Fund (US SMid equity market neutral) between 2012 and 2018, co-managed the FG Focus Fund (US SMid long short strategy) between 2014 and 2018. Since leaving FG in 2018, Michael has been very successful investing in the gold sector also acting as Strategic Advisor and Director for several companies in the natural resource sector. Michael graduated with Great Distinction from the John Molson School of Business (Concordia University) with a Bachelor of Commerce (Finance) and received the Calvin Potter Fellowship from Concordia's Kenneth Woods Portfolio Management Program. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation (CFA)

    Luke Gromen: Gold Can be Used to Rebalance the Global Economy Without a World War

    Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 83:12


    Tom welcomes back Luke Gromen of Forest For The Trees back to the show. The discussion delves into complex economic and geopolitical dynamics, focusing on how global powers might navigate a transition away from the dollar-based system towards a neutral reserve asset like gold. He begins by highlighting that the current dollar-centric system is unsustainable due to high deficits and debt levels. A potential solution, he suggests, involves using gold as a neutral reserve asset, which would allow commodities to be priced in multiple currencies and facilitate trade settlements. This shift could create a more balanced and resilient global economic framework. Moving on to geopolitical implications, Gromen notes that the conflict in Ukraine has underscored the limitations of conventional military strategies, shifting the balance of power dynamics. He points out that countries like Russia and China are driving efforts to move away from the dollar system, which necessitates a new economic framework. This transition is not just an economic shift but also a significant geopolitical realignment. Luke emphasizes the importance of incentives for avoiding direct military confrontation with major powers. He explains that such conflicts are strategically unwise due to nuclear deterrence and the deep interdependence of economies. Instead, he argues that negotiating a new economic order aligns with long-term strategic interests and avoids the catastrophic consequences of war. Drawing on historical context, Mr. Gromen observes that the post-World War II debt-based economy is nearing its limits, making it imperative to return to a more sustainable model. He suggests that transitioning to gold as a reserve asset could reboot global economies, fostering stability and growth without resorting to conflict. This approach not only addresses current economic challenges but also positions nations for future prosperity. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:55 - Tariffs & China's Response5:52 - Trade Disruption & Inflation8:26 - Inflation & Real Rates10:35 - Bessent Put & Move Index12:26 - Treasury Auction Thoughts16:45 - W. Buffett Cash Reserve22:14 - Inv. Funds and Mandates23:53 - News Cycle/Gold Theory31:00 - Chinese Fin. Officials34:46 - Large U.S. Gold Imports40:48 - Official Denial/Confirm44:44 - Revaluing Gold Reserves48:28 - Gold Backed Treasuries?51:49 - Gold Pricing Cui Bono54:17 - Oil/Dollar Scenarios1:02:03 - Russia/Saudi & Oil Mkts.1:03:39 - Economics & Derisk. Conflict1:14:53 - Incentives & Ukraine1:17:17 - End of Debt as Assets Era1:21:30 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/lukegromenWebsite: https://fftt-llc.com/ Luke Gromen began his career in the mid-1990s in Research at Midwest Research before moving over to institutional equity sales and becoming a partner. While in sales, Luke was a founding editor of Midwest's widely-read weekly summary ("Heard in the Midwest") for the firm's clients. He aggregated and combined proprietary research from Midwest with inputs from other sources. In 2006, Luke left FTN Midwest to become a founding partner of Cleveland Research Company. At CRC, Luke continued to work in sales and edit CRC's flagship weekly research summary piece ("Straight from the Source") for the firm's customers. In 2014, Luke left Cleveland Research to found FFTT, LLC ("Forest for the Trees"), a macro/thematic research firm catering to institutions and individuals that aggregates a wide variety of macroeconomic, thematic, and sector trends in an unconventional manner to identify investable developing economic bottlenecks. Luke also provides strategic consulting services for corporate executives. He is a graduate of the University of Cincinnati and received his MBA from Case Western Reserve University and earned the CFA designation in 2003.

    Chris Vermeulen: Gold is Signaling a Financial Reset is Upon Us

    Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 52:07


    Tom welcomes back Chris Vermeulen, the founder of The Technical Traders, to discuss the highly volatile year of 2025 so far. He notes that volatility has been extreme across various asset classes, driven by factors like geopolitical tensions, AI advancements, and fears of an impending recession. Vermeulen emphasized that while day traders thrive in such environments due to significant intraday swings, swing traders face increased risks with massive price gaps. Long-term investors should prioritize capital preservation by moving to cash until market clarity emerges, as he believes a bear market has already begun. He warned against the "buy the dip" mentality, especially for those nearing retirement, cautioning that this approach could lead to significant losses in a prolonged bear market. Vermeulen points out key indicators of an impending financial reset, including economic data showing hiring declines and rising unemployment, as well as housing market corrections with inventories soaring. Gold was discussed as a safe haven asset, though Vermeulen cautioned about potential pullbacks. He suggested that gold miners could offer better opportunities once the market stabilizes. Seasonality plays a role in his analysis, noting that stock markets typically struggle post-May, aligning with his bearish outlook. Real estate was also addressed, with Vermeulen predicting price drops of 15-20% and warning about the broader economic impact as housing values decline. He highlighted the psychological effect on investors when their largest asset depreciates, potentially leading to panic selling across markets. The U.S. dollar's potential strength was discussed, with Vermeulen suggesting it could rally in a risk-off environment. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:52 - Market Volatility & Trading4:58 - Markets in Topping Stage8:30 - Cliff Phase Indicators15:22 - Downside Targets Gold18:50 - Expectations for Miners?23:18 - Seasonality in 2025?26:00 - Silver Markets & Risk?28:57 - Bitcoin Decoupling31:45 - Real Estate & Nest Eggs34:30 - Google Search Trends42:08 - Dollar Thoughts48:49 - Mkt Resets & Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheTechTradersWebsite: https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/ Chris Vermeulen is the Founder of Technical Traders Ltd. Chris has been involved in the markets since 1997. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and author. Years of research, trading, and helping individual traders worldwide have taught him that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing. They struggle to execute trades systematically for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders, and his mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility. He has also been on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine and featured in Futures Magazine, Gold-Eagle, Safe Haven, The Street, Kitco, Financial Sense, Dick Davis Investment Digest, and dozens of other financial websites.

    Byron King: Gold is Being Remonetized, Like It or Not

    Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 72:00


    Tom welcomes back geologist and newsletter writer Byron King for a discussion on various aspect of the mining industry and the impacts of tariffs. They touch upon the fact that central banks are buying large amounts of gold and the impact this has on gold prices. They also mention the neglect of mining shares in comparison to the rise in gold prices, creating opportunities for investors. They also discuss the current mining cycle and how companies are reporting good earnings due to high gold prices. Byron suggests investors look for companies with assets, a strong management team, and resources worth exploring further. He mentions several examples of promising companies and opportunities within the gold space, as well as mentioning his own experiences at mining conferences. Additionally, Byron gives us his thoughts on the global market situation and how tariffs may affect various industries and economies. Byron encourages listeners to explore more about hard assets and investing in metals and energy for potential opportunities and growth. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:52 - First 100 Days & Gold4:35 - Gold, Uncertainty & Price10:45 - Trump Taxes & Deficits17:57 - W. Vs E. Gold Monetization25:44 - China & Trade War Options35:17 - Trump Greenland & Canada44:44 - Underinvestment in Mining55:00 - Miner Margins & Sentiment1:02:43 - Opinions at Conferences1:09:23 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://paradigmpressgroup.com/ Byron King has first-hand expertise and connections in important industries like commodities and defense. He literally goes the extra mile to bring you perspectives you won't find anywhere else. His insights have been featured on MSN Money, Marketwatch.com, Fox Business News, CNBC's Squawk Box, Larry Kudlow, Glenn Beck and PBS's NewsHour. He has also been published in the Financial Times, The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal. Byron graduated from Harvard University with a degree in geological sciences. He then went to work as a geologist for Gulf Oil Exploration and Production. Next came a tour as a flight officer for the U.S. Navy. At one point, he was an aide to the United States Chief of Naval Operations. After leaving active duty, Byron began practicing law. In 2002, he started corresponding with the staff of The Daily Reckoning. His work was featured so frequently he was often called an “unpaid contributor.” When he officially joined the staff, he began criss-crossing the globe in search of the world's best mining investment opportunities. Even now Byron spends much of his time away from home, checking out remote exploration sites, mines, rigs and plants to bring you a first-hand account of almost every investment opportunity he recommends. His way of breaking down technical language into everyday English has earned him a lot of fans. And you can count on him to give you the clearest picture of companies that make the world work.

    John Johnston: America’s New Bull Market and the Unknown Top for Gold

    Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 56:32


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes John Johnston (JJ), a seasoned trader with over 47 years of experience and 30-Years on the Comex and Nymex. John expresses a bullish stance on gold, emphasizing its long-term potential despite near-term volatility. He acknowledges silver's struggles due to contango and high costs but remains optimistic about its eventual rebound. He also highlights his bullishness on bonds and the U.S. economy, crediting President Trump for fostering positive change and balance in the financial system. JJ's trading strategy revolves around technical indicators like the slow stochastic oscillator and Wells Wilder's directional movement indicator, which he applies across various markets. He stresses the importance of position sizing, risk management, and understanding one's limitations as critical components of successful trading. The conversation delves into broader economic themes, including Trump's policies on taxation, tariffs, and antitrust measures, which JJ believes could redistribute wealth more equitably. He also touches on risks such as geopolitical tensions and potential recessions but remains optimistic about the administration's ability to navigate these challenges. John critiques the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, arguing it should prioritize protecting the dollar and banking system. He reflects on the historical significance of current events, likening them to pivotal moments in American history that will shape the nation's future. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:57 - Current Market Thoughts3:30 - Comex Experience11:23 - Gold Bull & Sentiment15:00 - Crude / Gold Ratio24:46 - Trump Policies & Risks34:48 - Silver Scenarios39:50 - Manipulation & Metals?43:20 - Vault Audits & Tungsten47:16 - Powell Challenges53:12 - Concluding Thoughts55:25 - Wrap Up Guest LinksSubstack: https://jj745.substack.comX: https://x.com/Alyosha745 John Johnston (JJ) is a veteran trader for 47-years with 30-years experience with the Comex and NYMEX. Known for his expertise in energy, gold, and silver, his views are old school pit wisdom with decades of technical evolution, and a somewhat literate overview of history and maket-lore. He writes about market trends and insights on the Market Vibes Substack. He says, "As a writer, I never try to be right. I try to be honest. I never want a reader to think what I think. I want the reader to know what I know."

    Josh Phair: The East Vs. West Race for Metals and Miners is Heating Up

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 46:45


    In this episode of Palisades Gold Radio, host Tom Bodrovics interviews Josh Phair, CEO of Scottsdale Mint and Wyoming Reserve. The discussion centers on the current state of global finance, particularly the role of gold as a reserve asset and its implications for central banks, markets, and investors. Phair highlights that central banks are increasingly turning to gold as a risk-free asset, replacing treasuries on their balance sheets. This shift is driven by de-leveraging and de-risking strategies amid concerns over fiat currency inflation. He notes that countries like China have been leading this trend, with significant imports of gold into the U.S., signaling a global "gold race." The conversation also touches on Basel III regulations, set to take effect in summer 2025, which require banks to hold more capital and physical gold. Phair explains that owning ETFs does not provide the same risk-free status as holding physical gold, prompting central banks to prioritize its acquisition. Phair discusses the recent LBMA delivery issues, where metals were being requested at unprecedented rates, leading to delays. He suggests this was a combination of factors, including tariffs, market dynamics, and regulatory preparedness. Phair also explores the role of gold in a potential monetary reset, suggesting that while it won't happen overnight, gold is likely to play a significant role due to its status as a trusted asset. He advises investors to follow the lead of central banks and accumulate physical gold as a hedge against uncertainty. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Gold Vs. Treasuries3:20 - LBMA Deliveries & Tariffs10:37 - Exchange Purity Specs12:36 - Who is Buying?17:02 - Bessent & Gold19:24 - Risks & Scenarios24:27 - Public & Retail Interest27:25 - Fed & China Trade Collapse35:49 - Manufacturing Investment42:50 - Capital Rotation & BRICS45:02 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.scottsdalemint.comX: https://x.com/scottsdalemintX: https://x.com/JoshPhilipPhairInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/scottsdalemint/ Scottsdale Mint was started in 2008 by Josh Phair after working as Vice President of what is now known as Willis Towers Watson, where he ran the North American Mining Practice, personally managing dozens of the largest mining companies and their risk management operations. Dedicating himself to innovation, quality, and security, Mr. Phair orchestrated a remarkable transformation of the company, evolving it from a mere retailer into a prominent U.S.-based manufacturer. Simultaneously, he adeptly managed a sophisticated trade and hedge book encompassing commodities, currencies, and digital assets. Thanks to his strategic leadership, Scottsdale Mint has earned global recognition as a premier brand in the precious metals industry. Josh Phair also cofounded and serves as CEO of The Wyoming Reserve Opportunity Zone Fund, a tax-advantaged precious metals vaulting business.  In addition to his remarkable achievements, Mr. Phair's profound appreciation for fine art extends to a deep passion for both traditional and digital artistic expressions. This passion serves as the driving force behind the artistic excellence that sets Scottsdale Mint apart in the realm of precious metals.

    Tavi Costa: Gold’s Revaluation – This Could Be History in the Making

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2025 49:42


    Tom welcomes back Tavi Costa, Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital, to discuss the current state of gold, silver, mining stocks, and broader economic trends. Costa emphasizes that despite technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions in gold, the underlying macroeconomic factors point to continued strength in precious metals. He highlights the role of central banks, particularly in emerging markets like China, Russia, and Turkey, which have been significant buyers of gold. Costa argues that gold's revaluation is driven by global debt imbalances, de-globalization trends, and countries seeking to stabilize their monetary systems. He also explains how higher gold prices can increase the U.S. Treasury's cash reserves, enabling buybacks of Treasuries without quantitative easing, which he believes will be a critical tool for managing debt. Costa is bullish on mining stocks, noting they are historically undervalued relative to U.S. equities and have outperformed over the past decade. He suggests that as global infrastructure needs grow and supply chains shift, mining companies will play a crucial role in meeting demand for essential commodities. Additionally, he points out the attractive valuations of silver, given its high gold-to-silver ratio, which he believes could lead to significant price appreciation. The discussion also touches on the U.S. dollar's structural downtrend, driven by high debt levels and interest payment burdens, and how this impacts emerging markets positively. Costa predicts that lower yields on short-term Treasuries will benefit miners and other sectors. He concludes by advocating for increased exposure to energy stocks due to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introductions0:38 - Technical Bear Signals?5:54 - Monetizing U.S. Assets11:08 - Gold Re-Valuation Chart15:00 - Tariffs & Fed Policy20:08 - Dollar Struct Downtrend26:10 - Mining Stock Value31:30 - A Correction Coming?35:33 - GS Ratio Imbalances40:09 - Gaining Metal Exposure43:43 - Education & Sentiment47:00 - Mkt. Rotation & Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/tavicostaX: https://x.com/crescat_capitalWebsite: https://crescat.net Otavio ("Tavi") Costa is a Member and Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital and has been with the firm since 2013. He built Crescat's macro model that identifies the current stage of the U.S. economic cycle through a combination of 16 factors. His research is regularly featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CCN, Financial Post, The Globe and Mail, Real Vision, and Reuters. Tavi is a native of São Paulo, Brazil, and fluent in Portuguese, Spanish, and English. Before joining Crescat, he worked with the underwriting of financial products and international business at Braservice, a large logistics company in Brazil. Tavi graduated cum laude from Lindenwood University in St. Louis with a B.A. degree in Business Administration with an emphasis in Finance and a minor in Spanish. Tavi played NCAA Division 1 tennis for Liberty University.

    David Kranzler: This is the Start of a Healthy Long-Term Gold Bull Cycle

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 71:48


    Tom welcomes back David Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics to the show. Dave discusses his perspectives on various risks that he sees in the current economic and geopolitical landscape. He expresses concerns about the growing federal debt load in the US and the potential implications of the dollar losing its status as the world's reserve currency. Kranzler also touches upon the geopolitical tensions between major powers like China, Russia, and the US, which he believes could lead to significant consequences for the global financial system if cooler heads don't prevail. On a more positive note, Kranzler emphasizes the potential opportunities in the mining sector, specifically gold and silver miners, as these metals continue to perform well during this economic climate. He highlights several companies that he believes have strong potential for growth. He shares his thoughts on the recent M&A activity in the mining industry and the implications of a potential shift towards a gold-backed currency monetary standard. Throughout the interview, Kranzler offers insights into his investment strategies, discussing the importance of due diligence and staying informed about economic and geopolitical developments while trying to enjoy life despite uncertain times. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:58 - Ignoring Current Risks4:32 - U.S. Debt & DOGE7:10 - Trump & China Clash9:50 - Trillion Defense Budget12:08 - Global Dollar Trends14:58 - China T-Bill Holdings17:17 - Trust & Gold Holdings19:13 - Counterparty Risk24:35 - C.B. Secrecy27:56 - Gold Price & GSR31:00 - China Industry & Silver35:43 - Bank Reports & Gold39:12 - Thoughts on Bessent43:53 - A U.S. CBDC Coming?47:28 - Gold & Producers57:14 - Mergers & Acquisitions1:02:15 - Gold/Miner Downside?1:08:04 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Substack: https://miningstockjournal.substack.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/InvResDynamicsWebsite: https://investmentresearchdynamics.comNewsletter: https://investmentresearchdynamics.com/mining-stock-journal David Kranzler spent many years working in various analytic jobs and trading on Wall Street. For nine of those years, he traded junk bonds for Bankers Trust. Dave earned a master's degree in business administration from the University of Chicago, concentrating on accounting and finance. He writes a blog to help people understand and analyze what is going on in our financial system and economy.

    Peter Goodburn: The Rise and Fall of King Dollar

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 71:42


    Tom welcomes back Peter Goodburn from WaveTrack International to discuss his analysis of the financial markets. Goodburn's focus is on Elliott Wave analysis and he believes that the current market environment can be understood as a binary relation to tariffs. If tariffs continue, stock markets will decline, and gold prices will rise. Conversely, if negotiations cool off, the stock market may recover, but gold prices may experience profit-taking sell-offs. Goodburn also shared his perspective on interest rates, suggesting that Treasury yields are heading lower due to the perception of increasing inflation risks. He believes this decrease in yields indicates that a US downturn is likely, although he did not specify a timeframe for when this may occur. The interview also touched upon copper prices, with Goodburn noting that China's position on strategic metals could impact their availability and pricing going forward. As the conversation concludes, Goodburn emphasized the importance of following price levels and wave patterns instead of being overly reliant on news flow to make trading decisions. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:00 - Analysis of the Markets3:27 - S&P Charts & Sentiment10:37 - Nasdaq Outlook13:04 - Blow-Off Technicals17:42 - Global Capital Rotation24:54 - Global Market Surveys25:37 - Dr. Copper & Tariffs31:38 - China & Rare Earths34:26 - Gold's Strength & Inflows38:12 - Gold Pullback Coming?44:47 - US Dollar Thoughts48:30 - Jerome Powell & Rates51:13 - Weak Canadian Peso54:55 - Treasuries & Yield Spikes59:22 - Tariffs & Inflation1:04:50 - Crude Oil Prices1:09:06 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/ElliottWave_WTIWebsite: https://wavetrack.com Peter Goodburn is the founding partner of WaveTrack International. His trading experience spans back to the late 1970s working then in the commodities business for exchange members and their clients. In those earlier years of his career, he created the first OTC (over-the-counter) copper option product based upon the Comex (New York) contract around the mid-eighties, and in the same period, devised Opval, an option-evaluation software program that is currently used in many of the major market-making institutions of today. His fascination with price activity and how that related to the news flow within the markets captured his imagination early on. Peter's first annual diary of 1978 records his notes and remarks on how the interaction and relationship of fundamental news and price movement often contradicted themselves. Some years later, this was to ignite his interest in causal theory and naturally, the Elliott Wave Principle. He was first introduced to the Elliott Wave Principle in the mid-eighties listening to daily updates of financial commentary by Bob Beckman on LBC radio (London Broadcasting Company). This led him to the work of Frost/Prechter and their first re-publication of R.N.Elliott's (1871-1948) original treatise of 1938 (The Wave Principle) and 1946 (Nature's Law – The Secret of the Universe), entitled "the Elliott Wave Principle" (1978). Peter's a self-proclaimed purist of the Wave Principle but has developed a unique approach of geometric Ratio & Proportion that is instrumental in maintaining a dispassionate and objective view of the market. He has applied this analysis to every major asset class over the years, stocks, bonds, currencies & commodities, and promotes the importance of interdependency of the combined group. Peter has been a member of the U.K.'s Society of Technical Analysts (STA) for over twenty-five years and is a Certified Financial Technician recognized by the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). He has taught the Elliott Wave Principle to students at the London School of Economics as part of the STA's diploma program and is a member of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles and the Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology and Life Sciences.

    Jaime Carrasco: The Biggest Opportunity For Any Investor Right Now

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2025 60:40


    In this episode on Palisades Gold Radio, Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Jaime Carrasco. Jaime is Senior Portfolio Manager & Senior Investment Advisor at Harbourfront Wealth Management. Jaime discusses the current economic landscape and the implications for investors. Carrasco emphasizes the importance of understanding the paradigm shift in the monetary system, particularly the role of gold and silver as sound money. Carrasco highlights that the global economy is facing a debt bubble, where each additional dollar of debt fails to stimulate growth, leading instead to social instability. He argues that this situation is similar to what Latin America experienced, with the US now reaching a critical point. Carrasco believes that the current fiat system is imploding, and gold will play a central role in the upcoming reset of the monetary system. He discusses the rise of gold prices across major currencies, noting that this reflects the decline in purchasing power of fiat currencies rather than an increase in gold's intrinsic value. Carrasco warns against complacency among financial advisors who fail to recognize these systemic changes and advises investors to allocate a significant portion of their portfolios to precious metals, particularly through well-managed mining companies. Carrasco also delves into the role of silver, emphasizing its structural deficit in production relative to demand, especially given the shift toward green energy. He suggests that silver's price will rise significantly as the global economy transitions, offering investors substantial opportunities. The interview touches on geopolitical dynamics, including China's strategic accumulation of gold and its influence on the global monetary system. Carrasco warns against trusting central banks and advocates for individual investors to establish their own "gold standards" to protect wealth. Finally, Carrasco advises investors to focus on stockpicking within the precious metals sector, emphasizing high-quality producers with strong management and leverage to rising metal prices. He encourages a long-term perspective, positioning oneself to benefit from the coming paradigm shift rather than trying to predict short-term price movements. Talking Points From This Episode0:00 - Introduction2:10 - Changing Roles4:30 - Currencies Vs. Gold9:14 - Trump & Debt Bubble15:40 - Tariffs & Positioning23:50 - Silver Opportunity26:20 - Silver Supply Deficit30:15 - M&A Activity Strategy34:08 - Gold & Leverage37:11 - Mkt. Volatility Causes39:08 - A Quiet Fed & Inflation45:42 - Lower Dollar US/China48:42 - When to Sell Gold?57:05 - Concluding Thoughts59:00 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/ijcarrascoLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/carrasco1/Website: https://www.harbourfrontwealth.comE-Mail: jaime@jcwealth.ca Jaime Carrasco is Senior Portfolio Manager & Senior Investment Advisor at Harbourfront Wealth Management. From 2014-2018 he worked as Director of Wealth Management and Associate Portfolio Manager for ScotiaMcLeod. Before this, he worked for Macquarie Group, CIBC Wood Gundy, BMO Nesbitt Burns, Gordon Capital, and Merrill Lynch. Jaime is a leading Canadian investment professional with 25 years of experience providing wealth management and investment counsel to affluent families, businesses, and institutions. He has garnered a reputation for questioning and challenging the status quo and exploring the most innovative investment strategies. Jaime, whose mother tongue is Spanish, also speaks Italian and French. He completed a BA in political science and economics at the University of Toronto in 1988. While a student, he worked for CS Yacht, a company that built luxury sailboats, thus spending his summers as a skipper for the Canadian establishment members. Jaime credits this experience and having survived sailing through Hurricane Bob in 1991. This experience taught him lessons that have become a metaphor for his financial investment stra...

    Michael Pento: Markets are Collapsing and Recession is Here – Gold is the Answer

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 44:23


    Tom welcomes back Michael Pento, from Pento Portfolio Strategies. The discussion revolves around the current economic landscape, highlighting the Federal Reserve's challenges in balancing inflation control and recession fears. Pento argues that the Fed is constrained by a "Gordian knot" of conflicting mandates, emphasizing its focus on bailing out banks and managing government debt rather than addressing inflation effectively. He critiques the dual mandate of stable prices and full employment, suggesting that employment rates have little bearing on inflation, which stems from fiat currency devaluation. Pento also delves into the impact of tariffs, particularly those imposed by former President Trump, noting their role in exacerbating economic instability. While he acknowledges the intent behind these measures—to rebuild the middle class and reduce trade deficits—the lack of clear planning and frequent changes create uncertainty for businesses. This unpredictability complicates financial decision-making, especially for manufacturers considering relocating production. Pento advocates for a model that considers credit spreads, real interest rates, and financial conditions. He warns against passive investing in market-cap weighted indices like the S&P 500, which concentrates capital in overvalued stocks and amplifies market volatility. Instead, he recommends an active approach, emphasizing short-term bonds, gold, and selective equity exposure. Pento also discusses the role of gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, distinguishing between physical gold (held personally) and liquid paper gold (ETFs and mining stocks). He advises investors to allocate 5% of their net worth to physical gold for safety, with additional exposure to liquid gold based on market conditions. Finally, Pento addresses the potential for geopolitical conflicts, such as tensions with China, to drive demand for gold. He concludes by highlighting the importance of an active investment model in navigating economic uncertainty, emphasizing that investors cannot rely solely on passive strategies or the hope of market recovery. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:32 - Fed & Economic Numbers2:52 - Tariff & Uncertainties8:02 - Crash & Fed Reactions11:12 - Yields Spiking Meaning14:32 - Demand Into Gold19:38 - Reserves & Rev. Repos21:53 - Uncertainty & Massive Q.E.26:12 - Passive Investments?32:28 - Gold & Rumors of War34:35 - Mining/Gold Investments39:30 - Institutional Interest41:50 - Thoughts on Silver42:30 - 2025 is Exhausting43:26 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpento Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies with more than 30 years of professional investment experience. He worked on the floor of the NYSE during the mid-90s. Pento served as an economist for both Delta Global and EuroPacific Capital. He was also the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios, which were distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network.

    Martin Armstrong: The World is Heading Towards War and Gold is Responding 

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2025 79:35


    Tom welcomes back Martin Armstrong from Armstrong Economics to explore current global economic trends, geopolitical tensions, and market reactions. Armstrong discusses how governments worldwide are facing declining trust due to progressive agendas, citing examples like Germany's shift toward far-right parties and Europe's struggles with migration. Armstrong highlights the cyclical nature of political movements, referencing Trump's 2016 victory as a starting point for this global anti-government sentiment. He also touches on free speech restrictions, drawing parallels between historical financial suppression in Europe and today's broader censorship trends. Regarding U.S.-China trade tensions, Armstrong explains that tariffs are often misunderstood, citing historical context from the 1930s to show they don't cause economic collapses but can lead to trade wars. He critiques media coverage for sensationalism, particularly Bloomberg's recent claims about market corrections, arguing these panic-inducing narratives mislead investors. Armstrong also delves into Trump's policies, questioning his understanding of general economic and suggesting that lower corporate taxes could boost competitiveness. However, he warns against blaming Trump for broader economic declines, which he attributes to global trends rather than individual leaders. The discussion shifts to gold's role as a safe haven during geopolitical instability, with Armstrong emphasizing its historical correlation with war and political uncertainty. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:35 - News & Keeping Up5:07 - Confidence in Gov't8:35 - Objectivity & Markets18:17 - Trump Rhetoric & China21:52 - CPI Lies & Obligations23:13 - Trade Negotiations?29:39 - Comparative Advantage39:10 - China & Real Reasons43:30 - Bond Markets & China?46:34 - Trump & Jerome Powell52:55 - Trump Policy Outlook57:30 - U.S. Income Tax1:00:00 - European Depression1:02:10 - Trump Reforms & Peace?1:13:44 - Gold Recent Strength1:16:51 - Gold & Safety Flight1:18:24 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://armstrongeconomics.comTwitter: https://x.com/strongeconomicsFacebook: https://facebook.com/martin.armstrong.167Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/ybtrslr9 Martin Armstrong is the Owner and Researcher for the website Armstrong Economics. He is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed. At age 13, Armstrong began working at a coin and stamp dealership in Pennsauken, New Jersey. After buying a bag of rare Canadian pennies, he became a millionaire in 1965 at the age of 15. He continued to work on weekends through high school, finding the real-world exciting, for this was the beginning of the collapse of the gold standard. Martin became captivated by this shocking revelation that there were not just booms and busts, but also peaks and valleys that would last centuries. Armstrong progressed from gold coin investments to following commodity prices for precious metals. In 1973, he began publishing commodity market predictions as a hobby, and in 1983 Armstrong began accepting paid subscriptions for a forecast newsletter. "In Armstrong's view of the world where boom-bust cycles occur like clockwork every 8.6 years, what matters is his record as a forecaster. He called Russia's financial collapse in 1998, using a model that also pointed to a peak just before the Japanese stock market crashed in 1989. These days, as the European sovereign-debt crisis roils markets worldwide, he reminds readers of his October 1997 prediction that the creation of the euro "will merely transform currency speculation into bond speculation," leading to the system's eventual collapse." His Website Armstrong Economics offers a unique perspective intended to educate the public and organizations on the global economic and political environment's underlying trends.

    Simon Hunt: The Trade War and Tensions with China are Escalating

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 58:07


    Tom welcomes back Simon Hunt, an expert on global economics, China, and the copper industry. Hunt discusses the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, driven by Trump's tariff policies and geopolitical ambitions. He explains that these tensions could lead to regional conflicts, with significant implications for global markets and supply chains. Hunt also explores the broader shift in global power dynamics, highlighting how nations like China, Russia, and Iran are strengthening ties through organizations like BRICS. He warns that U.S.-China trade disputes, including high tariffs on Chinese goods, are causing severe disruptions to global supply chains and manufacturing sectors. These disruptions are expected to lead to a global economic slowdown or recession. The conversation delves into the potential impact of these developments on financial markets, particularly the value of the dollar, which Hunt suggests may undergo significant changes as countries seek alternative currencies tied to gold. He also discusses copper's role as an economic barometer, predicting price volatility and eventual increases due to supply chain disruptions and long-term demand shifts. Hunt concludes by emphasizing the uncertainty and chaos that dominate the current geopolitical landscape, urging caution for businesses and investors as they navigate this complex environment. The episode ends with a note on the importance of staying informed about global developments to understand their far-reaching implications. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:55 - Liberation or Demolition3:54 - Iran Sovereignty & Trump8:56 - China & 104% Tariffs16:20 - Trump & Iran Escalation21:50 - Tensions Ukraine/Russia28:20 - U.S. Trillion Defense Budget30:37 - A Tale of Two Dollars34:37 - China Yuan Devaluing38:20 - BRICS Currency?39:30 - China's Econ. Issues47:40 - Global Slowdown & Copper54:11 - Monitor Geopolitics56:44 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Email: simon@shss.comWebsite: https://simon-hunt.com/Substack: https://shss.substack.com Simon Hunt began his career in 1956 in Central Africa as a PA to the Chairman of Rhodesian Selection Trust, one of the two large copper companies in what was then Northern Rhodesia, now Zambia. In 1961, he came back to London and joined Anglo American Corporation of South Africa as a PA to one of the Board Directors, followed by being part of a small sales and marketing team for copper. From there, he helped start up a new copper development organization, CIDEC, financed by copper producers, which he then joined, focusing on conducting end-use studies of copper in Europe. He then went into the City to gain financial experience and founded Brook Hunt in 1975. He was instrumental in setting up the company's cost studies and end-use analyses. Simon appeared as material witness and consultant in two ITC anti-dumping cases in 1978 and 1984, winning both at the commission level. He has spent 2-4 months every year in China since 1993, and until a few years ago would be visiting some 80 wire and cable and brass mill factories across the country every year. He now restricts these factory visits to a smaller number, all of which he has known for many years. Simon also spends many weeks each year traveling around Asia. The focus of the company's services is on the global economy, including the changing geopolitical and financial structures, China's economy and its copper sector, and then the global copper industry as each part is interconnected. Simon is the author of the "Frontline China Report Service," which is marketed by the TIS Group. The Service provides regular reports on China's economy, politics, and financial outlook. Simon established this company in January 1996.

    John Rubino: This is the End of the Credit Supercycle, Chaos is Unavoidable

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 58:18


    Tom welcomes back John Rubino, Former Wall Street Analyst, Author & Substacker for a discussion on the current economic landscape and its implications for investors. Rubino discusses the end of a credit supercycle, highlighting the risks of hyperinflation, deflation, and stagflation due to global fiat currency systems. He emphasizes the importance of real assets like gold, silver, and energy during potential financial chaos. Rubino also addresses the role of energy prices, particularly oil, in driving inflation or deflation. He suggests that lower oil prices could lead to a short-term deflationary period, followed by inflationary pressures as central banks respond with low interest rates. This creates uncertainty but opportunities for resilient investments. The discussion touches on President Trump's policies, including tariffs and reshoring, which could lead to wage inflation and geopolitical tensions. Rubino warns against the risks of negative interest rates and the potential need for a currency reset, possibly returning to a gold standard. For investors, Rubino recommends focusing on real assets such as precious metals, energy, and farmland. He suggests dollar-cost averaging in gold and silver and cautious investment in mining stocks, particularly mid-tier and explorers with growth potential. Jurisdictional risks, especially in countries like Mexico, are highlighted as critical considerations. Rubino also stresses building personal resilience through community ties, skill development, and owning productive assets. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Framing This Flation3:49 - Oil's Role & Energy Price9:36 - Deflationary Scenarios16:06 - Zero Rates & Q.E.20:35 - Inherited Problems & Trump22:50 - PMs & Tariff Policies27:04 - Oversold Markets29:28 - Gold Fundamentals31:28 - Gold Silver Ratio33:15 - Silver in a Recession?36:20 - Investment Advisors & Metals40:13 - His Focus in Miners45:46 - Take Profit Guidelines48:10 - Mexican Gov't Policy50:53 - Other Opportunities?55:17 - Staying Resilient57:18 - Wrap Up Guest LinksSubstack: https://rubino.substack.comBooks: https://tinyurl.com/5buyvy6v John Rubino is a former Wall Street financial analyst and author or co-author of five books, including The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops. He founded the popular financial website DollarCollapse.com in 2004 and sold it in 2022, and now publishes on Substack.

    Tim Price: Rules for Understanding and Investing Through a New Bretton Woods Moment

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 51:25


    Tom welcomes back Tim Price, Director at Price Value Partners. The discussion begins around the importance of filtering information in today's overwhelming media landscape. He suggests turning off legacy media and instead seeking alternative sources like Substack or Twitter for deeper insights. Price warns against over-financialization and the risks it poses to economic stability, advocating for a return to fundamental principles such as value investing and staying within one's zone of competence. He highlights the current geopolitical chaos as a critical moment, noting similarities to past crises like the 1930s. Price critiques Keynesian economics, arguing that treating the economy as a machine fails to account for human behavior. He also discusses the collapse of trust in institutions, particularly after events like Brexit and the Trump presidency, which have led to increased skepticism among voters. Price underscores the role of gold as a reliable store of value during uncertain times, contrasting it with the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies. He advises investors to focus on long-term strategies, avoid getting spooked by short-term market fluctuations, and resist the urge to follow every financial fad. Price stresses the importance of emotional discipline in investing, referencing stoicism as a key trait for navigating volatile markets. He also touches on the destructive impact of unaccountability among elites, comparing it to historical precedents that led to societal destabilization. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:38 - News Cycle Avoidance4:50 - Finding & Filtering Info7:42 - Confirmation Bias12:37 - Economic Ivory Towers19:28 - Sapiens - Yuval Harari22:45 - Repeating Cycles & Problems27:46 - Consequential Times33:06 - Fragility & Chaos Theory35:52 - Multiflation & Bad Economics37:34 - Gold Signs & Revolution42:44 - Rumors & Market Reactions48:00 - Age of Unaccountability50:28 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/TimPrice1969Website: https://www.pricevaluepartners.com/War On Cash: https://www.pricevaluepartners.com/war-on-cash/Articles: https://www.pricevaluepartners.com/commentaryTim's Podcast: State of the Markets BooksTim's Book (Amazon): https://www.amazon.ca/Investing-Through-Looking-Glass-Irrational/dp/0857195360 Book Recommendations:180 Degrees (Amazon): http://tinyurl.com/3vjvpnud Tim Price has worked in the capital markets for over 30 years. A graduate of Christ Church, Oxford, he spent a decade as a bond specialist before going on to serve as Chief Investment Officer at three separate wealth management firms. Tim has been shortlisted for five successive years in the UK Private Asset Managers Awards program and was a winner in 2005 in the category of Defensive Investing. He is now co-manager of the VT Price Value Portfolio, a fund investing in Benjamin Graham-style value stocks, and specialist value funds, from around the world. He also co-manages bespoke private client portfolios. Tim writes for MoneyWeek Magazine and The Spectator, and his weekly commentaries are freely available at the Price Value Partners website.

    J.E.S.: Why A Positive Jobs Number is a Negative for the Economy

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 62:38


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back J.E.S. to delve into the complexities of the current economic landscape, highlighting several critical issues. JES begins by challenging the notion that rising job numbers indicate economic strength, arguing instead that they may reflect desperation as people are forced to work due to financial hardship and soaring living costs. A significant focus is placed on inflation, which J.E.S. explains has not decreased but rather slowed its growth rate. This distinction is crucial, as it clarifies that inflation remains a persistent problem despite appearances of improvement. Additionally, the discussion touches on the Friedman Lag effect, where interest rate changes take time to influence the economy, and their impacts are now becoming evident in areas like the stock market and debt markets. The conversation also addresses the trap of the debt market, emphasizing the unsustainable levels of personal and national debt. J.E.S. warns that the U.S. could face a default as interest payments escalate, particularly with the national debt at around $37 trillion. Furthermore, the potential domino effect of weaker economies failing before the U.S. is considered, which could exacerbate global financial instability. J.E.S. underscores the importance of creativity and education in addressing these challenges, advocating for innovative solutions and a better understanding of economic principles. He believes that fostering creativity can lead to groundbreaking answers, while accessible education is essential to empowering individuals to think critically about economic issues. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:42 - Jobs and Economics6:54 - Do Fundamentals Matter?13:16 - Consumers Tapped Out & Jobs16:44 - Rising Rates & Lag Effects27:22 - Currency Dominos & Dollar31:55 - Debt Slaves or Producers40:00 - Differences & Inflections44:55 - Generational Issue & Gov't48:50 - Education & Insanity54:50 - Solutions & Creativity59:28 - Reading Recommendations Guest Links:E-Mail: aueconjes@gmail.comAmazon Book Link: https://tinyurl.com/bdz9eue2Economics In One Lesson - Henry Hazlitt: https://mises.org/library/book/economics-one-lesson

    Keith Weiner: 2025 is the Perfect Storm for Gold

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2025 56:56


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Keith Weiner for a discussion on the growing interest in gold as a hedge against economic instability and the risks associated with fiat currencies. Weiner highlighted that while some investors are drawn to gold due to its rising price momentum, others view it as a long-term insurance against the flaws inherent in government-backed money. He explained that governments often borrow without a clear plan to repay, leading to an unsustainable debt situation. This has led individuals and countries to seek alternatives like gold, which is seen as a stable store of value unaffected by monetary policy or political whims. Weiner also touched on the concept of "zombie credit," where corporations struggle to service their debts, particularly in the face of rising interest rates. The conversation delved into the geopolitical implications of de-dollarization and how countries are increasingly recognizing the limitations of relying solely on the US dollar for trade and reserves. Despite efforts by governments to create alternative currencies or payment systems, Weiner argued that these initiatives often fail due to a lack of trust and cohesion among nations. Additionally, Weiner discussed the impact of tariffs on global trade and their effect on debt servicing, noting how such policies can exacerbate financial instability. He also explored the differences between gold and silver markets, emphasizing that gold is more attractive to institutional investors as it offers a hedge against broader economic risks without the same level of volatility or storage challenges. Throughout the interview, Weiner emphasized the fundamental drivers behind gold's rise, including the decline in confidence in fiat currencies, the increasing debt levels globally, and the search for safe-haven assets. He concluded by noting that while gold faces short-term corrections, its long-term bullish trajectory remains intact due to ongoing structural economic issues and the relentless demand from both individual and institutional investors seeking stability amidst uncertainty. In summary, the interview underscored the role of gold as a critical hedge against an increasingly unstable financial landscape, driven by flawed monetary policies, geopolitical tensions, and the search for safe-haven assets. Talking Points From This Episode0:00 - Introduction0:38 - 2025 Gold Outlook7:25 - The Dollar Vs. Gold13:20 - Fiscal Responsibility19:46 - Dollar System & Debt25:58 - Usefulness of Tariffs?30:25 - Fed & Inflation Fight35:49 - Rates & Defaults39:18 - Perfect Storm for Gold?40:54 - Gold Vs. Silver Demand45:00 - Metal Demand & London51:20 - Gold Spreads & Traders53:42 - Gold Bull Outlook56:14 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/RealKeithWeinerWebsite: https://monetary-metals.comWebsite: https://goldstandardinstitute.netFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/keith.weiner.5 Keith Weiner is the founder and CEO of Monetary Metals, an investment firm that is unlocking the productivity of gold. Most people regard gold as a dry asset, to lock away in a vault, incurring storage fees. Many are waiting for it to rise in price. Keith and Monetary Metals are on a mission to change this. Gold should once again serve to finance productive enterprises and extinguish debts. The dollar performs one of these functions, but not the other. Bitcoin cannot finance anything, as no business can borrow a currency that's expected to go up a hundred times. Gold is the one thing that fills both roles, par excellence. Keith writes and speaks extensively, based on his unique views of gold, the dollar, credit, the bond market, and interest rates. When he is not working on the business, he is developing his theory of monetary science, and an arbitrage theory of economics. Keith also serves as founder and President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. His work was instrumental in the passing of gold legal tender laws in the state of Arizona in ...

    Florian Grummes: Gold No Longer Cares About The Dollar

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2025 59:03


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes Florian Grummes back to the show to discuss his outlook for silver, gold, and the broader economic landscape. Grummes, a veteran technical trader and analyst, set a target of $50 per ounce for silver by late spring 2025, noting that silver often lags behind gold but tends to surge at the end of a bull market. He highlighted silver's industrial demand, particularly in the solar and electric vehicle sectors, as key drivers for its price appreciation. Grummes also pointed to physical silver shipments from London to New York as a sign of an impending spike. Grummes emphasized the role of macroeconomic factors, including central bank policies and geopolitical tensions, in shaping precious metals markets. He warns that while gold has reached record highs, significant volatility could emerge if stock market corrections deepen. Grummes also touches on the importance of seasonality, suggesting that summer months might see reduced trading activity. Discussing mining stocks, Grummes acknowledges their underperformance relative to metal prices but expressed optimism about future gains, particularly as larger producers with strong margins begin acquiring smaller companies. He stresses the importance of scaling in and out of positions to manage risk effectively. Grummes concludes by emphasizing the psychological aspects of trading, urging listeners to take responsibility for their decisions and learn from past mistakes. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:49 - Silvers Behavior & Upside5:04 - Phys. Demand Bottleneck9:47 - Risks & Volatility16:05 - Seasonality & Metals20:02 - Caution & Taking Profits23:10 - Physical Vs. Trading26:30 - Signposts of the End33:08 - Gold Bugs & Objectivity36:00 - Dollar Impact on Metals39:37 - Geopolitical Risks & Ukraine45:23 - Lag with Mining Equities52:13 - Taking Profits56:02 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.midastouch-consulting.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/floriangrummes/Twitter: https://twitter.com/FlorianGrummesSubstack: https://substack.com/@midastouchconsultingSeeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/author/florian-grummesTelegram: https://t.me/MidasTouchConsultingFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/MidastouchconsultingFree Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/d5Euf Florian Grummes is an independent financial analyst, advisor, consultant, mentor, trader & investor as well as an international speaker with more than 30 years of experience in financial markets.  Florian is the founder and managing director of his company Midas Touch Consulting, which is specialized in trading & investments as well as consulting, analysis & research with a focus on precious metals, commodities and digital assets. Via Midas Touch Consulting he is publishing daily and weekly gold, silver, bitcoin & cryptocurrency analysis for his numerous international readers. Florian is well known for combining technical, fundamental/macro and sentiment analysis into one often accurate conclusion about the markets.

    Jeff Clark: The Big Prospects for Metals Mining Investors is Still Ahead of Us

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 43:32


    Tom welcomes Jeff Clark back to the show! Jeff is the Founder of TheGoldAdvisor.com and author of the new book "Paydirt.". Jeff discusses the current state of the mining industry. He emphasizes that while gold is in a bull market, mining stocks have lagged behind, creating an opportunity for investors and highlights historical trends where mining stocks eventually outperform gold and expressed optimism about future gains. Clark discussed the financial health of major producers, noting significant increases in earnings and free cash flow due to rising gold prices. This cash influx could lead to increased M&A activity, benefiting juniors and explorers. However, he cautions investors to expect pullbacks in the market and advised maintaining a diversified portfolio with a mix of seniors, developers, and juniors. Jeff also touches on uranium and copper, noting their bullish fundamentals despite recent price corrections. He encourages investors to focus on companies with strong management, favorable jurisdictions, and strategic growth plans. Additionally, he shares his insights on portfolio management, advising readers to take profits at key milestones while maintaining core positions in promising stocks. He wraps up by expressing confidence in the mining sector's future, urging metals investors to stay informed and prepared for upcoming opportunities. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:46 - State of the Industry2:52 - Cycles in Bull Markets5:50 - Sector Rotation Catalysts7:55 - July 4th & Gold10:02 - Gold Equities & Pullbacks12:50 - Bonds & Other Investments14:03 - Large Producers & M&A18:20 - Majors & Retail Investors24:10 - Juniors & Upside Potential26:22 - Managing Risks28:03 - Copper Rise & Tariffs?31:39 - Uranium Thesis & Price33:07 - Uranium Pullback36:30 - Portfolio Rebalancing39:13 - Date Don't Marry Miners40:42 - Newsletter42:51 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://thegoldadvisor.comX/Twitter: https://x.com/TheGoldAdvisorWebsite: https://goldsilver.com Jeff Clark is an esteemed figure in the precious metals industry, serving as the Founder and Editor of The Gold Advisor. With a distinguished background as a metals and mining analyst, author, and speaker, Jeff is widely regarded as a global authority on precious metals. His deep-rooted connection to the field stems from his family heritage, including an award-winning gold panner father and ownership of mining claims across California, Arizona, and Nevada. Jeff's professional journey began in 2007 when he started as an analyst at Doug Casey's firm. From there, he carved a unique path by focusing on investing in gold and silver, combining his analytical expertise with a passion for writing to establish himself as a leading voice in the sector. In addition to founding TheGoldAdvisor.com, Jeff has authored Paydirt!, available on his website. He is also an active participant in the industry, frequently speaking at precious metals conferences and serving on the advisory board of Strategic Wealth Preservation in Grand Cayman, which specializes in bullion storage. Jeff's achievements reflect a lifelong dedication to understanding and investing in precious metals, solidifying his reputation as both an expert and a trusted resource in the field.

    Vince Lanci: The Silver Squeeze and Why Banks Are Looking at Miners

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2025 67:57


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Professor Vince Lanci, MBA Finance and Publisher of the Goldfix Substack, and all-around nice guy for a discussion into the complexities of gold and silver markets, particularly focusing on shorting positions in ETFs like PSLV and SLV. Lanci explains that these metals are ideal for carry trades due to their indestructible nature, allowing banks to borrow and lease them easily. However, he highlights how increased physical demand, driven by central bank repatriation and tariffs, has strained this system, leading to potential short squeezes. Lanci discusses the differences between gold and silver markets, noting that while gold benefits from central bank backing, silver lacks such support, making it more vulnerable to supply shortages. He connects the rise in lease rates for silver to these market dynamics, suggesting that higher demand and logistical challenges are driving prices upward. Tom also touches on the impact of tariffs, which Lanci believes will further boost precious metal prices by accelerating de-dollarization. Additionally, Lanci addresses the shift in bank reports towards recognizing physical gold demand, particularly from central banks, as a key driver of price movements. Lastly, Lanci notes that financial institutions are increasingly recommending exposure to gold and silver miners, indicating a broader trend of investor interest in these sectors. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction2:00 - ETF Shorts & Hard Facts15:26 - PSLV Trade Vol. Chart18:40 - Silver & Short Spikes23:24 - Musical Chairs?25:34 - Naked Shorting Limits?29:09 - Silver Lease Rates31:35 - Silver/Gold Logistics40:50 - Silver Squeeze Process42:27 - Tariffs & Demand Catalysts48:23 - April Tariffs & Metals53:36 - Bank Reports & Gold1:06:16 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Special Discount: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/TomPalisadesWebsite: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/Twitter: https://x.com/SorenthekLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/vincentlanci/Boobs & Bullion: https://x.com/boobsbullion Vince Lanci, a seasoned finance professional, has served as Managing Partner at Echobay Partners LLC since 2008. His expertise spans over three decades in metals trading, option analysis, and technology development. In recent years, Mr. Lanci's insights have been sought after by industry legends. He was invited to be a resident expert on precious metals and option analysis for Larry Benedict's Opportunistic Trader project. In 2017, he co-authored a paper on Energy Volatility with Professor Robert Biolsi at the University of Connecticut. Prior to his current role, from 2004 to 2008, Mr. Lanci served as Co-Head of Metals & Energy Trading for CiS Options LLC. During this tenure, he managed the long-short and volatility arbitrage portfolios for the parent Limited Partnership fund. From 1993 to 2003, Mr. Lanci was the proprietor of Berard Capital LLC, where he led a team of option marketmakers. His earlier career included stints at Lehman Bros and Cooper Neff from 1987 to 1993, providing him with a solid foundation in finance. In 2000, Mr. Lanci co-founded Whentech (originally named Upperhand Technologies LLC) with David Wender. As chief architect of the "Pit-Trader" user interface logic, he played a pivotal role in the company's inception. Mr. Lanci's thought leadership extends beyond his professional engagements. He contributes regularly to Zerohedge, BBG, and RTRS. His expertise has also been showcased at Mondo Visione and NYC Mines & Money conferences. A firm believer in level playing fields for investors, he advocates for transparency and fairness in financial markets.

    Doomberg: Geopolitics, Debt, & Big Promises. How Trump is Reshuffling the World Order

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 68:27


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Doomberg, head writer for the Doomberg Substack, to discuss a range of topics including Trump's presidency, national debt challenges, energy policy, and global geopolitical dynamics. Doomberg begins by analyzing Donald Trump's first 58 days in office, highlighting his whirlwind pace of executive actions. He notes that Trump is fulfilling many promises but acknowledges the limitations of relying on executive orders, which can be undone by future administrations. Doomberg expresses concern about the long-term effects of policy whiplash on industries with lengthy planning cycles, emphasizing the importance of predictable governance for capital investment. The conversation shifts to the national debt and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's challenges in refinancing $6.7 trillion of maturing debt. Doomberg criticizes Janet Yellen's management of the debt maturity curve, comparing it to practices seen in emerging markets before crises. He suggests that Trump's team is navigating a delicate fiscal situation, potentially leading to a short but deep recession to reset the economy ahead of midterm elections. Doomberg explores unconventional strategies like creating a crypto reserve or revaluing U.S. gold holdings to alleviate debt pressures. He also discusses the potential for tax reforms and spending cuts. The Doom Bird discusses energy policy under Secretary Chris Wright, praising his business acumen and alignment with pro-energy industry stances. The Lifting of LNG export restrictions and the expected surge in energy production could position Trump's administration as friendly to business despite the risks of policy volatility. Doomberg also examines global trade dynamics, particularly U.S. - Canada relations under Mark Carney's leadership and potential tariffs as a revenue source. The discussion extends to geopolitical tensions, including Trump's approach to Ukraine, NATO, and potential conflicts with Iran. Doomberg questions the feasibility of military interventions and suggests that economic leverage, such as energy supplies, might play a more significant role in resolving conflicts than direct confrontation. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:55 - Trump Accomplishments?4:30 - Yellen & Debt Servicing7:28 - Debt Solutions/Crypto?11:55 - Gold Revaluation?14:14 - Tariffs, DOGE, & Tax Changes23:04 - Energy Policy Changes27:08 - Tariff Revenue?29:19 - Trade Wars & Canada34:37 - Carney Conspiracy38:29 - Ukraine Thinking43:04 - Dismantling NATO45:26 - E.U. Energy & Military50:06 - Military Might51:34 - Iran Considerations53:42 - BRICS Path Forward?57:13 - Competing Ideas & Truth1:02:53 - Content Treadmill1:07:27 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DoombergTWebsite: https://doomberg.substack.com Doomberg is the anonymous publishing arm of a bespoke consulting firm providing advisory services to family offices and c-suite executives. Its principals apply their decades of experience across heavy industry, private equity, and finance to deliver innovative thinking and clarity to complex problems.

    James Anderson: This is a Run to Gold over Bonds

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 40:11


    Tom welcomes James Anderson back from SDBullion to discuss the significant developments in the precious metals market. James delves into the recent all-time highs for gold at $3,000 per ounce, highlighting its historical significance and the potential implications for investors. Anderson emphasizes that breaking through key price levels like $1,000, $2,000, and now $3,000 is not just a numerical milestone but often signals shifts in market dynamics. He recalls past volatility, such as the 2008 financial crisis when gold prices plummeted before rebounding, illustrating how these events shape investor behavior and market trends. James also touches on the broader economic context, including the role of central banks and the potential for a paradigm shift in asset valuation. Anderson suggests that gold is likely to reassert its dominance over traditional assets like stocks and bonds, driven by factors such as debt levels, inflation, and geopolitical tensions. Silver's recent market dynamics are explored as well, with Anderson noting significant physical withdrawals from London markets and the impact of tariffs on supply chains. He advises investors to monitor lease rates and physical inventories, warning against the risks of ETFs that may not fully reflect underlying asset availability. Anderson also addresses cultural differences in precious metals investment, highlighting how Eastern economies, with historical experiences of currency devaluation, tend to prioritize gold and silver as reliable stores of value. In contrast, Western investors often lack this historical perspective. Looking ahead, Anderson discusses potential future developments, including the possibility of a gold revaluation and the importance of long-term planning and diversification, advocating for a prudent allocation into precious metals. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - $3000 Gold Significance4:14 - Long-Term Technicals8:04 - LBMA Gold Situation10:59 - ETFs & PSLV Audits16:58 - Western Metals Apathy18:50 - Fort Knox Psyop21:05 - Eastern Buying23:56 - Nominal Highs & Inflation26:12 - Doubts & Tariffs29:00 - Gold Confiscation Risk?32:18 - Platinum Metals?34:52 - 2025 Investment Advice39:26 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/jameshenryandYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/sdbullion/videosWebsite: https://sdbullion.com/Blog: https://sdbullion.com/blogJames Book: https://sdbullion.com/21st-century-gold-rush-book A bullion buyer years before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, James Anderson is a grounded precious metals researcher, content creator, and physical investment grade bullion professional. He has authored several Gold & Silver Guides and been featured on the History Channel, Zero Hedge, Gold-Eagle, Silver Seek, Value Walk, and many more. Given that repressed commodity values are now near 100-year low-level valuations versus large US stocks, investors and savers should buy and maintain a prudent physical bullion position. Continued stimulus and unfunded promises will only debase the dollar further.

    Chris Irons: Gold Outpacing the S&P, Just the Start?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 83:11


    Tom Bodrovics welcomes back the always forthright Chris Irons host of Quoth the Raven podcast host and author of QTR's Fringe Finance Substack. The conversation covers a wide range of topics, from economic policies to mental well-being. They discuss the inefficiencies of government-run services compared to private sector alternatives, using examples like FedEx versus the Postal Service. They also critique the Federal Reserve's role in managing economic crises, arguing that bailouts have conditioned people to expect comfort without facing necessary consequences. Chris expresses concerns about market bubbles in cryptocurrencies, equities, and real estate, warning of potential cascading effects from options trading, ETFs, and leveraged loans. The duo also discusses the possibility of a significant market crash and its psychological impact on individuals who are conditioned to expect bailouts. The conversation touches on social issues like gender rights, emphasizing the importance of common sense and moderation. Chris advocates for personal responsibility and delayed gratification as essential coping mechanisms against societal overindulgence and the culture of instant gratification. Tom and Chris highlight the importance of mental preparedness and resilience, drawing parallels between economic discomfort and personal well-being. They stress the value of practicing discomfort and mindfulness to build psychological resilience, referencing stoic philosophies and the benefits of introspection. The discussion ends on a cautious note, acknowledging the potential for significant societal change but expressing uncertainty about whether it will lead to positive outcomes like fiscal discipline or greater social responsibility. They conclude with reflections on wealth, happiness, and the importance of inner peace, suggesting that true contentment often lies within personal mental fortitude rather than external circumstances. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:47 - Crazy News Flow6:12 - Perceptions, Media, & Mkts20:27 - Competing Ideas & Debate31:17 - Economic Theory & Outlook34:20 - The Inequality Gap44:50 - Slow Decline & Taxes53:50 - Spending Cuts & Reactions1:08:00 - Four Year U.S. Outlook?1:14:50 - Bandaid Fixes & Comfort1:16:40 - Personal Responsibility1:22:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxUo55-0ScpOQNdug8FCzzA/videosPodcast: https://quoththeraven.podbean.comSubstack + Discount: https://quoththeraven.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=92245385X: https://x.com/QTRResearch Chris Irons is the host of The Quoth The Raven Podcast, a show dedicated to discussing Fringe Finance topics and exploring the boundaries of investment decisions. Irons has spent years reading the news and has developed a strong opinion on the mainstream media's ability to drive a narrative which serves the interests of a small minority. His focus is to provide content that is rarely found elsewhere and to curate content from people he respects. Irons is not afraid to challenge the mainstream narrative or succumb to it when it serves the collective best interests. Chris is not providing investment advice and the content on The Quoth The Raven podcast/substack is not meant to be taken as such. Anything mentioned should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

    Craig Hemke: Monetizing Assets & Gold’s Role in 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2025 52:49


    Craig Hemke from TF Metals Report discusses macroeconomic trends, gold markets, and investment strategies. He emphasizes the importance of central bank demand for gold, driven by geopolitical tensions like Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has led to record purchases over the past three years. This demand has created a physical floor under the gold market despite rising interest rates and a strong dollar. Hemke also explores the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its significant impact on liquidity and market expectations. He discusses potential quantitative easing measures due to high government spending and deficits, which could further inflate asset prices. The yield curve inversion in 2024 was highlighted as a precursor to economic challenges, with the Fed's policy shifts influencing currency and metals markets. The conversation touches on the complexities of investing in precious metals, particularly silver, which straddles commodity and monetary roles. Hemke warned against passive investments like ETFs, advising investors to do thorough research when selecting individual mining stocks. He stresses the importance of a diversified portfolio and cautions against overexposure to any single asset. Contrarian investing is addressed, with Hemke encouraging prudence rather than extremism. He advises increasing allocations to gold gradually, emphasizing long-term strategic positioning rather than timing market dips. He concludes by reiterating the role of gold as a hedge against a debt-based monetary system nearing its limits, urging investors to focus on preserving purchasing power through physical ownership. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Macrocast & C.B. Demand5:42 - Fed's Importance?8:00 - Moar Q.E. Coming?11:25 - Fed & Drastic Action12:55 - State of Equity Mkts16:37 - Tariffs & Big Picture23:54 - U.S. Gold Revaluation?32:26 - Gold Supply & Demand?35:35 - It's Fine39:00 - Silver Considerations41:48 - Miners & Prod. Costs47:13 - Contrarian Mindset49:55 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/TFMetalsWebsite: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/subscribeArticle: Inversion/Reversion Macrocast - https://goldseek.com/article/inversion-reversion-2025-macrocast Craig Hemke, aka "Turd Ferguson," was a licensed securities "professional" for nearly twenty years. Then, disgruntled by the fraud known as "financial services," he retired to a career as a serial entrepreneur in 2008. Though otherworldly in his ability to forecast price movements, Craig is not a soothsayer, a psychic, or a witch, but, after all these years, he has a decent understanding of the forces at play in the precious metal "markets."

    C.B. Operation, Metals Deception, and LBMA

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 72:59


    Tom welcomes back Matthew Pipenburg from Von Greyerz Gold Switzerland for another thoughtful swap-fest. They began by discussing the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and its impact on military spending, which has diverted resources away from domestic priorities like healthcare and education. They pointed out that many countries are facing significant debt issues, leading to a shift away from the US dollar as the primary reserve currency. This trend has increased interest in gold as an alternative asset for reserves. The role of gold was a key topic, with Matthew noting that while revaluing gold could offer short-term benefits but it wouldn't resolve the underlying debt crisis. Central banks, especially those in BRICS countries, have been increasing their gold holdings as a strategic reserve, reflecting growing doubts about fiat currencies. Matt criticized high military spending relative to domestic investments in the US, arguing that this imbalance is unsustainable. They also talked about central bank operations and market manipulation. Quantitative easing has led to market distortions and bubbles, while market manipulation risks eroding trust in financial systems. The conversation turned to global shifts, with BRICS countries gaining influence through their increased use of gold as a reserve asset. Tom highlighted the likelihood of significant market corrections due to high valuations and economic instability. Finally, Matthew emphasized the need for informed, fact-based discussions rather than partisan debates, urging critical thinking about government policies and encouraging engagement with diverse viewpoints from contrarian sources like Jeffrey Sachs. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Peace & Euro War Drums17:53 - Cold War & Rationality26:30 - Trump & The Liberal Shift29:00 - Negative Real Rates34:18 - Capital Controls & CBDCs37:49 - Cognitive Dissonance?41:25 - Yellen & Short Term Debt45:53 - Adjustment Period52:23 - Gold Going Mainstream?58:04 - Revaluing U.S. Gold1:02:02 - U.S. Gold Holdings?1:08:15 - Canadian Leadership1:10:30 - Conclusion & Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode The world faces significant economic challenges, including high debt levels, shifting reserve currencies, and the weaponization of financial instruments. Gold is increasingly seen as a safer asset in uncertain times, with central banks diversifying their reserves. There's an urgent need for balanced, fact-based discussions to address complex economic and geopolitical issues. Guest LinksX: https://x.com/GoldSwitzerlandWebsite: https://goldswitzerland.com/Website: https://vg.goldArticles: https://signalsmatter.com/Book (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/pvpfmy8c Matthew Piepenburg is a Partner of Von Greyerz and the author of the popular book, "Rigged to Fail". Matt is fluent in French, German, and English. He is a graduate of Brown (BA), Harvard (MA), and the University of Michigan (JD). His widely-respected reports on macro conditions and the changing behavior of risk assets are published regularly at SignalsMatter.com.

    Michael Oliver: Gold is Shifting to Outperformance vs the S&P

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2025 55:23


    In this podcast episode of Palisades Gold Radio, your host Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis. A length discussion on the outlook for silver and gold, stock market trends, and broader economic factors ensues. Oliver explains his $250 target for silver as realistic, noting historical precedents where silver outperformed gold during bull markets. He highlights the spread between silver and gold, emphasizing that silver could reach 2% of gold's price, a significant move from its current level of around 1.13%. This would translate to a substantial increase in silver prices if gold rises significantly. Oliver believes gold will lead the way up but notes silver and gold miners may outperform due to their lower valuations relative to gold. He shows charts indicating gold's strength against the S&P 500, with gold currently at about 45% of the index compared to a peak of 60%. Gold's momentum remains strong despite minor pullbacks. Oliver warns that the stock market bubble is set to burst. He expects asset managers to shift funds into gold and related assets as the market weakens. The gold miners index (XAU) is undervalued compared to gold, suggesting significant potential gains once investors begin to reallocate capital. Oliver discusses the dollar's potential decline, noting a critical momentum level that could signal a broader downtrend. A weaker dollar would likely boost commodities and gold, though he cautions against tying this directly to political factors like Trump's policies. Reflecting on his book on anarcho-capitalism, Oliver suggests a shift away from statism toward market-driven solutions. He speculates that events like the stock market crash could catalyze significant policy changes, including tax reforms or central bank abolition. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Silver & Targets6:25 - Flight To Gold vs S&P9:33 - Gold Weekly Momentum12:17 - Equities & Bubbles16:18 - The Decline Grind?18:18 - XAU & Miners24:06 - Equity Selloff & Metals27:16 - Dollar Effects & Momentum33:30 - WTI Crude & Economic Reality38:25 - Cuts & Changes in Nations44:40 - Pain Points as Catalysts?48:18 - Large Long-Term Trends51:10 - DOGE & Ayn Rand54:06 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSAAmazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5Free Report email: michaeloliver@olivermsa.com Email MSA above, and they will send you this week's report for free, which covers many of the topics from this interview. J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton's International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City's Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton's Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s, Mike began to develop his proprietary momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992, the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank's Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical analysis. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

    Chris Rutherglen: Is Q.E. Needed for the Next Silver & Mining Cycle Boom?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 78:59


    Tom welcomes back Chris Rutherglen to take a very deep dive into a few gold charts. Chris is a PhD Scientist/Engineer, Level 3 CFA, and Publisher of the Gold Investor Research Substack. Chris explains how the long-term outlook for gold prices involves several key factors that influence its trajectory over time. One important aspect is the mid-cycle level of gold, which reflects the balance between the amount of gold available above ground and the overall money supply. When the money supply increases, this can raise the mid-cycle level, potentially leading to higher gold prices. Currently, gold is trading above this mid-cycle line, suggesting that a correction downward might be possible in the near term. Chris shows his charts for the debt-to-money supply ratio. Historically, this ratio has remained relatively stable at around 2.5% from the 1920s up until the late 1970s. However, after the financial crisis of 2008, it began to rise and has been declining since then. If this downward trend continues, it could drive gold prices higher as more money would be needed to support existing debt levels. Looking at long-term historical patterns, there is a suggestion that gold might reach a high point around $8,000 to $10,000 in the early 2030s. This projection is influenced by ongoing monetary expansion and economic conditions that favor safe-haven assets like gold. Despite these indicators Chris, expects predicting the future of gold prices with certainty is challenging due to a variety of factors, including inflation rates, global political and economic events, and policies set by central banks such as the Federal Reserve. Key elements to watch include quantitative easing measures and the levels of government debt, both of which play significant roles in shaping the growth of the money supply and their impact on gold demand. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:04 - Timeframes & Cycle Lengths7:52 - Long End Curve?11:58 - Levels and Zones21:00 - Gold Mid-Cycles Levels24:04 - Cycles & Calendar Periods30:15 - Probabilities & Targets32:35 - Gold & Equities Pullback33:42 - S&P GDP Ratio + CPI37:03 - Gold & Inflation42:35 - Gold Silver Ratio44:46 - Silver Price Outlook46:55 - Silver Timing & QE's51:16 - HUI Miners Vs. Gold54:15 - Major Miner Charts1:00:43 - Patience & Majors Costs1:07:30 - Long-Term Gold Timeline1:10:42 - All Sector Debt/US M21:18:12 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/CRutherglenSubstack: https://giresearch.substack.com Chris Rutherglen is a private investor whose primary occupation is in science & engineering with a focus on novel semiconductor devices for microwave and mm-wave applications. He began investing in the precious metal space in 2003 and has done well following a value-oriented investment approach. Although he has never been employed in the finance/investment field professionally, he did complete level 3 of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) program in 2011. Chris has a BS in physics from the California Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Electrical Computer Engineering from the University of California, Irvin

    Jan Nieuwenhuijs: The U.S. Needs a Real Gold Audit

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 52:18


    Tom welcomes back Jan Nieuwenhuijs to explore the dynamics of the global gold market and its implications for global monetary systems. Key topics include the movement of gold from London to Comex, driven by concerns over tariffs and geopolitical shifts. Jan explains that this flow reflects both physical arbitrage and strategic reshuffling of gold reserves, with banks moving gold into the U.S. for potential future use or resale in Asia. The discussion also delves into the lack of transparency around U.S. gold audits, particularly at Fort Knox. Jan highlights issues with the auditing process, noting that compartments have been reopened multiple times without proper justification, raising questions about the integrity of the audits. He argues for an independent audit to ensure accountability and reassurance regarding the nation's gold holdings. Another significant point is the valuation of U.S. gold reserves at $42 per ounce, a relic from the Bretton Woods era aimed at demonetizing gold. Jan suggests that revaluing gold could unlock substantial funds but warns this would be inflationary. He also touches on the role of gold in China's financial strategy, noting that while official reports understate their purchases, they are actively accumulating gold to diversify away from the dollar. The conversation concludes with Jan emphasizing the importance of tracking central bank gold buying and developments in alternative payment systems like the BRICS M-Bridge, which could challenge the dollar's dominance. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Tariffs & LBMA Flows5:30 - Gold Demand & Lease Rates9:01 - Import Code Changes10:30 - U.S. Gold Reserve Audits20:14 - Time Req'd to Audit21:37 - Encumbrance Concerns24:35 - $42 U.S. Gold Valuation26:36 - U.S. Dollar Vs. Gold29:09 - Revaluing & Funding32:10 - Sovereign Wealth Fund?33:25 - Uncertainties & Credit37:50 - Deleveraging & Dollar41:00 - Eastern Perspective44:32 - China's Gold Holdings46:30 - Gold & Dollar Flight49:49 - Concluding Thoughts51:30 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/JanGold_Website: https://moneymetals.com Originally a sound engineer in the Dutch movie industry, Jan Nieuwenhuijs has devoted the last decade to in-depth gold market research. His commentary and analysis has earned him international recognition as a top expert on the Chinese gold market, the COMEX futures market, the London Bullion Market, and the Turkish gold market. At Money Metals, he writes about the international monetary system, central bank gold policies, the mechanics of the global gold market, the gold price, and economics in general.

    Martin Armstrong: The Fed Can’t Stop Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 5, 2025 74:02


    Tom welcomes back Martin Armstrong from Armstrong Economics for a discussion on the never ending news cycle. Martin begins by reflecting on the current political landscape, comparing it to the challenges faced during the first Trump administration. Armstrong highlights how President Trump has learned from past mistakes, particularly in assembling a cabinet that is not tied to the "deep state." This shift, Armstrong argues, is crucial for enacting meaningful reforms. The conversation then turns to government waste and corruption, with Armstrong referencing specific examples of misallocated funds, such as support for a transgender opera in Columbia. He emphasizes the importance of transparency and accountability, especially given the staggering levels of debt that governments worldwide are accumulating. Armstrong warns that the current system is unsustainable and that a reckoning is inevitable when buyers for new debt no longer exist. Armstrong also delves into the global reserve currency status of the US dollar, explaining how its dominance emerged post-World War II. He discusses the manipulation of economic indicators, such as CPI adjustments, to hide the true state of fiscal health. Armstrong's firm has successfully forecasted economic trends and events, including Brexit, by focusing on raw data rather than political narratives. The interview then shifts to geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in Ukraine. Armstrong critiques the handling of the crisis, arguing that it is being used as a diversion from deeper economic problems. He suggests that the war serves the interests of certain European leaders who seek to weaken Russia and strengthen their own power. Armstrong also touches on the potential consequences of tariffs and trade policies under Trump, warning against the risks of contagion in global markets. He further discusses the Epstein files controversy, suggesting that the case is more about political manipulation than mere scandal. Armstrong posits that Epstein's activities were likely part of a broader espionage or blackmail scheme involving high-profile individuals. Finally, Armstrong offers advice to listeners, urging them to pay attention to developments in Europe and the flow of capital during times of conflict. He emphasizes the importance of understanding global economic trends and avoiding the pitfalls of mainstream media narratives. The interview concludes with a call for critical thinking and awareness of the complex interplay between politics, economics, and global security. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & News Cycle3:18 - Government Waste7:52 - Leadership & Information12:12 - Trump & Mkt. Optimism?18:30 - Resource Deals & Peace23:10 - Europe Preps for War30:43 - Capital Flight & War35:08 - European Basket Case36:34 - U.S. 'Monetization'42:53 - Creation of the Fed47:00 - Fed Can't Stop Inflation49:12 - A Global Perspective53:05 - Trump & Tariff Impacts57:50 - Canada - U.S. Takeover?1:01:43 - Epstein Honey Trap1:09:37 - Watch Europe & Ukraine1:13:20 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://armstrongeconomics.comTwitter: https://x.com/strongeconomicsFacebook: https://facebook.com/martin.armstrong.167Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/ybtrslr9 Martin Armstrong is the Owner and Researcher for the website Armstrong Economics. He is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed. At age 13, Armstrong began working at a coin and stamp dealership in Pennsauken, New Jersey. After buying a bag of rare Canadian pennies, he became a millionaire in 1965 at the age of 15. He continued to work on weekends through high school, finding the real-world exciting, for this was the beginning of the collapse of the gold standard. Martin became captivated by this shocking revelation that there were not just booms and busts,

    Lawrence Lepard: The Big Print – Make the Monetary System Great Again

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 59:01


    Tom welcomes back Lawrence Lepard from Equity Management Associates to discuss his new book, "The Big Print: What Happened to America and How Sound Money Will Fix It." Lepard explains that the book aims to simplify complex monetary issues for the average reader, highlighting how the broken monetary system has fueled inflation, wealth inequality, and economic dysfunction. Lepard emphasized that the U.S. monetary system began deteriorating with Nixon's abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, leading to persistent inflation and debt accumulation. He argued that sound money — gold, silver, and Bitcoin — is essential to fix these issues. Gold provides stability, while Bitcoin offers a digital solution to scarcity and divisibility, though it is still volatile. The interview explored how inflation affects everyday life, with Lepard noting that the government's reported inflation rates often underestimate real costs. He criticized the Federal Reserve for prioritizing debt servicing over economic fairness, leading to a cycle of printing money that disproportionately harms wage earners. Lepard also discussed the political challenges in transitioning to sound money, suggesting that widespread public awareness and grassroots support are needed to push for systemic change. He warned against complacency, noting that the U.S. is on a trajectory toward a debt crisis unless decisive action is taken. The conversation concluded with Lepard encouraging listeners to engage with his book to better understand these issues and advocating for a future where sound money restores economic health and fairness. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - The Big Print7:20 - Where It All Went Wrong10:00 - CPI Chart 1800-200512:00 - Inflation a Key Issue15:00 - The Wealth Gap18:30 - Next Monetary Crisis21:20 - A Moral Imperative23:00 - Debt System Origin26:00 - Top Vs. Bottom Wealth27:00 - Why All Fiats Fail31:00 - Lies & Inflation Stats34:50 - Deflation Boogeyman38:00 - Solutions & Outcomes45:00 - Peg to Real Assets48:45 - Bitcoin Advantages52:20 - Resets & Reserve Currency56:30 - Book & Wrap Up Guest Links:Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/gOf1dTWebsite: http://www.ema2.comX: https://twitter.com/LawrenceLepard (Account is back)Book - The Big Print: https://tinyurl.com/4p4k6htt Lawrence W. Lepard is the Founder and Managing Partner of Equity Management Associates. He has spent his entire 38-year career as an investor, principally focusing on venture capital opportunities. Before co-founding EMA, Mr. Lepard spent 13 years at Geocapital Partners, in Fort Lee, NJ. There he was one of two Managing General Partners and was responsible for several venture capital funds. Before Geocapital, Mr. Lepard spent seven years at Summit Partners in Boston and California, where he was a General Partner at Summit I and Summit II. Mr. Lepard received his BA in Economics from Colgate University, and he received an MBA with Academic Distinction from Harvard Business School.

    John Titus: The Fed’s Dangerous Path to Further Secrecy

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 58:12


    Tom welcomes back an always interesting guest who dives deeply into various financial topics; John Titus. Several key topics were discussed, including the banking crisis of March 2023, federal debt, central bank independence, and the implications of the Fed's policies. Titus began by revisiting his prediction of the banking crisis, attributing it to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program during the pandemic. He explained that this led to a surge in commercial bank deposits, which ultimately caused instability when large deposits were withdrawn from banks like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Titus emphasized that these massive deposits, often exceeding $1 billion, were uninsured and posed significant risks when withdrawn rapidly. He discussed how the Fed's actions during the pandemic injected liquidity into non-bank entities, leading to a buildup of deposits in commercial banks. This created a situation where the failure of SVB was inevitable due to the withdrawal of large deposits. Moving on to federal debt, Titus expressed concern about the growing U.S. debt and its sustainability. He highlighted that the Fed's policies have led to a system where debt is used to finance government operations, creating a cycle of borrowing to cover interest payments. This spiral could lead to fiscal insolvency if not addressed. The discussion then turned to central bank independence and the implications of a Biden administration memo emphasizing central bank autonomy. Titus argued that in the U.S., the Federal Reserve is not truly independent but rather an agency under Congress, which has the constitutional authority to oversee it. He warned against efforts to model the Fed after systems like the European Central Bank, which operate independently of national governments, as this could erode democratic accountability. Titus also previewed his new series, "The War for Bankocracy," which explores the history and power dynamics of central banks. He emphasized the importance of constitutional governance over monetary policy, arguing that Congress must maintain control to prevent abuses of power by central bankers. Throughout the interview, Titus stressed the need for public awareness and engagement in monetary policy decisions, urging listeners to stay informed and advocate for transparency and accountability in how debt and money are managed. His analysis highlighted the interconnected risks posed by federal debt, banking instability, and central bank autonomy, emphasizing that these issues require immediate attention to prevent further economic crises. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Predicting Bank Failures4:12 - Bank System in 20256:43 - Risks or Manipulation10:06 - Fed, Deficits, & Austerity12:43 - Fed & Fiscal Dominance15:05 - The Debt Spiral20:15 - Extinguish Debt?23:40 - C.B. Gold Reserves25:57 - U.S. Rates & Debt Rollover27:07 - Treasury Dealers31:25 - Fed & Inflation34:59 - Neverending Puzzle36:30 - Debt Solutions?40:00 - Reverse Repo Status45:15 - Fed 'Independence'50:00 - Biden Memo Concerns52:26 - C.B. Independence55:20 - Bankocracy Series Guest Links:SubStack: https://bestevidence.substack.com/Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1843407Odysey: https://odysee.com/@BestEvidence:bYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BestEvidenceBankocracy Series Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-fPI_tleUo&list=PLXr4cxq6ih6DbS8NIMK3nAiEM8AggZ_DQ John Titus holds a masters degree in electrical engineering as well as a law degree and he uses these to pursue his "day job". However, John is also a staunch critic of central banking the federal reserve system and his diligent research has uncovered numerous lies and deceptions from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding their actions/policies since 2008. John is the creator and executive producer of the "BestEvidence" YouTube channel and all of his documentaries can be found there. BestEvidence seeks to chronicle major financial forces and legal changes be...

    John Williams: U.S. Economic Weakness – How Markets Might Derail Trump’s Early Efforts

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2025 27:43


    Tom welcomes back economist John Williams, the founder of Shadow Government Statistics to discusses the current state of the economy and inflation under the Trump administration. Williams highlights the disconnect between market optimism and underlying economic weakness, emphasizing that while GDP growth appears strong, key indicators like retail sales, industrial production, and housing are lagging or negative year-over-year. He critiques the government's reporting methods, arguing that metrics such as GDP and CPI are manipulated to downplay inflation and inflate economic health. For instance, Williams points out that the consumer price index (CPI) has been redefined since the 1980s to suppress reported inflation rates by about 8 percentage points. This manipulation masks the true cost of living increases, particularly felt in housing costs. Williams also discusses the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its focus on maintaining banking stability over controlling inflation or economic growth. Despite efforts to reduce liquidity, the money supply remains excessively high, fueling inflationary pressures. He warns that this could lead to hyperinflation and a potential collapse of the dollar's value, with gold serving as a key indicator of these risks. Looking ahead, Williams predicts continued inflation and economic stagnation, with the possibility of a market crash or deeper recession within the next year. He underscores the importance of understanding inflation through alternative measures like gold prices, which reflect true economic conditions more accurately than official reports. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & Weak Economy4:53 - GDP Comparisons8:09 - Stats & Market Reactions10:50 - Past Five Year Inflation16:14 - CPI Numbers & Gold18:30 - Inflationary Outlook21:03 - CPI Vs. Gold24:49 - Gold & New Highs?26:25 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Website: https://shadowstats.comE-Mail: johnwilliams@shadowstats.com Walter J. "John" Williams was born in 1949. He received an A.B. in Economics, cum laude, from Dartmouth College in 1971, and was awarded a M.B.A. from Dartmouth's Amos Tuck School of Business Administration in 1972, where he was named an Edward Tuck Scholar. During his career as a consulting economist, John has worked with individuals as well as Fortune 500 companies.

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