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In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones cover the latest jobs report and downward revisions to previous data. They also look at the employment numbers for implications on Fed policy and the overall economy. Then, Liz Ann and Kathy discuss recent AI-related headlines that caused some disruption in the financial sector. Liz Ann frames AI adoption in three phases: create, catalyze, and cascade. Finally, they discuss several prudent investment approaches focused on factors and characteristics and look ahead to key upcoming data in the coming weeks and days.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions (0226-BGNK) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Grain Reactions to the WASDE Report, Part 1 Grain Reactions to the WASDE Report, Part 2 Moisture and Drying Back Out 00:01:05 – Grain Reactions to the WASDE Report, Part 1: Beginning today's show is Daniel O'Brien, K-State grain economist, and Guy Allen, the senior economist at the IGP Institute, as they provide a grain market report and their reactions to the recent WASDE report. In the first segment, they discuss corn and grain sorghum. 00:12:05 – Grain Reactions to the WASDE Report, Part 2: Daniel and Guy keep the show rolling as they chat about transport, currency, soybeans and wheat in the second segment. Daniel on AgManager.info 00:23:05 – Moisture and Drying Back Out: K-State meteorologist, Chip Redmond, ends the show explaining the recent warm temperatures and what moisture and continued temperatures Kansans can be expecting. Send comments, questions or requests for copies of past programs to ksrenews@ksu.edu. Agriculture Today is a daily program featuring Kansas State University agricultural specialists and other experts examining ag issues facing Kansas and the nation. It is hosted by Shelby Varner and distributed to radio stations throughout Kansas and as a daily podcast. K‑State Extension is a short name for the Kansas State University Cooperative Extension Service, a program designed to generate and distribute useful knowledge for the well‑being of Kansans. Supported by county, state, federal and private funds, the program has county Extension offices statewide. Its headquarters is on the K‑State campus in Manhattan. For more information, visit www.ksre.ksu.edu. K-State Extension is an equal opportunity provider and employer.
From the lows of December retail sales to the highs of January payrolls, recent US data has sent mixed signals. But the economy remains in relatively good shape, argues Deputy Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown on the latest episode of the Capital Economics Weekly Briefing. He explores why the idea of a “K-shaped” economy may be overstated, what markets are missing about the productivity growth upturn, and the chances of much lower rates from a Kevin Warsh-led Fed. Also on the show, as Keir Starmer's government reels from one of its toughest weeks yet, Deputy Chief UK Economist Ruth Gregory assesses what a change of leadership could mean for the UK economy and financial markets, but also why the long-term growth outlook may not be as bleak as recent headlines suggest.AI already making a big contribution to US productivity growthWhy we still believe in the AI rally, and the S&P 500Would a stock market crash cause a global recession?Can China's trade surplus rise further?
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Alex Gurevich. They'll discuss, fixed income, energy, precious metals, the Japanese Yen, and Alex's new book just released on Amazon. https://bit.ly/4tzXAdi Buy Alex's new book 'The Next Perfect Trade' available on Amazon
Prof. L. Randall Wray joined Class Unity to talk about Modern Monetary Theory, heterodox economics, and the future of economic studies. Prof. Wray is a professor of Economics at Bard College and Senior Scholar at the Levy Economics Institute. Previously, he was a professor at the University of Missouri–Kansas City in Kansas City. In this episode we are discussing his book, Macroeconomics; Author(s): William Mitchell, L. Randall Wray, Martin Watts; Red Globe Press, Macmillan International; February 2019; https://www.macmillanihe.com/page/detail/Macroeconomics/?K=9781137610669. For donations, membership inquiries, or educational courses, check out our website here: https://classunity.org
In our latest podcast Mike Reed, Head of Global Financial Insitutions, is joined by Polina Kurdyavko, Head of EM Debt, where they discuss increased geopolitical risk in relation to recent events, the weakened dollar's positive impact on emerging market economies plus the opportunities and challenges for the asset class in the year ahead.
In this week's episode, Neil Shearing talks to Vicky Redwood and John Higgins about a tumultuous week in equity markets, how AI is creating winners and losers, and whether there's any evidence that AI is starting to lift productivity growth in economies. AI already making a big contribution to productivity growthChina's AI rollout could rival the US
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Dr. Anas Alhajji. They'll discuss the events that have transpired in energy markets since Dr. Alhajji's last interview in November. they'll also cover all the big geopolitical risks, and then end on the three big events he's watching in this week's energy markets. https://bit.ly/4qfojcf
The freight recession may finally be over as January transportation metrics reveal a market in firm expansion territory. With the overall index hitting 59.6, a convergence of tightening capacity and rising rates suggests the cycle has officially turned. Regulatory pressures are squeezing the driver pool just as Werner Enterprises settles an 11-year-old lawsuit regarding driver wages. This $18 million payout underscores the rising floor for labor costs in an increasingly constrained environment. On the demand side, a surge in Japanese machine tool orders points to a manufacturing rebound later this year. North American orders jumped nearly 30%, signaling that industrial production is gearing up for a strong second half of 2026. Macroeconomic policy could also provide a tailwind if Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh shifts focus back to Main Street. His criticism of current monetary strategy suggests relief may be on the way for the industrial and small business sectors. Meanwhile, rail infrastructure is booming with Norfolk Southern customers advancing over $7.7 billion in new projects. Adding to the positive momentum, legal distractions are clearing up for major players following the dismissal of charges against NFI's CEO. Follow the FreightWaves NOW Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This weekend's Japanese election is shaping up to be one of the most consequential in years. As Sanae Takaichi, newly installed leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, seeks to cement her mandate, government bond yields and the yen have been moving in opposite directions amid headlines warning of plans to open the fiscal floodgates.But are markets really responding to fears of runaway spending, or to the reality that Japan is finally emerging from decades of deflation? Capital Economics' Head of Asia-Pacific, Marcel Thieliant, and Head of Asia-Pacific Markets, Thomas Mathews, join the show to unpack what the return of inflation means for the Japanese economy, for the Bank of Japan, for government bonds and for the outcome of this weekend's vote.Also on the show: a new US-India deal to slash eye-watering reciprocal tariff rates is the latest in a flurry of trade agreements from the Modi administration. Shilan Shah, our India research lead, explains what these deals mean for India's economic outlook – and whether the country can truly wean itself off Russian oil.Read our key analysis about the return of inflation to Japan's economy.For Capital Economics clients: Japan Drop-In: Takaichi's election gamble – Fiscal risks, market consequences
The freight recession may finally be over as January transportation metrics reveal a market in firm expansion territory. With the overall index hitting 59.6, a convergence of tightening capacity and rising rates suggests the cycle has officially turned. Regulatory pressures are squeezing the driver pool just as Werner Enterprises settles an 11-year-old lawsuit regarding driver wages. This $18 million payout underscores the rising floor for labor costs in an increasingly constrained environment. On the demand side, a surge in Japanese machine tool orders points to a manufacturing rebound later this year. North American orders jumped nearly 30%, signaling that industrial production is gearing up for a strong second half of 2026. Macroeconomic policy could also provide a tailwind if Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh shifts focus back to Main Street. His criticism of current monetary strategy suggests relief may be on the way for the industrial and small business sectors. Meanwhile, rail infrastructure is booming with Norfolk Southern customers advancing over $7.7 billion in new projects. Adding to the positive momentum, legal distractions are clearing up for major players following the dismissal of charges against NFI's CEO. Follow the FreightWaves NOW Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
First, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on the recent Federal Reserve meeting, the reaction of the bond market, and insights from the ongoing earnings season. Then, Kathy Jones is joined by Jack Schwager, author of the bestselling book Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders. Jack then discusses a few of the most important lessons he has learned from interviewing elite traders: risk and money management outweigh methodology; flexibility is essential; and understanding how markets have evolved. He and Kathy also discuss the rarity of exceptional performance and the clear distinction between trading and investing.Jack Schwager's latest book, Market Wizards: The Next Generation, will be published in June 2026.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.Short selling is an advanced trading strategy involving potentially unlimited risks, and must be done in a margin account. Margin trading increases your level of market risk. For more information please refer to your account agreement and the Margin Risk Disclosure Statement.Futures and futures options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options prior to trading futures products.The books Complete Guide to Futures, Market Wizards, Market Wizards: Interviews With Top Traders, and Market Wizards: The Next Generation, Market Sense and Nonsense, are not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.). Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.) has not reviewed the books and makes no representations about their content.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions(0126-4MFP) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Kevin Warsh has been named Donald Trump's pick to succeed Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing, Deputy Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown, and Deputy Chief Markets Economist Jonas Goltermann come together for a special episode of The Weekly Briefing to address the key questions raised by this announcement, including:Whether Warsh would deliver the kind of monetary easing Trump has been calling for;How Warsh's call to shrink the Fed's balance sheet would work, and what that could mean for Treasury yields;The implications for the dollar following an extraordinary week in currency markets.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Justin Huhn. They'll discuss the outlook for nuclear energy generally and for uranium markets in particular https://bit.ly/4rgcNyd
In this conversation, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on the implications of tariffs, global economic influences, and the dynamics of the bond market. They explore evergreen strategies for navigating market volatility, emphasizing the importance of disciplined investment approaches. The discussion also touches on inflation expectations, the Federal Reserve's policies, and insights into the potential risks and opportunities for investors.You can read Kathy and Collin's article about the fixed income markets here: "The Bond Market in 2026: What Could Go Wrong?"On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Diversification, asset allocation, and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions(0126-1900) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Was this the week that shattered the western alliance? Not so fast, says Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing. Despite the strains of a Trump presidency, deep economic dependencies on the US suggest that talk of a new international order is overblown. Neil cuts through the Davos rhetoric to explain the reality of the current global macro landscape.Later in the show, as the fourth anniversary of the invasion of Ukraine approaches, Senior EM Economist Liam Peach explains what many get wrong about Russia's economy. He explores how initial resilience has finally given way to weakness, but also why this shift is unlikely to force Putin into meaningful concessions to end the war.Referenced in this episode:Analysis hub: Japan's reinflationary reawakeningDrop-In: The shape of the fractured world in 2026EM Financial Risk Indicators
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Craig Tindale. They'll discuss why China is holding all the cards, and how those cards were served them, not only on a “silver platter”, but on a platter made from silver mined elsewhere but refined in China. https://bit.ly/3LZRwKf
In cross-border investing, where you invest matters just as much as how you invest. This is especially true for fixed income. Although 2026 has only just begun, it's already shaping up to be a busy year on the macro front. A weaker US dollar could impact portfolios more than ever, and bonds may not be the ideal place to take on currency risk. How are global macroeconomics, geopolitics, and currency dynamics shaping investment decisions for cross-border expats? In this episode of Expat Wealth, Richard Taylor – dual UK/US citizen and Chartered Financial Planner – is joined by Brian Dunhill – founder of Dunhill Financial – to take a big-picture look at currency markets and explore practical ways to mitigate risk as the US dollar fluctuates. Despite geopolitical noise, markets have largely shrugged off concerns about the dollar's currency cycle. Richard and Brian explain why they remain constructive on global equities, and what steps they're taking in portfolios for expats who live, earn, spend, and retire across multiple currencies. Richard and Brian unpack: Why your investment strategy needs to match your global lifestyle. Where you earn income, where you spend it, and where you plan to retire should all influence your investment decisions: the currency denomination of your bonds, your asset allocation, and your liquidity requirements. The good news: markets are holding steady. Despite political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, inflation is moderating, and tariffs have had limited impact. Potential interest rate cuts could support equity markets, particularly if the US dollar weakens. Be cautious with high-risk strategies. Leveraged approaches like yen carry trades, cryptocurrency, and exotic private investments carry significant risks. As an expat, stay informed about these strategies but don't be drawn into them. Focus on liquid, transparent public markets where you have clear visibility and access to your investments. -- Expat Wealth is supported by Plan First Wealth. Plan First Wealth is a Registered Investment Advisor serving fellow expatriates and immigrants living across the US on matters such as retirement planning, investment management, tax planning and non-US asset management. https://planfirstwealth.com/ -- Expat Wealth is affiliated with Plan First Wealth LLC, an SEC registered investment advisor. The views and opinions expressed in this program are those of the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of Plan First Wealth. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Plan First Wealth does not provide any tax and/or legal advice and strongly recommends that listeners seek their own advice in these areas.
Cullen Roche has written a book called Your Perfect Portfolio (0:15). Navigating this current environment (4:20). Investing timelines for different ages (9:50). Factor investing styles (40:30). Concerns and questions for 2026 - risk is what we don't know (44:00).Sign up for our Investing Experts live event on January 27: Top Ideas for 2026Show Notes:The Good Enough PortfolioDiscipline FundsRead our transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.
This week, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the Federal Reserve, the bond and equity markets, the challenges facing the housing market, and the ongoing issues with inflation. They explore the implications of a criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the stability of the bond market amidst political pressures, and the somewhat mixed signals from the equity market. Their discussion also highlights the affordability crisis in the housing market and the Fed's struggle to meet its inflation targets, concluding with a look ahead at upcoming economic data.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions (0126-YL36) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
We're just out of the recent earnings season and we've seen a wild range of results and some interesting implications. Melissa Otto CFA, head of S&P Global's Visible Alpha research team, returns to discuss what that markets have been saying and what she makes of the data with host Eric Hanselman. Macroeconomic effects are having some impact, as consumer sentiment diverges across the top and the bottom of the economy. In technology, there are mixed feelings about AI as the hunt continues for use cases with decisive revenue returns. The hyperscalers are continuing to invest capital at staggering rates and, so far, the markets have mostly approved. AI supply chain companies, like NVIDIA, are generally moving forward with solid results. The larger question is where is the AI boom headed. There are constraints not only in supply chains for data centers, but also in energy supply. Agentic AI has a lot of promise, but needs to prove out its value and earn trust, as providers look to improve efficiency with more targeted silicon, like ASICs, to stand up alongside the forests of GPU's being deployed. As investors hunt for improved returns, they may be rotating to international opportunities and small cap companies that might be able to see faster returns from AI deployments. More S&P Global Content: Next in Tech podcast: Agentic Customer Experience Nvidia GTC in DC Blackwell expectations increase Otto: Markets are grappling with how to price AI-related stocks Next in Tech podcast, Episode 239: AI Infrastructure For S&P Global Subscribers: A view of peaks and plateaus AI to lead tech spending in 2026, but orgs losing track of energy efficiency – Highlights from Macroeconomic Outlook, SME Tech Trends Hyperscaler earnings quarterly: Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft charge ahead on AI capacity buildouts Agents are already driving workplace impact and agentic AI adoption – Highlights from VotE: AI & Machine Learning Big Picture 2026 AI Outlook: Unleashing agentic potential Credits: Host/Author: Eric Hanselman Guest: Melissa Otto, CFA Producer/Editor: Feranmi Adeoshun Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Kyra Smith
Can you pitch yourself as a responsible global stakeholder at the same time as running a $1.2 trillion trade surplus? That's China's big global macro play, and it's one that Neil Shearing thinks China is going to struggle to pull off. The Group Chief Economist of Capital Economics is on The Weekly Briefing to explain what that mammoth trade imbalance means for advanced and emerging economies in a fracturing global economy, including why some EMs are doing quite well as a result of all of the geoeconomic ructions.Also on the show, there's an awful lot of noise around the race for AI leadership between the US and China, but how to separate out the hype from the reality? China Economist Leah Fahy's new report sizes up the progress that Chinese AI has made since the launch of DeepSeek a year ago, and the impact that Beijing's race for tech supremacy will have on the country's economic outlook.Six non-consensus calls for China for 2026China's AI rollout could rival the USDrop-In: The shape of the fractured world in 2026The economic and market impact of AI
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rory Johnston. They will discuss all things crude oil, starting with the Venezuela news and what it means for markets, then moving on to Iran, the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and much more https://bit.ly/4qnVjQs
On this episode, we discuss every uncertain scenario looming over the cryptocurrency markets in the coming year.~This episode is sponsored by BTCC~BTCC 10% Deposit Bonus! ➜ https://bit.ly/PBNBTCCGuest: Ran Neuner - Co-founder of Crypto Banter & CEO On Chain CapitalCrypto Banter Youtube Channel ➜ https://bit.ly/CryptoBanterRan00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: BTCC01:00 4-year cycle dead?08:00 Ethereum outperforms bitcoin in 2026?09:30 Jerome Powell gone, good or bad?12:40 2021 Crash15:50 CLARITY uncertainty vs Macro uncertainty18:00 Will DATs make a comeback in 2026?20:40 Better investor: Tom Lee vs Michael Saylor?21:45 Will retail return to crypto this year?23:30 The new crypto investor25:30 ETFs are driving this cycle26:20 Ran's thesis27:30 Will Gold beat Bitcoin again this year?28:30 Gold vs BTC chart30:00 Better buy: XRP or PENGU?30:10 Bigger Scam: TRUMP vs WLFI?30:30 COIN vs HOOD?30:50 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Crypto Uncertainty & Chaos
In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on the impact of global events, particularly military actions in Venezuela and how that might affect oil prices and the US economy. They delve into the bond market's response, the influence of retail traders, and the ongoing challenges in the US labor market. The discussion also covers the complexities of Venezuela's potential debt restructuring, the current implications of tariffs on the economy, and the importance of Fed policy and upcoming economic indicators.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.(0126-VJ8P) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The first trading week of 2026 has been a whirlwind of geopolitical shocks and big economic developments. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing is back on The Weekly Briefing to break down an historic start to the year, including:The Maduro capture: Neil provides much-needed macro and market context behind the news of Nicolás Maduro's capture in Venezuela.AI and US productivity impacts: Whether the "stunning" Q3 US productivity numbers suggest massive AI investments are moving the needle for the US economy – and whether other economies will soon start feeling the benefit.The labour market and the Fed: A review of the December payrolls report and what it could mean for the Fed.Also on the show: David Oxley and Kieran Tompkins from our Commodities team join us to make sense of a volatile week in the oil market. They discuss the reality behind expectations for a surge in Venezuelan oil flows onto the global market.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Darius Dale. They discuss why Darius thinks that one year from now in January 2027, we'll probably look back on 2026 as an up year for most financial markets. But Darius says put your seat belt on for the first few months of the year, which he thinks could be quite turbulent. https://bit.ly/49LhPNe ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/49eoyzj
In this Podcast Extra, John Kempf speaks with Dr. Michael McNeill at the Acres U.S.A. Eco-Ag Conference in December 2025. During their conversation, they field questions from the audience and dive deep into the intersection of macroeconomics, history, and the future of farming. Topics discussed include: The historical context of the 1962 "Adaptive Program for Agriculture" and its intentional design to reduce the American farm population. Personal reflections on the 1980s farm crisis and the role of high-interest rates in driving farm bankruptcies and consolidation. Strategies for developing resilient farming systems that can withstand economic shifts, political changes, and climate volatility. A vision for a "major reset" in American agriculture within the next five years, shifting toward either massive consolidation or smaller food-as-medicine operations. The critical role of collaboration and mentorship between older and younger generations to facilitate land transition and knowledge sharing Additional Resources To learn more about Acres U.S.A, please visit: https://www.acresusa.com/ To listen to a previous Regenerative Agriculture Podcast episode featuring Dr. McNeill, please visit: https://advancingecoag.com/podcast/disease-resistance-and-regenerating-soil-with-michael-mcneill/ About John Kempf John Kempf is the founder of Advancing Eco Agriculture (AEA). A top expert in biological and regenerative farming, John founded AEA in 2006 to help fellow farmers by providing the education, tools, and strategies that will have a global effect on the food supply and those who grow it. Through intense study and the knowledge gleaned from many industry leaders, John is building a comprehensive systems-based approach to plant nutrition – a system solidly based on the sciences of plant physiology, mineral nutrition, and soil microbiology. Support For This Show & Helping You Grow Since 2006, AEA has been on a mission to help growers become more resilient, efficient, and profitable with regenerative agriculture. AEA works directly with growers to apply its unique line of liquid mineral crop nutrition products and biological inoculants. Informed by cutting-edge plant and soil data-gathering techniques, AEA's science-based programs empower farm operations to meet the crop quality markers that matter the most. AEA has created real and lasting change on millions of acres with its products and data-driven services by working hand-in-hand with growers to produce healthier soil, stronger crops, and higher profits. Beyond working on the ground with growers, AEA leads in regenerative agriculture media and education, producing and distributing the popular and highly-regarded Regenerative Agriculture Podcast, inspiring webinars, and other educational content that serve as go-to resources for growers worldwide Learn more about AEA's regenerative programs and products: https://www.advancingecoag.com
Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me to kick off the first full trading week of 2026, reviewing the strong close to end last year, and the even stronger start to this year in gold, silver, copper, and the precious metals stocks. We also break down the macroeconomic factors that matter moving into the year to come. We start off reviewing the big moves higher today across the metals complex with gold, silver, copper, at or near all-time highs in what is typically a quite seasonally strong period of the year for this part of the commodities sector. Craig points out that while the metals have been undeniably strong, that the related mining stocks have only had lackluster responses over the last few weeks, considering how much their profit margins and project economics have expanded. This brings up the lagging valuations in lieu of the much higher average metals price in Q4 over Q3, where gold, silver, platinum, and copper all closed the month of December, the fourth quarter, and the year at all-time high closes on the longer-duration charts. Craig feels that this is what is truly germane for institutional investors and analysts as they tend to block out the short-term noise and focus on the longer-term trends in motion. When we look at where metals prices are here to kick off the year in early January they are a levels that are so much higher than those average prices in Q4, that it is hard to imagine that Q1 isn't going to see even higher average metals prices, and thus even higher record revenues or project economics. This raises the question of why more investors are not getting in front of those trends and bidding the quality mining shares much higher than they've responded thus far? Craig feels a great deal of this lack of leverage in the mining stocks lately is coming from sympathetic lack of belief from most investors that these prices are going to stay up at these levels. One factor that has continued to tamp down futures pricing in gold, silver, platinum, and palladium over the last few weeks has been the COMEX rising of margin requirements. Many investors are concerned that if this raising of margins requirements persists that it could trigger a selling cascade lower. Craig weighs on the history and dynamics around these moves by the Chicago commodities exchange. The conversation then transitions over into what factors are going to keep underpinning higher metals prices. We review the arbitrage between the physical and paper markets both in terms of the current backwardation between higher spot prices over future prices, and from prices seen on the Shanghai exchange versus the COMEX. Craig mentions that while he doesn't feel there is a direct safe haven bid today after the weekend geopolitical events between the US and Venezuela, that it still may underpin other nations central banks to keep buying gold and diversifying out of US dollars as a precaution. Another key factor he is watching is what we'll see in 2026 with regards to central bank monetary policy here in the US, once Trump installs a more dovish head to the Fed mid-year. Craig also continues to watch for potential yield curve control through monetary policy, if the interest rates get too extreme in either direction. Following up on our last conversation, and looking ahead to Craig's coming 2026 Macrocast report due out later this week, we revisit the potential for Scott Bessent and the treasury department to monetize aspects of the US balance sheet (notably a potential repricing in gold) to help fund a sovereign wealth fund. Click here to visit Craig's TF Metals website: For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
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This week, Bob talks with macroeconomist Roger Farmer—who places himself “between Keynes and Hayek”—about how twentieth-century macroeconomics evolved. They discuss how overlapping generations and search theory change the story on unemployment and asset prices, and where Professor Farmer thinks both neoclassicals and MMT advocates go wrong. Farmer contrasts the old “rocking horse” vision of the economy with his preferred “windy boat” metaphor, where the economy can drift for long periods, and variables like unemployment behave more like random walks than quick returns to a single steady state.Related:Professor Farmer's Article, "How New Keynesian Economics Betrays Keynes": Mises.org/HAP532aThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Happy New Year! In this macroeconomic update, Randy talks about interest rates, inflation & GDP reports, and what to expect in 2026. Join Our Investor Club: https://rebrand.ly/6d8avxu
This week, Bob talks with macroeconomist Roger Farmer—who places himself “between Keynes and Hayek”—about how twentieth-century macroeconomics evolved. They discuss how overlapping generations and search theory change the story on unemployment and asset prices, and where Professor Farmer thinks both neoclassicals and MMT advocates go wrong. Farmer contrasts the old “rocking horse” vision of the economy with his preferred “windy boat” metaphor, where the economy can drift for long periods, and variables like unemployment behave more like random walks than quick returns to a single steady state.Related:Professor Farmer's Article, "How New Keynesian Economics Betrays Keynes": Mises.org/HAP532aThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mark Williams, Graham Lawrence & Brendan Goodwin. They discuss why a surprising number of high-profile hedge fund legends and celebrities are establishing residency in New Zealand and what they might know that the rest of us don't, beyond any doomsday narrative. https://bit.ly/3YiVdNL ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, David Rosenberg. They discuss, the U.S. economic outlook, why Rosie's not concerned about persistent inflation, precious metals, and much more. https://bit.ly/3KJP6iw
In this final episode of 2025, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones reflect on a year marked by uncertainty and volatility in the markets. They discuss the ping-pong nature of policy changes, the resilience of the economy, and the impact of retail traders on market sentiment. Their analysis also touches on the speculation surrounding the next Fed chair and the mixed signals from recent job data. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions The book 4000 Weeks: Time Management for Mortals by Oliver Burkeman is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.). Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.) has not reviewed the book and makes no representations about its content.(1225-MVBY) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Robert Kahn. They will discuss all things geopolitics, from Tariffs to mid-term elections to the price of crude oil to who will be the next Fed chair https://bit.ly/4s9t21C
In this episode of Resilient Cyber, I sit down with my friend and the Founder of Return on Security (RoS),
Welcome to this mid-week edition of RealAg Radio with your host Shaun Haney! On today's show, Haney is joined by: Werner Stump of BC Cattlemen’s Association on land rights and titles and the Cowichan decision; Krishen Rangasamy of FCC on 2026 macroeconomics; and, Lisa Bishop-Spencer of the Canadian Centre for Food Integrity on the Canada’s... Read More
Welcome to this mid-week edition of RealAg Radio with your host Shaun Haney! On today's show, Haney is joined by: Werner Stump of BC Cattlemen’s Association on land rights and titles and the Cowichan decision; Krishen Rangasamy of FCC on 2026 macroeconomics; and, Lisa Bishop-Spencer of the Canadian Centre for Food Integrity on the Canada’s... Read More
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They discuss, what just happened and what it means for markets. https://bit.ly/4rRuipR Register for Big Picture Trading's asymmetric challenge here: https://www.bigpicturetrading.com/challenge
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Marko Papic. We'll discuss the deteriorating situation in Venezuela, the impacts of a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal on markets, the spat between Japan and China, and the U.S. mid-term election cycle, considering the market impacts of all these developments. https://bit.ly/442T5gw Register for Big Picture Trading's asymmetric challenge here: https://www.bigpicturetrading.com/challenge
Amid Black Friday, Small Business Saturday, and Cyber Monday sales, owner of The Locavore Caroline Weaver discusses consumers shopping locally this holiday season. President Trump told reporters over the weekend that he's decided on his pick for the next Fed Chair, prompting renewed conversation about reported front-runner Kevin Hassett. Economist Mohamed El-Erian considers the big economic picture, including the Federal Reserve's path forward. Plus, Nvidia is taking a $2 billion stake in Synopsys and an Airbus glitch affected planes flying over the holiday weekend. Caroline Weaver - 15:40Mohamed El-Erian - 23:28 In this episode:Mohamed El-Erian, @elerianmBecky Quick, @BeckyQuickJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawkKatie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Lakshman Achuthan. They'll discuss all things cycles, from the current outlook on growth and inflation cycles to how cycles in general perform in times like these when big political and geopolitical headlines are driving markets. https://bit.ly/4iGSes1
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They'll discuss the global liquidity cycle, why it has a 65-month periodicity, and where we stand in that cycle right now. https://bit.ly/3X7ZN0J
Lukasz Rachel is a former Bank of England economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at the University College of London. In Lukasz's first appearance on the show he discusses his big career breaks, the implications of secular stagnation in the industrialized world, what is next for R-star, what non-Ricardian macro policy looks like, his policy prescriptions for the US, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on October 29th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Lukasz on X: @LukaszRachel Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:42 - Lukasz's Career 00:07:30 - Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World 00:21:08 - What Next for R-Star? 00:36:11 - Brothers in Arms: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions 00:49:53 - Policy Recommendations 00:51:03 - Outro
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mike Green. They'll discuss everything from the reopening rally to precious metals to energy markets. https://bit.ly/49SQx89
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Every. They'll discuss the geopolitical situation and talk about what it means for markets. https://bit.ly/49AFRuQ
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Brent Johnson. They discuss why Brent says Stablecoin is going to be a game changer, even for those who aren't interested in crypto assets. https://bit.ly/4oMi7IB
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Adam Rozencwajg. They discuss all things commodities from gold to oil to uranium. https://bit.ly/4oFcfAZ