Podcasts about Macroeconomics

Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing sifts through a deluge of DM inflation data to highlight where tariff effects are coming through, where price pressures look too hot and which central banks are best positioned to press on with policy easing. He also talks to David Wilder about what China's manufacturing overdrive is doing to the global inflation picture.Also on the show, how serious is Donald Trump about forcing out Jerome Powell? Deputy Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown talks about the market response to the latest attacks on the Fed chief, why forcing him out could prove counterproductive for a president wanting cheaper borrowing costs, and what to watch as the White House steps up the pressure. Events and analysis referenced in this episode:ECB Watch: A pause, or an end, to the easing cycleGlobal Drop-In: Fed, ECB and Bank of England – Unpacking the latest rate movesDrop-In: Could South Africa be about to see a big bond rally?Read: What happens if Trump fires Powell?

The annual Kagan Media and Telecom Summit in New York is in the books and it not only covered a lot of market activity, but it was also surrounded by a number of media and sports rights headlines. Justin Nielson, Eric Keith, Scott Robson and Seth Shafer joined host Eric Hanselman to look at what was covered in the expansive event and the time around it. There were big shifts in media rights and a couple of sports team sales that led to lively discussions. Networks are balking at some of the lofty prices for sports media rights in the face of streaming services' higher demand. The realignment of regional sports coverage is still shaking out, as well. Media consolidation keeps hovering, but will it always be next year's prospect? Macroeconomic uncertainty seems to be playing a role and the pendulum on cord cutting seems to be swinging back around. In broadband, the reset of the BEAD program has states scrambling to reapply under the new, much tighter deadline. Will this drive fixed wireless access (FWA)? Satellite is still a possibility in remote regions, but costs may hold it back. Private equity activity in fiber networks could be reaching a tipping point, as their investments mature and operators' partners shift strategies. There was a lot in store and much more to come. More S&P Global Content: Kagan Media and Telecom Summit event link For S&P Global subscribers: A sneak preview of the Kagan Media & Telecom Summit 2025 See it in charts: TV Networks, June 2025 Comcast strikes sports network deal; Streaming services expand sports viewing New media rights deal a slam dunk for the NBA Kagan Media & Telecom Summit 2025: Broadband panel discussion Credits: Host/Author: Eric Hanselman Guests: Justin Nielson, Erik Keith, Scott Robson, Seth Shafer Producer/Editor: Adam Kovalsky Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun, Kyra Smith  

Tariffs stormed back into the headlines this week as the pause on ‘Liberation Day' levies expired with a flurry of warnings about steep rate hikes unless deals are struck by 1st August. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing unpacks the implications, while Head of China Economics Julian Evans-Pritchard provides the view from Beijing. They also explore with David Wilder why inflation is a risk in the US but deflation looms in China, and what policymakers are (and aren't) doing to fix it.Also on the show: As warnings mount over AI-driven job losses, Senior Economic Adviser Vicky Redwood separates hype from reality and explains what's happening now in labour markets, and what the future may hold.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Data: US-China Trade ReroutingRead: Tackling Chinese overcapacity will require demand-side stimulusRead: Fears about AI-driven job losses are overdoneRead: The economic and market impact of AIUpcoming Drop-Ins

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Lyn Alden. They discuss why Lyn believes investors should run their portfolios hot in today's environment. With fiscal policy now driving market outcomes more than monetary, Lyn argues this backdrop supports further upside for equity markets. https://bit.ly/4lFuowO  

Jordan Brooks serves as Principal and Co-Head of the Macro Strategies Group at AQR Capital Management. With no shortage of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks out there for investors to consider, Jordan explains what is top of mind for his team at AQR, and shares guidance when it comes to navigating these types of risks accordingly (including the role alternative investments can play in a portfolio). Host: Daniel Cassidy

In this episode of GMS Weekly, hosts Henning, Ryan, Grace, and Ingrid break down the major market movements in global ship recycling for Week 27 (July 4, 2025). With the Hong Kong Convention now officially in force, South Asia's ship recycling landscape is shifting fast. India holds steady with over 100 HKC-compliant yards, while Bangladesh and Pakistan scramble to upgrade amid declining prices and tighter tonnage supply. We cover: Macroeconomic pressures: oil at USD 66.5/barrel, inflation woes, and a falling Baltic Exchange. Subcontinent sentiment: India's predictability, Bangladesh's sub-USD 400/LDT offers, and Pakistan's early upgrade efforts. Turkey's ongoing regulatory red tape and a fire incident dampening its yard activity. Stay ahead with our analysis of: Regional pricing trends Compliance dynamics under HKC Where to position your vessels next Subscribe to GMS Weekly for complete demo pricing, port-by-port breakdowns, and vessel intelligence: https://www.gmsinc.net/get-in-touch?#SubscribeToGMS   GMS Mobile App: https://onelink.to/gms-app Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/gms-leadership X: https://x.com/GMS_Leadership Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/gms__leadership Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/gmsleadership/

Mohnish Pabrai's Session with Divya Narendra at SumZero on June 10, 2025.                                                       (00:00:00) - Introduction (00:00:57) - Berkshire Hathaway: Greg Abel  (00:07:59) - Mag 7 (00:11:16) - Microsoft: Dinner with Bill Gates (00:16:45) - Investing in commodities (00:18:59) - Met Coal & Berkshire's investment in Burlington Northern Railroads (00:23:44) - Thermal Coal vs. Metallurgical Coal (00:26:28) - Learning from mistakes; Selling a stock (00:28:51) - Shipping and Offshore oil drilling businesses; Nobel & Valaris (00:32:09) - Challenges for the coal industry (00:36:11) - Investment in Turkiye -TAV Airports; Laguardia (00:38:25) - Indian Energy Exchange & National Stock Exchange (00:39:28) - Macroeconomic factors and impact on the portfolio (00:43:54) - Book recommendation; Buffett and Munger Unscripted (00:45:08) - Investing in global markets (00:46:06) - Portfolio concentration; Walmart & the Walton family (00:47:59) - Geopolitics The contents of this website are for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not purport to be, and are not intended to be, financial, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice. Investments or strategies that are discussed may not be suitable for you, do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and are not intended to provide investment advice or recommendations appropriate for you. Before making any investment or trade, consider whether it is suitable for you and consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

On the latest episode of The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joins David Wilder to unpack the key developments in global macro and markets, including:What to expect as the ‘Liberation Day' tariff pause approaches expiryWhether the US and EU can strike a trade deal in timeWhy China is central to the US–Vietnam trade agreementWhat's really troubling about the passage of Trump's “big, beautiful” tax billWhat moves in gilt and sterling markets this week revealed about the UK Labour Party's fiscal credibilityAlso on the show, Senior Global Economist Ariane Curtis discusses her new in-depth report on the outlook for global trade amid rising tariffs. She explains why her forecasts challenge the narrative of deglobalisation and also shares highlights from our latest Global Economic Outlook, including China's looming slowdown and India's relative outperformance.Analysis and data referenced in this episode:Data: China-US Trade ReroutingData: Tariff Impact ModelRead: What do tariffs mean for global trade?Data: Euro-zone Debt Sustainability Monitor

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Larry McDonald. They'll discuss everything from copper to the dollar to precious metals. https://bit.ly/3Gqe0Bt  

So far, 2025 has been a year of sharp policy shifts and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. With volatility becoming the new normal, how can investors stay grounded? In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido welcomes back Glenn Purves, Global Head of Macro at the BlackRock Investment Institute, to break down the firm's 2025 Midyear Outlook.They explore why the long-term economic picture has become less predictable, how mega forces like AI and geopolitical fragmentation are reshaping global economic markets, and what “investing in the here and now” really means. From the role of private capital in funding infrastructure and energy to the balance between strategic and tactical asset allocation, Glenn shares how investors can find opportunity amid uncertainty in the economy—and what risks investors should watch for in the second half of the year.Sources: 2025 Midyear Outlook, BlackRock Investment InstituteKey moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to 2025 Market Volatility01:55 Introducing the Investment Midyear Outlook02:46 Geopolitical Fragmentation and Mega Forces03:48 3 Investment Themes In 202505:10 Navigating Uncertainty and Risk08:47 The Role of AI and Energy in Investments13:19 Geopolitical Landscape and Trade Policies16:49 Conclusion and Key Takeaways19:30 Summer Series on The Bid

Mobeen Tahir is a public speaking coach and keynote speaker. He is the director of Macroeconomics & Thematic Research at WisdomTree Europe. He is brilliant on the power of communication in high-stakes business environments - especially relevant in the age of AI and hybrid work. Mobeen shares lots of tips on public speaking, overcoming that initial fear and enabling you to be a better communicator. We discuss the importance of how you say something rather that what you actually say and engaging your audience.You can find Mobeen at www.mobeentahir.com  Your Business Hour podcast is hosted by the founders of Champ Consultants, Chantal and Matthew Baker. They are both accountants and bring a wealth of knowledge, experience, and business tips to their chat. They interview guests who tell their business stories, as well as consider the latest topics in business and finance.New podcasts are released weekly on a Tuesday and you can follow us on:Instagram: @your.businesshourFacebook: @your.businesshour

Mark Blyth is a professor of international economics at Brown University. In Mark's first appearance on the show, he discusses his new book Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers, the concept of angrynomics, a new way to look at price controls, demographic decline, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on June 4th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Mark on X: @MkBlyth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:00:50 - Angrynomics 00:03:56 - Motivation for ‘Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers' 00:08:27 - Five Things They Don't Tell You About Inflation 00:14:32 - Good, Bad, and Ugly Inflation 00:18:14 - Interest Rates and Inflation 00:21:33 - Price Controls 00:26:13 - Stories About Inflation 00:35:03 - Hyperinflation 00:42:24 - Pandemic Inflation 00:58:00 - Disinflation, China, and Demographic Decline 01:00:30 - Recommendations for Policymakers 01:02:00 - Outro

On this week's episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the current state of the markets amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the implications for oil prices and overall investor sentiment.  Then, Kathy Jones sits down with Mike Townsend, Schwab's managing director of legislative and regulatory affairs, to discuss the evolving geopolitical landscape, particularly the U.S. involvement in the Middle East and its implications for foreign policy. They explore market reactions to recent conflicts, the current state of tariffs and trade negotiations, and the impact of immigration policies on labor markets. Additionally, they highlight key policy issues for investors to watch in the second half of the year, including the potential for deregulation and the future of cryptocurrency regulation.You can follow Mike Townsend on LinkedIn or X.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresInvestors should consider carefully information contained in the prospectus, or if available, the summary prospectus, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. You can request a prospectus by calling 800-435-4000. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. 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Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. 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Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options prior to trading futures productsAll  names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. 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A ceasefire in the Middle East. A US-China deal. Relatively benign dataflow. The S&P 500 back at a record high. But are things really looking up? Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing is on The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics to talk to David Wilder about fragilities under the surface of the global economy. He discusses worldwide fiscal risks, why there's less to see with that US-China deal and those divisions on the FOMC. Also on the show, BYD and DeepSeek may be in the spotlight, but their rise reflects deeper structural flaws in China's economy. They're a sign of economic success, but also of the growing distortions in the government's industrial strategy – weaknesses that are increasingly evident in China's dismal productivity data. Chief Asia Economist Mark Williams has been delving into the details of Xi Jinping's industrial roadmap and the productivity data to tell David what this all says about China's economic outlook.Events and analysis referenced in this podcast:Read: China's push for innovation is not lifting productivityRoundtable: One year on: Is the UK government boosting growth?Read: Fed independence not a concern for markets, yetRead: APAC Commercial Property Outlook: Values to fall as region's markets struggle to recoverData: APAC Commercial Property

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, David Rosenberg. They discuss the equity market outlook, inflation, precious metals, the U.S. Dollar, and much more. https://bit.ly/3TJ6MLO  

As part of its exclusive series on the YouTube Ecosystem, Next in Media spoke with John Terrana, President, Americas at VaynerMedia, about why most clients aren't racing to lock up much inventory beyond sports this year, and the 'weirdo' spot YouTube still finds itself in.

Sean Brodrick, Editor of Wealth Megatrends and contributing analyst to Weiss Ratings Daily, joins us to review the macroeconomic market movers he is watching and he outlines why he is still bullish but holding off on adding to positions in gold, silver, and copper stocks, but that he has been adding to positions in dividend-paying oil stocks and rare earth stocks.   We start off looking at the financial macroeconomic factors coming back into focus this week and moving forward, now that some of the recent noise from geopolitics has faded back down.  He is not convinced in that the tariff implications are behind us, but believes the market is largely shrugging off the pause coming off of the reciprocal tariffs, and that it is likely that many of them just get pushed off further into the distance. He believes the large upcoming tax and spending bill in the US is going to mean more debt and deficits, which is a negative longer-term, but that the tax cuts are seen as a market boon because they will allow citizens to hang onto more of their own money, and thus those excess funds will find their way into the stocks markets.  Sean notes the continued weakness we've in the US long bond, US dollar, and business guidance through year end.   We discussed the fact that the gold price had surged higher in April, well before the geopolitical conflict even began between Iran and Israel, so there wasn't really any war premium to come out of the PMs, despite those recent narratives being spun. Sean noted that after seeing gold channeling sideways the last couple of months at historically very high levels, that it needed to rest. In a similar sense, after Silver broke up through long-term $35 resistance, and got up to hit $37 briefly, that it made sense for it to pull back down and retest the area of the breakout, and that this is healthy overall.   With regards to the precious metals equities, Sean is mostly holding onto the names that he and his subscribers have purchased over the last few months, but did sell his Equinox Gold Corp.(TSX: EQX) (NYSE American: EQX) position a few weeks back to free up some funds to be able to rotate down into more gold developers and silver stocks once he believes this current pullback has bottomed.   Next we shifted over to the steadily climbing copper price, noting that we've actually seen some life in the copper junior stocks, where (COPJ) has been outperforming (COPX) or (ICOP).   While he agreed this move higher in copper and the copper equities has been positive, and based on strong fundamental drivers, he's not that animated by investing in the copper juniors, and hasn't traditionally fared well in them.   Wrapping up, Sean did mention that he has been animated accumulating the better run intermediate oil stocks that pay good dividends even at current WTI oil prices, and specifically mentioned Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) as an example of the type of oil stock that has his attention.   We also discussed why he is bullish on rare earth stocks that have exposure to downstream processing and separation, and he highlighted why he likes MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP).   Click here to follow along with Sean's work at Weiss Ratings Daily and Wealth Megatrends   Click here to learn more about Resource Trader

Navigating Risk, Noise, and Uncertainty: Barry Ritholtz on Investing in a Volatile World   In my conversation with Barry Ritholtz, chairman of Ritholtz Wealth Management and host of Bloomberg's “Masters in Business” podcast, we explored market and real estate cycles, caution, and capital allocation in today's increasingly unpredictable economic environment. Below are the most actionable and provocative takeaways for real estate investors, both passive and professional, drawn from Barry's decades of lessons and market observations.   Origins of Insight: From Blog to Bloomberg Ritholtz didn't set out to run a multi-billion-dollar firm. What started as daily trading notes eventually evolved into a blog, a book, Bailout Nation, and a platform that positioned him to correctly call both the top and bottom of the 2008 financial crisis. This journey, grounded in curiosity and behavioral finance, shaped the contrarian and data-driven approach he still employs today.   "I just wanted to know why some people made money while others didn't doing the same thing."   The 2008 Playbook: Behavioral Edge Over Economic Models Ritholtz attributes his early warning of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) to non-traditional thinking and real estate roots (his mother was a real estate agent). Observing abnormal refinancing activity and "cash-out mania" led him to investigate securitized debt and derivative risk, well before it was mainstream.   He reverse-engineered risk from Reinhart & Rogoff's crisis research and famously predicted the Dow's decline to ~6,800—earning mockery initially, then vindication.   Echoes of 2008? Why This Time Feels Precarious While he stops short of predicting a crisis, Ritholtz allows for a 10–15% probability of a self-inflicted depression – a worst-case scenario rooted not in structural weakness, but political mismanagement.   “It [is an] asymmetrical risk to take one bullet, put it in a six shooter, spin the wheel, and put it up against your head with a $28 trillion economy.”   From tariffs to immigration policy to fiscal gamesmanship, Ritholtz sees signs that the U.S. may be eroding the long-standing trust that underpins reserve currency status and global capital flows.   Cash Isn't a Plan, Discipline Is When asked whether it makes sense to sit in cash and wait out the next downturn, Ritholtz counters with behavioral caution. Historically, those who “go to cash” rarely reenter at the right time and often miss the rebound entirely.   “If you're going to sit out in cash, do you have the temperament, the discipline to get back in?” Instead, he recommends building resilience: modest leverage, long-term focus, and capital efficiency – hallmarks of legends like Sam Zell, who Ritholtz holds up as a model of disciplined real estate investing.   A Word on Leverage: Use with Extreme Care High leverage is the common thread in stories of ruin. Ritholtz referenced the downfall of the Peloton CEO, who borrowed heavily against inflated stock. The same caution applies to over-leveraged real estate investors, especially those who haven't endured a full cycle.   “Market crashes are where capital returns to its rightful owners.”   For CRE sponsors, now is the time to refinance where possible, preserve cash, and maintain flexibility, even if that means lower IRR projections.   How to Filter the Noise: Create an Information Diet Ritholtz emphasized the need to tune out “financial candy from strangers” – the firehose of social media, Substacks, and hot takes by unvetted commentators.   “They don't know your zip code, your goals, your tax bracket. Why would you trust them?” He recommends identifying a shortlist of credible voices with defined, rational processes and a record of sound judgment. “Build your A-Team,” he advises. “Then ignore the rest.”   Real Estate Today: Not Monolithic, but Multifaceted Unlike equities, real estate behaves very differently depending on location, asset class, and capital structure. While some sectors (e.g., Class B office) remain distressed, others (e.g., data centers, multifamily in select markets, industrial) are faring relatively well.   “Literally, there are properties [Zell] held for half a century. He was long term… used modest amounts of leverage, and he bought great properties at even better prices.”   Ritholtz warns against painting real estate with a broad brush and urges nuanced thinking about cycles, risk-adjusted return, and operator quality.   Sentiment vs. Signals: What to Watch Now While he downplays the predictive power of investor sentiment, Ritholtz monitors: Three-month moving averages of non-farm payrolls Rounded tops in S&P earnings trends Residential real estate supply conditions in key metros Dollar strength (as a proxy for confidence and capital flows) “If the dollar keeps falling and supply starts rising in housing markets, it's time to pay attention.”   Dollar, Debt, and the Doomsayers Ritholtz is blunt about the debt debate. He finds most public discourse alarmist and often wrong. With the U.S. still enjoying reserve currency privileges, he sees no imminent collapse but warns against complacency.   “We've been hearing the deficit will destroy America for 50 years. It hasn't. But bad policy could.”   He is more concerned with underinvestment in infrastructure and human capital than with rising debt levels per se.   Closing Counsel for Investors For those sitting on fresh capital, say $1 million, Ritholtz advises: Clarify your goals (retirement, education, housing). Max out tax-advantaged accounts. Build a core of low-cost index exposure. Don't chase alpha before securing beta. Avoid overcomplexity: “Two dozen funds is not a portfolio.” His parting message? Discipline beats prediction. And humility is a superpower.   Final Thought “Everyone is faking it to some degree. The real danger isn't what you don't know – it's not knowing what you don't know.”   In an age of volatility and noise, Ritholtz's framework stands out: stay informed, stay skeptical, and invest like risk is real – because it is.   *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing.   With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection.    Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000

Marc Stacey, Senior Portfolio Manager for Investment Grade, and Mike Reed, Head of Global Financial Institutions, discuss ongoing market uncertainty, the end of US exceptionalism and how European banks have been on a positive trajectory from a fundamentals perspective in recent years. They also highlight how investment grade companies are likely to be impacted by the current environment and what this means for the team's investment opportunities.

After Israel and Iran agreed to stop fighting, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing and Chief Climate and Commodities Economist David Oxley are on this special episode of the Weekly Briefing to discuss what follows, including why oil prices are set to remain under pressure as the market attention shifts back to fundamentals, and the impact of other notable uncertainties such as the fiscal bill making its way through Congress and the looming expirations of Trump's tariff pauses.Analysis referenced in this episodeOil market fundamentals snap back into focusCommodities Outlook: Instability and tariffs cloud otherwise bearish outlookIsrael-Iran and economic risk in a world of radical uncertainty

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl is a senior vice president and the senior advisor to President Lorie Logan of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Sam returns to the show to discuss recent macroeconomic conferences in the context of changes in the Treasury market and with central bank operating systems around the globe. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 27th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Bumper 00:00:20 - Intro 00:01:19 - Monetary Policy Conferences 00:03:15 - Role of Nonbank Institutions in the Treasury and Money Markets 00:07:48 - Central Clearing 00:33:19 - Operating Systems in Central Banks 00:49:52 - Outro

What's going to happen in this Middle East crisis? The fact that no one knows is the key point for investors grappling with an exceptionally fluid situation.In this week's podcast, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explores the scenarios we've outlined so clients can assess how the Israel-Iran conflict could unfold. He also draws a distinction between risk and uncertainty – a critical distinction that matters when trying to understand the implications of global crises like this one.Jonas Goltermann, our Deputy Chief Markets Economist, joins to explain how markets have been reacting and what kind of volatility to expect as decisions near on US involvement in Israeli strikes, the imposition of ‘Liberation Day' tariffs, and a crucial vote on US tax cuts in the Senate.Also in this episode, Kiran Raichura, our Chief Commercial Real Estate Economist, previews our new Asia-Pacific CRE coverage, explains why we're expanding now, what clients can expect, and what our early analysis says about the region's investment recovery.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: Mapping out Israel-Iran conflict scenariosKey Issue: Iran-Israel conflictDrop-In: Russia's rising macro and market risks as war drags onRoundtable: Opportunities and risks in the shadow of US trade protectionism

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jeff Currie. They'll discuss what Jeff calls the “New Joule Order” and why Jeff says there's really no limit to how much higher the price of Gold can go given the current macro backdrop. https://bit.ly/4na3hvu  

Following Israeli strikes against Iranian nuclear and military targets, and Iranian counterstrikes, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing lays out what investors should be watching for across macro and markets. Among other issues, Neil also explains:Why – as things stand – this situation shouldn't influence the Fed meeting in the coming week;  What the latest inflation data signal about how tariffs are working their way through the global economy; Whether a 'shadow' Fed chairman would tackle Donald Trump's problems with the current incumbent What to make of the past week's round of US-China talks in London.Also on the show, Commodities Economist Hamad Hussain talks about China's stranglehold on global rare earths supply, how the demand picture will change in the wake of the latest US-China agreement and why Western governments haven't done more to find alternatives to Chinese sellers. Events and analysis referenced in this episode:The Israel-Iran escalation and global marketsIsrael's strikes on Iran: assessing the macro impactDrop-In: Israel-Iran military strikes – Assessing the global economic implicationsFiring Powell would just be the beginning of the Fed's endLimited US-China “deal” suggests ambitions are lowRare earths “deal” won't be the final wordCapital Economics Events

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rory Johnston. They'll discuss Rory's view that the WTI forward curve has taken an unprecedented and bizarre shape, and much more. https://bit.ly/4jSlHOz  

Mohnish Pabrai's Sessions at University of Nebraska Omaha on May 2, 2025 and Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing at Columbia Business School on March 25, 2025. (00:00:00) - Introduction (00:02:20) - Walmart vs The Nifty-Fifty (00:05:18) - Berkshire's 12 best decisions in 58 years; Ajit Jain (00:08:05) - Nick Sleep (00:12:06) - Learning from mistakes; Ferrari & Frontline (00:13:30) - Rules of becoming rich (00:16:15) - Walmart & the Walton Family (00:17:51) - Microsoft; Steve Balmer (00:23:21) - Coca-Cola (00:25:32) - Evolution of strategies (00:26:52) - Investment checklist  (00:30:36) - Circle of competence (00:33:28) - Macroeconomic factors; Saudi Aramco & Ferrari (00:40:47) - Learnings from Warren and Charlie (00:43:02) - Golf vs. Investing (00:44:50) - Identifying opportunities; Moody's Manual and The Japan Company Handbook (00:50:33) - Duan Yongping: Oppo & Vivo (00:53:53) - Economic moats (00:55:51) - Impact of leverage; The Founder's Podcast: IKEA (00:58:51) - Capitalism in investing; Amazon (01:00:33) - Value investing for technology businesses: Amazon (01:05:40) - Index investing (01:07:38) - Microsoft vs. Apple; Bill Gates (01:13:01) - When to exit an investment (01:19:31) - Selecting a stock (01:20:41) - Circle of competence; John Arrillaga (01:23:50) - Investing in Turkiye; Reysas & TAV Airports (01:28:02) - Investing in coal businesses (01:31:58) - You can identify great businesses only after you own them (01:33:42) - Portfolio concentration (01:39:26) - Investing is watching the paint dry (01:42:17) - Coca-Cola; Hetty Green from The Founder's podcast (01:47:36) - Hedging an investment (01:48:45) - Investing in commodities  The contents of this website are for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not purport to be, and are not intended to be, financial, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice. Investments or strategies that are discussed may not be suitable for you, do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and are not intended to provide investment advice or recommendations appropriate for you. Before making any investment or trade, consider whether it is suitable for you and consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

James Kostohryz returns to discuss the multiple economic shocks that might still hit the economy in 2025 (1:40). High inflation expectations, Fed pressure, and interest rates (13:40). Allocation ideas for a recession (19:35). Elon Musk, escalating debt, and the big, beautiful bill (28:10). Israel, Iran, and oil (45:35). What's driving Bitcoin surge (58:40).Show Notes:Will War Trigger A Bear Market And Spike In Oil?Will Macroeconomic Shocks Lead To Business Cycle Recession?Is Elon Musk Right About A US Debt Crisis?CPI inflation comes in softer than expected in MayEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Join Senior Vice President of Investment Research Andrew Korz and Investment Research Associate Alan Flanigan as they explore what the latest developments in tax reform, trade policy and fiscal policy mean for the U.S. fiscal outlook and economy. They dive into the latest edition of Mapping the markets and provide clarity on what it means for investors.Mapping the markets: Q2 2025 Is private credit a bubble?Private credit: Steady performance through market cyclesHave a question for our experts? Text us for a chance to have your questions answered on the next episode.To watch the video version, go to https://www.youtube.com/@FSInvestments For more research insights go to FSInvestments.com https://bit.ly/m/fsinvestments

Sharon Parrott, President of CBPP joins the Inside Economics team to consider the big package of tax and government spending provisions making its way through the legislative process. She explains why she's not a fan, from its implications for the nation's already dire fiscal situation to its hit to programs benefitting lower-income Americans, such as Medicaid and food assistance.Guests: Sharon Parrot - President of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and Justin Begley - Economist and U.S. fiscal policy SME, Moody's Analytics  Additional resources from Center on Budget and Policy PrioritiesBy the Numbers: House Bill Takes Health Coverage Away From Millions of People and Raises Families' Health Care Costs2025 Budget Impacts: House Bill Would Cut Assistance for Children, Raise Costs for FamiliesHouse Republican Reconciliation Bill Would Hard Rural Households, Communities, and Economies Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

 Peter Conti-Brown is a historian and legal scholar of the Federal Reserve System, and an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Sean Vanatta is a senior lecturer in financial history and policy at the University of Glasgow. Peter and Sean join the show to discuss their new book titled: Private Finance, Public Power: A History of Bank Supervision in America, as well as how powerlifting can be analogized in macroeconomics, and the implications of Trump v. Wilcox. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 27th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:02 - Powerlifting 00:06:17 - Trump v. Wilcox 00:12:27 - Private Finance, Public Power 00:15:18 - Supervision vs. Regulation 00:22:52 - Banking in the Early Republic 00:36:10 - Consolidation of Regulators 00:41:06 - Focus of the Fed 00:45:00 - The Great Depression 00:56:10 - When to Let a Bank Fail 01:02:47 - Outro

Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing unpacks the latest data to assess the impact of Donald Trump's tariffs, including signs that the effects of tariff front-running are now unwinding. He also discusses how businesses are navigating the ongoing uncertainty and why the Bank of England is trailing the ECB in cutting interest rates.Also on the show, Senior Economic Adviser Vicky Redwood explores what NATO's proposed push to raise defence spending to 5% of GDP could mean for economic growth, and the fiscal constraints that may stand in the way. Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: A European defence revolution?Read: Will defence spending turbocharge economic growth?Drop-In: India Outlook – Can the economy and markets continue to outperform through 2025?Drop-In: How the UK's economic backdrop is shaping its fiscal choicesCapital Economics Awards

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Vincent Deluard. They'll discuss why Vincent says recessions have been cancelled by monetary policy, and what he sees on the horizon for asset markets. https://bit.ly/43OuZVM

George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus at the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute, as well as the author of the new book titled False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947. George returns to the show to discuss the complicated economic history of the Great Depression, how that history has led us to the macro-events of 2008, 2010, and 2020, how we can apply lessons from the Great Depression to macroeconomic policy to the current moment, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 13th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Follow George on X: @GeorgeSelgin Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:00:25 - Welcoming George Selgin and False Dawn 00:03:25 - Why Another Book on the Great Depression? 00:06:37 - The New Deal's Role in Recovery from the Great Depression 00:08:50 - Myths About the New Deal Overview of the Great Depression 00:12:30 - Measuring Unemployment 00:16:42 - The Gold Standard and the Great Depression 00:27:05 - Helpful: Suspension of the Gold Standard and the Bank Holiday 00:35:47 - Unhelpful: Reconstruction Finance Corporation 00:38:02 - Helpful: Creation of the Home Owners Loan Corporation 00:42:31 - Unhelpful: The National Recovery Administration 00:48:42 - Unhelpful: Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Ignoring Keynes 00:57:17 - Lessons for Today: Uncertainty 01:00:56 - The Lesson of Level Targeting 01:06:42 - Breaching Contracts 01:11:40 - Outro

The Inside Economics crew talks about the latest tariff news, as well as the reconciliation bill making its way through Congress and the long-term macroeconomic consequences of the bill. Mark gives some rules of thumb about the tariff impact on inflation, as well as the debt-to-GDP ratio and long-term bond yields. Finally, the team answers several listener questions and plays the stats game.Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mike Green. They'll discuss the tariffs, what they're really being used for, and why Mike says the President is contradicting himself every time he talks about them. https://bit.ly/4kINH8c

Given the new administration's tariff policy and the global unease we've seen in recent months, we felt it was a good time to pick the brain of someone who's spent decades studying China's economy and its evolving relationship with the United States.Andy Rothman is the founder and CEO of Sinology, a consulting firm that provides advice to institutional investors and companies on the opportunities and risks presented by China's economy and on the impact of changes in US China relations. Previously, Andy spent 11 years working as China strategist for Matthews Asia, one of the largest active US based investors in China's equity markets. That comes after a 17-year China-focused career as US foreign service officer that included serving as the Taiwan desk officer at the State Department in the mid-nineties, and serving as head of the Macroeconomics and Domestic Policy Office at the American Embassy in Beijing.  Andy shares his thoughts on the current trade dispute and the economic situation within China, and discusses what he's heard from Chinese business people and political officials during recent visits to the country.  Highlights:Andy's history with China (1:57)The situation within China (4:08)Exports vs. domestic demand (7:09)Where negotiations go from here (8:41)Supply chain impacts (11:29)The tech race (13:33)Taiwan (14:48)Consumer sentiment in China (16:40)China's demographic challenges (20:07)China's capital markets (21:19)Planning for the future (22:45) Links:Andy Rothman LinkedInSinology WebsiteICR LinkedInICR TwitterICR Website Feedback:If you have questions about the show, or have a topic in mind you'd like discussed in future episodes, email our producer, marion@lowerstreet.co.

Daniel Bunn is the president and CEO of the Tax Foundation. In Daniel's first appearance on the show, he discusses the history of tax models, the threat that tariffs make to the US economy, where we currently stand with budget reconciliation, how he would fix the tax code if he was president, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 2nd, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Follow Daniel on X: @DanielBunn Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:01:01) – Daniel's Background and the Tax Foundation (00:03:35) – Tax Foundation's Model (00:7:38) – History of Tax Models (00:14:26) – Fiscal Condition of the United States (00:19:24) – Tariffs and Revenue (00:35:55) – Budget Resolution (00:45:43) – Daniel's Proposed Solutions (00:49:10) – Outro

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss why Jim believes we're at the “end of the beginning” — a phrase he uses to describe the evolution of Trump-era economic policies. While the initial phase, dominated by tariff strategies, may be winding down, Jim warns that this is just the opening act. https://bit.ly/3Zw8Bip 

Luca Fornaro is a senior researcher at CREI and professor at both UPF and the Barcelona School of Economics. In Luca's first appearance on the show, he discusses his expansive work on, hysteresis, stagnation traps, endogenous growth, aggregate demand policies, the medium run, population growth and much more.  Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on April 23th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Follow Luca on X: @LucaFornaro3 Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:00:51) – Luca's Background (00:03:19) – Hysteresis (00:7:23) – Why Talk About Hysteresis Now? (00:10:55) – Stagnation Trap (00:16:07) – The Medium Run (00:22:25) – Managing Expectations with Automatic Stabilizers (00:28:48) – What About Population Growth? (00:31:47) – The Empirical Side (00:39:24) – Directing Capital Flows (00:42:30) – The Scars of Supply Shocks (00:48:57) – The Nominal GDP Targeting Solution (00:51:28) – Fiscal Stagnation (00:59:21) – Outro

Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the pause on some tariffs and the impact on the equities market. Then, Kathy interviews Cooper Howard about the features of municipal bonds in the current landscape. They explore the implications of federal funding on state and local governments and the challenges faced by higher-education institutions. The discussion also covers practical investment strategies for municipal bonds, including the importance of credit quality, diversification, and the considerations for investing in state versus in out-of-state bonds.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresInvestors should consider carefully information contained in the prospectus, or if available, the summary prospectus, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. You can request a prospectus by calling 800-435-4000. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see Schwab.com/IndexDefinition.Futures and futures options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options prior to trading futures products.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.A bond ladder, depending on the types and amount of securities within the ladder, may not ensure adequate diversification of your investment portfolio. This potential lack of diversification may result in heightened volatility of the value of your portfolio.  As compared to other fixed income products and strategies, engaging in a bond ladder strategy may potentially result in future reinvestment at lower interest rates and may necessitate higher minimum investments to maintain cost-effectiveness. Evaluate whether a bond ladder and the securities held within it are consistent with your investment objective, risk tolerance and financial circumstances.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Tax-exempt bonds are not necessarily a suitable investment for all persons. Information related to a security's tax-exempt status (federal and in-state) is obtained from third parties, and Schwab does not guarantee its accuracy. Tax-exempt income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Capital appreciation from bond funds and discounted bonds may be subject to state or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income tax.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0525-WDSP)

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They will discuss the Trump tariffs, what they mean for markets, China, precious metals, and more. https://bit.ly/43nwN7Z

Adam Ozimek is the Chief Economist at the Economic Innovation Group. Adam returns to the show to discuss the importance of reforming the high-skilled immigration process, the main bottlenecks with our current green card system, the glory days of economics blogging, how to revitalize the American heartland, Trump's current trade war, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on April 15th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Follow Adam on X: @ModeledBehavior Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:00:50) – Blogging Days (00:02:33) – How to Fix High-Skilled Immigration (00:27:08) – Busting the Myths (00:33:58) – Additional Parts of Adam's Immigration Proposal (00:40:13) – Trump's Trade War (00:58:25) – Outro

Mohnish Pabrai's Talk with Shaan Puri at the My First Million podcast on March 27, 2025. (00:00:00) - Introduction (00:00:28) - Why the small investor has an advantage (00:02:51) - Investing $10K to make $1 Million (00:08:16) - Frontline (00:17:13) - Berkshire's 12 great decisions in 58 years (00:18:34) - Buffett's selection process: Moody's Manual (00:23:38) - Value Investor's Club (00:27:33) - The Japan Company Handbook (00:28:46) - Berkshire's investment in Japan (00:36:13) - Thou shall not use Excel (00:40:26) - Leverage: Rick Guerin (00:49:00) - Do not cut the flowers to water the weeds (00:51:21) - Costco (00:56:38) - My interactions with Charlie Munger & Warren Buffett (00:58:23) - Risk vs. Uncertainty (01:00:16) - Coca-Cola Icecek (01:01:42) - Warren's “Too Hard Pile” (01:03:01) - Circle of Competence: John Arrillaga (01:07:03) - Sam Walton: Walmart and Sol Price (01:12:18) - A power nap is good for productivity (01:15:39) - My owner's manual (01:21:52) - The Dakshana Foundation: A mathematical game (01:23:53) - Super 30: Model cloned by Dakshana (01:28:53) - Large inheritances cause more harm than good (01:31:35) - Mohnish's Blackjack System (01:37:46) - Michael Burry (01:41:21) - Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: Titan Industries (01:44:26) - Starting early to lengthen your runway (01:47:02) - Macroeconomic factors (01:47:37) - AI in investing The contents of this website are for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not purport to be, and are not intended to be, financial, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice. Investments or strategies that are discussed may not be suitable for you, do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and are not intended to provide investment advice or recommendations appropriate for you. Before making any investment or trade, consider whether it is suitable for you and consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

As difficult as it is to get a handle on the chaos and confusion of Trump's shifting policies, we continue to ask wise friends for their perspective. This week Steve is speaking with Australian economist Bill Mitchell, a founder of MMT and a regular guest of this podcast. Bill helps us unpack the capitalist contradictions driving global instability. Steve asks if we should be looking at Trump's actions as a continuation of the neoliberal trajectory as described in Bill's book, Reclaiming the State. Bill replies that he doesn't even see it as a natural extension of neoliberalism:“Neoliberalism is about co-opting the state to pursue advantage for selected groups in the society, the top end of town, as I call them. So there's an element of that, but there's sort of a deep irrationality going on here. Neoliberalism is a systematic, contrived pattern of behavior and strategy, whereas it's hard to assess whether there is anything systematic and strategic going on here.”Bill elaborates on the irrational policy decisions like tariffs and their failure to revive American manufacturing, as well as the repercussions of reduced public investment in education and infrastructure. He talks about international reactions and global repercussions. He and Steve also critique the role of social media and the dangerous effects of the dominant ideological bias. Bill suggests that the disillusionment with traditional political parties is driving many towards reactionary extremism. They discuss the severe decline in education and the move to control universities through ideological audits.Bill Mitchell is a Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at the University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia. His most recent books are Modern Monetary Theory: BIll and Warren's Excellent Adventure, co-authored with Warren Mosler (2024), and the Modern Monetary Theory textbook, Macroeconomics, co-authored with L. Randall Wray and Martin Watts (2019).Follow Bill's work at https://billmitchell.org/blog/

In this high-energy episode, Steven Lubka joins Swan Signal Live to discuss the resurgence of Bitcoin, macroeconomic shifts, and the rise of vibes-driven investing. Bitcoin surged over 30% in the past month, breaking above $103K amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions and a “wait and see” stance from the Federal Reserve. Lubka and the hosts break down how Bitcoin is thriving as both a risk-on asset and a safe haven in a volatile economic environment.They explore the emergence of leveraged Bitcoin equities — with companies like 21.co, Strive, and BTC Inc. launching MicroStrategy-style acquisition vehicles. Michael Saylor's use of AI for novel financial instruments, including perpetual dividend products, is also highlighted.State-level Bitcoin adoption accelerates: New Hampshire authorizes a strategic Bitcoin reserve (up to 5% of state funds), Missouri eliminates state capital gains tax (including for Bitcoin), and Arizona passes limited digital asset legislation. Light-hearted moments include celebrating a Villanova grad becoming the new Pope, and Steak ‘n Shake preparing to accept Bitcoin payments.From market analysis to memes and sunlight-fueled asset management, the show delivers sharp insights with signature Swan humor and energy.Macro Environment UpdateBitcoin up over 30% in 30 days, now above $103K.Fed adopts a “wait and see” stance amid tariffs and economic uncertainty.Signs of de-escalation in US-China trade tensions and emerging UK trade deals.The market is reacting positively, with Bitcoin outpacing the S&P 500.Bitcoin as Dual-Threat AssetSteven highlights Bitcoin's unique position as both a risk-on growth asset and a hedge against economic upheaval.Bitcoin's performance decoupling from traditional equities is becoming more visible.Rise of Leveraged Bitcoin EquitiesSeveral entities (e.g., Strive, 21.co, BTC Inc.) launching MicroStrategy-style SPACs and Bitcoin acquisition vehicles.Michael Saylor's innovative use of AI for financial engineering detailed in a behind-the-scenes segment.Strategic Bitcoin Reserve AdoptionNew Hampshire becomes the first U.S. state to authorize a Bitcoin strategic reserve (up to 5% of state funds).Missouri scraps state capital gains tax (including on Bitcoin).Arizona's weaker digital assets fund legislation discussed.Fun & CultureCelebration of a Villanova grad becoming Pope.Steak 'n Shake to accept Bitcoin — potential next corporate treasury candidate?JD Vance announced as speaker at the Bitcoin 2025 Vegas conference.Steven Lubka's upcoming panel: “Bitcoin's Intersection of Health, Wealth, and Sunlight”. Start buying your first Bitcoin in just minutes. Search "Swan Bitcoin" in your app store or visit swan.com/app. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Anas Alhajji to the show to discuss OPEC+ production increase & market reactions, Trump's visit and oil politics, and the long-term outlook for oil and LNG  & much more. https://bit.ly/43ldvBg What Do Saudi Arabia & Allies in OPEC+ Want from Accelerating the Unwinding of Voluntary Cuts? - Anas Alhajji   

Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America. Skanda returns to the show to discuss the standing of Humphrey's Executor, the prospects for the Fed's Framework Review, the case for NGDP Targeting, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on April 16th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Follow Skanda on X: @IrvingSwisher Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:02:01) – Humphrey's Executor (00:12:35) – The Fed's Framework Review (00:37:18) – Fed's Communication (00:47:36) – Productivity (00:59:07) – Outro

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Luke Gromen. They'll discuss the market's Trump Tariff Tantrum, as Luke makes the bold case that President Trump could realistically raise enough tariff revenue to exempt the bottom 90% from federal income tax. https://bit.ly/3EOiD7t  

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They'll discuss cyclicality of credit markets, why we should think of them as a refinancing system rather than a credit origination system, and what can be learned by taking this street-smart approach to credit market analysis. https://bit.ly/42F9PsA

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Daniel Lacalle. They'll discuss Trump Tariffs as the European investment community sees them, and discuss whether this is the dawn of a new age in terms of monetary and economic policy cooperation between the United States and Europe. https://bit.ly/43XhGUI