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:bulb:Get Alexis and Jon's great insights one-on-one with a free review of your portfolio. Go to https://www.wealthion.com/free and select OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners on the form. This week on Rise UP!, Rise Growth Managing Partner Terri Kallsen is joined by Alexis Miller, Director of Investment Research & Alternative Investments, and Jon Betlow, Partner & Wealth Advisor, at OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, to break down the biggest stories shaping markets and portfolios right now. With PPI down but CPI still sticky, mortgage rates falling to an 11-month low, and U.S. retail sales and housing starts data on deck, Alexis and Jon unpack what this all means for inflation, the Fed's next move at the FOMC meeting next week, and your financial plan. They also tackle an increasingly common challenge: parents helping their adult children financially — from rent and student loans to down payments — and how to balance generosity today with securing your retirement and legacy. #RiseUP #Wealthion #Investing #Inflation #MortgageRates #FedRateCut #FinancialPlanning #Retirement #EstatePlanning #AlternativeInvestments #Markets #ParentingAndMoney #Wealth #Finance Chapters: 2:01 - This Week's Market Recap 3:35 - PPI & CPI for August Show a Divergence 6:45 - Weak Jobs, High Inflation… What Does This Mean for Fed Policy? 9:43 - Mortgage Demand in the US Spikes as Rates Fall 12:57 - An New Emerging Reality: Supporting Adult Children 15:01 - With Adult Children, How Should We Approach Estate Planning? 17:37 - Investment Strategies to Balance Supporting Grown Kids & Your Own Security 20:13 - How Can Young Parents Prepare to Help Support Children in the Future 21:50 - September FOMC Meeting: What to Expect 22:59 - US Retail Sales & Consumer Strength 24:15 - Housing Starts—How It Ties into the Broader Inflation Picture 25:19 - Concluding Thoughts ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, Anthony and Piers unpack a week of upside surprises, from inflation data clearing the path for Fed rate cuts to Oracle's shock $455 billion order book and the tech rally pushing markets to fresh highs.They question whether Wall Street's S&P 500 forecasts are still too cautious, explore why Klarna's IPO success might reignite deal flow, and dissect the $53 billion Anglo-Teck copper merger. More than just a headline deal, it's a masterclass in corporate defense, streamlining portfolios, leaning into future-facing assets like copper, and turning defense into offense with smart, strategic M&A.(00:00) Market Overview & Outlook(02:38) Inflation Data & Fed Policy(05:35) Tech Stocks & Performance(08:27) Oracle Earnings & AI(11:01) Musk's $1T Pay Package(14:11) Analyst Calls & Forecasts(16:47) Banks & Deal Flow(19:35) Klarna IPO & Markets(22:38) Anglo-Teck Merger
In this episode, we talk a lot about the job market, which is anything but hot, and its implications for the Fed, which is under pressure. All of the below tend to support President Trump's criticism of Powell being “too late”: weakening job growth this summer (only +22k jobs in August, mostly in health care). likelihood of significant negative revisions this week. unemployment that would be over 5% if not for lower labor force participation. Although unemployment is not an issue (yet), the risk in the labor market is a dearth of new jobs, with the odds of finding a job if you lose on today only 45%, the lowest level in over 12 years. We believe that AI is having an outsized effect on job openings, especially at the entry level. All of these factors, along with a shift away from a focus on inflation by the Fed, support the market's consensus view of a rate cut being on tap for next week, with two or three more likely to follow in quick succession. Historically, this has been a positive for equity markets if (and that is a big if) a recession can be avoided. the Fed has cut rates after an extended pause (like the one we are in now) eight times in the last forty years; four times we avoided a recession, and markets gained, on average, around 15%. the other four times, we entered a recession, with markets typically experiencing a 10-15% drawdown. Although there are some parallels between now and the late 1990s, valuations are not quite as stretched at the top, with the median P/E of the top 10 stocks around 31x versus a 41x multiple in 1999. However, investor allocation to equites is now at 55%, above its prior peak in 1999. We also discuss the reasons why, despite Fed rate cuts, the all important 10-year yield may not cooperate. Chief among these are the lagged impact of tariffs on prices and the relatively high (and growing) level of U.S. government debt. Will the U.S. be forced to suppress yields a la the bank of Japan in order to unlock the housing market, and is that what is causing tempers to flare between members of the administration? Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the jobs report and what it could mean for Fed policy on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
Connect with Early Riders // Connect with OnrampPresented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering the underlying mechanics of the bitcoin protocol, its ongoing development and funding, and real-world applications of the technology.00:00 - Introduction and Market Overview01:52 - Blockchain and Government Data Confusion05:52 - The Rise of Prediction Markets10:01 - Trump Media and Digital Assets13:23 - Fed Policy and the Dollar's Reserve Status19:36 - The Shift Towards Hard Assets25:17 - The Future of Investment Strategies32:14 - Career Risk and Market Dynamics34:45 - The Mortgage Crisis and Real Estate Liquidity36:15 - The Rise of ETFs and Financialization39:41 - The Challenge of Outperforming Benchmarks42:40 - The Importance of Small Allocations in Crypto46:01 - The Role of Incentives in Financial Products48:43 - CFTC's New Advisory on Offshore Exchanges54:38 - Institutional Investors and the Crypto DilemmaIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.Links discussed:https://archive.ph/XFfSehttps://www.theblock.co/post/368295/trump-media-crypto-com-cro-token-treasury-fundinghttps://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/trump-family-amasses-6-billion-fortune-after-crypto-launchEktBp6GuTDvqhf3MZXIVFYfFFqAJd0Ov4pUL42sn7RDX-1hGRmECPS8DlqSLw%3D%3Dhttps://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962235795622035767https://x.com/elerianm/status/1962275798619914297https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962532572015001630https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-removing-federal-reserve-governor-lisa-cook-rcna227138https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/us-etfs-eclipse-total-number-of-stocks-in-paradox-of-choice-for-investors?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=emailhttps://x.com/LukeGromen/status/1958522779331961319https://cryptobriefing.com/offshore-crypto-trading-cftc-guidance/https://x.com/LukeGromen/status/1959631878547259400https://stanfordreview.org/uchicago-lost-money-on-crypto-then-froze-research-when-federal-funding-was-cut/Keep up with Michael: https://x.com/MTangumahttps://www.linkedin.com/in/mtanguma/Keep up with Brian: https://x.com/BackslashBTChttps://www.linkedin.com/in/brian-cubellis-00b1a660/Keep up with Liam: https://x.com/Lnelson_21https://www.linkedin.com/in/liam-nelson1/
Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, a Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi dissect the RBA's recent rate cut and its ripple effects on housing, productivity, and fiscal policy, before turning to the US where Trump's tariffs, Fed easing, and central bank independence dominate the debate; rounding out with a deep dive into the hunt for yield, we compare hybrids, bonds, and equities, stressing the trade-offs between risk, return, and the often-underestimated value of liquidity. This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. Whilst we believe that the information discussed in the podcast is correct, no warranty or representation is given to this effect, and listeners should not rely on this information when making any decisions. No responsibility can be accepted by CCII to any end users for any action taken on the basis of this information. Any performance data presented on this site is pre-fees for institutional clients that negotiate custom fee rates, and these solutions are not available to retail investors. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken without first seeking qualified and professional advice. CCII may have a financial interest in any assets discussed during the podcast. Listeners in Australia are encouraged to visit ASIC's MoneySmart website to obtain information regarding financial advice and investments.
8/30/25 - Three Items Share The Top Spot: The Economy / Fed Policy / Trump-Cook Battle Host Doug Stephan along with Michael Harrison, Editor/Publisher of Talkers Magazine, review the most talked about stories and people on news/talk radio for the week of August 25th, 2025 through August 29th, 2025. Compiled by the research department at Talkers Magazine - The Bible of Talk Radio and the New Talk Media - www.talkers.comSTORIES The Economy / Fed Policy / Trump-Cook BattleTariffs on IndiaTroops in DC / Union Station TakeoverDeadly Minneapolis School ShootingRedistrictingCDC Director Firing / COVID ShotsICE Raids / Abrego Garcia CaseBolton RaidRussia-Ukraine War / Israel's Gaza AttacksKelce-Swift EngagementPEOPLE Donald TrumpJerome Powell / Lisa CookMuriel BowserStephen MillerPam BondiGreg Abbott / Gavin NewsomSusan MonarezKilmar Abrego GarciaJohn BoltonTravis Kelce-Taylor Swift
Mortgage rate cuts are back on the table — but will they actually help buyers, or just push prices higher? In this week's Texas Real Estate & Finance Podcast, Mike Mills breaks down the Fed's latest signals, housing market shifts, and the AI tools Realtors can use to stay ahead. If you're a Realtor navigating 2025 chaos, this one's for you.Episode OverviewThe Mortgage Rate Cut Outlook 2025 is finally shifting, but what does it actually mean for Realtors, buyers, and sellers? In this episode, Mike Mills dives into the Fed's Jackson Hole updates, Texas housing market stats, and the impact of inflation vs. jobs data. Realtors will learn:Why mortgage rates don't always follow Fed cutsHow to frame buyer conversations around payments, not headlinesWhy sellers should price right in the first two weeksHow AI workflows can turn client interviews into personalized marketingIf you've been asking: “How can Realtors prepare clients for rate cuts?” or “What mortgage strategies still work in 2025?” — this episode has the answers.Key Takeaways1. Mortgage Rate Cut Outlook Is ComplexThe Fed may cut rates in September 2025, but mortgage rates don't always move in lockstep with Fed policy. Realtors must educate clients that affordability depends on both rates and home prices, not just one headline.2. Buyer Concessions Beat Price CutsA $10,000 price cut lowers a payment by just $65/month, but $10,000 in concessions saves real cash today. Realtors should coach buyers to negotiate concessions rather than chasing small monthly savings.3. Sellers Must Price Smart EarlyThe first two weeks on market are critical. Overpricing leads to stagnation, price cuts, and lowball offers, while sharp pricing sparks competition and higher final sales. Realtors must guide sellers to hit the market aggressively.4. Texas Housing Market Is SplinteredDFW is sliding, Houston is holding strong, Austin is still 17% below its peak, and San Antonio is affordable but cutting prices. Realtors need to tailor strategies to each local market instead of following national headlines.5. AI Can Personalize Client ExperiencesRecording and transcribing the first buyer/seller meeting allows Realtors to use AI (ChatGPT, NotebookLM) to generate presentations, follow-ups, and long-term profiles. For less than $50/month, Realtors can automate personalization like a Fortune 500 marketer.
The Best 30 minutes in real estate news - Weekly!In this episode Steve Kaempf and Matt Lombardi break down Jerome Powell's recent Federal Reserve remarks, discussing interest rate cuts, economic uncertainty, and the real estate market's slowdown. They also cover NAR's legal battles, mortgage rate trends, and local market updates for Chicago and Wisconsin, offering expert insights for real estate professionals.Podcast Introduction (00:00:00)Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Remarks (00:01:13)Hints at Interest Rate Cuts (00:02:09)Economic Outlook and Stagflation Explained (00:03:36)Market Reaction to Powell's Comments (00:05:01)Tariffs and Inflation Uncertainty (00:07:03)Federal Reserve Policy Framework Review (00:07:47)Powell's Closing Notes and September Rate Cut Predictions (00:09:00)NAR Mandatory Membership Legal Battles (00:09:59)Potential Impact of NAR Appeals (00:11:18)Summer Home Sales Slowdown (00:12:25)Discounts, Bidding Wars, and Market Variability (00:14:22)Psychological Impact of Fed Policy on Real Estate (00:15:48)NAR Leadership Summit Highlights (00:17:04)NAR's Three-Year Strategic Plan (00:19:00)Improving Member Benefits and Engagement (00:20:18)Mortgage Rate Snapshot (00:22:40)Existing Home Sales Update (00:23:26)New Home Sales and Inventory (00:25:02)Chicago Metro Area Real Estate Stats (00:27:04)Wisconsin Real Estate Market Update (00:28:28)Chicago Cubs and Bears Sports Segment (00:29:22)Podcast Announcements and Closing (00:30:50)Full episodes available at www.peoplenottitles.comPeople, Not Titles podcast is hosted by Steve Kaempf and is dedicated to lifting up professionals in the real estate and business community. Our inspiration is to highlight success principles of our colleagues.Our Success Series covers principles of success to help your thrive!www.peoplenottitles.comIG - https://www.instagram.com/peoplenotti...FB - https://www.facebook.com/peoplenottitlesTwitter - https://twitter.com/sjkaempfSpotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/1uu5kTv...
Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell's hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell's capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed's coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell's Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump's Pressure and Powell's “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin's Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel's 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Boll & Branch: https://bollandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
What happens when AI-driven workflows, tariff pressures, and shifting B2B buyer expectations collide?In this episode of Around the Horn in Wholesale Distribution, Kevin Brown and Tom Burton explore the trends redefining distribution: from AI co-pilots for sales and customer intelligence platforms to Fed rate cuts, tariff extensions, and the rise of Millennial and Gen Z buyers. You'll learn why reframing CRM as a Customer Enablement Tool is critical, and how distributors can prepare for agentic AI, semantic clarity in marketing, and seismic shifts in buying behavior.What You'll Learn:Why LeadSmart Channel Cloud™ represents the next evolution of CRM for distributorsHow to prepare for agentic AI workflows by aligning data and processesThe economic outlook from Jackson Hole: what interest rate cuts could mean for growthWhy tariff extensions create a window to future-proof supply chainsThe new rules of B2B buying, 8.2 stakeholders, rep-free preferences, and the dominance of social proofEpisode Highlights:04:10 – How LeadSmart Channel Cloud™ reframes CRM as a Customer Enablement Tool 13:45 – Breaking down Powell's Jackson Hole speech and the debate over a 3% inflation target 24:05 – Tariffs hit the highest level since 1934—and what it means for supply chain resilience 33:28 – Why B2B lags behind B2C in adopting agentic AI workflows 44:12 – Build vs. buy: navigating low-code tools versus industry-specific platforms 55:40 – AI in the workplace: why 40% of employees admit to using banned tools 01:04:55 – How Millennials and Gen Z are reshaping B2B buying groups 01:20:25 – Closing reflections on resilience, innovation, and AI policy in distributionTools, Frameworks, or Strategies MentionedLeadSmart Channel Cloud™ – AI-enabled CRM + customer intelligence platformAI Co-Pilot for Sales – positioning AI as a digital sales assistantHidden Revenue Detection – surfacing opportunities in ERP and eCommerce dataFuture-Proofing Distribution – strategies for mitigating supply chain riskAgentic AI Workflows – autonomous decision-making models for B2B processesClosing Insight“You can't automate what you haven't defined—data and workflows are the foundation of AI readiness.” – Tom BurtonHere's a link to the report we discussed - you can watch it on YouTube: youtube.com/watch?v=t2ppETF4oUA&feature=youtu.beLeave a Review: Help us grow by sharing your thoughts on the show.Learn more about the LeadSmart AI B2B Sales Platform: https://www.leadsmarttech.com/ Join the conversation each week on LinkedIn Live.Want even more insight to the stories we discuss each week? Subscribe to the Around The Horn Newsletter.You can also hear the podcast and other excellent content on our YouTube Channel.Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or TikTok.
The Signal Beneath the Noise Serious operators obsess over the next print, but my podcast/YouTube guest this week, Bankrate senior economic analyst, Mark Hamrick, argues the industry is missing the structural signals that actually set the cost of capital and shape demand. Start with this premise: Data credibility is a macro variable. When the quality of national jobs and inflation statistics is questioned, it is not just an esoteric Beltway quarrel; it becomes a pricing input for Treasuries and, by extension, mortgages, construction loans and exit cap rates. As Hamrick puts it, the path to good decisions for households, enterprises and policymakers ‘is lined by high quality economic data, most of which is generated by the federal government.' Hamrick's concern is not theoretical. He links the chain plainly: if markets doubt the numbers guiding the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, you can ‘envision a scenario where there's less demand for our Treasury debt,' forcing higher yields to clear supply – an economy‑wide tax that lifts borrowing costs from mortgages to autos and narrows the Fed's room to maneuver. What Happens If Trust Erodes? The near‑term catalyst for this anxiety is unusual: the Labor Department's head statistician was fired after unfavorable revisions, and an underqualified nominee has floated ideas as extreme as not publishing the data at all. Hamrick's advice for investors and executives is simple: pay attention. This may not break the system tomorrow, but it introduces risk premia where none previously existed. Through a real estate lens, the translation is straightforward. Underwriting already contends with volatile inputs on rents, expenses and exit liquidity; add a credibility discount on macro data and your discount rate moves against you. Prudent sponsors should stress‑test deals for a modest upward shock in base rates – an echo of Hamrick's ‘economy‑wide tax' – and consider how thinner debt markets would propagate through construction starts and refis. Housing's Lock‑In: Inventory, Not Prices, Is the Release Valve The ‘lock‑in effect' remains the defining feature of U.S. housing. Owners sitting on sub‑3% mortgages are rationally immobile, starving resale inventory and suppressing household formation mobility, a dynamic Hamrick equates with today's ‘no hire, no fire' labor market: stable but sluggish churn. Builders fill some of the gap, but affordability remains constrained by national price firmness and still‑elevated mortgage rates relative to the pandemic trough. What happens if mortgage rates dip to 6.25% or even 5.5%? Don't expect a binary ‘unlock.' Hamrick argues for incremental improvement rather than a light switch: lower rates would expand qualification and appetite gradually, and, crucially, free inventory. He is less worried that cheaper financing simply bids up prices; the supply response from would‑be sellers is the more powerful margin effect. For operators underwriting for‑sale housing (build to rent or single-family home developments), the tactical read is to focus on markets where latent move‑up sellers dominate and where new‑home concessions currently set the comp stack. He also reminds us of the persistent, national‑level truth: prices have been unusually firm for years; in the U.S., homeownership is still the primary path to wealth – advantage owners, disadvantage non‑owners. Wealth Transfer: Inequality In, Inequality Out The widely cited $84 trillion Boomer‑to‑GenX/Millennial wealth transfer via inheritance won't repair the middle class. It will mainly perpetuate asset inequality: assets beget assets, and the recipients most likely to inherit are already nearer the ‘have' column. That implies continuing bifurcation in housing demand (prime school districts, high‑amenity suburbs) alongside a renter cohort optimizing for cash‑flow goals rather than equity growth. For CRE, that supports a barbell: high‑income suburban nodes + durable rental demand where incomes grow but deposits lag. Renting Without Shame and the Budget Reality Check Hamrick is refreshingly direct: there is no shame in renting as, perhaps, there used to be. For many households, renting is a rational bridge to other financial goals; build emergency savings, avoid surprise home maintenance expenses, and keep debt service from getting ‘too far out over your skis.' For CRE owners, this fortifies the case for professionally managed rental product with transparent total‑cost‑of‑living and flexible lease options. For lenders, it argues for cautious debt-to-income ratios and expense reserves in first‑time buyer programs. Tariffs, Inflation, and the New Dashboard Hamrick closes with a monitoring list to stay on top of dominant economic trends: labor market strength (monthly employment; weekly jobless claims), the inflation complex (Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE)), and the full housing tape (mortgage rates, existing/new sales, builder confidence, starts) plus, of course, one political‑economy input now impossible to ignore: tariffs, with the effective rate at the highest level since the Great Depression. For CRE, tariffs are not an abstract: they seep into materials costs, fit‑out budgets, and the headline inflation path that steers the Fed. Sponsors should build tariff scenarios into Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP) contingencies and model procurement alternates. Actionable Takeaways for CRE Professionals Price a credibility premium: Run sensitivities for higher Treasury yields if data trust wobbles; Pay attention to how easily the government can sell its debt and the extra yield investors demand on longer bonds. Both shape interest rates, which then filter into real estate cap rates. Underwrite inventory elasticity, not sticker shock: As rates ease, model inventory release ahead of price spikes; focus on submarkets with pent‑up sellers. Lean into renting's rationality: Product that aligns with household cash‑flow priorities will capture durable demand while affordability resets. Track tariffs as a construction line‑item and macro tailwind to inflation: Feed this into budgets and hold periods. My conversation with Mark really brought home how connected real estate is to the bigger capital markets picture. If you want a sense of where cap rates are heading, keep an eye on the bond market – because that's where the story starts. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the week ahead on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM.Buy our NFTJoin our DiscordCheck out our TwitterCheck out our YouTubeDISCLAIMER: You should never treat any opinion expressed by the hosts of this content as a recommendation to make a particular investment, or to follow a particular strategy. The thoughts and commentary on this show are an expression of the hosts' opinions and are for entertainment & informational purposes only.
Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins us for his regular Monday discussion to recap the latest in the gold and silver markets and preview what's ahead this week. Key Topics Covered: Jackson Hole Preview: Jerome Powell's upcoming speech on Friday is expected to set the tone for gold, the U.S. dollar, and broader markets heading into September. Fed Policy & Rate Cuts: Market expectations remain high for a September cut, but will Powell hint at more aggressive easing? Gold & Dollar Correlation: Why the recent sideways action could give way to the next breakout move depending on Fed signals. Central Bank Demand & Bull Market Longevity: How sustained buying continues to underpin gold's strength, limiting major sell-offs. Gold Stocks & ETFs: With producers showing strong balance sheets what does that mean for investors? Craig also shares insights on the revaluation of gold miners - from majors to juniors - and what could fuel the next leg higher in this ongoing bull market. Click here to visit Craig's website - TF Metals Report https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/
Aug 15, 2025 – Could net negative immigration, not just economic cycles, be reshaping the US job market? Jim Bianco at Bianco Research brings a fresh lens to the latest employment data, inflation, and what investors should really watch...
01:13:28 – EV Hype DeflatesHigh truck prices and waning EV demand lead to a critique of electrification promises; real‑world costs and usability concerns dominate. 01:25:32 – Musk & War TechA segment links Silicon Valley glamor to battlefield applications and even synthetic engine noise —mocking techno‑theatrics over substance. 01:36:47 – German Migration RealityReport on German schools highlights language barriers and integration failures, framed as proof elites ignore practical limits of mass migration. 01:50:44 – Homeownership SqueezeRising property taxes, insurance, and repair costs are presented as a quiet squeeze pushing families out of owning homes. 02:00:49 – American Dream RationedA mid‑show reflection on wealth concentration and mobility asks whether the “dream” is increasingly inaccessible to ordinary workers. 02:36:12 – Fed Policy & BRICS GrowthTony Arterburn critiques Trump's push to increase the money supply, arguing it creates temporary booms but long-term inflation and instability. He warns that U.S. tariff threats are driving nations like India closer to China and strengthening BRICS alliances. 02:42:12 – Russia Adds Silver to ReservesRussia's move to classify silver as a strategic reserve asset is called one of the most significant silver stories in 50 years, signaling a global shift toward commodities over fiat currencies. 02:46:47 – Housing Market BubbleDiscussion on how post-COVID liquidity and corporate purchases of real estate, especially by BlackRock, have kept housing prices artificially high and priced out many Americans. 03:00:41 – Income Tax as Control MechanismTony asserts that the income tax was designed by elites to cement their dominance and prevent competition, dismissing political promises to dismantle the IRS as empty rhetoric. 03:18:10 – Tariff History & Trump's Economic NationalismDiscussion of Trump sharing a Peter Navarro video praising historical tariff advocates like Hamilton and Clay, followed by critiques that tariffs in a de-industrialized America amount to a hidden tax on consumers. 03:27:57 – Tariffs as a Tax on AmericansCommentary stresses that with weak domestic manufacturing, tariffs raise costs on essential goods like cars and appliances, punishing citizens rather than foreign producers. 03:33:23 – Trump's Corporate Tax for DemocratsMark Cuban praises Trump for imposing a 15% revenue skim on NVIDIA and AMD chip sales to China—framed as a “progressive dream tax”—while critics note it violates constitutional limits on export duties. 03:47:14 – Swiss F-35 Deal at RiskAnalysis of how Trump's steep 39% tariff on Switzerland may backfire by prompting the Swiss to cancel a $7.5 billion F-35 order, worsening the U.S. trade deficit. 03:55:05 – Ukraine Summit & False Flag FearsTrump warns Putin of “severe consequences” if the Ukraine war continues; Russian officials accuse Kyiv of plotting a provocation to derail upcoming peace talks. Follow the show on Kick and watch live every weekday 9:00am EST – 12:00pm EST https://kick.com/davidknightshow Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silverFor 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code KNIGHTFind out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-showOr you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
01:13:28 – EV Hype DeflatesHigh truck prices and waning EV demand lead to a critique of electrification promises; real‑world costs and usability concerns dominate. 01:25:32 – Musk & War TechA segment links Silicon Valley glamor to battlefield applications and even synthetic engine noise —mocking techno‑theatrics over substance. 01:36:47 – German Migration RealityReport on German schools highlights language barriers and integration failures, framed as proof elites ignore practical limits of mass migration. 01:50:44 – Homeownership SqueezeRising property taxes, insurance, and repair costs are presented as a quiet squeeze pushing families out of owning homes. 02:00:49 – American Dream RationedA mid‑show reflection on wealth concentration and mobility asks whether the “dream” is increasingly inaccessible to ordinary workers. 02:36:12 – Fed Policy & BRICS GrowthTony Arterburn critiques Trump's push to increase the money supply, arguing it creates temporary booms but long-term inflation and instability. He warns that U.S. tariff threats are driving nations like India closer to China and strengthening BRICS alliances. 02:42:12 – Russia Adds Silver to ReservesRussia's move to classify silver as a strategic reserve asset is called one of the most significant silver stories in 50 years, signaling a global shift toward commodities over fiat currencies. 02:46:47 – Housing Market BubbleDiscussion on how post-COVID liquidity and corporate purchases of real estate, especially by BlackRock, have kept housing prices artificially high and priced out many Americans. 03:00:41 – Income Tax as Control MechanismTony asserts that the income tax was designed by elites to cement their dominance and prevent competition, dismissing political promises to dismantle the IRS as empty rhetoric. 03:18:10 – Tariff History & Trump's Economic NationalismDiscussion of Trump sharing a Peter Navarro video praising historical tariff advocates like Hamilton and Clay, followed by critiques that tariffs in a de-industrialized America amount to a hidden tax on consumers. 03:27:57 – Tariffs as a Tax on AmericansCommentary stresses that with weak domestic manufacturing, tariffs raise costs on essential goods like cars and appliances, punishing citizens rather than foreign producers. 03:33:23 – Trump's Corporate Tax for DemocratsMark Cuban praises Trump for imposing a 15% revenue skim on NVIDIA and AMD chip sales to China—framed as a “progressive dream tax”—while critics note it violates constitutional limits on export duties. 03:47:14 – Swiss F-35 Deal at RiskAnalysis of how Trump's steep 39% tariff on Switzerland may backfire by prompting the Swiss to cancel a $7.5 billion F-35 order, worsening the U.S. trade deficit. 03:55:05 – Ukraine Summit & False Flag FearsTrump warns Putin of “severe consequences” if the Ukraine war continues; Russian officials accuse Kyiv of plotting a provocation to derail upcoming peace talks. Follow the show on Kick and watch live every weekday 9:00am EST – 12:00pm EST https://kick.com/davidknightshow Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silverFor 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code KNIGHTFind out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-showOr you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.
Paul Galloway examines the current shape of the yield curve and the signals behind the 10-year treasury yield. He discusses market uncertainty, interest rate dynamics, inflation, and geopolitical factors influencing investor behavior. What does a flat curve mean for recession risk, borrowing costs, and future rates? Tune in to decode the outlook.
In this episode of Coin Stories, Natalie Brunell talks with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Chief Strategist of QI Research and former Fed advisor, breaking down what's really going on with the U.S. economy. Topics discussed: The "silent recession" crushing the Middle Class Why people earning $150k feel poor The truth about recent economy data points, tariff impacts and inflation Fiscal dominance vs monetary policy What will happen if the Fed lowers interest rates in September? Has Danielle changed her perspective on Bitcoin? Danielle is the author of "FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is Bad for America." Subscribe to QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on X at https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth ---- Coin Stories is powered by Gemini. Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus. The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. See website for rates & fees. 10% back at golf courses is available until 9/30/2025 on up to $250 in spend per month. Learn more at https://www.gemini.com/natalie ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitwise. Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com ---- Ledn is the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. Learn more at https://www.Ledn.io/natalie ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: Earn 2-4% back in Bitcoin on all your purchases with the orange Gemini Bitcoin credit card: https://www.gemini.com/natalie Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comDespite stretched valuation levels and further signs that the consumer is struggling, stocks are partying on.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees stocks prices as having "detached from all the underlying economic data" at this point.That doesn't mean they won't go even higher still here in the near term. But he does think the probability of a correction is now quite high.So how is he positioning for that?We discuss that, as well as what earnings season is currently telling us, what the Fed is most likely to announce next week, how AI is super-concentrating wealth in both the corporate sector as well as consumer households, the long term risks to the markets, and Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#federalreserve #marketcorrection #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Market Outlook and Correction Risks18:35 - Portfolio Adjustments:21:36 - Fed Policy and Trump's Influence41:12 - Earnings Insights56:01 - Wealth Concentration and AI1:03:35 - Economic Data and Consumer Debt1:11:07 - Long-Term Market Risks1:25:00 - Gold and Crypto Update1:31:27 - Life Philosophy Rant1:47:04 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Jeremy Siegel, Wharton Emeritus Professor of Finance and WisdomTree Chief Economist, shares his outlook on economic growth, inflation, interest rates, and market resilience, addressing the impact of tariffs, the rise of AI, and the uncertain future of Federal Reserve leadership. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
With the US and nearly every other major G7 country engaging in historically high levels of deficit spending and increasingly struggling to service their massive sovereign debt balances -- how does this all resolve?Is there a path to a manageable ending here?Or does is debt crisis, or a currency crisis -- or both -- inevitable at this point?In attempt to answer these fiscally existential questions, we're fortunate to be joined by two great macro minds: Luke Gromen of FFTT LLC and Darius Dale of 42Macro.It's a true privilege to host both of these gentlemen on this platform at the same time.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#debtcrisis #inflation #deficit0:00 - America's Fiscal Situation5:56 - Fiscal Unsustainability Details10:26 - Short-Term vs. Long-Term Outlook18:26 - Fed Policy and US Treasury Dynamics29:32 - Powell Replacement Implications34:56 - Investment Themes in Growth and Print Phases48:01 - Societal Impacts of Wealth Inequality1:15:14 - Life Advice for The 4th Turning1:17:36 - Societal and Economic Outlook1:21:51 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In this week's episode of Money Moves, Matty A. and Ryan Breedwell team up to unpack the most important headlines and market moves that real estate investors and wealth builders need to watch right now.They cover the Federal Reserve's latest signals on interest rates, the ongoing debate around inflation, and what the data suggests about upcoming rate cuts. Ryan and Matty also dive into Bitcoin's market resilience, momentum from ETFs, and how crypto continues to play a role in the broader investment landscape.Plus, they break down the commercial and residential real estate markets, including inventory challenges, rising vacancies, and where they see real opportunity.What You'll Learn:How the Fed's shifting tone could impact rate cuts and the broader economyWhy Bitcoin is gaining strength in uncertain conditionsWhat the commercial real estate reset means for investorsKey trends in housing inventory and home affordabilityStrategies for short-term rental investing amid changing regulationsHow to stay disciplined and clear-headed in volatile marketsTimestamps:00:00 – 03:30 | Opening thoughts and listener feedback04:00 – 07:00 | Inflation, interest rates, and Fed commentary07:00 – 10:00 | Rate cut probabilities and investor implications10:00 – 13:00 | Bitcoin's bullish signals and crypto performance14:00 – 16:30 | Commercial real estate headwinds and opportunities17:00 – 20:00 | Residential market trends and housing shortages21:00 – 23:30 | Short-term rental investing and legal considerations24:00 – 27:00 | Final thoughts on strategy, mindset, and market focusSubscribe & Review: Enjoying the insights? Subscribe, leave a review, and share the show with a fellow investor. For more market analysis, tools, and investment strategies, visit WiseInvestorVault.comEpisode Sponsored By:Discover Financial Millionaire Mindcast Shop: Buy the Rich Life Planner and Get the Wealth-Building Bundle for FREE! Visit: https://shop.millionairemindcast.com/CRE MASTERMIND: Visit myfirst50k.com and submit your application to join!FREE CRE Crash Course: Text “FREE” to 844-447-1555FREE Financial X-Ray: Text "XRAY" to 844-447-1555
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the economic news to look forward to this week this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and editor of the Marc to Market website, joins us for this special Sunday editorial on the KE Report. Key topics discussed: Inflation Data: A closer look at why headline inflation remains above the 2% target and why base effects suggest future readings may edge higher. Fed Policy Outlook: Despite political noise, the Fed remains patient. Marc explains why some members (like Waller) are pushing for earlier cuts and how labor market weakness - not just inflation - may drive the next move. Market Reaction: Are potential Fed cuts already priced in? Why retail buying and FOMO are fueling equity highs, and what that means for risk ahead. Tariffs & Earnings: How shifting tariffs could pressure margins, stoke inflation, and impact upcoming earnings season. Global Events: What to watch this week: flash PMIs, the ECB meeting, Tokyo CPI - and why Japan's political backdrop is worth noting. Click here to visit Marc's site - Marc To Market.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks with Bloomberg's Michael McKee at the Rocky Mountain Economic Forum in Victor, Idaho. She discusses her outlook for rate cuts and labor market weakness.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this powerful segment, Tara and Lee break down the historic collapse of first-time homeownership under the Biden administration. With staggering data—like the average age of a homebuyer soaring to 56 and first-time buyers plummeting to a record low 24%—they expose how skyrocketing prices and 7% interest rates have turned the American Dream into an impossible fantasy for most. The conversation compares today's housing market to Europe's stagnant real estate, where multi-generational ownership and unaffordable costs are the norm. They argue that reckless money printing, runaway inflation, and partisan policies at the Federal Reserve are driving a crisis that is crippling young families, delaying marriage and children, and fueling desperation. Even families earning over $200,000 are living paycheck to paycheck as basic homeownership slips further out of reach. Tara warns that unless these destructive policies are reversed, an entire generation will be permanently locked out of the housing market.
In this episode, we discuss tariffs, inflation/Fed policy, the spending bill, and our outlook for the second half of 2025. To read this week's Sight|Lines, click here. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of Stifel Financial Corp. or its affiliates (collectively, Stifel). This communication is provided for information purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Asset allocation and diversification do not ensure a profit or protect against loss. © Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated | Member SIPC & NYSE | www.stifel.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
As inflationary concerns persist, self-directed gold IRAs are attracting increased interest among retail investors. A precious metals resource, however, advises examining how monetary policy influences the performance of gold before going all in.Learn more at https://augoldira.com/analyst-say-gold-set-to-bounce-back-after-recent-fall/ AuGold IRA City: Cushing Address: 2340 East Main Street Website: https://augoldira.com
If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com. Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you! There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently. If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com and book your call today! Show Notes:· US airstrikes on Iran resulted in stocks rising 1% while crude oil fell 9% · Markets climbing a ‘wall of worry' despite geopolitical risks · Currency impact on multinationals explained· Rare market recovery pattern showing S&P 500 rallying from -18% · NASDAQ QQQ golden cross formed for first time since March 2023· Small Cap vs Large Cap Analysis · Future Economic Scenarios and Fed Policy
Mortgage and real estate expert David Hochberg joins John Williams to talk about Trump’s tax bill and the increase in the SALT cap, where mortgage interest rates are right now, the relationship between the Fed policy and mortgage rates, and to answer all of your mortgage and real estate questions. David hosts “Home Sweet Home Chicago” […]
Mortgage and real estate expert David Hochberg joins John Williams to talk about Trump’s tax bill and the increase in the SALT cap, where mortgage interest rates are right now, the relationship between the Fed policy and mortgage rates, and to answer all of your mortgage and real estate questions. David hosts “Home Sweet Home Chicago” […]
Mortgage and real estate expert David Hochberg joins John Williams to talk about Trump’s tax bill and the increase in the SALT cap, where mortgage interest rates are right now, the relationship between the Fed policy and mortgage rates, and to answer all of your mortgage and real estate questions. David hosts “Home Sweet Home Chicago” […]
Consumer Spending and Incomes going down was a standout in the latest PCE data, says Mish Schneider. The slight uptick in core inflation to 2.7% was more than expected, but "not a huge surprise" to her. She posits the question: is the U.S. economy showing signs of disinflation or stagflation? Mish says there are 3 major factors where we go from here: oil prices, Fed Policy and the "Big, Beautiful Bill." In terms of positioning, she likes Silver, "Made in the USA" companies, E.V. and Solar companies. Later, she makes the case for staying in Rivian (RIVN) and Tesla (TSLA).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and other news to look forward to this week on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
On Monday's Charles Schwab Big Picture panel, Collin Martin reacts to commentary from several Fed officials that suggest a bigger dovish voice may be heard in the FOMC's July meeting. He adds that his perspective hasn't changed saying a September cut is more likely, adding that recent data doesn't appear to be enough to justify a cut in July. Collin looks ahead to Friday's PCE Index, saying a good report would be a "step in the right direction" but cautions investors that tariff risks may not have been fully felt across the economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The Moneywise Radio Show and Podcast Tuesday, June 17th BE MONEYWISE. Moneywise Wealth Management I "The Moneywise Guys" podcast call: 661-847-1000 text in anytime: 661-396-1000 website: www.MoneywiseGuys.com facebook: Moneywise_Wealth_Management Guest: Allyn Medeiros, Agape Mortgage website: https://allynmedeiros.com/
Glenn Hubbard, Columbia Business School Dean Emeritus and former White House chief economist discusses the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision and the path forward for interest rates this year as well as the tax bill making its way through Congress.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we welcome back Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and editor of the Marc to Market blog, for a comprehensive breakdown of the U.S. jobs report, Fed policy trajectory, global central bank trends, and FX market implications. We kick off with May's mixed U.S. employment report: headline job growth surprised to the upside, but revisions and the household survey painted a weaker picture. Marc explains how the Fed will likely interpret this as confirmation to remain patient, with expectations for rate cuts shifting to Q4 and markets increasingly skeptical about more than one cut in 2025. Marc also discusses: Why the resilient U.S. labor market and gradual disinflation keep the Fed sidelined How ongoing tariff announcements are distorting GDP and trade data What to watch in the Fed's balance sheet strategy and whether QT will continue A global view on divergent central bank cycles, FX implications, and why Marc remains medium-term bearish on the U.S. dollar The role of liquidity and uncertainty in driving volatile but not collapsing markets As we near the midpoint of 2025, Marc outlines the key data points and global risks that could move the needle on Fed policy, including inflation trends, unemployment, and fiscal disruptions from trade policies.
The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Jon Hartley and Randal Quarles discuss Randy's career as a lawyer and in policy (including his time as Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Regulation) and topics such as the global financial crisis, Glass-Steagall, banking regulation, lender of last resort, Basel III, the Dodd-Frank Act, capital requirements, the potential relaxation of Treasuries in the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR), deposit insurance after the Silicon Valley Bank regional banking crisis, and stablecoin regulation. Recorded on May 29, 2025. ABOUT THE SPEAKERS: Randal Quarles is the Chairman and co-founder of The Cynosure Group. Before founding Cynosure, Mr. Quarles was a long-time partner of the Carlyle Group, where he began the firm's program of investments in the financial services industry during the 2008 financial crisis. From October 2017 through October 2021, Mr. Quarles was Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve System, serving as the system's first Vice Chairman for Supervision, charged specifically with ensuring stability of the financial sector. He also served as the Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (“FSB”) from December 2018 until December 2021; a global body established after the Great Financial Crisis to coordinate international efforts to enhance financial stability. In both positions, he played a key role in crafting the US and international response to the economic and financial dislocations of COVID-19, successfully preventing widespread global disruption of the financial system. As FSB Chairman, he was a regular delegate to the finance ministers' meetings of the G-7 and G20 Groups of nations and to the Summit meetings of the G20. As Fed Vice Chair, he was a permanent member of the Federal Open Market Committee, the body that sets monetary policy for the United States. Earlier in his career, Mr. Quarles was Under Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, where he led the Department's activities in financial sector and capital markets policy, including coordination of the President's Working Group on Financial Markets. Before serving as Under Secretary, Mr. Quarles was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, where he had a key role in responding to several international crises. Mr. Quarles was also the U.S. Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund, a member of the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, and a board representative for the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. In earlier public service, he was an integral member of the Treasury team in the George H. W. Bush Administration that developed the governmental response to the savings and loan crisis. Jon Hartley is currently a Policy Fellow at the Hoover Institution, an economics PhD Candidate at Stanford University, a Research Fellow at the UT-Austin Civitas Institute, a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP), a Senior Fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, and an Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center. Jon is also the host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century Podcast, an official podcast of the Hoover Institution, a member of the Canadian Group of Economists, and the chair of the Economic Club of Miami. Jon has previously worked at Goldman Sachs Asset Management as a Fixed Income Portfolio Construction and Risk Management Associate and as a Quantitative Investment Strategies Client Portfolio Management Senior Analyst and in various policy/governmental roles at the World Bank, IMF, Committee on Capital Markets Regulation, U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and the Bank of Canada. Jon has also been a regular economics contributor for National Review Online, Forbes, and The Huffington Post and has contributed to The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, USA Today, Globe and Mail, National Post, and Toronto Star, among other outlets. Jon has also appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, Bloomberg, and NBC and was named to the 2017 Forbes 30 Under 30 Law & Policy list, the 2017 Wharton 40 Under 40 list, and was previously a World Economic Forum Global Shaper. ABOUT THE SERIES: Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics.
Andy Constan, chief investment officer of Damped Spring Advisors, said a combination of potential expenditure cuts, which he estimates at around $300 billion per year, represents the largest fiscal tightening of his lifetime. Constan joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Ira Jersey, chief US strategist, and Will Hoffman, US/CAD senior rates strategy associate, on this episode of Macro Matters to discuss all things interest rates. They talk about some of the biggest bond market myths as well as the path forward for the Fed's balance sheet as quantitative tightening downshifted into low gear. The trio also discuss the likelihood for shifts in Treasury issuance as well as where monetary policy and bond yields may be headed. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
Segment 1: Business reporter Steve Alexander chats with John about Warren Buffett announcing he will be stepping down and the impact he’s had on the economy. Segment 2: Emily Stewart, Senior Correspondent, Business Insider, tells John how wealthy people are single-handedly warding off a recession. Segment 2: Phillip Shaw, CFP, Senior Advisor, Goldstone Financial Group, joins John […]
On this episode of Next Level CRE, Matt Faircloth interviews Neal Bawa, known as the “mad scientist of multifamily,” live from Best Ever Conference. They dive into Neal's preparation for the BEC real estate debate on whether the Fed has stuck a soft landing, highlighting key data points like wage growth outpacing rent growth and the Fed's dual tools for market intervention. Neal also shares his actual market outlook—separating his debate stance from his real views—stating he is bullish on rent growth but cautious on cap rates and interest rates due to fiscal pressures. He ends with a tactical nugget: target markets like Indianapolis with strong rent growth, low property taxes, and limited new supply. Neal Bawa -CEO - Based in: San Francisco, California - Say hi to them at multifamilyu.com/ Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/cre. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! Join the Best Ever Community The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria. Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at www.bestevercommunity.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Debt-Driven Reality: Understanding CRE's Structural Fragility Cracks Beneath the Surface In this episode of The Real Estate Market Watch, I sit down with Jon Winick, CEO of Clark Street Capital, to explore the increasingly fragile foundation of the commercial real estate (CRE) market. Winick draws on decades of experience in loan portfolio sales, banking, CMBS investing, and student housing to deliver a sobering, detail-rich assessment of what's coming next — and what's already hiding in plain sight. The Fed, Interest Rates, and the “Nuclear Option” Trump vs. Powell: Market Implications Winick opens with a sharp critique of political interference in Federal Reserve policy. While the idea of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell may feel remote, he warns that even sustained political pressure has consequences. Removing Powell — the so-called "nuclear option" — would spark chaos in capital markets, undermining global confidence in the U.S. dollar and Treasury markets. “You cannot find an industry in which debt matters more than commercial real estate,” Winick says. A destabilized bond market affects CRE indirectly but profoundly by tightening liquidity and depressing investor confidence. CRE's Dependency on Debt: Liquidity as Lifeblood Why CRE Suffers When Capital Tightens With rates elevated and uncertainty rising, Winick highlights the outsized role debt plays in CRE. Unlike most industries, capital structure is everything in real estate. Higher interest rates are more than a cost issue—they erode the viability of deals outright. His analogy lands hard: “Low rates are like tequila on a first date. High rates are like a glass of warm milk.” Banking Behavior: The Art of Delay Defaults, Loan Maturities, and Creative Accounting Despite rising delinquencies in CMBS, bank-reported CRE loan delinquencies remain surprisingly low. Why? Banks, Winick argues, are benefiting from regulatory changes that let them defer the recognition of problem loans. “The delinquencies that you're seeing in CMBS and bank loans will inevitably converge. Banks have been able to use some new rules to hide problem loans. And eventually that [runway] runs out.” he says. Bank defaults may not be catastrophic, but their opacity clouds the picture for investors trying to assess real risk. Creative Destruction Denied Why Bailouts Delay the Inevitable Winick argues the post-COVID economy is still “wrapped up by actual or indirect fraud.” From subsidized mortgages to suspended student loan collections, unsustainable federal programs have kept weak assets and businesses afloat. He makes a provocative case for embracing creative destruction. “We've basically decided as a society that we won't let businesses fail… but that's ultimately bad economics.” Policy, Regulation, and the Supply-Demand Trap Deregulation and its Unintended Consequences Dodd-Frank's unintended effect was to choke off consumer credit, particularly in regions with few lenders. Winick compares Puerto Rico, with just three banks, to Iowa, with the same size population as Puerto Rico, with 246. The result? Higher interest rates, limited options, and an underfinanced economy. He calls for “smart, effective regulation,” warning that over-regulation concentrates power while under-regulation invites asset bubbles. The Signals to Watch Now What CRE Investors Should Be Monitoring Winick identifies several canaries in the coal mine for CRE investors: Widening CMBS credit spreads: These are leading indicators of borrowing cost pressures. Corporate bankruptcies and retail closures: Especially among large tenants like Walgreens or government departments exiting leases. Shifts in political winds: Regulatory reversals could radically alter CRE's operating environment. Strategy: What Should CRE Investors Be Doing? Be Patient, but Be Realistic For investors sitting on cash, Winick's advice is pragmatic: “Be patient… [but] waiting for a home run often means you miss out on a lot of great opportunities.” He urges caution and downside awareness in every negotiation, pointing out that real movement in the market won't occur until lenders are forced to act or borrowers are out of options. Final Thought: The Bond Vigilantes Will Win A System Bound by Market Forces Winick closes with a sharp reminder that the bond market, not politicians, sets the true limits: “The bond vigilantes always get their way.” In a world dependent on debt, real estate investors should watch not just interest rates — but who controls the levers behind them. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic discusses the Fed's path forward amidst tariffs and inflation. He speaks with Bloomberg's Mike McKee.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Unusual Whales Pod Ep. 58: Rate Pause, Fed Policy, Recession, Trump's Tariffs, and Macro Outlook for 2025This episode of the Unusual Whales Pod was recorded Live on March 19, 2025. Nicholas is joined by a panel of macro experts to discuss the Fed Rate Pause, Trump's Tariffs, the economy, and how things are looking from a macroeconomic, bird's eye view here in 2025.Panel:Joseph Wang https://twitter.com/FedGuy12Thelastbearstanding https://twitter.com/LastBearStandngBob Elliott https://x.com/BobEUnlimitedMarko Bjegovic https://x.com/MBjegovicHosted by: Nicholas FNS: https://twitter.com/NicholasFNSUnusual Whales: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesThis Pod is not financial advice. Unusual Whales Inc. is not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) or any state securities regulatory authority. The stock market is risky, and any trade or investment is expected to have some, or total, loss. Please do research before any trade. Do not use this information for financial decisions or for investing. You should consult your legal or tax professional regarding your specific situation.Unusual Social Media:Discord: https://discord.com/invite/unusualwhalesFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/unusualwhalesInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/unusualwhales/Reddit: https://old.reddit.com/r/unusual_whales/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@unusual_whalesTwitter: https://twitter.com/unusual_whalesYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/unusualwhales/Merch: https://unusual-whales.creator-spring.com/**
In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Ziegler is joined by Lindsey Bell, Chief Market Strategist of Clearnomics, and Shannon Saccocia, Chief Investment Officer of Wealth at Neuberger Berman. They dive deep into the current market volatility and economic uncertainties facing investors. From tariff concerns to shifting consumer behaviors, they provide valuable insights on navigating these challenging times while maintaining a long-term investment perspective.Key topics discussed:• Tariffs and Market Uncertainty: How ongoing tariff discussions are creating business uncertainty, affecting pricing decisions, and potentially impacting economic growth• Consumer Resilience: Analysis of consumer spending patterns, the importance of employment stability, and how different consumer segments are responding to economic pressures• GDP Growth Projections: Examination of current GDP forecasts, including the Atlanta Fed's concerning Q1 projections, and why these numbers might be overly pessimistic• Federal Reserve Strategy: Discussion on potential interest rate cuts for 2025, how the Fed is balancing inflation concerns with economic growth, and the challenges of monetary policy during tariff implementation• Market Broadening: Insights on investment rotation beyond the Magnificent 7 tech stocks into sectors like healthcare, financials, and consumer discretionary• International Investment Opportunities: Why investors should consider international exposure, particularly in European markets and potentially emerging markets including China
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