United States federal executive department
POPULARITY
Categories
US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent is calling for an “economic D-Day” for the Iranian regime while threatening secondary sanctions on countries that do business with the country. Will this be more effective than previous attempts at economic pressure? What impact will this have on US relations with China? And how will energy markets react? Sasha Polakow-Suransky, executive opinion editor, speaks with Emma Ashford, Stimson Center senior fellow and Foreign Policy columnist, about Washington's latest Iran sanctions push dubbed Operation Economic Outcast. Clip: CBS NewsJoin us at the FT Weekend Festival on Saturday, September 5 at Kenwood House Gardens in London, and spend the day with FT journalists and leading voices across business, politics, economics, culture and the arts. FT podcast listeners can save 10% off tickets with the code FTPODCAST. Click on this link to find out more.Free links to read more on this topic:US launches further strikes on Iran as conflict flares upEnergy price surge hits bond markets as European gas reaches three-year highDonald Trump says US will hit Iran ‘hard' as conflict reignites Scott Bessent: an economic D-Day is coming for IranScott Bessent threatens Iran's economic partners with more sanctionsIs China's ‘wise camel' the winner from the US-Iran war?Subscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Sasha Polakow-Suransky. Produced by Clare Williamson. Sound design is by Breen TurnerRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Yes, physical gold is a safe haven, but gold also attracts a lot of speculative capital, particularly the paper markets. Gold futures are among the most traded futures in the world, and there is nothing physical about them. So when there is a panic, gold tends to sell off along with everything else as liquidity dries up and everyone rushes to cash.The US dollar is actually the safe haven, except that it isn't, because you are bleeding 7 or 8% of value every year to money supply growth.I am getting so many messages at the moment asking me what to do “when the collapse comes”, as though the collapse of fiat is a foregone conclusion. I don't think it is. I think continued depreciation is more likely. Fiat could collapse, of course, but we are in a probabilities game and I'd give it perhaps a 25% probability, while continued depreciation I'd put at well over 50% likelihood.At present we have three financial storms on the horizon. Whether they actually reach us or not remains to be seen, but we should be aware of them nonetheless, so that we can be prepared if they do eventually close in.Nasty stock market correction ahead?They are, first, the fact that US markets are so leveraged to AI. You don't even need the AI bubble to pop, you just need it to deflate a little bit, and it takes the S&P500 down with it.It's not like I, and many others besides, haven't mentioned this before, but it bears mentioning again: the Magnificent Seven, which are highly AI oriented, currently account for about a third of the combined market capitalisation of the S&P's 500 companies. Ten years ago the equivalent concentration was around 15%, and that seemed like a lot.From an asset allocation perspective - particularly with so much passive investing - this is dangerous, to put it mildly. Concentration is fine when markets are going up. If you're concentrated in the right sector you make a lot of money. But when things unravel you get your backside handed to you on a plate. Diversification spreads risk. The S&P500 “should” be diversified. It isn't. Passive investing is supposed to be diversified. It isn't.But this has been the case for a long time. It hasn't mattered. It doesn't matter until it does.Then there is the fact that every mid-term election years have a tendency to deliver autumn drawdowns. According to some sources, every year. If we get a significant drawdown in the S&P500, the safehaven that is gold will sell off too.Wobbly bondsThe second financial storm - is it even on the horizon any more? - lies in the government bond market. It's worth remembering just how large the bond market is. The global value is estimated at around $145 trillion, so larger than the combined stock market which is closer to $130 trillion.You have probably seen headlines this week saying bond markets are “on fire” and that governments are “in hock to the bond market”. Government debt across the developed world - and deficits with it - have risen dramatically since Covid, and the bond markets are not so willing to finance that borrowing at the ultra-low rates of the previous decade. Investors want more yield for their risk. Can't say I blame them.That basically translates as, “if I am to lend you money for ten years, you are going to have to pay me 5% interest, maybe more. 2% is no longer enough.”As yields rise, the cost of servicing debt rises with them. Just a small increase can add tens of billions to annual interest payments.The US has the enormous advantage of issuing the world's reserve currency, but its huge structural deficits mean it is vulnerable. Japan, Britain, France and Italy are particularly at risk because they combine high debt burdens with fiscal or political problems.Higher yields mean higher interest payments, which make deficits larger, requiring governments to issue still more debt. Vicious circle time. Governments try to avoid this by issuing shorter-term debt, but that merely increases refinancing exposure. The US Treasury's increasing reliance on shorter maturities is therefore a concern.Politicians might promise to spend more, but somebody has to buy their debt. If investors want a significantly higher return, governments may find that fiscal policy is increasingly dictated by the bond market rather than by politicians.You may see that as a good thing and it probably is. Government spending has to be reined in somehow. But higher interest rates will put pressure on real estate and equities, and they increase the likelihood of defaults, which tend to snowball. See 2008 for more details.Defaults should also increase demand for gold, because there is no liability or counterparty. But that doesn't happen straight away, necessarily. The liquidity has to come out of the market first, and that means everything goes lower. Just gold doesn't go down quite as much and it turns back up first.The reaction of governments to a debt crisis will of course be to print. And that too benefits gold.Which brings us to financial storm number three on the horizon, although this one is really a subset of two.The UK. It is a standout amongst all of this. Our interest rates are already high, which means greater pressure on the government (they are the main reason sterling has held up). We have a new Prime Minister, who is currently trying to buy popularity and who seems to think that the solution to many of the UK's problems is more government spending, not less, and that will require more borrowing and higher taxes. But he has inherited a precarious fiscal position and a bond market that is already demanding a substantial return. Ten-year gilt e yields have risen above 5%, their highest level in 18 years, and longer-term borrowing costs have reached a 28-year high, with 30-year gilt yields closing down on 6%.The political situation is also awkward. The combined right-wing vote exceeds the Labour vote by some considerable distance, but it is split between the Tories, Reform and Restore. Does Burnham exploit this to call an early election? Will his backbenchers even let him if he wants to do this? Will an early election mean greater or less stability?On the other hand high rates are at least propping sterling up. I say propping up. On a purchasing power parity basis, the UK is actually cheap and sterling too. Doesn't mean it can't get cheaper. As UK nationals, we have inevitable exposure to sterling, but the prudent thing for a UK citizen to do is reduce sterling exposure. Hold non-government currencies is my advice: gold and bitcoin. I'll have more on the la tter soon.BOLD.L might be the way. Most roads lead to gold at the moment but they are rocky roads.If you live in a third world country such as the UK, I urge you to own gold or silver. The pound will be further devalued, as will the euro and dollar. The bullion dealer I use and recommend is The Pure Gold Company. They deliver to the UK, the US, Canada and Europe. More here.Other mattersI have turned my Britain On Sale series of seven undervalued companies that could be taken out during the current takeover frenzy into a downloadable PDF report. Here it is.There is a real opportunity here right here and now. I cannot stress that enough. The UK is cheap and being bought up.And last but not least, The Secret History of Gold is now out in paperback in the UK, so get your copy now. It has had excellent reviews and has now reached best seller status, I'm delighted to report, with the audiobook especially popular. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
Welcome back to Impact Theory. In today's episode, I dive deep into the wild ride happening right now in the bond market and what it means for the future of the US dollar and the global economy. The conversation focused on the so-called “resource curse”—comparing America's role as issuer of the world's reserve currency to regions that failed to capitalize on their natural resources, and questioning if this privilege is actually a double-edged sword.One concept discussed is whether the benefits the US has reaped from dollar dominance have led us into fiscal irresponsibility and a dangerous dependence on selling money to the world instead of making real things at home. A key theme that emerged is how government strategies—like moving debt from long-term to short-term, flirting with yield curve control, and leveraging emerging tools like stablecoins—are designed to manage mounting debt but could have far-reaching consequences for people's savings, investments, and the country's economic future.The discussion explored how inflation, rising interest payments, and global moves away from the dollar are creating new risks and uncertainties, especially for retirees and ordinary investors. Several points were raised, including the critical impact of trust in US debt, the erosion of manufacturing capacity, and whether these fiscal maneuvers are buying time or simply delaying a reckoning. Get ready for a no-holds-barred look at what's happening behind the scenes—because understanding these moves is key to protecting your personal and financial future.What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here:Want my help starting a business? Join me here inside Zero To FounderSign up for my AI Masterclass: AI MasterclassFOLLOW TOM:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=enTwitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeuYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeuTailor Brands: Check out Tailor Brands to get started with your business today: https://tailorbrands.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=129&aff_id=9505&aff_sub2=septemberQuince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpodElevenLabs: Book your demo at https://elevenlabs.io/impactpodButcherbox: Go to https://ButcherBox.com/IMPACT to get $20 off your first box, plus your choice of free ribeye, new york strip, or filet mignon in every box for a year — with free shipping alwaysQuo: Try for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months at https://quo.com/impactShopify: Sign up for your free trial period at https://shopify.com/impactNetsuite: For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, go to https://NetSuite.ai/Theory.Incogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impact Pique: 20% off at https://piquelife.com/impactbond market, US dollar, reserve currency, Scott Bessent, de-dollarization, national debt, Treasury bonds, interest rates, gold reserves, inflation, fiat currency, fiscal policy, austerity, resource curse, US manufacturing, financial repression, yield curve control, stablecoins, short-term debt, long-term debt, central banks, global financial system, economic growth, budget deficit, Treasury General Account, asset prices, capital flight, US Treasury auctions, foreign central banks, purchasing powerSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Mentor Sessions Ep. 091: Tom Luongo explains the 2026 currency war, Scott Bessent's yen bomb, oil collateral, European bond squeeze, and the US Treasury buyback plan.The previously most powerful people in the world are now price takers, not price makers — and Tom Luongo walks through exactly how Scott Bessent flipped that switch. Global markets just witnessed a structural break in the European bond trade, and almost nobody saw the mechanism behind it.In this conversation, Tom Luongo and Nathan break down the currency war unfolding across the FX and bond markets: how Bessent 'bombed the yen' by selling euros instead of dollars, why the euro-yen cross froze the moment Operation Epic Fury began, and how Iranian oil loadings were being used as collateral to fuel the short-yen, short-Treasury trade. You'll learn why the US Treasury buyback expansion is a signal and not QE, how the German Bund fits into Europe's alleged default-and-consolidate endgame, and what John Ratcliffe's open trip to Moscow may be telegraphing. You'll also hear Luongo's falsifiable macro thesis — where the 30-year yield goes next, and what it means for gold, silver and Bitcoin.⏱️ Timestamps:0:00 - Intro0:44 - Bessent's Moves on Yen and Euro1:27 - Shifting From Kinetic to Economic Siege3:06 - The Yen Carry Trade That Shouldn't Exist4:42 - Bessent Blew It Up Selling Euros8:26 - Euro-Yen Cross Freezes After Iran Strikes8:49 - Iranian Oil Used as Trade Collateral11:17 - Traders Trapped After Buying Oil Breakout12:59 - How Bessent Scans 270 Markets for Signals18:05 - Treasury Buyback Expansion Details22:04 - Defending the 5.25 Percent Yield Level23:31 - Buyback Limit Is Just a Market Signal27:15 - Europe's Default and ECB Consolidation Plan28:45 - Financial Warfare and Carney's Trade War29:40 - Abundant Mines Sponsor33:20 - Banks Trading With Iran Cut From Dollars38:01 - US Taxpayers Funding Global Financial Chaos41:24 - Is the Budget Deficit Really Shrinking45:17 - China Iran Canada Oil and Banking Links47:46 - Why Ratcliffe Is Meeting Russia in Moscow50:54 - BRICS as Hedge Not Dollar Replacement53:33 - Gold Silver Bitcoin Surge Explained55:20 - Pushing the Long End of Yields Lower59:00 - Key Markets to Watch Through Election1:00:14 - Reading the Charts That Actually Matter1:01:16 - Luongo's Falsifiable Macro Thesis1:02:38 - Where to Follow Tom LuongoTom Luongo publishes his macro analysis and the Gold, Goats 'n Guns newsletter — links below. ⚡Previous Episode - Jeff Booth & Scott Melker: https://youtu.be/J7ze_lMKbZM
In this episode we answer emails from Pete, Mark, and Jack. We thank our generous donors and share the preliminary results of the Top of the T-Shirt campaign for the Father McKenna Center, discuss recent machinations of the US Treasury Department and why its more of the same old story, and discuss some basics of accumulation portfolios and the preeminence of the Macro-Allocation Principle, and using risk-parity style portfolios for intermediate accumulation. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page (please mention Risk Parity Radio in the comment section with your donation): Donate - Father McKenna CenterMark's Claude Discussion Link: ClaudeTestfolio Comparison of Sample Accumulation Portfolios: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation | testfolioBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:A tiny Treasury headline can spark a full-blown “the system is ending” spiral, and we get why. So we slow it down and look at what actually matters for investors: how policy actions, inflation expectations, and interest-rate narratives ripple through stocks, long-term Treasury bonds, gold, commodities, and managed futures and why trying to predict the next move usually makes portfolios worse, not better.We also share a meaningful community update as our listener donations push the Father McKenna Center's Top of the T-Shirt campaign back into a leading spot. The money helps keep real services running for people who need it, and it also reinforces a theme we come back to often: investing is a tool, not the point. Time is limited, behavior matters, and a steady plan beats a dramatic one.From there we tackle an accumulation-phase question that a lot of DIY investors wrestle with: how to split large-cap growth (VUG) with small-cap value (VIOV or AVUV), where to place each fund across taxable, Roth, and pre-tax accounts, and why we don't assume one style will “win” forever. We dig into the logic of rebalancing and “Shannon's demon,” plus when it makes sense to upgrade fund choices and when switching creates avoidable tax pain. Then we close with our weekly market snapshot and performance across the eight sample portfolios, including the more volatile leveraged experiments.If you found this helpful, subscribe, share it with a friend who's doom-scrolling financial news, and leave us a rating and review so more investors can find the show.Support the show
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is trying to force down US Treasury yields with surprise bond buybacks — and it isn't working. In this video we break down Bessent's activist debt management strategy, why doubling the Treasury's long-dated buybacks is a bet on falling interest rates funded by short-term bills, and why his old boss Stanley Druckenmiller publicly tore the plan apart in a Wall Street Journal op-ed ("Let the Bond Market Speak"). We look at the collision with new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh after Jackson Hole, the 50% tariffs on Canada and the Mark Carney feud, "Operation Economic Outcast" and the secondary-sanctions problem with China and Iranian oil, the GENIUS Act and crypto's role in sanctions evasion, and Stephen Miran's case for the defense. The through-line: you can't trade around arithmetic. When a government goes to war with market prices, the bond market has an infinite balance sheet — and prices tend to win.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle
Jon Turek is the founder and CEO of JST Advisors, a hedge fund advisory service that publishes a weekly research note with global macro trade ideas. JST Advisors works closely with hedge funds on developing asymmetric macro trade ideas and market themes. Outside of JST Advisors, Jon worked as a portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and as an analyst at Moore Capital. In this podcast, we discuss: The Substack Divide of Equities vs. Macro The Buy-Side Paradox of PM Asymmetry and Pod Reality The "Owl" Fed and Political Optimisation over Conviction The Trillion-Dollar AI Fiscal Program The Death of the 2010s Savings Glut Treasury Buybacks and "Whack-A-Mole" Markets Europe's Impending China Tariff Shock The Simmering Geopolitical In-Between for Oil
Today's show takes up the topic of the American Empire in decline. It's the first summary preview of my forthcoming book, available in early September, "The Twilight of American Imperialism", Clarity Press, 2026. What does it mean to say 'decline'? What are the indicators? They're not just geopolitical—i.e. rise of BRICS, lost US wars, disputes with allies, fracturing military alliances, etc. All empires run on money and the American is running out of enough to fund the accelerating costs of empire. It is now experiencing an accelerating financial crisis as costs of Empire accelerate faster than revenues to fund it. As a result, the empire's Practices have begun to fail and its Institutions under-perform. The book covers the period 1992 through 2026, focusing in large part on Trump 2025-26 and policies now accelerating the decline. Today's show concludes by revisiting the crisis in the US Treasury market—the main means for debt financing of the Empire--emerging in recent weeks and explains how it is related to the main theme of the book.
In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire details how China's gold accumulation and the expanding Hong Kong SGE physical corridor are forcing a repricing of gold, while global central bank holdings overtake US Treasury reserves.As the Fed finds itself increasingly trapped between shrinking paper liquidity and rising physical demand, Andrew examines whether Bessant's push for lower yields is a policy error, or a signal that gold revaluation is closer than markets think. Send your questions to Andy here: https://www.speakpipe.com/LFTVTimestamps: 00:00 Start02:37 Why gold's breakout is structural, not driven by headlines06:34 China's 20-tonne July purchase and what the unreported flows reveal10:06 How Hong Kong's new exchange is already pulling gold east14:54 Why London's tokenised gold push is a defensive move, not a solution19:47 The Fed's trapped position. Is revaluation the only exit?24:12 Why gold has overtaken US Treasuries as the world's top reserve asset28:08 Bessant's yield push: major policy error or gold revaluation trigger?33:16 Short-term chart footprints and where physical support is building37:25 Silver's setup: why a break above the 200-day opens blue sky above $100Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/mr-k-gold-savings/Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.
Protect your purchasing power with silver. Visit Silver Team store here: https://bit.ly/Shop4SilverStanley Druckenmiller warns Scott Bessent against trying to suppress US Treasury bond yields as America's national debt hits $40 trillion. Why he says fixing the deficit is the durable answer.
When news broke last week that America’s national debt had surged to a record high of $US40 trillion, it was notable enough. If the US economy shakes, the rest of the globe feels it. And then came the kicker: Donald Trump suggested he could use the military to stage an “intervention” on bond markets. Today, international and political editor Peter Hartcher discusses the declining global confidence in the American dollar and the US Treasury – and what Trump will have to do to avoid a global financial crisis. Background reading: How is Trump weakening American power? Let me count the ways The Morning Edition brings you the story behind the story with the best journalists in Australia. Join host Samantha Selinger-Morris, from the newsrooms of The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age, weekdays from 5am. If you enjoyed this episode and want to hear more, rate, review and subscribe on Apple, Spotify, YouTube or whichever platform you find your pods.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
David Daoud and Edmund Fitton-Brown examine UNIFIL's mandate, which restricts it to acting as an auxiliary to the Lebanese Armed Forces, preventing independent disarmament of Hezbollah. Consequently, Hezbollah operates freely near UN watchtowers and tunnel networks. Daoud argues that while new US Treasury sanctions expanding target parameters to include Iranian violations are positive, they fail to address Hezbollah's deep integration into Lebanon's socio-political fabric. To be effective, the West must treat Hezbollah as a Lebanese entity with sovereign responsibilities, rather than purely an Iranian proxy. True security requires targeting all of Hezbollah's activities, including its social and political wings. (5)
CONTENTS THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 8-24-2026.OTTAWAConrad Black and co-host Edmund Fitton-Brown discuss the collapse of trade negotiations and subsequent US tariff threats that have sparked a major political crisis in Canada, leading to opposition calls to immediately reconvene Parliament. Black describes a stark contrast in national attitudes, noting that President Trump's rhetoric effectively denies Canada's sovereignty. This perceived affront has deeply united Canadians across party lines, who view the tariffs as an assault on national identity rather than a mere commercial dispute. Black highlights potential Republican electoral fallout in key US Senate races like Maine and Michigan, and suggests a bilateral phone call could resolve the dispute. (1)Janatyn Sayeh and Edmund Fitton-Brown examine Iranian official Ghalibaf's public appearance in Iraq, signaling defiance to the US and Israel before secondary sanctions are revealed. Sayeh explains that Iran views Iraq as its backyard, using it to evade sanctions by blending Iranian oil with Iraqi exports. Under President Trump, US economic scrutiny on Iraq has increased to block this smuggling. While maximum pressure has devalued Iran's currency and caused hyperinflation, Iran aims to overwhelm Washington by utilizing its regional proxy networks across Yemen, Lebanon, and Iraq. The US must view these proxies as Iranian arms rather than local actors. (2)Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa, with Edmund Fitton-Brown: In Brazil, falling poll numbers have panicked President Lula, prompting him to call Donald Trump despite years of anti-American rhetoric. Araújo explains this reflects the US's central role in combating South American "narcosocialist" regimes. Meanwhile, in Venezuela, Delcyand Jorge Rodríguez are simulating cooperation with the US while delaying presidential elections to buy time. Peña Esclusa notes that Venezuelan opposition members are negotiating Supreme Court appointments rather than election dates or political prisoners. Both guests will attend Slovenia's Bled Strategic Forum to discuss Latin America's right-wing political shift and potential energy partnerships with Europe. (3)Malcolm Hoenlein and Edmund Fitton-Brown discuss rising security concerns in Israel after incendiary balloons from Gaza were discovered, potentially testing Israel's border preparedness. Concurrently, Turkey is expanding its regional footprint, occupying 5% of Syria and attempting to establish military bases, which Israel countered with airstrikes. In Gaza, Jared Kushner met with Hamas in Cairo, a move that critics argue bolsters the group's status despite declining local support. Meanwhile, the US Treasury has previewed secondary sanctions on Iranian trading partners, including China. Iran's economy is in collapse, with inflation skyrocketing and the currency reaching an all-time low. (4)David Daoud and Edmund Fitton-Brown examine UNIFIL's mandate, which restricts it to acting as an auxiliary to the Lebanese Armed Forces, preventing independent disarmament of Hezbollah. Consequently, Hezbollah operates freely near UN watchtowers and tunnel networks. Daoud argues that while new US Treasury sanctions expanding target parameters to include Iranian violations are positive, they fail to address Hezbollah's deep integration into Lebanon's socio-political fabric. To be effective, the West must treat Hezbollah as a Lebanese entity with sovereign responsibilities, rather than purely an Iranian proxy. True security requires targeting all of Hezbollah's activities, including its social and political wings. (5)Ivana Stradner and Edmund Fitton-Brown analyze Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's visit to Belgrade, which does not signal a split between Serbia and Russia. President Vučić's weapons sales to Ukraine are merely lucrative business deals. Serbia remains highly dependent on Russia, sharing deep intelligence ties and cooperating with the FSB to test crowd-control equipment. Vučić balances these relationships to survive domestic protests sparked by environmental concerns and a severe heatwave. Stradner, recently returning from Israel, reports that Israeli morale remains exceptionally high despite facing a multi-front threat from Iran's proxy network, which Russia continues to exploit through regional propaganda and strategic manipulation. (6)Edmund Fitton-Brown critiques the term "economic D-Day," explaining that Pakistan's mediation in Iran is self-interested, driven by fears of secondary US sanctions. These sanctions have suffocated Iran's economy, reducing oil exports and sparking hyperinflation. Iraq also struggles with contradictory policies, balancing its US alliance with pro-Iranian gestures, such as securing tanker passage through the Strait of Hormuz. In the Red Sea, the Houthis demand tribute from Saudi Arabia to halt attacks on tankers and pipelines. Fitton-Brown warns that paying the Houthis only delays their long-term expansionist goals against Saudi territory and Israel. (7)Samuel Ben-Ur and Edmund Fitton-Brown discuss how, following a temporary lull, Hamas has intensified attacks in Gaza, emboldened by disarmament frameworks proposed by Egyptian, Qatari, and Turkish mediators. Ben-Ur notes Hamas only accepted the deal under the pretense of disarming while intending to survive intact. However, following Jared Kushner's visit, the US aligned with Israel's stance, demanding total disarmament before military withdrawal. Fitton-Brown and Ben-Ur discuss the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (ENCAG), a secular government planned to replace Hamas. Lacking military power, ENCAG's deployment depends on an international stabilization force, though troop commitments remain severely short. (8)Michael Sobolik and Edmund Fitton-Brown examine how Chinese AI company Moonshot bypassed US export controls by "distilling" technology from Anthropic's Claude Opus model to train its own system, Kimi K3. This intellectual property theft threatens American market dominance and national security. Sobolik recommends three policy actions: imposing crushing financial sanctions on violating Chinese firms, closing export control loopholes related to remote cloud access, and banning open CCP models in the United States. He warns that American tech companies prioritizing short-term profits over security risk losing the AI race, mirroring historical patterns of Chinese piracy. (9)John Hardie and Edmund Fitton-Brown outline Russia's military assistance to Iran via the Caspian Sea, a highly secure transit route. This collaboration benefits Moscow by raising energy prices and draining US munition stockpiles like Patriot interceptors, giving Russia a freer hand in Ukraine. Russia provides Iran with tactical intelligence, drone components to resist satellite jamming, and has agreed to deliver shoulder-launched air defense missiles. While Ukraine and Israel have attempted long-range strikes against trade vessels and ports to disrupt this flow, interdiction is difficult because the Caspian Sea operates as a protected, non-transparent Russian-Iranian military lake. (10)Standing corrections applied: Janatyn Sayeh, Ernesto Araújo, Alejandro Peña Esclusa, Delcy Rodríguez (and Jorge Rodríguez), Zelenskyy, Vučić with diacritics, and Kimi K3 (source again had "Kimmy"). One anomaly in the source: segment 7 listed Fitton-Brown as both guest and co-host, so I've formatted it as his solo segment — flag it if there was a second voice in that file.
Malcolm Hoenlein and Edmund Fitton-Brown discuss rising security concerns in Israel after incendiary balloons from Gaza were discovered, potentially testing Israel's border preparedness. Concurrently, Turkey is expanding its regional footprint, occupying 5% of Syria and attempting to establish military bases, which Israel countered with airstrikes. In Gaza, Jared Kushner met with Hamas in Cairo, a move that critics argue bolsters the group's status despite declining local support. Meanwhile, the US Treasury has previewed secondary sanctions on Iranian trading partners, including China. Iran's economy is in collapse, with inflation skyrocketing and the currency reaching an all-time low. (4)
The White House has threatened sanctions on any country that trades with Iran in another bid to economically isolate the country, as US military efforts falter. Launching what he called Operation Economic Outcast, the US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, compared it with D-day. China, Iran's biggest trading partner, has already signalled that it will not cooperate with Trump's attack on the Iranian economy. Lucy Hough speaks to Julian Borger, senior international correspondent – watch on YouTube. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus
Crypto News: Bitcoin rallies to $80,000 and altcoins are on the move with may signals flashing the crypto bull market is here. Coinbase tokenized stocks go live on Base with Chainlink price feeds. Standard Chartered becomes first bank to distribute Hong Kong dollar stablecoin.
In this Crypto Water Cooler episode, Tony and Amanda discuss Bitcoin's recent rally and whether the crypto bull market has finally returned, the SEC's new Regulation Crypto guidance, Citibank's launch of Bitcoin custody services, Goldman Sachs' Bitcoin ETF acquisition, and much more.
US Treasury sanctioned nearly 60 Iran-linked entities, people and vessels across nuclear, missile, cyber and oil networks.US President Trump is making calls to world leaders to cut economic ties with Iran and that the US expects actions from other nations and, if others do not act, the Treasury will unilaterally act.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said there will be a wave of sanctions after this, with a major financial institution expected to be sanctioned by the end of the week.Iran's Economy Minister said the country is fully prepared for the US sanctions and that they cannot cut off Iran's financial arteries.US is said to eye 7.5% China overcapacity tariffs before the Trump-Xi talks, according to multiple reports.APAC stocks were mixed following the subdued lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German GDP Final (Q2), Ifo Expectations (Aug), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, House Price Index (Jun), US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug). Riksbank Minutes (Aug), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Aug)., Supply from UK, Germany and US. Earnings from Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US government is warning countries who do business to with Iran. Trade tensions are escalating between the US and Canada. We have an update on a raging wildfire in Nevada that's forced tens of thousands to evacuate. The US military carried out its latest deadly strike against an alleged drug boat. And, an NFL team owner's run-in with the law. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok comments on the economic impact of the the US Treasury's strategic debt buyback operations. Speaking with Bloomberg's Romaine Bostick, Slok also discusses the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
SHARESIES · MARKET MOVEMENTS · 24 AUGUST 2026Jacki Neumann, Head of Capital Markets at Sharesies Note: Filmed Monday 24 August ↑ WHAT’S UP — The materials sector outperformed the broader ASX, rising 5.6%: BHP's underlying profit jumped 30%, with copper overtaking iron ore as its biggest earnings contributor for the first time, while Evolution Mining rallied over 16%. Healthcare climbed more than 9% driven by CSL and Cochlear, and the NZX 50 bucked the global trend to add 0.9%. ↓ WHAT'S DOWN US stocks fell under the weight of bond yields, with the S&P 500 down 1.4% and the Nasdaq 2%. The ASX 200 slipped 0.6%, with local losses led by banks. NAB dropped 7.7% and the sector fell 5.5% after home loan applications slid 15%, while JB Hi-Fi lost over 10%. ! BIGGEST SURPRISES Bond yields were the big story. The 30-year US Treasury yield pushed above 5.3% for the first time since 2007 and the 10-year near 4.7% as national debt topped US$40 trillion for the first time. The Treasury's expanded buybacks to ease the pressure didn’t hold, with yields retracing most of their decline by week's end. ◎ WHAT TO WATCH New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gives his first keynote on Thursday, while Nvidia's results land Wednesday and Australian reporting rolls on with Coles, Woolworths, Wesfarmers and Qantas. On the data front, RBA minutes are due Tuesday and Australian July CPI Wednesday, alongside key US inflation and GDP prints mid-week. ◈ BIGGER PICTURE Attention is turning to climbing long-dated US yields, with fiscal concerns and sticky inflation pressuring equities even as the Treasury tries to intervene. Down under, reporting season shows a divergence on the ASX: a cooling housing market weighing on banks, while the miners and biotech CSL rise. With rising unemployment but consumers gaining confidence on the RBA's hold, Australia sends mixed signals heading into a pivotal week. Disclaimer: Sharesies Market Movements is brought to you by Sharesies Australia Limited (ABN 94 648 811 830; AFSL 529893) in Australia and Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand. This video is general market commentary and educational in nature. It is not financial advice and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Information is current at the time of recording and may be subject to change. We do not provide recommendations and nothing in this video should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product. Investing involves risk. You might lose the money you start with. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. If you require personal financial advice, you should consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser. Our disclosure documents and terms and conditions, including a Target Market Determination and IDPS Guide for Sharesies Australian customers, are available on our relevant Australian or NZ website. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Moves by the US Treasury to intervene in the bond market failed to bring down yields meaningfully, and the continuing worsening of the US's fiscal position may explain why. According to Chris Holdsworth, Global Chief Investment Officer, Investec Investment Management, the US's debt-to-GDP ratio is above 100% and seems set to remain above that level, with tax hikes politically unpalatable and little room to cut spending in areas such as defense, healthcare and social security. Investec Focus Radio SA
REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceIt's "crunch time" for the bond market.So says seasoned investor Bill Fleckenstein, given that bond yields have risen so far so quickly that the US Treasury is now stepping in to contain the long end of the curve.What does he think is most likely to happen next for the markets?And which assets is he sitting in right now in preparation?To find out the answers to these important questions & more, watch this video.#bonds #bondyields #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceAfter a rip-roaring rally that began in April, sending the market to new all-time highs, the S&P is now cooling off.Is this just a short breather before stocks race back to new highs soon?Probably not, thinks portfolio manager Lance Roberts.He assesses that the downside risks outweigh the upside ones, and that a correction of about 10% or so is the most likely outcome over coming weeks.He and I discuss why he thinks so, as well as the US Treasury's version of Operation Twist that launched this week, the future massive potential impact of stablecoins and, as usual, Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap#marketcorrection #inflation #stablecoins _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis MSA to the show. Michael Oliver opens the discussion by highlighting what he considers the most explosive signal in his decades-long career: the historic undervaluation of gold and silver miners relative to gold. He explained that for decades, the XAU index averaged around 25% of the gold price, but this ratio has collapsed and is currently trading near 9%. Oliver pointed to a critical technical breakout occurring in the GDX-to-gold spread, which is moving above a 13-year resistance range. This breakout, he argued, is a powerful signal not just for miners to vastly outperform the metal, but also for an impending dramatic price advance in gold itself, as the spread only rises during precious metals bull runs. The conversation shifted to the broader macroeconomic backdrop, where Oliver identified a “nuclear” government bond crisis as the primary catalyst. He warned that the US Treasury market is far larger than the stock market and is now slipping into quarter-century lows in price, reflecting extreme distrust among investors. Oliver stated that central banks will have no choice but to print money aggressively to defend their debt markets, which will further degrade the currency unit and propel gold higher. He believes this environment will force large asset managers to rotate out of an overvalued stock market, where key financial sector ETFs are showing imminent technical breakdowns, into a vastly underpriced commodity sector. Regarding other commodities, Oliver maintained that silver is the single most explosive market, being historically repressed relative to gold and the broader money supply. He suggested that if silver merely caught up to the rise seen in other metals since the 1980s, a price of $500 would not be shocking. On oil, he argued it remains vastly underpriced relative to both its historical highs and the decay of the dollar, predicting a broad repricing of commodities as an asset class. Finally, Oliver cautioned that the US dollar index is on the verge of a sharp decline, breaking down from a year-long consolidation, which could accelerate gold's rally and inflict further damage on US equities. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:08 – Miners Relative Value to Gold 00:02:27 – GDX Spread Chart Analysis 00:05:44 – Breakout Implications for Miners 00:08:30 – Precious Metals and Bond Crisis 00:11:15 – US Government Bond Market Crisis 00:16:30 – Financial Sector Momentum Breakdown 00:19:03 – Capital Rotation and Liquidity 00:21:38 – Gold History Versus Stocks 00:25:15 – Silver Explosive Upside Potential 00:28:20 – Inflation & Debt Expansion 00:31:00 – Commodities Oil and Asset Shift 00:41:45 – Dollar Index Implications 00:43:35 – Platinum Group Elements Outlook 00:44:52 – MSA Details & Dollar Crisis Guest Links: Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/ X: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSA Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5 Email: mailto:michaeloliver@olivermsa.com Email MSA above, and they will send you this week’s report for free, which covers many of the topics from this interview. J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s, Mike began to develop his proprietary momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992, the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical analysis. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.
If an AI Crash Happens, It Will Be 5x Worse Than Dot-Com Bubble PoppingIn this episode of Macro, Micro and Small Cap News, we examine two major macro developments pointing to aggressive financial engineering.First, US national debt crosses $40 trillion, pushing 30-year Treasury yields to near 20-year highs. We break down the US Treasury's bond buyback programme and why funding it with short-term T-bills introduces severe rollover risk into the financial system.Second, we analyze the AI earnings bubble and circular funding structures involving Nvidia, hyperscalers, and neocloud providers like CoreWeave. We explore what happens if commercial AI monetization continues to lag behind massive infrastructure capex.We also cover market movements in Gold and Bitcoin, followed by company research on UK-listed small caps: gaming publisher Everplay (EVPL) following the launch of Hell Let Loose: Vietnam, and SaaS provider Cerillion (CER).Special Summer OfferGet 40% off membership to the Sharepickers Investment Club with our Summer Special discount: Discount Code: POD40 (Capital letters, no spaces) Offer Price: £149 (reduced from £249) Expiry Date: 31st August 2026 How to Claim: Visit Sharepickers.com, scroll down to the checkout section, and enter POD40 in the "Have a Coupon" field. Show Notes Macro Story 1: US National Debt Crosses $40 Trillion Contextualizing $40 trillion: servicing costs exceeding $1 trillion annually and debt reaching roughly 120% of US GDP. Surging 30-year Treasury yields reaching ~5.3% and the impact on borrowing costs. US Treasury bond buyback expansion funded via short-term T-bills and the resulting rollover risk. Macro Story 2: The AI Earnings Bubble & Circular Deals The divergence between massive capex spend on data centers/GPUs and realized end-user software revenues. Hyperscaler cash flow pressures in the race for market dominance. Case study of circular vendor financing structures, accounting useful life vs. debt maturities, and index concentration risks. Market Movements: Commodities & Crypto Spiking bond yields driving Gold's rally. Bitcoin price strength, short liquidations, and US administration commentary regarding digital asset purchases. Small-Cap Stock Research Everplay (EVPL): Early SteamDB concurrent user data and estimated gross unit sales for Hell Let Loose: Vietnam, alongside its importance to H2 2026 weighting. Cerillion (CER): Review of H1 performance, the £42.5m Omantel contract, an expanding back-order book (£56m+), £31m cash position with zero debt, and moving average technicals. About The SharePickers Investment ClubThe SharePickers Investment Club employs a unique, systematic method to uncover small, profitable companies on the London Stock Exchange.Each potential investment undergoes comprehensive analysis and is evaluated against 15 crucial financial metrics. This fact-based, quantitative approach allows us to pinpoint high-potential growth businesses and deliver consistent results, bypassing the hype and focusing strictly on the numbers.Learn more at www.sharepickers.com.
This week's indicators: EV sales sputter in North America but flutter internationally; U.S. Treasury Yields … RISE!; a low-budget movie so terrible, it became a box office hit in China. Fact checking by Julia RitcheyYour Next Listen — The story of China and Hollywood's big-screen romanceConnect with The Indicator — Sign up for The Indicator's weekly newsletter! — Buy the Planet Money book — Find our socials, YouTube and more! — For sponsor-free episodes, subscribe to NPR+Support public media with NPR+ and enjoy perks for over 25 podcasts like this one. This show's perks include sponsor-free listening. Learn more at plus.npr.org.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
Arthur Hayes unveils Flop, a new protocol for AI compute, and makes the case for why Bitcoin is entering a fresh liquidity-driven leg up. ======================================================== Thank you to our sponsor! Visit 1inch.com to swap tokenized securities, crypto and more. Simple. Secure. Self-custodial. Whatever asset you're buying - swap it at 1inch.com ======================================================== Bitcoin has been pumping in its sharpest move since March, after the US Treasury said it would double its long-end bond buybacks, and traders liquidated $1.44 billion in short positions within hours. Arthur Hayes, CEO of Flop Labs and CIO of Maelstrom, joins Laura Shin to argue the rally is proof the Treasury and the Fed are already running what he calls soft yield curve control, defending the 10-year near 5% by funding long-end purchases with short-term bill issuance instead of admitting real yields cannot rise. Hayes reiterates his year-end $5,000 target for ETH, traces how Japan's yen crisis could force the Fed's hand, and argues the AI CapEx boom is a real estate bet on depreciating chips that ends like subprime did. He also unveils Flop, his currency for AI agents, and why he is taking on a new CEO role after an already successful career. He also weighs in on Saylor's $218 million Bitcoin sale and reflects on his and his cofounders' decision to shut BitMEX down. Host: Laura Shin, Host / Unchained Guest: Arthur Hayes - CEO of Flop Labs and CIO of Maelstrom Timestamps
Top of mind for the Inside Economics team this week is the surge in long-term interest rates. Colleague Martin Wurm joins the conversation to unpack why rates have risen so sharply, assess whether the U.S. Treasury's efforts to stem the increase will work, and consider the risk of a much more serious bond market sell-off. Fundamentally, the only real solution is for the nation to address its darkening fiscal outlook. Hmmm…. Guest: Martin Wurm Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's Analytics Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at InsideEconomics@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Bitcoin gained roughly $12,000 on the week, and the hosts read the second leg through $72,000 as evidence of real buying rather than short liquidations alone Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day moving average and pushed roughly 20% above its 200-week, after six weeks of trading along that longer average in the mid to low sixties Isaiah cites the market adage that nothing good happens below the 200-day, and notes that breaking back above it with strength is what makes the move notable James Check's realized profit and loss work frames bear markets in three phases, price pain, time pain, and bears in pain, with this week marking the third Brady and Isaiah revisit a thesis they have argued on the show for over a year, that ETFs and corporate treasury demand would put a floor under this cycle The drawdown reached roughly 50% from the $126,000 high, against 75% to 83% in the three previous bear markets, which the hosts attribute partly to a more restrained bull market and partly to declining volatility as Bitcoin monetizes The US Treasury bought about $4 billion of long-dated bonds to pull yields down, the effect lasted about 24 hours, and Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled larger and more frequent purchases ahead Isaiah compares the operation to Operation Twist and calls it quantitative easing by another name, monetizing debt without using the term, with no political will to curtail spending The hosts discuss capital potentially rotating back to Bitcoin from AI, where frontier labs are spending heavily without profitability while open source models close the gap The conversation closes on what debasement costs beyond prices, first-time buyers reaching their forties, delayed family formation, and the disappearance of building for generations rather than quarters ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin
Crypto News: Bitcoin's price rallies to $75,000 liquidating bears shorting as the US Treasury increases debt buybacks. Evernorth eyes DeFi opportunities as XRP Ledger weighs native lending. Elon Musk's X is exploring stablecoins to pay influencers and content providers.⭐️⛏️ GoMining is an All-in-one Bitcoin superapp to mine, earn and use BTC. They have 5 Million+ users and have been live since 2021. - https://link.gomining.com/c/2569792/3988365/54916
CannCon and Chris Paul kick off Friday with a jaw dropping Michael Cohen and President Trump interview that has to be heard to be believed, complete with polling talk, a recantation, and a level of chumminess that raises real questions about the entire Manhattan case. From there they cover growing frustration with the Senate over stalled appointments heading into the midterms, plus a Mike Lindell announcement about the largest privately funded recount audit in US history following alleged reporting anomalies in Minnesota's governor primary. They also unpack Scott Bessent's sharp exchange on tariff refunds and who the US Treasury actually belongs to, before turning to federal agents seizing Eric Swalwell's devices under a statute the hosts find genuinely puzzling. Expect the usual banter, some Jill Biden commentary, and a few detours you will not see coming.
The Treasury just told markets not to trust their own eyes. Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, and Liam Nelson put four stories on the clock. They break down the US Treasury more than doubling its bond buyback program, from a $2 billion cap to a $4 billion floor, in an attempt to cap bond yields, only for 30-year yields to erase the intervention and climb back toward multi-decade highs within 24 hours, right after Treasury Secretary Bessent said the yields "do not reflect the underlying fundamentals." OpenAI has reportedly paused a round of frontier-model post-training over safety concerns, just as Alibaba's open-source Qwen model closes the gap on the frontier labs while running on a laptop. Moderna and Merck's personalized cancer vaccine cleared a major late-stage trial milestone, sending both stocks sharply higher. And New York City is weighing grants for local grocers to help them compete with Mayor Mamdani's government-run grocery stores. Where's the signal, and where's the noise?---
As the Asian market crashed, we now see the US Treasury admitted the long end of the bond market is broken. Meanwhile Japan, still the number 1 foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries is dumping them to fund currency interventions. What does this mean for the Dollar? Today Pastor Stan explains! 00:00 Eight DVD Offer WatchProphecyClub 05:12 Devaluing of the Dollar 06:01 Asian Market Crash 12:31 Iran Conflict 15:47 Digital Dollar 17:14 Red Flags
As the Asian market crashed, we now see the US Treasury admitted the long end of the bond market is broken. Meanwhile Japan, still the number 1 foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries is dumping them to fund currency interventions. What does this mean for the Dollar? Today Pastor Stan explains! 00:00 Eight DVD Offer WatchProphecyClub 05:12 Devaluing of the Dollar 06:01 Asian Market Crash 12:31 Iran Conflict 15:47 Digital Dollar 17:14 Red Flags
J.P. Morgan's FX strategists discuss the outlook for the USD and other currencies in the wake of the US Treasury's unexpected increase in long-end bond buybacks. Speakers: Arindam Sandilya Meera Chandan Patrick Locke James Nelligan This podcast was recorded on 21 August 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS- 5416260 -0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Shan Husain in FI FX Sales to discuss the fallout for the US dollar following the US Treasury announcement of increase UST bond buybacks on Wednesday. The dollar drop over the four weeks covering Japan/US FX intervention is the largest since the period following the Liberation Day announcements last year. Washington policy has again undermined confidence and depressing bond yields brings USD downside risks. However, it might not be one-way traffic given the US-iran risk persists and higher energy prices could discourage foreign currency buying.
Shares in vaccine-maker Moderna lept after it reported successful trial results for an experimental cancer vaccine, and the US Treasury department will at least double the size of its buyback of long-term government debt. Plus, top US legal firms are sparking controversy for hiring students in their first few months of law school and Irish pubs are disappearing. Mentioned in this podcast:US Treasury to double buybacks of long-term government debtModerna shares double on melanoma vaccine trial successTop US law firms hit by backlash over ‘crazy' hiring of first-year studentsDeath stalks the Irish pubWant to get in touch? Email us at podcasts@ft.comNote: The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts The FT News Briefing is produced by Victoria Craig, Sonja Hutson, Saffeya Ahmed, and Katya Kumkova. Our editor is Marc Filippino. Our show is mixed by Sam Giovinco and Alex Higgins. Additional help from Gavin Kallmann, Michael Lello, Peter Barber and David da Silva. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Flo Phillips is the FT's global head of audio. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, looking of course at the impact of the US Treasury's increase of its treasury buyback program and the knock-on effects across asset markets, particularly the plunge in the US dollar versus hard- and even more so crypto assets. Importantly, we don't feel we have all of the answers, but hopefully we are asking some of the most important questions and pointing out the pivotal developments to watch as we head for what is now a much higher stakes Jackson Hole appearance by Fed Chair Warsh next week, after the Treasury has sent this critical signal. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
US equity futures are modestly lower, while Asian equities are mostly higher, and European equities are slightly softer. The Treasury rally remains a key market focus after the US Treasury announced an increase in long-dated debt buybacks, although questions remain over whether the move can sustainably contain longer-term yields. July FOMC minutes were somewhat dovish on the inflation outlook but did little to change rate expectations. Middle East developments remain an influence through energy markets, while the US has announced an intensified economic pressure campaign against Iran without providing specific details.Companies Mentioned: Banco Santander, Webster Financial Corp, JD, CECONOMY
The Last Trade: the US Treasury just doubled its long-dated debt buybacks, turning a $2B daily cap into a $4B daily floor, and long yields fell, gold jumped $100 an ounce, and Bitcoin ripped a five thousand dollar candle. Jackson, Michael, and Brian make the case that this is the opening move of yield curve control and the Bitcoin thesis playing out in real time. They also cover Citi confirming Bitcoin custody, the Trezor shipping breach, and why the flight into ETFs is the wrong lesson.---
Jonathan Liang discusses the US Treasury expanded treasury buyback program and its implication across asset classesSpeaker:- Jonathan Liang, Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income and FX, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
US President Trump announced sweeping economic measures against Iran and threatened consequences for countries or entities supporting Tehran.US President Trump said Iran negotiations may be at some point, while he reiterated Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon and said oil prices will be a lot lower when this is over.10yr UST futures marginally extended on the prior day's gains after long-end yields fell in response to the US Treasury announcement yesterday.FOMC Minutes from the July meeting stated that most participants assessed that higher rates would likely be necessary if inflation did not fall; little reaction seen on the release.APAC stocks were predominantly higher following a similar positive lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a subdued cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German PPI (Jul), Canadian PPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 15), New Zealand Trade Data (Jul), Riksbank Policy Announcement (Aug). Comments from Riksbank's Thedeen. Supply from France, Earnings from Walmart & Alibaba.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced sweeping economic measures against Iran and threatened consequences for countries or entities supporting Tehran.US President Trump reportedly told his negotiating team that the chances of an agreement with Iran have become slim, according to Al Arabiya, citing sources.US equity futures are muted; focus to be on Walmart earnings.DXY extends on Wednesday's losses; NZD outperforms while AUD completely pares the employment report weakness.USTs give back some of the gains driven by the US Treasury announcement.Energy benchmarks higher despite contained APAC trade following Trump's economic update (Brent +2.5%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 15), New Zealand Trade Data (Jul). Comments from Fed's Daly and US President Trump. Earnings from Walmart.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
AlabamaUNA now under scrutiny by 2 US House committees re: programs with ties to CCP and ChinaSen. Tuberville not afraid to tell the truth about future of Social Security so that a fix can be foundSoS Wes Allen applauds US Treasury decision that removes red tape for small businesses2 members of a Montgomery funded program to reduce violence have run into trouble with the lawMobile City council approves purchasing 2 drones to be used by cityAmtrak reaches one year mark since launching the Mardi Gras ServiceNationalUS Census Bureau crosschecking effort shows 24K non citizens voted in 2020Trump endorsed Byron Donalds wins GOP primary in Florida governor's raceAn associate of Dr. Fauci during Covid 19 reaches plea deal with Feds for conspiracy to defy Federal Records ActA MN man is sentenced to prison for fraud scheme within Child Nutrition programThe AG for MN wants to extradite an ICE agent for charges after illegal alien is shot during immigration operationsMI sheriff Dar Leaf makes referral to DOJ after discovery of illegal aliens being registered to vote
Current geopolitical events continue to expose just how complex and fragile our global economic system is. As such, The Great Simplification team is re-releasing this episode with Ed Conway, which covers the deceptively critical materials that continue to underpin everything from the phone in your hand to the house that you live in. In contrast to 'The Great Simplification', some might call the events of the last few hundred years a 'Great Complexification' in terms of relationships, governance, supply chains, and many other human activities. This conversation with economics journalist Ed Conway focuses on the six essential resources that underpin our modern economies – sand, salt, iron, copper, oil, and lithium - and dives into the (often unseen) environmental and human costs of extracting them, as well as the surprisingly fragile global supply chains they fuel. In order to understand what possibilities – and dangers – may await us in the future, we need to understand the realities and constraints of the present, as well as the failure points of the past. What does it take to mine, refine, and transform the materials that are foundational to the world around us – which many of us now take for granted? How can we ensure the stability of global supply chains, and could we predict potential disruptions and chokepoints before they arise? If we understood the intricate web of complexity, energy, and resources that go into everything we consume, would it change our expectations for how much we need in order to live a good and fulfilling life? (Conversation originally released June 12th, 2024 | Recorded on May 7th, 2024) About Ed Conway: Ed Conway is the economics and data editor at Sky News, covering major UK and international economics, business and political stories. He has broken a series of exclusive reports on the banking and financial crisis. He is also economics columnist for The Times, and has been one of the longest-running economics editors in UK journalism, having started covering the sector in 2003. Prior to joining Sky, he was economics editor of The Daily Telegraph and The Sunday Telegraph, where he was also a weekly op-ed columnist, and economics correspondent at the Daily Mail. Ed is the author of the book on Bretton Woods, The Summit: The Biggest Battle Of The Second World War – Fought Behind Closed Doors and an economics guidebook, 50 Economics Ideas You Really Need to Know. His 2024 book Material World, was nominated as one of the Financial Times Book of the Year. Ed is a governor of the National Institute for Economic and Social Research, and has lectured on the international monetary system at the London School of Economics, the US Treasury and many other forums. Show Notes and More Watch this video episode on YouTube Want to learn the broad overview of The Great Simplification in 30 minutes? Watch our Animated Movie. --- Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future Join our Substack newsletter Join our Hylo channel and connect with other listeners
Protect your purchasing power with silver. Visit Silver Team store here: https://bit.ly/Shop4SilverTreasury buybacks, 30-year yields, gold and QE Lite take center stage after the US Treasury announced it will at least double longer-dated buyback operations. Yields tumbled, stock futures surged and gold broke higher following the announcement.
In July 2026, the US Treasury did something it hadn't done since 1998: it intervened in the currency markets to prop up the Japanese yen — and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a former Soros hedge fund manager, ran the trade in the strangest way possible, selling euros instead of dollars without telling the ECB. But this was never really about Japan. It was about protecting American borrowing costs at a moment when the US is paying more to borrow than it has in decades — with 30-year Treasury yields hitting their highest since 2001. This video breaks down the US-Japan yen intervention, the carry trade, the FIMA facility, and Bessent's huge bet on falling interest rates, and asks the real question underneath it all: is the Treasury Secretary a visionary macro trader, or a cornered man making an enormous gamble with the balance sheet of the United States? A look at currency intervention, the eroding "exorbitant privilege" of the dollar, and why America's cheap borrowing may be coming to an end.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle
Today's guest is Luke Gromen, founder of the macro research firm Forest for the Trees, or FFTT. In today's episode, Luke argues that free trade is dead, and the US is pivoting to Hamiltonian economics: tariffs, reshoring, and a neutral reserve asset. He explains why the US Treasury can no longer be the world's reserve asset, why long bonds have become certificates of confiscation, and why gold belongs in every portfolio. To close, Luke explains why AI has become a snake eating its own tail on the government's tax base. (0:00) Introduction (2:38) The Stupid Washington Consensus and Hamiltonian Economics (9:14) Portfolio positioning and real rates in the current regime (15:19) Sponsor: Upwork (16:17) Importance of real returns and gold (21:18) US fiscal challenges and bond market outlook (27:21) Gold performance, allocation strategies, and diversification (35:09) Evaluating non-US equity markets and sectors (40:54) Investing in electricity and industrials (45:11) Risks, competition, and national security in the AI sector ----- Sponsor: Upwork is the world's largest human and AI-powered freelance marketplace to hire top talent—trusted by businesses and professionals worldwide. Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).
The US government quietly bailed out Japan. The Treasury intervened in the foreign exchange market to try to stabilize the yen, the Japanese currency. Ben Norton explains how this reflects a larger, structural problem with the dollar system. Japan is the largest holder of US Treasury securities (US government debt), and Washington doesn't want other countries to sell its bonds, fearing that yields could rise and cause a debt crisis. VIDEO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngGQrWxNdV4 Topics 0:00 USA bails out Japan 1:04 Japanese yen falls against USD 1:29 USA will "do whatever it takes" 2:21 Japan's holdings of US Treasuries 3:03 China de-dollarizes 3:31 US empire and Japan 4:26 Japan's role in dollar system 5:32 Carry trade 7:24 Wall Street benefits 8:24 Real reason for US intervention 9:39 US fears sales of its bonds 10:37 US bond yields rise 11:38 US government debt 12:14 Inflation in US 12:56 Foreign demand for US bonds 14:35 Seizure of Russian assets 16:06 Central banks buy gold 16:55 US bond market problems 17:58 US Treasury sells euro 19:37 Crisis in dollar system 22:07 Dollar dominance in decline 24:30 Why the yen is falling so much 24:51 Energy crisis and Iran War 26:57 Inflation in Japan 27:47 Interest rates in Japan 29:25 US govt backs carry trade 30:36 Economic stagnation in Japan 31:03 Enormous debt to GDP in Japan 33:10 US debt problems 33:44 Slow-motion financial crisis 34:46 Outro