Trader Merlin

Next stop… Florida

When headlines get loud and emotions run high, there's only one thing that keeps you grounded: the plan. In today's episode, we break down the latest war developments and a grim social media post from Donald Trump that rattled sentiment. Markets reacted—but not always in ways that make sense on the surface. That's where discipline comes in. I'll walk you through the changes I've made to the TraderMerlin portfolio, why those adjustments matter, and how sticking to a rule-based strategy helps cut through the noise when uncertainty is elevated. We'll also dive into viewer questions on the biggest current market movers—equities, commodities, and crypto—and how to approach them without getting pulled into emotional decision-making. Because at the end of the day, success in trading isn't about predicting every move… It's about consistently following your process. Listen now:

Another day… another deadline. In today's episode, we break down the latest ultimatum from Donald Trump to Iran, demanding action—or threatening escalation. The rhetoric is heating up fast, with warnings of major strikes if conditions aren't met, even as officials hint that negotiations may still be possible. And yet… markets barely flinched. That's the real story. While oil has surged above $110 and global tensions remain elevated, equities are showing resilience, suggesting traders may be discounting the headline risk—or betting this is just another round of political theater. So which is it? Real escalation… or just noise? We'll break down how markets are interpreting these developments, why price action isn't matching the headlines, and what that means for your trading decisions. We'll also dive into: Viewer Q&A on trading strategy and market positioning Broad market trends across equities, commodities, and crypto How to navigate a market driven by conflicting narratives Because right now, the challenge isn't lack of information… It's knowing which information actually matters. Listen now:

Volatility is back—and when markets get this chaotic, you want perspective grounded in experience. In today's episode, we welcome back Dr. Larry Jacobson to break down the forces driving today's highly volatile financial markets. From geopolitical tension and shifting policy expectations to rapid changes in technology and AI, there's no shortage of moving pieces—and no shortage of confusion. We'll connect the dots between: Ongoing global conflict and war dynamics The evolving AI and tech landscape The impact of upcoming midterm elections on markets A fundamental analysis perspective on where value and risk exist today This isn't surface-level commentary—this is a big-picture discussion designed to help you understand what's really driving markets right now. Because when volatility rises, clarity becomes your edge. Listen now:

One of the most anticipated IPOs in history may finally be on the horizon. In today's episode, we break down the buzz around a potential SpaceX IPO—what it means, how the process works, and why investors are already lining up. But before you get caught up in the hype, we'll dig into the real risks and reward potential behind a company that has never traded publicly. Because here's the reality: Not every high-profile IPO turns into a winning trade. We'll walk through how IPOs are structured, what to watch for in pricing and allocation, and how traders can approach opportunities like this without getting burned by excitement or headlines. We'll also zoom out and look at today's bullish market action, breaking down what's driving the upside momentum and whether it has legs—or is setting up the next trap. If you're interested in IPOs, tech innovation, or market timing, this episode connects the dots. Listen now:

The market didn't just move… it whipsawed—and the catalyst was a sudden about-face from Donald Trump. In today's episode, we break down how quickly one headline can flip market sentiment, and more importantly, why information overload is one of the biggest hidden threats to your trading performance. Between nonstop news, conflicting narratives, and social media noise, traders are drowning in data—but starving for clarity. We'll unpack how to filter what matters, ignore what doesn't, and build a rule-based approach that keeps you grounded when the market feels chaotic. Because here's the truth: It's not a lack of information that hurts traders… it's too much of it. Listen now:

When the Fed speaks, markets listen… but this time, they may not agree. In today's episode, we break down comments from Jerome Powell, who suggested the current Middle East conflict "doesn't seem to have the makings of a broader systemic event." Calm, measured, almost dismissive. Meanwhile… the markets are telling a very different story. With volatility picking up, energy markets reacting, and risk assets swinging, we'll dig into the disconnect between Federal Reserve messaging and actual price action. Who's right? And more importantly—how should you trade it? We'll also shift gears into digital assets, answering viewer questions around crypto sentiment, volatility, and how to approach this market when uncertainty is elevated. This is one of those moments where policy, geopolitics, and markets collide—and that's where opportunity lives. Listen now:

  It was a brutal week—and the charts don't lie. A sea of red smothered the markets, and now the S&P 500 is down over 7% for the month. That's not noise… that's a shift in tone. In today's episode, we break down the major headlines and market movers that drove this selloff. From macro pressure to sector weakness, we'll connect what happened this week to what it actually means for traders going forward. Because here's the reality: Markets don't fall randomly—they fall for a reason. And if you can identify that reason, you can position accordingly. We'll walk through what's breaking down, where risk is building, and whether this is the start of something bigger—or just another shakeout before the next move. Listen now:

Everyone wants to call the next recession… but very few know what to actually look for. In today's episode, we break down a viewer's question about using 4 key charts to identify a recession. Sounds simple—but is it really that easy? Or are most people oversimplifying one of the most complex shifts in the economy? We'll start with the basics: What is a recession? Then we'll dig into the indicators professionals watch—things like the yield curve, unemployment rate, and broader measures tied to gross domestic product (GDP). More importantly, we'll connect these signals to real market behavior—because knowing a recession is coming doesn't help unless you understand how to position around it. This episode is about separating headline fear from actionable insight. Listen now:

Decentralized Finance—DeFi—is one of the most talked about innovations in modern markets… but also one of the most misunderstood. In today's episode, we break down exactly what DeFi (Decentralized Finance) is, how it works, and why it's disrupting traditional banking, lending, and investing. From smart contracts to liquidity pools, this is a space that promises financial freedom and transparency—but it also comes with very real risks. We'll explore platforms built on networks like Ethereum, where users can lend, borrow, and earn yield without a traditional intermediary. Sounds great, right? It is… until things go wrong. Because in DeFi: There's no bank to call. No safety net. No undo button. We'll cover both sides of the equation—the opportunity and the danger. Listen now:

Markets flipped the switch to risk-on—and it all started with headlines. In today's episode, we break down the latest surge in equities fueled by comments from Donald Trump suggesting "good conversations" with the Iranian government and a possible resolution to the conflict. The market reaction was fast, aggressive, and decisive. But here's the real question: Is this genuine progress… or just another headline-driven head fake? We'll unpack how traders interpreted the news, why risk assets rallied, and what this means for oil, equities, and global sentiment if those talks prove real—or fall apart. This is a classic case of geopolitics meeting price action, and understanding that intersection is where opportunity lives. Watch now / Join us live:

Risk isn't something you think about after the trade… it's everything before the trade. In today's episode, I'm joined by longtime friend and trader Mike McMahon for a deep dive into what actually keeps traders in the game long term—risk management. We're not just talking theory. We're talking real-world application across: Risk management frameworks that protect your capital Technical analysis and how to apply it with discipline The role of volatility and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) How geopolitical conflict and macro uncertainty impact trading decisions What separates consistent traders from those who blow up This is one of those conversations that can change how you approach every trade moving forward.

Private equity has quietly become one of the most powerful forces in finance—but lately, it's also becoming one of the biggest sources of concern. In today's episode, we tackle a viewer's question: What is private equity—and why are markets starting to get nervous about it? We'll break down how firms like Blackstone and KKR operate, where they're deploying capital, and why the rapid growth of private credit and leveraged buyouts is raising red flags for some investors. This isn't just an "institutional" story—it has real implications for liquidity, risk, and the stability of broader markets. We'll explore: What private equity actually is (and how it differs from public markets) Why markets are increasingly concerned about private equity exposure The role of private credit and rising leverage Potential risks to liquidity and financial stability What traders and investors should watch going forward If you think this doesn't affect you because you're trading stocks or crypto… think again. Listen now:

The Fed just made its move—and sometimes doing nothing says everything. In today's episode, I'm joined by longtime bond market trader William Addiss to break down the latest decision from the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady. But don't be fooled—while rates didn't change, the revision to future rate cut expectations could have major implications for bonds, equities, and the broader market. This is where the real story is. We'll dive into what the Fed is signaling, how the bond market is interpreting it, and why shifts in forward guidance often matter more than the actual rate decision itself. If you want to understand what's driving yields, liquidity, and risk assets right now, this episode is all about connecting those dots. Listen now:

Markets just pulled off a sharp rebound—but don't confuse movement with clarity. In today's episode, we break down the powerful bounce in equities and ask the question every trader is thinking right now: Is this the start of the next leg higher… or just another setup before a bigger move down? The backdrop? Geopolitics. With the ongoing conflict involving Iran creating massive swings in oil prices and global risk sentiment, markets have been anything but stable. Oil has surged and collapsed within days, triggering violent reactions across equities and currencies as traders try to price in the next move. We'll dive into whether the recent volatility signals: A market bottom and renewed bullish momentum Or a fragile rebound in the middle of uncertainty And most importantly—how the evolving situation with Iran could either fuel a market boom or trigger another wave of selling. Listen now:

Artificial Intelligence isn't coming… it's already here, and the pace of change is accelerating faster than most investors realize. In today's episode, we explore how AI is reshaping global markets, from technology and semiconductors to productivity, capital flows, and the next generation of innovation-driven companies. The implications go far beyond just tech stocks—AI is beginning to influence everything from corporate earnings to economic growth expectations. We'll also dive into highlights from NVIDIA GTC, where NVIDIA showcased the next wave of breakthroughs in artificial intelligence hardware and software. The conference made one thing clear: the AI arms race is accelerating, and the companies leading it could shape the future of the global economy. If you want to understand how this technological wave could influence markets, investment opportunities, and the pace of innovation, this episode connects the dots. Listen now:

Energy markets just got a major jolt. In today's episode, we break down the latest move by the International Energy Agency (IEA) to release 400 million barrels of oil from global strategic reserves. This is one of the largest coordinated reserve actions in history—and it raises some big questions for traders and investors. Will this massive injection of supply calm volatile energy markets, or is it just a temporary bandage on a deeper geopolitical problem? With oil prices reacting sharply and global supply chains already strained, the implications reach far beyond the energy sector. We'll also look at how the move could impact Crude oil prices, inflation expectations, and broader financial markets. When governments start tapping emergency reserves, it usually means something bigger is brewing beneath the surface. If you trade commodities, equities, or macro themes, this is an episode you don't want to miss. Listen now:

Everyone wants to know the secret… how do you actually get rich? In today's episode, I answer a question from a young viewer who asked exactly that. Instead of hype, lottery-ticket thinking, or overnight success stories, we're going to break down the real path to financial freedom—the steps that take someone from any financial starting point to building long-term wealth. We'll talk about the core principles behind compound interest, disciplined saving, investing in markets like the S&P 500, and why understanding assets such as Bitcoin can play a role in modern portfolios. More importantly, we'll look at the habits and mindset shifts that separate people who stay stuck financially from those who steadily build wealth. This episode is about structure, discipline, and understanding the system—not chasing the next hot tip. Listen now:

Monday's trading session delivered exceptional volatility across global markets—and the catalyst was geopolitics. In today's episode, we break down the wild price swings in equities and the unprecedented move in oil, as traders try to interpret the latest developments in the 2026 Iran war. With energy markets surging and stocks reacting sharply, investors are now asking the big question: Could this signal the beginning of the end of the conflict with Iran? We'll dig into how war headlines translate into real market moves and why energy markets have been at the center of the storm. Disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz—a route that normally handles about 20% of global oil shipments—have sent crude prices sharply higher and injected volatility into equities and currencies worldwide. If you're trying to make sense of the chaos, this episode connects the geopolitical dots with the actual price action traders are facing right now. Listen now:

It was another wild week in the markets, and today we're breaking down the biggest stories that moved price action across the globe. From escalating conflict in the Middle East to sharp swings in equities and commodities, traders had plenty to digest. The ongoing Iran war has sent shockwaves through energy markets, with oil prices surging as fears grow about disruptions to global supply and shipping through the critical Strait of Hormuz, which normally handles roughly 20% of the world's oil shipments. In today's episode of Trading Week Wrap Up, we'll connect the dots between the geopolitical headlines and what they actually mean for traders. We'll cover: The latest developments in the Iran conflict and its market impact Why oil prices surged and how energy markets are reacting The broader weakness across equities and risk assets What traders should watch as geopolitical risk increases I'll also answer a viewer question on trading taxation, a topic every active trader needs to understand before tax season sneaks up on them. And of course, I'll provide updates on my trades for the week—what worked, what didn't, and how I'm managing risk in a volatile environment. If you want a clear breakdown of the week's biggest market drivers without the noise, this episode is for you. Listen now:

A viewer recently asked a question many investors are wrestling with right now: "Should I start dollar cost averaging into the market today?" In today's episode, we break down the strategy of Dollar-cost averaging (DCA), what it is, when it makes sense, and when it might actually work against you. While many investors view DCA as a simple, disciplined way to build long-term exposure to markets like the S&P 500 or assets such as Bitcoin, there are important risks and considerations that often get overlooked. We'll dig into the real mechanics behind the strategy, the emotional traps investors face when markets turn volatile, and the questions you should answer before committing to any long-term accumulation plan. This episode isn't about hype, it's about understanding the framework before you deploy capital. Listen now:

Crypto just made a big move to the upside, and traders everywhere are asking the same question: Was that the bottom for Bitcoin? In today's episode, we dive into the sudden rally across the crypto space, including strong moves in Bitcoin and the surge in crypto-related stocks like Coinbase and MicroStrategy. Is this the start of a real recovery—or just another bounce in a volatile market? I'll also answer several viewer questions about the crypto landscape, sentiment shifts, and what traders should watch next. Plus, I'll recap my two presentations yesterday at the Trading Academy office in Los Angeles, sharing some of the key discussions and insights from those sessions. And of course, I'll give updates on my three portfolio positions—what's working, what's not, and how I'm managing risk in this environment. If you're trading crypto or trying to figure out whether this rally has legs, this episode connects the dots. Listen now:

Geopolitical shockwaves are hitting markets, and traders need clarity, not noise. In today's episode, we break down the latest military action involving Iran and, more importantly, how financial markets are reacting. From surging energy prices to rising volatility and shifting capital flows, the implications go far beyond geopolitics. Oil has spiked sharply, sending crude futures up and rattling equities as traders reassess risk and positioning. We'll explore: Why energy markets surged as conflict escalated How oil price spikes and Strait of Hormuz disruptions are affecting stocks Which assets are acting like safe havens, and which are not What this means for inflation, interest rates, and broader market sentiment What traders should prepare for next When military action intersects with financial markets, uncertainty becomes price action,  and you need to know what's real versus panic. Listen now:

Markets moved fast this week — and we're breaking it all down. In today's episode of Trading Week Wrap Up, I cover the latest broad market news, what's driving sentiment across equities, commodities, and crypto, and how those developments are shaping opportunity right now. I'll also share updates on my current trades — what's working, what's not, and how I'm managing risk in the current environment. And of course, we dive into the viewer mailbag, answering your questions on strategy, market direction, and trade management. If you want a clear, no-hype recap of the week that actually helps your decision-making, this episode delivers. Listen now:

All eyes were on NVIDIA — and now the numbers are in. In today's episode, I break down the latest Nvidia earnings, what mattered, what didn't, and how the market is interpreting the results in the broader AI and semiconductor narrative. Is the growth story still intact — or are expectations finally getting ahead of reality? We'll look at: Key takeaways from Nvidia's earnings report AI demand vs. valuation expectations Market reaction and what it signals going forward How traders should frame Nvidia inside the bigger tech landscape I'll also share my biggest highlights from the latest Traders Expo in Las Vegas — including conversations, themes, and insights from the front lines of today's trading community. If you follow tech, AI, or market leadership, this episode connects earnings with real-world sentiment. Listen now:

The headlines just hit — and the implications could ripple through markets fast. In today's episode, we break down the latest Supreme Court of the United States ruling involving Donald Trump's tariff policies and what it means for trade, supply chains, and investor confidence going forward. This isn't about politics. It's about market impact. We'll look at: What the Supreme Court actually ruled How the decision affects Trump-era tariffs Potential implications for U.S.–China trade relations Market reaction across equities, commodities, and currencies Whether this increases volatility heading into upcoming economic data And of course, I'll cover the big stories from the week — separating signal from noise and highlighting where opportunity may emerge. When legal decisions intersect with economic policy, markets pay attention. You should too. Listen now:

China's holdings of U.S. Treasuries have fallen to their lowest level since 2008. That's not a headline — that's a structural shift. In today's episode, we break down what it means when one of America's largest foreign creditors reduces exposure to U.S. government debt. Is this geopolitical strategy? Currency management? Diversification? Or a warning sign for the U.S. dollar and bond market? We'll explore: Why China is cutting back on U.S. Treasury holdings How this impacts the bond market and interest rates What it means for the U.S. dollar (DXY) Who is stepping in to buy U.S. debt? Whether this signals a long-term shift in global capital flows The implications for stocks, gold, and global markets When foreign demand for Treasuries shifts, the ripple effects can be massive. If you trade bonds, equities, commodities, or currencies — this is required listening. Listen now and understand what's happening beneath the surface of global finance.     #TraderMerlin #China #USTreasuries #BondMarket #USDebt #DollarIndex #DXY #InterestRates #GlobalMarkets #Geopolitics #MacroTrading #TreasuryYields #FederalReserve #FinancialEducation #MarketAnalysis #CurrencyMarkets #Gold #SafeHaven #InvestingPodcast   Email – TraderMerlin@gmail.com Follow TraderMerlin: Twitter: TraderMerlin - https://twitter.com/TraderMerlin IG: TraderMerlin - https://www.instagram.com/tradermerlin/ FB: TraderMerlin  - https://www.facebook.com/TraderMerlin Live Daily Show:  - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCczw6L9MSllTvWDK1fNlLrg Trading Applications used: -          Tradingview -           

It's mailbag day—and we're diving into the real questions traders are wrestling with. In today's episode of Trading Q&A with TraderMerlin, I break down viewer-submitted questions covering everything from institutional trading success to capital allocation across multiple trading accounts, and one topic that hits home for almost everyone: how to survive a losing streak without blowing up your process. This isn't theory. It's practical, experience-driven insight built from years in the trenches. We'll cover: What separates institutional trading discipline from retail chaos How to allocate capital between accounts (IRA, taxable, futures, crypto, etc.) Position sizing and risk management frameworks How to mentally and strategically handle a losing streak When to step back—and when to press the edge If you're serious about improving performance and tightening your execution, this episode will challenge you in the right ways. Listen now:

What happens when an Austrian economist and lifelong gold bug starts warming up to Bitcoin? In today's episode, I welcome longtime friend and Austrian economist John O'Donnell to break down the current market environment and his outlook for 2026. John has built his framework around sound money principles, inflation cycles, and central bank policy—but recently he's been "orange pilled" by Bitcoin. That shift alone makes this conversation worth tuning in for. We'll dive into: The current macro landscape Central bank policy and long-term currency risk Gold vs. Bitcoin in a changing monetary system What he sees coming in 2026 across equities, commodities, and hard assets If you're interested in Austrian economics, inflation, gold, Bitcoin, and long-term market cycles, this episode connects big-picture philosophy with real-world investing strategy. Listen now:

AI disruption just hit a new corner of the market—and this time it's real estate developers and commercial real estate companies taking the punch. In today's episode, we break down the sharp selloff in real estate stocks tied to growing concerns about AI's impact on office demand, employment shifts, and long-term property valuations. Is this a justified repricing—or another overreaction fueled by headlines? We'll explore how AI-driven productivity shifts could ripple through commercial real estate (CBRE), REITs, and developers—and what traders should be watching as capital rotates. I'll also share a candid review of my recently closed position in Coinbase, which ended in a significant loss. No spin. Just what happened, why it happened, and what the lesson is moving forward. If you trade tech, crypto, or macro themes, this episode connects the dots between disruption, risk, and discipline. Listen now:

Prediction markets are exploding in popularity—but most people still don't understand how they actually work. In today's episode, we break down the surge in predictive markets, what they are, how they function, and the big questions traders are asking: Are prediction markets legal? How do they differ from traditional markets? And what risks do they carry for you as a participant? We'll cut through the hype and explain the mechanics behind event-based trading, how pricing reflects probability, and why regulators are paying closer attention. Whether you're looking at political prediction markets, economic-event contracts, or blockchain-based platforms, you need to understand the structure before you risk capital. I'll also answer several viewer questions—including a (slightly delayed!) response to Ed in San Jose about my recent Tesla trade and what was going through my mind during that position. If you're curious about alternative markets and evolving financial structures, this episode is a must-listen. Listen now:

This is one of the hardest—and most important—questions a trader can ask. In today's episode, we tackle a viewer's candid question about struggling with trading and whether there comes a point where you should keep pushing forward… or step away. Is trading really for everyone? Are losses a rite of passage—or a signal you're forcing the wrong path? I'll share my unfiltered thoughts and real experiences, talk about the difference between temporary struggle and structural mismatch, and explain how to evaluate yourself honestly—without ego, guilt, or desperation driving the decision. We'll also zoom out and look at the current broad market action, because context matters. Some environments punish even good traders, and knowing that difference can change everything. This episode isn't about quitting. It's about choosing the right way to win. Listen now:

One bad trade can hurt. Revenge trading can end your career. In today's episode, we tackle a powerful viewer question about revenge trading—why it happens, how it sneaks into even experienced traders' decision-making, and why it's one of the fastest ways to blow up an account. I'll share personal experiences from my own trading journey and walk through a real trade sequence that completely destroyed a trader's account, step by step. This isn't about shaming mistakes—it's about understanding the psychology behind them and building rules that stop emotion from hijacking your process. We'll also zoom out and assess the current market landscape, highlighting where real trading opportunities exist and where traders are most likely to get themselves into trouble. If you've ever felt the urge to "get it back," this episode is for you. Listen now:

This week was anything but smooth. In today's episode, we break down the major events that rocked the financial markets, starting with the crypto rollercoaster that whipsawed traders and tested conviction. From sharp selloffs to violent bounces, we'll talk about what mattered—and what was just noise. We'll also dig into the latest tech-sector stumbles, why leadership cracked when it did, and what that weakness could mean for risk appetite going forward. And as always, I'll provide updates on my trading account—what I adjusted, what I held, and how I'm managing risk after a volatile week. If you want a clear, no-nonsense recap that actually helps your decision-making, this episode delivers. Listen now:

Things escalated fast. After yesterday's discussion, the crypto market didn't just weaken—it collapsed. In today's episode, we revisit the crypto narrative in light of a massive, broad-based selloff across digital assets and ask the question everyone wants answered: How much lower can this go? I'll break down what changed, what didn't, and how professionals frame downside risk when panic starts to creep in. I'll also give honest updates on my own positions, which took a real beating over the last few days—what I adjusted, what I held, and what I learned in real time. We'll wrap up with a look at earnings from Amazon, and why their results matter for tech sentiment and the broader market right now. This is not theory. This is trading in the middle of a storm. Listen now:

The tone in crypto has shifted—and viewers are feeling it. In today's episode, we address the growing concern around digital assets and the question I'm getting asked most right now: Is this crypto selloff just a pause… or something more serious? I'll answer a few key viewer questions about the current crypto market mood, what weakness really means at this stage of the cycle, and how to think about risk when sentiment turns sour. Then we'll zoom out to the broader markets, breaking down earnings from Alphabet and how they fit into the wider market weakness showing up across equities. If you're holding crypto, trading tech, or trying to read the macro tea leaves, this episode helps separate fear from facts. Listen now:

What does a true market veteran see coming next? In today's episode, I'm joined by John Rowland, CMT, a longtime professional trader with decades of experience on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) floor. John brings a boots-on-the-ground perspective shaped by real liquidity, real order flow, and real market stress. We'll break down the current market environment, discuss where risk is building, where opportunity may emerge, and get John's outlook for 2026 across key asset classes. If you want insight rooted in experience—not headlines—this is a must-listen conversation. Listen now:

Every trader messes up. The difference is what you do next. In today's episode, I'm pulling back the curtain and sharing a real trading mistake I made during Friday's session with my Tesla position—a mistake that had me nervous all weekend. No theory. No hindsight gymnastics. Just real execution, real emotion, and real consequences. That experience leads to a critical question every trader eventually faces: What should you do when you mess up a trade? Panic? Freeze? Double down? Or step back and fix the process? I'll walk you through how I think about trade mistakes, how professionals manage damage control, and how to turn a bad decision into a long-term edge instead of a confidence killer. If you trade real money, this episode will hit home. Listen now:

This week delivered a shock to the system. In today's episode, we break down the massive implosion in the metals market, with gold and silver getting hit hard and sentiment flipping fast. What caused the sudden collapse—and is this a breakdown or a reset? We'll also discuss the latest nominee tied to the Federal Reserve, what that choice could signal for rates and policy direction, and how markets are starting to price it in. On top of that, I'll walk you through my current trade updates—what I'm holding, what I've cut, and why—and wrap it all up with a January market recap to set the tone for what comes next. If you want clarity after a volatile start to the year, this episode delivers. Listen now:

The market just got rocked by Big Tech earnings, and today's price action is forcing a serious rethink of the AI narrative. In this episode, we break down the latest results from the tech giants that crushed the market today and ask the question everyone's dancing around: Is the massive AI spending spree finally slowing down—or are the real profits just getting started? We'll dig into what the numbers actually say about capex, margins, and return on investment, and how Wall Street is reacting beneath the surface. We'll also cover earnings from Tesla and Apple, and explain why their results matter far beyond their own stock charts. If you're trading tech, following AI, or trying to understand where market leadership goes next, this episode is a must. Listen now:

It's FOMC Day, and we're going straight to the source of the bond market. In today's episode, longtime bond trader William Addiss joins me to break down the Federal Reserve's latest interest-rate cut, why it happened, and what it really means beneath the headlines. We'll dive deep into the impact on bonds, yield curves, credit markets, and equities, and discuss where interest rates may be headed next as the macro landscape continues to shift. Bill also shares his 2026 market outlook, offering perspective shaped by decades of real-world trading experience—through multiple rate cycles and regime changes. If you trade macro, fixed income, or want to understand how rates drive everything, this episode is required listening. Listen now:

A warning signal may be flashing in the metals market. In today's episode, we break down the ominous "shooting star" candlestick pattern that's just appeared across key metals—and what it could mean for gold, silver, and the broader commodities complex going forward. Is this a routine pause… or an early sign that momentum is rolling over? We'll also dig into the latest durable goods orders data and what it says about demand, growth, and industrial activity. Plus, we'll cover the slide in Tesla, why it matters for market sentiment, and how these cross-currents fit together in today's tape. If you trade metals, tech, or macro themes, this episode connects the technicals with the fundamentals. Listen now:

What does a seasoned market veteran see coming next? In today's episode, I'm joined by Craig Weil, a longtime professional trader and former Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) floor trader, to break down the current market environment and his outlook for 2026. Craig brings a rare perspective shaped by decades of real-world trading—across cycles, crashes, and regime shifts. We'll discuss where markets stand today, what structural forces are building beneath the surface, and how traders should be thinking about risk, opportunity, and positioning as we move into the next year. If you value experience over hype and insight over noise, this is a must-listen conversation. Listen now:

The numbers are in—and on the surface, they look great. In today's episode, we break down the latest macroeconomic data that's painting a surprisingly rosy picture for the financial markets. Strong growth signals, cooling pressures, and data that seems to support risk-on behavior… but is it really that simple? The big question: Does this wave of positive data influence policy at the upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve? We'll dig into how the Fed interprets macro data, what actually matters versus what just makes headlines, and whether this "data delight" gives policymakers cover to pause, cut, or stay cautious. If you trade macro, rates, or equities, this episode helps you separate optimism from reality. Listen now:

Just when markets thought they had a handle on the narrative, everything flipped. In today's episode, we break down the abrupt about-face from Donald Trump and how that sudden shift sent shockwaves through the financial markets. What changed, why it mattered, and how traders should think about policy-driven volatility when the rules feel like they're moving in real time. We'll also dive into the latest earnings reports, separating real signal from headline noise, and explain how institutional money is reacting beneath the surface. If you're trying to make sense of fast-moving markets without getting chopped up by emotion, this episode is required listening. Listen now:

What does 2026 really have in store for the markets? In today's episode, I'm joined by Colin Tedards, a true fundamental analysis extraordinaire, to break down what he sees shaping the year ahead. We'll dive deep into Colin's 2026 market outlook, exploring the forces driving equities, interest rates, growth expectations, and global risk. This isn't surface-level commentary—it's a fundamentals-first discussion focused on earnings, valuation, macro pressure points, and where investors may be misreading the next phase of the cycle. If you want perspective grounded in data—not headlines—this is a must-listen episode. Listen now:

This week was packed with market-moving headlines—and plenty of uncertainty. In today's episode, we break down the biggest stories shaping the markets, starting with NVIDIA's growing challenges caught between rising tensions in the United States–China tech battle. What does this mean for AI, semiconductors, and market leadership going forward? We'll also dig into Donald Trump's renewed tariff threats, how markets are pricing in trade risk, and why these policy signals matter more than most headlines suggest. On top of that, we'll look ahead to upcoming interest-rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, and how traders should be preparing as macro pressure builds. And as always, I'll provide updates on my current trades—what I'm holding, what I've adjusted, and why. Listen now:

Semiconductors are back in the spotlight. In today's episode, we break down the latest trade deal with Taiwan and what it could mean for the global technology supply chain, chipmakers, and broader market leadership. Is this deal a tailwind for Big Tech—or does it introduce new risks traders need to price in? We'll also shift gears to the surging silver market, unpacking the key forces driving prices higher—from macro flows to industrial demand—and discuss whether those drivers have staying power or are setting up a near-term fade. If you trade tech, commodities, or macro themes, this episode connects the dots. Listen now:

No marketing fluff. No hindsight bias. In today's episode, I open the books and walk through my actual trading performance for the 2025 trading year—the good, the bad, and the uncomfortable. I'll break results down by account, highlight my best and worst trades, and explain why certain decisions worked while others didn't. This is the kind of review every serious trader should be doing—but most avoid. We'll also announce the winners of the 2025 Price Forecast Competition for both the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, and discuss what those forecasts got right (and wrong) about market structure, sentiment, and timing. If you want to learn from real execution—not theory—this episode is for you. Listen now:

What will really drive markets in 2026? In today's episode, I'm joined by longtime trader and investor Scott McCormick, CMT, for a wide-ranging conversation on what he sees shaping the next major phase across global markets. Scott shares his forward-looking insights on bonds, equities, commodities, and currencies, breaking down where risk is building, where opportunity may emerge, and how traders should be thinking about positioning as we move into a new market regime. We'll also tackle one of the most surprising moves on the board—the improbable rally in silver—and discuss whether it's the start of something bigger or just a temporary dislocation. If you care about macro trends, intermarket analysis, and staying ahead of the curve, this is a must-listen episode. Listen now:

The latest GDP report is in—and on the surface, it looks impressive. Strong consumer spending, rising corporate profits, and headlines that suggest the economy is firing on all cylinders. But the real question is this: Is this genuine economic strength—or just window dressing designed to push markets higher into year-end? In today's episode, we break down the GDP data beneath the headlines. We'll look at what's driving growth, what's being glossed over, and how traders and investors should interpret this report in the context of market positioning, liquidity, and incentives as the calendar winds down. If you rely on macro data to guide your decisions, this episode will help you separate signal from noise. Listen now: