Trader Merlin

If there were any doubts about who's wearing the crown in the AI revolution... Nvidia just delivered another monster quarter. In today's episode, we're breaking down the latest earnings from Nvidia—and these aren't numbers that matter only to NVDA shareholders. Nvidia reported $96.2 BILLION in quarterly revenue, up an incredible 106% from a year ago. Even more impressive, its Data Center business generated $89 billion, up 117% year over year. Think about that for a moment. Nvidia isn't just growing. A company of this size just more than DOUBLED its revenue in one year. So the big question for today's show isn't simply whether Nvidia had a good quarter. It's: Can Nvidia—and the AI boom—keep this going? We'll dive into the numbers and look at what Nvidia's results tell us about the entire artificial-intelligence ecosystem. We'll discuss: Nvidia's latest earnings – What jumped out from the report and where the growth is coming from. Data Center dominance – What $89 billion in quarterly Data Center revenue tells us about global AI infrastructure spending. The AI spending boom – Are Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other hyperscalers still willing to spend enormous amounts of money building AI infrastructure? Semiconductors – What Nvidia's results could mean for AMD, Broadcom, Micron and the rest of the chip sector. Memory – More AI computing means enormous demand for high-performance memory. Does Nvidia's growth strengthen the case for DRAM and HBM? Energy & infrastructure – All those GPUs have to go somewhere—and they require data centers, electricity, cooling, networking and an enormous infrastructure buildout. Valuation – At some point, even incredible growth can become fully priced in. Has Nvidia reached that point? The broader market – Nvidia has become so large and influential that its results can impact the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and overall investor sentiment. That's what makes this earnings report so important. Nvidia is no longer simply a semiconductor company investors watch four times a year. It's become one of the market's primary gauges of the entire AI investment cycle. Going into today's report, options markets were pricing roughly a 5.4% move in Nvidia shares, representing approximately $280 BILLION in potential market-cap movement in either direction. That's larger than the entire market capitalization of most companies! And with concerns growing recently about massive AI spending, stretched technology valuations and whether companies are generating enough return on their AI investments, Nvidia's results provide an important reality check. If AI is a bubble, somebody forgot to tell Nvidia's customers. But that doesn't mean the risks have disappeared. We'll separate the incredible fundamentals from the stock's valuation and ask the question traders actually care about: Great company... but is it still a great trade? For additional research, check out Nvidia Investor Relations and Nvidia Financial Reports. Listen now:

Walmart beat earnings expectations. Walmart beat revenue expectations. Walmart raised its full-year outlook. And then the stock got CRUSHED! So what happened? In today's episode, we're diving into a great viewer question about Walmart and whether the recent selloff was justified. But to really answer that question, we need to look beyond Walmart's earnings report and ask a much bigger question: Is the American consumer finally starting to crack? Walmart's latest quarter gave Wall Street plenty to think about. U.S. comparable sales grew just 2.6%, the slowest pace in six years and well below expectations. At the same time, the company's e-commerce business grew 24%, earnings beat expectations, and management actually raised its full-year outlook. So why did investors wipe more than $80 billion from Walmart's market value? Because the market isn't simply looking at what Walmart earned yesterday. It's trying to figure out what the consumer will do tomorrow. We'll dig into: Why Walmart fell despite beating earnings expectations The slowdown in comparable-store sales Whether Walmart's valuation had simply gotten too expensive What management's guidance tells us about the months ahead Why higher-income consumers continue migrating toward Walmart What gasoline, food prices and inflation are doing to household budgets Whether the weakness is Walmart-specific—or something much bigger Then we'll zoom out and look at the macro data. July U.S. retail sales declined 0.6% month over month, even though they remained 5% higher than a year earlier. Consumer confidence has also weakened, with Americans becoming increasingly pessimistic about future business conditions and employment. That's where this story gets interesting. Because the consumer isn't necessarily collapsing. There are conflicting signals everywhere. Credit-card spending remains relatively resilient. Walmart continues gaining customers. E-commerce is growing. Yet confidence is deteriorating, retail sales have softened, gasoline prices remain elevated, and consumers are becoming increasingly cautious about the future. So which side should traders believe? The consumer may not be broken—but the cracks are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. And remember, consumer spending represents roughly two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. If consumers begin pulling back, the impact doesn't stop at Walmart. It can eventually flow through to retail sales → corporate earnings → employment → economic growth → Federal Reserve policy → the stock market. That's why Walmart's 9% selloff deserves a much deeper look than simply saying, "They missed comparable-store sales." For additional research, check out U.S. Census Bureau Retail Sales and The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Listen now:

Just when Wall Street thought the trade war was fading into the rearview mirror... TARIFFS ARE BACK! The latest escalation between the United States and Canada has suddenly injected another major dose of uncertainty into the financial markets. After trade negotiations broke down, the U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian goods, while Canada announced plans for dollar-for-dollar retaliation beginning September 8. And now the stakes may be getting even higher. President Trump has threatened 50% tariffs on Canadian-made cars, trucks and auto parts beginning January 1, 2027 if the dispute isn't resolved. That announcement immediately put pressure on automakers and raised new concerns about deeply integrated North American supply chains. So the big question for investors is: Are tariffs simply another negotiating tactic—or are we entering a new phase of the trade war that could actually change the outlook for inflation and interest rates? That's what we're breaking down on today's show. We'll discuss: What happened with Canada? How negotiations went from seemingly close to a deal to a major tariff escalation in a matter of days. Why 50% tariffs matter – Which products and industries could feel the greatest impact? Canada's retaliation – What happens when tariffs turn into a tit-for-tat trade war? The auto industry – Why Ford, GM, Stellantis and their suppliers could become ground zero for this fight. Inflation – Do tariffs ultimately get absorbed by companies, or passed along to consumers through higher prices? Bond yields – Could renewed inflation pressure push Treasury yields higher? The stock market – Which sectors stand to win—and which could get crushed—if the trade dispute continues? The U.S. dollar – Currency markets are already reacting, with the Canadian dollar falling sharply following the latest escalation. But there's another person suddenly thrown right into the middle of this... Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh Warsh already has to navigate inflation, employment, economic growth, oil prices and a complicated interest-rate environment. Now add tariffs. Tariffs can create an especially difficult situation for the Federal Reserve because they potentially push prices higher while simultaneously slowing economic activity. That creates the scenario central bankers hate: Slower growth + higher prices. So we'll ask: Did the trade war just make Kevin Warsh's job a LOT more difficult? Warsh has previously indicated that the Fed should distinguish temporary price shocks caused by things such as tariffs, energy and supply disruptions from persistent underlying inflation. Now that philosophy could be put to the test. And the timing couldn't be much better. Warsh heads to Jackson Hole later this week, where investors will be looking for clues about inflation, economic growth and the future direction of interest rates. Suddenly, tariffs may become another major piece of that conversation. For additional research, follow U.S. Trade Representative for official U.S. trade policy, Federal Reserve for monetary policy and inflation information, and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for CPI and other economic data. Listen now:

What a week! Crypto surged. Bond yields jumped. Technology stocks got hit. Economic data kept traders guessing. And now Wall Street is preparing for one of the biggest earnings reports of the quarter. In today's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll connect the dots between the biggest market-moving stories of the week and, more importantly, discuss what they could mean as we head into a potentially HUGE week for the markets. Let's start with crypto. Bitcoin is on pace for its best week in more than two years, surging more than 20% as improving regulatory sentiment, Washington's increasingly crypto-friendly stance, and changing liquidity expectations breathed life back into the beaten-down digital asset market. Ethereum and many altcoins joined the party as well. So... Is the crypto winter finally ending, or is this just another massive bear-market rally? We'll break it down. Then there's the bond market. Long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, creating another challenge for stocks—particularly high-growth technology and AI companies whose valuations can be extremely sensitive to borrowing costs and interest rates. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed to its highest level since 2007 this week, while semiconductor stocks came under significant pressure. We'll discuss: Crypto's huge rebound – Is Bitcoin signaling a genuine change in trend? Interest rates & bond yields – Why the bond market continues to be one of the biggest risks facing equities. Technology volatility – Is the recent weakness an opportunity, or are investors finally questioning some of those massive AI valuations? Economic data – What this week's numbers tell us about inflation, growth and the direction of Federal Reserve policy. The broader market – Where are we seeing strength, weakness and potential trading opportunities? And then...

The SEC Crypto Playbook - 08/20/26 After a brutal stretch for cryptocurrencies, Washington may finally be giving the digital asset market something it has been asking for for years... CLARITY. The SEC just unveiled a major new proposal called "Regulation Crypto Assets," designed to create clearer rules for how crypto projects can raise capital, issue tokens, and potentially transition away from being treated as securities. At almost the exact same time, President Trump brought crypto executives and financial regulators to the White House for his latest Crypto Summit, calling on Congress to move forward with comprehensive crypto market-structure legislation. Coincidence? Maybe. But taken together, these developments are beginning to paint a VERY different picture for the beaten-down cryptocurrency market. Are we finally moving from "regulation by enforcement" to an actual regulatory PLAYBOOK for crypto? That's what we're breaking down on today's show. The SEC's new proposal could establish several important pathways for digital assets, including exemptions for smaller crypto offerings, a larger fundraising exemption and a potential safe harbor allowing certain assets to transition away from security status when specific conditions are met. We'll discuss: What exactly did the SEC propose? What does "Regulation Crypto Assets" actually mean? Which cryptocurrencies could potentially be considered securities? Can a token start as a security and eventually stop being one? What could the proposed safe harbor mean for crypto projects? Could clearer rules bring more crypto companies back to the United States? How does this fit with the CLARITY Act currently being debated in Washington? What did President Trump's Crypto Summit tell us about the administration's digital-asset strategy? And most importantly... could regulatory clarity finally become a catalyst for the crypto market? SEC Chairman Paul Atkins says establishing a modern regulatory framework is part of the Commission's strategy to "onshore innovation" in U.S. crypto markets. The proposal is still just that—a proposal—and will go through a public comment process before potentially becoming final regulation. That's an important distinction. The rules aren't finished yet. Congress is still wrestling with broader market-structure legislation, and plenty of political and regulatory questions remain unresolved. But compare today's environment with where we were just a few years ago. The conversation has shifted from: "How do we stop crypto?" to... "How do we regulate it and bring it into the U.S. financial system?" And THAT could be an enormous change. The market appears to be noticing. Bitcoin pushed back above $70,000 today while Ether and several crypto-related stocks rallied amid the combination of regulatory developments, the White House summit and improving risk sentiment. Crypto doesn't need Washington to guarantee its success. It may simply need Washington to finally tell everyone what the rules are. For additional research, check out the SEC's official Regulation Crypto Assets announcement, the SEC Chairman's statement on the proposal, and the latest coverage of the White House Crypto Summit. Listen now:

The U.S. Treasury just made a major move in the bond market—and Wall Street immediately took notice. Today, the Treasury announced it will at least double the size of its buybacks of longer-term Treasury securities, increasing the maximum purchase amount for certain 10-to-30-year maturities from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, beginning September 9. Almost immediately, bond prices jumped and yields dropped, with the 30-year Treasury yield retreating sharply after recently reaching its highest level since 2007. So what exactly is going on? And more importantly... Why is the U.S. Treasury stepping up its bond purchases NOW? In today's episode, we're going to break down the Treasury bond buyback program and explain why something happening deep inside the bond market could have major implications for stocks, inflation, mortgages, the dollar and your portfolio. We'll discuss: What exactly is a Treasury bond buyback? Why is the Treasury increasing the program now? Why have long-term Treasury yields been surging? Why do bond prices and yields move in opposite directions? Could Treasury buybacks push yields lower? What could lower yields mean for stocks and technology companies? Could this impact mortgage rates and other borrowing costs? Are Treasury buybacks inflationary? And perhaps most importantly—is this basically quantitative easing? That last question is critical. A Treasury buyback is NOT the same thing as Federal Reserve QE. Treasury's stated purpose for these operations is improving liquidity and market functioning in older, less-liquid securities—not creating new money to stimulate the economy. But that doesn't mean the market doesn't care. Today's announcement came after significant pressure in the long end of the Treasury market, with concerns surrounding inflation, government debt, fiscal deficits and geopolitical uncertainty pushing long-term yields sharply higher. And the reaction was immediate. Long-term yields dropped, the major stock indexes finished higher, and investors suddenly started asking whether Washington is becoming increasingly concerned about the level of interest rates. That gives us the bigger question for today's show: Is this simply routine Treasury market management... or is the bond market flashing a warning sign that policymakers can no longer ignore? Remember, the bond market impacts almost everything. Mortgage rates. Corporate borrowing. Government financing. Stock valuations. The dollar. Inflation expectations. And with U.S. federal debt now crossing $40 trillion, understanding what's happening in the Treasury market may be more important than ever. For additional research, check out the U.S. Treasury's official bond-buyback announcement and Treasury's Quarterly Refunding documents. Listen now:

For years, we've been told that blockchain technology would eventually transform Wall Street. Well... "Eventually" is starting to look a lot like RIGHT NOW. In today's episode, we're diving into one of the biggest developments yet in the convergence of traditional finance and digital assets: the DTCC's move to tokenize traditional securities. And this isn't some crypto startup experimenting with a proof of concept. The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) sits at the heart of the U.S. financial system, and its subsidiary DTC currently custodies more than $114 TRILLION in assets. Now, those assets are beginning to move on-chain. In July, DTCC successfully converted DTC-held traditional securities into digital tokens and used them in real production transactions, involving more than 30 major traditional and digital financial firms. The transactions included U.S. Treasuries, equities, securities lending, collateral and other institutional workflows. That's a BIG deal. We're no longer talking about whether Wall Street will adopt blockchain. We're watching the infrastructure being built right in front of us. On today's show, we'll break down: What tokenization actually means Why DTCC's involvement changes the conversation How a traditional stock or Treasury can become a tokenized asset Why Wall Street wants assets on blockchain networks The potential for faster settlement and greater asset mobility How tokenization could change collateral and liquidity management Why this could eventually lead toward extended trading hours Which blockchains and financial companies are participating What all of this could mean for cryptocurrency and digital-asset investors Perhaps most importantly, we'll look at what comes next. DTCC plans to officially launch its Tokenization Service in October 2026, initially allowing eligible DTC-custodied securities to be converted between traditional and tokenized forms. Eligible assets include constituents of the Russell 1000, ETFs tracking major indexes, and U.S. Treasury bills, notes and bonds. And this isn't being built in isolation. Major firms participating in DTCC's tokenization initiative include BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Citadel Securities, Circle, CME Group, Chainlink, Invesco, BNP Paribas, Fireblocks and many others. DTCC is also pursuing a multi-chain strategy, with tokenized assets already demonstrated across private and public blockchain infrastructure and plans to make DTC-tokenized assets available on the Stellar network in the first half of 2027. Think about what that tells us. For years, the debate was: Will traditional finance adopt crypto? I think we're beginning to ask the wrong question. What happens when traditional finance starts using the TECHNOLOGY that crypto introduced? Stocks. Bonds. Treasuries. ETFs. Collateral. Real-world assets. The infrastructure of Wall Street itself is beginning to move on-chain. The digital revolution isn't ending... It may just be getting started. For additional research, check out DTCC's Tokenization Initiative and DTCC's July Production-Trades Announcement. Listen now:

Your questions. Your markets. Your show. Today we're throwing out the script and opening up the discussion to YOU! Have a stock you're thinking about buying? A trade that's gone against you? Questions about Bitcoin, options, futures, technical analysis, the Federal Reserve, AI, interest rates—or anything else happening in the financial markets? Bring it! Join me LIVE at 2:00 PM Pacific for an open Trading Q&A with Trader Merlin, where we'll dig into your questions, pull up the charts, analyze the markets, and talk through the opportunities and risks we're seeing right now. Nothing is off the table. We'll tackle topics like: Stocks & ETFs – Have a ticker you want analyzed? Send it in! Options – Greeks, implied volatility, time decay, spreads, the Wheel Strategy and more. Futures – Indexes, crude oil, gold, currencies and trading strategies. Bitcoin & Crypto – Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETFs, futures, staking and digital assets. Technical Analysis – Supply and demand, support and resistance, trends, gaps and chart patterns. Risk Management – Position sizing, stops and managing losing trades. The Economy – Inflation, employment, interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. Today's Markets – We'll break down the latest price action and whatever is moving Wall Street today. I've been trading the financial markets for nearly three decades, and one thing I've learned is that some of the best conversations start with a great question. So today, you set the agenda. Have something you want to talk about? Join us LIVE and ask! We'll pull up charts, break down trades and separate market reality from the noise.

Ethereum is one of the largest digital assets in the world—but if you believe in its long-term potential, what's actually the best way to trade or invest in it? That's a great viewer question, and the answer isn't nearly as simple as just saying, "Buy ETH." In today's episode, we'll start with the basics: What exactly is Ethereum, what does Ether (ETH) do, and why does the network have value? Ethereum isn't simply a cryptocurrency. It's a programmable blockchain designed to run smart contracts and decentralized applications, creating infrastructure for everything from stablecoins and DeFi to tokenization and other digital assets. (ethereum.org) Then we'll get to the bigger question: If you want exposure to Ethereum, what's the BEST way to do it? We'll break down the major choices available to traders and investors: Buy ETH directly – Own the actual cryptocurrency and decide whether to hold it on an exchange or in your own wallet. Buy and stake ETH – Hold the asset while participating in Ethereum's proof-of-stake ecosystem and potentially earning staking rewards. (ethereum.org) Ethereum ETFs – Get ETH exposure directly inside a traditional brokerage or retirement account without dealing with wallets and private keys. Staking Ethereum ETFs – A newer twist that may allow investors to combine ETH price exposure with staking income. SEC filings now include products specifically structured around Ethereum staking. (sec.gov) Ethereum futures – For active traders looking for leverage, short exposure, hedging, and nearly around-the-clock access through regulated futures markets. (cmegroup.com) Micro Ether futures – A much smaller contract that can make position sizing and risk management considerably easier. CME's Micro Ether futures represent just 0.10 ETH. (cmegroup.com) Ethereum options – For traders looking to build more sophisticated strategies around volatility, direction, income, and risk. And here's where it gets interesting... There may not actually be one "best" way to trade Ethereum. The best vehicle depends on what you're trying to accomplish. Are you a long-term investor? An active trader? Do you want leverage? Do you want staking yield? Do you want self-custody? Do you want ETH exposure inside an IRA? Or do you simply want to speculate on whether Ethereum goes up or down? Before deciding whether Ethereum is a good investment, you need to understand both the asset AND the vehicle you're using to trade it. We'll compare the advantages, disadvantages, costs, risks, custody considerations, leverage, and potential staking income associated with each approach. And, of course, we'll discuss the bigger picture: What gives Ethereum value in the first place—and what could drive ETH higher or lower from here? For additional research, check out the official Ethereum website and CME Group's Ether Futures & Options. Listen now:

Is there a crisis quietly building in the U.S. auto industry? Car prices surged. Monthly payments exploded. Consumers took on larger loans at higher interest rates—and now we're starting to see signs of stress. In today's episode, we're diving into a great viewer question about the health of the U.S. auto market and, more specifically, the growing concern surrounding auto loan delinquencies and defaults. The numbers deserve attention. U.S. auto loan balances have climbed to roughly $1.7 trillion, while serious delinquencies remain elevated. At the same time, consumers originated a record $211 billion in new auto loans during the second quarter of 2026. So the big question is: Are we looking at normal consumer-credit stress—or the early stages of something much bigger? On today's show, we'll break down: Why auto loans have become increasingly difficult for consumers to afford What rising delinquencies and defaults are telling us How higher interest rates changed the economics of buying a vehicle What happens when borrowers become upside-down on their car loans Whether repossessions could create additional pressure on used-car prices How falling used-car values could ripple through lenders and dealerships Which parts of the auto industry may be most vulnerable Whether this could become a broader problem for the U.S. economy We'll also look at the investment side of the equation. If stress in auto credit continues to build, who gets hurt first? Automakers? Dealerships? Used-car retailers? Banks? Subprime lenders? And perhaps more importantly... Where could the trading opportunities be? One thing is important to keep in perspective: the data doesn't currently prove that we're facing an auto version of the 2008 housing crisis. The New York Fed's latest data shows that the flow of auto loans entering serious delinquency has recently been relatively stable, even though overall stress remains elevated. That's exactly why this topic is so interesting. The warning lights are flashing—but that doesn't necessarily mean the engine is about to blow. We'll separate the social-media hype from the actual numbers and determine just how concerned traders and investors should be. For additional research, check out the New York Fed Household Debt and Credit Report, which tracks auto loans, credit cards, mortgages and consumer delinquencies. Listen now:

They're BACK! After disappearing from the U.S. markets years ago, Single Stock Futures are making a comeback, and this time the CME Group is bringing them back in a big way. But the big question is... Do traders actually need them? In today's episode, we'll break down the revival of Single Stock Futures (SSFs) and explain exactly what these products are, how they work, and why the CME believes the timing is right to bring them back. The new contracts allow traders to gain futures exposure to individual stocks such as Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and dozens of other major U.S. companies—without actually owning the underlying shares. And there are some interesting potential advantages. We'll discuss: What exactly is a Single Stock Future? Why did Single Stock Futures disappear in the first place? Why is the CME bringing them back NOW? How do they compare with simply buying the stock? How do they compare with stock options? What are the margin and leverage implications? Why nearly 24-hour trading could be a major advantage How Single Stock Futures make shorting stocks much easier Who should—and shouldn't—consider trading them? CME has launched 55 full-sized Single Stock Futures and 22 Micro Single Stock Futures, giving traders the ability to control exposure equivalent to either 100 shares or, with the Micros, just 10 shares. That could make these contracts particularly interesting for active traders looking for greater capital efficiency, easier short exposure, and the ability to react to news outside normal stock-market hours. But just because Wall Street creates a new product doesn't mean you need to trade it. The real question isn't whether Single Stock Futures are exciting. It's whether they give you an advantage over the products you already use. That's what we'll figure out on today's show. Learn more about the new contracts:

Bull markets don't last forever. The problem is... nobody rings a bell at the top. With the major indexes pushing near record territory, optimism remains high and investors continue pouring money into stocks. But a great viewer question got me thinking: What could actually cause this bull market to end? There isn't one simple answer. In today's episode, we'll break down the biggest threats facing the market and identify the warning signs traders and investors should be watching before sentiment changes. We'll discuss: Inflation – Could another acceleration in prices force the Federal Reserve to become more aggressive? Interest rates – At what point do higher rates become too much for stocks to handle? Bond yields – Could rising Treasury yields finally pull money away from equities? Unemployment – How much deterioration in the labor market would signal genuine economic trouble? Corporate earnings – Ultimately, stock prices need profits. What happens if earnings growth begins to stall? Valuations – How expensive is too expensive, especially in AI and technology? Geopolitics – Could an unexpected global event become the catalyst that finally changes investor sentiment? Market psychology – When everyone becomes bullish, complacency itself can become a risk. The key is understanding that none of these indicators exists in isolation. Inflation impacts interest rates. Interest rates impact bond yields. Higher borrowing costs impact businesses and consumers. Economic weakness impacts employment. And eventually, all of it flows through to corporate earnings. That's why calling the end of a bull market based on one indicator can be a huge mistake. Bull markets rarely die because of one headline. They end when the underlying conditions supporting higher prices begin to change. So what are those conditions telling us right now? That's what we'll break down on today's show. Listen now:

Another trading week is in the books—and once again, the headlines are sending some very mixed signals. Technology stocks continue to show strength, investors remain willing to take risk, and yet the latest employment data is raising some uncomfortable questions about the health of the U.S. economy. So which market is telling us the truth? In today's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down the biggest financial stories of the week and look beyond the headlines to see what they could mean for traders heading into the next session. We'll discuss: The latest unemployment and jobs data – Is the labor market beginning to crack, and what could that mean for economic growth and Federal Reserve policy? The technology rally – AI, semiconductors, and Big Tech continue attracting capital. Is there still room to run, or is enthusiasm becoming excessive? The legislative recess – Washington is heading into its summer break with plenty of unfinished business. What happens when political catalysts temporarily disappear from the calendar? The broader markets – We'll examine the week's biggest winners, losers, and technical levels as we prepare for what comes next. The interesting part is that markets don't always react to economic news the way you might expect. Weak economic data can increase expectations for easier monetary policy. Strong technology earnings can keep indexes climbing even as other parts of the economy soften. That's why simply reading the headlines isn't enough. You have to understand what the market is actually pricing in. Listen now:

Every trader has made a bad trade... But some are so spectacularly awful they deserve to be remembered. Welcome to Donkey of the Day!

Another action-packed week is in the books, and the markets certainly didn't disappoint. From wild swings in the Nasdaq to another impressive showing from the Magnificent 7, investors had plenty to digest as earnings, energy prices, and macroeconomic uncertainty continued to drive market sentiment. In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll connect the dots behind the biggest stories and explain what they may mean for traders and investors heading into next week. We'll discuss: Nasdaq volatility – What's driving the recent swings, and are we seeing healthy profit-taking or the beginning of a larger correction? Magnificent 7 strength – Once again, the market's biggest technology companies are carrying the major indexes. Can they continue to lead, or is market leadership beginning to broaden? Oil uncertainty – Between geopolitical tensions, supply concerns, and shifting inflation expectations, crude oil remains one of the market's biggest wild cards. We'll discuss where prices may be headed and how they could impact the broader economy. My latest trades – I'll review the newest additions to my portfolio, explain the reasoning behind each trade, and discuss the technical setups I'm watching as we head into a new trading week. We'll also take a step back and look at the bigger picture. Markets continue to balance strong corporate earnings, AI-driven optimism, evolving Federal Reserve expectations, and geopolitical uncertainty. Understanding how these forces interact is critical for identifying the next high-probability trading opportunities. Because successful traders don't just follow the headlines... They understand what's driving them. Listen now:

It was one of the most anticipated earnings weeks of the year... And one company may have just changed the market's narrative. In today's episode, we break down the latest earnings reports from four members of the Magnificent 7—Microsoft, Apple, Meta Platforms, and Amazon. While each report offered valuable insight into the state of Big Tech and the AI race, one company stood above the rest. Microsoft stole the show. As investors questioned whether the tech sector was overspending on artificial intelligence, Microsoft's results provided a powerful reminder that AI isn't just a massive expense—it can also be a massive growth engine. In this episode, we'll discuss: Why Microsoft's earnings impressed Wall Street Whether AI investments are finally beginning to pay off How Apple, Meta, and Amazon measured up against expectations Which Magnificent 7 companies appear strongest heading into the next quarter The technical outlook for the technology sector after earnings We'll also examine what these reports tell us about the broader economy. Big Tech earnings often serve as a barometer for corporate spending, consumer demand, cloud computing, digital advertising, and artificial intelligence. Their results can shape market sentiment for weeks to come. Because earnings season isn't just about who beat estimates... It's about which companies are proving they can turn innovation into profits. Listen now:

The Federal Reserve has spoken... Now it's time to separate the headlines from what really matters. In this special episode, I'm joined by bond market veteran Bill Addiss to break down the latest FOMC interest rate announcement, Chairman's press conference, and the market's reaction. With decades of experience following the fixed-income markets, Bill brings a unique perspective on what the Fed's latest decision means—not just for bonds, but for stocks, commodities, currencies, and the economy as a whole. Markets often react instantly to the Fed's decision, but the biggest moves frequently come from the subtle changes in language and future guidance. The question every investor should be asking is: What did the Federal Reserve actually tell us about where interest rates—and the economy—are headed next? In today's episode, we'll discuss: The latest FOMC interest rate decision Key comments from the Federal Reserve and why they matter What the Fed's statement says about inflation and economic growth How the bond market interpreted the announcement What higher—or lower—interest rates mean for stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities, and cryptocurrencies The sectors most likely to benefit from the Fed's next move Bill will also share his professional insight into how institutional investors analyze Federal Reserve policy, helping traders understand why the bond market often predicts major shifts before the stock market catches on. Because when it comes to the Federal Reserve... It's not just the decision that moves markets—it's the expectations for what comes next. Listen now:

The market is holding its breath. Tomorrow's FOMC interest rate decision could set the tone for stocks, bonds, commodities, and cryptocurrencies for weeks to come. While most investors are focused on whether the Federal Reserve will raise, cut, or hold rates steady, the real opportunity often lies in what the Fed says next. Will policymakers signal that inflation is finally under control, or suggest that higher interest rates could remain with us longer than expected? In today's episode, we'll break down everything you need to know before the Fed announcement and discuss how tomorrow's decision could impact the broader financial markets. We'll discuss: What to expect from tomorrow's FOMC meeting How interest rate decisions influence stocks, bonds, and the U.S. dollar The key sectors that could benefit—or suffer—from the Fed's next move The technical levels traders should be watching before the announcement We'll also examine the latest developments involving Iran and the growing impact geopolitical tensions are having on crude oil prices. As energy costs rise, they can quickly become a major driver of inflation, complicating the Federal Reserve's fight to bring prices under control. We'll cover: The latest headlines from the Middle East Why oil prices remain one of the biggest inflation risks How higher energy costs could influence future Fed policy What it all means for investors and traders Finally, I'll walk through two new trades I entered today, explaining the technical setup, my reasoning behind each position, and the risk management plan going forward. Because successful trading isn't about predicting the news... It's about preparing for the market's reaction. Listen now:

Artificial Intelligence is transforming the world... But there's one major problem almost nobody is talking about. Where is all the electricity going to come from? Every new AI model, hyperscale data center, semiconductor fabrication plant, and electric vehicle places an even greater strain on an aging U.S. power grid. Electricity demand is rising at its fastest pace in decades, yet much of America's energy infrastructure wasn't built for the world we're rapidly entering. The challenge isn't just producing more power—it's producing it reliably, affordably, and fast enough to keep up with an economy that's becoming increasingly dependent on electricity. In today's episode, we'll take a deep dive into the future of America's energy market and explore the technologies and industries that may define the next decade of investing. We'll discuss: Why AI and data centers are causing electricity demand to surge The growing strain on America's aging power grid Whether nuclear power is poised for a major comeback Why natural gas may remain the bridge fuel for years to come The role of renewables, battery storage, and next-generation energy technologies Which companies and sectors stand to benefit from the massive wave of infrastructure investment We'll also answer the most important question for investors: How can you position your portfolio to profit from one of the largest infrastructure buildouts in decades? From utilities and pipeline operators to uranium producers, power equipment manufacturers, and grid infrastructure companies, the energy transition is creating opportunities far beyond traditional oil and gas. Because the next great investment theme may not be artificial intelligence itself... It may be the energy required to power it. Listen now:

Another volatile trading week is in the books, and the biggest question may not be why technology stocks sold off—but where they stopped. After a sharp decline across the tech sector, several major indexes and leading stocks have fallen directly into important demand zones. That puts traders at a critical decision point: Is this where buyers step back in, or is the market preparing for another leg lower? In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down the major financial headlines, examine the technical damage in technology stocks, and discuss the key price levels that could determine what happens next. We'll also answer several viewer questions covering some of the market's most closely watched areas, including: Cryptocurrency – Is the latest volatility creating opportunity, or signaling more trouble ahead? Crude oil – Can oil continue moving higher, and what could rising energy prices mean for inflation and the broader market? Amazon – Is the recent price action offering an attractive setup, or should traders remain cautious? Plus additional viewer questions on stocks, sectors, trading strategy, and market direction. The headlines may explain why the market moved, but the chart tells us where buyers and sellers are willing to act. With technology stocks sitting near significant technical levels, the next move could set the tone for the weeks ahead. Because a selloff into demand is not automatically a buying opportunity... The reaction at that level is what matters. Listen now:

For the first time in months, the market's biggest winners are starting to look vulnerable. The Magnificent 7—the technology giants that have powered much of this bull market—came under heavy selling pressure as investors questioned whether the industry's massive spending on artificial intelligence is beginning to outpace the returns. Is Wall Street finally losing confidence in the AI trade... Or is this simply another healthy correction before the next leg higher? In today's episode, we'll break down what sparked the selloff and discuss whether companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Apple, and Tesla are facing a temporary setback—or the beginning of a much larger rotation. We'll discuss: Why investors are suddenly worried about AI infrastructure spending Whether trillion-dollar AI investments are generating enough returns What this selloff means for the broader technology sector Key technical levels to watch in the Magnificent 7 stocks We'll also turn our attention overseas as tensions with Iran continue to escalate. Geopolitical uncertainty is once again putting upward pressure on crude oil prices, and I'll explain why I believe oil may have considerably more room to run if the current situation continues to deteriorate. We'll cover: The latest developments involving Iran Why geopolitical risk is driving energy markets What higher oil prices could mean for inflation, interest rates, and the stock market The sectors that could benefit if crude continues to climb Finally, I'll share a brief recap from last week's MoneyShow, highlighting some of the questions investors were asking, the biggest themes discussed during my presentations, and what I took away from speaking with traders from around the country. Because sometimes... The most valuable insights don't come from charts—they come from conversations with thousands of investors. Listen now:

Another exciting week is in the books, and the markets certainly gave traders plenty to talk about. In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down the biggest financial stories that moved markets, from the powerful rebound in memory chip stocks to another surge in crude oil prices and the latest developments surrounding Netflix. The market continues to send mixed signals... Technology remains resilient, energy is heating up again, and investors are trying to determine whether this bull market still has fuel left in the tank. On today's show, we'll discuss: The memory stock bounce – Is the semiconductor rally back on track, or is this simply a relief rally? We'll examine what's driving renewed optimism in DRAM and AI-related chipmakers. Oil's latest surge – What's behind the move in crude oil, and what could it mean for inflation, energy stocks, and the broader economy? Netflix – We'll look at the latest news surrounding the streaming giant and discuss whether the stock still deserves its premium valuation. The week's biggest market movers – From technology to commodities, we'll connect the dots between the headlines and the price action. As always, I'll share my thoughts on the overall market environment, discuss what sectors I'm watching most closely, and highlight potential opportunities heading into next week. Because every Friday isn't just about reviewing what happened... It's about preparing for what comes next. Listen now:

The hype has faded... Now comes the big question. After months of relentless selling, many space stocks have fallen sharply from their highs. The excitement surrounding commercial space, satellite communications, launch providers, and the blockbuster SpaceX IPO has cooled dramatically, leaving investors wondering: Is this the buying opportunity everyone's been waiting for... or is there still more downside ahead? In today's episode, we answer a viewer question by taking a deep dive into the space sector and separating the companies with real long-term potential from those that may have simply ridden the hype train too far. We'll discuss: Why space stocks have sold off so aggressively Whether valuations are finally becoming attractive How SpaceX's public debut has changed the competitive landscape Which factors could drive the sector's next major move How I would approach investing in the space economy today Because great industries don't always produce great investments... Price still matters. We'll also update the TraderMerlin trade sheet with a new position in the DRAM sector, discussing why memory chips have become one of the hottest areas of the semiconductor market. With AI demand exploding and data centers requiring enormous amounts of high-bandwidth memory, is this the beginning of another major opportunity? I'll break down: Why I'm looking at DRAM now The technical setup behind the trade My risk management plan What would invalidate the trade As always, we'll wrap up with today's market action and the key themes I'm watching as we head into the next trading session. Listen now:

When a blue-chip stock suffers a sharp selloff, every investor asks the same question: Is this a buying opportunity… or a value trap? In today's episode, we tackle a viewer question about IBM after its dramatic decline. Has Wall Street overreacted, creating an attractive entry point? Or has the market uncovered deeper problems that investors shouldn't ignore? We'll break down: What caused IBM's sharp selloff Whether the fundamentals have actually changed Key technical support and resistance levels How to evaluate buying opportunities after major price declines What long-term investors and traders should be watching Sometimes the best opportunities come when fear takes over the market… But not every dip is worth buying. We'll also answer a viewer question about DRAM and why it's become one of the hottest areas in the semiconductor industry. We'll discuss: What DRAM memory is and why it matters How AI is driving demand for memory chips The companies benefiting from the boom Whether the semiconductor rally still has room to run Finally, we'll wrap up with today's market action, highlighting: The biggest movers Sector rotation Investor sentiment What today's price action could mean for tomorrow's trading session Because great trading isn't about chasing headlines... It's about understanding the story behind the move. Listen now:

The new Federal Reserve Chairman has officially stepped into the spotlight. In today's episode, we break down Kevin Warsh's first appearance before Congress and what his testimony may reveal about the future of U.S. monetary policy. Every word from a Fed Chair is scrutinized by Wall Street, and this hearing offered investors their first real look at Warsh's priorities, concerns, and vision for the economy. The big question is: Is Kevin Warsh preparing to change the direction of the Federal Reserve… or simply continue the path already in place? We'll discuss: The key takeaways from Warsh's congressional testimony His views on inflation, employment, and economic growth What his comments may signal for future interest rate decisions How the bond market, stock market, and U.S. dollar are reacting The sectors that could benefit—or struggle—under his leadership We'll also explore why congressional testimony often moves markets more than the actual Fed meeting itself. Traders aren't just listening for policy changes—they're searching for subtle clues about what may come next. Because in today's markets... Expectations often move prices long before policy does. Whether you're trading stocks, bonds, futures, or cryptocurrencies, understanding the Federal Reserve remains one of the most important pieces of market analysis. Listen now:

Another trading week is in the books, and we're wrapping it all up with one of my favorite formats—the Viewer Q&A! This week, we'll answer several great questions from the audience, breaking down individual stocks, technical setups, and the broader market to help you make better trading decisions. On today's show, we'll discuss: Shake Shack – Is the recent move sustainable, or has the stock gotten ahead of itself? SK Hynix – One of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom. Does it still have room to run? Intel – Can the chip giant regain its footing, or is it still playing catch-up in the semiconductor race? Plus several additional viewer-submitted questions covering trading, investing, and market strategy. I'll also provide an update on my Tesla trade, discussing how the position has evolved, what adjustments I've made, and what I'm watching next. Sometimes the best lessons come from managing a trade after it's been placed—not just finding the entry. Finally, we'll wrap up the week with a broad market overview, looking at: The biggest market-moving headlines Sector rotation and market leadership Technical levels to watch next week Where I see potential opportunities developing Whether you're trading individual stocks or simply trying to stay on top of the market, this episode is packed with practical insights and real-world analysis. Because every week the market tells a story... Our job is to listen carefully. Listen now:

Your questions. Real market answers. One of my favorite shows is back as we dive into the TraderMerlin mailbag and tackle a wide range of viewer questions covering trading, technical analysis, risk management, and today's ever-changing market environment. In this episode, we'll answer questions including: How do you become a better technical analyst? What's the most important part of managing risk? Do market gaps really get filled? How should traders adapt when volatility begins to increase? And several more questions submitted by viewers. Every trader reaches a point where indicators alone aren't enough. Success comes from understanding why markets move, managing risk effectively, and developing a repeatable process that fits your personality and objectives. We'll also revisit the topic of market gaps, clarifying some of the misconceptions from previous discussions and explaining how I incorporate gaps into my own trading plan. Of course, no TraderMerlin show would be complete without breaking down today's market action. We'll discuss: The biggest movers of the day Key technical levels across the major indexes Sector rotation and investor sentiment What today's price action may be telling us about tomorrow Because every trading day offers another opportunity to learn—and the better your questions, the better your trading becomes. Listen now:

Few topics generate more debate among traders than price gaps. Do all gaps eventually get filled? Should you trade in the direction of the gap... or fade it? Are breakaway gaps different from exhaustion gaps? In today's episode, I answer a viewer question about one of the most misunderstood concepts in technical analysis and share my personal approach after nearly 30 years of trading the financial markets. We'll break down: What causes price gaps The different types of gaps every trader should know Which gaps are most likely to fill—and which often don't How I evaluate gaps before entering a trade Common mistakes traders make when trading gap openings The reality is that there isn't a single "correct" way to trade gaps. Different strategies work in different market environments, and understanding the context is often far more important than the gap itself. Because a gap isn't a trading signal... It's simply new information that needs to be interpreted correctly. We'll also review today's market action, discussing the biggest movers, sector performance, and how today's trading may be setting up opportunities for tomorrow's session. As always, I'll walk through what I'm watching, the key technical levels on my radar, and the setups that have my attention heading into the next trading day. Listen now:

What matters more to the market right now... Corporate earnings... or global geopolitics? It's a fantastic viewer question, and in today's episode we'll tackle one of the biggest challenges facing traders and investors in today's market. For decades, earnings have been the primary driver of stock prices. But when wars, trade disputes, sanctions, and geopolitical uncertainty dominate the headlines, how much weight should investors really place on a company's quarterly results? We'll break down: How geopolitics influences corporate earnings When headlines matter more than fundamentals How markets typically react during periods of global uncertainty Why some sectors benefit while others struggle How traders should balance macro events with technical analysis More importantly, we'll discuss how to approach today's market environment without allowing emotions or sensational headlines to dictate your investment decisions. Because successful traders don't react... They prepare. We'll also answer another viewer question about becoming a specialist in a single futures market. Many new traders make the mistake of trying to trade everything—crude oil one day, gold the next, then stock indexes, currencies, and agricultural products. I'll explain why mastering one market often leads to better long-term results and discuss how to become an expert in a specific futures product. We'll cover: Choosing the right futures market for your personality Understanding contract behavior and volatility Building pattern recognition through repetition Why specialization can create a trading edge Finally, I'll share updates on today's market action and what I'm watching as the next wave of economic and geopolitical headlines unfolds. Listen now:

Could one of the smartest long-term investments for young Americans have just been introduced? In today's episode, we break down the latest financial product announced by the U.S. government and why it could become an attractive wealth-building tool for those under the age of 18. Whether you're a parent, grandparent, or simply thinking about the next generation, this new program has the potential to reshape how young investors begin building financial security. We'll discuss: The details of the new government-backed investment program Who qualifies and how it works The potential long-term benefits of starting to invest early How compounding can turn small investments into significant wealth over time Whether this new program deserves a place in your family's financial plan We'll also examine the market impact of the new Trump Accounts initiative and discuss how investors are reacting. Is this simply a new savings vehicle, or could it have broader implications for capital markets and investor behavior? Beyond the headlines, we'll break down today's market action, highlighting: The biggest winners and losers Sector rotation and investor sentiment What the latest price action may be telling us And, as always, I'll provide updates on my current trades, portfolio positioning, and what I'm watching as we move into the next trading session. Because building wealth isn't just about finding the next hot stock... It's about understanding the tools available and making smart decisions over time. Listen now:

Today's show is going to be a little different. Before we get into markets, I'll take a moment to honor my best friend, my loyal companion, and one of the greatest gifts life can give us: a dog who has been by my side through it all. Tomorrow afternoon, he'll be crossing the rainbow bridge, and while that is one of the hardest decisions any pet owner ever has to make, it's also one final act of love. We'll spend a little time remembering him, celebrating the joy he brought, and acknowledging just how much these incredible animals become part of our lives. Then we'll shift into the markets and close out the month of June, breaking down the biggest headlines of the day, the major market movers, and what traders should be watching as we head into the next month. Listen now:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has crossed 52,000, marking another historic milestone for U.S. equities. But the real question isn't whether the Dow made a new high... It's whether the rest of the market can keep up. In today's episode, we break down what this breakout means for the broader market and whether the rally still has room to run. Is this the beginning of another leg higher, or are investors becoming overly optimistic? We'll discuss: Why the Dow continues making history Whether the rally is broadening or becoming increasingly concentrated What institutional money is telling us Key technical levels traders should be watching We'll also examine the powerful rebound in technology stocks as investors continue piling into AI, semiconductors, and the Magnificent 7. Is this renewed momentum sustainable, or are we seeing another wave of speculative buying? Geopolitics remains front and center as well, so we'll cover the latest developments in the Iran conflict and discuss how headlines continue to influence: Oil prices Inflation expectations Market volatility Investor sentiment Perhaps the biggest topic of the day is one that few investors are talking about: Record margin debt. Leverage across the financial markets has climbed to unprecedented levels, helping fuel one of the strongest rallies in recent memory. But history has shown that margin can be a powerful accelerator in both directions. We'll explore: Why margin debt is soaring Whether leverage is becoming a hidden risk How previous periods of excessive borrowing have impacted markets What traders should watch if sentiment begins to shift This episode is all about understanding what is really driving today's market—and what could change the narrative tomorrow. Listen now:

What a difference a week can make. After weeks of relentless optimism, the markets finally showed signs of fatigue. Selling pressure returned, volatility picked up, and traders were left asking one important question: Is this just a healthy pullback… or the beginning of something bigger? In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we break down the biggest stories that shaped the markets, including the recent weakness across equities and what it may be signaling for the weeks ahead. We'll also take a close look at SpaceX after its first full week of public trading. Has the excitement surrounding one of the most anticipated IPOs in history lived up to expectations? We'll analyze the early price action, investor sentiment, and what may come next for the newest heavyweight on Wall Street. As always, we'll open the mailbag and answer several viewer questions, including: Is day trading still a realistic path for today's traders? What's the outlook for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market? How should traders approach increased market volatility? What opportunities may be developing beneath the surface? Because whether markets are rallying or pulling back... there's always opportunity for traders who have a plan. If you want a straightforward breakdown of the week's biggest market-moving events—and practical insights you can actually use—this episode is for you. Listen now:

The inflation report the Federal Reserve watches more closely than any other has just been released... So what does it tell us about the future of interest rates—and the markets? In today's episode, we break down the latest Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, and explain why today's numbers could have a major impact on stocks, bonds, and investor expectations for the months ahead. The big questions are: Is inflation finally under control? Or are hopes for lower interest rates fading once again? We'll discuss: What the latest Core PCE report revealed Why the Federal Reserve focuses on Core PCE over CPI How today's data could influence future interest rate decisions The impact on equities, bonds, commodities, and the U.S. dollar What traders should be watching next But inflation isn't the only story moving markets. We'll also take a closer look at Micron Technology and its latest developments, examining how the memory chip giant is influencing the broader semiconductor industry and AI supply chain. What does Micron's outlook mean for companies like Apple? We'll discuss: Why Micron's performance matters to the entire tech sector How semiconductor pricing impacts Apple's margins Whether AI-driven demand is creating new opportunities—or new risks—for Big Tech This episode connects macroeconomics with one of the market's hottest sectors, giving you the bigger picture behind today's headlines. Listen now:

Wall Street just got a lot more bullish. A major market forecast has pushed its target for the S&P 500 all the way to 7,800, implying significant upside from current levels. But is this a realistic projection based on earnings, AI growth, and economic strength... or are analysts simply getting caught up in market euphoria? In today's episode, we break down the reasoning behind the upgraded target and ask the question every investor should be asking: Can the S&P 500 really reach 7,800, or is Wall Street getting ahead of itself? We'll discuss: What's driving the bullish forecasts The role of AI and technology in earnings growth Whether valuations still make sense Historical examples of analyst optimism and pessimism Key risks that could derail the rally We'll also take a look at a viewer's trade in Cerebras Systems, breaking down the setup, risks, and opportunities surrounding one of the more intriguing names in the AI space. In addition, we'll dive into two critical market indicators that many investors ignore: The 10-Year Treasury Yield The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Because these two markets often provide valuable clues about: Interest rates Inflation expectations Capital flows Future equity performance And of course, I'll provide updates on my current trades, portfolio positioning, and what I'm watching as markets continue to push higher. This episode is all about separating optimism from reality. Listen now:

What would happen if two of the most disruptive companies on the planet became one? In today's episode, we tackle a fascinating viewer question: Could Tesla and SpaceX ever merge? And if they did, what would that mean for investors? Both companies share a common visionary leader in Elon Musk, but they operate in very different industries. One is transforming transportation and energy, while the other is revolutionizing space exploration and global communications. We'll explore: Whether a Tesla-SpaceX merger is even realistic The potential benefits and drawbacks of combining the companies What such a deal might mean for shareholders How analysts would approach valuing the combined entity Whether the market would reward or punish such a move Because while the idea sounds exciting... combining two great companies doesn't automatically create a better investment. We'll also discuss the latest wave of corporate layoffs and what they may be telling us about the economy, business confidence, and future growth expectations. And finally, we'll dive into one of the most exciting technological frontiers on the planet: Quantum Computing. With major breakthroughs being announced at an accelerating pace, we'll look at: Where quantum computing stands today Which companies are leading the race The potential investment opportunities And whether the hype is getting ahead of reality This episode blends corporate finance, technology, innovation, and investing into one fascinating discussion. Listen now:

SpaceX Unlocks - 06/22/26 The IPO may be over, but the real opportunities could just be getting started. In today's episode, we take a deep dive into the upcoming SpaceX share unlock schedule and why it may create some of the most interesting trading opportunities over the next year. Most investors focus on the IPO itself. Professional traders focus on what comes next. As early investors, employees, venture capital firms, and insiders become eligible to sell shares, the market may experience periods of increased supply, heightened volatility, and potentially attractive entry points. We'll discuss: The upcoming SpaceX lockup expiration timeline How share unlocks have impacted other major IPOs historically Why increased supply can create short-term pressure Potential trading opportunities surrounding future unlock dates What investors should watch for over the coming year Because while everyone is focused on the excitement of the IPO... smart traders are already looking ahead to the next catalyst. We'll also shift gears and answer several viewer questions regarding my upcoming presentations at the Las Vegas MoneyShow, including what attendees can expect from my sessions on trading, investing, and digital assets. And of course, we'll tackle questions on two of the hottest asset classes in the market today: Gold Bitcoin Are precious metals setting up for another move? Is Bitcoin's current rally sustainable? We'll break down the technicals, fundamentals, and market sentiment driving both. This episode is packed with actionable insights for traders looking beyond the headlines. Listen now:

It's been a shortened trading week, but there was no shortage of market-moving news. In today's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down the biggest stories that drove markets this week, including the historic SpaceX IPO, the latest developments surrounding the Iran peace deal, and the dramatic moves in oil prices that continue to shape investor sentiment. The market spent the week balancing optimism and uncertainty. On one hand, hopes surrounding a U.S.-Iran agreement helped push oil prices lower and fueled a risk-on rally in equities. On the other, traders are still trying to assess what these developments mean for inflation, interest rates, and economic growth going forward. We'll discuss: The latest on the SpaceX IPO and its impact on market liquidity Why investors continue to pour money into technology and growth stocks The Iran peace deal and its effect on oil markets Whether lower energy prices could ease inflation concerns What the broader market is telling us as we head into next week Of course, I'll also provide updates on my current trades, portfolio positioning, and the lessons learned from this week's action. Because sometimes the biggest opportunities come from understanding how all these stories connect. Listen now:

A new era at the Federal Reserve has officially begun. In today's special episode, I'm joined by veteran bond trader William Addiss to break down the first official FOMC announcement under new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. This wasn't just another Fed meeting. It was the market's first real glimpse into how Warsh intends to lead the Federal Reserve, and investors everywhere are trying to decipher what it means for interest rates, inflation, bonds, stocks, and the broader economy. We'll discuss: The latest interest rate decision Changes to Fed projections and guidance How Kevin Warsh's approach differs from previous leadership What the bond market is signaling right now Whether investors should expect a new policy direction As one of the most experienced bond traders I know, Bill Addiss brings a unique perspective to the discussion, helping separate market noise from what truly matters. We'll also dive into the potential impacts on: Treasury yields Equity markets Housing Commodities Digital assets Long-term investment portfolios Because when the Federal Reserve changes course... every asset class feels the effects. This episode is a must-watch for anyone trying to understand where monetary policy may be headed and how to position themselves accordingly. Listen now:

It's time to dive into the mailbag! One of my favorite shows is back as we tackle a wide range of viewer questions covering some of the hottest topics in today's markets. From crypto and commodities to SpaceX and Elon Musk, nothing is off limits. In today's episode, we'll discuss: Crypto futures and how they differ from spot markets The opportunities and risks of trading digital assets The latest developments surrounding SpaceX and its blockbuster IPO Elon Musk, his growing influence across multiple industries, and what it means for investors The outlook for Crude Oil as traders weigh geopolitical risks, supply concerns, and economic growth Plus several additional questions submitted by viewers One of the best parts of this show is that it covers the topics that you want answered. Sometimes the most valuable lessons come from questions that many traders are thinking—but few are asking. We'll also discuss how these stories connect to the broader market and what traders should be paying attention to as we head deeper into the quarter. Because successful trading isn't just about charts and indicators. It's about understanding the forces driving markets and making informed decisions. Listen now:

After months of conflict, sanctions, oil shocks, and market uncertainty, we may finally be seeing real progress toward a resolution with Iran. In today's episode, we break down the latest developments surrounding the proposed U.S.-Iran peace agreement, what has been officially released by both governments, and what it could mean for investors moving forward. While optimism is growing, questions remain about implementation, energy flows, sanctions relief, and the long-term stability of any agreement. The markets have already started reacting. Oil prices have fallen sharply as traders anticipate the reopening of key shipping routes and a normalization of global energy supplies. At the same time, equities have rallied as investors begin pricing in a reduction of one of the market's biggest geopolitical risks. We'll discuss: What we know about the Iran peace negotiations Why oil prices are falling The potential impact on inflation and interest rates Whether this changes the outlook for the broader stock market What risks still remain despite the positive headlines We'll also take a fresh look at the incredible moves in SpaceX following its highly anticipated IPO. Has the excitement become excessive, or is this just the beginning of a new chapter for the space industry? And of course, all eyes now turn to the upcoming Federal Reserve decision. With oil falling, inflation concerns easing, and new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh preparing for a pivotal meeting, traders are looking for clues about the future path of interest rates. This is one of those rare moments where: geopolitics, energy, IPOs, and monetary policy are all colliding at once. Listen now:

What a week. Markets were forced to navigate two massive stories simultaneously: the historic debut of SpaceX and the ever-changing situation in the Middle East. Somehow, investors managed to stay optimistic as hopes for a U.S.-Iran agreement helped calm energy markets while the largest IPO in history captured Wall Street's attention. In this week's Trading Week Wrap Up!, we'll break down: The record-breaking SpaceX IPO and what it means for investors going forward Whether SpaceX is worth the hype—or if expectations have become too extreme The market's reaction to the latest developments surrounding Iran Why oil prices have become the key barometer for investor sentiment How geopolitical events are shaping stocks, bonds, commodities, and crypto But that's just the beginning... Joining me for this special episode is long-time friend and market veteran Dr. Larry Jacobson. Together we'll dive into everything impacting today's financial markets, including: Interest rates Inflation AI and technology stocks Market valuations Investor psychology And where opportunities may lie moving forward When you combine a historic IPO, geopolitical uncertainty, and one of the most experienced market minds around, you get a conversation you won't want to miss. Because right now, the market is balancing: excitement, uncertainty, and opportunity all at the same time. Listen now:

The streak is over. After more than six weeks of relentless buying pressure, the major indexes finally closed the week in the red, leaving traders wondering: Is this just a healthy pullback… or the beginning of something bigger? In today's Trading Week Wrap Down!, we break down the sharp market selloff that snapped the broad market's winning streak and examine the key forces driving the weakness. We'll discuss: The sudden shift in market sentiment Weakness across AI and technology stocks Whether the leadership that carried this market higher is finally running out of steam Why traders may be starting to lock in profits after a historic run We'll also take a deep dive into the upcoming SpaceX IPO, which is expected to attract enormous investor demand and potentially pull significant capital out of other market sectors. That raises another important question: Is a liquidity crunch developing? With billions of dollars potentially rotating into one of the most anticipated IPOs in history, we'll explore how that capital movement could impact: Technology stocks AI leaders Growth names Broad market liquidity And, as always, we'll discuss what all of this means for traders heading into next week. Because when markets stop going up every day, that's when the real analysis begins. Listen now:

It's finally happening... or is it? For years, investors have been asking one question: When will SpaceX go public? In today's episode, we break down the latest developments surrounding the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO and what it could mean for investors, markets, and the future of the space economy. Few companies have captured the public imagination like SpaceX. From reusable rockets and satellite launches to the rapid expansion of Starlink, the company has transformed the aerospace industry and become one of the most valuable private companies in the world. But with sky-high expectations come some important questions: What valuation makes sense for SpaceX? Is the growth story already priced in? How much of the company's success is tied to Starlink versus launch services? Will retail investors finally get a chance to participate? Could this become one of the largest IPOs in market history? We'll also discuss the risks that often accompany high-profile IPOs and examine historical examples of companies that soared—or stumbled—after going public. Because while great companies can make great investments... the price you pay still matters. Whether you're a space enthusiast, growth investor, or simply curious about one of the most anticipated public offerings ever, this episode is one you won't want to miss. Listen now:

One of the biggest mistakes traders make is trying to trade like someone else. In today's episode, I answer a viewer question about how I developed my own trading style and why that journey took years of trial, error, and self-discovery. The reality is that there is no "best" trading style. There is only the style that fits you. Some traders love the fast-paced action of day trading. Others prefer swing trading, investing, options, futures, or longer-term position trades. The key isn't finding the strategy with the biggest returns—it's finding the one that fits your: Schedule Personality Risk tolerance Financial goals Because if your trading style doesn't match your lifestyle, eventually something breaks. I'll share my experiences from nearly three decades in the markets, how my approach evolved over time, and why I ultimately settled on a style that gives me both opportunity and flexibility. We'll also take a look at my current portfolio, discuss recent trade activity, and break down a new short position I've initiated. Why am I looking for downside while markets remain near highs? I'll walk through the logic, risk management, and what I'm watching next. This episode is all about building a trading approach that you can actually sustain. Listen now:

The rally just won't stop. Chipmakers are soaring. AI stocks are ripping higher. Technology names continue to make new highs seemingly every week. At this point, there's only one word that seems to fit: Greed. In today's episode, we break down the relentless surge in the technology sector and ask the question many traders are afraid to ask: Are we witnessing the early stages of another speculative mania? From semiconductor giants to AI darlings, investors continue pouring money into anything connected to artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and next-generation technology. Companies like NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices, Microsoft, and others have become market leaders, but can the momentum continue? We'll discuss: Why chipmakers continue to outperform The role AI is playing in driving valuations Whether current price action is justified How to identify the difference between momentum and mania Most importantly, we'll look at how traders should navigate an environment where: fear has disappeared and optimism seems limitless. History has shown that markets often become the most dangerous when everything looks perfect. Listen now:

The final frontier may be exciting… but investors are starting to ask some uncomfortable questions. In today's episode, we take a hard look at the growing concerns surrounding the space sector, including the lofty valuation of SpaceX and whether expectations have gotten ahead of reality. For years, space-related investments have been fueled by incredible stories: Reusable rockets Satellite internet Lunar missions Space tourism But recently, many space-related stocks have struggled, and investors are beginning to question whether growth can keep pace with the massive valuations attached to the sector. So the big question is: Is this a healthy pullback creating opportunity… or the beginning of a larger correction? We'll discuss: The valuation concerns surrounding SpaceX Why many space stocks have been under pressure The difference between great technology and great investments Whether buying the dip makes sense at current levels We'll also look at the broader market environment and how interest rates, risk appetite, and investor sentiment may impact speculative growth sectors like aerospace and space exploration. Because in investing, the story is important... But the numbers eventually matter. Listen now:

What a way to close out the month. May is officially in the books, and for investors, it was hard to complain. Strong earnings, resilient economic data, and continued momentum in big tech helped push markets higher, leaving many traders wondering: Can this rally keep going? In today's Trading Week Wrap Up, we break down the biggest stories that shaped the month and the latest price action in the market's heavyweight leaders, including Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., and several other members of the Magnificent 7. We'll discuss: Why tech continues to lead the charge Whether AI enthusiasm is still driving the market What the latest price action is telling us Where opportunities and risks may be developing And of course, I'll provide updates on my own trades, including position management, recent adjustments, and lessons learned from the week's action. As always, we'll focus on what matters most: price, probabilities, and preparation. Because while headlines come and go, the market leaves clues every day. Listen now:

The financial world may have just crossed a major line in the sand for blockchain technology. In today's episode, we break down the huge news surrounding the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) and its decision to move forward with a specific blockchain-based infrastructure for parts of its record keeping and settlement systems. When the organization responsible for clearing and settling trillions of dollars in securities starts embracing blockchain technology… people should pay attention. This isn't just another crypto headline. This is institutional finance evolving in real time. We'll discuss: Why the DTCC move is such a big deal What blockchain technology offers traditional finance How tokenization and settlement systems are changing Which projects and sectors could benefit most from adoption And the momentum doesn't stop there. Major financial firms are making aggressive moves into stablecoins and digital payments, including: Block Mastercard Ally Financial The message is becoming clear: blockchain is no longer just a crypto experiment—it's becoming financial infrastructure. We'll break down what this means for: traditional banking payment systems crypto markets and long-term investors trying to position ahead of the curve. Listen now:

Big changes are coming for Honeywell—and shareholders are trying to figure out what it all means. In today's episode, we break down Honeywell's upcoming spinoff plans and why the company is restructuring itself into multiple standalone businesses. We'll discuss: Why companies pursue spinoffs How shareholders are impacted Whether these moves actually create value And what traders should watch as the separation moves forward Honeywell's aerospace division is expected to become its own publicly traded company as part of a broader restructuring effort aimed at unlocking shareholder value. But while corporate restructuring dominates headlines, geopolitics is once again moving markets. We'll also dive into the latest Iran peace talks and the sharp collapse in Crude oil prices as traders begin pricing in the possibility of easing tensions in the Middle East. After weeks of volatility and fear-driven spikes, oil suddenly reversed hard—raising the question: Was the panic overdone from the start? This episode connects: corporate strategy geopolitics and market psychology …all in one show. Listen now:

Gold, silver, platinum… are the metals setting up for another major move? In today's episode, we tackle a viewer question about buying precious metals right now. After huge volatility and powerful rallies over the past year, investors are trying to answer one critical question: Is now the time to buy metals… or are they headed lower? We'll break down the current technical and macro picture for: Gold Silver Inflation expectations Interest rates Safe haven demand Because metals don't move in a vacuum. They react to: fear inflation currency weakness and shifting global sentiment. We'll also shift gears into the semiconductor space as Micron Technology rips higher, adding more fuel to the ongoing AI and chip market frenzy. Is this another breakout leg for semis, or are valuations getting stretched? This episode is all about understanding: momentum, macro drivers, and where opportunity may be setting up next. Listen now: