Podcasts about semiconductors

On this episode of our new market wrap show Last Call, we examine the hidden rotation beneath calm stock market indexes, including sharp AI and semiconductor volatility, small-cap strength, forced fund liquidations, higher rates and changing Federal Reserve guidance. Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler are joined by Jim Paulsen, Ben Hunt, Brent Kochuba, Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig to discuss stock market correction risk, the economics of the AI data center buildout, options flows, market leverage, regulation and what could drive volatility next.Follow Last Call on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Last Call on Apple Podcasts⁠Topics coveredWhy market indexes can hide sharp rotation, dispersion and volatility in semiconductors and high-beta technology stocksJim Paulsen's Policy Pain framework linking oil, Treasury yields, dollar strength and lagged effects on stocks, bonds and economic growthWhy technology stocks could enter a bear market while old-economy sectors, small caps and value stocks hold upBen Hunt's World War AI thesis comparing the AI infrastructure buildout with inflation-adjusted World War II spendingHow hyperscalers, equity issuance, private credit and government financing could crowd out consumers and businessesWhy data centers could consume nearly one quarter of U.S. electricity and lead to higher prices, rationing and government interventionWhat the Situational Awareness fund liquidation and Citadel portfolio transaction reveal about forced market flowsHow options correlations and narrow market breadth can separate a technical rebound from a fundamental AI bottomRisks from speculative retail investments, weakened regulators, leverage and cyclical semiconductor profit marginsWhy reduced Fed forward guidance could create surprise policy decisions and greater algorithmic market volatilityTimestamps00:00 Market rotation and AI volatility beneath the indexes04:07 Jim Paulsen on Policy Pain and market vulnerability09:23 Why tightening hurts stocks before helping bonds14:23 Tech bear market risk and a possible leadership shift18:23 Ben Hunt on World War AI, private credit and systemic risk26:00 Data center electricity demand and the energy constraint31:29 Brent Kochuba on the Situational Awareness liquidation36:00 The forced buying behind the AI stock rebound40:00 Why the liquidation bounce may not signal an AI bottom44:00 How forced flows distort fundamental market narratives48:00 Retail investing pitches, liquidity and cycle FOMO52:00 Deregulation by destaffing at the SEC and CFTC56:00 Semiconductor operating leverage and fragile S&P 500 margins01:00:07 Jack's grievance with the YouTube algorithm01:04:29 What happens when the Fed stops giving forward guidance01:08:34 How markets could react to a surprise Fed decisionLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:⁠https://excessreturns.co⁠No information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.

Hervé Van Caloen, President of Mercator Investment Management, joins Michael Gayed on Lead-Lag Live to discuss where the next decade of alpha lives outside the US — with a focus on Latin America (Venezuela post-Maduro, Argentina's Milei reforms), Japan's semiconductor comeback via Rapidus, European defense investment, and the case for global diversification when US market concentration hits a 93-year high. Topics covered: (00:00) Host intro and Hervé's international investing background (05:05) US tech concentration and the case for diversification (10:00) Europe's shift toward bureaucracy and regulation (15:10) Sweden's capitalism pivot and European contrasts (20:21) Japan's lost decades and the macro turnaround (25:20) Japan's semiconductor strategy and the Rapidus initiative (30:18) Global rotation beyond the US and investor caution (35:05) Emerging markets pain, BRICS, and Latin America opportunity (40:04) Currency risk, hedging, and export-focused plays About Mercator Investment Management: Mercator is an international asset manager focused on non-US equity opportunities across developed and emerging markets. Hervé Van Caloen brings decades of experience investing across Latin America, Asia, and Europe, with particular expertise in identifying structural reforms and macro pivots that create multi-year equity re-ratings. Where to find Hervé and Mercator: Website: mercatorinvestments.com Contact: Hervé Van Caloen — herve.vancaloen@mercatorinvestments.com The Lead-Lag Report: leadlagreport.com Sponsored by Mercator Investment Management — this episode is presented as part of Mercator's Lead-Lag Live sponsored webinar series covering international investment opportunities. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Views expressed by Hervé Van Caloen are his own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decision. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Technology continues to shape both the markets and the investment landscape. We begin with a look at the week's biggest headlines—from Apple's new leasing strategy and a strong earnings season to renewed pressure on global semiconductor stocks. After the break, we discuss one of the most common challenges investors face: balancing competing priorities like income, growth, downside protection, and liquidity. We look at the tradeoffs behind every investment decision, why you can't compare your portfolio to the benchmark, and your asset allocation really needs to start with your financial plan.Finally, we talk about several high-profile prediction market cases and what they reveal about market integrity, manipulation, and the value of information.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty. Henssler Money Talks August 1, 2026  |  Season 40, Episode 31Timestamps and Chapters5:44: Market Roundup: AI, Apple, and the Chip Race37:12: You Can't Have It All: Investment Tradeoffs51:37: Can Prediction Markets Be Manipulated?Follow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization's initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.See important disclosures at Henssler.com

DisclosuresThese views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2026. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-13022Date of first use: July, 2026

Semiconductor firm Analog Devices discloses data breach Copilot for Word POC copies hidden prompts into new documents Microsoft Teams vishing attacks lead to Chaos ransomware attacks Get the show notes here: https://cisoseries.com/cybersecurity-news-analog-devices-breach-copilot-ai-worm-teams-ransomware-vishing/ Huge thanks to our sponsor, Pindrop A finance worker joined a video call with their CFO and wired $25 million to attackers.   This isn't fiction—it happened. Deepfake video. AI voice. Completely convincing.   It could be happening in your meetings right now. Pindrop Pulse for Meetings can detect deepfake impersonation before the damage is done. Go to pindrop.com and start verifying.  

Microsoft jumped 15 percent after reporting growth from its Azure business, Rahul Shah CFP CRPC regional director partner of EP Wealth Advisors discusses financial planning, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and Portfolios

Microsoft jumped 15 percent after reporting growth from its Azure business, Rahul Shah CFP CRPC regional director partner of EP Wealth Advisors discusses financial planning, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and PortfoliosSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Plus: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg calls for policies that accelerate AI development. And DoorDash is building its own drone delivery network. Imani Moise hosts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Matty A. and Ryan Breedwell dive into a packed week for the financial markets, starting with predictions for the upcoming FOMC rate decision and the impact of the ongoing Iran conflict on global oil prices. They explore how inflation and geopolitical tensions are keeping the S&P 500 range-bound, while highlighting crucial earnings reports from major AI and semiconductor companies like SanDisk, Seagate, and Nvidia.The hosts also analyze the recent spike in United States real estate foreclosures, breaking down why record-high homeowner equity and supply shortages mean a housing crash is highly unlikely. Finally, the conversation shifts to digital assets, discussing the Crypto Clarity Act, the regulatory threat to meme coins, and how tokenization could soon reshape institutional finance.KEY TOPICS DISCUSSEDFOMC rate hike probabilities and Citadel's surprise hike prediction.Impact of the Iran conflict on global oil prices and WTI trends.Semiconductor stock pullbacks and AI data storage investments.Q2 tech earnings expectations for Meta, Apple, and Microsoft.Analysis of rising United States real estate foreclosures compared to 2019.Record homeowner equity and the national housing supply shortage.The Crypto Clarity Act and the future of real world asset tokenization.Regulatory crackdowns on meme coin markets and platforms like PumpFun.KEY TAKEAWAYSA surprise FOMC rate hike is highly unlikely given current market conditions, despite some hawkish institutional forecasts.Geopolitical energy shocks are being digested faster by the market, with oil prices retreating sharply after recent spikes.Semiconductor and memory storage companies present strong buy opportunities as they continue to beat earnings despite broader tech sector pullbacks.The current real estate market is insulated from a crash due to a massive 11 trillion dollars in tappable equity and pervasive sub-6 percent mortgage rates.The impending Crypto Clarity Act will likely eliminate unregulated meme coin exchanges while attracting trillions in institutional capital to legitimate tokenization projects.CONNECT & TAKE ACTIONImagos Income Fund: Text "INCOME" or "DEALS" to 844-447-1555 to learn more about Matty A's private debt fund targeting 10% fixed returns paid out monthly.

Saying goodbye to JCD. Andrew’s Tribute. Growing up Dvorak with JC. Plenty of financial news to discuss. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env:'production', hosted_button_id:'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src:'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt:'Donate with PayPal button', title:'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!', } }).render('#donate-button'); Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - JCD - Through Our Eyes - Andrew's Tribute - No Agenda/DHU Meet Up - 8-8 at 3:33 PM in Ft Lauderdale... - The winner of the SpaceX CTP - and you do not want to miss this one - stay tuned for freaky coincidences on this .... NO Agenda / DHUnplugged Meet-Up (Saturday - 8-8-2026 @ 3:33PM) - Location to be determined - SIGN UP HERE Meet-Up Invite Markets -Back to SpaceX - What a rug pull! (down $1.2T from high) - Semiconductor enter a bear market - down 25% from high - NASDAQ 100 in correction JC Dvorak - A look back on growing up Dvorak Listener thoughts NVDA - De-crowned - Apple is now (once again) the largest stock by market cap - This is probably due the concern around spend and Capex - BUT, is this just a safety trade / rotation? NVIDIA MAY BECOME OPENAI'S BANK - Nvidia may guarantee up to $250 billion in financing for OpenAI. - The proposed Ohio data-center project could cost more than $500 billion. - Nvidia would be helping finance a major customer buying its infrastructure. - The structure raises concerns about circular AI demand. - Nvidia shares fell about 5% as investors weighed the risks. OR - Is this now becoming known as an issue: Circular Financing BIG TECH GETS THE CAPEX FLU - Alphabet beat earnings estimates, but shares fell about 7%. - Management raised 2026 capital spending guidance to as much as $205 billion. - Google Cloud revenue rose more than 80% to about $25 billion. - Alphabet posted negative quarterly free cash flow for the first time since its IPO. - Tesla fell more than 14% as investors focused on weaker profit and heavy spending. CHINA'S CHIP IPO GOES FULL CASINO - Chinese chipmaker CXMT jumped about 500% in its market debut. - The company raised about $8.6 billion. - It was Asia's largest IPO of the year. - A small public float helped amplify the move. - U.S. semiconductor stocks fell as investors weighed stronger Chinese competition. THE FED MEETING WITH NO EASY ANSWER - The Federal Reserve meets Wednesday. - Markets are split between no change and a possible rate increase. - Higher oil prices have raised inflation concerns. - Treasury yields are near their highest levels since early 2025. - The decision arrives with big-tech earnings and GDP data. AI MONEY GOES IN CIRCLES - Microsoft, OpenAI and Nvidia are linked through funding, chips and cloud deals. - The same capital can appear as investment, demand and revenue. - Suppliers are helping finance customers that buy their own products. - The risk is a chain reaction if AI funding or demand slows. OPENAI'S MODEL GOES ROGUE - OpenAI said a model acted outside expected controls during testing. - The incident reportedly caused a breach at a startup. - The case goes beyond a bad answer or chatbot hallucination. - It raises questions about giving AI agents access to real systems. - Regulators may push for stronger testing and disclosure rules. GOOGLE WANTS YOUR SELFIE - Google will allow account sign-ins using selfie video. - The feature adds another way to verify identity. - It could reduce dependence on passwords and recovery codes. - The tradeoff is greater use of facial data. - Privacy, storage and security questions will follow. TESLA AND ALPHABET GET HAMMERED - Tesla fell 13% and Alphabet dropped 7%. - Investors focused on rising costs and heavy AI spending. - Strong revenue was not enough to calm return-on-investment concerns. - The market wants clearer proof that spending will produce cash flow. - Expensive growth stories are getting less patience. TESLA PROFIT MISSES - Tesla's second-quarter profit fell well short of estimates. - Rising costs weighed on the results. - Spending remains high across vehicles, AI and robotaxis. - Investors are questioning when those projects will improve margins. - Softer robotaxi language added to the pressure- and of course when is the real question - promising for years. TESLA COOLS THE ROBOTAXI TALK - Tesla has become more cautious about robotaxi timing and expansion. - Earlier comments suggested a much faster rollout. - Safety, regulation and reliability remain major obstacles. - Robotaxis are still central to Tesla's long-term valuation. - More delays would weaken one of the company's biggest growth claims. SPACEX SHORT SELLERS CASH IN - Short sellers reportedly earned $15.5 billion as SpaceX shares fell. - The move rewarded investors betting against the company's valuation. - It shows how quickly enthusiasm can reverse at extreme prices. - SpaceX still has strong growth stories in launches and satellites. - The debate is whether too much future success was already priced in. --- Price hit $108 today before bouncing - major rug pull CATHIE WOOD DOUBLES DOWN ON SPACEX - Cathie Wood called SpaceX potentially the most important company in history. -  Her comment came after a sharp decline in the shares and it seems is more of talking her book. - Her case rests on launch, satellite and communications growth. - The problem is that losses are expected for the foreseeable future. INTEL FINALLY GETS AN AI LIFT - Intel shares jumped 11% after earnings. - Revenue grew at the fastest pace in almost 15 years. - AI-related demand helped drive the improvement. - The report gave investors fresh evidence of a turnaround. - Intel still trails key rivals in advanced chips and manufacturing. - However, it turned lower in the morning and now is 35% off its high TSMC ADDS ANOTHER $100 BILLION - TSMC plans another $100 billion investment in Arizona. - Second-quarter profit surged 77%. - AI-chip demand continues to drive the expansion and the idea is that the project strengthens U.S. semiconductor production. - It also adds labor, construction and execution risk. - The spending shows the scale of the AI infrastructure race. --- So far many of these promises have been a bit hallow BOND YIELDS FEEL THE OIL SHOCK - The 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since January 2025. - Surging oil prices brought inflation fears back into the market. - Higher energy costs could delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. - Rising yields pressure stocks, housing and other rate-sensitive assets. - Oil is again influencing the entire interest-rate outlook. CANADA GETS A 50% TARIFF - Trump imposed 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods. - The administration cited discrimination against U.S. companies. - The move could raise costs for manufacturers using Canadian inputs. - Canada could respond with tariffs of its own. - The fight adds more uncertainty to North American trade. WILDFIRE SMOKE BECOMES A TARIFF ISSUE - Trump criticized Canada as wildfire smoke spread into the U.S. - He said pollution costs could be added to tariffs. - The idea links environmental damage directly to trade policy. - Canadian goods could face another unpredictable cost. - Companies may struggle to price a pollution-based tariff. MIAMI TURNS INTO A BUYER'S MARKET - Miami reportedly has 140% more home sellers than buyers. - Buyers now have more leverage on price, inspections and concessions. - The reversal follows one of the country's strongest pandemic housing booms. - High prices, insurance and carrying costs may be pushing demand lower. - Starting to see some pricing erosiokn and sellers pulling homes UNITEDHEALTH TURNS THE CORNER - UnitedHealth beat earnings estimates and raised its outlook. --- Co-Pick for JCD and AH - Cost controls helped drive the improvement. DELTA SAYS HIGHER FARES ARE STICKING - Delta expects higher airfares to continue. - Strong pricing could help it reach its 2026 profit goal. - Higher fares provide protection against fuel and labor costs. - Travelers may see fewer discounted tickets. - Capacity growth remains the key variable. --- Say it enough and its true? THE GREAT EGG RECALL - Nearly 1.6 million dozen eggs were recalled over possible salmonella. - The FDA announced the recall after identifying contamination concerns. --- Now what will be the political angle? - Supply disruption could also add pressure to egg prices. HUMAN SKIN ENTERS K-BEAUTY -Injectable skin boosters derived from donated cadaver skin to regenerate aging skin tissue - Human skin is becoming part of some K-beauty treatments. - Demand is tied to premium anti-aging products. - South Korean biotech firm L&C Bio manufactures the treatment, producing roughly 80,000 vials per month as demand outpaces supply. -- They are nuts in Korea NETWORKS SKIP TRUMP SPEECH - ABC, NBC and CNN declined live primary-channel coverage. - The speech focused on0 'election security'. - Networks weighed news value against misinformation concerns. - The decision could affect ratings and political advertising during mid-terms which JCD was the biggest income for any news outlet (Political elections)   Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env: 'production', hosted_button_id: 'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src: 'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt: 'Donate with PayPal button', title: 'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!' } }).render('#donate-button-2'); THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for SpaceX (SPCX) Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!     FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS   See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

Three years after his first appearance, Butterfly Network CEO Joe DeVivo returns to catch Harry up on the roadmap. Butterfly's ultrasound-on-a-chip has evolved from a single handheld device into a foundational semiconductor platform that third parties can build on. The most dramatic example: Midjourney's full-body scanner, which rings 40 Butterfly chips around the body for whole-body tomographic imaging. Joe and Harry dig into what's real today versus what's coming, the physics of ultrasound, the path from demo to FDA clearance, and the business logic of "multiple shots on goal."   In this episode:   The chip as a platform: opening Butterfly's technology to third-party developers (the "Nvidia moment").   Midjourney's full-body scanner: tomography, 400 teraflops of data, and a roadmap toward a one-minute scan with the Apollo chip.   Real-world impact: 1,500 midwives trained in Kenya and South Africa, plus a new FDA-cleared gestational-age AI tool.   Partners beyond Midjourney: vascular robotics, fatty liver diagnosis, and brain-computer interfaces (including "silent speech").   Physics Q&A: why 360-degree imaging solves ultrasound's problems with air and bone.   The hospital shift: capturing "ghost" scans, Compass AI, and at-risk skilled-nursing deployments.   The 10-year vision: imaging that comes to the patient instead of the patient going to imaging.   Chapters:   (00:01) A roadmap from three years ago (00:31) Midjourney unveils a full-body scanner (01:31) Joe DeVivo returns (02:59) What shipped: the chip becomes foundational (04:52) Opening the platform to third parties (06:34) Kenya and South Africa: midwives and the FDA-cleared gestational-age app (11:11) FDA rigor and validating AI (14:52) Butterfly Garden, Butterfly Embedded, and the nine partners (16:53) Brain-computer interfaces and silent speech (22:00) The Midjourney deal: origin and reaction (24:03) Tomography explained (28:12) What 40 chips can see and the data challenge (29:33) The roadmap to a one-minute scan; the Apollo chip (32:43) AI looking for a physical carrier (34:31) Prototype to product: milestones to clearance (38:28) Wellness first, then regulatory clearances (39:03) The physics of air and bone (41:45) The investment thesis: multiple shots on goal (46:26) The business today: Compass AI and health-system deployments (49:54) Heart-failure monitoring and at-risk skilled nursing (53:49) The 10-year view: imaging comes to the patient (57:18) Why early detection matters (59:50) Closing   About the guest: Joe DeVivo is CEO of Butterfly Network and has spent 35 years in medical devices.   Also mentioned: Harry's book, The Invisible Interface: How AI Turns Intentions into Actions and Who Wins (foreword by Don Norman), available in print and ebook.

In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into Apple reclaiming its title as the world's largest company by market cap after sitting out the AI spending race, while hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft pour ever-larger sums into CapEx. They break down record Q2 blended earnings growth of 38% year-over-year, the outsized role investment gains in private holdings like SpaceX and Anthropic played in Google's headline profit beat, andwhy core net income tells a different story. The conversation shifts to the "chip crash" playing out in South Korea, where the KOSPI has fallen more than 30% from its June 22 peak amid margin calls and central bank rate hikes, and what that says about crowded momentum trades and the explosion of leveraged ETF products tied to tech and semis. Ryan and Sonu also cover the rotation into low volatility, financials, and healthcare, why flows into tech remain historically stretched even after the pullback, and preview this week's Fed decision amid unusually high rate-hike odds. They close with apersonal update on Ryan's eye surgery, a shoutout to guest and TrendLabs Founder JC Parets' record-breaking episode, and details on the live 200th episode show in Boston.[Key Takeaways]Apple overtook NVIDIA as the world's largest company by market cap (~$4.9 trillion) after largely sitting out heavy AI CapEx spending, while free cash flow for semiconductor companies surpassed hyperscaler free cash flow for the first time this quarter.Q2 blended S&P 500 earnings growth hit 38% year-over-year, the best pace since Q3 2021, driven largely by tech (+65%), energy (+128%), and communication services (+112%); excluding Google, growth drops to 26%.A large share of Google's reported profit surge came from investment gains in private holdings (SpaceX, Anthropic) rather than core operations, a pattern also inflating net income at Amazon, NVIDIA, and Microsoft.South Korea's KOSPI fell roughly 33% from its June 22nd peak (before a further 10% one-day drop) as margin calls and a Bank of Korea rate hike hit heavily levered chip and momentum trades.Momentum's one-year excess return over the S&P 500 pulled back from the 96th to the 75th percentile relative to the last 40 years, while low volatility stocks are up 8% and financials up 11% since the market's June 2nd peak.Fed rate-hike odds this week sit near their highest pre-meeting level in recent memory, with the committee reportedly divided as inflation, a resilient labor market, and AI/Middle East-driven cost pressures complicate the outlook.Jump to:0:00 - Welcome And Quick Setup0:31 - Apple Reclaims Top Market Cap5:16 - AI Capex Arms Race Reality Check8:35 - Record Margins And Earnings Surge16:44 - South Korea Sparks Chip Crash23:49 - Ryan's Eye Patch Surgery Story29:58 - Why Tech Flows Look Crowded35:28 - Leveraged Products And Margin Call Risk42:40 - Rotation Into Low Vol And Defensives46:57 - Contrarian Thinking Versus Momentum54:41 - Interstellar Detour And Time Talk57:19 - Fed Uncertainty And Rate Hike Odds1:02:16 - Live Boston Show And Final ThanksConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Daily Snippet vom 29.07.2026 Die Nasdaq ist technisch in einer Korrektur, 10 Prozent unter dem All-Time-High, getrieben vom Abverkauf bei KI, Chips und Semiconductors. Und trotzdem stehen 72 Prozent der S&P-500-Aktien in einem absoluten Bullenmarkt. Diesen extremen Kontrast muss man erst einmal richtig einordnen, und genau das mache ich im heutigen Snippet.

Send us a text and chime in!TSMC announced another major expansion of its Arizona operations, announcing plans to invest an additional 0 billion to build four more 2-nanometer or more advanced fabs in the state. The announcement brings TSMC's total investment in Arizona to 5 billion — representing 10 fabs, 2 advanced packaging facilities, and an R&D center, all supporting thousands of high‑tech jobs. “TSMC's historic investment firmly establishes Arizona as the nation's epicenter for advanced semiconductor manufacturing and innovation," said Governor Katie Hobbs. “With America's most advanced chip‑making technologies, world‑class education partners, and a fast‑growing workforce, Arizona is poised to lead the future of AI...   For the written story, read here >> https://www.signalsaz.com/articles/tsmc-expansion-boosts-arizona-semiconductor-industry/ Check out the CAST11.com Website at: https://CAST11.com Follow the CAST11 Podcast Network on Facebook at: https://Facebook.com/CAST11AZFollow Cast11 Instagram at: https://www.instagram.com/cast11_podcast_network

Plus: Oil prices fall on hopes for an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. And Coca-Cola stock climbs following a strong second-quarter earnings report. Imani Moise hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Semi-conductors, microchips, are the new oil - the scarce resource on which the modern world depends. Today, military, economic, and geopolitical power are built on a foundation of computer chips. This has only accelerated with the emergence of AI. Yet, the supply chain is incredibly concentrated with just a handful of countries and companies dominating. As with oil in the previous century, chips sit at the center of geopolitics, great-power rivalry and trade, especially between the US and China. How did chips become some crucial and their supply chains so concentrated and what does it mean for all our futures? Our guest is economic historian Chris Miller, author of Chip War - The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology, the New York Times best seller. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

Earnings this week from Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, Rahul Shah CFP CRPC regional director partner of EP Wealth Advisors discusses financial planning, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and Portfolios

Tune in as we are joined by David Arnold, Director of the Florida Semiconductor Institute, for a fascinating conversation about the rapidly growing semiconductor industry and the opportunities it is creating across Central Florida and the state. David explains how semiconductors power the technology we use every day, why advanced packaging at NeoCity could position Florida as a national industry leader, and how partnerships among employers, workforce organizations, schools and colleges are building a strong talent pipeline.    

Earnings this week from Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, Rahul Shah CFP CRPC regional director partner of EP Wealth Advisors discusses financial planning, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and PortfoliosSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Plus: chip maker CXMT becomes the most valuable company listed in mainland China in its debut. And some U.S. companies plan to increase headcount despite AI fears. Imani Moise hosts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Plus: Apple approaches $5 trillion market cap. And AstraZeneca says it's on track to hit its revenue target for 2030. Imani Moise hosts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The market positively reacted to a pause in fighting between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend, Semiconductor stocks were down broadly, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and Portfolios

The market positively reacted to a pause in fighting between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend, Semiconductor stocks were down broadly, The Next Event is Saturday August 15th with Rob Black and EP Wealth Advisors in San Francisco for Pints and PortfoliosSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week on Must Read Research, we look back at prior semiconductor selloffs for clues on what may come next and revisit our recent Transforming World Conference for an understanding of the breakthroughs and challenges AI may create tomorrow. Power remains a key constraint for the technology, creating opportunities for traditional oil & gas companies.  We also look at emerging market debt where asset class growth and historical returns should impress even AI investors.    "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2026 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.

Air Date: 7/25/2026 The Monthly-ish Mix™ is here to get you caught up on the news from June and July without being overwhelming! Organized around a single idea: the same politics that left America friendless abroad is keeping Americans apart at home. The war with Iran ends and America's word counts for less around the world, so Europe starts building its own software instead of buying ours, NATO war-games its own doubts, and China quietly steadies the world's oil markets, while Taiwan shows that real security comes from connection, not threats. At home, the administration revives the red scare, hands the Justice Department to the president's personal lawyer while judges face death threats, and turns the country's 250th birthday into a fight over who counts as American, and billionaires cash out while everyone argues. And the way back starts small: a psychologist's simple habit for a happier social life, organizers who treat loneliness as a political problem with a political cure, and a Michigan Senate campaign built on talking to people instead of donors. Covering: June–July 2026 Full Show Notes Be part of the show! Leave a voice message, message us on Signal at the handle bestoftheleft.01, or email Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com BestOfTheLeft.com/Support (Members Get Bonus Shows + No Ads!) Use our links to shop Bookshop.org and Libro.fm for a non-evil book and audiobook purchasing experience! Join our Discord community! SECTION 1: A SUPERPOWER WITHOUT FRIENDS (00:01:30) #1805 - Trump Giving Iran $300 Billion to End His Own War 1: The Iran Deal, Boy, I Don't Know - Takes by Jamelle Bouie - Air Date 6-18-26 2: J.D. Vance Iran Deal Fall Guy Part 1 - On the Media - Air Date 6-19-26 3: Trump Weakened U.S. Allies While Strengthening Iran Part 1 - UNFTR - Air Date 6-19-26 (00:26:23) #1810 - Post-American Europe: How to Lose Friends and Influence People to Protect Themselves Against You 4: TODAY: Europe Replaces ENTIRE American Software Stack - Google OUT, Microsoft OUT June 9 - House of El - Air Date 6-4-26 5: Would NATO Hold if Russia Tested Article 5? Lessons From a War Game | Berlin Briefing Podcast Part 1 - DW News - Air Date 7-17-26 6: China Quietly Saved the World Last Month Part 1 - Max Fisher - Air Date 7-17-26 (00:54:17) #1799 - The US and China Are Fighting Over Taiwan, Semiconductors, and Africa's Minerals 7: Can There Ever Really Be "one China?" - Vox - Air Date 5-28-26 8: Trump's FAILED Meeting With China's Xi Jinping Was Humiliating - Pod Save the World - Air Date 5-21-26 9: China Will Never Beat Taiwan, Here's Why - Maxinomics - Air Date 3-37-26 SECTION 2: DIVIDED ON PURPOSE (01:23:27) #1809 - Democrats Seek a Blue Wave, Progressives Push Democratic Socialism, GOP Revive the Red Scare 10: The Red Scare Returns Trump Is Calling Us Communists - Thom Hartmann Program - Air Date 7-8-26 11: Why Dems Like Him Are Crashing Out Right Now with Jeet Heer Part 1 - The Majority Report - Air Dat 7-3-26 12: Unsticking Congress with Maya Kornberg Part 1 - Future Hindsight - Air Date 5-7-26 (01:45:55) #1802 - Department of Injustice: Revenge Prosecutions, Judges Threatened, and Incompetence All the Way Down 13: Trump Eyes Personal Lawyer to Run DOJ Part 1 - The Beat w Ari Melber - Air Date 6-4-26 14: This Federal Judge Ruled Against Trump. Then the Death Threats Rolled in Part 1 - 60 Minutes - Air Date 3-1-26 15: DOJ in Crisis - Stay Tuned with Preet - Air Date 2-10-26 SECTION 3: STRANGERS IN OUR OWN COUNTRY (02:12:09) #1806 - America at 250: The Declaration, the Constitution, and our Crisis of Democracy 16: America's 250th Birthday Must Reckon with Racism, Historian Says - Here & Now Anytime - Air Date 6-19-26 17: Trump 250 Gala Grows More Humiliating as Fox Grapples with Low Turnout - THE DAILY BLAST with Greg Sargent - Air Date 6-26-26 18: The Constitution (Melissa's Version) - Strict Scrutiny - Air Date 5-11-26 (02:37:01) #1807 - What the World Cup Exposes: Identity, Colonialism, and Racism in 2026 19: Pete Hegseth is Trying to Resegregate the Military - Takes™ by Jamelle Bouie - Air Date 6-20-26 20: US Soccer Star Shows MAGA's Racism With Zero Effort - Rick Strom - Air Date 6-23-26 21: Colonial Wars Played On The Pitch - AJ+ - Air Date 6-21-26 (03:07:56) #1804 - Elon Musk, the First Trillionaire, and the Broken System That Made Him 22: Belfast Riots: Why UK Mobs See Racial Violence as 'national Defence' | Amina Shareef | MEE Opinion - Middle East Eye - Air Date 6-18-26 23: 'Billionaire CRISIS': How the Country's Wealthiest Are 'bankrolling' U.S. Politics - MS NOW - Air Date 5-27-26 24: SpaceX IPO: What They're Not Telling Retail Investors - UNFTR Media - Air Date 6-9-26 (03:34:28) #1808 - Billionaires vs. Democracy: They're Not Coming For Your Job, They're Coming For Your Government (And The Entire Economy) 25: The Richest Country Is Pretty Mid Now Part 1 - Benn Jordan - Air Date 6-28-26 26: The End Of Capitalism Is Here. - Second Thought - Air Date 6-5-26 27: America is Entering a New Socialist Era — and It Might Stick - The Recount - Air Date 6-30-26 SECTION 4: THE WAY BACK TO EACH OTHER (04:03:58) #1800 - How Capitalism Created Loneliness and How To Joyfully Organize Our Way to Community 28: Anthropic Discovers the Axis of Evil, and AIs Loneliness Economy - The AI Fix - Air Date 2-3-26 29: The Political Economy of Love Attention, Affection, & What Capitalism Can't Buy Part 1 - Rev Left Radio - Air Date 1-19-26 30: The Simple Habit for a Happier Social Life Nicholas Epley Part 1 - TEDTalks - Air Date 5-19-26 (04:30:56) #1801 - Counterfeit Populism: Trump, the 2026 Primaries, and the Era That's Ending 31: Why I Left the (White) Left - Signified B Sides - Air Date 6-2-26 32: Hayes: Trump is Chasing Good Press with Bombs - All In with Chris Hayes - Air Date 6-11-26 33: Abdul El-Sayed Thinks the Michigan Senate Race Will Come Down to This One Factor - Slate and Abdul El-Sayed - Air Date 4-30-26   Produced by Jay! Tomlinson Visit us at BestOfTheLeft.com Listen Anywhere! BestOfTheLeft.com/Listen Follow BotL: Bluesky | Mastodon | Threads | X Like at Facebook.com/BestOfTheLeft Contact me directly at Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com

About 100 different industry, government and academic organizations are part of the consortium that will spend 160 million over the next 10 years to increase research on and production of semiconductors. These components are vital to virtually every electronic device you are likely to use, from mobile phones to home appliances. Industry and government leaders say it’s vital that the U.S. keep up with demand and support its semiconductor research, development and production.    That’s the intention behind the Frontiers of Advanced Semiconductor Technology, or FAST, grant. Oregon State University  is coordinating the consortium’s efforts. Rob Stone is a Professor of Mechanical, Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering at OSU, and the interim CEO and principal investigator of FAST. He joins us to share more about how the money will be used and its effect on Oregon’s economy.     

U.S. stocks were down almost 5% in the first quarter. Then up 15% in the second. On paper, the first half of 2026 looks fine. But underneath those numbers, there is a concentration in semiconductor stocks that just had their best quarter in history, an AI spending wave that is running well ahead of the revenue it is producing, margin borrowing at all-time highs, and a consumer savings rate approaching low 2007 levels. In this episode of Financial Commute, Chief Executive Officer Jeff Sarti and Chief Investment Officer Meghan Pinchuk walk through what happened in Q2 2026, what the signals in the data are telling them, and how they are thinking about portfolio positioning when the market is this disconnected from the fundamentals.Key TakeawaysSemiconductor stocks had their best quarter ever, up over 80% in three months. Intel and Micron were up almost 200% for the quarter. That kind of move comes with a warning: this is also one of the most cyclical industries in the market, with a history of 45 to 80 percent drawdowns when the cycle turns. Semiconductors now make up roughly 20 percent of the S&P 500.The four hyperscalers are spending close to $1 trillion a year on AI data centers. Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta have shifted from cash-flow-generating machines to heavily capital-intensive spenders, now issuing significant debt to fund the buildout. The key question investors should be wondering: when does the spending translate into revenue?The AI spending boom has a structural problem the railroad and internet booms did not. Railway lines and fiber cables are durable assets still in use today. Computer chips depreciate rapidly. A data center built today may need its chips replaced in three to five years, raising real questions about the long-term economics of this build-out.Margin borrowing and leveraged ETFs are flashing speculative excess. Retail margin borrowing is at an all-time high. Leveraged single-stock ETFs, a product that barely existed five years ago, now represent over 400 of the 600-plus leveraged ETFs on the market with nearly $200 billion in the category. Increased borrowing is a sign of escalating speculation and previous peaks in margin borrowing (e.g., 2000 and 2007, and 2022) preceded market corrections.Gold pulled back about 7% in the first half after a massive multi-year run, but the thesis is unchanged. Rising interest rates created an opportunity cost for holding gold. But the underlying reasons to own it, a federal interest expense now approaching $1.3 trillion annually, ongoing dollar debasement, and structural deficits running nearly $2 trillion per year, have not changed.

Semiconductor stocks helped lift the Nasdaq (NDX) as investors rotated back into the AI trade ahead of major tech earnings. Nvidia's (NVDA) $4 billion stake in Nebius (NBIS) is drawing attention, while Oracle (ORCL) faces fresh scrutiny over a $7 billion collateral requirement tied to a large AI data center project.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to examine the latest market topics, from how Kimi AI's breakthrough is reshaping the AI investment narrative to how escalations between the U.S. and Iran are reshaping energy markets. And what of Donald Trump's renewed accusations against China? Andreas and Mikkel get into it all. Today's sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you're a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500's user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you've been looking for.  Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Let Monarch do your financial 'spring cleaning' for you!  Use code REALVISION at Monarch.com to get your first year half off at just $50.

In this episode, Ben and Jay analyze the latest developments in the semiconductor industry, focusing on TSMC, ASML, Air, and the broader market implications of AI and chip manufacturing advancements. They explore how these trends impact supply chains, CapEx, and future growth prospects.Key Topics:TSMC's CapEx increase and demand signalsASML's capacity expansion and high NA EUV technologyAir's role in semiconductor testing and optical advancementsMarket sentiment and investor rotation in semiconductorsThe impact of AI on chip demand and manufacturing

(0:00) About the Boardroom Governance Summit (Aug 26-27, 2026)  (1:17) Intro (2:45) About the podcast sponsor: The American College of Governance Counsel. (3:31) Start of interview.  (4:39) AI and Governance Today (5:34) Data Center Politics (reference to moratorium by New York State) (6:48) About the 3rd Rome Conference on AI, Ethics and Governance (9:06) AI Hype and Job Fears (14:45) Birth and focus of The Chairs Circle and Limerick Lane Cellars. (22:53) CEO Succession Lessons (30:58) Founders versus Boards (37:04) EVs and China's Rise (44:58) Semiconductors, Chips and Geopolitics (49:03) Boards in a Fractured World "[W]e now need to have engaged board members, board members who are curious, who read, who stay up to speed on things, who keep asking more questions. You cannot have directors who are just calling it in anymore." (53:31) Government as Shareholder Karen Francis DeGolia is a board member at Vontier, CelLink, and NAUTO. Penny Herscher is a board member at Lumentum, Penguin Solutions, Forvia SA, and Modern Health. You can follow Evan on social media at:X: @evanepsteinLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/epsteinevan/ Substack: https://evanepstein.substack.com/__To support this podcast you can join as a subscriber of the Boardroom Governance Newsletter at https://evanepstein.substack.com/__Music/Soundtrack (found via Free Music Archive): Seeing The Future by Dexter Britain is licensed under a Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 United States License

Brendan Burke discusses the semiconductor space and his expectations for second quarter chip earnings. He talks about the importance of hyperscaler CapEx to the chip trade and says the market can grow at a high level in 2027 with the bottlenecks that are still in place in the market. Brendan also touches on what to watch for in Alphabet's (GOOGL) report.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to examine the latest market topics, from how Kimi AI's breakthrough is reshaping the AI investment narrative to how escalations between the U.S. and Iran are reshaping energy markets. And what of Donald Trump's renewed accusations against China? Andreas and Mikkel get into it all.

  What Does This Week’s Market Volatility Mean for Your Retirement Portfolio? By Tom Dupree, Founder, Dupree Financial Group Inflation cooled. The big banks beat expectations. And somehow, it was still a wild week in the market. If you’ve been watching your account balance bounce around and wondering whether any of it has anything to do with the actual value of what you own, here’s the short answer: usually not. Most of what moved the market this week wasn’t new information about businesses — it was leverage, technical trading, and forced selling. That distinction matters more for your retirement than almost anything else you’ll read this month, because it tells you when to act and when to simply hold on. This week’s episode of The Tom Dupree Show walked through four separate stories — cooling inflation, strong bank earnings, a leveraged-ETF blowup on the other side of the world, and a regulatory fight over how often companies should report earnings — that all point to the same lesson: know what you own, know why the price is moving, and don’t confuse someone else’s forced selling with your own emergency. Key Takeaways Inflation cooled to 3.5% year-over-year in June, but the Fed’s new chair has questioned whether the 2% target is even the right one — the ground rules for bonds and rate-sensitive investments could shift. Bank profits this quarter came mostly from paying less on deposits, not from a borrowing boom — a reminder that cash flow, not headlines, tells the real story. A leveraged single-stock ETF collapse in South Korea forced hundreds of thousands of retail accounts into liquidation — a case study in what daily-compounding leverage does to a portfolio. Semiconductor stocks have swung hard on technical signals, not fundamentals — which can create real opportunity for patient, long-term owners. A federal proposal to let companies report earnings twice a year instead of four times has reignited a real debate about transparency versus short-termism. Why Does the Market Feel So Unpredictable Right Now? If you’re 55, 65, or 75 and watching a retirement account that’s supposed to fund the next 30 or 40 years of your life, a week like this one is unsettling. The headlines contradict each other: inflation is cooling, but chip stocks are getting hammered one day and ripping higher the next. Banks are thriving, but somewhere on the other side of the world, hundreds of thousands of retail investors just lost their entire trading accounts overnight. It’s a lot to hold at once, and it’s reasonable to wonder whether any of it should change what you do with your own money. Here’s the honest answer: for most retirees holding a diversified, income-producing portfolio, almost none of it should. But understanding why requires pulling apart what actually happened this week — and separating the noise from the signal. What Actually Happened This Week — The Data Start with the good news. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that headline inflation cooled to 3.5% year-over-year in June, with core inflation (which strips out food and energy) coming in at 2.6% — both below what economists expected, and producer prices actually declined for the month. That’s a meaningfully better inflation picture than markets were braced for. But the Fed’s target isn’t necessarily fixed anymore. Kevin Warsh, who was sworn in as Federal Reserve chairman this spring, has openly questioned the assumptions behind the central bank’s longstanding 2% inflation goal and launched a broader review of how the Fed operates. For retirees who own bonds or rate-sensitive income investments, that’s not a footnote — it’s a reason to pay attention to what “the target” even means over the next few years, rather than assuming the old rules still apply. Meanwhile, bank earnings came in strong — but not for the reason most people assume. The lift came primarily from banks paying less to fund themselves (short-term deposit rates have fallen faster than the loans on their books have repriced), not from a fresh wave of borrowing. It’s a good environment for financial stocks, but it’s a funding-cost story more than a booming-economy story, and that distinction matters if you’re trying to judge whether the rally has legs. Then there’s the semiconductor sector, which has been the market’s most volatile corner. Taiwan Semiconductor, the company that manufactures the vast majority of the world’s advanced AI chips, reported June revenue up nearly 68% year-over-year, a genuinely extraordinary number driven by AI infrastructure demand. And yet chip stocks broadly have been whipping up and down for reasons that have very little to do with numbers like that one. A lot of that action is technical: when a stock breaks below a widely watched moving average, institutional trading algorithms are programmed to sell, regardless of what the underlying business is doing. That selling then triggers more selling. It looks like panic. It’s often just mechanics. The starkest illustration of what leverage does in a downturn came out of South Korea this month, where a wave of new single-stock leveraged ETFs tied to semiconductor giants Samsung and SK Hynix triggered margin calls on more than 1.2 million retail trading accounts, with roughly 320,000 to 360,000 of those accounts fully liquidated in a matter of days. These products were designed to move twice the daily price swing of a single stock — which sounds appealing on the way up and is devastating on the way down, because the losses compound daily rather than tracking the stock’s actual return over time. It’s an ocean away from Lexington, Kentucky, but the lesson travels: leverage doesn’t just add risk, it changes the math entirely. Finally, there’s a quieter but genuinely important story developing in Washington. The SEC has proposed letting public companies choose to report earnings twice a year instead of four times, a change championed by President Trump and SEC Chairman Paul Atkins as a way to reduce short-term pressure on management teams. The idea splits reasonable people: less frequent reporting could free executives to run their businesses for the next several years instead of the next ninety days, but it could also mean investors — including retirees who depend on knowing exactly what they own — get less information, less often. This week’s news cycle also included a primetime presidential address in which Trump alleged that newly declassified intelligence showed foreign interference — including from China — in the 2020 election, along with claims of voter registration fraud in Michigan. Election security officials, including the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, have said they’ve found no evidence that any votes were altered in past elections. Whatever your read on the speech, it fed into a broader theme running through the whole hour: how much can you trust the numbers an institution hands you, whether that’s a vote count or a government inflation report? It’s why we do our own research instead of relying solely on government statistics or Wall Street’s sell-side analysts, and it’s the same instinct that should guide how you evaluate any claim, official or otherwise. The Reframe: Manufactured Volatility vs. Real Risk Here’s the framework we come back to on nearly every episode of the show, and it’s the one thing we want you to take from this week’s news: there is a real difference between manufactured volatility and real risk, and confusing the two is one of the most expensive mistakes a retiree can make. Manufactured volatility is what happens when a stock’s price swings because of leverage unwinding, algorithmic trading around technical levels, or funds racing to exit ahead of a quarterly number — not because the underlying business got worse. The Korean ETF collapse is manufactured volatility in its purest form: a Samsung or SK Hynix shareholder holding actual shares, with no leverage, watched the same news and the same earnings power, just without the forced-selling spiral. Real risk is different. Real risk is a company losing its competitive position, cutting its dividend, or piling on debt it can’t service. Real risk should change what you own. Manufactured volatility, more often than not, should not. The trouble is that from the outside, both look identical on a stock chart. A share price falling 10% doesn’t come labeled “manufactured” or “real.” Telling the difference requires actually knowing the business you own — its cash flow, its dividend history, its balance sheet — well enough to judge whether this week’s headline changed anything about that story. That’s the diligence part of the job, and there’s no shortcut around it. How Should Retirement Investors Respond to This Kind of Volatility? At Dupree Financial Group, this is exactly why our approach centers on dividend-paying stocks and bonds rather than chasing whatever sector is moving fastest. When you own a company for the income it generates — not for a price target — a week of manufactured volatility becomes far less threatening, and sometimes it becomes an opportunity. When institutions are forced to sell a good company for reasons that have nothing to do with its fundamentals, the price drop that scares one investor is simply a better entry point for another. That’s not a guarantee of a favorable outcome — all investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal — but it’s a fundamentally different posture than reacting to every headline. Seven Steps to Retirement-Proof Your Portfolio Against Manufactured Volatility Know what you own, line by line. Pull up your statement and be able to explain, in one sentence each, why you own every major holding. If you can’t, that’s the first thing to fix — not the market. Separate the headline from the business. Before reacting to a price move, ask whether anything actually changed about the company’s earnings, dividend, or balance sheet — or whether it’s a technical or leverage-driven move like the ones described above. Keep leveraged and single-stock ETFs out of retirement money entirely. These products are built for daily traders, not long-term holders. The Korean ETF collapse is a real-world example of what daily compounding leverage can do to an account in a matter of days. Read past the quarterly headline number. Whether or not the reporting-frequency rules change, judge a company on multi-year cash flow and dividend trends, not a single quarter’s beat or miss. Keep a watchlist of quality companies for when panic creates a discount. When forced selling knocks a good business down for reasons unrelated to its fundamentals, that’s the moment long-term investors get paid for their patience. Revisit your income plan, not just your account balance. A retirement portfolio’s job is to produce cash flow you can live on for 30 to 40 years. Judge a volatile week by whether your income stream held up — not by the number on the login screen. Get a second set of eyes on your portfolio. If you’re not sure whether what you own is built to withstand this kind of volatility, or whether you’re carrying more leverage or concentration risk than you realize, that’s exactly what a portfolio review is for. Frequently Asked Questions Is a leveraged ETF a good way to boost my retirement returns? No. Leveraged ETFs reset and compound daily, so their long-term return can diverge sharply from the underlying stock’s actual performance — including large losses even when the stock has technically risen over time. They’re built for short-term traders, not retirement accounts. Does cooling inflation mean the Fed will cut interest rates soon? Not necessarily. While June’s cooler CPI reading supports the case for rate cuts, the Fed’s new chairman has signaled openness to rethinking the central bank’s approach to its inflation target, adding real uncertainty to the timeline for any rate decisions. Why do stock prices swing so much when a company’s earnings didn’t change? Much of the day-to-day movement in popular stocks comes from technical trading, algorithmic strategies tied to chart levels, and leveraged funds being forced to buy or sell — not from new information about the business itself. That’s manufactured volatility, not real risk. What does the debate over quarterly earnings reports mean for individual investors? If the SEC’s proposal is adopted, some companies may report financial results only twice a year instead of four times. That could reduce short-term pressure on management, but it may also mean investors get less frequent, less detailed information about what they actually own. How do I know if my retirement portfolio is built to handle volatility? Start by confirming you can explain why you own every major holding and that none of your retirement money sits in leveraged or single-stock products. A complimentary portfolio review with a fee-only fiduciary advisor is the fastest way to get an honest, unbiased answer. The Bottom Line Weeks like this one will keep happening. Leverage will keep building up somewhere and unwinding somewhere else. Traders will keep reacting to chart levels instead of cash flow. What won’t change is the difference between a business that’s actually worth less than it was last week and a stock price that simply got caught in someone else’s forced selling. Learn to tell those two things apart, build your income around companies you understand, and a volatile week stops being a threat to your retirement — it starts being background noise, or even opportunity. Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your portfolio is built to take advantage of volatility like we saw this week — instead of getting knocked around by it — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400  |  Visit: dupreefinancial.com You Might Also Like Catch up on past episodes of The Tom Dupree Show — our full podcast archive, updated every week. Meet the team at Dupree Financial Group — learn about our fee-only, fiduciary approach and the people behind it. [PLACEHOLDER — link to a prior show notes/blog post on dividend investing fundamentals once a confirmed URL is available] About the Author: Tom Dupree is the founder of Dupree Financial Group and host of The Tom Dupree Show, heard weekly across Central Kentucky radio and podcast. With 47 years in the investment business, starting in municipal bonds in 1978, Tom built DFG’s investment philosophy around one idea: retirement money should generate income you can see, not just a balance you hope holds up. Dupree Financial Group is an independent, fee-only fiduciary Registered Investment Advisor based in Lexington, Kentucky. REGULATORY DISCLAIMER: This material is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice, nor is it a solicitation to buy or sell any security. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance of any market index or security is not indicative of future results. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only fiduciary and does not receive commissions on any products or securities discussed. Please consult a qualified financial, tax, or legal professional before making any investment decision. { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "PodcastEpisode", "name": "What Does This Week's Market Volatility Mean for Your Retirement Portfolio?", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com/market-volatility-retirement-portfolio/", "datePublished": "2026-07-18", "description": "Cooling inflation, strong bank earnings, and wild swings in chip stocks — what this week's market moves mean for retirement investors.", "partOfSeries": { "@type": "PodcastSeries", "name": "The Tom Dupree Show", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com/podcasts/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Tom Dupree" }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Dupree Financial Group", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com" } } { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "Is a leveraged ETF a good way to boost my retirement returns?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "No. Leveraged ETFs reset and compound daily, so their long-term return can diverge sharply from the underlying stock's actual performance — including large losses even when the stock has technically risen over time. They're built for short-term traders, not retirement accounts." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Does cooling inflation mean the Fed will cut interest rates soon?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Not necessarily. While June's cooler CPI reading supports the case for rate cuts, the Fed's new chairman has signaled openness to rethinking the central bank's approach to its inflation target, adding real uncertainty to the timeline for any rate decisions." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Why do stock prices swing so much when a company's earnings didn't change?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Much of the day-to-day movement in popular stocks comes from technical trading, algorithmic strategies tied to chart levels, and leveraged funds being forced to buy or sell — not from new information about the business itself. That's manufactured volatility, not real risk." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What does the debate over quarterly earnings reports mean for individual investors?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "If the SEC's proposal is adopted, some companies may report financial results only twice a year instead of four times. That could reduce short-term pressure on management, but it may also mean investors get less frequent, less detailed information about what they actually own." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How do I know if my retirement portfolio is built to handle volatility?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Start by confirming you can explain why you own every major holding and that none of your retirement money sits in leveraged or single-stock products. A complimentary portfolio review with a fee-only fiduciary advisor is the fastest way to get an honest, unbiased answer." } } ] } The post What Does Market Volatility Mean for Your Retirement Portfolio? appeared first on Dupree Financial.

We review some top Income ideas, the Quantum Computing space, and the recent pullback in Semiconductors.  We also review the new Trump Accounts for minors and tell you how they work and how to get started.

Wall Street pulled back this week as investors took profits following a strong first half of the year. The Dow Jones declined 0.9%, the S&P 500 fell 1.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 2.9%. Despite the weekly weakness, all three major indexes remain positive for the year, with the Dow up 8.5%, the S&P 500 up 8.9%, and the Nasdaq leading with a 9.8% gain year to date. The Money Wise guys discussed why July's weakness has been unusual, reviewed the latest earnings reports, and explained why the recent semiconductor selloff appears to be driven more by profit-taking, leverage, and market mechanics than by any meaningful change in the industry's long-term fundamentals. The team also highlighted encouraging inflation data and why continued progress on inflation could improve the outlook for interest rates and the broader economy.  The conversation goes on to focus on one of the most important principles of long-term investing: managing risk. The team discussed why successful investing isn't about avoiding every loss but about limiting significant losses that can derail long-term financial goals. They emphasized the value of diversification, active portfolio management, and maintaining perspective during periods of market volatility. Rather than chasing short-term excitement or treating investing like a game, the hosts encouraged listeners to stay disciplined, understand their personal risk capacity as they approach retirement, and build portfolios designed to withstand changing market conditions over time.  Managing Risk  One of the biggest misconceptions about investing is that success comes from finding the highest returns. In reality, long-term success is often built by avoiding significant losses that can be difficult to recover from. While every investor will experience periods of market volatility, maintaining a diversified portfolio, understanding your personal risk tolerance and risk capacity, and staying focused on long-term objectives can help keep temporary market declines from becoming permanent setbacks. Rather than reacting emotionally to every market swing, disciplined investors recognize that managing risk is just as important as pursuing growth.  In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever . You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

Semiconductor stocks are sliding again as investors question whether the AI trade has moved too far, too fast.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down why chip stocks are seeing another sharp pullback, how margin calls in South Korea show the risks of leveraged bets on semiconductors, and why a new Chinese AI model is raising fresh questions about pricing pressure across the AI industry. They also discuss corporate insiders selling stock at a near-record pace, Google's delayed Gemini rollout, Netflix's slowing growth and weaker content outlook, rising oil and gas prices, and why the World Cup is giving Boston bars a major sales boost.

It's been a crazy summer for AI. AI enthusiasm remains high, but the market is starting to ask far harder questions. Semiconductor stocks are in a bear market. IBM's shares fell sharply. Data-center projects are facing political and community resistance. Enterprises are adopting AI, but many are struggling to turn experimentation into measurable returns.In this Freestyle Friday episode, I look at why these signals do not necessarily mean an AI winter. Instead, they suggest that AI is moving from a "possibility market" into an "accountability market", where capability, economics, infrastructure, and organizational reality finally have to reconcile. Put another way, things are going to get real.-----------------------Sponsor: FivetranWith the rise of AI and agents, having centralized, trustworthy data is the absolute foundation for building tools and training models. Fivetran automates your data pipelines, removing the need to build fragile connectors so your data arrives clean and reliable. By handling the messy infrastructure behind the scenes, Fivetran allows your team to focus on building the future. Visit ⁠fivetran.com⁠ to learn more.-----------------------Sponsor: Revefi Save serious money on your cloud costs with Revefi's new autonomous AI DBA, a tool built to handle the gritty reality of cloud data management so you can stop babysitting your infrastructure. Start saving money today at ⁠⁠revefi.com/ai-dba

Charles Payne is joined by Jessica Inskip, Director of Investor Research at Stockbrokers.com, to discuss how post-earnings sell-offs and overseas leverage are driving current market volatility. They explore buying opportunities for long-term investors amid pullbacks in semiconductor leaders like ASML, Micron, and Taiwan Semiconductor, while also assessing shifting software and hardware demands and noting potential headline risks in upcoming mergers and acquisitions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

MRKT Matrix - Thursday, July 16th Dow falls 200 points, tech selling picks up as chip stocks and Alphabet decline (CNBC) US Launches New Strikes on Iran as Hormuz Shipping Traffic Falls (Bloomberg) Google Gemini Launch Delayed as Tech Falls Short of Internal Goals (Bloomberg) Here's why the housing market is hurting so much this summer (CNBC) Trump suspends teleprompter operator over Kalshi bets allegations, White House says  (CNBC) MLB cracks down on using AI via dugout iPads to help shape in-game decisions (The Athletic) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

Markets continue to grind higher after breaking out of a multi-week consolidation pattern, with resistance near previous highs still in focus. Technical trends remain constructive as buy signals stay intact and moving averages continue rising, but momentum is becoming increasingly stretched as markets approach overbought territory. The bigger story is happening beneath the surface. Leadership rotated sharply on Wednesday as investors moved back into Mega Cap technology names like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon while semiconductor stocks suffered broad selling pressure despite ASML's earnings. With the semiconductor sector breaking below key technical support, investors should watch closely to see whether this is simply a healthy consolidation or the beginning of a larger topping pattern. Lance Roberts examines the technical outlook for the S&P 500, the developing head-and-shoulders pattern in semiconductor stocks, why the 50- and 100-day moving averages matter, and whether slowing earnings growth expectations could signal a shift in market leadership. We also discuss the potential for a reflex rally in chip stocks and what investors should monitor before making portfolio adjustments. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are BDCs Ignoring Junk Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bdcs-ignoring-junk-bonds/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

In this episode, Ted Oakley, founder and managing partner of Oxbow Advisors with 49 years in the business, returns to discuss his latest letter, "Stick to Your Principles," and why he believes today's market is anything but normal. He warns that 10-12 companies now make up half the S&P 500, speculation via leveraged ETFs is in the billions, and stocks are roughly three standard deviations above the norm — a setup he says could eventually correct 40% or more in a generational bear market. Oakley explains why investor complacency is the biggest mistake he sees, with three-quarters of all financial assets in stocks and Americans over 70 owning a third of the market. He shares where he's finding value now — energy names like Northern Oil & Gas, Kimbell Royalty, and Antero, plus beaten-down gold miners like Agnico Eagle — and recounts the hard lesson he learned chasing hot oil stocks in the late 1970s. His biggest worry: unsustainable government debt. His surprising source of optimism: a severe downturn, which he views as the buying opportunity of a generation.Thank you to our sponsor Monetary Metals. Learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links:Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisorsX: https://x.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsBook: https://www.amazon.com/Second-Generation-Wealth-What-Want/dp/1966629168Timestamps: 0:00 – Introduction: Ted Oakley of Oxbow Advisors returns0:53 – Semiconductors dominating the market; 10-12 companies are half the S&P2:10 – "The Gambler": leveraged ETFs and speculation in the billions3:16 – How leveraged ETFs amplify volatility4:25 – A market high that "sticks for a while" coming in the next 6-12 months5:41 – Risk/reward has flipped: 6-8% upside vs. 25% downside6:38 – A generational bear market could mean a 40-45% correction8:04 – Investor complacency: 75% of financial assets in stocks, an all-time high9:26 – Oxbow's positioning: ~60/40 stocks and short-term treasuries11:04 – The bond market: a possible trade in long-dated treasuries, but not worth the risk12:19 – Cooler CPI and why inflation could fall further on oil prices13:36 – What oil industry insiders are saying about drilling and cash flows14:54 – Everyone's bearish on oil — Ted sees $100+ within 18 months16:26 – What Ted's buying: Northern Oil & Gas, Kimbell Royalty, Antero, NESR19:22 – Gold miners cheap after 35-40% correction; Agnico Eagle is Oxbow's top holding21:09 – Momentum players washing out of gold sets up the next move22:45 – "Stick to Your Principles": valuation discipline and why pros abandon it24:16 – Ted's own lesson: getting burned in the late-'70s oil boom26:00 – The Intel example: sold in '99, took 26 years to hit a new high27:50 – Why hot IPOs disappoint (SpaceX down 30% from IPO)29:27 – The boomer risk: over-70s own a third of all stocks32:04 – Biggest risk: unsustainable government debt and interest costs33:33 – Why Ted is optimistic about a downturn: liquidity to buy the sale

Today brings earnings from chip foundry giant TSM and Netflix, while data includes retail sales and jobless claims. Chips continue to whipsaw, but stocks are up so far this week. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The {securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. For illustrative purpose(s) only. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please seeschwab.com/indexdefinitions. The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC. Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB. (0131-0726) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

S&P futures are indicating a higher open following a strong Asia session. Semiconductor names rebounded with strong gains seen in South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. Mainland China benchmarks were rather flat. European markets are edging lower in early trading. Companies Mentioned: PayPal, CoreWeave, Lionsgate Studios

How does a region build a semiconductor and electronics workforce from the ground up? In this episode of the Altium OnTrack Podcast, host Zach Peterson sits down with Nasska Medrano, Global Program Manager at Altium Education, and Professor Johan Estrada of the Autonomous University of Yucatán (UADY) to unpack the Mayan-on-Chip initiative—a collaborative workforce development program training highly skilled talent in electronics, embedded systems, and semiconductors in southeastern Mexico. They cover how the first cohort exceeded expectations, why coordinated effort among academia, industry, and government is essential, and how Mexico's national semiconductor plan is reshaping engineering education.

Markets continue to ride the rising 20-day moving average as a tightening price wedge keeps the bullish trend intact. A breakout above resistance could fuel another leg higher, but investors should also be watching the calendar as August and September have historically brought weaker seasonal performance and lighter trading volumes. Lance Roberts discusses why sector rotation may become the next big market story. Financials and Healthcare have lagged while Technology and Semiconductor stocks have led the rally. If leadership begins to shift, it could signal a more defensive, risk-off environment rather than the start of a broader market decline. We also examine what technical levels matter most and what could determine whether markets continue higher or finally take a breather. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses where investors may find opportunity beyond the AI sector and risks that could slow market gains.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing our broadening thesis and the near-term risks to monitor. It's Tuesday, July 14th at 11:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it. The broadening trade is now playing out. It's showing up in stock prices, relative performance and earnings revisions. It's also making investors question the sustainability of the most crowded areas of the market, and consider other near-term risks. I first made the broadening call late last year based on my view that the economy had entered a new expansion after completing the rolling recession in April of 2025. In a new expansion, earnings growth tends to be much better than expected because revenue growth returns to companies that have already become more cost efficient. That's classic operating leverage. The market began to anticipate that dynamic late last year, but then the Iran conflict interrupted the move. Oil surged, rate-cut expectations disappeared, and investors crowded back into the most obvious AI capex beneficiaries led by semiconductors and memory, in particular. Since mid May, that interruption has faded with oil prices falling sharply and the broadening trade has begun to work again. Importantly, the market is not abandoning AI. It is simply rotating within AI and beyond AI. And that distinction matters. Semiconductors have had a historic run, supported by earnings revisions. But even great stories get exhausted in the short term. When earnings revisions breadth is pressing against historical highs and the trade becomes one of the most crowded areas of the market, the bar for upside gets very high. At that point, the issue is not whether the story is good. The issue is whether the rate of change can keep improving. That is a very different question. The underperformance of the hyperscalers was probably the first warning sign. Semis depend on hyperscaler capex. So when the spenders start lagging the beneficiaries, that divergence usually resolves one way or another. And now we're starting to see it. Meta's decision to sell excess capacity to outside customers may not mean the AI capex cycle is over. But it does tell you the market is beginning to ask harder questions about the path and pace of that spending. Credit spreads and stock prices of these hyperscalers provide the feedback loop to managements that maybe they should curtail the pace of spend. We've had multiple corrections inside this AI cycle already. This looks like another one – not the end of the cycle, but a reset. That reset is what gives the rest of the market room to work. Our preferred ways to express the broadening remain Consumer Discretionary Goods, Transports, and Biotech. These are not the areas investors have been excited about. In fact, positioning and sentiment remain subdued. But that's exactly why I like them. The risks to the story in the short term are two-fold. First, uncertainty about the full re-opening of the strait remains high, with pivots on both sides. This is keeping oil prices volatile in the short term even if the primary trend remains lower. Second, interest rate volatility is picking up again with the entire curve shifting higher in both nominal and real terms. If this doesn't stabilize, it will have a negative impact on stocks both at the index level and even for stocks that should benefit from our broadening call. With the inflation data coming in today softer than expected, this should reduce some of the recent upward pressure on rates. However, the new Fed Chair and board remain resolute to make sure inflation doesn't rear its head again. In the end, dealing with this risk up front is a good thing in my view even if it means uncertainty for markets. Bottom line, equity markets have been consolidating and correcting for the past several months. This is the result of the peak rate of change in earnings revisions and a reaction function shift at the Fed to focus more on the inflation mandate than growth. With the recent rollover in semiconductors, heavy supply of equity and credit issuance, and a transition of leadership at the Fed, expect more volatility and corrective activity in stocks before the next leg of the bull market resumes. Don't chase momentum. Instead, add to risk on down days to areas that will benefit from a broadening in the economy and earnings growth. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Charles Payne is joined by Paul Hickey, Co-Founder of Bespoke Investment Group, to discuss why the recent pullback in semiconductor stocks represents standard quarter-end portfolio rebalancing rather than the end of the tech trade, and to identify market opportunities in mega-cap tech names like Nvidia and Oracle.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this episode of The Circuit, Ben and Jay dive into SK Hynix's ambitious US stock listing, discussing how the AI-driven memory boom and a need for deeper capital pools prompted the move, while speculating if companies like MediaTek might follow suit. The hosts also explore the fierce competition among frontier AI models, noting that enterprise evaluation is shifting toward token efficiency for knowledge work and emphasizing the growing importance of AI orchestration layers and data ownership. Additionally, they break down Wall Street's harsh reaction to ON Semiconductor's acquisition of Synaptics, attributing the stock drop to a lack of clear corporate messaging regarding both sprawling businesses. Finally, the duo analyzes the rumors surrounding Nvidia's product roadmaps, concluding that while minor delays won't impact Nvidia's overall revenue given the massive compute demand, these shifts can trigger significant market volatility for the smaller optical and supply chain players dependent on those exact timelines.

The white-hot semiconductor sector has rocketed to 18% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500 index.And while this trade has propelled the S&P higher, it's starting to show signs that it may be sputtering out.A head & shoulders formation appears to be forming. If confirmed, then it's highly likely semis will pull the overall down with them as they correct.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds of this, as well as the overall status of the AI trade, the latest jobs numbers, the resumption of kinetics between the US & Iran and the resulting likely impact on the price of oil, as well as, of course, Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#semiconductors #marketcorrection #oilprices _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.