Podcasts about semiconductors

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Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 5:23

Markets continue to grind higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly dependent on one sector: Technology. While technical trends remain bullish overall, the acceleration in semiconductors and mega-cap tech is creating extreme deviations from long-term moving averages and historical norms. Lance Roberts examines why overbought markets can stay overbought, why narrow market leadership matters, and what history says about parabolic advances in speculative sectors. We also discuss why a 20% correction would not necessarily break the long-term bullish trend, what types of events could trigger a broader reversal, and why risk management becomes critical when momentum accelerates too quickly. We review long-term charts of the S&P 500 and Semiconductors, the growing dependence on Technology leadership, and why investors chasing performance should consider rebalancing and taking profits before volatility returns. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk

5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 41:31

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10AM Hour: Chip Rally Lifts Markets to New Highs, Applied Digital CEO, Boeing CEO on Expanding 737 Max Production 5/27/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 43:35

Semiconductor stocks jump again. Helping to lift markets to new highs. We break down how to think about the rally. Then the CEO of Applied Digital, a major player in the AI data center industry, on its mystery hyper-scaler customer and the nearly 500% rally in the stock this year. Plus, new comments from the CEO of Boeing on the company's plans to expand 737 Max production. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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5-27-26 Tech Bubble Driving Markets | Before the Bell

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Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 3:03

Markets continue pushing to new highs, but the rally is becoming increasingly dependent on one sector: Technology. With XLK and Semiconductor stocks driving the majority of gains, market breadth remains weak beneath the surface. Communications, Financials, Energy, and Materials are telling a very different story than the headline indexes. In today's Before the Bell, we break down the growing disconnect between Technology and the rest of the market, why diversified portfolios are lagging benchmarks, and how hedge fund positioning in Semiconductors is fueling the momentum chase. We also discuss why this narrow leadership can continue longer than expected, what warning signals to watch for, and how investors should think about risk management heading deeper into summer and the mid-term election cycle. Watch for key support levels, momentum shifts, and changes in market leadership before making aggressive portfolio moves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/d3dc5rwLp1c?si=Hucvfio_XecJZnXd --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #MarketBreadth #InvestingStrategy

The $1 Trillion Chip Race: Are Semiconductor Investors Headed for Tears?

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 38:31 Transcription Available

Hosts Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti break down a bizarre trading day as standard market correlations completely break down. They unpack Micron Technology's historic surge from $79 billion to a $1 trillion valuation in record time, debating whether AI data center demand can save semiconductor stocks from their traditional, brutal boom-bust cycles. Plus, a look at Goldman Sachs hiking its S&P 500 target to 8,000 and an analysis of why the classic 4% early retirement rule might be fundamentally broken for the modern era. Watch Live on YouTube: youtube.com/thefinancialexchangeshowFollow us on X: @TFEshowSupport Our Veterans: dav5k.boston

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UNREAL SEMICONDUCTORS [05.26.2026]

Investor's Edge

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 40:36 Transcription Available

https://garykaltbaum.com/The opinions you hear on BizTalkRadio, BizTV, or BizTalkPodcasts are those of the hosts, callers, and guests and do not necessarily reflect those of BizTalkRadio, BizTV, or BizTalkPodcasts, its management or advertisers. The information on BizTalkRadio does not constitute a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell any product or securities. Please consult a professional before investing.

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EP 166: NVIDIA Earnings, Dell Tech World and Storage Shock, Tech IPOs

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 58:49

In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive into the latest tectonic shifts across the technology and semiconductor sectors, starting with a deep dive into Nvidia's recent earnings report . They analyze Nvidia's impressive numbers—including $91 billion in revenue guidance and strong gross margins—and contrast that success with the stock's stagnant post-earnings performance, comparing the current market skepticism to Apple's smartphone growth cycle around 2010 . The duo breaks down Nvidia's new segment reporting structure, debating the strategic implications of blending networking into data center revenue and splitting the segment into hyperscalers and "Neo clouds" . Ben then shares his first-hand observations from Dell Tech World, highlighting emerging enterprise trends like the financial motivations driving a shift back toward on-prem AI infrastructure to curb unsustainable cloud token spend . Finally, they wrap up the episode by examining two major recent IPO filings: Elon Musk's multifaceted SpaceX S1 and the rare, high-growth prospectus of China's largest memory maker, Chongqing Memory Technologies (CXMT) .

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Episode 300: CCC

The Weekly Trend

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 34:41 Transcription Available

In this week's episode, David Zarling, Ian McMillan, and Kevin Firari discuss Nvidia performance versus Semiconductors and the broad market as a whole, areas of the market that are underperforming, equal weight S&P 500 (RSP) out to all time highs, recent AAII survey results, interesting names within the Nasdaq that are performing well, fixed income, and potential rate hikes.

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S8 Ep905: Anne Lord emphasizes Taiwan's critical importance to the global economy via its semiconductor industry. She notes that the Taiwanese people are prepared and investing heavily in defense to protect their democracy and technology. (12/16)

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Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 4:57

Anne Lord emphasizes Taiwan's critical importance to the global economy via its semiconductor industry. She notes that the Taiwanese people are prepared and investing heavily in defense to protect their democracy and technology. (12/16)ST MARIES ID

#372 Ted Oakley: Why Energy Could Surge Like Gold Did Last Year, and Most Investors Don't Own Enough

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 28:20

In this episode, Ted Oakley, founder and managing partner of Oxbow Advisors with 49 years in the business, returns to discuss the stark disconnect between Wall Street momentum and the collapsing consumer, revealing credit card and auto loan delinquencies are now at Great Financial Crisis levels while the economy has shifted from K-shaped to "i-shaped" with only a tiny dot at the top. He explains his letter "The Gambler" addresses how younger investors have abandoned real investing for a betting culture of sports gambling, one-day options, and Bitcoin, while most advisors no longer know when to "hold 'em or fold 'em." Ted maintains 50% cash in short-term treasuries, predicts inflation will hit 4.25% in May rising to 4.75% by fall with financial repression as the only way out of the debt trap, and reveals energy is his largest position up 35% year-to-date despite being only 3% of the S&P (it was 33% in 1980). He expects energy to rip like gold and silver did last year since nobody owns it yet, outlines his "well to the end" strategy covering producers to pipelines to rigs, confirms we're in early innings of a commodity super cycle, and warns speculation will continue pushing until a recession breaks the momentum. Ted draws parallels to 1999 when shorts got killed for nine more months, sees no recession on the horizon yet to break the fever, and cautions that baby boomers age 65+ hold more stock than ever in history making them the worst positioned he's ever seen for the eventual wealth transfer.Links:Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisorsX: https://x.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsBook: https://www.amazon.com/Second-Generation-Wealth-What-Want/dp/1966629168Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction - Ted Oakley returns, founder of Oxbow Advisors0:56 Two different things - Wall Street vs. the economy1:42 Consumer keeps falling apart - Credit card delinquencies at GFC levels2:24 K-shaped economy becoming more like an "i-shaped" economy3:32 "The Gambler" letter - Younger investors just betting, not investing4:02 Betting culture - Sports betting, one-day options, Bitcoin5:21 Know when to hold them, know when to fold them5:39 Cash position at 50% in short-term treasuries6:41 Long bond move - Topped 5.19% on 30-year6:57 Late 70s/early 80s parallel - Inflation went from 5% to 18%7:49 Are bond vigilantes coming back?7:54 Bond market eventually rules everything8:21 Expectation of more inflation ahead8:27 May CPI could come in at 4.25% or higher, 4.5-4.75% by fall9:30 Financial repression is the only way out10:36 Can't see how Fed cuts rates at all11:09 Asset holders benefited from inflation but that changes in linear inflation12:18 Energy is largest position - Up 35% vs. S&P's 20%13:11 Big tech stocks barely up from November/December levels13:41 Semiconductors probably at high for next 5 years14:34 Energy dramatically underweight in portfolios - Only 3% of S&P15:03 1980: Energy was 33% of S&P15:54 Energy names - Well to the end strategy16:53 Producers, midstream, rigs - The whole package17:34 Where we are in commodity cycle - Early innings18:38 Commodity positions - Rio Tinto, Vale, uranium, antimony, critical minerals19:18 Oil price and energy thesis20:16 AutoZone warning on motor oil shortages coming20:54 Precious metals positioning today21:54 Gold could go to $4,000 or $3,800 - Shake out momentum players23:12 1999 parallel - Momentum could continue 9 more months24:19 No recession on horizon - Need that to break momentum25:14 Speculative nature pushes until recession breaks it25:51 Second Generation Wealth - Massive wealth transfer concerns26:31 Baby boomers 65+ have most stock in assets ever in history27:22 Closing thoughts

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Episode 117 – The Growth Rocketship: Using AI to Accelerate Analog Semiconductor Design With Celera

Connected With Latham

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 38:05

Celera Semiconductor aims to radically accelerate the development of analog semiconductor chips using AI. Founded in 2018, Celera has raised US$34 million in funding, including a recent Series A led by Maverick Silicon that Latham advised on. The company partners with the world's largest independent analog fab to engage customers in high-growth industries like data centers, consumer electronics, and industrial components. In this episode of Connected With Latham, Haim Zaltzman, Global Vice Chair of Latham's Emerging Companies & Growth Practice, sits down with Celera's Chief Executive Officer, Patrick Brockett and Chief Operating Officer, Alberto Viviani, to discuss the technology breakthrough behind Celera's platform, its go-to-market strategy in the booming custom analog segment, and the talent, capital, and macro trends shaping the future of AI-driven semiconductor design. This podcast is provided as a service of Latham & Watkins LLP. Listening to this podcast does not create an attorney client relationship between you and Latham & Watkins LLP, and you should not send confidential information to Latham & Watkins LLP. While we make every effort to assure that the content of this podcast is accurate, comprehensive, and current, we do not warrant or guarantee any of those things and you may not rely on this podcast as a substitute for legal research and/or consulting a qualified attorney. Listening to this podcast is not a substitute for engaging a lawyer to advise on your individual needs. Should you require legal advice on the issues covered in this podcast, please consult a qualified attorney. Under New York's Code of Professional Responsibility, portions of this communication contain attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Results depend upon a variety of factors unique to each representation. Please direct all inquiries regarding the conduct of Latham and Watkins attorneys under New York's Disciplinary Rules to Latham & Watkins LLP, 1271 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10020, Phone: 1.212.906.1200

CHINA'S SECRET PLAN TO REPLACE THE DOLLAR — The New Global Order Being Built Beneath the Surface Part 2

Hard Asset Money Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 50:56

Last week's documentary explored how China quietly gained control over the industrial foundations of the modern world. From rare earth processing and strategic infrastructure to banking expansion and global supply chains, it examined how the balance of power may already be shifting beneath the surface of the global economy.But Part II goes much deeper. Because this is no longer just a story about China's rise. It is a story about how the United States is responding. As the old globalization model begins to fracture, governments around the world are reorganizing around critical minerals, semiconductors, artificial intelligence infrastructure, industrial resilience, and the strategic resources powering the future economy itself. The race is no longer just about trade or manufacturing. It is about control over the systems modern civilization depends on to function.At the center of this episode is a terrifying possibility: that a new monetary architecture may already be emerging in real time. Not one built solely around oil… But one increasingly tied to minerals. Lithium. Copper. Rare earth elements. Silver. Semiconductors. Artificial intelligence systems. The physical materials underneath the next generation of technology are rapidly becoming the new strategic battleground of the global economy.This documentary explores Project Vault, the Critical Minerals Ministerial, the rise of “Pax Silica,” and the possibility that Washington is quietly attempting to build a second pillar underneath the U.S. dollar — a “mineral dollar” system designed to reinforce American dominance in a world where energy alone may no longer be enough.It examines why governments are suddenly stockpiling strategic materials, why central banks continue accumulating gold, why semiconductors have become matters of national security, and why supply chains are increasingly being treated like military infrastructure.At the same time, rival systems are beginning to emerge. BRICS expansion, local-currency trade agreements, gold accumulation, and alternative financial settlement systems are accelerating across the globe. The world may be moving away from a single dominant framework and toward a far more fragmented, competitive, and unstable era.This is not just a documentary about economics. It is a documentary about power. Who controls the materials. Who controls the infrastructure. Who controls the industrial systems underneath artificial intelligence, defense technology, semiconductors, and the future economy itself. Because beneath the surface of global finance… an entirely new world order may already be taking shape.

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CHINA'S SECRET PLAN TO REPLACE THE DOLLAR — The New Global Order Being Built Beneath the Surface Part 1

Hard Asset Money Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 50:56

For fifty years, the U.S. dollar ruled the world. Oil was priced in dollars. Global trade flowed through dollars. Entire economies depended on the American financial system. But according to an explosive new geopolitical analysis, that era may be entering its final chapter.This two-part investigative documentary uncovers the hidden economic war now unfolding between the United States and China — a battle centered not on missiles or armies, but on critical minerals, rare earth elements, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, banking infrastructure, and the future of global money itself.How did China quietly gain control over the industrial foundations of the modern world? Why does Beijing now dominate the processing of the rare earth minerals required for AI systems, electric vehicles, F-35 fighter jets, satellites, missile systems, and the global semiconductor industry? And why are U.S. officials suddenly warning that “economic security IS national security”?This documentary follows the trail from Nixon and Kissinger's 1970s petrodollar strategy to Belt and Road expansion, BRICS de-dollarization efforts, China's growing control over strategic supply chains, and Washington's dramatic new push for a critical minerals alliance. From the Panama Canal to Venezuela, from Project Vault to rare earth export restrictions, the story reveals how governments around the world are rapidly reorganizing around strategic resources and industrial power.At the center of the documentary is a terrifying possibility: that the world may be entering the early stages of a new monetary order — one no longer built solely around oil, but around minerals. Lithium. Copper. Silver. Rare earths. Semiconductors. The materials underneath artificial intelligence, defense systems, energy infrastructure, and the future global economy itself.As supply chains fracture and geopolitical tensions rise, the age of globalization may be ending. In its place, a new era is emerging — one defined by economic warfare, industrial nationalism, strategic chokepoints, and competing global blocs racing to control the technologies and resources that will shape the next century.This is not just a story about economics. It is a story about power. Who controls the future. Who controls the industrial systems underneath modern civilization. And whether the U.S. dollar can survive the most serious geopolitical challenge it has faced in generations.The old system is still standing. But beneath the surface… a new world order may already be under construction.

Joel Elconin - Market Realities vs. AI Hype, Inflation Pressures, and Precious Metals

The KE Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 14:36

In this Daily Editorial, I sit down with Joel Elconin, co-host of the Pre-Market Prep Show and founder of the Stock Trader Network, to examine the current macroeconomic landscape, key corporate earnings, and sector-specific momentum. The Semiconductor and AI Phenomenon: A look into whether current semiconductor valuations mirror the dot-com bubble or if strong corporate cash flows justify the historic market run. Nvidia Earnings and Guidance Realities: Evaluating the market's high bar for Nvidia following its recent report and what the post-earnings price action signals for tech momentum. Consumer Health and Retail Barometers: Analyzing recent earnings from retail giants Walmart and Target to gauge consumer spending strength amid fluctuating energy costs. Inflation, the Fed, and Interest Rates: Discussing recent sticky inflation metrics, the potential impact of crude oil prices, and what a shifting political landscape could mean for future Federal Reserve policy. The Looming IPO Wave and Market Liquidity: Weighing whether highly anticipated public debuts could signal a cyclical market top and if enough capital liquidity exists to absorb them. Government Action in Quantum Computing: Examining the Trump administration's active involvement in the quantum sector and how investors should play government-backed tech trends. Precious Metals Technical Analysis: Breaking down the near-term technical correction in gold and silver charts against their long-term bullish structures. Stocks Mentioned: Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU), Samsung (OTC: SSNLF), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Walmart (NYSE: WMT), Target (NYSE: TGT), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), IBM (NYSE: IBM). Click here to visit Joel's PreMarket Prep website - https://www.premarketprep.com/ Click here to visit the Stock Trader Network - https://www.stocktradernetwork.com/ ----------------------- For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

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S8 Ep901: PREVIEW for Later Today: Anne Lord examines Xi Jinping's bellicose rhetoric toward Taiwan. She warns that a Chinese move on the island would devastate the global economy because of heavy American reliance on Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturin

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Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2026 2:23

PREVIEW for Later Today: Anne Lord examines Xi Jinping's bellicose rhetoric toward Taiwan. She warns that a Chinese move on the island would devastate the global economy because of heavy American reliance on Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturing.1925 TAIPEI

DHUnplugged #803: The Thucydides Trap

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2026 54:58

– Happy Memorial Day – A WARM DHU welcome to Kevin Warsh – good luck fella, you are going to need it sir. – The new transient inflation. – Another BOARD? These guys like to make exclusive clubs… PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - Happy Memorial Day - A WARM DHU welcome to Kevin Warsh - good luck fella, you are going to need it - The new transient inflation - Another BOARD? These guys like to make exclusive clubs... Markets - Starting to come in a bit..... - Yield curve steepening - potential for a hike over cuts - YIELDS! - Fuels running low - we have the list OH MY... - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has surged to around 5.14%, putting it at its highest level since the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis - Bets are pricing in the increasingly possibility of it reaching 5.5% to 6%, which would mark the highest levels since late 1999 - 30-Year mortgage near 6.35% (average) - DOWN from 6.91% at start of 2026 30-Year Yield Bored of Boards - The Board of Peace - remember that one? That was established in 2025 with 15+ countries that pitched in $1 billion for permanent seat - Indefinitely chaired by President Trump, the governing board is a mix of U.S. officials and prominent American businessmen. - So much for the peace part of that.... - Now we hear about the Board of Investment ---The US and China are discussing a mechanism for fast-tracking some Chinese investment deals and a reduction in tariffs on non-critical goods. - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned a "Board of Investment" that will be responsible for investment in non-sensitive areas. - The idea of the "Board of Investment" is to have a mechanism that could allow deals that wouldn't need to be referred to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States. - In other words - working outside of the established channels that primary function is to determine whether these transactions pose risks to U.S. national security. IRAN - On and off as usual - Cancelled a scheduled bombing? - President Trump speaking with reporters says he will know "soon" if U.S. needs to give Iran another big hit; says Gulf states are helping with negotiations; says Iran keeps agreeing to things and changing their mind; says Iran has 2-3 days to make a deal - This is the parental attempt to manupluate a child - I am going to count to THREE.... 1-2-3-4-5-6 China Trip - Chinese President Xi Jinping warned U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday that the U.S. and China “will have clashes and even conflicts” if the long-standing issue of Taiwan's independence is mishandled. - Speaking just ahead of Trump, Xi noted the global attention on the meeting, and said a major question for the two countries was whether they could avoid the “Thucydides Trap,” according to an official English translation of his remarks broadcast by CCTV. - The Thucydides Trap refers to how tensions historically between a rising and ruling power have often resulted in a war. Some Observations - Veggie Prices are off the charts --- Cauliflower $9, Carrots $6 small bag (not organic) - - Favorite produce store noticed things going bad.... Realized that people are not buying stuff PPI Inflation - HOTTTTTTTT - Headline MoM: +1.4% - YoY: +6.0% - Core PPI (ex food & energy): about +1.0% MoM - Energy was a big part, but services also saw a large move - Highest monthly increase since march 2022 --- In reaction bonds are selling off - highest on 10 and 30 year since March 2024 (10 YR Broke above 4.65) Outbreak - An Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda has been declared a public health emergency of international concern by the World Health Organization - 80 deaths were attributed to the disease. - Outbreak does not meet pandemic criteria, WHO says - Eight laboratory-confirmed cases and 246 suspected cases - At least six Americans in the DRC have been exposed to the Ebola virus, with three exposures deemed high risk WHAT? - One of the highest margin foods, pizza and pasta - Domino's Pizza, is among the pizza giants whose franchisees have filed for bankruptcy - Papa Johns: We have identified approximately 300 underperforming restaurants across North America that are not meeting brand expectations or lack a clear path to sustainable financial improvement, as well as locations where we can effectively transfer sales to a nearby restaurant - Pizza Hut, which also hasn't filed for bankruptcy (YET) , won't be left out of closings as the company's parent Yum! Brands in February said that it would close 250 underperforming locations as part of its Hut Forward plan in the first half of 2026. - PZZA down 65% over the past 5 years - The Papa John's board formally ousted founder and former CEO John "Papa" John" Schnatter in a series of steps culminating in July 2018 and March 2019 BONDS - Yields Spiking - U.S. Treasury yields spiked on Friday following a week of messy inflation data and as traders looked to price interest rate policy under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. - The yield on the 30-year bond jumped nearly 11 basis points to yield 5.121%, the highest since May 22, 2025, and nearing the highest since October 2023. - Japanese long-term bond yields have surged to multi-decade highs, with the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) hitting 2.8%—its highest level since October 1996 M&A Utilities - U.S. power companies NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy announced a plan to merge on Monday in a $66.8 billion deal that ?will form one of the world's largest electric utilities during an expansion of energy-intensive data centers to support artificial intelligence. - The all-stock transaction, which is pending ?regulatory approvals, is one of the largest-ever energy mergers. - Industry consolidation - -- This year, AES Corp agreed to be acquired by a consortium led by Global Infrastructure Partners and Swedish ?private-equity firm EQT AB for $33.4 billion. ---- That followed Constellation Energy's $16 billion deal with Calpine and Blackstone's $11.5 billion deal for TXNM Energy last year. SOYBEANS - Trump's visit to China yielded little in the way of anything - The United States expects China to sign up to buy "double-digit billions" worth of U.S. farm goods following a summit between Presidents Donald ?Trump and Xi Jinping in Beijing, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said on ?Friday. - Greer noted the 25 million metric ton per year soybean deal agreed last October and said the U.S. also expects to "see an agreement for double-digit billion purchases of ags over the next three years per year ?coming out of this visit." - Soybeans and other commodity prices moved higher on Monday as the news was disseminated. CHYNA Deals? - Looks like Boeing got an order of 200 more planes from China. ---- The problem is that was much less that was expected -- Boeing was down on the news. - Some murmurs about China buying more energy (oil, gas) from US - - - There was also something said about President Xi asking about the US intentions of Taiwan Bessent - Transitory - Even with recent inflation news universally bad, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects price pressures to ease soon, just in time for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to take over. -- Why are we listening to this crew? They have been wrong about everything - but say it with such confidence. - WAIT FOR IT...... - “I firmly believe that nothing is more transient than a supply shock, and we can, we can look through that, because before the Iranian conflict began, core inflation was coming down. - He noted that he sees substantial disinflation ahead ----- IF there is substantial disinflation that would be bad news as the economy will be slowing precipitously - could be problematic - so it is not clear what he is so excited about Earnings - NVDA is going to be position earnings Wednesday after the close - So far Semiconductor companies and storage companies have been saying that the orders keep flowing in and - Wall Street analysts project EPS of $1.78 on revenue of $79.2 billion, representing a year-over-year revenue increase of roughly 80%. Open AI - Musk - R0und 1- Musk looses on what looks to be a technicality - Perhaps jurors were miffed that he skipped closing arguments and went to China instead (to be the the Trump Posse) - Naturally he is already discussing appeal Even more Create Financing - Google (GOOG/GOOGL) and Blackstone (BX) are drawing significant investor attention following the announcement of TPU Cloud, a new U.S.-based joint venture designed to commercialize GOOG's Tensor Processing Unit infrastructure at greater scale. - The partnership underscores the accelerating arms race in AI infrastructure, while also highlighting how hyperscalers are increasingly turning to alternative financing structures to fund the enormous capital requirements tied to next-generation AI compute expansion. Fuel Shortages - In case anyone thought otherwise - the Straight is till closed. Fuel Running Low - India: Severe LPG (cooking gas) shortages, rationing in many areas - Pakistan & Bangladesh: Critical LPG and diesel shortages - Southeast Asia (Thailand, Vietnam, Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia): Jet fuel & diesel shortages, flight cuts - South Korea & Taiwan: Tight jet fuel and refined product stocks - Europe (especially UK): Jet fuel critically low, risk of flight cancellations - Africa (South Africa, Nigeria, parts of East Africa): Jet fuel and import shortages - CUBA - OUT Cooking Fuel (LPG) Shortages - India: Severe shortages, long queues, rationing - Pakistan: Critical LPG shortage, heavy rationing - Bangladesh: Major shortages, price spikes - Nepal & Sri Lanka: Supply cuts, half-filled cylinders common - Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, etc.): Tight supplies and high prices - Africa: Sharp price increases, reduced affordability - Europe/US: Mostly higher prices, no major physical shortages Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Announcing the THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for SALESFORCE (CRM) Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt! FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

9AM Hour - Chips Extend Slide, Software and Yields Jump, What Intel's CEO Told Cramer 5/19/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2026 43:20

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored a tale of two tech sectors: Semiconductors extending their two-day slide after a red-hot run-up, while beaten-down software stocks move higher. Where should you put your money into the two groups? Hear what Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan told Jim on "Mad Money" about AI and the demand for CPUs. The anchors also discussed treasury yields hitting multiyear highs on inflation jitters and the U.S. conflict with Iran. Also in focus: Home Depot's earnings beat, Elon Musk to appeal the OpenAI trial ruling, Anthropic vs. the Pentagon in court, Google-Blackstone AI venture, Meta layoffs watch. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

EP 165: Cerebras IPO, Premium Tokens, Neo Clouds, and the Angstrom Era

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 56:12

In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive into the rapidly shifting economics and structural changes across the semiconductor and AI industries. From the recent Cerebras IPO to the massive long-term forecast visibility in wafer fabrication equipment, they analyze whether current capital cycles align with the reality of enterprise AI demand. Finally, they debate how the "Angstrom era" and the end of Moore's law are forcing a complete reinvention of chip manufacturing from scratch.

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Industrial Semiconductor Outlook: ADI, AI Boom & Earnings Ahead

The Van Wie Financial Hour

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 5:43

Christopher Davis breaks down the industrial semiconductor space, noting Analog Devices (ADI) as essential to modern digital infrastructure despite near-term challenges. He highlights strong data-driven growth at Texas Instruments (TXN) and the continued AI trade momentum. However, Christopher warns that geopolitical tensions and physical supply constraints could weigh on high flying tech names.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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May 16th, 2026 - Should Semiconductors be a Sector?

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 44:28 Transcription Available

In a lively studio session, Steve, Adam, and Joey dive into a whirlwind of financial topics, from market trends and the skyrocketing value of Nvidia, to the potential disruptions AI could bring. They explore the intricacies of required minimum distributions and share insights on personal finance careers, all while engaging with their audience through trivia and thoughtful discussions. With humor and expertise, they navigate the complex financial landscape, making the Van Wie Financial Hour an informative and entertaining ride.

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May 16, 2026: Alternative Assets, Chip Rallies & Bubble Warnings

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2026 62:23

This week, we're diving into one of the fastest-growing corners of retirement planning: alternative investments inside IRAs. From rental properties and private equity to precious metals and crypto, self-directed IRAs are giving investors more freedom to move beyond traditional Wall Street assets — but just because you can hold these investments inside an IRA doesn't always mean you should, especially when strict IRS rules, hidden tax traps, and costly compliance mistakes can completely disqualify your retirement account. We'll explain how these accounts really work, what investments are actually allowed, and why many investors underestimate the risks.Then, we turn to the semiconductor sector, where the AI boom has ignited what some analysts are calling a full-scale market “melt-up.” Chipmakers like Broadcom, Micron, and even Intel have surged as investors pour money into anything tied to artificial intelligence. We'll discuss whether the explosive rally is supported by fundamentals and how semiconductor demand is reshaping the global economy.And finally, we ask the question many investors are quietly wondering: Are we witnessing a technological revolution — or another dot-com-style bubble? We'll compare today's AI-driven rally to the market environment of 2000, explore why the Magnificent 7 continue to dominate investor attention, and discuss whether confidence in an “A.I. put” is fueling one of the most concentrated and optimistic stock markets in decades.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty. Henssler Money Talks — May 16, 2026 | Season 40, Episode 20Timestamps and Chapters6:18: Investing Beyond Wall Street in Your IRA29:38: The Semiconductor Supercycle42:11: Bubble Talk: Comparing Today to 2000 Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization's initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.See important disclosures at Henssler.com

Andy Constan on Investing Through Bubbles | First Principles Episode 1

Excess Returns

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 64:36

First Principles with Andy Constan launches with a deep dive into market bubbles, AI, semiconductor stocks, and the financial conditions that can turn powerful technological change into a dangerous investment regime. Andy explains how bubbles form, why they are almost impossible to time, how today's AI boom compares to past episodes like 1987, the dot-com bubble, housing, and the bond bubble, and what investors should watch as expectations, financing, and FOMO build.Andy Constan on Xhttps://x.com/dampedspringDamped Spring Advisorshttps://dampedspring.com/Topics covered:Why bubbles are easy to identify in hindsight but nearly impossible to define in real timeThe difference between an expensive market and a true bubble regimeHow new technologies, easy money, regulation, and exogenous shocks can create bubble conditionsWhy AI may rhyme with the internet boom without being an exact repeatThe role of ChatGPT, Microsoft's OpenAI investment, and semiconductor earnings expectationsWhat the 1987 crash, Japan, housing, bonds, and dot-com bubble can teach investors todayWhy human nature, FOMO, and “keeping up with the Joneses” make bubbles so powerfulHow the late-1990s Fed response to Long-Term Capital Management helped fuel the final phase of the tech bubbleWhy tech's current size in the economy and market may limit how far the AI boom can growHow AI capex, hyperscaler spending, buybacks, debt issuance, and IPO supply could determine what happens nextTimestamps:00:00 Intro and the challenge of identifying bubbles04:32 Expensive markets vs true bubble regimes09:57 The five bubble episodes Andy compares to today14:35 Root conditions, escalation events, and the peaking phase19:20 Why the 1987 crash may also have been a bubble24:25 The late-1990s setup and the Netscape Navigator moment28:00 Crisis analogs, easy financial conditions, and today's AI parallels32:20 Long-Term Capital Management and rocket fuel for the tech bubble36:11 Why tech's market share matters more today than in the 1990s43:18 Policy mistakes, subsidies, and how governments feed bubbles47:42 Semiconductor earnings expectations and valuation risk53:45 The AI capex chain and where the money has to come from58:42 IPOs, corporate debt, and the financing risk behind the AI boom01:02:27 What investors should do differently in a bubble regime

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5-14-26 Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation | Before the Bell

google growth video market momentum markets mania rotation semiconductors fixed income lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 7:05

Markets remain heavily concentrated in high-beta Momentum trades, especially in Semiconductors and large-cap Growth stocks. But when speculative momentum runs go parabolic, history shows the reversals can be just as sharp. In today's pre-market update, we break down the difference between market sectors and investment factors, why the Momentum trade has gone vertical since April, and how rotations into Value, Quality, and Fixed Income could begin as investors reduce risk. We'll also examine why high-beta names could face the biggest downside during a correction, what a retracement in Semiconductors could look like, and why portfolio diversification matters more than ever when markets become this over bought. Are investors chasing performance at exactly the wrong time? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation

AMAT High Bar, KLAC Opportunity with AI-Driven Semiconductor Momentum

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 6:23

Applied Materials (AMAT) faces a high bar after its rally, as Chris McMahon sees strong expectations but limited upside if results simply meet forecasts. He points to KLA Corp. (KLAC) as a more attractive semiconductor equipment play, while noting China and trade dynamics remain key risks. AI-driven demand continues to support the broader sector.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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Faraj Aalaei on Why AI Will Let Anyone Design a Chip — and What Happens When the Semiconductor Industry Finally Catches Up

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 46:35

In 2000, venture capitalists funded 200 semiconductor companies. By 2015, that number had fallen to single digits. The cost of designing a chip went from $33 million in the late 1990s to over $200 million today, and it takes four or more years to complete. There are not enough engineers. The timelines are too long. The investment risk is too high.Faraj Aalaei has spent three decades watching this problem build. He co-founded Centillium Communications and took it public on Nasdaq in 1997. He co-founded Aquantia, took it public in 2017, and sold it to Marvell Semiconductors in 2019. He then spent several years investing in AI companies before recognizing that generative AI could do for chip design what it has done for software — compress timelines, reduce cost, and open the field to a much wider group of contributors.In 2024, he founded Cognichip with a straightforward but ambitious vision: everybody should be able to be a chip designer.Nick sits down with Faraj for a wide-ranging conversation that covers the full landscape — why the semiconductor industry has a structural problem that EDA companies like Synopsys and Cadence cannot solve alone, why generic large language models fall flat when applied to chip design, how Cognichip trains physics-informed models on proprietary synthetic data without touching any customer IP, and what actually happens to the semiconductor industry when design timelines collapse from years to months.The implications are significant. Hyperscalers like Google, Meta, and Microsoft could design more bespoke ASICs faster and cheaper. Foundries like TSMC would see shorter cycles between customer signup and first wafer revenue. Startups that today cannot raise funding because the design cost is too high would suddenly become investable. And companies like Nvidia — which already iterate faster than anyone in the industry — could move faster still.The conversation also covers Cognichip's differentiation from agentic workflow competitors, the fundamental reason why physics-informed models are necessary for semiconductor design in a way they are not for software, and — at the very end — the IPO question.What we cover:— Why chip design went from $33M to $200M+ and VC funding collapsed— The engineer shortage and why semiconductors lose to software for talent— Why the 6-year chip design lag is a fundamental problem for AI progress— EDA companies and AI — complementary rather than competitive— How Cognichip trains models without using customer IP— Physics-informed AI vs. generic LLMs — why the distinction matters— The vision: anyone can design a chip — what that actually means— What happens when design timelines collapse — impact on Nvidia, startups, foundries— Cognichip vs. agentic workflow competitors — the fundamental model difference— Hyperscaler ASIC strategies and CapEx implications— Manufacturing yield improvement and AI's role— The IPO questionDisclosure: Cognichip is a private company and is not publicly investable at this time. This content is for general information only and is not individual investment advice.chipstockinvestor.com

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Party Like It's 1999 (FvF Ep. 187)

Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 57:55

In Episode 187 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, ask the question on every investor's mind: Does today's market feel like 1999?The episode opens with genuine nostalgia. Ryan recalls tripling his play money on Sycamore and Juniper Networks before losing it all on margin. Sonu remembers 75% of his engineering class having job offers by August of senior year. The vibes were very different then.From there, Ryan and Sonu dig into the numbers raising eyebrows. Semiconductors now make up roughly 22% of the S&P 500, up from around 6% at last April's lows. A telecom ETF built around AI infrastructure is up 44% year to date. These are not boring numbers. But beneath all that heat, sentiment is in the toilet, breadth is holding up, and credit spreads are making new cycle lows in ways that look nothing like the quiet deterioration that began in 1998. Ryan and Sonu make the case that this is not 1999. Not yet, anyway.Then Sonu drops inflation data that deserves a second read. Computer software and accessories, where AI token and cloud spending shows up in CPI, is running at an 83% annualized pace over the last three months. The Fed has a real problem. Ryan and Sonu walk through why stable jobs plus hard inflation plus a dovish Fed still adds up to bullish for equities, before closing out with a stronger-than-expected labor market update, a preview of the US-China trade meeting, and a record-breaking Uber ride from O'Hare to Cedar Rapids.Key Takeaways:Semiconductor stocks and AI infrastructure names are posting numbers that feel frothy on the surface, but earnings growth and genuine demand provide far more fundamental support than the dot-com era ever did.The NYSE advance decline line just hit an all-time high. In 1998, it peaked 18 months before the market did. That divergence is not happening today.AI-related inflation is real and showing up in the data. Computer software in PCE is running nearly 60% annualized over the last six months. This is not just an energy or tariff story.The S&P 500 has posted six consecutive weekly gains totaling over 16%, the second best such streak on record. One year later, the market has historically been up 17% on average.The labor market is quietly stabilizing. Blue-collar sectors that were bleeding jobs in 2024 are turning around, and prime-age employment sits at its highest ratio since before the 2008 financial crisis.The longer the Fed delays action on inflation, the greater the Volcker-style risk in 2027 or 2028. The AI capex boom has driven roughly 45% of real GDP growth over the last five quarters. When that fades, the math changes.Jump to:0:00 — Welcome and the 1999 Question2:00 — College Memories and Dot Com Vibes6:20 — New Highs with Rotten Sentiment10:30 — Frothy Semis and Leverage Lessons15:50 — AI Infrastructure Trade and Sector Gaps22:40 — Breadth, Credit Spreads, and Bull Signals33:10 — CPI Heat from Tariffs and AI Bottlenecks41:50 — Fed Risks and When Booms Break49:40 — Payrolls Update and Blue-Collar Turn54:20 — China Trade Talk, Travel Chaos, and WrapConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Fundamentals over everything

Investing Experts

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 44:34

Sara Awad from Tech Contrarians discusses semi momentum (0:40) Tech correction won't come out of nowhere; it will be forced (4:00) Nvidia earnings (6:30) Marvell and Broadcom (11:30) Micron, Credo, AMD, Intel, Arm, Apple (14:00) Nebius' sweet spot (33:30) Fundamentals over everything (36:50)Show Notes:AMD, Arm gain server CPU share at Intel's expense in Q1: UBSThe Cure For FOMO With Tech ContrariansRead our transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

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Chip Rally Looks Stretched as Focus Shifts to MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL

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Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2026 5:41

Semiconductor stocks like TSMC (TSM), Micron (MU), and Intel (INTC) are surging, but Morningstar's Philip Straehl warns the trade looks overextended. He favors rotating into hyperscalers such as Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOGL) for more durable A.I. monetization. Straehl also sees value in beaten-down software, payments, and broader industrials as investors look beyond the crowded chip trade.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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Implementing Semiconductor Industrial Policy with Speed

Sci on the Fly

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2026 39:01

The CHIPS and Science Act was among the most ambitious pieces of industrial policy legislation in decades, allocating tens of billions of dollars towards building domestic capacity for semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains. While passing the bill was a monumental feat, implementing the policy is a whole separate challenge. In this episode, host Angela Cleri speaks with Mike Schmidt, the former Director of the CHIPS Program Office to talk about the challenges and successes of executing large-scale industrial policy within systems of government that are not designed to move fast. This podcast does not necessarily reflect the views of AAAS, its Council, Board of Directors, officers, or members. AAAS is not responsible for the accuracy of this material. AAAS has made this material available as a public service, but this does not constitute endorsement by the association.

Cognichip CEO Explains the New AI Race Happening Inside Semiconductor Design

The Tech Blog Writer Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 29:30

What happens when the pace of AI innovation collides with the realities of semiconductor development? In this episode of Tech Talks Daily, I speak with Faraj Aalaei, CEO of Cognichip and a semiconductor industry veteran with more than 25 years of experience spanning engineering, venture capital, and two successful IPOs. Faraj joins me to discuss why the future of artificial intelligence may depend on radically rethinking how chips are designed, manufactured, and scaled. Cognichip recently emerged from stealth with $33 million in seed funding and a bold ambition to create the world's first Artificial Chip Intelligence, or ACI®. The company is developing a physics-informed foundational AI model purpose-built for semiconductors, with the goal of reducing the enormous time, cost, and complexity associated with chip design. Faraj explains how the semiconductor industry now faces a growing bottleneck. While AI software can evolve at remarkable speed, chip development often still takes between three and five years and costs more than $100 million. That mismatch is becoming increasingly difficult to sustain as demand grows for specialized AI hardware, edge computing systems, and next-generation infrastructure. Our conversation also explores the geopolitical and economic shifts reshaping the semiconductor industry. Faraj shares his perspective on the emerging concept of "Pax Silica," the growing effort by governments to restructure global chip supply chains and reduce reliance on China. While many policymakers see this as a matter of national security and resilience, Faraj warns there may also be unintended consequences, including rising AI infrastructure costs, engineering shortages, and slower innovation cycles. One of the most interesting parts of our discussion centers on the idea that AI itself may become the missing scaling factor for semiconductor development. Instead of relying solely on larger engineering teams and longer development cycles, Cognichip believes AI-designed chips could dramatically accelerate innovation and make advanced hardware development accessible to far more companies and researchers. Faraj also reflects on his career journey from entrepreneur to investor and back again, sharing lessons from decades spent helping build the modern semiconductor ecosystem. From supply chain realities to the growing pressure on engineering talent, this episode offers a rare insider perspective on the technologies quietly powering the entire AI economy. As AI systems continue to demand faster, more specialized hardware, are we reaching the limits of traditional chip development, and could AI itself become the tool that reshapes the future of semiconductors?

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EP 164: ARM, ARM Earning, Agentic CPU Inflections, A World of Constraints

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 61:57

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive deep into the rapidly shifting landscape of semiconductor supply chains and the unexpected "CPU renaissance" driven by agentic AI. The duo explores the "ultimate constraint" currently bottlenecking the industry, breaks down the latest earnings from ARM and AMD, and analyzes why the "Neo Cloud" players might be facing a massive strategic deficit.Key Discussion Points:The Anhydrous Hydrogen Bromine Crisis: Jay reveals the "ultimate shortage" involving a rare gas essential for EUV lithography and memory production, involving a geopolitical tangle of Japanese refining and Israeli raw materials.+4The Death of the CPU-to-GPU Ratio: Why the industry is moving away from simple hardware ratios and toward rack-level topology and workload-specific modeling.+4ARM & AMD's "Agentic" Surge: Insights into how the need to execute AI-generated code is driving massive demand for high-core-count CPUs, far exceeding previous estimates.+4Optical Networking Timing: A reality check on the "hockey stick" growth for optical interconnects, which is projected to truly inflect around 2028.+1The Neo Cloud Challenge: A critical look at CoreWeave, Nebius, and Iron, focusing on their massive CPU-install-base deficit compared to hyperscalers.+2Breaking News: Late-session discussion on the rumored foundry deal between Intel and Apple.+1

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We Asked an Options Expert Why This Melt Up Hasn't Broken — and Which Signal Could End It

Excess Returns

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2026 67:27

Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joins Jack Forehand for the May 2026 OPEX Effect to break down what options positioning is saying after a massive AI and semiconductor-led market rally. They discuss SPX call volume, zero DTE options, dealer gamma, VIX expiration, NVIDIA earnings, oil risk, AI CapEx, and why options flows may help explain both the market's recent melt-up and the potential for a volatility shift after OPEX.Guest LinksBrent Kochuba on Xhttps://x.com/spotgammaSpotGammahttps://spotgamma.com/Topics CoveredWhy the market has ignored oil shocks and geopolitical risk while AI earnings dominate investor attentionHow AI CapEx, semiconductors and mega-cap tech have driven a powerful melt-up in stocksWhy options volume and zero DTE trading are increasingly important for all investorsHow dealer hedging, delta and gamma can affect stock market movesWhy options expiration can create short-term turning points in markets and volatilityWhat the May OPEX setup says about call-heavy positioning in the S&P 500Why single-stock options activity in NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple, Amazon and AI-related names mattersHow record SPX call volume is being driven by short-dated options flowsWhy Brent is watching VIX expiration, NVIDIA earnings and May 19 to May 20 for volatility expansionWhat oil, VIX, correlation and dispersion are signaling about market riskTimestamps00:00 Intro: SPX call volume, call-heavy positioning and transient options flows00:57 Are we in melt-up mode?05:29 AI, UFOs and how fast market narratives are changing09:00 Why options flows matter more for everyday investors13:39 Could SpaceX become the next huge options market?16:00 How dealer hedging, delta and gamma move through the market20:44 Why OPEX can become a turning point for stocks and volatility23:22 Why May OPEX is so call heavy28:07 The market rally into May expiration33:00 AI rebranding, meme behavior and downside headline risk36:07 Reviewing last month's oil and volatility setup40:17 How the war flipped market leadership back to tech44:13 Dealer gamma support in the S&P 50049:19 Single-stock gamma in NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple and Amazon51:06 Record SPX call volume and the role of zero DTE54:55 Semiconductor, AI and memory call volume57:50 From bearish positioning to peak-bull dispersion59:22 Oil, the S&P 500 and changing correlations01:03:06 COR1M, dispersion risk and when Brent considers hedging01:04:57 Brent's key takeaways for May OPEX and volatility expansion

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Market Storylines: All-Time Highs, Semiconductor Surge + Oil Swings

Inside the ICE House

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2026 7:04

Michael Reinking, NYSE Senior Market Strategist, recaps a volatile week as Iran headlines drove swings in oil and markets. Despite the uncertainty, the S&P 500 pushed to fresh all‑time highs on a strong earnings backdrop. Results have broadly exceeded expectations, led by powerful growth in AI‑driven sectors like semiconductors. Economic data continues to signal resilience, supporting the rally. Focus now turns to upcoming jobs and inflation data alongside ongoing geopolitical developments.

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MacroVoices #531 Louis-Vincent Gave: Semiconductors, AI & Iran Conflict

Macro Voices

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 79:29

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They'll discuss, what's going on in the conflict and what it will mean for global markets in the coming months. https://bit.ly/42T7eeW

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5-7-26 Semiconductors - Bubble or Bust?

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 42:55

Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks

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5-7-26 Semiconductors: Bubble or Bust?

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 42:56

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Semiconductors Soar, Apple's AI Fumble, and Former FDIC Chair Bair 5/6/26

Nightly Business Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 43:40

Bernstein joins the AMD bandwagon after shares surge on earnings. Apple's R&D spend rises as it tries to catch up in the AI race. Plus, former FDIC chair Shiela Bair talks Warsh, banks, and new children's book, "How Not To Lose A Million Dollars." Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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Semiconductors 101: Investing in Chips with Nick Frasse, Product Manager at VanEck

The Conquer Risk Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 44:04

Semiconductors power nearly everything, from AI and cloud computing to autos and basic household appliances. In this episode of the Conquer Risk Podcast Investment Series, Potomac CMO Christopher Norton and Co-CIO Dan Russo, CMT®, welcome Nick Frasse, Product Manager at VanEck, for a sharp look at one of today's most essential technologies. Learn what's fueling growth in the chip industry, how the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) delivers targeted exposure, and why this fast-moving sector continues to draw investors. Make sure you subscribe to never miss an update. Subscribe in Apple Podcasts Subscribe on Spotify Learn more about Potomac: https://potomac.com/ Read our blog: https://potomac.com/blog Disclosure: https://potomac.com/disclosures PFM- 208-20260428 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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EP 163: Breaking the Memory Wall: Micron's Strategy for the AI Era

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2026 52:10

This episode of The Circuit features Jeremy Werner, SVP and GM of Micron's Core Data Center Business Unit, discussing the transformative impact of AI on the memory and storage industry. Werner explains that the industry has shifted from a traditional cyclical model to a period of sustainable growth, driven by the unique demands of AI training and inference. He highlights the emergence of a "memory wall" in inference, where massive amounts of high-speed memory and storage are required to manage expanding context windows and avoid redundant recomputation. The conversation also covers Micron's efforts to innovate across the memory hierarchy—including HBM4 and ultra-high-capacity SSDs—to solve the data center's critical bottlenecks of power and physical space.

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Why Semiconductor Stocks Keep Rallying

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2026 10:11

Zed Francis breaks down what's driving the ongoing rally in semiconductor stocks, highlighting the contrast between less cyclical leaders like Nvidia (NVDA) and more volatile memory names. He explains how rising market confidence is extending earnings "cliffs," driving sharp gains while emphasizing the importance of volatility trends across the sector. Francis adds that credit markets will be the trigger for when the long feared cliff appears. ======== Schwab Network ========Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DEmpowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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S8 Ep814: Preview: China's Quest for Restricted Chipmaking Technology Guest: Jack Burnham Jack Burnham details how Chinese firms attempt to circumvent export controls on high-end ASML lithography equipment to sustain their domestic semiconductor manufact

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Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2026 3:12

Preview: China's Quest for Restricted Chipmaking Technology Guest: Jack Burnham Jack Burnham details how Chinese firms attempt to circumvent export controls on high-end ASML lithography equipment to sustain their domestic semiconductor manufacturing industry now.1903

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Semiconductor momentum getting bubbly. Meanwhile, Hormuz Strait - what's that?

Saxo Market Call

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2026 23:33

Today, a look at the continued incredible ramp in semiconductor names and whether we are inflating an incipient bubble, even if forward valuations in many case look quite reasonable. Elsewhere, we note the lack of progress in opening the Hormuz Strait and the implications that continue to multiply with every day and week that crude oil and refined products aren't reaching the global market. Meanwhile, we have peak earnings season and five central banks meeting this week. This and more on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

The Performance Of Semiconductor Stocks

Rob Black and Your Money - Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2026 45:46

The problem with healthcare stocks, The importance of financial planning, Next Pints and Portfolios will be in San Mateo on Saturday May 16th from 11am to 1pm with EP Wealth Advisors Ryan Ignacio CFA CFP and Julie Chan-O'Rourke CFP

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All-Time High Stocks… Bitcoin About To Explode? | Jordi Visser

The Pomp Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2026 57:40

Jordi Visser is a veteran macro investor with 30+ years of experience. In this conversation, we break down why AI is creating massive shortages in chips, energy, and commodities—and what that means for inflation and markets. We also discuss why stocks keep hitting highs despite economic pressure, how scarcity is becoming the most important investing theme, and why bitcoin could be setting up for a major move.======================Consensus Miami is the largest crypto conference in the world — May 5-7, 2026 in Miami. 20,000 attendees. 72% director-level or above. The deals, partnerships, and investments that shape the next cycle get made here. Use code POMPLIANO for 25% off your pass → https://go.coindesk.com/c26pomp======================Uphold is the easiest way to buy and sell crypto unlike any other platform allowing you to trade in just one step between any supported asset. Check them out at https://www.uphold.com/pomp/ This video includes a paid sponsorship with Uphold. I'm compensated by Uphold for promoting its products and services and may receive commissions from referrals. Terms apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Digital assets are risky and may result in the total loss of your capital.======================Bitget (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew) is the world's largest Universal Exchange (UEX) (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew), serving over 125 million users with access to over 2M+ crypto tokens, and TradFi markets such as 100+ tokenized stocks, ETFs, commodities, FX and precious metal like Gold. At launch, users can trade 79 instruments with USDT directly with the App. Users can also enjoy high liquidity and low slippage, while trading these assets with up to 500x leverage. For more information on Bitget TradFi, visit this article (https://bitget.com/support/articles/12560603846859). For more information, visit: Website (https://bitget.com/) | Twitter (https://x.com/bitget) | Telegram (https://t.me/BitgetENOfficial) | LinkedIn (https://linkedin.com/company/bitget-global/) | Discord (https://discord.com/invite/bitget)For media inquiries, please contact: media@bitget.com======================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.======================0:00 - Intro 1:08 - Why stocks keep hitting all-time highs 5:44 - AI shortages & supply constraints8:15 - Why dips don't last (V-shaped market)10:15 - Inflation vs deflation debate21:35 - Semiconductors = key commodity30:05 - Running out of compute (chips & power)34:45 - AI demand surge & what future looks like48:31 - Bitcoin outlook.. could it explode higher?

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S8 Ep751: 4. Steve Yates critiques China's unsustainable plan to subsidize tech sectors to revive its economy. He highlights the strategic importance of Taiwan's semiconductor industry and its shift away from Mainland market investments.