Podcasts about onselen

Sign up to the Punter Times Newsletter https://www.punterspolitics.com/pages/email-sign-upThis week, Konrad and James expose how foreign corporations like Shell made $127 billion in Australia while paying virtually zero tax, reveal the governments hidden gambling connections, and host the first-ever Puntermon Battle between two economists who can't agree whether mass immigration or property speculation is destroying Australia's housing market. Featuring - Economists Leith van Onselen & Matt Grudnoff Punter’s Politics Political Fundraiser Tickets: https://www.punterspolitics.com/pages/punters-political-fundraising-dinnerBe a dark money funder to help hire a lobbyist for the punters: https://chuffed.org/project/134297-fund-australias-first-punter-powered-lobbyist Leith's Notes"The first chart in this article shows why demand side policies never work as they just feed higher home prices:" https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/05/australians-snookered-by-mega-mortgages/"Even if we changed NG and the CGT discount today it wouldn't do squat for the rental market as the volume of migration would continue to overwhelm supply, driving vacancy rates lower and rents higher. Sure, building public housing would help and is worthwhile. But that would cost many billions and would merely be taken up by new migrants (this is happening now in Melbourne). We simply cannot build enough homes or infrastructure to keep up with demand. We don't have the capacity. Therefore, the only solution is to go back to pre 2005 levels of migration and ensure that it is focused on skills the country actually needs. We need quality, not quantity. As long as policymakers continue to pump immigration, the rental and infrastructure crises will continue. Nothing can be done on the supply side in any reasonable timeframe to change this fact. Matt's Notes I claimed that over the last 10 years the population has increased by 16% but the number of dwellings has increased by 19%Population data comes from National, state and territory population. Click on the “Population and components of change – national” towards the bottom of the webpage. In the spreadsheet that downloads we are looking for “Estimated Resident Population (ERP) ; Australia” (this is column L in the spreadsheet). 10 years comes from March 2015 to March 2025. The numbers are population in March 2015: 23,745,600. Population in March 2025: 27,536,900. The formular for calculating the percentage increase is (Mar-2025 – Mar-2015)/Mar-2015.Dwellings data comes from Total Value of Dwellings. Click on “Table 1. Total value of dwellings, all series” towards the bottom of the webpage. In the spreadsheet that downloads we are looking for “Number of residential dwellings; Australia” (this is Column AT in the spreadsheet). 10 years comes from the increase from March 2015 to March 2025. The numbers are dwellings in March 2015: 9,511,300. Dwellings in March 2025: 11,320,300.The quarterly dwellings data only goes back to Sep-2011. But the housing crisis really started in the early 2000s. So, to go back further I use census data. If you compare the 2001 census with the 2021 census (latest census), population has increased 33% and dwellings have increased 39%.Population and dwelling data for the 2001 census comes from 2022.0 – Census of Population and Housing: Classification Counts, Australia, 2001. In the downloads tab click on the first data cube “Australia Classification Counts 2001”.Click on the first spreadsheet called “Aust_Age.xls”. This has the population number at D110 in the spreadsheet. The population is 18,972,350.Click on the 14th spreadsheet is called “Aust_Dwelling Location.xls”. It has the dwelling number at B15 in the spreadsheet. The number of dwellings is 7,810,352.Population data for the 2021 census comes from Population; Census. At the bottom of the webpage click on “Data table for population data summary”. The population is 25,422,788 (D20 in Table 1 of the spreadsheet).Dwelling data for the 2021 census comes from Housing: Census. At the bottom of the webpage click on “Data table for Housing data summary”. The number of dwellings is 10,875,248 (J17 in Table 1 of the spreadsheet).You now have the population from both 2001 census (18,972,350) and the 2025 census (25,422,788). You also have the number of dwellings from the 2001 census (7,810,352) and the 2025 census (10,875,248).Rent and general inflation figures all come from the Consumer Price Index, Australia.I claimed over the last 10 years general inflation (CPI) had increased 33%, while rents had increased 24%.Both figures come from the bottom of the webpage at the CPI website linked above, called “Table 7. CPI: Group, Sub-group and Expenditure Class, Weighted Average of Eight Capital Cities”.The rent numbers come from “Index Numbers; Rents; Australia” (column BC in tab Data1). I actually compared Mar-2015 (109.2) to Jun-2025 (133.7). This gives a 24% increase. But to compare with the dwelling data I should have compared March-2015 (109.2) to Mar-2025 (133.7). This reduces the increase to 22%. But as I was arguing that rent prices hadn’t increased as much, this helps my point.The general inflation numbers come from the same spreadsheet as the rent numbers but are at “Index Numbers; All groups CPI; Australia” (column EC in tab Data1). Again, I compared Mar-2015 (106.8) to Jun-2025 (141.7) to get 33%. But I should have compared Mar-2015 (106.8) with Mar-2025 (140.7), which would give 32%.I also claimed that over 25 years general inflation (CPI) had increased 103%, while rents had increased 115%.These figures are from the same columns as the rent (BC in tab Data1) and all groups CPI (EC in tab Data1) data from above. Except instead of comparing 10 years, I went back to Mar-2000 (62.7 for Rent and 69.7 for CPI) and then compared this with Jun-2025 (135.0 for rent and 141.7 for CPI). Again, for consistency I should have compared them both with Mar-2025. This would have meant the general inflation increase would have been 102% (rather than 103%), and the rent increase would have been 113% (rather than 115%). This doesn’t make any difference to the points I was making. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an edit of a live discussion with Chief Economist Leith van Onselen (one of our most popular guests!) as we explore the latest economic data and dive deep into the chaos created by years of poor policy. Leith is the co-founder of Macrobusiness, and Economist at Nucleus Wealth. We did a deep dive … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Who Killed The Australian Economy? With Leith van Onselen"

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Polling expert Gareth van Onselen unpacks the DA's surge in South Africa's key metros, saying the ANC's steep urban decline could put standalone DA governments within reach. From Tshwane to Johannesburg and beyond, Van Onselen explains why local elections favor opposition parties, the ANC's coalition struggles, and what big shifts may lie ahead for SA's political landscape

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an edit of a live discussion with Chief Economist Leith van Onselen, co-founder of Macrobusiness as we probe the latest economic data and the apparent next leg up in property prices. Original show with chat here: https://youtube.com/live/JC7GsdI6Afw Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Go to the Walk The World … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Replay: Pop Goes The Property Weasel! With Leith van Onselen"

Leith Van Onselen - ‘The Treasury of Common Sense’See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an edit of a live discussion with Leith van Onselen, Chief Economist and Joint Founder of Macrobusiness. We dived into the latest trends across the Australian economy and delved into the expected trajectory of home prices ahead, as well as broader issues including migration and productivity. http://www.martinnorth.com/ Details of our one to one … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Replay: Property Nightmare Ahead? With Leith van Onselen"

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In my live show with Leith van Onselen yesterday, we pulled apart the major party campaigns relating to housing, which focussed on those trying to buy, and a promise of higher home prices for all. This will put a rocket under home prices. But the real story, and the accompanying policy vacuum relates to the … Continue reading "Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!"

This is an edit version of a live discussion as I explore the latest political interventions into the housing market and other economic issues with Leith Van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth and Co-founder of Macrobusiness. Will house prices skyrocket following the election of a second-term Labor government? http://www.martinnorth.com/ Details of our one to … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Are Australian House Prices Set To Rocket? With Leith Van Onselen"

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Each week, no nonsense economist Leith Van Onselen gives his common sense takes on the economic issues of the week. Real money talk, bullsh*t free.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an edited version of a live discussion with Leith van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth and Joint Founder of MacroBusiness. We reacted to the RBA rate cut decision, plus looked at the expected trajectory of the economy, ahead of the election. What could blow us off course, and what are the implications … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Replay: Will Rate Cuts Quell Australia’s Economic Storm? With Leith van Onselen"

This is an edit of a live discussion with Economist Leith van Onselen, Co-founder of MacroBusiness, and Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth. We will pick apart the latest housing disasters, and why things have gone so pear shaped, but also what could be done (with political will) to sort this mess out! It is NOT … Continue reading "DFA Live HD Replay: The Great Housing Bust, And What Can Be Done About It: With Leith van Onselen"

This is an edited version of a live discussion with Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth, Leith van Onselen, who is also the co-founder of Macrobusiness. Given the raft of property related announceables from the politicians, will it make any difference, or are we set for a slow-down, or worse? Original stream with live chat here: … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Can Property “Save” The Australian Economy? With Leith van Onselen"

Leith van Onselen joined Jacqui Felgate. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Leith van Onselen joined Jacqui Felgate. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an edited version of a live discussion with Leith van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth and Co-founder of Macrobusiness as we pick apart the latest economic myths across property and the economy. Original show is here: https://youtube.com/live/bT-hxYrjJ1A http://www.martinnorth.com/ Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

So South Africa, what lies ahead? To help answer this question and more, Gareth and Phumi are joined by political strategist, pollster, and commentator, Gareth van Onselen. They discuss the potential political, social, and economic impacts and what this historic shift means for the future of the nation. The Burning Platform

In hierdie video gesels Louis en Frederik oor Gareth van Onselen se navorsing oor die rasseverdeling van verskillende partye se steun, sowel as die beskuldigings van rassisme teen Renaldo Gouws, Ian Cameron en Andile Mngxitama en of hierdie drie gevalle enigsins dieselfde is.Die Podlitiek-span bestaan uit Ernst van Zyl, Louis Boshoff, Arno Roodt en Frederik van Dyk.

In a mammoth exercise to determine how South African population groups voted in Election'24,  leading polling company Victory Research overlaid SA's 2022 Census with voter returns from the 23 296 Voting Districts. The results delivered some surprises about the racial diversity of leading political parties. Victory's CEO, Gareth van Onselen, shared the findings with BizNews editor Alec Hogg.

As I discussed on my live show, on Tuesday night with Leith van Onselen, the RBA decided to hold the cash rate at 4.35%, but there were signs of a more hawkish tone from the meeting notes, and the subsequent press conference (which I might add is becoming less useful each time thanks to weak … Continue reading "Is A 5% Cash Rate For Australia On The Cards?"

This is an edited version of a live discussion, with Leith van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth, and co-founder of MacroBusiness. In this show we discussed the recent developments in the housing market, and how economics is playing into the current broken system. Governments are not being transparent about their motives, or their continued … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: The Housing Poker Game: With Leith van Onselen"

Bronwyn Williams & Gareth van Onselen | The Small Print In this episode, Bronwyn speaks to political analyst Gareth van Onselen. They discuss his recent essay, in which Gareth challenges the common and popular narrative that suggests declining youth registration and voting patterns in South Africa are best attributed to disillusionment rather than apathy. Essay Bronwyn Williams is a futurist, economist, trend analyst and host of The Small Print. Her day job as a partner at Flux Trends involves helping business leaders to use foresight to design the future they want to live and work in. You may have seen her talking about Transhumanism or Tikok on Carte Blanche, or heard her talking about trends on 702 or CNBC Africa where she is a regular expert commentator. When she's not talking to brands and businesses about the future, you will probably find her curled up somewhere with a (preferably paperback) book. She tweets at @bronwynwilliams. Twitter Flux Trends Website Gareth van Onselen is the CEO of Victory Research and the editor of Inside Politics. He studied at Wits University, obtaining a masters degree in sociology before entering the world of politics in 2001. Up until 2012, he worked for the Democratic Alliance in various different capacities, most of which involved communications and political analysis. Subsequently, he worked for the Sunday Times as a Senior Reporter and the Institute of Race Relations as Head of Politics before joining Victory Research. Twitter Victory Research Inside Politics Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

This is an edited version of my latest live discussion, with Leith van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth, and Co-Founder of Macrobusiness. We will dive into the latest in property, economics and politics, to try and make sense of what is happening. What’s the future trajectory of the markets? How will Albo’s announcables play … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Replay: Inside The Property Twilight Zone! With Leith van Onselen…"

Today's Daily Friend Show with Michael Morris, Sara Gon and Nicholas Lorimer. They discuss the myth of the youth disillusionment explored by Gareth van Onselen. They also discuss South Africa's foreign policy and Ekurhuleni council chaos. Subscribe on Google Podcasts · Subscribe on Apple Podcasts · Subscribe on Spotify · Website · Facebook · Instagram · Twitter