Podcasts about professor simon jackman

Data analyst Simon Jackman joins Democracy Sausage to chat about the polls, swing seats and how the global uncertainty is impacting this election. When did Labor's recovery start? How has uncertainty in the US influenced the framing of this election and left the Coalition vulnerable? And does this election cycle point to any changes in how the major parties operate? On this episode of Democracy Sausage, Professor Simon Jackman joins Professor Mark Kenny to talk about polling data and the AUS-US relationship. Join us Monday 28 April at Badger&Co on the ANU campus for a recording of Democracy Sausage in the pub. More information here: https://www.anu.edu.au/events/democracy-sausage-2025-live-election-special Simon Jackman is an independent data scientist and strategist. He is an Honorary Professor at the University of Sydney's United States Studies Centre and an elected fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia, and the Society for Political Methodology. Mark Kenny is the Director of the ANU Australian Studies Institute. He came to the University after a high-profile journalistic career including six years as chief political correspondent and national affairs editor for The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and The Canberra Times. Democracy Sausage with Mark Kenny is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocket Casts, Google Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. We'd love to hear your feedback on this series, so send in your questions, comments or suggestions for future episodes to democracysausage@anu.edu.au. This podcast is produced by The Australian National University. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On Saturday, October 14th, Australians head to the polls to decide the Voice to Parliament Referendum. In this episode, we're not looking at the referendum, but rather the polling around it. Plus, what makes referendum polling different to polling in a regular election. Our guest is Professor Simon Jackman from the University of Sydney. Professor Jackman has three decades of experience researching, teaching, and communicating about political science and data science in the United States and Australia. Until last year, Simon led the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney. Before that, he spent 20 years at Stanford University.  He is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in Australia, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Society for Political Methodology. Our host is Cynthia Huang, a PhD Candidate at Monash University in the Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

When will Prime Minister Scott Morrison call the election? And could this be the long-awaited campaign when women take the driver's seat? In the second episode of our new election podcast, Below the Line, our expert panel delve into the High Court's involvement in the election's timing and its likely impact on the Coalition vote. After we finished recording, the High Court confirmed the dismissal of the New South Wales Liberals' challenge to Morrison's hand-picked candidates. Then, picking up on the PM's claim this week that he overrode the local preselection process to “get more good women into parliament”, we take a deep dive into what role gender will play in the campaign. Jointly hosting the episode are award-winning broadcaster and Vice Chancellor's Fellow at the University of Melbourne, Jon Faine, and University of Sydney's Professor Simon Jackman. Joining them to talk about gender and politics is an all-female line-up of political scientists including regular panellists Associate Professor Andrea Carson from La Trobe University, Sydney University's Professor Anika Gauja and special guest Dr Jill Sheppard, a gender expert from the Australian National University. They look at why Australia is ranked just 50th in the world for female political representation, a drastic fall from 1999 when Australia was ranked 15th. After the March4Justice movement and with increasing numbers of female independent candidates campaigning, could we turn things around in 2022? Don't hold your breathe, said Jill Sheppard, who reminded us that voters might care more about petrol prices than gender parity. Below the Line is brought to you by The Conversation and La Trobe University twice weekly until polling day. It is produced by Courtney Carthy and Benjamin Clark. Image credit: Diego Fedele/AAP

The US Constitution mandates the president “shall from time to time give Congress information of the State of the Union”, which has now become an annual address from the sitting president. This is an opportunity for the president to make their case – celebrating successes so far and setting the policy trajectory for the year ahead. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi invited President Biden to give his first State of the Union Address on 1 March 2022. Facing dwindling poll numbers and an acrimoniously divided country, can President Biden's address win him much needed political capital ahead of the November 2022 midterm elections? How much will the Indo-Pacific or other foreign policy feature in his address? What should Australia listen out for? To discuss these issues before President Biden's address, the United States Studies Centre hosted a webinar event with USSC politics experts Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy David Smith, Non-Resident Senior Fellow Bruce Wolpe and Research Associate Victoria Cooper in conversation with CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

On the one-year anniversary of President Biden's inauguration, experts from the United States Studies Centre (USSC) will give their take on what to expect in US politics and policy in 2022. President Biden's supporters posit that, in passing the American Rescue Plan Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, he has already accomplished more first-year legislative wins than any president in generations. Yet amid questions of competence following the chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal, inflation rates the highest in decades, the prospect of the most significant changes in abortion law in nearly half a century, and ever-worsening poll numbers potentially foreshadowing a GOP takeover in the midterms, President Biden and the Democrats are undeniably on the defensive. What are the issues likely to dominate US politics and the midterm elections in 2022? What comes of the Biden administration's policy agenda if Republicans take back control of Congress? What issues should Australians keep an eye on? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar discussion with politics experts, Senior Lecturer in US Politics and Foreign Policy Dr Gorana Grgic, Non-Resident Senior Fellow Bruce Wolpe and Senior Research Fellow Jared Mondschein in conversation with CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney and the Perth USAsia Centre at The University of Western Australia hosted a conference for the launch of their joint publication, “State of the United States: An evolving alliance agenda”. The conference closed with a session featuring The Honourable Arthur Sinodinos AO, Australia’s Ambassador to the US (joining via Zoom from the United States) in conversation with Professor Simon Jackman, CEO of the United States Studies Centre and Professor Gordon Flake, CEO of the Perth USAsia Centre.

The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney and the Perth USAsia Centre at The University of Western Australia hosted a conference for the launch of their joint publication, “State of the United States: An evolving alliance agenda”. The opening session of the conference featured Ambassador Atul Keshap, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs (joining via Zoom from the United States) in conversation with Professor Simon Jackman, CEO of the United States Studies Centre and Professor Gordon Flake, CEO of the Perth USAsia Centre.

The 46th President of the United States has been inaugurated. Our regular Prof Peter Van Onselen is still away, so Hugh Riminton is joined again by Professor Simon Jackman, the CEO of the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney, to discuss the ceremony, Biden's first days in office, the question of how serious the incoming President will take his promises of action on climate change, and what now for Trump? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

President-elect Biden has made clear that his administration will be different than any before. He has also pledged his team will reflect the diversity of America and he is seeking known collaborators, rather than "a team of rivals" that President Obama famously referenced with his first Cabinet. Yet President-Elect Biden was elected by an exceedingly divided and polarised country and he will need to reconcile a number of factions, even within his own party. Will Biden’s Cabinet reflect his campaign promises? What does the proposed Biden Cabinet mean for Australia and its national priorities? What is the best approach for Australia to engage with new leadership in Washington? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event featuring USSC experts Dr Gorana Grgic, Dr Jennifer Hunt, Professor Simon Jackman and Bruce Wolpe.

We're back! Well not all of us. PVO is away on personal detail leaving us to employ the services of a stand in Prof. Hugh chats with the CEO of the United States Studies Centre, Professor Simon Jackman. With so much going on in the US at the moment, the topics came thick and fast - from the 25th amendment to the ramifications of impeachment. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It's been hard to turn on a TV, look up a news site or watch anything online recently that hasn't related to Donald Trump, Joe Biden or the United States Presidential Election.But as an island nation far removed from the drama of the Democrat vs Republican stoush, why should Australians care about who is the next President of the United States? In this episode of News Fix, Damien Haffenden is joined by 7NEWS U.S. correspondent Tim Lester, Sunrise foreign editor Dr Suter and CEO of the United States Studies Centre, Professor Simon Jackman. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It's been hard to turn on a TV, look up a news site or watch anything online recently that hasn't related to Donald Trump, Joe Biden or the United States Presidential Election.But as an island nation far removed from the drama of the Democrat vs Republican stoush, why should Australians care about who is the next President of the United States? In this episode of News Fix, Damien Haffenden is joined by 7NEWS U.S. correspondent Tim Lester, Sunrise foreign editor Dr Suter and CEO of the United States Studies Centre, Professor Simon Jackman. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

It’s been hard to turn on a TV, look up a news site or watch anything online recently that hasn’t related to Donald Trump, Joe Biden or the United States Presidential Election.But as an island nation far removed from the drama of the Democrat vs Republican stoush, why should Australians care about who is the next President of the United States? In this episode of News Fix, Damien Haffenden is joined by 7NEWS U.S. correspondent Tim Lester, Sunrise foreign editor Dr Suter and CEO of the United States Studies Centre, Professor Simon Jackman. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Every US general election carries implications for Australia. But as they say: this time, it’s different. To most casual observers, the trajectories of the United States under a second Trump administration or a Biden administration seem quite different, as do the implications for Australia. But what is really at stake for Australia? What policy arenas — or elements of politics, the economy, or culture and society of the United States — are likely to be impacted by either election outcome? Among these points of change or continuity, which are of relevance to Australians and Australia’s national interests? How might Australia best respond? To discuss these issues, the USSC hosted a webinar event to launch the United States Studies Centre’s seminal report for the 2020 presidential election: Red Book/Blue Book: An Australian guide to the next US administration. This event featured Centre experts Ashley Townshend, Director of Foreign Policy and Defence; Dr Stephen Kirchner, Director of Trade and Investment; Dr Charles Edel, Senior Fellow; and Dr Gorana Grgic, Lecturer in US Politics and Foreign Policy in a conversation with CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

2020 has thrown out the rule book for presidential election campaigning, tanked global economies, stoked international competition and suspicion and unleashed a hellish pandemic which has disrupted the whole world order. This will all culminate in a US presidential election which will likely be the most consequential in living memory, affecting the future course of America's democracy and the United States' role in the world for the next four years and beyond. What is the trajectory of American politics, power and prestige? How have the 2020 forces of disruption changed the future? What does this mean for Australia? To discuss these and other issues, please join us for a webinar event featuring Pulitzer prize-winning author and New York Times journalist Thomas Friedman in conversation with United States Studies Centre Non-resident Senior Fellow Bruce Wolpe and CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

With Biden leading Trump by large margins in national polls — and in many battleground state polls — many observers are looking “down ballot”, at elections for Congress and state governorships and legislatures. Might 2020 be a Blue Wave election, in which Democrats not only win the presidency, but retain control of the House of Representatives and even take the Senate? What does the latest analysis — of polls, voter registration data and campaign contributions — suggest about the outcomes of these hundreds of other important elections in November? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event featuring Managing Partner of GQR Anna Greenberg in conversation with United States Studies Centre’s CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

Security analysts today warn that domestic extremism in the United States poses as much risk today as it did in 1995, when the bombing of Federal government offices in Oklahoma City produced the most deadly domestic terrorist attack in US history. Military strategist and counter-insurgency expert David Kilcullen believes the risk of organised, civil violence in the United States in 2020 is far more widespread and potentially more dangerous than commonly thought. Potential triggers and grievances abound, ranging from coronavirus and its economic costs, protests against police violence and opportunistic looting and vandalism, counter-protests and waves of domestic and foreign disinformation, all set against the upcoming US elections. What are the historical parallels to the situation the United States finds itself in? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event featuring Dr David Kilcullen, author of the new book The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, in discussion with United States Studies Centre’s CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

By almost any measure, Americans across the country, and observers around the world, believe this is one of the most consequential and important US presidential elections in living memory. At the present time, President Trump is trailing Joe Biden, in head-to-head national polling and in critical swing states, including Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia and Arizona. The United States is struggling under the crisis of racial justice, the immense human toll inflicted by the coronavirus, and the devastating economic impact on the economy. Together, they may be driving a profound shift in voter sentiment and outlook. But President Trump is resolute, and his supporters remain as fervent as ever, and this could be the biggest decider in American elections when voter turnout is the greatest variable. Also, in a time when the economic downturn is hitting harder than in nearly a century, President Trump has higher marks in handling the economy than Joe Biden. Which factors will make the biggest difference? What is the candid view from inside the White House? Can Joe Biden sustain his favourable standing over the next four months? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event featuring Jonathan Swan, National Political Reporter at Axios in conversation with United States Studies Centre's Non-Resident Fellow Bruce Wolpe and CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

Globalisation has suffered at least three major setbacks in just over a decade. First, the global financial crisis reduced cross-border capital flows and then President Trump's trade war caught Australia's exports in the cross-fire. Now, the COVID-19 pandemic has closed borders around the world. As the pace of globalisation has slowed, so has productivity growth. What is the future of globalisation after COVID-19? In the wake of the pandemic, will policymakers prioritise re-establishing global connectivity or retreat into greater self-reliance and economic nationalism? How can public policy help build greater resilience to international shocks? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event with Professor Douglas Irwin from Dartmouth College and Dr Stephen Kirchner, Program Director Trade and Investment with the United States Studies Centre in conversation with CEO Professor Simon Jackman. Dr Kirchner also released his new USSC report Globalisation and Labour Productivity in the OECD: Implications for Post-Pandemic Recovery and Resilience.

COVID-19 is overwhelming some locations more than others. The United States and Australia are both free and open democratic countries with leading scientists but their experience with COVID-19 has been exceedingly different. Why are there currently so many more cases per capita in the United States than Australia? Is Australia likely to eventually follow the path of the United States? How do the powers of the US federal government to mitigate the spread of the virus differ from the powers of the Australian government? To discuss these issues, the United States Studies Centre held a webinar event featuring CEO Professor Simon Jackman in conversation with non-resident fellow and health policy expert Dr Lesley Russell.

We are on the precipice of the third presidential impeachment in United States history. No US president, however, has ever been removed from office. Will President Trump be the first? What impact will impeachment have on US policymaking? What are the lessons from past impeachments? How will impeachment affect US foreign policy in 2020 and what can US allies expect from the United States heading into next year's election? At this event, “Impeachment: The insider’s guide”, a compilation of analysis by US Studies Centre experts was launched. Panellists for the discussion included Professor Simon Jackman, Dr Charles Edel, Dr Gorana Grgic and Bruce Wolpe.

Professor Simon Jackman joins the podcast this week to discuss accusations of voter suppression in the United States, as well as his expert testimony in US court cases challenging so-called partisan gerrymandering. He also gives his verdict on President Trump's 2019 State of the Union address.

Donald Trump's nominee for the US Supreme Court Brett Kavanaugh has faced down mounting allegations of sexual misconduct from a growing list of women. After an emotional Senate appearance by him and one of his accusers, it's unclear whether he has the numbers to be confirmed. But if Kavanaugh is confirmed, it could have big implications for the Russia investigation. We're joined by Professor Simon Jackman from the US Studies Centre and Emma Shortis from RMIT University. If you want to get in touch or have a question you'd like us to answer our email is russia@abc.net.au

Donald Trump's nominee for the US Supreme Court Brett Kavanaugh has faced down mounting allegations of sexual misconduct from a growing list of women. After an emotional Senate appearance by him and one of his accusers, it's unclear whether he has the numbers to be confirmed. But if Kavanaugh is confirmed, it could have big implications for the Russia investigation. We're joined by Professor Simon Jackman from the US Studies Centre and Emma Shortis from RMIT University. If you want to get in touch or have a question you'd like us to answer our email is russia@abc.net.au

Donald Trump's nominee for the US Supreme Court Brett Kavanaugh has faced down mounting allegations of sexual misconduct from a growing list of women. After an emotional Senate appearance by him and one of his accusers, it's unclear whether he has the numbers to be confirmed. But if Kavanaugh is confirmed, it could have big implications for the Russia investigation. We're joined by Professor Simon Jackman from the US Studies Centre and Emma Shortis from RMIT University. If you want to get in touch or have a question you'd like us to answer our email is russia@abc.net.au

Six months into his presidency, Barack Obama is facing the first major legislative test of his administration: the passing of his reforming health care bill, with a potentially massive impact on spending. If Obama doesn't succeed on this key legislation, his entire reform agenda and his presidency will be fundamentally diminished. Australian-born Professor Simon Jackman, based at Stanford University in California, is currently a visiting professor at the United States Study Centre at the University of Sydney, from where he discussed Obama's prospects as a reformist legislator via iChat with Peter Clarke.

Six months into his presidency, Barack Obama is facing the first major legislative test of his administration: the passing of his reforming health care bill, with a potentially massive impact on spending. If Obama doesn't succeed on this key legislation, his entire reform agenda and his presidency will be fundamentally diminished. Australian-born Professor Simon Jackman, based at Stanford University in California, is currently a visiting professor at the United States Study Centre at the University of Sydney, from where he discussed Obama's prospects as a reformist legislator via iChat with Peter Clarke.