Podcast appearances and mentions of David Kilcullen

How did the rebels manage to topple Bashar al-Assad’s regime so quickly? How inclusive will any new government realistically be? Who in the region wins and who loses? Andrew Mueller speaks with Syrian-born writer Rime Allaf, counter-insurgency expert David Kilcullen, Middle East security analyst Burcu Ozcelik and Russia expert Mark Galeotti. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, CDR Paul Grostad discusses the emerging threat of cognitive warfare, emphasizing the importance of information in modern societies and the potential for it to be weaponized. Until recently, Paul led Cognitive Warfare concept development for the NATO strategic warfare development command, HQ SACT, in Norfolk Virginia. NATO defines cognitive warfare as: the deliberate, synchronized military and non-military activities throughout the continuum of competition designed to shape the information environments and affect audience, attitudes, perceptions, and behaviors to gain, maintain, and protect cognitive superiority. Recording Date: 29 Nov 2024 Research Question: Paul Groestad suggests an interested student or researcher examine:  How can we ethically gain situational awareness and monitor the Information Environment without negatively impacting values like freedom of speech and freedom of the press? How can we effectively deter against non-attributable hostile acts in the Grey Zone, or below the threshold of armed conflict? AI powered influence is on the rise, what are different ways to utilize AI to defend, counter or respond? Resources: Cognitive Crucible Podcast Episodes Mentioned #33 August Cole on FICINT and the Cognitive Warfighting Domain #180 Tanna Krewson on Cognitive Warfare Cognitive Warfare Products on the NATO Innovation Hub Cognitive warfare: a conceptual analysis of the NATO ACT cognitive warfare exploratory concept by Christoph Deppe and Gary S Schaal. (FYI: This report is an analysis of an earlier draft version of The Cognitive Warfare EXPLORATORY Concept, which was shared with nations for comments in April 2023. Significant review, analysis and experimentation has gone into the document since then.) Allied Command Transformation develops the Cognitive Warfare Concept to Combat Disinformation and Defend Against “Cognitive Warfare” “Data is the new oil” Clive Humby On Geopolitics: New Cold Wars by David Sanger (2024) On the changing character of warfare: The Dragons and the Snakes by David Kilcullen (2020) New Rules of War by Sean McFate The Weaponisation of Everything by Mark Galeotti (2022) On Russian Strategic Culture and Information Warfare: The Russian Understanding of War by Oscar Jonsson (2019) Unmasking Maskirovka by Daniel Bagge (2019) The Story of Russia by Orlando Figes (2022) On Technology: Our Next Reality by Alvin Graylin and Louis Rosenberg (2024) The Battle for your Brain by Nita Farahany (2023) Snow Crash by Neal Stephenson (1992) Daemon by Daniel Suarez (2009) Link to full show notes and resources Guest Bio:  CDR Paul Groestad is a Norwegian naval officer with 30+ years experience in Signals, C4ISR, Cyber Operations and Information Warfare at all levels of the Norwegian Armed Forces and the NATO Command Structure. His current position is with the Norwegian Ministry of Defense at the Department for Security Policy and Operations where he is desk officer for Hybrid threats and Malign Influence.  In his previous position at NATOs Warfare Development Command, HQ SACT in Norfolk, Virginia, USA, he was the Deputy Branch Head for Concept Development and led the project for NATOs Cognitive Warfare Concept. He is a graduate of the Norwegian Naval Academy and Joint Command and Staff College, holds a Masters degree in Military Art and Science from the Norwegian Defence University College and a Bachelor's degree in Information Science from the University of Bergen.  His 2017 Master's thesis was on the topic of Russian Influence Operations. About: The Information Professionals Association (IPA) is a non-profit organization dedicated to exploring the role of information activities, such as influence and cognitive security, within the national security sector and helping to bridge the divide between operations and research. Its goal is to increase interdisciplinary collaboration between scholars and practitioners and policymakers with an interest in this domain. For more information, please contact us at communications@information-professionals.org. Or, connect directly with The Cognitive Crucible podcast host, John Bicknell, on LinkedIn. Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate, 1) IPA earns from qualifying purchases, 2) IPA gets commissions for purchases made through links in this post.

In this episode of the Contested Ground podcast, Phil Tarrant and Major General (Ret'd) Dr Marcus Thompson are joined by Dr David Kilcullen, former diplomat and Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency senior research scientist, to discuss the moving evolution of conflict, tactics and military technology. The trio begin by discussing elements of complex warfare, how predictions change over time and the differences in warfare over the last 25 years. They also discuss the tactics and technologies of past and current conflicts, including those in use in Europe and the Middle East. Finally, they discuss the nature of resilience, innovation and technological expertise in current soldiery within defence forces and greater society. Enjoy the podcast, The Contested Ground team

In this episode of the Contested Ground podcast, Phil Tarrant and Major General (Ret'd) Dr Marcus Thompson are joined by Dr David Kilcullen, former diplomat and Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency senior research scientist, to discuss the moving evolution of conflict, tactics and military technology. The trio begin by discussing elements of complex warfare, how predictions change over time and the differences in warfare over the last 25 years. They also discuss the tactics and technologies of past and current conflicts, including those in use in Europe and the Middle East. Finally, they discuss the nature of resilience, innovation and technological expertise in current soldiery within defence forces and greater society. Enjoy the podcast, The Contested Ground team

In this episode, we review David Kilcullen's latest book, The Dragons and the Snakes, which addresses how the empire's enemies have learned to fight it and win.In the first section, Kilcullen identifies the evolutionary process that has produced the surviving configuration of America's enemies after 20 years of the GWOT. He discusses how these actors have been shaped by the present technological and cultural terrain — and especially how they have learned to draw power from global-scale economic and cultural power flows without making themselves a global-scale military threat that justifies American intervention.In the second section, he describes the process of vertical escalation, in which a weaker actor can calibrate its aggressive action to stay below a stronger enemy's threshold of detection, attribution, or response — especially as practiced by Putin's Russia.The Russians' conventional military has been gutted by the shock therapy and corruption of the post-Soviet collapse, but they still have nuclear weapons and a very effective intelligence service — so they have learned to calibrate their conflict with the West to make best use of their peer capabilities, while avoiding a conventional war.He also describes how both the Russians and Americans use deniable methods (“election interference”, color revolutions, migrant warfare, etc.) to sow confusion and exploit internal divisions in their enemies' political systems.Next, Kilcullen outlines the Chinese adoption of horizontal escalation as described in Unrestricted Warfare — in which a weaker actor fights in domains that their stronger opponent does not recognize as military, and may not even perceive as hostile.This method of warfare is also described as a “conceptual envelopment”, because the weaker opponent holds the stronger enemy to a standoff in the conventional military domain (in China's case, building credible radars, AA systems, hypersonics, etc. in the South China Sea), but they conduct their real advance on the conceptual “flank” — in this case, buying strategically significant real estate and politicians, replacing Western manufacturing, encouraging mass third-world migration, and dumping fentanyl in the American heartland.As with a conventional flanking maneuver, the goal is to roll the enemy up from the rear, and only push through the front when the battle is effectively over.Kilcullen then suggests some possible ways that the empire might arrest or reverse its decline — but a radical renegotiation of American hegemony looks all but inevitable. We discuss what that might mean for us as ordinary citizens, and as targets of the regime's hostility.The good news is that the most important preparation for what is coming is having useful friends you can trust — and making them is 100% legal. Join us at exitgroup.us.

In this archive discussion from 2020, David Kilcullen, former soldier, diplomat, and senior counterinsurgency adviser for the US during the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, explains the nature of past Western interventions and the guerrilla warfare resistance that has followed. He joined Carl Miller, Research Director at the Centre for the Analysis of Social Media at the think tank Demos, to discuss his book: The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West. We are sponsored by Indeed. Go to Indeed.com/IS for £100 sponsored credit. This is the second instalment of a two-part conversation. If you'd like to become a Member and get access to all of our longer form interviews and Members-only content, just visit intelligencesquared.com/membership to find out more. For £4.99 per month you'll also receive: - Full-length and ad-free Intelligence Squared episodes, wherever you get your podcasts - Bonus Intelligence Squared podcasts, curated feeds and members exclusive series - 15% discount on livestreams and in-person tickets for all Intelligence Squared events - Our member-only newsletter The Monthly Read, sent straight to your inbox ... Or Subscribe on Apple for £4.99: - Full-length and ad-free Intelligence Squared podcasts - Bonus Intelligence Squared podcasts, curated feeds and members exclusive series ... Already a subscriber? Thank you for supporting our mission to foster honest debate and compelling conversations! Visit intelligencesquared.com to explore all your benefits including ad-free podcasts, exclusive bonus content and early access. ... Subscribe to our newsletter here to hear about our latest events, discounts and much more. https://www.intelligencesquared.com/newsletter-signup/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Recorded in early September 2023,  this episode continues our futures mini-series, where we speak with Dr Ian Langford and Professor David Killcullen about the future of war in the Indo-Pacific region. In this episode we will be getting a download on what the change in geopolitics in the Indo-Pacific means for Australia, and how that might impact choices relating to technology, acquisitions and their subsequent use and regulation; as well as discussing what the future of proxy warfare and modern counterinsurgency might look like.Dr Ian Langford, DSC and Bars, is a member of a member of UNSW's Future Operations Research Group and is a strategic adviser with UBH Group, a leading Sovereign Information Domain (SID) company. Dr Langford is a regular contributor to the Australian Army Research Centre, and in addition to being a Distinguished Graduate of the United States Marine Corps Command and Staff College and the School of Advanced Warfighting, he has recently retired from the Australian Army as a Brigadier where he filled multiple senior roles including – relevant to our discussion today – as the Army's Director General of Future Land Warfare and the Head of Land Capability.Dr David Kilcullen is a former soldier and diplomat, and a scholar of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanisation and the future of conflict, who served 25 years for the Australian and United States governments. During the Iraq War, he served in Baghdad as a member of the Joint Strategic Assessment Team, then as Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor, Multi-National Force Iraq in 2007, before becoming Special Advisor for Counterinsurgency to U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on counterinsurgency; and in addition to holding senior academic roles across a number of institutions, he has written six books on counterinsurgency.Additional resources:-  Australian Defence Strategic Review- USMC Stand-In Force Concept- UK Future Commando Force Concept

Be sure to visit the Irregular Warfare Initiative website to see all of the new articles, podcast episodes, and other content the IWI team is producing! In what ways do irregular warfare and counterinsurgency overlap? Is China engaged in irregular warfare against its adversaries? What are some of the failures of the wars and conflicts of the last twenty years and why did they occur? What do IW practitioners need to do to avoid the mistakes and to ensure they learn the hard-won lessons of the last twenty years in IW and COIN? This episode explores these deeply important questions and features a conversation with two of the leading experts on the subject: David Kilcullen and John Nagl. Intro music: "Unsilenced" by Ketsa Outro music: "Launch" by Ketsa CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

Join The Voices Of War exclusive community by subscribing today. Connect our private feed with your favourite pod-catcher at https://thevoicesofwar.supercast.com/ As a former refugee and migrant, I can appreciate that even a few dollars per month might be too much to spare on a podcast. If you are in this situation and cannot afford a subscription, please email me as I have an alternate solution for you. Any universities or other educational establishments need only email me and I will share the full file with them of any episodes they wish to use. --- My guest today is Dr David Kilcullen, who is a renowned military strategist, scholar, and former soldier and diplomat who has served both the Australian and United States governments for three decades now. He is an expert in the fields of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanisation, and the future of conflict.    David has authored several influential books, including ‘The Accidental Guerrilla', ‘Counterinsurgency', ‘Out of the Mountains', ‘The Dragons and Snakes: How the Rest Leant to Fight the West' and ‘The Ledger: Accounting for Failure in Afghanistan'. He has been named one of Foreign Policy's Top 100 Global Thinkers and has won numerous awards for his writing. His work is widely used by policymakers, the military, intelligence services, and development agencies around the world.    Some of the topics we discussed are: ·      David's background, military life, and journey into academia ·      Analysis of the fall of Kabul and the current situation in Afghanistan ·      Reflection on the power and influence of elites in the US and how their pursuit of selfish interests affects geopolitics ·      Competing partisan narratives in the US and their impact on global politics ·      Lack of accountability for the failures in Afghanistan and Iraq and its impact ·      Working towards preventing a potential war between the US and China as a national priority for Australia ·      Discussion on the likelihood and impact of a hot war between the US and China ·      Analysis of what the US-China contest is actually about ·      A discussion on the winners and losers in the 20th century ·      Reflection on Iraq as a pivotal moment for US global dominance ·      Loss of Western moral legitimacy and its impact ·      Australia's position in a potential US-China conflict ·      Reflection on the recently announced Australian Defence Strategic Review ·      How Taiwan perceives China and how this shapes its strategic narrative ·      Reflection on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, its origins, and potential outcomes ·      China's attempt to mediate between Ukraine and Russia, as well as Iran and Saudi Arabia ·      How social media undermines conflict discourse and stifles dialogue due to parallel realities ·      The importance of national sovereignty, industry, resilience, and sustainability ·      Discussion on the fact that increased sovereignty would impact the current standard of living and national wealth ·      Impact of the collapse of confidence in experts, institutions, and the political elite in the West ·      Reflection on the ongoing domestic tensions in the US and the risks associated with the 2024 presidential election ·      Dave's two key risks for the immediate future—ongoing erosion of civil liberties in the West and a weaponised pandemic

The environment and the climate are factors in every conflict; the changing of the seasons has been arguably decisive on many occasions. How have militaries learned to adapt? How can those lessons be applied to conditions that may be changing beyond recognition? And can we stop climate wars from being fought? Andrew Mueller speaks to Sherri Goodman, Jasper Humphreys and Dr David Kilcullen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Russia's waging of war in Ukraine brings back to Europe scenes of aggression and devastation not seen there for decades. It's one of the many instances of warfare in the late 20th and early 21st centuries, deploying both traditional and thoroughly modern weapons. David Kilcullen is a former soldier and diplomat, a strategist, counterinsurgency expert and author whose books include The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West and The Ledger: Accounting for Failure in Afghanistan (co-authored with Greg Mills). He sits down with Toby Manhire to discuss current conflicts in the complex global arena – reflecting both back and forwards on how we got to this, what's happening at the front and behind the scenes, and how tensions might play out in the coming months and years. Supported by Te Ope Kātua o Aotearoa / New Zealand Defence Force. AUCKLAND WRITERS FESTIVAL, WAITUHI O TĀMAKI SATURDAY 27 AUGUST – 11.00AM-12.00PM KIRI TE KANAWA THEATRE, AOTEA CENTRE

✨ DEBRIEF ✨ | Unpacking the Episode: https://shows.banklesshq.com/p/debrief-demetri  ------ Demetri Kofinas is a digital entrepreneur and host of the Hidden Forces Podcast, one of our favorites.  Demetri has a broad perspective on geopolitics, which we explore as we discuss the probability of a World War 3, diplomacy among superpowers, and surviving the rise of the machines. Have we lost the ability to solve hard problems as a species?  ------

This month will mark a year since the Taliban takeover of Kabul in August 2021 and the chaotic withdrawal of western forces from Afghanistan. In this archive discussion from 2020, we discuss the nature of past Western interventions and the guerrilla warfare resistance that has followed with David Kilcullen, former soldier, diplomat, and senior counterinsurgency adviser for the US during the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. He joined Carl Miller, Research Director at the Centre for the Analysis of Social Media at the think tank Demos, to discuss his book: The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Almost a year after US troops began withdrawing from Afgahanistan, Kathryn speaks with counterinsurgency expert David Kilcullen.

Highlights:     “The Financial Times argues that we may indeed be seeing  something akin to what counter-insurgency expert Dr. David Kilcullen predicts could break out in terms of a civil war here in the States .” “We are definitely seeing a recalibration of our political parties around something akin to Michel Maffesoli's notion of neo-tribalism. And  that of course, as far as this Financial Times article is concerned as well as some other assessments  out there, that tribalized, balkanized recalibration of our politics is the potential precursor of a  possible civil war breaking out in our nation.”“If we as a nation embrace the civic nationalism of President Trump, overwhelmingly so, then we should have a very stable and prosperous and flourishing future. However, if the leftist cultural Marxist persuades enough people to embrace balkanizing  around racial and regional identities, then we shouldn't be surprised if a cross between  Yugoslavia and Colombia manifests itself here.”Timestamps:      [02:05] On the Financial Times' article if America is heading toward civil war[05:14]  What the Financial Times got right and [07:54] What they got wrong in their assessment and what it means for the future of our nationResources:  Get your own MyPillow here. Enter my code TURLEY at checkout to get a DISCOUNT: https://www.mypillow.com/turleySupport this channel. Get Your Brand-New PATRIOT T-Shirts and Merch Here: https://store.turleytalks.com/Ep. 601 Why PATRIOT MILITIAS Are SURGING!!!It's time to CHANGE AMERICA and Here's YOUR OPPORTUNITY To Do Just That! https://change.turleytalks.com/PatriotSwitch.comBecome a Turley Talks Insiders Club Member and get your first week FREE!!: https://insidersclub.turleytalks.com/welcomeFight Back Against Big Tech Censorship! Sign-up here to discover Dr. Steve's different social media options …. but without censorship! https://www.turleytalks.com/en/alternative-media.com Thank you for taking the time to listen to this episode.  If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and/or leave a review.Do you want to be a part of the podcast and be our sponsor? Click here to partner with us and defy liberal culture!If you would like to get lots of articles on conservative trends make sure to sign-up for the 'New Conservative Age Rising' Email Alerts. 

In this episode of ASPI's Bigger Picture series, Peter Jennings speaks to Dr David Kilcullen, Professor of International and Political Studies at UNSWCanberra. They discuss the global implications of the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the state of Afghanistan since the withdrawal of international forces, and the future of Australia's defence capability versus meeting its current short-term demands. Dr David Kilcullen is a former soldier and diplomat, and a scholar of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanisation and the future of conflict, who served 25 years for the Australian and United States governments. Guests (in order of appearance): Peter Jennings: www.aspi.org.au/bio/peter-jennings Dr David Kilcullen: https://www.unsw.adfa.edu.au/david-kilcullen

For day three of The Realignment's near-daily Ukraine coverage, Marshall spoke with Dr. David Kilcullen, a theorist and practitioner of guerilla and unconventional warfare. They cover the present state of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and whether the conflict could transition into a drawn-out war of resistance/insurgency. Dr. Kilcullen's perspective is drawn from a 25-year career in the Australian Army and postings to the U.S. Defense and State Departments during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. He is a professor at Arizona State University and the University of New South Wales and the author of The Dragon and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, The Ledger: Accounting for Failure in Afghanistan, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerilla, Counterinsurgency, and The Accidental Guerilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One. SUPPORT/SEND US A TIP: https://buy.stripe.com/bIYdRx0gc6qjaEEcMM REALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/ BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignment

BEST OF: David Kilcullen - The Taliban's swift capture of Kabul means that it now controls Afghanistan – how did they do it, and why didn't any of the experts see it coming? This is a longer version of today's interview with counterinsurgency expert, Dr David Kilcullen. His latest book is The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Plus, Dr David Kilcullen and Dr Greg Mills on why the West failed in Afghanistan, and Politicians' Picks - Chris Bowen, Hollie Hughes and Zali Steggall join us with their recommendations for reading, watching and listening this summer.

The last 20 years of GWOT and counter-insurgency has dramatically shaped today's force. Dr. David Kilcullen has been at the forefront of those shaping policies and strategies. Dr. Kilcullen joins the hosts of SOFcast to discuss how the lessons learned from GWOT (the good and the bad) will be applied to the future of SOF and where those lessons fit in Strategic Competition. Dr. David Kilcullen is the former senior counter-insurgency advisor to General David Patreus and former Chief Strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism at the US State Department. He's also the author of The Accidental Guerrilla, Counterinsurgency, Out of the Mountains, Blood Year, and The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West

On COI #166, Scott Spaulding – host of Why I'm Antiwar – returns to the show for the third installment of the 'Villains of the Afghan War' series. Scott breaks down the role of David Kilcullen, the godfather of counterinsurgency under the Bush administration. Kilcullen found himself in a high-ranking position that he exploited to push his own COIN policy. While his approach failed and the Afghan War ended in disaster, Kilcullen is still named as an expert and continues to profit off the military-industrial complex.  Scott discusses USAID official James Derleth's part in the Afghan nation-building effort. Derleth forced American soldiers to ask Afghan citizens questions and fill out forms. The information was useless – but worse, it put US soldiers in danger. He is now a professor who recently spoke at the prestigious West Point military academy.  Scott also takes aim at Paul Sommers and Ryan Brewster. While working for the USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service, the two headed a project that sought to use American soldiers to teach Afghans new farming techniques. However, the Afghans already knew how to farm and the US war had simply made it impossible to grow the fruit trees Sommers planned. In the end, Sommers and Brewster netted no improvement for average Afghans and racked up an expensive tab for American taxpayers in the process. Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash Qp6gznu4xm97cj7j9vqepqxcfuctq2exvvqu7aamz6 Patreon Subscribe Star YouTube Facebook  Twitter  MeWe Apple Podcast  Amazon Music Google Podcasts Spotify iHeart Radio Support Our Sponsor Visit Paloma Verde and use code PEACE for 25% off our CBD

On COI #166, Scott Spaulding – host of Why I'm Antiwar – returns to the show for the third installment of the 'Villains of the Afghan War' series. Scott breaks down the role of David Kilcullen, the godfather of counterinsurgency under the Bush administration. Kilcullen found himself in a high-ranking position that he exploited to push his own COIN policy. While his approach failed and the Afghan War ended in disaster, Kilcullen is still named as an expert and continues to profit off the military-industrial complex.  Scott discusses USAID official James Derleth's part in the Afghan nation-building effort. Derleth forced American soldiers to ask Afghan citizens questions and fill out forms. The information was useless – but worse, it put US soldiers in danger. He is now a professor who recently spoke at the prestigious West Point military academy.  Scott also takes aim at Paul Sommers and Ryan Brewster. While working for the USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service, the two headed a project that sought to use American soldiers to teach Afghans new farming techniques. However, the Afghans already knew how to farm and the US war had simply made it impossible to grow the fruit trees Sommers planned. In the end, Sommers and Brewster netted no improvement for average Afghans and racked up an expensive tab for American taxpayers in the process. Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash Qp6gznu4xm97cj7j9vqepqxcfuctq2exvvqu7aamz6 Patreon Subscribe Star YouTube Facebook  Twitter  MeWe Apple Podcast  Amazon Music Google Podcasts Spotify iHeart Radio Support Our Sponsor Visit Paloma Verde and use code PEACE for 25% off our CBD

As the US commemorates the 20th anniversary of the September 11 attacks, the Taliban are back in power in Afghanistan. How has the threat of terrorism changed in the two decades since the beginning of the War on Terror? Andrew Mueller speaks to Nathan Sales, David Kilcullen and Farah Pandith. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Between 2001 and 2019, two million men and women from abroad served in Afghanistan, and more than $2 trillion was expended, an extraordinary, once-in-a-generation commitment of resources to a poor country, a staggering opportunity cost. The Western withdrawal from Afghanistan, set to be complete by September 11 2021, has gone hand-in-hand with a narrative of defeat, repeated so often it's in danger of becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy, one damaging to Western moral authority and the value of its alliance. Dr Greg Mills is joined in conversation with Rory Stewart, Former Secretary of State for International Development of the United Kingdom and Yale University Fellow, and Dr David Kilcullen, author, strategist, and counterinsurgency expert, as they discuss what the future might hold for the people of Afghanistan. Join the conversation on: Twitter - @BrenthurstF / Facebook - @BrenthurstFoundation / Instagram - @brenthurstfoundation

Twenty years of American-led intervention in Afghanistan ended in chaos last weekend after the Taliban retook Kabul in the face of minimal resistance. Why did Afghanistan's expensively trained army melt away so quickly? Where does this leave Afghan civilians? And will this Taliban rule be any different from the previous regime of the 1990s? Andrew Mueller speaks to a woman in Afghanistan as well as Fazelminallah Qazizai, David Kilcullen, Jackie Northam and Haroun Rahimi. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Taliban's swift capture of Kabul means that it now controls Afghanistan – how did they do it, and why didn't any of the experts see it coming? This is a longer version of today's interview with counterinsurgency expert, Dr David Kilcullen. His latest book is 'The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West'. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

For some months, comedian Sami Shah has maintained a fierce vendetta against the state of Queensland... until now. And that's not the only deeply-held view this freshly-vaccinated comedian is about to reverse. Also, counterinsurgency expert Dr David Kilcullen explains how the Taliban won – a 30-minute version of that interview can be found in a special episode that's also out today. Plus, Charles ponders gourmet takeaway, and it's Review Reading Friday. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Since the withdrawal of US and allied troops from Afghanistan, the Taliban's military offensive across the country has seen the group capture a number of provincial capitals over the past week, including Afghanistan's third largest city, Herat. Anastasia Kapetas speaks to counterinsurgency expert Dr David Kilcullen about the future of governance in Afghanistan. They also discuss the geopolitics of the region, including China and Pakistan's interests, and how the United States could respond as the Taliban continues to advance toward the capital. Earlier this week, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its Sixth Assessment Report. The report found that the world is likely to hit 1.5 degrees of warming by 2030 if we continue on our current trajectory. Dr Robert Glasser speaks to one of the report's contributing authors Professor Mark Howden about the report's findings, climate risks for Australia and the policy responses required to address this global challenge. Mentioned in this episode: IPCC Sixth Assessment Report: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ Guests in this episode (in order of appearance): Anastasia Kapetas: https://www.aspi.org.au/bio/anastasia-kapetas Dr David Kilcullen: https://www.unsw.adfa.edu.au/david-kilcullen Dr Robert Glasser: https://www.aspi.org.au/bio/robert-glasser Professor Mark Howden: https://iceds.anu.edu.au/people/academics/professor-mark-howden

With the final US and NATO soldiers expected to be out of Afghanistan by the end of this month, an emboldened Taliban has turned its guns on key provincial capitals, after having taken control of much of the countryside and key border crossings.

David Kilcullen is one of the world's foremost counterinsurgency experts and is the author of the books The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla, Blood Year: The Unraveling of Western Counterterrorism, and Counterinsurgency.  David Kilcullen served in the Australian military for more than 20 years before being recruited as the Chief Strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism for the U.S. State Department. He also served as the Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and as an advisor to General David Petraeus. He was a counterinsurgency adviser to NATO and the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan.   As the President and CEO of the research and development firm Cordillera Applications Group, he continues to advise private companies and governments around the globe.   On this episode, Jack and David discuss writing, warfare, the realities of counterinsurgency, and more. Presented by SIG Sauer. Featured Gear and Books : From David Kilcullen: The Dragons and the Snakes Counterinsurgency Blood Year Out of the Mountains  The Accidental Guerrilla  Rise and Kill First  Counterinsurgency Field Manual  Unrestricted Warfare  Black Moleskin Notebook Kelly Slaten Pen Today's show is also brought to you by Organifi. Go to https://organifi.com/dangerclose for 20% off.

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I detta avsnitt av din lokala Göteborgspodd samtalar vi om den anrika och traditionsenliga korruptionen i Muteborg, nedskärningar i kollektivtrafiken och Demokraternas förslag om att införa ett skönhetsråd i Göteborg. Dessutom lyssnar vi på invigningen av den nya Hisingsbron. Stöd Allt åt alla Göteborg på Patreon! Allt åt alla Göteborg på sociala medierFacebook: Allt åt […]

I dagens kulturpodd pratar vi om inspirationsföreläsningar, att allt är cancelkultur och att Gift vid första ögonkastet är populärt för att att alla hatar Algoritmen. Stötta Allt åt alla på Patreon:Allt åt alla GöteborgAllt åt alla Malmö Följ Radio åt alla på sociala medier:Instagram: radio_at_allaTwitter: radio_at_alla

Detta avsnitt kommer från Radio åt allas livesända 1 maj-firande. Serierna Välkommen till Malmö och Vad händer, GBG slår sina kloka huvuden ihop för att ta sig an frågan om platsmarknadsföring. Varför byggs det enorma älgar, muminland, linbanor, och kinesiska kulturcenter runt om i landets kommuner, och varför är egentligen Malmö parkernas-, och Göteborg evenemangens […]

Soldier-scholar David Kilcullen is Australia's most influential contemporary military strategist. A former adviser to General Petraeus and former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, his new book, The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, examines the complex new world of modern warfare, featuring the state competitor “dragons” and the non-state guerrilla and terrorist players, the “snakes.” A remarkable synthesis of three decades of military and political history, this expert analysis of the new nature of conflict is as illuminating as it is disturbing. Chaired by Rick Sarre

Ever since Boko Haram abducted 276 schoolgirls in Chibok in northeastern Nigeria in 2014, other groups have copied their tactics. Some 800 students have been taken from Nigerian schools since December, including 30 from a college in Kaduna last week. Who are the kidnappers? Are they criminals or terrorists – or both? And how can they be stopped? Andrew Mueller asks Chika Oduah, Nnamdi Obasi and David Kilcullen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today we interview journalist Tim Shorrock to talk to us about privatized military intelligence, US counter-insurgency methods and his article in The Baffler called Making COIN: The Modern History of an Unstoppable Bad IdeaExamples of COINTim talks about his Cold-War upbringing in Japan and Korea during the aftermath of World War II, the Korean war and through Vietnam, explaining how it gave him an honest “introduction to American politics and American foreign policy” which led him to a career in freelance journalism with a focus on Asian Studies.Show Notes4:25-8:15Private companies are profiting at every level from military spending. In recent years we have seen an unprecedented merging of the military and private finance, “the integration of national security and business.”“The privatizing of intelligence took off in the 1990’s.”The Peace DividendFollowing the Cold War, as austerity and neoliberal budget-cuts were implemented, a wave of people previously employed in intelligence went on to work in the private sector with government contractors.In the latter years of the Clinton administration, we began to see an increase of private military contractors being used to collect intelligence in places like Bosnia and Serbia.Tim explains that after 9/11, under the false pretense of national security, billions were spent on increased military budgets, making contractors “essential parts of US military and intelligence operations”. As the Bush doctrine continued, the Washington consensus increasingly encouraged “the contracting of strategic operations.”8:15-13:05COINCounter-insurgency methods of the US:  “the people become the enemy.”Tim illustrates how a Vietnamese uprising against the US backed Diem dictatorship resulted in massive gains for the National Liberation Front (Viet Cong) and how the liberal Kennedy administration’s “hearts and minds” approach, cloaked in the language of evil, only made the violence worse: “part of the idea began to be to separate the people from the guerillas and they would build these camps for the villagers that became, essentially, concentration camps (strategic hamlets)”Many of these violent counter-insurgency methods being used by the Americans were inherited from British Imperialists who had developed these strategies in earlier suppression campaigns against Communists in Malaya in the 1950’s. Related: Listen to our interview with Stuart Schrader on the History of the Modern Police13:05 - 19:26In the first year of the Obama administration, they tried the “hearts and minds” strategy in Afghanistan. “When McMaster was a General in Iraq, he got key press from liberals”The US and their personally-picked government provides neoliberal and privatized “social services”American contractors never built the project that they were supposed to build.Inspector General nominated by congress in regards to contractors. That group has done multiple reports about corruption. “Counter-insurgency is a form of warfare where you adopt various economic and political programs in addition to going after and killing people”. 19:26 – 24:46David Kilcullen’s used to work for Australian special forces. He assisted in the “Jakarta Method” and the death squads Suharto dictatorship in Indonesia. Kilcullen’s called the death squads “armed social work.” He advocated for “global counter-insurgency” (massive death squads of people opposing US corporate theft)Counter-insurgency is death squads under the larger guise of “winning the hearts and minds.”Michelle Flournoy saw counter-insurgency as, “a way that Democrats can be tough, and be hawkish and look smart.”Just another form of warfare. 25:36-29:00Mehdi Hassan from the Intercepted had David Kilcullen on as a guest within the last year. 29:00-34:32The intercept sent the original document to the NSA which got her caught.David Kilcullen’s private contract in Iraq. Tim received leaked documents from Caerus Global Solutions. Kilcullen even wrote the civilian training manual the USAID gives out to civilians. 34:32-38:54Tim confronted Kilcullen in an event. His company is under investigation for the security clearances. Kilcullen’s “100-year war” The Cold-War notion of the “third way” of being non-communist and non-colonial but it always has failed. They put together death squads in Iraq and these were the same people who did the death squads in El Salvador. Read about El Mozote38:54 - 42:27The Death Squads in El Salvador killed 10s of thousands. The real opposition comes from the more conservative people.“We are not into nation-building” is a code word for counter-insurgency.42:43-48:01History of US intervention in Korea.Myths and lies about the US role in the Korean war. How the US dissolved the people’s committee. 48:01-53:00“South Korea, until the late 1980’s, was an authoritarian police state. I was there under this general who took over, Chun Doo-hwah, and it was a scary place. A very repressive place, it was a police state.”“They fought against US backed dictators that held them back for years”. Koreans were being tortured by a US allied regime. The uprising of 1987 only happened after the “death by water torture of a south Korean student” led a mass of Koreans to take to the streets and demand independence from US influence.  The legacy of US counter-insurgency continues in Korea. For example, South Korea’s draconian National Security Law that has been used to silent dissenters even to this day. 53:00-58:00The change in South Korea and their vibrant Democracy.To learn more, visit Tim’s website timshorrock.com Get full access to Historic.ly at historicly.substack.com/subscribe

Start your day the right way, with a stimulating discussion of the latest news headlines and hot button topics from The Advertiser and Sunday Mail. Today, hear from David Kilcullen from the University of NSW, Hannah Critchlow from the University of Cambridge and journalist and broadcaster Laura Tingle. David Kilcullen David Kilcullen is a professor in the School of Humanities and Social Sciences of the University of New South Wales, and a professor of practice in global security at Arizona State University. Dr Kilcullen is also the author of the highly acclaimed The Accidental Guerrilla, Out of the Mountains, and Blood Year. Hannah Critchlow Hannah Critchlow is the Science Outreach Fellow at Magdalene College, University of Cambridge, and has been named a Top 100 UK Scientist by the Science Council for her work in science communication. Mentioned by Nature magazine as a rising star in the life sciences in 2019, she is listed as one of the University of Cambridge's 'inspirational and successful women in science'. The Science of Fate: Why Your Future is More Predictable Than You Think is her first book. Laura Tingle Laura Tingle is chief political correspondent for ABCTV's 7.30. She won the Paul Lyneham Award for Excellence in Press Gallery Journalism in 2004, and Walkley awards in 2005 and 2011. She is the author of Chasing the Future: Recession, Recovery and the New Politics in Australia and four acclaimed Quarterly Essays: Great Expectations, Political Amnesia, Follow the Leader and The High Road. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Last October, an annual assessment by the Department of Homeland Security found that violent white supremacy was the ‘most persistent and lethal threat in the homeland’ and that white supremacists were the most deadly among domestic terrorists in recent years. What do we know about all the domestic militia groups in the US and what can the Biden administration do to quell the threats and violence?

Increasing pressure is being put on African nations to get Covid-19 outbreaks under control, but how easy is it to prioritise Covid-19 when you're facing a whole host of other domestic issues such as Islamic extremism, water shortages and food insecurity. The Brenthurst Foundation's Marie-Noelle Nwokolo talks to author, strategist, and counterinsurgency expert David Kilcullen about the realities facing Africa when it comes to balancing Covid-19 with longer standing domestic issues. Join the conversation on: Twitter - @BrenthurstF / Facebook - @BrenthurstFoundation / Instagram - @brenthurstfoundation

Australia is undergoing the most fundamental strategic realignment since the Second World War, toward a focus on threats closer to home without reliance on the United States. In that context, what role does irregular warfare play in Australian national security strategy? What lessons does the Australian experience hold for the United States as they both transition from the post-9/11 wars to great power competition? David Kilcullen and Andy Maher join this episode to discuss. Intro music: "Unsilenced" by Ketsa Outro music: "Launch" by Ketsa CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

David Kilcullen is Professor of Practice at the Center on the Future of War and the School of Politics and Global Studies at Arizona State University, a Senior Fellow at New America, and an author, strategist, and counterinsurgency expert. He served 25 years as an officer in the Australian Army, diplomat and policy advisor for the Australian and United States Governments, in command and operational missions (including peacekeeping, counterinsurgency and foreign internal defense) across the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Europe. In the United States, he was Chief Strategist in the State Department’s Counterterrorism Bureau, and served in Iraq as Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor to General David Petraeus, before becoming Special Advisor for Counterinsurgency to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. He is the author of a number of influential books including The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One, Counterinsurgency, Out of the Mountains, and Blood Year: The Unraveling of Western Counterterrorism — based on an essay that received the Walkley Award, the Australian version of the Pulitzer Prize. His newest book is The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West. In today’s podcast, Dr. Kilcullen discusses the future of conflict, changing concepts of victory, and achieving decisive advantages. The following bullet points highlight key insights from our interview with him: Different actors (state and non-state) are converging on a set of tactics: small teams, modular, urban, use of cyber kinetics. This convergence is an adaptation to US and Western dominance in a small sub-set of warfare characterized by high tech, connected, exquisite systems of systems. We describe this as conventional or regular warfare because we are the best in the world at this type of conflict. These different actors are the Dragons (states) and Snakes (non-state actors). Dragons are back, but acting more like Snakes. Snakes are more capable due to the democratization of technology which makes them more lethal and capable of operating regionally and globally. The War on Terror is not over, but the period of large occupations has ended. Simultaneously, the possible resurgence of Great Power Conflict means the US must be capable of fighting both near peer competitors and capable non-state actors. The defining characteristics of future warfare include: Liminal Warfare – Our adversaries will seek to operate below the West’s response threshold, executing covert operations that may be detected, but whose sponsorship remains cloaked and unattributed; and ambiguous actions, where both the operation and sponsor may be suspected, but remains unproven. Tactical Concepts employing small teams, modular, swarming, empowered by advanced communications and (in the future) artificial intel

US President Donald Trump has denied responsibility for inciting a violent protest at the US Capitol.

In this episode, Dr Eve Massingham talks to Professor Jason Scholz and Associate Professor Simon Ng about the development of new military technology. They talk about the key areas of current investments, how the game is changing, and where the future might take us. They also discuss the recent investments Australia has made into autonomous systems, and explain some of the strategic calculations behind this effort.Professor Jason Scholz is the CEO of the Trusted Autonomous Systems Defence Cooperative Research Centre. Prior to this role, Jason led research in cognitive psychology, decision aids, decision automation and autonomy, and the integration of human and machine decision-making within the Defence Science and Technology Group. He  has over fifty refereed publications and several patents, covering research in telecommunications, digital signal processing, artificial intelligence and human decision making. He is passionate about the potential for machine learning based on neuroscience insights, human cognitive enhancement, anti-fragile organisations and is driven to achieve the transition of validated innovative technology and techniques into Defence. Associate Professor Simon Ng is the Chief Engineer of the Trusted Autonomous Systems Defence Cooperative Research Centre. Prior to this, he led the Unmanned Aerial Systems Group within Defence Science and Technology Group's Aerospace Division, exploring the role of autonomy in enhancing Defence capability and reducing risk in an increasingly complex operational environment. He has a Bachelor of Science and a Bachelor of Engineering from Monash University and completed his Doctoral Thesis in 1998, studying mechanisms for ionic conduction in solid polymer electrolytes.Further reading:Paul Scharre, Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War (2018, W.W. Norton and Company).David Kilcullen, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla (2013, Scribe Publishing).MacGregor Knox and Williamson Murray, The Dynamics of Military Revolution, 1300-2050 (2001, Cambridge University Press)Stephen Biddle, Military Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle (2010, Princeton University Press).Dave Grossman, On Killing: The Psychological Cost of Learning to Kill in War and Society (2009, Back Bay).The Philosopher AI App.

Alex, also known as “The Science of Hitting Investing” on Gurufocus and TSOH_Investing on Twitter, is an investor at an RIA and a prolific investing writer. I’ve really enjoyed his articles, so I was really excited to talk to him. And the conversation didn’t disappoint. During the interview, we talk about structuring a process to maximize your chance of finding good investment candidates, trying to reconstruct management dashboards as a way to understand investments, and the different parts of the value investing spectrum. Time Stamps0:01:00 – Introduction to Alex (@TSOH_Investing on Twitter https://twitter.com/TSOH_Investing; https://www.gurufocus.com/news.php?author=The+Science+of+Hitting&u=110170 on GuruFocus) 0:05:05 – The 3 Modalities of long-only value investing: (1) buy companies that are better than everyone thinks they are, (2) buy companies that are less bad than everyone thinks they are, and (3) greater fool theory. 0:06:45 – Alex on the path to value investing as a philosophy (passive-active split) 0:10:35 – Howard Marks on “Winning the Loser’s Game” (not making mistakes) 0:11:30 – Pros and cons of quality vs cheapness in investing (spillover research, ulcers, frictional costs, etc.) 0:15:30 – Alex’s thoughts on quality companies / compounders vs cheap names 0:17:00 – “When to Average Down” by John Hempton 0:21:20 – Risks of screening 0:23:00 – David Kilcullen “rich information” and sunk costs 0:25:30 – My experience with finding Tailored Brands through screening 0:27:00 – Thoughts on fixing my screening process (setting myself up for failure) 0:28:31 – How Alex runs his portfolio (low turnover, high quality, relatively concentrated) 0:37:54 – How to conduct a search to maximize the chances of finding a compounder 0:42:15 – Cumulative knowledge: an advantage of studying high-quality businesses 0:46:31 – Thinking about how to allocate research time with Costco as a case study 0:49:50 – Red flags (compensation, management ownership, shareholder letters, etc.) 1:00:00 – Trying to construct a management key performance indicator (KPI) dashboard 1:02:05 – An issue with financial modeling—everything is based on sales, and sales are hard to predict 1:03:45 – Pat Dorsey: don’t model using percentages (Visa example) 1:05:10 – TSOH investment style in a nutshell: “the return to a historic margin rate is in doubt, and I’m stepping in and saying it’s a short-term problem.” 1:07:00 – Disney analysis: CPI vs Magic Kingdom pricing vs airline pricing 1:09:17 – My observation on “the game:” cigar butts have secure sales but insecure cash flows; compounders have secure margins but insecure sales 1:11:00 – Bruce Greenwald said that long term, things become commodities (everything is a toaster in the long term), but some have disagreed ( https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/the-myth-of-commoditization/ ) 1:24:00 – Thoughts on software 1:28:24 – Thoughts on optimizing industry study time: listen to smart people, observe what you know 1:33:27 – Thoughts on micro-caps and special situations 1:35:20 – Observations on short-form podcasting 1:40:31 – The importance of exploring the investing the world alongside great people 1:41:55 – Closing thoughts Strategy Chain Links Rate and review the podcast at https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/strategy-chain/id1492935567 Find Amazon affiliate links at http://strategychainpodcast.com/support Send me questions at http://strategychainpodcast.com/contact Sign up for the email list at http://strategychainpodcast.com/ Social Media @strategychain (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Medium)

A four-year investigation into alleged war crimes in Afghanistan by Australian special forces was made public by the Chief of Defence Angus Campbell.   The key revelation from the report include the alleged unlawful killing of 39 Afghan civilians and prisoners by Australian troops between 2009 and 2013.   19 of those soldiers have been referred to the Australian Federal Police for prosecution over their war crimes charges.   In this briefing, we are joined by David Kilcullen, an Australian author, strategist, and counterinsurgency expert to explain what has happened in this dark chapter of Australian military history and how to stop it from ever happening again.   In today's headlines: Oxford vaccine at least 70% effective as Qantas CEO confirms vaccine mandatory Allegations NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian failed to isolate after COVID-19 test More than 100 former Republican officials demand Trump concession   Follow The Briefing Instagram: @thebriefingpodcast  Facebook: TheBriefingNewsAU Twitter: @TheBriefingAU  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A surprise early easing of lockdown for South Australians tonight .. but the cause and its implications are raising eyebrows. The state's decision to go into a 6-day hard lockdown was, it turns out, all based on a lie....told to contact tracers, by a man who works part-time in a pizza shop. Now it's been uncovered, greater freedoms will return from tomorrow night while SA police have set up a taskforce to investigate all of the information provided to the contact tracing teams. But why was the state's lockdown decision based on the testimony of a single person? Also: * The scheduled increase to the superannuation guarantee is again in doubt with the Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg saying the government will make a decision next year. * A day after the release of a report detailing shocking evidence about the misconduct of Australian special forces in Afghanistan, we speak to David Kilcullen, a military strategist and former soldier who served in Afghanistan and Iraq. * Thousands of building subcontractors are bracing for a hit with the demise of industry giant Grocon. * Australians stepped up this week making a record number of appointments to give blood, after an appeal about a shortage of supplies – but just how self-sufficient is Australia when it comes to collecting blood during a pandemic? * And.. after eight months of lockdown, visitors will be allowed back into New South Wales prisons from Monday. Advocates say it's been a long and lonely year for many inmates, but there's arguably been some good to come from it too.

A surprise early easing of lockdown for South Australians tonight .. but the cause and its implications are raising eyebrows. The state's decision to go into a 6-day hard lockdown was, it turns out, all based on a lie....told to contact tracers, by a man who works part-time in a pizza shop. Now it's been uncovered, greater freedoms will return from tomorrow night while SA police have set up a taskforce to investigate all of the information provided to the contact tracing teams. But why was the state's lockdown decision based on the testimony of a single person? Also: * The scheduled increase to the superannuation guarantee is again in doubt with the Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg saying the government will make a decision next year. * A day after the release of a report detailing shocking evidence about the misconduct of Australian special forces in Afghanistan, we speak to David Kilcullen, a military strategist and former soldier who served in Afghanistan and Iraq. * Thousands of building subcontractors are bracing for a hit with the demise of industry giant Grocon. * Australians stepped up this week making a record number of appointments to give blood, after an appeal about a shortage of supplies – but just how self-sufficient is Australia when it comes to collecting blood during a pandemic? * And.. after eight months of lockdown, visitors will be allowed back into New South Wales prisons from Monday. Advocates say it's been a long and lonely year for many inmates, but there's arguably been some good to come from it too.

David Kilcullen is one of the world’s leading experts on counterinsurgency and military strategy. He is a former diplomat and soldier who served as a counterinsurgency advisor during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq where he advised Condoleezza Rice and Gen. David Petraeus. Kilcullen is also the founding chairman of Caerus Associates    His books include The Accidental Guerrilla, Counterinsurgency, Out of the Mountains, and Blood Year. His new book is The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West. David Kilcullen explores the possible and likely scenarios for political violence and social upheaval on Election Day. What are the likely tactics and strategies that right-wing extremists, paramilitaries, and other groups would potentially use to disrupt Election Day and American society more broadly? David Kilcullen also shares his concerns about a possible armed insurgency if not a type of civil war in the United States if political polarization and extremism continue to escalate – especially if Trump somehow steals a second term in office. WHERE CAN YOU FIND ME? On Twitter: https://twitter.com/chaunceydevega On Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chauncey.devega My email: chaunceydevega@gmail.com Leave a voicemail for The Truth Report: (262) 864-0154 HOW CAN YOU SUPPORT THE TRUTH REPORT? Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/TheTruthReportPodcast Via Paypal at ChaunceyDeVega.com Music at the end of this week's episode of The Truth Report is by JC Brooks & the Uptown Sound. You can listen to some of their great music on Spotify.

Host Andrew Holland and David Kilcullen, author of The Dragons and The Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, discuss what the West has learned in the last quarter century of conflict and how adversaries have adapted. The post The Dragons and The Snakes with David Kilcullen appeared first on  American Security Project.

David Kilcullen is a world-leading authority on insurgencies and he says the US is in a state of 'incipient insurgency', with growing parallels to countries like Iraq, Lebanon and Somalia, which he describes as 'real and disturbing'.

Security analyst and counterinsurgency expert, David Kilcullen, believes the West is ill-prepared to deal with the new security threats it faces — including China and non-state adversaries. He is speaking with Paul Barclay.

Security analyst and counterinsurgency expert, David Kilcullen, believes the West is ill-prepared to deal with the new security threats it faces — including China and non-state adversaries. He is speaking with Paul Barclay.

Security analyst and counterinsurgency expert, David Kilcullen, believes the West is ill-prepared to deal with the new security threats it faces — including China and non-state adversaries. He is speaking with Paul Barclay.

As Donald Trump promises the pandemic will “disappear,” the U.S. simultaneously grapples with a public health disaster, economic collapse, and a social crisis. This week on Intercepted: The Intercept’s Murtaza Hussain is joined by military expert and anthropologist David Kilcullen. He discusses the global national security implications unleashed by the coronavirus and the decline in U.S. dominance and the liberal international system. Kilcullen also examines the catastrophic consequences that could come from rising tensions within the country and between the U.S. and China. Hussain is also joined by Indian writer Pankaj Mishra, author of many books, including,“From the Ruins of Empire: The Intellectuals Who Remade Asia.” Mishra lays out how the rise of free market ideology in the U.S. and Britain has undermined democracy and diminished social protections for ordinary people. He dismisses the idea of a Joe Biden administration as any departure from the status quo and describes how hope lies in the power of nonviolent social movements. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Security analysts today warn that domestic extremism in the United States poses as much risk today as it did in 1995, when the bombing of Federal government offices in Oklahoma City produced the most deadly domestic terrorist attack in US history. Military strategist and counter-insurgency expert David Kilcullen believes the risk of organised, civil violence in the United States in 2020 is far more widespread and potentially more dangerous than commonly thought. Potential triggers and grievances abound, ranging from coronavirus and its economic costs, protests against police violence and opportunistic looting and vandalism, counter-protests and waves of domestic and foreign disinformation, all set against the upcoming US elections. What are the historical parallels to the situation the United States finds itself in? To discuss these issues, USSC hosted a webinar event featuring Dr David Kilcullen, author of the new book The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, in discussion with United States Studies Centre’s CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

Today’s episode explores how we can take the “easy” road by broadening our view. Let’s start with the problem We see the world through a flawed lens. There are a million terms for this idea: “target fixation,” “missing the forest for the trees,” “anchoring,” “framing.” The list goes on. The point is—we get so used to “the rules of the game” that we miss it when the game changes. David Kilcullen explores this idea in fascinating detail in The Dragons and the Snakes. If you’re into geopolitics, check out Episode 023 with David. The TL;DR version of the book is that success can breed failure. Since the West dominated the traditional battlefield, its enemies found new ways to fight. China embraced a much wider view of war, including economic, legal, and technological avenues to fight the West. David called this tactic conceptual envelopment. Similarly, the Russians have sidestepped traditional battlefield confrontations by “surfing the edge,” as David would say, of confrontation. The Russians blur the lines and exploit the slow reaction times of Western powers. The takeaway: don’t get mired in the old way of fighting. In my recent episode with Brian DeChesare, a similar concept comes up at the very end. He mentions that very driven people tend to confine themselves to options (a, b, c) when there are many more that exist. We get sucked into optimizing for the wrong thing, and we grind away for trivial gains while leaving the critical variables unexamined. Hollywood gives an awesome false frame example in the Dark Knight. Batman’s butler, Alfred, tells the story of his search for a jewel thief in Burma. Alfred and his team search the villages and black markets for the stolen jewels—all to no avail. Until they find a child playing with a huge ruby. They realized that the “thief” wasn’t a thief at all. He was throwing the stones away because he just wanted to cause chaos. Once they realized that the problem was different, they could pivot and make real progress. Their false assumption caused a lot of wasted effort. For a more real-life example, there’s a funny Harvard Business Review article by Peter Bregman where a “sibling fighting problem” is reframed as a “morning crankiness problem.” The link is in the show notes https://hbr.org/2015/12/are-you-solving-the-wrong-problem. It turned out that the solution was orange juice rather than a lecture on the golden rule. If we find ourselves grinding away without making progress, it can be a good time to try to rethink our assumptions. But this is way easier said than done. So what’s the solution? If it’s possible that our assumptions are wrong, we need to take a moment to consider what we might think is goofy. If convention isn’t working, it’s time to start breaking the rules—if only as a thought experiment. So here are some questions to ask and threads to pull: First, reconsider the obvious What is obvious? What clear facts are present? List them out and toggle them on and off to see if breakthrough ideas present themselves. Ask yourself how you know these obvious facts are true. Second, role play—how would a completely different person approach the issue There’s a link in the show notes to a site called 16 Personalities https://www.16personalities.com/personality-types It uses the Meyers Briggs classifications to construct some character archetypes Put yourself in the shoes of a different type, and imagine how that person might approach the problem You could also imagine an advisory council of people (and this could be past or present) who you admire Third, use arbitrary restriction What tools are available? Imagine throwing them out and starting from scratch What else is possible? How could you solve the problem if you had no resources whatsoever. Fourth, consider your untapped resources What allies haven’t you called on? What hidden assets haven’t you considered? What inventory or skills or contacts or tests are going underutilized? Think of the way AirBnb has unlocked the ability to rent out vacant real estate. Fifth, use physical cues What’s your physical status right now? How can you change your environment to stimulate different, novel thoughts? Take a freezing shower Go for a walk To change your perspective—literally change your vantage point Toggle the stimulus from your five senses to break free of the thinking ruts you’re in Finally, imagine the problem didn’t exist Is it possible that you don’t need to solve the problem? Is it possible that the problem can be sidestepped instead of tackled head-on? Is the problem taking its power from another controllable factor? How can that factor be addressed? Hopefully these questions help explore new avenues and wider perspectives on the challenges at hand. Until next week—thanks for listening. Support Links Rate and review the podcast at https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/strategy-chain/id1492935567 Find Amazon affiliate links at http://strategychainpodcast.com/support Send me questions at http://strategychainpodcast.com/contact Sign up for the email list at http://strategychainpodcast.com/ Social Media @strategychain (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Medium)

For years, people in regime-change vulnerable countries have joked that a color revolution is impossible in the US because you’d need an American embassy for that. Well, apparently, they were wrong. With protests, riots, and even the seizure of government buildings continuing, how are America’s foes taking the democratic uprising in the world’s most celebrated democracy? To discuss this, Oksana is joined by David Kilcullen, professor of international and political studies at the University of New South Wales, Canberra and the author of ‘The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West’. Dr Kilcullen is president and CEO of Cordillera Applications Group and a best-selling author.

In episode 11 of the World of Intelligence podcast, Terry Pattar, head of the Janes Intelligence Unit, and David Kilcullen, President of Cordillera Applications and author of 'The Dragons and the Snakes' discuss the diversity of strategic global security threats and how Western military and government planners and decision-makers need to adapt to monitoring indicators of "liminal warfare," especially as geopolitical competition increases following the coronavirus pandemic.    To find out more about Janes threat assessment visit janes.com/threats

This episode we have the pleasure of talking with David Kilcullen, the author of "The Dragon and the Snake: How the Rest of the World Learned to Fight the West." He is a Retired Lieutenant Colonel in the Australian Army, serving in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He is a professor in the School of Humanities and Social Sciences of the University of New South Wales as well as a professor of practice in Global Security at Arizona State University. He is also the head of Cordillera Applications Group, a strategic research firm . David Kilcullen was named one of the Foreign Policy Top 100 Global Thinkers in 2009. Today we discuss the content of his book, "The Dragon and the Snake: How the Rest of the World Learned to Fight the West." Russia uses what Dave calls, "liminal warfare" to accomplish their aims. China employs "conceptual warfare" to accomplish theirs. These methods are meant to gain their objects while avoiding a response from the West. Smaller nations and non-state groups are also discussed. Philip Sharp also discusses the current American outlook concerning national security in his essay segment.

Mohnish Pabrai - Paul Tudor Jones - Ian Spalter - Elad Gil - Eric Ries - Gabriel Weinberg - Sun Tzu - David Kilcullen - Charlie Munger - Mike Malinconico They all say to be brief. We should listen. Brevity is “easy” because time is expensive. Brevity isn’t easy for you, but it’s easy for your counterparts: customers, investors, students, athletes, colleagues, bosses, partners. Everyone. We need to get to the point if we want people to listen. Here are some examples: In Investing Mohnish Pabrai suggests limiting investment theses to one paragraph. Paul Tudor Jones suggests studying journalism to learn clarity, brevity, and the art of positioning the critical matters first such that readers can stop at any point and take away the most important ideas. See the show notes for a link to his thoughts. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e0U-MKV90w In Business Brevity is the core of user experience design. Designers obsess over every line and punctuation mark so users get what they want—fast. When was the last time Amazon made you suffer through a tedious experience? Twitter is what’s happening in 140 characters. Instagram is 1,000 words in an instant. For a great example, see the show notes for a link to Ian Spalter’s episode on Abstract: The Art of Design. https://www.netflix.com/title/80057883 In Entrepreneurship When pitching Venture Capitalists—or anyone really—it’s crucial to get to the point. Explain the market opportunity, the product, the distribution strategy, and the team. Then be ready for a game of 20 questions. Elad Gil mentioned that his favorite pitch meeting was scheduled for 45 minutes but lasted for 10. The founder explained himself, fielded key questions, thanked Elad for the meeting, left, and responded with the answer a few days later. Brief, rapid-iteration testing is a hallmark of both The Lean Startup and Traction. In Combat Brevity is critical in combat. Time is the critical resource. Manage it well. Sun Tzu says that no effective campaign can be drawn out. Long, draining campaigns are the enemy of good strategy. In his latest book, The Dragons and the Snakes and in Episode 023, David Kilcullen discusses how Russia uses ultra-quick, ultra-targeted campaigns masterfully. The US did the same thing during the Gulf War. Interestingly, Charlie Munger also praises extreme decisiveness in the face of fleeting opportunity. In Grappling Mike Malinconico boils years of training into 90 seconds of dense technique in his Behind the Dirt series and in FloWrestling’s technique library. High-level jiu jitsu players talk about following the tightest path between two points. In the striking arts, the jab and the teep are essential building blocks—and they highlight the connection between small time investments and limited risk. In Athletics Master coaches work on jarringly brief cues to instantly communicate technical corrections. My Resolution It’s not the New Year, but I resolve to chase brevity. So for the question of the week: where can we trim the fat in our communication? Support Links Rate and review the podcast at https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/strategy-chain/id1492935567 Find Amazon affiliate links at http://strategychainpodcast.com/support Send me questions at http://strategychainpodcast.com/contact Sign up for the email list at http://strategychainpodcast.com/ Social Media @strategychain (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Medium)

In this episode, leading soldier-scholar David Kilcullen speaks to Carl Miller about how the West’s opponents have learned from twenty-first-century conflict and explains how their cutting-edge tactics and adaptability pose a serious threat to America and its allies, disabling the West’s military advantage. Click here to find out more about David's book 'The Dragons and The Snakes': https://bit.ly/3fQrOTD.-------------------------Intelligence Squared+. The world's best speakers. Your questions. £4.99 per month.Intelligence Squared+ will bring you live, interactive events every week on our new online platform. Just like at our real-life events, you’ll be able to put your questions to our speakers, vote in live polls and interact with other members of the audience. Your subscription will give you access to multiple events featuring the world’s top thinkers and opinion formers, including Thomas Piketty, Margaret Atwood, Clive Woodward, Thomas Friedman, Meera Syal and Paloma Faith.For a full list of Intelligence Squared+ events and to subscribe, click here: https://bit.ly/2yfYIfm See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

In his latest book, 'The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West', modern warfare expert, David Kilcullen has put forward a theory of how state threats, (like Russia and China) and non-state threats (like terrorist organisations) now overlap and intersect. What's more, they've learnt from each other, enabling them to out manoeuvre conventional military tactics, with new methods like political manipulation and cyber militias. David Kilcullen, was a senior counterinsurgency adviser to General David Petraeus during 2007 'surge' in Iraq and counterinsurgency adviser to the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan. He was previously an infantry officer in the Australian army for 22 years.

David Kilcullen is a soldier, strategist, diplomat, and author. He’s a scholar of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanization, and the future of conflict. His newest book explores how the Western world's adversaries are adapting. This was a fascinating conversation covering topics like second-order effects, evolution and adaptation in competitive environments, and yield. We discuss world politics and the strategies and tactics of Russia, China, and North Korea. Links from the Show David’s talk at the Australian Centre for Society and Armed Conflict https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JDummafZbXs David’s talks at Google https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tVUI9U4WQ6E https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DoS9_Mr_K2E David on Hidden Forces (podcast) https://hiddenforces.io/podcasts/david-kilcullen-national-emergency/ David on the Federalist Radio Hour (podcast) https://thefederalist.com/2020/04/06/federalist-radio-hour-how-bad-actors-plague-the-international-stage-and-attack-the-west/ David on Departures with Robert Amsterdam (podcast) https://robertamsterdam.com/new-episode-of-departures-podcast-featuring-david-kilcullen/  Time Stamps 0:02:00 – Introduction 0:04:32 – Other talks by David you might enjoy (Google, Australian Centre for Society and Armed Conflict, Hidden Forces, The Federalist Radio Hour, and Departures with Robert Amsterdam) 0:07:35 – Nadia Schadlow & her book War and the Art of Governance (link above) 0:10:17 – Basis for the book’s name: CIA Director James Woolsey’s 1993 confirmation hearing testimony 0:14:16 – What exactly are “the dragons and the snakes?” 0:15:58 – The Gulf War: the blueprint for how not to fight the US 0:16:56 – Bookend #1: H.R. McMaster and the Battle of 73 Easting (precision, system-of-systems battlefield dominance) 0:19:12 – Second-order effects: the Gulf War forces an evolutionary response (Iran, China, and even US allies!) 0:22:13 – Bookend #2 “Dora Farms” (tactical excellence in the service of a blinkered strategy) 0:28:36 – Multi-disciplinary approach: using evolutionary biology as a basis for exploring strategy 0:32:10 – By becoming so dominant in 1991, we forced our adversaries to adapt or evolve 0:32:40 – Russia case study: Liminal Warfare & surfing the ambiguity threshold 0:40:55 – Adaptations to the modern media environment: impossible to keep things secret, but possible to sow confusion and exploit the intelligence OODA Loop 0:43:49 – Russian goal wasn’t to elect Trump but to create debate and disruption 0:48:15 – Russian strategy is like a Hollywood heist movie 0:49:50 – Connection to investing: super-high yield 0:51:44 – China case study: broadening the definition of war 1:07:17 – Reference Prisoners of Geography 1:08:32 – A huge theme in the book: the potential for misunderstanding 1:16:24 – North Korea case study 1:20:33 – Attempt to contain nuclear ambitions fall apart as we focus on Iraq and Afghanistan and in the aftermath of the “axis of evil” speech 1:34:50 – The three approaches the US can take going forward Strategy Chain Links Rate and review the podcast at https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/strategy-chain/id1492935567 Find Amazon affiliate links at http://strategychainpodcast.com/support Send me questions at http://strategychainpodcast.com/contact Sign up for the email list at http://strategychainpodcast.com/ Social Media @strategychain (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Medium)

David Kilcullen is an Australian-American soldier and scholar who served as a top advisor to the U.S. military in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He also has worked in Pakistan, the Horn of Africa, and Southeast Asia. And he's an advisor to FDD's Center on Military and Political Power (CMPP). His new book, The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, looks at the military threats facing America and its allies, including what the dragons — Moscow and Beijing — and the snakes — Tehran, Pyongyang, and non-state jihadi groups – are learning from each other. He suggests the options that need to be considered if free nations are “to evolve and survive the long twilight struggle ahead.” He discusses these and related national security issues with host Cliff May on episode 54.

David Kilcullen is an Australian-American soldier and scholar who served as a top advisor to the U.S. military in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He also has worked in Pakistan, the Horn of Africa, and Southeast Asia. And he’s an advisor to FDD’s Center on Military and Political Power (CMPP). His new book, The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, looks at the military threats facing America and its allies, including what the dragons — Moscow and Beijing — and the snakes — Tehran, Pyongyang, and non-state jihadi groups – are learning from each other. He suggests the options that need to be considered if free nations are “to evolve and survive the long twilight struggle ahead.” He discusses these and related national security issues with host Cliff May on episode 54.

The Accidental Guerrilla by David Kilcullen was a Washington Post bestseller which transformed the theory and practice of counterinsurgency--and changed the way we think about war. Interviewed by The Economist’s Defence Editor Shashank Joshi, in this episode David shares his ground-breaking insights into the War on Terror.

The whole world is waiting for the day that everything goes back to normal after this corona virus scare is in the rear view. Well, that’s not going to happen for a while. But after Russia and China, made grand plays for power during this crisis, David Kilcullen, a former soldier, military strategist and professor at Arizona State University tells Target USA, what could happen soon is a war; and the global order could be changing as well.

Lt. Col. David Kilcullen joins host Christopher Bedford to discuss his new book "The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West."

Over the past 25 years, the power and influence of the United States has been challenged in new ways from a variety of state and non-state actors, yet our responses to these challenges often seems mired in the past. In this latest episode of Departures, Robert Amsterdam has a wide-ranging discussion regarding emerging geopolitical trends with David Kilcullen, author of the book "The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West."

David Kilcullen, Arizona State Univ, on “The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West." Jaimie Krems of Oklahoma State Univ on women's dress patterns. Dan Romer, Annenberg Public Policy Center, on media violence. Joan Steidinger, author of “Stand Up and Shout Out” on equality in sports. Lisa Lindahl, author of “Unleash the Girls: The Untold Story of the Invention of the Sports Bra and How It Changed the World (And Me),” on the jogbra.

In this episode of Sounds Strategic, Antonio and Meia are joined by David Kilcullen, Professor of International and Political Studies at the University of New South Wales in Canberra, and former special adviser to the US Secretary of State between 2007 and 2009. Over the past five years, the world has witnessed some of the largest city-based battles since World War Two. The sieges of Mosul in Iraq and Aleppo in Syria indicate that urban warfighting is to become a key feature of future conflicts. As a result, David argues, traditional Western military doctrine needs to adapt to meet the new challenges of asymmetric urban conflict.David also discusses why the very concept of ‘war' may become an area of diplomatic tension as China and the West disagree on what constitutes ‘war-like behaviour', even in peace time.Finally, Antonio, Meia and David explore some of the positive steps NATO has taken to integrate a whole-of-society approach to modern inter-state competition; the possible hazards of the Trump administration's recent peace deal in Afghanistan; and the common misconceptions around what makes effective counter-insurgency policy.We hope you enjoy the episode but don't forget to follow, rate and subscribe to Sounds Strategic on Spotify and Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your podcasts. Date of recording: 4 March 2020Sounds Strategic is recorded and produced at the IISS in London.Theme music: ‘Safety in Numbers' by We Were Promised Jetpacks See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

In Episode 126 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with David Kilcullen, a theorist and practitioner of guerrilla and unconventional warfare, and counterterrorism. David has amassed extensive operational experience over a 25 year career with the Australian and U.S. governments as an army officer, analyst, policy advisor and diplomat. He served in Iraq as senior counterinsurgency advisor to U.S. General David Petraeus and was senior advisor to U.S. Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice. He has served in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia, Libya, and Colombia. He's Professor of International and Political Studies at the University of New South Wales, Canberra. He's also the author of five prize winning books on terrorism, insurgency, and future warfare, including his latest, “The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West.”   This episode deals mainly with the evolution of warfare and the threats we currently face, including an extensive analysis of Chinese and Russian conventional and unconventional methods targeting the West. The two also discuss the emergency measures currently being put into place across the world in response to the spread of Coronavirus and the implications of those measures for the future of liberal democracy. The second hour of Demetri and David’s conversation includes a deep-dive into Russiagate, as well as the types of strategies of liminal warfare being employed by Putin and the Russian Federation against America and the West. The two also speculate about how Western adversaries may inflict further damage upon them during the 2020 election, capitalize on internal divisions, refugee crises, as well as this latest, global pandemic. You can access the second hour, as well as the transcript and rundown to this week’s episode through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers also gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at http://patreon.com/hiddenforces Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

Nearly 19 years after invading Afghanistan, the US has agreed a peace deal with the Taliban. But is that really going to be an end to it? And will the US ever try anything similar again? Andrew Mueller is joined by Belquis Ahmadi and David Kilcullen.

Why are there no women left in the US presidential race? Plus: Australian army officer turned US counterinsurgency advisor David Kilcullen on his new book, the week’s quirkier stories and the best of Lithuanian pop.

Six defining books. Six defining conversations. AfterWords explores the stories behind groundbreaking books. In the first series, hear leading journalists in conversation with authors whose books have instigated debates, advanced knowledge and changed society. Discover how the British empire impacted India with Shashi Tharoor, investigate a UN Secretary General's mysterious death with Susan Williams, and learn about India's Maoist guerrillas with Alpa Shah. Examine Brexit Britain with David Goodhart and the Rwandan genocide with Gérard Prunier, and gain insight on counterinsurgency from expert David Kilcullen. For more on Hurst, visit https://www.hurstpublishers.com/

In the first episode of the Urban Warfare Project podcast, from the Modern War Institute at West Point, John Spencer is joined by Dr. David Kilcullen, author of Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla.

Mugshot of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi by US armed forces while in detention at Camp Bucca in 2004 From 2013 to 2019, ISIL was headed and run by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the Islamic State's self-styled Caliph. Before their deaths, he had two deputy leaders, Abu Muslim al-Turkmani for Iraq and Abu Ali al-Anbari (also known as Abu Ala al-Afri)[181] for Syria, both ethnic Turkmen. Advising al-Baghdadi is a cabinet of senior leaders, while its operations in Iraq and Syria are controlled by local 'emirs,' who head semi-autonomous groups which the Islamic State refers to as its provinces.[182][183] Beneath the leaders are councils on finance, leadership, military matters, legal matters (including decisions on executions) foreign fighters' assistance, security, intelligence and media. In addition, a shura council has the task of ensuring that all decisions made by the governors and councils comply with the group's interpretation of sharia.[184] While al-Baghdadi has told followers to "advise me when I err" in sermons, according to observers "any threat, opposition, or even contradiction is instantly eradicated".[185] According to Iraqis, Syrians and analysts who study the group, almost all of ISIL's leaders—including the members of its military and security committees and the majority of its emirs and princes—are former Iraqi military and intelligence officers, specifically former members of Saddam Hussein's Ba'ath government who lost their jobs and pensions in the de-Ba'athification process after that regime was overthrown.[186][187][188][189] The former Chief Strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism of the US State Department, David Kilcullen, has said that "There undeniably would be no Isis if we had not invaded Iraq."[190] It has been reported that Iraqis and Syrians have been given greater precedence over other nationalities within ISIL because the group needs the loyalties of the local Sunni populations in both Syria and Iraq in order to be sustainable.[191][192] Other reports, however, have indicated that Syrians are at a disadvantage to foreign members, with some native Syrian fighters resenting "favouritism" allegedly shown towards foreigners over pay and accommodation.[193][194] In August 2016, media reports based on briefings by Western intelligence agencies suggested that ISIL had a multilevel secret service known in Arabic as Emni, established in 2014, that has become a combination of an internal police force and an external operations directorate complete with regional branches. The unit was believed to be under the overall command of ISIL's most senior Syrian operative, spokesman and propaganda chief Abu Mohammad al-Adnani[195][196] until his death by airstrike in late August 2016.[22] In August 2019 al-Baghdadi handed day to day management of operations over to Abdullah Qardash.[197]     CNN coverage of Baghdadi   MSM Pans Al-Baghdadi Raid; ISIS Leader Remembered As "Religious Scholar", "Promising Young Footballer" ZeroHedge   Following the announcement that ISIS founder and leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi blew himself up along with his three children during a raid conducted by United States special forces, the mainstream media has done their best to downplay the victory – going so far as to praise al-Baghdadi. For starters, the Washington Post lead with the headline: “Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, austere religious scholar at the helm of Islamic State, dies at 48.” Democracy Dies in- wait a second has the Post lost its damn mind? pic.twitter.com/GSf9OJSwnH — Buck Sexton (@BuckSexton) October 27, 2019 “Religious scholar?” This is how the treasonous @washingtonpost describes a mass murderer who had Americans beheaded and our Muslim allies burnt alive. Yes you are THE ENEMY of the American People and all that is sacred. pic.twitter.com/nW6S2sweJc — Sebastian Gorka DrG (@SebGorka) October 27, 2019 The Post‘s obituary headline simply says that al-Baghdadi “dies at 48,” and said he “maintained a canny pragmatism as leader.” “Acquaintances would remember him as a shy, nearsighted youth who liked soccer.“ The obit also waits until the 34th graf to inform readers he was a serial rapist of hostage sex slaves.https://t.co/TnybLYgQjz — Elliott Schwartz (@elliosch) October 27, 2019 Like, of natural causes or something? https://t.co/lUaOZEAFxa pic.twitter.com/SmhpktfUwe — Chuck Ross (@ChuckRossDC) October 27, 2019 The Times of London called al-Baghdad “A promising young footballer and a student of the Koran who became a terrorist, mass murderer and the world’s most-wanted man.” The absurd headlines have also sparked a new hashtag – #WaPoDeathNotices– in which Twitter users envision similar obituaries for terrible people. Adolf Hitler, passionate community planner and dynamic public speaker, dies at 56.#WaPoDeathNotices — Jason Howerton (@jason_howerton) October 27, 2019 Charles Manson, famous songwriter and meditation leader, dead at 83 #WaPoDeathNotices — Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) October 27, 2019 Jeffrey Dahmer, lover of exotic cuisine, dies at 34. #WaPoDeathNotices — Jesse Kelly (@JesseKellyDC) October 27, 2019 Mohamed Atta, skilled aviator and leader of men, dies at 33. #WashPostOrbits #WashingtonPostOrbits#WaPoDeathNotices — Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) October 27, 2019 Mainstream US news, meanwhile, went to great lengths to downplay the event. James Clapper – Obama’s former National Intelligence Director (who is now under criminal investigation) said that al-Baghdadi’s death could “galvanize” ISIS, telling CNN‘s “State of the Union” “What is going to be interesting is to the extent to which this negatively affects ISIS or does it galvanize ISIS, the remnants of ISIS, which still survives as an ideology and has franchises in other places besides Syria.”     CNN also knocked President Trump for the level of detail President Trump went into about the raid – suggesting it has increased the risk to sources that may still be on the ground.   CNN’s Vinograd on al-Baghdadi raid: The level of detail that President Trump went into in that press conference increases the risk to sources that may still be on the ground. It’s really unprecedented when you think about how much detail he actually went into. It is irresponsible pic.twitter.com/RnqZNzQAq8 — Wojciech Pawelczyk 

Antônio Sampaio, Research Associate for Conflict, Security and Development, joins Dr Kori Schake for this episode of Sounds Strategic.How to provide robust security in rapidly growing cities has been a persistent challenge for policymakers, especially as more people are expected to move into cities throughout the 21st century. In this episode, Antônio explores the case of Rio de Janeiro, a city that has experienced extreme violence for decades as a result of state neglect and gang activity. Although Rio remains one of the most violent cities in the world, Antônio details some of the successful policies that have brought back a degree of stability and state control in the favelas, unofficial suburbs that have been the traditional heartland of Brazilian gangs.Most importantly, the policy successes and failures that Antônio highlights in his research in Rio have important lessons and applications for urban security in other cities around the world, from countering cartels in Mexico to reintroducing state control in the re-claimed city of Mosul in Iraq.For Antônio, developing effective human-centric approaches to urban security is vital and should be considered of equal importance to wider national-level security sector reform and development efforts before, during and after conflict. Counter to many policymakers' concerns, Antônio does not believe rapid urbanisation inherently leads to greater violence in cities. He warns that this belief is used to justify military-centric policy that increases police lethality but overlooks local political dynamics within cities. Reading recommendations:Global Initiative Against Transnational Organised Crime and The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Illicit Order: The Militarised Logic of Organised Crime and Urban Security in Rio de Janeiro, (September 2019)David Kilcullen, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla, (London: C. Hurst & Co., 2013)Benjamin R. Barber, If Mayors Ruled the World: Dysfunctional Nations, Rising Cities, (London: Yale University Press, 2014)Antonio Sampaio, ‘Before and after urban warfare: Conflict prevention and transitions in cities', International Review of the Red Cross, Vol. 98, No. 1, April 2016, pp. 71-95Favourite data visualisation:The Atlas of Urban Expansion, UN HabitatKarachi, The Atlas of Urban Expansion, UN HabitatDate of recording: 6 September 2019Sounds Strategic is recorded and produced at the IISS in LondonTheme music: ‘Safety in Numbers' by We Were Promised Jetpacks See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

This is a sneak peek at the newest podcast series we're launching at the Modern War Institute: the Urban Warfare Project podcast. Each episode will seek to better understand the challenges cities pose to military forces and examine the ways we can better prepare for them. In this first episode, John Spencer, MWI's Chair of Urban Warfare Studies, speaks to Dr. David Kilcullen, an author, strategist, and former Australian Army officer.

I denne serie fortæller en række eksperter om konflikterne der har fundet sted i Mellemøsten og Nordafrika siden den 11. september 2001. I seriens sidste udsendelse vil alle de medvirkende eksperter, perspektivere en række af seriens emner. Derfor skal det handle om hvordan retfærdighed til tider må ofres, for at opretholde stabilitet og orden i verden; Om de syriske kurderes foreslåede model for en fremtidig syrisk stat; Hvad der skal til, for at vende den negative udvikling i Libyen; Hvad 16 års krig mod terror, har lært os om terrorbekæmpelse; Hvad vi kan lære af konflikten i Yemen; Vestens økonomiske og politiske indflydelse i Afghanistan; Om USA's eget syn på sin rolle i verden; Og om hvordan Vesten i fremtiden bliver nød til at bruge militær magt, med udgangspunkt i det vi har lært i Mellemøsten siden 2001. Idé, tilrettelæggelse og produktion: Kasper Elkjær Redaktion: Peter Ørbæk, Bjørn Meyer og Marie Enevoldsen. Musik: Stefan Sørensen. Dokutekets Jingle: Andreas Murga. Tak til Anders Henriksen, lektor i folkeret på det juridiske fakultet, Københavns Universitet; Anne Sofie Schøtt, ph.d.-studerende og studielektor ved Forsvarsakademiet; Hans Lucht, seniorforsker ved Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier; Lars Erslev, seniorforsker på Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier; Maria Louise Clausen, post doc på Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier; David Vestenskov, konsulent ved Forsvarsakademiet, Niels Bjerre-Poulsen, lektor ved center for amerikanske studier på Syddansk Universitet; Og Peter Viggo Jakobsen, lektor på Forsvarsakademiet og Professor på deltid på center for warstudies. Og en særlig tak til David Kilcullen, hvis bog 'Blood Year: Islamic State and the Failures of the War on Terror', har været inspiration for denne serie.

David Kilcullen discusses the legacy of counter insurgency on the United States' national security policy and strategy. His latest book is "Blood Year: The Unraveling of Western Counterterrorism."   The interview today was conducted by Sina Kashefipour, and the show is produced by Chelsea Daymon and Sina Kashefipour.   If you have enjoyed listening to The Loopcast please consider making a donation to the show through our Patreon. We greatly appreciate it.

Russia has made it very clear since the fall of the USSR that it would get revenge against the West and the U.S. for what happened. For years, many U.S. officials have said the Cold War is over. However, in Sofia, Bulgaria, in mid-November 2016, during a NATO conference, David Kilcullen, Lt. Col. in the Australian military (RES), former chief strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism at the U.S. State Department and senior counter-insurgency advisor to General David Petraeus in 2007 and 2008, laid out why the Russian government thinks the Cold War never ended and, through a series of secret operations, they may have the upper hand on the U.S. now.

Dr David Kilcullen delivers a timely Centre for Independent Studies Lighthouse Lecture on the alarming topic of increasing global terror, and provides both global and local comments on how we can adapt to the ‘new normal'. ____________________ The Centre for Independent Studies (CIS) promotes free choice and individual liberty, and defends cultural freedom and the open exchange of ideas. CIS encourages debate among leading academics, politicians, media and the public. We aim to make sure good policy ideas are heard and seriously considered so that Australia can continue to prosper into the future. Check out the CIS at - https://www.cis.org.au/ Subscribe to CIS mailing list- https://www.cis.org.au/subscribe/ Support us with a tax-deductible donation at - https://www.cis.org.au/support/ Join the CIS as a member at - https://www.cis.org.au/join-cis/ Follow CIS on Socials Twitter - https://twitter.com/CISOZ Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/CentreIndependentStudies/ Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-centre-for-independent-studies/?viewAsMember=true

Dr David Kilcullen and Tom Switzer in conversation following the CIS Lighthouse Lecture 'Terror Challenges in the 21st Century'. David Kilcullen is a world renowned terror expert and also took questions from the floor. ____________________ The Centre for Independent Studies (CIS) promotes free choice and individual liberty, and defends cultural freedom and the open exchange of ideas. CIS encourages debate among leading academics, politicians, media and the public. We aim to make sure good policy ideas are heard and seriously considered so that Australia can continue to prosper into the future. Check out the CIS at - https://www.cis.org.au/ Subscribe to CIS mailing list- https://www.cis.org.au/subscribe/ Support us with a tax-deductible donation at - https://www.cis.org.au/support/ Join the CIS as a member at - https://www.cis.org.au/join-cis/ Follow CIS on Socials Twitter - https://twitter.com/CISOZ Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/CentreIndependentStudies/ Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-centre-for-independent-studies/?viewAsMember=true

Mässutõrje ja sõjalise strateegia spetsialist David Kilcullen viib meid hiidlinnade marginaliseerunud agulitesse ja tutvustab sealseid julgeolekuohte. Visandades tulevikku kus metsistunud linnades põimuvad omavahel üha enam kuritegevus ja sõjapidamine, sisemised ja välised ohud ning reaalne ja virtuaalne maailm - kujutab ta ilmekalt konfliktide uusi ilmnemisvorme – terrorirünnakuid 2008. aastal Mumbais, hargmaiseid uimastivõrgustikke, ainsa linnaga piirduvaid tänavajõuke ning araabia kevade ülestõuse. (David Kilcullen. Mägedest alla. Linnapartisanide ajastu saabumine.)

Maailma üks mõjukamaid sissisõja asjatundjaid David Kilcullen näitab lugejale otse võitlustandril uusaja sõja tõelist palet ning vaatleb nii globaalseid väljakutseid kui ka väikesõdu maailma niivõrd erinevates paikades nagu on seda Afganistan, Iraak, Indoneesia, Tai, Ida-Timor ja Pakistan. Ta selgitab, et tänapäeva konfliktid kujutavad endast vastuoluliste suundumuste keerukat hübriidi, mis hõlmab kohalikke sotsiaalseid võrgustikke ja ülemaailmseid liikumisi, traditsioonilist ja postmodernset kultuuri, aga ka autonoomiat taotlevaid kohalikke mässajaid ehk juhupartisane ja ulatuslikku terrorikampaaniat. (Selle nädala raamat on “Juhupartisanid. Väikesed sõjad keset suurt sõda” kirjastuselt Grenader.)

Many dozens have died in the Nairobi shopping mall siege raising questions both inside Kenya and elsewhere as to the nature of future terror attacks - who will carry them out, and where? Hardtalk speaks to counter-insurgency expert David Kilcullen. He has worked in just about every conflict zone across several continents, including in Somalia, Kenya and Syria. Is the world in danger of underplaying the current terrorist threat?

One of the world's most influential counter-insurgency experts, David Kilcullen, whose ideas were described by the Washington Post as "revolutionizing military thinking throughout the West", talks about the time-bomb of rapidly-growing coastal mega-cities. "It took all of human history until 1960 for the world to get 3 billion people," he says. "But the latest estimate is that we're going to add the same number of people in just the next thirty years - and they'll all be going into cities, on coastlines, in the developing world". Through the story of a Somali commander he met in Mogadishu, David tells how the urban overstretch that tore Mogadishu apart in the 1990s, with frightening consequences, is happening in cities all over Africa, Asia and Latin America. Producer: Adele Armstrong.

Tim Harford (the Financial Times' 'Undercover Economist' and presenter of Radio 4's More or Less) is joined by Malcolm Gladwell, David Kilcullen and Gillian Tett for a new series, 'Pop-up Ideas'. Following on from his earlier Radio 4 series 'Pop-up Economics', Tim and the others use key ideas in anthropology and the social sciences to tell fascinating stories about how we - and the world - work. The talks are recorded in front of an audience at the Southbank Centre in London. Malcolm Gladwell, staff writer at the New Yorker and best-selling author of books such as The Tipping Point and Outliers, tells an extraordinarily powerful story about how listening more carefully might have shortened the Vietnam War. One of the world's most influential counter-insurgency experts, David Killcullen, whose ideas were described by the Washington Post as 'revolutionizing military thinking throughout the West', talks about how future instability will emanate from rapidly-growing coastal megacities. The financial journalist Gillian Tett describes how her background in anthropology led her to predict the financial crisis in 2008. Tim Harford explores the concept of 'The Tragedy of the Commons' - a term coined by the American ecologist Garrett Hardin in a hugely influential 1968 essay. Tim compares Hardin's work to that of the American political economist Elinor Ostrom, to reflect on the impact of mankind on the world around us. Producer: Adele Armstrong.