POPULARITY
Wir untersuchen, wie sich Strukturbrüche wie Corona und der Ukraine Krieg sowie anhaltende Unsicherheit auf die Prognose makroökonomischer Zielgrößen auswirken. Anlass dafür ist der Financial Times Artikel "CEOs forced to ditch decades of forecasting habits" über Ikea. Wir diskutieren, wie man Makro-Prognosen nutzen kann, um auch in diesen unsicheren Zeiten einen wirtschaftlichen Mehrwert zu erzielen, und welche Rolle Expertise und Plausibilitätschecks bei der Modellierung spielen. Links: Financial Times Artikel: CEOs forced to ditch decades of forecasting habits von Anne-Sylvaine Chassany https://www.ft.com/content/456baa69-83df-4c7f-af7b-49e6451a1183 Prophet von Facebook https://facebook.github.io/prophet/
Far-right leader Marine Le Pen has put in an unexpectedly strong showing and looks set to go head to head with Emmanuel Macron in the second round of France's presidential election. Gideon talks to the FT's Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and Bruno Cautrès of Sciences Po about the issues French voters care about and what happens next.Clips: Reuters, HuffPost, France inter www.ft.com/rachman-reviewhttps://play.acast.com/s/therachmanreviewWant to read more?French election polls: the race for the presidencyRightwing presidential candidates' immigration ‘obsession' belies reality of modern FranceEmmanuel Macron warns he could lose French election to the far rightFrance votes: Macron's frontrunner status conceals deep rifts in societySubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design by Jasiu SigsworthRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Anne Sylvaine-Chassany discusses the sharp deterioration in relations between Europe and the US against the backdrop of growing tensions in the Middle East with Guy Chazan in Berlin and Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Italy's Matteo Salvini is seeking to upend the traditional balance of power in Brussels by forming an alliance of anti-immigration European populist parties. James Wilson discusses whether he can succeed with Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and Miles Johnson. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
2019 will be momentous for the European Union, with all the top jobs up for grabs, elections in May that will test the strength of populist forces, and Britain's scheduled departure at the end of March. Anne-Sylvaine Chassany discusses how things could play out with Ben Hall, Europe editor, and Alex Barker, Brussels bureau chief. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Interpol, the global police organisation, has appointed its new chief. Usually a quiet affair, the appointment became headline news when it transpired that the frontrunner was a prominent Russian. Anne-Sylvaine Chassany takes a look at the institution with guests Henry Foy, the FT's Moscow bureau chief and Michael Peel, the FT's diplomatic editor. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Anne Sylvaine-Chassany and guests discuss Donald Trump’s threat to withdraw from the so-called Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces treaty, How much of a question mark does this put over what is left of the arms control arrangements that have helped the US and the Soviet Union contain the risk of nuclear confrontation. Contributors: Anne-Sylvaine-Chassany, world news editor, Daniel Dombey, deputy world editor, Henry Foy, Moscow bureau chief and Michael Peel, diplomacy correspondent. Producers: Fiona Symon and Sam Westran See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
FT Paris bureau chief Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and Berlin bureau chief Guy Chazan speak with Big Read editor Geoff Dyer about the rising waves of populism across Europe, and the bulwarks that are being built to try and stop them. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Sunday's first round of voting in France's legislative elections are a crucial test of the level of support behind the new president Emmanuel Macron. Harriet Agnew discusses the polls with Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and Michael Stothard See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
France's newly elected president has co-opted politicians from the left and the right to try to win enough support to push through his ambitious reforms. Harriet Agnew discusses the battles ahead with Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, the FT's Paris bureau chief, and Michael Stothard, Paris correspondent See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
There are big expectations for France's new 'rock star' president, who has promised to overhaul politics in the country. Gideon Rachman asks Ben Hall and Anne-Sylvaine Chassany what his first priorities will be. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
French presidential front-runner Emmanuel Macron has presented his long-awaited election manifesto, promising to cut payroll and corporation tax, and to promote investment in what he called the economy of the future. Michael Stothard discusses the proposals with the FT's Paris bureau chief Anne-Sylvaine Chassany See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The list of contenders for France's 2017 election will be finalised this week, as the socialists choose their candidate on Sunday. Gideon Rachman discusses what is set to be an unpredictable and closely fought battle for the presidency with Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, the FT’s Paris bureau chief, and former bureau chief Hugh Carnegy. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
François Fillon, a former prime minister, looks on course to become the surprise presidential candidate of the centre-right in next year's French presidential elections. James Wilson asks Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, Paris correspondent, and Ben Hall, world news editor, what his appeal is and how he would fare in a contest against the far-right populist leader Marine Le Pen. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The burkini bans are not the first time the country has been divided over religious dress, says Anne-Sylvaine Chassany. In 1908 the Catholic soutane was at the centre of a clash as the hijab and niqab are today, highlighting the tension between hardline and liberal secularism, dividing Muslims and threatening national unity See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Several towns in France have taken the unusual step of banning the burkini from their beaches, and a number of women in the resort of Cannes have already been fined for wearing the concealing swimwear favoured by some Muslims. Josh Noble discusses what’s behind the move and why Italy has taken a different approach, with the FT’s Paris and Rome bureau chiefs Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and James Politi. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Beset by strikes and deepening terrorism worries, France is struggling to cope as it hosts a major football championship, the Euro 2016 games. Gideon Rachman discusses the country's security problems and political strife with World News editor Ben Hall and Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, the FT's Paris bureau chief. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Motorists in France are facing long queues for petrol after unions opposed to the government's labour reforms tightened their blockade of the country's oil refineries. Joshua Chaffin asks the FT's Paris bureau chief Anne-Sylvaine Chassany why the unions are so angry. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
France's far-right National Front failed to win control of any regions in this weekend's elections, but its performance was strong enough to shock the mainstream parties. Gideon Rachman asks Anne-Sylvaine Chassany and Hugh Carnegy how worried they should be about 2017's presidential elections. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The founder of France's far right National Front party Jean-Marie Le Pen has bowed out of politics after a public row with his daughter and party leader Marine Le Pen over his remarks that he considered the Nazi gas chambers a mere "a detail of history". Fiona Symon talks to Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, FT Paris bureau chief about the family feud. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
President François Hollande has been praised for his leadership after the terrorist attacks in Paris, but how will France's political scene be affected in the longer term? Anne-Sylvaine Chassany reports. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Patrick Jenkins is joined by Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, private equity correspondent, for a look at how debt investors are abandoning normal creditor protections and snapping up riskier "cov-lite" loans at a faster rate and in greater proportions than at the peak of the credit bubble. Martin Arnold reports back from his interview with Jean-Laurent Bonnafé, chief executive of BNP Paribas, who sees investment banking going through a deep transition period as a result of regulation, capital requirements and a shit to electronic exchanges. Daniel Schäfer has the latest on rumblings in Russia, where Austrian banks find themselves particularly exposed, and Sharlene Goff has news of the Co-op Bank, which needs to raise another £400m just three months after its rescue See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The Kuwait Investment Authority is planning a $5bn investment in infrastructure assets, mostly in the UK, strategically changing the way they invest. Bank equities, particularly in the West, have become less attractive for this sovereign wealth fund, so is this a blow for George Osborne’s quest to reprivatise Lloyds and RBS? Sharlene Goff is joined by Patrick Jenkins, banking editor and Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, private equity correspondent, to discuss this, the Co-operative group’s debt restructuring plans, and Barclays’ latest spat with the regulator. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.