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France is facing a test for its latest prime minister. Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu must steer the country through political chaos, debt, and strikes. Will he be the one to keep the government standing and guide France toward stability, or will the crisis deepen? In this episode: Rim-Sarah Alouane, Researcher and Legal Scholar Episode credits: This episode was produced by Marcos Bartolomé, Sarí el-Khalili and Tamara Khandaker with Kylene Kiang, Phillip Lanos, Spencer Cline, Melanie Marich, Kisaa Zehra, Farhan Rafid, and our host, Malika Bilal. It was edited by Alexandra Locke and Noor Wazwaz. Our sound designer is Alex Roldan. Our video editors are Hisham Abu Salah and Mohannad Al-Melhem. Alexandra Locke is The Take’s executive producer. Ney Alvarez is Al Jazeera’s head of audio. Connect with us: @AJEPodcasts on X, Instagram, Facebook, and YouTube
Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center.1215-1230 1870 PARIS
CONTINUED Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center. TOULOUSE
CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW SCHEDULE 9-10-25 Good evening. The show begins in Poland as the government and military respond to drones crossing the Belarus to Poland border... FIRST HOUR 9-915 General Blaine Holt NATO Reacts to Russian Drone Incursions into Poland General Blaine Holt analyzes Russiandrone incursions into Polish airspace from Belarus, triggering a NATO Article 4 meeting. While NATO calls it an "intentional incursion" to allow de-escalation, Poland considers it an "act of war." The incident highlights NATO's rapid response capabilities and the broader "poly crisis" in Europe, requiring diplomatic de-escalation. 915-930 CONTINUED General Blaine Holt NATO Reacts to Russian Drone Incursions into Poland General Blaine Holt analyzes Russiandrone incursions into Polish airspace from Belarus, triggering a NATO Article 4 meeting. While NATO calls it an "intentional incursion" to allow de-escalation, Poland considers it an "act of war." The incident highlights NATO's rapid response capabilities and the broader "poly crisis" in Europe, requiring diplomatic de-escalation. 930-945 Lance Gatling Japan's LDP Prime Minister Race and China's Influence Lance Gatling discusses the race for Japan'snew Prime Minister within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) following Ishida's resignation. The LDP lacks a majority, complicating coalition-building. Takaichi Sanae, a conservative candidate critical of China, is opposed by Beijing's propagandists, highlighting China's active influence in the Japanese political landscape .945-1000 Captain James Fanell NATO Article 4 Invoked Amidst Russian Drones, China's South China Sea AggressionCaptain James Fanell discusses NATO's Article 4 invocation after Russian drones entered Polish airspace during Zapad exercises, potentially testing defenses. He also details China's escalating aggression in the South China Sea, where its navy chased a Philippine vessel near Scarborough Shoal. The "poly crisis" necessitates increased US defense spending and alliances. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Steve Yates Pentagon's National Defense Strategy Amidst Global Crises Steve Yates discusses the Pentagon's new National Defense Strategy (NDS), which prioritizes China as the "pacing challenge" over climate change. The "Fortress America" concept of homeland defense is debated against the need for alliances and extended deterrence. Events like Russian drones in Poland underscore the loss of US initiative and the urgency of adaptive defense strategies. 1015-1030 Charles Burton Canada's Dilemma: Chinese EVs and National Security Charles Burton discusses Canada'sreluctance to link national security with China, specifically regarding Chinese EVs (dubbed "spy machines"). Canadaimposed 100% tariffs at US request, leading to China's retaliation on Canadian canola. This creates a dilemma, as Canada prioritizes economic gain despite China's espionage and potential US border bans on Chinese EVs.1030-1045 Andrea Stricker Iran's Nuclear Program Targeted, Verification Crisis Ensues Andrea Stricker discusses Israel and USstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities like Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and weaponization capabilities. The IAEA cannot verify Iran's nuclear material locations after inspectors were expelled. Iran's 60% enriched uranium poses a proliferation risk, leading to anticipated UN sanctions. The strikes prevented JCPOA-allowed centrifuge surges.1045-1100CONTINUED Andrea Stricker Iran's Nuclear Program Targeted, Verification Crisis Ensues Andrea Stricker discusses Israel and USstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities like Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and weaponization capabilities. The IAEA cannot verify Iran's nuclear material locations after inspectors were expelled. Iran's 60% enriched uranium poses a proliferation risk, leading to anticipated UN sanctions. The strikes prevented JCPOA-allowed centrifuge surges. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 Professor Josh Blackman Judicial Defiance: Lower Courts Challenge Supreme Court and Trump AdministrationProfessor Josh Blackman details an unprecedented judicial "revolt" where lower federal courts, particularly in Boston, repeatedly defy Supreme Court rulings and temporary restraining orders against the Trump Administration. Cases involve deportation and presidential firing power. Chief Justice Roberts is struggling to make lower courts "get in line," prompting a rare concurrence from Justice Gorsuch criticizing the defiance.1115-1130 Professor Josh Blackman Judicial Defiance: Lower Courts Challenge Supreme Court and Trump AdministrationProfessor Josh Blackman details an unprecedented judicial "revolt" where lower federal courts, particularly in Boston, repeatedly defy Supreme Court rulings and temporary restraining orders against the Trump Administration. Cases involve deportation and presidential firing power. Chief Justice Roberts is struggling to make lower courts "get in line," prompting a rare concurrence from Justice Gorsuch criticizing the defiance. 1130-1145 Bob Zimmerman Space Policy, Launches, and Astronomical Discoveries Bob Zimmerman criticizes the over-budget Artemis lunar program while praising SpaceX's increased launches from Cape Canaveral. He discusses the politically-driven Space Force HQ relocation and NASA's efforts to reduce reliance on Russia for ISS orbit-raising. Global space startups are booming, Starlink cuts prices, and new astronomical discoveries are made.1145-1200CONTINUED Bob Zimmerman Space Policy, Launches, and Astronomical Discoveries Bob Zimmerman criticizes the over-budget Artemis lunar program while praising SpaceX's increased launches from Cape Canaveral. He discusses the politically-driven Space Force HQ relocation and NASA's efforts to reduce reliance on Russia for ISS orbit-raising. Global space startups are booming, Starlink cuts prices, and new astronomical discoveries are made.FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center.1215-1230CONTINUED Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center.1230-1245 Grant Newsham Korea's Division, South Korea's Shift, and the Axis of Adversaries Grant Newsham traces Korea's1945 division by US officers, leading to North Korea's establishment. He highlights the pro-North Korea South Korean administration's alignment with China and Russia. The unified appearance of Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin at a Beijing parade solidifies them as a formidable "axis of adversaries," intimidating the West.1245-100 AM Michael Bernstam Falling Oil Prices Threaten Russia's Economy, Boost US and Europe Michael Bernstam explains that falling oil prices, forecasted to drop to $50/barrel due to increased OPEC supply, will severely impact Russia'sbudget (based on $70/barrel) and push it towards recession. This benefits US consumers and GDP, while rising US LNGexports fully replace Europe's Russian gas, effectively isolating Russia from the European energy marke
As France gets its fifth prime minister in three years, demonstrators who responded to a call to block the country talk about feeling ignored by the government. Residents and business owners in Paris' picturesque Montmartre neighbourhood hit out at overtourism. And the brutal history of France's colonisation of the Caribbean island of Martinique, one of five French overseas departments. For many critics of French President Emmanuel Macron, his nomination of close ally Sebastien Lecornu to replace François Bayrou as prime minister is a slap in the face, and further proof that the government is ignoring people's wishes. Participants in a movement to shut down the country on Wednesday talk about feeling unheard, and draw comparisons with the anti-government Yellow Vest movement from 2018-2019. (Listen @0') Tourists have long been drawn to the "village" of Montmartre, with its famed Sacre Cœur basilica, artists' square, winding cobbled streets, vineyards and pastel-shaded houses. But the rise of influencers and instagrammers who post picture-postcard decors, as featured in hit films and Netflix series, have turned it into a must-see destination. With tourists now outnumbering residents by around 430 to one, the cohabitation is under strain. Béatrice Dunner, of the Association for the Defence of Montmartre, is calling on local authorities to follow the example of Amsterdam and tackle overtourism before it's too late. (Listen @13') On 15 September 1635, a group of French colonists claimed the Caribbean island of Martinique, establishing a plantation economy reliant on slavery. Its economic and cultural legacy continues to shape the island today as an overseas department. (Listen @6'35'') Episode mixed by Cécile Pompeani Spotlight on France is a podcast from Radio France International. Find us on rfienglish.com, Apple podcasts (link here), Spotify (link here) or your favourite podcast app (pod.link/1573769878).
Protests gripped France nationwide on Wednesday as the newly appointed prime minister, Sébastien Lecornu, assumed office. Protesters demonstrated their anger at potentially massive spending cuts, as opposition lawmakers defended their counter-proposals to tackle France's debt and deficit. So what's in their plans? Plus, Danish pharma giant Novo Nordisk announces a plan to cut 9,000 jobs as the maker of Wegovy and Ozempic struggles to turn its fortunes around.
The collapse of PM François Bayrou's government after losing a confidence vote in the French National Assembly on Monday is casting a long shadow over the country's public finances. The eurozone's second-largest economy's debt pile currently accounts for over 114 percent of its GDP and the lack of a consensus on how to restore public finances will increase that number further. Also in this edition: Norway's Labour Party wins a general election focused on a wealth tax debate.
French President Emmanuel Macron has picked defence chief Sébastien Lecornu as his new prime minister, a day after François Bayrou was voted out by parliament. The 39-year-old Lecornu's immediate priority will be to try to forge consensus on a new budget, before forming a government. If this year's budget were to be carried over into next year, France's fiscal deficit, already the highest in the EU, is predicted to widen further.
As the EU political season gets back into full swing, member states are confronted by daunting challenges. In the last few days, they have revisited the thorny question of providing security guarantees to Ukraine – which, of course, means dealing with the notoriously mercurial US president, Donald Trump. Transatlantic tensions are obvious, both politically and on the trade side of things – despite an EU-US agreement on tariffs struck at the end of July. We take a closer look at the geopolitical and economic headwinds faced by the EU with Arancha Gonzalez Laya, the dean of the Paris School of International Affairs at Sciences Po university. She is a former foreign minister of Spain, and a former senior official at the World Trade Organization and the United Nations.
A week ahead of the confidence vote on the French government, a political expert has described it as an "absolutely wild gamble". Andrew Smith says that while French Prime Minister François Bayrou has been saying he has not taken a summer holiday since he's been trying to find an answer to France's budgetary crisis, the PM may instead be taking forced holidays in September after his government falls. Smith, who is a historian of modern France at Queen Mary University of London, says the "parliamentary logic just is not there" to support Bayrou. He spoke to us in Perspective.
Daniel talks about the French political uncertainties, how it affects Euro-area equities, and what are the key levels to be watching out for. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Fired Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook launches a lawsuit against her dismissal by President Trump which is now set to go all the way to the Supreme Court. France is on the brink of yet another parliamentary quagmire after French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou decides to put his budget cuts toa vote of no-confidence. Opposition lawmakers are vowing to oust Bayrou over the measures. Equities and sovereign debt sell off as a result. And in tariff news, Washington applies an additional 25 per cent levy on India as a result of purchases of discounted Russian oil. Option markets wait on Nvidia earnings, anticipating what could be a 6 per cent share move in either direction as Q2 earnings come to a close. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Today, a look at markets unwinding much of the reaction to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the bad vibes in Europe this morning as French politics are set for another showdown into a September 8 confidence vote, Trump's trying to fire the Fed's Lisa Cook and whether he can succeed, AI-related names that are nervous ahead of Nvidia's big earnings report tomorrow after the close, crypto markets on edge and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
US President Trump threatened to impose substantial additional tariffs on countries that do not remove discriminatory actions such as digital taxes.US President Trump posted a letter removing Fed's Cook from her position with immediate effect; Cook says she will not resign.European bourses are on the backfoot, but with clear underperformance in the CAC 40 as French politics take centre stage; US equity futures are slightly lower.USD is steady, EUR digests French political turmoil, JPY marginally outpaces peers.USTs pressured in reaction to Trump-Cook saga; Gilts/OATs digest regional political woes.XAU outperforms after Trump sends letter to Fed's Cook; Crude gives back geopolitical-driven gains.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods (Jul), Consumer Confidence (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Announcement, E3/Iran Nuclear talks, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Barkin & BoE's Mann, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
French Prime Minister François Bayrou has warned that the nation is facing an "immediate danger" of over-indebtedness as he tried to rally support for his unpopular budget plan for 2026. Labour unions have threatened to bring France to a standstill with a general strike called for September 10. Plus, US President Donald Trump boasts that his government has paid "zero" for a 10 percent stake in embattled chipmaker Intel.
Poznaj historię laicyzacji Francji – od rewolucji francuskiej po ustawę z 1905 roku o rozdziale Kościoła od państwa. Sprawdź, jak kształtował się model świeckości (laïcité) i jakie miał znaczenie dla polityki, społeczeństwa i edukacji.#współpracabarterowa #historia #podcasthistoryczny
On today's episode, Executive Editor Natalie Orpett spoke with Tara Varma, a fellow at the Brookings Institution, about the latest in French politics. On March 31, far-right leader Marine Le Pen was convicted of embezzlement and banned from politics, though polling showed her in the lead for the 2027 presidential elections. In the last few weeks, current French president Emmanuel Macron has been carving out a place for French leadership amidst the upheaval in Europe's relationship with the United States. Meanwhile, the push to build European defense capacity—and Trump's new tariffs—are raising a lot of complicated questions.To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
We'll look at what auto tariffs could mean for US jobs and whether people should rush to buy a car. President Donald Trump isn't ruling out trying to run for a third term. A UN agency says the bodies of more than a dozen aid workers have been recovered in Gaza. One of the favorites for the next French presidential election has been banned from running for office. Plus, a cryptocurrency billionaire is funding a space mission. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Can justice be truly blind? Truly impartial and impervious to biases, pressures and power plays? Can citizens in this day and age agree to accept it when a court bars a presidential frontrunner from contesting the next election? The party of the French far right's Marine Le Pen calls it "an execution of democracy," after a ruling found nine far-right lawmakers guilty of running a "system" that funnelled €2.9 million from the European Parliament to National Rally insiders. Injustice is in the eye of the beholder: take Romania and Turkey, where frontrunners have also been recently barred under very different circumstances. Whenever a politician is convicted, it's a stress test for institutions and the rule of law. In the case of Le Pen, she's got the backing of a growing media echo chamber. How far will crying foul carry the far right in France?Donald Trump never went to trial for allegedly trying to forcibly overturn his 2020 election defeat. With the US president now testing constitutional limits in his country, will the illiberal winds across the Atlantic further stoke sympathy for Le Pen, or spook citizens who may look at the turmoil in Washington and prefer France's imperfect republic as it is?Produced by Rebecca Gnignati, Elisa Amiri, Ilayda Habip.Read moreLe Pen's French presidential hopes in jeopardy as election ban upends 2027 race
The latest news says that Marine Le Pen and eight other MEPs have been found guilty of embezzling EU funds by a Paris court. This isn't just a slap on the wrist, it's a political earthquake. The presiding judge, Bénédicte de Perthuis, warned from the start that the judgment would be lengthy, packed with explanations for the decision taken. And yet, here's the first headline: guilty as charged. What happens if Le Pen is banned from running and why is this a moment of big bang for French politics?Join us on our journey through the events that shape the European continent and the European Union.Production: By Europod, in co production with Sphera Network.Follow us on:LinkedInInstagram Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The Goldman Case (Le Procès Goldman) (2023), is a French courtroom drama based on the real-life 1976 trial of Pierre Goldman, a far-left Jewish militant who was accused of multiple armed robberies and four murders during a holdup of a pharmacy in Paris. The film, which was directed by Cedric Kahn from screenplay by Kahn and Nathalie Hertzberg, stars Arieh Worthalter as Goldman and Arthur Harari as his lead lawyer, Georges Kiejiman. The film is not only a gripping account of this celebrated trial, but also explores larger themes around individual and collective responsibility, the way courtrooms can become the battleground for contested narratives about the past, and the swirling forces of race, class, and religion in 1970s France. Joining me to talk about The Goldman Case is Fred Davis, an internationally acclaimed trial attorney, expert on French criminal law and procedure, and Lecturer at Columbia Law School, where he teaches about how to examine comparative criminal procedure through film. Timestamps:0:00 Introduction2:34 Background for the Pierre Goldman case5:15 Goldman's lawyers, Georges Kiejiman and Francis Chouraqui7:48 Breaking down a French courtroom9:21 The lawyer for the victims10:20 Procedural differences between French and American trials14:47 A window into 1970s France17:33 The backdrop of the treatment of Jews in Vichy France 23:05 How the Left rallied to Goldman's side27:10 Tensions around race and policing in France29:58 The role of the investigating magistrate in France 32:22 The verdict and aftermath 38:55 French courtroom dramas40:42 Evolving discussion about France's history during World War II43:40 Studying comparative criminal justice through filmFurther reading:Goldman, Pierre, Dim Memories of a Polish Jew Born in France (1977) Oltermann, Philip, “Tried for double murder and adored by the French left: the violent life and crimes of Pierre Goldman,” The Guardian (Sept. 16, 2024)Paxton, Robert O., Vichy France: Old Guard and New Order, 1940-1944 (1972)Marrus, Michael, R. & Paxton, Robert O., Vichy France and the Jews (1981)Reid, Donald, “From Souvenirs obscurs to Lieu de mémorie,” French Politics,Culture & Society, vol. 26, no. 2 (Summer 2008)Vincendeau, Ginette, “The Goldman Case: arresting courtroom drama holds its own outside a French context,” Sight and Sound (Sept. 20, 2024) Law on Film is created and produced by Jonathan Hafetz. Jonathan is a professor at Seton Hall Law School. He has written many books and articles about the law. He has litigated important cases to protect civil liberties and human rights while working at the ACLU and other organizations. Jonathan is a huge film buff and has been watching, studying, and talking about movies for as long as he can remember. For more information about Jonathan, here's a link to his bio: https://law.shu.edu/profiles/hafetzjo.htmlYou can contact him at jonathanhafetz@gmail.comYou can follow him on X (Twitter) @jonathanhafetz You can follow the podcast on X (Twitter) @LawOnFilmYou can follow the podcast on Instagram @lawonfilmpodcast
Chip manufacturers Qualcomm and Arm both top Q4 expectations after the bell but A.I. capex concerns push shares down. The Nissan-Honda merger is reportedly in jeopardy as Nissan shareholders' “growing differences” could now potentially lead to the $58bn deal being scrapped. Société Générale enjoys a doubling of Q4 profits helped by a rebound in its retail banking arm. The French lender's FY revenue tops targets and is also promising a share buyback. France's new government survives two no-confidence votes in the Assemblée Nationale which will now allow Prime Minister Francois Bayrou to pass the country's delayed budget. And in the UK, the Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates by a quarter point as well as issue a potential growth forecast downgrade. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
After running on an extension of the 2024 budget for more than a month, France is finally set to have a formal 2025 budget after Prime Minister François Bayrou forced the text through parliament without a vote but survived a vote of no-confidence over the move. The plan aims to bring the budget deficit down to 5.4 percent of GDP and save €50 billion through spending cuts and tax hikes. Plus, amid US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, new data shows the US trade deficit with other countries widened to a new record in 2024.
How France's budget cuts will impact development work abroad and civil society at home. An inconclusive medical marijuana experiment leaves patients in limbo. And how Jewish comedian Pierre Dac used humour in the Resistance. The government's budget for 2025, if passed, will see public spending slashed by €32 billion. While most ministries are impacted, funding for public development assistance (PDA) is facing cuts of more than €2 billion – 35 percent of its budget. Coordination Sud, an umbrella group for 180 French non-profit organisations working internationally, say they're being disproportionately hit at a time when international solidarity efforts are needed more than ever. Elodie Barralon, the group's advocacy officer, talks about the impact of such cuts and concerns that civil society is being rolled back in France. (Listen @0')As a three-year experiment with medical marijuana comes to an end, instead of generalising its use, as intended, authorisation has been stalled. Nadine Attal, head of the pain centre at the Ambroise-Paré hospital in Boulogne near Paris addresses the sticking points, which include France's current government chaos and the lack of political will to move forward. She sounds the alarm over the hundreds of patients enrolled in the experiment who have benefited from medical cannabis but whose health is now being ignored. (Listen @20'20'').French humourist Pierre Dac came to fame in the 1930s with a winning brand of absurdist humour that managed to get everyone laughing while ridiculing no one. When WWII broke out he turned his talents to fighting anti-semitism, Hitler, and the collaborationist Vichy regime, joining Free France's Radio Londres in 1943. He also founded a political party that defended the place of laughter and flabbiness in politics. Fifty years after his death, on 9 February 1975, he remains one of France's most popular, and humanist of humourists. (Listen @14'20'')Episode mixed by Cecile Pompeani. Spotlight on France is a podcast from Radio France International. Find us on rfienglish.com, Apple podcasts (link here), Spotify (link here) or your favourite podcast app (pod.link/1573769878).
Tech stocks including Nvidia and Meta drag the Nasdaq into the red for its fifth straight session. Investors now turn their attention to the CPI print following better-than-expected producer price data. In Seoul, police arrest impeached president Yoon Suk Yeol at the second attempt. He is South Korea's first ever serving leader to be arrested. New French prime minister Francois Bayrou has announced in the Assemblée Nationale that he aims to re-open discussion over President Macron's pension reforms as he seeks to court left-wing lawmakers to agree on a budget. And in the UK, under-pressure Chancellor Rachel Reeves doubles down to defend her October budget in the face of soaring borrowing costs. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Max and Donatienne recap the major stories that shaped 2024 and look ahead at the coming year. They are then joined by Georgina Wright, Senior Fellow and Deputy Director for International Studies at Institut Montaigne, for a discussion on the political turmoil currently roiling France. Learn more: Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Paris got 46 hours of sunlight in November. The weather wasn't particularly cold, it was only slightly wetter than usual, but definitely grey. As for France's political climate, the deadlock's enough to make the natives want to hibernate. Emmanuel Macron to name his fourth prime minister of 2024 after a divided parliament ousted the minority government of veteran conservative Michel Barnier. After a surprise call of snap elections, the French president then waited nearly two months to name Barnier and try to double down on a core of centrists and conservatives to pass a budget. With the country constitutionally unable to return to the polls to replace the hung parliament until summer, will Macron try to change tack and offer concessions to the oppositions, even attempt a German-style grand coalition? France is an outlier in Europe: when there's a majority in the legislature, its president has outsized powers with the ability to micro-manage day-to-day affairs. Can the French do compromise? The far left and far right have their eyes on the big prize, the next presidential election in 2027 and demand purity tests of their faithful and allies. But then, how do you get a budget over the line? And does the system safeguard against illiberal methods. One week after South Korea's president tried and failed at martial law, as the West prepares for the return of Donald Trump … how will France's democracy weather what's ahead? Produced by Rebecca Gnignati, Elisa Amiri, Ilayda Habip.
A survey on the outlook of French businesses released by the Bank of France shows that the country's industrial and construction sectors have reached levels of uncertainty last seen during the 2022 energy crunch. This comes as Emmanuel Macron is expected to name a prime minister who will be tasked with forming a new government, thereby pushing back the approval of a budget for 2025. Also, Ukrainian farmers clear their fields of mines in a bid to boost grain production.
• Get 20% off annual Patreon support for The Bunker in our Black Friday sale. The perfect gift to ask for! French politics is in turmoil at the moment with President Macron facing pressure over who he names as the nation's next Prime Minister. Can the different factions in France be brought together? And can Macron fend off his enemies – or might someone else be better suited? Sophie Pedder, Paris bureau chief of The Economist, joins Ros Taylor to discuss the chaos and what might come of it. We are sponsored by Indeed. Go to Indeed.com/bunker for £100 sponsored credit. www.patreon.com/bunkercast Written and presented by Ros Taylor. Audio production: Tom Taylor. Managing Editor: Jacob Jarvis. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison. Music by Kenny Dickinson. THE BUNKER is a Podmasters Production. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Markets are bracing for the U.S. jobs report, with Wall Street easing back from record highs, and small caps seeing their worst day in 3 weeks. Meanwhile in France, President Emmanuel Macron plays the blame game, resisting calls to step down and calling out the left and right for the government collapse. OPEC+ and its allies delay plans to increase production once again over weak demand and rising production outside the group. In the U.S., President-elect Donald Trump nominates former Senator David Perdue as the next ambassador to China, while tapping Elon Musk-ally David Sacks to lead on crypto and AI.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
The French government has collapsed. Prime Minister Michel Barnier has been ousted in a no-confidence vote just three months after he was appointed by President Emmanuel Macron. Newstalk ZB's Paris correspondent Catherine Field says the right and the Government are warning the no confidence vote will result in chaos, and plunge France into the "unknown". Field says it's the first time since 1962 that a French prime minister has lost a vote of confidence. She says Macron last week began asking around to see if anyone wanted the job, and there are four names who are ready to step into the role of Prime Minister. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Is France broken? Is France broke? Marine Le Pen to join the left and bring down a minority government that was scrambling to plug France's spiraling budget deficit. What is the plan for the far-right leader of parliament's largest opposition party? We will ask about a crisis that has been brewing ever since Emmanuel Macron's surprise call for snap elections backfired last July with a hung parliament that constitutionally cannot be dissolved again until summer. With next year's budget yet to be approved, there will not be a US-style shutdown, but it is anyone's guess how a caretaker government limps along with a spiraling deficit. Yes, the hangover from tax breaks and Covid-era subsidies has France borrowing at a higher cost than Greece … and with an opposition that wants no part of belt-tightening and neighbouring Germany also in political and economic turmoil, it is all of Europe that just might have a problem. Produced by Alessandro Xenos, Elisa Amiri, Rebecca Gnignati and Ilayda Ibip.
France's Government seems to be on the brink of collapse. It looks likely to fall apart later this week after far-right and left-wing parties said they will vote for a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Michel Barnier. The move comes after Barnier pushed through the 2025 social security budget without a vote. France Correspondent Catherine Field told Mike Hosking that even if Barnier wins this vote, it's only part of the battle, as he will still need to get the rest of the budget through. She says that if he loses, the Government falls, and the best-case scenario is financial and political uncertainty – which could impact the entire Eurozone. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of History 102, 'WhatIfAltHist' creator Rudyard Lynch and co-host Austin Padgett talk about the French Revolution and the fascinating parallels between 18th-century French social dynamics and today's political landscape. From bureaucratic upheaval to radical terror, journey through the chaos that transformed France and birthed modern political divisions. Learn how a centralized monarchy crumbled into revolutionary fervor, spawning new ideas of nationalism, secularism, and total war that would reshape Europe. --
In a turbulent political summer, few surprises were greater than that caused by French president Emmanuel Macron's decision in June to call early parliamentary elections. Macron's party had just been trounced in the European Parliament elections; and victory for the far right seemed likely. In the end, thanks to some last minute deals, Marine Le Pen's National Rally did not win. Rather, it was an alliance of the left that secured most seats in the National Assembly. France's Socialist Party was regularly in power from the early 1980s till the mid 2010s. But it collapsed spectacularly in the elections of 2017, and its very survival today seems in doubt. So what has been going on? And have the recent elections brought any signs of revival?Joining us to explore these questions is Philippe Marlière, Professor of French and European Politics in the UCL European and International Social and Political Studies department.This episode of UCL Uncovering Politics is the first in an occasional series of episodes based on pieces in Political Quarterly.Mentioned in this episode:Marlière, P. (2024), French Social Democracy in Turmoil. The Political Quarterly. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13442 UCL's Department of Political Science and School of Public Policy offers a uniquely stimulating environment for the study of all fields of politics, including international relations, political theory, human rights, public policy-making and administration. The Department is recognised for its world-class research and policy impact, ranking among the top departments in the UK on both the 2021 Research Excellence Framework and the latest Guardian rankings.
Russia and China are partnering to build a multipolar world order.
This week has seen Israel and Hezbollah step closer to all-out war. Air strikes across Lebanon on Monday killed more than 500 people – the deadliest day in the country since the civil war more than three decades ago. Hezbollah struck deeper into Israeli territory. Then the chief of the IDF told Israeli soldiers to prepare for the possible entry of ground troops into southern Lebanon. Unified calls came for a 21-day ceasefire from the UN and Western allies, but the rhetoric of the Israeli PM suggests anything but peace.
A shamanic ceremony in Paris prepares human remains to return to French Guiana. French villages finally get street names. And the 1970s court case that changed France's approach to prosecuting rape. Native Americans from French Guiana and Suriname were recently in Paris to demand the restitution of the remains of six of their ancestors who died after being exhibited in so-called human zoos. Corinnne Toka Devilliers, whose great-grandmother Moliko was exhibited at the capital's Jardin d'Acclimatation in 1892 but survived, describes holding a shamanic ceremony at the Museum of Mankind to prepare her fellow Kali'na for the voyage home. But there are still legal obstacles to overcome before the remains can leave the Parisian archives where they've spent the past 132 years. (Listen @3'30'')Until recently, French villages with fewer than 2,000 residents did not need to name their streets – but legislation that came into effect this summer now requires them to identify roads to make it easier for emergency services and delivery people to find them. While not all villages have jumped at the opportunity, we joined residents in a hamlet in the south of France as they gathered to decide their new street names. And geographer Frederic Giraut talks about how the law is impacting the culture and heritage of small, rural localities. (Listen @21'53'')The closely watched trial of a man accused of drugging his wife and inviting others to rape her while she lay unconscious at their home in southern France has become a rallying cry for those who say society needs to change the way it thinks about sexual assault. Fifty years ago, another rape case caused similar outcry – and led to changes in how France prosecutes and defines rape. (Listen @13'25'')Episode mixed by Cecile Pompéani. Spotlight on France is a podcast from Radio France International. Find us on rfienglish.com, Apple podcasts (link here), Spotify (link here) or your favourite podcast app (pod.link/1573769878).
Back in May, Emmanuel Macron said he wanted to clear the air and called surprise snap elections. Nine weeks and one hung parliament later, does the naming of France's new centre-right coalition government seal his fate for the history books as a lame duck president whose gamble backfired miserably? Even a term-limited French president has powers at his disposal and the cabinet named on Saturday seems even weaker than Macron. It is beholden to a National Assembly that is also weak: split three ways between left, centre-right and far right. When push comes to shove, is it the presidential palace that's got the strongest hand of the lot? New Prime Minister Michel Barnier's main task is to get a budget over the line. The EU's former Brexit negotiator does so while inheriting an off-the-charts deficit. Yes, Macron's "whatever it costs" spending policies during Covid saved small businesses and helped win him re-election in 2022. Is now the time to pay the piper?More broadly, what to make of the most right-wing government since the days of Nicolas Sarkozy more than a decade ago? What immigration policy is likely? And with Marine Le Pen's National Rally dangling the threat of a no-confidence vote at any time over Barnier's government, how far to the right is France in 2024? Produced by Alessandro Xenos, Rebecca Gnignati and Mélissa Kalaydjan.
China surprises by slashing its key short-term repo rate and announcing a rare economic press conference which triggers speculation of further stimulus measures from Beijing. In France a new government drawn together by Prime Minister Michel Barnier is under threat from a vote of no confidence over his ministerial choices. Apollo Global Management is reportedly eyeing a $5bn investment in Intel while Qualcomm reaches out with a friendly take-over bid. And Rupert Murdoch's REA Group ups its takeover offer for UK property firm Rightmove following last week's initial rejection.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
It has been a week that has seen a new method of technological warfare - used against Hezbollah in Lebanon. First Pagers, then Walkie-Talkies simultaneously exploding in people's hands, pockets, bags. Dozens killed, thousands injured. No comment from Israel's spy agency who is said to have meticulously planned and physically infiltrated the group's supply chain. We will look at how it happened, why now, and what next?
How the Paris Paralympics have boosted interest in inclusive sports in France. A look back at the origins of the first international games for deaf athletes, 100 years ago. And why it's difficult, but necessary, for France's deeply divided National Assembly to embrace the art of compromise. The Paralympics in Paris shone a light on disability and the challenges disabled people in France face in getting access to sport. Novosports, one of only 40 sports clubs in the capital open to players with disabilities, is entirely focused on inclusive sports, where people with and without disabilities can train together. Club founder Jerome Rousseau talks about developing inclusive volleyball, and club members talk about the importance of opening sport up to everyone. (Listen @1'55'')Decades before the Paralympic Games were born, the world's first multi-discipline competition for athletes with a disability took place in Paris in the summer of 1924. Reserved for deaf competitors, the International Silent Games were a landmark in the history of inclusive sport and laid the foundations for today's contests. Historian Didier Séguillon, curator of an exhibition on the Games at the National Institute for Deaf Young People, discusses their origins and legacy. (Listen @10'15'')Since recent parliamentary elections in France failed to give any political party a ruling majority, the three main blocs – the left-wing NFP alliance, the centre-right Ensemble coalition and the far-right National Rally – have been at loggerheads. The new prime minister has to form a unity government, but this involves compromise on all sides – a notion that's often equated in France with "giving in". Laure Gillot-Assayag, a researcher in political science and philosophy, argues that in such a politically divided landscape, France needs a culture of compromise more than ever. (Listen @17'10'')Episode mixed by Cecile Pompéani. Spotlight on France is a podcast from Radio France International. Find us on rfienglish.com, Apple podcasts (link here), Spotify (link here) or your favourite podcast app (pod.link/1573769878).
It has been a week which saw France finally appoint a new prime minister. A mountain hiking, smooth-talking septuagenarian – Michel Barnier. Monsieur Brexit, former EU point man negotiating Britain's divorce. He has served in the cabinet of many French Presidents in decades gone by. Now, he is back as the oldest PM in the French fifth Republic replacing the youngest one! But why Barnier? And why did he want the job? Is it because he is the master of eggshell diplomacy?
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The seven-week wait is finally over. Succeeding France's youngest prime minister of the past century is its oldest yet: Michel Barner. President Macron on Thursday appointed the Brussels veteran to try and form a government that can survive a vote of no confidence. The EU's former Brexit negotiator will now have to muster all his negotiating savvy. Macron's gamble on snap elections delivered the most splintered parliament since the Fifth Republic while appointing a new Gaullist PM whose party finished fifth. That begs the broader question: Who has got the legitimacy to govern? And with what mandate after those elections? General de Gaulle introduced the 1958 Constitution which granted more powers to sitting presidents, allowing them to weigh on policy despite lacking a majority in government. How much power does Macron still have now that he has shown his hand and played his cards? Produced by Alessandro Xenos, Rebecca Gnignati and Juliette Brown.
At what point does the French president have to hand over the reins of power? It's business as usual on this last Thursday in August at the Élysée Palace for Emmanuel Macron, meeting the new British prime minister before jetting off to Serbia for an official visit. But it's been nearly two months since his surprise gamble on snap elections backfired and he's yet to name a new prime minister. It's not easy to choose a head of government when parliament is now split three ways between the far right, a coalition of the left and those in between. In fact, it is unprecedented. In a nation that has not known coalition building since Charles de Gaulle changed the constitution back in 1958, how to pass an October budget through a splintered house?Through it all, the French still went on summer vacation, the trains still ferried fans to the Olympics and Paralympics and parents and teachers still got ready for next week's first day back at school. But how long can the state of limbo last? When does France start to seem rudderless to the rest of Europe and when does it start to matter?Produced by François Picard, Andrew Hilliar, Ilayda Habip, Meiqi An
Our Olympics special: Has France's political crisis dampened the mood in Paris? How climate change is hurting some athletes' hopes of Gold, the Olympic flame gets Parisians fired up, and how the Games are helping refugee athletes to rebuild their lives. Plus, a special edition of DW's Don't Drink the Milk podcast on how passports didn't exist before World War I but now we can't live without them.
Shane McLorrain rejoins the podcast to take a victory lap on his predictions from a few weeks ago. He and Jacob talk about the election results, discuss what is next for France and Europe, and close with some spicy thoughts on lap swimming etiquette in ville lumière.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction and Welcome(00:59) - French Elections Recap(02:10) - Election Results Analysis(03:46) - The Republican Wall and Far-Right Dynamics(09:08) - Future of French Politics(15:56) - Macron's Presidency and Reforms(23:34) - European Parliament and Far-Right Alliances(28:12) - Rassemblement Nationale Under Investigation(29:07) - European Far-Right Movements(29:55) - Contrarian View on Democracy(31:29) - Maloney's Unique Position(32:27) - French Enthusiasm Against Fascism(38:03) France's Relationship with the EU(46:28) - Irish Politics and Public Sentiment(49:40) - Swimming Culture in France(51:07) - Conclusion and Disclaimers--CI Site: cognitive.investmentsJacob Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapSubscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep--Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients' material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).--Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor's particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisorThis podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacyPodtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp
A left-wing coalition is projected to win parliamentary elections in France, prompting the French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal to announce his resignation. But there is no outright winner and a coalition of centre and leftist parties has held off the far right's ambitions for a majority in Parliament. But if there is no dominant party, what impact will that have? (Photo: French far-right leader Marine Le Pen talks to journalists after early projections were announced. Credit: Reuters)