Money Talks with Capstone Wealth Management, a weekly show that airs Saturdays at 9am on The Big 1070 in Madison.
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RATES - companies handling higher rates really well!Growth - growing!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Bad Breadth...but where is it isolated?Stock and rates correlation. What changed?US Dollar...if it is going to correct...this is the spot.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

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5%...isn't something supposed to break! Not when you look at the cost of money though the correct lens.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

MOVE Index Moved hard! Last time coincided with stock market bottoms...or close to it.BREADTH - sucks in the short term view. But zoom out and look at price! New highs or near new highs.FLASH PMIs - US Business is BOOMING!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Metals - Gold & Silver don't like accelerating CPI data or risng 2YR ratesSentiment - AAII data says lots of investors are bearish...similar to what we saw in spring 2025. Right before a very powerful rallySeasonality - OCT NOV are best 2 months in mid-term years going back to 1950.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

YIELD CURVE - hammered down. OIL - 10YR / OIL correlation highest since 1990. Iran dependent more than Fed.SEMICONDUCTORS - -13% discount to the S&P!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

AI spending is just beginningTransports looking sickly with $650+ diesel.Copper - rise continues as global growth is still...growingBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Fed - changed directions. Will history repeat like in Sept 2024 only in an inverse way?GDP - Atlanta Fed see 5.1%! Acceleration. That'd be best since Q4 2021.When compared to capex, Dividends are rising faster than in the late 1990s...the golden era.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Fed Day! Hike is likelyOil Futures Curve - steep backwardation suggests oil settles downGlobal debt - socialist style governments are paying the priceBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Postioning - still looks like people are not hidingShort term risks - CTAsGold - does not like high rates. But gold NOT ripping is NOT a signal that stocks are in trouble.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Bonds - failing to provide diversification from stock movesRates - not stopping yet!VIX - Ready to fail at trend?!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Is this bubble good? Have we seen anything like this before? Yes!Dr Copper saying global growth is just fineRates - Fed meets next week and even though markets are betting they raise rates...I say they won't.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Risks Rising?Volatility waking up?Japan - rates and Yen keep rising. Yes carry trade risksOil...still moving on momentum. $108 strong resistanceBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

1.) US DOLLAR = Weak...no flight to safety, no rate hike2.) SENTIMENT - no euphoria. AAII Bull ratio looks constructive3.) OIL- Tankers moving thru the Strait?Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Debt - NOT a fleeing from US debt. This is a repricing of soverign solvency riskOil - probably headed higher as WTI, Brent breakouts...now Shanghai futures above Brent. China a buyer again?Zoom out. Markets look fineBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Debt - NOT a fleeing from US debt. This is a repricing of soverign solvency riskOil - probably headed higher as WTI, Brent breakouts...now Shanghai futures above Brent. China a buyer again?Zoom out. Markets look fineBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

POSITIONING in markets is what matters. You see euphoria? NopeRates - rising everywhere..not just in US. Inflation AND growth tend to come hand in hand.GDP - Atlanta Fed pushing GDP estimates higherBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Be a contrarian...you'll live longerToo many shorts in the system to see a -10% correctionValuations - market is NOT expensiveBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Yields - saying something...just not what they have beenBonds NOT doing their jobBitcoin...getting closer to that bear market bottomBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

credit spreads saying everything is okUS Dollar still in a downward bias confirming everything is still okKOSPI - South Korea - telling us that demand is still good.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

No euphoria in this marketHousing repricing? Median prices dropping.Oil...probably see a bit of a move up here.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Gold - buy those dips!Inflate or DIE! You know what governments will do.Earnings estimates look just fine.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Rates out of control? Gov't stepping in to hold rates down.AI Bubble? No...not yet.US Dollar down! Good for gold and bitcoin.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Energy - breakoutFlows - heavy positiveBitcoin - big buyers been buying!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Naz 100 Futures positioning is HUGEly short. Buy!Insiders buying!New Lows keep droppingBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

BofA Bull BearOilFibonacciBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Bond market confirming no rate hikeGold...buy the dipsUS Dollar - headed downBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

3M - a look at economic activuty that tells a story of strengthNO RATE HIKE COMING. PERIOD.Share buybacks are rampingBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Bubble...not like 1999Investors keep saying Yes to companies raising capitalBuy goldBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Inflation is not the same for everyoneHousingOilBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Bearish Dollar Good for goldVIX and forward returnsBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

CTAs squeezing gold higher?Jobs number sucked. The Fed is NOT going to raise rates.Becareful of labels and arbitrary numbers in maket speakBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Software is NOT dead!Equal Weighted Indexes are telling a good storyGold still trending lower, but a base is now looking for formidableBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Share buyback window opening wider!New all time highs!Invetory to sales ratio at levels lower than the last three recessions. This is BULLISH!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Valutions - Cheapest since 2020! This is NOT the most expensive market ever.NSYE - hitting new highsSTOXX 50 - Europe breaking out for first time since dot-com bubble!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Inflate or Die!Taylor Rule says rates too low!30 Yr Yields still breaking outBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Banks - healthy breakoutDXY - Risk on breakdownGold - Healthy consolidationBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

RATES - market doing Fed's jobRETAIL - Retail army hit the sell sell sell button!BREADTH - keeps getting better as market corrects moves sidewaysBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

FED DAY! Nothing burger.P/E RATIOS - Don't matter as much as you thinkREVENUES - Best ever Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

FED - Could a Fed hike be bullish for equities?KOSPI - still badBUYBACKS - open window is opening moreBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

2 YR Yields suggest the Fed should hike ratesEarnings reporting to change?PEG Ration - cheapest market in decades?Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

Banks are doing fine!Businesses are being created!Oil is ready for a pullback.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

RATES - moment of truth might be failing for bond buyers.OIL - Higher she heads into trend resistance. $110 in the cards?US DOLLAR - Dollar loves uncertainty...risk assets do not. $101.59 will be important.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

RATES - US 10YR Yields are at a moment of truth! It would not be surprising to see them reverse and head lower over the next several weeks / months.GEOMETRIC - Value Line Geometric Index. Looks at the "middle stock". If the foundation of the market was cracking it would not look like it does today.BREADTH - While the S&P 500 has consolidated, the percentage of stocks to make a new 52-week high since March has continued to expand, rising from 35% at the S&P 500's last high to 46%. Healthy.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.

LEVERAGE - Leveraged ETFs only account for 0.25% of US market...and it's fallingVIX - Seasonality is good to know, but not be anchored toBONDS - More and more corelated with stocks. Don't ask how much in bonds you should own, but ask what should I own that don't all do the same thing!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.