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Lo que ha pasado con el oro estos últimos días (específicamente entre el 30 de enero y el 2 de febrero de 2026) ha sido, literalmente, un evento histórico. No veíamos una caída así desde 1983.El oro pasó de tocar máximos históricos por encima de los $5,500 la onza a desplomarse más de un 12% en una sola sesión, llegando a perder temporalmente el soporte de los $4,800 - $5,000.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npoNbXXS4oQhttps://triunfers.comAquí tienes las razones de este "viernes negro" para los metales:1. El "Efecto Warsh" (La nominación en la Fed)El detonante principal fue el anuncio de Donald Trump nominando a Kevin Warsh como próximo presidente de la Reserva Federal.* Por qué importa: Warsh es visto como un "halcón" (hawkish), alguien que prefiere mantener las tasas de interés altas para combatir la inflación con mano dura.* Consecuencia: El mercado asumió que no habrá recortes de tasas pronto, lo que hizo que el dólar se disparara. Como el oro se compra con dólares, cuando el dólar sube, el oro suele caer.2. Estallido de la "Burbuja de Seguridad"Durante 2025 y principios de 2026, el oro subió de forma parabólica por miedo a la inflación y tensiones geopolíticas (como el conflicto por Groenlandia o roces diplomáticos graves). Al alcanzar los $5,500, el activo estaba "sobrecomprado". El anuncio de la Fed fue la aguja que pinchó esa burbuja, provocando una toma de ganancias masiva por parte de los grandes fondos.3. Liquidaciones forzadas y MargenMucha gente estaba invertida en oro y plata usando apalancamiento (dinero prestado).* Cuando el precio bajó los primeros $100, se activaron las "llamadas de margen" (margin calls).* Para cubrir esas deudas, los inversores se vieron obligados a vender sus posiciones rápidamente, creando una cascada de ventas que hundió el precio en cuestión de minutos.4. El efecto en la Plata (La verdadera masacre)Si el oro cayó, la plata se "derritió". La plata sufrió su peor caída histórica en un solo día, desplomándose entre un 28% y un 36%. Esto arrastró el sentimiento general de todos los metales preciosos.En resumen:Bitcoin y el Oro cayeron por la misma razón de fondo: el regreso triunfal del Dólar. El mercado ha decidido que, ante una Fed más agresiva con Kevin Warsh a la cabeza, el efectivo ("Cash is King") vuelve a ser el refugio preferido por encima de los activos escasos como el oro o las cripto.Dato curioso: Mientras Bitcoin caía por los rumores de los papeles de Epstein y la Fed, el oro caía puramente por matemáticas financieras y el fortalecimiento del dólar. Fue una limpieza general de "manos débiles" en todos los mercados.En economía, hay una regla no escrita: el dinero no desaparece, solo cambia de manos. Cuando activos como Bitcoin o el Oro caen con fuerza, ese capital suele buscar refugio en la "moneda base" del sistema: el Dólar Estadounidense (USD).Estos últimos días (finales de enero y principios de febrero de 2026), el dólar ha vivido un resurgimiento agresivo por tres razones clave:1. El "Refugio Seguro" (Safe Haven)Cuando el mercado entra en pánico (ya sea por los rumores de los papeles de Epstein, la volatilidad de las criptos o el desplome de la plata), los inversores entran en modo "Risk-Off". Esto significa que venden todo lo que consideran arriesgado y compran dólares. El dólar es la moneda más líquida del mundo; es el "extintor" que todos buscan cuando el edificio financiero se quema.2. La nominación de Kevin Warsh (Tasas más altas)La gran noticia del 30 de enero fue la nominación de Kevin Warsh para presidir la Reserva Federal.* Por qué ayuda al dólar: Warsh es un "halcón" (pro-tasas altas). Si el mercado cree que las tasas de interés se mantendrán elevadas por más tiempo, el dólar se vuelve más atractivo para los inversores extranjeros, ya que ofrece mejores rendimientos que otras monedas (como el euro o el yen). * El dato: El índice DXY (que mide la fuerza del dólar frente a otras monedas) rebotó desde mínimos de 95.5 puntos hasta rozar los 97 puntos en solo un par de sesiones. 3. La caída de las materias primas (Oro y Petróleo)Como la mayoría de las materias primas y el Bitcoin se cotizan en dólares, existe una correlación inversa. Si el dólar se fortalece, automáticamente necesitas "menos dólares" para comprar la misma cantidad de oro o BTC, lo que presiona sus precios a la baja. En este caso, el fortalecimiento del dólar fue el "martillo" que terminó de hundir al oro tras su racha récord.Estrategia de Trump.Conviértete en un supporter de este podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/los-ultimos-dias--2659766/support.Newsletter Marketing Radical: https://marketingradical.substack.com/welcomeNewsletter Negocios con IA: https://negociosconia.substack.com/welcomeMis Libros: https://borjagiron.com/librosSysteme Gratis: https://borjagiron.com/systemeSysteme 30% dto: https://borjagiron.com/systeme30Manychat Gratis: https://borjagiron.com/manychatMetricool 30 días Gratis Plan Premium (Usa cupón BORJA30): https://borjagiron.com/metricoolNoticias Redes Sociales: https://redessocialeshoy.comNoticias IA: https://inteligenciaartificialhoy.comClub: https://triunfers.com
The Nifty slipped again, but the real panic is in the currency market. The Indian Rupee just hit a fresh all-time low of 91.74 against the Dollar. Why is the currency bleeding? Because Trump's latest threat to buy Greenland (?) and slap tariffs on the EU has spooked global investors. But amidst this chaos, two massive opportunities emerged: The Govt officially invited bids for IDBI Bank, and the Adani Group committed a staggering $66 Billion to Maharashtra. Join Sanket Bendre as we analyze if you should fear the falling Rupee or follow the big money.
The Nifty slipped again, but the real panic is in the currency market. The Indian Rupee just hit a fresh all-time low of 91.74 against the Dollar. Why is the currency bleeding? Because Trump's latest threat to buy Greenland (?) and slap tariffs on the EU has spooked global investors. But amidst this chaos, two massive opportunities emerged: The Govt officially invited bids for IDBI Bank, and the Adani Group committed a staggering $66 Billion to Maharashtra. Join Sanket Bendre as we analyze if you should fear the falling Rupee or follow the big money.
The Nifty slipped again, but the real panic is in the currency market. The Indian Rupee just hit a fresh all-time low of 91.74 against the Dollar. Why is the currency bleeding? Because Trump's latest threat to buy Greenland (?) and slap tariffs on the EU has spooked global investors. But amidst this chaos, two massive opportunities emerged: The Govt officially invited bids for IDBI Bank, and the Adani Group committed a staggering $66 Billion to Maharashtra. Join Sanket Bendre as we analyze if you should fear the falling Rupee or follow the big money.
DAX: Abverkauf geht weiter – Davos wird kalt – Gold steigt weiter
Europa wchodzi w wyjątkowo nerwowy czas. Mróz utrzymuje się już trzeci tydzień, magazyny gazu w UE są wypełnione tylko w ok. 55 proc., a ceny gazu i LNG wyraźnie rosną. Do tego Donald Trump grozi nowymi cłami wobec wybranych państw europejskich w sporze o Grenlandię, co podnosi ryzyko eskalacji handlowej i zwiększa nerwowość rynków.W PB Brief analizujemy reakcje rynków, możliwe scenariusze odwetu Unii Europejskiej oraz historyczną analogię do momentów, w których sojusznicy zaczynali traktować się jak zagrożenie.
Your 60-second money minute. Today's topic: Risk Off Time, Maybe Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored and reported by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored and reported by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at what is driving sentiment in the bond markets. Plus, Robbie sits down with Phoenix Burst's Tela Mathias for a discussion on the latest innovations in the mortgage space and how it is people rather than technology that is driving the pace of change in the industry. And we close by going through some delayed labor market indicators that were released today.Thanks to the Refi Recapture Engine from LO Autopilot. Lenders lose ~80% of recapture business. Their plug & play Refi Recapture Engine triples recapture volume. It runs nonstop, analyzes every loan, creates personalized quotes and sends them directly to borrowers, and delivers refi-ready borrowers to your LOs on a silver platter.
Wild week for precious metals: despite violent intraday swings, gold still closed up ~2.2% around $4,080 and silver up ~4.7% above $50—with silver briefly tagging $54+ overnight. The key: $4,000 is acting as gold's new floor (just like $3,000 became the new $2,000), and $50 is emerging as support for silver. Meanwhile, risk is coming off across markets: NASDAQ down ~4–5%, Treasuries selling (yields up), and crypto cracked back below 100K. Capital is rotating toward real safe havens and cash-generating miners. In this wrap: Asian session buying vs U.S. session selling, why the biggest drops happen late-week, how Fed indecision + sticky inflation support metals, and why policy gimmicks (tariff “dividends,” selective tariff cuts, attacks on producers, mortgage backstops) are bullish for gold in the real world. I also cover gap-up risk into Sunday night/Monday, and why the miners' earnings torque is still being mispriced.
2/12 Bitcoin prova a recuperare quota 87mila, focus su Strategy. Ancora cautela a Wall Street, futures in rosso. Mongo DB +22% in pre-market. OpenAI: codice rosso per migliorare ChatGPT. Michael Burry contro Tesla. Oggi Witkoff da Putin, Trump: “annuncio alle 20.00 dalla Casa Bianca”. Asia contrastata, Nikkei sopra la parità, rally del Kospi: i dazi americani sulle auto scendono al 15%. Bond giapponesi, bene l'asta: rendimento rimane ai massimi dal 2008. Focus su obbligazionario globale. In Europa cautela, oggi il dato sull'inflazione. Focus su banche, Mps-Mediobanca e automotive. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Risk-Off trade has taken over bringing the pain to the biggest and most widely held stocks in the market proving, as the legendary Jimmy Cliff sang, “ The harder they come, the harder they fall.” Is this just a grown up bull market pit stop, or a full risk-reversal that could lead to a major resetting of valuations for the stock and crypto markets? Dan Nathan of Risk Reversal helps us navigate the rip tides of this recent swell of volatility. Plus, where is the big money betting on returns in 2026, and what are Wall Street's year-end price targets? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Risk-Off trade has taken over bringing the pain to the biggest and most widely held stocks in the market proving, as the legendary Jimmy Cliff sang, “ The harder they come, the harder they fall.” Is this just a grown up bull market pit stop, or a full risk-reversal that could lead to a major resetting of valuations for the stock and crypto markets? Dan Nathan of Risk Reversal helps us navigate the rip tides of this recent swell of volatility. Plus, where is the big money betting on returns in 2026, and what are Wall Street's year-end price targets? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Dena Jalbert thinks folks are reallocating into "less risky" and "steady Eddy" types of assets. Looking at the overall health of the economy, she say it is "OK." Heading into 2026, Dena says valuations will continue to be elevated and adds that private equity is sitting on "record amounts of dry powder" ready to be put to work. She believes there will be more M&A activity in 2026 saying once rates come down there will be more deals made, especially in tech and health care sectors. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Liz Peek Liz Peek discusses the "AI bubble," noting the Magnificent Seven stocks are priced to perfection amidst concerns that massive investments may not yield adequate returns, observes that although the market is "risk off" the US economy seems "okay" according to data points, and expresses alarm about New York Mayor-Elect Mamdani, a socialist without management expertise who is surrounding himself with ideologues, including Hassan Sheheryar, his transition director, who is "clearly anti-Semitic" and anti-Israel, raising significant concerns for the city.E
Today, we note that the market's stabilization attempt from Friday seems to have failed as risk-off has gone global in equities, perhaps led by the meltdown in Bitcoin. Amidst the deepening unease, it's remarkable that bond markets, with the notable exception of Japan, remain calm, while transmission into FX is minimal. But the tension is building, with a key event risk on Friday for Japan possibly set to unleash volatility. This and much more on today's podcast, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
There are numerous risk-off signals hitting markets Tuesday morning, though Kevin Hincks points to A.I. speculation as the biggest. He explains that the attitude will persist heading into Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings Wednesday. Sentiment also hit Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency turning negative for the year. As for the spontaneous jobless claims report, Kevin notes the higher number but makes the case investors should discredit the date of the report. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Both the risk-on crypto space and the risk-off defensive staples sector getting hit today. What the dual downer means for the market, and how the Fast Money traders are positioning for November. Plus Shares of Insmed nearly tripling in 2025. What the CEO sees in store for the company as they rollout their chronic lung disease drug.Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Leaders with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) see a correction between 10% and 20% in the next one to two years, adding pressure to Tuesday morning's tech sell-off. Kevin Hincks makes the case that investors shouldn't fear due to the A.I. trade showing continuing strength. He also points to gold and Bitcoin's downside action adding to the case for volatility to take charge of markets yet again. As for the government shutdown, Kevin says the pressure's on for Congress to reach an agreement before the holiday season.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.European bourses are lower across the board with sentiment downbeat; US equity futures are in the red, NQ -1.3%.DXY briefly returned to a 100 handle, GBP slipped post-Reeves, who failed to reiterate her tax-related pledges, Antipodeans lag.Gilts outperform amid tax rise speculation, USTs await Fed speak.WTI and Brent slip to lows given the risk tone, but XAU fails to benefit and sits sub-4k/oz.Looking ahead, US RCM/TIPP, New Zealand Jobs, RBNZ FSR, BoJ Minutes (Sep), French Assembly PLF Vote, Speakers including ECB's Nagel and Balz, BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bowman. Earnings from Fresenius MC, Ferrari; AMD, Supermicro, Marathon, Pfizer & Uber.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with of leaking economic signals everywhere we look today. And the NZD is in retreat as the mood sours on commodity currencies, and Wall Street follows.First, the overnight full dairy auction brought lower prices yet again, down -2.4% in USD terms this time, down -1.0% in NZD terms. Butter (-4.3%) and cheddar cheese (-6.6%) were the big deliners this time, but the key WMP also fell -2.7%. If it wasn't for China buying, the situation could have been worse as a bearish tone was very evident and markets for milk fats (butter, cheese) are now oversupplied. This was the sixth consecutive drop, taking the fall since early August to more than -10%. So the softness is mounting up now and analysts will be dusting off their new season $10/kgMS forecasts for a serious review.In the US there was a large retreat in optimism as reported by the RCM/TIPP sentiment survey. It fell a sharp -9.1%in November to it the lowest since June 2024, a shift that was not expected and certainly the size of the shift wasn't anticipated. Confidence among investors slipped -3.1% but for non-investors it plunged -10.4%.The US Logistics Managers Index shows that freight costs are rising and at an increasing rate, but that inventory levels are contracting. This monitoring also reports that warehousing costs and utilisation are now rising at a much softer pace.. This metric seems to suggest more momentum is leaking from the heart of the giant US economy, but it isn't in retreat yet.And staying in the US, the Americans has said China would return as a big buyer of their soybean crop after the Trump/Xi meeting. But as we noted at the time, the Chinese were silent on that commitment. And so far they have not placed any orders in the US (while continuing to buy in Brazil). It makes sense - why would you buy from a supplier who uses trade as a pawn? The uncertainty and unreliability would make anyone shy away from such commitments.All this American negativity is seeing Wall Street in retreat today. At the same time, there are some signature elections being held in parts of the US today and all eyes are on the retribution the US president may apply if results don't go his way. Withholding food aid to the poor is already underway. More will surely follow.In Australia, their central bank held its cash rate target at 3.6% again in yesterday's review but it is admitting to worries about inflation pressures. However, they are hoping those pressure are transitory. Still, remarks yesterday will have financial markets removing any chance of any rate cuts in the foreseeable future.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.08%, down -3 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3968/oz, down -US$39 from this time yesterday.American oil prices are -US$1 lower from yesterday at just over US$60.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just under US$64.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just under 56.7 USc, and down -40 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down than -10 bps at 87.2 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 61.3 and down -40 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$102,729 and down another -3.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.3%.Join us at 1pm this afternoon for the live press conference presenting the latest RBNZ update of their Financial Stability Report.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
Strong results from Amazon and a decent showing from Apple are in the spotlight after risk-off sentiment, big losses for Meta, and weak chip stocks took some sizzle off the rally.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-1025) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Is the crypto cycle already over, or is this just a reset before one last push? Michael Nadeau from The DeFi Report joins Ryan to break down why he went 70% cash ahead of the flash crash, what late-cycle data he's watching, and the signals that would flip him back risk on. We dig into Bitcoin's 50-week moving average, ETH's $8–10K scenarios, slowing ETF flows, rising leverage, and whether global liquidity and AI could still drive a melt-up. Michael explains why this cycle has felt muted, what would confirm a top, and how he's positioning into year-end. Michael Nadeau & The DeFi Report: https://x.com/JustDeauIt https://thedefireport.io/ ------
Oct 10, 2025 – Is the market rally fading? Mish Schneider joins Jim Puplava to decode warning signs in retail, banks, and transports using her "Economic Modern Family." Dive into risks, AI, and gold's surge. Listen for key insights!
SummaryThis conversation explores the emerging field of Bitcoin insurance, highlighting the innovations and challenges faced by industry leaders. The panel discusses the differences between life and property insurance in the context of Bitcoin, the evolution of custody and underwriting practices, and the future of Bitcoin as a financial product. Key insights include the importance of collaboration in the insurance industry, the need for innovative risk management solutions, and the potential for Bitcoin to transform traditional insurance practices.SummaryThis conversation explores the emerging field of Bitcoin insurance, highlighting the innovations and challenges faced by industry leaders. The panel discusses the differences between life and property insurance in the context of Bitcoin, the evolution of custody and underwriting practices, and the future of Bitcoin as a financial product. Key insights include the importance of collaboration in the insurance industry, the need for innovative risk management solutions, and the potential for Bitcoin to transform traditional insurance practices.TakeawaysBitcoin insurance is an emerging field with significant potential.Life insurance and property insurance have different underwriting challenges in Bitcoin.The insurance industry is lagging behind banking in adopting new technologies.Collaboration among insurers is crucial for developing effective standards.Bitcoin's programmability offers unique opportunities for insurance products.Custody solutions must evolve to meet the needs of Bitcoin holders.Innovative risk management practices are essential for the future of Bitcoin insurance.Bitcoin-denominated insurance products can provide tax benefits to policyholders.The regulatory landscape for Bitcoin insurance is complex and evolving.The integration of blockchain technology can improve operational efficiencies in insurance.Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Panel Discussion01:22 Innovations in Bitcoin Insurance04:08 Understanding Risk in Bitcoin Custody06:52 The Evolution of Insurance Standards09:59 The Role of Technology in Insurance12:42 Bitcoin Denominated Insurance Products15:48 The Future of Insurance in a Bitcoin World18:38 Closing Thoughts and Q&A30:08 bp-introoutro_v2.mp4
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show his monthly appearance. In this episode, Whalen reports taking a risk-off position after 30% gains this year, noting Wall Street hedge funds are similarly going net short amid concerns about Treasury market stability. He warns that upcoming Supreme Court tariff decisions could force costly refunds while the Treasury faces mounting deficits from recent legislation. Whalen criticizes the Fed's "reckless" quantitative easing policies and predicts the dollar will lose reserve currency status as countries seek alternatives, leading to inevitable inflation as the US monetizes its debt. He sees parallels to 1924 Florida real estate speculation but expects a coming housing reset that could take prices back to 2020-21 levels, creating opportunities for patient buyers.Sponsor: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen returns for monthly appearance0:56 Big picture outlook - Trump administration personalities not getting along2:47 Risk off positioning - took 30% gains, markets losing steam5:11 Wall Street going risk off - hedge funds net short after taking gains8:15 Fed meeting outlook - rate cut uncertain despite expectations10:53 Supreme Court tariff decision - could force Treasury refunds12:57 Treasury Secretary's Fed criticism - "reckless gain of function experiments"15:48 Treasury market crisis risk - biggest worry for Chris18:03 Fed rate cut impact - quarter point fine, half point signals recession19:45 Pretend and extend - massive forbearance in commercial real estate20:04 Consumer health - okay for now but housing reset coming23:08 Gold's changing nature - now buying on dollar/inflation concerns24:25 Dollar losing reserve status - will be one of many currencies26:22 Reserve currency burden - domestic inflationary component27:39 Real estate speculation - like 1924 Florida land boom28:53 Coming housing blow-off - prices back to 2020-21 levels
Jim Rome's Daily Jungle 7/16/25 Did The MLB Get both the HR Derby and the All-Star Game right with a pair of Swing Offs? Meanwhile Bill Belichick and Robert Kraft are having a Risk Off. Today's Guests include Detroit Lions TE Sam LaPorta and Denver Broncos LB Nik Bonitto. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Jim Rome Show HR 2 - 7/16/25 After talking about a Swing-Off in the All-Star Game, Bill Belichick and Robert Kraft are having a Risk Off, talking about who took on more risk when they united in New England. Detroit Lions TE Sam LaPorta joins the show to preview what should be a big 3rd season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through why we are seeing such differences in housing inventory across metros. Plus, Robbie sits down with SALT Lending's Shawn Owen for a discussion on how digital assets like Bitcoin are reshaping mortgage lending, from collateral risk and fraud prevention to construction financing, regulatory hurdles, and the future of tokenized mortgage markets. And we close with a look at whether all the geopolitical headlines are increasing or subsiding investor risk apetite.Thank you to TRUE and its Mortgage Operations Service (MOS) platform, which transforms borrower documents into instant, trustworthy data for real-time decisioning. TRUE cuts time to critical loan events from days to minutes by using background AI workers to instantly validate data and automate underwriting decisions.
Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson talks about the unusual dynamic he sees in markets between risk-on and risk-off price action. For one, he sees animal spirits in high-beta companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) continuing to gather unprecedented interest. However, it goes against other investors trimming risk exposure as geopolitical tensions mount between Israel and Iran. Nathan also discusses how Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision can "murky the waters" for its July meeting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Andrew Brenner believes the uptrend in equity valuations made stocks expensive compared to bonds. He says it could be smart for investors to move into the bond market... just not yet. A lack of institutional inflow has Andrew believing more equity rallies are coming. With the Fed making its interest rate decision next week, he weighs inflation data against recent job prints. Andrew later talks about who he sees serving as Fed Chair once Jerome Powell's tenure ends.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Tariff headlines are once again dominating markets after a legal back-and-forth last week on the status of Trump’s century-high levies. On Friday, President Trump said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and accused China of violating an agreement with the US to ease levies. We got reaction from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.Plus- we go to New Zealand, where demand for 'golden visas' has increased under looser rules. The country has eased its rules in February to attract more foreign investment. We got reaction from Stuart Nash, Former Minister of Economic Development in New Zealand and co-founder of Nash Kelly Global.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
First, we talk to The Indian Express' Amitabh Sinha about MSC Elsa 3, the container ship that capsized in the Arabian Sea on Saturday. While there has been no oil spill yet, the possibility looms large. Amitabh talks about the consequences of an oil spill, the concerns and the challenges that come with it.Next, we talk to The Indian Express' Santosh Singh about Lalu Prasad Yadav expelling his eldest son, Tej Pratap Yadav, from both the party and the family for six years. (12:01)Lastly, we speak about Prime Minister Modi's first visit to West Bengal since Operation Sindoor, where he launched a sharp attack on the TMC government. (23:46)Hosted by Ichha SharmaProduced and written by Niharika Nanda and Ichha SharmaEdited and mixed by Suresh Pawar
Connect with Onramp // Onramp TerminalThe Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Brian Cubellis, & Tim Kotzman. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset...in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.00:00 - Market Update and Institutional Adoption12:43 - The Shift in Bitcoin's Narrative17:41 - ETF Inflows and Retail Interest24:31 - Formation of 21 and Corporate Strategies31:02 - The Standardization of Bitcoin on Balance Sheets33:33 - SoftBank's Role in Bitcoin Investments38:15 - Hashrate and Market Correlation48:16 - The Importance of Financial Literacy56:47 - Finding Bitcoin and Depths of the Rabbit Hole01:05:01 - Realization of Bitcoin's Generational Value01:07:12 - Navigating Bitcoin Custody Solutions01:10:16 - Building Trust in Financial Relationships01:13:05 - The Emotional Journey of Bitcoin Ownership01:22:20 - The Evolution and Future of Bitcoin Custody01:26:20 - Protecting Wealth in the Digital Age01:27:25 - Outro & DisclaimerPlease subscribe to Onramp Media channels and sign up for weekly Research & Analysis to get access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.
Markets were close to turning a short-term buy signal into a sell signal...but...yesterday's rally saved it, and a continuation of the rally today will also provide octane for buyers (presuming nothing goes wrong). Markets have been over sold by three standard deviations, and still remain depressed against their moving averages. Markets have gone through a 61% Fibonacci retracement, which is pretty deep for any type of a market move. If markets can continue to rally, we would consider taking some more risk off the table. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7E7r7Qx48Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
China is said to be open to talks if US President Trump shows respect, via Bloomberg sources; China wants Trump to rein in cabinet members and show consistency; wants US talks to address concerns on Taiwan and sanctions.White House said over 15 trade deal proposals are being considered and some could be announced soon.European indices downbeat, but some upside seen on source reports that China is open to talks, albeit with conditions; ASML -5% after poor Q1 results amid trade uncertainty.US equity futures lower and NQ underperforms with NVDA down 5.9% after it expects a USD 5.5bln hit due to export controls.USD is softer vs. G10 peers. Support from a conciliatory trade report proved to be fleeting.Fixed is underpinned by the risk-off tone, though off best given the latest China sources.Crude reverses losses on China sources, base metals hit on US' critical mineral investigation; gold tops USD 3,300/oz.Looking ahead, US Retail Sales, NZ CPI, BoC Policy Announcement, Speakers including Fed's Powell, Cook, Hammack, Logan & Schmid, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Supply from the US.Earnings from US Bancorp, Abbott, Progressive, Travelers, Prologis, Autoliv, Citizens, First Horizon, Alcoa.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is said to be pushing senior advisers to go bigger on tariff policy as they prepare for ‘Liberation Day' on April 2nd; reportedly revived the idea of a flat universal tariff single rate on most imports.European bourses and US futures in the red given the above and into month & quarter end, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.5%, ES -1.0%; NQ -1.3% with NVDA pressured.DXY has been on either side of the unchanged mark throughout the morning, EUR and GBP flat/slightly softer while USD/JPY hit a 148.71 low as the Nikkei 225 entered correction territory.Fixed benchmarks bid on the broad risk tone, German State CPIs sparked a fleeing move lower into the mainland figure, JGBs slipped as the BoJ cut its bond purchase amounts.Crude firmer as geopolitical tensions outweigh the macro tone following reports around Trump on Iran, XAU at a fresh record high, base metals dented.US President Trump threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal can't be reached, while he also warned of secondary tariffs on Russian oil.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago PMI & Trump's executive orders.Note: UK clocks changed from GMT to BST on Sunday which means the London to New York time gap returned to five hours.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
There's a lot of debate right now whether the US is indeed at risk of entering a recession this year.And at the same time, the stock market has become a lot more volatile, swinging between Risk On and Risk Off as Wall Street sentiment becomes increasingly bipolar.Who is more likely to be proven right this year: the optimists or the pessimists?For answers, we turn to the experience and wisdom of financial advisor Ted Oakley, managing partner & founder of Oxbow Advisors.Ted has over 40 years experience helping clients, mostly high net worth families, protect and build wealth through good times and bad. We'll find out how he's currently positioning his clients assets for the road ahead.
Live at 2pm PT, we're kicking off the week with a massive rally in U.S. stocks, driven by a slight backpedal on tariff announcement from President Trump. The sudden shift in trade policy has sparked a Risk-On wave, pushing equities higher while Risk-Off assets like gold and bonds take a hit. We'll also spotlight the latest developments from nuclear energy startup OKLO, and what it could mean for the clean energy sector and future energy investments.
Policy and tariffs continue be the biggest yellow flag waving over markets, says George Tsilis. He points to a "policy imbalance" that complicates the Fed's interest rates expectations, leaving investors confused on which direction markets will move.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the troubled tech sector as the Nasdaq heads for its 4th straight down day. Plus, Jenny Harrington details her latest portfolio moves. And later, Josh Brown reveals his two best stocks in the market.
Markets opened green after a big sell-off closed last Friday's trading session. The goal for bulls, according to Kevin Green: recapturing the 20-Day SMA. Market breadth is in the bulls' favor, but price action momentum and MACD can build a bearish wall. High-dividend stocks recently outperformed, which Kevin attributes to signs of risk-off sentiment.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas, summarizes and recaps our monthly titled Risk-Off Flashpoint (Now in Focus), where in our special topic cover labor market dynamics and demographics. Furthermore, George discusses what to expect from this all-important NFP number on Friday. We conclude with what to look out for before the March Fed meeting and what will be influential for US fixed income.
This week, Bloomberg's James Seyffart, Lumida's Ram Ahluwalia, and guest Tom Dunleavy explore whether the “Fed pivot” is officially dead, how AI will impact the job market, and what Tether's move to El Salvador means for U.S. stablecoin policy. They also debate whether bitcoin could ever be a risk-off asset, how sovereign nations might already be accumulating BTC, and what the Coinbase legal win against the SEC signals for the future. Plus, why volatility is still king in crypto and what lies ahead for the global markets. Show highlights: 02:12 Whether the “Fed pivot” is officially dead and whether rate cuts are coming 08:37 What the impact of AI will be on the jobs market 13:27 Why the markets have been chopping so much and whether it's the bottom 18:00 What Trump could achieve for the crypto industry in his first 100 days 23:02 Whether the US sold the Silk Road bitcoin 25:27 Why bitcoin will not be a risk-off asset in the near term according to Tom and Ram 31:08 Whether sovereign nations have already started buying bitcoin 36:49 Why Tether moving to El Salvador is a loss to the U.S., according to Ram 40:26 How the L.A. fires will have an impact on the political landscape in the U.S. 52:06 How Coinbase just achieved a “huge win” against the SEC Sponsors: Stellar Build Better Hosts: James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence Ram Ahluwalia, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida Guest: Tom Dunleavy, Partner at Master Ventures Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices