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The Risk-Off trade has taken over bringing the pain to the biggest and most widely held stocks in the market proving, as the legendary Jimmy Cliff sang, “ The harder they come, the harder they fall.” Is this just a grown up bull market pit stop, or a full risk-reversal that could lead to a major resetting of valuations for the stock and crypto markets? Dan Nathan of Risk Reversal helps us navigate the rip tides of this recent swell of volatility. Plus, where is the big money betting on returns in 2026, and what are Wall Street's year-end price targets? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Risk-Off trade has taken over bringing the pain to the biggest and most widely held stocks in the market proving, as the legendary Jimmy Cliff sang, “ The harder they come, the harder they fall.” Is this just a grown up bull market pit stop, or a full risk-reversal that could lead to a major resetting of valuations for the stock and crypto markets? Dan Nathan of Risk Reversal helps us navigate the rip tides of this recent swell of volatility. Plus, where is the big money betting on returns in 2026, and what are Wall Street's year-end price targets? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Dena Jalbert thinks folks are reallocating into "less risky" and "steady Eddy" types of assets. Looking at the overall health of the economy, she say it is "OK." Heading into 2026, Dena says valuations will continue to be elevated and adds that private equity is sitting on "record amounts of dry powder" ready to be put to work. She believes there will be more M&A activity in 2026 saying once rates come down there will be more deals made, especially in tech and health care sectors. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Liz Peek Liz Peek discusses the "AI bubble," noting the Magnificent Seven stocks are priced to perfection amidst concerns that massive investments may not yield adequate returns, observes that although the market is "risk off" the US economy seems "okay" according to data points, and expresses alarm about New York Mayor-Elect Mamdani, a socialist without management expertise who is surrounding himself with ideologues, including Hassan Sheheryar, his transition director, who is "clearly anti-Semitic" and anti-Israel, raising significant concerns for the city.E
Today, we note that the market's stabilization attempt from Friday seems to have failed as risk-off has gone global in equities, perhaps led by the meltdown in Bitcoin. Amidst the deepening unease, it's remarkable that bond markets, with the notable exception of Japan, remain calm, while transmission into FX is minimal. But the tension is building, with a key event risk on Friday for Japan possibly set to unleash volatility. This and much more on today's podcast, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
There are numerous risk-off signals hitting markets Tuesday morning, though Kevin Hincks points to A.I. speculation as the biggest. He explains that the attitude will persist heading into Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings Wednesday. Sentiment also hit Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency turning negative for the year. As for the spontaneous jobless claims report, Kevin notes the higher number but makes the case investors should discredit the date of the report. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Both the risk-on crypto space and the risk-off defensive staples sector getting hit today. What the dual downer means for the market, and how the Fast Money traders are positioning for November. Plus Shares of Insmed nearly tripling in 2025. What the CEO sees in store for the company as they rollout their chronic lung disease drug.Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Leaders with Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) see a correction between 10% and 20% in the next one to two years, adding pressure to Tuesday morning's tech sell-off. Kevin Hincks makes the case that investors shouldn't fear due to the A.I. trade showing continuing strength. He also points to gold and Bitcoin's downside action adding to the case for volatility to take charge of markets yet again. As for the government shutdown, Kevin says the pressure's on for Congress to reach an agreement before the holiday season.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.European bourses are lower across the board with sentiment downbeat; US equity futures are in the red, NQ -1.3%.DXY briefly returned to a 100 handle, GBP slipped post-Reeves, who failed to reiterate her tax-related pledges, Antipodeans lag.Gilts outperform amid tax rise speculation, USTs await Fed speak.WTI and Brent slip to lows given the risk tone, but XAU fails to benefit and sits sub-4k/oz.Looking ahead, US RCM/TIPP, New Zealand Jobs, RBNZ FSR, BoJ Minutes (Sep), French Assembly PLF Vote, Speakers including ECB's Nagel and Balz, BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bowman. Earnings from Fresenius MC, Ferrari; AMD, Supermicro, Marathon, Pfizer & Uber.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with of leaking economic signals everywhere we look today. And the NZD is in retreat as the mood sours on commodity currencies, and Wall Street follows.First, the overnight full dairy auction brought lower prices yet again, down -2.4% in USD terms this time, down -1.0% in NZD terms. Butter (-4.3%) and cheddar cheese (-6.6%) were the big deliners this time, but the key WMP also fell -2.7%. If it wasn't for China buying, the situation could have been worse as a bearish tone was very evident and markets for milk fats (butter, cheese) are now oversupplied. This was the sixth consecutive drop, taking the fall since early August to more than -10%. So the softness is mounting up now and analysts will be dusting off their new season $10/kgMS forecasts for a serious review.In the US there was a large retreat in optimism as reported by the RCM/TIPP sentiment survey. It fell a sharp -9.1%in November to it the lowest since June 2024, a shift that was not expected and certainly the size of the shift wasn't anticipated. Confidence among investors slipped -3.1% but for non-investors it plunged -10.4%.The US Logistics Managers Index shows that freight costs are rising and at an increasing rate, but that inventory levels are contracting. This monitoring also reports that warehousing costs and utilisation are now rising at a much softer pace.. This metric seems to suggest more momentum is leaking from the heart of the giant US economy, but it isn't in retreat yet.And staying in the US, the Americans has said China would return as a big buyer of their soybean crop after the Trump/Xi meeting. But as we noted at the time, the Chinese were silent on that commitment. And so far they have not placed any orders in the US (while continuing to buy in Brazil). It makes sense - why would you buy from a supplier who uses trade as a pawn? The uncertainty and unreliability would make anyone shy away from such commitments.All this American negativity is seeing Wall Street in retreat today. At the same time, there are some signature elections being held in parts of the US today and all eyes are on the retribution the US president may apply if results don't go his way. Withholding food aid to the poor is already underway. More will surely follow.In Australia, their central bank held its cash rate target at 3.6% again in yesterday's review but it is admitting to worries about inflation pressures. However, they are hoping those pressure are transitory. Still, remarks yesterday will have financial markets removing any chance of any rate cuts in the foreseeable future.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.08%, down -3 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3968/oz, down -US$39 from this time yesterday.American oil prices are -US$1 lower from yesterday at just over US$60.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just under US$64.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just under 56.7 USc, and down -40 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down than -10 bps at 87.2 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 61.3 and down -40 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$102,729 and down another -3.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.3%.Join us at 1pm this afternoon for the live press conference presenting the latest RBNZ update of their Financial Stability Report.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
Strong results from Amazon and a decent showing from Apple are in the spotlight after risk-off sentiment, big losses for Meta, and weak chip stocks took some sizzle off the rally.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-1025) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Is the crypto cycle already over, or is this just a reset before one last push? Michael Nadeau from The DeFi Report joins Ryan to break down why he went 70% cash ahead of the flash crash, what late-cycle data he's watching, and the signals that would flip him back risk on. We dig into Bitcoin's 50-week moving average, ETH's $8–10K scenarios, slowing ETF flows, rising leverage, and whether global liquidity and AI could still drive a melt-up. Michael explains why this cycle has felt muted, what would confirm a top, and how he's positioning into year-end. Michael Nadeau & The DeFi Report: https://x.com/JustDeauIt https://thedefireport.io/ ------
Oct 10, 2025 – Is the market rally fading? Mish Schneider joins Jim Puplava to decode warning signs in retail, banks, and transports using her "Economic Modern Family." Dive into risks, AI, and gold's surge. Listen for key insights!
SummaryThis conversation explores the emerging field of Bitcoin insurance, highlighting the innovations and challenges faced by industry leaders. The panel discusses the differences between life and property insurance in the context of Bitcoin, the evolution of custody and underwriting practices, and the future of Bitcoin as a financial product. Key insights include the importance of collaboration in the insurance industry, the need for innovative risk management solutions, and the potential for Bitcoin to transform traditional insurance practices.SummaryThis conversation explores the emerging field of Bitcoin insurance, highlighting the innovations and challenges faced by industry leaders. The panel discusses the differences between life and property insurance in the context of Bitcoin, the evolution of custody and underwriting practices, and the future of Bitcoin as a financial product. Key insights include the importance of collaboration in the insurance industry, the need for innovative risk management solutions, and the potential for Bitcoin to transform traditional insurance practices.TakeawaysBitcoin insurance is an emerging field with significant potential.Life insurance and property insurance have different underwriting challenges in Bitcoin.The insurance industry is lagging behind banking in adopting new technologies.Collaboration among insurers is crucial for developing effective standards.Bitcoin's programmability offers unique opportunities for insurance products.Custody solutions must evolve to meet the needs of Bitcoin holders.Innovative risk management practices are essential for the future of Bitcoin insurance.Bitcoin-denominated insurance products can provide tax benefits to policyholders.The regulatory landscape for Bitcoin insurance is complex and evolving.The integration of blockchain technology can improve operational efficiencies in insurance.Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Panel Discussion01:22 Innovations in Bitcoin Insurance04:08 Understanding Risk in Bitcoin Custody06:52 The Evolution of Insurance Standards09:59 The Role of Technology in Insurance12:42 Bitcoin Denominated Insurance Products15:48 The Future of Insurance in a Bitcoin World18:38 Closing Thoughts and Q&A30:08 bp-introoutro_v2.mp4
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show his monthly appearance. In this episode, Whalen reports taking a risk-off position after 30% gains this year, noting Wall Street hedge funds are similarly going net short amid concerns about Treasury market stability. He warns that upcoming Supreme Court tariff decisions could force costly refunds while the Treasury faces mounting deficits from recent legislation. Whalen criticizes the Fed's "reckless" quantitative easing policies and predicts the dollar will lose reserve currency status as countries seek alternatives, leading to inevitable inflation as the US monetizes its debt. He sees parallels to 1924 Florida real estate speculation but expects a coming housing reset that could take prices back to 2020-21 levels, creating opportunities for patient buyers.Sponsor: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen returns for monthly appearance0:56 Big picture outlook - Trump administration personalities not getting along2:47 Risk off positioning - took 30% gains, markets losing steam5:11 Wall Street going risk off - hedge funds net short after taking gains8:15 Fed meeting outlook - rate cut uncertain despite expectations10:53 Supreme Court tariff decision - could force Treasury refunds12:57 Treasury Secretary's Fed criticism - "reckless gain of function experiments"15:48 Treasury market crisis risk - biggest worry for Chris18:03 Fed rate cut impact - quarter point fine, half point signals recession19:45 Pretend and extend - massive forbearance in commercial real estate20:04 Consumer health - okay for now but housing reset coming23:08 Gold's changing nature - now buying on dollar/inflation concerns24:25 Dollar losing reserve status - will be one of many currencies26:22 Reserve currency burden - domestic inflationary component27:39 Real estate speculation - like 1924 Florida land boom28:53 Coming housing blow-off - prices back to 2020-21 levels
Jim Rome's Daily Jungle 7/16/25 Did The MLB Get both the HR Derby and the All-Star Game right with a pair of Swing Offs? Meanwhile Bill Belichick and Robert Kraft are having a Risk Off. Today's Guests include Detroit Lions TE Sam LaPorta and Denver Broncos LB Nik Bonitto. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Jim Rome Show HR 2 - 7/16/25 After talking about a Swing-Off in the All-Star Game, Bill Belichick and Robert Kraft are having a Risk Off, talking about who took on more risk when they united in New England. Detroit Lions TE Sam LaPorta joins the show to preview what should be a big 3rd season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news financial markets have turned cautious, unsure of what to make of the set of 'tariff letters'.In Washington, because they couldn't complete tariff deals in the "90 deals in 90 days" to July 9, they have moved the 'deadline' to August 1. The shambles extends. And the capricious tariff letters are starting to be issued, first to Japan and South Korea at 25%, and then a bunch of developing countries including Malaysia (25%) and South Africa (30%).Essentially, the US is pushing countries into China's orbit, and creating conditions where many will shy away from buying US goods due to the bald insult. US businesses are likely to suffer, not only from financial market reactions, but also on the demand front. Other governments' trust in the US is in free-fall.Separately, we can also report that the NY Fed's Global Supply Chain Pressure index was neutral in June, back to its long run 'normal level'. That amounts to an easing of the May pressure as the rush to beat the tariff-taxes faded.Across the Pacific, China said its foreign exchange reserves rose by +US$32 bln to US$3.317 tln in June and that is the highest level they have had in nearly ten years (December 2015).Singapore's foreign exchange reserves stayed very high in June, even if they did dip marginally from their record high level in May.In the EU, they report retail sales by volume (inflation adjusted) and it slipped in May from April. But it stayed higher than year-ago levels although by less than +1%.Meanwhile, Germany reported its May industrial production turned up and by much more than expected. Although to be fair, it is in a bit of an overall yoyo pattern. Still, on a volume basis it too is +1.0% higher than year ago levels.So overall, even though some of it is over a month old, this set of second tier data, from the US, to Asia, to Europe isn't painting a picture of special stress.How the Australian central bank see it will be revealed later today when the RBA issues its decision on its cash rate target. Market pricing has only two-thirds of a -25 bps cut priced in although most economists think it will happen, and take their policy rate down from 3.85% to 3.60%. That will flow through to homeowner's household budgets quickly because most have variable rate deals.However it its far from certain this will give the Aussie domestic economy the boost a rate cut should deliver. It almost certainly will juice up house prices, which are already rising in anticipation. But existing borrowers seem to have decided en masse that the cash gains from lower rates will be used to pay down debt rather than be spent in generating more economic activity, which is why the RBA is cutting. To get that effect, the central bank may have to cut again later in the year. There are reviews in August, September, November and December yet to come, so plenty of opportunities for more cuts.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.39%, and up +6 bps from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3,332/oz, and down -US$4 from yesterday.American oil prices are up +US$1 at just under US$67.50/bbl while the international Brent price is now just over US$69/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now just on 60 USc, down an outsized -60 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 92.4 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 51.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 67.7 and -30 bps lower from yesterday at this time.The bitcoin price starts today at US$107,923 and down -0.9% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has remained low at just on +/-0.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
Shaun Dendere of Trive runs us through the day's market moves, eyes on Trump as the tariff deadline looms, the rand the oil price, resources, and investor sentiment. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through why we are seeing such differences in housing inventory across metros. Plus, Robbie sits down with SALT Lending's Shawn Owen for a discussion on how digital assets like Bitcoin are reshaping mortgage lending, from collateral risk and fraud prevention to construction financing, regulatory hurdles, and the future of tokenized mortgage markets. And we close with a look at whether all the geopolitical headlines are increasing or subsiding investor risk apetite.Thank you to TRUE and its Mortgage Operations Service (MOS) platform, which transforms borrower documents into instant, trustworthy data for real-time decisioning. TRUE cuts time to critical loan events from days to minutes by using background AI workers to instantly validate data and automate underwriting decisions.
Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson talks about the unusual dynamic he sees in markets between risk-on and risk-off price action. For one, he sees animal spirits in high-beta companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) continuing to gather unprecedented interest. However, it goes against other investors trimming risk exposure as geopolitical tensions mount between Israel and Iran. Nathan also discusses how Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision can "murky the waters" for its July meeting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Andrew Brenner believes the uptrend in equity valuations made stocks expensive compared to bonds. He says it could be smart for investors to move into the bond market... just not yet. A lack of institutional inflow has Andrew believing more equity rallies are coming. With the Fed making its interest rate decision next week, he weighs inflation data against recent job prints. Andrew later talks about who he sees serving as Fed Chair once Jerome Powell's tenure ends.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Tariff headlines are once again dominating markets after a legal back-and-forth last week on the status of Trump’s century-high levies. On Friday, President Trump said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and accused China of violating an agreement with the US to ease levies. We got reaction from Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Private Wealth.Plus- we go to New Zealand, where demand for 'golden visas' has increased under looser rules. The country has eased its rules in February to attract more foreign investment. We got reaction from Stuart Nash, Former Minister of Economic Development in New Zealand and co-founder of Nash Kelly Global.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
First, we talk to The Indian Express' Amitabh Sinha about MSC Elsa 3, the container ship that capsized in the Arabian Sea on Saturday. While there has been no oil spill yet, the possibility looms large. Amitabh talks about the consequences of an oil spill, the concerns and the challenges that come with it.Next, we talk to The Indian Express' Santosh Singh about Lalu Prasad Yadav expelling his eldest son, Tej Pratap Yadav, from both the party and the family for six years. (12:01)Lastly, we speak about Prime Minister Modi's first visit to West Bengal since Operation Sindoor, where he launched a sharp attack on the TMC government. (23:46)Hosted by Ichha SharmaProduced and written by Niharika Nanda and Ichha SharmaEdited and mixed by Suresh Pawar
Connect with Onramp // Onramp TerminalThe Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Brian Cubellis, & Tim Kotzman. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset...in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.00:00 - Market Update and Institutional Adoption12:43 - The Shift in Bitcoin's Narrative17:41 - ETF Inflows and Retail Interest24:31 - Formation of 21 and Corporate Strategies31:02 - The Standardization of Bitcoin on Balance Sheets33:33 - SoftBank's Role in Bitcoin Investments38:15 - Hashrate and Market Correlation48:16 - The Importance of Financial Literacy56:47 - Finding Bitcoin and Depths of the Rabbit Hole01:05:01 - Realization of Bitcoin's Generational Value01:07:12 - Navigating Bitcoin Custody Solutions01:10:16 - Building Trust in Financial Relationships01:13:05 - The Emotional Journey of Bitcoin Ownership01:22:20 - The Evolution and Future of Bitcoin Custody01:26:20 - Protecting Wealth in the Digital Age01:27:25 - Outro & DisclaimerPlease subscribe to Onramp Media channels and sign up for weekly Research & Analysis to get access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.
Markets were close to turning a short-term buy signal into a sell signal...but...yesterday's rally saved it, and a continuation of the rally today will also provide octane for buyers (presuming nothing goes wrong). Markets have been over sold by three standard deviations, and still remain depressed against their moving averages. Markets have gone through a 61% Fibonacci retracement, which is pretty deep for any type of a market move. If markets can continue to rally, we would consider taking some more risk off the table. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7E7r7Qx48Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
China is said to be open to talks if US President Trump shows respect, via Bloomberg sources; China wants Trump to rein in cabinet members and show consistency; wants US talks to address concerns on Taiwan and sanctions.White House said over 15 trade deal proposals are being considered and some could be announced soon.European indices downbeat, but some upside seen on source reports that China is open to talks, albeit with conditions; ASML -5% after poor Q1 results amid trade uncertainty.US equity futures lower and NQ underperforms with NVDA down 5.9% after it expects a USD 5.5bln hit due to export controls.USD is softer vs. G10 peers. Support from a conciliatory trade report proved to be fleeting.Fixed is underpinned by the risk-off tone, though off best given the latest China sources.Crude reverses losses on China sources, base metals hit on US' critical mineral investigation; gold tops USD 3,300/oz.Looking ahead, US Retail Sales, NZ CPI, BoC Policy Announcement, Speakers including Fed's Powell, Cook, Hammack, Logan & Schmid, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Supply from the US.Earnings from US Bancorp, Abbott, Progressive, Travelers, Prologis, Autoliv, Citizens, First Horizon, Alcoa.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is said to be pushing senior advisers to go bigger on tariff policy as they prepare for ‘Liberation Day' on April 2nd; reportedly revived the idea of a flat universal tariff single rate on most imports.European bourses and US futures in the red given the above and into month & quarter end, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.5%, ES -1.0%; NQ -1.3% with NVDA pressured.DXY has been on either side of the unchanged mark throughout the morning, EUR and GBP flat/slightly softer while USD/JPY hit a 148.71 low as the Nikkei 225 entered correction territory.Fixed benchmarks bid on the broad risk tone, German State CPIs sparked a fleeing move lower into the mainland figure, JGBs slipped as the BoJ cut its bond purchase amounts.Crude firmer as geopolitical tensions outweigh the macro tone following reports around Trump on Iran, XAU at a fresh record high, base metals dented.US President Trump threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal can't be reached, while he also warned of secondary tariffs on Russian oil.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago PMI & Trump's executive orders.Note: UK clocks changed from GMT to BST on Sunday which means the London to New York time gap returned to five hours.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US inflation concerns intensified, with the core PCE rising 2.8% year-on-year, fuelling fears of stagflation. Tariffs remain a significant concern, with the US poised to unveil new measures on Wednesday. The EU is bracing itself for a potential 20% tariff, and Goldman Sachs has increased the likelihood of a US recession from 20% to 35%. Asian markets are feeling the strain of tariff uncertainty, with stocks declining, the Japanese yen strengthening, and gold at an all-time high. Also in focus this week: Friday's US jobs report, which may signal a cooling labour market. Meanwhile, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, discusses the S&P 500, gold, and the US dollar amidst a risk-off backdrop in the markets.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:28 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)08:29 Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)11:13 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
There's a lot of debate right now whether the US is indeed at risk of entering a recession this year.And at the same time, the stock market has become a lot more volatile, swinging between Risk On and Risk Off as Wall Street sentiment becomes increasingly bipolar.Who is more likely to be proven right this year: the optimists or the pessimists?For answers, we turn to the experience and wisdom of financial advisor Ted Oakley, managing partner & founder of Oxbow Advisors.Ted has over 40 years experience helping clients, mostly high net worth families, protect and build wealth through good times and bad. We'll find out how he's currently positioning his clients assets for the road ahead.
Live at 2pm PT, we're kicking off the week with a massive rally in U.S. stocks, driven by a slight backpedal on tariff announcement from President Trump. The sudden shift in trade policy has sparked a Risk-On wave, pushing equities higher while Risk-Off assets like gold and bonds take a hit. We'll also spotlight the latest developments from nuclear energy startup OKLO, and what it could mean for the clean energy sector and future energy investments.
Policy and tariffs continue be the biggest yellow flag waving over markets, says George Tsilis. He points to a "policy imbalance" that complicates the Fed's interest rates expectations, leaving investors confused on which direction markets will move.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the troubled tech sector as the Nasdaq heads for its 4th straight down day. Plus, Jenny Harrington details her latest portfolio moves. And later, Josh Brown reveals his two best stocks in the market.
Markets opened green after a big sell-off closed last Friday's trading session. The goal for bulls, according to Kevin Green: recapturing the 20-Day SMA. Market breadth is in the bulls' favor, but price action momentum and MACD can build a bearish wall. High-dividend stocks recently outperformed, which Kevin attributes to signs of risk-off sentiment.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Where I buy Bitcoin (Non-KYC options)https://bitcoinwell.com/referral/bitcoinnotcryptoNeed help on how to buy btc on Bitcoin well?https://youtu.be/-52aEY3LIFs15% Stampseed Titatium Seed plates (BEST WAY TO STORE BTC PRIVATE KEYS)https://www.stampseed.com/USE CODE : BTCNOTCRYPTO15Book a free 30 minute call with a bitcoin experthttps://www.thebitcoinway.com/partner/forrestBecome a Member of the Channel, Get exclusive content, and livestream playbackhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UC2aM2gVVEHTu0pfE1ZyA0BQ/joinFollow Rajat, Jor, and I's new show togetherhttps://www.youtube.com/@MapleBitcoinJoin my BTC Discordhttps://discord.gg/PY5tKvAamBListen to this as a podcasthttps://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/bitcoinnotcryptoFund my Documentary "The Land of Volcanos and Bitcoin"https://geyser.fund/project/thelandofvolcanosandbitcoinFollow me on Nostrnpub1zqm9zant0rxf49wfgw8pt5h0j50cetfes6hwa73u7sxstlzcsz8qh6x9fsFollow on Twitter/Xhttps://x.com/forrestHODLDonate to the show hereBitcoinnotcryptoshow@coinos.iobc1qnzxvnchtyqzk623rvnvnvvsjjsqt07y4xat6zslxzf8lcv8ku7uqf0qrraMovies I've madehttps://amzn.to/3FtVKmrhttps://amzn.to/3FtVKmrhttps://amzn.to/3FtkmM6https://amzn.to/3s43FE8Alternative Dwelling Documentarieshttps://youtube.com/playlist?list=PL8TC5LCUPfit4qO8aiIh_iHtC2xFWtIzA
George Goncalves, Head of Macro Strategy in the Americas, summarizes and recaps our monthly titled Risk-Off Flashpoint (Now in Focus), where in our special topic cover labor market dynamics and demographics. Furthermore, George discusses what to expect from this all-important NFP number on Friday. We conclude with what to look out for before the March Fed meeting and what will be influential for US fixed income.
This week, Bloomberg's James Seyffart, Lumida's Ram Ahluwalia, and guest Tom Dunleavy explore whether the “Fed pivot” is officially dead, how AI will impact the job market, and what Tether's move to El Salvador means for U.S. stablecoin policy. They also debate whether bitcoin could ever be a risk-off asset, how sovereign nations might already be accumulating BTC, and what the Coinbase legal win against the SEC signals for the future. Plus, why volatility is still king in crypto and what lies ahead for the global markets. Show highlights: 02:12 Whether the “Fed pivot” is officially dead and whether rate cuts are coming 08:37 What the impact of AI will be on the jobs market 13:27 Why the markets have been chopping so much and whether it's the bottom 18:00 What Trump could achieve for the crypto industry in his first 100 days 23:02 Whether the US sold the Silk Road bitcoin 25:27 Why bitcoin will not be a risk-off asset in the near term according to Tom and Ram 31:08 Whether sovereign nations have already started buying bitcoin 36:49 Why Tether moving to El Salvador is a loss to the U.S., according to Ram 40:26 How the L.A. fires will have an impact on the political landscape in the U.S. 52:06 How Coinbase just achieved a “huge win” against the SEC Sponsors: Stellar Build Better Hosts: James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence Ram Ahluwalia, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida Guest: Tom Dunleavy, Partner at Master Ventures Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It's no secret that Mega Caps have drawn plenty of investors, but Barry Peters of Winslow Capital Management notes risk that comes those names. He points to how his firm has tackled risk-off ways to invest in large caps through Winslow's ETF strategies. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this episode of Learn to Swing Trade the Stock Market, Brian Montes breaks down the critical concept of risk-on vs. risk-off markets and how understanding this dynamic can improve your swing trading results. Whether you're a new trader or looking to refine your strategy, this episode equips you with actionable insights to help you evaluate market sentiment and align your trades with broader trends.Key Topics Covered:What do "risk-on" and "risk-off" mean in the stock market?Why understanding market sentiment is essential for swing traders.Three proven methods to determine market sentiment:What You'll Learn:How to interpret the performance of growth stocks, Treasury yields, and gold to identify market sentiment.The role of market breadth indicators in confirming risk-on or risk-off trends.Why volatility spikes often signal risk-off environments—and how to adjust your trading strategy.Practical tips for swing trading in both risk-on and risk-off environments.Interested in joining our Disciplined Traders Academy & Community - https://bit.ly/3Mm41N9Do you have a topic you want to discuss on the podcast? Email Brian at brian.montes@icloud.comNeed to understand market breadth? Here is the link to that podcast episode -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/learn-to-swing-trade-the-stock-market/id1723625987?i=1000657524033
Equities are entirely in the red with sentiment hit following remarks by Russia's Kremlin, which said "Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in an event of aggression".Dollar is firmer vs most peers, but weaker against the JPY which caught a bid owing to its safe-haven status.Bonds have soared to session highs following comments by the Russian Kremlin that it could respond to aggression in a nuclear manner.Crude is on the backfoot, XAU bid given the risk-off environment.Looking ahead, Canadian CPI, US Building Permits, NBH Policy Announcement, Comments from Fed's Schmid, Earnings from Walmart, Lowe's & Medtronic.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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US stocks slumped on return from the Labor Day weekend with the Nasdaq underperforming amid a pronounced weakness in the tech sector.The Tech losses were led by downside in chips, with AI-darling NVIDIA (NVDA) falling 9.5% in the first trading session of September, before shedding another 2.4% after-market on a DoJ subpoena.APAC stocks traded with losses across the board following the dire session on Wall Street, which saw a tech rout led by downside in chips, with a similar picture seen in APAC with the likes of SK Hynix opening lower by over 9%.European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -1.3% after cash closed -1.2% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK PMIs (F), US International Trade, US Durable Goods, JOLTS Job Openings, BoC & NBP Policy Announcement, ECB's Elderson; BoC Governor Macklem & Rogers, and Supply from Germany. Earnings from Direct Line, Barratt Developments, Dollar Tree, Hewlett Packard, Hormel FoodsClick here for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Stocks dropping to kick off September trading, with investors seemingly taking risk off the table to close out the summer. So as semis slump, and bonds bump, is this the trend to follow into autumn? Plus Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a record pile of cash. So with all that money, are there any companies worth scooping up? Our traders give their picks for who could be bought. Fast Money Disclaimer
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P being flat this week, risk off areas in fixed income, if recent movement in Utilities and Staples contradicts the risk off view, the Japanese Yen and Nikkei, and recent performance of value areas like Financials, Materials, and Industrials.
In today's episode we give you the Skinny on PCE (Personal consumption expenditures), we define "Risk Off", we chat about the news that Kim Kardashian has only raised $120mm of her $1-$2Bn target for her Skky Partners PE fund, talk Netflix and Meta earnings and finally share our take on the TikTok ban.The Funds4Teachers event is happening the dates below:Locations/DatesAtlanta - Apr 25Boston - June 6Chicago - June 18New York - Sep 26To learn more about how to support this initiative and register click here: https://iconnections.io/funds4teachers/Follow us on Instagram and Tik Tok at @thewallstreetskinnyhttps://www.instagram.com/thewallstreetskinny/