Podcasts about buybacks

Today's guest is Roger Ibbotson, a finance professor at Yale for four decades and founder of Ibbotson Associates. In today's episode, Roger shares a century of stock and bond data and how one dollar became fifteen thousand in large caps over a hundred years. He explains why most people never capture those returns, and why total returns went unmeasured for decades. To close, Roger makes the case for young investors owning nothing but stocks and forecasts the next twenty five years. (0:00) Introduction of Roger Ibbotson (1:34) Overview of "Centuries of Stock and Bond Returns" (5:15) The challenges of market timing (10:19) Market cycles, risk, and the role of human capital for young investors (12:30) Historical bond yields, probability of ruin, and small caps vs. long bonds (19:13) Investor preferences and historical market forecasts (23:41) Nominal vs. real returns, inflation, and bond yields (29:17) Valuation metrics, market anomalies, and long-term outlook (33:15) Buybacks vs. dividends and private company valuations (37:12) IPO trends ----- Sponsors:⁠ ⁠⁠⁠ ⁠Farmland LP⁠⁠ is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. ⁠Upwork⁠⁠⁠ is the world's largest human and AI-powered freelance marketplace to hire top talent—trusted by businesses and professionals worldwide. ----- Follow Meb on⁠ X⁠,⁠ LinkedIn⁠ and⁠ YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Jonathan Nurick joins the show to discuss a long-term investing strategy centered on the boring stocks. He talks dividend growth, free cash flow, and the importance of staying invested through market volatility. We explore investor psychology and the challenge of ignoring exciting trends like AI and speculative IPOs in favor of boring but resilient businesses such as Cintas and Home Depot. Jonathan also explains why his strategy favors established mid- to large-cap companies, particularly U.S. market leaders, and he emphasizes that successful investing requires not only choosing the right investments but also having the discipline and framework to hold them long enough for compounding to work. We discuss...  Why dividend growth can be a powerful long-term investing strategy. Growing dividends can provide investors with a fundamental signal that helps them stay invested through market volatility. How free cash flow can be used for dividends, buybacks, debt repayment, and reinvestment. Buybacks can be highly effective when companies repurchase shares at attractive valuations. Strong management teams and disciplined capital allocation are critical to the success of dividend-growth companies. Investor psychology makes it difficult to ignore exciting trends like AI, semiconductors, and IPOs when they are outperforming. The investment process emphasizes competitive advantages, low leverage, high returns on capital, and predictable growth. Why investing in established market leaders can provide greater resilience than chasing newer, highly competitive industries. Choosing what to own is only half of successful investing, with knowing how to hold it being equally important. Investors can improve their discipline by focusing on fundamental progress and dividend growth instead of constantly watching share prices. Find the beauty in boring businesses and let long-term compounding do the work. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/boring-stocks-jonathan-nurick 

Across the United States, municipal leaders and healthcare professionals are grappling with an unprecedented surge in severe electric bicycle collisions. What began as an eco-friendly micro-mobility revolution has increasingly strained pediatric emergency departments as high-powered and modified two-wheelers proliferate among young riders. In response to mounting trauma admissions and fatal collisions, local jurisdictions from Southern California to Colorado are deploying aggressive countermeasures, ranging from school-zone bans to county-level buyback initiatives. Trauma surgeons emphasize that standard bicycle helmets often fail to protect against the high-impact velocity and severe brain trauma generated by these motorized vehicles. As local officials evaluate financial buybacks and legal accountability for parents, nationwide calls for standardized age restrictions and regulatory enforcement continue to intensify.

Ran Neuner, Founder of Crypto Banter, joins Coindesk's Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook with charts in hand to explain why Bitcoin's pullback from $82K is textbook post-golden-cross behavior, and why he thinks the real story is what comes next. Neuner breaks down Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks as the engine of the rally, why ETH just broke a nine-year downtrend against Bitcoin, and why he's rotating out of layer ones and into apps with real users and revenue. Plus, Energy Substantiation Co-Founder Wil Harris joins Brand New Rails to explain why hard-to-custody assets, like oil, are tokenization's real frontier. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Ran Neuner Joins Markets Outlook 00:45 - The Golden Cross and Bitcoin's Pullback 02:31 - Bessent's Buybacks and Why $6B Disappointed the Market 03:56 - Oil, the War, and Trump's $1.4T Stimulus Promise 06:47 - Brand New Rails: Tokenized WTI Crude Oil 09:37 - "Crypto's Biggest Bull Market Ever" 11:33 - ETH Breaks a Nine-Year Downtrend Against Bitcoin 14:03 - Altcoins to 7X Bitcoin? Crypto's Product Market Fit 18:02 - Why AI Agents Are Crypto's Real Use Case 19:54 - What Makes an Altcoin Win: Users, Revenue, Buybacks

Ran Neuner, Founder of Crypto Banter, joins Coindesk's Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook with charts in hand to explain why Bitcoin's pullback from $82K is textbook post-golden-cross behavior, and why he thinks the real story is what comes next. Neuner breaks down Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks as the engine of the rally, why ETH just broke a nine-year downtrend against Bitcoin, and why he's rotating out of layer ones and into apps with real users and revenue. Plus, Energy Substantiation Co-Founder Wil Harris joins Brand New Rails to explain why hard-to-custody assets, like oil, are tokenization's real frontier. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Ran Neuner Joins Markets Outlook 00:45 - The Golden Cross and Bitcoin's Pullback 02:31 - Bessent's Buybacks and Why $6B Disappointed the Market 03:56 - Oil, the War, and Trump's $1.4T Stimulus Promise 06:47 - Brand New Rails: Tokenized WTI Crude Oil 09:37 - "Crypto's Biggest Bull Market Ever" 11:33 - ETH Breaks a Nine-Year Downtrend Against Bitcoin 14:03 - Altcoins to 7X Bitcoin? Crypto's Product Market Fit 18:02 - Why AI Agents Are Crypto's Real Use Case 19:54 - What Makes an Altcoin Win: Users, Revenue, Buybacks

Brent crude broke above $100 for the first time since July as the US destroyed five Iranian tankers and the fighting spread toward the Red Sea, sending the DAX down 1.7% while US stocks lost about half a percent. The Treasury countered with a tripled $6 billion bond buyback, and Meta jumped on its new AI agent Muse ahead of Thursday's ECB decision and US producer prices.>>> Follow me on LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/>>> Follow me on Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

LOCK IN YOUR EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceAs of today, the stock market is now entering the blackout window for corporate buybacks.Lance Roberts views this as making the market vulnerable to headline/geopolitical/rebalancing risk. Meaning the possibility of a correction is still on the table.We talk about the odds for this, as well as this morning's surprise payrolls beat and how Wall Street is interpreting that as a sign the Fed is more likely to hike, what to expects as the mid-term elections near, why the US values its gold reserves at an antiquated $42.oz, and, of course, what trades Lance's firm has made this week.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap.#jobsreport #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Vijftien jaar stond hij aan het roer van Apple, maar vandaag is toch echt zijn laatste werkdag. Morgen draagt ceo Tim Cook het stokje over aan zijn opvolger, John Ternus. Die wacht dan weer een grote klus: Apple blijft achterlopen in AI. Aan hem de taak daar wat aan te doen. Deze aflevering kijken we wat John Ternus te wachten staat. Maar we blikken ook terug op het nalatenschap van Tim Cook, de eerste ceo ná oprichter Steve Jobs. En iemand die belachelijk goed zorgde voor aandeelhouders: de keizer van kapitaalallocatie. Verder hebben we het over Fed-baas Kevin Warsh. Hij werd aangesteld door president Trump om de rente te verlagen. Maar het ziet ernaar uit dat hij het tegenovergestelde van plan is. Als de inflatie niet onder controle komt, moet hij ingrijpen, waarschuwt hij. Wat dat voor jou betekent, gaan we bespreken. Verder in deze aflevering: Een Zuid-Koreaans aandeel dat is verdubbeld dit jaar, en het is géén techbedrijf! De eerste op aarde die levenslang is verbannen van voorspelmarkt Kalshi: ex-Congreslid George Santos, die gokte op zijn eigen aanwezigheid bij de State of the Union van Trump Waarom BYD lager staat ondanks goeie cijfers Een tegenvaller bij InPost Ruzie tussen een Chinees chipbedrijf en het Pentagon Te gast: Jean-Paul van Oudheusden van eToro en Markets Are Everywhere BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Firestorm00:37 Boatcast Setup01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored08:10 Forward Guidance Critique11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs12:46 Money Supply Matters13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets18:50 Trump Military Option20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift39:03 Boating Bubble Bust45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk56:30 Boat Ownership Reality57:09 Closing Politics PlugFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#BondMarket #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

This episode of On Investing looks at a market environment increasingly shaped by persistent inflation, rising long-term Treasury yields, fiscal concerns, and renewed trade tensions. Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin begin by discussing the latest inflation data, which continues to show price pressures well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. While wage growth is not driving inflation, they highlight several other forces keeping inflation elevated, including energy prices, tariffs, and the massive investment required to support the AI boom. The conversation then turns to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's efforts to influence long-term interest rates after yields surged. Collin argues that Bessent's actions are understandable given concerns about mortgage rates and borrowing costs, but he views them as a short-term response to a much deeper issue: the nation's growing debt burden and ongoing fiscal deficits. Both hosts suggest that attempts to manage yields address the symptoms rather than the underlying causes. They also explore the potential tension this creates with the Federal Reserve, which may prefer tighter financial conditions to combat inflation. The episode closes with a look ahead to the Fed's Jackson Hole conference, upcoming labor market reports, purchasing manager surveys, and other economic data that could shape expectations for both growth and Fed policy. You can read the report Liz Ann mentions here: "Great Moderation Era: Drift(ing) Away." On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. 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Investors should obtain and carefully read the related prospectus or offering memorandum, which will contain the information needed to help evaluate the potential investment and provide important disclosures regarding risks, fees and expenses. Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions. All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data. 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Jon Turek is the founder and CEO of JST Advisors, a hedge fund advisory service that publishes a weekly research note with global macro trade ideas. JST Advisors works closely with hedge funds on developing asymmetric macro trade ideas and market themes. Outside of JST Advisors, Jon worked as a portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and as an analyst at Moore Capital. In this podcast, we discuss: The Substack Divide of Equities vs. Macro The Buy-Side Paradox of PM Asymmetry and Pod Reality The "Owl" Fed and Political Optimisation over Conviction The Trillion-Dollar AI Fiscal Program The Death of the 2010s Savings Glut Treasury Buybacks and "Whack-A-Mole" Markets Europe's Impending China Tariff Shock The Simmering Geopolitical In-Between for Oil 

In this episode, we discuss how Treasury buybacks may support market liquidity while preserving a regular and predictable debt strategy.​‌ The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to CMR2026-0521-5513952-T

The US Treasury's surprise decision to double the size of its regular long-end bond buybacks has reignited debate about how governments can manage rising borrowing needs and weaker demand for longer-dated debt.In this episode, Imogen Bachra is joined by Stuart Sparks and Oriane Parmentier to assess what the Treasury's move is really designed to achieve – and whether it can do anything to address the underlying fiscal pressures facing the US.The discussion also looks at the UK's experience of reducing the average maturity of government borrowing, and why this may offer a warning to other developed markets. In Europe, France remains firmly in focus as investors assess its fiscal position, political risks and the outlook for French government bonds.Key takeaways:* Why the US Treasury doubled the size of its long-end buybacks* The move is more about market liquidity than curve control* The lessons the US and Europe can draw from the UK* Why shrinking average maturity may have limited impact on long-term yields* The structural forces pushing European curves steeper* What to expect from the Fed at Jackson Hole* Why the ECB looks increasingly likely to hike in September* The BoE is in less of a hurry to raise rates. Host: Imogen Bachra, Head of Economics and Markets StrategyGuests: Oriane Parmentier, European Rates StrategistStuart Sparks, Head of US Rate Strategy This episode was recorded on 27 August 2026.You can also find this episode of Bondcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.  Remember to hit subscribe so you can listen to the latest episodes in this series as soon as they're available and get our views on the big themes and events moving markets and shaping the economy.For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.htmlPlease view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Why Bitcoin suddenly surged more than 20% after months of silence The U.S. Treasury doubled its bond buybacks - what that means, explained simply Bessent swore he'd never do what Yellen did. Then he did it twice as big The legend who taught Bessent everything just publicly questioned him in a WSJ Op-Ed ---- Borrow against your Bitcoin without selling it. Ledn offers Bitcoin-backed loans built for serious holders, with rates that get lower as your loan size increases. With Ledn's custodied loan product, your Bitcoin is held in custody and not lent out. Ledn has operated through multiple market cycles without a loss of client assets and publishes Proof of Reserves so you can verify what they hold. Get 0.25% off your first loan at ledn.io/natalie. Terms apply — see the site for details. ---- Order my approachable introduction to Bitcoin book "Bitcoin is for Everyone: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1804091138?linkCode=ssc&tag=onamzameri07b-20&creativeASIN=1804091138&asc_item-id=amzn1.ideas.3Q6CKLCXBKGSV&ref_=aip_sf_list_spv_ons_mixed_d_asin  Limited signed copies are available for purchase at shop.talkingbitcoin.com powered by Speed Wallet.  ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- Upcoming Events: The best time to plan for Bitcoin 2027 is right now. Early bird tickets are live — grab the lowest pricing available and use code HODL for 10% off: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2027?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=HODL  ---- Disclaimer: The News Block and Coin Stories are for educational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Natalie Brunell is not a financial advisor. Some content may include sponsorships or paid partnerships, which are disclosed. Always do your own research and consult a licensed professional before making financial decisions. Bitcoin and digital assets are volatile — never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Connect with Early Riders — https://www.earlyriders.com/contactConnect with Onramp — https://onrampbitcoin.com/contact-us/Presented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering capital markets, dealmaking, early-stage venture, bitcoin applications and protocol development.The Treasury doubled its bond buyback operation and Bitcoin ran from roughly $63,000 to $80,000 in a week. Michael, Liam, and Brian open on what Bessent actually did, why issuing at the front end to buy the long end is yield curve control without the name, and why gold, oil, and Bitcoin all responded the way the debasement thesis said they would. They get into whether the move was coordinated, what the White House crypto meeting and the SEC's new proposals mean with the Clarity Act stalled, and how tokenized stocks and meme coins are about to make grift a feature of the next cycle. The back half turns to market structure: Citi launching Bitcoin custody, why Bitcoin is a one way street once people understand it, and the honeypot problem banks are walking into. They close on Stripe buying OpenRouter, NVIDIA moving up the AI stack, agentic payments at Ramp, and a leak of API keys from 659 Stripe merchants.Chapters00:00 - Bitcoin rips from $63K to $80K02:55 - Bessent doubles the Treasury buyback05:27 - Why you cannot time Bitcoin's best ten days07:35 - Revaluing gold and the liquidity sponge trade11:43 - Tether and the new eurodollar market12:22 - Bitcoin is back on institutional screens15:03 - Was this whole move coordinated?17:49 - The White House crypto meeting and the SEC20:32 - Tokenized stocks, meme coins, and legalized grift28:16 - Oil, energy, and nominal versus real wealth32:19 - Citi launches Bitcoin custody33:20 - Bitcoin is a one way street40:44 - The honeypot problem with bank custody43:56 - Stripe buys OpenRouter and the singularity letter49:36 - NVIDIA, Perplexity, OpenAI, and Hugging Face58:20 - Ramp, x402, and agentic payments1:01:34 - Robots beat Usain Bolt1:06:20 - Single point of failure: 659 Stripe merchant keysIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly: https://www.earlyriders.com/researchKeep up with Michael:https://x.com/MTangumaKeep up with Liam:https://x.com/Lnelson_21Keep up with Brian:https://x.com/BackslashBTC

How do you go from seeing the Google website load for the first time on a campus computer screen in Mumbai to building and exiting three tech ventures, writing The Golden Tap, and buying back your company from VCs — all while navigating the rapid rise of AI?In this episode of TRUST ME I KNOW WHAT I'M DOING, host Dr. Abhay Dandekar sits down with serial entrepreneur, investor, author, and HyperTrack Founder & CEO Kashyap Deorah. Kashyap shares his journey across changing tech cycles, from falling in love with the internet at IIT Bombay to building and exiting three tech ventures, capturing the Indian tech ecosystem in his bestselling book The Golden Tap, and making the bold decision to buy back HyperTrack from venture capital investors to become a management-owned company.  Kashyap also breaks down his philosophy on why "technology accelerates human behavior rather than equalizing opportunity," how startup scaling accelerated from 0-to-1M in 18 months to 0-to-100M in 18 months, why high school dropouts building AI-native tools are outperforming legacy pivots, and why deep emotional connection and empathy remain the core operating system for tech leaders.  If you enjoy deep conversations on entrepreneurship, venture capital, technology, and identity across the global South Asian community, please LIKE, SHARE, and SUBSCRIBE! --------------------------⏱️ CHAPTERS / TIMESTAMPS00:00 - Teaser: Why Technology Accelerates Human Behavior01:46 - IIT Bombay, Google & Falling in Love with Entrepreneurship06:32 - The Accelerated Startup Pace: AI-Native Founders vs. Legacy Pivots09:53 - Building HyperTrack: Gig Workforce Logistics & Field Automation15:54 - Sponsor Break: TRAVELOPOD and Lotus Lane Coffee16:52 - Capital Concentration & Shifting Venture Capital Dynamics19:53 - Why We Bought Back Our Startup From VCs24:35 - Hard Truths for Founders: M&A Realities, Valuations & Misalignment28:58 - Sponsor Break: Timberdog Ruffrest29:25 - Tech Polarization, Vipassana Meditation & Consciousness36:00 - Reconnecting Feeling with Thinking in Tech Leadership43:32 - Outro & Diaspora Community Shoutouts  --------------------------EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS & KEY TAKEAWAYS:• The Core Operating System: Why human relationship building, empathy, and active listening remain constant anchors despite hyper-accelerating tech cycles.• Buying Back Your Startup: How HyperTrack realigned with investors to buy back VCs/PEs and transition to a profitable, management-owned business.• Tech Accelerates Human Behavior: Why technology doesn't automatically equalize opportunity, but rather accelerates existing human tendencies and polarization.• Leading with Feeling: How Vipassana meditation and connecting at an emotional level help founders make better decisions in an AI-driven world.GUEST & HOST RESOURCES:

US Treasury plans to expand bond buybacks, while Alibaba steps up its AI investment. RBI reviews flexi loans, IHCL announces the Oriental Hotels merger, and TCS acquires MHP Management. Dixon shares decline as investors react to company-specific developments. Watch the video for all the key stock market and business news updates

War Room Reckoning Coming! Bessent Teases $1 Trillion To Fund Bond Buybacks, Former NBA Star Booted From WNBA Game For Wearing Shirt Featuring Dictionary Definition Of “Woman,” PLUS, FBI Arrests Man Who Threatened to Storm White House and Assassinate Trump & More

The U.S. Treasury is doubling the size of certain long-term debt buybacks after a sharp rise in Treasury yields. The move brought some immediate relief to the bond market, but will it actually help bring mortgage rates down? Kathy Fettke explains what Treasury buybacks are, why bond yields matter for mortgage rates, and the bigger forces that could keep borrowing costs elevated for real estate investors.   Plus, download our free report on cities facing a housing shortage at http://www.RealWealth.com/Cities   Source: https://www.scotsmanguide.com/news/what-does-bessents-treasury-buyback-plan-mean-for-mortgage-rates/?utm_source=originator&utm_medium=news&utm_campaign=newlayout

Listen for the latest from Bloomberg News See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mike Sanders argues that the Treasury's plan to expand long-dated bond buybacks is merely a temporary fix for broader fiscal and geopolitical challenges. He explains why investors are not being adequately compensated for credit risk, discusses new debt issuance from companies like Broadcom (AVGO), and outlines why he favors intermediate-term bonds over longer maturities.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Guests: Paul Dietrich, Jeff Lazerson and Eleanor Terrett.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The AI boom is starting to look a lot more leveraged than investors realize There is a growing risk in the AI infrastructure buildout that isn't getting nearly enough attention: how much of this spending is being financed, and how much of the risk is sitting off the balance sheet.   The headline numbers around capital expenditures are already staggering, but what concerns me more is what sits underneath them: joint ventures, off-balance-sheet financing arrangements and leases that haven't even commenced yet.   In other words, some of the financial obligations associated with this AI buildout aren't necessarily showing up in today's debt figures. And the spending is enormous. Goldman Sachs analysts estimated that hyperscalers have combined lease commitments for data centers, R&D facilities, offices and equipment of $1.5 trillion, up from about $200 billion five years ago. This includes about $1 trillion of “uncommenced” lease commitments, which are not yet shown in financial statements but will result in future payments. This pairs with consensus forecasts that hyperscaler capital spending alone will surpass $1 trillion per year from 2027 onward and there are with no clear signs of moderation. According to a multi-asset credit strategist at PIMCO, the AI capex cycle is, adjusted for inflation, on track to be the largest investment cycle since the 19th-century railway construction.   The problem is what happens if the revenue doesn't grow fast enough to justify the investment. This is where Steve Eisman's warning is particularly interesting. Eisman, who became famous for betting against the housing market ahead of the financial crisis, believes the AI boom has become increasingly dependent on just two companies: OpenAI and Anthropic. According to Eisman, those two companies account for roughly 70% of AI-related revenue at Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet's Google and Oracle, and potentially 25%–35% of their overall cloud revenue.   That creates a concentration risk that investors shouldn't ignore. If OpenAI and Anthropic continue growing rapidly, the economics of all this infrastructure can work. But what if they don't?  Eisman believes one of the biggest threats could come from China.   Chinese open-source and open-weight AI models are significantly cheaper, and if they continue gaining market share, the industry could face something that investors haven't really modeled into these enormous infrastructure investments: an AI price war.   If the price of AI inference and cloud computing falls dramatically, the companies that have spent hundreds of billions building capacity could find themselves with a serious problem.   The infrastructure doesn't disappear just because pricing does. The debt doesn't disappear. The leases don't disappear. And the depreciation expense certainly doesn't disappear.   Another major concern given all the commitments from OpenAI is the turnover the company has seen. The company recently announced that Chief Revenue Officer Denise Dresser is leaving less than a year after joining the company. Dresser had brought more than a decade of Salesforce experience and was viewed as someone with important enterprise expertise as OpenAI tried to compete with Anthropic.   She isn't the only senior executive to leave. Fidji Simo stepped down from her product and business role, and several other executives including COO Brad Lightcap departed earlier this year.   Executive turnover doesn't necessarily mean something is wrong. Fast-growing companies go through enormous amounts of change. But when two companies are potentially responsible for such a large percentage of the revenue supporting an enormous AI infrastructure investment cycle, leadership stability becomes much more important.   There are a lot of things that need to go right to justify the enormous amount of spending in the AI space. And increasingly, there seem to be more and more question marks that investors need to consider. I'm not saying the AI boom is over. I'm saying investors should spend a lot more time asking who is financing this boom, who is ultimately responsible for the obligations, and what happens if the economics of AI change.   Refined oil could be in jeopardy over the next 6 to 12 months U.S. refineries are currently operating at historically high utilization rates at around 96.5%. Aside from July 25 of this year, when utilization briefly reached 97.2%, the last time refineries were operating at this level was in 2018, when utilization hit 96.6%.   Part of the problem is our own doing. California politicians deserve a significant amount of blame. Over the past 20 years, nine of the 12 refineries that have closed in the United States have been located in California. At the same time, the push toward electric vehicles led many refiners to avoid investing the billions of dollars required to build new refining capacity. Now, we not only lack significant new capacity, but some existing refineries are also in need of repairs and upgrades.   That leaves us particularly vulnerable considering we are in hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30. A major hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast could knock out anywhere from 10% to 30% of U.S. refining capacity, depending on the severity and location of the storm. That could put enormous pressure on already-tight supplies of gasoline and diesel.   And supplies are already below normal. Global inventories of refined fuels, which primarily consists of gasoline and diesel, are estimated to be roughly 130 million barrels below normal levels for this time of year.   This isn't just a U.S. problem. Gasoline and diesel are globally traded commodities, and the global refining picture has changed significantly because of the war in Ukraine. Ukraine has reportedly knocked out roughly 30% of Russia's refining capacity, while Russia has also reduced exports of refined products as it prioritizes its own domestic needs.   The United States is a free market, and American businesses can trade refined products on the global market. U.S. refineries currently export roughly 900,000 barrels per day of gasoline, while diesel exports recently reached a record 1.9 million barrels per day.   This is why having millions of barrels of crude oil doesn't necessarily solve the problem. You can have all the oil in the world, but if you don't have the refining capacity to turn it into gasoline and diesel, that oil is of limited use to consumers.   As an investment firm, we're always looking for the other shoe that could drop. This is one that concerns me. If we get a major hurricane over the next few months and refining capacity is reduced even temporarily, the impact on gasoline and diesel supplies could be significant. A disruption lasting only a week could be enough to send energy markets into a tizzy, particularly given how tight inventories already are.   The irony is that we spent years aggressively pushing toward electric vehicles while underinvesting in traditional refining capacity. EV adoption hasn't progressed as quickly as many expected, but the refining infrastructure we depend on for gasoline and diesel hasn't magically expanded either.   Now we're heading into hurricane season with historically high refinery utilization, below-normal refined fuel inventories, limited new refining capacity and a global market that is already facing disruptions. That's a combination worth paying attention to.   Americans are traveling more than ever If you've noticed how busy airports have been lately, there's a reason: Americans are traveling more than ever, and there's little sign of that slowing down. One reason is wealth. Americans collectively hold roughly $100 trillion in wealth. They're also living longer and, perhaps more than any previous generation, are choosing to spend their later years enjoying life, traveling, and creating experiences.   Back in the 1970s, 80s, and even the 90s, Americans seemed more content to stay home, spend time with family, and enjoy their homes. Fast-forward to today, and travel has become a much bigger priority.   Trips to Europe reached a record 24 million in 2025. While some Europeans certainly aren't thrilled with the influx of American tourists, those visitors are having a major economic impact. Americans accounted for roughly 15% of luxury sales across Europe.   Of course, not everyone is happy about the crowds. Barcelona, which sees roughly nine times as many visitors as it has residents, has seen protests against tourism, including protesters spraying tourists with water. I guess on a hot day, that might not be the worst thing.   The change in travel habits is pretty remarkable. As recently as 1990, only about 5% of Americans had a passport. Today, that figure is around 50%, giving Americans far more ability to travel internationally.   So who is doing all this traveling? Women 55 and older account for roughly 24% of travelers to Europe and other international destinations. I don't know about you, but that doesn't surprise me.   What does this mean going forward? If this trend continues, it could have a meaningful impact on the economy. Airlines, hotels, restaurants, and other businesses tied to travel should continue to benefit from Americans prioritizing experiences.   I do believe we'll eventually see an increase from the historically low levels of spending on home remodeling and repairs. But I also wonder if that trend could eventually be constrained as people choose to spend $10,000 on a trip to Europe rather than $10,000 on a kitchen remodel. And with all these Americans traveling around the world, I have to wonder how many have taken the time to see the incredible places we have right here in the United States.   I'm talking about the Grand Canyon, Yellowstone, the giant redwoods of Northern California, or our nation's capital in Washington, D.C. We may be traveling more than ever but maybe we should remember that there's still plenty to explore right here at home.   Do you have any healthcare stocks in your portfolio? You may be thinking, “What a boring investment.” And it's true, healthcare stocks have performed poorly over the last few years. But if your portfolio is heavily concentrated in high-risk areas like AI and technology, you may want to consider adding a couple of healthcare stocks.   I know that could mean giving up some performance as tech stocks skyrocket… or, I should say, if they continue to skyrocket. But healthcare as a portfolio diversifier could be a good option for people that don't want to sell all their tech winners.   Look at the recent history as it seems when tech stocks rallied, healthcare struggled, but on the other side of the coin, from late June to late July, as the AI rally cooled, healthcare outperformed technology by roughly 30 percentage points.   Part of the reason is that semiconductors are highly cyclical businesses, while healthcare is much less cyclical. We need healthcare in good times and bad.   We saw another great example in 2022. Inflation was rising, interest rates were climbing, and the market sold off, with the Nasdaq falling more than 30%. Yet healthcare outperformed by roughly 30 percentage points.   This is why when we build portfolios for our clients, we don't just look at the individual companies. We look at how those companies correlate with one another and how they could react under different market conditions.   It's also why we don't want to be overly concentrated in any one industry. You should take a look at your portfolio and ask yourself: Is it balanced, or is everything likely to fall at the same time when the next downturn comes? Sometimes the most “boring” investment in your portfolio can be one of the most important.   The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. But how much does it really change? The Treasury announced this week that it will at least double the maximum size of its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation, beginning in September. The move is designed to improve liquidity in the longer-dated Treasury market after long-term yields surged. The market reaction on Wednesday was significant, but I think it's important to put the size of this move into perspective.   The U.S. national debt has now topped $40 trillion. So while going from $2 billion to $4 billion sounds substantial, $4 billion is just 0.01% of $40 trillion.   This isn't debt reduction. The Treasury is essentially buying back certain longer-term securities and managing the composition and liquidity of the debt. It doesn't address the underlying fiscal problem.   And this is where I think the bigger issue gets interesting. The government has increasingly leaned toward issuing more shorter-duration debt. That can make sense when short-term borrowing costs are lower, but it also means a larger portion of the debt needs to be refinanced more frequently.   That creates interest-rate risk. If rates remain elevated, the Treasury has to continually roll over maturing debt at higher rates. The government may save money today by borrowing shorter, but it potentially increases its exposure to what happens to interest rates tomorrow. It's similar to choosing a short-term adjustable loan over locking in a long-term rate. You might get a lower rate initially, but you have to refinance much more often.   We have already seen how the refinancing risk impacts the government as the average interest rate on government debt climbed from 2.23% in 2016 to 3.45% in 2026. During the craziness of Covid in 2021, the average interest rate was 1.61%. These higher interest costs and larger debt balance have pushed interest expenses above $1.2 T and servicing the debt is now more costly than major categories like defense and Medicare. At that level it is the second-largest federal expense behind only Social Security.   The big problem is there doesn't appear to be an end in sight as the government, which includes both political parties, continues to spend money and low-interest rate debt will continue to mature. As of Q3 of Fiscal Year 2026, close to 33% of US publicly held debt was set to mature within 12 months and the average maturity as of June 2026 was 71 months.   The Treasury has plenty of tools to manage the debt market, and this buyback could certainly help liquidity and temporarily reduce pressure on long-term yields. But there is a big difference between managing the debt and solving the debt problem. At $40+ trillion, the numbers are simply too large for a $4 billion-per-operation buyback program to materially change the underlying fiscal picture. The real solution isn't finding a better way to refinance $40 trillion. It's eventually getting the growth of the debt and deficits under control.   Financial Planning: Do You Have the Right Home Insurance Deductible? Homeowners insurance across California has been an ongoing issue, with premiums rising sharply and some policies being canceled or not renewed by insurers. If your goal is to reduce the cost of homeowners insurance, one strategy worth considering is choosing a higher deductible and paying for smaller losses out of pocket. Homeowners insurance is generally most valuable for protecting against low-probability, high-impact events, such as a major fire or severe property loss, rather than functioning as a reimbursement program for routine repairs and relatively small claims. Filing a small claim may provide an immediate financial benefit, but it also becomes part of your insurance history and can affect future premiums or your ability to obtain coverage. In other words, the reimbursement from a small claim may ultimately be offset, at least in part, by higher future insurance costs or the difficulty of finding affordable coverage. For homeowners who have sufficient savings to absorb smaller losses, accepting a higher deductible can therefore be a sensible way to lower annual premiums while preserving insurance for the truly catastrophic losses that could otherwise threaten their financial security.   Companies:  Peloton Interactive, Inc. (Ticker: PTON)  

Welcome to the VRA Investing Podcast! On today's episode, Tyler Herriage is back after some time on the road to wrap up a week packed with action in the markets. We'll break down all-time highs across major indexes, analyze the latest comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on bond buyback expansions, and dig into the regulatory moves from the SEC and CFTC that are shaking up both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Plus, we'll cover sector performance, market internals, and the standout rallies in commodities like gold and silver. Whether you're heading into the weekend or catching up before the week ahead, Tyler Herriage has everything you need to know—including what to watch for in upcoming earnings, Fed speeches, and inflation data. Buckle up for timely insights, actionable takeaways, and a preview of what's next for investors.

Ben and Tom discuss Scott Bessent's expanding influence across the administration as the Treasury doubles the maximum size of its long-bond buyback operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion effective September 9, a move Tom explains functions as the reverse of quantitative easing since it uses already-borrowed cash to repurchase bonds now trading below where they were issued, Trump announcing unprecedented economic warfare against Iran in remarks that echo language Bessent used a week earlier, Walmart falling 6% as tariff refunds get redirected into price investments and underlying margins soften even as headline results beat, and John Deere rising 2% on construction strength while Big Ag remains pressured by financing, fuel, and fertilizer costs.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Treasury debt buybacks helped push bond yields lower and stocks higher, but the market's technical setup still warrants caution. The 10-Year Treasury yield remains on a sell signal, while the S&P 500 is nearing a momentum sell signal with downside risk toward its 50-day moving average. Meanwhile, volatility remains extremely compressed, investor complacency is elevated, and cheap portfolio hedges could become increasingly valuable. With thin August trading and mid-term election uncertainty ahead, investors should manage exposure and prepare for a potential pickup in volatility before the stronger year-end seasonal period. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: hhttps://youtu.be/pY-lAMlQo7M --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TreasuryYields #MarketVolatility #Investing

The Treasury is "attacking the symptom, not the cause" of rising yields, says Liz Ann Sonders. Momentum in fixed income markets, paired with concerns on inflation and the U.S.-Iran war, is what Liz Ann sees silencing the short-term downtrend in the 10-year yield among related metrics. She broadens out the discussion to explain how equities can regain their footing through certain moves she wants to see from Treasury yields. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Mary Daly, San Francisco Fed President, talks impact of treasury buybacks, policy and inflation shocks. She talks to Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mortgage rates and inflation data are both in play today as the Treasury steps into the bond market to prop up prices. Dan Frio breaks down why bond buybacks matter for mortgage rates, what today's jobs report means, and what the Federal Reserve is likely to do next in 27 days.In this episode:• Why the Treasury stepped in yesterday to buy back bonds and prop up prices • What happens to mortgage rates when bond supply floods the market (the 2008 comparison) • $5.2 trillion in Treasury debt issued this year, and why that matters for your rate • Today's jobs report and Philly Fed manufacturing numbers, explained • The odds the Federal Reserve holds rates steady at the next meeting • What homebuyers, homeowners, and realtors should watch nextRead the full breakdown on the blog: https://therateupdate.com/blogCHAPTERS 0:00 Treasury Steps Into the Bond Market 2:00 Why Too Many Bonds Push Mortgage Rates Up 4:00 Jobs Report and Manufacturing Numbers 6:00 Federal Reserve Rate Odds for the Next Meeting 8:00 What to Watch Next for Your Mortgage Rate

The Treasury is increasing its long term bond buybacks, but Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti argue the move does little to address the deeper forces pushing global yields higher.Chuck and Marc explain why the Treasury's buyback plan is more important as a signal than as a market moving tool, how swapping long term debt for short term borrowing could worsen the fiscal picture, and why investors may respond by moving toward hard assets like gold. They also discuss whether the move conflicts with Kevin Warsh's less interventionist approach at the Fed, how it could affect the bond market's ability to price inflation risk, and why long term borrowing costs matter for housing, corporate investment, and the broader economy. Plus, Todd Lutsky joins for Ask Todd to explain how irrevocable Medicaid trusts can help with estate taxes, probate, and long term care planning.

Sam Vadas turns to key international headlines in Unitree's explosive IPO in China and SK Hynix (SKHY) bolstering its share buyback plan. Marley Kayden discusses how prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are gaining institutional attention. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Ryan Lynch of Zelnicker Dorfman Private Wealth discusses the treasury's new buyback operation and what it could mean for market liquidity. He explains how lower yields and oil prices are supporting stocks, previews Walmart (WMT) earnings as a key consumer gauge, and highlights the role of fixed income in a diversified portfolio.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The U.S. Treasury is "at least" doubling debt buybacks for longer-dated nominal coupon securities, causing a surge in fixed income activity after yields hit highs not seen in years. Kevin Hincks explains why the headline is so significant for bonds and beyond. He turns to global movers tied to the U.S.-Iran war after the United Arab Emirates cut off trade with Iran. In equities, Kevin discusses the massive move in Moderna (MRNA) shares after it and Merck (MRK) announced positive phase 3 results for a melanoma vaccine. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Protect your purchasing power with silver. Visit Silver Team store here: https://bit.ly/Shop4SilverTreasury buybacks, 30-year yields, gold and QE Lite take center stage after the US Treasury announced it will at least double longer-dated buyback operations. Yields tumbled, stock futures surged and gold broke higher following the announcement.

Michael Saylor and Phong Le sat down with Natalie Brunell to take questions directly from Strategy investors — including some pointed concerns about MSTR's sharp drawdown, dilution and whether common shareholders are still the company's top priority. One investor said he put $73,000 into MSTR for each of his three children, only to see each investment fall to roughly $20,000. He asked Saylor and Le directly: have common shareholders become Strategy's lowest priority? In this episode: Michael and Phong address dilution fears around $MSTR common stock  Are $MSTR buybacks are on the table, and under what conditions? What they say they learned from the $STRC drawdown Whether the $1 million and $10 million per Bitcoin scenarios still hold Why Strategy wants to become the "J.P. Morgan of digital assets" and what that really means ---- Order Natalie's new book "Bitcoin is For Everyone," a simple introduction to Bitcoin and what's broken in our current financial system: https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU  ---- Borrow against your Bitcoin without selling it. Ledn offers Bitcoin-backed loans built for serious holders, with rates that get lower as your loan size increases. With Ledn's custodied loan product, your Bitcoin is held in custody and not lent out. Ledn has operated through multiple market cycles without a loss of client assets and publishes Proof of Reserves so you can verify what they hold. Get 0.25% off your first loan at ledn.io/natalie. Terms apply — see the site for details. ---- Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR) powers AI and Bitcoin mining infrastructure with 3 GW of secured global energy — and owns the entire stack, from equipment manufacturing to data centers to proprietary orchestration software. Learn more at https://www.bitdeer.com. ---- Kalshi is the largest prediction market in the world. Get $25 when you trade $25. http://kalshi.com/r/HODL ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product Partners: Speed is my go-to Bitcoin Lightning wallet! Send, receive, or swap stablecoins and digital gold into Bitcoin in one app. Run a business? Speed powers Bitcoin payments for Steak 'n Shake, and it can do the same for you. Download at https://speed.app/natalie  and use code COINSTORIES10 for 5,000 free sats after your first transaction. Download Bitkey Today and use my promo code STORIES to get 10% off the new Bitkey. This episode has been sponsored by Bitkey: https://bitkey.world/STORIES Master Bitcoin self-custody and gain peace of mind with 1-on-1 training: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie?utm_source=partner-natalie&utm_medium=podcast With BitcoinIRA, you can invest in bitcoin 24/7 inside a tax-advantaged IRA. Choose a Traditional IRA to defer taxes, or a Roth IRA for tax-free withdrawals later. Take control of your future with BitcoinIRA: https://www.bitcoinira.com/natalie  Natalie's Upcoming Events: The best time to plan for Bitcoin 2027 is right now. Early bird tickets are live — grab the lowest pricing available and use code HODL for 10% off: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2027?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=HODL  Extra Services to Consider: One of the best decisions I made for both my heath and my bank account was joining CrowdHealth years ago. I never spend more than $200 on health coverage through my CrowdHealth plan and all my health events have been crowd-funded. Get started with a discounted plan at my link. : www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie  ---- Disclaimer: The News Block and Coin Stories are for educational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Natalie Brunell is not a financial advisor. Some content may include sponsorships or paid partnerships, which are disclosed. Always do your own research and consult a licensed professional before making financial decisions. Bitcoin and digital assets are volatile — never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Fire the Whole Investment Team: Meb Faber on 250 Years of American Compounding and Why CalPERS Can’t Beat a 60/40 allocation https://youtu.be/9lBYkG4J2sY A dollar invested in the U.S. stock market in 1800 is worth roughly $200 million today, and Meb Faber says the giant pension funds paid to beat that kind of compounding usually can’t. In this episode of Wealth Actually, Frazer Rice talks with Meb Faber, co-founder and CIO of Cambria Investment Management and host of The Meb Faber Show, about his new coffee-table book Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market, the shareholder yield thesis behind Cambria’s ETF lineup, and his long-running public campaign arguing that CalPERS and other giant institutional pools routinely fail to beat a simple, low-cost buy-and-hold portfolio. https://open.spotify.com/episode/4WmnPm3GN8jwQtJuCVV9XG?si=nLLcz8y8RSuydORA5_ZHGQ Key Takeaways America is, in Faber’s words, the greatest compounding machine in history. He puts a dollar invested in U.S. stocks in 1800 at roughly $200 million today — a number he uses to reframe how clients should think about staying invested through wars, depressions, and pandemics. The book’s origin story starts with meme stocks. Faber says COVID pulled a new generation of retail investors into the market through gamified trading apps, and he wanted to hand them a historically grounded alternative to day-trading and zero-day options. Diversification is older than the country itself. Faber traces the concept back to 15th- and 16th-century joint-stock voyages — the Mayflower and the Virginia Company among them — where spreading capital across many risky expeditions let “merchant adventurers” survive when any single ship was lost. Shareholder yield, not dividend yield, is Cambria’s core factor. Since the S&P 500’s dividend yield now sits near an all-time low of 1.04%, Faber argues the real signal is cash dividends plus net buybacks — net of the dilution from stock-based compensation that quietly erodes shareholders’ ownership every year. Faber’s CalPERS critique boils down to one line: “the returns are not bad, they’re just not good.” He’s built an entire body of work, including Cambria’s ENDW endowment-style ETF, arguing that giant pools with virtually unlimited access to managers still can’t consistently beat a disciplined global 60/40. Complexity is often the enemy, not the edge. Faber contrasts investing with almost every other field of expertise: hiring the best doctor or coach nearly always helps, but hiring the most sophisticated (and expensive) money manager frequently doesn’t. Illiquidity has a way of showing up at the worst possible time. Faber points to endowments getting caught upside down in 2008–2009 and to more recent leveraged blowups as the same lesson repeating: over-lever a portfolio and you’re out of chips at the poker table. The real accountability gap is career incentives, not investment theory. Faber contrasts Yale, which gets a pass for strong long-term results, with Harvard’s endowment, which he says has underperformed for two decades without anyone losing their job over it — a dynamic he says maps directly onto UHNW family governance. Timestamps [00:00] Cold open — CalPERS CIOs vs. UK prime ministers [00:29] Show open and disclaimer [00:54] Welcome: Meb Faber, Cambria, and the new book [02:07] The $76 price tag and the 1776 joke [03:13] Genesis of Investing in America: COVID, meme stocks, and joint-stock voyages [06:33] The most surprising find: Ben Franklin’s “Mind Your Business” motto [09:09] Argentina vs. the U.S. — what actually drove American exceptionalism [12:47] Cambria today: the shareholder yield thesis [17:46] Why politicians target buybacks instead of stock-based comp [20:54] The CalPERS critique begins [21:34] The Ivy Portfolio, the ENDW endowment ETF, and year-one results [25:45] The Nevada pension comparison and the liquidity-complexity pushback [26:56] Institutional blowups, Harvard’s endowment dysfunction, and misaligned incentives [29:36] The “anti-Switzerland of asset management” bit [31:16] Close: where to find Meb, Cambria, and the book Pull Quotes “No, no, no, no, Frazer — it is $76, in honor of 1776.” — Meb Faber “A dollar would be worth roughly $200 million today… despite wars and depressions and pandemics and everything else terrible that’s happened in the history of the world, this relentless compounding is such a fun story.” — Meb Faber “There are dividend funds in the U.S. today… whose actual dividend yield is lower than their management fee. A negative net dividend yield — an astonishing statistic in 2026.” — Meb Faber “Who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years — CalPERS CIOs or UK prime ministers? Both totally dysfunctional. I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close.” — Meb Faber “I’m the anti-Switzerland of asset management.” — Meb Faber About the Guest Meb Faber is co-founder, CEO, and Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management, an independent, privately owned advisory firm built around quantitative asset management and alternative investment strategies (BusinessWire). He hosts The Meb Faber Show, one of the most widely followed investing podcasts, and is the author of eight books, including The Ivy Portfolio, Global Asset Allocation, Global Value, Shareholder Yield, and now Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market — his first coffee-table book, released to coincide with the U.S. semiquincentennial (Curzio Research). Proceeds from the book go to charities that fund investment accounts for Americans born in the country. A ninth book, The Awesome Portfolio, is slated for release on September 8, 2026 (Meb Faber on X). Contact Meb Faber & Cambria Cambria Investment Management: cambriainvestments.com Cambria Funds: cambriafunds.com Meb’s blog, podcast & research: mebfaber.com The Meb Faber Show: themebfabershow.com Twitter/X: @MebFaber Book — Investing in America: available on Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and signed via Pages bookstore in Manhattan Beach, CA (Acquirer’s Multiple) Cambria Funds Mentioned Shareholder Yield suite (SYLD, FYLD, EYLD, plus small-cap and large-cap variants) — cash dividends plus net buybacks plus net debt reduction, divided by market cap (MarketWatch) GVAL — Global Value ETF screening the cheapest quartile of roughly 45 country markets by long-term valuation (Cambria — GVAL) TAIL / FAIL — U.S. and global ex-U.S. tail-risk ETFs pairing short-term Treasuries with a rolling ladder of out-of-the-money S&P 500 puts (Cambria — TAIL) Trinity Portfolio (TRTY) — roughly half buy-and-hold, half trend-following across a basket of other Cambria funds (Cambria — Trinity Portfolio) ENDW — Cambria’s endowment-style ETF, discussed on the show as roughly $150–180 million at launch and referenced later in conversation as having grown toward roughly $5 billion in assets with more than 100,000 investors (MebFaber.com) The CalPERS Critique — Further Reading 9 Institutions Can’t Beat a Basic Buy-and-Hold Allocation — MebFaber.com How California’s $450B Pension Fund Misses the Basics of Investing — YouTube Should a Robot Be Managing CalPERS’ Portfolio? — MebFaber.com, 2015 Index Funds vs. Ivy League — MarketWatch/Barron’s Streetwise CalPERS: America’s Misled and Misleading Pension Leader — Retired Public Employees Association CalPERS Section II Performance Tables (2026) — CalPERS.ca.gov Reducing the Noise of AI Investing – FrazerRice.com Frequently Asked Questions How much would a dollar invested in the U.S. stock market in 1800 be worth today?Meb Faber says roughly $200 million, using the figure to illustrate how relentless compounding has powered through wars, depressions, and pandemics over the country’s history. It’s an illustrative, back-of-envelope estimate rather than a precise index calculation, since standardized stock indexes didn’t exist in 1800. Why is Meb Faber’s new book priced at $76?It’s a nod to 1776 and the country’s founding, timed to the U.S. semiquincentennial. All proceeds go to charities that fund investment accounts for Americans born in the country. What is shareholder yield, and how is it different from dividend yield?Shareholder yield is cash dividends plus net stock buybacks (net of new share issuance, particularly from stock-based compensation), divided by market cap. Faber argues it captures real capital return to shareholders better than dividend yield alone, especially now that the S&P 500’s dividend yield sits near an all-time low of about 1.04% and share buybacks have outpaced dividends every year since the late 1990s. What is Meb Faber’s argument against CalPERS and other large pension funds?Faber’s recurring claim is “the returns are not bad, they’re just not good” — that giant institutional pools with access to virtually any manager on the planet still fail to consistently beat a simple, low-cost, diversified buy-and-hold portfolio, once fees and complexity are accounted for. Cambria launched an endowment-style ETF (ENDW) partly to make this a live, ongoing comparison rather than a hypothetical one. What is Cambria’s endowment-style ETF and how does it compare to institutions like CalPERS?ENDW replicates a Yale/Swensen-style endowment allocation — global stocks, global bonds, and real assets like gold, TIPS, and REITs — in a low-cost ETF with an all-in expense under 25 basis points. Faber uses it as a running, real-time benchmark against actual endowment and pension performance reported each fiscal year. Why does Meb Faber say complexity is often the enemy in investing?Unlike most fields, where more resources and the best available experts reliably produce better outcomes, Faber argues that in investing, more complexity and more access to exotic managers frequently doesn’t translate into better returns net of fees — and often just adds cost and illiquidity risk. What lesson does Meb Faber draw from institutional blowups and the 2008–2009 crisis?Endowments that mark their portfolios only once a year got caught badly offsides in 2008–2009, with illiquid positions falling even further than public markets. Faber sees the same pattern recur whenever a fund over-levers and gets forced out of the game — a basic failure of position sizing and situational awareness that keeps repeating at the highest levels of finance. Full Transcript [00:00] Cold Open (produced VO): I said, who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years — CalPERS CIOs or UK Prime Ministers? Both totally dysfunctional. And I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close. Meb Faber suggested that CalPERS should fire its entire investment team, and that complexity has become a major headwind to their ability to generate returns. Find out more on this episode of Wealth Actually. We’re also going to talk about Meb’s new book, which argues that America is one of the greatest compounding machines in the history of capitalism. [00:29] Show Open (produced VO): Welcome back to the Wealth Actually podcast — the show that features experts, entrepreneurs, and commentators who give you the right knowledge, planning, and guidance so you can preserve your assets and enjoy your wealth. Learn more and subscribe today at WealthActually.com. This podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes. It is not investment, legal, or tax advice. It does not represent the opinions of the employers of the host or guest. [00:54] Frazer Rice: Welcome back. Meb Faber is on the show. He founded Cambria Investment Management, which is a $4 billion ETF group. He also has The Meb Faber Show and does a lot of different writing. He’s famous for being on Twitter and taking on CalPERS. But most importantly, he has a new book out talking about America as a great compounding machine. It’s a lot of fun to have him on. Welcome aboard, Meb. [01:16] Meb Faber: My man, great to be here. Frazer Rice: Oh, thank you for being on. I thank you beforehand for including a piece of my writing in one of your old compendiums on best investment writing. I’ve never forgotten that, so thank you again. Meb Faber: Well, good job making the cut. Frazer Rice: Yeah, right, exactly. I passed the audition. Seen you a few times on The Idea Farm here and there over the years. Meb Faber: Yep. As I tell people with my girlfriend, I met expectations in my recent review, so we’re onto the next year. Look, key to life, Frazer — investors, we’re in a bull market, everyone expects 15% returns forever. Key to investing in life: just low expectations. That’s it. Set your expectations low, and you’ll be pleasantly surprised every day. Don’t lose principal over time — that’ll get you pretty far in life. [02:07] Frazer Rice: So anyway, you’ve got a new book out too, which I thought was pretty cool. I love the fact that you priced it at $17.76 and really focused on the— Meb Faber: No, no, no, no, Frazer — it is $76, in honor of 1776. Now to be clear, we don’t make any money on this book. We’re donating all the proceeds to the Invest America charities that fund accounts for Americans born in this country — a wonderful charity, big supporters of it. Frazer Rice: But yes, in honor of the country’s founding. This is why we have you all to make sure I get that stuff right. But the concept of America as the best compounding machine ever — I think that’s really interesting. First of all, what prompted you to get involved with putting this book together? You’ve written before — seems like you’ve been busy with other stuff, of course — but then you came back and decided this was a good topic to take on. What was the genesis of the book? [03:13] Meb Faber: Yeah, so this is my eighth book, and the first coffee-table book we’ve ever done. People were saying, “What the hell, $76? Are you guys crazy?” Look — this is a beautiful 200-page book. There’s probably 70 pictures, charts, tables. And the concept is in the subtitle: Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market. And the origin story goes back to COVID. Nobody had anything to do — sports stopped, you couldn’t go to the beach. So people were sitting around, and Americans — look, they’re gamblers, they’re risk-takers, we know that. And I said, we can’t do anything about that. So this entire generation of young people turned their attention to the stock market, and we got meme stocks. Today that’s evolved into prediction markets and zero-day options and all sorts of other nonsense. We wanted to grab those young people and say, “No, you don’t understand — the real story is better than any of this. You don’t have to day-trade. You don’t have to bet against the casino and lose.” So we said, let’s do this history since the founding of our republic — what it would have looked like if you could invest from 1800. And the compounding math is so fantastical it seems wrong. A dollar invested in 1800 — and yes, I know there were no indexes back then, chill out, people — but just to be instructive, a dollar would be worth roughly $200 million today. The point is you get on this train despite wars and depressions and pandemics and everything else terrible that’s happened in the history of the world — despite all that, this relentless compounding is such a fun story. On top of that — the founding of our country, and a lot of people don’t know this: when you learn the history of America in elementary school, you learn about the immigration, particularly from Europe, people escaping religious persecution, seeking a better life through freedom — the Mayflower, all that. All true. But what they leave out is that most of these explorations and voyages were funded by companies. Back then they called them joint-stock companies; today we call them companies, LPs, C-corporations — corps, right, partnerships. Because the reality, going back to the 15th century, is that if you’re sending a ship to the New World to find gold, that ship could sink, or there were pirates — you’d lose all your money. So this brilliant invention we call diversification today has been around for hundreds and hundreds of years. These companies said, it’s risky to invest in one voyage, but you can own part of a company that invests in 10 or 20 or 30 of these, and maybe one of them will hit. That sounds like venture capital. They used to call these people “adventurers” or merchant adventurers. Hudson’s Bay, the Mayflower voyage, the Virginia Company — many of them failed, many didn’t make money, but some made spectacular profits. It’s a fun origin story that hasn’t really been told about these early entrepreneurs and risk-takers, who honestly still permeate our culture to this day. [06:33] Frazer Rice: In putting the book together, what was the most surprising chart you found that you ended up including? [06:41] Meb Faber: There’s a lot of fun historical statistics in the book. One of my favorite parts of writing it was buying — I don’t know, 50 or 100 financial history books I’d never heard of, books on financial crises globally from various markets. We just had an author on the podcast talking about the global financial crisis of 1873, and on and on — you learn so much. One I love telling people, especially young people — my son or his friends — is: look at a dollar bill or a quarter, and I ask, what’s the motto on there? Well, that used to not be the motto. Ben Franklin, back in the day, the motto on the Fugio cent used to say “Mind Your Business” — which I thought was amazing. And it’s not “mind your business, kid” in the nosy sense — it’s more like, mind your (own) business. It had a sundial on it, too: time is short, mind your business. I thought, let’s go back to that — such a great motto. A bunch of little fun stories, but to me one of the big takeaways of the book is: as a public stock investor, the news is always negative. You turn on CNBC, Bloomberg, pull up your phone, social media — negative, negative, negative, negative. It’s hard to sustain conviction. Look, we haven’t been through a big bear market in 17 years, but when you’re down 30%, 40%, 50%, and you’re reading “Lehman’s going under” and all these crazy headlines — the book lets you zoom out. Each chapter zooms into a decade and then zooms back out and says, okay, 1930s, Great Depression, you lost 80% in stocks — but guess what, here’s your return over the next 50 years. Even over a 20-year period, large-cap stocks become less volatile than bonds, which is an amazing takeaway. Being able to zoom out and say, “I’m a long-term investor, why am I even concerning myself with day-to-day negativity” — that shift in mindset is really important, because when you zoom out, you can barely even see 1987 on a long-term chart of the stock market. I think it’s a useful thing to send to clients, particularly at year-end if you’re a financial advisor. We’ve got big discounts if you buy 50 books online — send it to clients and say, hey, stop going crazy, this too shall pass. [09:09] Frazer Rice: One thing I always have in my mind — I don’t remember if this is exactly true, but Argentina and the US were on roughly equal economic footing back around 1900. When you were putting this together, did you see anything in the US’s political climate or structure — the things that gave it tailwinds to go from 1900 through to now with this rocket-ship growth — versus a country like Argentina, similarly situated, that just muddled along economically? Was there anything in particular that you saw that codified American exceptionalism? [09:51] Meb Faber: Yeah, you’ve got to remember, the US was an emerging market too, for a long period. We didn’t always hold the crown as the largest economy or the largest stock market in the world. The US is two-thirds of world market cap today — astonishing. But if you and I were sipping tea back in 1800 or 1900 and betting on what country would dominate the next century, you’d have gotten a whole host of different answers. That’s part of the fun of this book — you realize, when things got started in Amsterdam in the 1600s, they held the crown, but not forever. It shifted to London, then eventually to New York. And in our own lifetimes, the US wasn’t always the largest stock market — Japan was, in the 1980s. It’s a useful construct: look how much things change. Not even just on a country level — sectors too. Go back 100 years and you’re like, wait, where are the tech stocks? It was railroads. Go back another 100 years and it’s, wait, where are the railroads? There weren’t any — it was banks and insurance. The constant is always change and creative destruction. The big takeaway is you have to be an owner. This ownership mentality is particularly pervasive in the US. Talk to people in Sweden, Europe, Asia, Latin America — they own far fewer stocks than Americans do. Ask what they invest in, and it’s cash in the bank, real estate, maybe. There’s something in the water here. Same thing with entrepreneurship — talk to Americans about failure, and there’s no shame in it here. It’s almost celebrated; we cheer for it. The only thing we like seeing more than someone fail is their eventual rise after failure — the phoenix. There’s a lot of big takeaways in that. It feels like the last 17 years, the US is just going to dominate forever. We wrote a paper called The Bear Market and Diversification a few years back about how special this period has been for US stocks, crushing everything else — but it’s not totally without precedent. In the last hundred years it’s happened three other times where 10-year rolling stock returns hit 15%: the 1920s (the Roaring Twenties), the Nifty Fifty period in the mid-20th century, and my favorite bull market, the late 1990s. And now again today — COVID, meme stocks, the AI boom, whatever you want to call it. Eventually the good times don’t last forever; you probably shouldn’t expect 15% returns to the moon. But pat yourself on the back and celebrate it — it’s been a very special run. [12:47] Frazer Rice: Day-job-wise, at Cambria you’ve got a whole host of different investment theses that you build vehicles around. One that’s gotten my attention, and that I really like the idea of, is the shareholder yield concept — especially the global shareholder yield concept, for the reasons you just described, coming off a very long cycle of US exceptionalism in the stock market. I like the idea of cash flow as an indicator of good investment performance, and diversifying both within and outside the US. With an asterisk here that this is not investment advice, everyone — take us through what you’re thinking on that front, and what else you’re up to at Cambria that’s interesting in the investment ecosystem right now. [13:35] Meb Faber: Sure. It’s kind of crazy, Frazer, but we hit our 20-year anniversary this year, which feels like just yesterday when I started the company. Some of the shareholder yield funds — we now have three with over a 10-year track record, and our oldest, SYLD, is a pesky teenager now. What do you expect out of teenagers? More volatility — hopefully up volatility, not down. We wrote a book on this topic 10, 15 years ago, and a new second edition is out — it’s free online as an ebook, listeners, you can get it from the blog. The subtitle of the book is Shareholder Yield: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing — a pretty bold claim, given there are hundreds of dividend-type funds out there: dividend income, dividend growth, equity income, on and on. Our thesis was that there’s something the entire marketplace hadn’t noticed or appreciated: the rise of share buybacks. Starting in the late ’90s, share buybacks have outpaced dividend distributions in the United States every year. In fact, the US dividend yield on the S&P 500 is at an all-time low of 1.04% — it may cross below 1% for the first time ever, which is astonishing. Our thesis was that a shareholder yield approach — simply cash dividends plus net stock buybacks — outperforms, historically, any dividend strategy you can construct. The “net” matters because it accounts for share issuance, particularly stock-based compensation to the C-suite, which is everywhere in the US — my home state of California’s tech companies love to “make it rain” with stock-based comp. The problem is the average US stock is a diluter: your ownership share goes down every year because they keep issuing more shares. We’ve since demonstrated this in real time across SYLD, FYLD, EYLD (the emerging-market version), and now small-cap and large-cap variants — they’ve done exceptionally well. These funds effectively target a Buffett-like, value-and-quality approach: the average stock coming into the portfolios has roughly a double-digit shareholder yield. Let that sink in — there are dividend funds in the US today, ETFs and mutual funds, that claim to be high-yield or dividend-income funds whose actual dividend yield is lower than their management fee. A negative net dividend yield — an astonishing statistic in 2026. In the US, that shareholder yield is mostly driven by buybacks. In foreign developed and emerging markets, it’s closer to 50-50 — those markets still have more of a culture of cash dividends, so you’ll see yields there closer to 5-6%. But that’s changing, and changing fast. We did a blog post recently calling the UK the “buyback capital of the world” — the UK, China, Japan, and a bunch of other countries have hockey-sticked higher on this. It’s spreading globally, this idea of corporate responsibility: “my stock’s at half of book value, maybe we should consider buybacks.” There’s so much mythology around stock buybacks — we could do a whole podcast on it — and we try to tackle it in the book. Hopefully it’s like a red pill: once you take it, it’s hard to look at investing the same way again, because it feels like you were missing a major piece of the puzzle. [17:46] Frazer Rice: How infuriating is it when the Warrens of the world take aim at buybacks? It feels like an economically illiterate, and certainly politically driven, approach to legislating. To put the clamps on a genuinely useful capital allocation tool — I just don’t understand it. You must look at that and want to shake people and say, you’re missing the point, and you’re not even really targeting the abuses that exist. [18:20] Meb Faber: Well, I try not to be too dismissive of our lovely politicians — the joke I always make is, don’t look down on them, they weren’t taught finance and investing in school either. We don’t teach money and investing in school, and that’s sort of my white whale — I think we should be teaching it as early as elementary school, just basic classes on money. The good news is, roughly a quarter to a third of high schools are now requiring at least one class on the topic. What they’re actually targeting, I think somewhat thoughtfully underneath it, is executive compensation and stock issuance — which is the crazy part, because buybacks are the flip side of that. If a company is consistently loading up its CEO with options and diluting shareholders, and using buybacks to mop that dilution up — that’s what they’re really targeting, but it’s not the buyback itself. It’s the stock-based comp. Buybacks are the exhaust; that happens down the road. The cool part about our methodology is we’re only targeting companies trading at something like 80 cents on the dollar. Buffett is my favorite example here — Berkshire has never paid a dividend, and you might think that’s crazy, but he understands this better than anyone. He’s been writing about buybacks since the 1980s. There’s a great quote from an old Berkshire annual report where he says there’s no better use of cash than buying back your own shares when they’re trading below intrinsic value. Berkshire has bought back a ton of stock over the past several years — smart — they say they’ll buy back at 1.2 times book or below and run a valuation screen. There’s a great, somewhat surprising, takeaway in the book: there’s a myth that CEOs are megalomaniacs who just buy back stock whenever they think it’s expensive or cheap, but if you model it out historically, companies doing big buybacks (say, to retire 5% of market cap) tend to trade at a valuation discount to the market, and companies doing share issuance tend to trade at a valuation premium. There’s a real valuation arbitrage going on — CEOs aren’t dummies. That’s part of what you’re capturing with a shareholder yield approach, as long as it’s consistently recycled. And remember, a buyback is optional — there has to be someone willing to sell into it, so there are always two sides. [20:54] Frazer Rice: Let’s talk about one of my favorite parts of your persona, honestly — your fun critique of CalPERS and what large institutions do (and don’t do well) in managing money, and the inefficiencies that creep in with these big pools of capital as implementation and asset allocation get very complicated and very expensive. Walk me through your thinking when you first noticed the CalPERS phenomenon, and a bit of the history there. [21:34] Meb Faber: My very first book was called The Ivy Portfolio, and we looked at how top endowments manage their assets — Yale, the late David Swensen. One of the strange things about our world in asset management — almost unique among industries — is the assumption that more resources, more money, more access automatically equals better results. That’s true in almost every other endeavor: get the best doctor, you’re probably better off than with your local doctor; best trainer, best nutritionist, best coach, on and on. Not necessarily true in investing. The longer I’ve been in this business, the more I see complexity as often an enemy. So we love to pick on CalPERS — we’ve written a dozen articles: should CalPERS be run by a robot, should they just fire everyone and buy ETFs? We’ve run the simulations, and in many cases these giant institutions — with $500 billion, hundreds of employees, access to literally any fund on the planet — should be able to beat everyone, but they can’t. A very basic buy-and-hold portfolio can mimic what a lot of these top institutions actually deliver. Eventually I got tired of just talking about it. I’ve applied for the CalPERS CIO job at least half a dozen times — they have an opening every other year, listeners, it’s the most dysfunctional organization. I joked on Twitter the other day: who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years, CalPERS CIOs or UK prime ministers? Both totally dysfunctional — I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close. I said I’d do the job for free — I’d fire almost everyone and get rid of all the illiquid, high-fee investments. But there’s this entire ecosystem of people incentivized to keep the engine running: private equity consultants and the rest of the “two-and-20” crowd. So eventually we said, let’s make this a real, live contest. We launched an endowment-style ETF, ENDW — roughly $150-180 million in it now — and said every June 30th, once we’re through a fiscal year, we’re going to compare results head-to-head. This ETF has no management fee to speak of, all-in under 25 basis points. Can you beat a low-cost ETF like that? Let’s find out. Sure enough, year one — CalPERS has already reported, and they didn’t do badly, but it was basically like a 60/40 portfolio; you’d have been just as well off doing 60/40 and moving on. Our endowment-style allocation actually replicates the average endowment quite well — a nice global mix of global stocks, global bonds, and global real assets (gold, TIPS, REITs, and so on — that real-assets sleeve is one a lot of people leave out). To get closer to a Swensen-level result, you need a couple more ingredients, in my view: you can approximate something like private equity with small-cap value, and approximate the broader endowment risk profile with a bit of leverage, plus tilts to value, global exposure, and trend-following. We’ll see how year one shakes out once all the endowments report — UNC might actually beat us because they had a huge stake in SpaceX, so congrats to Chapel Hill. But I think year one goes to me, sorry to say, CalPERS. I’m going to be a giant irritant on this for years to come. The cool thing is you now have a genuinely investable benchmark. Every endowment investment committee suddenly has to ask, with real fiduciary teeth: can we beat this low-cost ETF? And if we can’t, what are we even doing — why are we studying all these crazy illiquid partnerships instead of just buying a basket of ETFs and calling it a day? That’s going to be an awkward conversation in a lot of boardrooms. [25:45] Frazer Rice: Two comments on that. First — isn’t there someone in the state of Nevada doing something similar, basically running one of the state pension pools with a team of about three people? [25:51] Meb Faber: Yes — we had him on the podcast. I told him, look, you’re putting your money where your mouth is on this. I won’t do his story justice here, I’ll tell you about it off-air — but it’s a great example that this doesn’t have to be as hard as people make it out to be. Frazer Rice: The second thing is — anytime I’ve talked to people in the industry about this, they come back and say, “yes, we technically have an infinite investing horizon, but we have very rigid liquidity needs, so we need to be complex, because our liquidity needs can shift at any moment.” Meanwhile, on one hand I’m thinking, that complexity doesn’t actually help you with liquidity, as far as I can tell — and on the other, it feels like a bit of a convenient excuse. Do you have a response to that? [26:56] Meb Faber: Oh boy, I’ve got a bunch. The endowments famously got caught upside-down in 2008-2009. They only mark their portfolios once a year, June 30th — I wish we could all do that; maybe we should just tell clients, you’re only allowed to look once a year. They were probably down roughly half in ’08-’09, and the illiquid positions were probably down even more. A lot of them got badly offsides, and I don’t think many of them have fully learned the lesson — if you look at the amount of private allocations still sitting in a lot of these portfolios today, it’s a massive amount. I hope they’ve learned the lesson. We’ll see. But it’s a story as old as time — we just saw a version of it recently with a fund blowup, a basic, one-oh-one level failure of situational awareness and position sizing: you over-lever a portfolio, you get taken out of the game, you lose all your money, and then you’re out of chips at the poker table. You watch these mistakes happen at the upper echelons of finance and wonder how it’s still happening — and the core problem is that the career incentives of the people running the money don’t necessarily match the actual investment problem. Yale gets a pass. When Swensen’s successors hit a rough patch, how long do they get a pass? Because Harvard has been a total mess for the last 20 years — there are entire books written about the Harvard endowment, which used to be the Yale before Yale. The Harvard Crimson ran article after article saying, you’re overpaying people, what’s going on here — and the fund would underperform and nobody would actually lose their job over it. That’s the real problem, and I have some sympathy for how hard it is to fix. You deal with a version of this on the personal client side too, with multigenerational wealth — it’s almost an unsolvable structural problem for a Harvard, an endowment, or a CalPERS, because — take Harvard — you’ve got current students, alumni, future students, professors, the people who work at the endowment itself, all with completely different incentives and interests. It creates a genuinely absurd situation where, in no realistic scenario, should the resulting portfolio look like what they actually end up with. It’s an outright disaster, structurally. [29:36] Frazer Rice: It reminds me of a car designed by committee — you end up with this stitched-together Frankenstein’s monster of a product that was never going to work or sell, and it ends up sinking the company. Meb Faber: Yeah, yeah — a Rube Goldberg machine is not what you need. But there’s a reason our endowment ETF, out of the roughly 20 funds we’ve launched, has gotten the least attention — even though it’s now about $5 billion in assets with over a hundred thousand investors. It’s received the least publicity of any ETF we’ve ever done, because it doesn’t benefit anyone in that whole existing ecosystem — it’s actually a genuine threat to it. I was at an institutional conference up in Santa Barbara, at a wine happy hour, talking to three women who run three of the most famous pension and endowment pools of real money in the country. We’d just launched an endowment-style ETF, and they just stared back at me with these icy daggers. I said, oh, sorry — I’m not really a competitor to you, you should easily be able to beat me, I’m just the table stakes. But I think they realized that’s probably not true — they’re going to have a very hard time beating me, which doesn’t exactly make me anyone’s friend. I’m the anti-Switzerland of asset management. [31:16] Frazer Rice: Meb, how do people find the firm, find the book, find you? [31:24] Meb Faber: With a name like Meb, it’s easy. Cambria Funds is the day job, with the ETFs. Meb Faber is the old blog, podcast, and Twitter presence — you can find that just about anywhere. And if you find yourself in Los Angeles, Manhattan Beach, come say hi. We’d love to hear from you if you pick up a copy of the book, Investing in America — let us know what you think. Frazer Rice: Really cool stuff. Thanks, Meb, for being on. This was a blast — let’s do it again. Meb Faber: Let’s do it. [31:50] Close (produced VO): This podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes. It is neither investment, legal, nor tax advice. It does not represent the opinions of the employers of the host or guests. https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Actually-Intelligent-Decision-Making-1-ebook/dp/B07FPQJJQT/

Robbie and Andy debate Morpho founder Paul Frambot's controversial take that token buybacks are "shooting yourself in the foot" versus the market's clear reward for programmatic buybacks from Hyperliquid, Lighter, and Pump. They break down Luca Prosperi's corporate finance framework for when buybacks make sense based on market conditions and return on equity, and make the case that too many projects launched tokens before they had a business generating enough revenue to justify one.The Rollup is where the leaders of digital assets and finance converge. Live from the financial capital of the world.Timestamps:00:00 Intro02:56 Only 5% Of Tokens Qualify06:16 If You Need Growth, Skip The Token08:40 Lighter, Hyperliquid, Pump Lead Performance13:54 Programmable Vs Arbitrary Buybacks19:23 Applying This To The Rollup Itself22:45 Too Many Tokens Launched Too EarlyPartners: If you run concentrated liquidity positions you know the grind. Price moves, you're out of range, you're rebalancing at, like, 3am. 1inch Aqua lets you take a different approach. You can stack multiple positions on the same token balance instead of babysitting a dozen pools, and your tokens never leave your wallet. Your liquidity stays awake, so you can catch up on your sleep. Check it out at https://1inch.com/aqua---Dinari - Over 230 1:1 backed tokenized stocks, ETFs & more with dividends. US-based SEC transfer agent. Available on 5+ chains & via API. https://dinari.com/---Space and Time is providing verifiable data infrastructure for onchain finance. A decentralized database, blockchain indexer, and ZK coprocessor in one, giving DeFi protocols,stablecoins, and tokenized assets accurate, provable data. Learn more here: https://www.spaceandtime.io/---Relay is the fastest and most reliable way to swap any token on any chain. Learn more here: https://relay.link/bridge---Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain.Learn more here: https://www.zama.org/---

The Investing Power Hour is live-streamed every Thursday on the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast YouTube channel at 5:00 PM EST. This week we discussed: (00:00) Introduction (01:50) Bill Ackman's Netflix Investment (10:00) Private Equity's Role in AI Infrastructure Funding (12:02) Potential Software Take-Private Deals and Valuation Trends (13:55) BBB Foods: A Mexican Retail Growth Story (15:46) Airport Operator Diversification and Growth in Latin America (17:48) Discussion on Banking Sector Earnings and Financial Stability (20:14) Berkshire Hathaway's Stock Buyback and Capital Allocation (28:02) Predictions on Next Potential 'Trade Desk' Stock (31:56) Financial Results of Nu Bank and Growth in Mexico (50:01) Walmart, Costco, and Latin American Retail Opportunities (52:08) Sports Betting, Prediction Markets, and Investment Risks ***************************************************** Subscribe to Emerging Moats Research: emergingmoats.com  ********************************************************************* Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today:  https://www.interactivebrokers.com/  Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC.  ********************************************************************* Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data. With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price.  Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/chitchat  ********************************************************************* Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today's BizNews Daybreak covers Donald Trump's stance on Iran and rising oil prices driving Brent crude past $87. Tech highlights include Anthropic's $9.1 billion data center deal with Riot Platforms, Intel raising $20 billion through share sales, and security risks of rogue AI models. Plus, Berkshire Hathaway accelerates share buybacks to $4.5 billion.

Four companies reported. Three of them are paying more to grow.UPS did $22.8 billion in the second quarter, up 7.6%, raised full-year guidance, and watched the stock fall 6%. The model right now is charging more for fewer packages, and domestic operating profit took transformation charges on the way through.PayPal put up $8.68 billion, up 5%. Volume keeps climbing. Take rate and operating margin keep sliding. Buybacks are doing the work of holding EPS flat.Amazon hit a record $200.6 billion quarter with strong AWS growth, though part of the earnings line came from a paper remeasurement on its Anthropic stake rather than from operations. Capex is going up again, and it is going into AI capacity.Shopify grew 34% to $3.58 billion and spent much of the call on AI. Management says AI-driven orders tripled year over year. Management did not say what that is worth in dollars.The Watson Weekly is sponsored by Avalara. Learn more at avalara.watsonweekly.comThen the Investor Minute: Poshmark, Procter & Gamble buying Thorne, Domo going to Progress Software, Calilmacus, and King Kullen finding a buyer on Long Island.#watsonweekly #paypal #ups #shopify #amazon

Multicoin Capital's Shayon Sengupta on why crypto is the most underpriced opportunity in tech, the firm's $319 HYPE base case, Solana vs Hyperliquid, and whether DePIN is dead.In one of his first interviews since being promoted to General Partner & Co-Head of Venture, Shayon joins Connor in New York to explain why Multicoin recommitted to crypto while peer funds expand into AI and robotics. They cover the two forces he believes the market is mispricing (infrastructure maturity and regulatory clarity), the everything exchange thesis behind Hyperliquid, why dual token-equity structures fail, the coming financialization of compute, and a candid Helium post-mortem. On DePIN: "You can call me delusional if you want. We are even stronger believers right now."Timestamps:00:00 - Cold Open00:42 - The Pod Returns with a Bang01:38 - What Changed Since the March Promotion03:25 - Inside Multicoin: Tushar, Spencer, Hedge Fund vs Venture06:08 - Favorite Memory: Breakpoint 2021, SOL at $25009:17 - Lessons from Three Cycles13:38 - AI in 2026 Is Crypto in 202114:19 - Why Multicoin Recommitted to Crypto18:35 - The Regulatory Unlock the Market Is Mispricing21:47 - Is Decentralization Still a Core Tenet?24:49 - Token Holder Rights and the Revenue Meta28:16 - The HYPE Thesis: $319 Base Case, the Everything Exchange30:53 - Are 99% Buybacks the New Standard?33:10 - Why Dual Token-Equity Structures Go to Zero37:33 - Solana vs Hyperliquid: Spot vs Perps42:10 - Request for Startups: Financializing Compute46:30 - Shayon Flips the Mic: Is AI Topping?48:53 - The Four-Year Cycle and Where the Bottom Is51:46 - Where the Next Bull Market Flows Go53:08 - Is DePIN Dead?56:40 - The Helium Post-Mortem59:14 - GEODNET, Grass, and DePIN's Next Five Years01:01:45 - Bear Market Wisdom: "Founders Remember"Follow Shayon: https://x.com/shayonsenguptaFollow Multicoin Capital: https://x.com/multicoinFollow Connor: https://x.com/richhomieconFollow Proof of Coverage: https://x.com/Proof_CoverageProof of Coverage is tech's creative agency. We make launch videos, brand films, founder stories, and event recaps for teams like Kalshi, MoonPay, and Solana.Work with us: https://proofofcoverage.xyzAlthough our guest is a General Partner of a registered investment adviser, nothing in this podcast should be considered an offer of Multicoin's investment advisory services or should otherwise be confused for investment, tax, legal or other financial advice. The hosts and guest, and the firms they represent, may hold positions in the companies and tokens mentioned in this episode and stand to gain in the event that the price of the tokens increase.  Multicoin's HYPE valuation report discussed in this podcast can be found as a link in the show notes.  The report includes important disclosures concerning the data and assumptions by Multicoin discussed today.Multicoin's Hype Analysis and Valuation report can be found HERE. The report includes important disclosures concerning the data and assumptions by Multicoin discussed today.Multicoin and the host may have interests in companies and tokens mentioned during the episode.

Halbzeit 2026 – und die Märkte stehen an einem Wendepunkt. Carsten Mumm, Chefvolkswirt der Privatbank Donner & Reuschler, zieht Bilanz und stellt die Weichen fürs zweite Halbjahr. Die großen Tech-Konzerne krempeln ihre Strategie um: Weniger Dividenden, weniger Buybacks – dafür Milliarden-Investitionen in KI-Datencenter und Chips. Meta öffnet seine Infrastruktur für Dritte und springt zweistellig, während Oracle einräumt, dass gebuchte Kapazitäten möglicherweise nicht bezahlt werden können. Der Markt reagiert erstaunlich gelassen – zu gelassen? Gleichzeitig zeigt sich: Wer nur auf die großen US-Tech-Werte gesetzt hat, sitzt auf einem Klumpenrisiko. Der Russell 2000 läuft von Allzeithoch zu Allzeithoch, Europa hat Aufholpotenzial, und der DAX hinkt mit nur zwei Prozent Plus massiv hinterher – belastet durch die Autokrise und einen SAP-Absturz, den kaum jemand auf dem Zettel hatte. Mumms klare Ansage: Das passive Depot wird nicht mehr der Renditebringer der Zukunft sein. Warum Stock-Picking jetzt wichtiger wird, weshalb Gold trotz Rückschlag unter 4.000 Dollar strategisch ins Portfolio gehört und was vom “Herbst der Reformen” der Bundesregierung wirklich zu erwarten ist. ------ Ihr habt Fragen, schreibt uns an: missionmoney@focus-money.de Alle wichtigen Links: https://wonderl.ink/@mission_money

Is a 1% tax enough to change how corporate America returns billions of dollars to shareholders?In this episode of Corporate Finance Explained, we explore the economics of stock buybacks, the new federal 1% excise tax on share repurchases, and why capital allocation decisions can create enormous shareholder value or destroy it.Stock buybacks have become the dominant way companies return capital to investors, but not every repurchase creates value. We break down how buybacks affect earnings per share (EPS), why valuation matters, how the new buyback tax changes the math, and why companies like Apple and JPMorgan approach repurchases very differently than businesses that have made costly capital allocation mistakes.

Jack answers listener questions, and walks back a garbage can tip. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

1. Annual Themes, Learning, and Risk Each investing year tends to coalesce around distinct themes that are difficult to identify upfront and only become clear through observation and adaptation. Reviewing prior years helps reveal recurring patterns and informs future strategy. "You either make money or you learn something." Even profitable years yield process insights and highlight missed opportunities, reinforcing resilience and long-term skill building. Investing is like golf: just when your "swing" feels right, conditions change. Continuous refinement is essential because evolving market environments expose new weaknesses. Appropriate risk-taking is crucial for young investors. Under-allocation to equities can be the bigger mistake given long-term upward market drift and compounding. Understanding what you own reduces perceived risk and helps investors ride out volatility and buy dips with conviction. 2. Long-Term Strategy vs. Short-Term Trading Passive, buy-and-hold investing generally outperforms frequent trading, which often triggers taxes on short-term gains and causes investors to sell winners too early. Asset allocation over market timing: set target allocations (e.g., US, international, real estate) and regularly add to underrepresented assets. This dollar-cost averaging approach removes emotion and naturally buys low. Timing tops and bottoms is a losing game relative to disciplined allocation. 3. Continuous Learning, Journaling, and Emotional Discipline Be a "nerd" about learning: read constantly, pursue structured education when suitable (e.g., CFA), and align learning methods to personal style. Maintain an investment journal to recognize recurring patterns and avoid repeating mistakes. Discipline is forged in bear markets. Determine true risk tolerance during downturns and use those lessons to guide profit-taking and positioning in subsequent bull markets. 4. Rethinking Safe Assets Traditional intermediate and long-term bonds have shown higher correlation and volatility with equities, challenging their stabilizing role. Structural concerns (e.g., deficits) may pressure future returns. Alternatives include short-duration bonds for stability, gold as an uncorrelated substitute for long duration, and other tools to mitigate sequence-of-returns risk such as high-yield savings, annuities, or an Indexed Universal Life (IUL) policy with stability, tax advantages, and a death benefit. 5. Common Mistakes to Avoid Shorting individual stocks offers a poor risk-return trade-off: capped upside (100%) with theoretically unlimited downside. Only top-tier professionals with deep access and diligence should consider it. Chasing high yield is a trap. Elevated yields usually signal higher risk, potential financial distress, or "return of capital" that erodes principal. Favor quality yield and total return via strong businesses and long-term capital gains. 6. Dividends, Buybacks, and Capital Allocation Very high dividends can indicate limited reinvestment opportunities, effectively de-capitalizing the business and implying muted growth expectations. Share buybacks are a tax-efficient way to return capital, raising ownership per share without immediate tax consequences. 7. Core Principles of Wealth Accumulation and Professional Growth Focus on what you can control: increase income to boost contributions, extend time in the market, and pursue quality growth. Contributions and time are controllable; market returns are not. Wealth builds through contributions, growth rate, and time. Becoming more valuable professionally to raise income often beats trimming small expenses. Invest in yourself through continuous education, structured learning, and stepping outside your comfort zone. Mutual accountability within teams drives higher performance and consistent improvement. Conclusion Successful long-term wealth accumulation centers on appropriate, well-understood risk; disciplined buy-and-hold allocation; continuous learning and journaling; and emotional discipline tested in downturns. Avoid asymmetric pitfalls like shorting and chasing high yields, rethink the role of traditional bonds, and consider diversified stabilizers. Emphasize controllables—income, contributions, and time—while reinforcing professional growth and accountability.

RV crypto contributor Kris Bullock, aka Blastoplast, is back to dig into the latest price action and answer your questions on all things technical analysis in the world of macro and crypto, including the latest trending stocks and tokens. Have a question for Kris? Join the live show every Monday at 1pm ET in the RV Discord. Register here: https://discord.gg/FTQsrUhD9Z. Moderated by Bijan Maleki. Let Monarch do your financial 'spring cleaning' for you!  Use code REALVISION at Monarch.com to get your first year half off at just $50. Today's sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you're a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500's user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you've been looking for. Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss.

She told investors $440M. The real number was $15.7M. This week: the CaaStle fraud, Walmart's Subway play, and Shopify's $5B bet.In this episode:Walmart + Subway. Walmart folded Subway into its delivery app, with express orders coming off the Subway counters already sitting inside its stores. Live now in six states (Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas), with roughly 1,400 locations targeted by end of summer. Flat delivery fee, in-store menu pricing, 30 minutes or less. It rides on the Spark drivers and drones Walmart is already paying for, pointed straight at Uber Eats and DoorDash.The CaaStle fraud. CaaStle told investors it booked $440 million in net revenue for fiscal 2023. The real figure was $15.7 million. Founder and CEO Christine Hunsicker confessed to doctoring the financials on a video call with her board in December 2024, then kept her job for three more months while investors heard nothing. She controlled that board. Co-founder Jaswinder Pal "JP" Singh sold $6 million in stock back to the company around the time investors started asking questions. Hunsicker pleaded guilty to securities fraud in March, admitting she defrauded investors of $283 million, and she's scheduled for sentencing this summer.Apple rents the brains. At WWDC on June 8, Apple introduced Siri AI: a rebuild that reads what's on your screen, pulls context from your messages and email, and takes actions across apps. The part Apple said less about is who's powering it. Reporting puts Apple at more than $1 billion a year to Google for a custom Gemini model running Siri's cloud features. The China rollout waits on regulators. For a company that has spent decades insisting it owns its entire stack, renting the model from a rival is the real headline. Tim Cook hands the company to John Ternus in September.Shopify's $5 billion vote. Shopify added $3 billion to its repurchase program on June 2, taking total authorization to $5 billion. Buybacks usually get read as "we've run out of ideas." Then Q1 revenue rose 34% to $3.2 billion and merchants cleared $100 billion in GMV for the second quarter in a row. Decide for yourself which signal you believe.

My guest today is Dara Khosrowshahi, the CEO of Uber. Before Uber, Dara ran Expedia for thirteen years. We start with why he took this job in 2017, and a big part of that story is Daniel Ek, who told him that life is not about happiness, it is about impact. We talk about what the chaos felt like on day one, and how his family leaving Iran when he was nine shaped the way he handles pressure today.  We spend most of our time on autonomous vehicles and Uber's role as the demand aggregator in a world of physical AI. Dara explains why Uber is a supply-led company, what it will take to win, and why he expects many winners in AVs rather than one.  We also discuss Uber's $10 billion in free cash flow, the push toward a single app for everything, and what he has learned from Allen & Co, Barry Diller and Reed Hastings. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.  ----- Become a Colossus member to get our quarterly print magazine and private audio experience, including exclusive profiles and early access to select episodes. Subscribe at ⁠colossus.com/subscribe⁠. ----- ⁠Ramp's⁠ mission is to help companies manage their spend in a way that reduces expenses and frees up time for teams to work on more valuable projects. Go to⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠ramp.com/invest⁠⁠ to sign up for free and get a $250 welcome bonus. ----- Trusted by thousands of businesses, ⁠Vanta⁠ continuously monitors your security posture and streamlines audits so you can win enterprise deals and build customer trust without the traditional overhead. Invest Like the Best listeners get a special offer of $1,000 off Vanta when you go to ⁠vanta.com/invest⁠.  ----- WorkOS⁠ is the infrastructure B2B and AI-native companies use to sell to enterprise. It covers everything enterprise security requires: SSO, SCIM, RBAC, Audit Logs, AI governance, and more. Trusted by 2,000+ fast-growing companies, including OpenAI, Anthropic, Cursor, and Vercel. ----- Rogo is the AI platform for finance. They're building agents for Wall Street that are trained to understand how bankers and investors actually do work: from diligence and modeling, to turning analysis into deliverables. To learn more, visit rogo.ai/invest. ----- ⁠Ridgeline⁠ has built a complete, real-time, modern operating system for investment managers. It handles trading, portfolio management, compliance, customer reporting, and much more through an all-in-one real-time cloud platform. Visit⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ridgelineapps.com⁠. ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠). Timestamps: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like The Best (00:02:29) Intro to Dara Khosrowshahi (00:03:37) How Daniel Ek Convinced Dara to Take the Uber Job (00:06:54) Bringing Order to Chaos (00:09:20) Managing Stress as a Leader (00:11:22) The Chip on His Shoulder (00:12:53) Parenting Lessons (00:17:01) Mandate for AI Adoption (00:21:21) Uber's Role in Physical AI (00:22:48) Winning the AV Demand Race (00:27:41) Partnering vs. Competing with Waymo (00:32:05) AV Success Unlocks New Markets (00:35:09) Why Drones Haven't Arrived Yet (00:36:27) Regional AV Rollout Differences (00:37:35) Uber Eats International Winning Formula (00:39:44) Key to Aggregating Supply Well (00:44:34) Adding Hotels to Uber Platform (00:50:46) Lessons in Marketing at Scale (00:52:59) Apps vs. AI Agents in Seven Years (00:54:08) What Dara Learned from Barry Diller (00:56:52) What Dara Learned from Allen & Co (01:00:09) Buybacks vs. Growth Investing (01:04:17) Lessons from Reed Hastings (01:05:49) The Kindest Thing

NEAR keeps showing up in strange places: cross-chain wallets, privacy apps, AI infrastructure, and now the emerging agent economy. Sal Ternullo, CEO of SVRN, joins us to explain why he thinks this is not another NEAR pivot, but the original thesis finally coming into focus. They dig into NEAR Intents, AI money, tokenomics, privacy, fee capture, agentic commerce, and why SVRN is trying to commercialize the NEAR ecosystem rather than simply hold the asset. ---

Newmont is earning $11/share at 10x PE with 132% growth — half the S&P's multiple. Wall Street is asleep at the wheel.This episode is sponsored by Outskill. Bonuses worth $5100+ if you join and attend. Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PETERSCHIFFAP4This episode is also sponsored by ExpressVPN. Get an extra 4 months free. http://expressvpn.com/GoldNewmont Mining just posted 132% earnings growth with five-to-one margins and a stock trading at 10x earnings — half the S&P multiple — and Wall Street barely noticed. Peter Schiff breaks down why gold miners are the most undervalued sector in the market and why he's been accumulating positions in companies like Newmont, Franco-Nevada, and Wheaton for over 20 years without selling a share.The episode also covers Trump's Iran war pivoting from threatened annihilation to an economic blockade that's keeping oil above $94, the DOJ dropping its criminal investigation into Jerome Powell's Fed building remodel as an olive branch to clear the way for Kevin Warsh, Schiff's own six-year experience with leaked government investigations that were never officially closed, Michael Saylor's Strategy preferred stock as a self-described Ponzi scheme the SEC refuses to touch, and a new cottage industry of mass tort lawyers helping businesses claim tariff refunds — proof that Americans, not foreigners, paid every cent of those tariffs.Chapters:00:00 Cold Open Montage00:57 Show Intro Puerto Rico01:28 War Drags On Markets Shrug04:27 Blockade Strait Oil Spike08:18 Election Pressure Inflation Risks13:22 Commercial AI Mastermind Ad15:54 Post Office Hikes Inflation16:41 Powell Probe Fed Incentives22:31 Schiff Investigation Story30:00 Commercial ExpressVPN Pitch31:37 Gold Friday Market Wrap34:35 Newmont Earnings Surge36:52 Gold Miner Margins Explained38:20 Buybacks and M&A Signals39:27 West Red Lake Pullback40:19 Buying Bad News Strategy42:38 Position Sizing and Risk45:04 Gold Fund and Active Picks46:40 Bitcoin Yield Ponzi Rant53:18 Tariff Refund Fallout56:50 Debt Deficits and War01:02:01 Wrap Up and SubscribeFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #GoldMiners #NewmontMiningPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy