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In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the market's reaction to Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed Chair, the potential rationale for lowering interest rates, and the drivers behind recent volatility in precious metals, while highlighting a broadening in market leadership thanks to more widespread earnings strength.Then, Liz Ann is joined by Dennis DeBusschere, President and chief market strategist of 22V Research. They discuss the implications of the declining dollar, the impact of AI on productivity, factor-based investing trends, monetary policy, some potential risks and opportunities in the market, and much more. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Technical analysis is not recommended as a sole means of investment research.Futures and futures options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options [LINK Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options: https://www.schwab.com/Futures_RiskDisclosure] prior to trading futures products.Options carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Certain requirements must be met to trade options through Schwab. Please read the Options Disclosure Document titled "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" before considering any option transaction.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions(0226-7UE0) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
SAINTS, SEX, SENTIMENT, AND CHOCOLATE: A SHORT HISTORY OF VALENTINE'S DAY The Not Old Better Show, Smithsonian Associates Interview Series
In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Kevin Muir, author of The Macro Tourist, for a wide-ranging conversation on market sentiment, asset rotation, and the growing signals of stress beneath the surface of global markets. Kevin explains why extreme bullishness can be dangerous, why gold and commodities may be flashing warning signs, and how shifts in currencies, energy, and global capital flows could reshape portfolios in the years ahead. From hedging strategies to volatility, from AI-driven concentration to international diversification, this discussion focuses on how investors can think clearly in an environment where traditional relationships are breaking down.Topics covered:Why extreme bullish sentiment can be a warning sign for marketsThe meaning of “buying straw hats in the winter” and how to think about hedgingMarket breadth, small caps, and whether rotations are healthy or late cycleGold, silver, and what precious metals signal about financial stressCross-asset volatility and why correlations are changingEnergy markets, commodities, and the long-term impact of underinvestmentGlobal capital flows, foreign ownership of US assets, and currency riskThe US dollar, trade deficits, and implications for international investorsPortfolio construction lessons from bonds, commodities, and FXHow macro regime shifts can change risk management and diversificationTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and market sentiment overview03:00 Buying protection and the straw hat analogy07:00 Sentiment indicators and market confirmation12:00 Market rotations, small caps, and late-cycle risks18:00 Gold, silver, and precious metals as warning signals23:00 Bonds, currencies, and broken correlations29:00 Energy markets and commodity underinvestment37:00 Global capital flows and foreign ownership of US assets44:00 The US dollar, trade deficits, and FX volatility52:00 Macro regime shifts and portfolio construction lessons
In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Bill Powers and co-host Brian Leni of Junior Stock Review engage in their monthly Junior Mining Insights discussion. They cover Brian's recent attendance at the Metals Investor Forum and the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, highlighting the positive sentiment and increased interest from investors. The conversation also explores demographics and the influence of younger investors transitioning from cryptocurrency to junior mining stocks. The duo discusses where current value can be found in a precious metals bull market. They delve into the importance of understanding an information conveyor's bias and process when evaluating information in the sector. Brian shares his experience from a recent site tour in South America and the impact of community engagement by mining companies. The episode concludes with Bill discussing potential investment opportunities in critical metals and copper, influenced by broader market sentiment and insights from industry experts. 00:00 Introduction 00:27 Conference Insights: Vancouver Events 01:40 Market Sentiment and Demographics 03:40 Crypto Investors in Mining 06:40 Viewer Feedback and Market Psychology 09:37 Investment Strategies and Market Trends 15:12 Bias and Process in Mining Investments 22:44 Community Engagement in Mining 27:55 Analyzing Brian's Hot Chili Investment 28:37 The Importance of Water in Mining 29:18 Copper Market and Investment Strategy 30:10 Understanding Brian's Investment Bias 30:35 Quantifying Market Opportunities 31:14 The Role of New Discoveries in Investment Decisions 32:06 Portfolio Composition and Strategy 33:42 Learning from Investment Successes and Failures 36:03 Investor Psychology and Decision Making 42:49 Current Investment Questions and Opportunities 48:51 Brian's New Newsletter Brian's website: https://www.juniorstockreview.com/ Brian's YT: https://www.youtube.com/@FIELD_NOTES Bill's Twitter: https://x.com/MiningStockEdu Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/
Thank you to our sponsor, Adaptive Security! As AI makes deception easier, security gets harder. Adaptive runs deepfake and phishing simulations so your team can train for real-world threats. Explore more: http://adaptivesecurity.com Why is crypto sentiment so low despite the growing adoption narrative? In this episode of Unchained, Syncracy Capital co-founder Ryan Watkins unpacks why he thinks crypto is in a “twilight zone” and why the market could take investors by surprise. He also sheds light on why he thinks bitcoin is underperforming gold and what needs to change. Plus what he is excited about in the coming years and why crypto is not just fintech. Is a big move ahead? Listen to find out! Guests: Ryan Watkins, Co-Founder of Syncracy Capital Links: Why Gold Rose and Bitcoin Tumbled on Japan Bond Turmoil Has Bitcoin Failed to Live Up to the Digital Gold Narrative? Will Bitcoin's New Phase Change It Forever? And Is the 4-Year Cycle Dead? Why the Crypto Markets Seem Down Bad as Bitcoin Dips Below $100K Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode of Data Driven, Frank and Andy dive into the future of market intelligence with Dr. Jill Axline, co-founder and CEO of Mavera—a company building synthetic populations that simulate real human behaviour, cognition, and emotion. Forget Personas. We're talking real-time, AI-driven behavioural modeling that's more predictive than your horoscope and considerably more data-backed.Dr. Axline shares how Mavera's swarm of AI models situates these synthetic humans within real-world business contexts to forecast decisions, measure emotional resonance, and even test marketing messages before they go live. From governance and model drift to the surprising uses in financial services, political campaigns, and speechwriting—this is one of the most forward-looking conversations we've had yet.If you've ever wanted a deeper understanding of how AI can augment decision-making—or just want to hear Frank admit asset managers love ice cream—this one's for you.LinksLearn more about Mavera:https://mavera.ioConnect with Jill Axline on LinkedIn:https://linkedin.com/in/jillaxlineMorningstar:https://www.morningstar.comTime Stamps00:00 - Introduction & AI Swarms Explained03:30 - Forget Personas: Contextual AI Models07:00 - Evidence vs Inference & AI Governance10:20 - Simulation Scenarios & Model Drift14:30 - Synthetic Audiences in Action18:00 - Evidence Feedback Loops & Small Data Challenges22:00 - Industry Applications & Use Cases27:00 - Analyzing Speeches & Emotional Resonance30:45 - Sentiment, Social Listening, and Real-Time News Reactions34:00 - Adversarial Models & Strategic Pushback38:00 - The Cartoon Bank Portal That Failed Spectacularly41:00 - From Skeptic to CEO: Jill's Journey45:00 - Data Privacy, Compliance & Synthetic Ethics48:00 - Reflections on Empathy, Engineers, and Selling Without SellingSupport the ShowIf you enjoy Data Driven, leave us a review on Apple Podcasts or your favourite pod platform. It helps more people find the show—and fuels Frank's Monster Energy habit.
Visa's (V) integration into blockchain technology is something Rebecca Walser likes about the company's long-term growth. Ahead of earnings, she notes strength in consumer spending, though Rebecca is worried soured consumer sentiment is a signal that spending can slow down. Tom White offers an example options trade for the financial giant. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Intercontinental Exchange is launching the Reddit Signals and Sentiment Tool. The tool is designed to offer investors actionable insights about topics and trends that are prominent on Reddit. Considering the rise of Reddit, and the high profile that platform has enjoyed among traders since the pandemic, this collaboration makes perfect sense. Chris Edmonds, the President of Fixed Income and Data Services at Intercontinental Exchange, stopped by the show to share details about how the tool was created and potential use cases across markets.
Aujourd'hui, Didier Giraud, éleveur de bovins, Fatima Aït Bounoua, prof de français, et Antoine Diers, consultant, débattent de l'actualité autour d'Alain Marschall et Olivier Truchot.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
If you could see one number that reliably predicts where property prices are heading next, would you want to know what it is? Well, today, you're about to find out — and it's not what you think. You see…most investors think population growth drives property prices… but today I'm joined by Stuart Wemyss, financial strategist and founder of ProSolution Private Clients, who's done some fascinating analysis showing that the real driver of housing price growth is lending volumes — not population growth or money supply. Our conversation highlights the need for long-term strategies and a focus on fundamentals to achieve sustainable growth in property investments. Takeaways · Property price growth is influenced by various factors, not just population growth. · Lending volumes can be a better predictor of property price movements than population growth. · Investors should be cautious of markets driven primarily by speculation. · Consumer sentiment plays a crucial role in lending and property prices. · Economic factors like interest rates significantly impact lending volumes. · A high proportion of investors in a market can signal potential risks. · Understanding market cycles is essential for long-term property investment success. · Focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term trends. · Successful property investment requires a coordinated strategy across financial services. Chapters 01:46 – Why the Last Five Years of Property Data Can Mislead Investors 04:40 – Lending Volumes vs Population Growth: What Really Drives Prices 08:20 – Cash Buyers, Investor Ratios and Market Stability 11:38 – Sentiment, Employment and the Factors Behind Borrowing Power 15:23 – State-by-State Differences and Why Markets Move Out of Sync 17:55 – How Lending Trends Predict Cycles and Help Time Your Entry Links and Resources: Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here Stuart Wemyss – Prosolution Private Clients Read Stuart's article here: https://prosolution.com.au/why-property-investors-shouldnt-trust-the-last-5-years-of-price-data/ Stuart's Book – Rules of the Lending Game & Investopoly Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future. Or click here: https://demographicsdecoded.com.au/
durée : 00:28:14 - Les Nuits de France Culture - par : Albane Penaranda - L'émission "A Voix nue " propose en 2004 cinq entretiens avec le cinéaste égyptien Youssef Chahine. Dans ce dernier volet, le cinéaste évoque le Festival de Cannes mais aussi la situation politique en Egypte et sa vision du conflit israélo-palestinien. - réalisation : Virginie Mourthé - invités : Youssef Chahine Cinéaste égyptien (1926-2008)
Precious metals continued a stunning week-long rally into Friday's session. Consumer sentiment offered a bright spot for soft data as the FOMC readies to make its interest rate decision next week. Marley Kayden & Sam Vadas turn to their top takeaways after the final closing bell of the week. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Markets are rushing higher on the Trump "TACO" on tariffs against European countries and on calling off any military option for the US taking Greenland. We continue to look at massive divergences in market internals. Elsewhere, natural gas has mounted a stunning rally as the US is headed for a natural disaster on a possibly unprecedented geographical scale as an ice storm could cut power to whole regions of the US for extended periods and spike utility bills. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
Crypto is back in the Washington spotlight as momentum around U.S. regulation slows, bipartisan alliances fracture, and pressure mounts on lawmakers to clarify the rules of the road. From stalled Senate negotiations and collapsing crypto coalitions to growing concerns over software developer protections, today's headlines highlight just how fragile regulatory progress has become. In this segment, we break down what's really happening in D.C., why political gridlock is creating uncertainty for builders and investors, and how upcoming election dynamics are reshaping the crypto narrative in Washington. Is this just a temporary pause—or a warning sign that U.S. policy risks falling further behind global competitors?
Tune in to the very first Suite Spot episode of 2026 as special guest and Director of Product - Respond & Resolve™, Jackie Avery, features the Top 5 Guest Sentiment Tags of 2025 and what the key findings of these tags mean not only to hoteliers but the industry as a whole as we kick off travel in the new year. Ryan Embree: Welcome to Suite Spot, where hoteliers check in, and we check out what's trending in hotel marketing. I'm your host, Ryan Embree. Hello everyone, and welcome to another episode of the Suite Spot. Happy New Year as your host. As always, Ryan Embree here with another one of our favorite annual traditions. A great way to start off and kick off the year here with Jackie Avery, Director of Product for our Respond and Resolve™ review response solution for hotels. Jackie, welcome back to the Suite Spot. Jackie Avery: Thanks. It's so great to be here. I look forward to doing this every year, so I'm happy we're back at it. Ryan Embree: Yes, again, it's an annual tradition. It's a benchmark for the beginning of the year. It's actually one of our most viewed and listened to episodes of the year, and I think it's because hoteliers really want to get a sense of what's going on over the course of the calendar year when it comes to reviews. To set this up off the top, we are looking at reputation, sentiment, data, the data within online guest reviews, that Travel Media Group actually pulls, and a lot of these reviews you and your team are responding to. Jackie Avery: Yeah. It's exciting. So if it's your first time here, welcome. And if you have been watching us the past few years, welcome back. We're excited to kind of talk through, some of the data that we kind of went through. So to put it under perspective, we're looking at information analyzed from over 45 million sentiment mentions. Ryan Embree: That's an incredible number. The popularity and importance of guest feedback and reputation right. Now, I know we talk a lot on this podcast about AI technology. We're always trying to see what's next, but there's no replacement for word of mouth. Right? And whether that's physically telling someone about your experience or sharing that, what we're talking about today, sharing that online with guest feedback and reviews, you can take away so much from that. And hoteliers, travelers obviously are looking at sentiment data, trying to figure out whether they should choose the one hotel versus another hotel. Hoteliers are looking at this data, digesting it, and trying to figure out how to improve on the guest experience. But what we're doing today is trying to find the top five sentiments. Talk about some themes. What does this mean when these types of sentiments are found in your guest feedback? Are there things you can make operationally changes? Is it training at the hotel? Is it capital investment? Sometime some of it, like location, which we're gonna talk about unavoidable, right? You can't just pick up your hotel and move it. So really interested to see the list. We always start from the bottom of the list and work our way up. So kick us off with number five. Jackie Avery: Yeah, absolutely. And like you said, it's so powerful to spend that moment reflecting. Yeah. Sometimes it's just taking the information and putting it into this bite sized way for you to process it. So hopefully everyone finds it pretty easy to kinda, you know, come along this journey with us. So, number five, it had over 3 million sentiment mentions, right? So that's a lot of people talking about it. And we're talking about facility amenities. Now, some people are listening and they're going, well, I don't have a pool, so of course I, that didn't get a mention for me, or, I do have a pool. Of course they mentioned that, but stay with me on that. That's actually its own category. So here we are talking about the lobby, the hallways, seating areas, elevators, luggage carts, right? So now think about,
Likefolio's Andy Swan looks at whether Target (TGT) can turn around this year. Sentiment is “not bad,” he says, as web visits are beginning to uptrend. He thinks it is “executing reasonably” on a turnaround plan “way overdue.” However, it's still “wait and see” over the next few months to see if the trend change is real.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored and reported by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dive into the complex geopolitical and economic landscape of early 2026, examining China's record trade surplus and the stalling impact of US tariffs on manufacturing. They explore how the AI boom has acted as a primary driver for US growth, potentially masking the drag created by trade restrictions. Closer to home, the duo discusses Australia's manufacturing dependencies and the rising influx of Chinese EVs and renewable energy assets. The heart of the episode features deep dives into listener-driven data, comparing the QAV process against "buy and hold" strategies, and the Club edition contains a "Pulled Pork" analysis of **Stanmore Resources (SMR)**. From managing red flags in stocks like **Fleetwood (FWD)** to the nuances of superannuation-approved ASX 300 lists, this episode balances high-level macro theory with the practical, rules-based discipline of value investing.
The Automotive Troublemaker w/ Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier
Shoot us a Text.Episode #1248: Dealer confidence takes a hit as affordability pressures and tighter margins creep into Q4, even as fixed ops and F&I try to hold the line. Meanwhile, Wawa goes all-in on Tesla charging, and the Vegas Sphere model heads to DC.Show Notes with links: Dealer sentiment isn't what it was in Q3 as affordability pressures, rising rates, and tighter margins took their toll on the Q4 numbers. While conditions remain technically “favorable,” confidence slipped quarter over quarter, with dealers signaling tougher days ahead despite strength in fixed ops and F&I.Dealers rated current performance at 62.3, down 5 points from Q3 and the lowest of any industry segment, citing consumer affordability as the biggest drag.Rising interest rates and payment-driven shoppers are shrinking showroom traffic and compressing grosses as price transparency intensifies competition.Fixed ops and F&I remain bright spots, though confidence there also dipped compared to Q3 as financing conditions worsened.Used-vehicle operations grew more challenging, with quality—not quantity—becoming the main inventory issue after years of tight supply.Wawa is slapping its logo on Tesla Superchargers. The popular convenience store giant has launched its first self-branded Tesla Supercharger site, signaling a deeper push into EV infrastructure.The first Wawa-owned, Wawa-branded Supercharger site is now live in Alachua, Florida, featuring 16 ultra-fast 325 kW stalls.The site operates under Tesla's new Supercharger for Business program, where Tesla installs and manages chargers while Wawa controls pricing.Charging is set at $0.37 per kWh, and Wawa hasn't disclosed how many more branded sites are planned—but its 1,200+ stores offer big expansion potential.The Vegas Sphere is coming to a Nations Capital near you. Sphere Entertainment plans a 6,000-seat “mini-Sphere” in National Harbor, Maryland, bringing its eye-popping screens and immersive tech to the DC area, along with a billion-dollar price tag and big economic promises.The DC-area Sphere will be about one-third the size of Las Vegas, but feature the same massive screen, immersive audio, 4D effects, and haptic seating.Construction is expected to cost over $1 billion, supported by roughly $200 million in state, local, and private incentives—some requiring voter approval.This episode of the Automotive State of the Union is brought to you by Amazon Autos: Meet customers where they shop: reach high-intent buyers shopping for their next car on the #1 online retailer.Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry.Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/
Coinbase CEO is set to meet bank leaders at Davos this week to discuss the US crypto market structure bill.~This episode is sponsored by Uphold~Uphold Get $20 in Bitcoin - Signup & Verify and trade at least $100 of any crypto within your first 30 days ➜ https://bit.ly/pbnupholdGUEST: Zach Pandl, Head of Research, Grayscale InvestmentsGrayscale Crypto Outlook ➜ https://bit.ly/GrayscaleOutlook00:00 intro00:07 Sponsor: Uphold01:03 Andrew Sorkin leaves Brian speechless01:30 WEF 2026 vs Coinbase02:00 ETF's Dead without CLARITY?02:44 Who failed crypto?04:37 Securitize vs Solana06:20 Fed Fund rates vs CLARITY07:48 CLARITY reversing 2025 wins?09:44 Stablecoin growth will slow without yields11:45 Crypto Treasury Companies12:59 Tom Lee buys Mr. Beast14:45 Banks will attack DeFi lending16:40 Privacy thrown under bus18:55 A.I. centralization20:11 Bitcoin vs Gold on Solana22:55 Lightning Round23:12 L1 Outages24:07 Corruption vs Innovation24:34 Banks banning staking rewards25:06 Trump chaos26:30 Sentiment for CEX's falls27:07 Grayscale DeFi product?27:50 Visa monopoly29:15 outro#crypto #bitcoin #ethereum~CLARITY Bearish for Crypto?
Opportunities exist in the tech sell-off, says Lisa Martin, making the case that fundamentals remain strong. Even after sentiment soured, Lisa explains that the big picture for tech doesn't change even as leaders like Nvidia (NVDA) face U.S. regulation pressures. As for software, she believes some companies need to prove a path to stronger profits, but sees cybersecurity firms like Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) as beneficiaries.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Le sujet fort de l'actualité foot du jour vu par Jérôme Rothen et la Dream Team.
This week, co-hosts Gabriela Barkho and Melissa Daniels are joined by senior reporter Julia Waldow to dive into takeaways from the National Retail Federation's 2026 conference; it's the retail industry's biggest conference, and typically sets the tone for the year. The mood at NRF was cautiously optimistic, with brands and retailers showing off their best use cases of agentic commerce and AI tools to help with checkout and discovery. Waldow explains how the week also saw announcements from the likes of Google, and Microsoft about the tools they're deploying for retailers to try. But at the same time, executives said there is still some friction, with many attendees themselves saying they don't trust AI to do their shopping for them. Barkho discuss how beyond technology, brands talked about how to court today's shoppers by focusing on value, and the ways they're looking to stay relevant. Other key themes discussed on the show include: How AI in retail has shifted from hypothetical use cases to case studies of practical applications The far-fetched robotics and technologies seen on the Expo Floor Brands becoming less vocal about tariffs and immigration-related challenges as they focus on growth in a complex landscape
Brian from Santiment joined me to review the crypto metrics for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Monero.
In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Liz Ann Sonders to discuss the evolving market and economic landscape heading into 2026. The conversation focuses on why this cycle feels fundamentally different, how instability rather than uncertainty is shaping investor behavior, and what that means for inflation, the labor market, Federal Reserve policy, and equity markets. Liz Ann breaks down the growing bifurcation across the economy and markets, the shift away from the Great Moderation era, and how investors should think about diversification, earnings, valuations, and AI-driven capital spending in a more volatile and fragmented environment.Main topics covered• Why today's environment is better described as unstable rather than uncertain• The K-shaped economy and growing bifurcation across consumers, sectors, and markets• Inflation dynamics and why 2 percent may now be a floor rather than a ceiling• How deglobalization, supply chains, and tariffs are changing the inflation regime• The shifting relationship between stocks and bonds• Hard data versus soft data and what sentiment is really telling us• The labor market's headwinds and tailwinds, including immigration and hiring trends• AI's impact on productivity, jobs, and capital spending• The AI capex boom and how it differs from the late 1990s tech cycle• Earnings growth, valuation compression, and market broadening• Rolling recessions versus traditional economic downturns• Federal Reserve challenges under a conflicted dual mandate• Why factor-based investing matters more than sector or style callsTimestamps00:00 Introduction and why this cycle feels different02:00 Uncertainty versus instability in markets03:30 The K-shaped economy and market bifurcation07:00 Market broadening, small caps, and diversification09:00 Inflation measurement challenges and data reliability12:00 Why inflation may stay above 2 percent15:00 Stock and bond correlations across cycles17:30 Labor market crosscurrents and immigration effects20:45 AI, productivity, and entry-level job pressures24:30 Sentiment versus fundamentals in markets27:30 Retail trading, behavior, and market psychology31:00 Rolling recessions and post-pandemic distortions38:00 Technology, cyclicality, and sector rotation40:30 The Fed's policy dilemma and internal disagreements45:00 AI capital spending and comparisons to the dot-com era51:00 Earnings growth versus valuation expansion55:00 Factors, GARP, and portfolio positioning for 2026
Scarce Assets: Alex Pron explains why wealth managers are finally embracing Bitcoin, how Wall Street distribution changes the market, & why long-term conviction matters more than cycles.---
What if the biggest barrier between you and the life God has for you is your own disobedience? In this message, Pastor Josh challenges us to move from sentiment to substance, because surrender isn't the same as obedience. We may feel surrendered, but until we actually obey, we're still holding back. If Jesus isn't Lord of all, He isn't Lord at all.If you're new to Harbor or want to get connected in any way click this link to get your New Here gift, find upcoming events or get involved!https://harborchurch.com/connect
PREVIEW FOR LATER TODAY ISRAEL AND CIVILIZATION: ANTI-WESTERN SENTIMENT ON CAMPUSColleague Josh Hammer. Columnist Josh Hammer discusses his book Israel and Civilization, arguing that anti-Israelprotests at universities like George Washington University are proxies for anti-Western sentiment. Hammer suggests these activists view Israel as a "little Satan" representing Western nation-states, aiming to dismantle Westerncivilization alongside the Jewish state.1842 MASADA
The Last Trade: Morgan Stanley's ETF filing and Bank of America's allocation guidance mark a shift in Bitcoin's market structure. We discuss institutional flows, the limits of cycle models, and why custody risk is becoming central to adoption.---
There were plenty of market movers to close the trading week, but Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas turn to two that fell off many investors' radars. They talk about the mixed results from December's jobs and consumer sentiment reports, paired with a sharp rally in homebuilder stocks. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Housing expert Rick Sharga joins Kathy Fettke to share a data-driven 2026 housing market outlook based on the latest investor sentiment survey. They break down where home prices, mortgage rates, and investor activity may be headed, why more investors are shifting from fix-and-flips to rentals, and whether fears of a housing crash are supported by the data. A realistic, no-hype look at what real estate investors should expect in 2026.
In this episode of Excess Returns, Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies joins Matt Zeigler and Justin Carbonneau to walk through her technical outlook for markets as we head into 2026. The conversation focuses on trend analysis, momentum, volatility, and risk management across U.S. equities, sectors, international markets, and alternative assets. Rather than making predictions, Katie explains how she reacts to price, confirms signals, and uses a disciplined technical process to identify opportunities and manage downside risk in changing market environments.Main topics coveredMarket trend outlook for U.S. equities heading into 2026Why long-term trends remain constructive despite rising short-term risksHow to think about volatility, consolidation, and corrective phasesWhat loss of momentum in late 2025 signals for near-term positioningHow to use triangle formations, support, and resistance levelsUnderstanding DeMark indicators, MACD, and stochastic signalsLeadership shifts within large-cap technology and the Mag 7Growth versus value dynamics across market capsSmall caps, market breadth, and participation signalsSector rotation insights including technology, healthcare, financials, energy, utilities, and real estateHow sentiment indicators like fear and greed fit into a broader processGold, silver, and precious metals trends and volatilityBitcoin and crypto from a technical perspectiveThe U.S. dollar, yields, and global market implicationsInternational and emerging market opportunitiesHow the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF is constructed and used in portfoliosWhere a tactical, risk-managed strategy can fit within asset allocationTimestamps00:00 Market setup and trend perspective for 202601:25 Long-term uptrend versus short-term risk04:16 Momentum loss and near-term caution06:00 Nasdaq 100 triangle and volatility setup07:45 Ichimoku clouds and trend confirmation11:01 Using consolidation and support levels13:05 Tech leadership and relative strength shifts18:30 Small caps, breadth, and market participation21:01 Growth versus value across market caps23:00 Market breadth and advance-decline signals24:13 Sentiment, fear and greed, and retests30:00 Breakouts, catalysts, and confirmation32:00 Sector rotation overview35:00 Energy, real estate, and rate-sensitive sectors39:10 Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF strategy45:00 International and emerging markets47:36 Gold, silver, and precious metals51:04 U.S. dollar and currency trends54:00 Bitcoin and crypto technical outlook57:12 Key indicators to watch going forward59:07 Long-term takeaways for investors
We break down the viral “crypto is dead” take and what it actually means: the industry can't rely on hype, memes, and casino mechanics forever. We talk about why stablecoins may be crypto's biggest real-world win, how speculation still funds infrastructure, and why this cycle feels different as AI pulls capital (and attention) into a new “imagination phase.” We also cover why builders need to ship real products (not just tokens), how authenticity becomes the new premium in an AI world, and why every project may end up running a podcast as the best distribution engine. Plus: updates on NAT and Bitcoin's long-term miner security budget problem, including a recent Twitter Space conversation with Cinco and what miner adoption signals to watch next. Topics: First up, break down the viral “crypto is dead” take and what it actually means Next, discuss why stablecoins may be crypto's biggest real-world win, and how speculation still funds infrastructure and Finally, updates on NAT and Bitcoin's long-term miner security budget problem Please like and subscribe on your favorite podcasting app! Sign up for a free newsletter: www.theblockrunner.com Follow us on: Youtube: https://bit.ly/TBlkRnnrYouTube Twitter: bit.ly/TBR-Twitter Telegram: bit.ly/TBR-Telegram Discord: bit.ly/TBR-Discord $NAT Telegram: https://t.me/dmt_nat
Here's the truth no one wants to admit:Churn doesn't come out of nowhere.You just weren't listening.In this episode, Mike Brewer unpacks why resident retention isn't a renewal event—it's a daily listening exercise. Residents give you clues. Warning signs. Sentiment. And if you're not picking up what they're putting down, you're already behind.Mike shares how AI-driven sentiment analysis is becoming the front line in retention strategy—capturing mid-lease concerns, maintenance feedback, and even social media chatter before it becomes a 60-day notice.But here's the kicker...Listening without action is just noise.Retention starts when you hear—and act on—the subtle signs. Whether it's a leaky faucet that keeps getting missed or a negative vibe posted online, the organizations that listen well will keep their best residents longest.
learn slang expressions to express a sentiment
US equity futures mixed with S&P down 0.1%, following Tuesday's gains, which saw new ATH for Dow and S&P logged its first fresh record close since 24-Dec. Bonds firmer. US 10-year yields down, 2-year flat. Dollar is little changed. Oil down. Gold lower. Industrial metals mixed. Bitcoin is softer. Elsewhere, European equity markets are mostly firmer and Asia's are mixed. Sentiment remains bullish. More sell-side commentary are on Tuesday talking up valuation argument for European stocks. In addition, underlying resilience in macro backdrop another supportive factor. AI-narrative into the new year has focused on the positives rather than the risks. Geopolitical environment is febrile, yet implications for equity markets appear limited for now. President Trump said on social media that Venezuela will send 30-50M barrels of oil to US at market prices and proceeds to be controlled by Trump.Companies mentioned: Lukoil, Mobileye Global, Meta Platforms, Chevron
After a volatile first half and another year of strong headline returns, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step back to assess what actually shaped markets in 2025 and what that foundation means heading into 2026.They revisit why early-year turbulence caught so many investors off guard, how companies navigated tariffs and margin pressure more effectively than expected, and why earnings growth remained the quiet backbone of the rally. The conversation then turns forward, covering their 2026 outlook for stocks and bonds, the role of AI-driven capital spending, global market leadership, and why sentiment continues to lag reality even as breadth improves. Along the way, they discuss inflation stickiness, labor market crosscurrents, policy tailwinds, and where diversification still matters most as the cycle matures.Key Takeaways: • Earnings did the heavy lifting: Profit growth and margin resilience, not valuation expansion, powered market gains • Volatility followed the script: Early-year drawdowns fit historical patterns despite widespread surprise • Global leadership expanded: International markets and cyclicals outpaced expectations as breadth improved • AI spending surged: Capital expenditures accelerated across major tech platforms, reinforcing long-term growth trends • 2026 outlook remains constructive: Above-average equity returns and modest bond gains hinge on steady growth without recessionJump to:0:00 — Setting The Stage For 20251:48 — Tariffs, Liberation Day, And Market Bottom4:30 — Sentiment, Concentration Myths, And Breadth9:45 — Speculation Falls, AI Leaders Repriced14:45 — Small Caps, Transports, And Rate Cuts22:30 — IPO Drought, Private Markets, And Valuations27:20 — Media Moments, Gold, And Diversifiers32:20 — Fed Cuts, Dots, And Labor Revisions40:10 — 2026 Playbook: Mid Caps, Financials, Healthcare46:30 — Global Vs. U.S., EM Tilt, And PolicyConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
Tech leadership, small-cap momentum, and shifting investor sentiment took center stage as markets kicked off the new year. Nasdaq's Kevin Davitt joins Andrew Wilkinson to break down broadening market leadership, CES-driven tech trends, and what it all signals for investors moving forward.
REDIFF - Lucie exprime sa difficulté à établir des relations amicales équilibrées, se sentant souvent déçue par le manque de réciprocité. Elle partage son parcours de timidité surmontée et son désir de créer de nouveaux liens sociaux, notamment après sa retraite. Chaque soir, en direct, Caroline Dublanche accueille les auditeurs pour 2h30 d'échanges et de confidences. Pour participer, contactez l'émission au 09 69 39 10 11 (prix d'un appel local) ou sur parlonsnous@rtl.frHébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Le sujet fort de l'actualité foot du jour vu par Jérôme Rothen et la Dream Team.
If the Steelers take their opening possession down for a touchdown, the place will be rocking. This is a playoff game for the Steelers. They've started so bad in playoff games over the last eight years and need to get off to a fast start. Lightning Ozzy picks the Steelers to win 19-13!
Hour 1 with Donny Football: It's Steelers-Ravens. How could you not be excited? This is a coin flip type game where we could see a number of things happening. This feels like a Pat Freiermuth game, but so many have and it hasn't happened. This is a playoff game for the Steelers. They've started so bad in playoff games over the last eight years and need to get off to a fast start.
Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, flies solo for this new episode of Facts vs Feelings, joined by longtime chart-watchers Chris Kimble, former CEO of Kimble Charting Solutions, and Scott Brown, Founder of Brown Technical Insights, for a wide-ranging conversation on what the market is signaling as 2025 comes to a close.They dig into market breadth, sector leadership, financials, commodities, and metals that have gone nowhere for over a decade, along with gold's role, sentiment disconnects, and why certain “boring” areas may be setting up for something much bigger. The discussion blends technical analysis, long-term market history, portfolio construction, and the psychological side of investing, offering context for what could matter most heading into 2026.Chris and Scott are not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by these individuals may not be representative of CWM, LLC.Jump to:0:00 — Opening and guest introductions1:41 — Market surprises and leadership shifts6:05 — Financials, tech, and market breadth12:10 — Gold, metals, and long-term breakouts18:40 — Sentiment, seasonality, and market signals26:10 — China, Fibonacci levels, and global setup34:20 — Research, portfolio construction, and the 2026 outlookConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Scott:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/scott-brown-cmt-22b62891/• X: https://x.com/scottcharts?lang=enConnect with Chris:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chris-kimble-708b4681/• X: https://x.com/KimbleChartingQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
POLITICS, WAR, AND THE REPUBLICAN SPIRIT OF THE IMPRESSIONISTS Colleague Sebastian Smee. Édouard Manet was a passionate Republican who loathed the authoritarian rule of Napoleon III, a sentiment rooted in his witnessing the 1848 uprising and his travels to Rio where he saw the horrors of slavery. His political activism influenced the Impressionist circle, who were all Republicans. Manet frequented cafés to discuss politics with figures like Léon Gambetta, a moderate Republican leader navigating the tensions between monarchists and radicals. The group's optimism was tested by the Franco-Prussian War of 1870; following the Emperor's defeat at Sedan, a Republic was declared, but Paris was soon besieged by Prussian troops. The war touched the artists directly: the painter Bazille died in combat, and Alfred Sisley painted landscapes on the banks of the Seine that had recently been bloody battlefields, creating art that contemporaries recognized as scenes of trauma. NUMBER 3
The Last Trade: Matt Odell on the 2025 postmortem: why BTC lagged gold, how DATs wrecked sentiment, what the quantum debate gets wrong, and what changes when institutions take the wheel.---
The Detroit Lions got outclassed by a so-so Pittsburgh Steelers roster because the plan failed before the ball was kicked. In late December, that is a coaching loss. It exposed a defense without cohesion, a depth chart stretched past its limits, and a Dan Campbell team that needs answers now. This Detroit Lions Podcast recap stares hard at why. Coaching Exposed in Steelers Loss The NFL is unforgiving when preparation lags. Pittsburgh brought a clear script and executed it. Detroit arrived with a better cast and a worse idea. The coaches were not good enough. The defense had no identity. The game plan did not fit the personnel available. That mismatch showed up on every level, from alignments to adjustments. The Steelers dictated with modest talent because they were organized. The Lions were not. That's the headline. It is also the trend. The final score felt earned, and not in a good way. Numbers over narratives point to the same truth. Too many explosive gains. Too many empty downs. Too many drives where Detroit never forced Pittsburgh off schedule. Depth, Scheme, and a Defense That Lost Its Shape Detroit's backups are not winning games in December. Injuries gutted the defense and chipped away at the offensive line again. The “next man up” idea sounds brave. It does not stop crossing routes or protect a corner stranded in man coverage he cannot play. You cannot build a man-heavy scheme and then ask reserves to survive it. Detroit tried to mix in zone. That fell apart too. The front four must cover for the back end. It did not. The starters up front are healthy, as are the three linebackers behind them. Pressure still lagged. That left a shaky secondary to hold forever. Plans that counted on additions like Josh Paschal and Levi Onwuzurike never stabilized. The result has been a defense gashed by everyone, not just top NFC offenses but a middle-tier Steelers unit as well. Worse, the same problems surfaced in other spots. Remember the 42-year-old Aaron Rodgers performance in Detroit. The Lions handed him leverage with structure. He took it. That is a scheme problem. It is also a self-scout problem that has not yet been solved. Flags, Farewells, and the Stakes for Dan Campbell Officiating cannot be the story, but it keeps grabbing the mic. The calls at the end were brutal. They did not decide the outcome. They did shape the discourse. When pool reporters and penalty explanations dominate the postgame, the NFL has a quality control issue. Detroit cannot count on cleaner Sundays. It must become call-proof. Hard choices are next. Some of the Dan Campbell and Brad Holmes originals are nearing the exit. Alex Anzalone may have played his last game at Ford Field. Others with devoted followings could join him. Sentiment meets performance here. Depth must get better. So must the plan to deploy it. This is the inflection point. The Detroit Lions have the talent to compete. They need a defense that fits who is actually available, not who was penciled in back in June. Campbell's next moves will define his tenure. Adapt now, or see December become a closed door again. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vsDHgopy-aQ #detroitlions #lions #detroitlionspodcast #pittsburghsteelers #coachingloss #defensewithoutcohesion #depthchart #dancampbell #explosivegains #man-heavyscheme #crossingroutes #mancoverage #frontfour Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Gregory Copley details how the Bondi Beach attackers trained in the Philippines' insurgent areas. While praising Australian intelligence agencies, he blames the Albanese government for encouraging anti-Israel sentiment, arguing this political stance has given license to radical groups and undermined public safety. 1929 PERTHB
Our Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur responds to some of the feedback from clients on Morgan Stanley's 2026 global outlooks.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. Today, I consider the pushback we've received on our 2026 outlooks – distilling the themes that drew the most debate and our responses to the debates. It's Tuesday, Dec 16th at 3:30pm in New York. It's been a few weeks [since] we published our 2026 outlooks for the global economy and markets. We've had lots of wide-ranging conversations, much dialogue and debate with our clients across the globe on the key themes that we laid out in our outlook. Feedback has ranged from strong alignment to pointed disagreement, with many nuanced views in between. We welcome this dialogue, especially the pushback, as it forces us to re-examine our assumptions and refine our thinking. Our constructive stance on AI and data center-related CapEx, along with the pivotal role we see for the credit market channels, drew notable scrutiny. Our 2026 CapEx projections was anchored by a strong conviction – that demand for compute will far outstrip the supply over the next several years. We remain confident that credit markets across unsecured, structured, and securitized instruments in both public and private domains will be central to the financing of the next wave of AI-driven investments. The crucial point here is that we think this spending will be relatively insensitive to the macro conditions, i.e., the level of interest rates and economic growth. Regarding the level of AI investment, we received a bit of pushback on our economics forecast: Why don't we forecast even more growth from AI CapEx? From our perspective, that is going to be a multi-year process, so the growth implications also extend over time. Our U.S. credit strategists' forecast for IG bond supply – $2.25 trillion in gross issuance; that's up 25 percent year-over-year, or $1 trillion in net issuance; that's 60 percent year-over-year – garnered significant attention. There was some pushback to the volume of the issuance we project. As CapEx growth outpaces revenue and pressures free cash flow, credit becomes a key financing bridge. Importantly, AI is not the sole driver of the surge that we forecast. A pick-up in M&A activity and the resulting increase in acquisition-driven IG supply also will play a key role, in our view. We also received pushback on our expectation for modest widening in credit spreads, roughly 15 basis points in investment grade, which we still think will remain near the low end of the historical ranges despite this massive surge in supply. Some clients argued for more widening, but we note that the bulk of the AI-related issuance will come from high-quality – you know AAA-AA rated issuers – which are currently underrepresented in credit markets relative to their equity market weight. Additionally, continued policy easing – two more rate cuts – modest economic re-acceleration, and persistent demand from yield-focused buyers should help to anchor the spreads. Our macro strategists' framing of 2026 as a transition year for global rates – from synchronized tightening to asynchronous normalization as central banks approach equilibrium – was broadly well received, as was their call for government bond yields to remain broadly range-bound. However, their view that markets will price in a dovish tilt to Fed policy sparked considerable debate. While there was broad agreement on the outlook for yield curve steepening, the nature of that steepening – bull steepening or bear steepening – remained a point of contention. Outside the U.S., the biggest pushback was to the call on the ECB cutting rates two more times in 2026. Our economists disagreed with President Lagarde – that the disinflationary process has ended. Even with moderate continued euro area growth on German fiscal expansion, but consolidation elsewhere, we still see an output gap that will eventually lead inflation to undershoot the ECB's 2 percent target. We also engaged in lively dialogue and debate on China. The key debate here comes down to a micro versus macro story. Put differently, the market is not the economy and the economy is not the market. Sentiment on investments in China has turned around this year, and our strategists are on board with that view. However, from an economics point of view, we see deflation continuing and fiscal policy from Beijing as a bit too modest to spark near-term reflation. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
(0:00) Tucker joins the besties! (4:11) Paramount vs Netflix: bidding war over Warner Bros Discovery (25:40) What's behind the rise of Nick Fuentes and America First? (49:13) Understanding the Anti-AI sentiment (1:21:52) Tucker in 20: Venezuela, Midterm issues, fall of Europe, Qatar, Charlie Kirk investigation, leaving NATO, supporting Israel Follow Tucker: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson Check out Battalion Metals: https://battalionmetals.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/chamath/status/1999139689173749835 https://www.vulture.co/article/netflix-vs-paramount-ownership-warner-bros-discovery.html https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition?tid=1765487045602 https://www.realityslaststand.com/p/the-manufactured-rise-of-nick-fuentes https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1997843165102100528 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS14024887 https://www.wsj.com/business/data-centers-are-a-gold-rush-for-construction-workers-6e3c5ce0
NATO's Viability and Europe's Demographic Shifts: Colleague Blaine Holt questions NATO's viability through 2050, citing rising US sentiment to withdraw and Europe's demographic shifts due to mass migration, warning that diverging values and economic instability could lead to civil unrest or new geopolitical alignments between Russia, China, and the US. 1922
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