A young Market Analyst gives a seasoned Chief Economist a fresh perspective on the driving factors that influence our economy. Trading Perspectives is brought to you by Oakworth Capital Bank. https://www.oakworthcapital.com/ tradingperspectives@oakworthcapital.com
John Norris: Chief Economist with Oakworth Capital Bank
The Trading Perspectives: An Economic Podcast is an incredibly engaging and thought-provoking podcast that never fails to deliver insightful discussions on a wide range of economic topics. The hosts, John, Sam, and Courtney, have a natural chemistry that brings a refreshing dynamic to the show. Each episode feels like a lively conversation between friends, where different perspectives are explored and challenged.
One of the best aspects of this podcast is the diversity of perspectives that are presented. The hosts come from different backgrounds, with John providing a more conservative viewpoint, Sam leaning towards libertarianism, and Courtney offering a progressive stance. This balanced mix allows for a healthy exchange of ideas and fosters meaningful discussions that delve deep into the issues at hand. It's refreshing to hear differing opinions respectfully debated without devolving into partisan rhetoric.
Another highlight of The Trading Perspectives is its ability to tackle complex economic concepts in an accessible manner. The hosts have a knack for breaking down intricate topics and explaining them in simple terms that anyone can understand. This makes economics more approachable for those who may not have much prior knowledge or experience in the field. Whether they're discussing monetary policy or market trends, they always strive to make their content informative and engaging for all listeners.
Despite its many strengths, one possible drawback of the podcast is its occasional tendency to go off on tangents or lose focus during episodes. While this can be entertaining at times, it may also lead to important points being overlooked or rushed through. Some listeners might prefer more structured discussions that stay on topic consistently throughout each episode.
In conclusion, The Trading Perspectives: An Economic Podcast is an absolute gem in the world of economic podcasts. Its unique blend of diverse perspectives, informative content, and lively discussions make it a must-listen for anyone interested in understanding the complexities of our economic landscape. John, Sam, and Courtney consistently hit it out of the park with each episode, leaving listeners eagerly anticipating what they'll bring to the table next.
This week, the Court of International Trade sort of put the kibosh on the Administration's blanket, reciprocal tariffs. Also, Elon Musk made his exit from the apparently ineffectual DOGE, but not before taking a few passing shots. Also, while the House passed the President's “big beautiful bill,” a lot of people are wondering how Washington can possibly pay for it. All told, from the outside looking in, it wasn't a very good week for the President. So, where does he go from here? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the Administration's trying week and where it must go from here.
This week, the stock markets rallied sharply on news the Administration was going to cut the tariff rate with China from 145% to 30%. However, should investors be enthused with constantly shifting economic policies? Particularly those like tariffs, which add costs to both the importer and the consumer? Further, with the economy already cooling slightly, is now the right time to play hard ball with our trading partners? Basically, what is the real cause for celebration? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the extreme reaction the markets had to the reduction in tariff rates with the Chinese.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced the U.S. economy shrank during the 1st quarter of 2025. Obviously, that is not good news. However, is it the bad news the headline would imply? Are we standing at the edge of the economic cliff? Or will the UJS economy be able to take a step back of the abyss? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report and whether the U.S. is headed for a deep recession. So, is the sky really falling?
After a few days of positive returns, it seems the market panic has subsided. So, is now a good buying opportunity? Is it safe to get back into the investing waters? Or would it be prudent to wait a while? After all, the threat of tariffs are still very real and very possible. The economy appears a little weaker than it was in 2024, consumer confidence has collapsed and corporate America doesn't have a good idea what the remainder of the year will bring. If that sounds like a good time to invest to you, have at it. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent market volatility and ask a very basic question: is now the time to buy?
One of the Administration's primary goals with the tariff wars seems to be onshoring production jobs. Intuitively, that makes sense. More jobs are almost always better than fewer. However, are these the types of jobs the American economy actually needs and the American workers actually wants? Further, what is the likelihood companies make drastic shifts in their production facilities, understanding President Trump will be gone in less than 4 years? These are great questions which need real answers. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement, John Norris and special guest David McGrath discuss the potential for more manufacturing jobs in the economy and wonder whether they are worth the pain.
We have all heard the worst-case scenarios, and everyone is hoping for the best-case ones. However, what is the probable case scenario? Oakworth Capital's Investment Committee discusses the recent market volatility and likely outcomes.
Yesterday, the Administration announced widespread tariffs on the remainder of the world. It hit some countries harder than others, with rates which will certainly curtail trade between our country and theirs. Is this really good for overall economic activity? Given the stock markets' extremely negative reactions, it would seem like it isn't. So, why did we do it? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discussed the announced tariffs and their potential impact on the economy.
If the headlines have seemed somewhat repetitive recently, it is because they have been. Another day, another DOGE headline and another barb traded. The markets continue to be choppy and gold continues to rally. Foreign leaders have to be tired of bristling against comments from Washington. While arguably exciting at first, the news has become boring and predictable in its unpredictably. It has almost been like listening to the same record over and over again. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss recent global events and what has been the most surprising to them thus far in 2025. Will you be surprised by what they have to say?
The policy making committee of the Federal Reserve met this week and didn't cut interest rates. That was as expected. But if it was so widely expected, why did anyone care? Does the Fed have access to information the rest of us don't? Does it have crystal balls which actually work? Are the voting members on the committee that much smarter? Or have we given the Fed magical powers it doesn't really have? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the most recent Fed meeting and what it means for the economy, if anything.
It had all been going so nicely, had it not? The markets and the economy were better than the experts expected in 2024. Business owner and consumer confidence spiked after the November elections, and the world has been in a flurry of activity since. Unfortunately, people don't seem to be having as much fun as they were. The markets have been bleeding red ink, and the headlines have been talking about a recession. How did we get here so quickly? And how quickly can we leave? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent market turmoil and speculate on what caused it and when it will end. Let's just say no one likes uncertainty.
Investors have been very skittish for the last couple of weeks. The potential for trade wars with the Canadians and Mexicans have people on edge, and for good reason. The economy was slowing enough on its own already. However, are tariffs really the economic death knells people think they are? Will they really cause U.S. consumer prices to go through the roof? Why do this and why do it now? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent concerns over potential trade wars with major U.S. trading partners, and ask the question: are tariffs really that bad?
Recent economic reports and corporate earnings releases suggest the vaunted U.S. consumer might be running out of steam. The official savings rate has plummeted. Consumer confidence gauges are down. Loan delinquencies are up. Mid-tier restaurant closings are becoming commonplace. So, how much longer can the ultra-wealthy continue to spend at its current level to mask these problems? Will a pullback in the stock market close the wallets of the income group currently holding the economy together? Are we at an inflection point? Because all of the negative anecdotes can't be simply anecdotal, can they? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the curious case of the U.S. consumer. Much of the data suggests it is running out of gas, but some of it says otherwise. What is the truth? And what is the likelihood the consumer pulls back over the next couple of quarters?
Over the last 12 months, gold has been one of the best performing asset classes, but why? It is a shiny metal, which doesn't pay a dividend or interest and doesn't generate any profits. So, why are investors flocking to it? Further, how much longer will gold, and other precious metals, be, well, golden? The answer might just be basic economics. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent rise in gold prices. While it might be amazing to some, Sam and John discuss why it shouldn't be.
This week, there were some positive signs the warring parties in Gaza and Ukraine might be willing to sit at the negotiating table to end the recent hostilities. However, given the historical differences between the groups, what is the real likelihood of a lasting peace? Or will whatever happens end up being a short-term bandage for an otherwise longstanding wound? Can the Trump administration really put a permanent end to conflicts which have been for centuries or even millennia? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent prospects for peace in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Do either have a chance for success? If so, which one?
After two consecutive years of surprising economic growth and stock market returns, what can 2025 do for an encore? However, there are some serious questions. Just how strong is the labor market? Will inflation subside enough to give American consumers a break on the necessities? Will all of this debt ultimately cause the economy to crash? Will the new Trump Administration really be able to pull off everything the President has promised? The list of worries is almost endless. In this week's Trading Perspectives, John Norris gives a pragmatic take on the probable case scenario for the year. Things might not be as rosy as everyone would like. However, they are far from the worst case scenario.
This week, a Chinese company named DeepSeek shocked the markets by claiming it had made huge advancements in Artificial Intelligence at a fraction of the cost and effort of the big tech giants in the United States. Is it too good to be true? Further, what would it mean for the average worker if the AI industry were able to expand even more rapidly than currently imagined? Will there be any jobs left? Or will our computers, tablets, smartphones and other devices put us all out of work? In this Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the startling revelations and practical implications from the news out of the AI sector this week.
The first week of Donald Trump's second term in office was a whirlwind of activity. What surprised some people was he did a lot of what he said he was going to do, even some of the head-scratching stuff. However, how much was political posturing and how much was actually trying to govern more effectively? Did any of the executive orders make economic or societal sense? How much more can we expect and what will the economic ramifications be? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the first week of President Trump's second Administration. You can love or hate what he did, but the sun still came up in the East the next morning.
The recent wildfires in Los Angeles have been horrific to witness and even more so to live through. But could they have been avoided? If not avoided, could an effective governmental response mitigated the damage to the error? Was it climate change or government inefficiency which exacerbated an already bad situation? Are there any generational differences of opinion? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the wildfires in California and debate whether it had to be as bad as it has been.
The current transition of power from the Biden Administration to Trump Part 2 has been one for the books. The current president has been issuing pardons and making executive orders like has not been seen in recent memory. For his part, the new president has been acting like he is already in office and appears willing to alienate a good chunk of the world in the process. Are these good things? Are they the new normal? What do they mean for the smooth transition of power in the future? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the increasingly bizarre time between one Administration and the next. Are there any generational differences in how they feel about all of the weirdness?
As we start 2025, a lot of people want to know what the upcoming year holds for them, the economy and the investment markets. So, what does the crystal ball hold in store for the upcoming year? Will stocks continue to climb? Will the economy continue to add jobs? Will the Republicans be able to govern effectively? There are a lot of questions and even more opinions, but what is the truth? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris go through the second half of Oakworth's Investment Committee's predictions for 2025.
After another strong, if confusing, year in 2024, what can the US economy and financial markets do for an encore? What does the crystal ball hold in store for the upcoming year? Will stocks continue to climb? Will the economy continue to add jobs? Will the Republicans be able to govern effectively? There are a lot of questions and even more opinions. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement, John Norris and special guest Ryan Bernal go through half of Oakworth's Investment Committee's predictions for 2025.
This year has been another wild one in the markets, economy, society and geopolitics. But what have we learned? What was most surprising about events throughout the rest of the world? What changes happened in our domestic society, for good or bad? How strong is the U.S. economy, really? Does anyone tell the truth anymore? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the year that was in 2024, and where they think everything is headed in the upcoming year.
Over the weekend, Syrian rebels overthrew the Assad dynasty, which had ruled the country for 5 decades. On Monday, the US stock market shrugged, and meaningful news coverage of the event was hard to find. Do American investors simply not care about the rest of the world? After all, there seem to be a lot of global problems and US stocks are at an all-time high. Further, what is it about the Middle East where just about all countries have a powerful king or some other form of strongman or junta calling the shots? Will it ever change? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent Syrian Revolution, and why Americans ignored it almost as soon as it happened.
The global wholesale diamond market has essentially collapsed over the last several years. Publicaly traded jewelry companies have been struggling with softer revenue and earnings. With the exception of perhaps ultra-high end brands, the demand for fine jewelry has essentially stalled. Is this due to the consumer being strapped for cash? Or have consumer preferences changed? After all, the demand for fine china and antique wooden furniture also seems to have waned. Could it be generational preferences or is it purely economic? Has supply outpaced demand? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss how problems in the jewelry sector have more to do with alternatives and supply than changing consumer preferences.
Last week, Target Corporation announced disappointing sales growth for its 3rd Quarter of 2024. This was just another hint at a broader U.S. consumer slowdown or cooling. While spending forecasts aren't dire, how much fuel does the average American household have in the tank to propel the upcoming holiday shopping season? Will it be merry and bright for retailers? Or will Santa be leaving coal in their stockings? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the upcoming holiday shopping season, and whether the U.S. consumer can continue to spend money at the same pace it has.
Though November 20th, Bitcoin has more than doubled in value since the start of 2024. Since the end of 2022, it has more than quintupled. But why? Even the most passionate crypto investors have a difficult time explaining exactly what Bitcoin is in terms the average person can understand. It doesn't pay dividends or interest. It doesn't generate revenue or profits. You can't hold it. Heck, you can't even see it. So why do certain investors love it as much as they do? This asset class which exists out in the technological ether? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent rally in Bitcoin and wonder just how much longer can it last. After all, it seems like we have been through this previously. So, is this time different?
Now that the U.S. elections are finally over, investors are looking at their portfolios and wondering if the United States is still worth the risk. Will it still be able to generate attractive rates of growth? Are its institutions still relatively stable? Is its currency still sound? Will the Republicans spoil a good thing? On this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss how the U.S. remains the most attractive investment market for the foreseeable future.
The U.S. stock market took off like a rocket the day after the election. Why did it rally as strongly as it did? Was it policy? Something to do with Trump himself? Relief the painful campaign process was finally over? Or could it be the next 2-4 years looks a little less cloudy than it did on Monday? After all, investors have already had 4 years of a Trump presidency. Or could it be some sort of combination? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the markets' extreme reaction following the U.S. elections, and what to expect for the remainder of 2024 and moving into 2025.
Leading up to election, social media has been inundated with posts about minimum and living wages. However, what are they exactly? Do they actually work? Whom do they benefit and whom do they hurt, if anybody? Or, are they mostly political props candidate use to curry favor with voters? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the minimum wage and the concept of a living wage, and why they are difficult to enact, at best, across a nation the size of the United States.
In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss trends in the restaurant industry and the likely causes for many of the recent closures. John also gives a huge shout-out to Current Charcoal Grill here in Birmingham.
After another crazy year in the economy and markets, will there ever be a return to some sense of normalcy? Join John Norris, Sam Clement and David McGrath from our investment committee in this recorded webinar panel discussion on this topic and more: - How will the Fed rate cuts impact the economy? - Why the disconnect between the economic data & public perception? - What can the stock market do for an encore? - Will the U.S. be able to avoid a recession? - Will the presidential election have an impact on the markets? We'll talk through this and more! Plus, listen in on our Q&A session at the end.
To the outsider, American consumers must be a weird bunch. They will bemoan the cost of something insignificant, like a carton of eggs, while spending obscene amounts of money on concert tickets, sporting events and other types of activities. Undoubtedly, this change in consumer behavior will impact the economy moving forward. However, are the government agencies accurately capturing its impact using methodology they developed for a simpler time? What if our experiences are changing how we look at the economy? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the soaring cost of having fun and what it means for the economy on our daily lives.
Last week, The People's Bank of China threw an unprecedented amount of stimuli on the Chinese banking system in order to spur the sluggish economy. The Chinese stock markets have soared in response. However, will it be enough? The Chinese economy and banking system are facing severe structural challenges which could take decades to repair. From declining demographics to the collapse in the residential real estate market to the Communist Party exerting control over the private sector, China is probably not the growth engine it once was. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris talk about the recent attempts to jumpstart the floundering Chinese economy. Will they work? Or will China be in for a decade of discontent?
In the United States, millions of people use some form of social media every second of every day. For many, it is their primary source of information. If so, just how accurate is it? Further, are they getting news from a number of different sources and voices? Or is it the same people saying the same thing over and over again? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the impact social media outlets will have on the upcoming elections?
After months of speculating when the Fed would cut the overnight rate, it finally did so this past Wednesday by 50 basis points. Further, Fed Chairman Jay Powell essentially said this was the first cut of potentially many, while reiterating the economy was still strong. So, what does this mean for the U.S. economy? What does it mean for the real estate sector? What does it mean for the American consumer? Will lower rates really be the cure for what we think ails us? Or, like sugar pills, are they psychosomatic? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the first Fed rate cut in 4 years and what it could mean for the economy. Will it be a magic bullet? Probably not, but it is probably better than nothing.
The Census Bureau recently reported the official Poverty Rate fell to 11.1% in 2023. Historically, this is a very low number. Further, median household income rose to an all-time high last year, and the current unemployment rate is a miserly 4.2%. Washington tells us the Consumer Price Index is a very manageable 2.5%, and real wages are going up. This is all very positive news, but why do so many people not believe it? Is the government's methodology flawed or is it purposefully feeding the public false information? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the disconnect between the official economic data and the public's perception of reality. Is the data an accurate reflection of what is happening? Or is a negative news cycle warping people's perceptions? Inquiring minds want to know.
The quickest way to grow an economy is to unfetter it. However, the Federal government has enacted over 200,000 pages of regulations in the Code of Federal Regulations. It also routinely investigates naturally occurring monopolies, usually in the tech sector, which is both time consuming and costly. Since regulations present a cost to doing business, and, therefore, slowing economic activity, why does Washington persists in increasing the regulatory environment. Again, already over 200,000 in the making and growing. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss how the recent DOJ investigation into Nvidia is just another example of how Washington tacks on costs and oversight without any clear benefit for the consumer.
Baseball card collectors should beware. The same could be said of folks who have stamp and coin collections. China table settings? Antique furniture? Silver serving trays and tea sets? Any so-called collectors' item you can buy off the television? Most of these things don't have the true market value many think they do. That is to say, what people are actually willing to pay for an item, and not where someone is trying to sell it on Ebay. But why when these items seem to be so precious? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the real value of collections. You might not like what you hear.
Sometimes the official economic data doesn't tell the whole story. So, when the data is in doubt, you have to go to corporate earnings releases to find the truth. Last quarter, it seems the truth was lower income households are feeling the pinch, and upper income earners are becoming more cost conscious. At least on somewhat generic goods and services. This makes perfect sense, as tickets for Taylor Swift and Beyonce cost a lot of money. So do international vacations and trips to the Gulf of Mexico. So, are the rich changing their spending patterns? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss recent consumer behavior, and question whether inflation is already coming down on its own thanks to these shifts.
Recently, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been reporting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) continues to increase at a decreasing rate. That is ordinarily a good thing for US consumers. However, don't tell that to potential first-time homebuyers who still can't find a decent house at a monthly payment which makes sense. This keeps them renting instead of owner, which makes sense in the short-term but doesn't over time. Is there a light at the end of the tunnel? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the US housing market and some of the reasons why young people are having difficulty buying a home. Unfortunately, things likely won't get much better for a while.
After an incredibly easy go of it for the first seven months of 2024, the start of August was a rude awakening to U.S. stock investors. The market can and will go down, and no one is happy about it when it does. However, what was the real cause of this recent sell-off? Was it really a weak jobs report? Japanese monetary policy? Impending economic doom? Or was it a relatively normal reaction an unusual market? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent market turmoil. Is this a temporary setback? Or are the bad times here to stay?
This week, Israel assassinated high ranking officials in both Hamas and Hezbollah. The world currently awaits Iran's reaction and response to the killing of its allies. Will it lead to a greater escalation of hostilities in the Middle East? If so, just how involved with the United States get? With all of the anti-Israel protests happening in this country, will young Americans be willing to fight and die for U.S., Israeli and other western interests in the United States? Or will Generation Z question the validity of the interests after the last decades of American wars without a clear-cut objective? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the increasing tension in the Middle East. Will younger Americans step up to defend their long-time ally in the region, Israel?
The 2024 Presidential campaign has been nothing if not exciting. From the disastrous first debate to the assassination attempt on Donald Trump to President Biden dropping out of the race, things couldn't get more weird. Or could they? Kamala Harris will assuredly leave the Democratic Convention in Chicago as the party's official nominee. However, who will be the Vice President on her ticket? Just how far to the left will the party platform go? On the other side of the aisle, what does JD Vance ultimately bring to the ticket? Is the GOP actually trying to win? There are too many questions and too few answers this close to the election. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the upcoming Presidential election and how bizarre the campaign, thus far, has been. Can it get worse between now and November?
The collapse in the real estate market in China, and subsequent banking crisis, haven't attracted much media attention in the United States. However, it is a very real story to the average Chinese citizen and that country's prospects for economic growth moving forward. Simply put, the incredible erosion of wealth due to falling housing prices will constrain consumer spending and investment for the foreseeable future. Numerous private sector bank failures will leave Beijing even more in control of the financial system. As a result, what the central government doesn't outright own it can control through the access to credit. This will undoubted curtail innovation and entrepreneurialism. While China can continue to grow and remain a threat to the United States, its growth rates have peaked, probably permanently. What will that mean as the Chinese Communist Party tries to cling to power? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the ongoing real estate and banking crises in China, and how it will likely impact the global economy? Why is this such a secret?
What if NATO held a conference in Washington and nobody paid any attention? As far as most Americans are concerned, that is exactly what happened this past week. Regardless of the general public's disinterest, NATO remains the United States' primarily military alliance and commitment. Further, NATO obligates the U.S. to potentially fight and die for countries many Americans couldn't find on a map. So, why don't we care more than we do? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss NATO and our nation's general apathy towards that organization. Are there any generational differences in opinion since John grew up during the Cold War and Sam didn't?
The recent U.S. Presidential debate has been a topic of discussion since one minute after it began. Is the current President capable of serving out another term? Is the former President capable of keeping his ego in check to run the country without malice? What does this do for the election? What does this mean for the perception of American power around the world? Will widespread concern about Joe Biden's effort result in a new Democratic candidate? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris have a frank discussion about the debate, and try to determine to a probable case scenario for November's election and what that means for 2025.
With China as the most notable exception, the world's richest countries 25 years ago are still largely the richest. Similarly, the world's poorest countries at the start of the century are still at the bottom of the list. The same could be said for U.S. states. Why is this? Why do some countries and economies continue to thrive and others languish? Why do some have spurts of growth before petering out? How do some economies without any natural resources perform so well while others with an abundance dramatically underperform? Why are the disparities a constant? Why do some areas embrace change and others don't? After all, change is necessary for inclusive, sustainable growth. In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss why rich countries seem to stay rich and poor countries remain poor. Is there a magic formula for success? And what is the anchor holding people back
Recently, the G7 held its annual meeting in Italy. In the past, this gathering got a lot of media attention. Recently, it hasn't, and this year was no exception. After all, the only leader of the group who is certain to be at next year's event is Italy's Giorgia Meloni. As a result, some have called the meeting “Meloni & the 6 Lame Ducks.” This relative weakness from the developed, western world's leaders comes at an inopportune time. The Global South, led by China, is increasingly flexing its geopolitical strength, which could bode poorly for the existing world order. What does this mean for the US and the West's existing world order? Could it suffer due to the current lack of leadership? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the recent G7 Summit, the West's current relative weakness and the Global South's rising importance.
With the news surrounding Elon Musk's potential $50+ billion pay package from Tesla, people are again focusing on CEO pay in general. Should these people be making THAT much money? While the headline numbers are truly mindboggling, is there more to it than meets the eye? Is there a difference between income and wealth creation when analyzing an executive's true value to a company? Further, do shareholders really care if the company is making them money? Finally, do we really want the government to determine how much people should be allowed to make in the private sector? In this week's Trading Perspective's, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss CEO pay and whether it is truly as unconscionable as it may seem. However, is anybody really “worth” that much money?
South Africa, Mexico, the United Kingdom and the European Parliament are all having elections over the next 6 weeks. Individually, each of them has consequences for the United States and their own regions. Combined, they could very easily have a massive global impact. Will the South Africans continue their drift into the Chinese and Russian orbits? Will Mexico continue to move further away from the center, as it has under its current President? Will the United Kingdom be able to stop its decade-long slide? What happens if the European Parliament goes from being a very liberal organization to very conservative? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the upcoming elections…just not the ones in the United States.
The world's population is growing. Most of these people will be in third-world countries. They will aspire to have creature comforts Americans take for granted. Things like appliances and central air. In the United States, accelerated computing (AI), cloud and blockchain technologies and electric vehicles consume a lot of energy off the already stretched grid. In short, the demand for electricity, energy in general, is poised to accelerate over the next several decades. Is the global grid prepared? Will there be the necessary capacity? How will utilities around the world be able to provide the necessary power without using fossil fuels? Is there any way to prevent higher prices for US consumers? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris discuss the inevitability of an energy crunch in the not so distant future. John is so confident, he has bet Sam a steak dinner utility prices will be significantly higher, greater than the official inflation gauges, over the next five years. Is he right?