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Tahra Hoops — Policy wonk, and Director of Economic Analysis at the Chamber of Progress — joins the show this week to talk about the generation that's been told simultaneously it's going to "save the world," "can't hold a conversation," "has been through a lot," and is "soft." Kids these days are a nuanced bunch, and that makes us a unique and challenging crew to communicate policy to/with. Add in a segment of that generation (more on this breakdown in the episode) growing up in a media environment that's primed for misinformation and disinformation, and the results are what you might expect. It impacts how we comingle, vote, where we choose to live, and the level of hope we possess.Tahra's work is all about synthesizing and breaking down both cultural and economic data and trends into more understanding information — largely pertaining to housing and cost of living.We discuss:00:00 Tahra Hoops is in good traffic.02:32 Policy communication and rapid response.05:24 Balancing data collection and real-time reactions.10:13 The housing crisis and policy solutions.22:34 Generational perspectives on politics.33:42 Introduction to The Rebuild and cost of living issues.34:28 Small policy changes with big impacts.35:32 Examples of effective policy initiatives.37:09 Governor Shapiro's abundance politics.38:15 The importance of positive feedback in politics.40:42 Challenges in housing policy comms.47:29 Why we live where we live.52:10 In praise of walkability.01:00:05 Wrapping up.For context:The Rebuild (Tahra's Substack).The Progress Chamber.Some of Tahra's Gen Z commentary.Tahra on X.
As I delve into the intricacies of Project 2025, a sense of profound change and potential upheaval in the U.S. federal government becomes increasingly clear. This initiative, spearheaded by conservative organizations and former Trump administration officials, aims to reshape the very fabric of American governance, centralizing executive power in ways that have sparked both fervent support and vehement opposition.At the heart of Project 2025 lies the unitary executive theory, an expansive interpretation of presidential power that seeks to place the entire executive branch under direct presidential control. This vision is championed by figures like Kevin Roberts, who advocates for all federal employees to answer directly to the president, eliminating the independence of critical agencies such as the Department of Justice, the FBI, the Federal Communications Commission, and the Federal Trade Commission[4].One of the most striking aspects of Project 2025 is its plan for the Department of State. Kiron Skinner, who authored the State Department chapter of the project, proposes dismissing all current leadership roles within the department before January 20, 2025. Skinner, who briefly headed the department's office of policy planning during the Trump administration, believes that most State Department employees are too left-wing and should be replaced with ideologically vetted leaders appointed to acting roles that do not require Senate confirmation. When questioned about instances where State Department employees obstructed Trump policies, Skinner admitted she could not name a single example[4].This radical overhaul is part of a broader "Mandate for Leadership," a 900-plus page policy playbook that outlines sweeping reforms across various federal agencies. For instance, Project 2025 suggests consolidating or eliminating programs like those managed by the Economic Development Administration (EDA), which has been instrumental in investing billions of dollars into transformative infrastructure projects. These investments have generated nearly $20 billion in private investment and created over 220,000 jobs. By dismantling such programs, Project 2025 could severely undermine the federal government's ability to invest in communities, potentially devastating working people, small businesses, and the overall health of the economy[5].The project also targets the data-collection capacities of key agencies. By consolidating the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau, and Bureau of Labor Statistics, Project 2025 would significantly impair the ability of these agencies to provide independent, partisan-free data. This data is crucial for businesses, researchers, and government organizations, and its manipulation could have far-reaching consequences for the economy. As the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics notes, their data is intentionally independent from partisan interests and is relied upon by a wide range of stakeholders[5].The implications of these changes are profound. If implemented, Project 2025 would not only centralize power in the White House but also fundamentally alter the relationship between the executive branch and other government agencies. This shift would align with a trend that has been building since the Reagan administration, where the Supreme Court has increasingly supported a stronger unitary executive, often backed by conservative justices and organizations like the Federalist Society and the Heritage Foundation[4].Critics argue that these proposals would have devastating consequences for workers and the broader public. The American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) warns that Project 2025 could lead to the termination of up to 1 million federal workers, dismantling essential agencies and disrupting critical government services[2].As we approach the potential implementation date of January 20, 2025, the stakes are high. The project's proponents see it as a necessary step to streamline government and align it more closely with conservative ideals. However, opponents view it as a dangerous erosion of checks and balances, threatening the independence of vital agencies and the integrity of data collection.Looking ahead, the next few months will be crucial. As the project's executive action proposals are tracked across 20 federal agencies, the public will gain a clearer picture of what these changes might mean in practice. The Center for Progressive Reform is already monitoring these developments, highlighting the potential devastating consequences for workers and the public[3].In the end, Project 2025 represents a pivotal moment in American governance, one that could redefine the balance of power within the federal government. Whether this initiative succeeds or fails, its impact will be felt for years to come, shaping the trajectory of U.S. policy and the lives of millions of Americans. As we navigate this uncertain landscape, it is imperative to remain vigilant, ensuring that the principles of democracy and the public interest are upheld.
For decades, the great fear was overpopulation. Now it's the opposite. How did this happen — and what's being done about it? (Part one of a three-part series, “Cradle to Grave.”) SOURCES:Matthias Doepke, professor of economics at the London School of Economics.Amy Froide, professor of history at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County.Diana Laird, professor of obstetrics and gynecology at the University of California, San Francisco.Catherine Pakaluk, professor of economics at The Catholic University of America. RESOURCES:"Fertility Rate, Total for the United States," (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2025)."Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021," (The Lancet, 2024)."Suddenly There Aren't Enough Babies. The Whole World Is Alarmed." by Greg Ip and Janet Adamy (The Wall Street Journal, 2024)."Taxing bachelors and proposing marriage lotteries – how superpowers addressed declining birthrates in the past," by Amy Froide (University of Maryland, 2021)."Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?" by Kasey Buckles, Daniel Hungerman, and Steven Lugauer (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2018).The King's Midwife: A History and Mystery of Madame du Coudray, by Nina Rattner Gelbart (1999).The Population Bomb, by Paul Ehrlich (1970)."An Economic Analysis of Fertility," by Gary Becker (National Bureau of Economic Research, 1960). EXTRAS:"What Will Be the Consequences of the Latest Prenatal-Testing Technologies?" by Freakonomics Radio (2011).
In our latest episode, our in-house VAT expert, James Hurst, shares some brief thoughts on recent VAT cases that caught his eye.For more information on this topic and more, please visit www.mercia-group.com for further details.
Africa Melane is joined by Thabile Nkunjana, a Senior Economist at The National Agricultural Marketing Council in Pretoria, to unpack the debate surrounding South Africa’s official unemployment rate, which sits at 32.9% for the first quarter of 2025. The conversation follows comments by Capitec CEO Gerrie Fourie, who claimed the true rate could be closer to 10% if informal and self-employed workers were properly counted. This claim has been strongly rejected by Stats SA. Presenter John Maytham is an actor and author-turned-talk radio veteran and seasoned journalist. His show serves a round-up of local and international news coupled with the latest in business, sport, traffic and weather. The host’s eclectic interests mean the program often surprises the audience with intriguing book reviews and inspiring interviews profiling artists. A daily highlight is Rapid Fire, just after 5:30pm. CapeTalk fans call in, to stump the presenter with their general knowledge questions. Another firm favourite is the humorous Thursday crossing with award-winning journalist Rebecca Davis, called “Plan B”. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Afternoon Drive with John Maytham Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 15:00 and 18:00 (SA Time) to Afternoon Drive with John Maytham broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/BSFy4Cn or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/n8nWt4x Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media: CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The latest AIB Market Talk is here, featuring an in depth look at the latest AIB Ireland PMI reports. In manufacturing, there's been a strong upturn in production, while in the services sector, prices continue to increase at a strong pace and the tourism sector has seen a slowdown. We also discuss the continued increase in both inflation and employment rates.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
This hour kicks off with a great discussion with Steve Moore on the efficacy of Trump's economic policy, then Dr. Jim Robbins joins to explain what effect Ukraine's drone attack could have on the peace talks.
Hurricane season begins on June 1st and runs through November 30th ; Kevin has the forecast/estimates of named storms and hurricanes and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell visited the White House for a meeting with President Trump on Thursday; Kevin has the details and offers his insights and opinion. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis revised the first quarter Gross Domestic Product; Kevin has the details, revisits the factors that went into the previous estimate, puts the information into perspective. The U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details and offers his perspective. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Thursday. released its Pending Home Sales Index: Kevin discusses the numbers and offers his perspective. Oil reacts to ongoing talks between Iran and the U.S. to rein in Iran's nuclear activities, a U.S. court blocking President Trump's tariffs, the possibility that OPEC+ could hike crude oil output, falling U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillates inventories.
Hurricane season begins on June 1st and runs through November 30th ; Kevin has the forecast/estimates of named storms and hurricanes and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell visited the White House for a meeting with President Trump on Thursday; Kevin has the details and offers his insights and opinion. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis revised the first quarter Gross Domestic Product; Kevin has the details, revisits the factors that went into the previous estimate, puts the information into perspective. The U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details and offers his perspective. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Thursday. released its Pending Home Sales Index: Kevin discusses the numbers and offers his perspective. Oil reacts to ongoing talks between Iran and the U.S. to rein in Iran's nuclear activities, a U.S. court blocking President Trump's tariffs, the possibility that OPEC+ could hike crude oil output, falling U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillates inventories.
AIB's Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Jonathan Weir discuss the latest macro-economic outlook for the Irish economy, resilience in the consumer and labour market outlooks and geopolitical risks to growth. Read the full economic the outlook on the AIB FX centre hereVisit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
AIB's Senior Economist John Fahey and AIB Treasury's Ed Wilson discuss the latest on interest rates, central bank positions and the waiting game for implications of trades tensions on the global economy. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
AIB's Chief Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Sarah McGinley discuss the latest AIB Ireland PMI reports including the slowing service sector, weakening services economic outlook, rising input cost inflation and economic impacts of international trade tensions. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
In this week's episode, our investment experts explore three major themes from the week: negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation, and the labor market. We discuss how these factors affect equity and bond markets, and overall sentiment regarding the economy. We also consider if the relatively positive news from this week continues into the weeks and months ahead, or if the full negative impact of tariffs will make for a sobering summer. 01:51 – The advance estimate for the first quarter of 2025 real gross domestic product showed a 0.3% decrease, signaling the first negative quarter since early 2022. 03:02 – The Bureau of Economic Analysis released favorable data on PCE inflation, which was relatively flat month-over-month, and showed year-over-year growth of 2.3%, which was lower than both January and February. 03:57 – The labor market has a cautiously optimistic outlook based on this week's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, weekly unemployment claims, and better-than-expected growth in new nonfarm payrolls, which gave the markets a bump this morning. 09:13 – Expectations of an early rate cut in June from the Federal Reserve are falling as a result of the positive jobs report. Bond investors feel that future employment reports will be less optimistic, and are thus buying on the dip. 11:36 – Changing tax policy will likely be making news soon, especially on the question of tax-exempt status for universities, though existing bonds are unlikely to be affected. 14:09 – Equity markets hit a 20-day high following a handful of better-than-expected earnings reports this week, mostly from the technology sector. 15:34 – Volatility continues to decline from recent highs, and credit markets appear healthy as evidenced by tightening BBB versus BB credit spreads. Additional ResourcesKey Questions: What Is the Mar-a-Lago Accord and Why Should Investors Care? | Key Private BankKey Questions: Do Cracks in the Credit Markets Mean US Corporates' Financial Health Has Cracked? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
Who stands to be the biggest loser if free trade starts to unwind? Who stands to gain? Chief Market Strategist Troy A. Gayeski, CFA dives into his latest strategy note on how investors can respond to tariff-induced volatility. Troy joins Content Strategist Harrison Beck to outline his framework for understanding the current, trade war-inflected environment. He examines what a “Galactic Mean Reversion” means for equities, how U.S. consumer and bank strength is challenging recession narratives and how investors can prepare for what may come next. “The thing to remember is that pockets of dislocation and uncertainty are often where you find your best investment opportunities.” –Troy A. GayeskiResources:The Galactic Mean Reversion Part II: Trade wars are not good for S&P 500 profit margins Domestic resilience in vogue amid selloffHave a question for our experts? Text us for a chance to have your questions answered on the next episode.To watch the video version, go to https://www.youtube.com/@FSInvestments For more research insights go to FSInvestments.com https://bit.ly/m/fsinvestments
The U.S. Commerce Department reported the 1st Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data; Kevin has the details, digs into the report, offers a historic perspective and his insights. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index; Kevin reviews the report and explains how this might affect the Federal Reserve interest rate cut decision. ADP reported Private sector job growth; Kevin has all the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to the economic news, crude oil inventory numbers and geopolitical events.
President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that Americans should be patient in the face of a first quarter economic contraction, arguing that his tariffs would eventually lead to a boom in the U.S. economy. The economy declined by 0.3 percent in the first quarter, down from the 2.4 percent expansion in the previous quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said in a statement. Trump wrote on Truth Social: "This will take a while, has NOTHING TO DO WITH TARIFFS, only that he left us with bad numbers, but when the boom begins, it will be like no other. BEPATIENT!!!"Ukraine and the United States could sign a minerals deal within the next 24 hours after the final details are worked out, Ukraine's prime minister said on Wednesday. The reworked agreement has become a "real partnership deal," which could consider future U.S. aid as part of contributions to the fund, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said in televised remarks.
In his return to office, President Donald Trump has intensified the use of tariffs as a central instrument of U.S. trade policy. Recent measures have expanded tariffs on strategic imports, particularly from China, and continued the application of steel and aluminum tariffs under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, as well as broader sanctions under Section 301 investigations into intellectual property practices. These policies have been positioned as efforts to protect national industries, reduce trade deficits, and bolster American economic sovereignty, while also signaling a more assertive U.S. approach to global commerce. Despite these intentions, the structure and execution of these tariff measures have introduced volatility into global markets. Empirical analyses indicate that while select domestic sectors have experienced short-term benefits, overall economic costs—including higher input prices, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners, and dampened investment—have offset many of the perceived gains. International institutions such as the IMF and WTO have linked prolonged tariff conflicts to downward revisions in global growth projections. Financial markets, in turn, have exhibited heightened sensitivity to tariff escalations, reflecting broader uncertainty about the sustainability of current trade policies. This episode examines the evolving nature of American trade strategy: What distinguishes short-term political signaling from durable economic policymaking? How have Trump's tariffs reshaped global supply chains, investor confidence, and the strategic positioning of U.S. industries? And as financial markets demand greater predictability and resilience, what future pathways could be pursued to align tariff and fiscal policy with long-term competitiveness and global stability? Our special guest this week is Professor Walid Hejazi. Professor Hejazi is the Academic Director of Executive Programs and Professor of International Business, Economic Analysis, and Policy at the Rotman School of Management at the University of Toronto. He is also a Fellow at the Michael Lee-Chin Family Institute for Corporate Citizenship and serves on the Board of Directors of the David & Sharon Johnston Centre for Corporate Governance Innovation. Over the course of his career, Professor Hejazi has advised private-sector firms and collaborated extensively with Canadian and international governments on foreign investment and international trade strategy. He has testified before parliamentary and senate committees, taught extensively in Rotman's MBA, EMBA, and executive education programs, and delivered lectures in over 30 countries worldwide. His research focuses on the intersection of global competitiveness, trade dynamics, and strategic economic policy, making his insights particularly timely for today's conversation. Join us as we delve into the consequences of tariff-driven protectionism, the gaps in America's current trade approach, and what more sustainable, market-stabilizing policies could look like in the years ahead. Produced by: Julia Brahy
- Economic Analysis and Gold Market Predictions (0:00) - Special Reports and Chemtrails Findings (2:22) - Behind the Scenes at Brighton Studios (5:58) - New Golden Rule and Humanitarian Stance (8:24) - NIH Funding and Israel Boycott (16:44) - Economic Impact of Trump's Tariffs (19:29) - Game Theory and China's Economic Strategy (26:25) - Global Crop Failures and Upcoming Famine (58:45) - Bright Learn Book Review: "Jabbed" by Brett Wilcox (59:05) - Promotion of Health Ranger Store Products (1:10:05) - Economic Impact of Last-Minute Orders from Southeast Asia (1:18:21) - Chinese Domestic Market Tensions and Unemployment (1:25:18) - Impact of COVID-19 and Future Economic Collapse (1:27:44) - Global Crop Losses and Their Economic Implications (1:28:14) - Interconnected Economic and Environmental Factors (1:38:46) - Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Their Consequences (1:39:03) - Regional Crop Losses and Their Impact on Food Security (1:50:53) - Global Nationalism and Its Impact on Trade (2:00:01) - Preparation for Future Economic Challenges (2:17:25) - Conclusion and Call to Action (2:17:36) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
Let us know your thoughts. Send us a Text Message. Follow me to see #HeadsTalk Podcast Audiograms every Monday on LinkedInEpisode Title:
Fred Carstensen is a Professor of Finance and Economics and the Director of The Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, School of Business at UCONN. He discusses the impact of the tariffs and where we go from here.
AIB's Chief Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Jonathan Weir discuss the latest news on tariffs, impacts on global trade and economies and key upcoming information releases to keep an eye on.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
9:00 to 10:00Nick Bennette, Chair of the Vermont Trails and Greenways Council and E.D. of the Vermont Mountain Bike Association, and Abby Long, E.D. of Kingdom Trails, economic value of recreation trails and the need to recognize the landowners who provide recreation on their property. Vermont's outdoor recreation economy continues to grow, bringing $2.1 billion annually, which amounts to 4.8% of State GDP, according to 2023 US Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10:00 to 11:00Former Burlington Police Chief Jon MuradReflections of being Burlington Chief, repeat offenders, recruitment in an age of defunding and what's ahead.
In this episode of Uncommon Sense with Ginny Robinson, I'm giving my take (to the best of my ability—because I'm not a tariff expert and neither are most of the people chiming in right now) on Trump's gutsy new tariff move. It's the one that's got half the country cheering and the other half clutching their pearls. While the media yells “economic suicide,” I'm here to suggest that this strategy might actually work—but not overnight. We'll talk about the possibility of long-term gain, the reality of short-term discomfort, and the cultural obsession with instant results when what's often required is patience. I will also go over our collective short attention spans and why longer attention spans are needed for understanding complex issues like this. Every answer won't fit in a 15 second soundbite. At the end of the day, we'll have to pray, wait, and see. Some of the smartest plays take time to unfold.—https://noblegoldinvestments.com/learn/gold-and-silver-guide/?utm_campaign=21243613394&utm_source=g&utm_medium=cpc&utm_content=&utm_term=noble%20gold&seg_aprod=&ad_id=698073353663&oid=2&affid=1&utm_source=google&affiliate_source=googleads_brand_bmbc&utm_term=noble%20gold&gad_source=1&gbraid=0AAAAADQ2DzJSJ_mi5cJo8dO2FNUs7uNy-&gclid=CjwKCAjwktO_BhBrEiwAV70jXtjSCyioSM2Hz1McTAlR3f8t3KCDDN3-XBWLaIzwJmiEGe0ztxIk5RoCnM0QAvD_BwE
The conversation covers a range of topics including the implications of a potential trade war, national security concerns related to supply chains, public health issues and future pandemics, recent legislation affecting parental rights, human trafficking and immigration policies, media manipulation in politics, and an analysis of economic impacts and tariff debates.
Feel like you've failed at saving money? You're not alone—and you're not broken. In this episode, Steve, The Get Out of Debt Guy, shares how saving money has changed over the decades and how the system is wired to keep you spending. But here's the good news: you can still build real savings—without pain, guilt, or spreadsheets.
AIB's Chief Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Jason Rehill discuss the latest AIB Ireland PMI reports including the positive picture for manufacturing despite looming threats, very strong growth in services, the market reactions following the US tariff announcements and how tariffs might impact Irish industries.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the U.S. Consumer Confidence report, GDP, PCE inflation, equities, the credit market, and municipal bonds. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of EquitiesTim McDonough, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management03:20 – The Conference Board's U.S. Consumer Confidence report was released and showed a decline in overall consumer confidence due to factors such as the stock market, inflation, and others03:58 – The final estimate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter 2024 was reported at 2.4%, slightly revised up from prior estimates 04:41 – The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Core PCE inflation at 0.4% month-over-month in February, as well as 2.8% year-over-year, both unfavorable06:11 – Comments on the equities market and how the market's volatility is influencing investors' thinking surrounding trades11:31 – Though the recent PCE inflation report was less than favorable, the credit markets, investment grade and high yield bond spreads don't seem to be adversely affected by the reading, as of now15:22 – Remarks on the municipal bond market and changing dynamics of yield opportunities for investorsAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: How Much Tech Do You Really Own? | Key Private BankKey Questions: How Do We Invest in Tech? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
Register free at https://brightu.com to watch the full Prepare Tribe stream - Breakthrough in AI and AI Engine Capabilities (0:00) - Interview with Alex Mitchell and Prepare Tribe Docu Series (0:45) - Enoch AI Engine's Capabilities and Predictions (3:17) - Public Access and Future Plans for Enoch AI Engine (14:40) - Financial and Economic Predictions (34:12) - Global Political and Economic Analysis (34:36) - Prepare Tribe Docu Series and Personal Preparedness (1:02:53) - Book Reviews and Additional Resources (1:09:14) - Final Thoughts and Call to Action (1:24:46) - Support and Introduction to the Ark Seed Company (1:25:26) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. That number tells us where the economy was headed coming into this year. But with uncertainty surrounding tariffs, that story has taken a turn. Plus, how sinking credit scores caused by student loan delinquencies could hurt the overall economy, and the dramatic rise in modern-day train heists.
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. That number tells us where the economy was headed coming into this year. But with uncertainty surrounding tariffs, that story has taken a turn. Plus, how sinking credit scores caused by student loan delinquencies could hurt the overall economy, and the dramatic rise in modern-day train heists.
Is the real estate market headed for a knockout? Logan Mohtashami, the renowned housing market analyst, returns to deliver his insights. In this episode, we unpack the impact of tariffs, the volatility of the market, and the crucial labor data that predicts a recession. Logan also shares his optimistic outlook for 2025 and the factors influencing mortgage rates and housing demand. Get ready for a data-driven deep dive into the forces shaping the future of residential real estate. Connect with Logan on - LinkedIn - YouTube. And check out his page on HousingWire. Follow this link for the article and tracker mentioned in the show: https://www.housingwire.com/articles/lower-mortgage-rates-spark-housing-demand-heading-into-spring/ Follow Real Estate Insiders Unfiltered Podcast on Instagram - YouTube - Facebook - TikTok. Visit us online at realestateinsidersunfiltered.com. Link to Facebook Page: https://www.facebook.com/RealEstateInsidersUnfiltered Link to Instagram Page: https://www.instagram.com/realestateinsiderspod/ Link to YouTube Page: https://www.youtube.com/@RealEstateInsidersUnfiltered Link to TikTok Page: https://www.tiktok.com/@realestateinsiderspod This podcast is produced by Two Brothers Creative.
Current green coffee prices are unprecedented in nominal dollars.The term 'unprecedented' can create unnecessary uncertainty.Inflation must be considered when discussing coffee prices.Historical prices show that coffee has survived similar challenges.The average price of green coffee has often run contrary to other costs.Specialty coffee roasters often fail to raise prices appropriately.Consumers have different price expectations for coffee compared to other goods.The coffee market has experienced significant price fluctuations historically.Understanding inflation is crucial for coffee industry stakeholders.Coffee has a history of resilience despite market challenges. Written Version of this Blog Visit and Explore Covoya! TAKE OUT LISTENER SURVEY
AIB's Senior Economist John Fahey and AIB Treasury's Jane Kavanagh discuss the latest global market updates including:Interest rate expectations from Central Banks Tariff and trade policy impacts on the DollarEuro boosted by Eurozone news flowThe resilience of SterlingVisit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
This week on Economic Update, Professor Wolff delivers updates on the firing of government workers by Trump/Musk with an economic analysis showing it to be an attack on the U.S. working class followed by a discussion of Trump's foreign policy of turning against Europe as merely an adjustment to an "American Capitalism First" project that is as old as the U.S. The second half of the show, features an interview with U.S. federal employee Colin Smalley, a sixteen-year member of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and an IFPTE union member who discusses how and why workers are fighting back. The d@w Team Economic Update with Richard D. Wolff is a DemocracyatWork.info Inc. production. We make it a point to provide the show free of ads and rely on viewer support to continue doing so. You can support our work by joining our Patreon community: https://www.patreon.com/democracyatwork Or you can go to our website: https://www.democracyatwork.info/donate Every donation counts and helps us provide a larger audience with the information they need to better understand the events around the world they can't get anywhere else. We want to thank our devoted community of supporters who help make this show and others we produce possible each week.1:01 We kindly ask you to also support the work we do by encouraging others to subscribe to our YouTube channel and website: www.democracyatwork.info
AIB's Chief Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Sarah McGinley discuss the latest AIB Ireland PMI reports, the outlook for the Irish manufacturing and services sectors and the impacts of Storm Éowyn on the Irish economy.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick indicated potential changes in GDP reporting to separate government spending from GDP figures. This decision follows concerns about spending cuts promoted by Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency, which may lead to an economic downturn. Lutnick highlighted historical manipulation of GDP figures and aims to clarify this distinction for transparency. Musk contended that excluding government spending from GDP would provide a more accurate economic assessment. This shift could obscure the effects of spending cuts on job losses, particularly among federal workers. Lutnick noted the Trump administration's perspective downplays contributions from government programs like Social Security and infrastructure. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a 2.3% economic growth rate driven by consumer spending and increased federal defense-related spending. Government spending represented nearly 20% of personal income in 2024, exceeding $24.6 trillion. The administration plans to balance the federal budget through spending cuts, aiming to enhance economic growth and lower consumer interest rates.Learn more on this news visit us at: https://greyjournal.net/news/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode, Peter St Onge joins us to explore key topics affecting government efficiency and the economy. He delves into the role of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), discussing how it can optimize public services and improve economic outcomes. St Onge also provides valuable insights into the current state of inflation, examining its causes and consequences on both the domestic and global levels. Additionally, he covers the topic of tariffs, exploring how trade policies impact economies and the ongoing debate about their relationship to income tax. Tune in for a thought-provoking conversation about crucial issues shaping our financial systems and public policy.
SUMMARYIn this special Valentine's Day episode of "Right About Now," host Ryan Alford and co-host Chris Hansen explore the economic implications of the holiday. They discuss consumer spending trends, noting that Americans are expected to spend billions on gifts, dining, and experiences. The conversation also touches on broader business news, including tariffs and inflation. Additionally, they delve into the impact of the Super Bowl on advertising revenue and share personal anecdotes about sports card collecting. The episode combines humor, insightful analysis, and practical advice, making it a compelling listen for those interested in the intersection of business and culture.TAKEAWAYSEconomic implications of Valentine's Day in 2025Consumer spending trends related to Valentine's DayStatistics on average household spending for the holidayPopular gifts and dining habits associated with Valentine's DayImpact of Valentine's Day on local businesses and retailUnique and unconventional celebration ideas for Valentine's DayBroader business news, including tariffs and U.S.-China trade relationsDiscussion on inflation and interest rates in the current economic climateSuper Bowl viewership and its advertising revenue impactThe intersection of consumer spending, economic trends, and cultural events If you enjoyed this episode and want to learn more, join Ryan's newsletter https://ryanalford.com/newsletter/ to get Ferrari level advice daily for FREE. Learn how to build a 7 figure business from your personal brand by signing up for a FREE introduction to personal branding https://ryanalford.com/personalbranding. Learn more by visiting our website at www.ryanisright.comSubscribe to our YouTube channel www.youtube.com/@RightAboutNowwithRyanAlford.
Mike Switzer interviews Frank Hefner, Director of the Office of Economic Analysis and Professor of Economics at the College of Charleston.
According to the PCE price index — a measure of inflation out Friday morning from the Bureau of Economic Analysis — prices in December rose three-tenths of 1%. That is the highest monthly change since April of last year. Some of that is due to the fact that energy prices have crept up. But if you take energy out of the equation, and food too, annual inflation has been sitting around 2.7 or 2.8% since July. Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial, joins us to discuss. Plus, a look at consumer spending on durable goods and how OPEC+ will respond to Trump’s call for increased oil production.
According to the PCE price index — a measure of inflation out Friday morning from the Bureau of Economic Analysis — prices in December rose three-tenths of 1%. That is the highest monthly change since April of last year. Some of that is due to the fact that energy prices have crept up. But if you take energy out of the equation, and food too, annual inflation has been sitting around 2.7 or 2.8% since July. Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial, joins us to discuss. Plus, a look at consumer spending on durable goods and how OPEC+ will respond to Trump’s call for increased oil production.
Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Tom Pappenfus Dave Sandstrom (with Max Hoelzl, Joel Dresang, engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (Jan. 27-31) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday The Commerce Department reported a 4% gain in the annual rate of new home sales in December. Sales were up almost 7% from the year before and just below where they were heading into the COVID-19 pandemic. For perspective, the pace of sales - 698,000 a year – was half the peak rate in mid-2005 and represented about one-seventh of all home sales. The median sales price rose 2% from the year before to $427,000. Tuesday The Commerce Department said durable goods orders declined again in December, the fourth setback in five months, led by commercial aircraft. Compared to the year before, long-lasting factory orders were down 1.5% after shrinking 2.2% for the month. Excluding transportation equipment, orders rose 0.3% and were up 1.4% from the end of 2023. A proxy for business investment gained 0.5% from November and was up 0.6% from December 2023. Housing prices increased again in November, rising 3.8% from the year before, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national index. The gain compared to a 3.6% year-to-year advance in October, marking the first acceleration in nine months. Since 1988, the average 12-month increase had been 2.7%, although it averaged 5.2% since 2000. Housing costs continued to outpace overall inflation, which reached 2.9% in December, based on the Consumer Price Index. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index declined in December for the second month in a row, keeping toward the lower end of a sideways range that began in 2022. The business research group said its gauge sank broadly from November, led by a drop in attitudes toward labor conditions. Consumer responses avoided a measure historically tied to impending recession. Economists follow consumer confidence because consumer spending drives 70% of U.S. economic activity. Wednesday No major releases Thursday The U.S. economy grew at an annual pace of 2.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 3.1% in the previous three months. The Bureau of Economic Analysis said the deceleration in gross domestic product was led largely by a drop in business investments. Consumer spending rose at a 4.2% annual rate, the fastest since the first quarter of 2023. Government spending and a decrease in imports also boosted fourth-quarter growth. Also slowing: Inventories, federal spending and residential spending. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 and adjusting for inflation, GDP rose 2.5% in 2024, down from 3.8% the year before. The four-week moving average for initial unemployment claims fell for the fourth time in five weeks. The average was 41% below the all-time average dating back to 1967. The Labor Department said 2.2 million Americans claimed jobless benefits in the latest week, down more than 1% from the week before but 9% higher than the same time in 2023. An early indicator of home sales declined in December after four months of gains. The National Association of Realtors' index of pending home sales dropped 5.5% from November and was down 5% from December 2023. The trade group said more home buyers are using cash, partly offsetting the deterrent of relatively high mortgage rates. At 74.2, the index of pending sales was more than 25% below what the association considers normal sales volume at the current population level. Friday The Bureau of Economic Analysis said consumer spending jumped 0.7% in December, the most since March and outpacing a 0.4% increase in personal income. Consumer spending is the driving force in gross domestic product, so the gain was another sign of economic resilience. The personal consumption expenditures index, which the Federal Reserve Board follows for inflation, rose 2.6% from December 2023,
On this week's What in the World, A'ndre chatted with Tahra Jirari, Director of Economic Analysis at the Chamber of Progress, on the devastating 2025 wildfires in Los Angeles and the urgent need for systemic reform. A'ndre and Tahra talked about the unprecedented scale of destruction caused by the wildfires, and why Tahra believes they have been exacerbated by regulatory hurdles, housing policies, and insufficient wildfire prevention efforts. Tahra explained how frameworks like the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and other regulations have inadvertently slowed crucial wildfire prevention projects, contributing to the crisis. Tahra outlined some of her policy recommendations, emphasizing the need for reforms to CEQA, fire-resistant construction mandates, and proactive wildfire prevention programs to address the growing risks. She also explored why urban neighborhoods tend to be more fire-resistant than suburban areas, the role of housing policy in pushing development into high-risk zones, and the implications of Proposition 103 for California's insurance market. Tahra advocated for an Operation Warp Speed-style initiative to tackle the wildfire crisis in Los Angeles, integrating innovative solutions and regulatory reforms to build long-term resilience.You can read Tahra's Medium op-ed, where she outlines her recommendations, here.
Connect with the Onramp team Ralph Gebran on X Onramp MENA New Frontier Podcast The Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin native, interactive podcast covering where Bitcoin and traditional finance meet on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Brian Cubellis, and a special weekly guest host. Join us as we dive into what Bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, and propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset - in the digital age, it's the Last Trade that investors will ever need to make. 00:00 - Introduction to Ralph Gebran 05:34 - The Economic Collapse in Lebanon 10:22 - Economic Analysis, West vs. East 12:11 - A Message From Onramp 12:54 - Realities of Fiat Currency Debasement 16:22 - Life in the UAE: Infrastructure & Innovation 21:11 - Bitcoin Adoption & Regulatory Environment in the UAE 26:11 - Competition & Sovereign Game Theory 46:03 - The Evolving Landscape of Money 52:31 - Bitcoin's Emergent Role in Geopolitics 57:41 - Institutional Adoption & Financialization of Bitcoin 01:03:24 - Active vs. Passive Investment Strategies 01:18:30 - Single Point of Failure of the Week 01:24:24 - Outro Please subscribe to Onramp Media channels and sign up for weekly Research & Analysis to get access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.
New federal data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis found that Oregon’s outdoor industry continued to see growth last year, earning more than $8 billion. Kate Porche is the director for Oregon State University’s Center for the Outdoor Recreation Economy. Randy Rosenberger is an economics professor in OSU's department of forestry. They both join us to break down the growth the industry has seen and what its future may look like.
It all depends on how much consumers are willing or able to spend, and how much retailers are willing or able to discount. Some years the discounting is deeper, and this is expected to be one of those years. While disposable income rose last month, people put a little more of it into savings. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that consumer spending, while still growing, slowed down last month. So shoppers are being a bit more careful in how they spend this holiday season.
It all depends on how much consumers are willing or able to spend, and how much retailers are willing or able to discount. Some years the discounting is deeper, and this is expected to be one of those years. While disposable income rose last month, people put a little more of it into savings. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that consumer spending, while still growing, slowed down last month. So shoppers are being a bit more careful in how they spend this holiday season.
Jay Parsons dissects the complex dynamics of rent control policies and reveals why they may actually hurt the very people they aim to protect. From the supply-and-demand equation to strategies for creating affordable housing solutions, this conversation sheds light on the factors shaping today's rental market. If you're an investor, landlord, or simply curious about the rental housing market, this episode is packed with insights on navigating today's economic challenges.Chapters:00:00 - Introduction 01:03 - The Rent Control Debate: Economists' Perspectives 03:34 - Building More vs. Rent Control 11:13 - Affordable Housing in High-Cost Areas 17:35 - Foreclosures and Debt Distress in Multifamily Real Estate 28:08 - Risks in Tertiary Markets and Asset Quality 30:52 - Advice for LPs and Investors in Today's Market 35:31 - Build-to-Rent: Jay's Thoughts on This Growing Sector 45:02 - Supply Forecast: When Will More Deals Hit the Market?Follow Jay Parsons on LinkedIn for more thought-provoking data and analysis on the housing market. We're here to help create multifamily entrepreneurs... Here's how: Brand New? Start Here: https://jakeandgino.mykajabi.com/free-wheelbarrowprofits Want To Get Into Multifamily Real Estate Or Scale Your Current Portfolio Faster? Apply to join our PREMIER MULTIFAMILY INVESTING COMMUNITY & MENTORSHIP PROGRAM. (*Note: Our community is not for beginner investors)
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The green new scam is not working the way the people thought it was going to work, Jersey cannot find anyone to make the windmill blades. RFK Jr brings the Federal Reserve into focus, people are now learning the truth about the Fed. Restructure is coming. Elon sends a message that this is not just another 4 year election, if the people do not take back the country it is over. The darkness that people are feeling is the enemy losing. Sometimes you need to walk through the darkness to reach the light. Trump is letting the [DS] players know that he will prosecute each and everyone of them, and he would like to go back the previous election and prosecute those who helped overthrow the US government. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy Jersey Shore Wind Power Project Stalls After Having A "Hard Time" Finding Someone To Manufacture Turbine Blades one project is having "a hard time finding someone to manufacture blades for its turbines", local radio station NJ 101.5 reported this week. We guess when you focus too much on green virtue signaling and ignore the fact that the country doesn't produce or manufacture anything anymore, there's eventually consequences. The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities has granted Leading Light Wind a pause on its offshore wind project until Dec. 20, as the developers struggle to secure necessary turbine components, the report says. Source: zerohedge.com MF: Carbon Taxes Hurt The Poor; Also The IMF: We Need A Global Carbon Tax The IMF's “Chart of the Week” just dropped, promising a glimpse into how carbon taxes can be “less regressive”, “socially fair” and “economically efficient”. Citing a new research paper, the chart of the week comes from research findings that carbon taxes inordinately penalize the poors, “lower-income groups are affected disproportionately, because they spend a smaller share of their expenditure on products that benefit from exemptions than their higher-income counterparts.” The paper is called Distributional Impacts of Heterogenous Carbon Prices in the EU and looked at European countries, however, the findings around the discrepancy apply anywhere – why? Carbon taxes aren't uniform across all countries, and aren't uniformly applied across all industries – and that leaves differentials and gaps that the IMF claims are being exploited by rich people to the exclusion of low income households. The solution? A global carbon tax. “Therefore, imposing uniform carbon prices both within and across countries would reduce carbon pricing regressivity on household expenditure in the EU” Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1839776574784016495 18% of consumers believe that jobs are “hard to get," the largest share in 4 years. Such deterioration has never occurred outside of recessions. This comes as hiring has declined at the fastest pace since 2008, excluding the pandemic crash. The US job market is turning. Mystery Of Upward GDP Revision Solved: You Are All $500 Billion Richer Now According To A Revised Biden Admin Spreadsheet Bureau of Economic Analysis released the final estimate of Q2 GDP data: as part of the release, Biden's Dept of Commerce run by Gina Raimondo, which also runs the BEA, reported that GDP in since 2020 had been revised markedly higher (with the exception of H2 2023) ... ... even though banks such as Goldman warned of, and expected, a significantly negative revision to historical GDP numbe...