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Join host Sarah McGinley from AIB Treasury and AIB Chief Economist David McNamara for the latest PMIs edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they unpack the latest AIB Ireland Manufacturing and Services PMI data for October, exploring:Why services sector activity has rebounded to its strongest level this year, and what's driving the surgeThe shift in manufacturing trends, with growth easing after a strong start to 2025Insights into export markets, including the impact of weaker demand in Europe and ongoing tariff uncertaintiesSector highlights: robust growth in business, financial, and technology services, and the evolving role of AI in employment trendsForward-looking business sentiment and what the latest PMI figures signal for Ireland's economic outlookVisit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Mike Switzer interviews Frank Hefner, Director Office of Economic Analysis and Professor of Economics at the College of Charleston.
Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Art Rothschild Steve Giles (with Max Hoelzl, Joel Dresang, engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (Oct. 27-31, 2025) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday An indicator of demand for manufactured products, the Commerce Department's report on durable goods orders, was unavailable because of the federal government shutdown. Tuesday Housing prices continued slowing in August, according to the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller national home price index. The measure showed a 1.5% year-to-year gain in residential prices, the lowest in more than two years and below the overall inflation rate for the fourth straight month. An S&P analyst said the housing market has been trying to find a sustainable equilibrium following its post-pandemic boom. He added, "(H)omeowners are watching their real equity erode while buyers face the dual challenge of elevated prices and high borrowing costs." The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index moved sideways in October. The index dipped slightly from September with lower expectations offsetting consumers' marginally higher opinion of the present situation. The business research group said pessimism about the future continued to suggest an impending recession for the ninth month in a row. Prices and inflation remained the top concerns among survey respondents. Mentions of tariffs declined from earlier surveys but stayed elevated. Some consumers expressed dismay about the federal government shutdown. Wednesday The National Association of Realtors said its pending home sales index was unchanged in September and down 0.9% from the year before. The trade association said lower mortgage rates and increased wealth effect – from record-high stock prices and elevated home values – could not overcome apparent softening in the job market. The pending sales index remained more than 25% below its 2001 base, which the Realtors consider a normal level of sales activity. As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee lowered short-term lending rates by one quarter of a percentage point for the second time in six weeks. The Federal Reserve Board's policy-making body said continued consideration of slowing labor markets prompted it to loosen monetary control, though it also expressed reluctance to lower rates while inflation stayed above the long-term target of 2%. The September Consumer Price Index showed broad inflation rising at a 3% annual rate, although more complete data reports have been curtailed by the federal government shutdown. Thursday The broadest measure of U.S. economic output, the quarterly report on gross domestic product, was not available from the Bureau of Economic Analysis because of the federal government shutdown. The GDP report includes the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditure index. The Labor Department's report on initial unemployment insurance claims was not available for the fifth week in a row because of the federal government shutdown. Friday The Bureau of Economic Analysis did not release its consumer spending report for September because of the federal government shutdown. Market Closings for the Week Nasdaq – 23725, up 520 points or 2.2% Standard & Poor's 500 – 6840, up 49 points or 0.7% Dow Jones Industrial – 47563, up 356 points or 0.8% 10-year U.S. Treasury Note – 4.10%, down 0.10 point
With the government shutdown delaying the Bureau of Economic Analysis' third quarter GDP estimate, economists turn to Fed models and private analysts. The verdict? The estimates vary but generally indicate that growth was positive, crediting business investment and consumer spending. Also in this episode: What private sector data says about the job market, why homebuyers are still waiting on the sidelines, and how banks are managing commercial real estate amid high office vacancy.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
With the government shutdown delaying the Bureau of Economic Analysis' third quarter GDP estimate, economists turn to Fed models and private analysts. The verdict? The estimates vary but generally indicate that growth was positive, crediting business investment and consumer spending. Also in this episode: What private sector data says about the job market, why homebuyers are still waiting on the sidelines, and how banks are managing commercial real estate amid high office vacancy.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
David Cooper, Director of the Economic Analysis and Research Network at the Economic Policy Institute, joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to discuss the Trump administration's efforts to dismantle worker protections across federal agencies, the elimination of minimum wage standards for domestic workers and federal contractors and the need for states to establish their own enforcement mechanisms. Matt Biggs, President of the International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers (IFPTE), joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to discuss the ongoing government shutdown's impact on federal workers, the union's legal challenges to executive orders stripping collective bargaining rights and the bipartisan legislative efforts to protect workers' rights.
This episode of bLine, heads to Te Whanganui a Tara for Tu Māia ki Te Ao: The Future of Democracy Forum, run by MakeIt16 and the New Zealand Centre for Global Studies. Aimed at discussing the various challenges that democracy has faced and what potential solutions could look like, the event featured a range of panels and workshops with various experts, politicians, and activists. This week we discuss the various struggles that democracy is facing in Aotearoa and what we can do to build a better system for the future. Thanks to all of our guests, MakeIt16 national coordinators Sanat and Caeden, research director at the Institute for Democratic and Economic Analysis, Max Rashbrooke, general manager of YouthLaw Aotearoa, Darryn Aitchison, and Associate Professor of Politics at Te Herenga a Waka Victoria University of Wellington, Lara Greaves. Thank you also to the New Zealand Centre for Global Studies and MakeIt16 for organising the forum. Happy listening!
Join host Mark McKevitt from AIB's Customer Treasury Team and AIB Senior Economist John Fahey for the October Market Moves edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they break down the latest developments in the financial markets, including:Recent shifts in the euro, dollar, and yen, and the drivers behind currency movementsThe impact of political events, such as the resignation of the French Prime Minister and leadership changes in JapanWhat to expect from the upcoming UK and Eurozone budgets, and their implications for fiscal sustainabilityCentral bank outlooks: ECB, Bank of England, and US Federal Reserve rate expectations for the coming monthsKey forecasts for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP through year-end and into 2026 Whether you're a business leader, investor, or simply interested in market trends, this episode offers clear, expert insights to help you stay informed.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Tonight on The Brian Crombie Hour, join Brian for a powerful and eye-opening conversation with Paul Smetanin, President and CEO of the Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis. Paul introduces the concept of “Ponzinomics” — his term for how Canada has treated infrastructure spending as a political prop rather than a long-term economic necessity. He explains how decades of under-planning and short-term announcement politics have left our country worse off than Mexico when it comes to infrastructure certainty, costing us $600 billion in lost economic potential.Together they explore why housing starts are at a 30-year low and what this means for young Canadians, how infrastructure delays can erase up to $144 billion in potential benefits, and why housing in Ontario is uniquely taxed at 36% of its value. They even touch on what systemic changes from a national infrastructure plan to multi-year funding and transparent ledgers could turn things around. Don't miss this candid discussion on why Canada's infrastructure and housing crisis is a matter of intergenerational fairness and how we can start fixing it.
Join Joanne McCabe and Chief Economist David McNamara as they break down the latest AIB Irish Manufacturing and Services PMI data. The pair discuss key trends in sector growth, export dynamics, employment shifts, and the impact of global events on Ireland's economy. Listen to our Treasury team as they talk insights into the resilience of Irish business as we enter the final quarter of 2025, with a spotlight on standout sectors and the outlook for the months ahead.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
John Maytham speaks to Dr Don Ross | Head of the School of Society, Politics & Ethics at University College Cork; Professor in the School of Economics at the University of Cape Town; and Program Director at the Center for the Economic Analysis of Risk, Georgia State University — to unpack why he and others are calling the planned cull in Madikwe an atrocity in the making. Presenter John Maytham is an actor and author-turned-talk radio veteran and seasoned journalist. His show serves a round-up of local and international news coupled with the latest in business, sport, traffic and weather. The host’s eclectic interests mean the program often surprises the audience with intriguing book reviews and inspiring interviews profiling artists. A daily highlight is Rapid Fire, just after 5:30pm. CapeTalk fans call in, to stump the presenter with their general knowledge questions. Another firm favourite is the humorous Thursday crossing with award-winning journalist Rebecca Davis, called “Plan B”. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Afternoon Drive with John Maytham Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 15:00 and 18:00 (SA Time) to Afternoon Drive with John Maytham broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/BSFy4Cn or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/n8nWt4x Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media: CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3292: Chelsea illustrates how even investing at the peak of the Great Recession would have yielded strong long-term gains, especially with dividends reinvested. By showing historical data from past downturns, she highlights that discipline, patience, and consistency in the stock market can transform even the worst-timed investments into substantial wealth. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://smartmoneymamas.com/investing-in-peak-markets/ Quotes to ponder: “In only 1 out of the past 10 recessions, starting in 1948, would you have seen your $10,000 investment lose money over a 10-year period, and only then if you had chosen not to reinvest the dividends.” “The sooner you get your money invested in the market, the more wealth you'll have in the future. Your money works for you, don't let it sit idle!” Episode references: National Bureau of Economic Research: https://www.nber.org Bureau of Economic Analysis: https://www.bea.gov Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3292: Chelsea illustrates how even investing at the peak of the Great Recession would have yielded strong long-term gains, especially with dividends reinvested. By showing historical data from past downturns, she highlights that discipline, patience, and consistency in the stock market can transform even the worst-timed investments into substantial wealth. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://smartmoneymamas.com/investing-in-peak-markets/ Quotes to ponder: “In only 1 out of the past 10 recessions, starting in 1948, would you have seen your $10,000 investment lose money over a 10-year period, and only then if you had chosen not to reinvest the dividends.” “The sooner you get your money invested in the market, the more wealth you'll have in the future. Your money works for you, don't let it sit idle!” Episode references: National Bureau of Economic Research: https://www.nber.org Bureau of Economic Analysis: https://www.bea.gov Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3292: Chelsea illustrates how even investing at the peak of the Great Recession would have yielded strong long-term gains, especially with dividends reinvested. By showing historical data from past downturns, she highlights that discipline, patience, and consistency in the stock market can transform even the worst-timed investments into substantial wealth. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://smartmoneymamas.com/investing-in-peak-markets/ Quotes to ponder: “In only 1 out of the past 10 recessions, starting in 1948, would you have seen your $10,000 investment lose money over a 10-year period, and only then if you had chosen not to reinvest the dividends.” “The sooner you get your money invested in the market, the more wealth you'll have in the future. Your money works for you, don't let it sit idle!” Episode references: National Bureau of Economic Research: https://www.nber.org Bureau of Economic Analysis: https://www.bea.gov Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to this week's Blonde Intelligence, I am your host Ms. Roni, and I always seek to give you exquisite cranial repertoire. Economic instability threatens to reshape our entertainment landscape in ways few have considered. As food prices climb and agriculture struggles, reality TV shows highlighting luxury and excess feel increasingly disconnected from viewers' daily challenges. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis reveals that a mere 10% increase in food prices can slash entertainment spending by 5% – a statistic with profound implications for networks, producers, and talent.The most fascinating transformation is happening in viewer preferences. While lavish reality formats struggle during hardships, content focused on practical skills and budget-friendly solutions is thriving. YouTube channels featuring Dollar Tree Dinners, tiny house construction, and off-grid living provide valuable survival strategies rather than escapism. This cultural shift represents more than temporary viewing habits; it signals a fundamental reevaluation of what we value in entertainment during challenging times.For those working in entertainment or pursuing creative careers, adaptation is essential. Trade skills like plumbing, electrical work, and HVAC provide stability when traditional employment wavers. Healthcare positions remain consistently in demand despite economic fluctuations. Women entrepreneurs can access SBA grants and loan programs to build sustainable businesses. The message is clear – diversification and practical skills are crucial safeguards against economic uncertainty. As computer chip shortages potentially threaten technology-dependent aspects of entertainment, particularly for independent artists, preparing alternative pathways becomes increasingly important. The entertainment industry must recognize that as audiences' economic realities evolve, so too must the content created to engage them. Subscribe to hear more insights on navigating these changing landscapes and share your thoughts on how economic changes have affected your entertainment choices.Donate to the channel: $RoniR1#BlondeIntelligence #EntertainmentEvolution #EconomicReality #BudgetConscious #SurvivalSkills #RealityTVShift #ThriveNotSurvive #PracticalEntertainment #WomenEntrepreneurs #SBAGrants #DiversifyYourSkills #CrisisCreativity #IndependentArtists #FutureOfEntertainment #SmartSpending #CulturalShiftSupport the show
As global markets brace for pivotal central bank decisions, this episode dives into the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where a potential rate cut could signal a shift in U.S. monetary policy. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank holds steady, opting to keep rates unchanged despite persistent inflation concerns. What do these diverging strategies mean for investors, businesses, and the broader economy? Join our Chief Economist, David McNamara, and Sarah McGinley from our Treasury team, as they unpack the implications, explore market reactions, and discuss what's next for global financial markets.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Jennifer Sherer, Deputy Director of the Economic Analysis and Research Network (EARN) at the Economic Policy Institute, joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to discuss workers' rights. Sherer highlighted the urgent need for state-level action to protect workers, the importance of union organizing and the ongoing threats to labor standards under the current administration. On today's episode of Labor 131 presented by the National Labor Office, Joel Suarez, Assistant Professor at Harvard University, joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to discuss the complex factors behind labor's decline in the 1970s, the impact of economic policies and the failed Operation Dixie campaign.
In this episode Dominic Bowen and Professor Kimberly Clausing examine the return of tariffs to the centre of U.S. economic strategy and the risks this shift creates for the global economy. Find out more about how protectionism and populism are reshaping U.S. trade policy, why tariffs act as a hidden tax on consumers and small businesses, the political dynamics driving short-term wins over long-term stability, the impact on supply chains and export industries such as higher education, tourism, and technology, the risks of corruption and rent-seeking in tariff exemptions, and how international trust in the United States is being tested as allies confront unpredictable economic behaviour, and more.Professor Kimberly Clausing holds the Eric M. Zolt Chair in Tax Law and Policy at the UCLA School of Law. Professor Clausing is also a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. During the first part of the Biden Administration, Clausing was the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Tax Analysis in the US Department of the Treasury, serving as the lead economist in the Office of Tax Policy. Professor Clausing has published widely on taxation, climate policy, and international trade, and is the author of Open: The Progressive Case for Free Trade, Immigration, and Global Capital (Harvard University Press, 2019). International Monetary Fund, the Hamilton Project, the Brookings Institution, the Tax Policy Center, and the Center for American Progress and has testified before the U.S. Congress on multiple occasions. She has received two Fulbright Research Awards, and her research has been supported by the National Science Foundation, the Smith Richardson Foundation, the International Centre for Tax and Development, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Washington Center for Equitable Growth.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter. The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Follow us on LinkedIn and Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!
Kevin covers the following stories: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income numbers; last Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation; Kevin points out from where the minor increase in inflation is coming, hint, it's not coming from where they have led us to believe!; Ford announces yet another recall; Kevin has the details, digs into the numbers, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. Oil and gas prices react to anticipation that OPEC+, at the upcoming Sunday meeting, will not unwind remaining voluntary cuts, Saudi Aramco halting crude sales to India, Ukraine's attacks on Russia's oil-processing capacity and the recent meeting between Russia's Putin and China's Xi, the "Shanghai Cooperation Organisation."
Kevin covers the following stories: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income numbers; last Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation; Kevin points out from where the minor increase in inflation is coming, hint, it's not coming from where they have led us to believe!; Ford announces yet another recall; Kevin has the details, digs into the numbers, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. Oil and gas prices react to anticipation that OPEC+, at the upcoming Sunday meeting, will not unwind remaining voluntary cuts, Saudi Aramco halting crude sales to India, Ukraine's attacks on Russia's oil-processing capacity and the recent meeting between Russia's Putin and China's Xi, the "Shanghai Cooperation Organisation."
AIB'S Chief Economist David McNamara and AIB Treasury's Jason Rehill review the August Irish PMI surveys, discussing strong growth for the manufacturing sector with employment continuing to increase and trade to the US surging. There's a review of slowing service sector activities, while employment rates continuing to fall. There's an examination of the slowdown in the Irish economy following rapid growth, and finally the sense of global economic uncertainty flowing from the impact of tariffs. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Project 2025 began quietly in conservative circles, with its origins traced to a Spring 2022 gathering of strategists and operatives in Washington. By April 2023, the Heritage Foundation had unveiled the nine-hundred-plus page blueprint, branding it “Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise.” The document reads less like a policy wish list and more like a regime change manual, spelling out a dramatic vision for American governance under a future conservative administration.Kevin Roberts, president of the Heritage Foundation, captured the mood in a statement: “All federal employees should answer to the president.” This encapsulates the project's signature ambition—greater centralization of executive power—rooted in what conservative legal theorists call “unitary executive theory.” According to analysis in The New York Times, this vision would go farther than any post-Nixon Republican platform by making the entire federal bureaucracy directly accountable to the president, erasing agency independence and civil service barriers that have existed for decades.The Project's approach is methodical. Its 180-day playbook details how agency heads should be replaced immediately after inauguration, with thousands of ideologically vetted appointees stepping into critical roles. The controversial Schedule F personnel policy is central: it seeks to reclassify existing civil servants, strip them of job protections, and replace large swathes with loyalists, allowing the new administration essentially unlimited power to hire and fire across government. According to the National Federation of Federal Employees, this would have unprecedented ramifications—apolitical employees, many with deep expertise, would lose their shields from political interference and could be replaced at will, upending regulatory stability.Examples of proposed reforms are as concrete as they are sweeping. The plan advocates abolishing entire agencies, including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and the U.S. Agency for International Development. According to reporting on the current administration's implementation efforts, the Department of Government Efficiency led by Elon Musk has already moved to shut down both of those agencies, simultaneously laying off over a quarter million federal workers and contractors—27 agencies impacted in total. The chaos of rapid layoffs has led to lawsuits: NTEU President Tony Reardon stated, “For over 47 years, the law has made clear that collective bargaining in the federal sector is in the public interest. We have taken the necessary action to file a lawsuit to uphold the law and stop this attack.”On the policy side, criminal justice stands as a stark example. Project 2025 recommends that the Department of Justice intervene in local cases where it believes “rule of law deficiencies” exist, targeting prosecutors who prefer diversion programs or refuse to prosecute low-level offenses. The Brennan Center underscores that this would politicize local law enforcement and undermine prosecutorial discretion, with potentially chilling effects on criminal justice reform.Economic policy proposals include consolidating the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau, and Bureau of Labor Statistics into a single agency—a move that critics, like Democracy Forward, warn would “kneecap the data-collection capacities” essential for planning and transparency. Project 2025 also seeks to dismantle the Economic Development Administration, which recently overseen billions in infrastructure investment and the creation of over 200,000 jobs, threatening significant disruption to federal investment in communities.Supporters argue these measures will “destroy the administrative state,” clearing away what they view as unaccountable power. Critics, from the ACLU to the Center for Progressive Reform, counter that the blueprint's methods—centralized appointment, aggressive deregulation, and sweeping personnel changes—threaten democratic checks and balances, civil rights, and the rule of law.As the country approaches pivotal elections, Project 2025 stands at a crossroads between aspiration and action. The next major milestone will arrive with the inauguration—should the conservative movement prevail, all eyes will be on the new administration's first hundred days, as the fate of agencies, public servants, and the structure of American governance hang in the balance.Thanks for tuning in, and come back next week for moreSome great Deals https://amzn.to/49SJ3QsFor more check out http://www.quietplease.ai
What does it mean when the Fed meets and doesn't do anything? When the Bureau of Economic Analysis says the economy grew 3.0% when it really didn't? When the Bureau of Labor Statistics announces the labor markets are stronger than anyone believes they really are? When all official measures of inflation don't seem to reflect the consumer's reality? Essentially, what is the truth behind the headlines and all of the noise? In this week's Trading Perspectives, Sam Clement and John Norris dissect a busy week of economic releases, earnings announcements and Fed meetings, and try to make sense of it all.
In this week's Market Talk podcast, AIB's Senior Economist, John Fahey, and AIB Treasury's Jane Kavanagh, discuss volatility in the financial markets. They also review central bank activity, considering the outlook for interest rates for the second half of 2025 and discuss the impact of tariffs on inflation. The team also looks at the currency markets, with the euro gaining against the dollar for first time this year. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis published the latest GDP report. It contained a startling detail. Spending on artificial intelligence added more to the U.S. economy than consumer spending last quarter. This is very quickly becoming an AI economy. I'm interested in how AI will change our jobs. But I'm just as curious about how it will change our minds. We're already seeing that students in high school and college are using AI to write most of their essays. What do we lose in a world where students sacrifice the ability to do deep writing? Today's guest is Cal Newport, the author of several bestsellers on the way we work, including 'Deep Work.' He is also a professor of computer science at Georgetown. One of the questions I get the most by email, in talks, in conversations with people about the news is: If these tools can read faster than us, synthesize better than us, remember better than us, and write faster than us, what's our place in the loop? What skills should we value in the age of AI? Or, more pointedly: What should we teach our children in the age of AI? How do we ride this train without getting run over by it? If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Calvin Newport Producer: Devon Baroldi Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
AIB's Chief Economist, David McNamara, and AIB Treasury's Sarah McGinley review the latest Manufacturing and Services PMI surveys. They show the manufacturing sector grew in July, with pharma exports on the increase. While the services sector showed weakening trends in transport, tourism and leisure, with a fall in activity impacting weak employment growth. The discussion also looks at the impact of tariff deals globally and how tariffs are impacting the US economy.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Mike Switzer interviews Frank Hefner, Director of Office of Economic Analysis and Professor of Economics at the College of Charleston.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4fr9T5i Analyzing Trump Tariffs and Their Economic Impact David Bahnsen, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, delves into the Trump tariffs in this episode of Dividend Cafe. He explores the complexity and ambiguity surrounding the tariffs, their impact on the economy, and the real-time media and political narratives that shape public opinion. Emphasizing objective economic analysis, Bahnsen discusses the uncertainties in market reactions, potential declines in corporate profits, and the long-term economic outcomes of these trade policies. He stresses the importance of evaluating total trade volume, foreign investment, and the overall growth impact to provide a comprehensive understanding of the real consequences of tariffs. Bahnsen's approach underscores the necessity of looking beyond immediate political rhetoric to grasp the broader economic picture. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:03 Overview of Trump Tariffs 01:37 Market Reactions and Policy Changes 02:57 Framework of New Trade Deals 05:18 Economic Analysis and Predictions 10:09 Impact on Corporate Profits and Growth 18:17 Foreign Investment and Trade Volume 26:10 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Kevin offers his insights and opinion on the increasing criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and covers the following stories: ADP released their National Employment Report (Private Payrolls); The U.S. Labor Department released the weekly jobless claims; the U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported June Personal Income, Consumer Spending and Personal Savings Rate; the U.S. Commerce Department reported Personal Consumption Expenditures (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge); a provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill that eliminates a regulation many have wanted eliminated for 50 yrs.; Kevin has the details, sifts through the data, puts the information into historic perspective and offers his insights and an opinion or two. Oil reacts to various geopolitical events, sanctions and ongoing trade talks.
Kevin offers his insights and opinion on the increasing criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and covers the following stories: ADP released their National Employment Report (Private Payrolls); The U.S. Labor Department released the weekly jobless claims; the U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported June Personal Income, Consumer Spending and Personal Savings Rate; the U.S. Commerce Department reported Personal Consumption Expenditures (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge); a provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill that eliminates a regulation many have wanted eliminated for 50 yrs.; Kevin has the details, sifts through the data, puts the information into historic perspective and offers his insights and an opinion or two. Oil reacts to various geopolitical events, sanctions and ongoing trade talks.
Full interview: According to the latest quarterly figures, unemployment is sitting at just over 5%. New research from new think tank The Institute for Democratic and Economic Analysis recommends a range of policies to get people off a benefit and into work, faster.
In this deep-dive episode, Corey Quinn and Ed Zitron break down the complex and often murky world of AI and the tech giants fueling today's rapid innovation. From Nvidia's soaring valuations to OpenAI's shaky finances and Microsoft's high-stakes gambles, they reveal the cracks hidden beneath all the hype.They navigate the tangled web of corporate finance, big investments, and what could happen if the AI boom falters whether it reshapes the economy or crashes spectacularly.With sharp takes on the crossroads of AI, crypto hype, SaaS economics, and enterprise software, Cory and Ed cut through the noise to separate myth from reality. They ask: Is today's tech gold rush truly transformative, or just another bubble pumped up by money, media, and wishful thinking?If you're into tech or investing, this episode challenges you to look past the buzzwords and understand the real forces shaping the future of technology.Highlights (00:00) Introduction and Initial Thoughts on AI(00:53) AI Skepticism and Financial Realities(03:01) Economic Analysis of AI Companies(07:44) Microsoft and OpenAI: A Complex Relationship(11:23) The Broader AI Market and Its Challenges(16:49) Comparing AI to Other Technological Innovations(34:45) The Salesforce AI Buzzword Craze(35:09) The Disconnect Between Business Press and Valuations(36:37) Google's AI Economics and TPU Insights(39:34) Meta's Midlife Crisis and AI Investments(47:11) The Nvidia GPU Dependency(58:40) OpenAI's Financial StrugglesAbout Ed ZitronEd Zitron is the CEO of EZPR, a national public relations agency focused on technology and business. He writes the popular tech and culture newsletter Where's Your Ed At and is the author of two books: This Is How You Pitch: How To Kick Ass In Your First Years of PR and Fire Your Publicist. Ed has been named one of Insider's Top 50 Best Public Relations People in Tech four times.Links: Where's your ed at https://www.ezpr.com/about-usBetter off Line Snark bot https://bsky.app/profile/aws-snarkbot.lastweekinaws.com
AIB's Senior Economist John Fahey and AIB Treasury's Mark McKevitt discuss the current finance markets, the future impact of tariffs, the recent changes in sterling with Bank of England rate cuts, and central bank rates with no changes in the ECB and US Fed.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
Behind the Course: Economic Analysis for FP&A – New from CFIIn this episode of What's New at CFI on FinPod, we walk through our latest course release: Economic Analysis for FP&A, co-authored by instructors Mimi Hu and Meeyeon Park. Designed to bridge the gap between academic theory and real-world finance, this course helps learners understand how FP&A teams drive strategic decisions—using scenario analysis, economic trends, and business partnering to influence the direction of a company.Whether you're just starting out or stepping into leadership in FP&A, this episode offers key insights into how the course was built to support you. From practical retail-based examples to the importance of data storytelling and executive-ready presentation skills, Mimi and Meeyeon reflect on the lessons they wish they'd had earlier in their careers—and how this course now delivers them to you.
Hear how local organizations are preparing for NKY's future on today's NKY Spotlight Podcast!NKY Chamber President and CEO Brent Cooper discusses the Northern Kentucky Housing Blueprint and we hear about NKU Center for Economic Analysis and Development's Mid-Summer Symposium from Senior Director Janet Harrah and Karen Finan of OneNKY Alliance.The NKY Spotlight Podcast is powered by CKREU Consulting and sponsored by Schneller Knochelmann Plumbing, Heating & Air.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released the 3rd estimate of 1st Quarter GDP; the U.S. Commerce Department's Census Bureau released the Orders for Durable Goods Report; the U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, offers his insights and puts the information into historic perspective. Phil Flynn, Senior Market Analyst Price Futures Group & Author of The Energy Report, as well as Contributor to FOX Business Network, joins Kevin to talk about a wide range of topics from Malaysian oil laundering, crude oil supply and demand, the need for interest rate cuts, through media bias by downplaying good economic news. Oil and gas prices react to switching focus from risk premiums to fundamentals, U.S. "driving season is in full swing," a weaker dollar, larger than expected draws on crude oil inventories and the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. The first named tropical storm of the hurricane season has been announced; Kevin has the details.
Kevin summarizes the historic events from last week, from eliminating a nuclear threat, a ceasefire, a peace treaty, Supreme Court decisions and much, much more; Kevin has the details. The University of Michigan released their final June Consumer Sentiment Index; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Kevin speaks with Lewie Pugh, Executive Vice President Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) about major announcements from the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration that will benefit drivers. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released Personal Income Data; Kevin offers his insights and puts the information into preservative. The U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index; Kevin has the details.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that the food ag industry contributes roughly 1.5 trillion to the country's GDP – that's a 5.5% share. It's a market that continues to evolve as many factors – from consumers to regulatory challenges – create new opportunities for innovation and new products. This week we are joined by Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing CEO, Jason Kashman, to share perspective on food, health and what's ahead. We dive into: The overall landscape in the food manufacturing market, what Jason is seeing and what's driving growth for brands Popcorn is a commodity and a finished good – are the challenges and turbulence the same on both sides of the coin? Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing's history, how it became its own entity in 2019 and their overall innovation portfolio The massive footprint that is Weaver Popcorn – from grocery brands to private label Jason's take on emerging trends on snack foods and where popcorn fits in the market How food has changed over the last decade, including difficulty for startup innovation to grow in the space, better for you ingredients and automation on the manufacturing side The supply chain lessons learned from COVID and how companies have maybe pivoted to vertical integration to eliminate uncertainty If and how the regulatory challenges are affecting Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing's business What's next for the company
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that the food ag industry contributes roughly 1.5 trillion to the country's GDP – that's a 5.5% share. It's a market that continues to evolve as many factors – from consumers to regulatory challenges – create new opportunities for innovation and new products. This week we are joined by Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing CEO, Jason Kashman, to share perspective on food, health and what's ahead. We dive into: The overall landscape in the food manufacturing market, what Jason is seeing and what's driving growth for brands Popcorn is a commodity and a finished good – are the challenges and turbulence the same on both sides of the coin? Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing's history, how it became its own entity in 2019 and their overall innovation portfolio The massive footprint that is Weaver Popcorn – from grocery brands to private label Jason's take on emerging trends on snack foods and where popcorn fits in the market How food has changed over the last decade, including difficulty for startup innovation to grow in the space, better for you ingredients and automation on the manufacturing side The supply chain lessons learned from COVID and how companies have maybe pivoted to vertical integration to eliminate uncertainty If and how the regulatory challenges are affecting Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing's business What's next for the company
Tahra Hoops — Policy wonk, and Director of Economic Analysis at the Chamber of Progress — joins the show this week to talk about the generation that's been told simultaneously it's going to "save the world," "can't hold a conversation," "has been through a lot," and is "soft." Kids these days are a nuanced bunch, and that makes us a unique and challenging crew to communicate policy to/with. Add in a segment of that generation (more on this breakdown in the episode) growing up in a media environment that's primed for misinformation and disinformation, and the results are what you might expect. It impacts how we comingle, vote, where we choose to live, and the level of hope we possess.Tahra's work is all about synthesizing and breaking down both cultural and economic data and trends into more understanding information — largely pertaining to housing and cost of living.We discuss:00:00 Tahra Hoops is in good traffic.02:32 Policy communication and rapid response.05:24 Balancing data collection and real-time reactions.10:13 The housing crisis and policy solutions.22:34 Generational perspectives on politics.33:42 Introduction to The Rebuild and cost of living issues.34:28 Small policy changes with big impacts.35:32 Examples of effective policy initiatives.37:09 Governor Shapiro's abundance politics.38:15 The importance of positive feedback in politics.40:42 Challenges in housing policy comms.47:29 Why we live where we live.52:10 In praise of walkability.01:00:05 Wrapping up.For context:The Rebuild (Tahra's Substack).The Progress Chamber.Some of Tahra's Gen Z commentary.Tahra on X.
For decades, the great fear was overpopulation. Now it's the opposite. How did this happen — and what's being done about it? (Part one of a three-part series, “Cradle to Grave.”) SOURCES:Matthias Doepke, professor of economics at the London School of Economics.Amy Froide, professor of history at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County.Diana Laird, professor of obstetrics and gynecology at the University of California, San Francisco.Catherine Pakaluk, professor of economics at The Catholic University of America. RESOURCES:"Fertility Rate, Total for the United States," (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2025)."Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021," (The Lancet, 2024)."Suddenly There Aren't Enough Babies. The Whole World Is Alarmed." by Greg Ip and Janet Adamy (The Wall Street Journal, 2024)."Taxing bachelors and proposing marriage lotteries – how superpowers addressed declining birthrates in the past," by Amy Froide (University of Maryland, 2021)."Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?" by Kasey Buckles, Daniel Hungerman, and Steven Lugauer (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2018).The King's Midwife: A History and Mystery of Madame du Coudray, by Nina Rattner Gelbart (1999).The Population Bomb, by Paul Ehrlich (1970)."An Economic Analysis of Fertility," by Gary Becker (National Bureau of Economic Research, 1960). EXTRAS:"What Will Be the Consequences of the Latest Prenatal-Testing Technologies?" by Freakonomics Radio (2011).
This hour kicks off with a great discussion with Steve Moore on the efficacy of Trump's economic policy, then Dr. Jim Robbins joins to explain what effect Ukraine's drone attack could have on the peace talks.
Hurricane season begins on June 1st and runs through November 30th ; Kevin has the forecast/estimates of named storms and hurricanes and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell visited the White House for a meeting with President Trump on Thursday; Kevin has the details and offers his insights and opinion. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis revised the first quarter Gross Domestic Product; Kevin has the details, revisits the factors that went into the previous estimate, puts the information into perspective. The U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details and offers his perspective. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Thursday. released its Pending Home Sales Index: Kevin discusses the numbers and offers his perspective. Oil reacts to ongoing talks between Iran and the U.S. to rein in Iran's nuclear activities, a U.S. court blocking President Trump's tariffs, the possibility that OPEC+ could hike crude oil output, falling U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillates inventories.
- Economic Analysis and Gold Market Predictions (0:00) - Special Reports and Chemtrails Findings (2:22) - Behind the Scenes at Brighton Studios (5:58) - New Golden Rule and Humanitarian Stance (8:24) - NIH Funding and Israel Boycott (16:44) - Economic Impact of Trump's Tariffs (19:29) - Game Theory and China's Economic Strategy (26:25) - Global Crop Failures and Upcoming Famine (58:45) - Bright Learn Book Review: "Jabbed" by Brett Wilcox (59:05) - Promotion of Health Ranger Store Products (1:10:05) - Economic Impact of Last-Minute Orders from Southeast Asia (1:18:21) - Chinese Domestic Market Tensions and Unemployment (1:25:18) - Impact of COVID-19 and Future Economic Collapse (1:27:44) - Global Crop Losses and Their Economic Implications (1:28:14) - Interconnected Economic and Environmental Factors (1:38:46) - Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Their Consequences (1:39:03) - Regional Crop Losses and Their Impact on Food Security (1:50:53) - Global Nationalism and Its Impact on Trade (2:00:01) - Preparation for Future Economic Challenges (2:17:25) - Conclusion and Call to Action (2:17:36) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
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The conversation covers a range of topics including the implications of a potential trade war, national security concerns related to supply chains, public health issues and future pandemics, recent legislation affecting parental rights, human trafficking and immigration policies, media manipulation in politics, and an analysis of economic impacts and tariff debates.
Register free at https://brightu.com to watch the full Prepare Tribe stream - Breakthrough in AI and AI Engine Capabilities (0:00) - Interview with Alex Mitchell and Prepare Tribe Docu Series (0:45) - Enoch AI Engine's Capabilities and Predictions (3:17) - Public Access and Future Plans for Enoch AI Engine (14:40) - Financial and Economic Predictions (34:12) - Global Political and Economic Analysis (34:36) - Prepare Tribe Docu Series and Personal Preparedness (1:02:53) - Book Reviews and Additional Resources (1:09:14) - Final Thoughts and Call to Action (1:24:46) - Support and Introduction to the Ark Seed Company (1:25:26) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. That number tells us where the economy was headed coming into this year. But with uncertainty surrounding tariffs, that story has taken a turn. Plus, how sinking credit scores caused by student loan delinquencies could hurt the overall economy, and the dramatic rise in modern-day train heists.
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. That number tells us where the economy was headed coming into this year. But with uncertainty surrounding tariffs, that story has taken a turn. Plus, how sinking credit scores caused by student loan delinquencies could hurt the overall economy, and the dramatic rise in modern-day train heists.
This week on Economic Update, Professor Wolff delivers updates on the firing of government workers by Trump/Musk with an economic analysis showing it to be an attack on the U.S. working class followed by a discussion of Trump's foreign policy of turning against Europe as merely an adjustment to an "American Capitalism First" project that is as old as the U.S. The second half of the show, features an interview with U.S. federal employee Colin Smalley, a sixteen-year member of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and an IFPTE union member who discusses how and why workers are fighting back. The d@w Team Economic Update with Richard D. Wolff is a DemocracyatWork.info Inc. production. We make it a point to provide the show free of ads and rely on viewer support to continue doing so. You can support our work by joining our Patreon community: https://www.patreon.com/democracyatwork Or you can go to our website: https://www.democracyatwork.info/donate Every donation counts and helps us provide a larger audience with the information they need to better understand the events around the world they can't get anywhere else. We want to thank our devoted community of supporters who help make this show and others we produce possible each week.1:01 We kindly ask you to also support the work we do by encouraging others to subscribe to our YouTube channel and website: www.democracyatwork.info