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This is a conversation with Mujtaba Rahman. Mij is what you would call an insider of European politics. He leads the European section of the Eurasia Group and a big part of his job is to know what is going on behind the scenes, not just what you can read in the news but what European leaders really think, say and do when there are no cameras. And so it was a perfect opportunity to dive deep into European politics. We talked about whether Europe has a strategy for what do with Ukraine and Russia, what do European leaders really think about Donald Trump behind closed doors and how are they already preparing for Europe without the U.S. Or how likely is it that anti-establishment politicians in France, UK or Germany will dominate elections in the coming years and completely turn all those policies upside down. I think it's a fascinating conversation and it's always a pleasure to talk to someone who knows so much. ➡️ Join the community of geopolitics enthusiasts and gain access to exclusive content on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://stationzero.substack.com/Thank you Conducttr for sponsoring the podcast. Take a look at Conducttr's services and its crisis exercise software at: https://www.conducttr.com
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director, Europe and co-head of the London Office of the Eurasia Group, talks to Paul Adamson about the new challenges facing the EU in 2025 and assesses its new leadership.
Germany faces an early election, following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition government. Europe's biggest economy is in trouble, with deep political divisions. So what are the issues? And why is the outcome so important internationally? In this episode: Ulrich Brueckner, Professor, European Studies, Stanford University in Berlin. Suzanne Lynch, Chief Brussels Correspondent, Politico. Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director, Europe, Eurasia Group. Host: James Bays Connect with us:@AJEPodcasts on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook At Al Jazeera Podcasts, we want to hear from you, our listeners. So, please head to https://www.aljazeera.com/survey and tell us your thoughts about this show and other Al Jazeera podcasts. It only takes a few minutes!
Europe is contending with a stagnating economy, political dysfunction in Germany and France, and Russia's relentless attacks on Ukraine, all while it looks to the return of Donald Trump. Will the continent's democracies hold together in the face of such challenges? Bronwen Maddox is joined by journalist and historian Timothy Garton Ash, Mujtaba Rahman, Europe Managing Director at the Eurasia Group and Armida van Rij, senior research fellow and the Head of our Europe programme. Read our latest: The break-up of Scholz's coalition government signals the end of Germany's old economic model The ceasefire in Lebanon has dealt a huge blow to Iran's regional strategy Why cyber doomsday warnings do more harm than good Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast
Today, we look at Michel Barnier's surprise selection as French Prime Minister, and a “historic success” for the far-right in Germany.The EU's former Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, has been named as the new French prime minister in a surprise announcement by Emmanuel Macron. But will this finally break the deadlock in Paris?And, Germany's anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won the election in the eastern state of Thuringia. But how much of a threat are they to the current government?Adam is joined by Mujtaba Rahman, Europe managing director at the Eurasia Group, Rym Momtaz, editor in chief of Strategic Europe at Carnegie Europe, and Katya Adler, BBC Europe editor. You can join our Newscast online community here: https://tinyurl.com/newscastcommunityhere Newscast brings you daily analysis of the latest political news stories from the BBC. It was presented by the “famous” Adam Fleming. It was made by Jack Maclaren with Gemma Roper and Sam Mclaren. The technical producer was Jack Graysmark. The assistant editor is Chris Gray. The editor is Sam Bonham.
What France has just lived through can only be described by the words of Vladimir Lenin: “there are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen”. In just a month, the country's political landscape was upended by Emmanuel Macron's shock decision to dissolve the National Assembly after his party, Ensemble, trailed behind the right-populist Rassemblement National by seventeen points in elections to the European Parliament on June 9th. In the week that followed, the left managed to unite once again, as in the 1930s Front Populaire, despite having spent the European race trading barbs. The Gaullist centre-right imploded, with Éric Ciotti, the leader of Les Républicains, calling on his party's candidates to either support or be supported by Le Pen's, while most of the bigwigs opposing him in-house attempted to remove him, usurp the Twitter account from his faction—and shut him off the party's headquarters. In the midst of that chaos, Macron's very own allies were gobsmacked by a decision that could have eradicated not just the government's ability to rule, but their own parliamentary standing. Yet while the campaign was marked by the possibility of a Rassemblement National government led by the 28-year-old Jordan Bardella, the party has been met by a barrage of tactical voting against its candidates in Sunday's runoff. Whereas it stunningly surpassed the one-third (33%) mark in the first round, its parliamentary group, after the biasing effect of local a non-proportional voting system, will be of 143 MPs, up from 89 but far lower than initially forecasted. This legislative snap race leaves Parliament in an unruly state, with three roughly equal blocs: the left, the centrists and the nationalists—none of them especially keen to make compromises. So what happened, and where do we go from here? This week, we ask Mij Rahman (Eurasia Group) and François Hublet (Groupe d'Études Géopolitiques) to walk us through the French chaos. As always, please rate and review Uncommon Decency on whatever platform you use, and send us your comments or questions either on Twitter at @UnDecencyPod or by e-mail at undecencypod@gmail.com. And please consider supporting the show on Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/undecencypod) to get access to the full episode, where we talk in further detail about the drivers of the ever-increasing Le Pen vote.
Bronwen Maddox is joined this week by Mujtaba Rahman, the Managing Director Europe of the Eurasia Group and Georgina Wright, a Senior Fellow with Institut Montaigne. Joining them all is journalist John Kampfner, the former head of Chatham House's UK in the World Programme. Read our latest: Is Moldova a new battleground in Russia's war? Has David Cameron's return revitalised UK policy in the Middle East? Britain must rearm to strengthen NATO and meet threats beyond Russia and terrorism Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director, Europe and co-head of London Office, Eurasia Group, talks to Paul Adamson about the major challenges facing Europe in 2024.
Max and Donatienne first recap their summer vacations in Europe, including an assessment of Irish neutrality in the current European political climate. Then, they are joined by Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman, managing director for Europe at political risk research and consulting firm Eurasia Group, for a conversation about the current state of European politics and Europe's future geopolitical trajectory. Learn more: Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts Germany's New China Strategy: A Conversation with German Ambassador Andreas Michaelis Beyond the Battlefield: Global Implications of Russia's War in Ukraine
War has returned to the European continent, putting many previous divisions into perspective. This has caused European leaders to think afresh about their politics – and raised the question of the United Kingdom's role in European foreign policy. Seven years after the Brexit referendum, the EU and the UK have finally resolved some of their differences through the Windsor Framework. The possibility of a reset between the UK and the EU on foreign policy could be on the horizon. In this year's mini-series, Mark Leonard and Susi Dennison examine what a reimagined EU-UK relationship might look like. In this third episode, Mark and Susi welcome the Eurasia Group's managing director for Europe, Mujtaba Rahman, who previously served at the UK Treasury and the European Commission's directorate general for economic and financial affairs, to discuss what this renewal of relations might look like. How has Brexit affected the UK's economy? How can the UK negotiate a new agreement with the EU that avoids political difficulties around freedom of movement while still being attractive to the bloc? What areas of cooperation could the UK and the EU explore beyond the existing trade agreement? This podcast was recorded on 12 July 2023. Bookshelf: Johnson at 10: The Inside Story, by Anthony Seldon and Raymond Newell This is Europe: The Way We Live Now, by Ben Judah
On the 30th May we started the Warsaw European Conversation. At Polityka Insight and ECFR's Warsaw office we decided that there is a dire need - in this part of the world - to hold an in-depth conversation about Europe. To talk freely and openly about how Poland's enthusiasm for the EU is about to start to wane. How less and less people in Poland understand Europe. And how Europe, is understanding less and less about what's going on here. To overcome these deficits we recorded five conversations with our speakers about politics, security and the economy. Please tune in and listen to these Warsaw European Conversations.
Lord Peter Hain, former Northern Ireland Secretary, and Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director for Europe with the EurasiaGroup, on Chris Heaton-Harris's statement and Northern Ireland protocol negotiations.
Mujtaba Rahman, EurasiaGroup, discusses the decision of the Bank of England to intervene in the markets.
French president Emmanuel Macron has this lunchtime responded to Conservative party leadership frontrunner Liz Truss's comments that "the jury is still out" on whether France is a "friend or foe" to Britain. Mujtaba Rahman is EurAsia Group's managing director for Europe, and a columnist with Politico.
The European Union knows Liz Truss and 'they don't like what she did', says Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director for Europe at Eurasia Group. He tells Bloomberg's Stephen Carroll and Yuan Potts that if Rishi Sunak was to become the next Prime Minister, it could be an opportunity to reset relations with Brussels. Also in the show, we hear from Labour peer Peter Hain on the UK government's move to ban Bain & Company from public contracts for three years. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
While still recovering from a coronavirus-induced recession, the U.S. may be rushing into a new downturn, this time thanks to inflation. Its economy faces no shortage of potential peril in 2022, Bloomberg chief economist Tom Orlik says, with the Federal Reserve looking set to raise interest rates to fight rising prices, and as Congress seems unlikely to pass any more big spending bills. That's one of the takeaways from the Stephanomics global preview of 2022, in which Stephanie and a panel of experts look into their crystal balls for political and economic insights. On the political front, French President Emmanuel Macron looks poised to win reelection in France next spring, but U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson faces a 40% chance of losing power, with "strong upward pressure" on that number, says Mujtaba Rahman of the political risk consultancy Eurasia Group. In the U.S., the fate of President Joe Biden and fellow Democrats may depend on inflation. With midterm elections on the horizon, they could be toast if it lingers too long, Bloomberg White House reporter Nancy Cook says. Bloomberg Green editor Aaron Rutkoff sees Biden being powerless to improve U.S. emissions if he can't get the climate component of his Build Back Better agenda passed. And Orlik sees a novelty in the U.S.-China relationship, where China will probably go its own way and cut interest rates while the U.S. raises them. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Vincent Kearney, Northern Editor, reports on businesses who see the Northern protocol as an opportunity for them and Mujtaba Rahman, MD and analyst with the EurAsia group, discusses the rising tensions between the EU and Britain over the Protocol.
Claire Hanna, SDLP MP and Mujtaba Rahman, EurAsia Group, discusses the latest changes in trade with Northern Ireland as proposed by the EU.
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director of the Eurasia Group's Europe Program, joined us for our season 4 finale to discuss the critical elections coming up in Europe, the future of EU-UK relations and other key issues the EU will have to respond to over the next decade. The Europe Desk is a podcast from the BMW Center for German and European Studies at Georgetown University in Washington, DC. It brings together leading experts working on the most pertinent issues facing Europe and transatlantic relations today. Music by Sam Kyzivat and Breakmaster Cylinder Production by Emily Traynor Mayrand and Jonas Heering Communications by Hannah Tyler, Iris Thatcher and Mitch Fariss Design by Sarah Diebboll https://cges.georgetown.edu/podcast Twitter and Instagram: @theeuropedesk If you would like a transcript of this episode, more information about the Center's events, or have any feedback, please email: theeuropedesk@georgetown.edu.
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director and Practice Head, Europe, at the Eurasia Grouup, talks to Paul Adamson about the execution of the EU Recovery Plan and the implementation of the Northern Ireland Protocol.
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director and Practice Head, Europe, at the Eurasia Grouup, talks to Paul Adamson about the execution of the EU Recovery Plan and the implementation of the Northern Ireland Protocol.
Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says the weak jobs report reiterates the need for more fiscal policy. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, all the leaders in Washington on both sides of the aisle now need to focus on the peaceful transfer of power on January 20. Mujtaba Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director for Europe, says Europe's medium-term stability depends more on what happens with the French election than the German one. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief U.S. Economist, is optimistic about a re-acceleration of the economy in the back half of the year. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Joe Biden wants his administration to be a departure from the days of Donald Trump, but will a change in foreign policy harm American interests? (01:00) Why is it taking so long to reach a Brexit deal? (17:10) And finally, should cyclists be given priority on London's roads? (29:35) With The Spectator's deputy US editor Dominic Green, Chatham House's Leslie Vinjamuri, The Spectator's political editor James Forsyth, EurasiaGroup's managing director Mujtaba Rahman, journalist Christian Wolmar and writer, actor, and comedian Griff Rhys Jones. Presented by Lara Prendergast. Produced by Max Jeffery, Matt Taylor and Alexa Rendell.
Jessica Elgot and Helen Pidd break down the three-tier risk system now in place in England. Lisa O'Carroll and Mujtaba Rahman look at the latest Brexit negotiations. Plus, Rajeev Syal speaks to Meg Hillier MP, chair of the public accounts committee. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/politicspod
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director for Europe at the Eurasia Group, talks to Paul Adamson about the coronavirus and its political and economic impact in Europe.
Συζητώντας τους κορυφαίους κινδύνους για το 2020 με τον Mujtaba Rahman, Διευθύνοντα Σύμβουλο για την Ευρώπη, Eurasia Group (στα Αγγλικά)
Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says 2020 is a tipping point for the big global trends out there. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, says a trade conflict was expected between the U.S. and China year ago, but it was expected to be resolved. Henry Rome, Eurasia Group Iran Analyst, believes the killing of Qasem Soleimani will come to be seen as a miscalculation from the U.S. Mujtaba Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director for Europe, says the EU doesn't have a great strategic answer for the U.K.'s exit. And Amy Myers Jaffe, CFR David M. Rubenstein Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment & Director of the Program on Energy Security and Climate Change, offers her insight on recent events in the Middle East and energy. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director and Practice Head, Europe at the Eurasia Group, talks to Paul Adamson about the likelihood of Article 50 being extended to enable a deal to be struck on the Withdrawal Agreement between the UK and EU27.
Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director and Practice Head, Europe at the Eurasia Group, talks to Paul Adamson about the major new challenges that will face the UK as it embarks on Phase 2 of the Brexit talks.