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In this episode of Disorder Latest, Jason is joined by Thomas de Waal, journalist, author, and Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe who has spent decades studying the politics, conflicts, and societies of the Caucasus and wider Eurasian region. His book ‘The Caucasus: An Introduction', is a must read for anyone looking to understand the region—its ethnic diversity, its ties to Russia, its cults of personality, and its geopolitical importance. Jason and Thomas discuss the June 7 Armenian election—won by pro-EU incumbent Nikol Pashinyan--, the Trump negotiated peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and whether Georgia is moving permanently away from Europe and the West. For ad free listening, early release episodes and more bonus content, join our Mega Orderers Club at disordershow.com/club Producer: Sam Cluely Subscribe to our Substack - https://natoandtheged.substack.com/ Disorder on YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/@DisorderShow Show Notes Links: Get Thomas' book at https://www.amazon.co.uk/Caucasus-Introduction-Thomas-Waal/dp/0195399773 Listen to our previous episodes with Armen Sarkissian, Armenia's former president https://pod.link/1706818264/episode/OWJlOTI5YTYtMDBjZC0xMWVmLTg0N2MtMmIzNDcwZTAyMDQx And for more on the Armenian election: https://apnews.com/article/armenia-election-result-pashinyan-7168ab86aa0d9f2c967171c91c9611c9 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jordan Bardella s'affiche à l'étranger. Le président du RN sera à partir de ce jeudi (18 juin 2026) en Pologne, une semaine après s'être rendu au Parlement flamand sur invitation de l'extrême droite belge. Le Rassemblement National s'intéresse-t-il subitement à l'Europe ? Internationalisation au risque d'être cantonné aux côtés des nationalistes ou tentative de consensus pour élargir son électorat : quelle stratégie pour le RN dans sa quête de pouvoir en France en 2027 ? Pour en débattre : - Catherine Tricot, directrice de la revue Regards - Jean-Philippe Moinet, auteur et fondateur de la Revue Civique, ancien président de l'Observatoire de l'extrémisme, auteur du livre Un journal sous influence (éditions AliRibelli) - Catherine Fieschi, politologue au think tank Carnegie Europe, spécialiste des populismes.
Jordan Bardella s'affiche à l'étranger. Le président du RN sera à partir de ce jeudi (18 juin 2026) en Pologne, une semaine après s'être rendu au Parlement flamand sur invitation de l'extrême droite belge. Le Rassemblement National s'intéresse-t-il subitement à l'Europe ? Internationalisation au risque d'être cantonné aux côtés des nationalistes ou tentative de consensus pour élargir son électorat : quelle stratégie pour le RN dans sa quête de pouvoir en France en 2027 ? Pour en débattre : - Catherine Tricot, directrice de la revue Regards - Jean-Philippe Moinet, auteur et fondateur de la Revue Civique, ancien président de l'Observatoire de l'extrémisme, auteur du livre Un journal sous influence (éditions AliRibelli) - Catherine Fieschi, politologue au think tank Carnegie Europe, spécialiste des populismes.
Europe is stuck between the United States' market-driven dynamism and China's state-led industrial strategy. Rosa Balfour, Noah Barkin, and Anu Bradford debate whether Europe can leverage its rulemaking power and emerging industrial agenda into genuine competitiveness. Anu Bradford, Noah Barkin, May 27, 2026, “Can Europe Compete with the United States and China?,” Carnegie Europe. Noah Barkin, January 6, 2026, "Watching China in Europe—January 2026," German Marshall Fund. Noah Barkin, December 1, 2025, "As Europe Dithers, the Cost of Derisking from China Rises," Rhodium Group. Noah Barkin, January 16, 2025, "Trump and the Europe-US-China Triangle," Rhodium Group. Anu Bradford, 2023, "Digital Empires. The Global Battle to Regulate Technology," Oxford University Press. Anu Bradford, 2023, "Europe's Digital Constitution," Virginia Journal of International Law, Volume 64. Anu Bradford, 2019, "The Brussels Effect. How the European Union Rules the World," Oxford University Press. Rosa Balfour, February 8, 2026, "Dependence on the US is Deeply Rooted in the European Mindset," Le Monde. Rosa Balfour, January 24, 2026, "The EU Finally Used an Economic Threat Against Trump. But the Markets Forced His Climbdown," The Guardian. Rosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, "Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It's Crafting a Plan B.," Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
On May 21st a Turkish court took the unprecedented step of removing the CHP's elected leadership, led by Ozgur Ozel, the latest sign of Turkish President Erdogan's tightening grip on the country. It's also a sign that Erdogan intends to run for another term as president, and with Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in prison, this move can only mean one thing: Erdogan does not intend to leave the result of a future election up to chance. The opposition has vowed it will fight back, but the broader question is whether this is the last nail in the coffin for Turkey's democracy. Can it recover, and if so, is this a fight it will have to undertake on its own? President Donald Trump's praise of Erdogan as a “tough guy” who has “done a very good job”, and the EU's wider focus on the transatlantic relationship and Ukraine, have many doubting if the West will bring any pressure down on Ankara. At the same time, another story is brewing in north Africa, where Turkey is looking to expand its influence in Libya. Recent reports are indicating a new Turkish push to engage with Benghazi, while we've also seen headlines hinting at US-Turkish coordination in Libya and a potential US effort to unify Libya. Greece is undoubtedly watching these developments closely, especially considering Turkey is likely to press Benghazi to support its illegal 2019 maritime agreement with Tripoli. Ayla Jean Yackley, Henri Barkey, Ambassador Marc Pierini, and Aya Burweila join Thanos Davelis as we break down the latest crackdown on Turkey's opposition and its wider ramifications, while looking into what Turkey is up to in Libya. A little more info on our guests: Ayla Jean Yackley is an Istanbul-based journalist covering Turkey with stories in The Financial Times, Politico, and other major outlets. Henri Barkey is an adjunct senior fellow for Middle East studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and the Cohen chair in international relations at Lehigh University (Emeritus). Marc Pierini is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and former EU ambassador to Turkey. Aya Burweila is a widely published expert and public commentator on security with a special focus on Libya. You can support The Greek Current by joining HALC as a member here.
Since U.S. President Donald Trump has returned to the White House, several crises have affected the transatlantic relationship. Rym Momtaz, Rosa Balfour, and Stefan Lehne reflect on whether Europeans should stop considering the United States as the partner it once was. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:00:57] Was it Worth it for Europe to Appease Trump?, [00:13:22] EU Dependence on the U.S. in Different Domains, [00:24:56] Is the U.S. Still a Reliable Partner for Europe? Rym Momtaz, ed., May 7, 2026, “Taking the Pulse: Is it Worth it for Europeans to Placate Trump?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rym Momtaz, May 5, 2026, “Europeans Are Quiet Quitting the United States,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rym Momtaz, ed., April 9, 2026, “Taking the Pulse: Can NATO Survive the Iran War?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Stefan Lehne, March 24, 2026, “Time to Merge the Commission and EEAS,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Stefan Lehne, February 12, 2026, “What Can the EU Do About Trump 2.0?,” Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, February 8, 2026, “Dependence on the United States Is Deeply Rooted in the European Mindset,” Le Monde. Rosa Balfour, January 24, 2026, “The EU Finally Used an Economic Threat Against Trump. But the Markets Forces his Climbdown,” The Guardian. Rosa Balfour, January 6, 2026, “The Cost of Europe's Weak Venezuela Response,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Stefan Lehne, November 4, 2025, “Can the EU Meet the Trump Moment?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, Stefan Lehne, and Elena Ventura, September 22, 2025, “The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0,” Carnegie Europe.
« La voie de la négociation est plus utile et plus douce que celle des armes. » Voilà ce que disait l'un des négociateurs de Louis XIV. Mais l'actualité récente, qu'elle nous emmène en Iran, au Venezuela ou en Ukraine, nous pousse à nous demander si la diplomatie est morte. Ou bien si elle prend d'autres formes… Soumises aux réseaux sociaux, tributaires de plus en plus d'intérêts privés, et semblant balayées d'un revers de main par un président américain qui cultive l'unilatéralisme comme une force. Question que l'on posera à nos invités : Guillaume Devin, professeur émérite des universités à Sciences Po, membre associé du CERI, auteur de Notre système international. Une approche politique des relations internationales, éditions Le Cavalier Bleu. Nicolas Normand, ancien ambassadeur de France au Mali, au Congo-Brazzaville et au Sénégal. Auteur du Grand livre de l'Afrique : Chaos ou émergence au sud du Sahara ? (Eyrolles). Marc Pierini, ancien ambassadeur de l'Union européenne et chercheur à Carnegie Europe, auteur de Deux générations en guerre – Mémoires familiales pour comprendre le retour de la guerre en Europe, autoédité.
Emmanuel Macron's updated French nuclear doctrine represents an unprecedented effort by Paris to coordinate with European partners as U.S. security commitments decline. Rym Momtaz, Sophia Besch, and Ulrich Kühn discuss France's evolving role in European nuclear deterrence and the political and material credibility gaps that persist. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:26] Macron's Update to France's Nuclear Doctrine, [00:09:13] The Role of the Baltics in Europe's Defense, [00:22:47] European Alternatives to the U.S. Extended Deterrence. Rym Momtaz, April 7, 2026, “On NATO, Trump Should Embrace France Instead of Bashing It,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rym Momtaz (ed.), March 12, 2026, “Taking the Pulse: Is France's New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Ulrich Kühn, February 24, 2026, “The Unintended Consequences of German Deterrence,” Global Policy vol. 17, issue S1: 1-9, https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70134. Sophia Besch, Erik Brown, and Rafaela Uzan, December 22, 2025, “Rebalancing the Transatlantic Defense-Industrial Relationship: Regional Pragmatism in Northeastern Europe,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Sophia Besch and Jamie Kwong, December 11, 2025, “Unpacking Europe's Deterrence Dilemmas,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Ulrich Kühn, May 1, 2025, “Is Europe Moving to an Independent Nuclear Deterrent?,” Arms Control Today, Arms Control Association.
durée : 00:59:03 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - Après une campagne tendue, marquée par les scandales de corruption, l'ingérence russe, américaine et la crise économique, les Hongrois s'apprêtent à voter aux élections législatives. Viktor Orbán peut-il tomber ? Quels sont les enjeux de ce scrutin crucial, pour le pays et pour l'Europe ? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Antonela Capelle-Pogăcean Chargée de recherche Sciences Po au CERI (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches Internationales) et enseignante à Sciences Po Dijon; Pierre Vimont Ancien ambassadeur de France aux Etats-Unis, ancien secrétaire général exécutif du Service européen pour l'action extérieure, chercheur associé au think tank Carnegie Europe; Paul Gradvohl Historien, professeur à l'Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, spécialiste de la Hongrie; Assen Slim Économiste, professeur à l'Inalco et à l'Essca
With key elections approaching across Europe, radical-right parties are poised to maintain and even expand their political influence. Rosa Balfour, Catherine Fieschi, and Cas Mudde explore whether a more right-leaning EU constitutes an existential threat, or if such concerns are overstated. Catherine Fieschi, Cas Mudde, March 19, 2026, "Is the Radical-Right Threat Existential or Overstated?," Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, January 24, 2026, "The EU Finally Used an Economic Threat Against Trump. But the Markets Forced His Climbdown," The Guardian. Rosa Balfour, Stefan Lehne, Elena Ventura, September 22, 2025 "The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0," Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, "Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It's Crafting a Plan B," Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Rosa Balfour and Stefan Lehne, April 18, 2024, "Charting the Radical Right's Influence on EU Foreign Policy," Carnegie Europe. Catherine Fieschi, April 10, 2025, "What Le Pen's Sentence Means for the Rule of Law in Europe," Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Catherine Fieschi, August 16, 2023, "Populocracy," Agenda Publishing. Cas Mudde, December 4, 2024, "Democracy is in a doom spiral—but it isn't dead yet," Prospect Magazine. Cas Mudde, September 2019, "The Far Right Today," Polity.
Cette semaine, nous recevons Pierre Vimont, chercheur associé à Carnegie Europe, ambassadeur aux États-Unis de 2007 à 2010 et ancien secrétaire général du Service d'action extérieure de l'Union européenne jusqu'en 2015. Il revient sur le conflit au Moyen-Orient et la position de l'Union européenne, dont il déplore la passivité.
The Iranian nuclear deal was the last issue where Europe could realistically claim to have diplomatic influence. Rym Momtaz, Pierre Vimont, and Maha Yahya debate whether the war in Iran has left Europe irrelevant on the global stage. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:00:51] The Current Situation in Lebanon and the Region, [00:09:16] Is Europe Now Irrelevant in the Region?, [00:25:54] The Role of the Gulf and the Future of the Region. Maha Yahya, March 4, 2026, “How Is the War Playing Out in Iran?”, Inside Story, Al Jazeera English. Pierre Vimont, March 3, 2026, “Europe on Iran : Gone with the Wind”, Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, February 8, 2026, “Dependence on the United States is Deeply Rooted in the European Mindset”, Le Monde. Rosa Balfour, January 6, 2026, “The Cost of Europe's Weak Venezuela Response”, Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Pierre Vimont, October 15, 2024, “The EU Needs an Interagency Process for Foreign Policy”, Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Pierre Vimont, October 10, 2023, “Europe's Moment of Powerlessness in the Middle East”, Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.
The EU and its member states are weighing the costs and benefits of offering Ukraine a fast-track accession process, while also considering how to manage relations with other candidate countries. Rosa Balfour, Sylvie Goulard, and Gerald Knaus examine how further enlargement could shape the EU's cohesion, decisionmaking capacity, and ability to act effectively on the global stage. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:02] Could a Smaller EU Be Stronger than an Enlarged Bloc?, [00:32:37] The Future of EU Enlargement. Rosa Balfour, March 25, 2025, “The Case for Europe,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Rosa Balfour, October 3, 2024, “EU Should Enlarge, Even Out of Despair,” Visegrad Insight. Dimitar Bechev, Iliriana Gjoni, October 28, 2025, “How the Western Balkans Can Contribute to European Defense,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe. Stefan Lehne, Zoran Nechev, Richard Grieveson, August 27, 2025, “Access Before Accession: Rethinking the EU's Gradual Integration,” Carnegie Europe. Rym Momtaz, February 10, 2026, “To Survive, the EU Must Split,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.
The peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, initialed in August 2025, represents a major turning point for the South Caucasus.Thomas de Waal, Zaur Shiriyev, and Areg Kochinyan discuss the role Europe can play in supporting normalization and advancing infrastructure development across the region.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:37] The Armenia-Azerbaijan Normalization, [00:11:23] New Connectivity Projects in the South Caucasus, [00:19:31] Europe's Role in Supporting the Peace Process.Zaur Shiriyev, February 3, 2026, “Europe Falls Behind in the South Caucasus Connectivity Race,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, December 16, 2025, “Trump's Peace Lessons for Europe,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Zaur Shiriyev and Philip Gamaghelyan, December 4, 2025, “Strategic Directions for Building Sustainable Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan,” Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.Thomas de Waal, November 13, 2025, “Armenia's Election Is a Foreign Affair,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, September 22, 2025, “An Unlikely Road to Peace for Armenia and Azerbaijan,” Foreign Affairs.Philip Gamaghelyan and Zaur Shiriyev, August 7, 2025, “As They Edge Toward Peace, Armenia and Azerbaijan Must Resist Old Habits,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Zaur Shiriyev, May 26, 2025, “The Precarious Power of Azerbaijan,” Foreign Affairs.Thomas de Waal, March 17, 2025, “Armenia and Azerbaijan's Major Step Forward,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Areg Kochinyan, July 12, 2024, “Why the World Must Support Armenia's Defeated Democracy Against Russian Hybrid Warfare,” Conflict and Civicness Research Blog, London School of Economics and Political Science.Areg Kochinyan, May 21, 2024, “Armenia Should Use This Window of Opportunity to Leave Russia's Orbit,” Politika, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.
The Trump administration has repeatedly signaled its rejection of the values that have long underpinned EU-U.S. relations.Rosa Balfour, Jan Techau, and Nathalie Tocci ask whether Brussels must now chart its own course.Carnegie Europe will be addressing the toughest questions facing the EU in its new project “Europe Head-to-Head.” Follow our work for insights and discussions shaping the continent's future.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:29] Is Europe Able to Divorce From the United States?, [00:16:15] Europe's Military Industrial Complex, [00:19:42] Europe's Competitiveness and Lack of Trust, [00:33:25] Is Trumpism a Structural Trend?, [00:46:26] The Future of EU-U.S. Relations.Jan Techau, Nathalie Tocci, January 7, 2026, “Can Europe Trust the United States Again?,” Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, January 6, 2026, “The Cost of Europe's Weak Venezuela Response,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, September 22, 2025, “The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0,” Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, “Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It's Crafting a Plan B.,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Jan Techau, September 2025, “The Future of European Integration: A Threshold Moment of Hope,” Horizons Summer 2025, Issue No. 31, Center for International Relations and Sustainable Development.Nathalie Tocci, January 13, 2026, “Breaking with a toxic partner: Why Trumpism may actually benefit Europe in the long run,” The Insider.Nathalie Tocci, January 11, 2026, “Europe on high alert in the face of Trump's strategic onslaught,” El País.Nathalie Tocci, December 12, 2025, “How Europe Lost,” Foreign Affairs.Nathalie Tocci, December 10, 2025, “Salvaging Global Order in the Post-American Era,” BKHS Magazine.Nathalie Tocci, December 5, 2025, “Does Europe Finally Realize It's Alone?,” Foreign Policy.
AI-powered technologies are transforming the nature of warfare, with profound implications for European security and the EU's regulatory framework.Thomas de Waal, Raluca Csernatoni, and Jessica Dorsey examine how these dual-use systems blur civilian and military lines, and their implications for strategic, legal, and ethical accountability.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:40] The Evolution of AI on the Battlefield, [00:08:48] Responsibility Gaps on the Use of AI, [00:20:48] Can Europe Play a Role in Regulating AI?Raluca Csernatoni, October 30, 2025, “Corporate Geopolitics: When Billionaires Rival States,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Raluca Csernatoni et al., September 1, 2025, “Tech Diplomacy 2.0: Examining the Intersections Between Industry and Governments in International Relations,” International Journal of Cyber Diplomacy.Raluca Csernatoni et al., September 1, 2025, “The Future of Foreign Policy in the Age of Emerging and Disruptive Technologies,” EU Cyber Direct.Raluca Csernatoni et al., August 11, 2025, “Myth, Power, and Agency: Rethinking Artificial Intelligence, Geopolitics and War,” Minds and Machines.Raluca Csernatoni, May 20, 2025, “The EU's AI Power Play: Between Deregulation and Innovation,” Carnegie Europe.Raluca Csernatoni, July 17, 2024, “Governing Military AI Amid a Geopolitical Minefield,” Carnegie Europe.Jessica Dorsey, January 13, 2026, "The erosion of human(e) judgement in targeting? Quantification logics, AI-enabled decision support systems and proportionality assessments in IHL," Cambridge University Press.Jessica Dorsey, December 14, 2025, “Drug Boats, Drone Strikes and the Dangers of Avoiding Mirrors,” Opinio Juris.Jessica Dorsey, June 27, 2025, “AI-Enabled Decision-Support Systems in the Joint Targeting Cycle: Legal Challenges, Risks, and the Human(e) Dimension,” International Law Studies, Vol. 106.Jessica Dorsey, May 2025, “Proportionality under Pressure: AI-Based DecisionSupport Systems, the Reasonable Commander Standard and Human(e) Judgment in Targeting,” The Hague Center for Strategic Studies.
Despite Labour's landslide victory in last year's general election, support for British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is now sharply eroding.Thomas de Waal, Peter Kellner, and Anne McElvoy unpack the rise of Reform UK and whether a pragmatic reengagement with the EU could revive growth in Britain.Peter Kellner, October 18, 2025, “Reform's Poll Lead Will Shrink,” The New World.Peter Kellner, October 10, 2025, “Voters Are Not Listening to Labour,” Prospect Magazine.Peter Kellner, September 22, 2025, “A History Lesson for Starmer and Badenoch,” Prospect Magazine.Peter Kellner, May 14, 2025, “The Moment of Truth for a UK-EU Reset,” Carnegie Europe.Anne McElvoy, December 5, 2025, “Despite Trump-pleasing Defense Boost, Britain's Military Is Braced for Cuts,” Politico.Anne McElvoy, November 20, 2025, “MAGA's British invasion,” Politico.Anne McElvoy, December 8, 2025, “Labour Together? Who Is Hastening the PM's Downfall,” Politics at Sam and Anne's.Anne McElvoy, December 3, 2025, “Who Is Behind Farage-Tory Pact Plot?,” Politics at Sam and Anne's.Anne McElvoy, November 27, 2025, “The Budget's Hidden Problems Revealed,” Politics at Sam and Anne's.
Between high-level reports, bold statements, and internal negotiation, Europe struggles to outline a cohesive geostrategic vision for its place in the world. Sophia Besch, Dan Baer, and Rosa Balfour explore why the EU often fails to establish long-term solutions to the challenges it faces, and explain how Europe can overcome its political and institutional paralysis. Rosa Balfour, Stefan Lehne, and Elena Ventura, September 22, 2025, “The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0,” Carnegie Europe.Sophia Besch, June 26, 2025, “The Price of Protection,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Dan Baer, May 13, 2025, “Trump's Brain Drain Will Be Europe's Gain,” Foreign Policy.Rosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, “Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It's Crafting a Plan B,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Rosa Balfour, March 25, 2025, “The Case for Europe,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Sophia Besch and Erik Brown, December 16, 2024, “Securing Europe's Subsea Data Cables,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Dan Baer and Sophia Besch, December 12, 2024, “NATO's Northeast Countries Have a Template for Europe's New Security Reality,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.”
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas seems to be holding, but much work will need to be done before it can transform into a lasting peace.Rym Momtaz, Pierre Vimont, and Maha Yahya break down reactions from European and Arab leaders to Trump's Gaza peace plan and discuss if Europe has a role to play.Rym Momtaz, October 7, 2025, “The Trump Gaza Peace Plan Needs the EU, Too,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz, June 10, 2025, “Europeans and Arabs Must Take Historic Steps Toward a Palestinian State,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz, May 15, 2025, “Taking the Pulse: Should the EU Suspend its Association Agreement With Israel?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Pierre Vimont, July 22, 2025, “Reinventing European Diplomacy,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Pierre Vimont, October 10, 2023, “Europe's Moment of Powerlessness in the Middle East,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Maha Yahya, February 17, 2025, “The Fatal Flaw of the New Middle East,” Foreign Affairs
In this episode, Raluca Csernatoni shares her vision for the future of defence – what power and security mean in a world of new technologies and big tech. We also give our overview of regional events, including an informal defence summit in Copenhagen, and elections in Moldova and Czechia.Raluca is a Research Fellow working on the nexus between European defence and emerging disruptive technologies like AI at Carnegie Europe. Staś Kaleta conducted the interview on the sidelines of our Europe Future Forum: https://europefuture.forum/.
The EU-U.S. trade deal concluded in July and the EU-China summit held the same month highlighted Europe's weakening position on the global chessboard. Rym Momtaz, Rosa Balfour, and Erik Jones unpack why European leaders struggle to play power politics and explore what it will take for the EU to regain strategic agency. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:54] Europe's Summer of Delusion, [00:14:18] Prospects for EU Institutional Reform [00:24:18] Europe's Quest for a Strategic VisionRosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, “Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It's Crafting a Plan B,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Rosa Balfour, March 25, 2025, “The Case for Europe,” Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, Sinan Ülgen, November 28, 2024, “Europe's Fledgling Economic Statecraft and the Trump Challenge,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, Erik Jones, et al., November 19, 2024, “Geopolitics and Economic Statecraft in the European Union,” Carnegie Europe.Erik Jones, July 17, 2025, “Betting on Europe,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Erik Jones, Gideon Rose, June 23, 2025, “Europe's Two-Front War,” Foreign Affairs.Erik Jones, November 6, 2024, “How Draghi and Letta May Help in Dealing With Trump,” Encompass.Rym Momtaz et al., August 28, 2025, “Taking the Pulse: With Trump, Has Europe Capitulated?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz, August 26, 2025, “Europe's Summer of Trump Delusion,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz et al., July 24, 2025, “Taking the Pulse: Does the EU-China Summit Show a Weakened European Hand with Beijing?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz, July 15, 2025, “Europe's Claim to Geopolitical Power Isn't Passing the Trump Test,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.
In this episode, Alexandra and Adam start off with some discussion on the news, including concerns over the upcoming Russia/Belarus Zapad 2025 military exercises, Slovakia's Robert Fico and his meeting with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Ukraine, and upcoming elections in Moldova.Later, Adam and Nina are joined by Thomas de Waal, a senior fellow with Carnegie Europe and expert on the South Caucasus. They discuss the peace deal which was initialed at the White House between Armenia and Azerbaijan and dig deeper as to what it means, who wins, who loses, and what might come next. Check out the guest's profile at: https://carnegieendowment.org/people/thomas-de-waal?lang=enRead Alexandra's piece on Bosnia and Herzegovina in Brief Eastern Europe: https://briefeasterneurope.eu/p/september-8-2025 Support our work – become a patron: www.patreon.com/talkeasterneurope
While everyone's attention has been on the Middle East over the past weeks, I want to turn us to the Black Sea. The Black Sea is not just critical to Russian President Vladimir Putin's war on Ukraine, but it is a key part of the wider standoff between Moscow and the West, raising questions about European security and drawing in other powers as well like Turkey and the US. Dimitar Bechev, a senior fellow with Carnegie Europe, joins Thanos Davelis as we take a closer look at why the Black Sea is increasingly on the West and Europe's radar.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:The Black Sea Has Become the Fulcrum of Europe's SecurityUS sanctions on Turkey could be lifted, envoy saysS-400s or not, don't give Turkey the F-35Rival leaders in Cyprus will meet informally with UN chief this month
Comprendre comment la bataille pour les ressources façonne les conflits, les alliances et nos futurs. Écologie ou puissance : faut-il choisir ?Dans cet épisode, Olivia Lazard, chercheuse à Carnegie Europe, décrypte les liens profonds entre géopolitique, extraction minière, dérèglement climatique et transformations systémiques. Une plongée lucide dans la compétition mondiale pour les ressources et les dilemmes qu'elle impose à nos sociétés.Interview enregistrée le 13/05/2025---Retrouvez tous les épisodes et les résumés sur www.sismique.frSismique est un podcast indépendant créé et animé par Julien Devaureix.
Relations between Turkey and Armenia remain frozen, largely because of Azerbaijan's influence over Ankara and a lack of sustained Western diplomatic engagement. Rym Momtaz sat down with Thomas de Waal and Garo Paylan to discuss the main obstacles to a rapprochement and why reopening the Turkey-Armenia border matters for both regional and Western interests.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:35] The State of Turkey-Armenia Relations, [00:11:58] Russia's Influence in the Process, [00:20:47] Can the West Play a Role?Thomas de Waal, March 17, 2025, “Armenia and Azerbaijan's Major Step Forward,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Thomas de Waal, September 19, 2024, “Armenia and Azerbaijan: A Fragile Peace Process,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, July 11, 2024, “Armenia Navigates a Path Away From Russia,” Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, Dimitar Bechev, and Maksim Samorukov, May 30, 2024, “Between Russia and the EU: Europe's Arc of Instability,” Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, September 22, 2023, “A Tragic Endgame in Karabakh,” Carnegie Europe.Garo Paylan, January 30, 2025, “Leveraging International Pressure to Reform Turkey,” CivilNet.Garo Paylan, January 13, 2025, “Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Deal: A Golden Opportunity for Trump,” Wall Street Journal.Garo Paylan, July 3, 2024, “Why Washington Must Push Forward the Fragile Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Plan,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
President Trump has signed a minerals deal with Ukraine, which will give the US access to some of Ukraine's natural resources. The US president also said he'd like to take over Greenland and even Canada. Why? Well one reason may well be the rare earths and critical minerals found there. Critical minerals are vital for almost every industry from the manufacturing of computers to fighter jets. But in recent years the rise of green technologies has been fuelling demand for minerals used to make batteries for electric cars and other renewable infrastructure. One country dominates the minerals market - China - which has repercussions for the rest of the world, including the US. David Aaronovitch and guests discuss what and where these minerals are, why everyone wants them and how the rest of the world can compete with China. Guests:Ellie Saklatvala, Head of Nonferrous Metal Pricing, Argus, a provider of market intelligence for the global commodity markets. Henry Sanderson, author of ‘Volt Rush, the Winners and Losers in the Race to Go Green' and Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute Sophia Kalantzakos, Global Distinguished Professor in Environmental Studies and Public Policy at New York University in Abu Dhabi and the author of 'China and the Geopolitics of Rare Earths' Olivia Lazard, a senior fellow affiliated with the think tank, Carnegie Europe and Berggruen InstitutePresenter: David Aaronovitch Producers: Caroline Bayley, Nathan Gower and Kirsteen Knight Production co-ordinator: Gemma Ashman Sound engineer: David Crackles Editor: Richard Vadon
durée : 00:37:17 - Questions du soir : le débat - par : Quentin Lafay, Stéphanie Villeneuve - En échange de leur soutien, les États-Unis réclament à l'Ukraine des concessions territoriales et la gestion de plusieurs ressources stratégiques. Entre logique de deal et pression politique : l'Ukraine peut-elle rester pleinement souveraine ? - réalisation : François Richer - invités : Laurence Nardon Responsable du programme États-Unis à l'IFRI (Institut Français des Relations Internationales).; Martin Quencez Directeur du bureau de Paris du German Marshall Fund et spécialiste de la politique étrangère américaine.; Pierre Vimont Ancien ambassadeur de France aux Etats-Unis, ancien secrétaire général exécutif du Service européen pour l'action extérieure, chercheur associé au think tank Carnegie Europe
durée : 00:37:17 - Questions du soir : le débat - par : Quentin Lafay, Stéphanie Villeneuve - En échange de leur soutien, les États-Unis réclament à l'Ukraine des concessions territoriales et la gestion de plusieurs ressources stratégiques. Entre logique de deal et pression politique : l'Ukraine peut-elle rester pleinement souveraine ? - réalisation : François Richer - invités : Laurence Nardon Responsable du programme États-Unis à l'IFRI (Institut Français des Relations Internationales).; Martin Quencez Directeur du bureau de Paris du German Marshall Fund et spécialiste de la politique étrangère américaine.; Pierre Vimont Ancien ambassadeur de France aux Etats-Unis, ancien secrétaire général exécutif du Service européen pour l'action extérieure, chercheur associé au think tank Carnegie Europe
As transatlantic tensions over technology and AI regulation intensify, emerging powers like China, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates are seeking to assert their dominance in the tech domain. Rym Momtaz sat down with Sinan Ülgen and Sam Winter-Levy to discuss the dual-use nature of generative AI and large language models and how they might be misused by malign actors. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:28] Generative AI and Large Language Models, [00:11:57] The Efforts in Regulating Generative AI, [00:19:23] The Future of the Tech SectorSinan Ülgen, January 27, 2025, “The World According to Generative Artificial Intelligence,” Carnegie Europe.Sinan Ülgen, August 13, 2024, “Turkey's Instagram Spat Shows the Limits of Global Content Governance,” Financial Times.Sam Winter-Levy, Sophia Besch, January 30, 2025 “How Will AI Export Policies Redefine U.S. Global Influence?” The World Unpacked, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Sam Winter-Levy, Matt Sheehan, January 28, 2025, “Chips, China, and a Lot of Money: The Factors Driving the DeepSeek AI Turmoil,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Sam Winter-Levy, January 24, 2025, “The United Arab Emirates' AI Ambitions,” Center for Strategic and International Studies.Sam Winter-Levy, January 13, 2025, “With Its Latest Rule, the U.S. Tries to Govern AI's Global Spread,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Sam Winter-Levy, December 13, 2024, “The AI Export Dilemma: Three Competing Visions for U.S. Strategy,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Sam Winter-Levy, September 20, 2024, “Silicon Valley Hasn't Revolutionized Warfare—Yet,” Foreign Policy.
Critical raw materials - like rare earths, cobalt and lithium - play a central role in the energy transition and profoundly influence geopolitical dynamics. Their extraction may also amplify conflict and fragility risks in host countries. In this episode of the Climate Briefing, Ruth and Anna speak to Olivia Lazard (Fellow at Carnegie Europe) and Sophia Kalantzakos (Global Distinguished Professor, Environmental Studies and Public Policy, NYU Abu Dhabi) about the interlinkages between critical raw materials and geopolitics, the challenges associated with extraction, and what a ‘good' strategy for securing future access might look like.
As Europeans look to boost their security and defense capabilities, there's an ongoing debate about including Turkey in this discussion. This is raising a number of moral and strategic concerns, especially given the recent arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu and Turkey's ties to Russia. Ambassador Marc Pierini, a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and former EU ambassador to Turkey, joins Thanos Davelis to break down why including Ankara in any future plans on European security could prove deeply problematic.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey's Ambivalence Is a Threat to European SecurityGreece unveils 12-year defense planSevere storms batter Greek islands for a second day, with Crete hardest hit
In November, a far right, pro-Russia figure came from almost nowhere to become favourite for the presidency. Calin Georgescu, with no affiliated political party and whose campaign had been largely on social media, won the first round of Presidential elections in Romania. The result sent shockwaves across the continent. But serious allegations surfaced over the legitimacy of Georgescu's campaign, resulting in Romania's Constitutional Court annulling the vote and barring Georgescu from standing. After mass demonstrations across the country, it's clear Romania's political landscape has been upended. Ahead of the rerun of the vote for president on 4 and 18 May, what will happen now with Romania's elections? Will the country lean towards a more nationalist future or back the mainstream parties that were previously in power?Contributors: Veronica Anghel, assistant professor at the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies at The European University Institute, Italy Oana Popescu-Zamfir, director of the GlobalFocus Center, associated expert at Carnegie Europe and associate researcher for the European Council on Foreign Relations, Romania Dr Radu Cinpoes, associate professor of politics and international relations at the University of Greenwich, United Kingdom Costin Ciobanu, political scientist with Aarhus University, DenmarkPresenter: Tanya Beckett Producer: Vicky Carter Researcher: Katie Morgan Production Co-ordinator: Liam Morrey Technical producer: Nicky Edwards Editor: Tara McDermott
Il y a une semaine, le maire d'Istanbul Ekrem Imamoglu était interpellé pour « corruption » et « liens avec des organisations terroristes », puis incarcéré quelques jours plus tard. Ses opposants ainsi qu'une grande partie de la population turque y voient la volonté de faire taire celui qui était pressenti comme le principal opposant du président Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Chaque soir, des milliers de personnes font entendre leur colère, des manifestations qui ont abouti à plus de 1 400 interpellations. Que signifie l'incarcération d'Ekrem Imamoglu ? Sur quoi la mobilisation actuelle peut-elle déboucher ? Pour en débattre :- Dorothée Schmid, chercheuse, responsable du programme Turquie - Moyen-Orient de l'Institut français des relations internationales. Autrice du livre La Turquie en 100 questions, éditions Tallandier- Marc Pierini, chercheur auprès du think-tank Carnegie Europe, ancien ambassadeur de l'UE en Turquie - Ahmet Insel, ancien professeur de l'Université Galatasaray, chroniqueur et éditeur. Il est co-auteur du livre Le national-capitalisme autoritaire, éditions Bleu autour.
Il y a une semaine, le maire d'Istanbul Ekrem Imamoglu était interpellé pour « corruption » et « liens avec des organisations terroristes », puis incarcéré quelques jours plus tard. Ses opposants ainsi qu'une grande partie de la population turque y voient la volonté de faire taire celui qui était pressenti comme le principal opposant du président Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Chaque soir, des milliers de personnes font entendre leur colère, des manifestations qui ont abouti à plus de 1 400 interpellations. Que signifie l'incarcération d'Ekrem Imamoglu ? Sur quoi la mobilisation actuelle peut-elle déboucher ? Pour en débattre :- Dorothée Schmid, chercheuse, responsable du programme Turquie - Moyen-Orient de l'Institut français des relations internationales. Autrice du livre La Turquie en 100 questions, éditions Tallandier- Marc Pierini, chercheur auprès du think-tank Carnegie Europe, ancien ambassadeur de l'UE en Turquie - Ahmet Insel, ancien professeur de l'Université Galatasaray, chroniqueur et éditeur. Il est co-auteur du livre Le national-capitalisme autoritaire, éditions Bleu autour.
One of the Trump administration's first moves has been the dismantling of USAID, an agency that has been critical for international development and democracy promotion.Rym Momtaz sat down with Thomas Carothers and Richard Youngs to discuss the implications of U.S. cuts to foreign aid and Europe's role in keeping the global democracy agenda alive.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:11] Trump's Cuts to USAID, [00:10:07] The Need to Rethink the International Democracy Agenda, [00:20:33] Europe's Defensive Approach to Democracy.Thomas Carothers, March 3, 2025, “Does U.S. Democracy Aid Have a Future?,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Thomas Carothers, February 4, 2025, “The Heartless Upheaval of American Foreign Aid,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Thomas Carothers, March 3, 2025, “Prospects for US Democracy Support During the Second Trump Presidency,” European Democracy Hub.Thomas Carothers, Richard Youngs, May 2, 2024, “European and U.S. Democracy Support: The Limits of Convergence,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Richard Youngs, February 26, 2025, “European Reactions to the U.S. Retreat From Democracy,” Carnegie Europe.Richard Youngs, February 26, 2025, “No world order: Europe needs more radical thinking for the Trump era,” The Conversation.Richard Youngs et al., January 23, 2025, “European Democracy Support Annual Review 2024,” Carnegie Europe.Richard Youngs, Elene Panchulidze, December 2, 2024, “Playing Defence: Europe and Democracy,” Survival.Richard Youngs, September 25, 2024, “The European Union is becoming too obsessed with defence,” The Conversation.
In just three months, Romania has gone from a stable and loyal member of the European Union and Nato, to a country where a far-right, pro-Russia figure has come from almost nowhere to become favourite for the presidency. A result which has sent shockwaves across the continent. In November Calin Georgescu, with no affiliated political party and whose campaign has been largely on social media, won the first round of Presidential elections in Romania. But then serious allegations surfaced over the legitimacy of Georgescu's campaign, resulting in the Constitutional Court annulling the vote and Georgescu facing charges, which he strongly denies. Presidential hopefuls have until the 15 March to register their candidacy for the new elections, which are being rerun on 4 and 18 May. As protesters take to the streets of Bucharest, will the Romanian Constitutional Court rule that Georgescu can or cannot stand? If he is allowed to stand, can he become President? And how might the Romanian elections affect the future direction of the EU and Nato?Contributors: Veronica Anghel, assistant professor at the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies at The European University Institute, Italy Oana Popescu-Zamfir, director of the GlobalFocus Center, associated expert at Carnegie Europe and associate researcher for the European Council on Foreign Relations, Romania Anca Agachi, defence policy analyst at RAND Corporation and a nonresident fellow at The Atlantic Council, USA Costin Ciobanu, political scientist with Aarhus University, Denmark Presenter: Tanya BeckettProducer: Vicky Carter Researcher: Katie Morgan Production Co-ordinator: Liam Morrey Technical producer: Nicky Edwards Editor: Tara McDermottImage credit: Andrei Pungovschi via Getty Images
After three years of war on its soil, Ukraine is grappling with manpower shortages and increasingly uncertain Western military support in the face of Russia's continued aggression.Rym Momtaz sat down with Yuliya Bidenko and Eric Ciaramella to unpack the situation on the ground and the war's broader implications for European security and the transatlantic alliance.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:02:01] The Military Situation on the Ground, [00:11:17] Ukraine's Mobilization and Societal Priorities, [00:18:43] Europe's Role in Ensuring Ukraine's Security.Yuliya Bidenko, February 8, 2023, “How Ukraine Forged a Culture of Resilience,” Europe Inside Out, Carnegie Europe.Eric Ciaramella, January 30, 2025, “Triangle of Sadness: Prospects of Trump-Putin-EU Peace Talks on Ukraine, with Eric Ciaramella,” Carnegie Politika, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.Eric Ciaramella, December 5, 2024, “Rational Security: The "Ukraine in the Membrane" Edition,” Lawfare.Rym Momtaz et al., December 5, 2024, “Taking the Pulse: Are Information Operations Russia's Most Potent Weapon Against Europe?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz et al., January 9, 2025, “Taking the Pulse: Can Poland's EU Presidency Be Credible Without Deploying Troops to Ukraine?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz et al., November 21, 2024, “Taking the Pulse: Would Freezing Ukraine's NATO Membership Process Advance Peace?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rym Momtaz, November 5, 2024, “Behind the Scenes, Preparations for Russia-Ukraine Negotiations,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.
Thema: Die EU-Position Österreichs
Russia's belligerence and political interference in some of the Black Sea littoral states threaten the EU's influence in the region. Rym Momtaz sat down with Dimitar Bechev and Thomas de Waal to discuss how the union can respond to Moscow's destabilizing actions and keep the enlargement process on track. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:02:13] The Political Situation in Georgia and Moldova, [00:10:04] The EU's Enlargement Strategy, [00:20:14] Europe's Role in the Black SeaRym Momtaz et al., December 5, 2024, “Taking the Pulse: Are Information Operations Russia's Most Potent Weapon Against Europe?,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Dimitar Bechev, November 25, 2024, “Illiberal eastern Europeans look to play their Trump card,” Financial Times.Dimitar Bechev, Richard Giragosian, Gorana Grgić, and Batu Kutelia, December 5, 2024, “In Brief: Russia's Hybrid War,”War on the Rocks.Dimitar Bechev, Iliriana Gjoni, October 24, 2024, “All Is Not Well With EU Enlargement to the Western Balkans,” Carnegie Europe.Dimitar Bechev, June 27, 2024, “Between the EU and Moscow: How Russia Exploits Divisions in Bosnia,” Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.Dimitar Bechev, June 20, 2024, “Can EU Enlargement Work?,” Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, January 16, 2025, “Moldova's Gas Crisis Is Europe's Headache,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, October 31, 2024, “Georgia's Dangerous Moment Is a Challenge for the EU,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, October 9, 2024, “Can Georgia Stay on Its European Path?,” Europe Inside Out, Carnegie Europe.Thomas de Waal, June 5, 2024, “Opportunistic Georgia joins Europe's illiberal club,” Financial Times.Thomas de Waal, October 9, 2024, “Between Russia and the EU: Europe's Arc of Instability,” Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.
Discussion Highlights:Europe's preparedness for a potential second Trump presidency.Challenges to EU strategic autonomy and transatlantic relations.The influence of defense contracts and energy dependencies on European policies.Internal EU struggles: technocracy versus democracy and stalled institutional reforms.Enlargement prospects in the Western Balkans and Eastern Europe as pathways to rejuvenate the EU's global standing.Leadership and unity in the face of global instability.About Stefan Lehne:Stefan Lehne is a Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe, focusing on EU institutions, reforms, and foreign policy. His career spans multiple senior positions, including director general for political affairs at the Austrian Ministry for European and International Affairs, and he has extensive experience in multilateral diplomacy. Lehne has served in Austria's missions to the United Nations and the European Union and was involved in Austria's EU accession negotiations.Lehne's recent research explores European integration, strategic autonomy, and responses to global challenges. He also lectures at the Diplomatic Academy of Vienna and frequently contributes to policy discussions and publications. Lehne was a 2018/19 Europe's Futures Fellow of the IWM and ERSTE Foundation.Recent Publications by Stefan Lehne:Charting the Radical Right's Influence on EU Foreign Policy (April 2024, with Rosa Balfour) – Carnegie EuropeThe Rules-Based Order vs. the Defense of Democracy (September 2024) – Carnegie EuropeEurope's New Leadership Faces a Teamwork Test (June 2024) – Carnegie EuropeEurope's Radical Right Is Formidable—but Not Unstoppable (April 2024) – Carnegie Europefind Stefan on X @StefanLehne Ivan Vejvoda is Head of the Europe's Futures program at the Institute for Human Sciences (IWM Vienna) implemented in partnership with ERSTE Foundation. The program is dedicated to the cultivation of knowledge and the generation of ideas addressing pivotal challenges confronting Europe and the European Union: nexus of borders and migration, deterioration in rule of law and democracy and European Union's enlargement prospects.The Institute for Human Sciences is an institute of advanced studies in the humanities and social sciences. Founded as a place of encounter in 1982 by a young Polish philosopher, Krzysztof Michalski, and two German colleagues in neutral Austria, its initial mission was to create a meeting place for dissenting thinkers of Eastern Europe and prominent scholars from the West.Since then it has promoted intellectual exchange across disciplines, between academia and society, and among regions that now embrace the Global South and North. The IWM is an independent and non-partisan institution, and proudly so. All of our fellows, visiting and permanent, pursue their own research in an environment designed to enrich their work and to render it more accessible within and beyond academia.For further information about the Institute:https://www.iwm.at/
Trade wars, the contestation of neoliberalism, and the weaponization of interdependence have prompted the EU to adjust its political economic model. Rym Momtaz sat down with Rosa Balfour and Erik Jones to discuss how the EU is changing its economic strategies and what challenges lie ahead for the new European Commission. [00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:29] The EU's Political Economic Model, [00:15:37] Europe's New Economic Statecraft, [00:23:40] Priorities for the New European Commission.Rosa Balfour, Sinan Ülgen et al., November 19, 2024, “Geopolitics and Economic Statecraft in the European Union,” Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, Sinan Ülgen, November 28, 2024, “Europe's Fledgling Economic Statecraft and the Trump Challenge,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Rosa Balfour, November 27, 2024, “Europe Under Trump: Strategic Challenges and Opportunities with Rosa Balfour,” Europe's Futures.Rosa Balfour, November 4, 2024, “Europe is trapped between technocracy and democracy,” Financial Times.Erik Jones, November 2024, “How Draghi and Letta may help in dealing with Trump,” Encompass.Rym Momtaz et al., November 7, 2024, “Taking the Pulse: Can Europeans Significantly Reduce Their Security Reliance on the United States?” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.
PREVIEW: GERMANY: Carnegie Europe Scholar Judy Dempsey reports from Berlin on the CDU leader's stark economic proposals for Germany. More tonight. 2890 Saxony
Elle est considérée comme la grande gagnante de la chute du président syrien Bachar el-Assad. La Turquie, soutien des nouvelles autorités, a été l'un des premiers pays à rouvrir son ambassade. Ankara s'est également illustré la semaine dernière dans un tout autre dossier, en annonçant un accord entre l'Éthiopie et la Somalie. La Turquie s'affiche-t-elle comme un géant géopolitique de demain ? Comment peut-elle tirer profit de la situation en Syrie ? Pour en débattre : Bayram Balci, chercheur au CERI-Sciences Po, spécialiste de l'islam dans le Caucase et en Asie centrale Marc Pierini, ancien diplomate européen et chercheur au Carnegie Europe, ancien représentant de la Commission européenne en Syrie, Libye, Tunisie et Turquie. Gilles Dorronsoro, professeur de science politique à l'Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, spécialiste des conflits contemporains, auteur du livre Anatomie d'une guerre civile (2016)
Elle est considérée comme la grande gagnante de la chute du président syrien Bachar el-Assad. La Turquie, soutien des nouvelles autorités, a été l'un des premiers pays à rouvrir son ambassade. Ankara s'est également illustré la semaine dernière dans un tout autre dossier, en annonçant un accord entre l'Éthiopie et la Somalie. La Turquie s'affiche-t-elle comme un géant géopolitique de demain ? Comment peut-elle tirer profit de la situation en Syrie ? Pour en débattre : Bayram Balci, chercheur au CERI-Sciences Po, spécialiste de l'islam dans le Caucase et en Asie centrale Marc Pierini, ancien diplomate européen et chercheur au Carnegie Europe, ancien représentant de la Commission européenne en Syrie, Libye, Tunisie et Turquie. Gilles Dorronsoro, professeur de science politique à l'Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, spécialiste des conflits contemporains, auteur du livre Anatomie d'une guerre civile (2016)
Last week Turkish President Erdogan set out on a tour of the Balkans, visiting Albania and Serbia. The tour kicked off in Albania, with Erdogan gifting a number of drones and inaugurating the largest mosque in the Balkans - which was funded by Turkey. The second leg took him to Serbia, where Turkey made a diplomatic comeback in 2017. Thanos Davelis caught up with expert Dimitar Bechev last week while Erdogan was wrapping up his visit to Belgrade. We looked into Erdogan's Balkan tour, and broke down Turkey's broader agenda in the region.Dimitar Bechev is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, where he focuses on EU enlargement, the Western Balkans, and Eastern Europe, and he is the author of the bookTurkey under Erdogan.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Erdogan inaugurates mosque in Albania, pledges military drones as he begins Balkan tourTurkey, Serbia Eye Cooperation On Production Of Military DronesAndroulakis celebrates reelection as PASOK leader, vows to end New Democracy's dominanceAndroulakis re-elected PASOK leaderUS has not met its commitments, says Greek defense ministerDendias highlights Greece's military progress
We're back from our summer break! Rym Momtaz, the new editor-in-chief of the Strategic Europe blog, is here to catch us up on the main political developments we missed over the summer, from Ukraine to France. We're also talking about Sweden's suggestions for cutting kids' screen time, and a possible crackdown on outrageous concert ticket prices. Thanks for listening! If you enjoy our podcast, we'd love it if you'd consider chipping in a few bucks a month at patreon.com/europeanspodcast (many currencies are available). You can also help new listeners find the show by leaving us a review or giving us five stars on Spotify. Strategic Europe is a blog from the Carnegie Europe think-tank. You can find it here, and follow Rym on Twitter here. This week's Inspiration Station picks: 'Evenings and Weekends' by Oisín McKenna and 'Berlin' by Andris Kuprišs, translated by Ian Gwin. Other resources for this episode: 'A Different Way to Look at Screen Time' - ParentData, April 2024 If you're feeling brave, you can download Mario Draghi's competitiveness report here. If you're short on time because you're contributing to European productivity, you can read his summary here. Waldrapteam, the conservationists working with the northern bald ibis, can be found on Instagram here. You can follow their progress here. 03:10 Bad Week: Ticketmaster 14:23 Good Week: Swedish kids 26:40 Interview: Rym Momtaz catches us up on the main European political developments of the summer 47:44 The Inspiration Station: 'Evenings and Weekends' by Oisín McKenna; 'Berlin' by Andris Kuprišs 50:24 Happy Ending: The return of the northern bald ibis Producers: Morgan Childs and Wojciech Oleksiak Mixing and mastering: Wojciech Oleksiak Music: Jim Barne and Mariska Martina Instagram | Threads | Twitter | Mastodon | hello@europeanspodcast.com
Today, we look at Michel Barnier's surprise selection as French Prime Minister, and a “historic success” for the far-right in Germany.The EU's former Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, has been named as the new French prime minister in a surprise announcement by Emmanuel Macron. But will this finally break the deadlock in Paris?And, Germany's anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won the election in the eastern state of Thuringia. But how much of a threat are they to the current government?Adam is joined by Mujtaba Rahman, Europe managing director at the Eurasia Group, Rym Momtaz, editor in chief of Strategic Europe at Carnegie Europe, and Katya Adler, BBC Europe editor. You can join our Newscast online community here: https://tinyurl.com/newscastcommunityhere Newscast brings you daily analysis of the latest political news stories from the BBC. It was presented by the “famous” Adam Fleming. It was made by Jack Maclaren with Gemma Roper and Sam Mclaren. The technical producer was Jack Graysmark. The assistant editor is Chris Gray. The editor is Sam Bonham.
Hello, dear wild friends! I'm taking a short break, but I wanted to share some of my previous interviews with guests who delve into themes of collapse, the meta-crisis, and the decline of the systems we've always known to grow—like GDP, technology, population, and prosperity.Many of you have joined my book serialization project on Substack, where we're navigating the collapse awareness journey together. These interviews provide valuable context for our journey. You can join us here if you're not already part of the project. I release one chapter of my book at a time, and we discuss its contents in the comments, tackling this big, beautiful, hard thing as a community, step by step. In the meantime, enjoy this wild conversation with Olivia Lazard.--Olivia Lazard (peace mediator; rare minerals expert) exposes missing chunks in the “green” energy transition that many of us assume to be the “fix” to the climate crisis. Via her work as a fellow at Carnegie Europe and advisor on global security, she explains how the mining and extraction of rare earth metals like lithium, graphite and cobalt - to make the batteries etc for the new green “economy” - are both rare (there's literally not enough of them to make the transition), come with massive ecological costs (therefore rendering the “clean tech” very dirty), but are also destabilising the world in ways few are able to fathom. This is a very confronting reality, especially for climate activists and green economy evangelists.In this chat we go deep and wide into climate security issues, pull apart the techno-optimist “but AI and innovation will save us!” mindset, and what we really need to know about geo-engineering. This, on paper, sounds like a very “head-y” conversation, but Olivia also weaves in “heart” considerations that I think many of you are aching for in this debate. At the end, we discuss whether we have “hope”.SHOW NOTESConnect with Olivia on X / TwitterCheck out Olivia's TED talk to see the charts she talks about.--If you need to know a bit more about me… head to my "about" pageFor more such conversations subscribe to my Substack newsletter, it's where I interact the most!Get your copy of my book, This One Wild and Precious LifeLet's connect on Instagram and WeAre8 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Tommy and Ben discuss the success of far-right parties in the European Parliamentary elections and debate whether French President Emmanuel Macron's call for snap elections in France is bold or disastrous. Then they talk about British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's shocking decision to skip a ceremony commemorating the 80th anniversary of D-Day, the latest developments out of Israel and Gaza, including ceasefire negotiations, Benny Gantz leaving Netanyahu's war cabinet, and the ethics of an Israeli hostage rescue in Gaza that resulted in hundreds of civilian casualties. They also walk through the horrific state of affairs in the civil war in Sudan, a foreign election interference scandal rocking Canada, a Chinese waterfall getting a little help from the government, and why Alabama Senator Tommy Tuberville is still very, very dumb. Then Ben interviews Dr. Rosa Balfour, the Director of Carnegie Europe, about the broader implications of the European Parliamentary election results on issues like climate change. For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast.
Over the last year, a number of regional crises - from Ukraine to the Middle East - have taken the international spotlight off Turkey and President Erdogan. Combined with a number of sharp divergences with Western partners over Ankara's contradictory foreign policy ambitions and rule-of-law deficiencies, it looks like Turkey's overall standing on the international scene has diminished. That's the case Ambassador Marc Pierini, who joins Thanos Davelis on our show today, makes in his latest piece, “Turkey's Dwindling International Role”.Ambassador Marc Pierini is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, where his research focuses on developments in the Middle East and Turkey from a European perspective. He previously served as EU ambassador and head of delegation to Turkey (2006–2011). You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey's Dwindling International RolePM Mitsotakis meets with Chicago Council on Global Affairs delegationDefense minister meets with Chicago Council of Global AffairsNikola Dimitrov: ‘The bridge might collapse without care'